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NCAAF Week 7 Best Bets · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: hack Man, I don't know what is going on with
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is? I
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I can
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: it did not go well for me. Own five. The
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: doing this. I don't know what to even tell you
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: about this anymore. To the slump series, the slump discontinuous,
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: The slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: even know what I should do at this point other
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: than potentially end it all. What's up, burdbody, it's towed
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: back with you better off dead. This is college Football
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: Week seven edition. I'm gonna give out four plays here.
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: We don't have to run anything down today because I
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: didn't have any plays today. I took the day off
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: on Friday, and not really I handicapped all the games.
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: I just didn't love it. I was correct about the
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: over in the South Florida North Texas game, I was
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: not right about the side and that one. If you
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: want high scoring games, though that was a high scoring game,
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: it just wasn't that close. Carls, what's up man? I
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: have this game on right now, actually, and I've had
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: it on for basically the last like two hours. This
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: game is crazy, dude. We're in the thirteenth inning, I think,
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: in the clinching game of the series. Here Ale Division
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: Divisional Series, Tiger's Mariners. What just happened to was that
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: a double play, dude. I think the Mariners just hit
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: into double plays in the last two innings. Now, I
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: think that just happened. It looked like the Mariners had
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: the game won a couple of times there. Detroit actually
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: stranded a couple guys on base a couple of innings
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: to go. This is crazy. The previous inning, I think
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: it was the wrong call when they said that. I
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: don't remember which batter it was for Seattle, but they
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: said he got hit in the hand. He did not
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: like it was a foul ball off the bat, and
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: then it hit his hand, so I think it should
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: have been a foul ball, I think, but they gave
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: him first base on it, so I don't know. I mean,
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: it wound up not really mattering because they got out
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: of the inning anyway. But I told you guys, I
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: lean to Seattle in this game. I mean, if you
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: guys are watching the game, I mean, I'm trying to
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: do both things at once here. I want to go
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: over college football. I don't want this to like go
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: until three in the morning here, but I'm also watching
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: this crazy game here. It's insane, dude. Yeah, everyone's playing
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: defense for sure, except cal Rawley. Had a pass ball
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: in the whichever inning it was where Detroit looked like
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: they were gonna potentially score a go ahead run. That
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: was his first pass ball of the season. Yeah, oh, Carponer,
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: you did a player prop. I don't like the player
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: home run props though, really, I like, I usually do
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: hits plus runs plus RBIs just because home runs you
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: never get good enough odds on them, and the books
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: kind of want you to play them because that's like
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: everybody wants to root for a home run, right, But yeah, Carpenter,
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: just Rex George Kirby. So he's four for four in
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: this game. I think he was three for three in
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: the first nine eighties yet with a home run as well.
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: But I would have recommended hits pus run SPUs RBIs.
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: That's usually what I do, which either way you would
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: have won, though, but you probably won more with the
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: home run. You won more by putting less at risk,
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: I guess by doing it. Although yeah, I mean, I
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: still don't think the odds are good enough or this
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: is crazy, dude. It looks like bizarre dos back. It
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: is bizarre, bizarre to dos back out again. I almost
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: feel like doing like becoming that fat iowan dude that
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: got hired by barstool for being crazy and telling the
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: Yankees to suck his dick or whatever. You know what
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, the the Red Sox Live commentator that I
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: almost feel like I need to live comment on this
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: game here, but like I might get nuked because is
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: this considered sharing like an illegal like illegally or something.
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: I don't know, because I mean it's on Fox and
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: you can't really see it all. You can kind of
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: see it over here. I don't know. Whatever. If I
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: get nuked, well hopefully, well you don't have the audio
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: on it those so I think it's fine you can't
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: hear the audio, right, I have the audio up a
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: little bit, but I'm gonna try to pay attention to
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: this while I also handicapped games man. Let's uh, how
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: about we get into it man. We'll see what we
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: can do here. Yeah, I mean, you can comment as
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: long as you don't show the game. But like I mean,
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: is this considered showing the game or not? I don't know,
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: because well you can't see it now because I'm sharing
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: my screen. So there we go. Problems solved, baby, that's
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: right exactly. You're behind a pillar there it's an obstructive view.
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: You're in Fenway Park Grandstand Section one, the most obstructed
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: view in the entire place. I've been in those seats before,
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: the worst seats in Fenway grand Stand Section one. They're
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: way out in the right field corner as far back
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: as possible Fenway Park, and you got like a pillar
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: right in your way there. Man, I've been in those
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: seats before, in the last row in that section. It's
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: so bad, Like I think it's it's still a more
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: expensive ticket than the bleachers, and the bleachers you at
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: least don't have an obstructed view. So yeah, I don't know. Man.
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: Let's start talking about college of football and we'll keep
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: an eye on this baseball game as we go here.
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: Number one Ohio State at number seventeen. Illinois kicks the
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: slate off at noon Eastern on Fox. Ohio State undefeated
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: Illinois five and one. But you know, if you watch
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: my show, I keep talking about how I think Illinois overrated.
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: I think Ohio State is legitimately the number one team
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: in the country, and pretty much all the power rankings
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: guys or the legit like power ratings guys will tell
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: you that they have Ohio State is their number one
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: team for the most part. Probably the oddsmakers would favor
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: them over everybody in the country right now. But Ohio
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: State does have a rookie quarter but a freshman quarterback,
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: I should say, and I believe he's only made one
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: start on the road so far. So some things to
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: keep in mind with this game. Ohio State. They haven't
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: exactly if it's a difficult schedule yet. They beat Texas.
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: That was a big win in the opening week that
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: that was against you know, arch Man who hadn't really
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: played that much on the road, So not an easy
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: task for Texas in that game either, but you know,
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: fresher quarterback or yeah, fresher quarterback in a pressure environment there.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: So we got to double from US Seattle. It looks
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: like they're so still big win. That was Ohio State's
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: biggest test obviously, and then they're the second most difficult
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: game they had was against Washington on the road or
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: they had to go to the Pacific Coast, and they
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: handled it fine. I mean, they won the game. This
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: Ohio State defense is definitely for real. The defense they
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: haven't allowed they haven't allowed more than nine points in
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: any game on the season. So you know that it's
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: a legit defense, although again they haven't really faced many
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: prolific offenses yet. Even Texas is not a very good offense.
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: Arch Manning doesn't look very good. They're a very good
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: defensive team, not a good offensive team. So this is
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: Ohio State's second road game, so there are maybe some
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: things to not like about Ohio State here. Just you know,
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: how will the freshmen handle a second straight road environment.
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: This one the most difficult road environment probably that they'll
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: have to face so far, although I know the travel
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: to Washington was not easy either. Saying is his name
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: I should I should say I should be saying his
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: name Illinois. They beat Purdue last week. Ohio State an
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: easy win as well against Minnesota last week, so we
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: don't really have any situational set up here that really
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: would necessarily favor one team over the other. I still
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: think Illinois, we don't really know exactly what they are. Man.
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: That Duke game, as I keep pointing out, was misleading.
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: Duke had a lot of turnovers in the game. They
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: got crushed by Indiana, and then they did have a
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: big win at home against USC before they're bye, so
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: that was the big win that Illinois got maybe kind
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: of like legitimizing them a little bit, which is why
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: I wanted to go against them last week. And we
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: did not get the cover with Purdue last week, although
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: they had some chances to maybe do it. Super saying, yeah,
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: that's that should be his nickname. If it isn't, will
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: he go super sayan mode here. I don't know Illinois.
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, I still don't think Illinois is that good,
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: and that's kind of the problem. I know they returned
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: all these guys from last year, alt Meyer or whatever.
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: Illinois very one dimensional offensively too. I would say they
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: throw the ball quite a bit. They don't do a
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: whole lot else. Looking at the market here in this one,
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: Ohio State's a big favorite. There are two touchdown favorite
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: on the road, and they're actually taking the money to
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: throw up from fourteen to fourteen and a half, sixty
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: five percent of tickets seventy five percent of the cash
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: on them, so the money is actually saying Ohio State.
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: The line hasn't really moved that much, but they're not
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: as public as you would think because the rankings are
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: kind of keeping that in check a little bit. But
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: I still think Illinois is not a top twenty five team,
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: and I think Ohio State is legitimately the number one,
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: so I kind of agree with this. I would probably
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: lay the points with Ohio State, shockingly, because I know,
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: you know I like home underdogs. But in this case,
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: if I was going to play it, I would probably
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: lay the points with Ohio State. But I'm not going
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: to give that out as a play. Don't know how
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: much we could trust saying. Although I mean, he's been good,
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: he hasn't really had to do that much. Their defense
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: is obviously good, the much better of the two defenses,
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: so keep that in mind. Alabama Missouri. I have decided
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: to make a play on that. You guys already know
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: what it is. We'll skip that for now. We're still
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: in the noon slate here. ESPN has pit at Florida State,
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: both teams at three and two. Florida State down to
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: the twenty fifth ranked team now after I believe losing
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: two games in a row now, but Florida State is
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: still obviously the better of these two teams. Man, Florida State, Yeah,
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: they're coming off two tough losses. I mean, you know
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: I had Virginia. If you watched my show, I had
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: Virginia in the game on that Friday night a couple
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: of weeks ago, and that was a huge win for Virginia.
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: It was just a bad spot for Florida State because
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: I believe they were potentially looking ahead to the Miami game.
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: I think they're also coming out of a bye undefeated,
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: which is not usually something you want. It's not a
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: spot where you really want to buy. Florida State played
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: Miami last week and this is a huge game. It's
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: a huge game the Florida State's coming off of and
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: Florida State wound up losing the game, although they made
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: a huge comeback in the game. They were losing this
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: game to twenty eight to three in the fourth quarter
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: in Florida State didn't go away and they tried to
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: make the comeback. I mean that says something that Florida
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: State didn't pack it in, but it does mean they
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: put in a full game of effort. And now they're
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: coming off that big effort in what is a big
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: rivalry game where they fell short against Miami in a
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: huge game. So I don't know, this is really the
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: greatest setup for Florida State here and taking a second
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: acc loss not exactly that great either. We see a
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: few teams are undefeated in the ACC. It's Virginia, Duke
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: of Georgia attack. I mean, that's crazy. I mean, I'm
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: not gonna say Florida State like that their dreams are
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: crushed or anything like that. Although I think their goal
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: this season is to win the ACC. They don't have
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: a big game up next to playing Stanford, but coming
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: off a couple of difficult games in a row, maybe
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: not exactly the greatest spot for them. Although they they're
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: the better team over Pitt. Pitt, not exactly that good,
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: and Pitt looked probably better than they were last week,
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: crushing BC forty eight to seven. BC it was minus
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: three and turnovers in the game, although Pitt did outgain
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: them by like three hundred yards, so it wasn't totally misleading,
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: although the three turnovers still made the score more lopsided
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: than it would have been otherwise. BC. Oh, Man, just
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: a horrific game. Horrible, ugly game. There, Nate, what's up man?
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. Yeah, we're skipping a lot of games, man,
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, I narrow the focus down. I've got four
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: plays in college football again this week? Yeah, so what
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: do we do with this game? Man? I mean, Florida
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: State is still the better team. I mean, will they
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: bounce back in this game? I don't know, man, I
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: don't know if the setup is necessarily that good. And
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: obviously Florida State can win this game without covering. They're
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: out from nine and a half to ten and a half,
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: so they've gone through that key number of ten, and
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: the public is on Florida State. Of course, sixty seven
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on them. Public still likes what they've
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: seen Florida State do so far. I mean, they're not
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: gonna dock Florida State for losing to Miami. They saw
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: Florida State losing a very high scoring game against Virginia.
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: They know Florida State beat Alabama. So Florida State still
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: has the crowd with the public betters here. So public's
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: not gonna want anything to do with PITP. But we
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: have sixty seven percent of tickets only sixty percent of
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: cash on FSU, so it does look like the actual
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: money is kind of fading Florida State to some extent there.
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: So I guess if you forced me to give a
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: leanon on that one, I would lean to taking the
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: points of Pitt But I mean, of course I'm not
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: going to do that bottom of the fourteenth. Yeah, this
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: is crazy, dude. I'm like barely paying attention right now.
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: But it looks like Detroit Detroit had a run around second,
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: not Seattle Detroit did in the top of the fourteenth.
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: I'm doing a bad job trying to you know, trying
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: to do like the live game call here while I'm
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: actually talking about these games too. Twelve to forty five.
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: Kind of an interesting setup here in the Obviously Old
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: Miss is a massive favorite here, number four ranked, undefeated,
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: five andzero Old Miss against Washington State. But this is
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: kind of a weird matchup really. I mean it's it's
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: kind of weird for both teams. But I don't think
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: it's really a great spot for ole Miss. I mean
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: Ole Miss. They're coming out of a bye and they're
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: five to zero, and they went into the by beating LSU,
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: which is their biggest win of the season, huge win
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: of course, Lane Kiffin beating uh Weeks whatever his name
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: is on LSU, who's banging his daughter or whatever weird
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: scenario there. Ole Miss basically hasn't missed anything with us
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: Simmons being injured their quarterback. He got injured, and Chambliss
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: has come in and played their last three games, and
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: he's been really good and he's adult. He's a dual
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: threat quarterback too. So he adds to Lacey, who I
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: remember Eddie Lacy. I don't know if Kawan Lacy is
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: related to him or not, but it looks like with
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: that dual threat that Chambliss adds plus Lacy being able
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: to rush, I mean, this ol Miss offense is really
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: really good again, even though they don't have Jackson Dart.
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: Are they actually the fourth best team in the country.
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: I'm not so sure though, And I don't think that
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: Bye came at a very great spot because I always
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: talk about it, when you go into the buy on
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: a good note, you have nothing to fix. So they
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: might just be kind of hanging out reading the press,
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: clipping celebrating because they beat LSU. They got this Washington
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: State game that really doesn't matter the SEC games matter,
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: and of course up next they got Georgia and then Oklahoma,
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: two huge games coming up after this, so I think
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: they might just get in get out here against Washington State.
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: It looks like basically a sandwich spot. It's a bad.
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: It is a bad spot for all Miss, and you're
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: asking them to lay over thirty points in this game,
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: so they might not. They just might not have an
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: incentive to do it. I mean, obviously I'm not saying
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: they're gonna lose the game, but they might just get in,
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: get out and not want to get anybody hurt. Just
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: kind of go vanilla here. Washington State not a very
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: good team though, which is what kind of worries me
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: a little bit that when they've stepped up in class,
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: they have not done well. They lost badly to North
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: Texas and Washington Those are the two best teams that
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: they faced. They had another road game against Colorado State
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: and won that one with Colorado State despite what they're
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: doing tonight in Colorado State is not very good. Washington
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: State got manhandled at North Texas. Uh So, my problem
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: with the with taking the points with Washington State here
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: is that they just have not shown the ability to
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: step up in class and Ole Miss is gonna be
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: better than all the opponents they face so far, and
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: it's an unfamiliar venue for them. They have to fly
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: east here. I just don't love it, So I'm gonna
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: leave the game alone. Although if you force me to,
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with Washington State. But yeah,
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: I mean I don't really want to do it. Obviously,
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: Ole Miss up from thirty two to thirty two and
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: a half, huge number there, and the total is not
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: exactly that high at fifty eight and a half, uh,
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: seventy three percent. Take it to seventy percent of the
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: cash on ole Miss. So even though their public it
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: looks like some of the cash is on them, I
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: would take the points or leave it alone, though, just
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: because the spot is really it looks like it's not
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: a spot. Role Miss is really gonna show up with
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: full focus, So yeah, they're gonna wear the pictures out. Yeah,
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: I mean, whoever wins this game has to play at Toronto. Well, actually,
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: I think if Seattle wins, they stay at home, I think, right?
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: Or am I wrong about that? Is Seattle the number
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: one seed in the I forget if it's Seattle with Toronto,
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: I forget which team is the one seed? But the
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: next series starts on Sunday and Toronto has multiple days
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: to just get ready for it. But you're right, the team,
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: their pictures are gonna be worn out. You're right, even
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: though they're gonna have one day off tomorrow. But like
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: both of these you can see both of these teams
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: have already used starters like Logan Gilbert came in and
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: relief for for Seattle. Jack Flaherty's out there right now.
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: Keeter Montero was in there for Detroit. So both these
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: teams are using starting pitchers. But yeah, you're right, so
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be at Toronto regardless of who wins this game.
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: So Toronto's the one seed. Then I wasn't sure if
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: it was Toronto where Seattle. Yeah, so that's that's kind
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: of crazy, man. But yeah, I think it's gonna put
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: whoever wins this game at a disadvantage. Man. I think Seattle, well,
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: Seattle needs Wu back. Man. If Wu is ready to
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: come back and they make it to that series, he
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: could start Game one because he's not on the roster here,
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: so he's not pitching in this series. So we will
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: say it looks like we have one out in the
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: bottom of the fourteenth. Dude, again, this is what I like.
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: You playoff baseball. They don't have the stupid ghost runner
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: rule on second, so you get actual baseball. This is
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: what people like, man, People like these intense games where
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: it's like at any moment either team could win this game. Man.
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: I mean, these are the types of games that are
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: considered to be the best games in baseball. Indiana at
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: Oregon on CBS at three thirty pm Eastern. This is
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: a huge game between two top ten ranked teams. Indiana
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: ranked seventh in the country, Oregon ranked third in the country.
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: Are they as good as their rankings say. I'm not
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: quite ready to say that. I think they both might
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: be a little bit overrated. They're both five and zero,
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: both two and zero. Conference is a huge matchup. It
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: is a bit of a weird spot for Indiana having
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: to go out to a Pacific Coast team here not
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: used to playing in this venue in Oregon, because Oregon
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: has only been in the Big Ten for a couple
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: of years, and I doubt that Indiana has actually had
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: to go out there yet. Oregon, of course, though they
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: went into a bye last week on a bad I
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: mean on a good note, so I think it's kind
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: of a bad spot to have a bye because of
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: course they had their legitimizing win base here where they
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: went into Penn State into Happy Valley in a white
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: out night game where the crowd was all wearing white
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: and going in the crowd was all white. It was
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: it was segregated that game. There, No, but that's just
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: like a crazy, crazy environment to have to go into
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: an Oregon was able to win the game and double overtime,
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: so it's not really the spot where you necessarily want
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: to buy, although you'll be able to kind of recollect yourselves.
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: But I think the buye is more helpful if you
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: lost that game than if you won it. So, I mean,
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: they're still undefeated going to that buy so it's not
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: exactly a good situation, I wouldn't say. And they went
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: into that buye on a good note, playing their best
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: game of the season really, even though it was a
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: close win. So really the only benefit the buye has
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: is it gives them some rest. Indiana coming in Indiana
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: also is coming out of a bye, but they went
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: into the bye on kind of a worse note even
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: though they are also undefeated. They played a less difficult
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: schedule than Oregon, just because Oregon played Penn State. Indiana
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: has not faced anybody as good as Penn State yet.
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: I know Penn State lost last week whatever, but they're
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: still better than Illinois. Okay in Iowa, but Indiana they
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: did also go into the bye undefeated, but they did
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: go into kind of a bad note. You remember, I
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: liked Iowa in that spot. I thought it was basically
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot for Indiana looked way too good against Illinois.
