Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / Eagles vs Packers NFL DFS Showdown | Week 10 MNF | Picks, Plays & Process
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: Ball system's going clear the lift up?
- 0:36Speaker 2: What's up? Every one? Tyler Tamberline here aka Totagg and
- 0:38Speaker 2: Tambo back for another edition of the Monday Night Football
- 0:41Speaker 2: Show here on the ship in Nation YouTube station. We've
- 0:44Speaker 2: got the Eagles at Green Bay. We've got title, We've
- 0:47Speaker 2: got Hoop gonna break down all things for the Showdown slate.
- 0:50Speaker 2: We've got Captain Ownership gonna talk it through roster construction.
- 0:54Speaker 2: There's a million dollars up top tonight in the Mega Milliemaker,
- 0:57Speaker 2: and then there's a five hundred k top prize in
- 0:59Speaker 2: the twenty dollar overr on draft games. We'll talk Banduel
- 1:02Speaker 2: at the end as well. But who kicking over to
- 1:04Speaker 2: you man before we get into it. We got a
- 1:05Speaker 2: pretty good game here for a Monday night football after
- 1:07Speaker 2: what was probably one of the worst football games I've
- 1:09Speaker 2: ever watched your period last night. Disgusting.
- 1:13Speaker 3: Yeah, the primetime games this week a little rough.
- 1:16Speaker 4: I mean the Thursday night was if last night was
- 1:21Speaker 4: the worst game you've ever watched, like it's you know,
- 1:23Speaker 4: the one on Thursday had to have been the second worst,
- 1:26Speaker 4: because that was rough on Thursday. Last night was really
- 1:29Speaker 4: really bad, and you know, it happens time to time
- 1:32Speaker 4: in the NFL, where these games are just painful and
- 1:35Speaker 4: it just feels like once they start down that path,
- 1:37Speaker 4: it just continues. And I didn't watch much of it,
- 1:40Speaker 4: to be honest with you, So I didn't. It didn't
- 1:43Speaker 4: waste any time really on it. This game, you know,
- 1:46Speaker 4: close spread, relatively solid total around forty five forty seven ish,
- 1:52Speaker 4: So we got a solid game. Two teams that have
- 1:56Speaker 4: offensive pieces. I mean, the Packers are coming off in
- 1:59Speaker 4: as absolute stinkers. So I mean, if you're someone that
- 2:02Speaker 4: believes in like the bounce back spot, this would theoretically
- 2:05Speaker 4: be a good bounce back spot, I guess for the Packers,
- 2:08Speaker 4: but I don't know if I even trusted the NFL.
- 2:10Speaker 2: Man.
- 2:10Speaker 3: It's just so it is so weak the week.
- 2:13Speaker 4: I mean, you look at the Bills yesterday get I
- 2:15Speaker 4: mean getting their ass kicked by the Dolphins. I mean
- 2:18Speaker 4: it was that game was never even in question at
- 2:22Speaker 4: any point, and then the Panthers, who beat the Packers
- 2:26Speaker 4: last week go and get beat by the Saints. It's
- 2:30Speaker 4: just it's a crazy league. It's fun and hopefully well
- 2:33Speaker 4: get a good game tonight.
- 2:35Speaker 2: Speaking of bounce backs, you brought it up. Got another
- 2:37Speaker 2: team bounce back Yesterday Coaster Danny Pettiford is in here
- 2:42Speaker 2: talking about those you know, the Viking stuff, but Man
- 2:46Speaker 2: Dan speaking of Dan Dan Campbell taking control of that playbook,
- 2:49Speaker 2: I mean, just figure it out. You got James and Williams.
- 2:52Speaker 2: He goes watch this literally seven plays in a row.
- 2:55Speaker 3: Bonus, exactly what's that same play?
- 2:59Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, that's someone saw the post. It went
- 3:02Speaker 2: viral today of like when he fist bumps the thing
- 3:04Speaker 2: he's not if you watched it live. I did. There
- 3:06Speaker 2: was two scenarios yesterday. That was one of them. One
- 3:07Speaker 2: of my favorite. He fist bumped that it's gonna fucking
- 3:10Speaker 2: work this time. I'm dropping a f bump for this
- 3:12Speaker 2: one because it's what Dan Campbell was saying. He's definitely
- 3:15Speaker 2: saying we're running it back and this time it's gonna
- 3:17Speaker 2: work because the play that he was fist bumping was
- 3:19Speaker 2: after they just ran that play and just missed it.
- 3:21Speaker 2: So I love that. And then shout out to t
- 3:24Speaker 2: Henderson man for the Patriots. There's so there's so many
- 3:27Speaker 2: little things if you pay attention to the beauty of
- 3:29Speaker 2: the game. I know we love talking dfs and winning
- 3:31Speaker 2: all the money and we're gonna do that here. But
- 3:33Speaker 2: the t Henderson run to the end zone, glance at
- 3:36Speaker 2: the bench to see if it's okay, and then get
- 3:38Speaker 2: in when he can just slide out and said, they
- 3:40Speaker 2: said go for a young one, get it done. He
- 3:42Speaker 2: gets it in. I love that type of shit, man.
- 3:44Speaker 2: That's what makes the game so fun to watch it.
- 3:46Speaker 2: It's the true passion behind all of it, and these
- 3:48Speaker 2: people there iq the craft, it's just everything that goes
- 3:50Speaker 2: into it. Title. Kick it over to you, my man,
- 3:53Speaker 2: get your thoughts. We got ship it Wisconsination tonight. We
- 3:56Speaker 2: know a ton of shim membership of Nation members loving
- 3:59Speaker 2: the Green Bay Packers are man Aid's. We got all
- 4:01Speaker 2: kinds of people out there. New Ones is posting the chat.
- 4:04Speaker 2: But you're a cheese seat as well. What's going on,
- 4:06Speaker 2: my friend? How you doing?
- 4:07Speaker 5: Yeah? Doing well? Happy to see Davile fired. I don't
- 4:10Speaker 5: need to keep seeing these giants fricking collapse when they're
- 4:13Speaker 5: ninety plus percent to win every time. I mean, get
- 4:16Speaker 5: his ass out of there. Let's figure something else out.
- 4:18Speaker 5: But yeah, I mean what the NFL is amazing, what
- 4:22Speaker 5: a product in the sense of you just don't know
- 4:23Speaker 5: what's gonna happen. You turn on a college game on
- 4:26Speaker 5: Saturday and a twenty eight and a half point spread.
- 4:28Speaker 5: I mean it's it's once every ten years. Maybe you
- 4:31Speaker 5: get that upset in Appalachian State. You know what I mean,
- 4:33Speaker 5: You'll be talking about it for decades and decades. I mean,
- 4:36Speaker 5: NFL the best teams can go down. It makes it
- 4:38Speaker 5: a lot of fun. But you think you know you don't.
- 4:41Speaker 5: I got so much wrong yesterday. Ready to try and
- 4:43Speaker 5: get some back today?
- 4:44Speaker 2: Yeah, same, This is gonna be a fun slate. Like
- 4:46Speaker 2: there's a lot of money up top. You know some
- 4:48Speaker 2: Drea Tamba stashes lick. Couldn't get rid of it yesterday. Tried,
- 4:52Speaker 2: trust me, But we got a million maaker tonight and
- 4:54Speaker 2: I got a seat to the big show. So I'm
- 4:56Speaker 2: excited about the forty four to forty four. I love
- 4:58Speaker 2: the twenty dollars with five hundred care top. That's my
- 5:00Speaker 2: favorite version of it. This is a great slate. We're
- 5:03Speaker 2: gonna talk through it, Hoop. I'll kick it over to
- 5:05Speaker 2: you now to talk about the Eagles at the Packers.
- 5:08Speaker 2: You talked about the close spread. You know, we're hearing
- 5:11Speaker 2: everybody's style on a frozen tundra like it's never been
- 5:14Speaker 2: cold before in Green Bay. You know, Title have his
- 5:16Speaker 2: thoughts on that. I'm sure the chat does as well.
- 5:17Speaker 2: But anyway, your thoughts, whoop, your grand scheme over you
- 5:20Speaker 2: for this game before we get to captains.
- 5:24Speaker 4: Well, I mean it's kind of the same thing and
- 5:25Speaker 4: it all kind of plays together. Where like the Packers
- 5:28Speaker 4: on main slates are a tough team to figure out
- 5:30Speaker 4: because you know, it could be anyone that gets the
- 5:33Speaker 4: job done today, I think there's a chance that it's
- 5:36Speaker 4: maybe like a little more narrowed down. I mean, with
- 5:40Speaker 4: with Tucker Craft going down, you know, Musgrave slides in
- 5:45Speaker 4: some of these pass catchers. I mean there's just I
- 5:47Speaker 4: think less options maybe and we can talk through it.
- 5:51Speaker 4: But on the Eagle side, you know, the main guys
- 5:55Speaker 4: like you know, it's hurt Saquon, aj Brown, Demon Smith, God, Like,
- 6:00Speaker 4: if an Eagles guy gets there, it's probably pretty clear,
- 6:04Speaker 4: you know, of the group of five, it's probably one
- 6:06Speaker 4: of those guys. On the Packers side, yeah, there's more names,
- 6:10Speaker 4: but I think it's a little more clear, uh tonight,
- 6:13Speaker 4: opposed to you know, other slates or other games.
- 6:17Speaker 3: That we're kind of looking at.
- 6:18Speaker 4: So overall, I think it's a more narrow player pool tonight,
- 6:23Speaker 4: like less guys that I'm interested in getting overweight on.
- 6:28Speaker 3: You know.
- 6:28Speaker 4: The Eagles stuff is pretty easy in terms of trying
- 6:31Speaker 4: to identify who the captains could be though, And I'm assuming.
- 6:35Speaker 3: You know, all their guys get some degree of ownership.
- 6:37Speaker 4: You know, anytime like Jalen Hurts, Saquon Barkley are on
- 6:42Speaker 4: a showdown site, they're probably getting a decent bit of ownership,
- 6:46Speaker 4: you know, Saquon maybe a little bit more in the past.
- 6:48Speaker 3: We really haven't seen it much this year.
- 6:51Speaker 4: Just pulling it up, it looks like Hurts is getting
- 6:53Speaker 4: around fifteen, Jacobs around fifteen, Barkley twelve, Love fourteen.
- 6:59Speaker 3: Then there's little bit of drop off to the rest
- 7:01Speaker 3: of the guys.
- 7:01Speaker 4: So uh yeah, I mean this is a slate where
- 7:05Speaker 4: I don't know, I could see myself maybe narrowing it down.
- 7:08Speaker 3: A little bit in terms of the player pool in
- 7:11Speaker 3: the captain spot. We'll see though, curious see what you
- 7:13Speaker 3: guys think about it all.
- 7:14Speaker 2: Yeah, Ted, I'll kick it over to you. I mean,
- 7:16Speaker 2: you could speak to the weather for sure. The chat
- 7:17Speaker 2: mentioned some of it to it like it matters more
- 7:19Speaker 2: if you get a West Coast team that's you know,
- 7:21Speaker 2: used to the sunny days, or you get Miami or
- 7:24Speaker 2: something that's you know, always down in the sun and
- 7:25Speaker 2: then goes to play somewhere cold. Philly. We've seen, you know,
- 7:28Speaker 2: seventy eight yard runs in the snow from Saquon Barkley,
- 7:31Speaker 2: the legendary snow Game, that type of stuff where I
- 7:33Speaker 2: don't know if it matters as much for Philly going
- 7:35Speaker 2: into Green Bay.
- 7:35Speaker 3: I don't.
- 7:36Speaker 2: Also, I don't think anybody likes playing in the cold.
