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MAGA darling in swing district gets ominous polling news

What happened

RawStory reports that Democratic challenger Cait Conley leads Republican Rep. Mike Lawler 48 percent to 46 percent among likely voters in New York’s 17th Congressional District, with 7 percent undecided. The Emerson College Polling/PIX11 News survey of 400 voters was conducted September 27–29 and carries a credibility interval of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points, so it does not establish a clear leader.

The poll nevertheless contains bad indicators for Lawler: his favorable rating fell from 52 percent in October 2024 to 45 percent, while his unfavorable rating rose from 42…

The skinny

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