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: Iowa very good defensive team and can run the football,
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: and Indiana had this Oregon game looming, so I had
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: Iowa in that game. Iowa covered even cover the worst
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: number if you've got one of the worst numbers on
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: it in the end there, just because of that safety
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: that Indiana took at the end. So I think the
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: buys a little bit more helpful to Indiana, even though
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: they also went in undefeated, because they didn't play their
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: best game there against Iowa. So I think they will
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: use it to fix some things. But having to travel
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: to the Pacific Coast for the first time, that's kind
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: of my hesitation because I think situationally, like schedule wise,
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: I think the scheduling spot is better for Indiana here
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: and Indiana, I mean, we just still don't know exactly
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: what they are. I don't think man. I think Oregon
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: we kind of know more about what they are. Looks
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: like their deepfense is a little bit better this year
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: than it was last year. We know their offense is
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: pretty solid, even though they lost Dylan Gabriel. Indiana of
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: course had to reload as well after they lost Rourke
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: or whoever they had a quarterback last year. I was
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: thinking their coach, which I always forget his name, I
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: was thinking he came over from Ohio, but I guess
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: he came over from James Madison. So I think Indiana
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: brought a lot of guys over from James Madison. So
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: I've been getting that wrong. But of course Indiana has
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: Mendoza quarterback now, who's at Cal last year. Their offense
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: is obviously lighting it up. But these two defenses might
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: actually be like somewhat of the best defenses he seems
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: have faced so far. Maybe Penn State's the best defensive
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: Oregons face so far, But Indiana looks like it's not
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: that bad. This year in Oregons looks like it's not
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: that bad either. As far as the side, I would
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: lean to Indiana slightly, just because I think the situation
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: is a little bit better for them. Oregon's already down
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: from nine and a half to seven, so that number
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: has gone through a key number seven and a half.
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: If you like Indiana, I think you got to Indiana.
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: I think you got to at least take the plus
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: seven here and get the key number of at least
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: that seventy nine percent ticket seventy five percent of the
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: cash on Oregon. So Oregon is public. The public just
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: buys into Oregon more because that Penn State win legitimized them,
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: and everybody remembers how good Oregon was last year. I
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: think the public is just a little bit less sold
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: on Indiana. And then to some extent, I am too.
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: I mean I was not an Indiana believer last year,
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: and you know I went against them once they made
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: the playoffs with Notre Dame because Indiana just had a
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: weak schedule last year. So it remains to be seen.
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: So I don't I really don't want to play this game.
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: There are just too many different factors here. Money's coming
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: in on the under for what it's worth it total
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: dropping fifty six to fifty three and a half, seventy
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: seven percent of tickets on the over, fifty six percent
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: of the couch on the under. Probably wouldn't disagree with that.
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, the team's coming out of buys, the offenses
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: might start a little bit slow, might be kind of
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: a playoff atmosphere. No, I know both offenses are good,
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: but you know, I tend to lean towards defense a
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: little bit, and I think both defenses are actually kind
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: of underrated for these teams. And the defense has had
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: time to rest during the buy, and I think the
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: buy does help defense more than it helps offense. So
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: maybe a little bit of a slightly into the under
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean that's basically all I have to
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: say about that. Yes, right, a very quiet crowd. So
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: maybe Penn State shouldn't do the white out And what's up?
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out? Seattle got caught stealing with two
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: outs bottom of the fourteenth. Do you mean I think
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: I'm unfortunately I have it over? Should I have it?
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: Maybe I should have it up on my computer here
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: to're just like I can have it right in front
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: of my face. But that would be a huge distraction
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: while I'm trying to give you. I'm trying to give
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: you good information here man, we're still talking about all
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: these big ranked matchups here Oklahoma Texas. I'm gonna have
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: a play on that, So I'll skip that for now
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech. The new upstart Virginia Tech
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: with a couple of wins after they fired their coach.
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech ranked thirteenth in the country and looking real
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: good right now at five to zero. Legitimate shot to
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: win the ACC for Georgia Tech. Here. Georgia Tech, I mean,
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: really the one big win that they have so far
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: as Clemson. They haven't really shown us anything else yet,
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: but a win over Clemson is good, although Clemson isn't
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: looking that good right now. Georgia Tech went into a
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: bye though they had a close call against wake Forest.
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech af obviously the better team over wake Forest.
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: Wake Forest took them into overtime and actually I believe
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: attempted a two point conversion to try to win the
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: game in the first overtime there and wound up failing
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: to do so. So Georgia Tech basically escaped from that game.
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: But they did go into a bye after that, so
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: I could see that going both ways. Or Georgia Tech's
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: coming off a game where they didn't play that well
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: against wake Forest there and almost lost the game that
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: they should have won more easily. But they're also still
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: undefeated going into a bye, so I'm not exactly sure
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: that it's the greatest spot here. They get this Virginia
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: Tech team that's still below five hundred here, and they
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: do have Duke up next, even though Duke might be
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: a little bit overperforming right now, Duke is still four
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: and two and they're undefeated. They're they're one of Georgia
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: Tech's main competition right now to win the ACC and Miami,
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: by the way, is still up there. Miami is just
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: one and zero in the conference right now, but obviously
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: Miami is a legit contender to win the ACC this year,
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: there's no doubt about that. So Georgia Tech, it is
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: possible that they don't really use that buy for any
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: good to fix things. If I know that Wake Forest game,
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: maybe it will lead you to having to fix some things.
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: They got this Virginia Tech team that hasn't looked very good,
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: and then they got Duke up next, which is a
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: bigger game. So I don't think it's the greatest spot
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: for Georgia Tech here. Virginia Tech did play last week,
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: they did lose to Wake Forest, so I think people
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: are also gonna see that and see Whell. Georgia Tech
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: beat Wake Forest, although it was close. Virginia Tech lost
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: to Wake Forest, so the public's gonna just have more
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: of a tendency to be on Georgia Tech for that reason,
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: as if they wouldn't have enough reason to be on
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: them anyway, because Georgia Tech is undefeated and ranked. Virginia
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: Tech did play a little bit better after they fired
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: their coach. They got wins against Wafford who was an
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: FCS team, and then had a legitimate win on the
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: road at NC State. Is a big underdog, but last
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: week they were really bad against Wake Forest. Drones put
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: up some really bad numbers. He was not drone bohmbing
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: in that one. I like that number was so low,
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: one hundred and eleven passing yards. I looked to see
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: if he got hurt in the game, but he didn't.
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: So it was just a really bad game for Virginia Tech.
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: But that does mean they're coming off a really bad
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: game last week, So even though they have a rest
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: disadvantage here, I would lean to Virginia Tech plus the points.
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: If I was gonna play a Georgia Tech down for
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: fourteen and a half to fourteen eighty one percent of tickets,
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: only sixty five percent of the cash on Georgia Tech.
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: So the money is fading Georgia Tech in that spot,
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: and I would not disagree just taking a look at
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: what's going on here in the game, Man, NC State
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: at Notre Dame. Notre Dame's up to sixteenth in the country. Again,
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: they're three and two, but of course Notre Dame's two losses.
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: I mean they're to Miami in Texas A and m
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, those are two legit teams, man, So Notre Dame,
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: Notre shame. Notre shame in losing those games, and so
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame even though they're three and two. NC States
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: four and two. But everybody knows Notre Dames the better
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: of these two teams. So the public is probably still
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: gonna be a Notre Dame in this one, unless they
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: think the line is too big because Notre Dames had
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: some big favorite spreads recently. Notre Dame coming off a
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: win over Boise last week. Pretty easy win for them,
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: although the only one by twenty one, so I think
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: they actually didn't cover the number in that one. Yeah,
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: the number was twenty one and a half when the
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: game went off. They're staying at home. They do have
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: a big game up next though, against USC. USC playing
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: really well right now and kind of under the radar
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: actually right now, just because they're not ranked anymore. USC
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: has a really good offense. And that is a rivalry
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: game Notre Dame in USC because they're both I think
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: Irish schools or whatever. That's the battle for the Golden chalelee.
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: So the winner gets a golden stick, basically a golden
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: walking stick, which I don't know what they're gonna use
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: that stick for one can only speculate on that, especially
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: when Notre Dame Slaid Manti Teo there he was, the
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: woman that he was communicating with had a golden challee.
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure, so that it is can kind of
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: a look at spot for Notre Dame, even kind of
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: debatably a sandwich spot because Boise probably still a bigger
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: opponent than NC State. Is Notre Dame not in a conference, right,
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: So I mean, whichever games are big are kind of
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: just like they're bigger opponents. So the NC State four
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: and two, I mean, the record is good, haven't really
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: played much of anybody, though, I mean, what's their best win?
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: Their best win is like the one at home against Virginia.
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: H so that is a legit win. I mean, Virginia
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: looks really good obviously right now, that's all NC State
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: is not. The NC State had pretty much a cake
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: walk last week too against Campbell, so both teams had
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: easy games last week. So I don't know what we
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: want to do with this game. And the money's coming
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: in a Notre Dame still actually thinking Notre Dame is
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: over valued. They're off from twenty one and a half
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: to twenty three and a half, seventy percent of tickets
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: eighty seven percent of the cash on Notre Dame. So
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: the money is actually saying to lay the points with
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame. I will slightly agree with it. I mean,
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: I don't really see any situation that's really bad. I mean, yeah,
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: I know Notre Dame is the USC look ahead, but
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure that that's really gonna be that much
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: of a distraction you're coming into this one. I mean,
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: Nancy State again still has a pretty good record, so
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: I think the records are a little bit misleading. Notre
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: Dame is obviously the significantly better team here, so that
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: is probably the way that I would lean slightly in
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: that game. We're going to the bottom of the fifteenth.
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: Now this is nuts, man, should I should have kept
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: watching it, but I couldn't. Just like you know, I
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: still got to do the show. I'm not gonna like
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: wait and do the show at three in the warning.
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: I'm talking about like almost all these ranked games, though, man,
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: because a lot of them are interesting. ESPN three thirty
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: pm Eastern as Iowa State still ranked at number twenty
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: two in the country at five and one against Colorado.
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: Colorado two and four and have not won a game
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: in the Big twelve yet. But I was State, I'm
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: not sure they're in a very good spot. Man. I
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: keep telling you why I was. It's overrated. I told
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: you Cincinnati was the right call last week. They almost
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: became one of my plays last week, and I kind
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: of wish I did it. I did include them in
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: some of my like pick the money games that I
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: memory have to pick like six or seven games. I
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: did use Cincinnati in those last week, so they got
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: the job done for me there. And Cincinnati had like
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: a third I think they were up thirty one to
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: seven in that game, and they almost but they didn't
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: almost lose the game, but it got a little bit
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: close towards the end. I think Iowa State scored last
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: to kind of make it a little bit cosmetic at
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: the end, but Cincinnati had a bigger lead earlier in
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: the game. The game wasn't exactly a blowout statistically, but
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: that's still I think kind of a deflating loss. Rhiowa State. Man,
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: when you're five and zero, you're that deep into the
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: season and then you finally lose a game, I think
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: it's a little bit difficult to get yourself back up
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: off the mat after that, man, So it's not the
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: easiest spot. It's also going to be their second straight
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: road game and third road game in the last four games,
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: although it's over a span of five weeks because there
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: was a buy in there. But it's not gonna be
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: that easy, man. They got to go to elevation to Colorado.
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know how familiar they really are
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: with playing in Colorado because Colorado was in the Pac
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: twelve then they moved back to the Big two. And
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: they do have a couple of ranked opponents up next.
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: Iowa State does, although they do have a bye next,
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: but then they do have BYU and Arizona State. So
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: the spot's a little bit difficult man for Iowa State.
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: It is a little bit tricky Colorado. I mean, obviously
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: they're not what they were last year. They got a
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: bunch of new players there, though they've been playing okay.
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: I mean their losses. Their losses are all to pretty
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: good teams for the most part. I mean they lost
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: to Georgia Tech, Houston BYU, and TCU. I mean, debatably,
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: they should have won some of those games if they
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: were any good. But they haven't lost any like bad
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: team or anything like that. They are coming off losing
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: to TCU last week, coming back home, this is a
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: home game against a ranked team, and they go into
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: a buy next as well. So I think it is
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a bigger deal for Colorado. I
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: think the spot kind of sets up so that it's
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: a little bit more difficult to focus for Iowa State.
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: So Iowa State, at some point they were a five
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: point underdog. I don't really understand. I don't think that
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: was ever the case actually, unless there was like a
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: major injury. I know Iowa State. One of the things
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: that I think I got wrong last week is at
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: Iowa State, they actually lost two of their cornerbacks going
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: into that Cincinnati game too, So Iowa State dealing with
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: some injuries. Man, I don't know if those guys are back,
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: But I mean Colorado obviously not as good of an
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: offense as Cincinnati is, but it's still difficult to spot
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: for Iowa State. Man, that hangover spot after your first loss,
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: I think that's real. Iowa State's not actually a top
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: twenty five team in my opinion. I think they're closer to,
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: like around the thirty fifth best team. Maybe they are
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: public as well. The public is still gonna go with
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: the ranked team here, and it looks pretty easy to
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: lay three points with Iowa State. Eighty four percent of
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: ticket is only seventy nine percent of cash on them,
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: so it looks too easy to lay the points of
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: Iowa State. In my opinion, the public's gonna go with
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: them to bounce back against a not very good Colorado team.
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: But it's a tricky spot, man, So I would lean
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: to taking the points of Colorado in that one. Ten
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: more innings that I don't think that's gonna happen. Man,
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: Crawford let off with a single, I mean they should
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: have scored. I think they had, they had a leadoff
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: guy on, and at least one of these other innings,
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: I think they might have had multiple guys on with
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: no outs in one of these innings and they didn't score.
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: But anyway, I would lean to Colorado plus the points
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: in that game. That would be my opinion on that one.
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: All right, what else we got here? Arkansas Tennessee SEC
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: Network Tennessee rank twelfth in the countries is at four
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: point fifteen PM Eastern before we get to the actual
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: night games here, Arkansas below five hundred of there's still
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: a pretty competitive team, man. I mean, they don't really
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: go away their losses. Two of their losses at Old
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: Miss and Notre Dame, and the other loss was the
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: game where I gave up Memphis as a play because
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: it was a sandwich spot in between those two games.
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: So you can't really shame Arkansas for losing any of
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: those games. Man. So I think right now they're actually
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: a little bit better than the record might indicate. Tough
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: environ though going on the road here in Tennessee, but
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: they do have a bye. I think both teams might
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: actually be coming out of buys, but I'll check that
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: in a minute. Arkansas went into the buy on those
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: three straight losses, so I think that's a good moment
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: to have a buy, especially because they went into the
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: buy getting crushed by Notre Dame. So that's a good
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: spot to have a buy, Like you face some good opponents,
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: you're gonna use that buy to fix some things and
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: rest and whatever and prepare for your next opponent. So
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: I think it is a helpful buy for Arkansas. So
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: it looks like a pretty decent spot for Arkansas. Tennessee's
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: four and one they're ranked, they also had a buy,
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: but they went into the buy in a much better note,
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: winning their last two games, including beating Mississippi State, who's
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: definitely a little bit better this year than they were
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: last year. In Mississippi State took them into overtime, pretty
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: difficult game for Tennessee. Good win for them, though, and
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: they went into the buy on that note. So they
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: went into the buy in a much better note. Now again,
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: when you do that, you don't really have anything to
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: fix in that buy, So the bye, I think is
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: more helpful to Arkansas. So it's one of those kind
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: of buy inversion situations here Tennessee. They do have to
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: play Alabama next week. That's a big game, and even
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: Kentucky after that, and then Oklahoma. Kentucky is kind of
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: a rivalry for Tennessee, so those games I think me
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: I would normally say those games mean more to Tennessee,
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: but the thing is Arkansas. Tennessee might not overlook Arkansas
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: just because of what happened last year. So this is
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: my hesitation because when you look at that, it looks
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: like it sets up maybe for a play in Arkansas here.
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: But my hesitation with it is that Tennessee lost at
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: Arkansas last year, and Tennessee only had two losses last year,
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: so you know they're gonna remember that they got upset
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: on the road at Arkansas. So Tennessee is gonna remember that.
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: Even my note was Nico Yama Lieva, who every pronounced
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: his name of quarterback last year, not the case this
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: year for Tennessee obviously because he's on UCLA. But I
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: think that might cause Tennessee to still be focused here man,
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: So that is kind of my hesitation with that one.
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: I would still mean to Arkansas, but it's not my
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: strongest opinion here. The money seems to be very strongly
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: on Arkansas, though, Tennessee down from thirteen to ten and
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: a half. So if you like Arkansas, you gotta try
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: to get the ten and a half because that's the
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: better of that key number of ten. There sixty four
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on Tennessee. Of course, the public only
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: will be playing Tennessee here seventy six percent of the
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: cash however, on Arkansas. And we have a sky high
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: total in this one though, so that gives me a
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: little bit of pause on taking the points to the
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: total den from sixty to nine to sixty eight and
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: a half. The money actually coming in in the under
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: a little bit eighty two percent of tickets on the over,
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: fifty one percent of the cash on the unders. The
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: money coming in on the under. Usually you don't see
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: that when you see a high, like a really high
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: total like this, Usually you see the money just actually
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: coming in on the over because the total is so
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: high that usually even the public doesn't even want to
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: deal with it. So usually you want to go over
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: the highest totals because it almost looks too difficult to
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: go over that in obscenely high total. But in this case,
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: the money's coming in on the under. I would not
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: want to play the under though, if I was gonna
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: play the game, I would take the points with Arkansas
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: still even though I know it's and maybe a shootout here,
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: so it's gonna make it a little bit more difficult
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: for them to cover a number, make it a little
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: bit easier for Tennessee to cover a large number if
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: they get into the lead there. But that would be
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: the way I would lean with the Arkansas plus the
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: points and that one they hit a Rosarina intentional walk
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: to load the bases, Oh shit, this could be it
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: bases loaded one out. All you got to do is
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: put it in play somewhere. Oh my god, man with
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: their cleanup hit or up right Polanco, Oh my god.
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Should we should we watch like the
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: end of this, I don't know. We could take a
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: break here before we go into the night games. I
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: don't think I have too many games that are not
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: placed to actually talk about this thing, because they usually
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: like to talk about all these different situations. But I
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: only have like a few games in mind. Here. We
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: should watch the game here, I mean, all right, we
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: could do that. I don't know if I can call
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: the game. It's arm right now. We got Conley pitching
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: for not con not a. He's not an irishman here
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: up in the New England here and the Boston Here
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: commy pitching to Polanco. Here we got a three to
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: two pitch. Oh Polanco, it goes through it to right field.
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: Game over, Seattle wins the series. Polanco with a walk
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: off RBI single game over. Oh my god, uh Seattle wins.
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: Oh my god. I just I get to make the call,
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: just on that, man. It was. It was the right
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: time for it. And we don't waste that much time
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: here with my show. So there you go. That was
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: a crazy game, dude, that's insane. And my pick in
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: my bracket to win the whole thing is still alive
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: with the Seattle Mariners. I have Seattle over the Dodgers
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: in the World Series if you remember correct, if you
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: remember that, So yeah, but I did have I did
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: have the Yankees beating Toronto though, and I had the
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: Podres being the Brewers, so I got those wrong. But
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: I did have the Dodgers being in the Phillies U obviously,
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: So yeah. I think the Dodgers are like a real
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: legitimate threat, man, even though they were the three seed.
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: Poland with the single Poland defeating Germany. All right, night
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: games here ESPN uh seven o'clock PM East or Eastern.
