Latest / UK Column Radio / Trump Didn’t Understand Xi Jinping’s Warning | Silk and Steel

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Trump Didn’t Understand Xi Jinping’s Warning | Silk and Steel · UK Column Radio

0:01
Speaker 1: Welcome to geopolitical trend where Truth Matter is excited to
0:05
Speaker 1: be with you. But I'm even more excited today because
0:08
Speaker 1: I have my dear friend Carl.
0:10
Speaker 2: Hi.
0:10
Speaker 3: Carl, Hi, David, how are you good?
0:13
Speaker 2: Good? Good to have you here.
0:15
Speaker 3: Man.
0:15
Speaker 2: I know it's been a long time since we spoke.
0:18
Speaker 1: It's almost two months two plus so and a kind
0:22
Speaker 1: of good no way to just get on on the
0:23
Speaker 1: air with you to really address some key topics that
0:28
Speaker 1: I wanted to have the community learn from your perspective,
0:31
Speaker 1: not only your analysis but also the historical.
0:34
Speaker 2: Aspects of it.
0:35
Speaker 1: Just for those who may be here for the first time,
0:38
Speaker 1: let me tell you who Carl is. Carl is the
0:40
Speaker 1: host of the Silk and Steal podcast, which is an
0:46
Speaker 1: interesting channel. So let me put the link for you
0:50
Speaker 1: in the chat box and I want you to check
0:52
Speaker 1: it out. Very very very interesting a platform if you
0:57
Speaker 1: want to learn about history, and this platform basically for Carl.
1:01
Speaker 1: He focuses on China, on history, on culture, and politics.
1:05
Speaker 1: Carl was born in China a month after mausing on
1:09
Speaker 1: death and left the Left for China when he was
1:13
Speaker 1: thirteen and he is currently based in Bali, Indonesia.
1:17
Speaker 2: So and you can.
1:19
Speaker 1: Just look at the bio I put all the links
1:22
Speaker 1: for his social media. There is one thing I want
1:24
Speaker 1: to share with the community. And again, Carl, I'm not
1:28
Speaker 1: being mister nice, I'm being real here. I want to
1:32
Speaker 1: put a channels.
1:33
Speaker 2: To the community.
1:34
Speaker 1: I would like you guys, by the end of this
1:37
Speaker 1: to have a four thousand subscription for Carl's channel, so
1:42
Speaker 1: he can cross over one hundred and thousand. I'm a
1:45
Speaker 1: subscriber to his channel because I.
1:47
Speaker 2: Learned from it.
1:48
Speaker 1: So if you want to learn something about history, this
1:50
Speaker 1: is your opportunity subscribe.
1:52
Speaker 2: To his channel.
1:53
Speaker 1: And also we can push the channel forward because you
1:55
Speaker 1: need to have rational voices like Cars on the globe stage. Here, Car,
2:01
Speaker 1: we got a lot to cover, and just for the
2:03
Speaker 1: community to know, we're gonna be talking about Asia. We're
2:06
Speaker 1: gonna be talking about Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin's recent
2:11
Speaker 1: visits to China because China's becoming now the hub for
2:15
Speaker 1: Western leaders flying over and Carl's gonna provide us and
2:19
Speaker 1: insights about all this. In addition to we're gonna be
2:22
Speaker 1: talking about the Japanese Prime minister visit to wartime gesture
2:28
Speaker 1: in Australia.
2:30
Speaker 2: You really are in for a trade for that.
2:33
Speaker 1: We're gonna start with the recent combat in the in
2:37
Speaker 1: West Asia. Regarding the US Israel Aroon War.
2:41
Speaker 2: A lot of.
2:41
Speaker 1: Analysts, even here in the US, they've been arguing that
2:44
Speaker 1: this has drained now critically US missile and air defense dogpile,
2:50
Speaker 1: and this is complicating the strategic even though the US
2:55
Speaker 1: thanks that.
2:55
Speaker 2: They can deter China. But let's just go with this argument.
2:58
Speaker 2: This strategic the term runs in today Asia Pacific.
3:03
Speaker 1: How in your opinion, will pause in a foreign military sales,
3:07
Speaker 1: for example, to Taiwan affect what's going on in Asia?
3:12
Speaker 3: Well, the pausing of military sale on Taiwan actually doesn't
3:19
Speaker 3: affect the military balancing age of per se, because the
3:24
Speaker 3: whole goal of weapons sale to Taiwan is not actually
3:28
Speaker 3: helping Taiwan build up its defense capabilities. Because what traditionally
3:33
Speaker 3: happened is Taiwan will pay the top dollars up front
3:37
Speaker 3: and then United States will take decades often you know,
3:41
Speaker 3: sometimes twenty years to deliver on what they have been promised.
3:46
Speaker 3: This is due to the bottleneck in US production facility.
3:51
Speaker 3: You know, as we know, the US manufacturing has been
3:54
Speaker 3: so hollowed out. Now it's start to affect the US
3:57
Speaker 3: military industrial complex. They just have so much better backlogs,
4:01
Speaker 3: they will not be able to deliver those weapons in
4:06
Speaker 3: like any any any near time future. And I add
4:11
Speaker 3: to that they have additional production walls because you know
4:15
Speaker 3: now they have the Chinese export control on rare earth.
4:19
Speaker 3: But those American weapons do need a lot of critical
4:22
Speaker 3: minerals to go inside. So the the the whole whole
4:28
Speaker 3: reason for weapons sale to Taiwan is actually a griff
4:31
Speaker 3: opportunity for the US military industrial complex because Taiwan has
4:36
Speaker 3: been the best customer. Unlike Israel. Israel, United States is
4:39
Speaker 3: give money and weapons through Israeli, Taiwan actually have to
4:43
Speaker 3: pay for pay for top dollars. One of the famous
4:47
Speaker 3: Taiwanese opposition figure the Owl. The Owl he has famously said,
4:52
Speaker 3: like we're we're we're like worse than dogs in this
4:55
Speaker 3: situation with United States because you if you are, if
4:59
Speaker 3: you want to, they want Taiwan to be like US's
5:03
Speaker 3: washdogs in East Asia against mainly China. But you at
5:07
Speaker 3: least feed your dogs. You you bring food, you keep
5:11
Speaker 3: food to your dogs. But you are asking us to
5:14
Speaker 3: pay for weapons. It's like, listen, we're working treated worse
5:17
Speaker 3: than dogs, right, Like, how can you ask your guard
5:20
Speaker 3: dogs to pay for their own food. Everybody in Taiwan
5:25
Speaker 3: kind of understand this weapons sale is a way for
5:30
Speaker 3: them to pay protection money, so to keep the US
5:33
Speaker 3: politicians happy, so they will be on Taiwan's side. You know, nobody,
5:37
Speaker 3: even the hardcore independent activists uh in Taiwan, they don't
5:42
Speaker 3: expect that it's gonna be Taiwan using those weapons to
5:46
Speaker 3: fight mainland China. They actually expect us to spend blood
5:51
Speaker 3: and treasures to fight China for them. So this is
5:55
Speaker 3: a major difference between the Taiwan perspective and Washington perspective.
6:00
Speaker 3: Washington's perspectives like Taiwan to be Ukraine, East Asia to China.
6:06
Speaker 3: But but even for the most hardcore Taiwan independent advocate,
6:11
Speaker 3: they rather have Americans to die and bleed for their events,
6:17
Speaker 3: Like there was no plan for like, you know, Taiwanese
6:21
Speaker 3: boys to go go die on the beaches and so
6:26
Speaker 3: so all this weapon sale it is, it's just a
6:29
Speaker 3: blood infusion into the US military industrial complex because Taiwan
6:36
Speaker 3: has accumulated a large dollar surplus as a result of
6:39
Speaker 3: their trade with US, particularly sale of manufacturing of semiconductors.
6:45
Speaker 3: So this is a way for US to recycle those
6:48
Speaker 3: Taiwan's dollar surpluses back into the US economy. It's not
6:53
Speaker 3: designed to actually fight China. I mean, like they're selling
6:57
Speaker 3: like really outdated weapons. And you know that the last
7:00
Speaker 3: batch of weapons that was delivered to Taiwan was Abram tanks. Like,
7:04
Speaker 3: what the heck are you gonna by By the time
7:08
Speaker 3: you need to use those Abram tanks, it will be
7:10
Speaker 3: too late because the la have already landed. It's too late.
7:15
Speaker 3: So like, yeah, the whole point is to continually make uh,
7:19
Speaker 3: the US military contractors happy, and and but they fight
7:26
Speaker 3: by fighting this unprovoked aggression against you. Wrong, the US
7:32
Speaker 3: Israel actually committed a grave mistake because you have strategic
7:37
Speaker 3: terrent when uh, before you use it, the whole idea
7:43
Speaker 3: of state terrent. You show, I have this large pile
7:47
Speaker 3: of weapons, I have all these supposedly capability you know,
7:51
Speaker 3: don't piss me off. I might use it. But once
7:54
Speaker 3: you actually use them and people realize us, oh that's
7:58
Speaker 3: all you got. That's exactly what happened in the war
8:02
Speaker 3: in West Asia. Eleven US military bases have been rendered uninhabitable.
