Latest / Masters in Business / Omega Advisors Leon Cooperman: Masters in Business (Audio)
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: This is Masters in Business with Barry Ridholds on Bloomberg Radio.
- 0:08Speaker 1: This week on the podcast, we have a very special guest.
- 0:11Speaker 1: And I know you folks are tired of hearing me
- 0:14Speaker 1: say that, but we do. We have a very special guest,
- 0:18Speaker 1: Leon Cooperman. He is the founder and chief investment officer
- 0:23Speaker 1: of Omega Advisors. They are a hedge fund that runs
- 0:26Speaker 1: about nine point three billion dollars. His track record is
- 0:30Speaker 1: actually quite fantastic. He's outperformed the S and P five
- 0:34Speaker 1: hundred on an annualized basis of about four hundred and
- 0:38Speaker 1: fifty basis points. His tax advantage fund has outperformed the
- 0:44Speaker 1: Broad Index a thousand basis points. Uh. He is a
- 0:48Speaker 1: legend on Wall Street. He began his career at Goldman Sachs,
- 0:53Speaker 1: where he ran eventually ran the research department. I I
- 0:57Speaker 1: rated just number one. There are a few people who
- 1:01Speaker 1: are more fascinating and more knowledgeable about what it's like
- 1:06Speaker 1: to run money, to do research, to execute a portfolio
- 1:11Speaker 1: then Lee Cooperman. Very accessible, very humble, a tremendous, tremendous
- 1:18Speaker 1: um philanthropist, has committed to giving away a lot of
- 1:21Speaker 1: his money. I can't begin to tell you enough of
- 1:25Speaker 1: of how enjoyable our conversation was and what a pleasure
- 1:29Speaker 1: it was to sit down with him for for nearly
- 1:31Speaker 1: two hours. He he was scheduled to leave at one thirty,
- 1:35Speaker 1: and he waved me off. He just you know, kept
- 1:38Speaker 1: going and understood that this was really a deep dive
- 1:43Speaker 1: and didn't want to cut it short because he had
- 1:45Speaker 1: to be somewhere else. So, with no further ado from me,
- 1:49Speaker 1: here is my conversation with Leon Cooperman. This is Masters
- 1:56Speaker 1: in Business with Barry Ridholts on Bloomberg Radio. My very
- 2:01Speaker 1: special guest today, Lee Cooperman. You may or may not
- 2:05Speaker 1: have heard of him. Lee was born in the bronx
- 2:08Speaker 1: of immigrant parents. Your your whole curriculum vitae is gonna
- 2:11Speaker 1: take me ten minutes to read, so I'm just gonna
- 2:13Speaker 1: do the short version. Columbia Business School, nineteen sixty nine.
- 2:17Speaker 1: You've got an m b A straight to Goldman Sachs,
- 2:20Speaker 1: where you spent twenty two years in the Investment Research department,
- 2:24Speaker 1: eventually becoming co chairman of the Investment Policy Committee and
- 2:28Speaker 1: chairman of the Stock Selection Committee. You were voted onto
- 2:32Speaker 1: Institutional Investors All America Research team for Portfolio Strategy. You
- 2:37Speaker 1: ranked first in portfolio strategy from nineteen seventy seven to five.
- 2:43Speaker 1: You eventually set up Goldman Sachs is Asset Management division
- 2:49Speaker 1: and then leave to launch Omega Advisors, where your flagship
- 2:54Speaker 1: overseas fund has averaged fourteen point six percent from two
- 3:00Speaker 1: to and that's about fift better than the benchmark SMP
- 3:05Speaker 1: five hundred. Lee Cooperman, welcome to Bloomberg NICs to be
- 3:09Speaker 1: with you. And for those of you folks who may
- 3:12Speaker 1: not be familiar with either Guldman Sachs or Omega Advisors,
- 3:17Speaker 1: you're probably listening to the wrong radio station. So let's
- 3:20Speaker 1: jump right into your a little bit of your background.
- 3:25Speaker 1: What did you do before you found your way to
- 3:27Speaker 1: Wall Street. Well, I'm kind of like in a Ratio
- 3:30Speaker 1: Alger story, and I say this with great humility. I've
- 3:34Speaker 1: been very lucky in life. Basically, I was born in
- 3:37Speaker 1: the South Bronx, first generation of my family to get
- 3:40Speaker 1: a born in America, first generation my family get a
- 3:43Speaker 1: college degree. I went to public school in the Bronx
- 3:46Speaker 1: PS seventy five. I went to high school in the
- 3:48Speaker 1: Bronx and Morris High School. I went to college in
- 3:50Speaker 1: the Bronx Uh, West Bronx. My both of my grade
- 3:53Speaker 1: school and my high school was in the East Bronx.
- 3:56Speaker 1: I went west, follow the device of horst Reeley and
- 3:58Speaker 1: I went to the West young Man, go West, young Man.
- 4:01Speaker 1: I went to a Hunter College, part of the City
- 4:03Speaker 1: University of New York. UM, graduated in nineteen sixty four.
- 4:08Speaker 1: Went to work for Xerox Corporation up in Rochester. Well,
- 4:11Speaker 1: let me stop you right there. From Hunter to Xerox.
- 4:14Speaker 1: What did you do on at Xerox? Well, it was
- 4:17Speaker 1: very interesting. I don't know how much time we have.
- 4:19Speaker 1: I tend to be I have all day. You're the
- 4:21Speaker 1: one with Well, basically, um, it's very interesting. You know.
- 4:25Speaker 1: Part of my success in life I attribute to luck. Uh,
- 4:31Speaker 1: certain part of education hard work. By the way, that's
- 4:34Speaker 1: a theme that every person who's done an interview with
- 4:38Speaker 1: me has more or less said, Well, you know, I
- 4:40Speaker 1: worked hard, but I also got really lucky. Well, I
- 4:42Speaker 1: would say that you're not realistic if you don't think
- 4:45Speaker 1: luck plays a part in the one success. And I
- 4:47Speaker 1: like to think I'm above all. I'm realistic and self
- 4:51Speaker 1: effacing and have humility. Uh. But basically it's a little
- 4:55Speaker 1: bit of a story to get to answer your question
- 4:58Speaker 1: back in the sixty and still maybe the case of
- 5:01Speaker 1: day that if you finished your major and minor in
- 5:04Speaker 1: three years, you could count in your first year of
- 5:07Speaker 1: dental or medical school towards your fourth year of college
- 5:10Speaker 1: you get a separate degree. I actually did something similar
- 5:13Speaker 1: with law school. I applied part of law school towards
- 5:17Speaker 1: my undergraduate So you know, basically, in the summer of
- 5:20Speaker 1: nineteen sixty three, I toiled very hard in the University
- 5:23Speaker 1: of Pennsylvania laboratories. I took a course in physical chemistry
- 5:27Speaker 1: to finish you off my major. My major was chemistry,
- 5:30Speaker 1: my mind was math and physics. And I enrolled in
- 5:34Speaker 1: the University of Pennsylvania Dental School. And after eight days
- 5:39Speaker 1: I wondered if I was making the right decision. And
- 5:42Speaker 1: so you know, part of your life, not only his luck,
- 5:44Speaker 1: is intuition and making the right decision. That that was
- 5:47Speaker 1: a good instinct. I cannot picture you as all you know,
- 5:49Speaker 1: instead of my hand in their mouths and I have
- 5:52Speaker 1: my hand in their pockets, I guess you could say
- 5:54Speaker 1: that basically I went. It was a very traumatic period
- 5:57Speaker 1: of my life. I went to the dean of the
- 5:58Speaker 1: dental school and I said, I would like to return
- 6:01Speaker 1: to my undergraduate school, finish you off my fourth year,
- 6:05Speaker 1: unencumbered by any decision, and then in the fullness of time,
- 6:09Speaker 1: making decision to either return to dental school or whatever.
- 6:13Speaker 1: And he put me on a real guilt trip, uh,
- 6:15Speaker 1: in the sense that he said, you deprived the hundred
- 6:17Speaker 1: first applicant of a dental school education. How can you
- 6:20Speaker 1: decide after eight days? And so I returned to undergraduate school.
- 6:24Speaker 1: The only person that really understood the import of my
- 6:26Speaker 1: decision and difficulty was a dean of Hunter College at
- 6:29Speaker 1: the time. His name was Glen T. Nigrin. I just
- 6:32Speaker 1: noticed an obituary of several years ago where he passed away,
- 6:35Speaker 1: and he said, boy, this must have been a tough decision.
- 6:37Speaker 1: Of course, you could matriculate back into a Hunter. And
- 6:41Speaker 1: I went back to Hunter, at which point I had
- 6:43Speaker 1: all elective is my major minor was completed. So I
- 6:47Speaker 1: took ten courses in economics, got ten a's, and I
- 6:50Speaker 1: had the unusual situation of graduating as a major in chemistry,
- 6:54Speaker 1: monor math and physics, but honors in economics. And I
- 6:58Speaker 1: was interviewing in the ninth seen hundred and I guess
- 7:01Speaker 1: sixty three yearly sixty four for a job. Xerox Corporation
- 7:05Speaker 1: came to the campus and I was lucky enough to
- 7:08Speaker 1: get an invite back to Rochester to meet with other
- 7:11Speaker 1: people for a second, you know, interview, and I went
- 7:15Speaker 1: up getting the best job warfer if anyone that cite
- 7:17Speaker 1: the university. They offered me, I think was seventy five
- 7:20Speaker 1: hundred or seven thousand dollars a year, which I accepted,
- 7:24Speaker 1: and I started working there in August of nineteen four,
- 7:28Speaker 1: and they really, an effect, did not make a full
- 7:31Speaker 1: disclosure to me about the job. It's what they didn't
- 7:34Speaker 1: tell me when I started, when they offered me the job.
- 7:37Speaker 1: Is a month later they were going to a twenty
- 7:40Speaker 1: four hour work week, meaning one week I'd have to
- 7:43Speaker 1: work eight in the morning to four in the afternoon,
- 7:45Speaker 1: the next week four in the afternoon to midnight, three
- 7:47Speaker 1: three shifts a day um. And so I was enrolled
- 7:50Speaker 1: in the University of Rochester Graduate School of Business at night,
- 7:53Speaker 1: working towards an m b A. But the weeks that
- 7:56Speaker 1: I was in the four in the afternoon to midnight shift,
- 7:58Speaker 1: I'd have to find somebody else to shift off with
- 8:00Speaker 1: work sixteen hours go to school, work sixteen hours, go
- 8:03Speaker 1: to school. And I had had a lovely life a
- 8:06Speaker 1: wife at that time, and he was still a lovely wife.
- 8:07Speaker 1: She's married fifty one years. And she said, look, I'm
- 8:11Speaker 1: happy to work if you want to go to school
- 8:13Speaker 1: full time. And I took leave of absence and I
- 8:15Speaker 1: went to Columbia University Graduate School of Business in New
- 8:18Speaker 1: York on a trimester basis sixty months, got my m
- 8:21Speaker 1: b A interviewed, and I was lucky enough to get
- 8:24Speaker 1: a job off of Goldman Sachs and who entered Wall Street.
- 8:27Speaker 1: Uh via my MBA from Columbia to Goldman Sax. I'm
- 8:31Speaker 1: Barry Ritults. You're listening to Masters in Business on Bloomberg
- 8:34Speaker 1: Radio and my very special guest today, Lee Cooperman. He
- 8:38Speaker 1: is the founder of Omega Advisors. Prior to that, he
- 8:41Speaker 1: spent twenty three years in in the investment research department
- 8:45Speaker 1: at Goldman Sacks. Let's let's talk a little bit about
- 8:48Speaker 1: um Goldman Sacks. You went right out of Columbia where
- 8:52Speaker 1: you got your m b A into not the sexier
- 8:55Speaker 1: investment banking half that I think Goldman at the time
- 8:59Speaker 1: was better owned for, but into research. What was your
- 9:03Speaker 1: thought process. What attracted you to that? I basically had
- 9:08Speaker 1: a strong interest in investing through investment research would be
- 9:13Speaker 1: a good foundation for pursuing career in investing, and Columbia
- 9:19Speaker 1: was known as a deep value school. That was the
- 9:22Speaker 1: training you had. The professor had the greatest influence to
- 9:26Speaker 1: me was Professor Roger Murray, who was an adjunct professor
- 9:29Speaker 1: of business at Columbia. His day job was being the
- 9:32Speaker 1: chief investment officer of College Retirement Equities Fund, and he
- 9:35Speaker 1: taught at Columbia. He also was an author of one
- 9:39Speaker 1: of the follow up editions of security analysis, the original
- 9:42Speaker 1: publication four by Graham and Dodd, and he honed my interest.
- 9:47Speaker 1: He was a fabulous professor, a real practitioner of his profession,
- 9:51Speaker 1: and one that was a great inspiration. But you know, um,
- 9:57Speaker 1: it was a great experience. I never I like. I
- 10:00Speaker 1: like to say I like the higher PhDs in my business. Uh,
- 10:03Speaker 1: but my PhDs are poor, hungry and driven. Uh. Isn't that?
- 10:07Speaker 1: Isn't that something that Mario Gabelli used to say all
- 10:09Speaker 1: the time. He says it all the time. We're great friends.
- 10:12Speaker 1: You know. One of the great things that came out
- 10:13Speaker 1: of Columbia Business school, was married when I met, and
- 10:15Speaker 1: we remained close friends for fifty years. You know, it
- 10:18Speaker 1: was the Columbia experience that got me the entry card
- 10:22Speaker 1: into Wall Street. I wouldn't say it's right, but the
- 10:24Speaker 1: odds or I could not have gotten into Wall Street
- 10:26Speaker 1: directly from Hunter College into an investment position at Goldman,
- 10:33Speaker 1: But part of this, like I said earlier, horatial outer story.
- 10:38Speaker 1: You know, I um, when I went to Columbia Business School,
- 10:41Speaker 1: I had a six month old child, I had National
- 10:43Speaker 1: Defense Education Act student loan to repay, had no money
- 10:47Speaker 1: in the bank, and had to get onto making a living.
- 10:49Speaker 1: So I got my degree on January thirty one of
- 10:52Speaker 1: nineteen sixty seven, and the very next day, February one
- 10:56Speaker 1: to sixty seven, I started my close to year career
- 10:58Speaker 1: at Goldman Sex. So you were in the research department.
- 11:01Speaker 1: Let me let me go over some of the stats
- 11:03Speaker 1: from that, because they're really so impressive. You voted on
- 11:06Speaker 1: to the All American Research team. You were the number
- 11:09Speaker 1: one portfolio strategist according to Investor Institutional Investor from nineteen
- 11:15Speaker 1: seventy seven to ninety five. That that's a heck of
- 11:18Speaker 1: a good run. And then after all those years in
- 11:21Speaker 1: the research department you helped build Goman Sacks Asset Manager.
- 11:26Speaker 1: I actually started it, but i'd say first in the
- 11:28Speaker 1: research department. Uh, not not being self serving. I had
- 11:31Speaker 1: two roles, and I started at as an analyst in
- 11:34Speaker 1: the retail business, and then the mid seventies I became
- 11:37Speaker 1: co directive Research. In nineteen seventies six, I was named
- 11:41Speaker 1: partner in charge of Research. I essentially had two roles
- 11:44Speaker 1: in Goldman Research. One I would call an orchestra leader,
- 11:47Speaker 1: I ran the research department, and the other, call a solo,
- 11:51Speaker 1: was to my role as chairman of the Investment Policy Committee,
- 11:53Speaker 1: helping set investment policy and marketing that investment policy at
- 11:57Speaker 1: investing clients. And uh, please used to say again, not
- 12:01Speaker 1: big self serving, because it was a real team effort.
- 12:04Speaker 1: But when I took over the research department at Goldman,
- 12:07Speaker 1: we were basically unranked. And when I left, it's a
- 12:10Speaker 1: polite way to say dead last, No, not that last,
- 12:12Speaker 1: but we were We were not ranked in the top
- 12:15Speaker 1: we were not reviewed as a research firm. And when
- 12:17Speaker 1: I left the research department in nine to start Goldman
- 12:20Speaker 1: Sacks Asset Management, Goldman Sacks Research was number one institutional
- 12:25Speaker 1: investor America team number one in Charlie Yellis's Greenwich Research
- 12:29Speaker 1: survey and number one in financial world, which doesn't exist anymore.
- 12:32Speaker 1: The first to still exists in terms of measuring people's effecting.
- 12:36Speaker 1: This now to show you how a little influence I say,
- 12:38Speaker 1: this is not this is that video They had a
- 12:40Speaker 1: little influence I had at Goldman and I said this
- 12:42Speaker 1: had a big smile. I was well regarded. Uh. For
- 12:45Speaker 1: a decade, I was telling Goldman Sacks, you're making a
- 12:47Speaker 1: mistake by not being in the asset managing business. I was.
