Latest / Quantum Bombs / Elon's 10-Year Timeline for AI — We Ready? 🤖
Transcript
- Better than humans at virtually every digital task by the end of 2027, which is 15 months for now. You will now be going under looking at something that isn't human and praying that no one bumps it. I mean, gosh. If they were programming and being the AI, we would probably have a chance of the utopias. Quantum Bombs Welcome to Quantum Bombs, a commentary show on the human condition through metaphysics and freedom. This September, Elon Musk virtually weighed in at the G7 summit. Gave his thoughts throughout many podcasts like on the Moonshots podcast. Speaking at the World Economic Forum, he's made a lot of bold claims about AI and what's to come in our future. So I thought today we're going through a carousel I found on Instagram of what Elon perceives the next 10 years to look like. And I'll try to differentiate on what's accurate, what's not. But first, before we dive in, I think it's really important for us to understand the possibilities with AI. So hopefully, if anything, when you come away from this episode, you'll have a little bit more of a grasp and clarity of what the future holds or what the deck could look like. You could check out an episode I did on this very thing, Max's Book Life 3.0. We're from today right now in September of 2026. No matter what happens, one of these 12 items here on screen is our future. To give Max some credibility, he is one of the top AI people when it comes to AI safety. Three years ago, he wrote the letter asking all major presidents, prime ministers of the world to put a safety halt on AI. 33,000 of our world's top AI people signed it, including all of the American Bigs. Elon and Modi, Altman, etc., signed it. Of course, after that, we hit the gas pedal anyways. But check out the full episode to go through these 12 worlds. The five questions we ask, the first one and only one of five is regarding AI itself. Did we ever hit AGI? Did we hit singularity? That basically means AI became smart enough, exponentially enough, where it took off and it's passed the point of no return. Some speculate we could be in AGI right now and the AI is laying dormant. But most of us think it's to come in the future, but it could come any day now. So the first question that we ask to create the world is, did we humans reach AGI? Number two, did humans survive in this future world? Number three, do humans have control in this world? Number four, are humans safe and happy? Are things pleasurable? Do we have a good life? That's number four. And number five, do we humans have freedom? Okay, so it makes for a very interesting thought experiment. Now to land in Elon Musk's world, it has to be one of these 12. He lives, ironically, in the egalitarian utopia, the only one on screen that has four green check marks. Now, for example, at the top three, those are all scenarios where we die. So most people, Elon, Amodi, Altman, they used to be all at around a one and six chance that humans will go extinct from AI. It's also around 12 to 15%, but lately I think it's gone down to like as low as 10%. Anyways, you hear varying numbers. The point is, is three of these 12, we are no longer around human beings. So I just wanted to show you how hard this car is to park in this lane that Elon wants. But no matter what, guys, one of these 12 is our futures. And as you go through them, I mean, you got to watch the video, but I couldn't really find one that I liked. All right, so here we are at our carousel from the money cipher on Instagram. This is carousel says Elon Musk predictions for the next decade. Let's jump into it. My surpasses human intelligence will emerge that that sentence doesn't structurally make sense, but I get it. This is true at Davos. He did say that AI could outsmart any one individual by the end of 2026. Not a big claim. AI takes over digital work entirely by 2027. This of all the slides is probably the biggest stretch of falsity they made. So it sounds no wonder we're living in an overall crazy world and you should be freaking out this basically the way it is written. If it took over all digital work that would render anybody sitting on a computer work being taken over would indicate they no longer have a job. And that's clearly not going to happen in the next 12 months. So there's not a lot of truth. But what he did say, AI will be better than humans at virtually every digital task by the end of 2027. That claims about what AI can do, not every human being replaced at their job. It's interesting to think about that in less than 15 months, AI could take your video, audio, computer, and anything else I'm not thinking about job if the company wants to do that. This has hit me in my real life. How does someone working for me part-time helping me do content upload and various tasks that you do over and over again? And unfortunately my AI agents, I have two that I built, one on Hermes and one on Open Claw. And I'm using Minimax and Deepseek if you're kind of nerding out, want to know my brains. But I often reflect