Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 2 Gambling Picks, Down Tremendous, Time To Bounce Back

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NFL Week 2 Gambling Picks, Down Tremendous, Time To Bounce Back · Three For The Money

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for sports betters. And we're about to go into
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week two. I'm going to speak for myself and say
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we're going to leave week one in the past because
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I ended up down horrendous. I lost everything.
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Oh, well, let's time to time to get back on the
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horse, I guess, but. I I ended up going one in
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ten Which does not feel good at all. I don't
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think I've had a couple like oh and seven and
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oh and eight days but one in ten that's I guess
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I won, you know one but Did I really? Did I did
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I really win don't bet don't let yourself take
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away your own win I Know I need to sense. I need
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to beat myself down in order to get into the
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right mindset. Because yes, it's week one for
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everyone. But this is just, this is a travesty.
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This is a travesty. I look like the Titans right
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now. Just a travesty. Just a travesty. I also
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lost all my college picks last week. So we're
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leaving last week in the dust. But but yeah,
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I'm gonna I'm gonna move on and I'm gonna say
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hello to Sean this time first before Chris Hello,
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Will. Hello Sean How are you today? I'm alright
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today Last week was a different story. I think
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I can speak for all of us. We didn't have the
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greatest week one in history. But I did end up
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a quarter of a unit up on week one. Thank you
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to Lamar Jackson. And after we left our buddy's
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house, I left it half time for the Bills Ravens
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game, got home. And I put a full unit on Josh
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Allen, any time touchdown, plus 400. That helped
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a lot. And then Monday night, we all had the
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under, I'm pretty sure. But also, shout out to
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Aaron Jones for scoring that tutty. Saved my
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ass, dude. But we move on. I feel a lot better
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about week two. I don't know about y 'all. but
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week two, I like it a little bit too much, which
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I hate, but we'll get into it. Chris, how are
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you doing? Kind of like Will, bad. I wasn't quite
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as bad, no offense. Well, I went three and ten
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all of a sudden. I mean, it was a disaster. Hit
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my surefire, hit a few touchdown props here and
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there. So that was, it helped me kind of stay
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afloat. I guess I was still down bad, but it
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wasn't like awful. It wasn't as bad as it could
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have been. But yeah, I love the week two board
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and I hate that just because of how terrible
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I was last week. So especially the last three
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I lost being the Raven's Moneyline. Bears, Moneyline,
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and the under in Monday Night Football were all
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just gut punches. Oh my God. Yeah, that was a
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travesty. Like the Ravens, like, what the fuck
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was that? It was like a total meltdown. And then
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JJ McCarthy, as much shit as I've been talking
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about him, just shoved it up my ass in the fourth
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quarter. Mean just fucked me on the under and
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obviously bears money line. It was a Just to
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lose three in a row like that was not fun. But
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yeah, we're on to week two. It's leaving the
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leaving the past Yes, week one is in the past.
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I That I'm in my own head right now. I'm I'm
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in a mental battle with myself Making these picks.
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I was like, I don't I don't know anything anymore.
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I'm just gonna I'm just gonna go with my heart.
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I'm just gonna, not my head, my heart. Because
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that's where the real gamblers win. Hopefully.
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So alright, I'm going to, I guess I'll just get
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this going. So Thursday Night Football. The Washington
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Manders at the Green Bay Packers. Packers home
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favorites by three and a half. Packers looked
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really, really good against the Lions. Now, it's
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week two now, but last week was week one, obviously.
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And we're not really sure kind of what the Lions
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are right now, but we do know that the Packers
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are a good team. They have good players and a
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good coach. That's what we know. And the Manders,
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I mean, it feels like they made quick work of...
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of the of the of the Giants, but not really not
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really convincing, not really like a convincing
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way. It is a divisional game. Yes, Chris. It
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was I'm agreeing with you. It was a very bright.
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I mean, I didn't watch much of the game, but
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just like what little bits and pieces I saw,
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it was maybe one of the most unconvincing, like
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21 to six wins I can remember. Yes. Like it never
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felt it was like, wow, the commanders are just
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stomping them. But it was also like, OK, the
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Giants were obviously never in the game, but
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it never felt like. The commanders were just
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like, like, I was out of control, but it was
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never like a like a molly whopping. Mm hmm. Yeah.
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So I. I mean, I'll kick it off. I got the Packers
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here. I got the Packers minus three and a half.
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It feels chalk, but I'm just. I was getting in
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two in my head in week one. I was just trying
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to sniff out the rats. Maybe I'm the rat Maybe
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I am the rat. That's that's screwing over myself.
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So I Am I'm just I'm just gonna go with my heart
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here Packers minus three and a half that the
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better team they should win by four pretty easily
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I Think that's all I have also. There's a bunch
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of trends for the Packers on the trend center
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app Living to that as well. So leaning on that
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Packers minus three and a half Chris What do
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you have for this game? I agree. Um, we're not
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the best son in the world. That's two coldest
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gamblers on the show career off the bat, but
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I'm going with it. Packers must three and a half.
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Like you said, I think they are, they are the
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better team. I think they have the better coach.
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Um, they have the better defense, I think easily
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offense, not so much, but you got three out of
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four or two out of three, I guess. Um, that that'll
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do. Um, we all know Mike Parsons now with the
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Packers, um, he dominated. the commanders when
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he was with Dallas last season. He had four and
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a half sacks, four tackles for loss and six QB
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hits and across two games against commanders
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last season. I think he'll kind of just keep
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doing this thing. I think he'll get after Jane
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Daniels. And I just think the Packers defense
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is good enough to contain them. And I don't think
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Washington's I know they can they pretty much
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dominated the Giants, but the Giants fucking
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suck. I read that. I read that came totally wrong.
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Um, I don't think Washington Stevens is still
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very good. I think the Packers are going to have
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to win this by at least four, hopefully more
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to make it a little sweat free. But yeah, go
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with the Packers, um, stat. This was not from
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trend center. This was from. I wish it was on
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Twitter. I wish I remembered the account so I
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could give them credit. But this is since 2019
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in the first three weeks of the season, the Packers
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are 16 and three against the spread eight and
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O against the spread at home. So go Pat go give
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the Packers must three and a half Sean. What
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do you think? I'm going with the Manders on the
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hook Might be done. It might be done because
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the Packers they look pretty damn good and Like
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y 'all said, I don't think the Manders looked
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all that convincing but Did a little dig in and
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did the Packers injury report? Looks like they
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have some health concerns on the O line Guard
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Aaron Banks and tackles Zach Tom. Highly questionable
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on a short week. Justin Fields could find himself
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far less time in the pocket. Short runs, not
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enough protection up front. Now I do have a little
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trend. What did I say? Justin Fields. I said,
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sorry, Jordan Love. I'm looking at the bills
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just came that we got coming up next. Sorry about
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that. Jordan Love could find himself far less
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than Far less time in the pocket, short runs.
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But I do have a trend from our friends at the
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Trends Center. Commanders as dogs against the
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spread after wins since 2018. Pretty self -explanatory.
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Don't really need to go into detail there. 24
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and 8 in the last six years. I'm going to take
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the Manders more healthy than the Packers. I
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feel pretty confident with the Manders plus three
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and a half here. Okay. I... Totally get it. I
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don't look down on you at all. It's probably
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the right pick. It sounds sarcastic, but We're
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gonna go with it. I know I'm in no position to
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judge anyone's picks Neither of us all three
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of us are neither in a position to judge anybody
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Exactly Except for me because I went up as a
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you quarter of a unit Except for me. I went up
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a quarter of a unit I can judge y 'all Yes I
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can't do anything. I can't do anything right
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moving on the next game Bills at the Jets Jets
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in a shootout with the Steelers Pretty entertaining
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game not gonna lie not gonna front there Bills
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miracle comeback against the Ravens. I don't
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know if you could call it a miracle they were
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down by 15, but like They're just a good team.
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They're just a good football team. Jets are home
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dogs by six and a half and I'm going to let Chris
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go first on this one. Alright, I'm gonna go over
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45 and a half. Both these defenses look real
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bad last week. The Jets let old man Rogers throw
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for 244 yards and four Tuddy's. I know he's amazing
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and like one of the best historically one of
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the best of our lifetime, but he's still 40.
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142 years old. And then on the other side, I
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mean, the Bills up until the last five minutes
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of that game couldn't fucking do anything on
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defense. Lamar Jackson ran for 70 yards and a
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touchdown. Justin Fields obviously know Lamar
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Jackson, but he can still move around. I think
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he'll be able to run against the Bills. Yeah,
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I just don't think either defense is very good.
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some, a couple of stats for this. The over is
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five and O and the bills last five road games
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and four and one in the jets, uh, last five home
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games. So over 45 and a half, I think it's, uh,
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it wasn't 45 when I was doing research earlier.
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I'll still take it 46. Um, yeah, lock it up over.
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Um, Will, what do you think? Did you give a pick
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already? No, no. Okay. I didn't think so. Well,
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what do you think? I'm also on the over over
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46 and a half It's a it just felt like We're
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going off what we know we're going off what we
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know the Bills couldn't stop the Ravens and I
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mean that I guess they contained them in the
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pet in the last quarter of the game, but The
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Jets not really being able to stop Aaron Rodgers.
