Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 8 Gambling Picks! This Week is Mid? Injured 9ers? Surefires by Trends Center!
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- 0:55OK, OK, OK.
- 0:57We're here. We're back.
- 0:59It's three for the Money.
- 1:00New episodes every Thursday and it is now week eight.
- 1:05And we are now in the meat and potatoes of the system of the season.
- 1:14And last week was definitely kind of a gut check moment for me.
- 1:21Personally, I did not do as nearly as as good as I thought I was going to do.
- 1:27But I'm going to throw it to Chris.
- 1:31And how would you recap your past week for me?
- 1:37Well, NFL, it was the definition of average.
- 1:41I went six and six.
- 1:42So I get it.
- 1:44It just stinks.
- 1:46I keep losing all these parlays that I put out, like all these
- 1:51same game parlays that I put out by like one or two legs.
- 1:54And it it hurts. So.
- 2:00Sunday night, I had a close one Monday night.
- 2:02They're only that close.
- 2:03But I went six and six, which is whatever.
- 2:06We'll take it.
- 2:07But it doesn't feel doesn't feel great when I keep losing all these damn parlays.
- 2:15But we'll take it, I guess.
- 2:19Yeah, I took both of the parlays, the surefire and the bandit.
- 2:23And. Yeah.
- 2:27Yeah, my surefire was to that was.
- 2:30Surefire was never like at Bucks first half.
- 2:34That even like tied at the half.
- 2:36They ended up losing the game.
- 2:37It was just.
- 2:39So it wasn't a great week.
- 2:41So it goes six and six, I guess, is fine.
- 2:44But you know what?
- 2:46Love the board.
- 2:47This slate kind of stinks, but I love the board this weekend.
- 2:49Yeah, the slate this week is pretty mid.
- 2:55But as for last week, I went.
- 2:58Five and three, I lost my no, I went three and five.
- 3:01And I lost my my surefire pick and does not feel good.
- 3:07Does not feel good at all.
- 3:09Both the parlays lost.
- 3:13Chargers, I might just stay away from them for the rest of the rest of the season.
- 3:18I don't know.
- 3:20Stuff to get a read on them, but.
- 3:23Yeah, I just feel like Justin Terber is just going to be the reincarnation
- 3:27of Philip Rivers, but.
- 3:30We will we will see about that.
- 3:33But Sean, how did you do?
- 3:40I did all right.
- 3:42I added a few games late, like at 1145.
- 3:47So I'm not sure if I got them out in time.
- 3:51But I ended.
- 3:53I ended the week nine and seven.
- 3:56After being down two and five in the noon slate,
- 4:01the noon slate just about broke me.
- 4:05But I rallied and I came back only lost two in the afternoon
- 4:11and Sunday night football and Monday night football.
- 4:15Well, but yeah, it was it was a good rally.
- 4:19I'll say that.
- 4:20But after being so beat down early.
- 4:25But I won my surefire pick.
- 4:29But I don't I don't know how that didn't go over.
- 4:32Steelers Rams, that was.
- 4:35Oh, yeah, that was a miracle.
- 4:38The miracle that didn't go over.
- 4:41I can buy the Rams.
- 4:43Yeah, shout out to you, Chris, for for pointing out
- 4:48the the trend center giants play.
- 4:53Damn, I'm sure that was that was a huge, huge play.
- 4:58I mean, that almost like oh, good.
- 5:00Sorry. No, no, no, no, go ahead.
- 5:02So that pretty much saved my day, honestly,
- 5:05because that was a plus money winner and I was even on the day.
- 5:07So yeah, yeah, for sure, for sure.
- 5:10But I also had the under in that game,
- 5:13which was not even close to going over.
- 5:16So that was great.
- 5:17But yeah, I also one of the later plays that I I did was
- 5:23Eagles minus three, which was also like the the trend center
- 5:27notification that comes through every single day.
- 5:30It's like, hey, this trend is whatever and whatever in X amount of games.
- 5:35And I just blindly bet it and it worked out.
- 5:39Well, thankfully. So shout out, shout out trend center.
- 5:44Shout out.
- 5:46I I should have followed the trends a little more closely.
- 5:50Definitely.
- 5:51They they gave out one trend on Twitter that had four games on it
- 5:56and they all four hit.
- 5:58I yeah, I should have should have went with that.
- 6:01But whatever. Miss.
- 6:04Yeah. Yeah, it was the it was the same with the Niners Vikings
- 6:08under as well.
- 6:10I hopped on that.
- 6:11Yeah. Yeah.
- 6:12So I hopped on as well. Yeah.
- 6:15Yeah.
- 6:17It's great.
- 6:18And luckily I did because I had Niners minus six and a half.
- 6:22So went one and one on that.
- 6:25But what I had, I had Niners minus six and a half.
- 6:29I had a parlay and I live bet Niners money line at the half.
- 6:33I did the same thing under was the only thing that hit.
- 6:37Yeah.
- 6:40Thank God it did.
- 6:41Thank God it did.
- 6:42Yeah. And I wouldn't have taken it if trend center didn't post or
- 6:46sent it out, whatever, didn't have it.
- 6:49So thank God for them.
- 6:51Yeah. Thank you.
- 6:55But I I say enough about last week.
- 6:58Let's just get into week eight.
- 7:00Yes.
- 7:01What do you all this?
- 7:02Let us get get into week eight.
- 7:03And the first game we're going to talk about is the Jacksonville
- 7:08Jaguars at the Steelers in Pittsburgh.
- 7:12And the Steelers are home dogs by two and a half.
- 7:16Hmm. What could what could the boys be taken here?
- 7:20What do you what do you think, Chris?
- 7:22Maybe you're playing ping pong in your brain.
- 7:25Which side?