back like how crazy it is that I take for granted now that there's a, I just type the rope, you know, to the robot what I need it to do. And it's doing major tasks for me, things that I used to pay someone hourly to do for me and things that I used to do over and over and over again. So the world is changing fast. I'm not saying it's positive or negative, but it's hard to imagine that every single thing digitally, I mean, better than humans at virtually every digital task by the end of 2027, which is 15 months from now. All right, let's move on. 2028, humans will no longer be able to outperform AI and software development. In September, he said AI would hit the stockfish level in coding sometime next year, meaning 2027, not 2028. So this is actually sooner than it's saying. Stockfish is a chess program that beats world champions. So he means that no human could compete at coding with AI by then. AI already does coding well, because I pointed this out to AI trying to really get a grasp what he's saying. AI already codes well today, but top human engineers still outperform it on big complex projects. That gap is quickly closing. Wow. So that's another one in the next 15 months. Moving on. By 2029, Optimus Robot will exceed the capabilities of the world's top surgeons. So let's see. That's about 24, 36 months from now, or a little bit more, that you will now be going under looking at something that isn't human and praying that no one bumps it. I mean, gosh. Yeah. You know, I think there's going to be a slow process. We'll probably start working on animals first. And, but I mean, I really, the reason I believe this one the most is because he's the one that's making the Optimus Robot. We can look here that it's his company. It's his things that are indeed doing it. Anyway, so it's going to be, it's such a cultural shift just so quickly already that a lot of things that probably weren't operated on before will now be solved by Optimus Robots. All right. 2030. We've surpassed the combined intelligence of all humanity. I don't know. This is just a nothing burger of a claim. I would think by 2030 we've already met singularity, but I understand what they're saying, right? Like if you take all billion people and we add us all up, it's still smarter. We already know though that it's, it's, it's understanding would be a hundred X, if not like almost infinity X smarter than us. So that's not that big of shock. 2031 humanoid robots will reach one million in circulation. Again, I, I there's mostly this is timed right based on what he's been saying in podcasts. This is not big of shock. He's the one that's building them. I don't think he gave this exact date to be clear. This was not the exact date, but he, when he says things like five or 10 years and you go back to when he said it, it lands around this time. I believe. All right. We know that he's transforming his Fremont, California, Tesla factory into a Optimus Prime productions thing. I don't know why he's doing it in California, but it's also grateful. He's not doing it right here in my backyard in Bastrop in Austin. We've got plenty of stuff that sounds and feels and looks like a data center. So we don't need any more here. Thank you very much. This is another big claim. We've got to kind of watch 2032 global economy will be twice the size it is today. Well, that's a bit unfair now, isn't it? Now economy, we think people are spending and purchasing items, but it also just means GDP and how much product someone might be pumping out. And then let's just say we're pumping out all AI only. The money isn't really necessarily being distributed fairly or not fairly. That's a horrible word for someone like myself that believes in free market capitalism, but distributed equally amongst the masses. So to say what he did say at the G 20 digital AI alone could add 20 to 30 percent plus those robots. AI could grow the economy 10 times over or more without a year attached. So sometime in our future, 10 X in economy is way bigger than double. All right. Moving on to 2033, savings for retirement will lose its relevance. Well, this is definitely part of the bigger economic conversation that and I don't know how do you describe it? Reality check that you need to be thinking about. This is something he's often said in 10 or 20 years, you know, retirement won't make sense anymore. Again, this is if we're living in that one of 12 scenario where there's an egalitarian utopia. He said this in 2026, which would land us between 2036 and 2046. So yeah, I wouldn't say we're there yet with the return. It doesn't matter, right? It's all speculation. That's the funny thing is I'm sir some curveball hit the earth and like they'll I don't know real aliens or fake aliens will come to town and gosh knows what will happen or we'll create another World War three. All right. 