Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA Round 3 Showdown - The Amex | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process | 01/24/26
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: All system's gone clear.
- 0:05Speaker 2: We lift on.
- 0:35Speaker 1: We are back. We are alive.
- 0:36Speaker 2: It feels good to be back in the home mecca
- 0:39Speaker 2: after a long week in Tampa Orlando.
- 0:42Speaker 1: We're back in upon beach. Weather's great.
- 0:44Speaker 2: Can't complain what a fun round of Showdown. I know
- 0:46Speaker 2: we had some people in the discord shipping some things
- 0:50Speaker 2: with some of Tambo's selections, a few of mine. Nonetheless,
- 0:54Speaker 2: I hope you guys, cash, I hope you guys had
- 0:55Speaker 2: a great What Friday afternoon, Round three of the American
- 1:00Speaker 2: Express is on the docket, and we have a nice
- 1:03Speaker 2: little leaderboard shaping up, so I'll get right to it.
- 1:06Speaker 2: I will put the screen on the board. Scottie Scheffler,
- 1:09Speaker 2: Game Improvement, Iron Brown, Seewoo, Kim Shkim Matt McCarty, Eric Cole,
- 1:17Speaker 2: Rick Slick, Rick Fowler, nicoi Atter, Wyndham Clark, take a bridge,
- 1:20Speaker 2: and we got a ton of guys at fourteen and above.
- 1:23Speaker 1: This is wide open.
- 1:24Speaker 2: This is an absolutely wide open leaderboard. And it's gonna
- 1:28Speaker 2: be a very fun weekend because we have one more
- 1:30Speaker 2: day of the course rotation, one more day to have
- 1:34Speaker 2: a little edge possibly in Showdown, and I'm excited to
- 1:38Speaker 2: talk to the leaderboard, talk through how guys did it.
- 1:40Speaker 2: So let's look at round two scoring specifically. I don't
- 1:44Speaker 2: know why, No, that's ronglone. Round two scoring, Blades and
- 1:47Speaker 2: Putnam both shot sixty. I didn't see Putnam's final hole,
- 1:51Speaker 2: but I saw Blades Brown have a final have a
- 1:53Speaker 2: like what a six foot or to shoot fifty nine?
- 1:55Speaker 2: If in the chat, someone drop if there was any
- 1:57Speaker 2: laura on Andrew Putnam, how he did it, didn't shoot
- 2:00Speaker 2: fifty nine. I guess I can just look at his round.
- 2:02Speaker 2: I was on the road today, didn't catch every single
- 2:05Speaker 2: every single hole. Oh he hit the birdy the last
- 2:08Speaker 2: for fifty nine, and he did They show this, I
- 2:12Speaker 2: guess I can pull it. I'm not gonna watch it
- 2:13Speaker 2: on the stream because I don't want to get like dmca'd.
- 2:16Speaker 2: But someone could drop a comment about Andrew Putnam's round today. Nonetheless,
- 2:22Speaker 2: looking at these guys, looking at how they did it,
- 2:24Speaker 2: It's not a difficult handicap. It was a lot of
- 2:27Speaker 2: strokes gain approach, driving it from the fairway and playing
- 2:30Speaker 2: on the easiest course. The best round today on the
- 2:33Speaker 2: Stadium course was Wyndham Clark with a sixty four or
- 2:36Speaker 2: eight under, and then we saw Siwu, we saw David Lipski,
- 2:40Speaker 2: we saw Rasmus, and I think one more guy had
- 2:44Speaker 2: Eric Cole, Jacob Bridgman had nice rounds on the Stadium course.
- 2:47Speaker 2: And I don't think we're gonna see that tomorrow. I
- 2:50Speaker 2: do not think we see anything better than maybe one,
- 2:53Speaker 2: maybe two max sixty six's. But I don't think we
- 2:55Speaker 2: see anything like we saw from Wyndam Clark on the
- 2:58Speaker 2: Stadium course tomorrow. And that is because we have a
- 3:02Speaker 2: little bit of this, We have a little bit of
- 3:05Speaker 2: potential weather. And the thing is with the Stadium course,
- 3:09Speaker 2: it's still it's still a new golf course. It's still
- 3:14Speaker 2: firm in the afternoon, and we add in just this
- 3:17Speaker 2: little bit more gusty wins in the afternoon fifteen to
- 3:20Speaker 2: twenty miles an hour gus. It's not a lot of wind,
- 3:22Speaker 2: it's not blowing five to seven mile an hour, but
- 3:25Speaker 2: some higher gusts. It's just gonna dry it out even more.
