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NFL Week 15 Gambling Preview · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: The favorite podcast is presented by fan Duel sports Book.
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  Speaker 1: Line at one eight eight nine, or visit one eight
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  Speaker 1: hundred Gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to the Favorites,
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. I am Schad Nolman,
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. Folks, we asked
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: for it, you gave it to us. I'm going to
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: talk about that in a second. There's so much to discuss.
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: There's a Rams game from last night, it's Tuesday afternoon.
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: We got to review it. There's some Bears stuff that
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: we got to discuss that Bears Packers game. Gotta review it.
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: A lot of bad beats from the weekend, got to
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: discuss that. Of course, we're going to talk about the
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: entire slate that we will for our Thursday show U
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: narrowed down. We're gonna get to our Simon Says Better
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: the week that you must bet, which was the Los
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: Angeles Rams last week. We'll probably get to some kind
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: of foxhole that because we have to get into the foxhole,
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: we will play Scooch Roulette. Fairly certain I lost that
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: because I had the Raiders last week. I can remember
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: that much. First, let me introduce my bff, my companion,
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: my compadre professional better Mr Simon Hunter. Yeah, I finally
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: did it. Last week. I gave out the Troy lines
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: that went out right, and Uncle Colin he gave my
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: own cartoon for the Favorite show. So I'm finally a man.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: You are a full fledged media star. You're, of course
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: referring to the fact that you've finally been added to
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: the logo for the Favorites. Probably my fault more than Collins.
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: They showed it to me earlier in the year. I'm like, yeah,
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: this looks great. I didn't really think, hey, should we
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: add Simon or not, because at that point, let's be clear,
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: we were signed to the Value and Podcast Network because
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: of me, not your star may or may not have
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: eclipsed mind, which is a really good segue into We
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: had asked our listeners to give us hypercritical five star
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: reviews because some people have given us reviews that were like, hey,
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: I love the show, but X, Y and Z. So
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: we're all for criticism and feedback. As I say all
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: the time, feedback is a gift, but it must be
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: a five star review. So we did get a ton
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: of those, and we're gonna give away some swag to
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: some of our favorites and most critical. To be clear,
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: most of the criticism was leveled at me, at Matt Mitchell,
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: not at Simon. But one thing, and we're going to
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: review some of it on Thursday. One thing that was
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: universal was so many people saying they hate Tina. Tina
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: is the voice that introduces each game. Oh yeah, let's
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: do this. People don't like Tina, so in this episode,
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: there will be no Tina. If you're on the other side,
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: if you love Tina, if this is a vocal minority,
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: by all means, tell us give us a five star
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: review and say you love Tina, but this this episode,
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: we will be dropping it. If you hate gambling, go
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: listen to NPR Simon. First, we got to talk about
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: the rams you said last Tuesday. It was a Simon
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  Speaker 1: says game. I'm going to admit it. Didn't bet it
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  Speaker 1: like I could not get behind it, couldn't understand it,
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  Speaker 1: didn't try to off on Thursday. Not a believer in
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford, like a short home dog, less than to
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  Speaker 1: feel a short home favorite, lesson of field goal. Bet
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: the Cardinals. But I didn't love the I didn't bet
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: the game. I didn't love the Cardinals either, because I
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  Speaker 1: kind of feel like they're frauds, and so I was
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: just sort of lost. And then I was feeling great
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: when Jalen Ramsey was listed as COVID on the COVID list,
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: meaning I didn't waste my money, and sure enough the
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  Speaker 1: Rams pull it out. What did you see? Why did
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: it happen? Scared money? Don't make no money, chet, I
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: don't know. It was a whole factor of different things.
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: The biggest one was regression for the Cardinals. That's why
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: I was so big on the Bears. I just didn't
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: think Kylie was gonna look right coming back off that injury.
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: He didn't. I mean again, you can go look at
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: his numbers. He played the entire Bears again with a
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: short field. This game wasn't so lucky. He was playing
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: against a team that, yeah, I'm right there with you.
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  Speaker 1: We saw the statue action I were tweeted out. He
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: was one in seventeen against teams that were five games
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  Speaker 1: about five hundred Matthew Stafford in his career. That one
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: win came last night. So the man had never won
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: a game against a team that you know, the Cardinals were,
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: which is a really good dominant team this season again
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  Speaker 1: seven oh. On the road, this team is legit obviously,
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: but at home we've seen it. I think they're up
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: to their two and four now at home. They lost
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: that game against Carolina when Carolina had a backup quarterback.
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: Again Cardinals had a backup quarterback. But I just kept
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: waiting for this. Cardinals teemed to come back to that
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: regression spot last night. I think the Rams are gonna
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: win like they did. Know. But when we talk about
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: points and value, I liked it a two and a
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  Speaker 1: half because to me, that's a fair value on that
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: game game. I made the line one it was two
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  Speaker 1: and a half to still thought there was a good
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  Speaker 1: value in the Rams, and moved up to three three
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: and a half in certain books. That's that's an auto play.
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: The only part that sucks is, like you just talked,
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: we didn't really touch on it yet. I guess the
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: public literally had the best week of their I mean
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: the year last this past weekend. I think it was
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: ten and two or something like that. Favorites covered in one,
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  Speaker 1: So that was the probably the scariest part of it.
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: I was all in on this bet. I had a
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: lot of money tied towards the Rams. The COVID news hits,
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: the lines are going against me. I had to bet
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: more in because I'm getting more value on the line,
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: and I was just like, holy sh it, man, me
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  Speaker 1: and the sports books might take a beating this weekend.
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  Speaker 1: But luckily the Rams oo I thought they're gonna do.
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  Speaker 1: They were just gonna be a dominant ball controlling team,
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  Speaker 1: which is what they were. Last night you mentioned sort
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: of the public and the favorites cashing this weekend. We
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: had specifically decided, and we mentioned this on the show,
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: and the contest we're in, you gotta take at least
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: one by. We hadn't taken it all season. On Sunday morning,
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: we spoke. We just didn't like anything. We were seeing
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: nothing of value. We couldn't come up with five games
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  Speaker 1: we felt great about. So we decided to take the bye,
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: and I'm glad we did because we loved the Washington
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: football team plus four and a half. We would have
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: lost that even though you said on the show on
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: Sunday morning and convinced me on Twitter on ad Action
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  Speaker 1: Network euh Q, you were feeling anxious about that one
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  Speaker 1: because you had heard overnight the line on that game
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  Speaker 1: had moved from four and a half to six and
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  Speaker 1: a half. You had heard Saturday night and Sunday morning
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: when that line was moving that a lot of professional
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: groups were coming in on the Cowboys, and so it
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: was making us anxious about it. Interestingly, the other game
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  Speaker 1: that we talked about last week was the Browns and
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: the Ravens, and you loved the Ravens of plus three,
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: loved them, loved them. But by Thursday we had heard
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  Speaker 1: a lot of professional groups coming in on the Browns.