- 7:38Speaker 2: When they're like, oh, this guy hate's playing in the cold. Yeah,
- 7:40Speaker 2: does anyone like it? Or you know, some people say
- 7:42Speaker 2: they feed off of it or whatever. I'm sure, but
- 7:44Speaker 2: at the end of the day, they'd much rather be
- 7:45Speaker 2: a bit warmer, I think. But your thoughts there, and
- 7:48Speaker 2: then also a little bit on Barkley, You no, he
- 7:50Speaker 2: I think he just held himself out. It was full
- 7:52Speaker 2: practice all week. But last game he did come out
- 7:54Speaker 2: for a little bit, and it was Bigsby who came
- 7:57Speaker 2: in just fine, but they were already up big. I
- 7:58Speaker 2: don't really think it's something worried about, at least on paper.
- 8:01Speaker 2: What's your thoughts?
- 8:02Speaker 5: Yeah, I was more concerned. Like right when that happened,
- 8:04Speaker 5: he pulled up pretty gingerly walked to the sideline. It
- 8:08Speaker 5: was tank from there. But like you said, they didn't
- 8:10Speaker 5: need them to come back, and it sounds like it's
- 8:12Speaker 5: not wasn't a worry. Even the day after on Monday,
- 8:15Speaker 5: they said that they weren't too worried about it. So
- 8:17Speaker 5: I'm not expecting anything there. Tank did run well, though,
- 8:20Speaker 5: Like I do expect them to maybe mix in a
- 8:22Speaker 5: little more tank and backup running backs moving forward in
- 8:25Speaker 5: games they can just because I mean, they want to
- 8:27Speaker 5: win the Super Bowl. You want them to be healthy.
- 8:30Speaker 5: As far as the weather, yeah, I mean it's just
- 8:31Speaker 5: a typical November green Bay day. There's green yellow I'm
- 8:35Speaker 5: looking at for Roth. It's cold, it's always cold. Eagles
- 8:38Speaker 5: are used to it being cold. Screwed the cold. No
- 8:40Speaker 5: one likes that. Get down to Arizona and the heat.
- 8:43Speaker 5: But yeah, I mean the injuries Tucker Craft and then Golden,
- 8:46Speaker 5: I don't think it doesn't look like Matthew Golden's gonna play.
- 8:49Speaker 5: Saveon Williams is questionable. So a team in the Packers
- 8:53Speaker 5: that was very difficult to figure out. It's still difficult
- 8:56Speaker 5: because Christian Watson is now back, There's Malik Heath, Dobbs,
- 9:01Speaker 5: et cetera. But at least tight end, so musk Grave
- 9:04Speaker 5: someone asked about it, and then John Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick was
- 9:07Speaker 5: out there getting some reps and blocking an occasional pass
- 9:12Speaker 5: here and there when Tucker Craft was in. So Packers
- 9:14Speaker 5: will definitely play two tight ends a decent bit. Savan
- 9:17Speaker 5: Williams news is interesting because if he's out, Dodgs is
- 9:20Speaker 5: the clear number one. Watson's the clear two. I think,
- 9:23Speaker 5: I mean Wix's I guess questionable too. I think he
- 9:25Speaker 5: probably plays, but he would be three, and then Heath
- 9:28Speaker 5: and save on after that. The problem is, though Jacob's like,
- 9:32Speaker 5: it's not even like he's a workhorse anymore. The Packers
- 9:34Speaker 5: have definitely given Emmanuel Wilson the rock a decent bit.
- 9:38Speaker 5: Jacobs has been kind of beat up all year, but
- 9:41Speaker 5: I mean, he's fine, but they're getting Wilson the ball.
- 9:44Speaker 5: And the thing with Emmanuel Wilson is man his Like
- 9:47Speaker 5: you look at value on this slate below Eagles defense
- 9:51Speaker 5: at three point a k, I have no one projected
- 9:53Speaker 5: for over three points except Emmanuel Wilson. I do think
- 9:56Speaker 5: he will be the chalkiest one down there that fits
- 9:59Speaker 5: a lot of stuff. But after that, like it John Fitzpatrick,
- 10:02Speaker 5: Savion Williams, Tank Bigsby, Chris Brooks, Malie Keith down there,
- 10:07Speaker 5: Will Shipley, Like the value is so gross is what
- 10:10Speaker 5: stands out to me. But we have guys you want
- 10:12Speaker 5: to sign on, if you want Hurts, if you want.
- 10:14Speaker 5: So it's kind of going to lead me to some
- 10:16Speaker 5: of these more middling captains and stuff that I'm fine
- 10:19Speaker 5: saving on. I don't think we need the highest score
- 10:22Speaker 5: up top today just based on the value I'm seeing.
- 10:25Speaker 2: Yeah, I've seen a comment highlighted there. We got it
- 10:28Speaker 2: a hoove, go ahead, pop that thing up.
- 10:30Speaker 3: Yeah, damn tonight, where's Nds? Neds will let us know?
- 10:34Speaker 3: He's been talking about golden for what.
- 10:36Speaker 4: Week is it? He's been talking boum for nine so
- 10:39Speaker 4: maybe maybe nads will will let us know if it's
- 10:42Speaker 4: a golden night.
- 10:43Speaker 2: God, that's good, that's good. Yeah, he did no practices
- 10:46Speaker 2: though title mention it no practice Friday or Saturday for him,
- 10:49Speaker 2: so definitely in question we'll get to see that. And
- 10:52Speaker 2: then Wicks, I don't know, like the WIX would be
- 10:54Speaker 2: a product of having to get in there just because
- 10:56Speaker 2: they're without Golden and Williams. Probably, I don't think they
- 10:59Speaker 2: love Wicks. I I saw some stuff over the last
- 11:01Speaker 2: couple of weeks talking about his upcoming contract and the
- 11:04Speaker 2: one that's not going to exist in Green Bay for
- 11:06Speaker 2: him any further because they're they're paying him like a
- 11:09Speaker 2: million a season or something, just not something they're interested
- 11:11Speaker 2: in doing moving forward. So you got Dobbs, you got Watson,
- 11:14Speaker 2: you got Heath, and then the tight end room will
- 11:16Speaker 2: get you later. Musgrave, Fitzpatrick and Wiley or whatever you
- 11:19Speaker 2: say his name like, is the three that are there
- 11:21Speaker 2: that people are mentioning. Fitzpatrick's touchdown prop is like in
- 11:25Speaker 2: the same realm of like Heath or someone, but you
- 11:27Speaker 2: know he's the backup, back up. Obviously Musgrave a better number,
- 11:30Speaker 2: but they priced him up with the obvious news that
- 11:32Speaker 2: Craft no longer able to play. So that's just something
- 11:35Speaker 2: to talk about there. I think it's gonna be a
- 11:37Speaker 2: interesting spot. The one other piece to mention that you
- 11:40Speaker 2: know it'll get brought up a ton I'm sure, is
- 11:42Speaker 2: about green Bay going against the tush push rule and
- 11:45Speaker 2: how everyone and their dog is telling me tonight that
- 11:48Speaker 2: you have to bet Jalen Hurts three touchdowns because he's
- 11:51Speaker 2: just gonna run. He's gonna push three in. It's like
- 11:53Speaker 2: thirty five to one or something. But I believe the
- 11:55Speaker 2: books are actually giving better odds on that now that
- 11:58Speaker 2: everyone's betting it, because it's very unlikely that someone scoring
- 12:00Speaker 2: three rushing touchdowns. But if it was someone, it could
- 12:03Speaker 2: be him, it could be Barkley. But it's just something
- 12:06Speaker 2: to think about there. Soop, I'll kick it over to you.
- 12:08Speaker 2: You talked about keeping a tighter captain pool. Give us
- 12:11Speaker 2: some of the thoughts. I mean, Hurts, Barkley some of
- 12:13Speaker 2: the obvious ones, but what are some of your thoughts
- 12:15Speaker 2: around the alternatives and even with using those at your
- 12:18Speaker 2: top top captain option.
- 12:19Speaker 4: Yeah, my initial thoughts just looking at it is I
- 12:23Speaker 4: just want a lot of the Eagles guys, just because
- 12:25Speaker 4: when you look at their games, it's typically somebody goes
- 12:29Speaker 4: off for the Eagles, whether it's Hurts, whether it's Aj Brown,
- 12:33Speaker 4: DeVonta Smith, even Goddard. Goddard has gone off this season
- 12:37Speaker 4: and in past seasons, and Saquan not as much this year,
- 12:40Speaker 4: but it just seems like they have the ceiling performances,
- 12:43Speaker 4: whereas the Packers really don't have those big ceiling performances,
- 12:48Speaker 4: you know, outside of you know, maybe like like Jacobs,
- 12:52Speaker 4: but he Wilson has been getting, you know, eating into
- 12:56Speaker 4: that full workhorse sort of role. So a little worried there.
- 13:00Speaker 4: I just prefer all the Eagles guys, Hurts, Barkley, AJ Brown,
- 13:05Speaker 4: DeVonta Smith, and even Goddard. When I go to the
- 13:09Speaker 4: packer side, my favorite is probably Luke Musgrave and I
- 13:13Speaker 4: am going to play him up top and should not
- 13:15Speaker 4: have that much ownership.
- 13:18Speaker 3: We're showing three percent on top. He's probably my favorite packer.
- 13:22Speaker 4: And I'm gonna pass on the Jordan Love stuff like
- 13:24Speaker 4: if it is Jordan Love cool, like, I just won't
- 13:26Speaker 4: be on it. That's one move I'll kind of make.
- 13:29Speaker 4: You know, he's looking to be the third most popular
- 13:32Speaker 4: up top. I'm fine either being severely underweight on him
- 13:36Speaker 4: and the captain or just completely.
- 13:37Speaker 3: Being off of it.
- 13:38Speaker 4: But just looking at these Eagles games, even when it's
- 13:42Speaker 4: kind of ugly, someone typically goes off for him and
- 13:45Speaker 4: it could be any of their main guys.
- 13:46Speaker 3: So I want exposure to all the main Eagles.
- 13:49Speaker 4: Guys up top, and then on the Packers side, definitely
- 13:53Speaker 4: want exposure to Musgrave. You know, I'd be fine if
- 13:57Speaker 4: I got some Jacobs Romeo Dobbs. But I just don't
- 14:01Speaker 4: love the Packers side as much as I love the
- 14:03Speaker 4: Eagle side.
- 14:04Speaker 3: From a captain.
- 14:04Speaker 4: Perspective, that not necessarily saying I think the Eagles are
- 14:07Speaker 4: gonna win this game or blow out the Packers. Like
- 14:10Speaker 4: even in a close game, it can still be Eagles
- 14:14Speaker 4: captain that you need. Even with them losing, it can
- 14:17Speaker 4: be Eagles captain that you need. So I'm just gonna
- 14:19Speaker 4: lean Eagles captain in almost every scenario. And then if
- 14:23Speaker 4: going to the Packer's side for just for captain purposes,
- 14:28Speaker 4: must Graves it is definitely my favorite. I mean, Love
- 14:30Speaker 4: obviously had a great connection with Tucker Craft.
- 14:34Speaker 3: Mustbrave.
- 14:35Speaker 4: He's a competent tight end, He's a competent pass catcher.
- 14:38Speaker 4: He's had big games in the NFL. I think he
- 14:41Speaker 4: continues throwing to the tight end. And I think Musk
- 14:44Speaker 4: Graves in a really good spot tonight. So Eagles and Musgrave,
- 14:48Speaker 4: and then if you guys can talk me into some
- 14:50Speaker 4: of these other Packers may boll add him into the mix.
- 14:52Speaker 2: I'll be trying gotta stay here though the hot hand.
- 14:55Speaker 2: We talked a little d Wix earlier, what about a
- 14:58Speaker 2: little t Hicks Tyler yesterday with the same ain't outright
- 15:00Speaker 2: call gets the job done, And now he says it's true.
