Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Ethereum Outperforming Bitcoin🚨$2 Trillion in Stablecoins Coming?
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: Bitcoin or ethereum. That's the question everybody's asking for twenty
- 0:09Speaker 1: twenty five. I'll break it down for you. My name
- 0:10Speaker 1: is Pelberre. Welcome back in a tech path. Listen, it's
- 0:13Speaker 1: gonna be a good one today. We're gonna break down
- 0:14Speaker 1: a lot of what's happening within the eth ecosystem, how
- 0:17Speaker 1: bitcoin could play out in twenty twenty five. But before
- 0:20Speaker 1: we do that, I do want to thank our sponsor,
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- 0:28Speaker 1: future of money. So all you have to do is
- 0:30Speaker 1: use our link down below. You're gonna get two hundred
- 0:32Speaker 1: bucks in crypto to get started. Maybe this is your
- 0:34Speaker 1: first time to get started in crypto, so of course
- 0:36Speaker 1: Coinbase is a great place to get started. Let's go
- 0:39Speaker 1: over to a couple of points I want to hit
- 0:40Speaker 1: on today. One of course is KOBEEC. We'll get into
- 0:43Speaker 1: where the stock market is right now. If you see
- 0:45Speaker 1: where it has been now, it has recovered slightly as
- 0:48Speaker 1: of recording, but posting back to back losses during the
- 0:51Speaker 1: Santa Claus rally, which did not happen. Of course, as
- 0:54Speaker 1: you saw, we did not see the numbers, even though
- 0:58Speaker 1: we have seen a little bit of adjustment, I don't
- 0:59Speaker 1: know if that's going to happen through the end of
- 1:01Speaker 1: the month or not. Here we are recording this on
- 1:04Speaker 1: December thirtieth. One other thing to take a look at
- 1:06Speaker 1: is just how much money is setting on the sidelines
- 1:09Speaker 1: right now in US money markets. You've got a current
- 1:11Speaker 1: six point seventy five trillion, that's the right trillion.
- 1:15Speaker 2: Look at the.
- 1:16Speaker 1: Chart right here. Also, this is unbelievable to see that
- 1:19Speaker 1: much money setting in yield bearing accounts, in money market
- 1:23Speaker 1: funds that most likely are looking for high yield opportunities
- 1:27Speaker 1: going into twenty twenty five, some of which have maybe
- 1:30Speaker 1: already taken their tax losses for the year, and we're
- 1:33Speaker 1: waiting for a January first event. That's where I think
- 1:37Speaker 1: a lot of things are going to start to play
- 1:38Speaker 1: out for both Bitcoin and also for ethereum, Tether facing
- 1:43Speaker 1: their EU regulatory hurdles. Course, right now, as Mika starts
- 1:48Speaker 1: to roll out, I think it's effective today this of
- 1:50Speaker 1: course is affecting the current market cap. It's dropping by
- 1:54Speaker 1: almost two billions. So that's one factor we've pointed out
- 1:57Speaker 1: to you guys, is that tether would most likely take
- 1:59Speaker 1: a mark hit. If you take a look at coin
- 2:02Speaker 1: market cap, this is on the thirty day for Tether
- 2:05Speaker 1: price is of course a little bit on dirt, but
- 2:08Speaker 1: if you look at the market cap in general, this
- 2:10Speaker 1: is kind of where everybody's been looking at the performance
- 2:12Speaker 1: and of course dropping off one hundred and forty billion,
- 2:14Speaker 1: now this has happened before, we've seen it in past cycles.
- 2:18Speaker 1: That's a big factor, and of course everybody's been knowing
- 2:20Speaker 1: this is coming. All of the d listings on Tether
- 2:23Speaker 1: will happen this week, so be looking for that. Other
- 2:27Speaker 1: things to look at right here, tether bitcoin holdings are
- 2:30Speaker 1: also hitting seven point six billion after the latest bitcoin addition,
- 2:35Speaker 1: so maybe what they're doing is holding bitcoin in not
- 2:39Speaker 1: US security. So I don't know. This is what we're
- 2:43Speaker 1: taking a look at with Tether in general. Other things
- 2:46Speaker 1: I want to take a look at is of course,
- 2:47Speaker 1: where are stable coins holding out? If you look at
- 2:50Speaker 1: this chart right here, stable coins USDT and USDC and
- 2:54Speaker 1: of course Solana leading the way here on what we
- 2:58Speaker 1: are seeing in terms of stable coins being held. So
- 3:01Speaker 1: again good growth here. Solana continues to be a high
- 3:04Speaker 1: performer in terms of especially on stable coins. The other
- 3:08Speaker 1: thing I want to take a look at is just
- 3:09Speaker 1: the amount of growth we saw on unie swap. Just
- 3:13Speaker 1: to look at this, guys, this is an insane pump
- 3:16Speaker 1: that we saw in the month of December, its highest
- 3:19Speaker 1: ever on uniswap. Again, decentralized exchanges will be I think
- 3:25Speaker 1: one of the biggest categories that we'll see in twenty
- 3:28Speaker 1: twenty five. Other things we're going to be watching, of
- 3:30Speaker 1: course is real world assets token ice treasuries right here,
- 3:34Speaker 1: over four billion now and continuing to roll. If you
- 3:37Speaker 1: look at this very big, a very big explosion. Some
- 3:41Speaker 1: of this of course coming from hash note, which is
- 3:45Speaker 1: the one to kind of take a look at almost
- 3:46Speaker 1: a one point eight billion in market cap right there.
- 3:50Speaker 1: Other things to look at within real world assets is
- 3:54Speaker 1: just the networks themselves, and of course you have to
- 3:56Speaker 1: look at ethereum, which is why we think eth is
- 3:58Speaker 1: the way to go. When you look look at the
- 4:00Speaker 1: potential for twenty twenty five, again, Ethereum absolutely overperforming here
- 4:06Speaker 1: and I think it's just getting started. When you look
- 4:08Speaker 1: at security being one of the biggest factors, and anybody
- 4:12Speaker 1: that's looking to try to build within the crypto ecosystem
- 4:15Speaker 1: Eth has been the basis of where they're going. So
- 4:18Speaker 1: just keep a little bit of an eye on that,
- 4:20Speaker 1: because as you look at both the Bitcoin price kind
- 4:23Speaker 1: of hovering around that ninety to ninety two range and
- 4:26Speaker 1: you look at Eth, do we get that performance on
- 4:29Speaker 1: ethereum because we haven't seen a big drop in the
- 4:31Speaker 1: eighth price as comparison to where Bitcoin was at one
- 4:35Speaker 1: oh five or one oh six from it's high, So
- 4:38Speaker 1: definitely want to watch just to take a look on
- 4:41Speaker 1: trading view. This course is the ETH BTC chart, and
- 4:44Speaker 1: you can see the decline of ETH all the way
- 4:46Speaker 1: back until we hit around the twenty second of December,
- 4:49Speaker 1: and this is the performance that we started to see
- 4:52Speaker 1: on ethereum. And if you look at bitcoin in general,
- 4:55Speaker 1: and I think this is one of the things that
- 4:56Speaker 1: you have to kind of consider right here. On the
- 4:58Speaker 1: seventeenth of December was when we saw that one oh
- 5:01Speaker 1: six high and the adjustment off of that. So this
- 5:05Speaker 1: might be the pivotal point for ethereum to start making
- 5:08Speaker 1: its moveth especially going into the first of the year.
- 5:11Speaker 1: All right, So I want to go over to this
- 5:12Speaker 1: website right here. It's called stable Finance, all right, and
- 5:15Speaker 1: if you look at this, you're going to notice something.
- 5:17Speaker 1: Let me just zoom in on this. That's the eight
- 5:18Speaker 1: percent yield on your savings. Now that's pretty crazy if
- 5:21Speaker 1: you think about that. Notice the number there, seventeen x
- 5:23Speaker 1: more than traditional savings account. Some of these are pretty pathetic,
- 5:26Speaker 1: Wells Fargo right there, But then you look at places
- 5:29Speaker 1: like Robinhood, well Front even betterment all holding it above
- 5:32Speaker 1: the four percent. Even coinbase has been able to do that.
- 5:34Speaker 1: So the question though, and I think that everybody needs
- 5:37Speaker 1: to be looking at, is what is in what are
- 5:40Speaker 1: we going to see in the stable coin market, especially
- 5:42Speaker 1: as we roll out in twenty twenty five, the market
- 5:44Speaker 1: could hit as much as two trillion in terms of
- 5:47Speaker 1: a market cap, And if you take a look at
- 5:49Speaker 1: the RBA website and jump over to stable coins, you
- 5:52Speaker 1: can see the market cap right there two hundred billions.
- 5:55Speaker 1: So that would be a ten x from where we
- 5:57Speaker 1: are right now on the future of stable coins. So
- 6:00Speaker 1: the possibility of really this taking off is huge. And
- 6:04Speaker 1: remember ethereum is a big part of this obviously, with
- 6:07Speaker 1: circle in USDC being a big key component. I want
- 6:11Speaker 1: to go to a clip real quick because this will
- 6:12Speaker 1: get into Jeremy Alair, the CEO of Circle, talking about
- 6:16Speaker 1: USDC or stable coins and cbdc's take a look.
- 6:20Speaker 2: It seems like there's no direction going towards a CBDC
- 6:24Speaker 2: in the US. Doesn't exist, doesn't exist.
- 6:27Speaker 3: Yeah, there's nothing happening.
- 6:28Speaker 2: Okay, you don't want it to exist.
- 6:30Speaker 3: No, No, there's no work happening, and there's no interest
- 6:35Speaker 3: in Congress in picking it up, right, So there's nothing happening.
- 6:40Speaker 2: I mean, there are so many CBDC projects that are
- 6:43Speaker 2: happening on in the world we started. Nothing like that
- 6:46Speaker 2: is happening in the US.
- 6:47Speaker 3: Correct.
- 6:48Speaker 2: A lot of folks that have heard about the ECMI
- 6:51Speaker 2: in China. The interesting thing is they're almost copying a
- 6:54Speaker 2: page out of the crypto because they're trying to force usage,
- 6:58Speaker 2: so they're essentially air dropping. They will use the word
- 7:00Speaker 2: air drop, right, but they're air dropping into come on, yeah,
- 7:04Speaker 2: into easing my wallets and then encouraging them to actually
- 7:07Speaker 2: use it for you know, tourism or whatever it is.
- 7:09Speaker 3: And what's interesting is that despite the research projects on CBDCs,
- 7:13Speaker 3: the highest priority for all of these governments is stable
- 7:17Speaker 3: coin rules because the market's already here exactly, the market's
- 7:20Speaker 3: already delivering this.
- 7:22Speaker 1: The fact that he's so adamant about this is that
- 7:25Speaker 1: the development's just not happening. I think he sees the
- 7:27Speaker 1: riding on the wall coming in from regulation that most
- 7:31Speaker 1: likely will take place. It's not even most likely it's
- 7:33Speaker 1: going to happen in early twenty twenty five. We're going
- 7:36Speaker 1: to have a regulation scenario that plays out for stable coins.
- 7:40Speaker 1: And once that occurs, I think that is where the
- 7:43Speaker 1: idea of CBDCs. And Trump has already shown and talked
- 7:45Speaker 1: about this. He's not for a CBDC anyway. So I
- 7:49Speaker 1: think the US leads the way on this for sure.
- 7:52Speaker 1: I want to go to this article real quick Ethereum
- 7:54Speaker 1: to outperform bitcoin in Q one. There's three reasons that
- 7:57Speaker 1: they're talking about some of these and you're going to
- 8:00Speaker 1: recognize most of them. Price dynamics for bitcoin in general,
- 8:04Speaker 1: Ethereum still trades about thirty percent below its own ETFs.
- 8:07Speaker 1: Also our available retail investors could perceive this as a
- 8:10Speaker 1: better play, and also that it's a little bit cheaper
- 8:13Speaker 1: on zoom in on that. Also, then you look at
- 8:15Speaker 1: number two pro crypto policies under Trump. He's got backed
- 8:19Speaker 1: ETF focused assets, and remember that Trump also has the
- 8:23Speaker 1: Web three Leadership Fund, so there's a lot there. And
- 8:26Speaker 1: then the base ecosystem itself is just very, very extensive,
- 8:30Speaker 1: and it has emerged as probably the one secure component
- 8:35Speaker 1: when it comes to crypto, and I think that's why
- 8:36Speaker 1: you're seeing a lot of companies and projects continuing to
- 8:39Speaker 1: flourish on ethereum, which is why I think we're going
- 8:42Speaker 1: to see a move on eth in early twenty twenty five.
- 8:45Speaker 1: Some people believe that this is going to happen because
- 8:48Speaker 1: you can just look at how they're holding ethereum. Eth
- 8:51Speaker 1: is continuing to grow above sixty almost a little well,
- 8:55Speaker 1: it's actually cracked above eighty percent right here. In long
- 8:58Speaker 1: term eth versus Bitcoin holders, ETH is definitely performing out
- 9:03Speaker 1: over a Bitcoin in general, and I think that's the question.
- 9:07Speaker 1: I mean, I know that I hold more ethan Bitcoin,
- 9:09Speaker 1: and I know that I believe in ethereum more than
- 9:12Speaker 1: bitcoin when it comes to the current short term, and
- 9:15Speaker 1: I think the long term still has a lot to
- 9:17Speaker 1: be decided on how bitcoin does. And I get that
- 9:20Speaker 1: there's a lot of major companies out there betting on bitcoin,
- 9:24Speaker 1: but I'm just looking at Ethereum as being one of
- 9:26Speaker 1: the core of how the next Internet begins. It's going
- 9:29Speaker 1: to be how a lot of the rdba's work, and
- 9:32Speaker 1: that is really where we're going to see a lot
- 9:34Speaker 1: of growth. Further into this, you just look at this
- 9:36Speaker 1: Bitcoin supply on EVM chains grew significantly, largely due to
- 9:40Speaker 1: the introduction of bitcoin staking. That's the other thing kind
- 9:43Speaker 1: of interesting. Maybe there's an out here for bitcoin holders
- 9:46Speaker 1: on an EVM chain to actually go out there and
- 9:48Speaker 1: get some staking. That could be another play that could
- 9:51Speaker 1: go good for bitcoin in general. Also, if you look
- 9:53Speaker 1: at Token i's commodities gold continuing to climb, so Token
- 9:57Speaker 1: i's gold could be a reality. Petership will probably very
- 10:00Speaker 1: happy about that one when it comes to it. But
- 10:02Speaker 1: that's the point we're getting at, is that tokenization of
- 10:06Speaker 1: securities commodities, what we'll see in other assets, real world
- 10:10Speaker 1: assets in twenty twenty five, I think, is just beginning.
- 10:13Speaker 1: So keep a very very close eye on all of
- 10:16Speaker 1: that sixteen billion in FTX repayments are happening, and it's
- 10:20Speaker 1: going to happen in January. Now, the question is where
- 10:23Speaker 1: does that sixteen billion go. So if you were a
- 10:26Speaker 1: receiver of that, and some of you may be, you
- 10:29Speaker 1: get you know, ten thousand, one hundred thousand a million
- 10:32Speaker 1: back on your FTX account. Where are you going to
- 10:35Speaker 1: put it? Would you put it in stable coins and
- 10:37Speaker 1: try to earn yield? Or you go into the market
- 10:39Speaker 1: on something like a salana, or you go into all coins?
- 10:42Speaker 1: Would you go further into the mean market? Let me
- 10:44Speaker 1: know down below. I think a lot of people are
- 10:46Speaker 1: starting to look at where they would go. The question
- 10:49Speaker 1: is would you buy a ninety thousand dollars bitcoin with
- 10:52Speaker 1: that money today? That's the real question mark that I
- 10:55Speaker 1: think everybody's asking, just to take a look. Here's what
- 10:58Speaker 1: great Scale is doing. I was surprised that some of
- 11:00Speaker 1: these kind of looks like my portfolio. You see bitcoin
- 11:03Speaker 1: of course on there, but then you also see something
- 11:05Speaker 1: new and that is hyper liquid on there. Then you
- 11:09Speaker 1: go down a little bit further. Eina. We've already known
- 11:11Speaker 1: about stable coins, there's virtuals protocol, you've heard us talk
- 11:14Speaker 1: about that. Then of course Lido, which I have been
- 11:17Speaker 1: in for a while. But Jupiter, wham, there's Jupiter, and
- 11:20Speaker 1: guess what there is Gito. When you think about staking
- 11:24Speaker 1: your salona, well most people are doing that on Gito.
- 11:26Speaker 1: So interesting that we're seeing major companies start to go
- 11:31Speaker 1: this far into the market around crypto and where a
- 11:34Speaker 1: lot of this market is emerging, and of course Grayscale
- 11:37Speaker 1: being the leader on it. So kind of cool to
- 11:39Speaker 1: see that happening. All right, guess what, guys, we hit
- 11:41Speaker 1: one million subscribers. I cannot believe it. You have helped
- 11:45Speaker 1: us do it. We want to thank you guys so
- 11:47Speaker 1: much for being part of that. In twenty twenty four,
- 11:50Speaker 1: twenty twenty five is going to be even bigger. All
- 11:52Speaker 1: you got to do is subscribe to the channel right now.
- 11:55Speaker 1: If you guys want to catch me, you can do
- 11:56Speaker 1: so out there on Twitter. It's just at Paul Baron.
- 11:59Speaker 1: And if you're not in the Diamond circle, get in
- 12:01Speaker 1: right now. We'll catch you next time right here on
- 12:04Speaker 1: tech Path than