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: All of a sudden, we changed our tune and the Browns.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: Like if we had bet on the Browns in the contest,
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: as I did bet on the Browns in real life,
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: I was sick to myself. That can put me in
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: the bad mood the whole day. Yeah, as as a
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: better it's like you can never get used to those things.
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: Like literally feels that someone's beating the ship out you like,
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: like you just said, you're sick to your stomach. But
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: I had the Browns. I had a bunch of numbers.
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  Speaker 1: Two had Brown's plus one, Browns minus one minus two,
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  Speaker 1: minus two and a half minus three, and I had
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: the under So literally on that final play by the Ravens.
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  Speaker 1: I lost that cover and I lost a ton of
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  Speaker 1: money in the under Um, those are the most brutal ones.
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  Speaker 1: Then the Washington football team had a decent amount of
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  Speaker 1: money on the four and a half, five and a half,
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  Speaker 1: the six and a half, they miss a two pointer
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  Speaker 1: and a miss an extra point to lose by seven. Killer,
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  Speaker 1: absolute killer. And then for everyone out there, I feel
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  Speaker 1: like this was the sickest one that Bills plus three
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  Speaker 1: and a half. UM. I luckily talked to enough professionals
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: I was on the other side. It's usually I'm gonna
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: be with people like I love fading the public. The
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: public was coming heavy on Tampa. My biggest fear was
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: I didn't like the way the pros are messing with
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  Speaker 1: that line. They betted down from three and a half
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  Speaker 1: after three, and a ton of money came in on
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: the Buccaneers at three, and I was like, Okay, clearly
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: I ever read, and my read on Buffalo is a
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: bad read. So I got lucky on that one. I
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: mean that was them between them and the Browns both
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: being three, and then losing the cover on the Browns
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: and almost losing on the Buccaneers. It was like I
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: told you before the game's even started, that was probably
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: my least bet week since Week two. Like that was
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: my smallest amount of money I put out um since
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: we do, just because I had a bad feeling about it. Literally,
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: I know the public was gonna have the best day
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: of the year like that. That was seriously insane. All
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: the big favorites covering I know what, we give out
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: the money line around Robin. The only one that hit
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: was Atlanta. Every other, every other dog well Rams last night.
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: But that was just a bad week for someone like me,
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: like spending dogs. But luckily got it back, got a
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: lot of it back with the Bears Sunday night, and
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: got a lot of it back with the Rams last night.
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: So that's how it goes. Is it better? You just
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: gotta take when you can get it. Yeah, it was.
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: It was we didn't even talk about the Niners. We
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: love of the Niners and the professionals are sharp calls
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: last week. That was the game that a lot of
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: professionals were talking about we love the Niners. There and
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: which did you see that whole scenario? So it was
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: seventeen the over under was but also like they practically
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: gave it away both the Browns and the Niners did
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: not score in the second half and gave away covers
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: like like in the Niners missed a field goal to
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: win the game from Robbie Gold who was like pretty
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: dependable six the Bengals dropped, which was like, I feel
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: like kind of like they gave us one back there,
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: like that guy literally had tick six then and he
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: dropped it. So when you mentioned the Bears, you had
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: the Bears money line. First half, the Bears were upton
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: I think I bet the Packers live, and then it
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: pretty much went to bed. A buddy of mine called
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: me at the end of the first half and he
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: was saying to me how he can't believe this game.
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: It's insane. He said, what are you thinking about. I'm like,
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: I already bet the pack is you know, live minus three.
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: He goes, I think there's a better shot of you
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: going to sleep before this game is over then the
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: Bears actually winning this game, And I said, and I
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: sure enough went to bed. Now that was the worst
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: part about being abarrassment too, is what was the twenty
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: seven to twenty one maybe at halftime, Yes, and every
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: Bear's fan had the exact same feeling. You did. You
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: guys were reated kicking off the Green Bay to start
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: the second half, and we just knew. I mean, you
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: guys really played as good as you can play at
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: first half, and they still had twenty one points. I
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: know one of them was a pick six, but it's
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: just I feel. I feel for the Bears fans. Rogers.
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: Hopefully this is the last year of him being in
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: your division, because it's historical. It's he tied Brett for
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: right for most wins in that division history against the Bears.
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: But the good news is, our friend Daveck did send
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: us from the Bears, did send us a nice holiday
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: gift box, and I sent you something from there that
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: he specifically asked me to send you. I thought it
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: was brilliant. I thought it was so brilliant what he
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: sent you you will have no choice but to display it.
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: It was evil stuff, evil genius. All right, Before we
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: came on, you told me that you already loved this week.
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: As much as you hated last week, you love this week.
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: We got to get back at it, man. We only
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: got a few weeks left in the year to make
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: some money to climb up the rankings. Chiefs visiting the
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: Chargers Chiefs of field goal favorites on the road. The
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: line has already moved from one to three. This one
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: you already bet. Oh yeah, because we took that bye
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: we because it's from five and oh the top people
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: average one in four last week, so we actually made
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: up ground on that bye week. It was a good
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: goodbye week by us. We're so good at this search
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: will search around. I think vandal is up to three
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: and a half at this point for this line. With
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: this Chargers team, everyone and their Grandma's gonna bet in
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs. We will happily take this number, will most
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: likely take the ender as well. As soon as it
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: hit four multiple books. I bet it drove out the Philly.
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: I had my runner and a c hit a couple
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: of books. We'll see. I might take a little road
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: trip if I can't get enough money down down to
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: Maryland or something to get more money on this game,
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: because I just love that number. At plus four. This
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: Chargers team matches up very well with this Chiefs defense
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: and offense. The biggest thing I'm waiting on right now
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: is what's going on with COVID. All these teams are
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: having COVID issues. This is like a theme you'll see
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: this week. I'm not gonna be getting as much of
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: money down as I usually do because early on in
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: the week because of COVID stuff. We've seen the NBA
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: huge spike right now of COVID cases. MFL had their
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: biggest weekend of COVID cases the entire season. It's only
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: getting worse. Like we already have the Browns having an
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: outbreak this morning and a couple other teams. So between
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: these different outbreaks and how we know this new variance
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: is super super spreader. I'm just not gonna be betting
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: a ton of early in the week like I usually do.
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: So unless you have the money to buy that positions,
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't either. I keep doing what the public lud
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: he does, which is wait Sun Saturday night, Sunday morning,
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: make your bets. Too much going on with COVID. So
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: this matchup, we might have Keenan Allen out, that's a
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: huge deal for this Chargers team. We might have slid
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: Her out, which is there arguably their best offensive lineman.
