Latest / Merryn Talks Money / How Saba's Boaz Weinstein Plans to Transform UK Investment Trusts
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. Welcome to Maren Talks
- 0:16Speaker 1: Money the podcast and people who know the markets Explain
- 0:19Speaker 1: the markets. I'm Meren some set web. This week we
- 0:22Speaker 1: are doing things slightly differently. First of all, it is
- 0:25Speaker 1: not me who interviewed our main guests for the week,
- 0:27Speaker 1: but in fact it was John. I'll explain to you
- 0:29Speaker 1: why in a minute. Also, we're dropping the episode slightly
- 0:32Speaker 1: early because it's got rather more immediate news value than usual. Right,
- 0:37Speaker 1: So this podcast is all about investment trusts, which are
- 0:40Speaker 1: effectively companies, the business of which is to invest in
- 0:44Speaker 1: other companies. They're an awful lot of them listed in
- 0:47Speaker 1: the UK. They give investors, who are of course also
- 0:50Speaker 1: shareholders in the companies, access to everything from private equity
- 0:54Speaker 1: to UK equity income, to smaller companies, emerging markets, Japanese equities,
- 0:59Speaker 1: just to name few things available. They have a few
- 1:02Speaker 1: advantages over regular investment funds. They can borrow to invest
- 1:05Speaker 1: for example, and crucially, just like other listed companies, they
- 1:09Speaker 1: have boards of directors whose job it is to represent
- 1:12Speaker 1: the interests of shareholders or investors. So here's the thing.
- 1:16Speaker 1: In the last few years, the sector has not been
- 1:18Speaker 1: doing so well, the shares have on average been trading
- 1:21Speaker 1: at historically high discounts to their net asset value, something
- 1:24Speaker 1: that suggests a lack of demand for the shares, and
- 1:26Speaker 1: the underlying performance in a couple of cases hasn't been
- 1:29Speaker 1: great either. So enter US activist investor SABA Capital. About
- 1:35Speaker 1: a year ago, Boas Einstein, the founder of SABA, noticed
- 1:38Speaker 1: the large discounts in the sector, sometimes up to around
- 1:41Speaker 1: twenty percent, meaning that you could effectively buy the assets
- 1:44Speaker 1: in the portfolio at a twenty percent discount of their
- 1:47Speaker 1: market value. Saba started buying the shares in seven of
- 1:50Speaker 1: The trustee now has stakes ranging from nineteen to twenty
- 1:53Speaker 1: nine percent, enough for him to call for general meetings
- 1:55Speaker 1: at all seven to replace the current board and replace
- 1:58Speaker 1: them with his own people. Well, you will know these trusts,
- 2:01Speaker 1: or at least you'll have heard of some of them.
- 2:02Speaker 1: There's Herald Investment Trust, Edinburgh, Worldwide, Bailey give a US Growth,
- 2:06Speaker 1: so big names in the sector. In this podcast, John
- 2:09Speaker 1: Stirbeck talks to bos wy Inside about why he's doing this,
- 2:11Speaker 1: why he's interested in UK investment trusts, and what investors
- 2:14Speaker 1: can expect if he succeeds. Two more things First, regular
- 2:18Speaker 1: listeners will know that I sit on the board of
- 2:19Speaker 1: a couple of investment trusts. Neither I hears him to
- 2:21Speaker 1: add or among the seven, but nonetheless, as I have
- 2:23Speaker 1: skin in the sector game, John and I figured it
- 2:25Speaker 1: was best if he did the interview. Second, this is
- 2:29Speaker 1: a test of shareholder democracy. The platforms have all made
- 2:32Speaker 1: major efforts to make it easy for you to vote
- 2:34Speaker 1: on the shares that you own. Now's your chance to
- 2:36Speaker 1: do so. Have your say either way. Over to John.
- 2:45Speaker 2: Great to have you in the Shaw Boys look forward
- 2:47Speaker 2: to hearing all about this because obviously it's caused a
- 2:49Speaker 2: big start or what he had in there the UK.
- 2:52Speaker 2: But before we get into your campaign, do you want
- 2:55Speaker 2: to tell us a bit about yourself and about your
- 2:57Speaker 2: background and a boit Saba and it came about.
- 3:02Speaker 3: Sure, so thanks for having me. I worked on Wall
- 3:05Speaker 3: Street ever since I was fifteen years old. I was
- 3:08Speaker 3: very lucky to get a summer job, and thirty six
- 3:10Speaker 3: years later, the excitement of the ever changing nature of
- 3:14Speaker 3: markets and mispricings and arbitrage really stays fresh with me.
- 3:19Speaker 3: And I first started out working at a couple of
- 3:22Speaker 3: banks and then in nine I started SABA. I had
- 3:26Speaker 3: spent the weekend of Lehman Brothers failure at the New
- 3:29Speaker 3: York fed which was one of the most dramatic nights
- 3:32Speaker 3: of my life. And I got to see a lot
- 3:34Speaker 3: of crazy things over the years. I was trading when
- 3:38Speaker 3: the towers were hit by the nine to eleven attacks
- 3:41Speaker 3: and actually spoke on the phone with someone in the
- 3:44Speaker 3: towers the lines were working, who was asking for help
- 3:48Speaker 3: and advice. And just to have been there at the
- 3:50Speaker 3: moments in history, whether it's financial history or global history,
- 3:54Speaker 3: but to be a trading risk has been an incredible experience.
- 3:58Speaker 2: Just one thing. Though, you said you started Wall Street
- 4:00Speaker 2: when you were fifteen. That's quite precocious. How did that
- 4:03Speaker 2: come about?
- 4:04Speaker 4: There's a lot of luck in everything.
- 4:06Speaker 3: And I happened to have been walking by the job
- 4:09Speaker 3: postings in my high school and there was a woman
- 4:12Speaker 3: who had gone to a similar school who needed somebody
- 4:14Speaker 3: at a deep voice.
- 4:15Speaker 4: As I talked to you today, my voice.
- 4:17Speaker 3: Was actually quite unusually raspy, but I had a similar
- 4:20Speaker 3: voice when I was fifteen. And she was a very
- 4:22Speaker 3: successful financial consultant named Jeanine Crane. Her mother actually was
- 4:26Speaker 3: one of the top ten brokers and Merrill Lynch and
- 4:28Speaker 3: this team needed someone to make appointments for them, and
- 4:31Speaker 3: I got to sit there and listen to research channelists
- 4:35Speaker 3: talk about stocks, and I just had the most incredible
- 4:38Speaker 3: experience and things build on each other, and I was
- 4:41Speaker 3: able to parlay it into a interview at Goldman Stacks
- 4:46Speaker 3: and I was able to get a summer job on
- 4:48Speaker 3: the trading floor when I was nineteen.
- 4:50Speaker 2: Well, fantastic experience. So you found it SABA in two
- 4:54Speaker 2: thousand and nine. Tell us a bit more about that
- 4:56Speaker 2: and how you eventually came to focus on c closed
- 5:00Speaker 2: end finds in the US. Closed end finds are basically
- 5:03Speaker 2: what we call investment trusts in the UK.
- 5:07Speaker 3: Yeah, let's call it investment trust Today. I can deal
- 5:09Speaker 3: with the cross continental differences, so we can even say
- 5:14Speaker 3: tomatow if you make me so right now, I think
- 5:16Speaker 3: I'm having some thrown at me by some of my adversaries.
- 5:20Speaker 2: Possibly.
- 5:21Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 5:21Speaker 3: I started SAVA in a very difficult time for markets.
- 5:25Speaker 3: I started amidst the ashes of Lehman Brothers, the global
- 5:29Speaker 3: financial crisis. Bernie madeoff and I started very modestly. We
- 5:32Speaker 3: raised one hundred and sixty million by the time we
- 5:35Speaker 3: launched August nine, and then because of I would say determination,
- 5:40Speaker 3: force of will, and being able to convey a story
- 5:44Speaker 3: about the opportunity in relative value trading. We're not a
- 5:48Speaker 3: long biased investor. For the most part, I was able
- 5:51Speaker 3: to take the firm from its humble beginnings. We got
- 5:54Speaker 3: up to about five and a half billion by March
- 5:57Speaker 3: twenty twelve, which was really quite a feat. But our strategy, jeez,
- 6:00Speaker 3: have really evolved from more narrowly focused on the credit
- 6:04Speaker 3: markets and credit against equity and having now moved for
- 6:08Speaker 3: the past more than a decade into different kinds of
- 6:12Speaker 3: arbitrage that we hadn't done before, namely investment trusts.
- 6:16Speaker 2: Okay, so targetting closed end funds and presumably that's to
- 6:19Speaker 2: try and narrow the discount. Is that your primary goal?
- 6:24Speaker 4: Yeah?