8:10
Speaker 3: The US Navy had to pull a quite distance away
8:14
Speaker 3: from the Uranian coast, so they're outside of the Uranian
8:17
Speaker 3: missile broach. And the whole idea of US Empire system
8:24
Speaker 3: in West Asia, which is US will provide security MBROLLA
8:29
Speaker 3: to the GCC countries, the Golf Cooperation Console countries in
8:32
Speaker 3: return for them to post for them to recycle their
8:38
Speaker 3: dollars again their dollar surplus, which is a game from
8:41
Speaker 3: oil sales back into US you know, continue investment into
8:45
Speaker 3: US stocks, bonds, and real estate, and also the USAI bubble,
8:51
Speaker 3: because let's not forget they don't actually have the money
8:55
Speaker 3: to follow up the AI bubble. You know, they're expecting
8:58
Speaker 3: five hundred billion dollars for the Stargate project. They don't
9:02
Speaker 3: have five hundred billion dollars. They're expecting that the oil
9:05
Speaker 3: cheeks of the Golf to pay for that that AI investment. Well,
9:10
Speaker 3: I guess what that that money is not coming because
9:14
Speaker 3: Kuwait hasn't sold any oil since the war started, and
9:19
Speaker 3: you know it's just only recently. There was a couple
9:22
Speaker 3: Katari l G tanker was allowed to transit through straight
9:27
Speaker 3: over moves, but they were heading over to Pakistan. And
9:30
Speaker 3: that's more because you're wrong. Want to keep the relationship
9:36
Speaker 3: with Pakistan friendly, so they allow Katari to continue to
9:39
Speaker 3: supply natural gas to Pakistan because Pakistan and India has
9:43
Speaker 3: been particularly hard hit by the cutting off of gas
9:48
Speaker 3: and UH and UH oil from from from from the
9:52
Speaker 3: golf because you know a lot of UH people in
9:56
Speaker 3: South East Asia, South Asia and Southeast Asia, a lot
10:00
Speaker 3: of people they cook with gas. They go purchase like
10:03
Speaker 3: gas canisters from the grocery store, they come and they
10:06
Speaker 3: use that to cook. And that most of most of
10:10
Speaker 3: that oil is coming from the golf. So this is
10:13
Speaker 3: this is a serious issue. And and and and for
10:17
Speaker 3: the for the golf countries. They they have been living
10:22
Speaker 3: in a very cozy relationship with United States. You know,
10:25
Speaker 3: there were there were applying vassals to the US, whether
10:28
Speaker 3: on the issue of Israel or or whatever. They have
10:33
Speaker 3: always been very happy to apply Donald Trump with a
10:36
Speaker 3: lot of gifts, you know, airplanes and whatnot. But what
10:41
Speaker 3: they got instead was not protection because they the understanding
10:46
Speaker 3: again it was there playing United States protection money in
10:50
Speaker 3: return they expect protection instead by hosting the US basis
10:55
Speaker 3: instead of protection, they became targeted. They're now inviting attacks
11:00
Speaker 3: by Iranian Jones and missiles. And this is a lesson
11:03
Speaker 3: that's not lost for all the so called US partner countries,
11:07
Speaker 3: you know, including countries in East Asia's Korea, South Korea, Japan,
11:14
Speaker 3: philip Philippine, you know, because because let's face it, China
11:22
Speaker 3: has magnitude, more missiles, more advanced missiles, and you wrang.
11:26
Speaker 3: So if the United States cannot handle Irang, forget about
11:29
Speaker 3: taking on China. That's a fantasy. And this calls into
11:34
Speaker 3: the question of the whole US led security security structure
11:39
Speaker 3: all around the world, not just in West Asia, because
11:42
Speaker 3: people can see, well, okay, so by hosting US basis,
11:47
Speaker 3: actually it's worse for me because that means I'm going
11:50
Speaker 3: to be a missile target. I mean that. But let's
11:54
Speaker 3: let's let's be frank here. That was a US plan
11:57
Speaker 3: all long for for US, Australia, South Korea, Japan, Philippines,
12:03
Speaker 3: et cetera. They were designed two as missile sponge Chinese
12:08
Speaker 3: missile sponges for United States so they can absorb the
12:12
Speaker 3: maximum impact on Chinese missiles rogers, so there will be
12:16
Speaker 3: less missiles of tour United States and its assets. Uh so,
12:22
Speaker 3: But but not now people are wising up to this game,
12:25
Speaker 3: and they are I bet behind the scene they're they're
12:28
Speaker 3: they're also making preparations, making making making plan bes uh
12:33
Speaker 3: because this is about uh again, this is this whole
12:39
Speaker 3: war exposed United States as the emperor with no clothes. Actually,
12:44
Speaker 3: US military is actually a paper cat tiger. It has
12:48
Speaker 3: no option military option to reopen the stra moves, which
12:53
Speaker 3: by the way, was opened before they started this illegal
12:55
Speaker 3: war against Iran. And this is why Trump has been
13:00
Speaker 3: puffing and puffing and then back down at the last minute.
13:03
Speaker 3: He can keep on threatening to bomb around to the
13:05
Speaker 3: Stone Ages and then just before Monday the market opens
13:09
Speaker 3: EA suddenly oh yeah really because the GCC country bagned
13:13
Speaker 3: me to stop, so I magnanimously granted their wishes. I mean,
13:20
Speaker 3: this is yes, man, Like, if US have ops, if
13:23
Speaker 3: US could reopen straight or ho Moose by force of arms,
13:26
Speaker 3: they would have. They can't because they do not have
13:33
Speaker 3: the capability. And this is why we have a stealth,
13:37
Speaker 3: a stale mail stalemate right now in the Gulf. Uh.
13:43
Speaker 3: You know, United Trump is playing a game of chicken.
13:46
Speaker 3: He's counting on the block is blockade on blockade to
13:50
Speaker 3: starve out the Iranian economy. So hopefully there will be
13:54
Speaker 3: like some kind of Eugene clap, economic claps that led
13:58
Speaker 3: to the region claps. It was. This is a fantasy.
14:01
Speaker 3: Urine has been under Western sanction for so long. The
14:04
Speaker 3: Uranian people are more prepared to deal with hardship than Americans.
14:11
Speaker 3: You know, Americans don't really know what hardship is, but
14:15
Speaker 3: they were about to find out when that shortage really hit.
14:20
Speaker 3: Because the shortage hasn't really really hit it yet. You know,
14:24
Speaker 3: people have seen price increases all across the board, but
14:27
Speaker 3: that pries increasing anticipation of the real shortage because there's
14:33
Speaker 3: a long time delay for the oil to travel around
14:37
Speaker 3: the world. For the oil tanker to travel from Persian
14:40
Speaker 3: Golf to the Port of Los Angeles in LA it
14:43
Speaker 3: takes about fifty days, and which means the last oil
14:48
Speaker 3: tankers that left the Persian Golf before the war started
14:52
Speaker 3: already arrived in the port of Los Angeles about a
14:57
Speaker 3: week ago. So from now on, the real shortage is
15:01
Speaker 3: about the beginning. And already, you know, you are seeing
15:06
Speaker 3: forty five percent increasing farm bankruptcy over last month, and
15:12
Speaker 3: seventy percent of the US American farmers that they can't
15:15
Speaker 3: afford the increasing diesel and fertilizer prices. This is why
15:20
Speaker 3: I don't buy the talk that this is Donald Trump's
15:24
Speaker 3: five D chess to like to profit at the expense
15:29
Speaker 3: of everybody else because US is a large energy producer. No, no, no,
15:34
Speaker 3: Americans will be hurt too. The problem is that oil
15:38
Speaker 3: and gas are their globalized commodities. They're globally traded commodities.
15:44
Speaker 3: If the other countries can't get their oil and gas
15:46
Speaker 3: from protion Golf, they will buy it fung elsewhere. You know,
15:49
Speaker 3: sometimes even buy a fung America. But what that does
15:52
Speaker 3: is just raise the price up for everybody. And at
15:56
Speaker 3: the oil company, they were more than happy to American
16:00
Speaker 3: big oil company. They're more than happy to ship the
16:02
Speaker 3: expensive l and gs from United States through Europe uh
16:05
Speaker 3: to Asia to make a big profit, which again pushed
16:09
Speaker 3: the price up American American domestic consumers. And this is
16:14
Speaker 3: and also on top of that, US don't have the
16:18
Speaker 3: capacity to make up for the loss of oil and
16:23
Speaker 3: gas coming from the Gulf. US is a net oil importer.
16:27
Speaker 3: US exports three million barrels of oil per day, by
16:32
Speaker 3: imports six million barrels of oil per day. The only
16:38
Speaker 3: the only thing that US can export in abundance is
16:41
Speaker 3: natural gas. But but again, like like I said, the
16:45
Speaker 3: exporting American all gs, the American allergy is very expensive
16:51
Speaker 3: to ship it all the way to India, to Japan
16:56
Speaker 3: and and this is great for American big oil companies.
17:02
Speaker 3: Shall just reported their quarterly earning report for the month
17:05
Speaker 3: of January to March. They double their profit on their
17:10
Speaker 3: last quarter. And if you think about it, the war
17:13
Speaker 3: really began at the end of February, so that means
17:17
Speaker 3: their next quarterly earning report is even going to be
17:21
Speaker 3: even more spectacular. This is great for big oil, who
17:25
Speaker 3: actually found Donald Trump their traditional Republican donors. But everybody
17:32
Speaker 3: else is paying for the price. You know, all the Americans,
17:34
Speaker 3: we pay for the price at the pump. We paid
17:38
Speaker 3: price and oil because it's it goes like US is
17:44
Speaker 3: forty percent more dependent on oil than China. Because you know,
17:49
Speaker 3: like all the trucks, all the trucks on the highway,
17:52
Speaker 3: all the diesels that's been used, it goes in fact
18:00
Speaker 3: into the price of everything, all the goods that needs
18:02
Speaker 3: to be shipped, because the shipping price go up because
18:06
Speaker 3: the fuel price has gone up, will go up. Plastics
18:11
Speaker 3: prices going up, the plastics made from fung kong oil.
18:15
Speaker 3: What else the fertilizers, you know, fertilizers UH nitrogen potassium
18:20
Speaker 3: goes a nitrogen and urea there are. They're synthesized using
18:25
Speaker 3: natural gas. You know, natural gas price has been rising,
18:28
Speaker 3: so the fertilizer's price is going up. So even though
18:32
Speaker 3: US is a large gas producer, even though the United
18:35
Speaker 3: States UH is a net natural gas exporter, but because
18:42
Speaker 3: there they because it's a globally treated commodity, the price
18:47
Speaker 3: still goes up for the US domestic consumers. It does
18:50
Speaker 3: not it's great for big oil. It's it's bad for
18:53
Speaker 3: everybody else. But that that's how US system has been
18:57
Speaker 3: designed from the get go. It's always funnel money to
19:00
Speaker 3: the top right, make the rich even richer. So Donald
19:05
Speaker 3: Trump is probably happy with it, but you know, the
19:07
Speaker 3: American people will have to suffer through the consequences.
19:11
Speaker 2: And we will address more about this particular aspect when
19:15
Speaker 2: we get to the point of talking about Donald Trump's
19:18
Speaker 2: recent trip to China. I want to go back, Carl
19:20
Speaker 2: to briefly, I want to go back to Taiwan.
19:23
Speaker 1: And the reason I want to go back to this
19:25
Speaker 1: for two days you mentioned the one thing, of course,
19:28
Speaker 1: that no one else else here in the US addressed it.
19:33
Speaker 1: And last night I had a conversation with a dear
19:35
Speaker 1: friend of mine. We were talking about this particular point,
19:40
Speaker 1: and I said, because when Donald Trump didn't talk about
19:45
Speaker 1: Taiwan when he was in China, and those are saying, oh,
19:48
Speaker 1: they put the sale on hold whatever, I don't know
19:51
Speaker 1: for a fact. There is eleven billion dollars on the
19:55
Speaker 1: table on hold right now. But that's not because don
20:00
Speaker 1: Trump just sort of just wanted to please presidency.
20:04
Speaker 2: No, no, no, it's because of what you mentioned, access
20:08
Speaker 2: to rare earth elements.
20:10
Speaker 1: We are running short on that and that is the
20:12
Speaker 1: reason why. But I don't want to bring it about
20:15
Speaker 1: just this. I want to bring this about the Taiwan.
20:17
Speaker 1: When you mentioned there are some now inside Taiwan.
20:21
Speaker 2: Thank you.
20:21
Speaker 1: And my reference is to the visit of this individual,
20:26
Speaker 1: Chang Lee Won. I hope I pronounced it correctly, and
20:29
Speaker 1: please correct medical if I did it wrong.
20:32
Speaker 2: Now she's the opposition, okay, she's the head of the KMT.
20:36
Speaker 1: Is this a signal in your opinion that there are
20:39
Speaker 1: voices inside Taiwan that is saying, you know what, why
20:43
Speaker 1: ain't gonna be following what the Americans are saying.
20:46
Speaker 2: We're gonna see the.
20:47
Speaker 1: Reality for what it is. Is this trip communicating that message.
20:52
Speaker 3: Oh definitely tend you. When the chairwoman of KMT, she
20:56
Speaker 3: actually made it very explicit on a speech he given
20:59
Speaker 3: before she traveled to mainland China. She said, if you
21:02
Speaker 3: really love Taiwan, you do not want to turn Taiwan
21:06
Speaker 3: into a battlefield. We do not want to be the
21:09
Speaker 3: Ukraine of East Asia. She explicitly said that. I mean, like,
21:14
Speaker 3: I'm sure it's it's a lot of people got her message,
21:17
Speaker 3: like why why would you why would you want to
21:20
Speaker 3: be the pom, Why would you turn yourself into a
21:23
Speaker 3: battlefield for the benefit of the United States? And nobody,
21:27
Speaker 3: nobody in Taiwan wants a war And and her her
21:32
Speaker 3: end is very simple. He's like, we should just uh
21:35
Speaker 3: repair our relationship with mainland China, so jaw jaw is
21:39
Speaker 3: better than World War I mean, that's a well received message.
21:43
Speaker 3: I think there's a political, uh tectonic plate shift in
21:47
Speaker 3: Taiwan itself because uh, the the more pro independence DPP party,
21:53
Speaker 3: which has been ruling in Taiwan for more than a decade,
21:57
Speaker 3: they are getting very unpopular. People are just sick and
22:01
Speaker 3: tired of them because they've been ruling for so long.
22:04
Speaker 3: You know, Taiwan's economic prospect hasn't improved over the last year.
22:08
Speaker 3: Like Taiwan is facing the same problem as a lot
22:12
Speaker 3: of the Western advanced economy is that the housing price
22:16
Speaker 3: is high. The youth face a very bleak economic future.
22:22
Speaker 3: You know, they they're not making unlike their parents' generation
22:27
Speaker 3: and their grandparents generation, where they can look forward to
22:30
Speaker 3: decades of economic growth ahead of them. What they face
22:34
Speaker 3: is economic stagnation. You know, they're not looking like they
22:39
Speaker 3: don't think things are going to get better. Five years
22:42
Speaker 3: found out, ten years found out, and a lot of
22:45
Speaker 3: the wealth again is concentrated to at the top. And
22:49
Speaker 3: the Taiwan's main economic pillar right now is TSMC, the
22:55
Speaker 3: Taiwan Submit Conduct Manufacturing Corporation, and US has done its
23:00
Speaker 3: best trying to hollow out uh TSMC. Like you know,
23:04
Speaker 3: first they made TSMC to invest in the Arizona Plan,
23:09
Speaker 3: and the whole idea is because they don't want the
23:14
Speaker 3: manufacturing in Taiwan anymore. They want the manufacturer in the
23:18
Speaker 3: United States. And Trump administration has been forcing t SMC
23:21
Speaker 3: to do technological transfer to Intel, which is American a
23:26
Speaker 3: semiconductor firm that was in trouble and and uh and
23:30
Speaker 3: Trump had actually explicitly said this in an interview when
23:34
Speaker 3: asked about Taiwan after his trip. Well, he's he's first,
23:37
Speaker 3: he said, well, Taiwan is very close to to to
23:40
Speaker 3: to China and it's very far from us, which is
23:44
Speaker 3: the truth. It's like, you know, you gotta be realistic,
23:48
Speaker 3: like there's not that much we can do about it.
23:51
Speaker 3: It's just like closer to chi that's actually the truth.
23:54
Speaker 3: And then to add to that to that, he added
23:57
Speaker 3: his like, by the way, I'm not happy about Taiwan
23:59
Speaker 3: still our likenductor industry. So that TSMC is the sole
24:09
Speaker 3: pillar of the TI holding up the Taiwan economy right now.
24:13
Speaker 3: But United States, whether through Trump administration or Biden administration,
24:17
Speaker 3: has been putting pressure on t s MC to move
24:20
Speaker 3: their production from Taiwan to the United States because they
24:24
Speaker 3: they they they also are making contingency plans in case
24:30
Speaker 3: the news Taiwan to mainland China. That's why they're trying
24:33
Speaker 3: to force them to move the move the manufacturing plan.
24:36
Speaker 3: So so, but what does this mean for youth on Taiwan.
24:40
Speaker 3: It means. It means this is they are facing a
24:44
Speaker 3: very increasingly cloudy economic outlook. US is hollowing out the
24:50
Speaker 3: main competitive edge of the Taiwan economy, and you know,
24:55
Speaker 3: the prices on Taiwan has already high. A lot of
24:58
Speaker 3: young people can afford to own their houses. You know,
25:01
Speaker 3: they have to shack up with their parents. I mean,
25:04
Speaker 3: basically all the problems the Zoomers in US faces. So
25:10
Speaker 3: that's why the ruling party in Taiwan is not popular.
25:14
Speaker 3: And one of the way the Taiwan is a ruling
25:18
Speaker 3: party try to win votes is they want to distract
25:23
Speaker 3: people public's attention from the bleak economic situation by trying
25:27
Speaker 3: to stir up tensions with mainland China and say, oh,
25:30
Speaker 3: we are the defender of Taiwan, right, you have to,
25:33
Speaker 3: you know, don't trust those KMT people. They're they're gonna
25:37
Speaker 3: be sell out. You know, they're gonna sell out Taiwan
25:39
Speaker 3: to the sea, to the CPC. But you know, you can't.
25:44
Speaker 3: Only a boy can only cry wolf for so long.
25:47
Speaker 3: So like after ten ten years of this, people are
25:50
Speaker 3: wising up and they're getting sick and tired of it.
25:52
Speaker 3: They're like, okay, why why don't we just why don't
25:55
Speaker 3: we just make friends? Why why can't we just have
25:57
Speaker 3: a friendly relationship but with mainland China instead, And especially
26:02
Speaker 3: when the power of mainland Chinese economy has been growing
26:07
Speaker 3: proportionally over the last decades. Now now there there's you know,
26:13
Speaker 3: there there there's now the before before the culture Taiwan
26:18
Speaker 3: and and Hong Kong used to have our size cultural
26:21
Speaker 3: influence on mainland China just because they're more developed, they're
26:25
Speaker 3: they're they're more advanced economies. In the eighties and nineties,
26:29
Speaker 3: I like all my cousins, older cousins, they will be
26:32
Speaker 3: able to sing songs like like Hong Kong songs and
26:35
Speaker 3: Taiwan songs. But now lately that that train is starting
26:40
Speaker 3: to reverse, you know, you know, Mainland has a lot
26:44
Speaker 3: of more cultural production. That's that's being exporting to Taiwan
26:48
Speaker 3: to rest of the Southeast Asia, and and the Taiwanese
26:52
Speaker 3: government is actually saying, oh no, that's that's infiltration, that's
26:55
Speaker 3: the Chinese influence op. But I mean there's really nothing
27:00
Speaker 3: to stop it because there's a nactual language and cultural affinity.
27:05
Speaker 3: So people people just go to what's cool, you know,
27:09
Speaker 3: like China is cool now and and this is the way,
27:12
Speaker 3: and this is why China has a lot of patience
27:15
Speaker 3: on the Taiwan. They understand China is on their side.
27:19
Speaker 3: Every year that goes by their relative position visa the
27:23
Speaker 3: United States will continue to strengthen, you know, if you
27:27
Speaker 3: compare like one thing, everybody noticed that Donald Trump has
27:31
Speaker 3: been very obsequious. He tried to really like kiss up
27:39
Speaker 3: to Hijin pin if I say, oh, we are such
27:41
Speaker 3: a great friends, have always a great relationship. And the
27:47
Speaker 3: reason he's on his best behavior this time is because time.
27:52
Speaker 3: You know, since his last trip to China, which was
27:55
Speaker 3: eight or nine years ago, a lot has changed. I mean,
27:59
Speaker 3: China today in twenty twenty six is totally different from
28:03
Speaker 3: China in twenty sixteen when Donald Trump first became president.
28:08
Speaker 3: You know, like in ten years, China has got a
28:12
Speaker 3: lot more powerful. And that it showed during the tariff
28:15
Speaker 3: war when China pushed back and said, you know what,
28:18
Speaker 3: no rare earth for you, and US has no no
28:21
Speaker 3: uh no, no, no, no recourse to that. So this
28:25
Speaker 3: is uh, this, this is why China can afford to
28:28
Speaker 3: wait out the Taiwan issue. Uh. You know, they the
28:31
Speaker 3: economic and cultural cloud of mainly China continue to grow
28:35
Speaker 3: and you will naturally draw the younger population, you know,
28:40
Speaker 3: like like the The another thing is that the people
28:46
Speaker 3: that the youth in Taiwan, they also follow the Western trend.
28:49
Speaker 3: You know, the Western trains right now is China maxing,
28:53
Speaker 3: you know on the young people. All the zoomers us
28:56
Speaker 3: a China maxine right now. So you know that that
28:59
Speaker 3: also has a has a roundabout way to influence youth
29:03
Speaker 3: in Taiwan. So China is cool now like like like now,
29:07
Speaker 3: this is making a changing people's perception of mainland China. UH.
29:13
Speaker 3: People no longer see as a big, bad Cold war enemy.
29:17
Speaker 3: So that that is why China is very patient. What
29:21
Speaker 3: China does not want is they do not want the
29:24
Speaker 3: red line of Taiwan declaring independence to be crossed. So
29:28
Speaker 3: this is this is why they repeatedly make that point
29:31
Speaker 3: to Donald Trump and and then Donald Trump this time
29:36
Speaker 3: also reiterated that they do not support Taiwan independence and
29:40
Speaker 3: so that that China is happy with that. China is
29:42
Speaker 3: China is is happy with with with that promise. And
29:47
Speaker 3: as long as the red line of the UH did
29:52
Speaker 3: your independence is not declared, China is is uh is
29:56
Speaker 3: patient enough to let the status quroll writing out China
30:00
Speaker 3: has already been patient for the last seventy years. China
30:03
Speaker 3: can afford.
30:05
Speaker 1: Yeah, you absolutely correct, and you are right about the
30:09
Speaker 1: young generation in Taiwan. They are, if I may use
30:14
Speaker 1: the term, and I'm not judging here, but they are
30:17
Speaker 1: clueless as to what's going on.
30:18
Speaker 2: When I was there, I have made it.
30:23
Speaker 1: My goal to address and talk to young generations. You know,
30:27
Speaker 1: you run to some in a coffee shop whatever, and
30:29
Speaker 1: you just strike a basic conversation.
30:32
Speaker 2: And my objective for striking that conversation I wanted to.
30:35
Speaker 1: Know and learn and and they've been consuming too much
30:39
Speaker 1: of the American propaganda regarding democracy and another. And I
30:43
Speaker 1: asked them, well, I remember one guy I asked, and
30:45
Speaker 1: I said, do you have an understanding of the complexity
30:48
Speaker 1: of the issue. Do you understand that if a war
30:50
Speaker 1: bricks out with China you will be wiped out? I mean,
30:54
Speaker 1: do you understand how severe that is?
30:56
Speaker 3: Why?
30:56
Speaker 2: No, the Americans will.
30:57
Speaker 1: Come and protect us, I said, I want to thank
31:00
Speaker 1: that twice again. The US is not coming to defend us.
31:04
Speaker 3: Will not defended well, I mean, everybody knows if the
31:10
Speaker 3: ship hits a fan, a lot of the upper middle class.
31:13
Speaker 3: They're gonna, yeah, they they will pack their backs and
31:17
Speaker 3: they will make their way to Irvine, you know, Irvine, Bifornia.
31:22
Speaker 2: Which is true. Which is true.
31:25
Speaker 1: This leads us to talking about Donald Trump's visit because
31:28
Speaker 1: you mentioned the economy aspects of it, which, by the way,
31:32
Speaker 1: you are absolutely correct. Prices are going up here. I
31:35
Speaker 1: live here, of course, prices.
31:37
Speaker 2: Are going even for US instead of Texas.
31:39
Speaker 4: When I getting used to see a gallon of gas
31:42
Speaker 4: crosses four dollars, they're like what you know in some
31:47
Speaker 4: other parts called they are about six or seven dollars.
31:50
Speaker 3: Again, I'm old enough to remember there was a time
31:54
Speaker 3: the US gas price is less than a dollar, back
31:58
Speaker 3: in early two thousands. Yeah, before the Iraq War.
32:02
Speaker 2: I used to pump a ninety nonsense.
32:05
Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, and this I wanted to ask this car.
32:11
Speaker 1: Given the visit, I know it happened and all that stuff,
32:14
Speaker 1: but I wanted to have your insights and perspective, and
32:18
Speaker 1: not only the analysis aspect, but the historical facts of this.
32:22
Speaker 1: Do you it's not that Do you think he looks
32:24
Speaker 1: like Trump returned to Washington empty handed? Is this the
32:29
Speaker 1: message that Washington that I'm sorry that Benjing was talking
32:35
Speaker 1: to Washington on an equal footing and Washington didn't come
32:40
Speaker 1: to realize, oh, we.
32:42
Speaker 2: Are in a different time.
32:44
Speaker 3: Well, I think that the whole trip was very ad
32:48
Speaker 3: hoc from some administation part. First of all, this is
32:51
Speaker 3: a trip that Trump really wanted. You know, they are
32:54
Speaker 3: being there had they're they're the one who was announcing
32:58
Speaker 3: waging advance a Trump is going to visit. Trump is
33:01
Speaker 3: going to visit. Trump wants to go see Shigien Ping
33:03
Speaker 3: and and China only confirmed their trip, but like at
33:07
Speaker 3: the last minute, like a couple of days before Trump
33:09
Speaker 3: like okay, yeah, Trump, Trump is coming. And on the
33:12
Speaker 3: day that Trump was playing was to arrive in Beijing.