- 7:26I kind of I kind of am because it's kind of.
- 7:31The same.
- 7:33The same.
- 7:34This is the last.
- 7:35But now the Steelers are at home.
- 7:39It's like the two fade Mike Tomlin at home as a home dog, no less.
- 7:45I don't know. I have Jackson.
- 7:46That's two and a half written down.
- 7:49I'm tempted to flip.
- 7:51Someone convinced me one way or the other.
- 7:53What do you got, Sean?
- 7:57He shouldn't have thrown it to me.
- 7:59Damn.
- 8:00I.
- 8:03I have written down Jags minus one and a half.
- 8:08I got them early today.
- 8:12Yeah.
- 8:14Jags just look.
- 8:16Pretty good.
- 8:18Yeah. And I hate to say it, but they
- 8:22they do look pretty good and Steelers look good last week.
- 8:27I know.
- 8:31It's just.
- 8:34I don't know the Mike Tomlin thing.
- 8:37Home dog.
- 8:38You don't want to bet against it.
- 8:41But, you know.
- 8:45Shit like this is made to be broken.
- 8:48Yeah.
- 8:49So I'm going to I'm going to I'm going to ride with my gut here and I'm going to take the Jags minus one and a half.
- 8:54Okay.
- 8:57Well, I wasn't a very convincing argument.
- 9:02Well, I am not playing ping pong in my brain.
- 9:05I am taking the Steelers plus two and a half.
- 9:08Mike Tomlin as a home dog.
- 9:10I'm following the trend.
- 9:13And I that's pretty much it.
- 9:15I mean Steelers have a rock solid defense.
- 9:17You know what else is new.
- 9:20And.
- 9:21You know, if.
- 9:24What what changed last week when they were able to put up points against the Rams is they finally was throwing the ball to George Pickens and you know, maybe if they can, you know, learn from last week and you know, actually throw the ball to, you know, George Pickens and among others and Deontay, Deontay Johnson's back.
- 9:44I think Steelers can cover this.
- 9:46I mean Mike Tomlin as a home dog, you know, I, I don't have the numbers.
- 9:50But I mean, I feel like it's been well covered on this show that Mike Tomlin as a dog, let alone a home dog.
- 9:58It's it's a great number.
- 10:01So I'm taking that's what I'm taking Chris did.
- 10:04Have you made your decision?
- 10:06I'm going Steelers.
- 10:09Sorry, Sean, I do agree.
- 10:11I think the Jags.
- 10:13I think the Jags are the better play.
- 10:15But Tomlin is the home dog.
- 10:18If I lose, I lose.
- 10:20Nothing matters.
- 10:22But if I lose, you know, that's a solid stat to rely or a solid trend to rely on.
- 10:29So, you know, why not?
- 10:31You know, why not?
- 10:32Also, I hate the Jags.
- 10:34So Steelers plus two and a half because because of vibes really.
- 10:38So, you know, what could go wrong?
- 10:41This was this was also a kind of like Jags played on Thursday.
- 10:47So they've got a little bit more extra rest than the Steelers.
- 10:52So it's more of a rest kind of bet for me as well.
- 10:57I don't hate the Steelers.
- 11:01I'm not going to be surprised when and if this loses.
- 11:05But yeah, I'm just it's just a gut, the gut thing.
- 11:11I mean, Jags are obviously running through the AFC South.
- 11:15They're just going to run through this division and yeah, I hate it.
- 11:21And I didn't want to be a believer early in the season.
- 11:26Because I mean, I said on this show like early in the season, I'm like,
- 11:30Jags aren't going to be that good.
- 11:31And they're sitting at five and two.
- 11:34So, yeah, they're pretty damn good.
- 11:39Pretty damn good.
- 11:41I'm interested to see what they do as a road favorite, though, that's,
- 11:45I don't think I've seen Jacksonville as a road favorite in quite a while.
- 11:51Now that I think about it.
- 11:53Yeah, where did they play Houston this year?
- 11:57That was a Jacksonville.
- 11:59Yeah, that was a Jacksonville.
- 12:00Okay.
- 12:01Well, yeah, I can't remember.
- 12:02I haven't really been following.
- 12:03I can.
- 12:04I'm super close.
- 12:05So we'll see.
- 12:06This is a, a Prove it game.
- 12:08If they're legit or not. So, um, yeah, I'm just going to stick with my gut.
- 12:14All right. Well, the next game, a little bit bigger of a spread.
- 12:20We'll see what, we'll see what happens.
- 12:22We got the Rams at the Cowboys.
- 12:24The Cowboys are home favorites by six and a half, a little less than a touchdown.
- 12:29What do we, what are we thinking?
- 12:31Or do you want me to go first? Should I go first?
- 12:35Go for it.
- 12:37I don't know if you volunteered yourself. Yeah.
- 12:40Okay.
- 12:41I will go first.
- 12:42I will be taking under 45.
- 12:45And this is why I believe that both teams have a pretty good defense Cowboys off a
- 12:50buy.
- 12:51Um, the Rams, Rams have a decent defense.
- 12:56I mean, uh, and they, they still have a little bit of questions with, with Stafford.
- 13:03I mean, Stafford's always good for at least like one interception.
- 13:06Um, and Dak is mid.
- 13:09He's fallen into mid season form mid Dak.
- 13:14Um, and, uh, yeah, that, that point spread is just too big to take the Cowboys,
- 13:21but also like the Cowboys can easily blow out the Rams.
- 13:24So, man, I'm, I'm, I'm taking under 40 and at 40, 45 and a half.
- 13:30Jesus.
- 13:31I will.
- 13:32Um, Chris, what do you think?
- 13:34Um, well, I'm a little nervous cause you said that and then Sean said smart when
- 13:41you said under 45 and a half, I'm going over.