- 12:51Speaker 1: I was shocked when I was reading your background and
- 12:53Speaker 1: I'm like, wait, Goldman Sacks didn't have an asset management
- 12:57Speaker 1: division before. Something it made it's hard to imagine teen
- 13:02Speaker 1: ninety one. Actually, and for deckcarese telling the firm you're
- 13:05Speaker 1: making a mistake by not being an asset management and
- 13:08Speaker 1: for decade they said, Lee, you don't get it that
- 13:11Speaker 1: we are of the belief that brokers should do brokerage,
- 13:13Speaker 1: money manage and do money management. Don't compete with your customer,
- 13:16Speaker 1: Goldman Sachs typical customer at that time was an institutional investor.
- 13:20Speaker 1: And so I said, well, look look around your Mary
- 13:22Speaker 1: Lynchest Management, uh CSFPST Management, the Kid I Be Buddies
- 13:27Speaker 1: division is called Webster att Management. Everybody was getting into
- 13:31Speaker 1: the business set. One firm who was Goldman's art trading rival,
- 13:34Speaker 1: that was Solomon Brothers. And then one morning Solomon comes
- 13:37Speaker 1: out and says, we're pleased to announce that Bob Solomon Jr.
- 13:40Speaker 1: Will be leaving the research department to start Salmon Brothers
- 13:43Speaker 1: asset Management. And Bob Rubin and Steve Friedman, who were
- 13:47Speaker 1: then co heads of the firm, came to me and said,
- 13:48Speaker 1: you know, we made a mistake. You were right. You
- 13:50Speaker 1: were right when you leave research and do for us
- 13:53Speaker 1: to invest in management what you did for us in research.
- 13:56Speaker 1: And so after about a year or so doing this,
- 13:59Speaker 1: because aim very clear that you know, I had to
- 14:01Speaker 1: be on the road constantly to innovate new products to generally,
- 14:04Speaker 1: you know, capture new assets. And I really wanted to
- 14:08Speaker 1: visit companies and find outstanding managements make out standing investments.
- 14:12Speaker 1: And I have great respect for Goldman. I owe a
- 14:14Speaker 1: lot to my success at Goldmen. I started with nothing.
- 14:17Speaker 1: I left Goldman very wealthy. Man. I told him I
- 14:20Speaker 1: really wanted to retire ephemistically, I worked hard and now
- 14:23Speaker 1: that I worked at Goldman, I worked very hard at Goldman,
- 14:26Speaker 1: and I wanted to basically start a hedge fund. And
- 14:28Speaker 1: I believe in no blessed Oblieg and I told him,
- 14:30Speaker 1: you know, we were still a private partnership UM at
- 14:33Speaker 1: the time. And uh, I said, you know, if you
- 14:35Speaker 1: think my having a hedge funds of violation might noncompete,
- 14:38Speaker 1: you know, I wouldn't do it. And they said, no,
- 14:39Speaker 1: we we can't possibly say that because you know, we
- 14:41Speaker 1: don't want to have a hedge fund. And so I
- 14:44Speaker 1: started Omega, and uh it became something I didn't plan.
- 14:48Speaker 1: To be honest with you, Uh, this is not a
- 14:51Speaker 1: TV but I'm I'm you have a big smile on
- 14:53Speaker 1: your face. But I basically also a larger than average guy.
- 14:57Speaker 1: And I said, you know, I'm gonna have a small business. Uh,
- 15:00Speaker 1: and succeed at the only thing that's alluded me all
- 15:02Speaker 1: my life. Let's get to a normal size is and
- 15:04Speaker 1: lose some weight. And I have a gym in the
- 15:06Speaker 1: office and work out and you know, manage a few
- 15:08Speaker 1: hundred million dollars and down to a normal size. Take
- 15:12Speaker 1: it easy a way, well, no work, but basically get
- 15:15Speaker 1: to a normal size, have a more balanced life. And uh,
- 15:18Speaker 1: what happened is you to my first year, we're up
- 15:21Speaker 1: about twenty three or twice with the market, and in
- 15:24Speaker 1: ninety three had about a year I was up like
- 15:26Speaker 1: sevent because we correctly called a big decline interest rates globally,
- 15:31Speaker 1: and the firm really starts to grow quite dramatically in size.
- 15:35Speaker 1: Uh so, Um, we've gone from the start up with
- 15:37Speaker 1: a few hundred million to nine and a half billion.
- 15:40Speaker 1: But it's been a great run. And uh, I love
- 15:43Speaker 1: what I do, and I do a lot of talks
- 15:45Speaker 1: to meetings with youngsters. They try to give them career guidance.
- 15:49Speaker 1: I tell him, you know, follow the advice of Henry Ford.
- 15:52Speaker 1: The best way to make money is not to think
- 15:53Speaker 1: about making money. Another theme is Warren Buffers is going
- 15:57Speaker 1: to work with somebody you respected admire, tap dance to
- 15:59Speaker 1: work and everything will take care of itself. And what
- 16:01Speaker 1: I say basically is do what you love, love what
- 16:03Speaker 1: you do. If you do what you love me you
- 16:04Speaker 1: love what you do. With a little bit of luck,
- 16:06Speaker 1: you're a bound to be successful. And that's kind of
- 16:08Speaker 1: where I'm at. I mean, I love what I do.
- 16:10Speaker 1: I'm Barry rid Hults. You're listening to Masters in Business
- 16:13Speaker 1: on Bloomberg Radio. My special guest today is Lee Cooperman.
- 16:16Speaker 1: He is the founder of Omega Advisors and basically spent
- 16:21Speaker 1: the first twenty five or so years of his career
- 16:24Speaker 1: at Goldman Sachs as the UH director of the Investment Department,
- 16:29Speaker 1: and he created and helped build the asset Management Department.
- 16:33Speaker 1: Let's talk a little bit about philanthropy. League you Um,
- 16:37Speaker 1: you said earlier, you're the son of immigrants from the
- 16:39Speaker 1: South Bronx. Um, did you ever imagine when you were
- 16:43Speaker 1: going to school and in the Bronx you would grow
- 16:47Speaker 1: up to become a philanthropist? Never? Never, never, never? What
- 16:52Speaker 1: what is that like? Coming and from from self described
- 16:57Speaker 1: very humble roots. There's there's a question. We have a
- 17:00Speaker 1: mutual friend, Doug Cass and Doug said to ask you
- 17:03Speaker 1: about the plumbers wrench that you sometimes carry around. Uh.
- 17:09Speaker 1: Doug's very kind towards me, very complimentary, and I appreciate Doug,
- 17:13Speaker 1: and Doug's a bright fellow. Look, if you step back
- 17:16Speaker 1: and think about it, there's only four things you could
- 17:19Speaker 1: do with money. You could consume it on personal expenditures
- 17:24Speaker 1: and thankf I've been in a business that generates a
- 17:26Speaker 1: lot of income, and if you if I don't collect art,
- 17:29Speaker 1: I can't consume my wealth. And I've never seen the
- 17:32Speaker 1: value proposition art and I really obviously missed a huge
- 17:35Speaker 1: opportunity well the past a couple of decades. Yeah, okay,
- 17:39Speaker 1: but so you could consume your well the second as
- 17:41Speaker 1: you can give it to your children. Okay, And I'll
- 17:44Speaker 1: take these one of the time after I mentioned all four.
- 17:46Speaker 1: The third is you can give it to the government
- 17:48Speaker 1: the form of taxation, or the fourth as you can
- 17:50Speaker 1: recycle it back into society. Okay. So on the first one,
- 17:55Speaker 1: I'm not a consumer. I tend to basically work very hard,
- 18:00Speaker 1: work very long hours. I have a very purposeful wife,
- 18:03Speaker 1: married fifty one year. She has been an educator for
- 18:05Speaker 1: thirty five years, working with learning to say ablell neurologically
- 18:08Speaker 1: impaired children. And so she's not a consumer because she's
- 18:11Speaker 1: was working most of her adult life. Um, so I
- 18:14Speaker 1: can't consume it. You know, you could go out and
- 18:16Speaker 1: if you if you if you're not collector you don't
- 18:18Speaker 1: have enough money no matter you know what you make,
- 18:21Speaker 1: because you could buy a Picasso with the other day
- 18:23Speaker 1: for a hundred nine million or whatever. So I'm not
- 18:26Speaker 1: a consumer. Second, I believe in leaving my kids a
- 18:29Speaker 1: rational or sum of money. Do not want to take
- 18:30Speaker 1: away from them the incentive to self achieve. Okay. The
- 18:34Speaker 1: third is who wants to give it the government? If
- 18:36Speaker 1: you don't have to give it the government. Fourth, I've
- 18:38Speaker 1: made the determination. My family is going along with the
- 18:40Speaker 1: determination to take the vest bulk of my money and
- 18:43Speaker 1: return into society to try and create equal opportunity for
- 18:47Speaker 1: these splendid youngsters that don't have the opportunities today that
- 18:52Speaker 1: I enjoyed. You know. So let's let's start with the pledge.
- 18:55Speaker 1: You had a dinner with um a number of people,
- 18:58Speaker 1: and you saw in the pledge where you essentially committed
- 19:01Speaker 1: to giving away the majority. I think that the pledge
- 19:05Speaker 1: says you're a get away at least half, and I
- 19:06Speaker 1: intend to give away all my money. Was I given
- 19:09Speaker 1: my children their inheritance about three or four years ago
- 19:13Speaker 1: in advance in events. Here's the money. Trying not to
- 19:16Speaker 1: do it well. I have two kids. One's a fabulous
- 19:18Speaker 1: money manager. I'm very proud of his accomplishments. Also runs
- 19:22Speaker 1: run a hedge fund, and he's very very smart. And
- 19:24Speaker 1: then I have another son who was equally smart up
- 19:25Speaker 1: in a different field. He has a PhD degree and
- 19:27Speaker 1: environmental scientist work for conservation to national on environmental issues. Uh.
- 19:33Speaker 1: And so I gave them their inheritance and what's left over. Basically,
- 19:37Speaker 1: my game plan is to give away half during my
- 19:40Speaker 1: lifetime to organizations that have made a difference to my
- 19:42Speaker 1: family in our lifetime, and the other half on to
- 19:45Speaker 1: give to a foundation where my children, grandchildren, daughter in
- 19:48Speaker 1: laws could periodically get together and give away the money
- 19:51Speaker 1: to worthy organization. So let's talk about some of the organizations. Well,
- 19:55Speaker 1: let me first, you know say this that you know
- 19:57Speaker 1: the I said this to warm buffet. If you're speaking
- 20:00Speaker 1: to people of great wealth, asking for half is not
- 20:03Speaker 1: asking for enough. But nor is that request original hundred
- 20:08Speaker 1: Andrew Carnegie said, he who dies rich dies disgraced. In
- 20:11Speaker 1: ninety Winston Churchill said you make a living by what
- 20:14Speaker 1: you get, you make a life by what you give.
- 20:16Speaker 1: In sixty one, when President Kennedy was inaugurated, he said,
- 20:19Speaker 1: if I we call it, Craig, that's not what your
- 20:21Speaker 1: country can do for you. Ask what you can do
- 20:23Speaker 1: for your country or something alone and then I told Warren,
- 20:27Speaker 1: I said, I'm Jewish, and he said that Thomas your
- 20:29Speaker 1: measurement not by what he has, but what he gives. So, um,
- 20:32Speaker 1: you know, I buy into the idea of philanthropic activity.
- 20:37Speaker 1: And you know, the large bulk of my giving thus
- 20:39Speaker 1: far has been to organizations that have made a difference
- 20:42Speaker 1: to me in my lifetime. So you know, a Hunter College.
- 20:46Speaker 1: I got a first class education from the University of
- 20:48Speaker 1: New York for twenty four dollars a semester. I know,
- 20:51Speaker 1: did I get a first class education? But I got
- 20:53Speaker 1: a terrific wife. So we've given them a very large
- 20:57Speaker 1: amount of money, both for a scholarship and uh and
- 21:00Speaker 1: financial aid for when I went to school. I mentioned
- 21:02Speaker 1: twenty four hour semester. I think the kids today like
- 21:04Speaker 1: six thousand dollars semester. That's cheap compared to the private school.
- 21:08Speaker 1: It is, but these kids have trouble coming up with
- 21:10Speaker 1: that kind of money. So providing financial aid to help
- 21:13Speaker 1: giving them equal opportunity. Then, um, I have a deader
- 21:17Speaker 1: gratitude to Columbia of opening the door to my career
- 21:20Speaker 1: in Wall Street. And I've given them a doubt a chair.
- 21:22Speaker 1: You've set up some scholarships and you've given some unconstricted
- 21:26Speaker 1: funds to them as well. Yeah, yeah, well there's a
- 21:28Speaker 1: large number. I'm embarrassed to mention in numbers. And I'm
- 21:31Speaker 1: not the most generous guy you're gonna meet. I've done
- 21:33Speaker 1: what I felt I want to do, so I think
- 21:36Speaker 1: our industry is popularly with a lot of very generous
- 21:38Speaker 1: people that have have a good soul and want to
- 21:41Speaker 1: give back to society. Then third, I was a trustee
- 21:46Speaker 1: for many years of St. Bonabus Medical Center, where the
- 21:48Speaker 1: largest hospitals and stay in New Jersey, and they were
- 21:51Speaker 1: endowed a new wing that's on the construction right as
- 21:54Speaker 1: we speak. I'm Barry ri Heults. You're listening to Masters
- 21:57Speaker 1: in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My special guest to day
- 22:00Speaker 1: is Lee Cooperman of Goldman Sachs and now he runs
- 22:03Speaker 1: the hedge fund Omega Advisors, and I want to talk
- 22:06Speaker 1: a little bit Lee about value investing, because really you're
- 22:11Speaker 1: one of the great value investors. Your your track record
- 22:14Speaker 1: has been outstanding. You've outperformed the market by almost fifty percent.
- 22:20Speaker 1: Your your long term track record is fourteen percent and
- 22:24Speaker 1: change per annum, significantly better than than the benchmark at
- 22:28Speaker 1: least that's the most recent data. I saw about four
- 22:31Speaker 1: and fifty basis points neative wolf fees and nexus to
- 22:34Speaker 1: the SMP, which is fine. We don't want a leverage portfolio,
- 22:37Speaker 1: so for non leverage, non leverage, that's fantastic. Your percent
- 22:42Speaker 1: always room for improvement. But we're OK. So so let
- 22:45Speaker 1: me throw one of my favorite quotes of yours at
- 22:48Speaker 1: you and get some comments you. You have been known
- 22:51Speaker 1: to say your favorite question is what is ridiculously priced? Now?
- 22:56Speaker 1: So is it fair to say that you're not a
- 22:59Speaker 1: believer that markets are perfectly efficient? H? Yeah, I would
- 23:03Speaker 1: say that. I don't think Warren Buffett got going from
- 23:07Speaker 1: flipping newspapers to orre seventy five billion dollars if the
- 23:11Speaker 1: market was totally efficient. Whether it's Mary Gabilly, whether it
- 23:15Speaker 1: stand Drucomo, or there's Lee Cooperman. I think that everyone
- 23:20Speaker 1: seems to think that it's hard to beat the SMP. Well,
- 23:23Speaker 1: if it's so easy to underperform, the ability must exist
- 23:26Speaker 1: to outperform, And I think there's enough people that have
- 23:28Speaker 1: outperformed over number years to suggest that with patients and
- 23:33Speaker 1: some brains and a little bit of luck, that you
- 23:36Speaker 1: can outperform. So I'm committed to that proposition. I try
- 23:39Speaker 1: to make money for my investors a number of ways,
- 23:42Speaker 1: but number one, I do spend a lot of time
- 23:44Speaker 1: on the macro picture, you know, as the stock market overvalued,
- 23:48Speaker 1: is it under valued? Is it going up? Is it
- 23:49Speaker 1: going down? Because at the end of the day, stocks
- 23:52Speaker 1: are high risk financial assets to turn bonds and casual
- 23:55Speaker 1: low rist financial assets. And if it's an environment that's
- 23:58Speaker 1: negative for stocks, I want to be exposed. On the
- 24:01Speaker 1: other hand, of his environment part of the stocks positive
- 24:03Speaker 1: the stocks, I want to be heavily exposed. So let
- 24:05Speaker 1: me ask you right now, what is ridiculously priced today.
- 24:09Speaker 1: I think the only place that there's a bubble, in
- 24:12Speaker 1: my opinion is fixed income. I think in any kind
- 24:15Speaker 1: of longer term context, the Fed funds rate doesn't belong
- 24:18Speaker 1: at zero and higher. Yeah, I would say so. I
- 24:22Speaker 1: mean I think that uh, if interest rates deserve to
- 24:27Speaker 1: belong where they are, the stock market is not going
- 24:30Speaker 1: to go up because over time, whatever the market is,
- 24:33Speaker 1: whether the United States, whether it's Europe, whether it's Japan,
- 24:36Speaker 1: whether it's uh China, that you would think that the
- 24:39Speaker 1: long term return in the stock market would be a
- 24:42Speaker 1: function of the growth of the economy, the rate of
- 24:46Speaker 1: change in corporate profits, the consumer price index, and what
- 24:49Speaker 1: you can earn in alternative instruments, whether it be bonds
- 24:51Speaker 1: or cash. So if you take a look at the
- 24:53Speaker 1: United States and take thirteen and fourteen, take those three
- 24:57Speaker 1: years and average them, the ray of growth and ECONI
- 25:01Speaker 1: has been about two point three percent per annum, so
- 25:04Speaker 1: we're way lower on rates. Well, well, let me go through.