33:16
Speaker 3: On People's Daily front page, the biggest headline was the
33:21
Speaker 3: president the president she Jimpin received a visit from the
33:24
Speaker 3: president of Tajikistan. On the side. On the side column
33:29
Speaker 3: is oh yeah, Donald Trump is flying into vas too,
33:32
Speaker 3: and so I mean this is uh again. Trump wanted
33:37
Speaker 3: this trip as a photo app opportunity to present himself
33:42
Speaker 3: as a world leader because he wanted to get away
33:46
Speaker 3: from Epstein file, his failure in the street or hor moves.
33:50
Speaker 3: He's this is an opportunity for him to present to
33:53
Speaker 3: the American people. Oh look, I'm well respected in China.
33:57
Speaker 3: People come out with flower the greed, maybe with flower words,
34:00
Speaker 3: you know, like they treat me with great respect and
34:04
Speaker 3: and and for that, Okay, China gave him that. China
34:07
Speaker 3: give I'll talk. Okay, that's the guy. We can give
34:09
Speaker 3: you face, no problem, that's easy. But we'll throw a
34:12
Speaker 3: couple of Boeing orders your way to We'll throw your bone.
34:15
Speaker 3: But they just didn't come. I mean, look at, look
34:20
Speaker 3: at compared to the Russian visit. The following visit by
34:24
Speaker 3: President Vlatimir Putin. Putin brought out who is who of
34:29
Speaker 3: the Russian bureaucracy, all the all the all the government
34:34
Speaker 3: agencies to come here to do deals with the Chinese counterparts,
34:38
Speaker 3: whereas besides, you know Marco Rubio and secretary.
34:44
Speaker 2: Do you mean do you mean Marco lu.
34:50
Speaker 3: So that's funny because China plays sanction our Manco Rubio
34:55
Speaker 3: while he was a senator for accusing China of committing
34:59
Speaker 3: genocide Chin Jung and and instead of taking off the sanction,
35:06
Speaker 3: which China could do, China can just wave the sanction.
35:09
Speaker 3: Instead of doing that, they just change his Chinese name,
35:12
Speaker 3: you know, using a different Chinese character to transliterate his
35:17
Speaker 3: Chinese name. So I think that's a reminder. See like uh, like, yeah,
35:21
Speaker 3: we could take off your sanction, but we decided to
35:25
Speaker 3: do this thing, just reminder. That's a reminder. This is
35:30
Speaker 3: what we could do. And you know that they could
35:33
Speaker 3: just permanently waves the sanction. You know, it's within their power.
35:37
Speaker 3: But they're like, no, we leaves a sanction in place.
35:39
Speaker 3: We'll just change your name, so so it does not
35:42
Speaker 3: violate our own laws.
35:44
Speaker 2: But anyway does then by the way, Carl, does this
35:47
Speaker 2: name mean anything?
35:49
Speaker 3: No, no, no, it's it's just a different It's just
35:51
Speaker 3: a different So there are many many homophone Chinese characters.
35:55
Speaker 3: They just choose a different Chinese character for you, okay,
35:58
Speaker 3: So it's just a funny side thing. Besides Marco Rubio
36:02
Speaker 3: and Pete Hedgseth, Like, who else you know among the
36:07
Speaker 3: US government did Trump bring. It's just Trump's own sung
36:11
Speaker 3: and his daughter in law. It was like like this again,
36:16
Speaker 3: this was an opportunity for Trump to do photos. Like not,
36:21
Speaker 3: there's no ually this type of summit. They would have
36:26
Speaker 3: long negotiation wall beforehand, so they can a long some
36:30
Speaker 3: deal at the summit. But since this is a photo
36:33
Speaker 3: op for Trump, you know, that's what Trump got. Trump
36:36
Speaker 3: got the opportunity to pose himself in front of camera
36:39
Speaker 3: like the reality TV show hoss that he really is.
36:43
Speaker 3: You know, he was. He was during the the honor
36:46
Speaker 3: inspection of the honor Guard. He was. He was trying
36:49
Speaker 3: to like act as the holes, you know, showing showing
36:55
Speaker 3: this guy's ridiculous. You know what I felt.
36:59
Speaker 1: Also interesting is when President Jim Pink I'm sure you
37:04
Speaker 1: heard or listened to his speech when he mentioned the cidities,
37:10
Speaker 1: and I don't think Sir Trump got it.
37:12
Speaker 2: I don't think so Trump got it.
37:13
Speaker 3: I don't think Trump know how to pronounce susidities. I think,
37:17
Speaker 3: like I was really surprised when Trump said, oh uh,
37:21
Speaker 3: President she called us a decline declining power, and I
37:25
Speaker 3: was like, really, I mean, like, no Chinese leader would
37:29
Speaker 3: ever be so undiplomatic like that. Now, what I realized
37:32
Speaker 3: what happened was because President Jpin was speaking about Sucidity's
37:37
Speaker 3: trap and he said, and President She's hoop message is
37:41
Speaker 3: that we don't have to fall into the trap. It's
37:45
Speaker 3: not inevitable that we should clash. We just you know,
37:48
Speaker 3: just avoid the trap altogether with we can coexist. That
37:52
Speaker 3: is message. But because Donald Trump doesn't understand trap, which
37:57
Speaker 3: is actually a term coined by American Harvard historian Graham Allison,
38:02
Speaker 3: so he had to have some people to explain to him.
38:04
Speaker 3: And when people explained to him, the whole councilt was
38:07
Speaker 3: socility's trap. Okay, there was the proloclination war between a
38:11
Speaker 3: rising power, the sparta and the declining power assets. You know,
38:15
Speaker 3: the class is inevitable because the current the declining power
38:20
Speaker 3: acting want to keep its power. You want to keep
38:22
Speaker 3: the rising power farther down. So that was the idea
38:26
Speaker 3: of society's trap. So when Trump heard that, he's like, oh,
38:31
Speaker 3: so he's calling United States a declining power and that's
38:35
Speaker 3: what he got. How does that conversation and didn't get it? Yeah,
38:41
Speaker 3: And that's that's a lot of this is really due
38:45
Speaker 3: to kind of the American leadership's mindset of zero s.
38:48
Speaker 3: They don't they don't want they just for them to win,
38:51
Speaker 3: everybody have to lose. So even when Jpin the only
38:56
Speaker 3: reason she GIP is using socidtiy trap because he thought, okay,
38:59
Speaker 3: by using the term coin by American historian. He thought
39:03
Speaker 3: he's speaking their language. But look, we're dealing with Donald
39:07
Speaker 3: Trump here. There's no way Donald Trump read soucidities. There's
39:12
Speaker 3: no way he knows how to pronouncedities. So so like
39:15
Speaker 3: all they got out of it, Oh you China call
39:18
Speaker 3: us a decline partner. No no, no, that Pine says,
39:21
Speaker 3: we don't have to fight, we can't be partners. We
39:24
Speaker 3: can we can cooperate. You know, he said the world
39:27
Speaker 3: is big enough for United States and China. That's his
39:31
Speaker 3: whole point. His whole point is saying, Okay, all this
39:34
Speaker 3: sodis the trap business, that's bullshit, that's American ds. We
39:38
Speaker 3: don't have to follow that. That's what he's really trying
39:41
Speaker 3: to say. But but but all the Americans just heard.
39:45
Speaker 3: Oh he called us a declining power. And then Donald
39:49
Speaker 3: Trump tried to spin it to his own benefit. But
39:52
Speaker 3: he said, but it is true. It's all because of
39:54
Speaker 3: Sleepy Joe that made America decline. But I I turned
39:59
Speaker 3: the things from and that is why they respected me.
40:03
Speaker 3: That's why people waving flowers to walk on me, because
40:07
Speaker 3: I've made America great again. Because again, you know, hold
40:10
Speaker 3: Donald Trump platform of making America great again is actually
40:14
Speaker 3: based on the premise that America is a is declining.
40:19
Speaker 3: America is a decline in power. That's why you need
40:22
Speaker 3: to make America great again, right, and he's taking credit
40:25
Speaker 3: for doing that, which you know people don't understand. Trump
40:32
Speaker 3: is actually very popular in China, but he's not popular
40:36
Speaker 3: in the reason that, Yeah, he's not popular in the
40:40
Speaker 3: way that Fox Fox TV shows thinks it is. He's
40:45
Speaker 3: popular because everybody in China think Trump is the best
40:49
Speaker 3: president of the United States for China because Trump is
40:55
Speaker 3: there to accelerate the decline of American impact, which she
41:00
Speaker 3: did very well.
41:01
Speaker 1: By the way, did you were you aware of the
41:03
Speaker 1: incident with Fox that got a ticket in China for
41:07
Speaker 1: bilighting the law and you know they want to start
41:10
Speaker 1: complaining about the cameras and this guy so so so
41:15
Speaker 1: this is this is a Fox News guy, right, like.
41:18
Speaker 3: If they were, if they're if they're if the Fox News,
41:22
Speaker 3: this is where I think they lost it because you know,
41:25
Speaker 3: for the Fox boomer audience, you know, they they actually
41:30
Speaker 3: would want like rule of law in the United States.
