Latest / Targeting Winners: A College Football Betting Podcast / Bowl Season Money: CFP and Bowl Game Best Bets
Transcript
- 0:07Hello everybody, welcome to targeting winners first episode
- 0:11of 2026. Sadly to college football season
- 0:15is coming to an end for me, it's coming to a merciful end.
- 0:20So I'm always joined with by Darren and Peter.
- 0:23Darren, how you doing up there is warming up any at all?
- 0:25Yeah, it's above 15. You know, T-shirt weather,
- 0:30'cause you know, that's what we do up here.
- 0:32And I mean, you guys know you're from here originally.
- 0:34Anything over 10 T-shirts mandatory.
- 0:37Tank top. But yeah, glad to be here, man.
- 0:41And like you said, we're running out of, we're running out of
- 0:43season. We got a game going on as we're
- 0:45sitting here. We got a game coming up 4
- 0:48tomorrow and then like 3 more playoff games and then.
- 0:51Yeah, as we're recording, it's 3 nothing, Indiana with 13 minutes
- 0:56left in the second period. So Peter from the beach, from
- 1:02Mexico, you're backlit. You look like you're hiding from
- 1:05a drug cartel. What's going on?
- 1:06Is everything all right? That's what I'm doing.
- 1:09Yeah. Yeah.
- 1:09It's happy New Year, everyone Good to be here today.
- 1:12Yeah, Way, way late night. Very tired.
- 1:15Haven't been outside. It's beautiful out there, but
- 1:17I'm not going outside. So happy to be here doing this.
- 1:20And my New Year's resolution is to stop with the very bad picks
- 1:23and turn this thing around. So we'll see how that goes.
- 1:26So, so wait, wait, I have a question.
- 1:28So you're you're tired 'cause you made it to midnight, didn't?
- 1:32Get home to almost 55 AM so. What, like 11:00?
- 1:37I was done. Tim, you know we had a picture
- 1:39of Pete not making it to midnight that lives in targeting
- 1:44winners lore. I I I did not send that to you,
- 1:46but I've I've. Got it.
- 1:48If I had known you wanted the reference that I would have, I
- 1:50did. Not I, I mean I know, he said
- 1:52when do you want to record? The later the better.
- 1:54And I'm like, he can't make it till 12.
- 1:57He's old like we are. What is he doing?
- 2:00But good for you man, Congratulations because I was in
- 2:03bed 6 hours before you. No, never again.
- 2:06Bad idea. Don't do that.
- 2:07We're too old for that. Don't do it.
- 2:09Yes. One star do not recommend Oh,
- 2:14since we're on the topic my New Year's resolution, I'm not going
- 2:16to make so many futures bets. I think I got called out a
- 2:20little bit by one of the commenters on the YouTube video
- 2:23saying we didn't bet out any bets.
- 2:25So then I just went nuts and I think I made like 24 futures
- 2:28bets. That's that's high.
- 2:31That's a lot. So that and I think I'm going to
- 2:35resolve to not, I think I forced some bets this year, so I'm not
- 2:39going to try to get the three. If I only see one or two, then
- 2:41I'm only going to make one or two bets.
- 2:44That's also good for the bankroll.
- 2:45We cover that in bankroll management.
- 2:47Darren, your New Year's resolution.
- 2:51It's similar to one that I thought I was going to do last
- 2:54year because apparently I'm a moron.
- 2:56I didn't entirely stick to it and I I thought of this when I
- 3:00bet on Air Force thinking that they could actually beat Pete's
- 3:03Hawaii Rainbows even with their poor defense.
- 3:07Yeah, I decided right then and there, you know what?
- 3:09Stop betting on teams that have really, really bad defenses.
- 3:13And what did I do on the last show?
- 3:162 of my 3 bets were on teams with shitty defenses.
- 3:19And how'd that work out? USC did not cover the 6 1/2 and
- 3:24tackled like a bunch of third graders on that game-winning
- 3:27touchdown by TCU. And then I bet on Duke, who I
- 3:31was fortunate to get a push out of that also an absolutely
- 3:35terrible defense. So as usual, I learned nothing.
- 3:39But I'm going to write that down.
