Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Midterm Election Blue Wave vs Crypto🌊Ron Hammond INTERVIEW
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: A blue wave sweeping across the nation. What does that
- 0:02Speaker 1: mean for crypto? Today, we're going to break it down
- 0:04Speaker 1: with you and for you.
- 0:06Speaker 2: It's going to be a good one.
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- 1:06Speaker 2: Let them know we sent you. Let's just jump right
- 1:09Speaker 2: into it.
- 1:09Speaker 1: I want to bring in our guest, who is Ron Hammond,
- 1:11Speaker 1: a frequent here on the show, head of policy over
- 1:14Speaker 1: at Winter Mute.
- 1:15Speaker 2: How are you?
- 1:16Speaker 3: I'm doing good, Paul.
- 1:17Speaker 4: Appreciate the shout out yesterday, too. So a lot to
- 1:19Speaker 4: talk about and looking forward to getting to all of it.
- 1:22Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 1:22Speaker 1: So a couple of things I want to lead off with.
- 1:24Speaker 1: When you look at midterms as they are right now,
- 1:27Speaker 1: here we are early in.
- 1:28Speaker 2: The voting day.
- 1:30Speaker 1: What's your response in terms of whether or not you
- 1:32Speaker 1: think this is going to impact crypto.
- 1:34Speaker 2: In a positive way or a negative? And I'm just.
- 1:36Speaker 1: Talking in terms of sentiment and price.
- 1:39Speaker 2: What's your feeling? Is this a pump or a dump?
- 1:44Speaker 4: It's probably more of a dump situation. But again, I
- 1:46Speaker 4: think also it's important to look at the question is
- 1:49Speaker 4: more of longevity wise, what does this mean to the
- 1:51Speaker 4: United States? Like, are these the Democrats that really hate
- 1:53Speaker 4: crypto and they want to get rid of it completely?
- 1:55Speaker 4: I mean, that's the battle we were facing about four
- 1:57Speaker 4: or five years ago, or are these people saying, all right,
- 1:59Speaker 4: we need some regulation. We don't know what our position
- 2:01Speaker 4: is on regulation because they didn't go for the clarity
- 2:04Speaker 4: act in some cases for the Democrats, but there's at
- 2:06Speaker 4: least a viewpoint to saying, all right, this asset class
- 2:08Speaker 4: is here. We might not like certain things about it,
- 2:11Speaker 4: but overall we are generally supportive of this being in
- 2:14Speaker 4: the financial system or ecosystem as you will. However, the
- 2:18Speaker 4: question remains, what does regulation look like? And it seems
- 2:21Speaker 4: that at least a lot of these Democrats have been
- 2:22Speaker 4: opposed to everything the Trump administration or the Republicans in
- 2:25Speaker 4: Congress have been doing. So the question is kind of
- 2:27Speaker 4: what is their position? If it is here to stay,
- 2:30Speaker 4: how do they seem to regulate it? And that's been
- 2:31Speaker 4: a question that a lot of Democrats just haven't been
- 2:33Speaker 4: able to answer besides either ban it completely or impose
- 2:36Speaker 4: KYC beyond belief that would actually cripple the technology itself
- 2:40Speaker 4: or a plethora of other issues. So I would say overall,
- 2:43Speaker 4: it's not the most positive situation here. I do try
- 2:45Speaker 4: to be an optimist in a lot of cases, but overall,
- 2:49Speaker 4: The question is how much damage is going to be
- 2:50Speaker 4: done in these next two years in terms of Democrat
- 2:53Speaker 4: oversight and bringing these companies in to testify. How much
- 2:57Speaker 4: are they going to push back on the regulations? And
- 2:58Speaker 4: then how much does it dictate the tone for future
- 3:01Speaker 4: Democrats down the road? Are they going to be more
- 3:02Speaker 4: the Gary Gensler type of crowd or we're going to
- 3:04Speaker 4: see a Ross Benham type, which are a little more
- 3:06Speaker 4: open to the technology and more for regulatory framework like Clarity?
- 3:10Speaker 2: What's your take?
- 3:11Speaker 1: Do you feel like it's going to be a little
- 3:13Speaker 1: bit more open to where crypto is now? Because maybe
- 3:17Speaker 1: in the past, in terms of trying to get clarity
- 3:19Speaker 1: through and even to a certain extent, the Genius Act,
- 3:22Speaker 1: a lot of that pushback may have just been around
- 3:25Speaker 1: what's happening within the Trump family and how they're managing
- 3:29Speaker 1: their own crypto assets and companies. If they get beyond
- 3:33Speaker 1: that and they can actually address this more for, guess what,
- 3:37Speaker 1: the rest of the world, where would you stand at
- 3:40Speaker 1: that point? Do you feel like the Democrats could be
- 3:42Speaker 1: somewhat positive or still kind of neutral or negative?
- 3:47Speaker 4: I think that's a question that we're still waiting to
- 3:48Speaker 4: see what plays out here. So, you know, a lot
- 3:50Speaker 4: of these Democrats are saying right now, we're not going
- 3:52Speaker 4: to do what we did in the last Trump administration
- 3:54Speaker 4: when we had power by trying to impeach him right
- 3:56Speaker 4: off the rip, trying to go after him every single
- 3:58Speaker 4: turn and trying to turn everything into either legal battle
- 4:01Speaker 4: or congressional hearing. It seems like they're being a lot
- 4:03Speaker 4: more targeted, at least right now, of who they're going
- 4:06Speaker 4: to go after. It seems to be the ballroom type
- 4:07Speaker 4: of folks, at least in the crypto space. Those who
- 4:10Speaker 4: are more involved in the foreign governments, like the Saudis
- 4:13Speaker 4: with really financial, that seems to be coming up a lot.
- 4:15Speaker 4: But overall, It seems at least with a lot of
- 4:17Speaker 4: these Democrats, it's still very unknown what direction they go.
- 4:21Speaker 4: The analogy I keep hearing is more of a chicken
- 4:23Speaker 4: with their head cut off because they're saying a lot
- 4:25Speaker 4: of these things right now. But of course, there's going
- 4:27Speaker 4: to be all these controversies that come during Trump administration
- 4:29Speaker 4: that just comes with the territory. And the question is,
- 4:31Speaker 4: are Democrats going to be jumping the gun and saying,
- 4:34Speaker 4: all right, this is the thing we have to impeach
- 4:35Speaker 4: him for? Or the whole like Bo Hein story that's
- 4:38Speaker 4: really circulating around D.C.
- 4:39Speaker 3: As well.
- 4:40Speaker 4: Is that something they try to go after him for?
- 4:42Speaker 4: You know, it's a question of how much retribution is there?
- 4:45Speaker 4: Do they learn from their mistakes last go around? And
- 4:47Speaker 4: are they going to be really targeted or are they
- 4:49Speaker 4: going to be very broad and just try to go
- 4:50Speaker 4: after Trump all over again for the next two years?