- 13:44Um, the Cowboys like.
- 13:47On the events, everyone that they're good is by just shit pumping these kind of teams.
- 13:58Um, the Cowboys secondary does not impress me whatsoever.
- 14:01Um, they're a banked up. I'll give them that, but the Rams, the Rams have some dudes on,
- 14:06on offense, especially a wide receiver.
- 14:09I can see the Cowboys.
- 14:10I want to stay away from the spread because Cowboys, my six and a half year, right?
- 14:15It feels a little fishy, but also I, like I said, they kind of run it up against these
- 14:20kind of teams.
- 14:21I think Cowboys can get 30 at least in the Rams.
- 14:26Go get me two touchdowns.
- 14:27So I like the over.
- 14:29I'm rolling with it.
- 14:31I assume Sean, you're on the under.
- 14:33Um, no, I'm not.
- 14:35Oh, I am on the Rams plus six.
- 14:40Oh, okay.
- 14:42Um, I think this is kind of high of a spread.
- 14:48Um, I mean, Cowboys, they're coming off a buy.
- 14:55And the two home games they played this season, they beat their opponents by at least 20.
- 15:01The Jets and the Patriots.
- 15:03And I think both those teams weren't at their best during those games.
- 15:12I would say that was probably like more or less one of their, their downfalls of the season.
- 15:18Um, but I do like the Rams here.
- 15:22They are the Rams are the third best team against the spread this year at four, two and one.
- 15:29Um, I like the six here.
- 15:33I just, I, I think this number is too high.
- 15:37It's, it's, it's, it's enough to where you don't want to take the Cowboys, but it's risky enough to where you just like, I'll lay it on the Rams.
- 15:47Why not?
- 15:49I think the Cowboys will win this game.
- 15:52They will win this game.
- 15:54But I think it's, I think it's going to be a battle.
- 15:59Yeah, I, I think it's just, I think it's going to be a defensive battle.
- 16:05I think both quarterbacks are going to throw at least one interception.
- 16:10But I mean, yeah, I, I did want to take throne one yet.
- 16:16I don't know.
- 16:18Has he thrown one?
- 16:20Yeah.
- 16:21Didn't you throw three against San Francisco?
- 16:23Oh yeah, he did.
- 16:25That's another reason I thought about being the Cowboys because the last time we saw them, they got railroaded by San Francisco and they kind of want to flex.
- 16:34But I just can't, I cannot lay.
- 16:37Almost a touchdown with the Cowboys, like against like a decent team.
- 16:43I can't.
- 16:44The only reason I said smart will on the under is I think this, this total is pretty high 45 45 and a half.
- 16:54I'm not sure what you got it at will but I yeah, I think it's pretty high.
- 17:02And I think it will be kind of a defensive battle as well.
- 17:06It's just one of those games that could rock, but it's not going to.
- 17:12Yeah, I think that's perfectly said.
- 17:16Yeah.
- 17:18Is this a noon game?
- 17:20Yeah, it's weird.
- 17:22Yeah, especially in Dallas.
- 17:25Reigns and Cowboys playing a noon game.
- 17:28Yeah.
- 17:29If you would have told me that like three years ago, I'd be like, no way, you're lying.
- 17:35You're lying.
- 17:38Yep.
- 17:41I think that's all we got for we got next.
- 17:43Next game.
- 17:45NFC North matchup.
- 17:47We got the Vikings at the Packers Packers are home dogs by one and a half.
- 17:53I think this game is going to be ugly.
- 17:58Sean, you take this one.
- 18:02All right.
- 18:04Well, I'm on the Vikings minus one and a half.
- 18:09I'm on the Vikings.
- 18:11I'm on the Vikings.
- 18:13I'm on the Vikings.
- 18:15My cousin's is back.
- 18:17Herk.
- 18:19Herk.
- 18:20Herk.
- 18:21I can't bet on the Packers.
- 18:24Right now.
- 18:26I can't do it.
- 18:28I can't do it.
- 18:30I know this is a divisional road.
- 18:32This is a visual home dog.
- 18:35But I can't do it, dude.
- 18:37I can't do it.
- 18:39I can't do it.
- 18:40I can't do it.
- 18:41You just look bad right now.
- 18:44And Jordan love tricked us in thinking that he was good.
- 18:48He did.
- 18:49He tricked us into thinking he was good.
- 18:52Vikings are just the better team on paper.
- 18:54This isn't a prime time game.
- 18:56Even though like.
- 18:58You know,
- 18:59Vikings won outright on Monday night football last week.
- 19:03Yeah. I love.
- 19:05I love the Vikings.
- 19:07Here.
- 19:09Especially Kurt Cousins at noon.
- 19:11Yeah.
- 19:12Give me that all day.
- 19:14Chris, what do you got?
- 19:16The opposite.
- 19:18Packers money line.
- 19:20This line makes zero sense to me.
- 19:23The Vikings should be favored by.
- 19:26At least three and a half.
- 19:28They just beat the 49ers who people thought were the best team in football.
- 19:33Um,
- 19:35but they didn't know that.
- 19:41Um,
- 19:42the packers suck. Don't get me wrong.
- 19:44This is strictly a, this line makes no sense play.
- 19:48I can see the honestly,
- 19:49if the Vikings wouldn't scan by two touchdowns,
- 19:51I'm not going to be like, Oh, how could, how did this happen?
- 19:54I'm going.
- 19:59Yeah.
- 20:00I'm going packers money line here just because this line makes no
- 20:02The public got like shafted last week on in terms of just like where the public money was
- 20:08So I think the tides might be turning towards the not claiming to be a sharp
- 20:13But I think the tides are turning towards the sharper side
- 20:17So I think Packers money line is a play here for that reason and really that reason alone because they're
- 20:23Very good at all
- 20:25Like I said Mike he's going to skip my two touchdowns, but I'm going Packers money line will
- 20:32Are you with me or with Sean?