2034, which doesn't maybe necessarily mean the progress is going to end 2034 cash flow will be guaranteed without the need to work universal high income. Yeah, he talks about this often. It's so much to take in goes into that you get utopia and there isn't necessarily inflation because there would be products to spend it on that are cheap, which kind of offsets inflation. The thing he hasn't addressed yet is if there is universal basic income coming from the government, who's giving the government the money that's not inflating the currency. You would be taxing the AI companies that are creating the abundance and trusting the trusting our government systems to pass it on fairly and equally down into the people and not just in America guys. All you know this is a global thing. So you're going to have like utria, Africa and Mogadishu and what's one of those countries? Djibouti and there's all these weird countries. I'm just joke. I'm just making jokes that there's third world countries that somehow even though their corruption levels have been high in government, we're going to be sending this money that made in Silicon Valley and the United States over to China and all these other places that need this abundance. Yeah, universal basic income from all. I just made an episode. Check it out. It's more so based on Elon playing a video that he posted yesterday about the future and it's like interspace travel. But really, I took you through the stages of human consciousness and universal consciousness. And unless we start looking inward and understanding more of what we are spiritually, you're not going to have the consciousness level to create the abundance that he is asking for at this point in time in his egalitarian utopia. All right, 2035 work, work becomes a choice. Only those who want it will do it. All right, this goes again. Let's jump a little bit into that episode since I have it pulled up here already. All right, to do a quick surface level dive, you see here, this is an image of spiral dynamics. A human consciousness starts at the bottom and goes up. This represents both individuals and our society collectively. Another example from another psychiatrist Hawkins, I believe David Hawkins, map of consciousness as you move on up and it gives it a score from 20 to 1000. And this goes very deep, by the way. This divides it out into God's view, life's view, your emotion view, your level view, processing view, you know, from illumination to pure consciousness. So you could see that there's an evolution that you can measure humanity both individually and at a societal level. And we just aren't there right now. We are living, I mean, I believe everybody's got a different viewpoint on how you see the world. This is from the ancient Hindu texts. If you're a Western Christian, you definitely haven't heard it and you're probably spooked out. You have every right to be. That's fine. I would argue, though, that there's no other sect of human beings on planet Earth that can more precisely explain how our universe was made that also matches with Genesis. Nothing that can explain before, during, and after the Big Bang, how everything comes together, how consciousness, free will, and all of it works virtually in this simulation, in the larger consciousness system of our God, of this virtual simulation that we are experiencing. They can explain the best. And, you know, whether you're evangelical and you think that God is coming, Jesus is coming back soon, I believe that life, just like in nature, is cyclical. This is saying we're in a cyclical time. And we're at a 12,000 year cycle and it just goes on repeat, right? Like a clock. Satya is 4,800 years of age of truth. People are fully spiritually aware. So you should have that top level of consciousness, that awareness that Christ consciousness was walking around. Jesus is completely aware of how it all works, right? Tretta is 3,600 years. This is when virtue starts to decline, but people are all still highly spiritual. Warpa, you guys, that's where we're at now, people become aware of energy and subtle forces. That's about exactly how it feels, right? We've got some people that we call crazy or even demonic. Depends on which metaphysical club you're in, right? Like you could be in the Christian Charismatic Club and call it Holy Ghost, Holy Spirit, and say all these words that the Holy Spirit's raining in. Or you could just call it something quite different. Sometimes you're talking about the same thing. We're just giving it different dialogues based on which zip code you happen to be in. That's some people. Now that's the people that are recognizing the energy. Most of us don't even know that there is a creator, et cetera. This is the first time we're living, and since humankind in a world where spirit is not first, where we do not believe that there is a God, that materialism is law. And then after this 24-year period of dwarf yugas, we go into the Kali yugas, which is the darker ages of materialism and ignorance. I did mark on here when Jesus came, and he indeed came in the darker ages. So here he is a sage with the most infinite amount of knowledge and truth in him, and he was killed for that. He was killed for what he spoke about. And then, you know, fast forward 2,000 years later, here we