- 4:52Speaker 4: So that remains to be seen. I kind of do
- 4:54Speaker 4: believe the Democrats are going to probably have a controversy
- 4:56Speaker 4: come up in the first six months that they feel compelled,
- 4:59Speaker 4: you could say, to go after the Trump administration for
- 5:02Speaker 4: an impeachment, which might bog down everything else legislatively like
- 5:05Speaker 4: it did last time.
- 5:06Speaker 3: But the hope is that does not happen.
- 5:07Speaker 4: And the Democrats who are a little more, you could
- 5:10Speaker 4: say they're moderate or a little more conservative. with their
- 5:13Speaker 4: approach are going to probably say, hey, this is not
- 5:15Speaker 4: the thing to do. But we'll see those voices went
- 5:17Speaker 4: out because there's a lot of anger on the Democrat
- 5:19Speaker 4: side right now.
- 5:20Speaker 1: How much money do you think was spent right now
- 5:23Speaker 1: from the crypto industry to try to move these elections?
- 5:26Speaker 1: But more importantly, just move D.C. into a position where
- 5:31Speaker 1: they're understanding what's happening? How much money do you think's
- 5:33Speaker 1: been spent?
- 5:34Speaker 3: Are we talking about this cycle or all cycle combined?
- 5:37Speaker 2: Let's look at this cycle.
- 5:38Speaker 1: Let's look at this cycle right now.
- 5:40Speaker 2: What do you think of that?
- 5:41Speaker 3: Yeah. It's been in probably the hundreds of millions at
- 5:43Speaker 3: this point.
- 5:43Speaker 4: I mean, just the Sherrod Brown race you mentioned, I
- 5:45Speaker 4: think crypto's, I mean, just Fairtrade loans, 55 million for
- 5:48Speaker 4: that race there.
- 5:49Speaker 3: And that's seen as probably.
- 5:50Speaker 4: The most pivotal race at this current moment for both AI,
- 5:54Speaker 4: data centers, crypto, and even potentially like anything involving commodities, ag, perps,
- 5:58Speaker 4: prediction markets. Sherrod Brown could be in charge of that share.
- 6:02Speaker 4: So that's a huge thing to watch for. But I'd say,
- 6:04Speaker 4: you know, it's in the hundreds of millions of dollars here.
- 6:05Speaker 4: But that's the thing is that, you know, four years
- 6:08Speaker 4: ago when I was working in this space, I mean,
- 6:09Speaker 4: everyone brushed off crypto. I remember two years ago, People
- 6:12Speaker 4: are saying, oh, this fair shake thing is a joke. Oh,
- 6:14Speaker 4: these guys don't do anything, have no power. But lo
- 6:16Speaker 4: and behold, the headlines the next day after the election
- 6:18Speaker 4: were how crypto took down Sherrod Brown. And like now
- 6:21Speaker 4: we are forced to be reckoned with. And people are
- 6:23Speaker 4: watching in D.C. saying, where does the crypto industry go?
- 6:25Speaker 4: And where are they putting their chips behind? Because it
- 6:28Speaker 4: carries a lot of weight and people are scared. And
- 6:30Speaker 4: that's a very new dynamic. And I kind of like it.
- 6:32Speaker 3: So props to the crypto industry for getting involved.
- 6:35Speaker 1: I'm looking at the Polymarket map right now. And if
- 6:38Speaker 1: you look at this, what would be considered a win
- 6:40Speaker 1: right now for the Senate?
- 6:42Speaker 2: If you could point out a few key races.
- 6:46Speaker 4: So my key races right now are Ohio is definitely
- 6:48Speaker 4: the number one race, I'd say. It's because A, seniority, B,
- 6:52Speaker 4: we spent 55 million at least against the, uh, the challenger.
- 6:55Speaker 4: So he can come back with a vendetta and he
- 6:56Speaker 4: can come back with a powerful position. So Ohio is
- 6:59Speaker 4: number one, uh, especially if you care about commodities, perps
- 7:01Speaker 4: and prediction markets. Number two is Texas. Uh, it's my
- 7:04Speaker 4: home state here. Uh, you know, everyone says it's hard
- 7:06Speaker 4: to see Texas going blue, but, um, I mean, I
- 7:08Speaker 4: was a tech cruise a couple of weeks or a
- 7:10Speaker 4: couple of days ago, uh, as well as a couple
- 7:11Speaker 4: of other folks in my, uh, Texas campaign days. And, uh,
- 7:14Speaker 4: the polling that they're saying is not looking good, at
- 7:16Speaker 4: least from my, uh, conversation internally, uh, with my old
- 7:19Speaker 4: folks on the campaign side. So, We'll see if Texas
- 7:22Speaker 4: does actually go blue. I mean, take a very large step,
- 7:25Speaker 4: but it does go blue. That's pretty insignificant. That's where
- 7:29Speaker 4: I stop, though, at least me personally, of where the
- 7:31Speaker 4: Senate flips are going to probably happen, besides North Carolina.
- 7:34Speaker 4: That seems obvious. I think the Republicans hold Maine. I
- 7:37Speaker 4: think they hold Alaska. And I think they hold South
- 7:40Speaker 4: Carolina and a few other ones, Nebraska as well, and Iowa. Now,
- 7:44Speaker 4: that's more of a hot take. Prediction markets are saying
- 7:46Speaker 4: that actually the Democrats are going to win and to
- 7:48Speaker 4: be 52 seats.
- 7:48Speaker 3: But me personally.
- 7:50Speaker 4: I'm looking at 50 right now with the Republicans having
- 7:53Speaker 4: the edge with J.D.
- 7:54Speaker 3: Vance, the time vote. But we will see pretty soon
- 7:58Speaker 3: if that is true or not.
- 8:00Speaker 2: Yeah, for sure.
- 8:00Speaker 1: I think obviously we'll know much more today. And there's
- 8:03Speaker 1: some races that will still be winding up probably even
- 8:06Speaker 1: for the next couple of days.
- 8:08Speaker 2: We'll see how that, of course, affects everything.
- 8:11Speaker 1: I'm looking at the battleground when you look at where
- 8:15Speaker 1: and the number of races right now. Only 45 of
- 8:19Speaker 1: the 470 races are crypto endorsed right now.
- 8:24Speaker 2: So does that surprise you? Only 45 of the 470?
- 8:30Speaker 3: Yeah, not as much.
- 8:30Speaker 4: I'd say we're dealing with a pretty small subset of
- 8:33Speaker 4: members of Congress. Again, we're dealing with Financial Services Committee
- 8:35Speaker 4: largely and Ag Committee. So that's a subset of members here.
- 8:38Speaker 4: And again, even on those committees. 50 plus members, you
- 8:42Speaker 4: probably have half of those engaged in crypto, either positively
- 8:45Speaker 4: or negatively. So I think it's a good use of
- 8:48Speaker 4: the crypto dollars to put them towards strategically to good races.