- 25:07Speaker 1: So two point three was the real GDP growth. Profits
- 25:09Speaker 1: rose a little over six percent, the freight of inflation
- 25:12Speaker 1: was about one eight percent. If you were conservative and
- 25:15Speaker 1: sat on cash, earned zero for the three years, and
- 25:18Speaker 1: the tenure government to current coupon was about two point
- 25:21Speaker 1: to two point three. Notwithstanding those very modest numbers, the
- 25:25Speaker 1: stock market returned over per annum for each of the
- 25:28Speaker 1: three years thirteen and fourteen. I think that game is over.
- 25:32Speaker 1: I think that the markets caught up. The markets about
- 25:34Speaker 1: sixty and a half seventeen times earnings. I think very
- 25:37Speaker 1: fully valued any kind of historical context. Uh, some would
- 25:40Speaker 1: argue is maybe modestly overvalued rowth of the history, but
- 25:43Speaker 1: if you look at fixed income, it's very overvalued. Roads
- 25:46Speaker 1: the history. I always tell people. I don't want to
- 25:48Speaker 1: sound like a statistician, but from nineteen hundred and sixty
- 25:51Speaker 1: to the present, the multiple in the SMP five average
- 25:54Speaker 1: to touch under fifteen when the rate of inflation range
- 25:57Speaker 1: between one and three percent where it is now, the
- 26:00Speaker 1: multiple was about sixteen point seven sixteen point eight where
- 26:03Speaker 1: we are right now. We are now. However, that same
- 26:05Speaker 1: fifty idea period when the multiple the market was fifteen,
- 26:09Speaker 1: the tenure US government average six point six seven currently
- 26:12Speaker 1: two point three, so you're a better third of the
- 26:14Speaker 1: long term average, and T bills average a touch under
- 26:17Speaker 1: five currently zero. Okay, so relative to fixed income, the
- 26:21Speaker 1: market is very attractively priced. I think the only place
- 26:24Speaker 1: I see a bubble is because of the extraordinarily accommodative
- 26:28Speaker 1: monetary policies globally that interest rates are well below where
- 26:31Speaker 1: you ought to be. And if interest rates belong where
- 26:33Speaker 1: they are, that means growth in the economy, growth and
- 26:35Speaker 1: profits are not what people expecting. So it's one of
- 26:38Speaker 1: the other. Either we're in a very overextended bond market
- 26:43Speaker 1: rally and and rates have to go higher, or stocks
- 26:48Speaker 1: are very pricy. It's one or the other, and it
- 26:50Speaker 1: sounds like you're betting that stocks are reasonably priced relative
- 26:54Speaker 1: to all these other metrics versus bonds. I think the
- 26:57Speaker 1: stock market already allows for some rise in rates, and
- 27:01Speaker 1: I think the issue for the stock market deal with
- 27:04Speaker 1: is a slope of the rise. I mean, I'm somewhat quizzical.
- 27:07Speaker 1: A matter of fact, I just saw Gary Cohen as
- 27:08Speaker 1: a very bright man in a comment that the market
- 27:11Speaker 1: is not prepared for a FED rate rise, and I
- 27:14Speaker 1: don't get it. I honestly don't get it. Everybody's talking
- 27:17Speaker 1: about it almost every day, okay, And I'll give you
- 27:20Speaker 1: the statistics. There's been eight rate cycles since the mid fifties,
- 27:24Speaker 1: and on average from the first FED rate hike to
- 27:27Speaker 1: the market peak was thirty months. It took thirty months
- 27:30Speaker 1: on average the market the peak after the first FED
- 27:32Speaker 1: rate hike, and the hour of the shortest period of
- 27:35Speaker 1: time was ten months. And those rate rises, those eight
- 27:38Speaker 1: periods in the mid fifties did not start from zero, okay.
- 27:41Speaker 1: And on average, from the first FED rate hike to
- 27:45Speaker 1: a year after the first FED rate hike, the market
- 27:47Speaker 1: was hired by almost ten percent. And so you know,
- 27:51Speaker 1: rising interest rates are indicative of improving economy, and so
- 27:56Speaker 1: I think it's only when the rates get to a
- 27:58Speaker 1: level that's competitive with returns and docks and the stock
- 28:00Speaker 1: market start to decline. But you know, we have a
- 28:02Speaker 1: central bank that's cheering on for more growth, more inflation,
- 28:06Speaker 1: and they're gonna be as a comminative as they can be,
- 28:09Speaker 1: and I think it's gonna be it's gonna require inflation
- 28:12Speaker 1: over two percent for the FED to become more restrictive,
- 28:16Speaker 1: and that would probably require wage growth of about three
- 28:19Speaker 1: and a a half percent, which probably won't happen until probably
- 28:21Speaker 1: late maybe. You know, we ran similar numbers that you
- 28:26Speaker 1: just described in terms of how the market performs in
- 28:29Speaker 1: a rising rate environment, and the one thing that was
- 28:32Speaker 1: really clear was when you start from relatively high interest
- 28:36Speaker 1: rates in a period of high inflation, that's the sort
- 28:41Speaker 1: of rate rise that's not great for equities. But when
- 28:44Speaker 1: you're starting from a very low level and what's lower
- 28:46Speaker 1: than zero and inflation is modest, you tend to see
- 28:50Speaker 1: smart stocks rise even as rates go higher. That would
- 28:53Speaker 1: be my view. It's only you know, it's it's it's
- 28:57Speaker 1: not a complex concept, but it's very very important point
- 29:00Speaker 1: gonna make, and that is, over time, the only way
- 29:04Speaker 1: bonds are just to higher interest rates and the decline
- 29:07Speaker 1: in price to keep the coupon current. The way stocks
- 29:11Speaker 1: and company to adjust to higher inflation is they take
- 29:13Speaker 1: the inflation in their costs, incorporating their selling prices, so
- 29:17Speaker 1: higher inflation lifts the nominal level of revenues and earnings.
- 29:21Speaker 1: Is only when the FED or central bank is fighting
- 29:25Speaker 1: to curb inflation that the market starts to decline because
- 29:29Speaker 1: curbing inflation is tanamount to curbing growth, and investors pay
- 29:33Speaker 1: a low multiple anticipation slow in growth. But we have
- 29:36Speaker 1: a FED that's very concerned about you know, income disparity,
- 29:40Speaker 1: social inequality, and wants to get more economic growth. And
- 29:44Speaker 1: so I think it's would be quite some time before
- 29:45Speaker 1: the FED takes the punch away from the punch bowl.
- 29:48Speaker 1: Uh you know, I mean it wasn't original. I think
- 29:50Speaker 1: it was George Schaeffer, some technician, uh fifty years ago
- 29:54Speaker 1: coined the phrase three steps and stumble. It took three
- 29:57Speaker 1: tightens by the FED for the market that to have
- 29:59Speaker 1: a stumble, and we haven't had the first tightening yet.
- 30:02Speaker 1: And it's fairly safe to say that we're not looking
- 30:06Speaker 1: at any sort of real inflation and wage growth, even
- 30:09Speaker 1: the most recent data, which has been improving, still fairly
- 30:13Speaker 1: tapped in terms of wage improvement. I would say that
- 30:16Speaker 1: the rate of inflation is stath of two percent, and uh,
- 30:20Speaker 1: it will be a while before we get above that.
- 30:22Speaker 1: So so let's talk about some of your favorite metrics.
- 30:24Speaker 1: You mentioned where the pe ratio is. Tell us about
- 30:28Speaker 1: other ways that you look to measure equities, whether it's
- 30:31Speaker 1: dividend yield or I'm very eclectic, you know. As I
- 30:36Speaker 1: said before, we've start out first trying to develop a
- 30:38Speaker 1: view of the market. Once we done macro view, and
- 30:43Speaker 1: then on the bottom up we try we understand the
- 30:47Speaker 1: value proposition at the SMP five hundred, which is the
- 30:49Speaker 1: broadest based, the most accepted index offers. So if you
- 30:53Speaker 1: look at the SMP five hundreds and index of five
- 30:56Speaker 1: companies growing on average five maybe six percent per adam
- 30:59Speaker 1: that basically has a dividend yield of about two percent,
- 31:03Speaker 1: that has a debt to capital ratio for around thirty
- 31:05Speaker 1: five or thirty six percent, sells a little under three
- 31:07Speaker 1: times this nominal book value. And four that statistics, you're
- 31:12Speaker 1: paying about sixteen a half seventeen times earnings. So our
- 31:15Speaker 1: game is very simple. We try to find more growth
- 31:18Speaker 1: at a lower multiple, more underlying asset value than the
- 31:22Speaker 1: market has at a lower evaluation, more income than the
- 31:26Speaker 1: market offers that a more attractive valuation. And you know,
- 31:30Speaker 1: the bond market is very homogeneous. You know, if you're
- 31:32Speaker 1: talking looking at triple A bonds, double A bond, single
- 31:35Speaker 1: A bonds, bonds of a similar quality moved with an
- 31:38Speaker 1: eighth of a point of each other, it's very homogeneous.
- 31:40Speaker 1: The stock market is heterogeneous. The SMP might be twenty
- 31:44Speaker 1: one as we speak, but there are some stocks that
- 31:46Speaker 1: might be already and some stocks that are seventeen hundred
- 31:49Speaker 1: on the index, and we're trying to be long the
- 31:51Speaker 1: seventeen hundred index type equivalence and be short of out.
- 31:56Speaker 1: So when you say some stocks are two hundred, you
- 31:58Speaker 1: mean they're very pricey, and the stocks are sere are
- 32:02Speaker 1: trading at a discount relative to what we perceived to
- 32:05Speaker 1: be the underlying asset value of the business. We've been
- 32:08Speaker 1: speaking with Leon Cooperman, founder of Omega Advisers. If you
- 32:12Speaker 1: enjoy this conversation, be sure and check out the rest
- 32:15Speaker 1: of our discussion. You could see that on Apple, iTunes,
- 32:18Speaker 1: Bloomberg dot com, and SoundCloud. Be sure and check out
- 32:22Speaker 1: my daily column on Bloomberg View dot com or uh
- 32:26Speaker 1: follow me on Twitter at Rid Halts. I'm Barry Ridhults.
- 32:29Speaker 1: You've been listening to Masters in Business. I'm Bloomberg Radio.
- 32:32Speaker 1: Welcome to the podcast portion of our show. I know
- 32:35Speaker 1: I say this every week and you guys will make
- 32:37Speaker 1: fun of me, but really I have a very special
- 32:40Speaker 1: guest this week, someone who I've been actually chasing for
- 32:44Speaker 1: quite a while. Lee Cooperman, a legend on Wall Street,
- 32:49Speaker 1: ran Goldman Sachs Research department for twenty plus years practically,
- 32:54Speaker 1: and then set up Goman Sacks Asset Management Division UM
- 32:58Speaker 1: his hedge funds Omega Partner now manages about ten billion
- 33:01Speaker 1: dollars just under Is that about right? Nine three nine
- 33:04Speaker 1: point three long term returns in excess of about four
- 33:10Speaker 1: fifty basis points over the SMP five over a long
- 33:14Speaker 1: period of time. I really have so many questions for you.
- 33:18Speaker 1: Let me start with some stuff that I we skipped
- 33:21Speaker 1: through on the radio portion. So I get the sense
- 33:25Speaker 1: from you that Colombia extremely formative to you as an investor.
- 33:31Speaker 1: Columbia Business School, Yeah, Well, as I mentioned, I studied
- 33:36Speaker 1: under Dr Roger Murray, who was a real practitioner of Mega.
- 33:40Speaker 1: If you're familiar with the Tech Security Analysis by Graham
- 33:44Speaker 1: and Dodd, which is the kind of bible in the classic,
- 33:47Speaker 1: and there is a section there where there's like a
- 33:49Speaker 1: ratio and now analysis where they had about the twenty
- 33:52Speaker 1: different ratios over ten years to study a company's financial progress.
- 33:56Speaker 1: I remember from my paper for Security Analysis as I
- 34:00Speaker 1: did a study contrasting JP Stevens with Burlington Industries, and
- 34:04Speaker 1: I had this ten year ratio history, twenty different ratios,
- 34:08Speaker 1: and I had a transposition and one of maybe two
- 34:11Speaker 1: statistics in the exhibit, and Dr Murray caught it and
- 34:14Speaker 1: circled it and read, this is the kind of guy
- 34:17Speaker 1: who was sharp understood the business. And you know his
- 34:22Speaker 1: his love of his of his uh vocation rubbed off
- 34:29Speaker 1: on me and you know it was a great business.
- 34:32Speaker 1: You know where else I'm getting paid for enjoying what
- 34:36Speaker 1: I do. I mean, it's my vocation, is my advocation,
- 34:39Speaker 1: and historically it's been a means of supplementing my income
- 34:42Speaker 1: because if you invest intelligently you could do very well.
- 34:45Speaker 1: So I kind of I love the game. Um, I
- 34:49Speaker 1: get an earlier, stay late, uh your your work ethic.
- 34:52Speaker 1: Doug Casts we just got stuck. Earlier, Doug called you
- 34:56Speaker 1: the James Brown of the investing business, the hardest working
- 34:59Speaker 1: man in the industry. Maybe it's because I have an
- 35:02Speaker 1: average right que, so I got to work card that
- 35:03Speaker 1: somebody else is smart. That's nothing, you know. I get
- 35:06Speaker 1: in around six thirty sixty five in the morning, and
- 35:09Speaker 1: I tend to be an information hog. So I go
- 35:11Speaker 1: out pretty much every night of the week with other
- 35:13Speaker 1: money managers or companies to try and basically develop insights
- 35:17Speaker 1: into my investments. Uh. And I always trying to learn
- 35:20Speaker 1: from people that are probably smarter than me or equally
- 35:23Speaker 1: adept at what they do, and we exchange ideas. But
- 35:27Speaker 1: I'm totally committed. I believe in the concept of total commitment.
- 35:30Speaker 1: I believe my investors are owed my total commitment and fidelity.
- 35:34Speaker 1: And uh, I'm never striving to be number one, but
- 35:38Speaker 1: I want to deliver a competitive return to my investors.
- 35:41Speaker 1: I do not want to get rich under performing. So
- 35:44Speaker 1: when I started my business, UH twenty four years ago,
- 35:47Speaker 1: I had an exhibit which is still my exhibit today
- 35:50Speaker 1: in my pitch book, and it says I tell people
- 35:53Speaker 1: when when I meet in a perspective investor, they say, well,
- 35:55Speaker 1: if I invest with you, what am I gonna earn?
- 35:57Speaker 1: I would always say the same thing. I don't know
- 35:59Speaker 1: what you're gonna earn, but let me tell you what
- 36:01Speaker 1: will make me happy. Because what makes me happy doesn't
- 36:04Speaker 1: make you happy. I'd rather not invest with me because
- 36:07Speaker 1: that's the basis of a flawed relationship. So my objectives
- 36:10Speaker 1: are Number one, no down years, and I've had four
- 36:12Speaker 1: down years in twenty four. Always came roaring back. But
- 36:15Speaker 1: I've had down years. Uh, that doesn't mean you change
- 36:18Speaker 1: your objectives. That's still my objective, not to have a
- 36:20Speaker 1: down year. Number two, I want to beat the SMP
- 36:22Speaker 1: five net of my fees. I don't want to make
- 36:25Speaker 1: a lot of money under performing some mindless ben benchmark.
- 36:28Speaker 1: Number Three, I don't run a leverage portfolio, so I'd say,
- 36:31Speaker 1: you know, ten to twelve percent net returned to the
- 36:34Speaker 1: investor would make me happy. We've done fourteen percent net,
- 36:37Speaker 1: so I'm fine there. And fourth, I like to have
- 36:39Speaker 1: less volatility than the market. So I like to app
- 36:42Speaker 1: perform the market while being less voltile of the market.
- 36:45Speaker 1: And if you buy into that value proposition, come invest
- 36:48Speaker 1: with me, and I can assure you that we have
- 36:50Speaker 1: a total alignment of interest. So you know, we met
- 36:53Speaker 1: nine point three billion of that is general partner capital,
- 36:57Speaker 1: So you know we So you're a big investor in
- 36:59Speaker 1: your own my firm. You you you eat your own cooking,
- 37:02Speaker 1: eat my own cooking, and the team meets their own cooking.
- 37:05Speaker 1: We have a forty nine of us in the firm,
- 37:07Speaker 1: twenty five general partners. They all have money in the
- 37:10Speaker 1: farm UH as investors. And what I'd like to say
- 37:14Speaker 1: is we prosper the most when we get it right,
- 37:17Speaker 1: and we get hurt the most when we get it wrong.