- 20:36I'm with neither
- 20:39figured
- 20:41I
- 20:42I
- 20:43My brain was in a pretzel for this game because I fell into I think all of the traps last week
- 20:52I
- 20:53Just it felt like Vegas was making a dummy out of me
- 20:58so
- 20:59This is this was kind of like a I
- 21:02think
- 21:04The the line doesn't make sense. I think you are right Chris
- 21:08That's the line like Viking should be favored by at least three and a half
- 21:13But like also like I don't want to bet on Jordan Love. I
- 21:18Don't want to put money on him, but it makes sense to bet this
- 21:22So I took a look at the total and I'm taking under 42 and a half
- 21:30Both of these teams are they've kind of struggled to to generate offense here
- 21:37I
- 21:38Think the Packers have only hit the over twice. I think the same thing for the Vikings
- 21:45It's week eight like you are who you are at this point
- 21:49And you know, it's it's a divisional matchup. I think it's just gonna be
- 21:55Just a defensive slugfest
- 21:58Not that either of these teams defenses are great
- 22:01I just think it'll probably be tougher to manufacture offense on both sides
- 22:08So that's where I'm going
- 22:12Let's see there used to be a
- 22:14There used to be a time in this matchup back when Aaron Rodgers was like in his prime where it was where the under in this
- 22:22Series was automatic. I think it hit like seven straight times at one point. I
- 22:28Remember it like that used to just be like don't even look at the total just under it doesn't even matter and
- 22:35For whatever reason because even like Kirk Cousins Aaron Rodgers like one great quarterback one
- 22:39Good quarterback, but it was just all it was free money for a while there
- 22:47Hmm, I don't know what it's been in the last few years since like the teams have changed but
- 22:52Maybe the ghost of Aaron Rodgers will help me on this bet
- 22:56Yes, because he's dead. Yes
- 23:00He ain't playing football
- 23:02So he's dead. Yeah, the next game we got we got the Bengals at the 49ers
- 23:09Niners looking like humans niners kind of banged up
- 23:13Bengals maybe are back
- 23:16Who knows?
- 23:18Niners are favored by three and a half at home Chris. What is your bet for this game?
- 23:26This is another one, I don't know
- 23:29I
- 23:30Have the Niners written down but Brock party apparently has concussion or is in concussion protocol
- 23:36So I really I don't know if Debo or Trent Williams are coming back. I just I
- 23:42Do not know
- 23:45Like I
- 23:46if if Trent Williams and Debo come back I still might rock with the Niners just because I don't think
- 23:53I think quarterback play in the in a couch shanhan offense is all that important
- 24:00I mean went to a damn NFC championship with Jimmy G. So I
- 24:07What's the what's the total at do we have that right now I did not write that yeah, it's 45 and a half
- 24:15under
- 24:17Especially if Brock doesn't play definitely under not I mean even if he does play neither of these offenses are
- 24:24Very good at all right now, which is weird to say about the Niners granted
- 24:27They're a banged up, but the Bengals offense is not really just hasn't clicked yet
- 24:33And like you said this point in the season like we're almost halfway through this thing
- 24:37You are what you are right now and the Bengals
- 24:40It just might be an average team this year. So
- 24:43I'll go with under 45 and a half or 45 and a half is that what it was? Yeah, I'll take that for right now
- 24:51Pay attention to the Twitter might change based on injury reports, but as right now. Yes under for me will
- 24:59What do you have?
- 25:01so I
- 25:03Did a little research on the on the on the injuries
- 25:08Trent Wilson
- 25:10Trent Williams
- 25:11yeah
- 25:13he is questionable to return and
- 25:17Debo is not gonna return until
- 25:20mid-November oh
- 25:23Yes, I did not do that. Yes. I
- 25:27Placed on IR then
- 25:30No, or maybe I don't I mean that could only be like two weeks from now then yeah, I guess yeah
- 25:37Yeah, okay
- 25:40and
- 25:44Yeah Brock Purdy's in concussion protocol
- 25:47We will see about that, but I am taking the Bengals here
- 25:53Let's see I
- 25:56Think that the Niners kind of showed that they are
- 26:01Beatable I
- 26:03Mean you lost a Kirk cousins in prime time come on
- 26:08And I think that
- 26:12If the Bengals have any hope of making the playoffs then they got a win
- 26:16They started I got to start stringing some of these wins along okay because the rest of their other division
- 26:22I think they all have at least four wins. I don't know where the Bengals are at but I
- 26:28Don't know about the stealer
- 26:30Bangles are three and three. What's the Steelers record? I
- 26:36Know Raven Ravens Ravens and Browns both have four I'm pretty sure I don't know about the Steelers
- 26:44So the Steelers no
- 26:49But I will be taking the Bengals plus three and a half I
- 26:52Think that Joe burrow has shaken off that calf injury. I think he is
- 26:58potentially back
- 27:01If I'm hoping he returns to form
- 27:06Like you know the the meat and potatoes of the season last year we here's just covering all of these games
- 27:13Just non-stop
- 27:14So I'm going to hop on that train early and I am taking the Bengals plus three and a half
- 27:21Sean what is your play?