- 8:51Speaker 4: And at least in the fair shake side of things,
- 8:54Speaker 4: it seems to be donating to actually some races that
- 8:56Speaker 4: have made some impact. So like already fair shakes taken
- 8:58Speaker 4: out a Democrat incumbent, Alan Green, and they support his
- 9:01Speaker 4: challenger on the Democrat side. So we've seen plays more
- 9:05Speaker 4: in the primary stage already from the crypto lobby of
- 9:08Speaker 4: sorts or the crypto PACs.
- 9:10Speaker 3: That have been successful.
- 9:10Speaker 4: So I'd say, you know, it's targeted. It's not given
- 9:13Speaker 4: to everyone who says, I like crypto. It says, all right,
- 9:15Speaker 4: you like crypto.
- 9:15Speaker 3: Great.
- 9:16Speaker 4: But where's the voting record or where have you introduced
- 9:18Speaker 4: bills on this issue? And I think that's kind of
- 9:20Speaker 4: where they're more targeted.
- 9:22Speaker 1: If you look at the Senate races within this right now,
- 9:25Speaker 1: this battleground, only three senators were endorsed. You have, you know,
- 9:30Speaker 1: Turek and Henson. You've got, Sunu and then Pappas, but
- 9:35Speaker 1: even Sherrod Brown sitting in here, obviously, for obvious reasons,
- 9:38Speaker 1: he is the one that we're most concerned about. How
- 9:40Speaker 1: much damage do you think he can do, really, if
- 9:43Speaker 1: he does make it back in?
- 9:45Speaker 5: A lot.
- 9:45Speaker 4: I mean, it wasn't well reported or talked about much,
- 9:49Speaker 4: but even two years ago, Sherrod Brown had the opportunity
- 9:51Speaker 4: to pass a kind of clarity-like bill. It wasn't the
- 9:55Speaker 4: one that Sam Bingham Free was pushing for or any
- 9:57Speaker 4: of the other folks. It was kind of a skinnier
- 9:58Speaker 4: version of clarity. And then he said no to that.
- 10:01Speaker 4: There was also an ability to get a stablecoin bill
- 10:03Speaker 4: done two years ago. At the last second, the lame duck,
- 10:05Speaker 4: kind of the situation we're about to go into right now,
- 10:08Speaker 4: he turned that down as well again. And then he's
- 10:11Speaker 4: been Nothing but critical of the industry at every single turn.
- 10:16Speaker 4: He did change his tone weirdly, actually. After he lost,
- 10:19Speaker 4: he did make a comment about two months afterwards in
- 10:22Speaker 4: 2025 saying, maybe I went a little too aggressive against
- 10:24Speaker 4: the crypto industry. And I took a little solace in
- 10:29Speaker 4: that saying, at least he learned his lesson. But I
- 10:31Speaker 4: think the folks are doubling down here showing that, hey,
- 10:34Speaker 4: he's actually a problem. He could actually imbalance the Senate.
- 10:36Speaker 4: And even worse, hypothetically, if we do have some miracle
- 10:40Speaker 4: where Clarity does have some chance in the lame duck
- 10:42Speaker 4: this year, let's say the senators all get together, ethics
- 10:45Speaker 4: has some miracle situation happen that they find some agreement.
- 10:48Speaker 4: Sherrod Brown comes in the third week, I believe, second
- 10:52Speaker 4: week of December because it's a special election. So he
- 10:54Speaker 4: could be foil actually to Clarity if there is in
- 10:57Speaker 4: the lightest chance of this actually moving. He could be
- 11:00Speaker 4: the guy saying, yeah, this industry actually spent a lot
- 11:02Speaker 4: of money against me.
- 11:03Speaker 3: Screw them. I'm a no.
- 11:04Speaker 4: And every Democrat should be a no. And that's a
- 11:06Speaker 4: real situation that could happen.
- 11:08Speaker 1: I mean, it looks like he's a slam dunk. I'm
- 11:11Speaker 1: looking at the Ohio data right now. It's at 73%
- 11:15Speaker 1: for him. So this is a big challenge. Do you
- 11:18Speaker 1: think it's being closer than this?
- 11:22Speaker 3: I think it is.
- 11:23Speaker 4: I mean, I still think he loses, unfortunately, but he
- 11:25Speaker 4: said loses. But that's just my personal view. But Chair Brown,
- 11:29Speaker 4: he is a union man. And Ohio is a very
- 11:33Speaker 4: peculiar state. I mean, it's obviously the focal point in
- 11:35Speaker 4: most elections anyway.
- 11:37Speaker 3: But.
- 11:38Speaker 4: You know, it's been going really red recently. So it's
- 11:40Speaker 4: hard to see how that has really turned into now
- 11:42Speaker 4: going to more of the blue side here. But Sherry
- 11:44Speaker 4: Brown does have a lot of allies. He's got a
- 11:46Speaker 4: lot of campaign cash and he's been there for decades.
- 11:49Speaker 4: So he's definitely got a political operation in place. So
- 11:52Speaker 4: we'll see if that happens. But personally, he's a nice guy.
- 11:56Speaker 4: I've talked to him a couple of times. Talked to
- 11:58Speaker 4: him about the crypto bills back in like 2018 in
- 12:01Speaker 4: the Capitol. It was nothing but nice to me, but
- 12:03Speaker 4: I could not care back then, could not care eight
- 12:05Speaker 4: years after the fact. So that's where it's like, hey,
- 12:08Speaker 4: you know what? We need to keep this new blood
- 12:10Speaker 4: in Congress, not have the old blood in.
- 12:12Speaker 2: Another race we're watching, of course, what's going on in Michigan.
- 12:15Speaker 2: You've got Abdul El-Sayed, who is coming in on this.
- 12:19Speaker 1: I think a lot of people anticipated maybe he is
- 12:23Speaker 1: not necessarily pro-crypto. Some of his record is actually showing
- 12:27Speaker 1: that he is kind of on crypto side, especially around self-custody.
- 12:32Speaker 2: What about this particular race?
- 12:34Speaker 1: Do you think this is a win no matter who
- 12:36Speaker 1: wins Michigan, at least from a crypto standpoint?
- 12:40Speaker 3: It's hard to see.
- 12:41Speaker 4: The problem with a lot of these more junior folks
- 12:44Speaker 4: who kind of come in in a situation where they're
- 12:48Speaker 4: not seniors at all, especially when we're trying to learn
- 12:50Speaker 4: like the ropes and everything, especially for Al Sayed, who's
- 12:52Speaker 4: never been in Congress before, he's going to take a
- 12:54Speaker 4: lot of direction from the folks who are up top,
- 12:55Speaker 4: the Elizabeth Warrens, the Sherrod Brown, he's back in. So
- 12:59Speaker 4: he's not going to try to rock the boat. So
- 13:00Speaker 4: that's why we even see folks like John Fetterman, for example,
- 13:03Speaker 4: who kind of is almost a Republican at this point
- 13:05Speaker 4: on the Democrat side. But even then he wasn't supportive
- 13:08Speaker 4: of a lot of the clarity, you know, provisions moving forward,
- 13:10Speaker 4: even though he said the right things about clarity leading
- 13:12Speaker 4: up to it, they take direction from the top. And
- 13:14Speaker 4: when the top Democrats say, Hey, we are all against clarity.