- 6:24Speaker 3: So while there are managers that have alpha, these funds
- 6:29Speaker 3: in the main have destroyed value bit by bit through
- 6:32Speaker 3: either high fees, which some funds have but not necessarily
- 6:36Speaker 3: the ones that we're talking about today, or poor performance
- 6:39Speaker 3: because of whether it's a b team that's running it
- 6:41Speaker 3: for a big institution rather than the top people, or
- 6:45Speaker 3: just bad luck, bad decisions, or really investors feeling like
- 6:49Speaker 3: they want out of this product. And they want to
- 6:51Speaker 3: go into more popular products like ETFs. Funds can trade
- 6:55Speaker 3: a big discounts, and that is what attracted me. It
- 6:58Speaker 3: wasn't the chance to invest a lot inside a manager.
- 7:01Speaker 3: It was the chance to buy a pound for eighty
- 7:03Speaker 3: five p and turn it back into a.
- 7:05Speaker 2: Pound over here. For investment trusts, there's a lot of retail.
- 7:10Speaker 4: There's a lot of.
- 7:11Speaker 2: Private investors, small shareholders in the US. Is it like
- 7:14Speaker 2: that or does it work institutional holders for your particular funds.
- 7:19Speaker 3: So the closed end funds in the US or the
- 7:21Speaker 3: investment trusts in the UK that we buy are held
- 7:24Speaker 3: very much by retail investors. There can be institutions in them,
- 7:28Speaker 3: and in fact there are in various funds that were
- 7:31Speaker 3: invested here in the UK or in the US, but
- 7:35Speaker 3: saba's investors. So the investors that come into our funds. First,
- 7:38Speaker 3: we manage two closed end funds in the US, and
- 7:41Speaker 3: we manage an ETF of closed end funds. Those are
- 7:44Speaker 3: primarily retail investors, but our hedge funds are primarily institutional investors.
- 7:49Speaker 3: They might be a pension fund in the US that
- 7:51Speaker 3: is considered a sophisticated institution, but it represents tens of
- 7:56Speaker 3: millions of retirees. So ultimately we are getting back to
- 7:59Speaker 3: mom and pop no matter how you look at it.
- 8:00Speaker 3: And I think it's worth adding that actually our second
- 8:05Speaker 3: most popular country to invest in sabas after the US,
- 8:10Speaker 3: is the UK. We have significant institutional investors upwards of
- 8:15Speaker 3: single tickets of three or four hundred million dollars from
- 8:17Speaker 3: some UK institutions.
- 8:19Speaker 2: Okay, again to your actual campaign and the focus on
- 8:24Speaker 2: the UK. Why are the UK specifically and why now?
- 8:28Speaker 2: Is that something that particularly caught your eye.
- 8:31Speaker 3: Yes, So we started investing in closed in funds for
- 8:35Speaker 3: the firm in twenty and thirteen, so we're up on
- 8:38Speaker 3: eleven years now, and I'd invested in them personally very
- 8:41Speaker 3: long time ago, so knew quite a bit about them.
- 8:44Speaker 3: But so the UK was something where they've been a
- 8:47Speaker 3: trade or two to do from the very beginning, but
- 8:49Speaker 3: not not really something more than that until three years ago.
- 8:53Speaker 4: So I want to break that down for you.
- 8:55Speaker 3: We had spent the first in years squarely focused in
- 8:57Speaker 3: the US. We've been had as much some time investment
- 9:00Speaker 3: in Australia than we as we had in the UK.
- 9:03Speaker 3: Why Because, to the UK's credit, the governance of the funds,
- 9:08Speaker 3: the rules of how they treat their shareholders was quite
- 9:12Speaker 3: a bit better than the US. There are things that
- 9:15Speaker 3: are done in the US to the investors by the
- 9:17Speaker 3: manager that it would just shock you. So the better
- 9:20Speaker 3: governance was appealing to us. But there wasn't much of
- 9:22Speaker 3: a discount because of that governance. Because the industry, which
- 9:26Speaker 3: is one hundred and fifty years old in the UK,
- 9:28Speaker 3: had done a better job of treating its investors. That
- 9:31Speaker 3: led to funds trading better. The industry grew and the
- 9:34Speaker 3: UK was about as big as the US, even bigger
- 9:37Speaker 3: until three years ago. So I want to put a
- 9:39Speaker 3: pin in that and then tell you what happened over
- 9:41Speaker 3: the past three years, which is why we jumped in.
- 9:43Speaker 2: That's interesting. So you really actuallycing this back to twenty
- 9:46Speaker 2: twenty one roundnet and the else because obviously we've been
- 9:50Speaker 2: agonizing a lot in the UK about the UK stock
- 9:53Speaker 2: market generally and the idea that is praiced a discount
- 9:57Speaker 2: to markets more broadly, and obviously particularly the US, because
- 10:01Speaker 2: the US has beaten everything. But what why is it
- 10:03Speaker 2: you feel happened in twenty twenty one that particularly made
- 10:08Speaker 2: everything worse.
- 10:09Speaker 3: Yeah, So first, just so everyone understands a lot of
- 10:13Speaker 3: these funds. In fact, the ones that we own not
- 10:16Speaker 3: just UK stocks. In fact, they might own majority US
- 10:19Speaker 3: they might own Nvidia and Tesla, let's say, and so
- 10:23Speaker 3: their collection. What are these investment trusts? For anyone listening
- 10:26Speaker 3: it doesn't really know much about it. They are a
- 10:28Speaker 3: collection of assets managed by a manager, a venerable manager
- 10:32Speaker 3: that was able to raise the money.
- 10:34Speaker 4: And it's just a pool.
- 10:36Speaker 3: And ettfs are much more common in the US these
- 10:38Speaker 3: days because you can get out on of these notice
- 10:41Speaker 3: at fair price at NAV and the fees are often half.
- 10:45Speaker 3: But these investment trusts which own again a collection of stocks.
- 10:48Speaker 3: In twenty twenty one, around the time that inflation was
- 10:52Speaker 3: considered to be starting to be a problem and we
- 10:55Speaker 3: had the LDI crisis in the UK, it created sellers
- 10:58Speaker 3: of assets and there weren't really too many natural buyers.
- 11:02Speaker 3: So what happened was the market went from very little
- 11:05Speaker 3: or no discount to big discount. And we didn't know
- 11:08Speaker 3: if that was a temporary feature because it wasn't generally
- 11:12Speaker 3: true in the UK, and so we started to buy
- 11:14Speaker 3: at eleven percent discount, thirteen percent discount, eighteen percent discount.
- 11:18Speaker 3: Even some funds that at private holdings you could buy
- 11:22Speaker 3: a twenty five percent discount, even forty percent discount if
- 11:25Speaker 3: people really thought it was troubled. So you can get
- 11:28Speaker 3: enormous discounts. And I want to just add one more point.
- 11:30Speaker 3: This is not discount to someone's fair value about where
- 11:34Speaker 3: UK stocks ought to be or ustoks. This is discount
- 11:37Speaker 3: to the closing price. This is an actual discount, not
- 11:40Speaker 3: a hypothetical discount. And so that's when we jumped in.
- 11:44Speaker 3: And we had believed in the beginning that it was
- 11:47Speaker 3: going to be transitory, that the discounts would go away,
- 11:50Speaker 3: but instead it got worse. And I can take you
- 11:52Speaker 3: through that three year timeline very briefly if you want.
- 11:55Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely well, first of all, just spail fort of them.
- 11:58Speaker 2: So there are seven investment trust that you've targeted just now,
- 12:02Speaker 2: and you've proposed and requisition general extraordinary general meetings at
- 12:06Speaker 2: the seven of these with the aim of replacing the
- 12:09Speaker 2: boards basically. And the funds are Bailey Gifford, US Growth, Keystone,
- 12:14Speaker 2: Post of Change Investment Trust. All of those are Bailey Giffard.
- 12:17Speaker 2: There's Jenis Henderson, which runs Henderson Opportunities Trust in the
- 12:21Speaker 2: European Smaller Companies Trust and then the other two are
- 12:24Speaker 2: CQS Natural Resources Growth and Income and Herald Investment Trust. Now,
- 12:31Speaker 2: I suppose the thing that jumps out to me certainly
- 12:34Speaker 2: is these trusts all our growthy trusts. Is there a
- 12:40Speaker 2: particular reason why you've gone for that kind of area.
- 12:43Speaker 2: Did the discount prey much greater because of their rise
- 12:45Speaker 2: and interest rates for example, like some pople are pointed
- 12:48Speaker 2: out that the last three years have been particularly bad
- 12:50Speaker 2: for these kinds of trusts, or is there another reason
- 12:53Speaker 2: behind that.
- 12:55Speaker 3: No, we wake up every morning and we look at
- 12:56Speaker 3: the five hundred different options for us that half of
- 12:59Speaker 3: them are in the UK, almost half in the US,
- 13:02Speaker 3: and then you have a little bit of Canada in Australia.