- 27:23I'm also on the under under 45 and a half
- 27:29This this isn't the same Bengals team from the past
- 27:35It's not even it's not even close
- 27:41The the injury reports have
- 27:43Me and a pretzel as well
- 27:45It was kind of weird seeing that Brock Purdy was put in concussion concussion protocol
- 27:50Like I think I saw that today. I saw it was odd
- 27:55I saw it like I did my research and I had nine or some eyes five and a half written down
- 28:01Yeah, and then like an hour later. It was like oh Brock Purdy as concussion or his income protocol, whatever and then moved to three and a half
- 28:08So now I'm like well shit. That's why I was like, I don't know what to think. Yeah
- 28:12It's weird because the report was like he suffered a concussion
- 28:16During the Monday night game and I was like but it's Wednesday. Yeah, it's it's he finished the game and it's also Wednesday
- 28:25So
- 28:26Is this like really like a concussion thing or like I don't I don't only get to like conspiracy, but like it it struck me as odd
- 28:40But the they have shown that
- 28:42They are beatable. I think if party doesn't play
- 28:48Sam how is they Arnold?
- 28:50Yes, not Sam Howell
- 28:54Sam Darnold is up at that
- 28:57and
- 28:58I don't know. I think this is the perfect storm for an under and this is another game that's really like
- 29:07Disappointing but
- 29:09This game could have rocked if the if Joe Burrow was healthy and the bingles were like staying on the right track for the past two years
- 29:2049ers have looked unstoppable up until you know these past two weeks
- 29:26This game could have rocked
- 29:28but
- 29:29This is another game that has
- 29:32Potentials in the game
- 29:34But this is another game that has the potential to rock it had the potential to rock
- 29:42but now
- 29:44It doesn't so you and this total 45 and a half
- 29:50Pretty high very high take the under take the under
- 29:55Yeah
- 29:57It's all I got to say about that
- 29:59shout out force gump, you know, but
- 30:01Man, it's like I hate taking this under. I really I really wish I wasn't going to take it
- 30:15Yeah, we'd be creaming our jeans. Yes, it's it brought party doesn't play. I definitely know is this the game of the week
- 30:21Or is it the chiefs?
- 30:23I pretty sure it's the chiefs. Yeah, fucking go figure. Yeah, I mean they're playing the Broncos, but oh
- 30:31But yeah, this game is gonna suck unfortunately
- 30:36Yeah, I hope I'm wrong. I hope this game has actually no, I don't if it's not game the week
- 30:41I'm definitely not gonna watch it so I don't care. Oh, but socks
- 30:43I was also thinking about laying the Niners here
- 30:47And then I saw the injury report and then I saw the the line at minus five and a half and I
- 30:54Have been burned the last two weeks on these Niners spreads just absolutely torched
- 31:03So I
- 31:05I can't believe I'm not gonna be able to get the Niners
- 31:08Just absolutely torched. Yeah, so I I can't I don't I don't feel comfortable betting either side of this game
- 31:19So just rock with the under and unfortunately this is a stinky game
- 31:26Yeah, this is stinky game now. So stinky take the under damn straight
- 31:30That's what we do with stinky games. We take the under. All right next game Sunday night football
- 31:36We got the Bears at the Chargers
- 31:41Chargers burned me last week. I'm very not excited for this game. I'm going to watch it regardless
- 31:50Chargers are home favorites by eight and a half
- 31:53I
- 31:54Forgot to check the line at what the total was so I'm going to throw it to Shawn while I do that
- 32:01All right, that's fine. Um
- 32:06First off
- 32:08What is this line?
- 32:10This line makes no sense at all
- 32:15Bears just won by like 30
- 32:19Last week and the Chargers just lost outright
- 32:23Why are why are the Chargers favored by nine?
- 32:27This makes no sense and you know what this uh, what's his name this baguette kid?
- 32:35Badger I think badger. I wish I wish it was baguette. That'd be awesome
- 32:43I thought he was a Frenchman, but um, yeah, just he he looked all right. He looked all right
- 32:51I'm gonna take the Bears
- 32:53This may be the only time this is definitely the first time this season is I've taken the Bears and this may be the only time that I take the Bears
- 33:02But this line makes no sense
- 33:07What I I can't even like wrap my head around this reasoning if I'm being honest
- 33:14I mean the Bears the Bears do stink
- 33:18Yeah, but I go
- 33:20Yeah, but not good. No, I know but still like
- 33:26nine
- 33:27Yeah
- 33:29After winning outright by 30 last week, you're right. No, you're right number
- 33:37So I'm gonna lay the Bears here. Um
- 33:40Will do you have that total yet?
- 33:43Yes, I do. I will be taking under 46 and a half. This is a prime time game
- 33:47So I will be taking the under I
- 33:52God it's I know it's the Bears
- 33:57It's just bet against the Bears that you'll probably end up on top, but I just cannot bet the charges right now they've they've
- 34:07Just haven't done it for me in the past couple times. I've bet on them and I
- 34:12I'm scarred and I won't go back again until until they mend to this relationship
- 34:16So I can't lay that big of a number really on either side. So I'm taking under 46 and a half
- 34:24This is only logical. This is only the only logical play for me
- 34:30And that's I mean, that's it Chris. What do you what do you got?
- 34:35It's so you're going logic for this play
- 34:39I'm going vibes Bears plus nine
- 34:43This bad kid rocks
- 34:47He was so much fun this D2 kid out here just slinging it. He's got his chest tattoo. He looks pretty white trash
- 34:54I don't really know much about him, but
- 34:57He looks like just scumbag. So, you know what?
- 35:02Prime time look, let's ride with the kid ride the hot hand
- 35:05Bears plus nine went also when the hell was the last time the Chargers won a game by more than a
- 35:12Touchdown it's been a while
- 35:15Like genuine question
- 35:18Been a while. I can't I don't know. I don't know so I
- 35:23Know the Bears stink. I know their defense is terrible. This bad kid man
- 35:28He's electric
- 35:30So I'm just gonna ride vibes and if it sucks, you know what? I'm also gonna add over three and a half field goals
- 35:37It's coming back for this one. I don't think this game is gonna be particularly good. Yeah, like you said will so
- 35:44Over three and a half fields will be coming back as an insurance policy
- 35:47But we won't need it because bad shit. He's gonna keep slinging that shit. So Bears plus nine
- 35:55All right, let's let's rock
- 35:58That was the main slate of the of the games that we're talking about now we go to on to our surefire picks
- 36:07Chris what is your double unit surefire play of the week?