- 37:19Speaker 1: And we're not in an asset capturing mission. We're in
- 37:21Speaker 1: a mission of trying to generate capital games and have
- 37:23Speaker 1: a total alignment of interest. You mentioned your down years,
- 37:27Speaker 1: and you mentioned something and when I was so, we
- 37:31Speaker 1: do a lot of research before I sit down with
- 37:33Speaker 1: a Lee Cooperman and and one of the things I
- 37:36Speaker 1: read was really quite astonishing. So one of your down
- 37:40Speaker 1: years was oh eight, you were still less volatile than
- 37:43Speaker 1: the market the SMP. The SMP was down thirty eight percent.
- 37:47Speaker 1: You have down thirty But what I wanted to ask
- 37:49Speaker 1: you about in oh eight and o nine, every hedge
- 37:52Speaker 1: fund I read about was gating their funds meeting. They
- 37:57Speaker 1: have an an option to not let their investors withdraw money,
- 38:02Speaker 1: and you refuse to do that. You said, we're on gated.
- 38:06Speaker 1: If you're not happy and you want to take your money,
- 38:08Speaker 1: it's your money. Take it. Yeah, I have Uh. I
- 38:11Speaker 1: think it was in New York Times and a little
- 38:12Speaker 1: story about that time. That's where I found that that
- 38:15Speaker 1: they had a picture of me and under the pictures
- 38:16Speaker 1: said they'd have to load me into my grave before
- 38:18Speaker 1: I get a capital who did not honor a high
- 38:20Speaker 1: water market. There were two aspects of oh eight, I'm
- 38:23Speaker 1: sure your your listeners understand. But one of the negatives
- 38:27Speaker 1: of the hedge fund, and it's fair by the way, uh,
- 38:29Speaker 1: compensation schemes is a so called high water mark, you know,
- 38:32Speaker 1: where you get paid for appreciation and lose money. You've
- 38:35Speaker 1: got to make back the lossit before you get paid again.
- 38:37Speaker 1: Another word, just started a hundred bucks and you're getting
- 38:40Speaker 1: two and twenty, it drops down to eighty. The performance
- 38:44Speaker 1: feed doesn't show up again until you're over that hundred
- 38:47Speaker 1: again exactly, and a lot of money. Match is elected
- 38:50Speaker 1: to close up and oh wait, because they got way
- 38:52Speaker 1: below their high water and they could not make an
- 38:54Speaker 1: incentive fee, and I kind of feel that's morally wrong
- 38:57Speaker 1: because it's one thing if it investors. Look, I'm scared
- 39:00Speaker 1: about the environment, and I want my where where I
- 39:03Speaker 1: I'm scared about you the money matag, I want my
- 39:05Speaker 1: money back there. To stay of money, they should get
- 39:07Speaker 1: it back, okay, But to voluntarily give somebody back the money.
- 39:11Speaker 1: And so I'm closing up and retiring because i can't
- 39:14Speaker 1: make money is wrong because the high watermark is an
- 39:17Speaker 1: asset of the investor, and you should not deprive that
- 39:20Speaker 1: investor of the asset as long as he or she
- 39:22Speaker 1: is willing to continue to take the risk. And so, uh,
- 39:26Speaker 1: closing up and giving back money I think was wrong.
- 39:28Speaker 1: And the other thing that and then, by the way,
- 39:30Speaker 1: relaunching under a different name, there's some huge some of
- 39:33Speaker 1: that happened. When you started. There were you know, I'm
- 39:35Speaker 1: gonna quote Jim Channos back when you know, we look
- 39:39Speaker 1: at how many hedge funds are not generating alpha, and
- 39:42Speaker 1: Jim Chanos said said, well, when he launched, there were
- 39:44Speaker 1: a hundred or so hedge funds and they were all
- 39:46Speaker 1: really profitable. Now there's ten thousand hedge funds and it's
- 39:49Speaker 1: the same hundred that are generating most of the YA.
- 39:53Speaker 1: I can't generalize, UH, but you know, I've used this
- 39:56Speaker 1: as a hand out. I think a very very distinct
- 40:00Speaker 1: whish the person for for good reason. Carol Loomis, who
- 40:03Speaker 1: has been advising Warren Buffett on the writing of his
- 40:06Speaker 1: annuary portfet know fifty years I think nineteen seventy one,
- 40:11Speaker 1: wrote a very negative article about hedge funds UH, focusing
- 40:15Speaker 1: on the performance from nineteen sixty eight to nineteen seventy
- 40:19Speaker 1: where all the hedge funds got murdered, with the exception
- 40:21Speaker 1: of Stein, Hunt, find and Burke, which which was up
- 40:23Speaker 1: five percent in that period. And she kind of rang
- 40:26Speaker 1: the death knell for hedge funds. UH. And if you
- 40:29Speaker 1: go back and look as as distinguished and smart as
- 40:31Speaker 1: she is, and she is distinguished, you're smart. Couldn't been
- 40:34Speaker 1: more wrong. The largest hedge funds in nineteen sixty eight
- 40:37Speaker 1: was a W. Jones at two hundred million, okay, And
- 40:41Speaker 1: the whole industry might have been a billion dollars if
- 40:43Speaker 1: you're lucky. And today I don't know, the hedges over
- 40:45Speaker 1: three trillions, three trillion dollars. And you said ten thou
- 40:49Speaker 1: hedge funds. Bridgewater has a hundred almost a hundred fifty
- 40:53Speaker 1: billion a q u R as a hundred plus. It's
- 40:56Speaker 1: all about performance. If you could deliver the performance, you'll
- 40:59Speaker 1: have a business. And so what happened in two thousand
- 41:02Speaker 1: and eight is uh, the stabilitating year of the five
- 41:08Speaker 1: years before two thousand eight, Let's say two thousand and
- 41:11Speaker 1: two to two thousand and seven, hedge funds were out
- 41:14Speaker 1: performing conventional money managers, and they attracted a lot of money, okay,
- 41:19Speaker 1: And what happened two thousand eight is people got scared.
- 41:22Speaker 1: I didn't realize you could lose money by being in
- 41:24Speaker 1: a hedge fund. The fact that the average hedge fund
- 41:26Speaker 1: was only down six less than half d SMP didn't
- 41:29Speaker 1: impress People say, I didn't realize you could lose money,
- 41:31Speaker 1: so they asked for their money back, and the hedge
- 41:34Speaker 1: fund industry shot themselves in the foot by gating capital.
- 41:37Speaker 1: There's nothing no better way to get money from an
- 41:39Speaker 1: individual by telling me you closed, you know, like made
- 41:42Speaker 1: off with time. People we want that which we can't have, Okay,
- 41:47Speaker 1: exactly that well phrased, and uh, there's no better way
- 41:51Speaker 1: of scaring people than telling you can't have your money back.
- 41:53Speaker 1: So even though the hedgefund industry performed their role by
- 41:56Speaker 1: being down less than half of the industry by gating capital.
- 41:59Speaker 1: They're scared everybody, But we didn't get We had about
- 42:02Speaker 1: six seven million dollars of redemptions. Every dollar was met
- 42:05Speaker 1: for cash, no gating, no in kind, and life went
- 42:08Speaker 1: on and we worked very hard to recover our high
- 42:10Speaker 1: water mark, which we did. You know, two thousand nine,
- 42:15Speaker 1: you were up about doubled the market performance. So well,
- 42:20Speaker 1: that's been a tendency where we underperformed. The history has
- 42:23Speaker 1: been that we generally significantly outperform coming out uh we uh,
- 42:28Speaker 1: you know, we were up a week before Lehman Brothers
- 42:30Speaker 1: hit in two thousand and eight. We were up on
- 42:31Speaker 1: the ear We totally really because the market was down
- 42:34Speaker 1: about I want to say about twenty something. I think
- 42:37Speaker 1: was less than that before Lehman hit before made less
- 42:42Speaker 1: than that. But but I recall that point in two
- 42:45Speaker 1: thousand and eight was a negative year off to look
- 42:47Speaker 1: up to very I think much more modestly. I'd helped
- 42:49Speaker 1: take it up modestly, and we totally misgauged the effect
- 42:54Speaker 1: of Lehman's and ovously in the market, and the fact
- 42:57Speaker 1: that there were a lot of people along with us,
- 42:58Speaker 1: including the government, is irrelevant. My investors looked to me
- 43:01Speaker 1: to protect their capital and with my responsibility is my era. Okay,
- 43:05Speaker 1: The only good thing I can say is we stuck
- 43:08Speaker 1: with the guns. We came back fifty and oh nine
- 43:14Speaker 1: flat and eleven thirty four in twelve and thirty eight
- 43:18Speaker 1: and thirteen and this year. Uh. Last year we had
- 43:22Speaker 1: a bad year, my worst year relative to the market.
- 43:24Speaker 1: We were flatish and the Y S and P was up.
- 43:26Speaker 1: But this year we're about two and a half times. Yes,
- 43:28Speaker 1: and people have about seven eight percent. But it's tough.
- 43:31Speaker 1: Game has gotten tougher and a lot of competition, a
- 43:33Speaker 1: lot of competition. But you're you even still with this competition,
- 43:38Speaker 1: you've managed to put up some those are all star numbers.
- 43:41Speaker 1: Even with a flat year or or an underperforming year.
- 43:44Speaker 1: That that's a heck of a run. That's seven year.
- 43:47Speaker 1: Well said enough. You know, we've been blessed by a
- 43:50Speaker 1: trended bull market. Now of course the UH and on
- 43:53Speaker 1: the right side of it, yeah, we we've had a
- 43:55Speaker 1: positive view. We try to add value to portfolios in
- 43:59Speaker 1: five ways, and the first as I mentioned before is
- 44:01Speaker 1: stocks are high risk financial assets. Short term bonds and
- 44:04Speaker 1: cash lowrist financial assets. And we spent a great deal
- 44:06Speaker 1: of time trying to study the market. I have a
- 44:10Speaker 1: terrific partner, vice chairman, Steve en Horne. He worked I
- 44:15Speaker 1: actually one of my better heart my best hire in
- 44:17Speaker 1: my career. I hired him at a podential insurance. He
- 44:19Speaker 1: worked directly under me for twelve years a goldman. I
- 44:22Speaker 1: retired from Goldley. He retired from Goldley in ninety eight,
- 44:26Speaker 1: not with the intent of joining me. He wasn't sure
- 44:29Speaker 1: what he was gonna do. And I read about his retirement.
- 44:31Speaker 1: I called him up and we had dinner, and I
- 44:33Speaker 1: got him to rejoin me as vice chairman. And he
- 44:36Speaker 1: spends the bulk of his time on the macro big picture.
- 44:39Speaker 1: Does a wonderful job for the firm. And we have
- 44:41Speaker 1: a whole policy group that meets every Monday to discuss
- 44:44Speaker 1: the global economy and FED and so let's talk about that,
- 44:47Speaker 1: because I'm fascinated by your process. What are those Monday
- 44:52Speaker 1: morning meetings like, well, you know, we get we get
- 44:55Speaker 1: together at eight fifteen the morning. Our head of macro
- 44:58Speaker 1: trading is on the many. Actually we have two people
- 45:01Speaker 1: in macro trading on the committee and they're studying China, Japan,
- 45:05Speaker 1: currency fixed income. We have a consulting economists that participates
- 45:09Speaker 1: in the meeting, Steve and I and our two co
- 45:12Speaker 1: directors of research and we we we it's like kind
- 45:16Speaker 1: of putting together a heuristic model about the world. You
- 45:20Speaker 1: know what looks miss priced, you know what looks overvalued?
- 45:25Speaker 1: When is the FED gonna move? What is the FED
- 45:27Speaker 1: move gonna be? Uh? What is it gonna what's the
- 45:29Speaker 1: impact on the market. You would you rather be in, uh,
- 45:32Speaker 1: Japan or Europe or United States? What's the return profile
- 45:36Speaker 1: on each of these markets? Where do you see FED
- 45:39Speaker 1: funds at the end of t s And we're trying
- 45:42Speaker 1: to find, you know, where the intelligent bed is. So
- 45:43Speaker 1: we're doing well this year in part because we have
- 45:45Speaker 1: money in Japan, we have money in Europe. Were short
- 45:48Speaker 1: to short endo the yell curve UH, and we've been
- 45:50Speaker 1: short UH the yen and been short the euro. Was
- 45:54Speaker 1: about to ask you are you long Japan shortly end
- 45:57Speaker 1: and and how do you affect that trade? Well? In
- 46:00Speaker 1: the in the cash market, we don't need to borrow money.
- 46:03Speaker 1: We have plenty of UH. You know capital and we
- 46:07Speaker 1: basically are we don't do a lot of individual stocks
- 46:10Speaker 1: in Japan, so they're not to my liking in all
- 46:13Speaker 1: honesty with long the topics and Nikki as opposed individual
- 46:17Speaker 1: stocks because we don't have a lot of stock expertise,
- 46:20Speaker 1: but we've had a strong macro view Japan. Don't have
- 46:23Speaker 1: a lot of Japanese stock expertise, no, but we have
- 46:26Speaker 1: a view of the Japanese market, so we've may expressed
- 46:29Speaker 1: that bet through the indices um and we kind of
- 46:33Speaker 1: you know, you have qui infinity. There many globally competitive
- 46:37Speaker 1: companies sellaying a very reasonable valuations with the multiples in
- 46:40Speaker 1: Japan are quite low relative to their intrat strate structure.
- 46:43Speaker 1: And we believe Europe is several years behind the United
- 46:46Speaker 1: States in terms of the economic recovery right now. Has
- 46:49Speaker 1: been buffeted by what's going on in Greece, but general
- 46:52Speaker 1: belief is there will be an agreement with Grease and
- 46:55Speaker 1: not gonna exit, and if they did exit, other than
- 46:58Speaker 1: a short term adjustment. The reality is Greece is two
- 47:00Speaker 1: tents of one percent of global gdp UM and it
- 47:04Speaker 1: would not be as significant as the market seems to
- 47:07Speaker 1: make it make it out, and I think that they'll
- 47:09Speaker 1: stay in the because Germany will basically compromise. You mentioned
- 47:15Speaker 1: Steinhardt earlier, Um, I believe his farm. He's an adviser
- 47:20Speaker 1: to wisdom Tree. Is that right? Yeah, that's a personal
- 47:22Speaker 1: investment he made. I don't know that much about it,
- 47:24Speaker 1: but they're big product over the past few years has
- 47:28Speaker 1: been there hedged Yen Long Japan product which has just
- 47:33Speaker 1: blown up. It's become a huge made a great investment
- 47:36Speaker 1: Wisdom Tree. Jonathan Steinberg has done a great job. I
- 47:39Speaker 1: didn't have the pleasure of knowing him. I knew his dad,
- 47:42Speaker 1: but basically Michael had the opportunity to back him, and
- 47:44Speaker 1: Michael made a great investment decision. I think Michael has
- 47:47Speaker 1: done extremely well in that investment. I don't know, I
- 47:50Speaker 1: don't know the details, but I think he's made a
- 47:51Speaker 1: lot of money. So let's keep working our way through
- 47:54Speaker 1: some of the questions. Uh I missed you mentioned Mario
- 47:58Speaker 1: Gibelli was with you at Columbia. Who else was in
- 48:02Speaker 1: your class of Columbia? Two guys that made remain clost
- 48:05Speaker 1: most closely in touch with were classmates. Is Art Sandberg
- 48:09Speaker 1: and what's he doing? That is he's doing a venture
- 48:12Speaker 1: capital in a major way. And he's pleased to report
- 48:14Speaker 1: he's extremely happy, doing very well, very successful financially, very scable,
- 48:20Speaker 1: just a very high quality human being. UH. And then
- 48:23Speaker 1: Mario and I have made remained closely in touch for
- 48:26Speaker 1: fifty years. UH. I have great admiration for Mario. I
- 48:31Speaker 1: like people that deal well with this success, that remember
- 48:35Speaker 1: where they came from, UH, and are prepared to give
- 48:38Speaker 1: back the society and the nice thing I like to say,
- 48:41Speaker 1: and I've said this so often about Mario. The only
- 48:44Speaker 1: thing that's changed with Mario, other than a lot of
- 48:46Speaker 1: digits after his net worth, is the color of his hair.
- 48:50Speaker 1: When I knew Marrio, he was a redhead. Now he's
- 48:52Speaker 1: got a full head of gray hair. He weighs less,
- 48:55Speaker 1: I think today than he weighed when he went to
- 48:56Speaker 1: Columbia business schools, which I would say I'd love to
- 48:59Speaker 1: be able to say. I can't say. I'm a bit heavier.
- 49:02Speaker 1: But he's a He's a great person, great human being,
- 49:05Speaker 1: and a terrific investor and has built a fabulous business.
- 49:08Speaker 1: I think they manage it with fifty billion dollars, a
- 49:11Speaker 1: very successful public company and very generous and UH. He
- 49:15Speaker 1: and I get together. I say at least a half
- 49:18Speaker 1: a dozen times a year. In fact, I invited him.