- 13:04Speaker 3: We look at where are the biggest discounts, And so
- 13:06Speaker 3: it's less what saba's view on the small cap equities
- 13:10Speaker 3: and more where are the pressure points? Where are investors
- 13:12Speaker 3: so frustrated that they'll sell these things at the biggest discounts.
- 13:16Speaker 4: And I think it's all.
- 13:17Speaker 3: Too convenient to say, oh, this hasn't been a period
- 13:20Speaker 3: with rising interest rates that's been good for stocks, because
- 13:24Speaker 3: look today at how well the markets have done. You
- 13:27Speaker 3: started with the Bailey Gifford Fund maybe a UK institution,
- 13:30Speaker 3: but the fund is called the ticker is USA. It
- 13:33Speaker 3: owns US stocks. We know that when you hold Nvidia
- 13:36Speaker 3: and Tesla and Microsoft, you're winning. But the shocking thing
- 13:41Speaker 3: is that when I take these past three years and
- 13:43Speaker 3: we strip out the discount, we just look at how
- 13:45Speaker 3: did the stocks do in their portfolio. You have benchmarks
- 13:48Speaker 3: that they themselves selected which are up a lot despite
- 13:52Speaker 3: the points you made about higher rates. Look in the
- 13:53Speaker 3: US at the s and p up near six thousand.
- 13:56Speaker 3: Where was it three years earlier? And so investors went
- 13:59Speaker 3: into the funds had all the expectation in the world
- 14:02Speaker 3: that if markets went up, if stock markets went up,
- 14:05Speaker 3: they would go up. If markets went down, they would
- 14:07Speaker 3: go down. But we've seen a big bull market and
- 14:09Speaker 3: here's the shaker. These seven funds the past three years
- 14:14Speaker 3: have lost collectively, I'm not nitpicking on the worst one,
- 14:17Speaker 3: have lost fourteen percent for their investors. And that's why
- 14:22Speaker 3: investors are so frustrated. That's why these things went to
- 14:25Speaker 3: big discount and state of big discount. It was because
- 14:28Speaker 3: of on the average terrible performance. Let's call a spade
- 14:32Speaker 3: a spade. If the portfolio loses fourteen percent and the
- 14:35Speaker 3: market makes forty percent.
- 14:37Speaker 4: You have a problem with your investors.
- 14:39Speaker 2: You've kissed clayed them as the measurable seven, which is
- 14:42Speaker 2: obviously quite a catchee. Can a phrase the reference in
- 14:45Speaker 2: the magnificent seven? Obviously each individual trust has got different
- 14:50Speaker 2: admirable performance in different fact there's been for examples, to
- 14:53Speaker 2: take one that has been highlighted specifically, and I think
- 14:56Speaker 2: you've actually acknowledged this herald investment trust as a kind
- 14:59Speaker 2: of long and in sort of investor in smaller tech companies.
- 15:05Speaker 2: And while yeah, it's maybe struggled over the past three years,
- 15:08Speaker 2: it's it's got a very good long term track record
- 15:13Speaker 2: and obviously quite a lot of loyalty because it's had
- 15:15Speaker 2: to say manager for a very long period of time,
- 15:17Speaker 2: and she's very highly respected. Do you think it's necessarily
- 15:22Speaker 2: reasonable to be bracketing all of these kind of trust
- 15:26Speaker 2: as miserable on.
- 15:27Speaker 4: The average, they're miserable.
- 15:29Speaker 3: So you're right, So let's talk about one of the
- 15:31Speaker 3: best ones in terms of investors esteem. But I also
- 15:34Speaker 3: want to tell you you're magnificent because you're willing to
- 15:37Speaker 3: overlook three years of that reforming.
- 15:40Speaker 2: I'm a long term investor. I'm a long term investor.
- 15:43Speaker 4: Boy, I love it.
- 15:46Speaker 3: You should come invest in our funds because because we
- 15:48Speaker 3: live in a world where if we have one bad
- 15:50Speaker 3: quarter or one bad year, you know, you make money
- 15:53Speaker 3: for your clients, you raise money, you lose money, you
- 15:56Speaker 3: lose investors, and you're willing to overlook. So I just
- 15:58Speaker 3: pulled it up. So yes, So the average lost fourteen
- 16:01Speaker 3: percent this fund. If I just take January first, twenty
- 16:05Speaker 3: twenty two, okay, it's actually lost a little bit of money.
- 16:09Speaker 3: Our US products that just owns these things. We just
- 16:12Speaker 3: owned a bunch of closed end funds. It made forty percent.
- 16:15Speaker 3: If I pull up the S and P, it's going
- 16:17Speaker 3: to have made an ungodly amount of money. And actually,
- 16:20Speaker 3: Miss Potts, her largest holding coming into this year twenty
- 16:23Speaker 3: twenty four, became a Meme stock of stores. It went
- 16:26Speaker 3: up three hundred percent. So somehow there are things in
- 16:29Speaker 3: the portfolio that are just doing so poorly that you
- 16:32Speaker 3: can have markets up so much, yet yet her portfolio
- 16:35Speaker 3: lose a little bit of money. And this is what
- 16:37Speaker 3: I would say. Her track record is fantastic since nineteen
- 16:40Speaker 3: ninety four. Okay, I acknowledged it. And that's also why
- 16:44Speaker 3: we decided to sweeten the offer for investors who may
- 16:47Speaker 3: be attached and may be so forgiving that they don't
- 16:50Speaker 3: care that the markets went up forty and they and
- 16:53Speaker 3: they lost a little bit of money. And so we've
- 16:55Speaker 3: offered in that fund that any investor that wants to
- 16:59Speaker 3: get undred percent of their money back at ninety nine
- 17:02Speaker 3: ninety nine, meaning ninety nine percent of asset value, they
- 17:06Speaker 3: may do. So we would offer that to them, which
- 17:08Speaker 3: is a style of governance that far exceeds the industry,
- 17:12Speaker 3: not just in the US in the UK, which I'll
- 17:14Speaker 3: explain in a minute, but let me just add that
- 17:16Speaker 3: the closed end funds HRI when we started buying it
- 17:19Speaker 3: in twenty twenty two, it was north of a twenty
- 17:22Speaker 3: two percent discount. So as much as people love Katie,
- 17:26Speaker 3: they didn't love her enough that there were no buyers
- 17:28Speaker 3: willing to pay nineteen eighteen seventeen, and we were able
- 17:31Speaker 3: to buy big stakes at double digit discounts all the
- 17:34Speaker 3: way through until we showed up a month ago with
- 17:37Speaker 3: a very big position.
- 17:38Speaker 4: And so I pona just say one thing.
- 17:40Speaker 3: We have helped thousands and thousands of mom and pop
- 17:43Speaker 3: investors that own these things take their portfolio from seventy
- 17:47Speaker 3: eight percent of NAV, the price has gone up significantly
- 17:51Speaker 3: now to almost NAV thanks to our activism.
- 17:55Speaker 2: I mean, do it. I think a lot of investors
- 17:59Speaker 2: of quite excited about the fact that there is someone
- 18:02Speaker 2: like Sabah and some of the other activists paying attention
- 18:06Speaker 2: to the investment trust sector. I guess where I suppose
- 18:10Speaker 2: some of the concerns that are whether this is essentially
- 18:15Speaker 2: a time when the UK is out of favor, and
- 18:19Speaker 2: it's one thing to be comparing the performance to the
- 18:24Speaker 2: US market, but either the UK itself, as I said,
- 18:28Speaker 2: is very well known that there's a wider kind of
- 18:31Speaker 2: market down or on the UK, and this kind of
- 18:35Speaker 2: macro environment has just been very bad for most things
- 18:38Speaker 2: that are UK listed daft things like oil companies trading
- 18:42Speaker 2: a massive discount to their equivalents in the US, even
- 18:45Speaker 2: though they all basically own very similar assets and are
- 18:49Speaker 2: very similar sort of strategies. And I guess that's the
- 18:52Speaker 2: question is like, is good that you're drawing attention to
- 18:56Speaker 2: the massive discounts in this area, but is it follow
- 19:01Speaker 2: on that you would then be a better manage it
- 19:04Speaker 2: all of these assets.
- 19:06Speaker 4: That's a fair question.