- 13:17Speaker 4: That's what showed up in that vote a couple months ago.
- 13:20Speaker 4: So that's the unfortunate part here is that you really
- 13:22Speaker 4: got to take out these top dogs here, like your
- 13:24Speaker 4: Sherrod Browns, because they do dictate for the rest of
- 13:26Speaker 4: the dice down saying, hey, I don't like this.
- 13:29Speaker 3: Ergo, all Democrats, you don't like this.
- 13:31Speaker 2: So I guess that's my question. I'll go back to Al-Said.
- 13:36Speaker 1: He took the Sand with Crypto questionnaire, and some of
- 13:41Speaker 1: the things he hits on are he supports consumer protection, transparency,
- 13:44Speaker 1: and self-custody, one of the biggest ones that, of course,
- 13:47Speaker 1: we are and also to end debanking.
- 13:49Speaker 2: So he falls on the.
- 13:51Speaker 1: Side of either an A or a B right now.
- 13:53Speaker 1: I think he's in a B category based on these
- 13:56Speaker 1: statements because these are very early. Do you think there's
- 13:59Speaker 1: enough potential here of new, you know, new D.C. members
- 14:05Speaker 1: coming into this Congress and affecting maybe how.
- 14:10Speaker 2: Some of the older D.C. members think on this? Because
- 14:13Speaker 2: this is new blood. This is new blood.
- 14:15Speaker 1: Sometimes you listen to them. And maybe they're a little
- 14:18Speaker 1: bit more, you know, tuned into what's happening in crypto.
- 14:20Speaker 2: What do you think? Yes or no?
- 14:22Speaker 3: No, you're 100% right.
- 14:23Speaker 4: I mean, these things like right to self-custody, I saw
- 14:25Speaker 4: debanking was on that list you showed there too, which
- 14:28Speaker 4: is weird because it's when the opposite party usually does
- 14:30Speaker 4: a debanking to one party for whatever political purpose, it's
- 14:33Speaker 4: all of a sudden everyone says, hey, like, I'm against
- 14:35Speaker 4: debanking now. But when Operation Chokepoint was happening, maybe they
- 14:38Speaker 4: were for debanking then or they wouldn't say publicly. So
- 14:41Speaker 4: I think it's Helpful even when these political apparatuses happen,
- 14:44Speaker 4: they have these shifts from Trump to Biden to who
- 14:46Speaker 4: have you. These core principles of self-custody as well as anti-debanking,
- 14:51Speaker 4: those are principles we can work with. And so it's like, hey,
- 14:53Speaker 4: you might be, the right to self-custody is a very,
- 14:56Speaker 4: very tough issue. Privacy is a tough issue, but at
- 14:58Speaker 4: least we have some Democrats who hold the viewpoint of like, Hey,
- 15:01Speaker 4: I'm actually very privacy centered focus here. We can work
- 15:04Speaker 4: with that, uh, in terms of trying to find a
- 15:05Speaker 4: way to either a support their, uh, their viewpoint via
- 15:08Speaker 4: crypto legislation or be trying to find a way to
- 15:11Speaker 4: get their colleagues more engaged saying, Hey, look, self custody
- 15:13Speaker 4: is important. That's why we should have it. And having
- 15:15Speaker 4: to be kind of that voice to others, like Richard
- 15:17Speaker 4: Torres is a great example of a younger member who
- 15:20Speaker 4: it wasn't a more self custody back then it was
- 15:22Speaker 4: more NFTs. But when he got into NFTs, he got
- 15:24Speaker 4: a lot of his more younger members saying, Hey, look,
- 15:26Speaker 4: I don't think all this is crap, but let's explore this.
- 15:29Speaker 4: And so it's kind of these other kind of more
- 15:32Speaker 4: opening points. You can have these conversations with folks. So
- 15:36Speaker 4: it's good to see that Al Saeed had that position.
- 15:38Speaker 4: We'll see if it holds up when the time comes,
- 15:40Speaker 4: because that's probably say all the right things. But if
- 15:42Speaker 4: you're taking direction from Elizabeth Warren, that's still a problem.
- 15:46Speaker 1: Yeah, that's speaking of Elizabeth Warren, of course, one of
- 15:49Speaker 1: her former nemesis here was John Deaton. who tried to
- 15:52Speaker 1: run against her, failed that attempt. Now he is going
- 15:55Speaker 1: head on with Markey. And it's not looking good for
- 15:59Speaker 1: John Deaton, at least right now, when you look at
- 16:02Speaker 1: the current position. I'll go to the polymarket right here.
- 16:04Speaker 1: It looks like Ed Markey is going to take this
- 16:07Speaker 1: pretty much as a slam dunk. Where do you think
- 16:09Speaker 1: John Deaton can plug into D.C. and be most helpful?
- 16:14Speaker 1: Because he has such a good you know, understanding of
- 16:17Speaker 1: what's happening in crypto. I know he didn't go full
- 16:19Speaker 1: force crypto when he was trying to deal with Warren,
- 16:21Speaker 1: but he definitely is kind of all in on crypto,
- 16:24Speaker 1: at least going against Ed Markey for the Senate position.
- 16:28Speaker 2: Where do you think he lands?
- 16:31Speaker 3: You know, it depends.
- 16:32Speaker 4: We've seen some failed candidates in the past actually come
- 16:35Speaker 4: up and get positions of power within the Trump administration itself.
- 16:38Speaker 4: I mean, Bo Hines is a good example of that.
- 16:40Speaker 4: He ran for North Carolina congressional race, ended up losing,
- 16:43Speaker 4: but actually got picked up to go become the crypto czar.
- 16:46Speaker 4: And so I think we see a lot of these
- 16:47Speaker 4: allies do get placed within the Republican apparatus. They kind
- 16:50Speaker 4: of choose to go down that more political path here.
- 16:52Speaker 3: So John can be a great candidate for something like that.
- 16:55Speaker 4: Especially given the vacancies we've had a lot recently in
- 16:58Speaker 4: the Trump administration with folks leaving. So there is a
- 17:00Speaker 4: lot of opportunities there. But also he's a force to
- 17:03Speaker 4: be reckoned with on X itself. He's got a great following.
- 17:05Speaker 4: So maybe it's something even more on the outside influencing policy,
- 17:08Speaker 4: whether it be through lobbying or through advocacy or preparing
- 17:12Speaker 4: for another run on something else there. So he's been
- 17:15Speaker 4: a great force.
- 17:16Speaker 3: He's in D.C.