41:34
Speaker 3: They would want to like like the transgression to be punished.
41:38
Speaker 3: You know, people get locked up and then and you
41:42
Speaker 3: are telling them. China actually enforces laws. And not only
41:47
Speaker 3: that he was lying because in Beijing where he claimed
41:50
Speaker 3: he got a ticket, Yeah, the the procedure is you
41:53
Speaker 3: will get a text message which gives you ten minute
41:58
Speaker 3: grace period to move your car if you park I legally,
42:01
Speaker 3: and then within the ten minutes, if you don't move
42:04
Speaker 3: your car, then yeah, you get you get a ticket.
42:06
Speaker 3: So they must park there more than illegally, more than
42:10
Speaker 3: more than ten minutes, because he claimed the only part
42:14
Speaker 3: two minutes, which is probably yes and uh. And then
42:19
Speaker 3: Chinese citizen actually caught him, filmed him walking in the
42:23
Speaker 3: bicycle lane, like very busy bicycle lane.
42:27
Speaker 2: I saw it. I saw it when.
42:30
Speaker 3: All the scooters are just trying to scurf by him,
42:33
Speaker 3: Like I am like, what the heck is he doing?
42:36
Speaker 3: And you aren't complaining about He was saying, oh, China,
42:41
Speaker 3: nobody jay walkers, Like soon the camera will catch you
42:44
Speaker 3: and then then they will get you. And there he
42:46
Speaker 3: is bicycle lane blocking everybody, and uh. Shanghai Daily journalist
42:54
Speaker 3: Andy Borhen actually had a good theory. He's like, oh,
42:57
Speaker 3: he's doing this on purpose to interrupt the traffic. In Hope.
43:03
Speaker 3: A Chinese policeman would show up and stop him, and
43:06
Speaker 3: then he will have that camera and say, oh, look
43:08
Speaker 3: at the Chinese police. Stay, look at the Chinese aggression. Instead,
43:12
Speaker 3: you know, people just ignore him, trying to go around him.
43:14
Speaker 3: And he looked like a fool, like walking just like
43:17
Speaker 3: this lumbering American fool walking in the middle of the
43:20
Speaker 3: bike like blocking everybody. But you know that that's Fox
43:24
Speaker 3: News for you.
43:24
Speaker 1: Yeah, No, I saw it, and I was like, you know,
43:27
Speaker 1: I've been in China and I know how the laws
43:29
Speaker 1: are regarding where you need to walk and all that.
43:32
Speaker 2: You don't see anybody walking in those lanes.
43:35
Speaker 3: Those are for bikes, and it's dangerous for you your
43:38
Speaker 3: own house, you know, like you can get wrung over.
43:41
Speaker 1: They're run very fast for that. So yeah, that's very
43:44
Speaker 1: very interesting. I want to just mention one point here
43:47
Speaker 1: before we move to the next team here, which just
43:51
Speaker 1: back to Hiji. Think the city is comment for me, Carl,
43:57
Speaker 1: you know why he was surprising. It was surprising because
44:00
Speaker 1: the first I've been following out China since literally late nineties, No, no,
44:05
Speaker 1: no head of state ever brought up something like that,
44:10
Speaker 1: And that's what surprised me. And I said to myself,
44:13
Speaker 1: this is measured. She president, she will not say this
44:18
Speaker 1: in vacuum. There is a specific message. But of course
44:22
Speaker 1: the taco didn't get of course, you know, it's embarrassing.
44:28
Speaker 1: It's embarrassing for a head of state not to understand
44:30
Speaker 1: what the city is trapped is all about. I felt
44:34
Speaker 1: embarrassed as an American, I really felt embarrassed. We don't
44:38
Speaker 1: have a president who is uh well versed in world
44:42
Speaker 1: affairs and understand.
44:44
Speaker 3: I mean, that's what was already plenty obvious when during
44:48
Speaker 3: the war her movies, because you have all these Yrnian
44:51
Speaker 3: leaders who are trained in the county and philosophy, right,
44:55
Speaker 3: and then you have in the United States, we just
44:58
Speaker 3: rule by battle personnel like Donald Trump and Pete Headset.
45:02
Speaker 3: You know what was pet Headsef's last job. His last
45:04
Speaker 3: job was a Fox Live shows, and so what's Donald Trump?
45:11
Speaker 3: Trump was reality TV shows. I mean, it's not the
45:15
Speaker 3: same caliber, man, It's not the same.
45:18
Speaker 2: It was very, very embarrassing.
45:20
Speaker 1: So let's move on to talk about the recent action
45:23
Speaker 1: by a Prime minister of Japan, which we all know
45:27
Speaker 1: the controversial.
45:28
Speaker 2: One, and this one has to do with her her.
45:33
Speaker 2: Of course, we all know about Japanese atrocities.
45:37
Speaker 1: War wark war crimes, the the historic wartime h that
45:44
Speaker 1: or trusties the candidate in many many Asian countries. What
45:47
Speaker 1: I found interesting, Carl, and please if you can shed
45:50
Speaker 1: some light on this historically, why Japan decided to go
45:54
Speaker 1: to Australia, okay, for this historic wartime gesture? What does
46:01
Speaker 1: it mean when Japan went to Australia but did notice
46:05
Speaker 1: you an apology? So they said, China for what happened
46:09
Speaker 1: in Nanjin.
46:11
Speaker 3: I mean, if she had done in China what he
46:14
Speaker 3: did she did in Australia, the whole Japan China relationship
46:19
Speaker 3: would be like at the next level. They're like, like
46:22
Speaker 3: that a lot of the historical nimity would just collapse
46:26
Speaker 3: right there. But she actually ten more than ten years ago,
46:30
Speaker 3: when she was a congresswoman in the Japanese Parliament, she
46:36
Speaker 3: actually challenged h then the Japanese Prime Minister, for trying
46:45
Speaker 3: to offer an apology over World War two Japanese atrocities
46:51
Speaker 3: in China and in other Asian countries. And she's like,
46:55
Speaker 3: what do you mean, Like, how why you know you
46:59
Speaker 3: you only apologize if it's a war of aggression, But
47:04
Speaker 3: what is a definition of war of aggression?
47:08
Speaker 5: Come on, come on, you are you trying to say
47:12
Speaker 5: that that that that the Japanese World War two, actually
47:16
Speaker 5: the Asian country are now war of aggression.
47:18
Speaker 3: I mean, this is why, like she's not a uh,
47:23
Speaker 3: she's a hated figure in China because because her wartime
47:27
Speaker 3: revisionism was well known. But then there she is while
47:30
Speaker 3: traveling to Australia. She went to the World War Two
47:34
Speaker 3: memorial in Australia and she kneeled down and plays a flower,
47:38
Speaker 3: and yeah, this is uh, this is the way that
47:43
Speaker 3: was perceived in China. It's like, okay, so she would
47:46
Speaker 3: do this to white countries, she would apologize to white countries,
47:51
Speaker 3: but but had ad a completely different attitude to fellow
47:55
Speaker 3: Asian countries, and and and and especially you know, like
47:59
Speaker 3: when her visit to Trump, like she was all fawning
48:04
Speaker 3: over him and they're playing the total fangirl and and
48:08
Speaker 3: this is the country that actually dropped to Adam bomb
48:11
Speaker 3: in Japan, you know, and like this is the kind
48:14
Speaker 3: of the like this is why some people say, Okay,
48:19
Speaker 3: these Japanese right wing politicians, they only respect force. They
48:24
Speaker 3: only respect you know, there's only one language that they understand,
48:29
Speaker 3: the language of force. Because because American firebomb told killed
48:34
Speaker 3: because US dropped to atomic bomb and occupy Japan. This
48:39
Speaker 3: is why they act very obsequious to our United States
48:43
Speaker 3: and and other US you know, partner white countries, like
48:48
Speaker 3: majority countries like Australia. But they they would not, uh
48:53
Speaker 3: you know, they they would not do the same in
48:56
Speaker 3: China or Korea. Why because they don't think they feel
49:01
Speaker 3: I think they feel themselves like they're better. They're like
49:04
Speaker 3: a better class of Asians. Right, It's like I don't
49:07
Speaker 3: need to apologize to you. You you are you are
49:09
Speaker 3: below me. But but but but to ward the American
49:12
Speaker 3: Australians now they place themselves a little bit little. Yeah,
49:18
Speaker 3: it's like it's like a hierarchy. But but people people
49:22
Speaker 3: in Asia, it's part particularly China and Korean, they see this,
49:26
Speaker 3: they know what's going on and they don't like it.
49:29
Speaker 3: And this is like if she, I mean, it's it's
49:31
Speaker 3: very simple. If she has done that gesture at the
49:35
Speaker 3: Australian War Memorial in China and a long way to
49:41
Speaker 3: heal the historical But he will never do that. She
49:44
Speaker 3: will never do that because she knows she is appealing
49:48
Speaker 3: to her own very right wing voter base. In Japan.
49:54
Speaker 3: You know, this is why she continued to play tough
49:58
Speaker 3: with China. UH and then that she she she said
50:01
Speaker 3: she would Japan would involve UH in a war over Taiwan.
