Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / 9-Team Parlay: Lots of Chiefs-Pats Action, Geoff Makes a Homer Pick, and Paul Spent Sunday Screaming in His Car

Transcript

9-Team Parlay: Lots of Chiefs-Pats Action, Geoff Makes a Homer Pick, and Paul Spent Sunday Screaming in His Car · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the Parlay episode. I am Schad
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: Noelman of the Action Network. I am joined as I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: am every Monday by my favorite people at the Action Network.
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: Jeff Schwartz, eight years in the NFL as an offensive lineman,
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Paula Duca, ten years in the major leagues, four time
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: All Star catcher, fellas. I'm gonna explain to people what
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: our goal is each and every week, which is to
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: choose a nine team parlay looking ahead to the weekend's
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: action in college football in the NFL. This is everybody's
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: first chance to get an early jump on the numbers.
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: And doing this made me money last weekend because Jeff
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Schwartz was adamant about the Seahawks. I jumped on the
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: Seahawks at seven and a half. I actually bet him
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: twice by accident at seven and a half, and I
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: made significant units. We're gonna choose nine teams. We're gonna
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: make twenty dollars. My boys, my brothers. Polly, I know
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: you had a tough time in the texting to you. Wanna.
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: Jeff's already laughing at you. See that my talk about
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: talk about what Deshaun Watson, Deshaun Watson, did you Here's
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: what happened? This is so like. Here's the thing about
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: Schwartz is such an r A A A router against
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: her is that he knew I got used in at
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: the bad number I had used in the three. I
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: didn't know this. You knew it. If you did? You
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: rubbing it in. I like to rub it in, Paul.
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: Sometimes too with you is because you take it like
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: exactly how I expect you to debate. Every single time
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: you were like you get just you know what I like.
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: I like sending your text bass without yo, Paul. You're
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: on full tilt and you give me just the best answer,
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: not not like like no emojis, no like ignoring me.
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: I get like three paragraphs back from you, and I
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: could just feel the venom through the text message. And
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: that's why I do it. I don't do it to
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: mock you. I do it so I get the full
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: Polly action when I need it. So I'm at I'm
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: chilling out my girls watching the game. Nothing's happening. This
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: is just the buckles just not going anywhere. So as
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: it guys, again, where are you? I'm getting time going home?
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: I turn on the radio. They start driving and then
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: the past inference with DeAndre Hopkins Indians on I didn't
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: and didn't see it. Just now I know the balls
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: on the one yard line. I'm literally screaming on Elsa
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: Goundo in the four oh five, get under center, put
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: him under center, and I hear the guy in the shotgun.
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: I'm like, this guy is an absolute joke. This is
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: a joke. This is a joke. They run alf blue loss.
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: Then he goes under center from a quarterbacks from like
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: the seventeen yard line, and then he I mean like
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: he should have kicked the field goal at half. I
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: almost ran into the meeting in the four o five.
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: Put it that way. It was very close around around
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: Lennox or Carson somewhere in that area. How bad was it, Polly?
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: It was not good. Here's the thing, Like I I
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: texted Shorts. I had like with one guy with one
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: book at three and then three I got into three
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: and a half and it was still the right side.
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, it was God, it was awful. It was awful.
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: Dak Prescott's awful, The Cowboys are awful. And Bill O'Brien
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: has no hair on his testicles. Uh, the right side
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: the winning side. He had the right side. My dad
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: always did tell me, it's not not her son. You're
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: gonna learn this in the long run, it's not who
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: wins or loses to collects the bets I had under
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: that game. So I was pleasantly surprised with the Texans
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: play calling. That was it. I gotta say a kidney
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: blow right that I got. I feel like I would
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: love for you guys. I would love for you guys
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: to live together. I feel like we had like we
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: should put me in black Jack Fletcher. We do the
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: podcast on Fridays together in an apartment for like a month,
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: and you too should live together in an apartment for
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: a month. It would be the greatest reality show ever.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: It would be Felix and Oscar and the odd couple
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: like for It would be hilarious. I told you this chat.
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: We need to we need to get together on a Sunday.
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: You need to get everyone and actually network together. You
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: to invite either some some action network, die hard you
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: know some people who follow us, uh, follow everything we do.
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: Invite him over to the office wherever we do this
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: at or webcam, Paris go something. Just have us sitting
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: there watching all the games with all our tickets in
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: our hands or wherever you want to do, our phones
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: in our hands, whatever it is, and just watch us
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: react to a whole sunday of NFL action. I'm glad
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: you bring that up, Jeff Sports. You know why you
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: can do that for me by reading Millman's Red Zone
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: Diaries and Action Network Dot hum where right. Thank you, Polly.
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: I give you the blow by blow of what my
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: day is like because you're in your mansion though no
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: one really you're like, that's not that's a little different.
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: It's very emotional. It is. You can see it. It's emotional.
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: You try balancing and you can appreciate this. Try balancing
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: being a husband, being a father, trying to lose all
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: your money, and only wanting to sit in the couch
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: for seven hours. Like Jeff, I want you to tell
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: the people yesterday you had the most adorable picture on
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: Twitter of you taking your four year old son Alex
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: to his first ever Carolina Panthers game. Yes, and uh,
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: I'm assuming you told him son, we need the pack,
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: we need the Panthers win by side that I was
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: very hot on the Panthers my six and a half.
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: It was one of my favorite things I had on
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: the podcast last week. Um, and it was it was
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: so so my son. Yes, the first NFL game, first
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: football game. Um, you know, we kind of hyped him
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: up for a little bit. I'm not sure he was
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: as happy for the football as he was to see
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: like the helicopters outside and and Surper, who's the Panther's mascot,
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: and just kind of the festivities of the game. And
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: then we kind of bribed him with a bunch of food,
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: you know, ice cream and popcorn that all wore off
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: by at the middle of the first quarter, and we
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: were gonna. I was ready to go whenever I was
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: told to do. When you want to go, you let
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: me know. We got to halftime, he was tired. He
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: still naps three hours a day, especially on the weekends.
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: Dude as tired. I'm like, you want to go, and
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: he goes, No one else is leaving. So I said,
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: all right, well, so we stayed. We stayed, We stayed.
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: We get to the fourth quarter. He's chomping on a
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: big giant pretzel. He's loving life, and I'm watching this
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: game and it was one of the oddest games I've
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: seen in person. Um, and the Panthers were clearly better team.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: They played sort of that way. They they played the
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: game like they knew they were better and didn't really
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: want to be there. Uh. They both quarterbacks through two terrible,
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: terrible interceptions in the second half. The longest touchdown pass
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: of the season for the Giants now belongs to Odell Beckham,
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: who threw a touchdown past to Sakoon Barkley. The Giants
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: muffeda pint and and and the Panthers scored touchdown. It's
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: just a very odd game. Obviously we didn't get the
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: cover there. But three and a minutes are left, it's
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: fourth and one for the Panthers, um and um, they're
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: up three. Uh, and then we're getting field orige obviously,
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: try to solve the game away. And my son turns
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: to me and goes, Daddy, I want to go now,
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: I'm ready, I'm ready, let's go. And I'm like, um,
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: all right, take him. So we walked down the stadium
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: on fourth and one with the Panthers meniyard to maybe
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: assault the game away. Luckily I live close enough to
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: the stadium to where um I got home in time
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: to watch, you know, kick a sixty three yard field
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: well that was good from seventy. I mean, he murdered
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: that ball. So at least the Panthers won that game. Um,
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: the Giants like give them credit, but they're just not
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: very good. I know they played Thursday night, UM this
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: week at home. UM, but they're just they are there.
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: I can't bet on them anymore. I just can't. I
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: can't bet for them again. I've bet I think all
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: four of their games this year, and I mean I'm
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: like O for four. I just I can't do it anymore.
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: You live close enough to the stadium that you could
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: leave that game with three minutes left and still be
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: home in time to see, you know, kick the game
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: winning field goal. Yeah, I'm like four minutes. I'm like
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: four miles from the stadium. I parked right out to
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: the stadium. I got like, I just paid a lot
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: of money in park right there. And you got a wow,
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: you got a four year old out of the stadium
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: that fast. When you go to the game. When you
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: go to the game, do as a former NFL player,
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: do you get recognized or do people say to you, Hey,
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: you should play for the Panthers. A bunch of Giants
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: fans said, Hi, they recognized me. You played for the Giants.
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: You made him a note. Last time the Giants scored
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: more than thirty points, you were playing for them, I was,
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: And then they scored thirty points yesterday they still lost. Umlar,
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: what's a regular football seat to you? So I, UM,
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: I've been to two games since I retired, and I
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: actually had never been to a NFL game before I
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: played it one because in Los Angeles, you know, the
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: team's left in like ninety four. I think was the
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: last time in the NFL team was there when I
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: was when I was a kid. So, um, I've been
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: to two games, and I Panthers games. I get tickets
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: from one of the players, and the Panthers do. It's
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: kind of interesting. Um. If they can't sell all their
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: wheelchair aisle tickets, they give them to the players. So
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: I actually had a really good seats. There were on
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: the forty yard line the first level of the wheelchair aisle,
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: so I had leg room I being ready to go.
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: I did not get sideline passes. I tried to get them.
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: Balt my son to Chief's game next year for my brother. Um,
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: and we'll get silent passes. Um. And you know I
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: don't know if he'll like it or not, but he here.
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: I give him credit. Man, Like he's not terribly in
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: the sports. My daughter loves like, she just loves. Maybe
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: she was talking about football. She loves talking about it. Um.
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: But it was a good it was a good first
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: outing for him. I was, I was. I was proud
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: of him, excited for you. That could be a great thing.
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: My kids hates winning with bribing love. It's the key.
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: It's the only way you can get him to do anything.
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: It is true. You know what we should do. Okay,
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: we should pick a nine team parlay. Let's do it,
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: Jeff Schwartz, I want you to dominate this week. I
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: am feeling so good about what's going to happen with
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: these nine teams. It's almost as if I'm having some devu.
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: I almost feel like I almost feel like I know
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: which way this is gonna go. Hul recapit last week
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: or no, let's forget it. It doesn't matter, Paul. Let's listen,
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: let's move let's move along. All right. So every time
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: we get the email for these lines, it kind of
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: takes a second to look at it and be like, oh,
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: this is this is this one looks good as one
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: looks good, So I think I found one that's that's
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: absolutely fantastic. To start us off with the Bengals at
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: home as a short home favorite two and a half
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: against the Steelers. The Bengals are four and one, folks there,
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: four and one. They have the third best record NFL
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: right now, behind the Rams and the Chiefs are both
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: five and Oh. They play great on defense, they on offense,
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: they're able to run the ball. Now, Andy Dalton's doing
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: what he's doing kind of being the quote unquote game manager.
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: You have obviously got a J. Green, you got John
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: Ross playing better this year. And the thing about this
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: game I think is important to me as I get
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: that little hook there two and a half. But also
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: I know what I'm getting from the Bengals on Sunday.
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: I know the type of effort and the team I'm
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: getting there. Down seventeen points the Dolphins yesterday came back
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: in Dolphins by the way, huge frauds all of a sudden,
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm here from the Steelers week to week.
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: The Steelers to me are two up and down for
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: you to bet on them. I love the Bengals here
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: Boom they are so falling into my wheelhouse of short
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: home dog, I mean short home favorite or home dog.
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: As we've discussed. You can read all about it in
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: Millmann's bed own Diaries actually Network dot Com. But that's
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: my theory. You know, Like I'm with you, man, it's
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: gonna be hard this week. There's a lot of those games,
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: a lot of short home favorites, a lot of home dogs,
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: a lot of teams that are like trash. But this
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: is one where it feels like you're getting that half
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: point of value. Paula, you can say something, but we're
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: playing this game. No, I love it. I mean I
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: had to sweat out the under. I had the under
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: in that game, and the Cincinnati defense made it almost
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: an over because Miami had the ball in the fifteen
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: yard line, had and took a out in the end
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: zone because they scored two defensive touch at the second
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: half of that game. I watched all second half. Their
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: defense was absolutely destroying Ryan Tannehill. He had nowhere to go.
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: Lontes is perfect. He's just an animal. He needs to
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: stay away from his bad hits um. He had a
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: couple of yesterday penalties, but when he is on the field,
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: they are a different defense and they are for real.
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: And Schwartz, he makes a good point, like when Andy
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: Dalton he doesn't make mistakes, you know, like Joe Mixon
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: has been good, I mean like he has been really good.
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: Like I'm sort of with him. You hate to always
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: get fooled by the Bengals because they're they can be
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: fool's goal, but I think they're good. We're not going
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: to be fooled. We're gonna be winners. Okay. So you
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: always talk about getting value in short favorite and that's
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: the New England Patriots minus three against the other. Schwartz
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: is Chiefs. He's crazy the time you need to fade
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: Pat Mahomes. And the reason why is, oh my god,
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: that's such a deep side from Jeff Schwartz, right, I
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: know he doesn't he doesn't. He doesn't like this because
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: this isn't my I might be a good side, considering
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: he has a good beat on on the Chiefs. But
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: not only is he an r air, he's a d
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: s R. He's a deep sire. He's like Al Gore
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: in the Debates of two thousand, like he can't hide
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: his dismay and disgust. Is the Kansas City defense, the
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: Kansas City defense and Blake Bortles had I mean, listen,
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: he was throwing balls off people's helmets. If he was
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: not making mistakes, Jackson was moving the ball, and it
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: was a little scary if you did have Kansas City.
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: But then their defense sort of you know, they're good
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: against the run. But let me tell you something. Tom
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: Brady is gonna throw for about four yards and Pat
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: Mahomes is going to have to deal with that umbrella defense.
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: And I know he's a little bit different than Alex Smith,
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: but I think the value now is going towards and
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: there's a lot of money on the Kansas City side,
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: which is strange, but we saw that before when there
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: was a lot of money on the Miami side until
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: we found out they were phony, and then New England
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: put them to sleep, um and then New England put
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: you know, I think New England's gonna put them to
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: sleep this this week. And this is the lowest year
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: ever gonna get in New England at this value. Well,
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: I I've stayed away from taking Chief's lines just because
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: my brother is obviously playing and I just I just
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: I feel weird like betting on a side. Now, I
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: love the over here with a ton of points. It's
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: at fifty nine. Now, uh, you have the Chiefs defense
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: and look, the Jaguars of an awful job of exploring
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: their defense. There they threw sixty one times. The Chiefs
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: are giving up five and a half yards to carry
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: and Jackson was one of the best rushing teams in
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: the NFL. And rush the ball, I believe, like thirteen
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: times with their running backs atrocious, New England will not
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: make the stame mistakes. But on the on the flip side,
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: New England's defense cannot rush the passer. They cannot do it.
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: And I get it, Paul, you want to sit back
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: and play that that that deep coverage, the you know
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: the drapp eight rush three or maybe you you know
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: you're sitting in a cover two look out of out
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: of a four down front. But um, that's when the
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: homes has been has been his best. The first first
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: three weeks of the year. Teams are not pressuring the
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: Chiefs and he's been able to throw the ball around,
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: find the holes in the seams of that zone. And
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: then you had Denver and you have Jacksonville. Try to
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: blitz him a little bit and yesterday's runn all over
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: the place making plays. Um, the you're you're right about
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: the value game New England. You're very rarely gonna get
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: them as a three point favorite at home. I like
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: to over here, but I guess I I'm not disagreeing
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: that the value here is with New England. Can I
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: say something? Yes, We're gonna go in New England here
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: because I think Paul He's right. The right side here
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: is New England. You're getting him at a very short
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: number if you can get in New England and minus
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: three at home. Uh. A wise man once said on
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: a television show called Sports Center, you don't make money
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: betting against Bill Belichick as less than a touchdown favorite
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: as at home. That wise man it was Chad Mellman.
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: We we have we don't have a side action on
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: this podcast. How many times Chad matches? He went on
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: Sports Center. Yeah, by the way, let me have a
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: problem that every every week, how many how many NFL games?
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: I got a research, how many NFL games have gotten
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: to sixty as the total? Well, that's gonna be my
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: broader point other than humble bragging, is let's go with
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: New England, and my pick is gonna be on the
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: total in this game. But now it's at fifty nine,
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: I feel like we should take the under. So I
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: tried that this week. I took the under the Falcon
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: Steelers and the thought and it's just a late tosh
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: on to to get over. But I don't now I
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: person think about over because why not. But I personally
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: think the unders probably if you look at it, you
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: know there's eighty five percent in publics on the over.
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: Right now. I felt the under is gonna end up
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: being the sharp play. Yeah, yeah, because Belichick is gonna
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: probably play that. I think you're under estimating this. That
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: that the zone thing. Dude like Mahomes, if if you
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: send a zone, he will pick them apart that deep
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: Brady Brady will destroy that defense. What New England's gonna
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: do market Town right now, They're gonna run the football
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: and they're gonna eat. They're gonna shorten the game up
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: and not allow Mahomes to have as many opportunities. And
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: that's and that's the problem with the Chiefs. Eventually, at
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: some point it's gonna happen in the playoffs. Already I
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: can already feel it is. When your defense is that bad.
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: It forces your offense to have to be perfect on
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: every single possession. I've been on the team in Giants,
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: we were thirty second in defense. I lost the game
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: in the Super Dome fifty two forty nine. Like, it's
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: ard on offense to have to be perfect at least
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: two mistakes, and eventually's gonna cost them. It might be
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: this game, it might be the game where New Orleands
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: just moves the ball at will on Kansas City. They
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: run the ball, they shore the game up. Instead of
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: getting let's say eight possessions or nine possessions, the Chiefs
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: get seven possessions and they have to be perfect on
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: all seven. That's hard to do. It's hard to offense
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: to have to do that every single week. Under Boom,
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: we got three kicks. We got three picks. I feel
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: good about these three. I like him. I like him
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: a lot. We still got to Paul's crazy college pick yet,
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: so we haven't even gotten to like any college picks yet.
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: We'll get there, Well, we'll get there, all right. Give
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: me Oakland plus three at home against the Seahawks. We've
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: seen home underdogs have had a great start this season.
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: We saw Buffalo obviously, we saw Philly two weeks ago,
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: going to Tennessee and lose that game. As as as
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: Tennessee was a home dog. We saw even Seattle last
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: week the game we talked to the start about here's
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: it with Oakland. Um, they are a very sporadic team,
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: but offensively, while car has struggled, they're starting to kind
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: of get things together. Sunday was was a setback in
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: Los Angeles. I think they will bounce back from that.
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: They're back at home now. Um, you have a Seattle
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: team who played well in Arizona well enough two weeks
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: ago and one they kind of played the best game
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: they might play as far as their entire team in
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: one game and lost the Rams. I think they're gonna
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: feel a little bit deflated come into Oakland. Oakland's Nina
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: when they're one and four, kind of back against the wall.
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: I don't really like John Gruner what he's done, and
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: this is kind of against my idea of fading the
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: Raiders all year. But home dog getting three points, I
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: just in Seattle is going on the road again in Oakland.
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: They don't play well on the road. I think Oakland
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: Oakland covers this game. Look, I am gonna go with
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: a home dog, as is my theory. But I will
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: tell you this, I don't think Derek car is a
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: very good quarterback. In fact, I think he's kind of
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: a bad quarterback in a good quarterbacks contract based on
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: one decent year. I've watched a lot of these Oakland games.
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: He can't throw the ball downfield. He throws a freaking
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: balloon if it goes more than forty yards. Here, they
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: cook every down. It's he's not good. It's not good. Jeff,
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: I'm going with you. I'm gonna beat with you, but
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: it's not Does everybody going the shotgun from the one
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: yard line? It's been I will give this one. Yeah,
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: Marshawn lynch ate his helmet again? Uh, Like, I don't,
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: I don't get it. Like the play calling has not
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: been great. So like, there's been a couple of games.
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: They did beat the Browns at home though, right, that
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: was a giant square. Yeah, that was a miracle. That
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: was a miracle. I'll tell about the car. They gotta
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: start running the football. No, Yeah, their offensive line is
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: much better than they need to run the football. But
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: here's the deal with offensive coordinator, especially guy like John
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: Gruden's I played with it in this West Coast branch
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: with any reading goes. They love to pass the ball.
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: They all love to pass the ball. Oh c's get
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: paid to pass the football. They don't get paid to
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: run the football. They want to throw as much as possible.
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: I agree they should be running the football more. Think
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: about car It's really interesting, Chad that you brought up
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: how he struggled. Him and Mariota, we're kind of on
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: their way to being the next kind of set of
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: quarterbacks to excel in the NFL, especially young quarterbacks. They
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: both broke their leg on the same day, it would
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: have been in twenty sixteen, and they have both not
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: been the same quarterback since then. And it's all I mean,
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: the injury they had. I had the same injury, you know,
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: for a quarterback like that. They there, they should be fine,
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: but they both look like their confidences shot. They're not
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: throwing the deep ball well anymore. It's it's very odd
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: to me how they both have just not been the
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: same guy since that injury. Hey, you know, we should
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: do we should get a pool going on how often
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: Jeff Schwartz can say I had that injury. That would
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: be very often because I've been very injured. I know
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: you're just salty because of the Sports Center coming and
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: it's okay. I mean, we allly got two references so
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: far today someone say sports Center, that was a sports
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: Center on Sunday, and there's probably three in your column.
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: I haven't read it yet because I'm being prepared for
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: our podcast. Is this is this what preparation looks like?
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: This is? Yes? Are we on Oakland plus three? Yes?
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: All right, Polly, Yes do it baby. I was on
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: Sports Center when Chris Berman called me Paul Livin Levita
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: lo Duca. That's amazing. You both have been on Sports
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: Center for real reasons. I've never been. Well, I'm sure
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: there was a highlight where you were on sports Odell
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: caught that pass. I was the first one down there.
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: There you go that. That is like one of the
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: most amazing things every Lauduca. What is the best highlight
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: you've ever been on Sports Center for? Oh, when I
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: made the catching the dug out for the Dodgers, or yeah,
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: just because it's been it's like the top I think
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: it's top thirty nine, or it's thirty nine or top
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: fifty of all time. I'm in that area. But it's
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: just like Vin Vince Scully voice. It just makes it.
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: I can It's been viewed I don't know how many times,
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: probably like times, and I'm I've on YouTube, I've probably
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: viewed it. So the other hundred people that have viewed
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: it probably loved Vince voice too, but he just makes
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: it so much better. The best play day of my life,
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: and it's probably more than that, Okay, um, the best
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: day of my life is when my I'm not gonna
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: lie to you, my bubble head came out right and
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: I had a bubble head day in My nephew said,
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: Uncle PAULI is a toy and I like that. That
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: sort of hit me like I made it no exactly
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: ration because you you you're always your mindset when you
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: get to the big leagues. Everybody always tells you it's
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: easier to get there than it is to stay, and
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: it's hard to heck to get there. So your mindset
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: is always like I got somebody behind me, you know,
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: I got some big Hungary had David Ross behind me,
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: I had Russell Martin behind me. Those guys were all
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: behind me. So I was like, you know, mind mindset, mindset,
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: and then it was like I can relax. How was it?
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: Two time hall star? I'm here, you know, twenty seven
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: thousand views. It's a great catch. No, I'm just saying
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: you can't make that catch anymore. Well because well because yeah,
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: because don't have that foul ground and Dodgers stay name anymore.
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: And is that Garmo motor pitching? You? Sure you can
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: beat me in the forty see those wheels? Sure she
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: sounds longer legs than you. Pretty good? Like like I
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: kind of made that place standing up by the way,
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: if we did live together, it'd be like the tweed
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: would maybe like twins. It would be so funny, it
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: would be amazing. Paul, what's your man? Okay, come on
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: much football? So you want you know you wanted me
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: to go there? Pac twelve, oh boy, off of bye week.
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: USC Trojans minus seven against the Colorado Buffalo's book. You
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: know why. That's why I liked this play because when
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: I looked at this number, I'm like, wow, this high
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: Colorado five and oh three and two USC, And you
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: know everybody thought, okay, USC struggling obviously with J. T.
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: Daniel as a kid that rolled enrolled early. We know
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: now Texas is pretty good beating Oklahoma. Yesterday they ride
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: the ship against Washington State. It was sort of his
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: coming out party. Um, they went to you have a
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: beat you of a in Colorado is five and o
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: and to their wins or against Nebraska, U S in
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: U c l A both winless teams, so you know
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: they're the Phonius five and oh and um, I think
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: off the bye week too, because Daniels another week to prepare.
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: And I think a lot of people undersell Clay Hilton
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: and how good of a coach he really is and
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: what he's done. And I think he's turned the ship around,
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: and I think it's time for Colorado to get blasted.
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: There's the deep sigh. There's the d s R right there. Wow,
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: I mean our air D S sir. I think it's seven.
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: It's probably a good play. I do think that. You know,
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: during this week Colorado they play a su they beat them.
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: If you combine the first four opponents, only one win. Um,
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: and look they beat Nebraska where Martinez was still healthy
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: in Nebraska, so that's obviously a big win. U c
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: l A is really really bad, so that's the game
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: they had to win. I think Colorado has an opportunity
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: UM two. With the quarterback they have and then with
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: Channault the wide receiver, they can make plays. And that
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: just does worry me with with number this big. But
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: USC is more talented than Colorado. They are much more
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: talent than Colorado. So if J. D. Daniels can keep improving,
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: USC on paper should blow out Colorado. Um. And so
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: I'm not I think it's seven. It's a good it's
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: a good play. Anything more than seven, I'd say probably
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: at the lean towards Colorado. It feels like a challenge. No,
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: because it depends a challenge. We can We've been all
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: this time. Challenge has to be two people and so
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: it's chat. You are the deciding vote on this. What
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: what is your what is your? You? You have to
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: trust the right and oh it's Patroll after dark too.
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: Oh man, you never know what happened to those games?
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: Well here's my problem. What do you think about the
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: Colorado defense? Yeah, here's my problem. Chad's expert. Yeah, I've
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: watched uh, not a single minute of USC, not a
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: single minute in Colorado. I can't stay up past ten o'clock.
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: So how am I supposed to weigh in with expertise
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: on this pick. You know what I'm gonna Paul, Paul.
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: Paul comes in hot with his college takes. I know
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: he's drawing the four oh five. He's thinking about how
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: I was gonna make these picks and hits him in
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: the face. He's like, USC, I know, USC, So I
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: I'm kind of I can roll with Paul here. I
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: was like, listen, you both played in the Pack twelve.
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: You both aggressively. Yeah, and like Jeff still covers it.
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: You know, he's got a radio show on serious about
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: the Pack twelve. Um, but the flip side, if I
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: can do some deductions here or Paula Duca, as crazy
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: as he sounds most of the time, does a lot
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: of work on college football. He loves college football. He
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: watches college football. He handicaps college football. I'm going with Luduca.
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: Bring it up, Jeff, You're up next, I'm up next.
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: I'm up next. Short home favorite, Give me that da da.
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: The Washington Redskins minus to at home against the Carolina Panthers.
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers do not deserve to be less than a
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: field goal favorite on the road. Less in a field
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: goal dog in the road. To anybody Skins are getting
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: undervalued here, Like people still have animus against Alex Smith.
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: They aren't recognizing that this defense is still pretty good.
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: Um to is gonna be a key game. We'll see
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: him play the Saints. This line might move in either directions.
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: So you know I'm taking a risk here. Give me
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: the washington Ians minus two over the Panthers. I really
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: like this pick for a couple of reasons. You mentioned
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: Alex Smith. All the guy does is winning the regular season.
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: That's all he does. Is not a playoff game we're picking.
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: We're picking a regular season game. Um And you know
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: I live in Charlotte. I see the Panthers play often,
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: and I don't know what to make of them week
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: to week, and so I get a team that I
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: know to what to expect from watching. I know what
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: Alex Smith is gonna bring every single game. No, it
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: might not be his best game, but I know I
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: know he's gonna bring it. The Panthers to me, are
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: kind of all over the place. Their center Ryan Cleol
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: has got injured. I don't know if he's gonna play
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: uh much this week. Thomas Davis is back from suspension.
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: He's gonna be a little bit out of it. Greg
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: Olson may or may not be back. I just feel
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: like you get Washington is undervalue defense, really good defensive
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: line with Alex Smith, that run game, his wide receivers
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: are healthy. Now, I think it's a great pick. I
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: like the boldness of it because they haven't even played
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: yet on Monday Night. That's why you're the million monster.
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: That's why you can reference yourself. That's why you're on ESPN.
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: Fortune favors the bold, My friends, what what seriously? Like,
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: would it matter to you at all? How the game
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: is tonight? Like, I don't think that would matter. Isn't
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: it week to week? Just every week is different, right?
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: So you can't really you don't. I don't care about
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: I don't care about the play to night. I only
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: care about how it will impact the line. Am I
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: getting the best of the number right now? Like if
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: the Skins do something great, I'm totally getting the best
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: of the number. If the Skins tank, I'd still be
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: on the Skins next week. Um, but the line might
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: move And so that's sort of why I haven't bet
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: it yet. I just don't know if I'm getting the
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: best of it, right? No, that makes sense? Ye if
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: you're I'm up. I'm up. All right, we're going back
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: to pack twelve. I'm an Organ Duck. PAULI is a
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: sun devil. Organ plays the walk Shinhuskies this week, the
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: biggest home game Organ has had, well, you can say
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: since Stanford two weeks ago, but really in a long while,
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: Washington is our number one hited rival. People might say
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: Organ State, but that's like our stepsister man. It's like
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: they're what compete Washington pete with us. We beat him
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: twelve years in a row. We've now lost the last
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: two years. Last time this game was played, Organ, Washington
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: beat US seventy to twenty one. So there's some revenge
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: factor here. I get three and a half points for
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: the Organ Ducks. A team off of by a team
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: with the better quarterback, a team with the better offensive
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: line right now, A team that that knows that they
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: are better than they played against Stanford the fourth quarter,
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: knows that if they win this game, if they beat Washington,
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: they have a legit chance to win the Pact wal
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: of North and to win the conference and maybe outside
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: chance to represent the conference in the playoff as well.
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: You have Washington now. I called their poor performance against
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: U C l A and made sense. Kind of a
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: down week. Bruins aren't very good after playing b y
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: U Go in Oregon. I think right now Washington's offense
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: is just too bland and boring. They have to score
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: a lot of points to compete against Organ and watch
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: the defense is very good, but I think Organ could
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: eat him up. So I like Oregan here, plus the
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: three and a half at home against the Arrival, I
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: love it. I mean, I almost use this, ah and
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: the fact that you're homering this makes me want to
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: play this even more. Uh, that's why I homer the
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: issue Oregon State pick. When you have a beat, you
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: don't really want to play. You hate playing your your
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: your your teams or betting your own teams. I don't,
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: and I played them because I knew Arizona Oregan States
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: awful and in in this situation, Jake Browning just doesn't
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: seem he seems tentative. Chris Peterson seems tentative. Oregon is
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: very good and like for not just for like four
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: minutes of this of like whatever happened at the end
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: of the Standford game, four minutes of their of their season.
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: They are a better team. You look at them statistically,
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: they're the top twenty five offense and defense. They got
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: a better defense than you think, and like Washington does not,
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: I think the wow factors not there. For me. The
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: Oregan is way more explosive. The explosive play is gonna
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: happen on the Oregon side. I called it. I was
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: talking to Dan Rubinstein about this, who's an Oregon duck
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: too as well, and it's just there's there's no explosive
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: anything on the outside. Oregon has it. You know, Washington's
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: got a grind away thirds and threes, and I just
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: see Oregon beating him. I do. Dan Rubinstein, contributor to
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: I'll take that back, host of this slid Verbal podcast,
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: very talented college football analyst. Um. I look, look, the
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: only teams I've watched less of than us in Colorado
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: might be Oregon in Washington. Well, you're lucky Chad this
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: week because the game is at three thirty eastern. Yeah,
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: I'm shocked. I couldn't be. I told my wife the
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: other day on Saturday, so she knows that Sundays after
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: like one o'clock is my time, right And even though
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: it's still my time, I still watch the kids and
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: do everything else. I just like, keep it on football.
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: My kids take long naps and they're not even up
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: to like three. Anyways, I told her last Saturday, We're
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: in bed and I rolled over. I said, I didn't
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: really roll over. I would crush your if I rolled over,
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: but I turned. I turned and I said, I said,
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: just letting you know, Saturday at three thirty, I'm not around, like,
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: I'm just not going to pay attention to life. She
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: She's like, okay, but what do you donna give up Sunday?
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: I said nothing, So I'm just I'm not giving him something.
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: I'm just telling you right now. So just playing where
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: you can get a sitter whatever you want to do,
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: you know, you know, want some family to come over
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: and help you watch the kids. Like, I'm just I'm
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: not going to watch the kids. I'm going to watch
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: Oregon and Washington play in my man cave quietly. Well,
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: there's no I have two young kids, semi quietly, and
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna watch this game. Schwartz, you can ask you
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: a question, Yes you win that game, like say it
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: was a three thirty gaming you won that game, how
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: would that party be that night in Oregon? Oh? Man,
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: so it's like two bars in Oregon. Um, they both
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: be pretty exciting. Um god, college parties. Wow, it's a
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: long time ago. Yeah, Taylor's will be lit as the
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: young kids say lit. That that that that's basically one
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: bar Taylor's. Your kids say lit when you win games
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: a million monster. My kids, Uh, everything I do embarrasses them.
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: So yesterday, uh, from eleven thirty to twelve, I said
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: to my kids, let's get off screens, let's hang out,
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: let's spend some time together, just chilling, talking whatever. So
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: we were in our lounge. My sons are fifteen and twelve,
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: about to be twelve, the younger one, and we're just
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: sitting in like their you know, their their playroom where
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: they have their video games set up and whatever. And
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: my older kids says something like, oh dad, that's insane.
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: And I go in too insane and the membrane insane
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: and the membrane and he goes, no, I go what.
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: He goes, No, don't do that. I know what do
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: you mean? He goes, he goes, that's awful. I don't
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: want you to ever do that again. And I go,
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: I can't be embarrassing you. I'm not in front of anybody,
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: you know, none of your friends are here, Like I
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: am just doing like a song from the nineties based
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: on the words you just said. And he goes, I
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: don't like it. I don't want you talking. Never do
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: it again. And I get that a lot. I get
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: that a lot at home. You get that a lot
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: of Dad. You're annoying. Stop talking, um, Which is why
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: I have to get it all out with you guys,
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: because that's what happens. How do we get to that.
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: Here's the thing, here's the thing at the at the
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: uh at the end of the day. I was telling
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: my wife that story and and I said, Zach goes,
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: it's insane, and she goes, insane in the membrane, Yes,
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: somebody got it. These kids nowadays just no appreciation for
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: the past, no appreciation for history. Sure every generation said that,
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: but yes, these kids are the worst. I wasn't even
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: embarrassing him. There was no one there. Kay, back to
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: the NFL um we were talking about this might be
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: the four oh five play, but we might be calling
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: this five play. But I'm starting to think that Sean
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: mcdermot's the best coach in the league. Hammertime nine and
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: seven love it last year basically with Tyrod Taylor, and
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: that's that's that's throwing Nathan Peterman out there when he
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: threw the five picks, so basically doing six. And they
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: went to the playoffs with the world. I don't know
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: how this guy is winning games and then he wins
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: a grind our game with Tennessee. Although Mariota dropped the
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: ball in the bread basket and they and probably Schwartz
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: texted everybody because he had the bills on the money
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: line after the guy dropped it. That also was at
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: the game. That's way but also very accurate. Had the
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: bills of the money line. Yes, um, but eight and
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: a half points. I mean, when you look at the Texans,
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: they just don't They're hurt animal. They're a horse. They're
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: hurt animal. Okay, that's what they are. You watched that
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: game last night. Bill O'Brien is so scared to lose
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: his job. He's so scared of his own shadow. He
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: beat them by three. He beats in Indianapolis by three.
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: The Giants won by five. They did they opening game
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: against New England. They were never in the game there. Oh,
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: let's just lose by seven. Let's just lose it's just
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: like he just is like, let's just lose a little
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: bit by this, let's win a little bit like that,
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: because I won't get fired I used to. It's I
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: don't know. It must be a voice where he thinks
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: he's Bill Belichick and he thinks he has Tom Brady.
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: He can lie in a quarterback up nine out of
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: ten times in the shotgun from the one yard line.
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: It's not Tom Brady, it's Deshaun Watson. I'm never gonna
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: look at Bill O'Brien the same after that, after that,
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: whatever a voice you just did, I can't look at that.
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: I can't look at his little childen. He did not
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: get a yard fourteen times last night. It was not
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: it was nine times inside the five. By the way,
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: when other times on on third and one did he
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: have to punt like four times? I'm saying, like I
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: charted it out for nine times inside the phone, no ten,
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: because they got stopped fourth down there nine They've had
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: nine offensive plays if you don't count the field goals
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: you got all got you man, not very good. I
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: love this Bill's defense. I mean, look very good. Josh
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: Allen there there's like, how's mcdermoy doing it. He's not
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: very good. Yes, there's a masquerade going on. Josh Allen
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: is awful. Jeff, how many how many yards did he
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: throw for it last week? Eight? Two yards on sunder
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: he was nine for eighteen. He has a knocked to
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: use his feet here and there. He will give you.
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: That doesn't make you good quarterback. Everyone's always all his
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: feet like you like, like you know, he's quarterback. I'm
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: just talking about I'm just talking about. No, I think
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: that's great for covering the game. I becauld. I agree
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: because if if you know, if they get down fourteen
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: and they're driving down to to score late in the game,
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: he can use his legs. I get all that that's fair.
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: But I'm saying, Bills fans that a constantly try to
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: tweet at me about how great Josh Allen is keep
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: telling me that he runs, he can run with the football,
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: But that doesn't make you a good quarterback. That that
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: just it's something he was ten for nineteen, by the way,
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: that that doesn't make you a great quarterback. Drew Brees
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: to is going to probably break the passing. They don't say, oh,
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: what a great runner. Drew Brees this is saying it
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: was a great pastor. That's what you do a quarterback.
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: He passed the football. Sorry, George, You're multitasking is unreal.
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: It is in mid in mid rant. Do you like
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: tend for nineteen? By the way, because I do RADI
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: do radio all day and it's just like I do.
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: I gotta do fifteen radio week man and the pack
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: twelve and some days you gotta you have to do
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: two things at once. Keep your mind. Jeff is playing
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: a different game than you and I are. We're like
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: amateur podcasters and he does this is like, honestly, he
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: might be doing this in his sleep right now. I'm
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: gonna I'm will be sleeping fairly soon, but honestly might
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: be doing this in his sleep. I got like so
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: so far too since we've been doing this, I got
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: my Twitter up. I'm chucking. I'm waiting for this line
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: to post for Central Florida Memphis like I'm refreshing the
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: Action Network gap. I put it on alert on there
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: since line pops up him on my various websites looking
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: hoping the line pops So I want to take to
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: over really badly. Um and I just yeah, multitask wrote
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: email or two. You can do it all, I am.
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to think of more ways to embarrass my kid.
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: He's got a bunch of friends downstairs. And as soon
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: as we're done with this, I'm walking down I'm gonna
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: be like, hey, guys, anybody wants some orange slices? You
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: should do that? Is this halftime of this soccer game? Listen?
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: Should we get to the last game? Not really, you're
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: driving the boat. Yeah please, Sports is disgusted by as
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: La Duka. All Right, Tennessee plus two and a half
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: hosting Baltimore. Guys, it's a no brainer. It's a no brainer.
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: This team is undervalued every single week, except for last
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: week when we all had the bills to beat or
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: cover against the Tennessee Titans. This is a really good defense.
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: I am unimpressed by the Ravens. I think that a
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: one dimensional on offense. I think they can be vulnerable
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: on defense. Um, I like the Tennessee Titans plus two
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: and a half. I like this pick as well. I mean,
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: we talk about home dogs and and you're right with
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: the Titans. They they've besides the well, really everythink every
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: game right there, besides the first week of the season.
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: They've kind of ugly these games up, and I think
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: when you have when you have a team that ugly,
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: is the game up. And that basically means they play
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: solid defense and offensively they just do enough to like
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: not score enough points, but kind of pin teams deep
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: and and and put from their own their own side
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: of the field things like that. I like the points here.
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: You mentioned Baltimore good on defense. That's gonna be wrong.
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: They're grand of defense, but they don't run the football anymore,
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: like like, that's not the Baltimore that that we are.
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: I grew up watching, right, they used to able to
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: run the football whenever they wanted, and so I think
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: that's a big part of this and that's why I
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: think the points at home. It's a great call here.
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: I love it. I love the pick. Love it. I'm
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: a big Rabes fan. Follows me on Twitter. Uh, I,
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: like I said earlier, for not for the drop pass,
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: they win the game. And I'm not even going to
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: dispute it because he's on my email pick list and
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: I sat with him at a derby. He loves to
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: play the ponies. I love the guy. He's a gambler
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: and I think as a coach. A guy like that
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: that they gambles a little bit on the side makes
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: a good coach. So, um, I've always liked Mike. I
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: always saw I would make a good head coach, which
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: breaks some news on our podcasts. Yeah, he likes to
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: play the ponies. Him and Welker, they used to go
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: all the time and ask but but Rabel in in
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: in Welcer play actually play vrabel actually was passing out.
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: I mean Welker actually um at Churchill downs hit big
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: and was handing out hundreds to people. I like, hundreds, yeah,
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: you can't. And then Churchill came out and said that
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: they overpaid him for the bat. That's pretty much. Yeah,
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: it's true story, like if you look at it. And
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: then they asked him for his money back, and they
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: asked for the money back. I don't know whatever happened
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: to that, but he was literally he hit a big
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: race and then they showed him like literally like you know,
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: throwing hundreds that are out in the crowd. People were
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: like god, he was drunk and having a good time.
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: And then they came out and said they overpaid him
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: because he was sitting in a certain room with a
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: teller this and that, and I don't know if he
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: had ever had to give the money back, but yeah,
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: it's a true story. Listen, Jeff. At this point you're
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: supposed to say, guys, we gotta go. I am, Let's
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: wrap it up. Let's go, let's wrap it up. Here
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: we go. These are nine teams for our twenty dollar parlay.
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati minus two and a half versus Pittsburgh bing New
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: England minus three versus Kansas City with New England under
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: fifty nine. That's the sharp side. Oakland plus three versus Seattle,
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: USC minus seven versus Colorado, but Washington I in Redskins
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: minus two versus Carolina Panthers, or again plus three and
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: a half versus Washington, also known as the game that
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: will break Jeff Schwartz's marriage. Buffalo plus eight and a half.
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: I already forgot who their planned. It doesn't matter no.
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: Houston Buffalo plus eight and a half against Houston Tennessee
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: plus two and a half against Baltimore. Folks, this has
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: been the favorites the parlay episode. Join us every Monday,
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: Wednesday and Friday. You can find us on Apple Podcasts
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: and listen to us on radio dot Com. Go rate
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: review and subscribe for Paul Laduca and Jeff Schwartz. I'm Chad,
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: moment of the Action Network. Talk to you Wednesday, Dady