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: He's a rookie this year, but he's been incredible for
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: that team. If you haven't noticed his chief's defense, they've
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: had about huge upgrade was when they brought in Melvin Ingram,
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: which is a guy who used to play for the
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: Chargers team. So it is, uh, it is a little
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: scarre You have a couple of revenge spots for this
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: guy's on the Chiefs team. But a divisional matchup, like
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: you said, this tign was still three, maybe i'd be
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: thinking about taking the Chiefs here. That's that's a fair
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: number of the Chiefs. Now that's up to plus four
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: plus three and a half. That's when you come in.
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: Have you on this Chargers team? So I do like
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: this number a lot. You gave me all the reasons
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: why I should bet the Chiefs and the only reason
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: we're betting the Chargers is because of the number. No,
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: there's more to it. I mean, I thought I broke
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: it down. This is a good matchup for those Chargers
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: all fancying defense because the Chiefs that's all you said.
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: You didn't say that. You didn't give me like you
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: said it's a good matchup. Then you're like, watch out
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: for COVID. And by the way, the Chiefs defense has improved.
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: Keenan Allen might be out, Slater might be out. What No,
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: that's right, I just want to give the people a
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: little bit of warning. Is why this line might be
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: moving the way it is, because listen. Do not fucking
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: couch your answer. You're on the Chargers, be on the Chargers.
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: Give me the matchup breakdown. I just did. You weren't listening?
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: I mean you want what if you want numbers and
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: ship we're not a number of podcasts. Any nerd can
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: go on line and look up d v O A,
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: which I've told you a million times is the most
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: useless that ever because it's literally built by who you
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: play against. If you're playing the shitty NFC East, you're
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: you're beating up on bad teams. That's why you have
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: good dv A. So number wise, yeah, everything's gonna skew
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: towards his Chief's team. They're better on paper, they're better
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: on matchup wise. But to me, when I look up
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: these matchups, I see a Chargers team that when they
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: played against this Chief's team, they did the perfect defensive scheme,
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: and every team is copied that since then, and the
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: only team the Chiefs have beat up on is Oakland.
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: Every other team they can't put up more than twenty
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: points against Oakland. Yeah, they dominate them. That's the biggest
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: thing here. You're getting a Chiefs team that coming off
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: a huge win, a dominating win, planning against the Chargers
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: team that most people have lost money and they've been
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: burned by this Chargers team. So I don't know, if
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: you want to look up numbers and matchup wise, most
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: basic things, you're getting four plus four in a divisional
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: matchup without listen. Don't get mad at me because I
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: asked a challenging follow up question. I don't give a
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: funk if the matchup is about d v O A.
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: That wasn't a challenging question. The answer you just gave
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: was we answered I was looking for. Instead, you decided
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: to get mad at me because I was like asking
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: you to give me the actual answer. I love that
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: you think I'm getting map. I raised my voice. This
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: is just me letting you know, take the plus four.
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: This is the kind of questioning that are hypercritical five
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: star feedback review cycle deserves. This is the kind of
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: thing you get annoyed about because it was like last
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: week you were like, why don't you take Arizona. They're
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: down to plus one and a half or minus one
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: and a half, and it's like got Chad, I'm not
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: doing it. I'm not telling you what I take. Other side.
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: Just take a dog fast, you know what. By the way,
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: speaking of feedback, this is gonna come all. This is
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: gonna come up in our review cycle. Just telling you
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: that right now, I do not care about my review
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: so I'm making notes and I'm taking skipping my review cycle.
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: The Raiders are visiting the Browns most books. It's the
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: Browns minus three, minus three and a half. I was
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: coming into this matchup. I was gonna be on the
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: Browns just because I know how much you hate them
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: right now and I hate them too, and that's why
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: we have to take them now. But I don't know
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: what to do. They might be down all their offensive
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: linemen Browns. So what was the number six? And that
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: was COVID news is broken out and now it's down
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: to three three and a half. So I can't I
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: can't tell you what to do with this game on
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: a Tuesday. It's a Saturday matchup, so next show will
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: definitely touch on it. But as we sit here right now,
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: if I know that the Browns will have no offensive
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: lineman left, yeah, I will take Las Vegas and plus
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: three and a half. You can get it, but I
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: just don't know what the numbers gonna end up at. Yeah,
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: we gotta wait. We can talk about this on Thursday
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: as we get closer. The other Saturday matchup, the Patriots
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: are visiting the Colts. This game is really interesting. The
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: Colts are now two and a half point favorites. I've
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: seen crazy numbers for this line opening some places. This
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: line open post weekend, so not the look aheadline, but
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: post weekend Colts minus one and it's been bed up
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: two and a half. Foxhole. Let's hop on in Foxhole.
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: Let's clide down into the fox Hole fading Mac Jones again. Yeah,
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: shocker mac Jones off the bye week. I love everything
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: about this matchup for the Colds team. They're a dominant
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: run team playing against a weaker run defense. Inside. We've
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: seen it with this this Patriots team. They're better outside
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: on the grass, they're not as good inside when you're
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: playing against fast teams. I love this number when it
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: was at one. Now it's a two and a half.
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: Still think you're gonna fair number. Once it hits three
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: and a half, maybe I start looking at the Patriots.
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: But the way the numbers are going around. The public
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: is coming in heavy on the Patriots. I just don't
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: know if the books will get up there. Maybe enough
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: professional money will come on the Colts and they'll bet
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: it up. But I've been been this Colds team all year.
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: I've lost one of my bigger bets of the year
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: on them in this exact situation. But I have to
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: keep doing it. It's you're having a really really low
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: bar on this Colds team. Everyone is looking at I
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: mean again, I feel like nine percent the media is
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: Boston fans. But it's never ending talk about how good
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: this Boston team is, how good New England is, how
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: the Patriots first bucket years Super Bowl is a lock.
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: Their number one seed right now, I just don't I
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: think they're frauds. Is the number one seed. I just
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: don't buy this Patriots team. And I maybe and maybe
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: this is the game where I'll start giving them do
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: credit because they didn't earn it that that Bills game.
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: They had to drop in the ends and the Bill
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: should have won that game. This here is as playoffs,
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: a playoff matchups you can get. This Colds team is
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: a playoff team. To me, there are top four team
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: the N FC. Let's see it on the road with Mac.
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: You can't hide him in this game. You're gonna need
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: him to make throws in this matchup. So as long
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: as I'm getting under three with this home team and
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: the Colts, I love this number. This is the huge,
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: huge pros Joe's matchup, but one of a couple that
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: are on the board today. The pros love the Colts here,
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: which is why it moves so quickly from one to
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: two and a half. Yeah, and they're looking at the
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: same thing I'm looking on paper. You just have one
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: of the more dominant offensive lines going against Again. Judan
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: has been incredible. That's an edge player up the middle.
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: This Patriots team is not what people think they are,
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: so they can be ran on. So it is interesting.
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: This matchup was especially seeing how much money is coming
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: on with the Patriots and lines moving against it. Like
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: you just said, it's a pros verse shows kind of game.