50:05
Speaker 3: I mean that was completely completely unnecessary. And on the
50:10
Speaker 3: other hand, on the other hand, United States, who you know,
50:15
Speaker 3: have this. You know, the Japan is ultimately still a
50:19
Speaker 3: client state of the United States, but we're here. You
50:21
Speaker 3: have Donald Trump go to China and say, well, Taiwan,
50:25
Speaker 3: you know, it's very close to China, very far from US.
50:29
Speaker 3: And then Japan is the one that volunteers like, ah,
50:32
Speaker 3: we we gotta be involving a Taiwan war. I think
50:35
Speaker 3: there's a there's a couple of reasons for that. Because
50:38
Speaker 3: Japan also rightly recognized that United States is what was drawing.
50:44
Speaker 3: You know, it's it's it's facing resource constraints around the world,
50:49
Speaker 3: so it's it's actually pivoting away from East Asia. But
50:54
Speaker 3: what Japan wants to do is they want to step
50:56
Speaker 3: into the war. They want to fill the the vacuum
51:01
Speaker 3: that was left behind by United States by taking this
51:03
Speaker 3: opportunity to remilitarize, because that's one of the agenda of
51:09
Speaker 3: Sanai Takaichi for all along because her and the right
51:13
Speaker 3: wing Japanese politicians like her, they think Japan is not
51:18
Speaker 3: has not been a normal country since World War Two
51:20
Speaker 3: because they got the Peace Constitution imposed by the United States,
51:24
Speaker 3: which says US is not allowed to have a military force,
51:28
Speaker 3: only a self defense force, and they cannot be deployed
51:32
Speaker 3: those self defense force for purpose other than self defense,
51:36
Speaker 3: you know, for example, outside of Japan's territory. And so
51:40
Speaker 3: for years they tried to scrap the Peace Constitution, particularly
51:44
Speaker 3: the Article nine of the Peace Constitution. But the Peace
51:49
Speaker 3: Constitution is actually very powerful, very popular among the Japanese public,
51:54
Speaker 3: so they can't our rights just repeal the constitution and
51:58
Speaker 3: remove it. They tried to, starting from her predecessor Shinzo Abe,
52:04
Speaker 3: they tried to reinterpret what that Peace Constitution in the
52:09
Speaker 3: article ninety they said, well, okay, well it's we we
52:14
Speaker 3: we have we need to defend ourselves, so in contingencies
52:19
Speaker 3: or in wars around the country of Japan, we should
52:23
Speaker 3: be able to deploy our military to help our allies,
52:26
Speaker 3: in this case the United States. But but even then
52:30
Speaker 3: they did not specifically mention Taiwan, right, I mean, like
52:34
Speaker 3: the whole Taiwan issue is just a way for the
52:36
Speaker 3: Japanese right wing politicians to as an excuse to remilitarize
52:42
Speaker 3: Japan so they can be quote unquote normal country. Again
52:45
Speaker 3: they can have, but they can they will be able
52:47
Speaker 3: to deploy military Japanese military abroad. So shinto obvious administration
52:51
Speaker 3: already quote unquote reinterpreted the constitution that would allow Japan
52:56
Speaker 3: to send troops abroad. So Japan sent some like not
53:04
Speaker 3: combat troops, but like yes, yeah to during Iraq War
53:10
Speaker 3: for the United States. And and and now they're saying, okay,
53:14
Speaker 3: you know, we could do more, you know, because the
53:18
Speaker 3: Japanese military also has been structured to serve as the
53:23
Speaker 3: support role for US Navy for example, like a lot
53:26
Speaker 3: of there they're actually quite good in terms of like
53:31
Speaker 3: anti submarine warfare and stuff like that, and that was
53:34
Speaker 3: their road. So so they they the Japanese Navy will
53:38
Speaker 3: specialize and on the anti submarine warfare UH for the
53:43
Speaker 3: US Navy, for the US seventh Fleet. UH. But that
53:47
Speaker 3: that is a way for the Japanese right wing politicians
53:50
Speaker 3: again to kind of covertly shift the stands of UH.
53:56
Speaker 3: Shifted the role of the Japanese military to allow them
53:59
Speaker 3: to ploy outside of Japan, and and and and and
54:03
Speaker 3: to have quote unquote a normal military and normal country.
54:08
Speaker 3: That has been their goal all along. And so this
54:11
Speaker 3: is why Sanai Sanaiichi is pursuing this that looks outwardly contradictory.
54:19
Speaker 3: Uh stands. You know, even while United States was kind
54:23
Speaker 3: of backing off on all of this Taiwan issue, Japan
54:27
Speaker 3: is like being really gung hold and aggressive, saying we
54:30
Speaker 3: will get involved because that's their excuse to re arm
54:34
Speaker 3: themselves and and and to we are because they they
54:37
Speaker 3: they this is how they approve a large increase on
54:42
Speaker 3: the Japanese teams, which one up.
54:46
Speaker 2: Yeah, the one up. I've been following that last year.
54:49
Speaker 3: Uh.
54:50
Speaker 2: And I'm not saying I'm being alarmed, but I am.
54:54
Speaker 1: Surprised at that percentage involved in the it's for that.
55:00
Speaker 3: It's a big increase because I think Japan right now
55:04
Speaker 3: is facing some top tough economic times. You know, the
55:09
Speaker 3: Japanese car industry has been one of the sole bright
55:13
Speaker 3: spot in Japanese economy after the United States in post
55:18
Speaker 3: Plaza accord on them in nineteen eighties. But now the
55:22
Speaker 3: Japanese car industry is facing some serious competition from like
55:26
Speaker 3: Chinese evs. So I think their goal is to show, okay,
55:31
Speaker 3: you know what we will if we can't compete on
55:35
Speaker 3: building better cars, we can shift our production to our
55:40
Speaker 3: making weapons, to towards the towards the defense industry, right,
55:45
Speaker 3: so that in the short term you will boost the economy,
55:49
Speaker 3: you know, like that, that's the same. That's just how
55:51
Speaker 3: Hitler did it before World War Two. You know, shift
55:55
Speaker 3: a lot of investment into the defense industry. So it
55:59
Speaker 3: looks good on the GDP figures, you know, like the
56:02
Speaker 3: economy has growing quickly, expand the employment. So this is
56:06
Speaker 3: something that Japan is trying to do right now. They're
56:09
Speaker 3: trying to shift resources into the defense industry to offset
56:14
Speaker 3: kind of the declining, uh declining economic growth.
56:19
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's very I'm keeping an eye on it,
56:23
Speaker 1: especially when there was a conversation in Brussels, and even
56:26
Speaker 1: when I was in Europe recently and I had to
56:29
Speaker 1: talk with someone about brought that issue back, because a
56:33
Speaker 1: year and a half ago, when Biden was still in
56:36
Speaker 1: an office, it was a conversation inside the whole of
56:41
Speaker 1: NATO in Brussel, and the conversation was about opening the
56:44
Speaker 1: office of NATO in Tokyo in Japan, and right there
56:48
Speaker 1: to me, it was like, okay, why would you want
56:50
Speaker 1: to go to that lenk to open up given the
56:53
Speaker 1: history of Japan in Asia. Oh this is no, that
56:57
Speaker 1: was just for administrative No, no, no, it has nothing to
57:01
Speaker 1: do with that unless Japan will be considering sort of
57:06
Speaker 1: increasing its defense budget. And that's exactly three months later
57:11
Speaker 1: they announced the increase of there and I'm like, you know,
57:14
Speaker 1: you can see that does here where this is going.
57:17
Speaker 3: That's what they also try to do in Europe. This
57:20
Speaker 3: is why they're they're they're asking all the Natal countries
57:24
Speaker 3: to increase their defense budgets to to five percent of
57:29
Speaker 3: the their GDP, which is crazy. Even United States today
57:32
Speaker 3: do not spend five percent on defense. And this is
57:38
Speaker 3: because again Europe faces the same problem. Their manufacturing sector
57:42
Speaker 3: is under pressure. So they're like, okay, let's shift production
57:46
Speaker 3: to tanks. Yeah.
57:49
Speaker 1: I do know some uh, some departments inside the US
57:54
Speaker 1: government mainly will be about the Pentagon.
57:57
Speaker 2: Uh.
57:58
Speaker 1: This gesture by a by at Takaishi to Australia. To them,
58:03
Speaker 1: it said, well, this means a lot for the Quad
58:08
Speaker 1: has nothing to do with which.
58:11
Speaker 2: I don't buy that argument.
58:12
Speaker 1: Anyway, because to me was if if she is, if
58:15
Speaker 1: she is to apologize to Australia, you may as well
58:18
Speaker 1: apologize to the rest of Asia. I saw the images
58:22
Speaker 1: in Nanjing, I had a chance to go and so
58:25
Speaker 1: with my own eyes horrific, horrific.
58:29
Speaker 2: You know what a human being can do to another
58:32
Speaker 2: human being.