- 17:17Speaker 4: A decent amount. It's good to see that he's making
- 17:19Speaker 4: strides here. But it's tough to run against Elizabeth Warren
- 17:23Speaker 4: in a really tough state. So he gets all the
- 17:25Speaker 4: credit for that. And hopefully he can start turning more
- 17:28Speaker 4: of that state red or at least getting Elizabeth Warren
- 17:31Speaker 4: to wake up to her losing issues here, which has
- 17:33Speaker 4: not happened yet, but hopefully will.
- 17:36Speaker 1: I like the fact that you think that Warren might
- 17:39Speaker 1: turn at some point.
- 17:40Speaker 2: I mean, come on.
- 17:42Speaker 3: Hey, she's with the banks now.
- 17:43Speaker 4: She's crapped on them for years. So, you know, we
- 17:46Speaker 4: have to see Elizabeth Warren come around.
- 17:48Speaker 2: Interesting.
- 17:49Speaker 1: Hey, speaking of that, coming around, you've got Mike Selleck
- 17:52Speaker 1: posting out today. Americans now may access equity perps on
- 17:56Speaker 1: CFTC regulated markets online. And this is subject to robust
- 18:00Speaker 1: safeguards from the CFTC. This changes things pretty heavily, obviously,
- 18:06Speaker 1: even for Terry Duffy.
- 18:07Speaker 2: I mean, he seems to.
- 18:08Speaker 1: Be, I can't imagine what he thought when this came through.
- 18:12Speaker 1: But first of all, what do you think this impact
- 18:14Speaker 1: is where you get, you know, a lot of these
- 18:17Speaker 1: bureaucracies starting to set the standard by rulemaking instead of
- 18:21Speaker 1: it coming out of lawmaking out of Congress?
- 18:26Speaker 4: Well, there's always the perception that this is a Trump
- 18:28Speaker 4: rule from here on out, so it must be going away.
- 18:31Speaker 4: So the viewpoint of a lot of the Democrats would be, hey,
- 18:34Speaker 4: let's wipe the board clean. I mean, that's what the
- 18:36Speaker 4: Trump administration did to a lot of the SC rules
- 18:38Speaker 4: that the Biden administration put in place. They got rid
- 18:40Speaker 4: of a lot of them and said, hey, guess what?
- 18:42Speaker 4: We're going to do our own rules here. So we've
- 18:43Speaker 4: been going through this whole cycle back and forth. It's
- 18:45Speaker 4: not helpful, especially also considering the market has adopted so
- 18:49Speaker 4: much of these rules and has made a market structure
- 18:52Speaker 4: based off these rulemakings and future rulemakings. So- The idea
- 18:56Speaker 4: that you want to go forward and try to repeal
- 18:59Speaker 4: all this stuff is more as a screw you to Trump.
- 19:02Speaker 4: It would be very disadvantageous to the whole market itself,
- 19:06Speaker 4: to DC, to a lot of progress we made here.
- 19:08Speaker 3: And it's happened in the past.
- 19:09Speaker 4: We've had Democrat administrators reach out to us and send
- 19:12Speaker 4: me at the blockchain association where Tether was causing problems.
- 19:15Speaker 4: And they're saying, hey, the idea back in the 2022
- 19:17Speaker 4: was we should ban Tether. And we had to go
- 19:19Speaker 4: in to talk to Treasury and be like, hey, look,
- 19:21Speaker 4: if you ban Tether, the Downstream effect of all this
- 19:24Speaker 4: is huge for the industry itself. You're not going after
- 19:26Speaker 4: one company. You're going to affect all DeFi, for example.
- 19:28Speaker 4: So it's going to be a lot of that saying like, hey, look,
- 19:32Speaker 4: I know you guys really want to attack the Trump administration,
- 19:34Speaker 4: but let's make sure we understand that there's people's jobs
- 19:37Speaker 4: and livelihood. There's a market here that is very developed
- 19:40Speaker 4: now in the past 10 years. So let's make sure
- 19:42Speaker 4: we do this very strategically and smart if you make
- 19:44Speaker 4: some changes, but also understand that these rules in place
- 19:47Speaker 4: are the de facto rules now because there's no legislations.
- 19:50Speaker 4: So if you get rid of them, a lot of
- 19:51Speaker 4: things can happen in the markets that probably won't be great.
- 19:53Speaker 4: And you can capture all the issues that happen. I
- 19:57Speaker 4: think it's important to see, but as we've seen the
- 19:59Speaker 4: Binance hack, it took only a matter of seconds for
- 20:02Speaker 4: a lot of the folks who are anti-crypto to jump
- 20:03Speaker 4: on and say, see, Clarity wouldn't have solved this, or see,
- 20:07Speaker 4: Republicans actually want more of Binance as the United States
- 20:09Speaker 4: so they can all fail. And it's just a battle
- 20:12Speaker 4: of the narratives, which is really frustrating. But I think
- 20:14Speaker 4: the smarter members and the smarter regulators understand this is
- 20:17Speaker 4: a tough issue, and it's not something like a political
- 20:20Speaker 4: win saying, I hate this or I like this, so
- 20:22Speaker 4: we should do it.
- 20:24Speaker 1: So Ron, when you look at the landscape, on the
- 20:27Speaker 1: other side if a blue wave does in fact occur.
- 20:31Speaker 1: The likelihood of the Congress bringing out things like Royal
- 20:36Speaker 1: Liberty Fi and other Trump-associated crypto firms to where they're
- 20:41Speaker 1: actually bringing them into Congress for review, for whatever scenario
- 20:47Speaker 1: that might play.
- 20:48Speaker 2: Out, do you think that's a possibility? What would you
- 20:50Speaker 2: give it right now on a one to 100?
- 20:55Speaker 4: The question I think is, uh, how many committees are
- 20:58Speaker 4: they gonna get dragged in front of?
- 21:00Speaker 3: And then how targeted is this going to be? Um, okay.
- 21:03Speaker 4: So like we've already had members say, if you're donating
- 21:05Speaker 4: to the Trump ballroom, you're probably on the list. Um,
- 21:07Speaker 4: and if you donate heavily to the meme coin dinner,
- 21:10Speaker 4: potentially you might be on the list. Um, if you
- 21:13Speaker 4: donate to, um, you know, very Mar-a-Lago, um, uh, ventures
- 21:17Speaker 4: or whatever, or maybe you donate to other Trump efforts
- 21:20Speaker 4: or got involved with worldly financial. you're probably on the
- 21:22Speaker 4: list to get dragged in front of financial services, government
- 21:26Speaker 4: oversight over reform, judiciary, agriculture committee. So for a lot
- 21:31Speaker 4: of people I talked to, because I've had a brief
- 21:33Speaker 4: of a bunch of CEOs who have testified before, they
- 21:36Speaker 4: all get really excited first saying, well, I can't wait
- 21:38Speaker 4: to go against AOC and get my five minutes in
- 21:40Speaker 4: and really kind of go back and forth with her.
- 21:41Speaker 4: It's like, no, this is a dressing down that the
- 21:44Speaker 4: whole point is that you don't get to talk. They
- 21:45Speaker 4: want to yell you five minutes, get a great headline
- 21:48Speaker 4: or great clip. and make you look like the worst
- 21:50Speaker 4: person ever, there's no benefit to testifying these situations. It's
- 21:55Speaker 4: more reputational risk and regulatory risk at the end of
- 21:57Speaker 4: the day anyways, but it's mostly for the headlines for
- 22:00Speaker 4: the members of Congress here. So we're gonna have a
- 22:02Speaker 4: lot of that. I expect at least a dozen hearings,
- 22:05Speaker 4: probably two dozen hearings in the next two years and
- 22:08Speaker 4: about seven or eight committees on crypto and more of
- 22:11Speaker 4: the Democrats trying to either enact revenge or to try
- 22:14Speaker 4: to really put the screws to them. We'll see how
- 22:18Speaker 4: soon it is, but I expect that to, I mean,
- 22:21Speaker 4: probably the first three months, four months, we'll probably see
- 22:23Speaker 4: the first crypto hearing oversight-wise.
- 22:25Speaker 3: It will not be great.
- 22:28Speaker 1: Speaking of not being great, I want to go to
- 22:29Speaker 1: a clip. This, of course, is Gary Gensler's podcast that
- 22:34Speaker 1: we have to play a clip from.
- 22:35Speaker 2: I mean, you know, I think it's only fitting. Let's
- 22:38Speaker 2: go to that.
- 22:39Speaker 5: If I were advising this speaker, I'd say, look, there's
- 22:42Speaker 5: going to be a need for investigations. Start the investigations, frankly,
- 22:47Speaker 5: about improprieties and corruption and so forth. The crypto field,
- 22:52Speaker 5: their association with prediction markets, there might be a move
- 22:56Speaker 5: to try to impeach a couple of cabinet members. And
- 22:59Speaker 5: I think number one on that is the Secretary of Defense,
- 23:03Speaker 5: Pete Hegseth. But what will be interesting is I think
- 23:06Speaker 5: there'll be members of both the House and Senate, Republican
- 23:10Speaker 5: and Democrats who will want to get some legislation done.
- 23:13Speaker 5: A lot of the people in the industry will probably
- 23:16Speaker 5: want Congress to do something if, but only if, any
- 23:20Speaker 5: legislation would preempt all the states doing something similar.
- 23:25Speaker 3: Is there a.
- 23:26Speaker 5: Bill that could pass Congress, get the president's approval, because
- 23:31Speaker 5: the president would feel, all right, we're going to preempt
- 23:33Speaker 5: the states, that's sufficiently strong enough to get the majority
- 23:39Speaker 5: of the Democrats and some Republicans. And I think there
- 23:43Speaker 5: will be some places.
- 23:44Speaker 1: All right. So a couple of questions with that. First
- 23:48Speaker 1: of all, what do you think? Do you think Gensler
- 23:51Speaker 1: is right? I mean, I'm saying that in one sentence,
- 23:53Speaker 1: so that's an unusual sentence.
- 23:55Speaker 2: But what do you think?
- 23:57Speaker 4: I don't think we'll see anything on prediction markets. That's
- 23:59Speaker 4: definitely going to the Supreme Court. I mean, you'll see
- 24:01Speaker 4: a lot of hearings on it. You'll see a lot
- 24:02Speaker 4: of scrutiny on it. You'll see a lot of people
- 24:03Speaker 4: yelling about it. It's going to go down to the
- 24:05Speaker 4: Supreme Court for that question.
- 24:06Speaker 3: So I think that's it's all posturing for that one.
- 24:10Speaker 3: I was curious again.
- 24:11Speaker 4: So I was going to say impeachment, but like say
- 24:13Speaker 4: someone else on the financial regulatory side, the defense secretary.
- 24:16Speaker 4: That is kind of the first one that comes to
- 24:17Speaker 4: mind for a lot of people. There's been some rumors
- 24:19Speaker 4: going around that he might run for Tennessee Senate to
- 24:21Speaker 4: avoid that. We'll see what happens on that front. But overall, yeah,
- 24:27Speaker 4: Gary– I mean, Gensler doesn't miss the spotlight. He's trying
- 24:29Speaker 4: to get into– he's falling into a lot of these
- 24:31Speaker 4: tropes the Democrats on the leadership side have been falling into,
- 24:33Speaker 4: more of attacking prediction markets, attacking the CFTC, attacking the regulators,
- 24:38Speaker 4: and saying that this is not sufficient enough. Legislation, though,
- 24:41Speaker 4: that's pretty minimal. I'd say the Democrats honestly have not
- 24:44Speaker 4: really passed much when it comes to legislation on the
- 24:46Speaker 4: financial services side unless there's a crisis. Dodd-Frank kind of
- 24:50Speaker 4: comes to mind. So unless– There's been some big hacks,
- 24:53Speaker 4: you know, with the Biden's hack, for example. But even then,
- 24:54Speaker 4: it hasn't really compelled a lot of Democrats to move
- 24:56Speaker 4: here because the question always been, what do you guys
- 24:58Speaker 4: have to propose in terms of like legislation? And the
- 25:01Speaker 4: Democrats really haven't had anything to step against. You know,
- 25:04Speaker 4: a lot of time they've been working with clarity drafters
- 25:06Speaker 4: on the Clarity Act. So the question kind of is,
- 25:09Speaker 4: will Elizabeth Warren, will she ever work on legislation that
- 25:12Speaker 4: mirrors the Clarity Act in some way, shape or form?
- 25:14Speaker 3: It's really hard to see.
- 25:15Speaker 4: And she's the one that determines what bills get votes,
- 25:17Speaker 4: what bills don't and what hearings happen. And so if
- 25:20Speaker 4: you don't have her, you don't have legislation.
- 25:22Speaker 1: Listen, okay, I've got a couple of questions I want
- 25:24Speaker 1: to ask about post the midterms and going into even
- 25:28Speaker 1: the next presidential election.
- 25:30Speaker 2: But some of the things that.
- 25:31Speaker 1: Are happening in the market right now, you got Justin Sun,
- 25:34Speaker 1: who's moving heavily against World Liberty Fi. This has been
- 25:36Speaker 1: somewhat of a dirty laundry fight in terms of where
- 25:42Speaker 1: Justin Sun and World Liberty Fi is setting. And this
- 25:45Speaker 1: is really tying into a couple of things, one of
- 25:49Speaker 1: which has been this whole issue of their failure to disclose,
- 25:53Speaker 1: all sorts of issues that kind of, again, pull World
- 25:56Speaker 1: Liberty Five back into the limelight here. When you think
- 26:00Speaker 1: about that, do you think he's prepping for a Democrat win?
- 26:04Speaker 1: So he would be on the side of going after, well,
- 26:07Speaker 1: he's already on the side of the Democrats if you're
- 26:09Speaker 1: going after World Liberty Five.