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: We got an SEC match up here with Florida and
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: number five ranked Texas A and M A and M
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: undefeated Florida still below five hundred of Florida. They're one
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: and one in the SEC and hits to Florida. I mean,
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: I think there's unless ESPN fucked up all these conference
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: records again, Florida, they still have reason to play here, man,
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: I mean they could still make some noise here in
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: the SEC. I mean with the new with the new
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: playoffs stretch, I don't know. I mean there there are
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: three loss teams. They're probably not gonna make the playoffs
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: unless they could somehow make the SEC championship and then
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: get in. So I mean the odds are slim, but
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're like completely uh done yet Poland
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: go to Poland. Yeah, the auto care there the I mean,
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: Israel is in control of all the auto correct all right,
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: but yeah, Florida, Texas A, and M. I've been talking
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: about how I think Florida is a little bit under
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: the radar at this point, man. I mean, I think
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: DJ Lagway has kind of been playing injured. You know,
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: he looked way better last week. He had his best
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: game of the season last week against probably the best
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: defense that they've faced two in Texas. I mean, LC
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: used a solid defense too. He actually, weirdly enough, Lagway
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: actually did well against the top two defenses that they
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: faced an LSU in Texas. But last week, I mean,
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: that was a good performance for Florida last week, I
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: should have given them out as a play. I'm kind
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: of pissed. I think at least one of you guys
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: in the chat had Florida good call in that one.
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: I agreed with it, and it was you remember it
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: was on my short list. It was one of the
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: like three that I wound up just leaving off my card.
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: And of course I think my card wound up going
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: two and two last week, while or maybe it was
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: one and three even it wasn't great whatever it was.
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: But yeah, Florida was a winner outright against Texas. Huge
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: win for Florida beating a top ranked team. Now the
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: question is are they gonna be in a letdown spot.
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, because they're probably still gonna get
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: up for a game against Texas. A and M, although
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: it's a difficult environment to have to go into a
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: college station, so Florida is at least gonna have to
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: maintain that effort multiple weeks in a row. And I
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: know this is gonna be a fourth straight big game,
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: but they did have a bye before the Texas game,
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: so they came into that Texas game refreshed. They played well,
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: potentially saving billion Napier season with that win. So generally, yes,
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: I would look to fade Florida and what I would
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: say might be a letdown spot, but this is a
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: game that I do think they're gonna try to show
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: up for. So I don't really quite want to lay
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: the points of Texas A and M in this one,
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: And it almost kind of looks too easy to do it.
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: You're laying like a little bit over a touchdown with
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: A and M here as the fifth ranked team in
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: the country and an undefeated team. Yeah, and I don't
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: quite want to do that. I don't really want to
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: play Florida either, though, of course off have a huge
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: win like that, and this is their third road game
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: in the last five weeks too, so not really the
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: easiest spot for them. Texas A and M. They were
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: one of my plays last week. They were coming out
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: of a bye, they had to do with late against
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State, but they did cover late, although they didn't
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: really play a great game, to be honest, A and
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: M did not, although they got there for us late
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: in the game. Like I said, it was only fourteen
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: to three going into the fourth quarter, so they weren't
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: even covering at that point, but they were able to
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: get it in the end. They had a really good
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: fourth quarter. I mean, they did still dominate yardage wise
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: in the game though. They outgained Mississippi State by like
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: two hundred and sixty yards in the game. So I
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: don't know why A and M was failing to score.
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: It was like two weeks in a row. A and
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: M was marching up and down the two games in
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: a row, A and M marching up and down the
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: field and just not converting into points except they were
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: able to late in the game at least in that one.
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: So yeah, A and M did look good last week.
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, they do have Arkansas next, not exactly a
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: bigger game. They might be focused on Florida though, because
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: they saw Florida just beat Texas, so they might not
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: take Florida as lightly now because of that, so I
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: think both teams are going to show up here. So,
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's it's a really tough game to figure out,
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: tough game to read. Texas A and M is sitting
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: at a seven and a half point favorite. They are
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: public sixty two percent of tickets on them, fifty nine
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash, so the money is slightly coming
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: in taking the points of Florida. It is a pretty
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: low total. It went up a little bit to forty
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: seven sixty two percent tickets eighty three percent of cash
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: on the over though the money is coming in on
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: the over. I mean, these teams both play pretty decent
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: deep match though, though Texas A and M their offensive
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: stats the last couple of games have been better than
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: what the score looked like like. They put up way
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: more yards than what their score makes it look like
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: over the last couple of games. So maybe a little
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: bit of underrated Texas A and M offense this time.
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: This is a very very difficult read for me. Man
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: Like the market read says to take the points of Florida,
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: the total being low also kind of indicates that you
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: should be looking to take the point of Florida. There's
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: no way I can do it off with such a
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: big win. Although I think they'll be focused here. I
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: just think it's a matter of can they maintain an
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: effort like that multiple weeks in a row without getting tired.
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: So if you want to lay the points in Texas
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: A and M, you're banking on Florida somehow, like getting
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: fatigued basically in this game would be my assessment of it.
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: So situation I think sets up a little bit better
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: for Texas A and M. But the market reed is
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: saying Florida. So do with that information what you want to.
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: I guess Kansas at Texas Tech on Fox at seven
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: thirty pm Eastern Texas Tech ranked ninth in the country
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: and undefeated, although I think you do have to be
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: aware of what's going on Texas Tech, I mean their
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: quarterback situation. Though maybe it's fine because Morton actually did
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: come back last week, so maybe there's no issue there anymore.
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech coming off that game againts Houston, where I
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: think Houston lost their quarterback by the way, So that
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: hurt our. That hurt our play in Houston last week.
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: That was one of my losses. That was my last
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: ad on the card last week, probably su added it,
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: but Houston was kind of hanging around in that game,
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: and then Houston's quarterback got hurt and that really didn't
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: help us in that game obviously, So that was a
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: little bit of a tough break there. Texas Tech's coming
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: back home. You're still undefeated facing Kansas, though, Texas Tech,
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: I mean it's possible they look ahead a little bit
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: because they do have a ranked Arizona State team next
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: next week, So is that cause for a look ahead maybe,
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: And they they're coming off two good wins against Utah,
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: though they had to buy after that that was their
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: big win of the season, and then being Houston is
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: still kind of a big deal. I guess I think
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: the game meant more to Houston, really, but it's, you know,
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: it's an in state not rivalry necessarily, but it is
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: an in state big brother little brother situation there at least,
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: so coming off a couple of big wins, really, they
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: might maybe take Kansas a little bit lightly, although Kansas
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: is sitting at four and two, although I still think
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: Kansas maybe a little bit under the radar. Kansas. I
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: do think their defense is actually pretty good al though
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: they got kind of lit up by Missouri and Cincinnati.
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: Those are two good offenses. And although the problem I
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: guess with Kansas is that they haven't really shut down
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: any offense it's really good. I mean West Virginia is
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: no good you see f I even though they usually
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: can run the ball, they haven't really shown much offensively
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: this year. And Fresno, I mean, Fresno has gotten better,
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: but that was the first game for Fresno in Week zero,
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: so Fresno didn't really put up much. So we don't
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: We still don't really know how good this Kansas team
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: is or isn't. It is a second s rate road
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: game for them. They're having to go from Florida now
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: to Lubbock, Texas, so maybe not the easiest travel spot
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: for them. I mean, they're still intact offensively with Jalen
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: Daniels there, who was their quarterback last year as well.
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: Tough read on this one. I don't know what I
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: would want to do with this one. I'm gonna give
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: out a slight lead to Kansas on this one. Obviously
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: not a play, but I will say that I slightly
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: lean to Kansas and this one. Texas Tech is a
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: fourteen point favorite. They're very public, eighty eight percent of tickets,
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of the cash. They're definitely good. But
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: I don't know if Texas to T is indeed a
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: top ten team or not. Here I think they're close.
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: They're definitely good, and they may very well win the conference.
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: At this point. Kansas is maybe a little bit under
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: the radar right now. They're coming off a win over
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: U seef to didn't look that impressive, so the public
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: obviously is only going to be on Texas Tech and
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: that one, and you're probably not getting any value having
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: a lake two touchdowns with Texas Tech. So Kansas, if
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: their defense could show up and somehow slow that game
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: down a little bit, that's the way I would lean
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: Georgia Auburn. I have a play on that one, so
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: I will I will wait until the end of the
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: show for that one. Mariners win. The streak continues, what streak.
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: I didn't give out a play on it today, and
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: my streak has kind of ended as far as my
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: win streak, and I had a losing day yesterday or whatever.
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: So one and two in hockey yesterday, one and two overall,
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: but I I think I've still won all but like
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: two days over the last couple of weeks if you
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: discount the days where I just didn't have any plays
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: at all. NBC seven thirty pm, Michigan at USC by
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: the Way, College game Day. I mean, I assume it's
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: in the Oklahoma Texas game, but you'll have to if
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: you know, you can let me know on that one.
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: I assume it is that because it's a big rivalry game,
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: but I could be wrong about that. I mean, that
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: game is just always a huge rivalry, but maybe that's
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: not the game day game Michigan in USC. Though Michigan
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: ranked fifteenth in the country, both teams are at four
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: and one. USC does have a Big Ten loss, which
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: was on the road at Illinois, But how much do
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: you dock them for that? Man? I mean, they were
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: a touchdown favorite there, but I mean it's a difficult
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: environment to go into and you're not used to it.
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: I mean, they hadn't. I don't think they'd played at
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: Illinois since joining the since joining the the Big Ten,
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, man, Michigan, though, you know, the
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: public's gonna come in on Michigan in this one, and
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: this is one of those spots where you have a
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: an unranked home, you have an unranked favorite. I mean, yes,
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: they're at home here, USC, But you have an unranked
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: favorite against a I ain't underdog, man, So you know
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: that is something that should put you on notice, like
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: you should be looking into maybe playing the favorite when
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: you see that, right, Like, when you see an unranked
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: team favorite over a ranked team, you know the public's
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: gonna think that there's value playing that ranked team. Oh
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: my god, why is that ranked team an underdog? But
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: in that case, you do want to look towards the
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: unranked team because they're favored for a reason. Man. In
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: this case, USC is at home, so they're not getting
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: the full home advantage here in this one. So the
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: Osburgers are still telling you Michigan's a better team, but
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: they're telling you it's not by that much. The money
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: is coming in on USC. They're up FRO two and
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: a half to two and a half. With juice. If
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: you like USC, I think you got to get it
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: before it hits three. You gotta lay the two and
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: a half if you want it, or maybe go to
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: a money line situation on it or something like that.
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: I do agree with the USC side here. You play
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: my leans. I mean, my leans are not as strong
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: in my opinion as the ones that I actually you're up,
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: all right, that's well, that's good. I enjoy hearing that.
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: But my leans that I give out, i'm giving out.
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, I talk about so many different games. I mean,
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: you could try to gauge like how strongly I feel
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: about certain games at least and sometimes I'll tell you, oh,
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: like this is one that I just left off my card.
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: But yeah, and this is actually close to being one
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: of those USC. I don't know if I've gone over
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: any other ones that I would say were really that
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: close to me, like actually having them on my card.
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: I don't really think so. I mean, maybe debatably Washington State,
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: but that's just such a huge spread. I don't auto
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: I really want anything to do with it. But USC
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: is definitely won. I think USC is strong. It's close
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: to being a play for me. There are just a
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: few hesitations I have here. Fifty nine per tickets, seventy
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: six percent of cash coming in on USC. So the
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: money is agreeing with it. Money's on USC Michigan. Of course,
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: Remember they are dealing with a freshman quarterback here in
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: Bryce Underwood. And he hasn't played on the Pacific Coast yet. Man,
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: He's had two road games, so he does have that.
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: They lost the first one at Oklahoma. They did win
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: at Nebraska a couple of weeks ago before they went
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: into a buy, so that's a good signe that they're improving.
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: But playing on the Pacific Coast in a night game
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: like this something a little bit different, man, in a
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: hostile environment that's not familiar to them, So that could
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: be a little bit more difficult for a freshman quarterback
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: to go out and do that. I know, saying did
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: okay with with Ohio State there. Michigan not quite as
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: good as Ohio State though, and USC is definitely better
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: than Washington too. So USC has been ranked man for
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: a while. I think they probably deserve to still be ranked,
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: and they're unranked right now, so USC definitely being undervalue
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: by the rankings makers here, whereas I think Michigan is
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: probably ranked about accurately because Michigan's defense is really good,
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: but their offense kind of remains a little bit questionable,
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: Whereas USC has the better of these two offenses. Man,
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: even though I know USC's defense is not the better
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: of the two usually you know, I mean, Michigan is
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: the better defense getting points, and you know, I usually
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: say you want to look to the better defense getting points.
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: So maybe that's one slight hesitation I have here is
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: that that is Michigan this game. But I just think
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: the spot's a bit more difficult, man. They're having to
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: go out to the Pacific coast there. Michigan still hasn't
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: beaten anybody, by the way. Their biggest win is the
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: one over Nebraska, and I apologize Nate, I think is
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: the Nebraska fan there. It's not nobody. Nebraska's good. Fine,
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: that was a big win, But the best team they
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: faced was Oklahoma and they lost that game. And I
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: think USC is better than Nebraska and not as good
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: as Oklahoma would be my assessment there. So this is
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: gonna be a difficult opponent, man. And the only opponent
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: that they played that was more difficult than that was Oklahoma,
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: and they lost that game on the road. So it
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: is a little bit difficult to go into that environment. USC.
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: They're kind of just I don't want to say they're coasting.
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: They actually lost their last game to Illinois. That was
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: the last game they played. They actually didn't play last week.
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: So USC is coming out of a bye so I
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: talk about this too, obviously, I've talked about it on
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: this show already as well. You go into the buy
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: on a bad note like USC did. It was a
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: big game, for sure, and it was their first loss,
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: so that gives me some hesitation too. But they went
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: into the buy on a bad note. I think when
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: you do that, you go into the buy, you fix
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: things when you're in the buy, man, So I think
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: the buy will help them out there. But then again,
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: losing your first game of the season is a bit
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: of a momentum stopper, so that is something to consider there, man,
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: And that game drop USC from the rank user because
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: they really haven't played anybody else yet. So that's kind
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: of the other hesitation I have. Although we're gonna say
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: the same thing about Missouri, but I'm still gonna give
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: out a play on Missouri this one because I think
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: the situation is very strong and this one is not
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: as strong. But a hesitation I do have with USC
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: is that they just haven't won against anybody good yet.
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: Although they did play competitively against Illinois, they probably should
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: have won the game, though I mean the loss is
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: a road favorite, which isn't that great, but they're gonna
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: be focused here. I mean it's Michigan. I know USC
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: has the Golden Chalelee up next against Notre Dame, but
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: they're not gonna overlook Michigan. So I do think USC
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: shows up in this game. I think the spot does
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: set up better for them. Generally, I would play USC
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play that game, I would lay
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: two and a half going into these night games here
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: were already in the night slate. But seven forty five
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: pm Eastern on SEC Network, South Carolina at number eleven LSU.
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: This is a bit of a revenge for South Carolina
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: because LSU, I believe went into South Carolina last year
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: and I believe Sellers got heart in the game for
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: South Carolina, and South Carolina was winning in that game,
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: and I think they wound up losing the game in
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: the end after Sellers got hurt. It was kind of
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: a brutal game for South Carolina. So it is gonna
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: be revenge for South Carolina here. Although how good is
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: South Carolina? You know, I've been knocking them a little bit,
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: saying they didn't deserve to be in the rankings, which
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: I think was true. They were really not looking that
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: good in some of these games. Man. I mean they
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: beat Virginia Tech by more than what they should have
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: based on what the statistics looked like. They got outgained
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: by FCS South Carolina State, not a good sign. They
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: got blown out by vandal Those sellers did get hurt
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: in the game, but they played better since He's come back,
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: so South Carolina has improved since then. After they were
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: really in those first three games they had the like basically,
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: I think what I pointed out was they had like
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: the same number of defensive and special teams touchdowns as
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: offensive touchdowns. In the first couple of weeks there we
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: got the h the champagne is out for Seattle there, man,
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: I see the celebration of my periphery, my peripheral vision there.
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: But South Carolina did play decently after that. They went
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: to Missouri and they only lost by nine. And then
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: they beat up on Kentucky last week. A though we
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: don't really know if Kentucky is really that good. Uh,
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: South Carolina maybe a little bit of a newfound confidence
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: after beating Kentucky, although they did go into a bye
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: after that. But I don't know if that buy is
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: really necessarily a momentum stopper because they'd only won one
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: game going into the buy and it was not really
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: a win. That's gonna be like, Oh, you went into
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: the buy and it's this like massively high note or
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: anything like that. You won a game that you were
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: supposed to win against Kentucky. So maybe they're using that
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: bye to uh, you know, figure some things out for
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: LSU here. Uh, it is gonna be a revenge game.
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: Like I said, so, I do think South Carolina does
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: show up focus here. ELL's used fall into the eleventh
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: ranked team in the country after their loss. They're also
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: coming out of a bye, and I know they went
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: into the buy on a worst note that South Carolina did,
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: So I do preach that if you go into the
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: buy in a bad note, you usually want usually use
• 57:13
  Speaker 1: that buy to fix things. But LSU lost to Oh
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: Miss Man. That was a difficult game for LSU, so there,
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: and it was their first loss of the season. So
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: sometimes that first loss will linger and it will hang
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: you over. Even though the buye might kind of help
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: disrupt that aspect of it a little bit, LSU might
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: be a little bit hung over, man, I mean I
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: know they're only a one loss SEC team right now,
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: so they could still do something in the SEC. But
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: they do have ranked opponents coming up too, against Vandy, Texas, A,
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: and m Alabama all coming up, so those are somewhat
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: big games too, probably bigger than the South Carolina game.
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: So maybe a spot where LSU is not exactly in
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: the greatest spot. And LSU the wins early in the
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: season against Clemson and Florida don't exactly look as good
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: now and now as Clemson hasn't been playing very well. Florida,
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: I know they got the win against Texas last week,
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: if Florida has been underperform for me too, so we
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: still don't know how good LSU is. Man and nuss Meyer,
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: who's supposed to be in the Heisman conversation coming into
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: the season, he came back to do that. He had
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: to try to win a national championship, and he just
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: hasn't been that good. LSU's offense hasn't been that good.
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: It's been their defense that's really made the big time
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: turnaround this year so interesting. And if you want LSU here,
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: you're having a lay. I think probably I was gonna
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: say double digits, but it's down from nine and a
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: half to nine here, sixty nine percent of tickets on LSU,
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: but the money's coming in in South Carolina fifty seven
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on South Carolina and the total drop
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: from forty five to forty three and a half, So
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: it is a really low total. So the money is
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: saying South Carolina, and I would not disagree with it.
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: I would lean that way as well, and taking the
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: points of course, like I say, the points matter more
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: when it's a low total like that, so the points
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: when we're valuable. Although we do have sixty five percent
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: of tickets ninety four percent of the cash on the
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: over in that one, but the initial move was towards
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: the under. I do think it sets up to be
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: a low scoring game here with both offense is pretty
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: questionable here and South Carolina had that really bad stat
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: going into a couple of weeks ago where they were
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: averaging nine and a half yards to gain on third down,
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: which is just absolutely outrageous. So we will see, man.
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I would lead to South Carolina and that
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: one slightly. By the way, I forgot to mention with
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: USC real quick USC might have the best offense in
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: the entire country. Man, Their passing offense is insane. They're
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: averaging like eleven yards per pass attempt, not even for completion.
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: But every time USC throws the ball with Maeva, who
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: was really lighting it up after he was okay with UNLV,
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: but he's really lighting it up with USC. But every
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: that means every time they even throw the ball, they're
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: averaging eleven yards. Including the incompletions that they make, it's
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: still an average of eleven yeard. That is insane for USC.