- 3:42Yeah, I I just have to stop thinking the teams with bad
- 3:45defenses are going to do good things for my bankroll.
- 3:49So that's mine. We can see why you bet on Duke.
- 3:52They are the ACC champions and it just means more.
- 3:56Obviously I was. I had the wool pulled over my
- 3:59eyes. I actually thought that they
- 4:02could beat a team that had 19 people in the portal starting.
- 4:08Jeff Sims, valedictorian of Turnover University, and he
- 4:13looked like Joe Montana. So you know, Lucky likes Lucky
- 4:18to get the push out of that. But learn my lesson.
- 4:21I have a pending bet with Georgia tonight.
- 4:23For the most part they actually play defense so doesn't mean
- 4:27they'll cover but if they lose the bed probably they won't give
- 4:31up 50. But shit I just jinxed.
- 4:37I'm sorry. We both are playing the six and
- 4:39a half of Georgia. Yeah, no more teams with crappy
- 4:42defenses. Well, we are in bowl season,
- 4:45It's winding down and we did have our Bowl Mania contest.
- 4:48We're going to pull this up. We're getting down to the nitty
- 4:49gritty of it. I think we're down to the final
- 4:52five here. Darren, run us through it.
- 4:56Yeah, I know three of these people that are competing.
- 5:00There are a couple with 14 as well, but with our leader, our
- 5:05main man Jeff with 21. Yoga school.
- 5:10Yes. I mean, he was destined for
- 5:12greatness in this contest with that entry name.
- 5:14But yeah, so I just put the top five in there.
- 5:18Like I said, we got a game pending, We got a game going
- 5:20tonight, four. And then what, three more
- 5:22playoff games. So less than 10 games to go, I
- 5:25just kind of sent you the top five there.
- 5:28So Jeff's in the lead. Jay Williams, I think his name
- 5:32is Jeff also. Wouldn't swear to it.
- 5:34He's hanging in there two games behind Jeff Parley.
- 5:36Paul, long time original friend of the show who texted me a
- 5:41three team parlay that he did bet yesterday and I won't give
- 5:45it away, but he needs Alabama to win the game.
- 5:48So yeah, he's in there as well. Your boy Mattie Olson completing
- 5:55another successful fantasy football season from what I've.
- 5:57Heard last place. Yeah, well, at least he gets to
- 6:02participate in the first round of the draft this year and T
- 6:05Nelson hanging in there with 15. So those people still
- 6:08realistically have a shot, but it looks like it's a battle that
- 6:12Jeff's there as we head into the last few days of.
- 6:15Game we'll have a new champion, Swifty Scott not.
- 6:18Yeah, your your FSU hating friend is struggling a little
- 6:22bit this year and for anybody new to the show and first time
- 6:25in the contest I am ineligible so don't don't feel bad ESPN.
- 6:32You can't create a group apparently unless you create an
- 6:34entry. So whatever I'm in, just ignore
- 6:38that I'm one. Just drop all those numbers down
- 6:391 and that's the actual. Stance like win Ben Stein's
- 6:42money but different. Exactly.
- 6:44You, you'll win all three of our money.
- 6:45But you know, Tim, you know how it is.
- 6:47You know we do the show sometimes you got to show why
- 6:50you're the people that do the show.
- 6:51So putting all those young whippersnappers in their place,
- 6:54'cause I believe last year I won this as well, but, you know, had
- 6:59to pay 'cause whatever. But yeah, I mean, at least I'm
- 7:05doing this, but you know, whatever.
- 7:07Thanks, USC, because you cost me in the in the pool as well, but
- 7:11I digress. But yeah, couple Jeffs heading
- 7:14into the heading into the home stretch with the best chance to
- 7:16win our. Money.
- 7:17All right, well, good luck to those two as we wind down to the
- 7:20editable season. I posted a question, you guys,
- 7:22in the text chat we had. Gronk had a bowl.
- 7:26Snoop Dogg had a bowl. Tony the Tiger had a bowl.
- 7:30Is there a person or a celebrity you would like to see have a
- 7:32bowl game and if so like what kind of bowl or what household
- 7:35product they we had the Dukes Mayo bowl.
- 7:38We had a mow lawnmower bowl. What would you like to see?