- 36:12My double unit surefire play of the week you gotta get back on track. We lost our second one of the year last year or last week
- 36:18Excuse me
- 36:19So what do you do when you need to get back on track?
- 36:22You turn to the great folks over at Trent's Center. Yes
- 36:29For this particular bet there are eight trends in the game
- 36:34All eight are in favor of the New Orleans Saints
- 36:39Money line against the Indianapolis Colts
- 36:45You don't need more info than that that's enough
- 36:48But if you want to hear my dumb opinions on it the Colts are fucking terrible
- 36:55They're so bad like I know they move the ball pretty well against the Browns
- 37:00Last in the Browns have a great defense, but they still managed to lose that game because Gardner Minchew is an idiot
- 37:05So I'm gonna go I'm gonna go Saints money line. They they need a win. So
- 37:11Then that's in Trent's Center eight trends in the same game. That's exactly the same reason
- 37:17I took the Giants last weekend at one. So give me another plus money winner. I love it or it might be even at this point
- 37:23But either way
- 37:25I love it. So Sean
- 37:28Oh
- 37:29Are you busy?
- 37:32I
- 37:33Was trying to look up a stat that I saw. Oh, yeah, we can go to we can get a will then
- 37:37Will what is your surefire double unit guarantee to win play of the week?
- 37:44So my surefire double unit play of the week is
- 37:48a stinky one
- 37:50But I have a massive
- 37:53massive stat
- 37:56That I got from the good folks over at the Trent's Center app
- 38:00This is the Cardinals plus eight and a half
- 38:04And I will tell you why right here this massive stat
- 38:10Home underdogs against the spread
- 38:13Versus above 500 teams after week six since 2020
- 38:19Are 32 7 and 2 against the spread plus 24 units
- 38:25I'm taking the Cardinals Kyler Murray's back
- 38:29I think everyone hates him
- 38:31But I think this could potentially be the game where
- 38:37Oh
- 38:39Oh
- 38:41He he woos us into thinking. Oh, maybe he's not that bad
- 38:45Maybe maybe he doesn't suck that much. Maybe he's not a terrible
- 38:51Quarterback to root for so I would be taking the Cardinals plus eight and a half for that monster Trent's Center stat
- 38:57Sean did you were you able to get a hold of your of your stat?
- 39:03Uh, yeah, I got it
- 39:06So uh my surefire double unit guaranteed winner of the week
- 39:12And it's not gonna make a lot of sense
- 39:15But maybe it will
- 39:17Is Patriots dolphins
- 39:20Under 47 and a half
- 39:22I love it
- 39:24This is another one that I found on Trent's Center. They have four plays for the under
- 39:31NFL under if lost previous game and playing worse team
- 39:36Dolphins just lost. They're obviously playing a worse team
- 39:39Under for high spreads. This is a high spread. I think it's at nine
- 39:43or eight and a half
- 39:45Nine and a half last time I saw nine and a half. Okay. Well, uh even better
- 39:51division
- 39:53even better
- 39:55divisional unders
- 39:57with a favorite
- 39:59So obviously
- 40:01divisional unders are cash money
- 40:03And if the spread is nine or higher
- 40:0747 is a lot
- 40:0947 and a half. That's a lot. It's a lot of points
- 40:13and
- 40:17I
- 40:19Balled out against the bills and I think that's all they got
- 40:24That's all they got in them
- 40:26Honestly, um, I did not expect that bills game to go the way it did
- 40:32Nobody did no. Yeah
- 40:36So, um, yeah, I don't like this under but
- 40:40Well, actually, no, that's not true because it's my surefire pick. I love it. I was gonna say what are we doing?
- 40:51You should love it it feels it just feels gross well
- 40:56I saw some today that might might change your mind. Uh, Tyreek and Mostard didn't practice today
- 41:03I saw that as well because I got a fantasy update. I mean, I know it's what I know it's Wednesday
- 41:08But if one of those guys doesn't go then yeah, that's game changer. Yeah, if one of them doesn't go
- 41:16then
- 41:18Especially Mostard because so eight a chain or whatever his name is this is on I it's on IR. So yeah
- 41:25So grab it while you can I'm taking it. Yeah, grab it while you can at 47 and a half. That's pretty fucking high
- 41:32And I love god, I love this app so much. It's just it's awesome. You can just look at the NFL schedule and
- 41:40it'll tell you how many trends
- 41:43are active in each game and
- 41:47and
- 41:48There's not as many in this one, but there's 10 there's 10 active in this game
- 41:54That's that's a decent amount. It's a decent amount
- 41:58so
- 42:00Yeah
- 42:02Just gonna ride it ride that under and get at it while you can when it's high before Tyreek or
- 42:09Mostard goes out
- 42:12Hell yeah, let's go
- 42:16You know, obviously we're gonna parley them all um, of course obviously
- 42:20Obviously, um now now the shirt fires are done. We got our extra plays were bonus plays
- 42:26Chris what are your bonus plays?
- 42:32The rest of my card. I'm not gonna lie. It's pretty stinky
- 42:35um
- 42:36Obviously, I'm taking cards plus eight and a half and the dolphins patriots under I just added those right now just because
- 42:43Of those amazing stats and shout out to run center
- 42:46all right, so the rest
- 42:49We'll start out a Titans money line
- 42:51So because me and shawty we boots on the ground and will levis the white knight will come and save us
- 42:58And we're going to
- 43:02It's not gonna happen, but hey if it does you hurry here first
- 43:08Then from so stinky and then we're gonna go
- 43:12This team I said it was in my graveyard, but this line makes no sense. We bet numbers not teams panthers plus three
- 43:18Uh, why why the Texans are head and shoulders the better team?