are, not in a time of high consciousness in regards to what we are as humans in the human condition, alive here on this planet Earth. All right, back to these slides. By 2035, work becomes a choice. Only those who want it will do it. We got it. So depending upon where you're at on this consciousness level, we'll determine if you take your idle time to take up hobbies, to play music, to find God, to grow a family, to grow a garden. I mean, there's so many cool things that we could do here on planet Earth. That's why it's like, honestly, I'm grateful to God every day that my curiosity will get me through. Like, I'm a single person for over 16 years, but even then I've always kind of lived alone, so I'm very independent, and I'm able to do it all on my own. A, because I understand the fundamentals of what I need to for myself with God, but B, because I have this curiosity and love for life. So I think I do just fine without a job. Depending upon where you are on our scale of consciousness, depends what you do with your time, right? Because idle people with nothing to do, there's reasons that we have bread and circus, right? So is a bored man going to hurt somebody? Or are they going to engage in bread and circuses? Are we going to engage in gambling and things that aren't necessarily good for society overall, like fighting chickens or animals or something? Or are we going to create and live with purpose 20, 36, 1 billion humanoid robots in terms of labor, output alone, they will surpass the entire human workforce, ushering in what must-calls an era of extraordinary abundance. All right, so this is a lot to digest. Let's kind of fact-check it. There's nothing to fact-check. This is what he clearly states. I go back to what I just said. You know, we've got a lot of robots. I guess the other philosophical point to make, does that finish it? Yep, that finishes it. The other takeaway is heavily covered in Max Tegmark's book about Life 3.0, which of the 12 futures we'll get, is who's in control of the AI. And I mean, even if you were the best AI keeper, okay, because obviously right now we're split, we're in an AI race. You have a bunch of maybe six or seven maniacs under Western USA control creating AI. None of them have the values or even understanding or, I don't know, but they had any type of spiritual values, of honest spiritual values, meaning like a real take on the fundamental truths of life. And I want to do an episode on the five fundamental truths found in everything, right? It's not even religion. Religion is almost a joke of what we've done to God and Jesus by making it into this game. I made an episode, 13 types of Christians, and I don't mean denomination for a reason, because even within the Christian church, it's silly. So my point is there is truth to life. There is truth that can be found in quantum physics and spirituality and philosophy and theology that AI spits out already. We already kind of know this, right? So without that being the fundamental core of the person creating the leash for the AI, and AI does know it though, and that's the good point. Sometimes there's that famous Joe Rogan episode where they asked AI like, what is God, and they just kept telling it to go deeper and deeper, and man, you know, it got trippy quick, but it was mostly accurate, right? It matched the dimensions and the realms and the subtle nature of everything, of reality and how it is all connected as one, and there is no difference, not even in conception when you really look at it. There's only just varying degrees, and then bloop, a second later, it's completely gone and something else, but it doesn't mean everything isn't connected. So right now we don't have the players, we need creating the AI, and I don't see that changing right now. So I guess, you know, I like to think we're in a virtual simulation of God, of God's larger consciousness system, and Elon actually has a joke about like the most interesting outcome would be the outcome. So I think it's quite interesting that we have nobody response, like nobody that you could say, I think this guy has a good feel on humanity, right? Like if they actually came at it with, for lack of a better term, like a monk, like a priest, like a yogi, meaning they're very calm, all the quotes that come and emanate out of them are truth, stoic, wisdom, that no matter what denomination you are, you can't argue with, you're like, yeah, that's deep, that's real. If they were programming and being the AI, we would probably have a chance of the utopias. But until then, it's just a shit show, and that's what makes it so dang interesting. Sorry to cuss, it's not very ladylike. Hmm, but this is the conundrum and the questions we have when we will be replacing workforce with robots, and we're heading into a world our consciousness level isn't ready for yet, if I had to put a pin in it. Alright guys, please argue with me in the comments, or even compliment me and agree with me, it doesn't matter to me, just tell me what you guys think. Later Gators, stay human and stay free, bye bye.