- 19:07Speaker 3: I think if you take a step back, SAVA has
- 19:10Speaker 3: bought two billion euros worth of these funds. Okay, And
- 19:15Speaker 3: when we look at the holder's list and what's been happening,
- 19:18Speaker 3: and I can read articles that were in the Ft
- 19:20Speaker 3: or in Bloomberg the last three years that were so
- 19:23Speaker 3: negative on this sector. When we look at the holders list,
- 19:26Speaker 3: we see all the top investors selling and only one
- 19:29Speaker 3: institution buying us. So first, if we didn't buy, this
- 19:34Speaker 3: market would be in much worse shape. Secondly, we do
- 19:37Speaker 3: not come as American American hedge funds to go and
- 19:42Speaker 3: cause trouble in the UK. We are equal opportunity. Okay,
- 19:46Speaker 3: we're causing trouble as they see it in the US. Okay,
- 19:49Speaker 3: tens of thousands across even a few funds, so hundreds
- 19:53Speaker 3: of thousands if you put funds together of investors that
- 19:56Speaker 3: have seen the benefits of us making their portfolio go
- 20:00Speaker 3: back up to nev and the multiplier effect them the
- 20:03Speaker 3: interest on interest, the time value of money has been
- 20:06Speaker 3: so significant. So don't we not only have caused so
- 20:10Speaker 3: far the portfolio to rise. But let's look a step further.
- 20:14Speaker 3: If we're successful here, we would endeavor to bring the
- 20:18Speaker 3: first investment trust to the UK that should allow investors
- 20:23Speaker 3: to benefit from the opportunities in these discounts rather than
- 20:28Speaker 3: suffer from it, rather than be a casualty of it.
- 20:30Speaker 3: So we would have an investment trust made up of
- 20:33Speaker 3: some of these seven which everyone's were successful in. And
- 20:36Speaker 3: if we're given the mandate, where we would use our
- 20:39Speaker 3: acumen to go in the market, find value, buy things
- 20:42Speaker 3: at eighty six, turn them back into one hundred as
- 20:45Speaker 3: we have in the US. You could see our track
- 20:46Speaker 3: record in our US vehicles and that's a really exciting
- 20:49Speaker 3: opportunity for many UK investors who want to profit from
- 20:52Speaker 3: these discounts rather than suffer from it. And lastly, you
- 20:56Speaker 3: could look at the portfolios as they are today. You
- 20:59Speaker 3: again started with the one that's US based, even though
- 21:01Speaker 3: it's Bailey Gifford. Money would be coming out of the
- 21:04Speaker 3: US equity market and be put directly into what the
- 21:07Speaker 3: market that needs it the most, the UK investment trust market.
- 21:10Speaker 3: We would take that capital and buy billions more of
- 21:13Speaker 3: UK investment trust. We would push the industry to be
- 21:16Speaker 3: governed better and to trade better, and I think we
- 21:18Speaker 3: would eventually be seen even by the managers as having
- 21:21Speaker 3: done a great service to the industry.
- 21:23Speaker 2: So I suggest to be clear, your plane would be
- 21:26Speaker 2: whichever ones you get hold of. The main goal is
- 21:31Speaker 2: to mostly liquidate those portfolios and then use that money
- 21:36Speaker 2: to buy other discounted investment trusts. Is that fair or
- 21:39Speaker 2: is it more complicated than that?
- 21:41Speaker 3: There's one thing in between that we are willing to
- 21:44Speaker 3: do that. For example, Bailey Gifford when they took over
- 21:47Speaker 3: Keystone KPC, they did not give this their investors a chance,
- 21:51Speaker 3: so they were not the prior manager. I believe it
- 21:53Speaker 3: was Aberdeen. They took over the fund, change in manager,
- 21:57Speaker 3: change in strategy, and they did not offer those original
- 22:01Speaker 3: investors a chance to get out. They were then trapped
- 22:03Speaker 3: with this new manager, albeit a venerable manager. But the
- 22:07Speaker 3: performance of Keystone has been disastrous. If anyone wants to
- 22:11Speaker 3: look up what the definition of a disaster is the
- 22:14Speaker 3: Keystone Positive Change Fund. I think over five since they
- 22:17Speaker 3: took it over underperform their benchmark by one hundred percent
- 22:21Speaker 3: or something impossible, or maybe it underperformed by seventy and
- 22:24Speaker 3: underperform us by one hundred so anyhow, so they were
- 22:27Speaker 3: not afforded the chance to exit. What TSAVO would do
- 22:30Speaker 3: upon the change in the board is offer investors significant
- 22:34Speaker 3: liquidity in the case of the sixth funds out of
- 22:37Speaker 3: the seventh significant and in the seventh complete. So anyone
- 22:41Speaker 3: who wants to get out can finally, after years of struggling,
- 22:44Speaker 3: get out near nav at ninety nine percent. And whoever
- 22:47Speaker 3: wants to stay in and be a part of the
- 22:49Speaker 3: future will stay in and be a part of our
- 22:52Speaker 3: product offering, which will go into the investment trust market
- 22:55Speaker 3: each day and find opportunity.
- 22:58Speaker 2: Just don't own a practical point of view there. The
- 23:00Speaker 2: most famous UNLESSTED asset that some of these trusts owned
- 23:04Speaker 2: is SpaceX elon Musk satellite operator. What would you do
- 23:08Speaker 2: about reason liquidity and order? How would you deal with
- 23:12Speaker 2: unlessted elements to the portfolios?
- 23:14Speaker 3: The portfolios again, I think it's worth talking about the
- 23:16Speaker 3: interesting bits. But the portfolios are something like ninety eight
- 23:21Speaker 3: percent public. Okay, there's this two percent private bucket, and
- 23:25Speaker 3: the biggest holding in the private bucket is actually captured
- 23:28Speaker 3: everyone's imagination is SpaceX. Now there's a difference between being
- 23:33Speaker 3: private and a liquid and private, and everybody wants to
- 23:36Speaker 3: buy it.
- 23:36Speaker 4: First it would not.
- 23:37Speaker 3: Be hard to sell it, but second we are considering
- 23:41Speaker 3: for the ones that have SpaceX, a different exit, a
- 23:44Speaker 3: different solution, one that will be seen in hindsight as
- 23:48Speaker 3: having been We've considered different for different funds, different outcomes,
- 23:52Speaker 3: And with SpaceX, I think you're absolutely right, it deserves
- 23:55Speaker 3: consideration for perhaps allowing investors to stay in it if
- 23:58Speaker 3: we can find a way to do that. And I
- 24:00Speaker 3: can envision a number of different scenarios for that, and
- 24:03Speaker 3: I think SpaceX deserves to stay in the portfolio for
- 24:07Speaker 3: the most part, not promising the way things will be
- 24:10Speaker 3: in six months, but I think you bring up a
- 24:12Speaker 3: great point.
- 24:13Speaker 2: The other bit of pushback that I've seen from various
- 24:17Speaker 2: commentators is this idea that so a lot of these
- 24:21Speaker 2: trusts do have a lot of detail shareholders, and one
- 24:25Speaker 2: thing that retail shareholders, mostly because the mechanisms haven't been
- 24:29Speaker 2: there historically although they are now, is that they're apathetic
- 24:33Speaker 2: when it comes to voting. And one of the points
- 24:36Speaker 2: that lots of people have made are the sabbats coming in,
- 24:40Speaker 2: We've asked for these extraordinary general meetings, and then the
- 24:43Speaker 2: risk is that essentially you the vote goes your way
- 24:47Speaker 2: because no one turns up on the day. Is that
- 24:51Speaker 2: something that has factored in to your thinking, or is
- 24:55Speaker 2: this Do you feel this is unfair?
- 24:57Speaker 4: What are you?
- 24:58Speaker 2: How would you feel if a few when because oddly
- 25:01Speaker 2: any detail investors I actually turn up to cast the vote.
- 25:04Speaker 3: Yeah, I think personally, if these funds had made their
- 25:07Speaker 3: investors a lot of money in this bull market instead
- 25:09Speaker 3: of making a negative return, I think many more retail
- 25:12Speaker 3: investors would turn up in support. Because there's a vote
- 25:16Speaker 3: in favor. There's a vote against, but no vote is
- 25:19Speaker 3: also a vote in a sense against the manager because
- 25:21Speaker 3: they are definitely getting the phone calls right. The manager
- 25:24Speaker 3: has the list of names. I have a big disadvantage.
- 25:26Speaker 3: I don't have that listen names. That's why I'm here
- 25:29Speaker 3: with you the esteemed journalist, to get the word out.
- 25:31Speaker 3: And we will have done this special webinar on the fourteenth.
- 25:36Speaker 3: People who want to go and see that can go
- 25:37Speaker 3: back and look on the website. So we're trying to
- 25:39Speaker 3: get the word out. They have the full list to
- 25:41Speaker 3: get that word out. So if they're decrying, no fear,
- 25:45Speaker 3: our investors don't vote. I didn't set up your electoral system.
- 25:49Speaker 3: It's actually a really interesting point because we had one
- 25:52Speaker 3: manager say to me directly. I spoke to them. They
- 25:55Speaker 3: said it's no fair. They said exactly what you said,
- 25:58Speaker 3: and they said, there are no institutional investors our fund.