- 15:03Speaker 2: You know, three is a lot, but the Hurts anytime
- 15:05Speaker 2: touchdown plus one hundred not bad. Our man Ross always
- 15:08Speaker 2: here supporting, we appreciate you. So yeah, Taylor, Jonathan Taylor does,
- 15:12Speaker 2: but he's not thirty five to one to score three usually,
- 15:14Speaker 2: I don't think. So that's kind of the thought process
- 15:16Speaker 2: and pushing it up in some places for Hurts again
- 15:19Speaker 2: based on a narrative. So I think that's what's more
- 15:21Speaker 2: interesting about it. Tight all, get your thoughts at the
- 15:24Speaker 2: captain man just you know, mentioning it here. You know,
- 15:27Speaker 2: hurts Barkley, I guess the ones that seem to be
- 15:29Speaker 2: lower than usual and is just a case of what
- 15:31Speaker 2: we have in front of us for this slate is
- 15:33Speaker 2: all of the wide receivers and tight ends. Like it's
- 15:36Speaker 2: basically just quarterbacks, running backs and then wherever it falls,
- 15:40Speaker 2: and it still kind of spreads out at those, but
- 15:42Speaker 2: they also eat up like sixty to seventy five percent
- 15:44Speaker 2: of the captain ownership.
- 15:46Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm struggling to an extent. I do know I'm
- 15:49Speaker 5: way higher on these packers than who for the sense
- 15:52Speaker 5: of a lot of the times you're gonna get a
- 15:54Speaker 5: discount on like you even just look Jordan Love compared
- 15:58Speaker 5: to Saquon and Jail at the Captain, You're able to
- 16:01Speaker 5: save twelve hundred and fifteen hundred and again with how
- 16:04Speaker 5: bad the value is down below, like that means something
- 16:07Speaker 5: to me. You look at Romeo Dobbs, twelve K Captain,
- 16:10Speaker 5: you get to say, fifteen hundred and eighteen hundred from
- 16:13Speaker 5: aj Brown and Devonte Smith. Dobb is one of my
- 16:16Speaker 5: favorite captains, no doubt, or one of my favorite plays
- 16:18Speaker 5: on the slate, no doubt, for the fact that he
- 16:20Speaker 5: has already been wide receiver one all year. Now they're
- 16:23Speaker 5: without Golden, which I don't know, maybe a couple more
- 16:26Speaker 5: first first looks for Love. But I think Watson actually
- 16:31Speaker 5: back helps Dobbs because he extends the field and he
- 16:33Speaker 5: opens up the middle a little more. And I'm fine
- 16:35Speaker 5: playing Christian Watson too. I'm assuming Golden's ruled out, I
- 16:38Speaker 5: would have less interest. I would have interest in Dobbs,
- 16:41Speaker 5: but everyone else I would have less interest in. If
- 16:43Speaker 5: Golden does play, but I mean Watson, he looks good.
- 16:46Speaker 5: He's been running a lot of seam routes, a lot
- 16:48Speaker 5: of big play upside. Jordan Love loves to chuck the ball,
- 16:52Speaker 5: so Watson Wicks Like, I'm playing all these packers wide receivers,
- 16:56Speaker 5: and I like Jordan Love because he can spread it
- 16:58Speaker 5: out so much. And again because I I do not
- 17:00Speaker 5: like the value too much. You're talking sixty six hundred
- 17:03Speaker 5: Wicks and the captain ninety three hundred, Watson twelve hundred Dobbs,
- 17:07Speaker 5: and I'm seeing eight percent, three percent, two percent. Yeah,
- 17:10Speaker 5: I mean there's upside there, and I'm gonna play Love
- 17:12Speaker 5: two for the sense if he can spread it out
- 17:14Speaker 5: and throw three or four touchdowns of three or four
- 17:16Speaker 5: different guys, And if that's the case, you're probably gonna
- 17:18Speaker 5: need them up top. The receiving yards prop actually stood
- 17:22Speaker 5: out to me. Aj Brown fifty seven and a half,
- 17:25Speaker 5: DeVante fifty four and a half, Dobbs fifty three and
- 17:28Speaker 5: a half, Watson forty what was it forty four and
- 17:32Speaker 5: a half. So you're telling me like ten yards less
- 17:34Speaker 5: for Watson to Smith when looking at it, and you
- 17:37Speaker 5: get a sixty two hundred versus nine K, Like, yeah,
- 17:40Speaker 5: the receivers are overpriced for the Eagles. You could argue
- 17:44Speaker 5: maybe under price or efficiently priced for the Packers. But
- 17:47Speaker 5: then I go back and I'm like, all right, we
- 17:48Speaker 5: play an ownership game when you win, how much do
- 17:50Speaker 5: you win? And you have seven percent and eleven percent
- 17:53Speaker 5: or five percent for Devonte up top. Honestly, I don't
- 17:56Speaker 5: even know how much I love it, Like I'm gonna
- 17:58Speaker 5: play Saquon in Hurts and be boring that way, I
- 18:01Speaker 5: might be underweight, but if I start plugging in all
- 18:03Speaker 5: these packers and stuff, now my pool is so big.
- 18:06Speaker 5: So honestly, I don't love aj and Smith as much.
- 18:09Speaker 5: I like the packers stuff a lot on this slate,
- 18:11Speaker 5: and I'm going to be overweight to a lot of
- 18:13Speaker 5: these packers captains for price discounts and ownership discounts. Really,
- 18:17Speaker 5: outside of Jacobs, who I'm fine with, He's minus one
- 18:19Speaker 5: fifty five to score. The next best on the slate
- 18:21Speaker 5: Saque at minus one oh five, but Wilson has really
- 18:24Speaker 5: ate into his his workload a bit and some goal
- 18:27Speaker 5: line touches. So I honestly the three highest on captains
- 18:30Speaker 5: Saquon Hurts and Jacobs.
- 18:33Speaker 3: I don't.
- 18:34Speaker 5: I can't really say I love any of them. I'm
- 18:36Speaker 5: going to take a shot on some of these lower
- 18:37Speaker 5: own captains to day.
- 18:38Speaker 2: Yeah, I will say the one that you mentioned, I
- 18:41Speaker 2: know Whop wasn't as high, and it's all try and
- 18:43Speaker 2: sell them. But I definitely have interest in the love stuff.
- 18:46Speaker 2: I know you just mentioned a title, but the fact
- 18:47Speaker 2: that he spreads it out so much more, it's more
- 18:50Speaker 2: interesting to me more than just that. That's the obvious part.
- 18:52Speaker 2: I want a quarterback. If I want a quarterback, I
- 18:54Speaker 2: want them to be able to spread it out, even
- 18:56Speaker 2: try some stuff every now and again, maybe rush one in,
- 18:58Speaker 2: who knows how he can take it. But I'm seeing
- 19:01Speaker 2: currently it's he's either third or fourth highest stone right now.
- 19:04Speaker 2: It currently shows third, and like Barkley could be slightly
- 19:07Speaker 2: behind him. I don't know if that will hold up.
- 19:09Speaker 2: People typically still find a way to get to Saquon
- 19:11Speaker 2: and so you think about and it's again it'll be
- 19:14Speaker 2: very close. But it's even if he's the fourth, it's
- 19:16Speaker 2: not just that he is fifteen thousand up top versus
- 19:20Speaker 2: fifteen nine sixteen two sixteen five slight difference or leave
- 19:23Speaker 2: the money and be different that way, But the biggest
- 19:25Speaker 2: factor is just how much he hurts the three guys
- 19:28Speaker 2: above him. Pun intended, I guess with Jalen hurts there.
- 19:30Speaker 2: But if if Hurts is gonna be high owned opposite quarterback,
- 19:33Speaker 2: if Barkley's gonna be up there, it's different game scripts sometimes,
- 19:36Speaker 2: or it could be because of that. You can choose
- 19:38Speaker 2: Barkley in the flex, and then it would hurt his
- 19:40Speaker 2: own guy, Josh Jacobs, because it would likely pull from him.
- 19:43Speaker 2: And then the factors of if you have Dobbs Watson,
- 19:47Speaker 2: we like Musgrave, whoever ends up being the other option.
- 19:50Speaker 2: That's kind of the Bills I think anyway, So I
- 19:52Speaker 2: think it's definitely interesting to have Jordan Love up top.
- 19:55Speaker 2: I like your call on Dobbs. I like Watson as well,
- 19:59Speaker 2: and our man age just hopped in there, and I
- 20:01Speaker 2: think I saw him posted up, said Watson season.
- 20:03Speaker 6: I think I'm shot outing a Packers pass catcher. Shocking information.
- 20:10Speaker 6: It's just rides in Golden right to Watson. Golden's injured,
- 20:14Speaker 6: all right, who's the next guy? Give me give me
- 20:15Speaker 6: this watching, dude.
- 20:16Speaker 5: It's a one game slate, to be fair, we ain't
- 20:18Speaker 5: talking ten game mains.
- 20:19Speaker 4: Say, you know, his ass would beyond You're saying the
- 20:23Speaker 4: exact same thing.
- 20:24Speaker 6: If we're talking main slave football right now.
- 20:26Speaker 2: I got you.
- 20:30Speaker 5: Know, he's yelling at his computer.
- 20:33Speaker 4: This could be a thirteen game main slate. He'd be
- 20:35Speaker 4: in here saying Watson season had nothing to do with
- 20:38Speaker 4: a showdown.
- 20:39Speaker 2: It's been going on since week one. We got the
- 20:41Speaker 2: banner still bottom there. This is a non stop I
- 20:44Speaker 2: did have him on Takedown Breakdown this morning with Bellman
- 20:47Speaker 2: and we put Aids on the spot. We let him
- 20:49Speaker 2: have his his fifteen seconds of fame there. We could
- 20:52Speaker 2: go talk about it and it's he's no Homer, he said,
- 20:54Speaker 2: So I think that's interesting, But I'm reversing. I guess
- 20:58Speaker 2: what title said. It's all the same stuff. Well, I
- 21:00Speaker 2: like love up top two. But what Watson can do
- 21:03Speaker 2: for Dobbs, Dobbs can also do for Watson. You know,
- 21:07Speaker 2: it feels like one of those two. The bigger part
- 21:09Speaker 2: is what people say about Watson, and people have already
- 21:11Speaker 2: said it today. I've heard multiple people say this about
- 21:13Speaker 2: Muskgrave is these are guys that can't stay healthy, don't
- 21:17Speaker 2: care like I care about tonight. If they break down tonight,
- 21:20Speaker 2: so be it, it happened to It can happen anyway, happen
- 21:22Speaker 2: to Craft, happened to tons of the Malik neighbors. You
- 21:24Speaker 2: go down the list of people this season that it's
- 21:26Speaker 2: happened to. But the ability of Musgrave's health dating back
- 21:31Speaker 2: to college, Like, I don't give a shit. We're playing tonight.
- 21:34Speaker 2: All I care about is today's slate. So like what
- 21:36Speaker 2: he did in college or whatever happened to him and
- 21:38Speaker 2: his body back then or whatever, it don't matter to me, no, nothing,
- 21:41Speaker 2: So I think that's important to remember for this slate.
- 21:43Speaker 2: I like Watson, I like Dobbs, I like Musgrave, I
- 21:46Speaker 2: like Love. That's why I like love connecting with those guys,
- 21:49Speaker 2: and I prefer Hurts and Barkley. I will experiment later
- 21:53Speaker 2: and see what these Brown and Smith lineups look like,
- 21:56Speaker 2: because they do fit in at a little cheaper price tag.