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: It will be interesting to see how Carson Wentz ends
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: up losing us this bet. What are the ways Carson
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: Wentz is going to cost us a win in this game?
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: Is it going to be a fumble, Is it gonna
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: be taking a sack when they're in field goal range,
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: and it puts them out of field goal range to
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: win the game, and instead they have to punt. And
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: the Patriots have four screen passes that turned into twenty
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: yards each to get into field goal range. Like the
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: ways in which Carson Wentz is gonna sunk this up
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: are myriad and predictable. You're alive better now. Yeah, you've
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: got a live betting in your state. So what this
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: is what you do? When they're up twenty one points,
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: four team points like the Colts will be, you take
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: the live money line up New England and then you're
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: just living the dream. It's a it's a nice position
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: to be in. I don't hedge. Hedging is for fucking losers.
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: I always hedge, and I'm not a loser. We'll talk
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: about that at your review. The Washington football team visiting
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: the Philadelphia Eagles another pros Joe's game, with the majority
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: of bets coming in on the Washington football team, the
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: majority of the money coming in on the Eagles as
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: four and a half point favorites right now. Love the
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: Eagles rare, rare time. I'm taking a favorite, taking the chalk.
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: But what I've read is this team has been hit
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: by COVID. Washington football team has now is down three
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: starters off their d line off COVID related issues. We
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: know what the Eagles want to do. They want to
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: run the ball and control that front. Eagles whole, whole
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: offensive line is healthy coming off a bye week. This
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: disaster matchup for this Washington football team really is. So
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at it. I don't really care if it's Minshew,
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: we're Hurts. It's kind of relevant to me at this point.
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: I get why Eagle strands are gone crazy for Minshew,
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: but watching his All twenty two, we're watching that game.
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: Kid has so many bad habits. I still rather have
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: Hurt as the quarterback. I feel safer with him. But
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: I'm probably only gonna downgrading maybe a point point and
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: a half between the quarterbacks. I don't think there's that
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: much of a difference between Minshew or Hurts. So just
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: looking at this number as long as stays under six.
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: I love the Eagles in this matchup. Cowboys on the
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: road at the Giants, who we have backed with faith
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: and loyalty the past few weeks as big big dogs.
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: I was not into the Giants. You love the Giants
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: I was not into him. And then impulsively and stupidly
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: Sunday afternoon and saw a report that Derwin James was
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: out for the Chargers, and all of a sudden I decided, Yep,
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: that seals it. I'm betting the Giants. So of course
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: I bet the Giants, and they were until the last
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: series of the game. They were never had a chance
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: to cover no. And that was the worst part was
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: I was like, oh my god, I probably much. I
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: turned off my like corner TV. I looked at my phone,
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: Oh my god. They have the ball after an onsete
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: kick and they're driving to get them back door cover
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: and what what of course Mike Lennon did with Mike
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: Lennon does he threw a pick? So that was sick man.
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: That was one of those bets I made where I
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: really was betting on their defensive Giants. They give thirty
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: seven points. I mean it was third and eleven at midfield.
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: They had Herbert and threw an absolute bomb off his
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: back foot, perfect ball as well, right into a guy's
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: bread basket. So they were up. I don't know, I
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: might have been twenty one and a half or maybe
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: a seventeen. Either way, it was just like, alright, that
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: BET's dead. So that was a bad misread. I faded
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: the Cowboys last week because I didn't trust Dak. I
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: thought he didn't look right this whole second half. He
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: was begging to give the football team that game. Like Washington,
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: it was if Heineke hadn't started that game, it was
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: Alan's already. I honestly believe they would have won to
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: cover that game, just because that's how bad the Cowboys
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: offense looked. I don't know what the hell to do
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: with this number, Like I want to take the Giant
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: so bad. This is way too many points for this
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: Cowboys temna be favored by. But I don't know. I
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: don't know what to do. I probably wouldn't make our
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: fans bet this game just because I don't have a
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: good field for this Giants team right now. They might
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: have quit on this coaching staff. They might have quit
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: just on the season, because that's what it looked like
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: last week. They just didn't look like a team that
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: was really given effort, especially on defense. So I don't
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: know if if if I had to make a bet
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: on this game, if I had to lean to a side,
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: I'm definitely gonna be on the Giants, but this probably
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: won't be on my top ten bats. Before we came on,
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: we noted how our audience from September to October to
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: November so far this year has grown each month, and
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: historically a little inside baseball betting podcasts peek around mid October,
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: middle eight October and then start to the klein because
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: people lose interests frustrated with betting. You know, whatever the case.
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: The season is long, we're growing, as you said, it's
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: because we're getting people ugly wins, like on the Giants.
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: I'm not saying bet the Giants. I'm just saying, uh,
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: we're here to make those hard decisions now, that's what
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: they come for it. But I mean, I told you
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: we peeked with we took the Detroit Lions get their
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: first one of the year. That was us peaking. So
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: the fact that I I remembers are still going up from
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: their chat, it's all gravy baby, so true. It's so
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: true either the way. Uh. Meanwhile, speaking of ugly, the
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: Titans are on the road of the Steelers. The money
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: and the tickets coming in on the Steelers is home
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: dogs here, so that must have flipped in last twenty
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: four hours. Um, I like, I like Pittsburgh coming in
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: first glance. I looked at this matchup. You're giving me
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh at home as a dog against the Tennessee
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: team that just historically is not played well in the cold.
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: We're staying with Tannehill, So I don't know, you kind
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: of scared me off of it. Maybe I don't have
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: to think another look at that Pittsburgh line because it
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: was two and a half. Now it sounded too Yep,
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: I still think it's a fair number. Um, it's just
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: a little scary one. I know. I'm like on just
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: a public dog with everyone else early in the week. Um,
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: Tennessee is a team that I don't know I wanted
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: to fade just because they won twenty to nothing last week.
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: But maybe maybe I need to revalue where I'm going
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: on this one because this is all too good. Like
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: I was gonna make me make this my Simon says,
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: game after you read that, it's it's gonna make a
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: good backtrack here, because early in the week, when you
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: see that kind of money coming in on a public
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: dog like that and the line doesn't just move to
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: a pick, it's usually a bad sign that usually the
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: book has a read kind of on this Tennessee team
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: that I'm missing something. So this is a wait and
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: scene now for me. Yes, so we wait and see.
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: It could be if the number continues to move down,
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: maybe we're getting Tennessee it. You know, maybe it's a
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: Tennessee a pick, which would be great value. Yeah. I
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: don't disagree that Titans game this past weekend. It's like
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: they just at Jacksonville, hang around, hang around, hang around,
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: and they're lucky that Jacksonville is just so bad that
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: they couldn't capitalize and literally any opportunity they had. No,
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: It's it's true. I mean that that's was what was
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: it a halftime and I kept saying myself, well, you know,
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: there's still a chance here for a backdoor for this
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: jackson Never. I mean, Trevor Lawrence is regressed. I think
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: he's regressed the most of all these rookie quarterbacks he has,
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: and it almost feels like he's the most frustrated with
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: his situation. You know, he never seemed like the kind
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: of player who was going to come out and publicly
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: say we got to get this guy in the field. Um,
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: And yet that's exactly what he did, and it feels
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: to me like he's just has no faith in urban
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: Meyer and now naming all the great quarterbacks have hair
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: down to their waist. Long haired quarterbacks, I'm saying down
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: to like their waiste, though, because he's Sunshine to the max.