- 43:25Why is it only three point spread panthers plus three?
- 43:28um
- 43:29And more of a realistic like I think they will get pressure on stroud. Uh, their pass rush is actually pretty decent
- 43:36um, and also like
- 43:38The Texans are due like they've been kind of riding high like exceeding the expectations
- 43:43They're due for a real stinker and also the panthers rowing six. So they need to dub as much as anyone right now
- 43:51If not some more, um, then another stinky one jets giants under 36 and a half this game is going to
- 43:58suck
- 43:59uh
- 44:00Tyrod Taylor zack wilson
- 44:04What more do you need?
- 44:06Also, but also both defenses are good. So under 36 and a half
- 44:11And we will conclude Seattle Cleveland under 38
- 44:16uh, Deshaun Watson yet again not playing because he's soft as shaman
- 44:21um, and seattle often stinks
- 44:24uh under 38 this I mean
- 44:27Two stinky games. So we bet the under that's just what we do. We take advantage of it. So that's the that's the whole card
- 44:34Um, actually, I like it earlier today. I was looking at I was like, I don't know about this, but
- 44:39I like this is good bounce back card
- 44:42might fuck around to win them all so uh
- 44:45Sean what is the rest of your card?
- 44:48So as you mentioned, uh, we will be boots on the ground for the titans falcons. Um, I will lay the spread for the titans game here
- 44:57Titans plus two and a half. Um, I love
- 45:02There's been a lot of a lot of drama going on in the titans facility this week
- 45:07Um
- 45:09But you can't bet against vrabes as a division as not a division as a home underdog
- 45:16Just can't do it. Um, I would take the money line, but I'm a coward
- 45:21And I'll just say that right now. So that's why the spread
- 45:25Um, I also have the saints colts over 43 and a half
- 45:29This is going to be a sneaky awesome game
- 45:33This game is going to
- 45:35It could rock this game could sneakily rock
- 45:39I can see that. Yeah
- 45:41In the way that like some college football games rock just because both teams are bad. Yeah
- 45:47Like some cool shit's gonna happen
- 45:49Exactly exactly and I think mensch humania may be back
- 45:55We'll see
- 45:57Um
- 45:59I also have the giants plus three
- 46:02Uh
- 46:04God if you
- 46:07God help the nfl schedule makers. Um, I know they were
- 46:11Looking for erin rogers plus versus daniel jones here, which still isn't a great match up
- 46:19Like
- 46:20Zach wilson versus tyrod taylor
- 46:23Uh
- 46:24print money
- 46:26Um, I can't remember exactly, but I think I also got this at a trends center
- 46:38I think there's there's also
- 46:41I'm sorry. I'm stalling for time. Yeah, there's 10 trends on this game
- 46:46um
- 46:48Six of them are in favor of the giants
- 46:50on the spread
- 46:52So
- 46:53Love that. Hell yeah. Hell yeah
- 46:55Love that
- 46:57So I will be rocking giants plus three. Um, I'm also taking the cardinals plus eight and a half here
- 47:05Uh
- 47:06This may be the only week you will successfully be able to bet on kyler murray
- 47:11And let me tell you why
- 47:14The new call of duty modern warfare 3 comes out at the beginning of november
- 47:21He's not addicted to video games yet
- 47:23He's not entranced in a new game. I'm ready to get forgot about this storyline. Yeah, he's he's ready to get
- 47:32Back at it for a week
- 47:35a week
- 47:36I have a question before you go on to the rest of your card. Is he gonna play?
- 47:40I don't know. I know he's been practicing, but hell he hasn't played in like a year
- 47:46Yeah, I mean and dobbs has been killing it
- 47:49Dobbs has been killing it which I mean, I'll I'll lay this line. Oh whoever plays
- 47:55Yeah, I'll lay this line whoever plays, but I just wanted to bring up the the call of duty stat
- 48:01That's always good. It's always. Yes. It's always just automatic
- 48:07Whenever if kyler murray is playing
- 48:10Um, and my final pick is I have the raiders lions under 45 and a half
- 48:16Really? Yep
- 48:19I haven't made a decision about that game yet since it's monday. I'm gonna give myself some more time
- 48:23But I was thinking over
- 48:24It's a prime time
- 48:26It's prime time under. Yeah, that's it
- 48:29Okay
- 48:31I get it. I was curious
- 48:34Uh, this that spread is also
- 48:38What was it eight and a half? Yeah, it's like eight and a half
- 48:40That's two day much in in favor of the lions
- 48:43Which I mean I would love to go back and look when the last the last time the lions were favored by
- 48:50eight and a half points
- 48:52I mean the lions are good and they just got steamrolled so
- 48:59They kind of need a flux on a game and the raiders are
- 49:04Terrible also. I don't know if Jimmy G is playing
- 49:06The raiders are dog. I mean even with Jimmy G they'd be
- 49:13Yes, they are
- 49:15Even if Jimmy G plays I think that line might move to
- 49:19Six and a half
- 49:20So it's not gonna move a lot. No, but granted obviously eight and half six and a half is huge, but
- 49:26Yeah, it's it's not gonna be like a game changer
- 49:30It's one of those things where it's
- 49:32prime time
- 49:34Spread is huge
- 49:35Bet the under it's easy
- 49:37That's the old willy p stat. Yep
- 49:41Took a note right out of will's notebook
- 49:46But that being said a secret notebook will
- 49:49What is the rest of your card?