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: Although Michigan's a good defense, so Michigan should be able
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: to slow them down a little bit. But that USC
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: offense is like basically elite, So that is somebody to
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: keep in mind there getting into the later games here
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: eight PM and ESPN two number eighteen undefeated five and
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: oh BYU going to an unranked Arizona team. But BYU
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: is not laying a huge amount of points here, man,
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: So that's something to take notice of, of course, because
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: the public will go with the undefeated ranked BYU team
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: here against Arizona, but BYU hasn't really played anybody, man,
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: So like, are they really deserving of being the eighteenth
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: team in the country. We don't know. I Bachmeyer has
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: been doing our right as a quarterback. I forget where
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: he was last year, because, of course, you remember the
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: quarterback the BYU had last year got kicked off the
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: team for having sex, which is not allowed at a
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: Mormon university. So he's now at Tulane where they allow
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: that kind of debauchery. Bachmeyer, Actually, I thought he was
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: somewhere else, but he's actually I guess he's a true
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: freshman bear Bachmeyer, Man, all right, but he's gonna doing
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: pretty well. But again there's stepping way up in class
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: for this game against Arizona. Arizona has been performing a
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: lot better than I think we expected them to this year.
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be be why U's most difficult opponents
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: so far. Man, I mean, who have they beaten? The
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: best team that they beat was I guess Colorado on
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: the road. I mean in Colorado is a two to
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: four team. So I mean this is not an impressive resume.
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: I guess maybe you could argue maybe even East Carolina
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: on the road was the most difficult game that they had.
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. I mean, they really have
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: not played anybody good. Stanford West Virginia and then Portland
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: State and FCS team. I mean, yeah, they're taking care
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: of business, but this is gonna be a difficult environment
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: for them. Man, going into this game, they do have
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: an extra day off because they played on Friday. But
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: that was also a big primetime win for BYU against
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: West Virginia where West Virginia something weird happened. I think
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: in West Virginia got in to cover the bat and
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: to make the back door cover in that one, if
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: I remember correctly, where it looked like West Virginia was
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: not going to cover that. Arizona had an easy game
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: last week against Oklahoma's date, just an easy win there
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: for them, so they're just staying at home. So it
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: does set up a little bit better for Arizona on
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: this one. I'll lead to Arizona, but it's not a
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: strong opinion for me. BYU is up from one and
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: a half to two and a half. Is the road
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: favored public doesn't look like that that heavily on BYU
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: with fifty nine percent of tickets actually on Arizona, but
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: seventy one percent of the cash on Arizona, So the
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: money is kind of coming in in Arizona here. Yeah,
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: I mean That's the way I would lean. I just
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: think Arizona's actually played the more difficult schedules so far.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: I mean they beat Kansas State, Iowa State. Those are
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: two better opponents than anybody that you know. I mean
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: I should on Iowa State, but those two opponents are
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: still better than anybody BYU has faced all season. So
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: Arizona's the more battle tested team. The money is coming
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: in that way, That's the way I would look. It's
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: a low total in this one to at forty eight,
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: so taking the points, even though it's not a lot
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: of points, is still something. And I'm kind of surprised
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: if you think the BYU would kind of be the
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: public side, although they kind of still are because way
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: more of the cash is coming in in Arizon. But
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: it's something to take notice of whenever you have a
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: ranked team like that with a very small line like
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: that where it's basically just picked the winner. So yeah,
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with Arizona on that one.
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: The provo SOAK is that, like the poopole loophole, you
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: can get around it. And then this is one of
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: the weirdest lines that you'll see all week. Man. I
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: was very tempted to give out a play in Utah here.
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: I just have a few hesitations with this. This is
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: number twenty one ranked Arizona State at Utah in a
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: Big twelve matchup. You're on ESPN at ten to fifteen
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: pm Eastern, number twenty one ranked Arizona State Utah unranked. However,
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: Utah is a nine and a half point favorite in
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: this game. So just that alone, maybe want to lay
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: the points, man, because I don't think you're ever. I mean,
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: I know I did it with Louisville last week and
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: it wasn't a win, which I think we kind of
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: got screwed on that Louisville game, Like just the game.
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: I think there were just mistakes in the game, just turnovers.
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: It was just kind of bs And there were six
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: and a half point unranked favorite against a road ranked team.
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: But look at this, I mean, this is probably this
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: is maybe the largest spread that you'll ever see as
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: for a favorite that's unranked against a ranked team. Maybe. Ever,
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: I don't think I can't think of any that I've
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: seen that have been higher than this. This is crazy, dude.
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: Utah nine and a half point favorite is an unranked team,
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: and you know I always tell you the odds makers,
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: they're the ones to trust, like they know more about this.
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: They're using the actual power ranks, they have actual money
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: on this. Even though they're not necessarily trying to tell
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: you who's gonna win the game, they're trying to split
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: the action. But uh, they're telling you something. Man if
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: Arizona State is ranked and Utah is not ranked. That's
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: what the rankings makers are saying, but the oddsmakers are saying, Nope,
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: Utah is actually the way better team here. Definitely something
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: to take notice of. Although you could have laid seven
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: with Utah, it looks like very briefly through up to
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: nine and a half. Now the money's still coming in
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: in Utah sixty eight percent of tickets and eighty eight
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them. Don't really quite want
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: to lay the nine and a half here, So I'm
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: gonna not give it out as a play, but I
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: do lean to Utah. If I was gonna play this game,
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: I would still do that. But the other hesitation I
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: have of is, of course, this is a low total,
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: so if you want Utah to win by margin, it's
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: gonna be difficult to do because you have two good defenses.
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: I think both these teams are actually better defensively than offensively.
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: And the total drop from forty nine and a half
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: to forty four and a half, fifty four percent of
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: tickets and seventy six percent of cash on the under.
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: So the money's coming in on the under. But one
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: other reason for that line to have dropped so much
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: on the total though, and actually my mistake. Part of
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: the reason why Utah moved up on the line. This
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: was not actually because of all market behavior. The total
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: dropped and Utah moved to a higher favorite because Arizona
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: State's quarterback is injured. So that is something to keep
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: in mind. If we look at their schedule here, Levitt,
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: their quarterback, he's injured, so it's actually an injured player
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: theory spot for Arizona States. That's part of the reason
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: why I actually don't want to do it, because you
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: know I talk about that when your quarterback goes down,
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: the team usually steps up their game for that one game,
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: you know, without for that one game without the without
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: their player there. I just had a brain fight. I
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: don't know what I'm doing. It's late at night, man,
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: but you know what I'm saying, right like so, I
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: mean I say it all the time. Yeah, so you
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: get a little bit extra value. The line moved a
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: little bit more towards Utah, moved a couple of points there.
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: For I forget who their backup is. I think it's somebody,
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: it's Sims. I don't know how experienced Sims is, but
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: I also don't Arizona's State is not really a huge,
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: like heavily passing offense still like Ah, They're not like
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: a heavy passing attack. They run the ball a lot
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: and they play defense. So I don't think it's gonna
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: matter that much for Arizona State. So I do think
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: there's a little bit of extra value maybe in the
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: number on Arizona State, just because their quarterback is injured
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: and they're probably gonna step it up for that game
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: a little bit for that reason. Although they haven't been
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: as good on the road, they lost at Mississippi State
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: and they won a tough game at Baylor on the road,
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: but those just still difficult tests. I mean, those are
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: good teams there, Utah. The other hesitation you got to
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: have with Utah really is that the only time they
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: stepped up in class all season, they lost badly at
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: home to Texas Tech, so that does worry me a
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: little bit. Dampier just hasn't been very good. This Utah
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: offense hasn't really gotten going. Man, their defense has been good,
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: but their offense in the Texas Tech still scored a
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: lot on them. But generally their defense has been good.
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: But that worries me that they stepped them in class
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: and couldn't really handle Texas Tech. Although, of course Arizona
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: State they're nowhere near as good of an offense as
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech is, so at least there is that, but
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: laying points like this and what's gonna be a low
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: total defensive game. It's an injured player spot for Arizona State.
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: And by the way, I forgot to mention with BYU.
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: BYU and Utah both have a potential look ahead spot
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: here because they play each other next week in the
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: Holy War, which used to be a huge rivalry. It's
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: an in state rivalry between BYU and Utah. I think
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: they were both in the Mountain West for a while
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: and it was a rivalry, and then Utah went to
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: the Pac twelve. Now Utah's in the Big twelve, but
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: Byus in the Big twelve, So the rivalry has resumed,
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: so it's the it's the Battle for the Old and Underwear,
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure is what it is, the Mormon Battle.
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: It's called the Holy Ward. It's a huge rivalry game.
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: So that is a problem for BYU, I think more
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: than it is for Utah. I forgot to mention that.
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: I apologize, but yeah, BYU does have that game coming
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: up next, the Holy War, and then they have Iowa
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: State and Texas Tech coming up, so it is a
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: potential look ahead for BYU as well. Utah may be
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: less of a look ahead because it is ranked Arizona
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: State team coming in and Utah is coming out of
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: a bye, although they went into a buy and a
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: good note against West Virginia, so maybe they won't really
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: have anything to fix in that buy, but they are
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: still coming out of a bye, so they are still
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: a little bit rested. I would still lean to Utah
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: in this game, but it's not a strong opinion for
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: me at this point just because of all the shit
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: going on in that game. So hopefully all that made sense.
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: I would still lean towards Utah, though, if you forced
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: me to give a lien on that one two end
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: zone safeties in a high school game you covered tonight, Well,
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: safeties are always in the end zone, right, what do
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: you mean end zone? State? Every safety happens in the
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: end zone because it's that you know, when the team
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: gets tackled in the end zone or goes out of
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: the back of the end zone. Justin are a resident
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: cameraman there for college and high school sports in the
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: state of Missouri. Get to see some crazy things happening there.
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: Bet the house on Utah's is not what I'm saying.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: Are there Mormons in Boston? No, Boston is Irish, Catholic
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: and Italian Catholic. BC is a very Catholic school. That's
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: why BC has rivalries against Notre Dame. They have a
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: rivalry against Notre Dame as well. That's a Catholic rivalry.
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: I forget what the trophy is in that one or
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: what that rivalry is called, but that's a big rivalries.
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: I should remember what the rivalry is called, but I don't.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: It's something Irish. But no, Yeah, Boston is Irish and Italian.
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: It's very heavily Catholic in Boston, all right, Which you
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: guys know that from Boondocks Saints, right, The most Catholic,
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: Irish Boston movie that there is. Very good movie. The
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: critics hate it because they sucked. They don't know what
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: a good movie is. Excellent movie. Boondock Saints. I haven't
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: watched it a long time. If you guys haven't seen it,
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: you should. It's a crime drama slash action movie that
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: takes place in Boston. It's got Daryl from The Walking
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: Dead is one of the main dudes in it, and
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: I forget who the other guy is. The other guys
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: like a really Irish dude. They're the two main guys
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: and then like the main bad guys. Willem Dafoe. Solid actor, Yeah,
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: solid movie man. Definitely recommend that. I did you guys
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: know if you follow my show, I watched The Departed
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: before it was gone from Netflix, not that long ago.
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: I rewatched it. We had a showing of it when
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: it came out. When I was in college too. We
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: got to watch it for free, I think in college.
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: It was a free screening of it at my college,
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: so that was fun as well. Depoded really good movie. Charles,
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: you're talking about Charles River as well. I'm gonna call
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: Charles a childs River from now on. When he's talking
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: about Boston. Which movie is amazing? Boondock Saints are Depired.
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: They're both good. The critics like The Depirate and they
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: hate Boondock Saints, but they're both really good movies. Story
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: of your imagine life is that a Pirated being a
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: Boston cop and then getting involved, you know, being like
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: a you know, a double agent basically and going up
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: against another cop who's a reverse double agent, and then
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: chaos and zeuss. I don't want to give out the
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: giveaway the whole thing, but like that's uh what the
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: de Pirated is. Matt Damon and Leonardo Dicapri are both
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: men on the inside and opposite directions, and they're both cops. Yeah,
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: crazy movie. And Jack Nicholson is the uh, the main
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: like mobster and he's an Irish mobster in it, and uh,
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: Jack Nicholson, by the way, refuse to wear a Celtics
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: hat for part of that movie. He was supposed to
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: wear a Celtics hat, and I think there's there are
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: a couple of scenes where he's wearing like kind of
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: a generic hat. He was supposed to wear a Celtics hat.
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: And he's a gay Lakers fan, so he refused to
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: wear a se I'm like, dude, you gotta be method acting.
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: What are you doing? Man? But he refused to wear
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: a Laker hat for that, Oh Boondock Saints. Yeah, uh,
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: Leo wasn't wasn't as lame about that. I'm pretty sure
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: Leo wore a Red Sox hat if I remember. I
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: shouldn't remember because I just watch it. I'm pretty sure
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: he has a Red Sox hat on in that in
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: that movie. Although, of course Matt Damon and Mack Wahlberg
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: in that movie, they're both Boston guys anyway, so they
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: wouldn't have any issue themselves wearing it. Wearing Boston ship
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: all right. But yes, b Yu and Utah have the
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: Holy War coming up. That's what we were talking about.
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: Let's see how many other games I want to talk
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: about before I give up my best bets. But let's try,
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: and I'm gonna try to not have this go two
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: hours here, but I want to just find some other
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: games that maybe are slightly interesting here. What the hat
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: thing is ridiculous? Yeah, I mean, you're acting, man, It's
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: like it's crazy Jack, dude. I feel like Nicholson is
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: a fair weather Laker fan too. I mean, it's just
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't like that the Lakers just
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: have that like a lot of their fan base is
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: just like Hollywood, the Showtime Lakers. I mean, it's it's
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: just kind of lame, dude. Like I felt like Boston.
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: The Celtics always had a more like blue collar aspect
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: of their team and they had more of like an
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: organic fan base. It was just really rabbit about the team.
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: So and also the Bruins do. By the way, the Bruins,
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: even though it was considered racist back in the day,
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: because it was like why, like when the Celtics were
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: good and the Bill Russell days, the Bruins were still
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: getting more fans because people were gonna people were people
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: wanted to watch hockey because it was the white man sport.
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. I mean, but I'm a fan
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: of both the Bruins and the Celtics. So and hey, yeah,
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: the Celtics were very white in the eighties with Larry
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: Bird and Kevin McHale, So yeah, and Danny Ainge. Al Right,
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati playing UCF. Here is Cincinnati gonna be in a
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: letdown spot because they just came off. I'm gonna turn
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: down the volume on this a little bit. I had
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: the audio on just a little bit so I can
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: kind of hear to my side what was going on.
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: This is a directional mic though, I think so you
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: guys probably don't hear it anyway, hopefully, hopefully it's not
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: being intrusive. But yeah, Cincinnati against UCF is Cincinnati in
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot. And for that big win OVERRISU last week,
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: Iowa stayed first ranked team that they faced this season,
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: or maybe Nebraska was ranked at the beginning of the
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: season I remember, but Cincinnati stepped it up. They had
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: a nice win in that game. Staying at home kind
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: of basking in it. Possibly could be a little bit
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: of a letdown spot a UCF coming in They're still
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: looking for their first conference win. They lost last week.
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: I believe it was a home underdog against Kansas, So
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: I think maybe the spot does set up a little
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: bit better to look towards UCF. Here they having to
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: go on the road, though I don't know how really
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: familiar they are going to Cincinnati, because these teams shifted
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: conferences not that long ago, so it seems like a
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: little bit of maybe a weird the venue for them
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: to have to go to But the money is saying
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: to take the points with UCF here. Cincinnati up from
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: ten and a half to eleven. Eighty percent of tickets,
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: only sixty percent of the cash on Cincinnati, So the
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati side is public. You're getting a lot of points
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: if you want to try to take UCF here. UCF
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: does run the ball, so I think UCF is better
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: as an underdog because they can run the ball and
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: try to shorten the game. They want to keep Cincinnati's
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 1: offense off the field, obviously, because Cincinnati's offense is good.
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: A problem with UCF, besides the fact that I don't
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: know how well they're gonna do at Cincinnati, is their
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: other road game they weren't good. That was a gam
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: where I give out a play on Kansas State. In
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: that one, you have lost to Kansas State, and they
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: lost to Kansas So who is UCF beaten? The best
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: team they beat was North Carolina and we know how
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: bad they are this year. Bill Belichick not turning that
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: program around, or I guess his girlfriend isn't. So UCF
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: has not shown the ability to beat anybody good yet.
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: That's the other problem I kind of have with little though,
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: of course you don't need to beat you don't need
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: to need them to beat Cincinnati. You just need them
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: to cover the number. Obviously not my strongest but uh
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: but no, uh so, yeah, so I would lean to
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: taking the boys with UCF if I was gonna play that.
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: You're a Bruins fan, Hell yeah, let's go. They're two
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: and zero to start the season. Baby. They beat the
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: black Hawks and overtime. The black Hawks, they beat them
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: in overtime. Up the Bruins outplayed them in the game, though,
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: I mean a couple of those goals were kind of
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: fluky for for the Blackhawks. There it's being a fluky
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: by the way I reach I quote tweeted how San
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: Jose because you know I talked about I like San
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: Jose to at least cover the puck line, which they did,
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: because I think they lost an overtime last night because
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: Vegas was in a bad spot. But if you saw
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: how they lost that game, San Jose's goalie went all
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: the way almost out to the blue line to try
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: to clear the puck, and he wasn't able to clear it,
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: and Vegas had like three guys still in the in
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: the attacking zone. The puck didn't get cleared and he
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: so he left in net wide open, and Vegas was
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: just like, oh, whoops, we just won the game. Put
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: it in the net. It was just so bad. Dude
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: left the net and unbelievable, such a bad goaltending mistake there.
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know who the goalie was for San Jose,
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: but man, San Jose looks like they still have problems.
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: Absolutely not, we're not riding. I'll talk about that game.
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: Don't get me started in UNLV. We're gonna talk about
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: how they're the biggest fraud in college football in a
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: minute once I get to it, because I do have
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: an opinion or maybe two on that game. Oh you
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: don't hear any of the noise? Yeah, like the trucks
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: going by because there's a street out there. But also yeah,
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: I mean my TV. Yeah that's good because my MIC
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: is good for that. Zach, what's up, man? Thanks for
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: hanging out, Thanks for coming back, Zach. I believe our
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: Kansas City Royals fan, right. I don't think you haven't
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: been back for these late night off You haven't been
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: here for these late night football shows, have you? Maybe
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: you have for some of them, But I just remember
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: you being the the guy that waits to talk about
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: the Royals, right, that's you. Right. Hopefully I'm not mixing
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: people up now. I had a stroke, so forgive me. No,
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: I would not be doing that at all. Nate. I
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: think you got extremely lucky last week. Hell yeah, you're back,
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: all right? What else do I want to talk? Again?
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: I don't want to talk about too many of these
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: games here. I will say, well, I mean we got
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: Houston and Oklahoma State. I mean, I'm just gonna touch
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: on it because Houston did lose the first game, the
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: first loss of the season, so again that can hang
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: you over a little bit. That was kind of a
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: big game for Houston there against Texas Tech. But remember
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: I said Houston lost Wegman their quarterback Wygman or your
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: Wegman probably their quarterback there. Chris had to come in
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: late in the game, and I believe he's gonna be
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: starting again in this one. I think, although I'm not
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: one hundred percent sure, So I'm going to be aware
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: of just if you're gonna play this game, you gotta
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: just take that into account and figure out who the
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: quarterback is gonna be for Houston. Because I actually don't know,
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: So that's something that you got to figure out here.