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: You can get along, you can have a tuck down
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: into years like the Rogers look or the Brady look
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: from was That thousand nine? But once it gets below
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: the shoulders. Never, Never in my lifetime's amreric quarterback with
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: hair that long that's been good Other than Sunshine, that's interesting. No,
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: I'm just it's like the coward thing with the back
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: grids hat. I just love these, like stupid fan theories.
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: So someone sent that to me and I was like,
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: I can't disprove it. I'm gonna pitch at the chat
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: because I don't think you can think of one either.
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: I couldn't take a quarterback. I can't just prove it
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: because I can't think of one other than Sunshine. Yeah,
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: when we're talking about Sunshine, we're talking about the quarterback.
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: And remember the Titans, who famously did not make it
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: to the NFL off of that high school team that
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: he played for in a movie, but he did. The
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: player who was portrayed did not end up becoming a
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: broadcaster on ABC for a long time. What's his name?
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: I forgot damn it. It's Ronnie Bass. Ronnie Bass. That
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: sounds like America, It doesn't. Ronnie Bass plays football, touch
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: his hair behind his ear, talks about football. And now
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• 31:15
  Speaker 1: the Jets visiting the Dolphins. Well, the good news is
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: the Jets went back to being terrible this past weekend.
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: They're eight and a half point underdogs in Miami. Damn
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: it bad. No, I can't give it out like I
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: had this number at eight. If it's eight and a half,
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: just to decrease my stress, love, I'll go in Miami.
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: But technically the values towards the Jets team, but I
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: wouldn't touch unless they made it ten. I just I
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: can't have faith and saw his defense. I can't have
• 31:48
  Speaker 1: faith in Zach Wilson at quarterback right now. Just inconsistent.
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: You'll play a good first half, complete terrible second half,
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: complete terrible game. You just I just don't know I'm
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: gonna get with with him as a quarterback right now. Um,
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: I just don't think he's getting the coach and he
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: needs right now for the Jets. So the Miami's defense
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: wasn't so dominant, I would maybe think about taking them here,
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: but this Miami defense is too good, so to me,
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: unless it's the ten points, I'm not taking the Jets.
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: I thought you were going to say you wanted that
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: to be your backup sign and says no, my sign
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: says is gross. All right, Well, Texans on the road
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: at the aforementioned Jags three and a half point underdogs.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: I could see this. Do you really want to bet
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: the Jacks? No? No, that's what you have to do.
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: If you're bet in this game, you bet the Jacks.
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: Everyone in the world wants to bet Houston AU plus
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: three and a half. Why wouldn't you take Houston A
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: plus three and a half. The Jaguars are horrible, They're
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: falling apart. No one's betting the Jaguars. I honestly think
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: I might be the only person going and betting them,
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: So I bet them at three. The fact that it's
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: my three and a half, like you just said it was,
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: that that makes me feel great because that means other
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: pros are somehow betting this game for me. But the
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: public's are coming heavy on Houston. That's gonna be of
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: the square dogs this week. But to me, This is
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: gonna be the lowest probably the lowest volume game of
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: the week. There's not gonna be much value on either side.
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: Just the public is not gonna really move this number
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: that much. The phrase corner TV game was was made
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: for this for the Texas and the Jackuars, honestly, and
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: you're right about the money. The bets are coming in
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: on the Texans, but nearly fifty of the money is
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: coming in on the Jacks. So this is definitely getting
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: a little bit of love from from professional betters, and
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: it's the old school's professional and betters. They look at
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: the same thing I do, where you fade a rookie
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: on the road. Davids Mills is a rookie. It's late December.
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: You're gonna fade those quarterbacks, not even some of the time,
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: they're gonna crack just because the defense is gonna have
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: such a good read on that quarterback. They already know
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: all this guy's weaknesses. He's been playing now for I
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: don't know, maybe ten games, maybe nine for the season.
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: They know the weaknesses. So if it wasn't for Urban
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: being legit quitting on this team and kind of just
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: seeing like, you know, that loser mentality like dragging his
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: feet walking across the field of shake Brabel's hand, give
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: him one word, answers, impressors like just I hate the mojo,
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: I hate the jujuo of this Jaguars team. So even
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: if this was a great number, I wouldn't make this
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: one of our five because I just really have no
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: feel for it. Well, look, there there were so many things.
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: It was interesting that the cameras stuck with urban Meyer
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: as he went across to shake Rabel's hand. He literally
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: shook it, didn't even stop. It was like a drive
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: by shake. Didn't say anything, just shook his hand, ran
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: off the field, like just he he just seems like
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: he has no class whatsoever. My favorite thing was someone
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: posted of rabel is an assistant for him at Ohio State,
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: like they worked together, and oh my god, yeah, and
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: and Yer looked literally looked like a ten year old
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: that your parents are like, hey, go shake your hand
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: uncle's hand before we leave. And he's fucking dragging his
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: feet across the field, and like looking down, it's like
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: this this guy, dude, it's it is truly amazing. He
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: hired these college coaches who are the most entitled pricks
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: in the world. It's like, oh soccer, this guy doesn't
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: no ship once he gets to the professional level. Uh,
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, we faded them. That was one of my
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: bigger bets betting there under for every dollar, I'm gonna
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: lose on this Eagles hitting their over, I'm gonna make
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: back Temple on the Jaguars team. I mean, that was
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: just one of the biggest fades I had. Rookie head coach,
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: rookie quarterback, both coming from entitled lives in college just
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: a train rough. The Jaguars are legiti train rough. There
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: was a tweet this week where someone asked a question
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: about a defensive player and urban Meyer was like, yeah,
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: he's been playing a little bit more. He had zero
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: snaps on Sunday. Yeah, the guys checked out. It's pretty amazing.
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: It's it's it's amazing, by the way, don't forget you. Also,
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: we also talked a lot about the Texans under four wins. Yeah,
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: then the lines like it was as much fun and
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: craziness this year has been. It's again, I feel terrible
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: for all these fan bases. It feels like everything's exactly
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: the way it should be. The jack suck, Houston sucks.
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: Destroyed sucks. Sorry to say, Chad, the Bear sucks, so
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: don't be sorry. It just feels like these organizations, who
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: do you know, they have a couple of years here
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: and there where they make nice little runs, they regress
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: back to what they are is just not well run organizations.