- 26:01Speaker 3: I mean, you know what I said to them, Why
- 26:02Speaker 3: don't you go back one year or two years ago,
- 26:05Speaker 3: there were tons of institutional investors in your fund. You're
- 26:07Speaker 3: claiming everyone loves you, but they were desperate to get
- 26:10Speaker 3: out and to sell you into the marketplace at a
- 26:13Speaker 3: fifteen or twenty point discount. And so we've assembled a
- 26:16Speaker 3: portfolio of tortured souls, people that couldn't stay in, and
- 26:20Speaker 3: we have taken that discount, and now it's at a
- 26:22Speaker 3: very small discount, and the retail investor who did stay
- 26:25Speaker 3: in has benefited. It's the institutional that wanted out, and
- 26:29Speaker 3: here we are that institution is no longer there to
- 26:31Speaker 3: vote for them. I would submit to you that they
- 26:33Speaker 3: voted with their feet and they exited to us.
- 26:36Speaker 2: So I think you've made that one very clear. Say
- 26:38Speaker 2: this small investor does tun up one the day because everyone, certainly,
- 26:42Speaker 2: in my experience, I haven't seen a campaign to get
- 26:46Speaker 2: shareholders out and voting like this one for a very
- 26:50Speaker 2: long time. So I mean, in terms of you have
- 26:53Speaker 2: pitched to the private investor. We've already told to me
- 26:56Speaker 2: what you've planned to do, But what is in it
- 26:57Speaker 2: for them? We could attribute the closing of the knave
- 27:01Speaker 2: descount to yourselves and say let's say that we say
- 27:05Speaker 2: that's all down this SABA. At this point, most investors
- 27:09Speaker 2: in these funds can exit or very close to enough
- 27:14Speaker 2: occasionally a premium to spend the trust just by going into
- 27:18Speaker 2: the market tomorrow and selling the shares. So what extra
- 27:23Speaker 2: is in it for them if they vote for your
- 27:25Speaker 2: changes rather than against your changes?
- 27:29Speaker 4: So there are a few features. You're right.
- 27:31Speaker 3: The small investor could sell a small amount of shares
- 27:33Speaker 3: and get out at this price that now reflects the
- 27:36Speaker 3: optimism that we will win.
- 27:38Speaker 4: Right.
- 27:39Speaker 3: And if they don't want to sell, that's because they
- 27:40Speaker 3: want to give our new proposal, our new product to
- 27:43Speaker 3: this UK Investment Trust, our opportunity Trust to benefit. They
- 27:48Speaker 3: could go look at our ETF. The ticker is CEFS.
- 27:51Speaker 3: It has an eight year track record of success. I
- 27:54Speaker 3: just pulled it up as I'm talking to you now,
- 27:57Speaker 3: and I'll just tell you that since twenty seventeen. In
- 28:00Speaker 3: since twenty seventeen, it's total return is one hundred and
- 28:03Speaker 3: twenty five percent and the KPC fund is down twelve
- 28:06Speaker 3: percent over eight years. One lost twelve one maye hundred
- 28:09Speaker 3: and twenty five. So you could look to that as
- 28:11Speaker 3: a reason to stay in our proven track record of
- 28:14Speaker 3: eight years. You could look at the why vote for us?
- 28:17Speaker 3: If you vote against us, it's very possible that the
- 28:19Speaker 3: discount will creep back into to the product. There's an
- 28:22Speaker 3: example of a fund, the European Opportunities Trust EOT, where
- 28:27Speaker 3: we told investors vote for US if you vote against us,
- 28:30Speaker 3: we believe this fund will go back to a discount.
- 28:33Speaker 3: It's sitting at minus fourteen as I speak to you,
- 28:35Speaker 3: and they had a chance to exit at ninety nine
- 28:37Speaker 3: at minus one, So there's protecting their own investment means
- 28:41Speaker 3: voting for US if.
- 28:42Speaker 4: They want to exit. Good for them.
- 28:43Speaker 3: But what we find in the US John is that
- 28:46Speaker 3: sometimes even if SABA didn't vote, we still would have
- 28:50Speaker 3: had more votes. There's enough retail discontent. If you go
- 28:53Speaker 3: through eight years and you underperform, or five years or
- 28:56Speaker 3: three years, you're going to create an investor base that
- 28:59Speaker 3: is to listen to other ideas, and unfortunately for the product,
- 29:03Speaker 3: they don't have a mechanism to get out at an EV.
- 29:05Speaker 3: We're their mechanism, we're their advocate. So there's a great
- 29:09Speaker 3: reason for the retail investor to vote for us. Now
- 29:11Speaker 3: I'm not naive. I know that they don't get to
- 29:13Speaker 3: hear me on the phone, they don't get to get
- 29:16Speaker 3: emails from me, but they do hear their manager saying
- 29:18Speaker 3: that I'm going to cause death and destruction. And there's
- 29:21Speaker 3: been a lot of misinformation said, which I will have
- 29:24Speaker 3: cleared up by the time the votes are taken.
- 29:26Speaker 2: Moving on to the boat, what you're planning to do,
- 29:30Speaker 2: as I understand it, is if they vote for you,
- 29:33Speaker 2: then clear out the old boats and replace them. And
- 29:35Speaker 2: you've already discussed having two board members, one correct me
- 29:39Speaker 2: if I'm wrong, a SABA board member, and the other
- 29:42Speaker 2: one can have chosen by yourselves. The one issue is,
- 29:49Speaker 2: as you've said, key governance is somewhat, if I understand
- 29:52Speaker 2: you correctly, somewhat better than it is in the US,
- 29:56Speaker 2: and two board members trust particularly whenever presumably each of
- 30:01Speaker 2: these trusts would be going through quite a significant restructure.
- 30:05Speaker 2: By the sounds of it, that sounds like a lot
- 30:09Speaker 2: of work for those individuals and boats here more typically
- 30:15Speaker 2: of more members what just can I answer to that?
- 30:18Speaker 2: It feels if too is late.
- 30:20Speaker 4: To that way, I agree with you and it will
- 30:23Speaker 4: not remain too.
- 30:25Speaker 3: We've done a lot since December eighteenth, and to ground
- 30:28Speaker 3: everything up and put it in place, we didn't have the
- 30:31Speaker 3: time to add thirty more directors to these seven funds.
- 30:35Speaker 3: I think what you could do instead of listening to
- 30:37Speaker 3: just my words is look at my actions in the US.
- 30:40Speaker 3: In the US, we manage two funds. The funds have
- 30:43Speaker 3: nine members each, eight of them are independent, and we
- 30:46Speaker 3: changed the governance of those funds to be more friendly
- 30:51Speaker 3: to the shareholder, less friendly to us as the manager.
- 30:53Speaker 3: We did that in twenty twenty four with a fund
- 30:57Speaker 3: we took over ticker SABA. We viewed it as we're
- 31:02Speaker 3: much more investor in this product than manager of this product,
- 31:05Speaker 3: and we want to show the managers what the best
- 31:07Speaker 3: governance is. That's why, unlike what Joanna Sanderson or what
- 31:11Speaker 3: Bailey Gifford didn't offer their investors in terms of liquidity,
- 31:14Speaker 3: they became the manager and they trapped people. They didn't
- 31:18Speaker 3: give them liquidity. We are giving substantial liquidity to six
- 31:21Speaker 3: and full liquidity to the seventh. So we're going to
- 31:24Speaker 3: in that same way of good governance, add a lot
- 31:26Speaker 3: of independent directors. We also, if we create a merger
- 31:30Speaker 3: of some of these funds, the independent directors will multiply.
- 31:34Speaker 3: But there's only one of me. Thank goodness, there's not
- 31:36Speaker 3: too me, right, can you imagine? So you're going to
- 31:38Speaker 3: be adding independent directors simply through merger and.
- 31:42Speaker 2: The terms that UK is coming into the UK? Is
- 31:44Speaker 2: there a reason why you want to do it like
- 31:46Speaker 2: this rather than just setting up like completely a new trust,
- 31:50Speaker 2: launching a new trust to do this and I just
- 31:54Speaker 2: give all up. I guess the investment trust sect on
- 31:56Speaker 2: the UK as you see it.
- 31:58Speaker 4: We might in the future.
- 32:00Speaker 3: We've seen actually in the US our ETF continue to grow,
- 32:03Speaker 3: so there is demand new money right to go into
- 32:06Speaker 3: our products if you look up cefs and the AUM
- 32:09Speaker 3: growth the last few years. But the main reason is
- 32:12Speaker 3: because the sector is so beleaguered. I don't need to
- 32:15Speaker 3: reado headlines from Bloomberg and the Ft excoriating the performance,
- 32:21Speaker 3: the discount, the seeming inability for that discount to come
- 32:25Speaker 3: back for three years. So there is such a negative
- 32:28Speaker 3: view of closed in funds in the US and investment
- 32:30Speaker 3: trusts in the UK that actually no one's really been
- 32:33Speaker 3: able to bring a new fund.
- 32:34Speaker 4: In the US.