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: That's one factor in this game. That's kind of a
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: It's a variable in this game for sure. But I
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: think it's kind of a bad spot for Houston because
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: that was a big game against Texas Tech. They lost it.
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: Although I'd be more inclined to fade Houston here if
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: Wegman was gonna be back here, right because if Wegman's
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: not back, then you're gonna get Chris and it's gonna
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: be an injured player theory spot right where Houston might
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: actually step up their game in the first game without
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: their quarterback. So if Wegman is back, though, I would
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: have a stronger opinion to fading Houston, of course, and
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: Houston will be favored by more if that is the case.
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: They got to go to Oklahoma State. Houston didn't exactly
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: do that well their first real road game, because, of course,
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: there are other road games at Rice, which is in Houston,
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: so who cares Oregon State. That was the game I
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: gave out a play in Oregon State, so you remember
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: that Oregon State covered for us in that one. Houston
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: didn't play particularly well in that one. So now this
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: is their next true road game, although it's less of
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: a strange environment. I mean, they're used to playing at
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State, so it's a little bit less of a
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: weird environment here. But yeah, Jen, I think it's not
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: the greatest spot for Houston, so I will lean towards
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: the Oklahoma State de side here. Oklahoma State did get
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: blown out last week. I mean, they're they're trying after
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: they've they fired other coach Gundhy, and they played a
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: decent game against a pretty good Baylor team. Oklahoma State
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: covered for us in that one. They're back home here
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: after getting blown out on the road by Arizona. So
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: I do think Oklahoma State sense of pride here new
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: coach or you know, interim coach here, they kind of
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: want to play for US. I think they will show up,
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: So I would lean it taking the points of Oklahoma State.
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: It does look like maybe Houston will have their quarterback
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: there because the line is up from fourteen to fourteen
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: and a half. But I'm not entirely sure. Eighty eight
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, only seventy seven percent of the cash
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: on Houston, so they're public. And the other thing about
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: taking the points here is that it's a low total again,
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: up to forty eight and a half here, so the
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: points are are a little bit more valuable here. And
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: Houston is more of a defense oriented team, So teams
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: that play defense like that, they tend to not have
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: an easy time covering double digit at numbers like this
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: on the road. Uh So something to consider there. I
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: think it does make sense to sleutords taking the points
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: with Oklahoma State in that one. Yeah, the Royals, they
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: they let you down this year. Man, the wagon I'm
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: telling I took. You know, I don't think I was
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: wrong even though the score. I was wrong about the
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: final score with the UNLV game, but I don't think
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: I was wrong in my handicap of that game. So yeah,
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: I mean I don't want anything to do with UNLV
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: at all. I mean it's some at some point the
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: wheels are gonna fall off the wagon, like you said,
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: I think it could. It could even be this week.
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: Although I've I'm not gonna give out a play against
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: them because I have some hesitations about Air Force as well.
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about that in a second two hour Saturdays.
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: Use the tradition. I'm trying to not have it go
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: that Long Louisiana at James Madison. This is another noon game.
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: Trying to get through these, man, I just have some
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: opinions on these games. James Madison is a pretty solid team, man,
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: And what they did last week they went to Jordan
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: Just State and James Madison was an eighteen and a
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: half point favorite and they only won the game fourteen
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: to seven, which looks really disgustingly bad. But I think
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: James Madison just really just didn't show up in the game.
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: I think they thought they could beat this Georgia State
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: team easily, so I think James Madison and it was
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: tied in the fourth quarter two so it was really
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: not a good game for James Madison. But when you're
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: a big favorite like that and you play badly, I
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: think you tend to come out with a much better
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: performance in the next game. So I think that is
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: the case with James Madison here. My hesitation is that
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: they do have Old Dominion up next, and that's a
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: big game, man. JMU and Old Dominion, I believe, are
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: both in the state of Virginia, and they're both in
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: the same division here, and they're both four and one.
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: They're both undefeated in the Sun Belt, so it is
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: a bit of a look ahead there, so I worry
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: about that aspect of it for jmu Old Dominion is
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: gonna be a huge game for them, so keeping that
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: in mind, I'm still gonna lean to James Madison here,
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: but it's not strong enough for a play in my opinion.
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: They're playing Louisiana Lafayette, or I guess they're just called Louisiana.
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: Now the University of Louisiana. Louisiana is coming off looking
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: really good in a high scoring games. They scored fifty
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: four points in their last game against Marshall, but Marshall
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: sucks in a two overtime game, they'll remember, so the
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: fact that it went to two overtimes pumped up the
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: score as well. But I think the public's gonna look
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: at this and see, oh my god, Louisiana scored fifty
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: four points in their last game and James Madison scored fourteen,
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: So how the hell could we lay like double digits
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: with James Madison here? Right? So I think the public
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: would be really hesitant to do that. So I do
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: think laying the points is the right move here. A
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: couple of hesitations though, Louisiana is coming out of a bye,
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: although I know they went into the buy in a
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: good note, but they do have extra rest here. At
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: least I think they'll try to step it up for JMU,
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: because JMU is a good team, but their wins are
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: not impressive. I mean, they beat FCS MacNeice and then
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 1: they beat Marshall, and Marshall's been playing a little bit
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: better than I thought they would. But that Marshall team
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: they lost everybody that they had last year. They basically
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: went over to Southern miss as I keep pointing out,
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: so you know, just pointing out how I handicapped that game.
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on JAMU. They're up from
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: eighteen to eighteen and a half uh sixty five percent
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty percent of the cash on jam use. The
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: money is agreeing with JMU James Madison, even though he's
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: only one man and he's been dead for a long time.
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: The other hesitation I had to have with laying the
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: points here though, is that this is a low total.
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: It's down from forty eight to forty five and a half,
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: sixty seven percent tickets on the over fifty nine percent
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the unders the money's actually playing
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: the under here, so you're basically asking James Madison to
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: really hold Louisiana down offensively, which they do have the
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 1: ability to do. But I have some hesitations with it,
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: Man and James Madison. I mean, their offense is what
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: kind of needs to be fixed after last week's game,
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: more so than their defense. So I do still lean
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: that way, but it's not strong enough in my opinion.
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: What else do we want to hit on? Real quick?
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: You Massive Ken State. I'm not gonna really talk about
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: the game, but that is one of the worst games
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: that you'll ever see. Man, there's Those are the two
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: worst teams in all of FBS, I would say, and
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: they're both playing each other U Mass in Kent State
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: and Kent State is a small favorite at home, and
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: U Mass is actually getting the money last night checks
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: and they're in the MAC right now with Kent State.
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: But I think U Mass might actually be getting relegated
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: back to FCS too, Like they just came up to
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: FBS not that long ago, and I think they're getting
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: moved right back down. It is just, man, it is
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: a sad state of affairs for you Mass. But maybe
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: they'll win that game at Kent State because Kent State sucks,
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: even though Kent State has the realist Clark or whatever
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: the hell his name is there, so I don't know,
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: well is that his name? I don't know, I forget
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: whatever his name is. Northwestern and Penn State. I'm just
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about it because you got to try to
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: gauge of Penn State is in the dream crusher scenario
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: or not. Man, I mean, they lost that big game
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: to Oregon and then what did they do? They turned
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: around and had to go to the Pacific Coast first
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: road game of the season. I should have given it
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: out as a play. I'm pissed that I did not
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: give out UCLA plus the twenty four and a half
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: because they won the game outright. Man, it would have
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: been a really nice money line sprinkle there too. That
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: was on my short list if you remember you watched
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: my show last week. Very pissed about that. My short
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: list was basically down to UCLA Florida, two outright underdog
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: winners there, and then Kentucky. I think, oh, I think
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: didn't cover. I think they missed by about a half
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: point there, but I would have been two and one
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 1: in those three plays. So if I had added all
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: three to my card, we would have been better off
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: if I did, especially because of the money line underdog
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: wins man. I'm pissed I should have done it. I
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: knew Penn State was in a bad spot. First road
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: game at all of the season, having to go to
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: an unfamiliar venue out there just ridiculous. But of course
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: I didn't expect UCLA to win the game outright, So
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: even though it was a bad spot, it was a
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: hangover spot coming up. That really difficult loss to Oregon
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: for Penn State. But now they have two losses in
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: the conference, So like, is that a dream crusher? I
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: don't don't know, because you do have three undefeated teams
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: of the Big Ten. How likely is it that that
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: a two loss team is gonna be able to sneak
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: into the playoff? I mean it could happen. I mean,
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: if it's gonna happen, it's gonna probably be in the
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: Big Ten and or the SEC. So there is that.
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: So maybe Penn State isn't totally dead yet and maybe
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: they'll get up for it just because they'll be embarrassed.
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: I mean, James Franklin usually he's pretty good off of
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: a loss and usually he bullies bad teams, which that
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: was kind of my hesitation last week, just the bully factor,
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: because I thought Penn State would at least win the game.
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: I was just trying to gauge whether or not they
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: were gonna cover. And I still liked UCLA quite a
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: bit last week. I did use it. I think I
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: used it in at least one of my pick six
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: pick seven entries there, so at least I had that
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: out of it. But still, yeah, Penn State, I mean,
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: they're back home here. I don't know that they're gonna
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: be I mean, I could see it going both ways, man,
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: really like if they're gonna be in the dream crusher
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: mode and be totally flat here maybe, or are they
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: just gonna be really angry and play one of those
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: James Franklin bully games where they bully their opponent because
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: they're obviously the better of the two teams here against Northwestern.
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in a Northwestern though. I mean,
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: Penn State's laying a lot of points twenty one and
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: a half with a very low total to of forty eight,
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: so of course it's pretty difficult to cover a three
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: touchdown spread when the total is forty eight seventy eight
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, only sixty four percent of the cash
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: on Penn State. So the money is saying to take
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: the points with Northwestern here. I mean, I won't disagree
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: with it, but it's it's difficult to gauge the game, man, Like,
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: is Penn State really in the dream pressure or not?
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: But even if they're not, I mean maybe they just
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: kind of get in and get out of this game.
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: I mean it depends, man, are you gonna get an
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: angry Penn State team that bullies their opponent or not?
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: Is really what you kind of have to gauge there.
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: So yeah, difficult game to gauge. Nebraska and Maryland. I'll
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: just talk about it just for Nate big Red against
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: small Red. I don't know who's Maryland. I don't know.
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: Maryland had their first loss last week. Man, it was
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: kind of a brutal loss at home to a pretty
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: decent Washington team. Maryland was the underdog and Maryland had
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: a big, like a decent lead in that game and
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: they blew the lead. They had a double digit lead
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: in the game and blew it. So they might not
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: be in the greatest spot here coming up of that
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: game their first loss of the season. Two contend to
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: hang you over a little bit, and Maryland does not
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: have any impressive wins except I guess beating Wisconsin somewhat
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: impressive because they were a big underdog in that game.
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: But this is Maryland team. I still don't think they're good. Man.
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: They were like a seventeen point underdog I think against Wisconsin. Oh, no,
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: ten and a half my mistake, but still they were
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: a double digit underdog at Wisconsin. They were six and
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: a half point underdog against Washington at home. So this
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: Maryland team is still not very good. Nebraska is definitely
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: the better team Maryland. I don't know if they're exactly
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: in the greatest spot here. They will try to step
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: it up. For Nebraska. Nebraska is not exactly in a
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: terrible spot either, except that it's their first road game
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: of the season this late into the season. That is
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: not the easiest thing to do, and it's a somewhat
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar venue having to go to Maryland. So I don't
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: love the spot for either team here. Really. Nebraska's coming
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: off kind of an easy win over Michigan State, where
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: I leaned it to Nebraska to cover that number and
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: they missed. I think they're up to twelve and they
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: only won by eleven. So if you got the eleven
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: earlier in the week, you were able to get the
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: push on that at least. But a first true road
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: game this late to the season is never something I
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: really want to go with, especially when you're laying points,
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: which I'm sure Nebraska is laying points here. They are,
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: they're up from three and a half to six and
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: a half, But the public is on Maryland because I
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: think the public just sees both these teams are four
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: and one, and the public doesn't know how to gauge
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: these two teams. But the oddsmakers are telling you Nebraska
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: is the way better of these two teams. And Nebraska
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: at least played pretty competitively against Michigan, they beat Cincinnatis.
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: Nebraska has the better resume here so far. Maryland seventy
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on them and only sixty one percent
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: of the cash. It's very rare that you see something
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: like that, and a rare public home underdog here, so
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: I think you want to lean into the public road
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: underdog is probably the most rare though, but I think
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: in this case you do want to lay the points
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: in Nebraska, but they are up from three and a
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: half to six and a half going towards seven there,
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: So I think you've lost a little bit of value
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: on that. I would lean to laying the points in Nebraska,
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: but I don't want to touch it. TCU Kansas State
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: the purple battle here both of these teams. Kansas State's
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: better than the record looks. TCU I think was in
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: the rankings until they I think dropped out again last week.
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: TCU were coming into this week TCU's four and one
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: Kansas State's two and four. TCU is a two point
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: favorite on the road though, so the Oswiggers are actually
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: telling you. I'm kind of surprised the Oswangers are actually
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: telling you TCU is that much the better team. I
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: thought Kansas State might be a small favorite here. TCU
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: is up from one to two. Seventy per tickets seventy
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: nine percent of cash some money coming in on TCU.
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man. I mean, Kansas State is coming
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: off a tough game last week against Baylor where they
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: lost by one, difficult game, and they do have their
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: big rivalry game against Kansas up. Next to Kansas is
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: the team that might actually play the big brother role
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: now because they have the better record over Kansas State now,
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: so it actually looks like a little bit of a
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: sandwich for Kansas year. So Kansas State excusely so, I
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: don't really love it that much. TCU beat Colorado last
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: I mean nothing to really take away from that. I
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: think they were in the rankings and they dropped out
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: just because they didn't do anything impressive. Kansas State has
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: a more difficult resume or a more difficult schedule so far.
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: They played Iowa State, Arizona Baylor, both of those games
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: on the road, So yeah, Kansas State is the more
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: battle tested team TCU. Their best opponent was Arizona State.
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: They lost by three on the road. No shame in
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: that though. That actually might have been the game that
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: dropped them out of the rankings actually, So yeah, Kansas
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: State does have the better resume so far. At least
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: they played more difficult teams, so I worry about it
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: a little bit. But I do think Kansas State's in
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: a bit of a difficult spot there slightly to TCU,
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: but I don't love it. Air Force UNLV here, Yeah,
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: the hood rat names gay Red is Maryland the Red Rockets.
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 1: There should be a team called the Red Rockets. That
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: would be ridiculous. We only have the Toledo is just
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 1: the Rockets. I don't think we have a team that's
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: the Red Rockets. Air Force at UNLV, I'm gonna say
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: it again. UNLV is just a massive fraud. They're the
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: biggest fraud that I can really even remember. Ever. I mean,
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: what the fuck have they done again? They barely beat
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: at Idaho State, an FCS team in their first game
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: of the season at home. They were at least a
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: double digit of favorite in that game. I think they're
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: probably a twenty something point favorite. In that game, they
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: almost lost the game outright and Idaho State outgained them
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: very bad sign Then they beat a Sam Houston team
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: that's just not as good this year. They're changing their
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 1: offense this year. Not impressive win, even though it was
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: on the road. They beat UCLA when UCLA was playing
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: so poorly that UCLA had to fire their coach, So
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: I don't know if there's much you can take away
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: from that. Then they beat us when I played Miami Ohio.
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: That was the only time I played a UNLV game.
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: I played Miami Ohio and we got even more screwed
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: in that game than you think. In that Miami Ohio
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: game was Miami Ohio's quarterback got injured in the first
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 1: quarter of that game. Man, Miami Ohio was up fourteen
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: to nothing, and their quarterback got hurt, so they had
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: to play three quarters of the game with a backup quarterback,
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: and they lost their starting center, and they lost I
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: think two starting defenders as well. So Miami Ohio lost
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: four starters in that game, including I mean quarterback and center.
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's like your entire battery basically, So that's
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 1: like the battery in baseball catcher and pitcher. So that's
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: just that's bullshit. Man. Miami Ohio should have won that game.
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 1: And then Miami Ohio was still gonna win that game.
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: They were in the red zone in a tied game
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: late in the game, chance to win the game, and
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: they fumbled it and then that's what set up the
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: UNLV game win. He scored. That game was complete bullshit, man,
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: And as I if you look at that game, actually
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 1: hold on, yeah, let's look at that game real quickly.
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 1: I believe Miami Ohio outgained them too, right if because
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: I remember really just being pissed about this game. I
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: should have been a win for us on Miami Ohio. No,
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 1: you on V did out gain them my mistake. Miami
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: Ohio did lose the turnover battle. But again, miamay O
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 1: High lost their fucking quarterback in the game. Uh, so
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: they had to use I don't know, some other quarterback.
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: Whoever the hell they used, don't even know. Uh. But
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 1: then UNLV beat Wyoming last week in snow and how
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: did they win this game? Oh yeah, let's let's think
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: about this. Let's look at how they won this game.
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: By the way, they got outgained in this game by
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: one hundred yards Wyoming three fifty six to two fifty six,
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: so Wyoming dominated the statue. Wyoming lost the turnover battle
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: three to one, so that's part of the reason why
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: they lost. But we'll get into what those turnovers were
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: in a second, because that makes it even more ridiculous.
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 1: Wyoming had more first downs, possession battle was basically even.
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: It was a snow game as well, which you figure
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: a Vegas team is not going to be that well
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: adapted to snow. And it's high elevations that I almost
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: made Wyoming a play man. I would be really angry
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: if I made it a play. I didn't have it
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: on my pick six or pick seven either, but I
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: was close to putting it there because I thought it
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: was a good spot to play Wyoming. I think UNLV
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: just won on complete bullshit. Man. As we already saw,
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: they won the turnover battle, they lost the yards battle.
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: But it's even worse because two of their touchdowns were
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: on block punt returns, and that's how they won the game.
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: They won the game by fourteen, and they had two
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: touchdowns on block punt returns for touchdowns. It's complete bullshit, dude,
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: absolute bullshit. They did nothing to win this game, man.
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's just it's such a flu When do
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: you ever see two punts blocked for touchdowns and they
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: were both in Wyoming territory. One was a sixteen yard
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: return and the other was a thirteen yard return. They
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: both got blocked deep in Wyoming territory. It's unbelievable how
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: UNLV won that game. UNLV absolute fraud. They're gonna fall
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: off at some point. They got Boise stayed up next,
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: which might be a look ahead spot. So I really
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: don't like them here. Obviously, they're nowhere near what this
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: five and oh record makes them look. Air Force is
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 1: only one in four. My only issue here is that
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: air Force is coming off a big game in the
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: Commander in Chief Trophy round robin last week. They played
• 1:37:31
  Speaker 1: a really close game as a big underdog at Navy.
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: So that's really the only reason that I don't want
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: air Force here. That and their defense is not good.
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: Air Force has a really bad pass defense. However, UNLV
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: they're the running rebels. They run the football, so I
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: don't think UNLV really has much offensive capability to really
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: do that much damage against air Force, because again, air
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: Force is really bad against the pass and UNLV isn't
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 1: really that threatening of a passing attack. But my hesitation
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: with air Force is that they had that big game
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: against Navy last week where they almost were able to
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: pull that off as a huge underdog in one of
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 1: their biggest games of the season, and they're having to
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: travel from Navy on the East Coast in the Baltimore
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 1: area all the way back to Vegas. So that is
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: my one hesitation I have here with air Force. Otherwise
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 1: I would play air Force in this one. The money
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: is disagreeing with me. I don't know why fifty six
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets only fifty two percent of cash. How
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: can you, seriously, do you really think air Force is public?