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: It starts the top Cardinals on the road to touchdown
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: favorites at the Lions. I was gonna make this, but again, COVID,
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: we don't know who's health you've been Detroit. Chad knows,
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: Chad as soon as you saw this new I mean,
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: you just give me a little smile like this is it.
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: I wanted to be but I can't because all the
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: COVID stuff. We love this number. Detroit too touchdowns at
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: home against the Cardinals. Cardinals seven and oh on the
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: road against the spread. I don't know. I'd have to
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: look it up on that labs. I will before the
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: next show. If there's ever been a perfect eight and
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: o against the spread team, um, I can't think of
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: one off top of my head, but we love it.
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: Detroit's style is a perfect matchup for this Cardinals team.
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: They want to run ball control. That's what you gotta
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: do against this Cardinals team. You gotta kind of have
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: Kyler off the field and not let them get a rhythm.
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: We saw big holes in that matchup last night the Rams.
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: When they wanted to run the ball, they were able
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: to run the ball five six yards trunks at a time.
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: So that's Detroit's identity. They got Swift back, they got
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: Williams back. They don't. They got a bunch of guys
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: off the COVID list love it. If they're what they
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: were last week against Detroit. They don't have any offensive alignment.
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: They have no skill position players, which again they didn't
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: already have any. We would we would fade them. We
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: just would probably end up not touching this game. So
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: as we sit here on Tuesday and I have such
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: a little information about COVID, I will throw a little
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: bit on the fourteen just in case these guys do
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: all come back and Stumper drops. So we had a
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: thirteen or twelve. But if you're just an average better
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: out there, just wait, you're you're not gonna lose the
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: key value on this this number as long as stays
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: above ten by Sunday and they're all healthy. We like
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: Detroit the one strength if if the Lions have a
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: strength is probably their offensive line. That is the That's
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: the team pretty much. Yeah, Panthers on the road at
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: the Bills playing in the paris of me of Western
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: New York. Matt Mitchell, I'm so sorry for you that
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: game against the Bucks. Who calls a fade on third
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: and two when you've got a chance to win the
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: game outright? I remained just an empty, hollowed out husk
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: where a man used to be. But that game that
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: came really hollidout any final colonels that were rattling around inside.
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: The Bill's Number one problem appears to be that the
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: coaching and coordination. I don't think they know what their
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: team is. I know what this team is. And that
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: play call was a perfect example, Like you think you're
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: gonna get that call? I think you get that call
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: on the road against Tom Brady, like that quarterback could
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: have could have stabbed him to death, and they were
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: going to get a flag and they called it as
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: if they already knew they were going to kick a fell.
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: Was was disgusting. Their ten point favorites at home against
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: the Panthers. What the hell am I supposed to do?
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: List Number I mean I want to take. I want
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: to take the Panthers. They're a running first team against
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: the Bill's team that can't really stop the run. They're
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: calling for shitty weather right now up in Buffalo. Now
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: it's early in the week, but that's the predicative of
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: up come a weekend walking boot Josh Allen together once again.
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's the that's the hardest part with the
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: running quarterback because that's the always the fear. It's a
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: little like someone rolling up on his ankle doing whatever.
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know if he's really hurt. He says he's
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: gonna be playing the game, he'll be fine, but if
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: if he can't run and he's he's gonna depend on
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: you know, two running backs who have done nothing for
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: this Bills team all season. They have not run the
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: ball at all this season other than Josh Allen. It's
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: hard for me to be laying that many points with
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: the banged up Bills teams. So first glance, I wanted
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: to be all in on this Bills team just because
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: we've seen it. This Carolina team is probably one of
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: the most functional dysfunctional teams behind the Jaguars. Everything's falled apart.
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: They're firing their offensive coordinator midweek after a bye week.
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: Cam's terrible p J Walker is not a starter in
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: this league. Some rumors Sam Donald might be back if
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: that makes us feel better at all. It doesn't like
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: that doesn't change anything, So I don't know what to
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: do this line. We'll probably not passing on it. But
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: as a professional, are giving me ten and a half
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: against banged up Bill's team, I'll take Carolina. I loved.
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: On Sunday, there was a story in the ESPN news
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: headline stack about Joe Brady wants to stay in the NFL,
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: and I thought to myself, this is the epitome of
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: an agent placed story. In no world is an assistant
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: coach who got fired mid season worthy of a story
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: that says I want to continue coaching in the NFL
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: when all of the college jobs are filled. To me,
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: an interesting part with him is he had Teddy Bridgewater,
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: then Sam Donald, then p J. Walking, then Cam Newton.
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: All four of those guys aren't good. I mean, we
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: love Teddy, but I don't know those other three guys.
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I'd really put on him. Never
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: let me hear you say anything bad about Teddy again.
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: I won't. I'm sorry. Bengals visiting the Broncos. Broncos one
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorites, that's an interesting one. We
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: gotta take the Broncos question. Yeah, this is a trap line.
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: I'm sure the money and the public of coming on
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: the Bengals. Jordan look right last week. I love the
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: way the Denver team plays at home. We've been backing
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: them at home most of the times. We do bet them.
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: It's at home. It would have been great if they
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: we could have got Denver as a dog at home.
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: But the fact that they lost that game, and ot again,
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: if they would have won that game, and ot, what's
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: this minus three? Since that would have been great for
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: as a Denver backer. The fact that the books are saying,
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: you know what, we'll just put them out there as
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: a dog. We'll see what money comes in, and the
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: money has coming on the Bengals and they just stayed put.
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: That feels like a little bit of signaling from this
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: the bookmakers here. So Denver, Denver is one of these
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: players I really like to make here. But I'm again,
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna wait. Just because of COVID stuff. We're starting
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: to build up a nice little portfolio for the for
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: the weekend. Though, Yeah, I told you, I really did
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: like this week coming in. I feel like there's a
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: lot of good road dogs at home favorites, like short
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: home favorites, great defense, reliable quarterback, really good running game.
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: All the things that you want is a very short
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: home pretty much perfect, perfect way to summarize it. Thank you,
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: professional media. Yeah, four times the streaking Falcons playoff contenders
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: with God knows what, God knows how. This is a
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: Falcons podcast eight and a half nine on the road
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: at the Niners. Simon says, take Atlanta, Take Atlanta. Moneyline, love, love,
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: love the spot, love the matchups for Atlanta. The hype
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: is gonna be so high right now on this four team.
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: Kitto played out of his mind last week. Dabbo, he
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: barely even played. He mighty had like four touches and
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: he took one of into the house. This is peak
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: peak for the hype has never been higher. I'd probably
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: be on the four if this was six. The fact
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: that it is not just seven, seven a half eight,
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: eight and a half of now have to do it.