- 49:21Speaker 1: He's not Jewish, as you can hell from the name
- 49:23Speaker 1: I took. I took him on a u j A
- 49:25Speaker 1: mission to Cuba at eighteen months ago with his lovely wife,
- 49:28Speaker 1: Regina uh And then he and I and wives went
- 49:32Speaker 1: on about ten day around the world trip. On one
- 49:35Speaker 1: of these was sponsored by Columbia where they tartted a
- 49:39Speaker 1: plane for seven year eighty people and they have a
- 49:41Speaker 1: few lecturers and a doctor that goes along with you
- 49:44Speaker 1: and plane lands. The next thing you see, your luggage
- 49:47Speaker 1: is in your hotel room, and you put your luggage
- 49:49Speaker 1: at your your hotel room door and it's gone and
- 49:52Speaker 1: so very nice too. We went to Turkey, Egypt, uh Ti,
- 49:56Speaker 1: porn Agria, India, the Los city of Petro, and Jordan's
- 50:00Speaker 1: and uh Monica, Morocco, and it was very interesting and
- 50:04Speaker 1: we spent that time together. Now he's a global investor.
- 50:07Speaker 1: He's all over the world on a fairly regular basis.
- 50:09Speaker 1: Big transformation for him because he used to say it
- 50:11Speaker 1: was strictly United States only, but now he's a big
- 50:14Speaker 1: emerging market. Guys, but you were are famous for not
- 50:18Speaker 1: really liking to take a vacation. Well, uh, let me
- 50:22Speaker 1: say this that you said, or let me we phrase
- 50:25Speaker 1: that the best part about going on vacation is coming home.
- 50:28Speaker 1: That I would absolutely acknowledge. And the vacation I just
- 50:32Speaker 1: referenced with Mario. The best part of vacation was as follows.
- 50:36Speaker 1: I'm standing in the value of the kings and lux
- 50:39Speaker 1: for Egypt looking at that many many, many, many thousand
- 50:42Speaker 1: year olds fink statue. My cell phone goes off at
- 50:45Speaker 1: one o'clock in the afternoon and it's seven am New
- 50:48Speaker 1: York time. It's my trained desk calling to tell me
- 50:51Speaker 1: that largest position Atlas Energy just agreed to be taken
- 50:54Speaker 1: over above the last sales by a chevron. And I
- 50:58Speaker 1: would say that was the highlight of the trip, not
- 51:00Speaker 1: take anything along. So it wasn't the sphinx. It was
- 51:04Speaker 1: a takeover, and the takeover happened to be a largest position.
- 51:09Speaker 1: Um so uh yeah, I'm I kind of in touch
- 51:13Speaker 1: with the office all the time. And uh but you know,
- 51:16Speaker 1: let me say this, and I give my wife a
- 51:18Speaker 1: great credit. I have two wonderful kids, have three great grandchildren,
- 51:21Speaker 1: I have a terrific marriage, and I don't think I
- 51:25Speaker 1: would be successful if I didn't have a successful marriage,
- 51:28Speaker 1: if I didn't have terrific kids. And I've had a
- 51:30Speaker 1: very balanced life, and I've always had that wisdom to
- 51:33Speaker 1: know when they go home and cut short that business
- 51:37Speaker 1: trip or not go away to balance. And yes, there
- 51:41Speaker 1: was a perfect example. I was supposed to go to
- 51:43Speaker 1: a business dinner and I sent, you know, for the
- 51:45Speaker 1: last two weeks, I've been that every night other week
- 51:46Speaker 1: at the time to co up to missus and say,
- 51:48Speaker 1: I'll meet you at Touro's for a pizza for dinner
- 51:51Speaker 1: if you're free. And that was the right thing to
- 51:53Speaker 1: do down near Canal Street. You know. That was Toros
- 51:57Speaker 1: in the Maplewood, New Jersey. Okay, so you're just a
- 52:00Speaker 1: regular pizza I am. I am. I'm a regular guy.
- 52:05Speaker 1: I have not learned how to live rich. So let's
- 52:09Speaker 1: let's go back to that the plumbers wrenches. That is
- 52:12Speaker 1: that a myth? Or is that true? No? Well, I
- 52:15Speaker 1: guess an analogy. I would say that when I started Omega,
- 52:21Speaker 1: I hung personally every picture in our office. And I
- 52:24Speaker 1: don't ask anybody do anything that I'm not pre paid
- 52:27Speaker 1: to do myself. I take great pride of ownership. I
- 52:30Speaker 1: like to make sure the office looks proper. And you know,
- 52:33Speaker 1: I just ask people to basically be committed to the
- 52:37Speaker 1: client's interests uh and basically know what you're doing and
- 52:42Speaker 1: work hard and be knowledgeable. And I tried to set
- 52:46Speaker 1: an example, like I said a moment ago, I don't
- 52:49Speaker 1: ask people to do what I'm not pre paid to
- 52:50Speaker 1: do myself. So so, and this goes back to Doug said,
- 52:55Speaker 1: so he shared some insights with me about you, because
- 52:59Speaker 1: so for those people don't know, Doug cast runs Sea
- 53:01Speaker 1: Breeze Partners and and his very articulate and writes a
- 53:05Speaker 1: lot and and Doug said, Lee never wanted to forget
- 53:08Speaker 1: his roots that he comes from. Um a dad who's
- 53:12Speaker 1: a plumber. And he used to walking around in his
- 53:14Speaker 1: briefcase with this heavy giant plumbers wrench. And I didn't
- 53:18Speaker 1: know if he was pulling my leg. I think he was.
- 53:20Speaker 1: I mean, I don't recall mean I car enough waight
- 53:22Speaker 1: around as it is principally saying he's right, But I
- 53:27Speaker 1: never carried around the plumbers ranch. And I've used the
- 53:28Speaker 1: plumbers wrench. I've cleaned that, I've cleaned out stoppages and
- 53:32Speaker 1: used a wire. Wait, so you're cleaning toilets and omega,
- 53:35Speaker 1: is that what you're telling me? No? But now what
- 53:37Speaker 1: I do is I put a sign on the wall,
- 53:39Speaker 1: please shut the light off when you finished. You know,
- 53:42Speaker 1: you would rather give them money away than just waste
- 53:44Speaker 1: it frivolously. Yeah, that's the motivation behind this. I think
- 53:49Speaker 1: there was something I made note of. Um and uh,
- 53:54Speaker 1: go ahead, correctly. And I really don't associate this with
- 53:59Speaker 1: the person who said it, Okay, but it is the
- 54:02Speaker 1: meaning of life is to find your gift. The purpose
- 54:05Speaker 1: of life is to give it away. That's that's an
- 54:08Speaker 1: interesting I'm saying that. Pablo Picasso. Actually it was a
- 54:11Speaker 1: bit of a womanizer. But basically, uh, you know, I
- 54:16Speaker 1: having taken the giving pledge and having taken care of
- 54:18Speaker 1: my kids and all. And I'm not complaining, not bragging,
- 54:21Speaker 1: because the people I know have a similar oriolation. But
- 54:26Speaker 1: you know, I'm working for charity. Okay, so you look
- 54:30Speaker 1: at all the money you raise at this point is
- 54:32Speaker 1: going to go to a higher purpose. That's the fact
- 54:34Speaker 1: that like, and I would just like to make sure
- 54:36Speaker 1: it's properly utilized. You know, I've worked too hard for
- 54:41Speaker 1: this money. I want to make sure that it accomplishes
- 54:43Speaker 1: some end to it. So so let's talk about that
- 54:45Speaker 1: a little bit, because that's a question that I see
- 54:48Speaker 1: all the time. How can one make sure that the
- 54:51Speaker 1: philanthropical gifts that are made are actually you're lying up
- 54:57Speaker 1: on other people? Look, there's no greater example that and
- 55:00Speaker 1: the Warren Buffett, very very very complex individual, and he
- 55:05Speaker 1: basically says that I am the warm buffet investing. I'm
- 55:09Speaker 1: not the warm buffet of charitable giving. And when the
- 55:11Speaker 1: time comes to get away my money and I will
- 55:13Speaker 1: give it away. I want the warm buffet of childboll
- 55:15Speaker 1: giving giving it away. I think he went to Billy
- 55:17Speaker 1: Wollnda Gates. He said, look, you're a lot younger than me.
- 55:20Speaker 1: I trust you. I really get my jollies by making it.
- 55:23Speaker 1: Not because I'm greedy, because I like to make investment decisions.
- 55:27Speaker 1: I don't much care about charitable activities. So if you
- 55:31Speaker 1: leave Microsoft and spend full time on chardable giving, I'll
- 55:34Speaker 1: take my sixties seventy billion dollars and put into the
- 55:36Speaker 1: Bill of Milinda Gates Foundation. I mean what you and
- 55:39Speaker 1: Bean does that? You know that was an amazing gift,
- 55:42Speaker 1: he says, I trust Bill millind the gates and that's
- 55:44Speaker 1: not my forte. My forte is investing, not charitable giving.
- 55:48Speaker 1: And so, in a sense to answer your question, I
- 55:51Speaker 1: tried to make a judgment, just like I try to
- 55:54Speaker 1: make a judgment to invest in the right company with
- 55:56Speaker 1: the right management, that they have the right motivations and
- 55:58Speaker 1: they have the smarts and the skill set in the
- 56:01Speaker 1: common sense to do a good job. I'm trying to
- 56:03Speaker 1: support those organizations that I think have a common interest
- 56:06Speaker 1: of common gold with a person I'm investing that responsibility
- 56:11Speaker 1: and has the same passion about it then in their
- 56:14Speaker 1: organization and I have in my business. So Jennifer Rabb,
- 56:18Speaker 1: president of Hunter College, worked me out with pretty good
- 56:21Speaker 1: and then went up giving twenty five million dollars to Hunter.
- 56:24Speaker 1: Uh My mom went the Glenn uh Hubbard of Columbia
- 56:29Speaker 1: Business School has worked me over nicely, and I've given
- 56:31Speaker 1: him thirty three million dollars. And you've also, in doubt,
- 56:34Speaker 1: you've done more than just that. You've in doubt chairs
- 56:37Speaker 1: you've given scholarships to them. You have a very extensive
- 56:40Speaker 1: relations Clumbia. They're not shy and asking. I told cool
- 56:43Speaker 1: that I totally administration of Columbia that they order to
- 56:47Speaker 1: basically give a few leaps out of their book to
- 56:49Speaker 1: the u J. A u J is notorious, Columbia is
- 56:53Speaker 1: maybe even better. Really that that's fascinating to hear. So,
- 56:57Speaker 1: so you mentioned a little bit about you invest in
- 57:00Speaker 1: gate philanthropy, the way you investigate stocks. Let's talk about
- 57:03Speaker 1: that a bit. What what is your process? How do
- 57:06Speaker 1: you identify and evaluate a given stock prior to making
- 57:11Speaker 1: We have a team, you know, and I am just
- 57:14Speaker 1: one member of the team, but I generally would say
- 57:17Speaker 1: that we have seventeen analysts. It's their job to mind
- 57:23Speaker 1: the areas of expertise that they focus on and to
- 57:27Speaker 1: capture profits out of the market. So the analyst job
- 57:30Speaker 1: is to propose. And we have a stock selection committe
- 57:33Speaker 1: OMEGA that disposes, propose and disposed so the analysts, so
- 57:37Speaker 1: that bubbles up and then this committee and his report
- 57:40Speaker 1: proposes the idea of the stock selection committee which consists
- 57:43Speaker 1: of co directors of research Steve Ienho and Vice Himan
- 57:46Speaker 1: the firm, myself and a couple of the senior macro people,
- 57:49Speaker 1: and we vet the idea and every report is required
- 57:53Speaker 1: to have price objective in the recommendation of downside risk
- 57:58Speaker 1: um and if we buy the stock, it's simplicitly we've
- 58:02Speaker 1: accepted the return and risk profile. After stock declines to
- 58:08Speaker 1: the risk point or below, the analyst becomes a secondary
- 58:11Speaker 1: input into the decision making going forward, and it's taken
- 58:15Speaker 1: over by what we call the cesspool committee, you know,
- 58:17Speaker 1: with a cesspool where that's all the junkos and so
- 58:20Speaker 1: I chair the sesspool committee, and we'll bring in people
- 58:23Speaker 1: from the outside to help us vet the idea. UH,
- 58:26Speaker 1: and we can decide either to double down meeting average
- 58:30Speaker 1: down in the position. Do you do that? Often? Does
- 58:32Speaker 1: that happen for it? It varies. At times we sell,
- 58:34Speaker 1: at times we just sit patent. At times we basically
- 58:37Speaker 1: double down. And it really depends upon the characteristic of
- 58:41Speaker 1: the company, the diving in the yield, the asset value
- 58:43Speaker 1: of the multiple, what the overall market is doing. You know,
- 58:46Speaker 1: a rising tide, lifts of ships that we've seen tide
- 58:48Speaker 1: loads of ships, as I said before, And sometimes stock
- 58:51Speaker 1: is down because of the market and you want to
- 58:52Speaker 1: separate out the noise and um. So we we have,
- 58:57Speaker 1: like I said, invest in policy committee that sets policy
- 58:59Speaker 1: for the farm. We have a stock selection committee, that
- 59:02Speaker 1: responds to the analysts. And then, of course a certain
- 59:05Speaker 1: amount of the activity is top down, where I would
- 59:09Speaker 1: or Steve iron Horn or other people on the policy
- 59:11Speaker 1: coming would have an idea about a sector and we
- 59:14Speaker 1: would go to the analysts and asked them to look
- 59:15Speaker 1: at a particular area. So now let's talk about a
- 59:17Speaker 1: stock that's working out. It's it's one decision when you're
- 59:21Speaker 1: buying something at X, and now it's down ten or
- 59:24Speaker 1: and very different. It's very difficult if you're a value investor.
- 59:28Speaker 1: If you like something at ten, you should like it
- 59:30Speaker 1: more to nine or eight. But there are those times
- 59:33Speaker 1: where something is tangibly changed and the circumstances have changed,
- 59:37Speaker 1: and you've got to make a different decision. So the
- 59:39Speaker 1: way I'd like to answer the question is we sell.
- 59:42Speaker 1: You know, a typical question from a consultant that comes
- 59:44Speaker 1: in your shop, what is your cell discipline? Okay? And
- 59:48Speaker 1: I say we sell the stock for one or four reasons.
- 59:51Speaker 1: The first and the highest quality reason is we board
- 59:54Speaker 1: a stock at X. We thought it was worth X
- 59:56Speaker 1: plus thirty or forty, it goes up thirty percent, nothing
- 59:59Speaker 1: has changed, we sell, So even even once it hits
- 1:00:03Speaker 1: your price, objective even if there's no change in circumstances.
- 1:00:07Speaker 1: If there is no change of circumstances. So give you
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: a perfect example. I bought twenty five million shares of
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: Bosting Scientific in between five and six dollars a share.
- 1:00:16Speaker 1: We thought it was worth twelve or thirteen. It got there.
- 1:00:19Speaker 1: We didn't see circumstances that change. We saw unfortunates a mistake.
- 1:00:22Speaker 1: But I think it's about eighteen and nineteen now, okay.
- 1:00:24Speaker 1: But so the first reason, just generically is it is
- 1:00:27Speaker 1: always a full sale or is it ever well, let's
- 1:00:29Speaker 1: sell half of varias. It very again depending on the company,
- 1:00:33Speaker 1: depending upon the characteristics. And look, I believe in looking
- 1:00:35Speaker 1: at charts. You know you do, Bob, absolutely is what
- 1:00:39Speaker 1: are the ingredients? Because I think the stock markets are
- 1:00:41Speaker 1: highly quality leading indicator. And you know, often times when
- 1:00:44Speaker 1: it comes in kind of that with bed earnings of
- 1:00:46Speaker 1: stock was down we before the earnings, and they come
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: away with blow where your earnings of stock is up
- 1:00:50Speaker 1: before that, and the market has a way of knowing
- 1:00:52Speaker 1: there's some secretary typing of breast release for some CEO
- 1:00:55Speaker 1: who's got a cousin or got a wife, who's got
- 1:00:57Speaker 1: a relative or whatever. So there's a discounting mechanisms out. Yeah, exactly.
- 1:01:02Speaker 1: So you're not we would never consider you a techno
- 1:01:05Speaker 1: analyst or chartist. You're not making buying cell decisions based
- 1:01:08Speaker 1: on because Doug said. Doug cass said, asked Lee if
- 1:01:12Speaker 1: he's believes in voodoo. No, we are deep dive fundamental investors.
- 1:01:16Speaker 1: We work hard to developer information. But I'll look at
- 1:01:19Speaker 1: a chart because the confirmation of what you think and
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: raised the question when the truck's going the wrong way?