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: UNLV is only laying a touchdown and they're five and
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: zero against a one to four air Force team. There
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 1: is no way that that number is accurate. I'm sorry.
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: There is no possible way that air Force is public
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: in this game, No fucking way. So yeah, I would
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 1: take the points that leave it alone, and then the
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: total is high. It's stafford sixty six to sixty five.
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 1: I mean a total in an air Force game like
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 1: that that is high for a game where you know
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: air Force is going to run the triple option. Air Force,
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: I mean they do pass the ball a little bit
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: more than you'd think, but air Force. But yeah, the
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: money's coming in towards the under. Eighty five percent of
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 1: tickets on the over, only fifty per the cash on
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: the over. So the under might makes sense here, just
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 1: because you might see both teams run the football on UNLV.
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: Like I said, they're gonna try to establish the run,
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: and I don't think that that plays into air Force's
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: defensive strength. More or less, if they have one, it
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 1: is at least against the run their weaknesses against the
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: pass and air Force. If they can run the football
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 1: and UNLV not exactly ready for that triple option, well, excuse.
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: If un l V is ready for the triple option,
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: I mean they might be able to slow down air
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 1: Force a little bit there. I mean UNLV does see
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: air Force I think every year at least for the
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: most part, so they're not totally unfamiliar with it. I
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: would still need to taking the points with the air Force, though, Nate, Yeah,
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: I mean you could say what you want, but you
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: gotta you have to when you're betting like this, you
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: gotta you gotta, like, you know, perform like a post
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: mortem on your bets. Man. You gotta you gotta like
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: take a look at it and see, like, did I
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: get lucky? You gotta you gotta admit that you got
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: fucking lucky on some of these on some of these plays, Man,
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 1: I recommend it against it. I think you got extremely
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 1: lucky on that one. I think there's absolutely no way
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: that air Force should have even won that game at all.
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: You're playing with absolute fire. Excuse a UNLV excuse, UNLV,
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: You're playing with absolute fire if you want to continue
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: putting money on this UNLV team. It's just massively overrated
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: at this point. Yeah. Nope, Dan Mullen, No, absolutely not
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 1: not a good coach. App State in Georgia State is
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: an interesting one. Man. I'm talking about so many fucking
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 1: games here, Man, gotta get to my plays. Georgia State,
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 1: as I pointed out already, they're coming off that big
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: game against James Madison where they almost pulled off the upset.
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 1: They played really well against James Madison, man, and they
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 1: were tied in the fourth quarter in a game where
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 1: they were a huge underdog. Now they got app Stage,
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: who's not having a good season coming off that hurricane
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: season last year. And Georgia State does have their rival
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 1: Georgia Southern up next, which I know neither team is
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 1: playing well, but that's a big game up next against
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: Georgia Southern. So and this is an out of conference game,
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: I think too, isn't it so? No? Uh wait, where's
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: app State? No it is, no, Sorry, it is a
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 1: divisional game. Never mind. For some reason, I was thinking
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: app State was in a different conference, but it's not.
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 1: They're in the same division. So yeah, I mean, I
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: guess that would be the one hesitation is that app
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: State is still an above five hundred team at least,
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 1: and it is still a divisional game, but Georgia State
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: gave it. They're all as a big underdog in that
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: game against James Madison. Man, So, I don't think it's
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: a very good spot for Georgia State. It almost kind
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 1: of looks like a sandwich spot in a way. And
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 1: for app State, I mean they did not they excuse me.
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 1: They gotta win last week against Oregon State back at home,
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 1: so they bounced back after two losses on the road.
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: They finally got a decent win because their only other
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 1: FBS win was against a bad Charlotte team. So App
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 1: State might get some confidence after that Oregon State win there. Man,
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: So I think it's a better spot for them. They
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 1: get some momentum here. I know they're only two on
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 1: the road, but Southern Missing Boys of course Boise. Both
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 1: of those teams are better than Georgia State is. So
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: I would lean to air Air first. I would lean
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 1: to app State in this one. Georgia State is a
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 1: public home underdog here, Man, sixty percent tickets, only fifty
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash on them. App stayed down
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 1: from three and a half to two and a half.
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: Now you probably can lay two and a half or
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 1: three with app State here. My only hesitation with it
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: is again Georgia State may still show up for this.
• 1:42:30
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I would lean to app State in that one.
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 1: I think it's a decent way to look in that one.
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 1: An Old Dominion against Marshall. Of course Old Dominion coming
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: off an easy win against Coastal Carolina, but they have
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: their big game against James Madison next week, man, so
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 1: they might overlook Marshall. They're coming off a couple of
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 1: good looking wins against Virginia Tech. They went into a bye.
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 1: They beat Liberty, who looks like they're down this year,
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 1: though it's still program that's been decent recently, and they're
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: in the same state, and then they just whacked Coastal Carolina.
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 1: It was not a good team, but they might come
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: into this game over confident a little bit and looking
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 1: ahead to James Madison. So I would lean to Marshall here.
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 1: But Marshall, I mean, they are coming off that barn
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: burner against Louisiana, although they had a buy after that
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 1: at least, so they went into a buas that buyer
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 1: might help them rest after they did lose in two
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 1: overtimes to Louisiana there, so it does set up a
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 1: little bit better for Marshall. They do have more rest there,
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: so I would lean to Marshall. Old Dominion is extremely
• 1:43:24
  Speaker 1: public from thirteen to fourteen and a half now, so
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 1: you're getting two touchdowns on this one if you like Marshall,
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 1: even though I know I've been saying how bad of
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 1: a team they are after they lost their entire team
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 1: last year, ninety three percent of tickets, only ninety two
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 1: percent of cash on them, so on Old dominions, So yeah,
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 1: I would lean to Marshall on that one. That makes
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 1: absolutely no sense. I don't think UNLV has superior coaching
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 1: air force. I mean, these military academies always have the
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 1: like pretty much always have the superior coaching, they have
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 1: superior discipline, and Wyoming is not an impressive win it all.
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 1: Wyoming sucks. There's nothing that pumps you off about beating Wyoming.
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 1: So no, I do not agree. Yeah, and I know
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: you've been talking about Mississippi State, but I think you're
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 1: massively biased here. You're absolutely playing with fire if you
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 1: want UNLV there, I'm telling you right now, they are
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 1: a massive massive fraud. The wheels are gonna completely fall off.
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 1: App State is the Stoners school, all right? Well, so
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 1: maybe that helped them get over the get over the flood,
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 1: the flooding and the hurricanes that happened there. What else
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 1: do I want to talk about? Not too many of
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 1: these games left. I think we're gonna go to my plays.
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 1: Navy coming off the big game against air Force, I'll
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 1: just point that out, having to go to Temple now,
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 1: which is only their second road game. They did win
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 1: the first one at Tulsa. They don't have a big
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: game up next though against fau So, but still maybe
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot for Navy Temple. I mean, their offense
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 1: has been working all right. They did beat UTSA last time.
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: Out of their battle tests, at least they played Oklahoma
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 1: and Georgia Tech. Though I know they didn't do well
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 1: in those games. Their offense was doing at least well
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 1: earlier in the season. I guess they're not as good
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: now in those last few games, so maybe I have to,
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 1: you know, pull it back a little bit on that.
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 1: But they did beat UTSA last so UTSA is an
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 1: all right program right now. I would lean to Temple
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 1: in this game slightly. Navy is getting the money though
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 1: they're up from seven and a half to ten. I
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 1: don't really agree with that. Seventy per tickets eighty two
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Navy, so the money coming
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 1: in on Navy. But I think it's a letdown spot
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: after winning the Commander in Chief Trophy, although you could
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 1: argue the opposite. You could argue that or not winning
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 1: the trophy but winning one of the games in the
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 1: trophy series. But you could argue the opposite a little
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 1: bit and that Navy was a big favorite and they
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: played a close game, so there is that argument too.
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 1: Then maybe that will refocus them. Iowa Wisconsin. I'll hit
• 1:45:50
  Speaker 1: this game too, giving you all the all the games man,
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 1: pretty much. I was coming out of a bye after
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 1: they played that close game against Indiana. Not sure that
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: it's the greatest spot for Iowa here, man, They stepped
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 1: it up for that game against Indiana. Might take more
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: than a buy to kind of get over that. The
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 1: hangover might kind of linger a little bit because they
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 1: played well in that game. They got to go on
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 1: the road to face Wisconsin. It's not an easy environment.
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: Their only road wins so far was that Rutgers not
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: a very good team, and they do have Penn State
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 1: up next. I know Penn State faltering right now, but
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 1: Penn State is still a top twenty five team, man,
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: even though they've fallen out of the rankings. Power ratings,
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 1: guys definitely are gonna still have them as a top
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: twenty five team. I mean, they were top five before
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 1: they fell out, in which maybe they were over ranked
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 1: a little bit, but they were top five before the
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: last two weeks, so I mean it's just gone a
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: little bit too far with Penn State being unranked, so
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 1: I think that is a look ahead spot for Iowa.
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin's been down recently. I mean normally you get up
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 1: for Wisconsin, but maybe not when they're a down team.
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: Right now. Wisconsin has lost three games in a row now,
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 1: although I know they haven't stepped up well in class,
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: so you could argue that too. They lost to Alabama,
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: m Michigan and lost to Maryland, which shouldn't have happened
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 1: as Wisconsin was a big favorite in that game. They
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 1: lost in Michigan last time. You could argue that it's
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 1: a bad spot for Wisconsin too, though, because they played
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 1: Michigan decently enough that they covered the game, I think,
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 1: losing by fourteen, and they do have Ohio State next,
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: but a home game against Iowa. I do think they
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 1: will step up for it. You gotta pay attention to
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: what they're doing with their quarterback situation. O'Neil is out
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 1: and Simmons is in, But that might just be that
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 1: they made a change at quarterback because they just weren't
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 1: doing well. So I don't know, but I think the
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 1: spot is a little bit better for Wisconsin in my opinion.
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 1: But the money coming in on Iowa, but they're only
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 1: a three point favorite, so I think the public is
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 1: gonna have a tendency to want Iowa here seventy percent
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on them, but seventy four percent of
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 1: the cash on them right now. I don't know that
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: the cash is still gonna be there by the time
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 1: tomorrow night rolls around on Iowa. It looks almost too
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: easy to lay the three with Iowa. So I would
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: lean to taking the boys with Wisconsin in that one
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play it, and Clemson at BC,
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 1: this team and I mean, man two and three, just
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 1: it's their season's gone off the rails already, So second
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 1: straight road game here. They just they beat Bill Belichick
• 1:48:09
  Speaker 1: last time out nor last week North Carolina. Is that
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 1: gonna get them back on track? I don't know. I
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 1: mean going up to BC usually is a little bit
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 1: of a difficult spot, man, And if it's later in
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 1: the season, you have to deal with weather. It's gonna
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 1: be a bit of a cooler game. It's gonna be
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 1: fifty eight degrees. I don't think it's gonna be raining
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: or anything, but it would be a little bit cool
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 1: getting a little bit cool up here. We were getting
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 1: some frost over the last couple of nights. It was
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 1: in the thirties. So Clemson, yeah, I mean, they might
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: not be totally hyped up to go face this BC
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 1: team in BC one and four. I mean, they're basically
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 1: done for the season at this point already. But they're
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 1: coming off an ugly, ugly loss man that Pitt in
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 1: this game, which I think I already talked about it, right,
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 1: I kind of pointed out that well, even though Pitt
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 1: dominated them yardage wise, BC made it worse by having
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 1: three turnovers in the game. That's just a horrendous game
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 1: for BC. Man. I think they're at least a little
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 1: bit better than the record looks they played three road
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 1: games so far, and with not a whole lot left
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 1: to play for in the season, they're gonna get up
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: for a couple of games, and it's gonna be Clemson
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 1: coming into their place is gonna be a big game
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 1: for them, and then Notre Dame coming into their place,
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 1: and I guess probably Georgia Tech because they're both rained.
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 1: But Notre Dame is a rivalry game, as I mentioned
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 1: the Irish rivalry game there, so BC this is one
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 1: of the games they will get up for, So I
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 1: would lean to taking the points with BC in this one.
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 1: Seventy three percent of tickets and only fifty four percent
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Clemson up from thirteen to fourteen,
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: so you're getting two touchdowns with BC, and the money
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 1: looks like it's agreeing with the BC side, So that
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 1: is the way that I would lean one awaited sixty
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 1: one from Mullen. Don't care, don't think he's good. This
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: UNLV team they also kind of had to like reload
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 1: ish this year. They're nowhere near as good personnel wise
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 1: is what they had last year. Moan is a first
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 1: year coach there too, coming from out of the broadcast booth,
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 1: so I don't buy it. It's not a good sign
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 1: that he hasn't been coaching for a while. He was
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 1: in the broadcast booth for a reason, and the team
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 1: lost not only their coach from last year, but their
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 1: players when they were really good last year. I'm telling
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: you right now, UNLV, they're not good the Boston Lea
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 1: and yeah, that's right. I mean you can come back
• 1:50:16
  Speaker 1: to me when UNLV starts losing games, like, don't lose
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 1: money on UNLV. Man, I'm trying to warn you, all right.
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 1: I think we'll get to my best my best bets now.
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 1: I think it's it's about time for that. Yeah, well,
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 1: let's do it. I don't think I have anything else
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 1: to talk about here. We're gonna be at two hours
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 1: again here shortly. Hopefully we can get this done quickly
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 1: and hopefully I remember what the fuck I'm gonna say.
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 1: That was the breakdown? Oops, all right, best bet time,
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 1: let's do it. You kind of know what some of
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 1: them are already. We have a couple on the early slate.
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 1: One of them is gonna be Michigan State minus seven
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 1: and a half. We're gonna fade UCLA in this one.
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know if we're gonna be able to get
• 1:50:59
  Speaker 1: seven on this, I'm I mean maybe because it looks
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 1: like there is reduced juice on Michigan State. But it's
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 1: been seven and a half all week. I mean, you
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: could wait around and maybe see if you get the seven,
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 1: because even if it moves up to eight, I mean,
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 1: you're not losing a whole lot with that, even though
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: I know teams go for two point conversions now and stuff.
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 1: But I would wait maybe a little bit just to
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 1: see if you get the seven. I think you probably won't.
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 1: Michigan State does have sixty one percent of tickets, so
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: they're a little bit public. Is the public still I think,
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 1: not totally buying Ucla, but seventy five percent of the
• 1:51:28
  Speaker 1: cash on Michigan State. So the money is coming in
• 1:51:31
  Speaker 1: on Michigan State. And I'm gonna agree with it, man.
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is pretty simple. Though. Sometimes you don't
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 1: want to oversimplify things, but you don't want to overthink
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 1: things either. Ucla, I know they got their first win
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 1: of the season, man, And sometimes when the team's losing
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: like this, you know they fired their coach the week
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 1: prior to that or during their bye. I guess they
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 1: came out of the by played better against Northwestern, finally
• 1:51:52
  Speaker 1: got their first win last week, which normally I would
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 1: say that gets you back on track because you won
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 1: that game and now you're back on tra it gives
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 1: you most like, you know, momentum for the season. But
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 1: come on, man, they beat Penn State, who was ranked
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 1: seventh in the country at that point, still in front
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 1: of their home crowd is a twenty four and a
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 1: half point underdog. That is a massive win. And the
• 1:52:14
  Speaker 1: stupid security there stopped the crowd from rushing the field
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 1: or whatever, which is stupid. They should let the crowd
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 1: rush the field. Man. I think some players, some people
• 1:52:22
  Speaker 1: actually did get out onto the field, and though it
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 1: wasn't that many, but still it was a huge emotional
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 1: spot for UCLA. Man, that was that win basically was
• 1:52:32
  Speaker 1: their super bowl. Man. That basically made their season unbelievably
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 1: monster win there. Now they have to go out and
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 1: travel to this Michigan State team. It's really not playing well.
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 1: They're own too in conference. They're looking for a conference win.
• 1:52:44
  Speaker 1: This is certainly a winnable game for them. I think
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 1: it's a bad spot for UCLA and they're still new
• 1:52:49
  Speaker 1: to the big tent, So how used to they? How
• 1:52:51
  Speaker 1: used to playing in East Lansing? Are they probably not
• 1:52:54
  Speaker 1: that used to it? I know they went east once
• 1:52:56
  Speaker 1: this year already, they went to Northwestern, but that's not
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 1: even a real stadium in Northwestern, So the only actual
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 1: road game they played this year was I know, UNLV whatever,
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 1: So I think it's gonna be a difficult environment for them.
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 1: And this Michigan State crowd, I think is still gonna
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 1: be up for the game. They're still gonna be hungry
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 1: for it. Michigan State, they you know, they lost last
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 1: week to Nebraska, but they actually played decently, so when
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: they've stepped up in class, they haven't gotten completely steam rolled.
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 1: They covered against USC on the road, and then they
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 1: were actually on the road last week against Nebraska too,
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 1: and they actually slipped it, slipped it in there and
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 1: got the cover barely in that one too. So Michigan
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 1: State they're playing okay. Although I know Chiles doesn't look
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 1: like he was good in that game. But did he
• 1:53:40
  Speaker 1: get hurt? What's up with that? Let me see he did. Actually,
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: it looks like Chiles either got hurt or maybe he
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 1: got pulled from the game. And then went with mill
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 1: of Vojevich, has that he announce his name whatever. So
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 1: I don't think it even really matters though, who Michigan
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 1: State's gonna go with a quarterback here. I don't think
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 1: there's really a drop off one way or the other
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 1: between Childs hasn't really been getting it done for them.
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 1: He's the guy that the coach brought over with him
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 1: from Oregon State. But whatever, Michigan State, I mean, there's
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 1: still been playing decently so and of course this is
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 1: a UCLA team. They're better than I know. They have
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 1: a big game up next against Indiana whatever, but they're
• 1:54:16
  Speaker 1: still looking for their first Big ten winmen, and it's
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 1: just a massive letdown spot in my opinion for UCLA.
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 1: So we'll lay the points with Michigan State and that
• 1:54:25
  Speaker 1: one Penn State should score. Oh, score fifteen, Penn fifteen.
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 1: What does that even mean? I don't know. Everyone coming
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 1: to America has to changed their name and something we
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 1: can actually pronounce. Yeah, speak English man, all right? Next up?
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, you know what my next play is. We
• 1:54:47
  Speaker 1: have two noontime games that Michigan one is new and
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 1: on Big ten network. I'm doing it, I said, I
• 1:54:52
  Speaker 1: was gonna do it. I'll stick to my word. Hopefully
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 1: we don't lose on this one, but we'll go with
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 1: Missouri against Alabama. I mean, the PubL look is on Alabama.
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 1: I think you can wait on this, and it looks
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 1: like you're gonna get the three and a half on this,
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: So I wouldn't play it now because I was worried
• 1:55:06
  Speaker 1: that it was gonna go to two and a half.
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 1: But it's not. It's up to three with juice, so
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 1: I think you might be able to get three and
• 1:55:11
  Speaker 1: a half on this, So we can maybe give it
• 1:55:13
  Speaker 1: out at three and a half once I look to
• 1:55:15
  Speaker 1: see if it's out there. I don't know if you wait,
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 1: if you'll even get four on this, I don't know.