- 49:51So I only got two plays shocker. Um, I will be taking seattle minus three and a half. Um
- 49:59Playing the browns at home in seattle
- 50:02Um
- 50:04Browns are gonna play a backup qb and I mean like let's face it the browns got lucky when when they beat the colts
- 50:12um, I mean they barely beat the colts and the colts are
- 50:19Like they're they're about the same as the titans. They're not very good
- 50:23um
- 50:24Uh, so I'm taking that minus three and a half
- 50:27They're their secondary is pretty decent, but they got three pretty good receivers. Uh,
- 50:33Yeah, I'm rocking the uh, the seahawks there
- 50:37and then I was gonna take texans minus three
- 50:42But
- 50:44chris oh my gosh
- 50:46I
- 50:47You're making a ton of sense and the panthers do have to win a game
- 50:53They're not that bad
- 50:55Uh, they're they are pretty bad. They're pretty they are that they are I mean they're oh and six
- 51:00They're pretty terrible, but they like they gotta win one. I mean at some point, right?
- 51:07Yeah, at some point they gotta win one it is it is in north carolina
- 51:15I'm taking the panthers. Let me write that down
- 51:18Um, I'll take the panthers plus three for all the reasons that chris said he he absolutely convinced me there
- 51:28I was gonna take the texans just because they are just
- 51:32The better team and they they probably should be favored by like five
- 51:37So that three
- 51:40Yeah, I'm taking the panthers and that's gonna be it for my card. Uh, thank you so much for uh,
- 51:44Sean for sharing the call of duty stat. I completely forgot
- 51:50That is very very important. It is it is important. Um,
- 51:55But it's only important if kyler mary plays and that's a
- 51:59big if
- 52:02It's a big if
- 52:03Even if he doesn't I'd still like cards plus eight and a half
- 52:08Well, yeah, I'm just saying I'm just saying like this may if he does play
- 52:12This may be the only week that you can confidently bet on the cardinals
- 52:18Because after this he's gonna be checked out for yeah, he's gonna be checked out
- 52:23Um
- 52:33Since you mentioned the the browns when they got lucky, um, I want to mention
- 52:39Something that was said in our in our gambling group chat by one of our one of our friends. Um
- 52:47It's he said, uh
- 52:49I know the NFL is rigged, but it's rigged for the browns
- 52:54And that just got me like that got the wheels turning and I was like
- 52:59man, you're right like
- 53:01Browns did get lucky
- 53:03And that was some horseshit last week. Yeah. Yeah, that was some horse shit
- 53:12So I I like that pic though
- 53:15Thank you, and uh, I'm not gonna complain about the browns beating the cults because I hate the cults. Um, no me either, but you know
- 53:23I mean, but
- 53:26At some point you gotta you gotta be like, okay, what are we doing?
- 53:29Call it what what yeah, what do you?
- 53:34So
- 53:35I could go on but I'm not gonna
- 53:38Mm-hmm
- 53:39Well, that's gonna wrap it up for the NFL week eight show
- 53:44um
- 53:45Let's see other things that have happened. Uh, we had the frozen frenzy on Tuesday
- 53:51That was exhausting. Um, I ended up going five and five
- 53:55Uh lost like a quarter of a unit
- 53:57So I'm not too broken up about that. Um
- 54:03I think Sean has hit two parlays the past week. Is that right?
- 54:08um
- 54:11Since the show I've hit three
- 54:14Since since the damn last week, um, like like these monster same game parlays or just parlays in general
- 54:22Well, I hit I knew you hit that one
- 54:24I hit the Thursday night parlay and then I hit the sunday night
- 54:30parlay
- 54:32White hot
- 54:33um, I had I've I tailed a tight end parlay
- 54:39Tight end touchdown parlay. I saw off twitter by this
- 54:44Molten lava white hot guy, uh, cody brown
- 54:48Shout out to him. I mean that dude is legit
- 54:54Uh, I'm not getting we're not getting paid to say this but
- 54:58You know follow cody brown bets if you like money
- 55:02because
- 55:03He is awesome
- 55:05He is awesome
- 55:09So, yeah, I've hit three
- 55:12I think I've had I think I'm three and two on parlays
- 55:16last week
- 55:18Which has helped my bankroll a lot
- 55:23Yeah, one would think
- 55:25Yeah
- 55:29Um
- 55:31So, yeah, I mean the show is in in a hole
- 55:35the show
- 55:37is
- 55:38Super hot we stay hot
- 55:40Uh, this was definitely a last week was a definitely a kick in the nuts for me
- 55:47But uh, yeah, we're just gonna move on and we're gonna end the show. Uh, thank you so much for watching
- 55:52Click like and subscribe comment
- 55:55Everything that you do interact with this really helps us out
- 55:59um
- 56:01Check the the link in our bio for to follow us on everything
- 56:05use the
- 56:07Use the link in our link tree to um
- 56:11try the
- 56:12Trend center app free trial for two weeks the regular trial is only three days
- 56:17um, this trend center app is just
- 56:20beautiful do it
- 56:24If you like money
- 56:26Do it I I can't say
- 56:29Enough good things about it
- 56:32I really I I think I've said all I can say and
- 56:35It's just it's fantastic. It's a fantastic app
- 56:41Yeah, I uh, I'm not gonna
- 56:44Saying all the good things that happen when I use that app
- 56:48um
- 56:50NBA just started so I'm probably just gonna strictly
- 56:54bet on the trends on the NBA games for now because the NBA is kind of a gong show kind of hard to
- 57:01keep track of um
- 57:03Just because there's so much drama, but you know what whatever we're gonna move on. We're gonna end the show
- 57:09Thank you so much for listening and watching like comment subscribe
- 57:12Uh, yeah, there's three of us now. Let's make some money