- 32:35Speaker 3: Bill Lackman tried to bring a closed end fund and
- 32:37Speaker 3: ultimately shelved it. That we may come back with some
- 32:40Speaker 3: new ideas, and he's incredibly clever, but even he was
- 32:43Speaker 3: not able to.
- 32:43Speaker 4: Bring one, to bring one fresh.
- 32:45Speaker 3: Unfortunately, the market is in such a bad place that
- 32:48Speaker 3: I think that would take another year of rehabilitation, which
- 32:52Speaker 3: it cannot be argued. We can get things wrong, I'm
- 32:55Speaker 3: often wrong. It cannot be argued in my view that
- 32:58Speaker 3: we are not the most positive influence on the investment
- 33:01Speaker 3: trust market in the UK, because first we bought two
- 33:03Speaker 3: billion when institutions in retail wanted out. Second, we are
- 33:08Speaker 3: advocating for better governance, and five of the seven funds
- 33:11Speaker 3: as I talk to you today have announced change that
- 33:14Speaker 3: will be positive for shareholders that they would not announce
- 33:17Speaker 3: for the three years that we were asking them to.
- 33:19Speaker 3: But only in the last two months have they made
- 33:22Speaker 3: these funds made these five announcements. And so we're making
- 33:25Speaker 3: governance better, We're pushing prices higher through activism, and we
- 33:29Speaker 3: are buying We're going to be buying a lot more
- 33:31Speaker 3: of it. So we are the most positive influence in
- 33:33Speaker 3: the space. That's not what I came here to do.
- 33:35Speaker 3: I came here to make money for my clients. But
- 33:37Speaker 3: I'm quite excited to take again portfolios of Tesla and
- 33:43Speaker 3: super micro Computer, sell them, maybe not SpaceX as we said,
- 33:47Speaker 3: sell them and invest it back into the UK trust
- 33:51Speaker 3: market and for SAPA to expand its footprint. We are
- 33:53Speaker 3: going to be hiring people in the UK and I'm
- 33:56Speaker 3: going to be over every month for the next few months.
- 33:59Speaker 2: Into the seven that are wind the menu. Is there
- 34:03Speaker 2: one that you're particularly keen to you get you get
- 34:05Speaker 2: under control or is it much of a muchness As
- 34:09Speaker 2: far as you're concerned.
- 34:11Speaker 3: My view is let the voters decide. I don't have
- 34:14Speaker 3: any animist towards any manager where I'm like, I really
- 34:17Speaker 3: want to win that one. We decided, you know, maybe
- 34:20Speaker 3: a question you haven't asked, why did you do seven
- 34:22Speaker 3: instead of two? Why did you do seven instead of one?
- 34:24Speaker 3: Hopefully you want to ask why did you do seven
- 34:27Speaker 3: instead of fourteen?
- 34:28Speaker 4: Right?
- 34:28Speaker 3: Seven was quite a load. The reason we did it,
- 34:32Speaker 3: I'll tell you it's interesting. I've seen everything. I've been
- 34:35Speaker 3: in this industry since I was fifteen years old. I've
- 34:37Speaker 3: seen good behavior, bad behavior. We have an investor for
- 34:42Speaker 3: a decade in Europe that will not invest in activists.
- 34:45Speaker 3: They just have a rule. We don't want to be
- 34:47Speaker 3: a part of activism. You might cause a steel mill
- 34:49Speaker 3: to shut down, you might cause whatever. But for SABA
- 34:52Speaker 3: we make an exception because you're pushing back against acid
- 34:56Speaker 3: managers that are not treating the investor as well, and
- 34:59Speaker 3: we want to be a part of that. And so
- 35:01Speaker 3: in a sense it's eschief friendly for us to be
- 35:04Speaker 3: pushing for better governance, which we inaudably are. And this
- 35:07Speaker 3: whole space is one where I've seen everything, and so
- 35:10Speaker 3: why seven instead of one? I won't necessarily say what
- 35:14Speaker 3: all of those things are, but we felt if we
- 35:16Speaker 3: only did one, those other six, not particularly those, but
- 35:21Speaker 3: other managers might put up roadblocks, might do things that
- 35:24Speaker 3: are entrenching that would then hurt our investment, hurt all
- 35:28Speaker 3: other shareholders' investment. And we wanted it to be a
- 35:30Speaker 3: big bang to take the industry by storm. And what
- 35:33Speaker 3: I think you're going to see, because people have now
- 35:35Speaker 3: made lists of the other twenty funds were involved in.
- 35:38Speaker 4: Here's my prediction.
- 35:39Speaker 3: You can have me back in a year if you'll
- 35:40Speaker 3: take me is those other twenty funds will have instituted
- 35:44Speaker 3: a change that helped the price go up, helped retirees
- 35:47Speaker 3: and SAVA investors alike make money, and the governance will
- 35:51Speaker 3: be better, but some of them can take action to
- 35:56Speaker 3: make the governance worse. I'm going to give you one
- 35:58Speaker 3: example in that case EOT where we came in. We've
- 36:02Speaker 3: been very quiet in London. We came in and said
- 36:05Speaker 3: there's a continuation vote. We're not being activist. There's a
- 36:07Speaker 3: natural continuation vote should the manager get to keep the assets?
- 36:11Speaker 4: And we said we're going to vote against it. And
- 36:14Speaker 4: after that the manager announced some sort of buyback.
- 36:17Speaker 3: We said the buyback's not big enough and if you
- 36:20Speaker 3: vote against us, this thing will go back to a
- 36:22Speaker 3: big discount. Institutions voted against us. There's an old boys
- 36:26Speaker 3: network that it does exist in the UK. I'll spare
- 36:30Speaker 3: you some of those details. And they voted against us,
- 36:33Speaker 3: and instead of getting out at ninety nine, I think
- 36:35Speaker 3: they had a fiduciary requirement to vote for getting out
- 36:40Speaker 3: at ninety nine because it was so clear that it
- 36:42Speaker 3: would go to a discount again. It went to a
- 36:44Speaker 3: fourteen discount. Now, what has happened since then here's the punchline.
- 36:48Speaker 3: The manager is now the third biggest owner of this fund,
- 36:52Speaker 3: so I'm not calling him out by name, but his
- 36:54Speaker 3: name is Alexander Darwell, so I am calling him out
- 36:56Speaker 3: by name title too. And he has bought seven point
- 37:00Speaker 3: eighty four percent of the fund. And that means that
- 37:03Speaker 3: an activist will have a very hard time because if
- 37:06Speaker 3: the activist comes in and buys five, Darwell can buy
- 37:09Speaker 3: another five. And so that is why investors are sitting
- 37:12Speaker 3: at a fourteen discount in that fund. But the USA
- 37:15Speaker 3: Fund of Bailey Gifford sits right now at no discount
- 37:18Speaker 3: because investors are expecting we're going to win, and they
- 37:21Speaker 3: liked the idea of having a choice of staying with SABA,
- 37:24Speaker 3: which is one awards for activism. Institutional Investor gave us
- 37:28Speaker 3: best Activists the last two years. We won best Credit
- 37:31Speaker 3: Fund two years ago. And I think people also know
- 37:34Speaker 3: that when they invest in these funds, they're investing in
- 37:37Speaker 3: my attention and my partner's attention, not team to member
- 37:40Speaker 3: at number forty seven in a group of one thousand people.
- 37:43Speaker 3: So those two contrasts of good governance versus creating obstacles,
- 37:48Speaker 3: I think is why you can imagine we went for
- 37:50Speaker 3: seven instead of one.
- 37:51Speaker 2: Yeah, so that's interesting you've reased that because I Boy's
- 37:54Speaker 2: going to ask you clearly, So this seven is not
- 37:58Speaker 2: the end? Is far you have concerned? And you just
- 38:01Speaker 2: said there, what is there another twenty trusts that you
- 38:04Speaker 2: are involved in?
- 38:05Speaker 4: Is that right?
- 38:06Speaker 3: That's what people have put up on in messages And
- 38:10Speaker 3: I don't know if it's twenty or twenty six, Yeah,
- 38:12Speaker 3: but it ain't three.
- 38:13Speaker 2: So from that point of how many more are you taralgetting?
- 38:17Speaker 4: Is this?
- 38:18Speaker 2: Is this just going to carry on? Or have you
- 38:20Speaker 2: got a specific kind of end game in mind.
- 38:24Speaker 3: I'm not targeting anybody. I'm trying to make money for
- 38:27Speaker 3: my investors, and what's really nice is I get to,
- 38:30Speaker 3: in doing so, make money for all the shareholders of
- 38:33Speaker 3: these funds. We haven't taken green mail. Most of you
- 38:35Speaker 3: probably know what green mial is. We haven't taken special
- 38:37Speaker 3: deals which we've been offered by the way in the
- 38:40Speaker 3: past and in a situation in Canada, and we we're
- 38:44Speaker 3: here for our investors. We're not here to make trouble.