• 1:55:19
  Speaker 1: But we have conflicting opinions from professional professionals on this game. Man,
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 1: we have sixty eight percent ticket sixty nine percent of
• 1:55:25
  Speaker 1: the cash on Alabama. They dropped from five. It looks
• 1:55:29
  Speaker 1: like though I only saw it four briefly out there,
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 1: and immediately it got bought down from four to three,
• 1:55:36
  Speaker 1: and now it looks like at three some of these
• 1:55:38
  Speaker 1: other professionals are coming in and playing it at three.
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 1: So I think those are both actual professional opinions. I
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 1: think some of them like the plus four and three
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 1: and a half of Missouri and some other ones like Alabama.
• 1:55:51
  Speaker 1: And it's a conflict between power ratings and situation. So
• 1:55:55
  Speaker 1: the power ratings guys are saying Alabama's the right side here,
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 1: and you know me, I'm a situational guys. So the
• 1:56:01
  Speaker 1: situational guys are saying Missouri has the edge situationally, which
• 1:56:04
  Speaker 1: I agree with. So that's what I'm going with here. Yes,
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 1: I do agree that Alabama is better than what they're
• 1:56:10
  Speaker 1: ranked right now. They're ranked eighth in the country Missouri's fourteenth,
• 1:56:13
  Speaker 1: and I think the disparity is bigger than that. I do.
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 1: I think Alabama is most power rating. These guys have
• 1:56:19
  Speaker 1: them like the second or third best team in the country,
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 1: and I don't disagree with that. They're really, really good
• 1:56:25
  Speaker 1: for sure, Missouri, we don't know how good they are yet,
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 1: and that is the hesitation. Your Missouri hasn't really played
• 1:56:30
  Speaker 1: anybody yet. There were only really big wins against South
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 1: Carolina or I guess maybe Kansas. They won both those
• 1:56:37
  Speaker 1: games at home, so it's gonna be crazy when they
• 1:56:39
  Speaker 1: have their first road game next week at Auburn coming
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 1: off this one, so maybe potentially gonna be looking toward
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 1: or actually it might be in two weeks. Actually maybe
• 1:56:47
  Speaker 1: potentially look towards Auburn there, although Auburn's got a big game,
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 1: which I haven't talked about yet because it's gonna be
• 1:56:53
  Speaker 1: one of my plays. But Auburn is a big game
• 1:56:55
  Speaker 1: this week. But anyway, Missouri, yeah, I mean, they're still
• 1:56:58
  Speaker 1: staying at home here, so we don't have to worry
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 1: about them going on the road yet. This is gonna
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 1: be their biggest game so far out of the season.
• 1:57:03
  Speaker 1: You know they're gonna step up for this. Yes, we
• 1:57:06
  Speaker 1: can be a little bit worried about how good are
• 1:57:07
  Speaker 1: they really. They haven't beaten anybody this good yet. But
• 1:57:12
  Speaker 1: I mean you could worry about Alabama a little bit
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 1: too going on the road. They did win on the
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 1: road against Georgia. That was a big win. They lost
• 1:57:20
  Speaker 1: their road up opener against Florida State in the first
• 1:57:23
  Speaker 1: game of the season, but yeah, I know they played
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 1: way better since then they beat Georgia on the road,
• 1:57:28
  Speaker 1: but it's still there. You know, it's still an Alabama
• 1:57:31
  Speaker 1: team that has a freshman quarterback here, and yes, he
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 1: played decently. They were close in a close game against Georgia.
• 1:57:38
  Speaker 1: They won the game. Alabama always beats Georgia, though, Man,
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 1: that's just what they do. So yeah, I mean we
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 1: could be impressed by it, but maybe we shouldn't be
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 1: overly impressed by it. But this is gonna be. Yeah, now,
• 1:57:51
  Speaker 1: his third road game, but he is one and one
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 1: on the road. Alabama's one and one on the road.
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 1: A Simpson is their quarterback. Yes, he does look good,
• 1:57:57
  Speaker 1: but it's gonna be another hostile road game for him. Man,
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 1: And this is a I think this is a sandwich
• 1:58:03
  Speaker 1: spot for Alabama. And you might say, well, how could
• 1:58:05
  Speaker 1: that be when Missouri's ranked fourteenth in the country. I
• 1:58:08
  Speaker 1: know they are, But Georgia is always a huge game.
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 1: Alabama Georgia. I mean Georgia was ranked fifth in the country.
• 1:58:13
  Speaker 1: We know that's a huge game. But last week I
• 1:58:16
  Speaker 1: told you I lead to Alabama last week when all
• 1:58:18
  Speaker 1: was said and done, because I didn't think it was
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 1: the letdown spot after the Georgia game, because Vandy notably
• 1:58:24
  Speaker 1: upset Alabama last year. Is like twenty three point underdogs
• 1:58:27
  Speaker 1: or whatever at Vandy last year, and everybody remembers that
• 1:58:30
  Speaker 1: that was one of the game that was basically the
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 1: reason why Alabama didn't make a playoffs last year. So Alabama,
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 1: they remembered that they wanted revenge and they got it
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 1: against Vandy last week, so that was a big game.
• 1:58:40
  Speaker 1: Now they go to Missouri, which I actually think means
• 1:58:42
  Speaker 1: a little bit less to them, and it means more
• 1:58:44
  Speaker 1: to Missouri because this is gonna be Missouri's first step
• 1:58:47
  Speaker 1: up game that they've had here Alabama, I know they're
• 1:58:50
  Speaker 1: way more battle tested, but the game means a little
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 1: bit less than They're going out on the road to
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 1: a Missouri team that is a little bit of a
• 1:58:56
  Speaker 1: weird travel spot still for these SEC teams. And up
• 1:59:00
  Speaker 1: they got Tennessee and that is another revenge game because
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 1: Tennessee was also one of the three teams or whatever
• 1:59:07
  Speaker 1: that beat Alabama last year. Alabama lost at Tennessee last year,
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 1: so you know, Alabama has that Tennessee game circled as well.
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 1: I think they might not have this game as circled. Man.
• 1:59:18
  Speaker 1: And to make it a little bit better for Missouri,
• 1:59:21
  Speaker 1: Missouri is coming out of a bye, so Missouri does
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 1: have extra rest here to prepare for this. And yes,
• 1:59:26
  Speaker 1: I know I talk about teams that are undefeated going
• 1:59:28
  Speaker 1: into buys, it's like, well, you don't have anything to fix.
• 1:59:31
  Speaker 1: It's a bad spot to have the buye. I know
• 1:59:33
  Speaker 1: Missouri went into the buy and on a good note,
• 1:59:36
  Speaker 1: but I still think they're gonna use that by to
• 1:59:39
  Speaker 1: prepare for Alabama. Man, I still think it is somewhat
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 1: of a positive. They're gonna be more rested versus. Alabama
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 1: has played a gauntlet the last couple of weeks, which
• 1:59:46
  Speaker 1: I think is part of the reason why the line
• 1:59:48
  Speaker 1: is where it is. But I think part of it
• 1:59:50
  Speaker 1: is also the osmakers are telling you something. Man. They
• 1:59:52
  Speaker 1: think maybe part of it is the situation, but the
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 1: osmakers are kind of begging you to play Alabama on
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 1: this one. Even though the rankings aren't too disparate here.
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 1: I know it's number eight against number fourteen, but even so,
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 1: I think it looks it still looks too easy to
• 2:00:08
  Speaker 1: take Alabama. I mean, you know, Alabama is gonna be
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 1: the public side after what we saw them do the
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 1: last couple of weeks, and because they're the name Alabama,
• 2:00:14
  Speaker 1: so we'll do it. We'll take the points with Missouri.
• 2:00:17
  Speaker 1: Hopefully we get to win on that one too. Charles
• 2:00:22
  Speaker 1: with Penis there. I'll I didn't run Nate out of
• 2:00:24
  Speaker 1: the out of the chat there man by shitting on UNLV.
• 2:00:28
  Speaker 1: I just I'm stubborn, man, I have strong opinions there.
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 1: I've been a dick to Nate in the bass. I
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 1: apologize for all that, but hopefully I'm not being a
• 2:00:36
  Speaker 1: dick this time. I'm just very stubborn about my analysis
• 2:00:39
  Speaker 1: on UNLV here, but I'm not I'm not making it
• 2:00:42
  Speaker 1: personal this time. I unfortunately I did that other time,
• 2:00:46
  Speaker 1: which I should not have done. I was out of
• 2:00:48
  Speaker 1: line that time. Oh thank you, sir. Yeah, Penis, you
• 2:00:55
  Speaker 1: mean Michael Pennix. You gotta pronounce that right, Yeah, that's right,
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 1: oh penn fifteen. And I get it. I get yourself.
• 2:01:01
  Speaker 1: I miss that flew over my head completely. Roll Tigers
• 2:01:05
  Speaker 1: against Roll Tide. Yep, that's right. Uh oh that's the
• 2:01:09
  Speaker 1: Finally Charles comes through after three weeks I think, telling
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 1: me there's some soul food restaurant near Auburn. It's Panny
• 2:01:17
  Speaker 1: Georgia's kitchen. Okay, all right, got it. So that's that's
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 1: what we want. Oh thank you, Charles. No, I mean,
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm I want to be more entertaining, though
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: I want more people to you know, kind of. I mean,
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 1: I like the interaction here, but I just want more
• 2:01:31
  Speaker 1: people to watch my show, although it means I won't
• 2:01:33
  Speaker 1: be able to interact with everybody in the chat once
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 1: it gets that, if it ever gets to that. All right,
• 2:01:38
  Speaker 1: let's do this. Man, this is gonna be like two
• 2:01:39
  Speaker 1: hours ten minutes here. I think you're gonna hate this
• 2:01:43
  Speaker 1: next play. You're gonna hate the most. You guys might
• 2:01:44
  Speaker 1: not hate those other ones that much. They're not too crazy,
• 2:01:48
  Speaker 1: too contrarian. This next one is as contrarian as it gets. Man,
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 1: we're gonna go to the Red River shootout between Oklahoma
• 2:01:55
  Speaker 1: and Texas, and you're not allowed to call it the
• 2:01:57
  Speaker 1: shootout anymore because you have to be PC. Now you
• 2:01:59
  Speaker 1: can't talk about guns anymore. You have to call it
• 2:02:02
  Speaker 1: the red River rivalry. Now we're gonna go with Texas
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 1: plus one or maybe they're a favorite now whatever, I mean,
• 2:02:09
  Speaker 1: if you're just playing them to win the game, I
• 2:02:11
  Speaker 1: think it's the right way to go. I know it
• 2:02:12
  Speaker 1: looks ridiculous. This is one of those rankings versus versus
• 2:02:18
  Speaker 1: line to spare it is here. Oklahoma was plus three
• 2:02:21
  Speaker 1: and now they're a pick them. But I can tell
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 1: you why the line is moving, and you can maybe
• 2:02:24
  Speaker 1: wait to play Texas too. You might get like a
• 2:02:27
  Speaker 1: little bit of extra value on this if you wait,
• 2:02:29
  Speaker 1: because the line is only gonna start moving a little
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 1: bit more towards Oklahoma because of the quarterback situation, which
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 1: is that Oklahoma's quarterback Matier got hurt. I believe in
• 2:02:38
  Speaker 1: the last game, or I think actually he missed the
• 2:02:41
  Speaker 1: last game. I think they played a cupcake last time
• 2:02:43
  Speaker 1: and he didn't play at all. Hold on, let me
• 2:02:46
  Speaker 1: find it here. But I believe Matier is almost definitively
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 1: playing at this point, which is why you see the
• 2:02:52
  Speaker 1: line move because I think Texas was actually favored when
• 2:02:55
  Speaker 1: it was gonna be Oklahoma's backup who is I don't
• 2:02:58
  Speaker 1: even know who their backup is, but it is gonna
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 1: be Materier now, which I think is why the line
• 2:03:02
  Speaker 1: has moved like this. So that makes me like Texas
• 2:03:05
  Speaker 1: more that Materia is coming back, because you get a
• 2:03:07
  Speaker 1: little bit extra value on Texas sixty two percent taking
• 2:03:10
  Speaker 1: sixty four percent of the cash in Oklahoma. I'm not
• 2:03:12
  Speaker 1: too worried about that percentage there, especially with the quarterback
• 2:03:16
  Speaker 1: situation kind of getting in the mix there. Yeah, so
• 2:03:18
  Speaker 1: Hawkins Junior played against Kent State. I mean whatever, Kent
• 2:03:21
  Speaker 1: State is a a cupcake. Let me see, did Matier
• 2:03:25
  Speaker 1: get injured in this game? No, so Materira think got
• 2:03:28
  Speaker 1: injured towards the end of the previous game. It must
• 2:03:31
  Speaker 1: have been against Auburn. So Kent State was the injured
• 2:03:35
  Speaker 1: player spot for Oklahoma last weekend. I mean, it doesn't
• 2:03:37
  Speaker 1: really take much effort to beat Kent State, so whatever,
• 2:03:41
  Speaker 1: but Materia is coming back, so it is gonna be
• 2:03:42
  Speaker 1: the reverse injured player spot though from a tier where
• 2:03:46
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not gonna say Oklahoma's gonna gonna like
• 2:03:48
  Speaker 1: breathe a sigh of relief. Really, like, oh, we get
• 2:03:50
  Speaker 1: our starting quarterback back. We don't have to play as
• 2:03:52
  Speaker 1: hard because this is the Red River shoot Out here.
• 2:03:55
  Speaker 1: It's a huge rivalry game, so both teams are gonna
• 2:03:57
  Speaker 1: show up. It's a neutral site game, by the way,
• 2:04:00
  Speaker 1: it's at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas, Texas, so it's
• 2:04:03
  Speaker 1: kind of between It's halfway between the two even though
• 2:04:06
  Speaker 1: it's in the state of Texas, it's halfway between Austin
• 2:04:09
  Speaker 1: and Norman. Basically, so I think they always play this
• 2:04:12
  Speaker 1: game in the Cotton Bowl, if I'm not mistaken, But
• 2:04:16
  Speaker 1: that makes the line even look a little bit more strange,
• 2:04:18
  Speaker 1: by the way, so Materier will come back. So I
• 2:04:21
  Speaker 1: do think that that does mean that Oklahoma is still
• 2:04:23
  Speaker 1: kind of in that mental spot where, oh, we get
• 2:04:25
  Speaker 1: our starting quarterback back, we can kind of like breathe
• 2:04:28
  Speaker 1: that sigh of relief a little bit. And I think
• 2:04:29
  Speaker 1: the way Texas has been playing recently, Oklahoma might take
• 2:04:33
  Speaker 1: them a little bit lightly. Man. I mean, you see,
• 2:04:34
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma's ranked sixth in the country. They're five and oher
• 2:04:38
  Speaker 1: Texas is three and two. Now after last weekend, they've
• 2:04:41
  Speaker 1: dropped completely from the rankings. Come on, man, Texas was
• 2:04:46
  Speaker 1: number one in the country to start the season. And
• 2:04:49
  Speaker 1: I'm not saying they're actually in the number one team.
• 2:04:51
  Speaker 1: I don't think they are, but they went from number one.
• 2:04:54
  Speaker 1: They lost to Ohio State in Week one in a
• 2:04:56
  Speaker 1: close game on the road. You can't really blame them
• 2:04:58
  Speaker 1: for that. Ohio State is probably be the best team
• 2:05:00
  Speaker 1: in the country, and now because they lost to Florida
• 2:05:03
  Speaker 1: last week, now Texas is no longer even ranked at all.
• 2:05:07
  Speaker 1: Do you really think that Texas is not still a
• 2:05:10
  Speaker 1: top twenty five team. I mean, that's ridiculous to think
• 2:05:12
  Speaker 1: that They've only lost one game in the SEC. So
• 2:05:15
  Speaker 1: they're not dead yet. And this is a massive, massive
• 2:05:18
  Speaker 1: rivalry game. So although they are a two lost team,
• 2:05:21
  Speaker 1: but I don't think they're gonna get knocked that much
• 2:05:23
  Speaker 1: for losing Ohio State at least, So I still think
• 2:05:26
  Speaker 1: they could still get to the playoffs. They just they
• 2:05:28
  Speaker 1: gotta win a lot of games. But and it starts here.
• 2:05:31
  Speaker 1: But you know they're gonna show up for this game.
• 2:05:33
  Speaker 1: It's a huge rivalry game anyway, They're gonna show up
• 2:05:35
  Speaker 1: for it. They're gonna be embarrassed after how they played
• 2:05:37
  Speaker 1: last week. They're gonna show up. The public's not gonna
• 2:05:40
  Speaker 1: want them at all. Uh, And they're just being severely
• 2:05:44
  Speaker 1: undervalue here. And you're looking at a line, like I said,
• 2:05:46
  Speaker 1: where it's like a pick em price. Basically it's just
• 2:05:48
  Speaker 1: pick the winner, and it's pick them horns here, hook
• 2:05:53
  Speaker 1: them horns. You're looking at the number six ranked undefeated
• 2:05:57
  Speaker 1: team in the country, basically almost being an underdog against
• 2:06:00
  Speaker 1: the three and two team. Well why is that? Well,
• 2:06:02
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you these teams are about even,
• 2:06:05
  Speaker 1: and I actually still think Texas might be the better
• 2:06:07
  Speaker 1: team out of the two. O the osmakers are telling
• 2:06:09
  Speaker 1: you that Oklahoma might maybe is the slightly better team.
• 2:06:12
  Speaker 1: I know it's because of Texas offense. Their offense has
• 2:06:15
  Speaker 1: been struggling. Oklahoma's offense has been good with Matier, There's
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 1: no doubt about that. And they did win two decent
• 2:06:23
  Speaker 1: games against Michigan and Auburn. I mean, those are their
• 2:06:25
  Speaker 1: big wins. But Michigan, remember that was Underwood for Michigan.
• 2:06:28
  Speaker 1: That was his first road test. It was a really
• 2:06:30
  Speaker 1: difficult spot from Michigan, so you know, I mean, we
• 2:06:35
  Speaker 1: can not put too much weight into that win for Oklahoma.
• 2:06:38
  Speaker 1: And then they're winning against Auburn was a little bit bs.
• 2:06:40
  Speaker 1: I mean it was a close win and they only
• 2:06:43
  Speaker 1: covered because of a late weird safety in that game,
• 2:06:46
  Speaker 1: so it was a close game. So Oklahoma, I mean,
• 2:06:49
  Speaker 1: when they've stepped up against good defenses like Michigan and Auburn,
• 2:06:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, their offense has not actually been that good
• 2:06:54
  Speaker 1: with Matier there, and of course we know Texas they're
• 2:06:57
  Speaker 1: a good defense. So Texas probably is the better of
• 2:06:59
  Speaker 1: the two defenses. And you know, I lean to defense.