- 1:01:25Speaker 1: You know, because again, the stock market is a leading indicator,
- 1:01:28Speaker 1: and so stocks tend to give you some indication of
- 1:01:31Speaker 1: what's going on. So the first reason we sell the stock,
- 1:01:34Speaker 1: which the highest quality. Reason we bought something that X,
- 1:01:37Speaker 1: we thought it was worth something more than X. It it
- 1:01:38Speaker 1: it appreciates nothing has changed. We sell. Second reason we
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: sell something is I tell my guys, stay in gals,
- 1:01:44Speaker 1: stay on top of your companies. Not everything unfolds the
- 1:01:48Speaker 1: way you anticipated. So talk to suppliers, talk to competitors,
- 1:01:52Speaker 1: talk to companies. You know, foul what's going on the economy,
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: and if you get to sense things are unfolding differently
- 1:01:58Speaker 1: than you anticipated. Let's out before we get murdered. This
- 1:02:01Speaker 1: it's hard to make up two kind of environment. The
- 1:02:05Speaker 1: third reason we sell as we are not the Federal
- 1:02:07Speaker 1: Reserve Board. We cannot print money. So sometimes you develop
- 1:02:11Speaker 1: a new idea that has a much better ratio of
- 1:02:14Speaker 1: reward to risk than something you currently own. So we'll
- 1:02:17Speaker 1: rotate out of something that has got more modest attraction
- 1:02:20Speaker 1: to something that we think has greater attraction. And the
- 1:02:23Speaker 1: fourth reason we sell is we change our view of
- 1:02:26Speaker 1: the market. Okay, and you know you could deal with
- 1:02:29Speaker 1: futures or options for a while. But the end of
- 1:02:31Speaker 1: the day, if you go off bullish to bearish and
- 1:02:34Speaker 1: you want to take your exposure from ninety your arm
- 1:02:35Speaker 1: present down a fifty or sixty percent, you gotta sell inventory.
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: And so you sell a stock because you want to
- 1:02:40Speaker 1: get out of harm's way. And we did a poor
- 1:02:42Speaker 1: job in two thousand and eight because we missed a
- 1:02:44Speaker 1: significance of Lehman. But by a law, those are the
- 1:02:46Speaker 1: four reasons we sell. Price appreciation hit our target, we
- 1:02:50Speaker 1: get out. The second is things are not unfolding. Is
- 1:02:52Speaker 1: we anticipated it out before you get murdered. The third
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: reason we sell as we found a new idea better
- 1:02:57Speaker 1: than the one that we have in the fourth reasons
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: we've changed our view with the market. We want to
- 1:03:01Speaker 1: reduce exposure. That's quite fascinating. Do you generally you mentioned
- 1:03:06Speaker 1: a little bit of hedging. Do you generally hedge? Because
- 1:03:08Speaker 1: from what I've been looking at, you're pretty much. I
- 1:03:11Speaker 1: would say we tend to be long oriented, more long
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: and the typical hedge fund, which has served as well
- 1:03:17Speaker 1: the last five or six years. UM. I would say
- 1:03:20Speaker 1: that our short positions range from five to fiftent to
- 1:03:24Speaker 1: the fund. We do not run a big gross book
- 1:03:27Speaker 1: and a small netbook. I found it very difficult because
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: we tend to want to know our companies, so we
- 1:03:34Speaker 1: have about ninety positions at any point in time. We
- 1:03:37Speaker 1: have seventeen analysts that divide seventeen. I'm asking my colleagues
- 1:03:40Speaker 1: and the five or six companies better than somebody else,
- 1:03:43Speaker 1: which means we had that luxury of knowing our companies
- 1:03:46Speaker 1: really well, which I want you know. Uh. Wall Street
- 1:03:50Speaker 1: has changed from the time I was on Wall Street today.
- 1:03:53Speaker 1: Wall Street has become a distribution business. Okay, sure they
- 1:03:57Speaker 1: would like you as their client to make money, but
- 1:04:00Speaker 1: their primary objective is distributing securities and also the regulatory
- 1:04:04Speaker 1: environment appropriately has created a level of playing field, and
- 1:04:08Speaker 1: they'll give you the information when they give it to
- 1:04:10Speaker 1: everybody else at the same time. So we really want
- 1:04:12Speaker 1: to do our own research. And Wall Streets large become
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: an access and underwriting business. They'll have conferences and seminars
- 1:04:19Speaker 1: and managing meetings and they'll provide access. Luckily, we're large
- 1:04:23Speaker 1: enough to get access in our own but we do
- 1:04:24Speaker 1: go to all these conferences and that's what wall Ster
- 1:04:27Speaker 1: is helpful. And then they underwrite securities and if there's
- 1:04:29Speaker 1: something we're interested in, we would hope to get a
- 1:04:31Speaker 1: good allocation. We tend not to be flippers. We tend
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: to be investors, uh, and so by having a good
- 1:04:39Speaker 1: relationship with Wall Street, we tend to get good allocations
- 1:04:41Speaker 1: where we're interested. We don't to slip deals for sake
- 1:04:44Speaker 1: of flipping deals. So you mentioned your investors not flippers. Typically,
- 1:04:47Speaker 1: how long do you not not even syndicate or I
- 1:04:50Speaker 1: p o s? But something that your team finds that
- 1:04:53Speaker 1: you're enthusiastic about, how long do you have not an
- 1:04:56Speaker 1: asset base is taxable, so you know, we try to
- 1:04:58Speaker 1: go a long term and we actually have a tax
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: advantage fund where we represent we go a long term.
- 1:05:04Speaker 1: But I would say seventy inventory is made for investment
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: with the horizons of over a year, not quite the
- 1:05:11Speaker 1: Warm Buffet horizon, which almost as permanent. But I respect
- 1:05:15Speaker 1: and admire that. You know, most people who miss really
- 1:05:17Speaker 1: Buffett's record and they criticize the under before this year
- 1:05:20Speaker 1: or he's in line with you. Remember, all I heard
- 1:05:24Speaker 1: was this Warren Buffett guy. He's done his best years
- 1:05:28Speaker 1: of behind and this guy's a different You know, Warren
- 1:05:31Speaker 1: Buffett's record is great pretax. It's better than great aff
- 1:05:36Speaker 1: attacks because m yeah, you know, he's not looking to
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: buy this year's hot stock, flip it out and by
- 1:05:42Speaker 1: next year's hot stock. He's looking for after tax returns.
- 1:05:45Speaker 1: And I forget the annual meeting, the annual report year
- 1:05:49Speaker 1: maybe twenty five years ago, maybe even thirty. He showed
- 1:05:52Speaker 1: an example if you had a great money manager that
- 1:05:56Speaker 1: but this year's hot stock made fift and sold it,
- 1:06:00Speaker 1: and what yester next year's hot stock made fifty and
- 1:06:03Speaker 1: sold it. Where you found a great company that was
- 1:06:05Speaker 1: a great investment, held it for twenty or thirty years
- 1:06:08Speaker 1: and made fifteen percent a year, what did you have
- 1:06:10Speaker 1: as attacks at the end of thirty years was thousands
- 1:06:13Speaker 1: of times different. The flippers giving up a third of
- 1:06:16Speaker 1: thet of his prophecy, which I could be a discipline
- 1:06:18Speaker 1: and him. Unfortunately the business and client a man don't
- 1:06:21Speaker 1: allow completely for that. But we're sympathetic to that. You know,
- 1:06:24Speaker 1: we've seen the holding period shrink and shrink and shrink,
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: but it sounds like you're still longer than many. I
- 1:06:30Speaker 1: would say. You know, in two thousands, I remember my investors,
- 1:06:36Speaker 1: many of my investors coming to me and said, Lee,
- 1:06:38Speaker 1: you're doing very well. We're making a lot of money,
- 1:06:40Speaker 1: but we really don't want to pay the taxes. Do
- 1:06:43Speaker 1: you have anything tax advantaged? I said, Jesus, that's music
- 1:06:46Speaker 1: to my years in the largest investment Omega. I'll tell
- 1:06:50Speaker 1: you what you know. And I'm not just not a commercial.
- 1:06:51Speaker 1: I'm not looking to investors. I said, if you give
- 1:06:55Speaker 1: me a three year commitment period, Okay, we have three
- 1:06:58Speaker 1: year commitment period, I'll give via one in fifteen conversation
- 1:07:03Speaker 1: scheme and five percent hurdle rate. And uh, if something
- 1:07:08Speaker 1: happens to you the investor in that three period, you're
- 1:07:10Speaker 1: stay can get out immediately. If something happens to me,
- 1:07:13Speaker 1: the money manage and you want to get out, you
- 1:07:14Speaker 1: can get out immediately and represent for that package seventy
- 1:07:18Speaker 1: five percent more of the games will be long term
- 1:07:20Speaker 1: capital gains. I believe in memory and I think it's
- 1:07:24Speaker 1: pretty accurate. We've beat in the SMP by thousand basis
- 1:07:26Speaker 1: points and a hundred percent of the games a long
- 1:07:28Speaker 1: term capital gains. And that's for people that are tax
- 1:07:31Speaker 1: sens So let's go over that one in fifteen versus
- 1:07:35Speaker 1: because we had allowed to be we raised it maybe
- 1:07:37Speaker 1: five years later to one and half in twenty. Still
- 1:07:39Speaker 1: have a five percent hurdle rate meaning what meaning the
- 1:07:42Speaker 1: first five percent we don't get compensated on in terms
- 1:07:44Speaker 1: of incentive. There's no doesn't count. Yeah, it's twenty above
- 1:07:49Speaker 1: the five and I think we beat the SMP by
- 1:07:52Speaker 1: a moment with a thousand basis points in that period
- 1:07:55Speaker 1: well spent over a hundred percent of games with long
- 1:07:59Speaker 1: term capital gains. The best way to understand the product
- 1:08:02Speaker 1: is we buy a stock. Okay, we intend to hold
- 1:08:06Speaker 1: it for a year. Sometimes you get a gain much
- 1:08:08Speaker 1: more quickly. They appreciate to a sell point more quickly
- 1:08:12Speaker 1: from regular fund. We don't represent tax efficiency will sell
- 1:08:16Speaker 1: it for this fund. We we'll do is use options
- 1:08:19Speaker 1: to age the position to go long term, so you
- 1:08:21Speaker 1: put a collar on it, or you just marry it
- 1:08:23Speaker 1: put to it, or well will put some basically increasing
- 1:08:26Speaker 1: the long position, will sell calls against the position until
- 1:08:30Speaker 1: we go long term, and you have to sell calls
- 1:08:32Speaker 1: that are slightly out of money to avoid stopping the
- 1:08:35Speaker 1: holding period. There's certain I risks require to make twelve
- 1:08:39Speaker 1: full months. That's fascinating and that sounds like that's done
- 1:08:42Speaker 1: really really well. It has is what percentage of your
- 1:08:46Speaker 1: assets are are in the tax advantage? That one product
- 1:08:50Speaker 1: is probably about eleven percent of our assets alright, and
- 1:08:54Speaker 1: spargaining in the Western world away. It sounds like it's
- 1:08:57Speaker 1: based on the performance plus the the admendation fee, that
- 1:09:02Speaker 1: that hurdle is something that that's not very typical in
- 1:09:05Speaker 1: a low return world. It's uh, it's a significant benefit
- 1:09:10Speaker 1: to the investor. There was I think probably the markets
- 1:09:14Speaker 1: adequately priced to day that I would be had. I
- 1:09:17Speaker 1: would think the market if it gave you six to
- 1:09:19Speaker 1: eight percent including dividends over the next five years, that
- 1:09:23Speaker 1: would be a good return. And so the idea of
- 1:09:26Speaker 1: not getting compensated for the first five percent is a
- 1:09:28Speaker 1: pretty significant benefits sure to say. To say, at least
- 1:09:30Speaker 1: you mentioned um Warren Buffett not too long ago you
- 1:09:34Speaker 1: took a trip to their annual meeting. Yeah, I did,
- 1:09:38Speaker 1: uh tell us about that. Well, I look, the guy is,
- 1:09:41Speaker 1: he's the man, right, he's the guru. I didn't learn
- 1:09:45Speaker 1: very much because if you study Buffet, you know one
- 1:09:48Speaker 1: are the things I did this and that. We're going
- 1:09:49Speaker 1: back thirty five years ago. I was the guy at
- 1:09:53Speaker 1: Goldman Sachs that used to send them around Warren Buffet's
- 1:09:56Speaker 1: annual Report to all my partners at Goldman Sacks and keep.
- 1:10:00Speaker 1: But I and this guy, he's gonna be famous one day,
- 1:10:02Speaker 1: good good call. This was well before Goldman had that
- 1:10:04Speaker 1: special relationship where this is way before two thousand and
- 1:10:08Speaker 1: eight where warn't invested directly in the firm. So I've
- 1:10:11Speaker 1: always had a very high regard from my read as
- 1:10:13Speaker 1: annual report cover to covered. If you read as annual
- 1:10:15Speaker 1: report cover to cup, you don't have to go the
- 1:10:16Speaker 1: annual meeting. But I went to the annual meeting because
- 1:10:19Speaker 1: in part Columbia asked me to speak at a dinner
- 1:10:22Speaker 1: the Friday night before the annual meeting at dinner. But
- 1:10:25Speaker 1: you know the managed to be admired. There's no person
- 1:10:27Speaker 1: alive and the invest in business has more quotable lines
- 1:10:30Speaker 1: than Warren and his record is unbelievable and you have
- 1:10:34Speaker 1: to admire respect the guy. Um, So you flew to
- 1:10:39Speaker 1: a recent meeting with a rock star collection of people, Um,
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: Doug Cast, Marty Cohen, Steve Roth, Harvey Eisen, Miles NDL.
- 1:10:50Speaker 1: What was that was? Was that a recent trip or
- 1:10:53Speaker 1: that was a connection with the annual report, the annual meeting?
- 1:10:56Speaker 1: And what was that crew like to to go to
- 1:10:59Speaker 1: bar show? Look Dougs catalytic, bright, thoughtful guy, Harvey Eisen, Uh,
- 1:11:06Speaker 1: different character but also thoughtful. Steve Roth is a major
- 1:11:10Speaker 1: accomplished guy. Rety that's a monster company each success. Uh.
- 1:11:16Speaker 1: And these are all in you know, interesting individuals. Miles
- 1:11:19Speaker 1: and del also is a self made guy h MC
- 1:11:23Speaker 1: NBC partners and I've done extremely well over the years, um.
- 1:11:28Speaker 1: And you know, each individual has their own strengths and weaknesses.
- 1:11:31Speaker 1: And Uh, I like learning from people, listening to people
- 1:11:34Speaker 1: and seeing how they respond to my questions and that
- 1:11:38Speaker 1: makes life interesting to say the least. Um, So let
- 1:11:42Speaker 1: me let me shift gears a little bit on you. Um,
- 1:11:45Speaker 1: let's talk a little bit about books. One of the
- 1:11:47Speaker 1: things Buffett and short conversation, because you're all you're reading
- 1:11:51Speaker 1: so many a book every day, but reading a book
- 1:11:54Speaker 1: of reports from my seventeen analysts. Um, you know, I
- 1:11:58Speaker 1: wish I read more. I'm very proud of my oldest granddaughter.
- 1:12:02Speaker 1: My god, she reads all the time. Fabulous writer. But
- 1:12:07Speaker 1: book reading is not my major suit. You're drilling down
- 1:12:11Speaker 1: into company reports and researching for Financial Times, the Wall
- 1:12:15Speaker 1: Street Journal, in New York Times, research reports. You know
- 1:12:20Speaker 1: right now, I'm reading books about prosecutorial abuse, and you know,
- 1:12:24Speaker 1: having received the subpedia that I got to deal with
- 1:12:27Speaker 1: and be mystified by what the government is thinking about.
- 1:12:30Speaker 1: So do you talk about it? I was gonna say, well,
- 1:12:32Speaker 1: I don't think we really can discuss that. I don't
- 1:12:34Speaker 1: think your lawyers would be happy. Well, we told that
- 1:12:36Speaker 1: investors is that there's nothing wrong. We've been done. We've
- 1:12:39Speaker 1: responded to the subpoena and the government, and the government
- 1:12:41Speaker 1: is analyzing the response and we're quite comfortable. When the
- 1:12:44Speaker 1: analyze the response they'll see that nothing wrong was done.
- 1:12:47Speaker 1: We do our homework. We worked very hard. We do
- 1:12:48Speaker 1: fundamental research and that and that is that. So we'll
- 1:12:52Speaker 1: leave that, uh, that that question alone. Um, you mentioned
- 1:12:56Speaker 1: one of the professors at Columbia as a mentor. Who
- 1:13:00Speaker 1: who else we were some of your early mentors. You know,
- 1:13:02Speaker 1: you're you're learning a lot of different things with a
- 1:13:04Speaker 1: lot of different people. On the trading side, the guy
- 1:13:07Speaker 1: that was a major name and institution in his own right,
- 1:13:10Speaker 1: Bob Manusian, was in charge of trading, uh Goldman Sachs.
- 1:13:15Speaker 1: Unusual at that time. A Yale graduate ran trading at
- 1:13:19Speaker 1: Goldman Sachs. L J. Tannembaun who was deceased. The Bob
- 1:13:22Speaker 1: is still very much alivee thankfully, a great guy. L J.