- 38:47Speaker 3: And so what I hope happens is that we win
- 38:50Speaker 3: a bunch of these and then the UK wakes up
- 38:53Speaker 3: and it's.
- 38:53Speaker 4: And the managers start doing things that are pro shareholder. Now,
- 38:56Speaker 4: what is that? Okay? What could they do so that
- 38:58Speaker 4: we don't do this again?
- 39:00Speaker 3: If they go in the marketplace instead of us going
- 39:03Speaker 3: in the marketplace and they sell a bit of IBM
- 39:05Speaker 3: and they sell a bit of T and they take
- 39:08Speaker 3: that cash and they buy themselves. They buy back their
- 39:11Speaker 3: own shares at a fourteen discount. They are immediately building
- 39:16Speaker 3: net acid value. If they retire shares that were at
- 39:19Speaker 3: one hundred at eighty six, they are building net acid value.
- 39:22Speaker 3: They're making money for their investors. Why don't they do that?
- 39:25Speaker 3: Pure and simple greed because they don't want their fund
- 39:28Speaker 3: to shrink. They don't want to make their fee smaller,
- 39:31Speaker 3: and so they've been greedy. In the case of EESCT,
- 39:35Speaker 3: one of the funds in our campaign, ESCT approved a
- 39:39Speaker 3: big buyback and that never consummated even more than a
- 39:44Speaker 3: third of it. That's a Janis Henderson fund. And I
- 39:47Speaker 3: think there's like a lot of irony going on. They're
- 39:49Speaker 3: complaining now that we have these big stakes, but they
- 39:51Speaker 3: didn't take the steps they could have bought these stakes.
- 39:54Speaker 3: They could have made money for their shareholders. And the
- 39:56Speaker 3: great irony of Janis Henderson, by the way, is that
- 40:00Speaker 3: they themselves, okay, they themselves voted to liquidate a UK
- 40:04Speaker 3: investment trust run by one of the most famous activists
- 40:09Speaker 3: in the US called Nelson Peltz. The fund is called
- 40:12Speaker 3: Tryon and an incredible hypocrisy. Janie Henderson voted to liquidate
- 40:18Speaker 3: try On. It liquidated, and Nelson Pelts sits on the
- 40:22Speaker 3: board of Tryon. And I just had a wonderful on
- 40:24Speaker 3: the board of Janie Henderson. I just had a wonderful
- 40:26Speaker 3: call with him. And I think this idea of SABA
- 40:30Speaker 3: has this personal interest in taking over these funds, their
- 40:33Speaker 3: own personal interest in keeping these funds despite in some
- 40:36Speaker 3: cases terrible performance, their own self interest is laid bare.
- 40:39Speaker 3: So I know that's like a very long answer full
- 40:41Speaker 3: of chock full of ironies. But I think we're we
- 40:44Speaker 3: are the positive change. And if they what they can
- 40:47Speaker 3: do to forestall activism is fix their funds so that
- 40:50Speaker 3: SABA doesn't.
- 40:51Speaker 2: Have to I mean, from that point of why are
- 40:53Speaker 2: the challenges that people perforward? Is this basically and I said,
- 40:57Speaker 2: cothered an exercise because we didn't We just talked about
- 41:00Speaker 2: fees because obviously you guys and fees as well from
- 41:04Speaker 2: the kind of amount of the assets that you've got
- 41:06Speaker 2: under management. I think I get the impression that you
- 41:10Speaker 2: already answered that one to be honest in the last response.
- 41:13Speaker 2: But do you have a response to that.
- 41:16Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 41:17Speaker 3: Look, by the way, it's very clear Bloomberg isn't throwing
- 41:20Speaker 3: softballs at me. These are like challenging questions. So are
- 41:23Speaker 3: we trying to gather assets? We could liquidate the funds
- 41:27Speaker 3: like Janis Anderson did to Nelson Peltz. So we're trying
- 41:29Speaker 3: to keep it alive. What is keeping it alive?
- 41:32Speaker 1: Do?
- 41:32Speaker 3: What's the positive benefit? I'm going to take that capital
- 41:36Speaker 3: and invest it back into the investment trust sector, which
- 41:38Speaker 3: should have a positive effect on the sector.
- 41:41Speaker 4: And there's demand for what we do.
- 41:43Speaker 3: We run a business, and if investors, if investors don't
- 41:46Speaker 3: want it. In the case of the Bailey Gifford KEPC
- 41:49Speaker 3: fund and another fund run by Janis, by the way,
- 41:52Speaker 3: they were stuck. Bailey Gifford kept one hundred percent of
- 41:55Speaker 3: them one hundred percent of the fees. We're going to
- 41:57Speaker 3: give people who want their money back effectively some most
- 42:02Speaker 3: or all of their money back in a way that
- 42:04Speaker 3: should answer the question for itself. So we were holding
- 42:06Speaker 3: ourselves to a much higher standard than these very managers.
- 42:09Speaker 3: And I think that when you have two hundred and
- 42:11Speaker 3: seventy somethingter trust in the UK mostly underperforming. One of
- 42:16Speaker 3: the things that I had a great conversation with the
- 42:19Speaker 3: head of the industry Group AIIC for UK Investment trust
- 42:23Speaker 3: and he said, one of the great things about investment
- 42:25Speaker 3: trust is they can hold less liquid assets and even
- 42:28Speaker 3: if music royalties hypnosis became a problem until it wasn't,
- 42:32Speaker 3: there is real benefit because you couldn't hold that in
- 42:35Speaker 3: an ETF structure. And I said, I agree, and actually
- 42:38Speaker 3: investment trusts are not very liquid and are a perfect
- 42:41Speaker 3: thing to be held in investment trusts, right. We really
- 42:45Speaker 3: think that to have an offering like ours is bringing
- 42:48Speaker 3: new ideas to a one hundred and fifty year old space.
- 42:51Speaker 3: And it's about time that there was an opportunity for
- 42:54Speaker 3: some of your listeners to say, hey, this guy doesn't
- 42:57Speaker 3: it sounds like he clearly from the reaction, he's getting
- 42:59Speaker 3: stuffed and he's already gone five of the managers to
- 43:02Speaker 3: announce things they woudn't announced for the first three years.
- 43:04Speaker 3: So maybe I want to invest alongside of that in
- 43:07Speaker 3: a reasonable way.
- 43:08Speaker 2: One thing I wanted to ask you, and this is
- 43:10Speaker 2: slightly different to the other question of actually you're you're
- 43:12Speaker 2: a gamer as I understand it, and I know that
- 43:15Speaker 2: some famous fund managers like ol Gross for example, always
- 43:18Speaker 2: talk about poker as an analogy for investing your game
- 43:23Speaker 2: a choice used to make chess. And I was just
- 43:25Speaker 2: wondering what you feel your background there, because you were
- 43:29Speaker 2: like number two in the US at one point, Is
- 43:31Speaker 2: that right?
- 43:31Speaker 4: Not quite? I was number two for age fifteen sixteen?
- 43:35Speaker 2: Oh yes, yeah, yes, a child prodigy, a bit like
- 43:39Speaker 2: a rowin chancellor here. But so, how do you think
- 43:41Speaker 2: chess has influenced your investment style? Would you bring from
- 43:44Speaker 2: chess to invest in?
- 43:46Speaker 3: By the way, Rachel Reeves, I got to meet her
- 43:48Speaker 3: one time because of chess.
- 43:50Speaker 4: It was not a very.
- 43:51Speaker 3: Memorable meeting, by the way, and we were in a
- 43:54Speaker 3: group and she came along and we went to Pete Express.
- 43:56Speaker 3: So I have a long history with chess and Rachel Reeves. Actually,
- 44:01Speaker 3: because of some of the changes caused a lot of
- 44:03Speaker 3: discontent in your equity markets and sellers of the of things,
- 44:07Speaker 3: including investment trust, I want to say that the investment.
- 44:10Speaker 3: Trust problems are not problems only of their own making.
- 44:14Speaker 3: Let's leave it at that, since I was there to
- 44:16Speaker 3: stay in good stead with her, look chess, blackjack, poker.
- 44:19Speaker 3: I never really played poker till I was thirty or so.
- 44:23Speaker 3: And an't you Jane, just a brilliant man. He called
- 44:26Speaker 3: me and said, I got you invited to Warren Buffett's
- 44:28Speaker 3: poker tournament. Do us proud? And I said, on't you?
- 44:31Speaker 3: I think you confused me with confused poker with blackjack
- 44:34Speaker 3: or poker with chess. I don't play poker. And he said,
- 44:38Speaker 3: you called me from the airport in Omaha, Nebraska. I
- 44:41Speaker 3: just met Warren Buffett. I said I don't play poker,
- 44:43Speaker 3: and he said, now you do, and he hung up
- 44:45Speaker 3: the phone on me.
- 44:46Speaker 4: And I ended up through a lot of luck.