• 2:07:02
  Speaker 1: Both these defenses are good. Yes, Oklahoma does have the
• 2:07:05
  Speaker 1: better offense, but that's why the public is gonna be
• 2:07:07
  Speaker 1: on them. I'm gonna go to the team that's the
• 2:07:09
  Speaker 1: undervalue team here, the team it's the better defense. I
• 2:07:12
  Speaker 1: know Arch Manning has not been good for Texas when
• 2:07:15
  Speaker 1: stepping up in class. He may not be good, but
• 2:07:17
  Speaker 1: Texas is still an elite defense. Man. That's what we're
• 2:07:21
  Speaker 1: gonna go with. And of course, again, they played Florida
• 2:07:24
  Speaker 1: last week, and yeah, I know they played the more
• 2:07:27
  Speaker 1: difficult game last week. That was just kind of an
• 2:07:29
  Speaker 1: embarrassing loss. And yes, both their losses are on the road,
• 2:07:32
  Speaker 1: by the way, and this is not a true road
• 2:07:33
  Speaker 1: game here, so you don't have to worry about them
• 2:07:35
  Speaker 1: being on the road this week. That was just an
• 2:07:37
  Speaker 1: embarrassing game, man, losing to an unbringked Florida. But Florida
• 2:07:40
  Speaker 1: is still not that bad of a team. Man, that's
• 2:07:42
  Speaker 1: gonna make Texas look bad, But Florida is still a
• 2:07:45
  Speaker 1: competitive team when they actually are at full strength. Like
• 2:07:48
  Speaker 1: this Florida team is not as bad as people think
• 2:07:50
  Speaker 1: they are. So yeah, all that being said, we're gonna
• 2:07:55
  Speaker 1: go with Texas here. I think they're the undervaluet commodity
• 2:07:58
  Speaker 1: here at this point. It's like playing the stock man.
• 2:08:00
  Speaker 1: I think the stock is as low as it's gonna
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 1: get on Texas here at this point. I was on
• 2:08:06
  Speaker 1: Texas a couple times last year. I know some of
• 2:08:08
  Speaker 1: it didn't work out for me, thinking they were undervalued
• 2:08:11
  Speaker 1: last year, which I still think they were getting into
• 2:08:13
  Speaker 1: the playoffs last year. Arch Manning is not even as
• 2:08:16
  Speaker 1: good as Quinn viewers. I know he hasn't been good.
• 2:08:18
  Speaker 1: He's only looked good against bad defenses, and Oklahoma's not
• 2:08:21
  Speaker 1: a bad defense. But still, I think it's gonna be
• 2:08:24
  Speaker 1: a low scoring game. I think it's gonna be a
• 2:08:26
  Speaker 1: game where Texas is in this game and has a
• 2:08:29
  Speaker 1: really good shot to win the game. And that's what
• 2:08:30
  Speaker 1: we're gonna go with here. I think they get it done.
• 2:08:34
  Speaker 1: So yeah, we're going with Texas as the undervalued commodity there.
• 2:08:37
  Speaker 1: The rankings makers are telling you something completely different than
• 2:08:40
  Speaker 1: the odds makers, and the odds makers are the more
• 2:08:42
  Speaker 1: trustworthy bunch. The total did go up from forty two
• 2:08:46
  Speaker 1: and a half to forty four and a half, but
• 2:08:47
  Speaker 1: this rivalry a lot of times recently has no longer
• 2:08:49
  Speaker 1: been the shootout. I mean, I think you're it's gonna
• 2:08:52
  Speaker 1: be a more defensive game, and I think both defenses
• 2:08:54
  Speaker 1: are better than both offenses. Fifty tickets are on the under,
• 2:08:57
  Speaker 1: but fifty the cash on the over. I would lean
• 2:09:00
  Speaker 1: to an under in this game. I think the under
• 2:09:02
  Speaker 1: makes sense in that game. So those are my thoughts
• 2:09:05
  Speaker 1: on that your grandfathered in. Yeah, that's true. I'll still try.
• 2:09:12
  Speaker 1: I'll try to get your chats if we blow up.
• 2:09:17
  Speaker 1: The rankings are basically made by they're like, I think,
• 2:09:21
  Speaker 1: like beat writers and like people that are like involved
• 2:09:24
  Speaker 1: in like various schools throughout the country. So they're just
• 2:09:28
  Speaker 1: it's all like eye tests, it's all what they saw
• 2:09:30
  Speaker 1: most recently. Basically, they seem to be getting worse and worse. Yeah,
• 2:09:35
  Speaker 1: get or done will bring Larry the cable guy in
• 2:09:38
  Speaker 1: Red River Massacre. I don't think it's gonna be a
• 2:09:40
  Speaker 1: massacre one way or the other. I don't think it's
• 2:09:41
  Speaker 1: gonna be a blowout, but hopefully it's not a blowout
• 2:09:45
  Speaker 1: against us, because then I'll look real bad. And to
• 2:09:47
  Speaker 1: finish it off, our last play, we're gonna go with
• 2:09:49
  Speaker 1: Auburn plus the four. We're gonna fade Georgia in this one. Georgia,
• 2:09:55
  Speaker 1: I know they're good. I think they're maybe not as
• 2:09:57
  Speaker 1: good as they have been in the last like I
• 2:09:59
  Speaker 1: think last they looked like they started taking a little
• 2:10:01
  Speaker 1: bit of a step back last year. Even though Kirby
• 2:10:03
  Speaker 1: Smart is good. I know whatever, George's rate tenth in
• 2:10:07
  Speaker 1: the country right now, I think they're basically deserving of
• 2:10:10
  Speaker 1: that ranking. They're definitely good. There's still one of those
• 2:10:12
  Speaker 1: top teams. I think there's still a playoff caliber team.
• 2:10:16
  Speaker 1: But I think Auburn is very much under the radar here.
• 2:10:18
  Speaker 1: This Auburn team is not bad, and I think the
• 2:10:22
  Speaker 1: spot sets up nicely. And the fact that George is
• 2:10:24
  Speaker 1: only laying three and a half or four points here
• 2:10:27
  Speaker 1: on the road, Yeah, it looks like you can get
• 2:10:29
  Speaker 1: four here. It's up from three and a half to
• 2:10:31
  Speaker 1: three and a half with juice. Sixty seven percent of
• 2:10:33
  Speaker 1: tickets and cash bolt on Georgia here. But it looks
• 2:10:35
  Speaker 1: so easy to take Georgia. The public is on them.
• 2:10:38
  Speaker 1: I think you wind up seeing less of the cash
• 2:10:40
  Speaker 1: on them here. It looks so easy to lay that
• 2:10:43
  Speaker 1: with Georgia, big name team like that, and we saw Georgia.
• 2:10:46
  Speaker 1: I mean, their resume looks pretty good so far this year, too,
• 2:10:49
  Speaker 1: better than Auburn's does. So the public they're gonna be
• 2:10:51
  Speaker 1: on Georgia the known quantity here laying what looks like
• 2:10:54
  Speaker 1: a cheap price. They're gonna look and see Georgia beat
• 2:10:57
  Speaker 1: Tennessee in a high scoring game. That looks good. Their
• 2:11:00
  Speaker 1: only loss was to Alabama by three, so people are
• 2:11:03
  Speaker 1: gonna see that as a good looking loss. And then
• 2:11:05
  Speaker 1: they bounced back from that pretty nicely with a win
• 2:11:08
  Speaker 1: and barely a cover last week against Kentucky, so they
• 2:11:11
  Speaker 1: did not have the let down. So I think maybe
• 2:11:14
  Speaker 1: this is where they have the letdown. Remember I did
• 2:11:15
  Speaker 1: mention that Kentucky did play Georgia really close last year,
• 2:11:19
  Speaker 1: so I thought maybe Georgia would kind of show up
• 2:11:22
  Speaker 1: in that game, which was kind of my hesitation there
• 2:11:24
  Speaker 1: off of the Alabama game, that maybe they would still
• 2:11:28
  Speaker 1: kind of focus on Kentucky because Kentucky did well against
• 2:11:31
  Speaker 1: them last year, so they were able to play pretty
• 2:11:35
  Speaker 1: well in that one. I think this is where the
• 2:11:36
  Speaker 1: bad spot comes in. Man. Georgia has only played one
• 2:11:39
  Speaker 1: road game so far. It was that game where they
• 2:11:41
  Speaker 1: almost lost at Tennessee. Tennessee had chances to win that
• 2:11:44
  Speaker 1: game for sure. Tennessee took them into overtime. I know
• 2:11:47
  Speaker 1: Uburn not quite as good as Tennessee, but they're not bad.
• 2:11:50
  Speaker 1: And Georgia does have all miss up next, and then
• 2:11:53
  Speaker 1: after that they do have a buy and then they
• 2:11:54
  Speaker 1: do have the big cocktail party, the world's biggest backyard
• 2:11:59
  Speaker 1: cocktail the fuck it's called against Florida after that huge
• 2:12:03
  Speaker 1: rivalry game there. So this is the least of the
• 2:12:06
  Speaker 1: of the next three games upcoming here, man, And I
• 2:12:09
  Speaker 1: do think Auburn is a little bit under the radar here.
• 2:12:11
  Speaker 1: Oh by the way, I forgot to mention one other
• 2:12:13
  Speaker 1: thing about Alabama Missouri. My apologies, I forgot to mention this.
• 2:12:17
  Speaker 1: Alabama has actually given up a lot of yards on
• 2:12:20
  Speaker 1: the ground against the good rushing attacks, which includes Georgia Alabama. Sorry,
• 2:12:25
  Speaker 1: I completely it slipped my mind. Man. One of the
• 2:12:28
  Speaker 1: reasons I like Missouri Alabama give up a lot of
• 2:12:31
  Speaker 1: yards on the ground to I believe Florida, State, Georgia,
• 2:12:35
  Speaker 1: and Vandy, like all of them put up some big
• 2:12:37
  Speaker 1: rushing totals against them. So Alabama's rushing defense is kind
• 2:12:40
  Speaker 1: of questionable, and Missouri is a very balanced offense, and
• 2:12:43
  Speaker 1: they're one of the best rushing attacks in the country
• 2:12:46
  Speaker 1: right now, although I know they haven't played anybody very
• 2:12:48
  Speaker 1: good yet. But Missouri, they have an offense that can
• 2:12:50
  Speaker 1: take advantage of Alabama's defensive weakness, which is against the run.
• 2:12:54
  Speaker 1: So and that also I think helps playing an underdog
• 2:12:57
  Speaker 1: because the Missouri is gonna be running effectively. It's short,
• 2:13:00
  Speaker 1: so it means the points are worth a little bit more.
• 2:13:02
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I do think Missouri is equipped to play
• 2:13:06
  Speaker 1: well against Alabama's defensive weakness. So I forgot to mention that,
• 2:13:09
  Speaker 1: so I'll throw that out there. But anyway, back to
• 2:13:11
  Speaker 1: Georgia here, Gunner Stockton hasn't really played that well when
• 2:13:15
  Speaker 1: stepping up in class. He played well against Tennessee, but
• 2:13:17
  Speaker 1: that game went into overtime to pad his stats a
• 2:13:20
  Speaker 1: little bit. He didn't put up many yards against Alabama
• 2:13:23
  Speaker 1: or Kentucky, so I don't know what the deal is
• 2:13:26
  Speaker 1: with that. But yeah, I mean Georgia maybe a little
• 2:13:29
  Speaker 1: bit of an overvalued commodity right now. And then on
• 2:13:31
  Speaker 1: the Auburn side of things, Auburn's coming out of a
• 2:13:36
  Speaker 1: bye and they went into the buy in a bad note.
• 2:13:38
  Speaker 1: They played Oklahoma and Texas A and M, and they
• 2:13:40
  Speaker 1: lost both those games, but that battle testedt Auburn and
• 2:13:43
  Speaker 1: they only lost those games each by a touchdown. They
• 2:13:46
  Speaker 1: lost by seven to Oklahoma, and I told you there
• 2:13:48
  Speaker 1: was a safety at the end of that game. They
• 2:13:50
  Speaker 1: should have lost by five. And then they lost that
• 2:13:53
  Speaker 1: game to Texas A and M. I know Texas A
• 2:13:54
  Speaker 1: and M did really seriously outgained them in the game,
• 2:13:58
  Speaker 1: which is part of my Texas A and M handicapped
• 2:14:00
  Speaker 1: last week, but Auburn still played them tight man. They
• 2:14:02
  Speaker 1: played them pretty well. I think this Auburn team is
• 2:14:05
  Speaker 1: a bit under the radar right now, although I know
• 2:14:06
  Speaker 1: they haven't played they haven't beaten anybody good yet, but
• 2:14:09
  Speaker 1: they played well against two really good teams on the road,
• 2:14:12
  Speaker 1: no less, in Oklahoma and Texas A and M's. This
• 2:14:15
  Speaker 1: is actually gonna be their conference home opener against Georgia
• 2:14:18
  Speaker 1: on ABC, so I think they're gonna get up for
• 2:14:20
  Speaker 1: this game. It's at seven thirty pm Eastern in this one.
• 2:14:25
  Speaker 1: The Red River Shootout, by the way, is an afternoon game,
• 2:14:28
  Speaker 1: by the way, on ABC at three thirty pm, just
• 2:14:31
  Speaker 1: to throw that out there too. But yeah, I mean,
• 2:14:33
  Speaker 1: I think Georgia excuse the Auburn. They're gonna get up
• 2:14:36
  Speaker 1: for this game, man, So that would be my opinion here,
• 2:14:39
  Speaker 1: and they have the extra rest and again you go
• 2:14:41
  Speaker 1: into the buy in a bad note like Auburn did.
• 2:14:43
  Speaker 1: You're gonna use that buy to fix some things. So
• 2:14:45
  Speaker 1: I think that's what we're gonna get out of Auburn.
• 2:14:48
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Those are the plays man, Hopefully
• 2:14:52
  Speaker 1: you guys like them. Michigan State minus seven and a half.
• 2:14:55
  Speaker 1: I don't think you can get a better number on that.
• 2:14:57
  Speaker 1: Maybe as possible Missouri plus three, Texas plus one, or
• 2:15:01
  Speaker 1: maybe you'll get even better than that, and then Auburn
• 2:15:03
  Speaker 1: plus four Missouri you might get three and a half
• 2:15:05
  Speaker 1: as well. So but yeah, Auburn plus four is the
• 2:15:08
  Speaker 1: last one. Those are the plays down. What's up? Man?
• 2:15:13
  Speaker 1: Don asking about UNLV, No, sir, I do not. I
• 2:15:16
  Speaker 1: do not like UNLV. I don't like them as a team.
• 2:15:19
  Speaker 1: I think they're the most fraudulent team in all of
• 2:15:22
  Speaker 1: college football. But I hesitate to want to play against
• 2:15:26
  Speaker 1: them necessarily this week though, because I do think air
• 2:15:28
  Speaker 1: Force is also in a bad spot coming off that
• 2:15:30
  Speaker 1: big game against Navy where they almost pulled the OPPOSEET,
• 2:15:33
  Speaker 1: So I'm hesitant to look at that game at all,
• 2:15:36
  Speaker 1: to be honest, but I generally I do not like UNLV,
• 2:15:40
  Speaker 1: though I don't think there's any value in that. I
• 2:15:42
  Speaker 1: think UNLV is massively overvalued in a very fraudulent five
• 2:15:46
  Speaker 1: and zero. Nate having his laugh at that, because Nate
• 2:15:49
  Speaker 1: likes UNLV, I do not. But I don't have like
• 2:15:53
  Speaker 1: a really strong opinion on that game though. But generally
• 2:15:56
  Speaker 1: I do think UNLV is very overvalued, and we're gonna
• 2:15:58
  Speaker 1: see him just completely follow a cliff at some point
• 2:16:01
  Speaker 1: based on what they've actually done so far this year
• 2:16:05
  Speaker 1: or failed to do. You're gonna put those in all right,
• 2:16:09
  Speaker 1: Hopefully I don't let you guys down. Thanks a lot, guys,
• 2:16:12
  Speaker 1: thanks for hanging out. Long episode, maybe the longest so far.
• 2:16:15
  Speaker 1: Almost three am. This sucks. We were watching that baseball game.
• 2:16:20
  Speaker 1: I thought I was gonna be quicker at this, but
• 2:16:21
  Speaker 1: I never am. Whatever, I'll be back in the morning
• 2:16:24
  Speaker 1: and we gotta talk about there's a full hockey slate tomorrow.
• 2:16:28
  Speaker 1: We gotta talk about that. But there's not a whole
• 2:16:30
  Speaker 1: lot else. I don't even know if there's any base
• 2:16:32
  Speaker 1: bother it might be Actually I think there is. There's
• 2:16:35
  Speaker 1: Cubs Brewers. I think Game five is tomorrow, so we
• 2:16:37
  Speaker 1: get another Game five. UNLV is our only disagreement. Oh,
• 2:16:43
  Speaker 1: We've disagreed every show last year. I'm gonna continue to
• 2:16:46
  Speaker 1: disagree on NLV. Oh, thank you, sir. That's gonna do it.
• 2:16:49
  Speaker 1: Learn it tone on Twitter, Learn it Tone on Instagram.
• 2:16:52
  Speaker 1: You can find my stuff there, like subscribe to the
• 2:16:55
  Speaker 1: show here better off dead of course until I change
• 2:16:57
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• 2:17:00
  Speaker 1: The reviews on there helped me out as well. Listening
• 2:17:02
  Speaker 1: helps me out there as well. Covered in You because
• 2:17:05
  Speaker 1: my Ukuleley channel on YouTube. I gotta get Yuktube, I
• 2:17:10
  Speaker 1: get covered in Yuke. I gotta get the the most
• 2:17:13
  Speaker 1: recent UH covers up. I think I'm pretty much up
• 2:17:16
  Speaker 1: to date with that, but I'm not up to date
• 2:17:17
  Speaker 1: on the Patreon, so I gotta do that too. Patreon
• 2:17:20
  Speaker 1: dot Com, slash learn to toad. There is a yuke
• 2:17:21
  Speaker 1: feed on there at one of the levels, and uh
• 2:17:24
  Speaker 1: not many people want it, though, so I gotta get
• 2:17:26
  Speaker 1: some more. I gotta figure out some more Patreon content here,
• 2:17:30
  Speaker 1: so we'll see about that. That's gonna do it for now.
• 2:17:32
  Speaker 1: There may be an announcement that I am gonna have
• 2:17:34
  Speaker 1: about being on a new podcast that may or may
• 2:17:38
  Speaker 1: not be sports related. That's not gonna be just me.
• 2:17:41
  Speaker 1: So we'll see if that comes to fruition, and if
• 2:17:44
  Speaker 1: it does, hopefully it takes off. But there may be
• 2:17:47
  Speaker 1: an announcement coming about that, So stay tuned for that.
• 2:17:49
  Speaker 1: Patreon dot com slash learn to toad again for the
• 2:17:53
  Speaker 1: bonus yuke content for now, and you get prioritized requests
• 2:17:56
  Speaker 1: that nobody's taking advantage of, yet take advantage of me. Baby,
• 2:18:00
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. Tower Bald, No, it's not. Bald
• 2:18:06
  Speaker 1: Bald will still be a series that I do with
• 2:18:08
  Speaker 1: Clint though when he's available to do it. I don't
• 2:18:11
  Speaker 1: know when the next one of those will be, but
• 2:18:13
  Speaker 1: we'll probably do another one at some point for some
• 2:18:16
  Speaker 1: playoff or something I will see for NFL playoffs. Maybe
• 2:18:19
  Speaker 1: it will be the next one or maybe Yeah, I
• 2:18:21
  Speaker 1: don't think he follow falls college, so it would be
• 2:18:23
  Speaker 1: NFL playoffs and especially if his Chargers are in the
• 2:18:26
  Speaker 1: playoffs and or if my colts are there. That's gonna
• 2:18:29
  Speaker 1: do it for now. Have a good one, everybody, Happy
• 2:18:32
  Speaker 1: good morning to you. I'll be back in like a
• 2:18:33
  Speaker 1: few hours. Uh, that's gonna be great. Peace out for now, guys,