Our Final Midterm Predictions—And Why the Polls May Be Wrong

Restoration Spotlight · Oct 30, 2026 · 1h 6m

Hosts Hayden Ludwig, Dan Curry, John Pearman, and Grace Riley break down why Trump and Vance are spending so much time in Texas, why Larry Sabato's crystal ball isn't what campaign professionals actually use, and how the left built a "permanent campaign" machine that turns out low-propensity voters year after year—and what conservatives are doing to catch up.

Then it's the lightning round: Who wins the House? Who holds the Senate? The panel splits on the margins, and one of them is betting against everyone else just to be contrary.

From there, the conversation turns to the polls themselves…