- 44:48Speaker 3: I start this conversation with you talking about luck, I
- 44:51Speaker 3: ended up with a lot of luck. I was in
- 44:53Speaker 3: one case down to one card to come, and I
- 44:55Speaker 3: was three out of four to lose, and I won
- 44:57Speaker 3: a Maserati and I didn't have a driver's licen so
- 45:00Speaker 3: I was that New York kid that didn't drive. So
- 45:02Speaker 3: I had to go get my driver's license. I have
- 45:04Speaker 3: this history with games which has been just fantastic. But
- 45:07Speaker 3: I think, for the purpose of this conversation, closed end
- 45:11Speaker 3: funds and UK investment trusts are very similar to blackcheck
- 45:15Speaker 3: because you know the discount.
- 45:17Speaker 4: You know what we're talking. You know, no one's disagreeing.
- 45:19Speaker 3: Should Facebook stock be at five hundred or four hundred?
- 45:22Speaker 3: This is we take the price as it is, and
- 45:25Speaker 3: we still know what the discount or a premium is.
- 45:28Speaker 3: We know what the discount is. And in blackjack, we
- 45:30Speaker 3: know what the count is and we know what the
- 45:32Speaker 3: odds are. And this is the one arbitrage what I
- 45:35Speaker 3: don't want to leave you with. This is the one
- 45:36Speaker 3: arbitrage where I can control my own destiny because a
- 45:40Speaker 3: share is a vote, and if I get enough shares
- 45:42Speaker 3: and I get enough followers, I can actually get the
- 45:45Speaker 3: manager to be replaced, and that manager should not want
- 45:49Speaker 3: to be replaced. We've only done it twice in twelve years.
- 45:53Speaker 3: What we're doing now in the UK we have done
- 45:55Speaker 3: twice in twelve years in the US despite having more
- 45:58Speaker 3: than seventy campaigns. So why are we doing it now
- 46:01Speaker 3: here in the UK. Because the managers did not listen
- 46:04Speaker 3: to us. We came to them. We said you should
- 46:06Speaker 3: do with an aggressive buyback, you should do with a tender.
- 46:09Speaker 3: You need to narrow your discount, And for three years
- 46:11Speaker 3: the discounts were not narrowed. And so in blackjack. In
- 46:15Speaker 3: the end, you get to know if you played down
- 46:17Speaker 3: to the very last card, you would know exactly what
- 46:19Speaker 3: it is here. If we owned fifty one percent of
- 46:22Speaker 3: the shares, we would know exactly what the outcome would be.
- 46:25Speaker 4: But let it be left to the voters. The managers
- 46:27Speaker 4: get to call them. We don't.
- 46:28Speaker 3: So I'm here with you in this lovely conversation to
- 46:31Speaker 3: tell the retail investors we are here alongside you. We
- 46:35Speaker 3: have your interest just like you have our interest, which
- 46:37Speaker 3: is a higher price. The manager's interest is to keep
- 46:41Speaker 3: their fees and to excuse their underperformance.
- 46:44Speaker 2: If you get one message to get to the rest
- 46:47Speaker 2: of the investment trust sector, she's someone open the sentence.
- 46:51Speaker 3: Look, let me say this. I would bet what are
- 46:55Speaker 3: they saying you? It's dollars to donuts that the other
- 46:58Speaker 3: twenty funds that we owned have had meetings about.
- 47:02Speaker 4: How to get their share price up, and you did.
- 47:05Speaker 4: I don't know you did, but I do know you did.
- 47:07Speaker 3: Logically you did and think about this small investor that
- 47:12Speaker 3: we are a positive agent for change and we are
- 47:15Speaker 3: going to invest not just the two billion we have
- 47:17Speaker 3: so far, but we are going to invest more back
- 47:20Speaker 3: into the sector. And what you will see which I'll
- 47:23Speaker 3: give you an anecdote. In the US, there is a
- 47:25Speaker 3: fund the ticker is NHS Nancy Harry Sam. They after
- 47:30Speaker 3: quite a bit of back and forth, they did a tender,
- 47:33Speaker 3: they did listen to us, and after that their shares
- 47:37Speaker 3: traded so much better that they were able to issue
- 47:39Speaker 3: more shares two different times. And so looking out five
- 47:42Speaker 3: years from five years later, their fund is now bigger
- 47:45Speaker 3: because we help them fix their fund after a lot
- 47:48Speaker 3: of back and forth that they otherwise wouldn't have had.
- 47:51Speaker 3: This is about too many sellers, not enough buyers. If
- 47:54Speaker 3: you buy your back your shares, if we buy back
- 47:56Speaker 3: your shares, you will be able to grow the UK
- 47:58Speaker 3: Investment trus space. And so that's my message to the market,
- 48:01Speaker 3: is that I know the seven of you don't think
- 48:03Speaker 3: we come in peace, but for sure there are hundreds
- 48:06Speaker 3: of thousands of small investors that have benefited every time
- 48:09Speaker 3: from our activism. Whereas in normal activism, if you try
- 48:13Speaker 3: to turn jcpenny into Apple Computer. You can actually do
- 48:16Speaker 3: quite a bit of damage closed end fund and investment
- 48:18Speaker 3: trust activism, especially because we're giving liquidity. You can take
- 48:22Speaker 3: that money you want to be in small stocks, you
- 48:24Speaker 3: don't want what we do, take your ninety nine percent
- 48:27Speaker 3: and go buy another one in eighty nine percent, Rinse, repeat.
- 48:30Speaker 3: That's the opportunity for the small investor who doesn't want
- 48:33Speaker 3: SABA capital.
- 48:34Speaker 4: After this is all over.
- 48:36Speaker 3: If you don't, okay, fine, take your ninety nine vote
- 48:39Speaker 3: for us, get your ninety nine, go buy the exact
- 48:41Speaker 3: same thing in eighty nine and maybe find an ETF
- 48:44Speaker 3: that has lower fees. So we're really giving investors options
- 48:47Speaker 3: whereas they were stuck and a lot of institutions had
- 48:50Speaker 3: no choice but to sell. And that's a sorry situation.
- 48:53Speaker 3: And even those ones, I hope they support us, they
- 48:56Speaker 3: should be very happy for our involvement.
- 48:58Speaker 2: Well, you just giving me the head. It's going to
- 49:00Speaker 2: be who boys, Wayinstein fixed the NHS. I think that'll
- 49:04Speaker 2: be very click beity here. Thanks a lot for your team.
- 49:07Speaker 2: The one other thing with ASKI boys is so say
- 49:10Speaker 2: we look back. You went out here three years out.
- 49:13Speaker 2: You'll be judged doing Saba's three year performance from now.
- 49:18Speaker 2: What would count as success.
- 49:20Speaker 3: First that investors were able to get that exit, and
- 49:25Speaker 3: that if they then look at the ones who stayed in,
- 49:27Speaker 3: that they would find something that I truly believe. I
- 49:30Speaker 3: look at all the businesses that SABA does, because we
- 49:33Speaker 3: do a lot more than investment trusts and closed in
- 49:36Speaker 3: funds going I look across the businesses. None of the
- 49:38Speaker 3: other businesses do I have any sort of control over
- 49:41Speaker 3: the future. Predicting the future is hard, but this business
- 49:46Speaker 3: is something that is far easier. If you buy something
- 49:49Speaker 3: at a fifteen discount, and sixty times in a row,
- 49:51Speaker 3: you were able to get that discount to shrink, rinse, repeat,
- 49:54Speaker 3: you were creating value for your investors. So success to
- 49:57Speaker 3: me three years later would be that what we be
- 50:00Speaker 3: able to do for the last twelve years for our
- 50:02Speaker 3: clients is repeatable. I think it's even more repeatable because
- 50:06Speaker 3: now we carry a bigger stick. We have six billion
- 50:09Speaker 3: invested in the space globally, and that because of that,
- 50:12Speaker 3: managers will do the right thing and we will deliver
- 50:15Speaker 3: super normal games to our investors because discounts will narrow
- 50:20Speaker 3: because of us.
- 50:21Speaker 4: That's my goal.
- 50:22Speaker 3: We might fall short, but for the last eight years,
- 50:24Speaker 3: it's been If you look at that et off, it's
- 50:26Speaker 3: been a great ride.
- 50:28Speaker 2: Okay, thanks very much, boys, really appreciate your time, my pleasure.
- 50:37Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to this week's Medon Talks Money. If
- 50:40Speaker 2: you like a show, rate and review and subscribe whatever
- 50:42Speaker 2: you listen to podcasts and keep sending questions at comments
- 50:45Speaker 2: to Medon Money at bloomberd dot net. You can also
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- 50:51Speaker 2: now Knowing I'm at Join Underscore, Stepic and Medon is
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- 50:59Speaker 2: Stepic was juiced by Summersadi and Moses and dam and
- 51:02Speaker 2: special thanks to bo Has Weinstein