- 1:13:25Speaker 1: Tanneman ran arbitrage. Gust of Levy. You saw him in action.
- 1:13:29Speaker 1: I worked directly with him on a number of assignments.
- 1:13:32Speaker 1: He passed away in nineteen seventy six. A real dynamo
- 1:13:36Speaker 1: man got into seven o'clock in the morning, kept two
- 1:13:38Speaker 1: secretaries busy. There wasn't a charity in New York that
- 1:13:41Speaker 1: he did not work with in support and help. And
- 1:13:43Speaker 1: so you learned about chadbl instincts giving back from people
- 1:13:46Speaker 1: like us Levy. John Whitehead was deceased John Weinberg a Screenberg.
- 1:13:52Speaker 1: You know you just watched people in action and uh,
- 1:13:55Speaker 1: you know, um, you learn and you and your mature yourself.
- 1:14:01Speaker 1: I have a family foundation I set up I think
- 1:14:03Speaker 1: in the and that long ago. Yeah, well when when
- 1:14:07Speaker 1: when when my income started to exceed my course of
- 1:14:11Speaker 1: living and I started to build up savings, I was
- 1:14:13Speaker 1: really committed to give back. Um. And again, as I
- 1:14:17Speaker 1: said before, I don't want to picture myself as being
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: different than anyone else. The guys that are in my
- 1:14:22Speaker 1: category all have a similar view, you know. Uh. I
- 1:14:26Speaker 1: have a great admiration for Canlan gown Stand, Drucca Miller,
- 1:14:29Speaker 1: Michael Steinhardt, Um, Bill Ackman, John Paulson, uh and Dan Loeby.
- 1:14:36Speaker 1: I apologize with peopleho name I left up? Is there
- 1:14:38Speaker 1: so many of them that are giving back, that work
- 1:14:41Speaker 1: hard because they have a professional instinct and take the
- 1:14:44Speaker 1: financial success and share what others less fortunate. So I
- 1:14:48Speaker 1: shouldn't mention I'll open up a Pandora's box. But I
- 1:14:50Speaker 1: got quoted recently negatively towards Hillary Clinton. And it wasn't
- 1:14:55Speaker 1: negative about her necessarily as a person, but you know,
- 1:14:59Speaker 1: comes out of the box and uh kind of criticize
- 1:15:02Speaker 1: and craps all over hedge funds. I don't see this,
- 1:15:06Speaker 1: you know, pitting against the one percent, I don't see it.
- 1:15:09Speaker 1: You know, the nine to one percent are not victimizing.
- 1:15:14Speaker 1: Most of the one percent that I know are giving
- 1:15:16Speaker 1: back and trying to create a better life than um.
- 1:15:20Speaker 1: And so why why criticized hedge funds when, particularly in
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: our case, she hangs out with them, which is goes
- 1:15:25Speaker 1: to Montha's vineon in the hand, not afraid to ask
- 1:15:28Speaker 1: for donations from from Wall Street. That's been her to
- 1:15:32Speaker 1: the Clintons. Certainly they want to advocate the higher taxation
- 1:15:37Speaker 1: and things like that. That's fine, that that's a different
- 1:15:40Speaker 1: that's a policy issue. And I was I've been quoted
- 1:15:43Speaker 1: now for seven years. I've said that the idea of
- 1:15:47Speaker 1: the income being carried taxes carried interest is wrong. My
- 1:15:53Speaker 1: income is a special exemption that if you are running
- 1:15:55Speaker 1: a private partnership like a private equity or hedge fund,
- 1:15:59Speaker 1: you're paying a lower tax rate. Now, they should not
- 1:16:02Speaker 1: pertain to my income in managing the business. It should
- 1:16:07Speaker 1: pertain to my income as an investor investing alongside of
- 1:16:11Speaker 1: my other investors. And for some reason the government has
- 1:16:14Speaker 1: not been focused on that, just like I think that
- 1:16:17Speaker 1: there's a lot of efficiency to be gained that we
- 1:16:19Speaker 1: have a Department of Education at the federal level, cabinet level,
- 1:16:23Speaker 1: that's over a hundred billion dollar department. I don't think
- 1:16:26Speaker 1: we have to spend a hundred billion dollars for the
- 1:16:28Speaker 1: federal government to tell the state and local governments how
- 1:16:31Speaker 1: to educate their children. That might have been the case
- 1:16:34Speaker 1: fifty years ago, and segregation things like that, but I
- 1:16:37Speaker 1: don't think it's today. How much of that budget is
- 1:16:40Speaker 1: just them dolling out money to different states, I honestly
- 1:16:43Speaker 1: don't know the number. I don't want to be like
- 1:16:44Speaker 1: the fello from Texas, Uh say the four things MoMA
- 1:16:49Speaker 1: oops oops, Yeah, but the four reasons we sell a stock?
- 1:16:53Speaker 1: I remember the four reasons. Well, that that's the area
- 1:16:56Speaker 1: you focus on, So that would that would certainly make sense.
- 1:16:59Speaker 1: So when we look at issues in society of income inequality,
- 1:17:05Speaker 1: your perspective is the wealthier doing at least amongst Wall Street,
- 1:17:11Speaker 1: the people you know are contributing a lot to charity.
- 1:17:15Speaker 1: It's very complex. You know, the President understandably would like
- 1:17:22Speaker 1: to narrow this income disparity. I would like in narrow
- 1:17:25Speaker 1: the income to how do we do that? Well, I'm
- 1:17:28Speaker 1: an economist, you know, but I think you have to
- 1:17:32Speaker 1: do through education, by improving the skill set of these youngsters,
- 1:17:36Speaker 1: by giving them a exposure to improving themselves. I look
- 1:17:40Speaker 1: at my own situation, you know, it's my college education,
- 1:17:45Speaker 1: it's my NBA Columbia that literally changed my life, changed
- 1:17:49Speaker 1: my whole income prospect. I mean, I left Xerox making
- 1:17:52Speaker 1: seven thousand dollars a year. I go back to business
- 1:17:55Speaker 1: school getting the m b A. And I hired into
- 1:17:56Speaker 1: Goldman at five hundred, which is a substantial was doubled
- 1:18:01Speaker 1: my income by going to business school for thirteen months.
- 1:18:04Speaker 1: There was a tri messed deals. I went right through
- 1:18:06Speaker 1: the summer because I couldn't afford to take time off
- 1:18:09Speaker 1: six months old kids and I had to make a
- 1:18:10Speaker 1: living um. And so it's education. It's getting into the
- 1:18:15Speaker 1: home to educate the parents, to motivate them. I mean
- 1:18:18Speaker 1: the Jews of a hundred years ago today or the
- 1:18:23Speaker 1: Asians who who really pushed education. Each wave of immigrant
- 1:18:27Speaker 1: has their own focus on education. Test and I think
- 1:18:31Speaker 1: the wonderful thing in this program the Kopman College scholes,
- 1:18:33Speaker 1: when the kids showed up with their parents. You know,
- 1:18:35Speaker 1: it was wonderful to see, you know. I give money
- 1:18:37Speaker 1: to a South Bronze educational program called the South Bronze
- 1:18:40Speaker 1: Educational Foundation. And I think seven year, eighty percent of
- 1:18:43Speaker 1: the kids have never met their father. Really, and I
- 1:18:45Speaker 1: look at the and I appreciate the significance of my
- 1:18:48Speaker 1: father in my growing up. That these kids have a
- 1:18:51Speaker 1: terrific disadvantage. And so I'm trying to create equal opportunity
- 1:18:57Speaker 1: through my charitable efforts, uh by giving them a platform
- 1:19:02Speaker 1: to achieve an education where they have the aptitude and
- 1:19:05Speaker 1: the willingness and the desire. So so you're willing you
- 1:19:09Speaker 1: support getting rid of that carried interest for the income side,
- 1:19:13Speaker 1: not the investment side. What other policy changes do you
- 1:19:17Speaker 1: think should we look? I was beginning to develop a thought.
- 1:19:21Speaker 1: The irony of the whole thing the last five or
- 1:19:23Speaker 1: six years is uh Bernankee wanted to create economic growth
- 1:19:30Speaker 1: and employment, and he figured out the best way to
- 1:19:33Speaker 1: do that is to create wealth, because wealth creates consumption
- 1:19:37Speaker 1: and consumption creates jobs. So he said, the way I'm
- 1:19:40Speaker 1: gonna do is to get the stock market up to
- 1:19:42Speaker 1: create wealth, to create consumption, to create jobs. The trouble
- 1:19:45Speaker 1: is is a mald distribution of the ownership of stock.
- 1:19:47Speaker 1: So guys like me have benefited mightily. And because we've
- 1:19:51Speaker 1: had this gridlock and government where the Republican the Democrats
- 1:19:55Speaker 1: don't seem to get along and the President can't seem
- 1:19:58Speaker 1: to unite them, we've not had phisical policy initiatives designed
- 1:20:02Speaker 1: to go along with the monetary initiatives. So the entire
- 1:20:05Speaker 1: burden to deal with the recessions for in monetary policy.
- 1:20:08Speaker 1: Maybe we should have a jobs program, maybe, Uh, infrastructure
- 1:20:13Speaker 1: that normal posting back all this retained earnings that sit
- 1:20:16Speaker 1: offshore and bank accounts doing nothing productively bring it back
- 1:20:20Speaker 1: and attacks howiday tie to hiring and infrastructure development to
- 1:20:25Speaker 1: take this big collapse in the price of energy. Uh,
- 1:20:28Speaker 1: put an energy tax on design to infrastructure building. We
- 1:20:31Speaker 1: don't seem to have the fiscal initiatives. And I'm not
- 1:20:34Speaker 1: blaming the president. Okay, I blamed the President for some
- 1:20:38Speaker 1: of his dialogue on you know, class warfare and stuff
- 1:20:42Speaker 1: like that, but that was an old story. And I
- 1:20:44Speaker 1: got ordered by virus by president basically just a Coincidencely,
- 1:20:50Speaker 1: I hope, so that's nothing let's over to do. But
- 1:20:53Speaker 1: I think we need a better coordination of fiscal monetary policies,
- 1:20:55Speaker 1: and hopefully in time we'll get it. But we don't,
- 1:20:57Speaker 1: we'll get head it to a disasters. We really haven't
- 1:21:00Speaker 1: seen the normal fiscal stimulus that you get following forget
- 1:21:04Speaker 1: an economic crisis following a normal deep recession, when it's
- 1:21:08Speaker 1: just hasn't been following on the heels of monetary policy exclusively.
- 1:21:12Speaker 1: So it's all it's all that, all right, So let's
- 1:21:14Speaker 1: keep let's go through. I only have you for a
- 1:21:16Speaker 1: few more minutes, so let me ask you some of
- 1:21:20Speaker 1: um the standard questions I ask everybody, and they're they're
- 1:21:24Speaker 1: always always generates some interesting response. Um. So you mentioned
- 1:21:29Speaker 1: you start really early. To take us quickly through a
- 1:21:32Speaker 1: day in the life of Lee Cooperman, You're you're up
- 1:21:34Speaker 1: at five in the morning, at the five ten. I
- 1:21:39Speaker 1: leave my house at a proixing five, depending upon traffic,
- 1:21:44Speaker 1: I come in from suburbs against the officer si. Um
- 1:21:50Speaker 1: and uh, you're there for twelve hours until six o
- 1:21:55Speaker 1: lea about you know, depending upon the time of my dinner.
- 1:21:58Speaker 1: I leave the office between five. I have to leave
- 1:22:00Speaker 1: tonight at five. Story have dinner with a client at
- 1:22:03Speaker 1: six o'clock. Meeted a restaurant last night, had dinner with
- 1:22:06Speaker 1: the company. I met the company at six. I got
- 1:22:08Speaker 1: finished with dinner at eight and went home. Um, and
- 1:22:12Speaker 1: I get home, I take a shower, and I logged
- 1:22:14Speaker 1: into a Bloomberg not paid commercial. I love into my
- 1:22:16Speaker 1: Bloomberg terminal. He's the most powerful terminal out there. But
- 1:22:20Speaker 1: by the way, during this entire interview, and I'm not exaggerating,
- 1:22:23Speaker 1: you've been checking stock prices. People don't realize you're multitasking
- 1:22:27Speaker 1: this whole conversation. Yeah, well, I'm not making investment decisions.
- 1:22:30Speaker 1: Of course, I'm trying to see what But you have
- 1:22:32Speaker 1: an eye on what's going on. Even throughout this conversation.
- 1:22:35Speaker 1: I would say, I'm pretty plugged, pretty obsessive, excessive, obsessive, compulsive. Um,
- 1:22:43Speaker 1: So you go to dinner and then go home, my shower,
- 1:22:46Speaker 1: and I logged into Bloomberg terminal and see what's going
- 1:22:49Speaker 1: on in China, what's going on Japan, what's going on
- 1:22:51Speaker 1: the euro dollar, what's going on in the dollar yen?
- 1:22:55Speaker 1: And see what the headlines are, And uh, this is
- 1:22:58Speaker 1: my life. You know, it's it's you know I said
- 1:23:02Speaker 1: earlier on but you know, do what you love, what
- 1:23:04Speaker 1: love what you do. You can't possibly work at this
- 1:23:06Speaker 1: pace and this engagement if you didn't like what you did.
- 1:23:09Speaker 1: My wife tells people that I'm gainfully unemployed. I get
- 1:23:13Speaker 1: paid for doing what I would be doing for free anyway.
- 1:23:16Speaker 1: And you know that that's difference with me. And retirement
- 1:23:19Speaker 1: would be one word, and that one where would be investors.
- 1:23:23Speaker 1: If I did not have investors, I would be doing
- 1:23:25Speaker 1: exactly what I'm doing now. But I probably couldn't afford.
- 1:23:29Speaker 1: Not probably I couldn't affords. I'm too cheap, basically afforced. No,
- 1:23:33Speaker 1: I say it seriously. You know, I joke with people.
- 1:23:36Speaker 1: You know I have a home in Florida. I spent
- 1:23:38Speaker 1: a lot of time in Florida working, and I have
- 1:23:41Speaker 1: two cars in Florida. I just put my second car
- 1:23:43Speaker 1: and floor. I have two cars in New Jersey. My
- 1:23:45Speaker 1: first three cars with two thousand twos, two thousand and
- 1:23:49Speaker 1: two Lexus convertible with two thousand two Alexus Sedan, two
- 1:23:52Speaker 1: thousand eight Lexus oh wheel drive sedan, and I just
- 1:23:56Speaker 1: bought a used Volkswagen facade. But I feel like a
- 1:23:59Speaker 1: rich man. Why it's the first three cars preceded Bluetooth.
- 1:24:03Speaker 1: My new car used with thirteen miles wokes Away inside
- 1:24:07Speaker 1: his bluetooth. So I get into the car and I
- 1:24:09Speaker 1: feel like a rich man. I say, call Billy Gordiano
- 1:24:12Speaker 1: at work and it does, and it does. My other
- 1:24:15Speaker 1: three cars I can't do that, So I feel like
- 1:24:17Speaker 1: a rich man. You know you can. You can replace
- 1:24:19Speaker 1: those old cars. And by the way, the newer cars,
- 1:24:22Speaker 1: the safety technology, the lane you know, they stop automatically.
- 1:24:27Speaker 1: I don't drive a lot, uh. And I'm told in
- 1:24:32Speaker 1: a two thousand and two Lexus LS four thirty, with
- 1:24:36Speaker 1: the best Lexus they made, I got eighty thousand miles
- 1:24:39Speaker 1: on it like a new car. It drives like a
- 1:24:43Speaker 1: new car, and I'd rather give the money to charity.
- 1:24:46Speaker 1: So that's what I was about to say, is you know, people,
- 1:24:48Speaker 1: you describe yourself as cheap. But again going back to
- 1:24:52Speaker 1: and say cheap, I respect money. I'm not going to
- 1:24:55Speaker 1: tell you how much I give away every year to charity,
- 1:24:56Speaker 1: but its millions of dollars and I don't spend that
- 1:24:59Speaker 1: kind of mone in my cell boast. You know you'd
- 1:25:01Speaker 1: rather give it away than buy a Nu mercedy because
- 1:25:04Speaker 1: you know it's the end of the day. I don't
- 1:25:05Speaker 1: play so much value in that. I don't. I don't
- 1:25:07Speaker 1: want to give anything. I don't deprive myself of anything.
- 1:25:09Speaker 1: If I want something, I buy it because I could
- 1:25:12Speaker 1: afford it. But there's nothing that I really want I
- 1:25:14Speaker 1: don't have. You're not, you said earlier, and you're not.
- 1:25:17Speaker 1: I'm not. I'm not a clothes horse obvious reasons. I'm
- 1:25:21Speaker 1: overweight and you know, uh so I have the clothes
- 1:25:27Speaker 1: I need. You're in a suit and tie, dressed nicely.