- 21:59Speaker 2: Maybe that's what makes them unique. But it's gonna just
- 22:01Speaker 2: be underweight on some of the Top four if I
- 22:04Speaker 2: go do that route, so, you know, spreading it out
- 22:07Speaker 2: for sure tonight. I think it's a good slate to
- 22:08Speaker 2: do so, but not gonna try and go too thin
- 22:11Speaker 2: or too cheap or anything like that. I think it's
- 22:13Speaker 2: gonna kind of be Musgrave and above, but mostly musk
- 22:18Speaker 2: Grave and Watson will probably be the only two captains
- 22:20Speaker 2: sort of under ten K that I see working because
- 22:22Speaker 2: Goddard is on the other side, and that's really how
- 22:25Speaker 2: I play it typically lately. So I don't know if
- 22:27Speaker 2: brown Smith will get much love. I'll have to wait
- 22:29Speaker 2: and see on that title. Do you have anything else
- 22:30Speaker 2: you want to add with the captains? If not, you
- 22:33Speaker 2: could talk us through quarterback a little bit more. They're
- 22:35Speaker 2: talking about Jordan leverage up there. If you want to
- 22:37Speaker 2: play Jordan Love up top. We talked about that, But
- 22:40Speaker 2: anything else you want to talk about with the captains.
- 22:41Speaker 2: If not, we can go to quarterback.
- 22:43Speaker 5: Yeah, not really. I do think aj and DeVante just
- 22:46Speaker 5: have to be squeezed. But I mean it's tough captain ownership.
- 22:51Speaker 5: Like the highest we have right now is fifteen point
- 22:53Speaker 5: four to one for Hurts, and I think it is accurate.
- 22:55Speaker 5: I think that just does show how much it is
- 22:57Speaker 5: spread out. For the fact that when you do put
- 22:59Speaker 5: saqu or Hurt to these guys up top, you're gonna
- 23:02Speaker 5: get to a range with very uncomfortable clicks. And when
- 23:04Speaker 5: we go throughout you'll see, like when we get to
- 23:07Speaker 5: running back, I'm gonna say, guy like a tank Bigsby.
- 23:09Speaker 5: I mean, if you're only playing a couple of teams,
- 23:11Speaker 5: it's not great to click that name. But when you're
- 23:13Speaker 5: comparing them to people in the range, I mean you're
- 23:16Speaker 5: almost like these projections are one point two, two point two,
- 23:19Speaker 5: et cetera. So yeah, that's all I got to captain.
- 23:21Speaker 5: I echo your last statement. You said, if you do
- 23:24Speaker 5: get overweight or gets the aj brown Smith, you're probably
- 23:27Speaker 5: gonna be underweight on like the top four at least
- 23:29Speaker 5: most of them. And I agree, like if I somehow
- 23:32Speaker 5: end up over on them and has to come from somewhere,
- 23:34Speaker 5: it would come from those guys up top, which I
- 23:36Speaker 5: would be fine with. Again, I don't necessarily love Saquon
- 23:40Speaker 5: Hurts or Jacobs in this spot. I'm gonna be hoping
- 23:43Speaker 5: it's probably a lower own captain up top to a
- 23:45Speaker 5: little to get a little different and win a lot
- 23:48Speaker 5: of money if we do win quarterbacks. I don't really
- 23:50Speaker 5: have much to add. I think you can fade both
- 23:53Speaker 5: quarterbacks in the flex or captain in certain builds for
- 23:56Speaker 5: the sense of all right, is it a saque day
- 23:59Speaker 5: like if I'm not playing Hurt in any build, I'm
- 24:01Speaker 5: probably more likely to play Saquan up top. Maybe he
- 24:04Speaker 5: does all of it, or just be a four to
- 24:06Speaker 5: two packers. There are five to one packers and they
- 24:08Speaker 5: just beat the Eagles and dust them. But if he
- 24:11Speaker 5: doesn't get his touch push stuff and Saquon gets the
- 24:13Speaker 5: goal line touchdowns, or if it's just like one touchdown
- 24:16Speaker 5: and it's Brown or Smith, I could see a path there.
- 24:19Speaker 5: You can obviously see a path with the Packers if
- 24:22Speaker 5: it's Wilson fits Jacobs on the ground. But honestly, with
- 24:25Speaker 5: the discount, I think I like love more than herts today.
- 24:29Speaker 2: I will say this too, you don't really need quarterback
- 24:32Speaker 2: if you just play double d and double kicker like
- 24:34Speaker 2: it's been crushing lately, so you know, maybe you just
- 24:36Speaker 2: need the running backs and that. But that's kind of
- 24:39Speaker 2: the way I've seen it. I'll kick it to you
- 24:41Speaker 2: in a sec hoop just on additional quarterback dots. But
- 24:43Speaker 2: our man Kenny w in the chat says, don't think
- 24:45Speaker 2: I've ever seen captain optimal rates this spread out. Yeah,
- 24:48Speaker 2: I'm looking at the stone and it all correlates in lines,
- 24:51Speaker 2: but it is pretty wild how spread out it is
- 24:53Speaker 2: for tonight. It's type of game you're gonna get though.
- 24:56Speaker 2: This back to Tyler here says Dawdell was running through
- 24:59Speaker 2: Green Bay. This is this is why I said earlier.
- 25:01Speaker 2: I think Barkley does creep up from where he is
- 25:03Speaker 2: currently right now when people remember that, oh this is
- 25:06Speaker 2: the case and this is the thought process. It's not
- 25:07Speaker 2: like it's gonna be much. I guess I'm not saying
- 25:09Speaker 2: that it's gonna be some wide gap here margin, but
- 25:11Speaker 2: I definitely think it is possible that we see that.
- 25:14Speaker 2: And then I will kick at you on this because
- 25:17Speaker 2: we talked about quarterbacks. You can add on and then
- 25:18Speaker 2: we go to running back after. But the Super Bowl
- 25:22Speaker 2: defending Super Bowl champions are on the road, sure, but
- 25:26Speaker 2: they're coming into to play Green Bay, who lost to
- 25:28Speaker 2: Carolina recently, And so any any thoughts on that? And
- 25:32Speaker 2: by the way, I think that it's gone from like
- 25:34Speaker 2: two and a half what was what I think green
- 25:36Speaker 2: Bay started at, it's down to one. So maybe more
- 25:38Speaker 2: people are catching onto that or more thinking that now.
- 25:41Speaker 2: But do you have any thoughts on that at all?
- 25:42Speaker 2: I know we've been trying to pick off these lines lately.
- 25:44Speaker 2: We got New Orleans and we got the Ravens yesterday.
- 25:46Speaker 2: That was nice.
- 25:48Speaker 4: Yeah, just so weak to week. I mean, yeah, it's
- 25:51Speaker 4: just crazy to think that Carolina beat this team. Now
- 25:54Speaker 4: they're favored against the super Bowl winning team to I
- 26:00Speaker 4: don't know, I've no explanation for it. It's just just
- 26:03Speaker 4: goes to show you the NFL, like anything can happen,
- 26:06Speaker 4: you know, any given Sunday.
- 26:08Speaker 3: Definitely definitely remains true.
- 26:11Speaker 5: The Eagles haven't bet like looked great eye tests wise.
- 26:14Speaker 5: I mean, the Giants, we're seventeen.
- 26:17Speaker 4: A whole lot of cruise control, right, I mean, it
- 26:19Speaker 4: just seems like they're just cruising through this regular season.
- 26:22Speaker 3: They're six and two, you.
- 26:23Speaker 4: Know, and if if you watch them play, you wouldn't
- 26:26Speaker 4: assume they're six and two.
- 26:27Speaker 3: They haven't looked.
- 26:28Speaker 5: Way worse than six and two.
- 26:30Speaker 2: Yeah, well, there's all those conversations right now, because like
- 26:35Speaker 2: Denver and their record, you look at all these teams
- 26:38Speaker 2: even last night, look at the records in those teams,
- 26:39Speaker 2: like two winning teams playing each other game looks like shit,
- 26:42Speaker 2: Like it's just horrible to watch.
- 26:44Speaker 3: And they not go back. Who are the best teams?
- 26:46Speaker 3: Like it's like again, like you have the conversation every week.
- 26:48Speaker 4: Like three weeks ago, you would say the Bills are
- 26:51Speaker 4: probably like one of the top teams in the NFL.
- 26:53Speaker 4: Now it's like people are saying they're not good, like
- 26:56Speaker 4: they're not going a weapon.
- 26:57Speaker 5: I mean, that's that's brutal. I'm so mad if Josh
- 27:00Speaker 5: Allen Coleman can't get open any separation.
- 27:04Speaker 4: Yeah, but I guess like the other thing is like
- 27:06Speaker 4: they just don't like even when they have weapons there,
- 27:11Speaker 4: like they just don't really use them.
- 27:13Speaker 3: I guess I don't know.
- 27:14Speaker 4: It's like it's kind of like a Catch twenty two
- 27:17Speaker 4: to me, Like I don't know.
- 27:18Speaker 5: And he had Diggs, he was pretty n d Davis.
- 27:21Speaker 5: He made gave Davis pretty good.
- 27:22Speaker 3: Yeah. Yeah, they really have nothing. I mean they have
- 27:25Speaker 3: a possession guy in Shakir. It seemed like kN KaiB
- 27:27Speaker 3: was kind of emerging as the weapon. He hurt, he
- 27:30Speaker 3: got hurt. So yeah, they it was awful.
- 27:32Speaker 5: Shavers never is in the game. Elijah Moore, I mean.
- 27:35Speaker 3: Yeah, that's rough. It's a rough group, that definitely is
- 27:39Speaker 3: for sure. That is for sure.
- 27:41Speaker 2: You got anything else to add at the quarterback hoop?
- 27:43Speaker 2: You want to spend more time there? And go to
- 27:45Speaker 2: a running back.
- 27:46Speaker 3: For me, it's just definitely Hurts over Love.
- 27:48Speaker 4: I mean, he just has the chance for free fantasy
- 27:51Speaker 4: points if he gets like they get close to the
- 27:53Speaker 4: goal line. I mean it's a free six or you know,
- 27:55Speaker 4: free six fantasy points essentially if they get close because
- 27:58Speaker 4: he's scoring. So I'm definitely only if deciding between the two,
- 28:02Speaker 4: and obviously it was showed on you can play both
- 28:05Speaker 4: definitely strongly into Hurts over Love and then running Back's tough.
- 28:10Speaker 3: But the thing that title keeps touching on that is
- 28:13Speaker 3: very true.
- 28:14Speaker 4: You gotta you gotta make a decision on the slate
- 28:16Speaker 4: because if you start to jam in those expensive captains,
- 28:19Speaker 4: you're gonna be forced to play some of these cheap plays.
- 28:22Speaker 4: And the cheap plays on the slate are fucking terrible,
- 28:25Speaker 4: like really really bad. So you know, I like Saquon
- 28:30Speaker 4: over Jacob. I'm gonna continue on. I'm and be Eagles
- 28:32Speaker 4: heavy over Packers guys in most one on one scenarios,
- 28:36Speaker 4: I'm choosing the Eagles guys. So Saquon over Jacob's Emmanuel
- 28:40Speaker 4: Wilson has a role and he'll probably end up being
- 28:44Speaker 4: uh the highest owned value play, which is insane. It's
- 28:48Speaker 4: like a backup running back that you know could get
- 28:52Speaker 4: a real path to, like.
- 28:54Speaker 3: Two fantasy points.
- 28:55Speaker 4: Is gonna be the most popular guy on the slate.
- 28:58Speaker 4: We're not showing what are we showing. We're showing Yeah, no,
- 29:02Speaker 4: we're showing twenty. I think it's probably even higher than
- 29:04Speaker 4: that because you start to build and there's like nothing
- 29:07Speaker 4: else cheap you want to play, So he's gonna be
- 29:09Speaker 4: very popular.
- 29:10Speaker 3: That is concerning. That's definitely concerning because like.
- 29:14Speaker 4: If he does get we're showing twenty Saber has twenty
- 29:20Speaker 4: four their adjusted ownerships twenty six, Like if it gets
- 29:23Speaker 4: up to like thirty percent, like Emmanuel Wilson at thirty
- 29:27Speaker 4: percent ownership, that just has to be a bad play,
- 29:30Speaker 4: Like it has to be a bad play. So keep
- 29:32Speaker 4: that in mind when playing. If you're using an optimizer,
- 29:36Speaker 4: it's gonna jam him in there, I'm assuming, just because
- 29:39Speaker 4: he's gonna look so much better than anything else and
- 29:41Speaker 4: his floor is very, very low, so be careful there.
- 29:46Speaker 3: Then after it's like Tank Bisbee will Shipley, Like I
- 29:50Speaker 3: just don't want to be there.
- 29:51Speaker 4: So maybe you circle back to Captain and you kind
- 29:54Speaker 4: of go with what title is saying where maybe you
- 29:56Speaker 4: go with some of these cheaper captains to avoid playing
- 29:59Speaker 4: these shitty punts on slate. So that's definitely a strategy
- 30:02Speaker 4: on this one to really think about, because even you
- 30:05Speaker 4: go to wide receiver, there's not many cheap plays, you know,
- 30:09Speaker 4: a lot on a lot of slates. We can find
- 30:10Speaker 4: some cheap wide receivers. Tight end you got, you know,
- 30:14Speaker 4: John Fitzpatrick is a cheap play. But the cheap plays
- 30:17Speaker 4: disappear quickly. So I will say, yeah, be careful with
- 30:20Speaker 4: Emmanuel Wilson because the higher that ownership gets, the worst
- 30:23Speaker 4: of a play is well whop.
- 30:26Speaker 2: Yesterday you had a phenomenal call on the Sunday Show
- 30:29Speaker 2: which was why would you just play Why would you
- 30:31Speaker 2: play Judkins and the Browns with the Browns on the
- 30:33Speaker 2: Road and Dylan Gabriel when you can just flip it
- 30:36Speaker 2: and play Brisol and the Jets. Wonder if you could
- 30:38Speaker 2: do that here for two hundred bucks more and just
- 30:41Speaker 2: play Bigsby and maybe hope for this AK one stuff.
- 30:44Speaker 2: And I mean it's two undred bucks, but on this
- 30:46Speaker 2: plate it looks like it could be four x the
- 30:48Speaker 2: ownership on Wilson over Bigsby. And there's other ways that
- 30:52Speaker 2: he could get there late in the game. All there's
- 30:54Speaker 2: there's a ton of different ways that could happen. On Showdown,
- 30:56Speaker 2: I think a swap like that is possible. I don't
- 30:58Speaker 2: know if you want to chime in on that. If not,
- 31:00Speaker 2: I'll kick it back over the title give his thoughts
- 31:02Speaker 2: on the situation.
- 31:03Speaker 3: I think if if Wilson continues to get that ownership,
- 31:07Speaker 3: if it continues to go up, I think you could
- 31:08Speaker 3: probably just make the case for just about anyone on
- 31:10Speaker 3: the slate, and that's like cheaper.
- 31:12Speaker 4: Like you know, we're just talking running back right now,
- 31:14Speaker 4: but when you get to like the wide receivers and
- 31:17Speaker 4: things like that, it's like we've seen this a lot
- 31:19Speaker 4: on Showdown where there's just like one clear value play
- 31:23Speaker 4: and it's it's I mean, it's a manual Wilson, right,
- 31:26Speaker 4: I mean, he's behind Josh Jacobs. It's not like he's
- 31:29Speaker 4: the starting running back and it's just a clear miss price.
- 31:31Speaker 4: He's still behind uh Jacobs. He got seven touches last week,
- 31:37Speaker 4: he had two point seven Fantasy points last week. That's
- 31:41Speaker 4: probably I.
- 31:41Speaker 3: Mean that that's probably realistic.
- 31:43Speaker 4: Like if I like, I know some of these projection
- 31:45Speaker 4: sites have a higher but if I was going to project,
- 31:48Speaker 4: if you gave an honest projection for Emmanuel Wilson tonight,
- 31:52Speaker 4: like if you told me that, what what do you project.
- 31:54Speaker 3: Him to get?
- 31:54Speaker 4: I would say three point eight? Like I think that's
- 31:58Speaker 4: a fair number for a manual Wilson, like three point eight,
- 32:01Speaker 4: and that's the guy that's going to be the most
- 32:03Speaker 4: popular play, popular cheap play on the slate.
- 32:07Speaker 2: Yeah, what do you think title anything to add on
- 32:09Speaker 2: that stuff? I think it's definitely very interesting for this slate,
- 32:11Speaker 2: and even like Kenny mentions in the high stake stuff,
- 32:14Speaker 2: that's big boy ownership for a twenty six hundred dollars
- 32:17Speaker 2: value play, because there's not much else people want to
- 32:20Speaker 2: go to or take the risk on. Obviously, the more
- 32:22Speaker 2: lineups you have, the portfolio, et cetera, you can do
- 32:24Speaker 2: different things. That's why, Look, I got a entry in
- 32:26Speaker 2: the Mega tonight. I'm excited about my I'm excited about that,
- 32:29Speaker 2: but I'm just as excited about the portfolio playing in
- 32:32Speaker 2: the twenty dollars because then you can cover some angles
- 32:34Speaker 2: and use your portfolio to your advantage with if you're
- 32:37Speaker 2: playing one lineup tonight, whether it's for four dollars, or
- 32:40Speaker 2: forty four dollars. It's not an exciting night to only
- 32:43Speaker 2: have one lineup, I can tell you that much.
- 32:45Speaker 5: Super difficult. Yeah, I mean it comes back to what
- 32:47Speaker 5: I said at the top of why I'm playing some
- 32:48Speaker 5: Christian Watson and even Datavian Wicks and the like, and
- 32:52Speaker 5: why I prefer these packers because I get some more
- 32:54Speaker 5: savings off of the Eagles at even a little less
- 32:57Speaker 5: ownership most of the time, and I can avoid this
- 33:00Speaker 5: bottom range. Much like I'm gonna play Emmanuel Wilson. He's
- 33:03Speaker 5: gonna be a part of my portfolio. I'm definitely not
- 33:05Speaker 5: gonna lock him or do anything crazy. Yet there's nothing
- 33:07Speaker 5: really else I have to say in the sense of
- 33:10Speaker 5: just he's mega chalk relative to his projection and his
- 33:14Speaker 5: price and what you'd expect. But when comparing him to
- 33:16Speaker 5: everyone else down below, like you know he'll be on
- 33:19Speaker 5: the field and as a running back you get guaranteed touches,
- 33:22Speaker 5: guaranteed handoffs, doesn't mean he's gonna do something with it.
- 33:26Speaker 5: Like comparing Tanks Big Bigsby to Manuel Wilson. Manuelilson's plus
- 33:30Speaker 5: four twenty five to score tink Bigsby's plus eighteen hundred
- 33:34Speaker 5: I mean that's a big boy difference. Now, when you
- 33:36Speaker 5: win like that four and a half X or whatever
- 33:39Speaker 5: that difference is, I mean, you're gonna probably win a
- 33:42Speaker 5: lot more than four and a half X if you
- 33:43Speaker 5: took out Wilson and played Tank in the exact lineup
- 33:46Speaker 5: a others. You can always get the Saquon injury or something.
- 33:49Speaker 5: I mean, there's outs to it. Chris Brooks, Okay, you
- 33:53Speaker 5: want to direct pivot. Brooks has still got in a
- 33:56Speaker 5: little bit. He's right there. Wilson's two six, Brooks two four,
- 33:58Speaker 5: Tank two eight. But I'm not gonna lie. I mean,
- 34:01Speaker 5: the clear projection, the best play. The only guy with
- 34:04Speaker 5: the rushing prop, the better TV prop is Emmanuel Wilson.
- 34:08Speaker 2: So this is nuts, dude. I just pulled it up too.
- 34:10Speaker 2: Naid's got us covered in the chat. I was gonna
- 34:12Speaker 2: say it verbally, and then he put it up for me.
- 34:13Speaker 2: I just looked this up. He's a twenty and a
- 34:15Speaker 2: half yeah, rushing prop. He's got almost a one and
- 34:18Speaker 2: a half, so it's a one a half reception prop
- 34:21Speaker 2: and then a four and a half yard receiving prop.
- 34:23Speaker 2: But still, yeah, three point eight, that's it.
- 34:27Speaker 3: I think that adds up.
- 34:27Speaker 5: You got a bank, you got to bank, get a
- 34:29Speaker 5: little touchdown upside, so let's go four point four point
- 34:34Speaker 5: you were.
- 34:35Speaker 2: Closed without going over who but that was very close,
- 34:37Speaker 2: very nice. Yeah, I guess that makes sense. So I mean,
- 34:40Speaker 2: that'll be the thing. But one of the things I'll
- 34:43Speaker 2: say for sure then, you know, just going back to
- 34:45Speaker 2: your title in a second for running backs and stuff.
- 34:47Speaker 2: I mean we're on the same topic anyway. But that
- 34:49Speaker 2: speaks to the balance build, like if that comes through
- 34:52Speaker 2: for the four point eight and some people say, well,
- 34:54Speaker 2: I'll take that, but if it doesn't make everything else
- 34:57Speaker 2: go like it needs to. It's it's not like a
- 34:59Speaker 2: main where like the value makes so oh I risked
- 35:03Speaker 2: it on this defense so I could get Gibbs, a Chan,
- 35:06Speaker 2: this and this in my lineup and it all worked out. Like, yeah,
- 35:09Speaker 2: that's nice if you can make that happen. But on
- 35:11Speaker 2: a single game slate at four point eight, a lot
- 35:14Speaker 2: of people say I'll just take it. If I got it,
- 35:16Speaker 2: it doesn't necessarily mean it will make everything else work.
- 35:18Speaker 2: Depending on how this game plays out. It makes everything
- 35:21Speaker 2: fit different between difference between that going in and everything
- 35:24Speaker 2: mattering on the way out, which is when you need
- 35:26Speaker 2: the actual numbers. So yeah, I think that makes interesting
- 35:28Speaker 2: stuff for the Musgrave, the Goddards, the Watson's of the world.
- 35:33Speaker 2: If they are first of all what you need and
- 35:35Speaker 2: then you don't need them with the cheap option, that
- 35:38Speaker 2: could be something as well. Do you have anything else
- 35:40Speaker 2: on that or anything else you want to add it?
- 35:41Speaker 5: Running back title, Yeah, just it's a good point by Kenny,
- 35:44Speaker 5: Like I'm going into this with the assumption Golden's out,
- 35:47Speaker 5: Wix is in savi on I actually don't have quite
- 35:51Speaker 5: strong of a lead on, but like, yeah, if there's
- 35:53Speaker 5: no Savion and Golden, then maybe that ownership comes down
- 35:57Speaker 5: just a bit because you can play Leek Keith for
- 35:59Speaker 5: three K, which is four hundred more, so packers and
- 36:02Speaker 5: actives will be Like if all of them played, I
- 36:06Speaker 5: think you could see Emmanuel Wilson maybe be even higher
- 36:08Speaker 5: owned because then Heath and Sabian's projection might go down
- 36:11Speaker 5: a little bit. So definitely gonna be on the lookout
- 36:13Speaker 5: for these packers and actives regardless. Wilson I think will
- 36:16Speaker 5: be the highest doone even if they're ruled out at
- 36:19Speaker 5: worst second highest Stone if he gets all that steam.
- 36:22Speaker 5: If they're out yeah, like I'm tank over will Shipley,
- 36:27Speaker 5: even because he's more expensive. He outouched him. When Saquon
- 36:30Speaker 5: got hurt, he looked better. It's still a dart throw
- 36:32Speaker 5: at best, Jacob Saquon. You know we've talked about them.
- 36:35Speaker 5: So that's what I got.
- 36:36Speaker 4: Yeah, let me just clarify real quick, Like, if you're
- 36:39Speaker 4: playing a bunch of lineups tonight, like you know all
- 36:41Speaker 4: of us are doing, yes, probably gonna have Emmanuel Wilson
- 36:45Speaker 4: in the player pool, not like you're gonna fully fade
- 36:47Speaker 4: them building one hundred and fifty teen if you are
- 36:51Speaker 4: handbuilding a few teams, right, if you're one team, if
- 36:54Speaker 4: you're doing single entry, and that ownership is going to
- 36:57Speaker 4: get that.
- 36:57Speaker 3: High, because it is going to get that high.
- 36:59Speaker 4: Like I think I would try to build a team
- 37:01Speaker 4: differently than just playing Emmanuel Wilson. Other thing to consider
- 37:04Speaker 4: with Emmanuel Wilson, a lot of teams are gonna look
- 37:06Speaker 4: very similar when you play Emmanuel Wilson. No matter what
- 37:09Speaker 4: you do, leave sally around the table, whatever it may be,
- 37:12Speaker 4: Emmanuel Wilson teams are gonna be very very similar. So
- 37:15Speaker 4: that's just one thing I wanted to clarify. But yeah,
- 37:18Speaker 4: if you're building one hundred and fifty team tonight. Yeah
- 37:21Speaker 4: he's gonna be in the pool for sure, but you know,
- 37:24Speaker 4: be careful with with with you know how you plan.
- 37:28Speaker 2: Yeah, agreed, I agreed one hundred percent. And maybe what
- 37:32Speaker 2: Kenny was saying is, if you know, save on Williams
- 37:34Speaker 2: could be Savior Williams if he plays tonight. And we
- 37:37Speaker 2: you know, don't have a forty percent owned Wilson or
- 37:40Speaker 2: a sixty percent on Wilson because it moves some things
- 37:41Speaker 2: around and makes it so that people can get different
- 37:43Speaker 2: in other places. But there are certainly a ton of
- 37:46Speaker 2: ways you can stay still play Wilson, to Hoop's point,
- 37:48Speaker 2: when you have a full portfolio to be able to
- 37:50Speaker 2: do it, and Kenny's the person bringing it up right here,
- 37:52Speaker 2: what if you run a five to one with Wilson
- 37:55Speaker 2: on the other side, and it's like most people are
- 37:57Speaker 2: using that to fit in the studs from both sides,
- 37:59Speaker 2: and you just run something like that so that there's
- 38:01Speaker 2: definitely other ways to get different. Or you could use
- 38:05Speaker 2: Wilson but have one of the captains like who mentioned Musgrave,
- 38:10Speaker 2: and you have a different build with it with a
- 38:11Speaker 2: three to three instead of a four to two one
- 38:13Speaker 2: way or something like that where people might or a
- 38:15Speaker 2: different type of build. All I'm saying is there's other
- 38:18Speaker 2: ways that you can use these plays to try and
- 38:20Speaker 2: use them to your advantage if you see fit. But
- 38:22Speaker 2: I'd be looking at the numbers, looking at the projections,
- 38:25Speaker 2: looking at you know, if you have the contest sims,
- 38:27Speaker 2: you can dig into some of that stuff to see
- 38:28Speaker 2: what works in your favor and what you're comfortable rolling with,
- 38:31Speaker 2: especially if you only have one lineup. So think that's
- 38:34Speaker 2: definitely important. We will wait for the news. We're breaking
- 38:37Speaker 2: it down in a full If this then that scenario.
- 38:39Speaker 2: With that said, hoop, I mean we can go to
- 38:41Speaker 2: the wide receivers a little bit. Do you want to
- 38:43Speaker 2: take on inning here? I mean, I think the biggest
- 38:46Speaker 2: conversation and we've danced around it. We mentioned a little
- 38:48Speaker 2: during the captain stuff, but as I don't hear anybody
- 38:51Speaker 2: talking about AJ Brown DeVonta Smith, it's will they still
- 38:53Speaker 2: get ownership? Of course, they're two of the best receivers
- 38:56Speaker 2: going and they're in this game, and so that's fair.
- 38:58Speaker 2: But from a captain ownership, even a fleat like you
- 39:01Speaker 2: could see AJ Brown be less than forty owned total
- 39:06Speaker 2: on this slate, possibly across Captain and Flex and it
- 39:10Speaker 2: still is aj Brown like it could still be the case.
- 39:13Speaker 4: So I mean that's why I like the Eagles guys.
- 39:17Speaker 4: I mean for that reason, I do think they get
- 39:19Speaker 4: squeezed a little bit, especially when you start looking around and.
- 39:21Speaker 3: Say, man, there's not a lot of value.
- 39:23Speaker 4: Do I want to spend nine thousand for these wide
- 39:26Speaker 4: receivers who have busted on a lot of slates this season?
- 39:30Speaker 4: So I like both those guys. Have told you I'm
- 39:32Speaker 4: playing them in the Captain feel good about that. You know,
- 39:35Speaker 4: the last guy for Philadelphia's Dotson, and you know I
- 39:40Speaker 4: would probably only play Dotson in Jalen Hurts Captain teams,
- 39:46Speaker 4: you know, very very low floor and low ceiling, and
- 39:50Speaker 4: that's not a good combination for Showdown and the Packers
- 39:54Speaker 4: stuff is pretty contingent on who is in and who
- 39:58Speaker 4: is out. I mean, you got I think Watson probably
- 40:01Speaker 4: or not Watson, but the Golden you know everyone's.
- 40:04Speaker 3: Assuming is out. Is he for sure out? I guess
- 40:06Speaker 3: is a question.
- 40:07Speaker 5: But yeah, no practices shoulder like it sounds surprising if
- 40:11Speaker 5: you would play.
- 40:12Speaker 4: Yeah, So we need some clarity on that situation before
- 40:16Speaker 4: we can really like hammer down, like you know, who
- 40:19Speaker 4: the plays are. I guess this is one way where
- 40:22Speaker 4: some of the Manual Wilson ownership could come down, is
- 40:26Speaker 4: if some of these guys are ruled out and then
- 40:29Speaker 4: you know, Heath becomes a play or save you on
- 40:31Speaker 4: Williams is in and Wix is out, then he becomes
- 40:34Speaker 4: a play. So yeah, the you know, I know Kenny
- 40:37Speaker 4: had posted a comment about it in the chat, and yeah,
- 40:40Speaker 4: it's true that we kind of need to see what
- 40:43Speaker 4: happens with these Packers wide receivers because it kind of
- 40:47Speaker 4: it really does dictate a lot of what goes on
- 40:49Speaker 4: with the slate. If we have a couple super cheap
- 40:52Speaker 4: Packers wide receivers that are now going to be in play,
- 40:54Speaker 4: that does pull some ownership away from the Manuel Wilson.
- 40:57Speaker 3: If these guys are in, and.
- 40:59Speaker 4: Then Manuel Wilson's the standalone, solid cheap play on the
- 41:03Speaker 4: slate and everyone's gonna go there. So we really need
- 41:06Speaker 4: to make sure you're around obviously for foreign actives, because
- 41:09Speaker 4: it really will dictate, you know, what we're looking to
- 41:12Speaker 4: do on the slate. Who are the cheap plays. If
- 41:15Speaker 4: we do get some of these cheap wide receivers to
- 41:17Speaker 4: emerge save Ian Williams Malie Keith, then we don't have
- 41:21Speaker 4: to worry about Emmanuel Wilson as much. So, you know,
- 41:27Speaker 4: regardless of that, Romeo Dobbs, I think a solid option
- 41:30Speaker 4: for sure, and I am you know, I told you
- 41:32Speaker 4: guys weren't sure what I was gonna doing captain with
- 41:34Speaker 4: some of these guys, I will add him to the pool.
- 41:36Speaker 4: I do like him up top. Watson don't like as
- 41:39Speaker 4: much up top, but great in the flex. And then
- 41:42Speaker 4: if Wix is in forty four hundred is a very
- 41:44Speaker 4: very good price tag and he can he can play,
- 41:47Speaker 4: and he's produced, so need that info.
- 41:50Speaker 3: If he's out, then we get some of these cheap guys.
- 41:52Speaker 4: But yeah, this is the piece of news that we
- 41:54Speaker 4: kind of need to see at at inactives, and it
- 41:58Speaker 4: will dictate a lot lot of what goes on with
- 42:00Speaker 4: the slate.
- 42:02Speaker 2: Yeah, the the chat's talking. Now, if this game goes
- 42:06Speaker 2: under and the points are smarts, does it usually does
- 42:08Speaker 2: it play out? The dst or kickers are a better foundation.
- 42:10Speaker 2: I mean, the lower scoring the game, the more like
- 42:13Speaker 2: last night Prime example, the defenses can both be in
- 42:16Speaker 2: the mix until they're not. I mean it just happens
- 42:18Speaker 2: that way. They were both crushing it again, but two
- 42:20Speaker 2: slates before that, we've seen it a ton. I gotta say,
- 42:23Speaker 2: what's up to our guy, Bobby g Bobby Gome's a
- 42:26Speaker 2: true legend out there in the chat. I know he
- 42:28Speaker 2: was up there. He's been up there a lot of
- 42:29Speaker 2: these showdowns slates lately, and I know he was up
- 42:30Speaker 2: there last night again another close call, but he's right
- 42:33Speaker 2: back to the grind the next day. That's how the
- 42:35Speaker 2: pros do it. So shut out to Bobby, and then
- 42:37Speaker 2: our man Bellman came in. I said, did he get
- 42:39Speaker 2: hacked again? He goes got hacked just in time to say,
- 42:43Speaker 2: Emmanuel Wilson is one of the worst plays I can
- 42:44Speaker 2: ever remember. He will score twice. That's good, that's why
- 42:48Speaker 2: you Yeah. But this is definitely the you know, the
- 42:54Speaker 2: thought process here. So for Mike and shut at the Dawn,
- 42:56Speaker 2: who's joining us for the first time. We appreciate you.
- 42:59Speaker 2: But this the case, Mike, if you've got it lower scoring,
- 43:02Speaker 2: and that's the key, you know, you see that being
- 43:03Speaker 2: the way it plays out, it's usually drive stall, things stop,
- 43:07Speaker 2: and so yes, kickers can come through in that spot
- 43:09Speaker 2: and then defenses can be more in the mix as well,
- 43:12Speaker 2: because it could be sacks just to stop these drives
- 43:15Speaker 2: from rolling out. It could be scoops and get to
- 43:17Speaker 2: the other side, but no scoop and score, but then
- 43:19Speaker 2: it's you know, they're they're down again on that side.
- 43:21Speaker 2: So it's all the type of you always got to
- 43:23Speaker 2: build and showdown sort of how you see the game
- 43:25Speaker 2: playing out and then what could make sense, especially if
- 43:27Speaker 2: you only have one lineup. It's it's better way to
- 43:29Speaker 2: do it. It's it's easier to do that to kind
- 43:31Speaker 2: of think of a game script and think of possibilities
- 43:34Speaker 2: of if you get it right, then this could pay off.
- 43:36Speaker 2: And like title it says, it's not how much you win,
- 43:38Speaker 2: it's how much. It's not how often you are right,
- 43:40Speaker 2: it's how much you win when you are right. It's
- 43:41Speaker 2: another way to put it, and I think that's the
- 43:42Speaker 2: best way to look at it for this one as well.