58:33
Speaker 3: If a Japanese prime minister had done what the German
58:37
Speaker 3: prime minister did in Wassa, the famous Wassa Neil, all
58:43
Speaker 3: the historical enmity would evaporate overnight. But like no Japanese
58:48
Speaker 3: prime minister I have done that. Like if Sannai Takeichi
58:52
Speaker 3: did what she did at the World War Tube Memorial
58:55
Speaker 3: in Australia, she went to Nanjing and did that, like
59:00
Speaker 3: out of the historical bad memory will evaporate. But she
59:03
Speaker 3: would not do that because again, her purpose is not
59:07
Speaker 3: to repair relationship with between Jibed and China. Her relationship
59:12
Speaker 3: is continued to stop tensions in order to justify re
59:16
Speaker 3: arming the Japanese military, you know, to to to boosting
59:20
Speaker 3: the Japanese defense industry. That is her goal.
59:24
Speaker 2: Very very interesting.
59:26
Speaker 1: While we are coming to the top of the hour here, Carl,
59:28
Speaker 1: I want to just ask you one question before I
59:31
Speaker 1: turned the floor for you for last word, and what
59:34
Speaker 1: I wanted to ask is, how do you see the
59:37
Speaker 1: conflict in which the Asia moving forward?
59:41
Speaker 3: Yeah, this could go on longer than what anybody expected,
59:47
Speaker 3: because again, the the Uranian demand for ending the standoff
59:53
Speaker 3: is very clear. Wrong one day security guarantee that they
59:56
Speaker 3: would not be again by US in Israel. And for
1:00:01
Speaker 3: that to happen, they need the US military to get
1:00:06
Speaker 3: the f out of West Asia, taking all its uh
1:00:10
Speaker 3: reroof on all the military bases and uh. They want
1:00:15
Speaker 3: to keep in rich Uranian without being bothered. And they
1:00:18
Speaker 3: want us to lift all sanctions and this is and
1:00:24
Speaker 3: they want us to recognize the Runian control of straight
1:00:27
Speaker 3: hornor movies. All these demands are kind of anasma to
1:00:31
Speaker 3: the US Empire because accepting any of these demands would
1:00:35
Speaker 3: mean utter defeat of the US Empire in West Asia.
1:00:40
Speaker 3: Like that's it, It's gone, that the US imperial system
1:00:43
Speaker 3: will collapse. This is why Donald Trump find it very
1:00:48
Speaker 3: hard to accept those terms. And this is why he
1:00:51
Speaker 3: is he's dragging this out by playing chicken, a game
1:00:56
Speaker 3: of chicken with Iran, by doing this blockade on blockade again.
1:01:02
Speaker 3: I don't think that will work because, like I said,
1:01:04
Speaker 3: Iranian people are a lot more prepared for UH handling hardship,
1:01:11
Speaker 3: not so much Americans. You know, Americans have been living
1:01:15
Speaker 3: pretty well, uh, you know, pretty pretty pretty pampered lives.
1:01:21
Speaker 3: And now when the shortage really really hit hit, it's
1:01:26
Speaker 3: gonna it's gonna be bad to Right now, I think
1:01:30
Speaker 3: there hasn't been enough consequences for US. There hasn't been
1:01:35
Speaker 3: enough pain suffered by by the US that pressured Donald Trump.
1:01:43
Speaker 3: So this is why I think you will be drawn out.
1:01:46
Speaker 3: But in a few months time, you know, when the
1:01:50
Speaker 3: shortage is really hit, I think, uh, things might be different.
1:01:56
Speaker 3: But but but at this point, Donald Trump is trying
1:01:59
Speaker 3: to act us out as long as possible. Uh. He
1:02:03
Speaker 3: has no off ramp because really not up to him
1:02:07
Speaker 3: right now to end the war. You know, he can't
1:02:09
Speaker 3: end the war if he accept Iranian demands. But again,
1:02:14
Speaker 3: this is going to be very very hard to swallow
1:02:18
Speaker 3: for American deep state UH to to to to just
1:02:22
Speaker 3: give up on their imperial project in West Asia. And
1:02:26
Speaker 3: not to mention Israel. This is there's one actor that
1:02:29
Speaker 3: wanted to keep this war going, uh, is Israel. And
1:02:33
Speaker 3: I still believe this is the reason this war was
1:02:36
Speaker 3: fought in the first place, because you know, Nateyahu's government
1:02:40
Speaker 3: saw this as their best chance to get American directly
1:02:44
Speaker 3: evolving a war against Iran. We move this biggest obstacle
1:02:49
Speaker 3: to their greater Israel project, they will not want that.
1:02:53
Speaker 3: They will not let that go so easily. Uh. This
1:02:56
Speaker 3: is why we might be in it for the long haul,
1:02:59
Speaker 3: you know, at least for I don't know for the
1:03:03
Speaker 3: next few months, which will be bad because the window
1:03:08
Speaker 3: on the spring planting season is already closing, and that
1:03:13
Speaker 3: means farmers not getting their fertilizers. There would be much
1:03:17
Speaker 3: reduced yield tour end of the year, there will be
1:03:21
Speaker 3: food shortages globally. It will be really, really bad.
1:03:25
Speaker 1: Well, I'm glad you shared this because I want the
1:03:27
Speaker 1: community to hear your perspective about the outcome or what
1:03:33
Speaker 1: lies ahead for the US as well and warsaw. I'll
1:03:36
Speaker 1: give you the last word card, especially if you could
1:03:39
Speaker 1: please mention something about where do you see the future
1:03:43
Speaker 1: of the US China relations given what just happened.
1:03:47
Speaker 3: Well, actually, I think there might be a short term
1:03:50
Speaker 3: stability in US China relationship as a result of the
1:03:54
Speaker 3: Trump's visit because like I said, you know, like United
1:04:00
Speaker 3: States have finally realized, uh, they're gonna have trouble to
1:04:04
Speaker 3: contain China. They're gonna have trouble to uh to to
1:04:09
Speaker 3: have a confrontation with China. So they will you know,
1:04:13
Speaker 3: simply hunker down for the next few months to concentrate
1:04:16
Speaker 3: on other areas, pivot to other areas. Uh So, one
1:04:21
Speaker 3: one spot to keep an eye out for is Cuba,
1:04:25
Speaker 3: you know, because Marco Rubio he has presidential aspirations for
1:04:30
Speaker 3: twenty twenty eight and Latin America is his baby. This
1:04:33
Speaker 3: is you know, the whole Venezuelan operation. That is that
1:04:37
Speaker 3: that is his brainchild. And and the the one of
1:04:41
Speaker 3: the reasons for United States to go after Venezuela is
1:04:45
Speaker 3: to cut off oil shipment to Cuba. And and so
1:04:50
Speaker 3: they they might realize, Okay, China is too tough, it
1:04:54
Speaker 3: is too tough and not to crack. Let's go after
1:04:57
Speaker 3: something smaller and more or feasible for us. So I
1:05:02
Speaker 3: have a feeling they might go after Cube next, you know,
1:05:08
Speaker 3: like like this, because they already know realize they cannot
1:05:11
Speaker 3: take on you wrongs, so that that area will probably
1:05:15
Speaker 3: just let it similar drag it out as long as possible,
1:05:18
Speaker 3: and then that will allow them to shift their resources
1:05:21
Speaker 3: to try to do something in Cuba.
1:05:25
Speaker 1: Well, Carl, very very interesting, very informative, very constructive.
1:05:29
Speaker 2: As always, we truly truly appreciate you carving out of
1:05:32
Speaker 2: time for us here for the community.
1:05:34
Speaker 1: I know I miss chatting with you. I know it's
1:05:36
Speaker 1: been almost two and a half months and you've been traveling.
1:05:40
Speaker 1: I was traveling and I look forward to the next
1:05:42
Speaker 1: time to have you back here will address more issues.
1:05:46
Speaker 1: So on behalf of the entire community, we say thank you.
1:05:49
Speaker 1: And by the way, community, let's help Carl cross that
1:05:53
Speaker 1: one hundred thousand subscribers. Guys, we can make it. You
1:05:56
Speaker 1: did it for me, so we do with four Carl
1:05:58
Speaker 1: as well. It's only four thousand subscribers, so let's do
1:06:02
Speaker 1: let me. I'm gonna put the link for you guys
1:06:04
Speaker 1: once again, to this who might have missed it. It's
1:06:06
Speaker 1: in a chat box and I'm gonna also put it
1:06:08
Speaker 1: on the bio for Carl, So please just go and subscribe.
1:06:13
Speaker 1: The reason I'm saying this is because it's something you
1:06:15
Speaker 1: will learn from. I'm not saying it to be mister nice.
1:06:18
Speaker 1: You know, Carl is a friend, but if he wasn't
1:06:22
Speaker 1: the case, I won't say so. I'm saying this because
1:06:24
Speaker 1: I know the benefit of his of his channel, I
1:06:28
Speaker 1: know the benefit of his content. So go ahead subscribe,
1:06:31
Speaker 1: and we look forward to seeing you again, Carl, to
1:06:34
Speaker 1: really truly appreciate you, man. Wish you a good Sunday,
1:06:37
Speaker 1: and I look forward to the next time.
1:06:39
Speaker 3: Much appreciate it.