- 3:28Speaker 2: It's been played on for now two straight days. It's
- 3:30Speaker 2: gonna make it as difficult as we've seen the Stadium
- 3:33Speaker 2: course so far. So I'm gonna get into this more
- 3:36Speaker 2: at the end of the show. But this is where
- 3:38Speaker 2: our week long bets are are, I mean our week
- 3:40Speaker 2: long plays and our bets come to shine. I did
- 3:43Speaker 2: go heavy and fade this Saturday stadium course. Whether it
- 3:47Speaker 2: works or not, I had a plan going in and
- 3:50Speaker 2: it's probably gonna not work more than it works, but
- 3:52Speaker 2: the times that it does work, I'm going to cash out.
- 3:55Speaker 1: So I went with the plan.
- 3:56Speaker 2: I think that it is in for some difficult scoring
- 4:00Speaker 2: at the stadium course.
- 4:00Speaker 1: Let's bring up the scoring for today.
- 4:03Speaker 2: We saw the Nicholas shoot four point nine under par,
- 4:07Speaker 2: a little easier than yesterday, Lakina close to what it
- 4:10Speaker 2: was yesterday. And I said this in my slate plan,
- 4:13Speaker 2: I don't think Lakinta.
- 4:16Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think we're going to see more
- 4:17Speaker 1: of this.
- 4:18Speaker 2: I didn't think we're going to see a fi almost
- 4:20Speaker 2: a stroke difference. So tomorrow I think we're gonna see
- 4:23Speaker 2: more of the same. You don't have to just go
- 4:25Speaker 2: load up on Nicholas, Load up on Nicholas, load up
- 4:28Speaker 2: on Lakina. And I'm gonna say, don't get cute with it.
- 4:31Speaker 2: I said today, maybe add one am or one ear Yeah, am,
- 4:36Speaker 2: stadium course guy, And if you had that Wyndham Clark.
- 4:39Speaker 2: If you had that Eric Cole, I talked about Ericole yesterday.
- 4:42Speaker 2: If you had that, uh who else? Did I say
- 4:45Speaker 2: that shot really low? Jacob Bridgman. If you had that
- 4:47Speaker 2: one stadium course guy paired with two or three nick
- 4:51Speaker 2: Tourney Lakina guys, you got very different and probably won
- 4:55Speaker 2: a lot of money in your pool today.
- 4:57Speaker 1: So but I'm tomorrow, I don't think we're getting with it.
- 5:00Speaker 2: The wind is gonna blow, and I think it's all
- 5:03Speaker 2: Nicholas in all Lakita. We only have one more day
- 5:05Speaker 2: where we can really really do that. So I'm going
- 5:09Speaker 2: with that, and I'm gonna go with like, I'm not
- 5:11Speaker 2: gonna overthink it. I'm gonna look at the stroke skin
- 5:14Speaker 2: approach for how you can do this in different ways.
- 5:17Speaker 2: You can look at the full tournament strokes skin approach,
- 5:20Speaker 2: you can look at round by round and just get
- 5:23Speaker 2: get different with it. Don't go with the guys all
- 5:24Speaker 2: the way at the top. Go with guys who are
- 5:27Speaker 2: doing this. Find guys strokes skin approach round one, round
- 5:30Speaker 2: two who are going out early at Lakina, early at Nicholas.
- 5:38Speaker 2: So just go to the PGA to or two times
- 5:41Speaker 2: Lakina Round three short by Nicholas Lakita. Go with these
- 5:47Speaker 2: these guys, like these first ten or so rows on
- 5:51Speaker 2: both of them, and see if you find anyone that
- 5:54Speaker 2: overlays with good approach tournament good a strip approach round
- 5:57Speaker 2: one or good approach round two. There's gonna be multiple
- 6:01Speaker 2: different answers to this, and there's not gonna be your
- 6:03Speaker 2: right answer, but that's gonna get you on the right guys,
- 6:06Speaker 2: and I think that's gonna be my strategy for uh,
- 6:09Speaker 2: for tomorrow.
- 6:10Speaker 1: I'm gonna be.
- 6:10Speaker 2: Shorting by show skin approach, shorting by a few things
- 6:13Speaker 2: in that regard, and uh going with.
- 6:16Speaker 1: Those showskin approach guys.
- 6:18Speaker 2: I want to talk contest selection, but I am not
- 6:20Speaker 2: logged into DraftKings, so I will do that really quickly.
- 6:23Speaker 1: Here we go.
- 6:24Speaker 2: I'm logged in quick enough. I thought it wasn't logged in,
- 6:26Speaker 2: So let's talk about contest selection. Oh no, this is
- 6:29Speaker 2: the wrong line. Usually I have all my tabs pulled up,
- 6:32Speaker 2: but I forgot the contest selection tab. Here we are Saturday,
- 6:37Speaker 2: Round three of the American Express. I really liked that
- 6:39Speaker 2: one contest yesterday. See if you can find anything we're
- 6:45Speaker 2: not playing this I mean, if you wanted to play
- 6:47Speaker 2: this four five entry max five five five, this is
- 6:53Speaker 2: a really good contest if you can afford, like, like
- 6:57Speaker 2: three thousand dollars or close to that, really good contest
- 7:01Speaker 2: twenty dollars three max. Let's see how this payout structure
- 7:03Speaker 2: is not bad at all. I don't hate that three max.
- 7:06Speaker 2: I think that's what we liked yesterday too. Uh, three
- 7:10Speaker 2: dollars twenty max. I would assume three dollars eleven max.
- 7:13Speaker 2: This is a really really good contest. It's probably my
- 7:15Speaker 2: favorite one. This is probably the most realistic one too.
- 7:17Speaker 2: Three dollars twenty max or sorry, three dollars eleven max.
- 7:20Speaker 2: It's kind of unique. I like that contest a lot.
- 7:23Speaker 2: Let's see what this comment says before we get into.
- 7:26Speaker 1: Some more stuff.
- 7:28Speaker 2: We just throw to the field in the North Tournament
- 7:29Speaker 2: and the easiest course. Yeah, I definitely agree. I definitely
- 7:34Speaker 2: agree with that. But I do think what I do
- 7:39Speaker 2: think is that people are gonna go to the Nicholas Tournament
- 7:42Speaker 2: course no matter what, because they they they see the name,
- 7:45Speaker 2: they see Nicholas, they think it's gonna be easier, and
- 7:47Speaker 2: they're just gonna go with those guys. I think I
- 7:51Speaker 2: do think guys who are not the bigger names at
- 7:54Speaker 2: Lakinta are where you're gonna find the edge. But I
- 7:57Speaker 2: don't want I don't think it's really too much of
- 7:59Speaker 2: a different and then you don't have to get too
- 8:01Speaker 2: insane with it. I think you're just gonna load up
- 8:03Speaker 2: on those two guys, load up on those two gorses,
- 8:05Speaker 2: and go with those early names. Sort by each row,
- 8:09Speaker 2: go ten rows on the King to ten rows on
- 8:12Speaker 2: uh Nicholas. Find find guys who are gaining in strokes
- 8:15Speaker 2: can approach on those days.
- 8:19Speaker 1: Let's look, okay, let's look at some of my uh.
- 8:23Speaker 2: Bring the screen back up, look at some of the
- 8:25Speaker 2: projections for the week or for yesterday, and show you
- 8:27Speaker 2: who did nice like Rio who Statsuo, Rio He Sat
- 8:31Speaker 2: Sun had really nice points per dollar today as well
- 8:34Speaker 2: as Austin Smotherman and Carl Phillips. They were all nice
- 8:38Speaker 2: in points per dollar, nice cheap k targets. And what
- 8:41Speaker 2: do they shoot today? Uh? Rio No, let's go to
- 8:45Speaker 2: I think Rio shots seven under, Smotherman shot seven under,
- 8:49Speaker 2: and Williams might have shot seven under. Let's go keep
- 8:51Speaker 2: this Rio He sat Sune shot seven under today Phillips
- 9:00Speaker 2: seven unders today And who was.
- 9:04Speaker 1: The last guy?