- 43:45Speaker 2: For the wide receivers. I just think it's interesting. Like
- 43:48Speaker 2: Whop said the Dotson call, I think that one's good
- 43:50Speaker 2: if you if you have hurts up top, as he mentioned,
- 43:53Speaker 2: that's where you could start to mix in the Browns
- 43:55Speaker 2: and the Smiths and everything like that more if you're
- 43:57Speaker 2: not playing them up Captain, you mix them into those
- 43:59Speaker 2: types of builds. But I don't know. Title. I want
- 44:02Speaker 2: to ask you this because you guys kind of broke
- 44:04Speaker 2: it down and we'll see what all plays out. Williams
- 44:06Speaker 2: was limited practice, by the way, for those asking Friday
- 44:09Speaker 2: and Saturday. He was limited practice, did not practice Thursday,
- 44:12Speaker 2: but came back for the weekend Friday Saturday. See how
- 44:14Speaker 2: he goes. But just a note, what type of build
- 44:17Speaker 2: do you think is prevalent tonight? From a construction? Do
- 44:20Speaker 2: you think it's going to be heavier Eagles, captains heavier
- 44:23Speaker 2: Packers are pretty split? And then do you think it's
- 44:25Speaker 2: more of a three to three because it is a
- 44:27Speaker 2: close game four to two? What are you seeing here tonight?
- 44:30Speaker 5: I'm thinking four to two Packers probably the most due
- 44:33Speaker 5: to the value on the packers' side, like the Wilson's
- 44:35Speaker 5: were talking about. Probably, I don't know. Captain might be close,
- 44:39Speaker 5: maybe more Eagles like Saquon Hurts. Just feels like the
- 44:42Speaker 5: two most comfortable names that click up top than Jordan
- 44:45Speaker 5: Love Josh Jacobs. You can maybe throw in that boat too,
- 44:48Speaker 5: But I think packers builds heavier due to more value
- 44:51Speaker 5: down below and just man like outside of Saquon Hurts,
- 44:55Speaker 5: and then you can pick the two receivers like these showdowns,
- 44:58Speaker 5: slates are always tough for the Eagles, that feels, and
- 45:00Speaker 5: the two receivers are almost all in. Smith and Brown
- 45:02Speaker 5: are almost always pretty low owned because a they're their
- 45:06Speaker 5: four ceiling combination. If the range of outcomes is so wide,
- 45:10Speaker 5: which is what you want when you play someone at captain.
- 45:12Speaker 5: But we see a J. Brown get you two at
- 45:14Speaker 5: a high price and you're just stone dead. But yeah,
- 45:18Speaker 5: I'm thinking more Packers builds captain, probably more of the
- 45:22Speaker 5: Eagles two guys up top. And I mean I'm kind
- 45:26Speaker 5: of probably gonna be the same way, Like try and
- 45:27Speaker 5: build a five to one Eagles team. What are you
- 45:30Speaker 5: doing after you plug in Hurts Saquon in one of
- 45:33Speaker 5: the past, Like you know what I mean? They're also
- 45:35Speaker 5: priced up, so that's how I see it there, and
- 45:38Speaker 5: I just receiver position. I like the Packers receivers more.
- 45:42Speaker 5: The props are bad for these Eagles guys. Their prices
- 45:44Speaker 5: are up. And as I talk through this and keep
- 45:47Speaker 5: saying it, I feel like I just have to bump
- 45:49Speaker 5: Saquon then I mean, they're gonna score points. If I
- 45:52Speaker 5: don't like the passing game as much, I feel like
- 45:54Speaker 5: I got to play someone, and I feel like I
- 45:56Speaker 5: should probably go up Onquon a little bit. But yeah,
- 45:59Speaker 5: the pack is like if if Wicks is ruled out
- 46:02Speaker 5: and I don't expect that, everything changes and it'd be
- 46:05Speaker 5: even more five to one Packers then because Heath and
- 46:08Speaker 5: save meon and this and that. So yeah, I'm on
- 46:11Speaker 5: the Packers' receivers more than the Eagles up.
- 46:14Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm just tying it together with something else. I
- 46:15Speaker 2: always getting these thoughts throughout hoop, and this is interesting.
- 46:19Speaker 2: I wonder if Barkley and Jalen Hurts do get a
- 46:21Speaker 2: little more like not like there again, it's never a
- 46:23Speaker 2: big number. I'm not trying to say this, but like,
- 46:25Speaker 2: one thing it's interesting is it's so much easier to
- 46:28Speaker 2: just build the Packer's side to titles point of like
- 46:30Speaker 2: a four to two, because you have Wilson already plugs
- 46:32Speaker 2: in with whoever your captain is, probably Jacobs, if not Love,
- 46:35Speaker 2: you put Wilson in there, then you can pick a
- 46:38Speaker 2: receiver Dobbs or Watson Muskrave, Like, it's so easy to
- 46:41Speaker 2: go four two. But if people go, if they're not
- 46:44Speaker 2: going aj Brown and Devanta Smith very much up top,
- 46:46Speaker 2: which we agree they're not, it's looking like ten to
- 46:48Speaker 2: fifteen percent combined. If you know, really is what we're
- 46:51Speaker 2: seeing up there, I wouldn't be surprised to see like
- 46:53Speaker 2: five and six even something like that eleven percent total.
- 46:56Speaker 2: But then if people go hurts up top, you can
- 47:00Speaker 2: only get where are they going? Like you got to go,
- 47:02Speaker 2: It's not as likely they're gonna put Barkley in it too.
- 47:04Speaker 2: They will, but I'm saying not as likely, and they
- 47:05Speaker 2: don't seem to love Brown and Smith, and if they
- 47:07Speaker 2: did not both together?
- 47:09Speaker 4: Is this is this your segue into tight end?
- 47:12Speaker 3: Well that's Rodard, maybe it's got her. Yeah, seventy four got.
- 47:15Speaker 2: To be God? Yeah, So what do you think?
- 47:18Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean I like Goddard, so yeah, I would
- 47:21Speaker 3: like that. I'd like that sort of building.
- 47:22Speaker 4: I do agree with you, and a lot of this,
- 47:25Speaker 4: you know now that we went through wide receiver is
- 47:28Speaker 4: contingent on what happens again back to that same point
- 47:31Speaker 4: with the packers pass catchers and how much value we
- 47:35Speaker 4: have on the slate. If we get more value outside
- 47:38Speaker 4: of Emmanuel Wilson and and Wicks. Then I think you
- 47:43Speaker 4: would see Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley become more popular
- 47:47Speaker 4: up top because there's just more ways to build it.
- 47:50Speaker 4: If we don't get any more value, I think, you know,
- 47:53Speaker 4: people are going to be forced to go away from that.
- 47:55Speaker 4: But again, if you are going the Hurts up top,
- 47:57Speaker 4: it's gonna be hard as it stands now not I mean,
- 48:00Speaker 4: you can make it work, but it's going to be
- 48:01Speaker 4: less likely for people to be able to pair it
- 48:04Speaker 4: with those expensive Eagles guys. So maybe it is just Goddard.
- 48:10Speaker 4: What ownership are we showing on Godard? We have it
- 48:12Speaker 4: at one ty, so pretty low. Yeah, you know, I
- 48:15Speaker 4: think it would be I think it's probably higher than that.
- 48:17Speaker 4: It is going to come in higher than that is
- 48:19Speaker 4: my is my guest. But you know, for me personally,
- 48:21Speaker 4: I think I'm fine going you know, Hurts up top
- 48:25Speaker 4: and and Goddard as the pass catcher. I mean it's
- 48:28Speaker 4: a touchdown heavy sport and Goddard has been you know,
- 48:32Speaker 4: primary targeted his in the in the red zone, you know,
- 48:35Speaker 4: close to the goal line.
- 48:36Speaker 3: So I'm good with the Goddard stuff.
- 48:39Speaker 4: Musk Gray is probably my favorite play on the slate,
- 48:42Speaker 4: regardless of what happens with the Packers pass catcher news.
- 48:45Speaker 4: I mean, I just think he's a legit tight end.
- 48:48Speaker 4: I think he's a solid receiving tight end. Fifty four hundred.
- 48:52Speaker 4: I think he's got a lot of different ways to
- 48:54Speaker 4: get there, and you can get a lot of catches tonight.
- 48:56Speaker 4: I think you can get you know, multiple tight ends.
- 48:58Speaker 4: So I'm definitely in a musk Fitzpatrick. You can throw
- 49:01Speaker 4: him into the cheap tight end stuff. And that's it's
- 49:05Speaker 4: just those three. Grant kelcntaras getting a number we haven't projected.
- 49:11Speaker 3: At one and a half.
- 49:13Speaker 4: Like I just I don't think I'll be getting there
- 49:16Speaker 4: all that much, So just gonna be those other three.
- 49:18Speaker 3: But Musgrave is definitely my favorite.
- 49:20Speaker 2: Oh buddy, I'm about to hit my Dan Campbell fistbump
- 49:23Speaker 2: right now. I just got the best one in a
- 49:24Speaker 2: long time. It is the Milli Maker Musgrave. We talked
- 49:28Speaker 2: about the Milliemaker mustache. Can't put it all together, Musa Musgrave.
- 49:33Speaker 2: Put this thing in the grave and bury it after
- 49:35Speaker 2: we win the Millie Maker with Musgrave. Oh Man Luke tonight.
- 49:38Speaker 2: Luke is the boy man We're gonna get this guy
- 49:40Speaker 2: up top. Eighty one hundred bucks. Balance build man, I'm
- 49:44Speaker 2: feeling it. Title this is good. Hoop just talked me
- 49:46Speaker 2: into it. I like Musgrave. I think that's a way
- 49:48Speaker 2: to go tonight. I like Goddard obviously the other side,
- 49:51Speaker 2: but what are you doing here at the tight end position?
- 49:54Speaker 2: And then any other thoughts.
- 49:56Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean Musgrave is receiving prop is twenty eight
- 50:00Speaker 5: half three and a half reception, a little juice on
- 50:02Speaker 5: the under, but he's definitely fine. Fifty four hundred. Can
- 50:05Speaker 5: you see him outscoring DeVante Smith or aj Brown? There
- 50:09Speaker 5: is games where he can do that, And if you
- 50:10Speaker 5: do that, you can leave a lot of money on
- 50:12Speaker 5: the table. So when people ask, you can always leave
- 50:14Speaker 5: money and showdown. I can see that happening, and if
- 50:17Speaker 5: it does happen, he can win a lot of money.
- 50:19Speaker 5: So yeah, I like him. I like Fitzpatrick and the
- 50:22Speaker 5: reason I mean I don't like I have to like
- 50:25Speaker 5: Fitzpastor for the nature of this slate. If I hate
- 50:27Speaker 5: every other punt down below, like Will Shipley and Xavier
- 50:32Speaker 5: Gibson and Chris Brooks and Tank Bigs being all this,
- 50:34Speaker 5: if I want to play others not named Emmanuel Wilson.
- 50:37Speaker 5: Don't get twisted. If Savian Williams is in at two K,
- 50:40Speaker 5: people know he's my boy. He will be played on
- 50:42Speaker 5: my team. I will like him. But if he's out,
- 50:45Speaker 5: it makes it even more like they run some two
- 50:47Speaker 5: tight end sets. He was getting catches when Tucker Craft
- 50:49Speaker 5: was in. All it takes from these guys down below.
- 50:52Speaker 5: And I don't like Grant Calkintara. But if you tell
- 50:55Speaker 5: me Grant Calcintara's on the winner, I'm telling you it's
- 50:57Speaker 5: probably seventy five K plus one touchdown from these guys
- 51:01Speaker 5: down below, and the tight end heavy formation, play action,
- 51:05Speaker 5: random stuff happens. I think I might want to like
- 51:08Speaker 5: if you don't want to play Emmanuel Wilson. It feels
- 51:10Speaker 5: like you come to the tight end room and you
- 51:12Speaker 5: can play some some cheapish pieces and just hope they
- 51:15Speaker 5: fall in the box once.