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: Love the value getting this Atlanta team, Like you just said,
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: on paper, they're a playoff team. I I get what
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: people are gonna say, they've only beat bad teams years
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: are they're a good team. I'll give them credit that
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: they're a good team. They're a playoff teams this year,
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: and I get why the publics go come and heavy
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: on the four nine. But man, this is way too
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: many points be taken with this team. Jimmy g Has
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: he really earned that kind of I don't know respect
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: to be favored by the many points. So when I
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: look at this Atlanta team, as long as Cordell Patterson's playing,
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: I'll be on it. It's uh, he's a difference maker
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: for this team. We've seen how when he goes that
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: offense goes matchup wise, we know the Fots have a
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: really bad secondary that that's just where they've been banged
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: up this year. Surprisingly, Atlanta has gotten better up front.
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: They they've actually been one of the better blocking teams
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: coming down the late stretch here. So, just going off
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: pure matchup and number of value, I love this one
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: for Atlanta. We're not podcast sad. We are. They're one
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: went one went away from him, They're over, They're one
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: win away from being five hundred crazy. It is pretty crazy.
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: Because there's nothing likable about this team. What's going to
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: be interesting is what do they do for next year?
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: Are they drafting another receiver, are they drafting an offensive lineman,
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: Are they getting a quarterback of the future. It feels
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: like they're stuck with Matt Ryan for at least another year.
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: There's no there's no gotta get gotta get him first
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: round quarterback. That feels to me like they have to
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: take and honestly still producing. Like as much I hated
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: on him, and I said they should have moved on,
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: like they shouldn't have drafted Pits. They should have just
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: taken fields or we're taking Mac at that pick and
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: what was at the five spot. I don't know what
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: the long term goal is of this team because they
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: just have so many holes. Again, they might live in
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: the playoffs this year. They're not doing anything. This team
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: is one of the worst defenses in football. And like
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: you just talked about Paris and yeah, he moves the
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: needle there. Without Calvin Ridley, that's another huge weapon. So
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: it's um it's been impressive with a Land has done,
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: but it's hard for me to say walk away from
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: Matt Ryan. He's been producing this year, So I guess
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: I'd roll it back for another year if I was them.
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: Have we reached peak Rams because of what they did
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: on Monday night with the Seahawks visiting their touchdown favorites.
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: This would be the exact spot in which you fade
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: the Rams. They are coming off a huge win in
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: inter division against a team that was number one quarterback
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: looking good. Classic letdown spot against the division arrival Neid
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: on the hood souch. Such a classic letdown spot, divisional matchup.
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: We're getting seven points. Yeah, Seahawks are terrible. Russell Wilson
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: hasn't looked right since he's come back from the hand
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: surgery last two weeks. Though he hasn't been what he
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: was the weeks before that. He's kind of gone back
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: down to his rhythm. He's not playing as scared. And
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: the run game we've seen it with her Shard Penny's
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: was huge last week for mean a belief. Two rushing touchdowns.
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: When they get a run game going and he can
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: rust and playoff that play action, that's that's the key
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: to that team. We've seen it with the Seahawks. So,
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: like you just said, that's seven. I mean, I wish
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: I could make another. Simon said, but I grabbed that
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: now because I just can't see it last. And this
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: is one of these numbers I can see dropping a
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: six and a half in most books just because professionals
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: are going to take that number. This is simply inflated. Well,
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: if what you just said, this Rams team looks so
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: dominant against the Cardinals team, I do think the Rams
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: are good. So I think there's seven point favorite good
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: against a divisional foe, not at all. I made this
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: on four and a half. So to me, you're getting
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: two and a half two points of value. I would
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: take the NM Shawks right now. Uh. You know what, Simon,
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: you're on the logo. If you say we want to
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: do a second, Simon says, bet, we can do it.
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: There's no rules, so is it is it a Simon
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: says per two? No, No, we're only gonna do one
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: a week. Very Uh a lot of fidelity. Yeah. Yeah,
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: you're taken back by that. I am a little bit
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: you're learning. You literally moved back. You were taken back.
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: I felt like you would take it, take advantage of
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: your status and say, yeah, you're right. You know what.
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: I'm a co host to this podcast. My face is
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: on the logo. If I want to do a second time,
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: that says, bet I can do it. You know what
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: I'm doing is behind your back deals, like you think
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: that dunk a ruse box is up there just to
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: show it's all sponsorship money, baby, behind your back chat,
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: I'm cashing in big time. Are you getting paid for that? No?
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: I wish, but dun cruise if you hear me, I
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: love your product. I'm a big nineties baby. I hope
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: you do get paid for it. You deserve every sin.
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: Thank you. The let's see the Packers now visiting the Ravens.
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: Packers are now favorites. This Ravens team we got. We can't.
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: We can't even bet this game right now. There are
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: literally foreign part I can't. I don't know what to say.
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: I'm still in so much pain from that Brown's game.
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: I'm literally just got a flashback in my mind. And
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: you said the Ravens. I don't know. My first my
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: good instinct is love the Ravens. If Lamar is healthy,
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: this is an auto play. If Lamar can't runs, what
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: are we doing here? Like you don't you don't bet
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: Lamar because he's like he's a good pastor. You bet
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: Lamar that his escapability, he can turn any ten yard
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: game into a touchdown run. If we've lost out a
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: Billy with Lamar, we don't bet it. The biggest reason
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: I wanted to take them was a regression for green Bay.
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: What are they ten and three now against the spread?
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: And it's something crazy like that. They continue to win
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: at a time when they really shouldn't be. So I'll
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: either end up on green Bay, I'll just stay away Lamar.
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: He is a freak. I know he can get healthy quick.
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: I can't do it. If a guy can't run, if
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: he if he's got it a high ankle spraining, he's
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: gonna try to play through it. Cannot do it. And
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: just going off the paper and looking up matchup wise,
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: the talent level is so much greater on green Bay.
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: Green Bay, they've had injuries to keep positions. The guys
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: that have filled in for those key positions have been
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: above average, like they really That's why, Like you just said,
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: Green Bay is one of the best carvering teams this
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: year despite having their best offensive linement and their best
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: quarter back out pretty much the entire season. So I
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: hate riding with Republic and taking the chalk. But just
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: like with the Eagles and I took the truck there,
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: I'll take the truck here with Green Bay. Just early
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: in the week, thinking that Lamar is just not gonna
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: be himself or is it the flip side and you
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: take the Ravens on the off chance that he is
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: himself and the number moves aggressively on Sunday, I just
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: can't buy it because they carted him off, Like Lamar
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: is such a proud guy. The fact that they had
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: to bring the card out and they wouldn't even let
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: him walk off the field. I know they said that
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: the tests were negative on the high ankle sprain. He
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: obviously was in real pain there. That's the fear because
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: apparently when you talk to X athletes, that's when you
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: don't really feel the pain, when the adrenaline is that
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: high you're on the field in the moment. That's why
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: some guys keep playing with torn a sils or they
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: walk off the field with a bad acl like the
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: ajournal is just going. Lamar did not move, He was
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: just laying there and they brought the card out for him.