- 9:04Speaker 2: I said, Phillips Smotherman and oh yes, Phillips, Motherman and
- 9:10Speaker 2: Real all shot seven under today had really nice points
- 9:13Speaker 2: per dollar. I think they were you can find those
- 9:16Speaker 2: plays with the tools, and I think there's a really
- 9:18Speaker 2: solid guys to pair with guys at the top. So,
- 9:22Speaker 2: and like I said, you guys know what's coming, and
- 9:26Speaker 2: it's what one more week. We only have one more
- 9:30Speaker 2: week of this, which is crazy to think about. We
- 9:32Speaker 2: only have one more week where I could bring this
- 9:35Speaker 2: up and offer this All of this stuff, all of
- 9:41Speaker 2: the stuff I'm showing is free. Right now. We had
- 9:44Speaker 2: a ton of winners in this cord. You're gonna get
- 9:48Speaker 2: the content, You're gonna get the stone. I also spoke
- 9:51Speaker 2: about the tap delta. We don't have it. I thought
- 9:53Speaker 2: we were gonna have it for round two. That's why
- 9:56Speaker 2: I said just go with strokes can approach because the
- 9:59Speaker 2: tap delta, I though, would have and really useful to
- 10:01Speaker 2: get different today, but we didn't have it.
- 10:02Speaker 1: We'll have it for next week.
- 10:03Speaker 2: Actually we might not have it for next We get
- 10:04Speaker 2: the Farmers because there is two courses at the Farmers
- 10:07Speaker 2: as well, So we will see.
- 10:10Speaker 1: Nonetheless, you're gonna.
- 10:10Speaker 2: Get all the tools, all the packages. It's free right now,
- 10:14Speaker 2: so go check it off and you get ten percent.
- 10:16Speaker 2: After that, let's talk about my round two plays. My
- 10:22Speaker 2: round two plays today, I also don't have I wish
- 10:26Speaker 2: the UH I was able to look at my plays
- 10:29Speaker 2: because it's a way now that the round three showdown
- 10:32Speaker 2: is up now. But we had side the Gallet in
- 10:35Speaker 2: the core. We had Louke Clinton in the core. Luke
- 10:38Speaker 2: Clinton played really nice.
- 10:39Speaker 1: Today, by the way, like I felt so good with
- 10:43Speaker 1: I had.
- 10:43Speaker 2: I had a Rose in the Gala lineup, and then
- 10:47Speaker 2: Clinton that obviously hadn't teed off yet. Rose and Digalla
- 10:49Speaker 2: were out the gates, and I see the notification lou
- 10:52Speaker 2: Clay withdrawal.
- 10:53Speaker 1: Like what are you gonna do? What are you gonna do?
- 10:55Speaker 2: But Justin Rose shot nine unders today, bogie free, Di
- 11:00Speaker 2: Gala eight unders, eight under bogie free, like two eagles.
- 11:06Speaker 1: That was a solid round.
- 11:08Speaker 2: But I want to talk about where we pounce, where
- 11:11Speaker 2: we make it happen over the weekend, because this is
- 11:16Speaker 2: what's happening.
- 11:17Speaker 1: Our outright card is all. We faded the stadium course Saturday.
- 11:21Speaker 2: I do think guys not playing laking guys, sorry, guys
- 11:25Speaker 2: not playing the stadium course. Guys playing Lakina, Guys playing
- 11:30Speaker 2: Nicholas tomorrow are gonna make up so much ground. I
- 11:33Speaker 2: think this is gonna be the biggest differential in wave tomorrow.
- 11:36Speaker 2: Because of that win and that Firmer golf course, it
- 11:39Speaker 2: is much easier to score or to avoid mistakes when
- 11:44Speaker 2: it gets windy and bogie's are going to go a
- 11:46Speaker 2: long way in the wrong direction Tomorrow, guys are still
- 11:49Speaker 2: going to be able to shoot five under six under,
- 11:52Speaker 2: even if it's like not the best scoring of the week,
- 11:54Speaker 2: while guys on the stadium course shoot one under par
- 11:59Speaker 2: two max like I see, I mean someone I shoot around.
- 12:03Speaker 2: But I really think the scoring average is gonna be
- 12:05Speaker 2: much closer to part tomorrow with that afternoon wind gus.
- 12:10Speaker 1: So I'm excited. This is what we this is what
- 12:14Speaker 1: we did it for. This is where we put our.
- 12:16Speaker 2: Eggs in the basket. We're fading that wave, We're fading
- 12:19Speaker 2: this stadium course tomorrow. But that'll leave me on who
- 12:23Speaker 2: am I gonna play tomorrow? Who is one guy that
- 12:26Speaker 2: I'm going to play tomorrow? Bitch ass Matt Fitzpatrick. Now
- 12:34Speaker 2: why I'm gonna play Mat fitz Patrick. Everyone looks at
- 12:38Speaker 2: Mat Fitzpatrick and says, you only play him in difficult conditions.
- 12:42Speaker 2: Mattfitz Patrick cannot get low.
- 12:44Speaker 1: I'll tell you one thing.
- 12:45Speaker 2: Matt fitz Patrick got low in his last start Deep
- 12:49Speaker 2: World Tour, but he made a ton of birdies there.
- 12:52Speaker 2: And Mat Fitzpatrick today, did he have a great round. No,
- 12:56Speaker 2: he did not have a great round. He shot five
- 12:59Speaker 2: under on the state I mean five under the stadium course.
- 13:03Speaker 2: I'll say you that's a good round. He gained strokes
- 13:05Speaker 2: in every category, didn't pop anywhere really nice strokes can approach.
- 13:10Speaker 2: Still didn't look great, But he's going out early tomorrow.
- 13:14Speaker 2: I believe it doesn't matter where he's going off. I
- 13:15Speaker 2: believe is Nicholas. But it doesn't matter where he's going off.
- 13:19Speaker 2: Let's let's let's check round three fits. Okay, it's Lakinta,
- 13:27Speaker 2: it's Lakina. I don't care if it's Lahenda Nicholas. But
- 13:30Speaker 2: everyone's gonna look at Matt fits as that difficult conditions guy.
- 13:33Speaker 2: He's not doing anything great yet, He's only at what
- 13:36Speaker 2: is he at? Like middle of the pack. But Matt Fitzpatrick,
- 13:40Speaker 2: I think has a low one in him, and he
- 13:43Speaker 2: is the one guy that I'm definitely playing on my
- 13:47Speaker 2: slate tomorrow. So uh yeah, Like I said, the slate
- 13:52Speaker 2: plan will be up any minute, not any minute, I'm
- 13:55Speaker 2: gonna I'm not gonna rush this. It's probably like thirty
- 13:57Speaker 2: minutes or so, maybe an hour. You're gonna get the core.
- 14:00Speaker 2: Wa we had a nice core except for damn lou
- 14:02Speaker 2: Clanton yesterday. Uh the rankings, the slight breakdown and as always,
- 14:08Speaker 2: if you want to check it out with every sport, guys,
- 14:11Speaker 2: you get every single sport, not just golf.
- 14:14Speaker 1: If you go to use the code vincerics.
- 14:17Speaker 2: If you want the PGA, PJA, Corpus Abrasim, or you
- 14:20Speaker 2: want all access, you can get it for free.
- 14:22Speaker 1: Like you want NFL.
- 14:23Speaker 2: You want NFL Divisional playoffs this week, you can get
- 14:26Speaker 2: it code vinceric So check it out.
- 14:29Speaker 1: Those NFL guys above.
- 14:31Speaker 2: My pay grade, they know how to win much more
- 14:33Speaker 2: money than I do in the golf world. So uh yeah,
- 14:37Speaker 2: I'll close it out.
- 14:38Speaker 1: I'm I am.
- 14:40Speaker 2: I am a boundery fans as you. I'll give the
- 14:43Speaker 2: I'll quickly, I'll give the quick rundown before I get
- 14:45Speaker 2: out of here. So coming from New Jersey, college sports is
- 14:49Speaker 2: not really a thing.
- 14:51Speaker 1: It's not really a thing in the Northeast at all.
- 14:53Speaker 2: And a couple of years back, I had my first
- 14:56Speaker 2: SEC experience and it.
- 15:00Speaker 1: Blew me away.
- 15:01Speaker 2: So I don't claim Alabama, but yes I do root
- 15:04Speaker 2: for Alabama, and I mean I want nice things in
- 15:07Speaker 2: my life. I'm a Carolina Panthers fan, a New York
- 15:11Speaker 2: Mets fan. Let me just root for one team that
- 15:13Speaker 2: can actually maybe win because the Carolina Panthers and the
- 15:16Speaker 2: New York Mets haven't gave me anything in my entire life.
- 15:19Speaker 1: So yeah, it is roll tiede.
- 15:21Speaker 2: I obviously root for Rutgers being from New Jersey, but
- 15:24Speaker 2: not getting anything from them either, So roll tide in
- 15:27Speaker 2: football and then everything else is just is just whatever.
- 15:30Speaker 1: But that wraps it up. You guys know where to
- 15:33Speaker 1: find me.
- 15:34Speaker 2: Any questions, Shoot me at TAG, shoot me a DM,
- 15:36Speaker 2: and we'll be back tomorrow evening with Round four Showdown.
- 15:41Speaker 3: Peace out, Let's ship its
- 16:07Speaker 2: Mist