- 51:17Speaker 2: Yeah. Oh, the chat man is a good time in here.
- 51:21Speaker 2: So what else? Who have you got anything else you
- 51:23Speaker 2: want to talk about? Kickers and d's uh okay, where
- 51:28Speaker 2: I sorry to cut you off? Back off, I kicked
- 51:29Speaker 2: it to you, but I gotta say this. Someone mentioned
- 51:32Speaker 2: it about the main slate I don't know if you
- 51:33Speaker 2: saw like two tight end lineups were astronomical this past week,
- 51:37Speaker 2: because clearly they worked in week nine, you got to
- 51:40Speaker 2: play in week ten and we had limited value. So
- 51:42Speaker 2: it's just making fun of it at the same time.
- 51:44Speaker 2: But I did notice on the ownership projections today the
- 51:48Speaker 2: double D is picking up steam now, like both defenses
- 51:51Speaker 2: are picking up ownership heavily.
- 51:52Speaker 4: So what do you think, Well, I mean, the one
- 51:54Speaker 4: thing the last two Primetime games have been you know, defenses,
- 51:59Speaker 4: and you know, I'm and it does make me believe
- 52:02Speaker 4: that people are going to play them at a higher
- 52:04Speaker 4: clip for that reason. And then you factor in their
- 52:07Speaker 4: cheap price tags on a slate where we don't have
- 52:11Speaker 4: a ton of cheap plays, they're just going to naturally
- 52:13Speaker 4: get filtered into lineups. You know, I'll just be rolling
- 52:17Speaker 4: whatever I get there. Don't necessarily love either of them. Kickers, Yeah,
- 52:23Speaker 4: definitely prefer the kickers. McManus Elliott good with either. Nothing
- 52:27Speaker 4: nothing crazy for me for a kicker and D.
- 52:32Speaker 2: I'm trying to think title the thing else. The chat
- 52:35Speaker 2: was definitely talking a lot about this Eagles D at
- 52:37Speaker 2: just thirty eight hundred, trying to figure that out. But
- 52:39Speaker 2: it actually looks like the Packers d could be where
- 52:42Speaker 2: people end up, just because again, once you already have
- 52:44Speaker 2: the four Packers in there, Like we talked about earlier,
- 52:46Speaker 2: how easy it is to get to that in your bill.
- 52:49Speaker 2: If you have a Packers Captain and three others in there,
- 52:52Speaker 2: maybe just go to the pack.
- 52:53Speaker 4: People always like the home defense, especially if they're favored
- 52:57Speaker 4: by even just a little bit, like they'll always lean
- 52:59Speaker 4: that way.
- 53:00Speaker 3: So yeah, I think you're right.
- 53:02Speaker 2: That's what I'm trying to think about. What do you
- 53:03Speaker 2: think title anything else?
- 53:05Speaker 5: There no hot takes at a Kickers and these always
- 53:09Speaker 5: will be mixing some in Ken Brandon McManus el scored
- 53:12Speaker 5: DeVante Smith or aj Brown maybe in certain builds. I mean,
- 53:15Speaker 5: if you're building, especially handbuilding, tell yourself what kind of
- 53:19Speaker 5: story you're you're doing with that. But yeah, they're they're
- 53:21Speaker 5: in the mid range. And when you go below these
- 53:24Speaker 5: Kickers and Defense, we talk, we keep preaching how uncomfortable
- 53:27Speaker 5: it gets, and if you don't want to play Emmanuel Wilson,
- 53:29Speaker 5: they fit more balanced builds.
- 53:31Speaker 4: See what's this?
- 53:32Speaker 2: We got no other updates that I've seen yet on
- 53:37Speaker 2: this coming in.
- 53:37Speaker 4: I was just checking to see.
- 53:41Speaker 2: Yeah, nothing else that we've got so far, So anything
- 53:44Speaker 2: on fandul hoop, any anything else you saw for Fandel.
- 53:47Speaker 4: Yeah, there's a couple pricing discrepancies. AJ Brown's up to
- 53:52Speaker 4: ten to six and DeVonta Smith is nine to four,
- 53:55Speaker 4: so like a twelve hundred dollars difference there.
- 53:59Speaker 3: Musgrave at fifty.
- 54:00Speaker 4: I think it is a cheap play Wix. So if
- 54:04Speaker 4: Wix is an he's twenty eight hundred on fan Duel
- 54:06Speaker 4: versus the forty was it forty four? I think on
- 54:10Speaker 4: on DK somewhere in that range, So that's a big
- 54:14Speaker 4: drop off. Tank Bigsby for some reason, it's like forty
- 54:18Speaker 4: six hundred on fan to Duel, so he has like
- 54:20Speaker 4: a real price tag and Shipley's like forty eight. So
- 54:24Speaker 4: these guys are just like slightly cheaper than musk Grave,
- 54:27Speaker 4: which is, you know, really bad price tags. Why would
- 54:30Speaker 4: they why like, why the hell would they be up.
- 54:33Speaker 5: There case with the growing because this groin and got hurt.
- 54:37Speaker 5: They just wanted if they were out, let's not have
- 54:40Speaker 5: them free the back Jones mistake at one K. I
- 54:43Speaker 5: don't think they want to do that again.
- 54:45Speaker 4: Yeah, so that definitely makes sense.
- 54:47Speaker 3: So that's the reason.
- 54:47Speaker 4: I mean then just totally unplayable, but then we'll have
- 54:51Speaker 4: to see what happens, like Savan Williams fourteen hundred, Heath
- 54:54Speaker 4: twenty four. But the main thing is Wix for sure
- 54:57Speaker 4: at twenty eight hundred. Here's our boy, Emanuel man he is.
- 55:03Speaker 5: He's thirty six, like Wicks is the Emmanuel Wilson on FanDuel.
- 55:06Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, yeah, so, I mean Wilson, you'll still get
- 55:10Speaker 4: a chunk of ownership at thirty six, but Wix being cheaper,
- 55:13Speaker 4: I mean, he's definitely gonna be the go to guy there.
- 55:16Speaker 4: And yeah, I mean, I guess big difference between Hurts
- 55:20Speaker 4: and Love you're looking at it's at eighteen hundred between
- 55:24Speaker 4: Hurts and Love. Hurts eighteen hundred dollars more expensive, Jacob's
- 55:28Speaker 4: and Barkley more expensive than Jordan Love. So I guess
- 55:32Speaker 4: relative to you know, the scoring and the DK prices,
- 55:36Speaker 4: Jordan Love is kind of underpriced.
- 55:39Speaker 3: That's over here on FanDuel as well.
- 55:41Speaker 2: Yeah, that's what I was seeing. Is also I don't
- 55:43Speaker 2: see too much else. They're titled you to see anything
- 55:45Speaker 2: else you want to add?
- 55:46Speaker 5: No, yeah, who covered it? Well? The Wick stuff's big Wicks,
- 55:48Speaker 5: I mean Wilson was will definitely still get owned, but
- 55:51Speaker 5: the combination of Wicks and Emmanuel Wilson ownership will be
- 55:55Speaker 5: through the roof. Like if you pivot to a savon
- 55:58Speaker 5: Who's cheaper Calcntaro's cheaper Dots and cheaper Keith, assuming that
- 56:03Speaker 5: Golden's out and the other two are in Chris Brooks Fitzpatrick,
- 56:07Speaker 5: Like if you play anyone else and it's not those
- 56:10Speaker 5: two on the Winner, Like, you could see a big
- 56:12Speaker 5: boy ship er for very few, very few people tonight.
- 56:16Speaker 2: Yeah, you could see a double tight end spot here too.
- 56:19Speaker 2: You could see the Goddard and Musgrave. I was just
- 56:21Speaker 2: looking at some options there as well. That could be
- 56:24Speaker 2: something if you're not on the other guys anyway, Like
- 56:26Speaker 2: you know, if you're not wanting to figure out the
- 56:27Speaker 2: Packers wide receiver room and you're not wanting to you know,
- 56:30Speaker 2: go to DeVante as well as aj Brown. I think
- 56:33Speaker 2: that's definitely a possibility. All Right, I'm going to show
- 56:38Speaker 2: you guys one more time. So this is definitely a slight.
- 56:39Speaker 2: You would want to have access to shipping nation on.
- 56:42Speaker 2: I can tell you that much. There's gonna be a
- 56:43Speaker 2: ton of updates and news throughout the night, So remind
- 56:46Speaker 2: everyone again of the promotion. It ends tonight at Locke.
- 56:50Speaker 2: So if you want to get in on the five
- 56:51Speaker 2: fifty five million Maaker ticket draw moving forward, you got
- 56:54Speaker 2: to get the one ninety nine package. We will have
- 56:56Speaker 2: you covered. We've got all the main slight stuff, but
- 56:58Speaker 2: for showdown tonight you'll have inctions for DraftKings and FanDuel.
- 57:01Speaker 2: You'll have the Stone which has all the optimal percentages.
- 57:04Speaker 2: It's got the report card grades for the teams and
- 57:07Speaker 2: the rankings, the stat counts, the everything and you can
- 57:10Speaker 2: see on their the ceilings all of that and more.
- 57:12Speaker 2: And then the slate plan will be up early tonight
- 57:14Speaker 2: as well, but we'll update it with all the news
- 57:17Speaker 2: as it comes out. And then of course being in
- 57:18Speaker 2: that discord is important. Having Saber sim is important. Those
- 57:22Speaker 2: things are all included with the one ninety nine. It
- 57:25Speaker 2: gets you right through the rest of season, all the
- 57:27Speaker 2: way through Super Bowl. Hoop anything you want to add
- 57:29Speaker 2: on that before we get out of here.
- 57:33Speaker 3: Yeah, there we go. Now we can now we can
- 57:34Speaker 3: win some money.
- 57:35Speaker 4: A little mute talk, but no, I mean a great
- 57:38Speaker 4: deal of leading all the way to the Super Bowl.
- 57:40Speaker 4: I mean all our content for NFL College Football, like
- 57:43Speaker 4: I talked about yesterday. As the season goes on, when
- 57:46Speaker 4: you start into the Thanksgiving Day stuff, the Christmas Day stuff,
- 57:49Speaker 4: there's a lot more of these smaller slates where very
- 57:51Speaker 4: important to have content and a community, and you know,
- 57:56Speaker 4: the price tag is one that really can't be beat.
- 57:59Speaker 4: Include Sabersim as well Discord like we talked about, so
- 58:03Speaker 4: you get the all encompassing product at a discounted rate.
- 58:07Speaker 4: And if you're not a member, we definitely love to
- 58:10Speaker 4: have you.
- 58:11Speaker 2: Yep. Title final thoughts before we get out.
- 58:13Speaker 5: Of here, good luck to you and the Mega. Good
- 58:16Speaker 5: luck to me and Hoop in the twenty. I know
- 58:18Speaker 5: you're there too, but I'm not in that Mega. I
- 58:20Speaker 5: don't know if Hoop's in the Mega. So you take
- 58:22Speaker 5: that Hoop and I can split the lower.
- 58:25Speaker 2: Yeah, I appreciate you, man. I'm definitely excited for it.
- 58:27Speaker 2: It's gonna be a fun slate. We wish everybody the
- 58:29Speaker 2: best of luck. Will be in the community sweating it
- 58:31Speaker 2: out tonight, cheered everybody on. That's gonna do it for
- 58:34Speaker 2: this one, guys, for Hoop, for title, for myself, Totech
- 58:36Speaker 2: and tambo led shipp it