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: So that that's just my fear right now, And I
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: get you're saying you could be getting good value here
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: on the Ravens team. What do you think this line
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: will be if he's he is out? You think he
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: goes up to seven? Yeah, so that that would be
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: the fear. That's why to me, I take green Day
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: here at the five and just play the play the
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: meth Lamar won't be himself, or he'll be out, or
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: if he end up, they end up officially announcing that
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: he's playing. All of a sudden, does it whip and
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: the Ravens are one point favorites, no chance, no chance.
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: The most as line will move is two points in
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: my opinion. I could see it then being plus three
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: again at home against Green Bay. But it's not gonna
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: flip five points. Saints on the road at the Buccaneers
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: ten and a half, eleven point dogs. You know we
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: do here. We take the Saints every time you did
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: it last year, both times we did it. This year,
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: we took the Saints, took them straight up to beat
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: the Buccaneers and worked out for us. It's just for
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: some reason, they really do match up grade against us.
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: This Buccaneers team. I get the fear. We have a
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: run based team of the Saints going up against one
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: of the best run defenses in the Buccaneers. But you
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: have to trust the numbers here. Divisional matchup ten points.
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: I know people are sitting and be like this, guys
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: keeps us take all these big dogs and the last
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: two weeks underdogs seven or more are own eleven against
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: the spread. That's that's gonna bounce back people. It's these
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: favorites are going to keep winning big and covering big.
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: That's just not how the world works. So to me,
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: when we're looking at a week with the sports book,
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: is gonna get it all back, even though they did
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: get a lot of it back last night, this feels
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: like one of those games are gonna get back. A
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: lot of money on every teaser is gonna have these
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: guys thrown in. I would stay away from the Buccaneers.
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: This feels like a good trap spot for them. A
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: lot of bets coming in on the Saints. I'm looking
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: at the data right now. It's bets on the Saints,
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: money on the Bucks. That's always scary. So yeah, I
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: guess I guess the pros have a good read on it. Again,
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: I just talked about the matchup. The running matchup is
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: an ideal. We have Taysom Hill, who's run first again
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: it was Trevor Simeon, which is even crazier to think
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: he was the one that took down the Buccaneers. But
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'll for right now, I'll take that
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: to it and half of that scenes team alright. Last
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: game for the second week in a row, the Chicago
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: Bears are somehow the prime time game there on Monday
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: Night football against the Vikings. This is a very prose
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: Joe's matchup if you look at it. The bets are
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: coming in and the Vikings as four point road favorites
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: against the Chicago Bears. The money is coming in and
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: the Bears. It makes sense to me. Yeah, Kirk Kirk
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: got lucky as ship his last prime time start on
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: Thursday night getting that win and cover faded. I get it.
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: Bears suck. Bears are terrible, so to the Vikings. Vikings
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: always played down their competition. They always have these close games.
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: The books are trying to tell you something here and
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: making this line what it is like. My buddy texts me,
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: why isn't this line six? I said, that's your first
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: indicator why you should be taking the Bears like you.
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: If you're so staunched and believe in the Viking should
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: be six or six and a half point favorites, they'll
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: let you know the book. The books know what they're doing,
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: they know the first plans. This is what the public
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: going to come in on. So I don't know if
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: I'm making one of our five. I can't do that.
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: The chat the suffering bearrass fan. But as a smart
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: better you take this number and I can't see it
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: getting above four and a half. So to me, if
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: you want to wait, maybe get four, you could, but
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: I would take three and a half, just in the
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: case the pros do coming bed down. But to me,
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: this summer, we'll just sit there like it is all week.
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be a the bookmakers versus the public
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: and another money night matchup. Alright, we covered every game
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: on the board, a lot of Are there no buys
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: this week? It feels like there's no So we covered
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: every single game. We asked people to send in their
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: hypercritical five star reviews and we will give away swag
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: on Thursday. Matt Mitchell is keeping an eye out. We
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: like the Colts minus two and a half, like the
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: Eagles minus four and a half. We like Seattle plus seven.
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: We like the Bears plus four, we like We're thinking
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: about the Saints. We like Detroit plus fourteen. We like
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: the Panthers plus ten. We like the Broncos minus one
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: and a half. Love the Falcons plus eight and a half. That,
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: as Sigmon says, you're read for screeture. Let time down
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: the hops. When all hope is lost, all this left
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: is relief. Let's play don't Roulette. Going back to my
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: my favorite team this year, the team I have the
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: most lovely relationship with Colts minus two and a half.
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: Give it to me. Damn it. I thought you were
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: going to do that. Damn it, you're taking the Colts
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: minus three and a half. I'm going with the Falcons
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: plus eight and a half. I love it. Yeah, it's
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: just again. I think that one's gonna come down as
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: the week goes along here, so you're getting a good
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: number on Tuesday. I like it a lot. I like
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: you too, even though you're probably gonna do badly in
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: your your in review because you weren't nice to me.
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: Is this a real thing? Actually actually do ANYR reviews? FU? Yeah,
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: I love it. I did mine with Matt Mitchell, listen
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: to me. I say this in sincerity and all earnestness.
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: Feedback is a gift. I love it. I love getting it,
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: I love giving it. I love giving it to the
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: folks on my team. I think it helps them throughout
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: the year. I think it defines what their career path
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: can be. I think it helps them understand their role
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: within the overall business and what we're trying to do.
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: I think it's great. Matt Mitchell can weigh in that
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell loves it. Matt Mitchell takes very seriously. I
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: think everyone should take him seriously. You're not in a
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: corporate job. You're not working your way up a career ladder.
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: That Matt Mitchell is still in his thirties. In twenty years,
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: he'll be running something probably for ten years at that
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: point already. These are good experiences for him. These are
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: good lessons for him and for everyone else at the
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: Action Network. As someone that's been on the giving and
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: receiving end of feedback cycles as a former corporate drone,
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: nothing makes me see Simon as more of a outdoor
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: cat brought into the house for the first time for
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: this job than him not knowing if feedback was something
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: you were joking about or whether that was really happening.
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: I really, I really like that. Yeah, I feel very
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: blessed that I'm in my mid thirties. I've never had
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: to the year review of my life. That's that's that
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: is amazing. The corporate life man. By the way, now
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: we're totally doing it. You know, I'll join. I can't wait.
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: All right, Well, if anyone else has anything to say
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: for Simon's any dear review, we've put it in, uh,
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: please review it. Make it a five star review, and
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: we'll see if it can contribute to his overall performance. Great,
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: give me a pay bum people, Yeah, exactly. All right.
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: This has been the favorites from the Volume podcast Network
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: for Simon Hunter, for Matt Mitchell. I am Chad Noman.
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: We'll be back on Tuesday to break down the slate,
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: talk about the Moneyline, parlors, any survivor conversations. We gotta
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: have get to our five best. Until then, download us
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: on Apple, podcast, Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts. I
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: love you