- 7:41Have you guys thought of anything or any any celebrity,
- 7:47any I don't want? I don't want the bowls to kind
- 7:51of go away. I, it seems to be like that's
- 7:53where all this is headed. But I mean, I don't know if you
- 7:57watched any of the Duke Arizona State game yesterday, but who
- 8:00doesn't want to jump in an huge inflatable bowl of Frosted
- 8:04Flakes? I mean, that's one of the best
- 8:06screenshots of bowl season. Was that Duke receiver doing the
- 8:10backsplash into the Frosted Flakes?
- 8:13I mean, we talk about motivation, but a lot of these
- 8:16bowl games mean something to these kids.
- 8:18And I and I hope that whatever the NCA does to to screw with
- 8:22the postseason, I hope they leave some of these bowl games
- 8:24because they are fun. Like I said, more often than
- 8:27not, the kids seem excited to play in them.
- 8:31I mean, yesterday in the Dukes Bowl, besides Frosted Flakes,
- 8:33you got a guy ejected for spitting on the ground.
- 8:35You had some other guy ejected for two unsports while I conduct
- 8:37tells you before halftime. So those people in the bowls
- 8:41don't matter camp, you're just, you're not watching, man 'cause
- 8:46these kids like to play. But yeah, I don't have anybody
- 8:48specific. I mean, I would love to have
- 8:51like a targeting winner's bowl, but, you know, maybe someday.
- 8:57So well, P do you have one or should I just go on and give I I
- 9:00just went all out. I had a brainstorm and I just
- 9:02went with it. I made a graphic.
- 9:05I think this would be like right up there with the Pop Tarts bowl
- 9:07and the Frost and Flakes bowl. Let's do yours.
- 9:10So if you're watching on YouTube again, thanks you please like
- 9:13and subscribe. I have the Weird Al Yankovic
- 9:16tofu bowl perfect. I mean, Can you imagine
- 9:21everything you could do? I I I had I made-up a little
- 9:24thing here and it's got quality lost state versus transfer
- 9:27portal A&M and the opening line is Portal A&M favored by 3 1/2
- 9:32with over under 62 1/2. I just think this screams with
- 9:36everything you could do with Weird Al.
- 9:38Like, could you imagine, like if Virginia Tech's playing in the
- 9:40game and they come out to Enter Sandman, like off to Never
- 9:43Neverland and then like, it's like a polka version of the
- 9:48songs, you know, have, I don't know, some random like Barry
- 9:53Manilow and David Hasselhoff working the chain gang or
- 9:56something? I mean, it'd be totally off the
- 9:57wall crap. I think this would be great.
- 10:00I think everyone would enjoy it. I'd know people who went to a
- 10:02concert with this guy who said it was like one of the best
- 10:05concerts that you've ever been to.
- 10:06He puts on a great show. I don't know your thoughts.
- 10:09I think this would be I think this would be a a Grand Slam
- 10:12family friendly. The whole family would like it.
- 10:14He's dancing with a rubber chicken in his graphics Some for
- 10:17some reason, I mean. Any thoughts on?
- 10:20How? You work with your drugs,
- 10:22people. This is how you work with your.
- 10:24Drugs. I know it's called dope for a
- 10:25reason but so oh. Indiana touchdown.
- 10:30It is now 9 to nothing. Extra point pending Charlie
- 10:35Becker, 21 yard reception TD. Another fraudulent SEC school
- 10:40getting ready to have their season end.
- 10:42No, come on, there are no bad teams.
- 10:45That's right, I forgot. They just don't care when they
- 10:47lose. I just hope they all have.
- 10:49Fun. That's right.
- 10:51When they win, it's an important bowl game.
- 10:53They're the best players in the world.
- 10:54When they lose, the bowl game is meaningless.
- 10:57So. Hey, I hope the Buckeyes had a
- 10:58great time losing yesterday. It was.
- 11:00It was just a damn shame to see them lose.
- 11:02I know you're like that. I haven't seen any pictures of
- 11:06anyone getting naked running around the beaches of Mexico, so
- 11:09I guess. By the way, can I just say Paul
- 11:12texted me last night and was really scared of seeing Pete run
- 11:16around naked on this week's show.
- 11:17So Paul was very happy when he tunes in to see that you at
- 11:20least have a shirt on. I can't see over you can't see
- 11:24for the bottom part of you, but at least you have an upper,
- 11:27upper article of clothing on which will make Paul very happy
- 11:32and probably make Tim and I very happy as well.
- 11:34But. All right, let's go into the
- 11:39bowls Tomorrow. We've got the Armed Forces Bowl,
- 11:411:00, Fort Worth, TX, Texas State.
- 11:44It opened at 10 1/2, went to 11 1/2.
- 11:47I actually got it at 13 1/2 over under 59 1/2.
- 11:52Darren, let's start with you. What are you thinking about this
- 11:54game here? A lot of opt outs.
- 11:55Yeah, you may have not gotten the best number, but you still
- 11:57got a good one because Texas State is now laying 16 1/2 as
- 12:00well with the total sitting at 55 1/2.
- 12:03If you are a DraftKings guy. Yeah, I, I, I still like this
- 12:08number you got. I don't know if I would go any
- 12:09higher than this. I mean, Rice changed their
- 12:12offense. They're pretty much run first
- 12:15most of the time now. But the odd thing is Texas State
- 12:18actually has a better run stats than Rice does here.
- 12:21So not a successful offensive transition for Rice in 2025.
- 12:24Their quarterbacks in the portal.
- 12:26So that's obviously a huge problem for Rice should limit
- 12:29their scoring and for Texas State, their thousand yard
- 12:32rusher is actually playing in their thousand yard receiver.
- 12:36Both Sparks is supposed to play as well.
- 12:38So I like this one here. I I wouldn't touch it at 16 1/2,
- 12:44but yeah, if your number is is available anywhere, which I
- 12:47highly doubt at this point. Yeah, I do like Texas State
- 12:50here. I think Rice going to have tough
- 12:51time slowing them down and a tough time scoring as well.
- 12:55Yeah, I think Rice is showing up to a gunfight with a library
- 12:58card for this one backup quarterback if they're going to
- 13:01pass the ball about as much as, you know, Barry Switzer, the old
- 13:04wishbone teams in Oklahoma. So, and that's just not that
- 13:07much. I think it works for a little
- 13:11bit. I think they keep it close maybe
- 13:13for 1/4, but then I think Texas. State just pulls away.
- 13:18I think the match up is just too big of an advance for Texas
- 13:21State. I think that's the way it's
- 13:23going to go. They're going to pull away at
- 13:24the end and I don't mind even though it opened at 11, I don't
- 13:26mind laying the 13 1/2. Any final thoughts, Peter?
- 13:32Yeah, I agree with what you said.
- 13:33I mean, the total opened at 59 1/2.
- 13:35It's come down. I think you said it was 55 1/2
- 13:37now down or something like that. It's I thought about playing the
- 13:40under and that 59 1/2 just because, yeah, I don't know what
- 13:43Rice is going to do. I mean, Texas State's going to
- 13:45score. I don't, I don't know what Rice
- 13:47is going to do. I don't think Texas State's
- 13:49going to score almost 60 by themselves.
- 13:52So I thought it was a pretty good under play, but I decided
- 13:54not to play it just 'cause I just didn't know what's going to
- 13:56happen with the opt outs and all of that and what that would turn
- 13:58into. But it still seems like AI mean
- 14:00if I was going to do anything, I'd probably lay those points
- 14:02and not play the under, especially at that 55 1/2
- 14:05number. So.
- 14:06But I agree with what both of you said.
- 14:08Yeah, I wonder how many points Rice would score.
- 14:10I mean, I don't know if I mean, Texas State's going to score.
- 14:13I don't. I don't know if they could got
- 14:15that high so made some backdoor cover probably with rice getting
- 14:18like the 10th point or something so.
- 14:20Yeah, that's what concerns me. If that number coming down to
- 14:23who knows what, it goes 5554, yeah, some kind of backdoor
- 14:26thing that that that worries me here.
- 14:30And the extra point was good, had nothing.
- 14:31Indiana, Carly Paul's watching that.
- 14:34So there's my official pick, Texas State -13 1/2 in the Armed
- 14:38Forces Bowl. We are going to move on now to
- 14:41the Liberty Bowl, OK 4:30 in Memphis, TN Cincinnati, the line
- 14:47opened at -6 1/2. I believe it moved to 7 1/2 over
- 14:51under opened at 57 1/2 and moved to 54 1/2.
- 14:56Maybe had an opt out. What's whatever happened to
- 14:59going down with the ship? What's up with that?
- 15:00So they had a defensive tackle. Cincinnati had a bunch,
- 15:06including Dante Corleone. So we talked about him in the
- 15:10Big 12 preview earlier this year just cause of his name.
- 15:13But I don't know, Peter, we'll start with you.
- 15:17Where you going on this one? I'm too many opt outs for
- 15:20Cincinnati, you'd think. Yeah, this felt like the Army
- 15:23game all over again, right. When I looked at it where, you
- 15:26know, I, I assumed, you know, that the, the number's high 57
- 15:301/2. I thought it's come down a bit,
- 15:32but still high number. So I, I was thinking under,
- 15:34under, under, right. But what happened in the Army
- 15:36game, right? Army scored too many Dang
- 15:38points. You know, UConn scored some,
- 15:41like some more than I thought they were going to.
- 15:44And that scared me right away from this game, right?
- 15:45I I was going to go the under here and I thought, well, yeah,
- 15:48half the team opts out for Cincinnati.
- 15:50Somehow they'll score, I don't know, 1417 points.
- 15:55You know, Navy will score a bunch and this thing will
- 15:57somehow go over, which which will just infuriate me.
- 16:01So I decided not to. Play it for all.
- 16:02Those reasons, because it really should be an under and, you
- 16:06know, I would feel comfortable normally betting this is an
- 16:08under, but at the moment, yeah, I just can't because I just feel
- 16:12like it's going to be an Army thing all over again.
- 16:14So I did not do anything with it.
- 16:16So those are my thoughts. Darren.
- 16:19First off, kudos to you for your Navy going down with the ship
- 16:23reference. I'd see what you did there.
- 16:24That was that was that was very, very sharp of you there.
- 16:29But yeah, the yeah, the Cincinnati opt out list is
- 16:32insane. I mean, I'm looking at one that
- 16:33was updated earlier today. We already talked about Brendan
- 16:36Soresby. One of their running backs is
- 16:38declared for the NFL draft. Their other one is hitting the
- 16:41portal. You mentioned Corleone.
- 16:44Looks like they've got two other lineman in the portal.
- 16:46They've got a linebacker that declared for the draft and seven
- 16:50players in their secondary, all of them entering the transport
- 16:54portal. So I would assume none of these
- 16:56gentlemen are playing here. But I mean, even from an injury
- 17:01standpoint, neither team has a ton of injuries that I can see.
- 17:04But I mean, Navy's coming into this basically a complete team.
- 17:07I wish I had seen this at 6 1/2. I would have been all over this.
- 17:11Any sevens out there really highly juiced?
- 17:14DraftKings looks like they had one at a -, 120.
- 17:17But FanDuel and a lot of other places are already at 7 1/2
- 17:20here. So you're not getting the best
- 17:21number. If I had to do anything, I would
- 17:24still lay that, but I'm just not going to like Pete said, I mean,
- 17:30Army even put up some points on these guys.
- 17:32I don't know if I can fully trust Navy's defense even with
- 17:35all of since he's opt out, so I'm going to let this go.
- 17:38But if you played Navy at 7 1/2, I wouldn't be mad at you all.
- 17:42Right now, we're getting down to the end here.
- 17:45We got the Holiday Bowl, Arizona, SMU opening line,
- 17:48Arizona minus a point and a half.
- 17:49It's now -3 the over under opened at 52 1/2.
- 17:54It has moved to 51 1/2. This is 8:00 at San Diego.
- 18:00I think you both have bets on this one.
- 18:02So, Peter, let's start with you. Yeah, so this is the one where I
- 18:05decided to fire. So total 52 1/2 here.
- 18:10You know my my thoughts on this. I mean, neither defense is
- 18:13terrible, right? They're not great, but they're
- 18:15they're decent offenses tend to be efficient.
- 18:18Both of these teams have have went back and looked at their
- 18:21scores of of late. I mean, they've been hitting
- 18:23unders quite a bit. Both of these teams, which kind
- 18:25of feels this feels like a 4547 to 50 point game in total,
- 18:29something like that. It's just kind of where my mind
- 18:32is looking through, you know, he was playing and it looks like
- 18:35pretty much everybody's playing other than a couple opt outs
- 18:37here. So it it feels like it should be
- 18:39a pretty decent game, honestly to watch with most of the most
- 18:42of the players playing. So yeah, it feels like a, you
- 18:44know, 4750 point game under that 52 1/2 total to me.
- 18:48So this is the one game I felt comfortable playing this week.
- 18:51So I'm doing 1 unit. You want unit on the under 52
- 18:551/2. All right, got the graphic up.
- 18:57And Darren, obviously, we'll go to your pick now.
- 18:59Yeah, and again, this is one thing I hate about bowl season
- 19:03is, you know, we're doing this show, we got to get our bets in
- 19:08and I've I've got a terrible number already.
- 19:10I'm looking at DraftKings. Arizona's now getting a point
- 19:12and 1/2. So I'm on the wrong side of a
- 19:14three-point swing here. That being said, I still think
- 19:17Arizona's the better team here. And I think from a motivation
- 19:20standpoint, I mean, last year Arizona only had four wins.
- 19:23I think we expected Brent Brennan to maybe get fired,
- 19:25Fafita to maybe leave, McMillan would go on to the draft and
- 19:29Arizona would be a dumpster fire.
- 19:31But they're A9 win team and I think there's something to be
- 19:34said for finishing with double digit win.
- 19:37So I think you're going to get a fired up Arizona here.
- 19:40This is being played way out West.
- 19:42I don't put too much into SMU flying all the way across the
- 19:45country because they probably had ample time to get out there
- 19:47and get acclimated to the time change.
- 19:50But one thing about SMU, they are 11 and 2.
- 19:52Two of those losses are at the Big 12 teams.
- 19:54So I'm not sure whether that means the Big 12's a little bit
- 19:57better than the ACC this year. But for whatever reason, SMU has
- 20:01not handled the Big 12 very well.
- 20:03Yes, Arizona's three losses are against the Big 12, but that
- 20:06just happens to be the conference they play in.
- 20:09But yeah, give me Fafita and the Wildcats here.
- 20:11I think they're going to be psyched.
- 20:13They're going to be pumped to get A10 win season.
- 20:14So even though my number is asks.
- 20:17At this point if you're a DraftKings player, hell take the
- 20:19point and 1/2 with Arizona cuz it's still like -108 on the
- 20:23money line so you might as well get that point and a half.
- 20:26But yeah, if I laid a point and 1/2 with Arizona, I think they
- 20:28went here. All right, uh oh, we're down to
- 20:33the last one. I believe this is the Dukes Mayo
- 20:36Bowl 8:00 in Charlotte, NC. We got Mississippi State open as
- 20:40a three-point favorite. The over under opened at 55 1/2.
- 20:44Has since moved, I believe last check to 53 1/2.
- 20:49Couple opt outs for Wake Forest, couple for Mississippi State.
- 20:53Peter, let's start with you. Were you coming down on this
- 20:55one? Yeah, I I thought about the
- 20:58under at that opening 55 1/2 number.
- 21:02Now that it's come down a bit, I I'm not, I think it's, it's just
- 21:05coming down too much for me. And I think it would probably
- 21:07continue to come down a little bit more off of that.
- 21:09I think before for kick off of this game, I think I think it's
- 21:13about right. And I think this game will
- 21:14probably end up around, you know, 5152 points, something
- 21:17like that would not be surprising.
- 21:19I think you're going to see a good amount of scoring here, but
- 21:21not not a really fast tempo in this game.
- 21:24So I I would expect, you know, kind of a a moderate tempo here
- 21:27on both sides. Certainly Mississippi State can
- 21:30score. They score in spurts and so I
- 21:33think you'll see some of that play out in this game.
- 21:34So that's what I would expect is this.
- 21:36I think it actually will be a pretty interesting game as well.
- 21:39Once again, most of the players are playing, which is good,
- 21:42which is good to see for a bowl. So I like, I like to see that.
- 21:45But yeah, I decided to I guess pack up my ball and go home
- 21:48'cause I don't like the number so much.
- 21:50So that's my thoughts here. Yeah, this game is really
- 21:55interesting to me. And I, I was gonna actually ask
- 21:57you about this PB. You had already addressed it.
- 21:59I'm surprised this total kind of went down a little bit because
- 22:02Mississippi State's defense is really, really not good.
- 22:07Wake Forest isn't great either. But you do have two quarterbacks
- 22:11here who I am interested to watch.
- 22:12I mean, Robbie Ashford is excellent.
- 22:14He does bring a running element, as does Camario Taylor, who is
- 22:18probably going to start this game from Mississippi State.
- 22:22He could be a breakout star in the SECI believe Leah Chapin is
- 22:26out of eligibility. This guy came in and started the
- 22:29Egg Bowl. Wasn't great but but showed some
- 22:32flashes of what he could be. So I'm excited to watch this
- 22:34game. Just as a fan, I did not touch
- 22:36this at all 'cause I don't know what the heck Mississippi
- 22:40State's defense is gonna do here.
- 22:42It's, it's usually pretty bad, but I mean, nobody's confusing
- 22:45Wake Forest, you know, as a 45 points a game team here.
- 22:49But I want to see these two quarterbacks play.
- 22:52If I had a lean at all, it would be to the over 'cause I'm not
- 22:57understanding why it's coming down the under 53 1/2 of
- 23:00DraftKings is actually juiced -115 so it might even drop
- 23:03further. But yeah, I kind of lean the
- 23:06over just 'cause these quarterbacks, they're both dual
- 23:09threats and Mississippi State's defense is horrible and they
- 23:12lost their defense coordinator. He got fired.
- 23:14They don't even have an interim defense coordinator announced at
- 23:17this time. So, I mean, could an already bad
- 23:20defense get worse with no direction?
- 23:23It's certainly possible, but we'll see.
- 23:26I mean, that Damon Claiborne opt out for Wake Forest is a little
- 23:29concerning since he had over 900 yards and 10 TDs.
- 23:31But yeah, I lean over. But I think I I'd watch this one
- 23:37more as a fan and who doesn't want to see, you know, somebody
- 23:41get a bowl of mayonnaise dumped on them to end bowl season?
- 23:44I mean, kind of seems like a great way to kick in the new
- 23:46year, but. And the things they put the Mayo
- 23:49on, I think last year someone get the doughnut, the glazed
- 23:53doughnut and the mayonnaise. I don't, I'm not buying that at
- 23:55all. No way.
- 23:58Yeah, I wouldn't recommend having tasty snacks during the
- 24:01the timeouts in the booth because they will have them.
- 24:03And that, that Mayo is not like, you know, that's not like
- 24:06regular Hellman's miracle web. I mean, that's got like some
- 24:09tangy that's like Mayo on roids. I mean, I, I'm like, yeah, I
- 24:15just can't not not. OK, yeah.
- 24:22Maybe they can combine your bowl games and put it on some tofu.
- 24:26There you. Go and let Weird Al take a bite
- 24:28of it and see how he is. I'm sure.
- 24:30I'm sure he would. All right, let's review our
- 24:36bets. Peter, why don't you go first
- 24:38since you're up there? Yeah, hopefully this is a winner
- 24:41this time. So Arizona SMU under 52 1/2.
- 24:45That's my only bet for this week.
- 24:48Darren, what you got? Yeah, none of us had anything
- 24:51with Indiana and Bama, but we do have some bets for later on
- 24:55tonight. I did lay the 6 1/2 of Georgia
- 24:57overall miss and I did lay a point and 1/2 with Arizona over
- 25:01SMU. All right, and I also have
- 25:05Georgia -6 1/2 over Ole Miss and I do have Georgia Ole Miss under
- 25:0955 1/2. And I did lay a unit on Texas
- 25:12State -13 1/2 over Rice. That'll do it for the first show
- 25:17of 2026. Thank you very much for
- 25:20listening. Please feel free to share an
- 25:23episode with your friends, leave a review, comments, five stars,
- 25:28all that good stuff. We really appreciate you for
- 25:31listening. Enjoy the rest of the bowl
- 25:33season and we'll be back next week.