- 1:25:29Speaker 1: I dressed properly. I dress adequately. Though a guy I laughed,
- 1:25:34Speaker 1: I got you know, it's a funny story. Yeah, um,
- 1:25:41Speaker 1: Anthony Scaramucci. Sure. He said publicly somewhere that I was
- 1:25:45Speaker 1: the worst dress billionaire he hasn't met, And I said
- 1:25:48Speaker 1: to him multi he jokes about that all the time.
- 1:25:52Speaker 1: I actually think I'm pretty well addressed. You're well put together.
- 1:25:55Speaker 1: Your wife picked out the tie. Though I know my wife.
- 1:25:58Speaker 1: He leaves me alone. I'm I Actually I'm building a
- 1:26:01Speaker 1: new house now Florida, and my wife sees everything to me. Really,
- 1:26:05Speaker 1: my uh my wife basically knows what she's interested in,
- 1:26:09Speaker 1: and she pursues what she's interested in. And uh, very
- 1:26:13Speaker 1: purposeful purpose and very very smart lady, terrific wife. That
- 1:26:17Speaker 1: that sounds fantastic. So um, we mentioned your your mentors,
- 1:26:22Speaker 1: We mentioned some of the investors. Actually we didn't get
- 1:26:25Speaker 1: any other than Buffett. What other investors have influenced your
- 1:26:29Speaker 1: approach to invest Roger Murray, Warren Buffett. I mentioned Bob
- 1:26:33Speaker 1: Minutia and Geodd Whitehead. I mean all in different ways.
- 1:26:38Speaker 1: You know, Bear Sterns was notoriously positive firm and with
- 1:26:44Speaker 1: charitable instincts, and so you pick up different things, and
- 1:26:48Speaker 1: then you watch different investors, and I'd say it's the
- 1:26:51Speaker 1: process of learning. I can't I can't point to anyone
- 1:26:53Speaker 1: individual that's changed my life on the industrial side. The
- 1:26:57Speaker 1: guy that I had the greatest admiration for where I
- 1:26:59Speaker 1: spent really first twenty five years of my life studying,
- 1:27:02Speaker 1: was Dr Henry Singleton, was a founder of tel Dine
- 1:27:05Speaker 1: and arguably the smartest guy I ever met. Really absolutely
- 1:27:10Speaker 1: and uh, basically uh. I have no greater authority to
- 1:27:15Speaker 1: that view than Warren Buffett. In two thousand and seven,
- 1:27:20Speaker 1: he gave a speech at the Value Investing Conference on
- 1:27:22Speaker 1: two subjects. One was I was highly critical of stock
- 1:27:25Speaker 1: repurchased the way it was being um um, you know,
- 1:27:30Speaker 1: practice of time. And then I went through a case
- 1:27:32Speaker 1: study that used at Harvard UH and it was untiled.
- 1:27:35Speaker 1: The financial brilliance of Dr Henry Singleton of tele Dine.
- 1:27:39Speaker 1: Warren Buffett got ahold of those two presentations. Not by accident.
- 1:27:43Speaker 1: I sent to him, having great respect for Warren's And
- 1:27:46Speaker 1: there's a letter he sent me. I hope he doesn't
- 1:27:47Speaker 1: mind them reading it publicly November twenty thousand and seven,
- 1:27:51Speaker 1: and he said, dearly, I don't think you could have
- 1:27:53Speaker 1: picked two better subjects, Henry. That's Henry Singleton has a
- 1:27:56Speaker 1: manage that all investors CEO would be CEO s and
- 1:27:59Speaker 1: NBA students should stud In the end, it was one
- 1:28:01Speaker 1: rational and there are very few CEOs about whom I
- 1:28:04Speaker 1: could make that statement. Paragraph the stock repurchase situation is
- 1:28:08Speaker 1: fascinating to be that's because the answer is so simple.
- 1:28:10Speaker 1: You do it when you are buying dollar bills and
- 1:28:12Speaker 1: click cutting significant discount, and only then underline only paragraph
- 1:28:17Speaker 1: and the general observation. I would say that most companies
- 1:28:19Speaker 1: that repurchase shares thirty years ago, we're doing for the
- 1:28:21Speaker 1: right reasons, and most companies doing it now are wrong.
- 1:28:24Speaker 1: When doing so time of the time, I see managers
- 1:28:27Speaker 1: who are attempting to be fashionable or subconsciously hoping to
- 1:28:31Speaker 1: support their stock. Lows is a great example. I use
- 1:28:34Speaker 1: Low as an example of a good buy back program.
- 1:28:36Speaker 1: Lows is a great example of the company's always repurchase
- 1:28:39Speaker 1: shares the right reason. I could give examples the reverse.
- 1:28:42Speaker 1: I love this following statement, but I follow the dictum
- 1:28:45Speaker 1: praise by name, criticized by category, best regarded warrant. I
- 1:28:49Speaker 1: showed that letter to my two older my two sons,
- 1:28:52Speaker 1: and it's a great philosophy of life. You never see
- 1:28:55Speaker 1: warrant criticizing any one individual in public. We might criticize
- 1:28:58Speaker 1: invest in bankers and criticized hedge funds, but it doesn't
- 1:29:01Speaker 1: go after anyone. That's a good philosophy of life. In
- 1:29:03Speaker 1: my opinion, that's a fascinating What's the date on that letter?
- 1:29:07Speaker 1: That data on that letter was November two thousand and seven,
- 1:29:13Speaker 1: So here it is eight years later. We see a
- 1:29:16Speaker 1: massive run of buy backs the past few years. What
- 1:29:20Speaker 1: are your thoughts on these are are buy backs? Are
- 1:29:23Speaker 1: they buying dollar bills at a substantial discount, or they
- 1:29:26Speaker 1: being fashionable? There are four kind of buy backs that
- 1:29:30Speaker 1: that's a theme four of everything. It sounds like, well
- 1:29:33Speaker 1: quinciense bibe back type one has nothing, and I'll give
- 1:29:37Speaker 1: examples nothing to do with fundamental value. Remember in D
- 1:29:41Speaker 1: and ninety four, being on the chowel line at the
- 1:29:43Speaker 1: Allen and Company media conference, standing behind Andy Grove, and
- 1:29:47Speaker 1: I said to Andy, what statement is Intel making my
- 1:29:50Speaker 1: buying back stock at fifty times earnings? He says, We're
- 1:29:53Speaker 1: not looking to make any statement. Basically, Uh, we don't
- 1:29:56Speaker 1: want the flak from the shoreholders over option creep. So
- 1:29:59Speaker 1: with I'm back enough shares to keep the up the
- 1:30:02Speaker 1: share count flat. Second kind of buy back very nefarious.
- 1:30:05Speaker 1: The one that warrant to sends the reference. That's managements
- 1:30:08Speaker 1: that are looking to either support their stock or create
- 1:30:11Speaker 1: this impression that's undervalued or married maybe even creating a
- 1:30:15Speaker 1: conditioned market where they're buying backstock for the company their
- 1:30:19Speaker 1: selling stock themselves. I'm not going computing them, but you know,
- 1:30:21Speaker 1: Andrew Mazzolo has spent so several hundred million dollars worth
- 1:30:24Speaker 1: of stock at forty while country Wide Credit was buying
- 1:30:27Speaker 1: backstock at forty two billion dollars worth, only to sell
- 1:30:30Speaker 1: the company to Bank of America at four, and I'm
- 1:30:32Speaker 1: telling you back in America is very sorry they bought
- 1:30:34Speaker 1: it it for. Okay. The third kind of buy back,
- 1:30:37Speaker 1: which is the typical buyback now, is companies that blessed
- 1:30:39Speaker 1: with excess cash flow. They've kind of convinced themselves that
- 1:30:42Speaker 1: dividends forever. We don't want to be embarrassed by having
- 1:30:44Speaker 1: the kind of dividend we could always turn off a
- 1:30:47Speaker 1: buyback program. So we're gonna take excess case flowing buy
- 1:30:49Speaker 1: back stock. And I would you rather see those folks
- 1:30:52Speaker 1: doing a higher dividend than many cases in many cases, okay.
- 1:30:57Speaker 1: And the fallacy of that is that the average Carmon
- 1:30:59Speaker 1: stock is yielding, uh, you know, two percent for every
- 1:31:02Speaker 1: shore you buy back, your buying back fifty years of dividends.
- 1:31:04Speaker 1: And it turns out that a dividend policy was the
- 1:31:07Speaker 1: wrong policy and cut the dividend, your stock doesn't get
- 1:31:09Speaker 1: cremated anyway. So look, look, I mean, I have enormous
- 1:31:12Speaker 1: respect for Goldman Sacks. Goldman Sack sports stock back for
- 1:31:14Speaker 1: the Treasury over two hundred and two thousand and seven
- 1:31:17Speaker 1: only sell stock to warm buffet and under eighty if
- 1:31:19Speaker 1: you propably account for the warrants, and all the banks
- 1:31:22Speaker 1: and financial institutions and some of the old companies with
- 1:31:24Speaker 1: buying back stock are totally inappropriate prices. And the fourth
- 1:31:27Speaker 1: kind of buy back the one I love, the one
- 1:31:29Speaker 1: that Henry singled him did the eight self tender offers
- 1:31:31Speaker 1: made retire nine of the company stock and there was
- 1:31:34Speaker 1: a billiont executed. Program is they understand the value proposition
- 1:31:38Speaker 1: of their company. They can correctly determine their stock is
- 1:31:40Speaker 1: under valued and buy back under badge stock. They leverage
- 1:31:43Speaker 1: the return to those investors that aren't selling. If what
- 1:31:46Speaker 1: companies have to you know, understand is when you buy
- 1:31:49Speaker 1: back stock, you're lodging the ownership of those who are
- 1:31:53Speaker 1: not selling. If you're lodging the ownership but those not
- 1:31:57Speaker 1: selling your disservice. You're investor by buying backstock and inappropriate prices,
- 1:32:03Speaker 1: so at the right price at the right place. I
- 1:32:05Speaker 1: love it. You know, it's funny you mentioned the goldman
- 1:32:08Speaker 1: Um situation. Uh Dell recently went private, and before they
- 1:32:12Speaker 1: went private, we were looking at some of the numbers.
- 1:32:15Speaker 1: It turned out, over the course of their entire history,
- 1:32:18Speaker 1: they spent more on buy backs than they actually earned
- 1:32:21Speaker 1: in profit. I have I don't want to get into
- 1:32:23Speaker 1: a debate with Michael Dell, but I have a very
- 1:32:25Speaker 1: negative view of what they did. That carl I com
- 1:32:27Speaker 1: was on the right track in a sense. Going private
- 1:32:31Speaker 1: is a giant case of instruy trading by managing against
- 1:32:33Speaker 1: their shaholders. Okay, uh. I would have thought it would
- 1:32:37Speaker 1: be more appropriate for Dell to recapitalize the company, making
- 1:32:40Speaker 1: an offer to shareholders, take out those showers they want
- 1:32:43Speaker 1: to go out and those shareholders that wanted to take
- 1:32:45Speaker 1: the risk of a more leverage enterprise, and bet on
- 1:32:48Speaker 1: Michael Dell's management team and his own talent to improve
- 1:32:51Speaker 1: the situation. That would a fair a way to go.
- 1:32:53Speaker 1: So three years from now when he fixes it up
- 1:32:56Speaker 1: and creates a normal capital game for him in silver
- 1:32:58Speaker 1: Lake and tried to bring it, Yeah, that was gains
- 1:33:02Speaker 1: that were really belonging in the pocket of the investor.
- 1:33:04Speaker 1: The investor. So you mentioned carl I Con. What do
- 1:33:06Speaker 1: you think of activist investor. I would say I'm balanced positive,
- 1:33:11Speaker 1: you know, I think there's some negative aspects to it.
- 1:33:13Speaker 1: I think this formula go out and borrow a lot
- 1:33:15Speaker 1: of money, leverage up a couple of turns of debt,
- 1:33:18Speaker 1: capital and buy back a lot of stock is not
- 1:33:20Speaker 1: suitable for every company, but buying Lodge, I would say
- 1:33:24Speaker 1: activism has to be viewed in a constructive light. And
- 1:33:27Speaker 1: he's been totally brilliant the Netflix trade also, and the
- 1:33:32Speaker 1: guy has got a phenomenal record. He's only to be
- 1:33:34Speaker 1: admired and respected. And um, what sort of advice would
- 1:33:38Speaker 1: you give to millennials or someone just starting out their
- 1:33:41Speaker 1: career today? I think we covered some of it. I mean, uh,
- 1:33:45Speaker 1: I look at my situation. Uh coming fore I came.
- 1:33:48Speaker 1: I think education, it's important if you're interested in the
- 1:33:52Speaker 1: business world. I think, uh, get a good business education.
- 1:33:56Speaker 1: You know, accounting is the language of business. So my
- 1:33:58Speaker 1: NBA made a all the difference to me in terms
- 1:34:01Speaker 1: of not only could open up doors, it gave me
- 1:34:03Speaker 1: technical skills. They didn't have a major in the chemistry,
- 1:34:05Speaker 1: mind and meth and physics. Uh. And don't go into
- 1:34:08Speaker 1: a field just for money. You know, all these kids
- 1:34:10Speaker 1: interviewing they could join hedge funds. Everything is cyclical. Figure
- 1:34:14Speaker 1: out what your aptitude and your interests are and pursue
- 1:34:17Speaker 1: that career and go to work for somebody respect and admire.
- 1:34:20Speaker 1: You know, it's very important and you get a good foundation.
- 1:34:24Speaker 1: And then our final question, and I asked this of
- 1:34:27Speaker 1: all my guests, what do you know today about investing
- 1:34:31Speaker 1: and asset management that you wish you knew forty years
- 1:34:34Speaker 1: ago when you started. I loved my career at Goldman Sachs.
- 1:34:41Speaker 1: I owe a great gratitude to Goldman Sachs. I think
- 1:34:44Speaker 1: Goldman Sacks owes me. But I performed very strongly as
- 1:34:46Speaker 1: a professional. But I probably would have gone into this
- 1:34:49Speaker 1: business earlier. What I did you wish you would have
- 1:34:51Speaker 1: started earlier? Now it's a chicken and egg. You know.
- 1:34:54Speaker 1: I developed my reputation at Goldman, but this is a
- 1:34:59Speaker 1: much more p off of the hedge fund business. You
- 1:35:01Speaker 1: had fun business, but you know, and you have a
- 1:35:03Speaker 1: lot more control when it's essentially you at the top
- 1:35:06Speaker 1: of the part. Your hoppers are higher down as are lower.
- 1:35:10Speaker 1: You know, you're out there alone. And I do have
- 1:35:12Speaker 1: a team that I have a very competent team, But
- 1:35:14Speaker 1: the truth is I didn't have the same infrastructure I
- 1:35:16Speaker 1: had a Goldman SAX. You know, I was the number
- 1:35:19Speaker 1: fifty partner made was fifty partners in total, five hundre employees,
- 1:35:23Speaker 1: and today is thirty eight thousand people, I think in
- 1:35:26Speaker 1: four hundred, that's an amazing that's an amazing set of
- 1:35:28Speaker 1: numbers from five. So now when you're a partner and
- 1:35:32Speaker 1: you leave that partnership and have to digress briefly because
- 1:35:36Speaker 1: you brought this up, are they buying you out of
- 1:35:38Speaker 1: the partnership? How does that a capital We were a
- 1:35:41Speaker 1: private partnership. You have a capital account. The firm had
- 1:35:43Speaker 1: a very strong capital retention rules. When you retire, they
- 1:35:47Speaker 1: gave you half of your capital back. The other half
- 1:35:49Speaker 1: you got back after five years. So I took the
- 1:35:52Speaker 1: amount of cap I can get a go home in,
- 1:35:53Speaker 1: plus whatever else I had, and I put into Omega
- 1:35:56Speaker 1: and I started Omegan and that number has grown, uh
- 1:36:04Speaker 1: something like that, not too chevy, and uh, that's because
- 1:36:07Speaker 1: I believed in myself and I left my money in
- 1:36:09Speaker 1: and I want to be a co investor with my investors.
- 1:36:12Speaker 1: I want to eat my own cooking, and so I
- 1:36:15Speaker 1: believe in that very strongly. And so I lost more
- 1:36:18Speaker 1: money than anyone lost in two thousand and eight, and
- 1:36:20Speaker 1: I've done extremely well subsequent to that. And I think
- 1:36:22Speaker 1: that's the that's the alignment of interest that should exist. Lee.
- 1:36:26Speaker 1: I can't thank you so much for how generous you've
- 1:36:29Speaker 1: been with your time. Um, this just has been tremendous. Uh.
- 1:36:34Speaker 1: You've been listening to my conversation with Leon Cooperman of
- 1:36:38Speaker 1: Omega Advisors. If you enjoy this conversation, be sure and
- 1:36:41Speaker 1: check out an Inch above or an Inch Below on
- 1:36:44Speaker 1: Apple iTunes to see all the rest of our various shows.
- 1:36:48Speaker 1: Check out my daily column on Bloomberg View dot com.
- 1:36:52Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at Ridholtz. You've been listening to
- 1:36:56Speaker 1: Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio