Latest / The Jake Wimberly Podcast / Rafael Esparza Interview

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Rafael Esparza Interview · The Jake Wimberly Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: We take Wimberley on the afternoon drive. One of the
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: last pure pleasures I have left in my life. Yeah,
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: maybe you ought to get a life first, okay? On
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  Speaker 1: ESPN 105.9 The Zone and online at TheZone1059. com Taking you
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: in on a Thursday brought to you by MyBookie.ag. Use
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: the promo code patio. Get in and play all the games.
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: Rafael Esparza on your radio. Esparza, how's your Thursday, sir?
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: Thursday's Thursday. I always tell when it's football season because
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: Thursday is usually my busiest day for media, busiest days
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: for MyBookie, busiest days for Doc Sports. So on Thursdays, Thursday, like,
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: in about 45 minutes, I can guarantee you I'll have
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: a cocktail in my hand.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: There is no doubt. There's no doubt. Yeah, there's a
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: large slate of FCS games. Let me ask you this.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: Do people around the country, is there, you know, maybe
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: even on a weekend like this weekend where you've got,
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: you know, some week zero matchups, 7-8-9, do people play
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  Speaker 1: a lot of FCS football?
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  Speaker 2: They're starting to, because don't forget, about three years ago, like,
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  Speaker 2: all the sportsbooks, DraftKings fans, when they finally started putting
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: up For FCS, normally they would just put the TV
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  Speaker 2: games on there. Now, I tell people to be very
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: cautious when it comes to FCS games because oddsmakers move
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  Speaker 2: these numbers a lot quicker than they move college football
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: and NFL. You figure some of these games, I'll just
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: use an example, Illinois, Eastern Illinois, Murray State. If I
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  Speaker 2: bet $ 500 on Murray State at $ 4. 50, they might move
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  Speaker 2: that number to $ 5. 50. If I bet $ 500 on UNLV
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: versus Memphis, They're not going to do nothing to that
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  Speaker 2: game of $ 500. You have to be very cautious on
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  Speaker 2: line movement when you're looking at FCS compared to college
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: football and NFL.
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  Speaker 1: And what's the methodology behind that for them moving FCS
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: on a subsequent amount of money that wouldn't move, like
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: you said, a Memphis or.
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: Because they're getting very, very, very few action, and if
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: they are, they're getting one-side action. So if Eastern Illinois
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  Speaker 2: Murray State, it's at Murray State, opened up at 2.5.
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: It's right now 4.5. So you figure all the money
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  Speaker 2: is probably on the home team Murray State. So if
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  Speaker 2: someone wants to bet, let's say, $ 1, 000, $ 500 to $ 1, 000,
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  Speaker 2: and he bets Murray State, they're going to move it
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  Speaker 2: a full point to get 5.5 so they can get
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  Speaker 2: money at Eastern Illinois. a lot quicker than they would
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  Speaker 2: if they just moved it a half a point because
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  Speaker 2: you figure FCS home field advantage is probably more heavily
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  Speaker 2: bet-wise than it is for just a normal college football. Again,
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  Speaker 2: Memphis UNLV, a lot of Memphis money coming in. They're
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: at the Death Star. They're in Las Vegas compared to
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: Eastern Illinois where they're at Murray State.
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: Raphael Esparza talking sports gaming on a Thursday. MyBookie.ag used
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: the promo code PATIO. All right, so we were talking yesterday,
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: me and you, about this North Carolina TCU game. It
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: looks like it's kind of holding serve right now. This
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  Speaker 1: line's moved a couple points this week.
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it has. Mostly, like I said, 9.5 is pretty
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  Speaker 2: much out there. But then FanDuel moved it, I think,
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  Speaker 2: maybe an hour ago back to 8.5. So now it's
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  Speaker 2: a perfect middle spot still available. If you want to
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: take TCU, let's say, at 8.5 because I still think,
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: and me and you both agreed on this last night,
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: and me and you both agreed on it last week.
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  Speaker 2: This is going to be a solid 10 by Saturday.
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  Speaker 2: Even though one book moved it to 8.5, FanDuel might
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  Speaker 2: have just moved that to try to maybe they got
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: a heavy bet. Maybe Bill Belichick's girlfriend and sorority all
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  Speaker 2: bet on FanDuel and bet money on North Carolina, which
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  Speaker 2: was trying to get buyback on that. But I still
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  Speaker 2: think TCU is going to be heavily, heavily bet. I
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  Speaker 2: still think if you're going to bet, bet the first half.
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: Are we underselling, say we, the betting community and maybe
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  Speaker 1: even just people that pick? NC State, I know Virginia
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  Speaker 1: played for the ACC title game last year against Duke.
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  Speaker 1: NC State's been, you know, they kind of had an
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  Speaker 1: off year last year. They've been a solid ACC program.
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  Speaker 1: They're a four-point dog on the road. It feels like
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  Speaker 1: this may be a situation, especially early, where the wrong
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  Speaker 1: team might be favored.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, this game, for some odd reason, every game on
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  Speaker 2: Saturday's board, this one smells trapped to me. I mean,
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  Speaker 2: this one says, why is Virginia at home, not five
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  Speaker 2: and a half close to a six? I don't understand that.
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  Speaker 2: So this is a game that I can't wait to watch.
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  Speaker 2: Like I said, I have a handful of games next
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  Speaker 2: week and this week. I just want to watch and
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  Speaker 2: see why this number is so I can maybe take
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  Speaker 2: notes and maybe look down the road and bet this team.
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  Speaker 2: Maybe because, okay, I saw week zero and how they played.
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  Speaker 2: Maybe this is a team I'm going to play from
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  Speaker 2: now on. This smells fishy, and I don't like fishy
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  Speaker 2: games at week zero.
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  Speaker 1: Robbie, as far as we're talking, week zero, Thursday edition
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  Speaker 1: of the program. All right, so Jacksonville State, Sacramento State,
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  Speaker 1: we talked a little bit about this last night, but
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  Speaker 1: I'm asking you this today. Are you interested in either
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  Speaker 1: one of these teams?
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  Speaker 2: North Dakota State, the brand-new Mountain West team. North Dakota State.
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  Speaker 2: I'm very interested to see what they do because there's
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  Speaker 2: a lot of new teams in the Mountain West that
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: shouldn't be there. Northern Illinois, what are we talking about?
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: But North Dakota State, can they hang around with UNLV
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: and everyone else in the Mountain West? I'm going to
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  Speaker 2: be very interested to see what this North Dakota State,
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  Speaker 2: which just lined open at 10, North Dakota State, and
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  Speaker 2: now it's 7, 6 1⁄2 out there. So some Jacksonville
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  Speaker 2: State money coming in.
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  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't pretend to know... about the financial backing
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  Speaker 1: of North Dakota State. We've talked about Sacramento State and
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  Speaker 1: the money coming out there in Sacramento, California. But North
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  Speaker 1: Dakota State, a very proud program, obviously coming out of
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  Speaker 1: the FCS. They've won titles. They've been competitive. You would
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  Speaker 1: think that that taste that they have in their mouth,
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  Speaker 1: so to speak, for victory, I'll be interested to see
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  Speaker 1: what they do moving forward as far as money that
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  Speaker 1: they put into NIL, money that they put into facilities,
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  Speaker 1: and how big a player North Dakota State possibly could
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  Speaker 1: become in the next five to ten years.
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: I agree with you. I did an interview for a
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  Speaker 2: Mountain West conference, I think it was last weekend, and
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: I talked about North Dakota State. Even if they weren't
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  Speaker 2: in the Mountain West, they still get people that want
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  Speaker 2: to go there because they've won there. It doesn't matter
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  Speaker 2: if it was not Division I, but they still won championships.
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: It doesn't matter what school you go to, you still
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  Speaker 2: play for championships. So it's going to be very interesting.
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  Speaker 2: I think they recruit well now that they're in the
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: Mountain West because I think they're going to be better
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  Speaker 2: at Hawaii. I don't think they're going to be better
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  Speaker 2: than New Mexico and UNLV. But I have them maybe
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  Speaker 2: coming in third place in the Mountain West, maybe outplaying
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  Speaker 2: Hawaii and Wyoming, UTEP, San Jose State. I'm just getting
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  Speaker 2: a school. Oh, Northern Illinois. So I think they're going
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  Speaker 2: to be better than those schools.
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: And, of course, the nightcap, UNLV Memphis, UNLV minus four
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  Speaker 1: and a half. Dan Mullen says he's going to play
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  Speaker 1: two quarterbacks. This will be interesting on several accords. Dan
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  Speaker 1: Mullen is a guy that A lot of publications feel
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: like if he has the right kind of year, he
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  Speaker 1: could be back in the FBS next year with a
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  Speaker 1: job opening. Memphis, they have a new coach. Memphis has
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  Speaker 1: gone through a couple coaches now with Charles Huff who
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  Speaker 1: should continue that success. I mean, this is not your
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  Speaker 1: grandfather's Memphis where they were a 2-10 ball team every year.
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  Speaker 1: They're very competitive. I'm very interested in this ball game.
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  Speaker 2: Yeah, even though Memphis has a lot of new faces,
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  Speaker 2: especially on defense, but you know what? They have a
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  Speaker 2: running back that went to the Ohio State, and I
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  Speaker 2: think they're going to be able to run the ball.
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  Speaker 2: Memphis always runs the ball. It doesn't matter who they
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  Speaker 2: have in the backfield. And if they can run on UNLV,
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  Speaker 2: I think they could put some points on the board.
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  Speaker 2: That's why I think we see a lot of points
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  Speaker 2: scored on this one. Puzzling that this total drops two points,
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  Speaker 2: opened up at 58.5, now 56.5. I like UNLV. I
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  Speaker 2: still think they go with Sam Arnold, the old Auburn quarterback.
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  Speaker 2: I think he has the majority of the snaps. But
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  Speaker 2: I think it's going to be a lot closer game.
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: What else is going on this weekend?
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  Speaker 2: College Football Week Zero. Championship Little League World Series. That's
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: enough said. I mean, yes, we have UFC Japan. I
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: think at 6 in the morning, they have to watch
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: MMA still drinking coffee, but that's going to be interesting.
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  Speaker 2: But it's College Football Week Zero.
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  Speaker 1: Hey, who's favorite to win the Little League World Series?
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: I think right now I think the International. They had
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: some really good showings yesterday and today, so it's going
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: to be very interesting to see if the U.S. can
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: go back-to-back they went last year.
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: Hey, make sure to find him on VSL.Sports. You can
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: get him on Instagram. You can get him on TikTok.
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: He's everywhere. He's Rafael Esparza. Esparza, have a great weekend.
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: We talk next week. We'll have a load of games
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: to talk about.
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: Take it easy. Have a good weekend. All right.
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: See you. Rafael Esparza, mybookie.ag. Patio is the promo code.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: Back in a moment.