- 26:11Speaker 4: I mean, I guess, but he was what, the number
- 26:12Speaker 4: one meme coin holder and he's done a lot already
- 26:15Speaker 4: in this space that's ticked off Republicans and Democrats. I
- 26:18Speaker 4: don't think Justin Sun's got too many friends candidly in DC.
- 26:21Speaker 4: My conversation, so yeah, so we'll see on that front.
- 26:24Speaker 4: But I'll just bet here, if anything, he's probably just
- 26:26Speaker 4: trying to get more Celine Jouser to go after versus him,
- 26:29Speaker 4: but guess what, they're coming for him too.
- 26:32Speaker 1: Hey, listen, we had the big, you mentioned the Binance hack,
- 26:35Speaker 1: but that happened. And if you guys will remember, It
- 26:38Speaker 1: was also just after what the president had put down
- 26:42Speaker 1: in terms of his new administration's efforts to crack down
- 26:46Speaker 1: on foreign criminal networks. That didn't look so well for
- 26:51Speaker 1: that effort. If we go out and get, you know,
- 26:54Speaker 1: a six billion dollar hack coming off of one of
- 26:57Speaker 1: the largest Asian exchanges out, the largest Asian exchange out there.
- 27:01Speaker 1: So what kind of impact do you think that's egg
- 27:03Speaker 1: on the president's face right now with what's happening out there?
- 27:07Speaker 4: Mean to your point is an asian exchange like they're
- 27:09Speaker 4: not in the united states there is buying us but
- 27:10Speaker 4: they're separate entity here so like it was kind of
- 27:12Speaker 4: weird seeing some of the people like your manifestors you're
- 27:14Speaker 4: going they're against their types attacking uh this current administration
- 27:18Speaker 4: for the buying situations like they're not even in the
- 27:21Speaker 4: united states like this is not something that they regulate
- 27:23Speaker 4: this would be buying us so it's an odd play
- 27:25Speaker 4: but of course it doesn't help them it doesn't hurt
- 27:27Speaker 4: for them to add it to their talking points saying
- 27:30Speaker 4: hey look there's a lot of hacks issues here but
- 27:32Speaker 4: as you and i and the audience probably well know
- 27:34Speaker 4: is that crypto usually is subject to a lot of
- 27:35Speaker 4: these hacks especially the ai revolution and such usually we
- 27:38Speaker 4: get like the first taste of it and then stratify
- 27:40Speaker 4: gets the next taste of it uh a couple days
- 27:42Speaker 4: or weeks afterwards so i would not be shocked we
- 27:44Speaker 4: see another hack between now and heck even maybe january
- 27:47Speaker 4: that's like to this magnitude the more immediate traditional clients
- 27:50Speaker 4: or some other space that gets a lot of the
- 27:52Speaker 4: attention here because of ai so so we'll see on
- 27:55Speaker 4: that front but One last thing I want to.
- 27:58Speaker 3: Highlight, though.
- 27:58Speaker 4: I remember a reporter did ask Trump about the Biden
- 28:01Speaker 4: attack and said, hey, we're monitoring it. But, you know,
- 28:04Speaker 4: we will come to defense of our companies and our
- 28:06Speaker 4: citizens if anything was ever occurring on the North Korea side.
- 28:10Speaker 4: Oddly enough, North Korea denied the attack, I think it
- 28:12Speaker 4: was today. So that was weird to see. But I
- 28:15Speaker 4: remember this actually four years ago. A similar situation happened
- 28:17Speaker 4: where North Korea had an attack on exchange and Biden
- 28:20Speaker 4: was asked about it. And Biden's response was more attacking
- 28:22Speaker 4: the industry itself, saying that it's unregulated and these people
- 28:26Speaker 4: are doing horrible things with crypto. And it was really refreshing,
- 28:30Speaker 4: at least for Trump, even though it was a horrible
- 28:31Speaker 4: situation with North Korea and such, to say, like, we
- 28:33Speaker 4: got these guys' backs here.
- 28:35Speaker 3: And that's really refreshing. That's how it should be.
- 28:37Speaker 4: Watch out for Americans who are in more of the
- 28:39Speaker 4: crypto industry itself. I mean, again, Biden's being foreign is
- 28:42Speaker 4: a whole different story as well. But it's nice to
- 28:44Speaker 4: see at least the tone from the top down has
- 28:46Speaker 4: shifted dramatically. And that's been at least... encouraging, you could say,
- 28:51Speaker 4: to be in the United States, have someone.
- 28:52Speaker 3: Have your back.
- 28:54Speaker 1: Ron, do you think that, I mean, because these cyber
- 28:56Speaker 1: attacks are happening everywhere. You had Europe under massive cyber attack.
- 29:00Speaker 1: You've got all sorts of issues that are going out.
- 29:02Speaker 1: Even in TradFi, there's been a few recent small TradFi hits.
- 29:07Speaker 1: But now let's go here stateside. Let's, don't assume, but
- 29:12Speaker 1: let's say that either one of the major exchanges, like
- 29:16Speaker 1: a Coinbase or someone like that, gets hacked, or one
- 29:19Speaker 1: of the traditional finance banks get hacked? Which one of
- 29:23Speaker 1: those do you think would look worse for the Democrats
- 29:26Speaker 1: or even the Republicans or Congress in general if one
- 29:31Speaker 1: of those occur, which is very possible that we could
- 29:33Speaker 1: see that in 2027?
- 29:33Speaker 2: I'm going to.
- 29:36Speaker 4: Go probably the more traditional finance route, but that's more
- 29:38Speaker 4: because what they're going to say usually, again, there's a
- 29:42Speaker 4: lot of circumstances, but I would say what's going to
- 29:44Speaker 4: happen likely is they're going to say, hey, we have
- 29:46Speaker 4: this hack, we're a major institution. Therefore, anything that's on
- 29:49Speaker 4: the verge of innovation or precipice of being cool, like
- 29:53Speaker 4: purpose or tokenized equities or various wallets and such, they're
- 29:58Speaker 4: going to say, we can't do this yet. We need
- 30:00Speaker 4: to take a year or two to pause. And then
- 30:03Speaker 4: when we realize all the risks and parameters, then we
- 30:05Speaker 4: can realize that we should have some regulations and move
- 30:07Speaker 4: forward with this technology. But we should not move forward
- 30:09Speaker 4: with the technology until then. So that's the excuse they're
- 30:11Speaker 4: going to use. And it's more to mask their other priorities.
- 30:14Speaker 4: So if like tokenized equities, for example, they're going to
- 30:16Speaker 4: always ask them for delay, delay, delay, because they know
- 30:19Speaker 4: it's happening. It's only a matter, it's never going to happen.
- 30:21Speaker 4: But they want to make sure it happens either underneath
- 30:23Speaker 4: the Democrat administration that really locks out the new entrants,
- 30:26Speaker 4: or they want to make sure they have the right
- 30:28Speaker 4: market share here. So I think that's what we're going
- 30:30Speaker 4: to see is a lot of these institutional players using
- 30:33Speaker 4: bad things that happened to either crypto or themselves and say, see,
- 30:37Speaker 4: now we can't move forward with innovation until we study
- 30:39Speaker 4: the issue. And that's frustrating because we've done that for years.
- 30:43Speaker 4: And it's just been buying their time here.
- 30:44Speaker 3: At this point.
- 30:45Speaker 1: Do you not, but do you not think that, I mean,
- 30:48Speaker 1: because that seems silly, the opportunity is, is this new
- 30:50Speaker 1: innovation of this technology actually is designed to potentially stop
- 30:56Speaker 1: a lot of this stuff? You know, when you look
- 30:58Speaker 1: at zero knowledge, you look at the evolution of where
- 31:00Speaker 1: the blockchain is building from. This seems like the natural
- 31:03Speaker 1: evolution as opposed to the old rails that have been
- 31:07Speaker 1: sitting out there for three decades, which are the highest
- 31:10Speaker 1: vector right now, surface vector for an AI or even
- 31:14Speaker 1: a social engineering attack, which is what happened to Binance,
- 31:17Speaker 1: where they got into a laptop, was able to navigate
- 31:19Speaker 1: the system, wasn't really necessarily an AI. AI aided it,
- 31:22Speaker 1: but that would be my concern is that the banks
- 31:26Speaker 1: would say, no, we need to ramp up our cybersecurity
- 31:30Speaker 1: and our models in terms of how do we protect
- 31:33Speaker 1: Americans funds, especially in the banking system.
- 31:36Speaker 2: Yep.
- 31:36Speaker 3: They'll say like, hey, we need to ramp it up
- 31:38Speaker 3: on that front.
- 31:38Speaker 4: But then they'll also push other things like we should
- 31:40Speaker 4: have KYC for all DeFi, for example. And they know
- 31:43Speaker 4: that will kill a lot of DeFi innovation there, or
- 31:45Speaker 4: at least maybe put the blame a lot on the
- 31:47Speaker 4: DeFi folks saying, see, they're not trying to comply. We comply,
- 31:50Speaker 4: but they don't comply. Therefore, we should shut it down.
- 31:52Speaker 4: Or maybe we should put some really strenuous requirements on them.
- 31:55Speaker 4: So this is kind of just how the narrative game works, unfortunately.
- 31:59Speaker 4: But given how much these hacks are happening and how
- 32:01Speaker 4: much crypto is facing the brunt of it right now,
- 32:03Speaker 4: to your point, it's only a matter of time.
- 32:04Speaker 3: TradFi gets a lot more of that.
- 32:06Speaker 4: And it's about how you spend it, unfortunately, especially when
- 32:09Speaker 4: a Congress you know is not going to probably do
- 32:11Speaker 4: a lot right now. And yet the agency is pretty
- 32:13Speaker 4: much able to do as much as they can. A
- 32:16Speaker 4: lot of it's going to be narrative building and then
- 32:17Speaker 4: trying to use that to either A, exercise oversight and
- 32:20Speaker 4: get those kind of quips and hearings, or B, set
- 32:22Speaker 4: up a legal challenge, whether it be through suing them
- 32:25Speaker 4: or having another entity sue them. But I think the
- 32:29Speaker 4: important thing to watch is how much do traditional finance
- 32:31Speaker 4: and the Democrats really align here? Because 12 years ago,
- 32:34Speaker 4: they hate each other. But now they're allies here. And
- 32:38Speaker 4: a lot of companies are going through the Democrats as
- 32:42Speaker 4: their vocal piece and hiding behind them. Whereas at least crypto,
- 32:45Speaker 4: we're pretty out and about saying here's what we want.
- 32:47Speaker 4: And some Democrats like us, some Republicans like us, but
- 32:49Speaker 4: we're not compromising a lot of ideals here. So it'll
- 32:53Speaker 4: be interesting to see, but I think that's a more
- 32:55Speaker 4: shift to watch is how much of these traditional finance
- 32:57Speaker 4: folks hide behind the Democrats, what they're saying. And we're
- 33:00Speaker 4: already seeing that play out right now, again, especially on
- 33:02Speaker 4: tokenized equities and PERPs, but I think it's only going
- 33:04Speaker 4: to continue from here on out.
- 33:06Speaker 2: Ron, last question. Do you think we could get surprised?
- 33:10Speaker 1: Let's, you know, with the looks of the polls right now,
- 33:13Speaker 1: there's going to be a swing here. Do you think
- 33:16Speaker 1: we could get surprised by the Democrats that, the sense
- 33:20Speaker 1: that they could be positive for crypto over the next
- 33:23Speaker 1: two years.
- 33:26Speaker 4: Um you know there's a slight chance on that front
- 33:29Speaker 4: again at least the downside democrats is very top heavy
- 33:32Speaker 4: driven so you're dealing with a lot of the older
- 33:33Speaker 4: members here who just a vote against crypto already or
- 33:37Speaker 4: b have already said they don't like it so the
- 33:39Speaker 4: question is do we are we able to pull off
- 33:41Speaker 4: some democrats on the younger side of things or more
- 33:43Speaker 4: open-minded who uh can kind of say hey We don't
- 33:46Speaker 4: agree with Elizabeth Warren's line of questioning here. We don't
- 33:48Speaker 4: think the stablecoin yield fight is something that the banks
- 33:51Speaker 4: should have full control over here. So it's going to
- 33:54Speaker 4: be more, can we pick off more Democrats like Richard
- 33:56Speaker 4: Torres is, Usain McCardos, who can say we are willing
- 34:00Speaker 4: to step up in front of the line of fire
- 34:01Speaker 4: and say this is the wrong way Democrats have been
- 34:03Speaker 4: going about things.
- 34:04Speaker 3: You know, they've been saying that for a lot of
- 34:05Speaker 3: other issues. Some have said for crypto.
- 34:07Speaker 4: But the question is, after this win for Democrats tomorrow,
- 34:10Speaker 4: how many are going to say we're all united or
- 34:12Speaker 4: how many are going to say we're united, but I'm
- 34:14Speaker 4: going to call you out when something I don't agree with.
- 34:17Speaker 3: And that we have not seen yet in the Senate.
- 34:20Speaker 1: Well, listen, we're going to maybe get a chance to
- 34:22Speaker 1: see that coming up soon because it looks like we're
- 34:25Speaker 1: going to see a little bit of a switch. We'll
- 34:27Speaker 1: know today at the end of the polls, hopefully into tomorrow.
- 34:31Speaker 1: locking down some of these races. Ron Hammond, thanks for
- 34:33Speaker 1: coming in today.
- 34:34Speaker 2: We do appreciate it.
- 34:35Speaker 3: Thanks, Paul. Always good to be on.
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