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He's ancient And I think that the Jets defense
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is very liable against you know a not geriatric
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quarterback. So I think it's pretty fair to go
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with the over here. I feel like this also kind
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of protects against like if the Bills just whomp
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the Jets. I feel like this also can roll into
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that. I don't know if that made sense at all,
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but it's like I'm not really betting on the Bills
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to whomp them, but if they do, it's probably
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going to help me. So I'm going over 46 and a
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half, Sean. Yep over over 46 and a half I had
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a stat here. Hold on real quick. I just want
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to comment on what you said Will I am kind of
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also banking on you know, the bills to kind of
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wamp up on him because I think their last matchup
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Bills won like 40 to 17 or something. Like it
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was a complete blowout, but over cruised but
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other than that the Jets look way better than
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With Justin Fields than anyone they've had under
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center in God knows how long I know it's only
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one game, but that was the most fun I've ever
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watched the Jets play was last week versus the
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Steelers Now let's get into it The Bills lead
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the league in scoring but their defense ranks
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31st The Packers defense is 30th while their
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offense is fifth overall and fourth overall in
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rushing. Facing the Bills, league -worst run
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defense. On the flip side, the Bills are first
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in passing yards against the Jets, 22nd ranked
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pass defense. A lot of numbers I'm throwing out,
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but just keep up. Both offenses are clicking
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early, and I got trends to back it up. Jets overs
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versus the AFC opponents after both teams went
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over our 53 24 all -time 9 and 1 in the last
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10 bills over after a cover hit at 29 13 and
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4 including 6 2 and 2 in the last 10 over 40
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I got it over 45 and a half. I'm not sure if
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the line has moved but I Might take this up to
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47 and a half to be honest numbers. Don't lie
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Numbers don't lie. It's the only thing we have
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Real quick, is Justin Fields already the best
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Jets quarterback since Mark Sanchez? He might
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be. Everything I was looking up, I was like,
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Justin Fields might be in the ring of honor by
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next week. I heard a stat that this was the first
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game that the Jets did not punt in the first
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half since 1991. Jesus Christ. That's fucking
16:35
insane. Good for them. I like it though. I like
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oh, yeah. I love it. Yeah Yes, good for them
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Okay moving on We're all in the over. All right
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next game Broncos at the Colts Broncos really
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tried to give that way give that game away to
16:55
the Titans but Yeah, Brian Callahan said no,
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thanks. I Don't want it Yeah and Sean Payton
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was like You can have it. Now let him have it.
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You can have it. Yes, and the Colts beat the
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shit out of the Dolphins. Now, the Dolphins win.
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I don't know. That's a tough one to kind of diagnose
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there. Is Danny Dimes good? I don't know. Tough
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to say, but I mean, if his career started last
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week, Yes, he's very good. Thanks Unfortunately,
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he's not but the Colts are home dogs by two points
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here in this game it feels like the Broncos have
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a really good defense and it feels like the Colts
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have a Competent II just a regular middle -of
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-the -road defense maybe You know, yeah, they
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they stopped them against, you know to a But
18:01
it's like multiple reports are saying that they
18:05
put him back in with a concussion And it's like
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this guy can't even this guy can't even fucking
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see and he's playing an NFL NFL quarterback.
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You might as well put me in there But but yeah
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Colts home dogs by two Sean. What is your play
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for this game? I'm on the Colts money line straight
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up Indy looks sharp week one Shockingly, a quarterback
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as well. I mean, they've got one of their most
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efficient passing performances in years last
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week. Shane Steichen, couple trends on him. Excuse
18:46
me. He's got his team ready early. He's 16 -8
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against the spread in September through November
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since taking over, tied for the league's best
19:00
against the spread. Yeah, their defense showed
19:04
up last week. Also, on the other side, Bo Nix
19:10
struggles in early starts. He's 1 -4 in his last
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five and... Three straight road losses, both
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straight up and against the spread. Denver's
19:26
defense is elite, but I don't think their offense
19:30
has actively like proven that they can consistently
19:34
finish games. I'm going to I got to go with Indy.
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Yep, Stiken early in the year, almost automatic.
19:44
The Colts defenses. as we've seen as of yet is
19:49
pretty okay. So, and the Broncos offense gave
19:56
up four turnovers to the Titans last week. And
20:02
Nix is yet to prove he can win on the road. So
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I'm gonna take the Colts out right at home. Chris,
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what do you got? Excuse me. I'm going under 42
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and a half. Kind of similar points you made Sean,
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Bo Nix did not look good against a very, I'll
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say mediocre Titans defense. Yeah, just some
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really bad picks. Just didn't really look, especially
20:27
like the guy we saw last year. Daniel Jones always
20:30
dominated last week for the Colts. That's not
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gonna happen again. Like we have enough tape
20:37
on this guy. He's not good. The Broncos defense,
20:41
I think is leaps and bounds better than the Dolphins
20:43
defense. I think they'll shut him down. I don't
20:45
think either offense is going to be able to move
20:47
the ball. Daniel Jones, Home Unders. I believe
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we've addressed this in previous years on the
20:52
show. Home Unders and a game that were Daniel
20:56
Jones is starting is 25, 10 and one. So give
21:00
me under 42 and a half. I think this game is
21:01
going to suck. So yes, under Will. What do you
21:05
think? Real quick, Chris, do you think it's going
21:07
to suck as bad as that Thursday night Broncos
21:11
Colts game? I don't think anything. I mean, that
21:14
might be one of the worst, the worst football
21:16
game ever played since the four pass. That wasn't
21:21
like that didn't involve like weather that like,
21:24
what was the final in that game? I think it was
21:27
like six to zero or something like that. Maybe
21:30
I'd be in generous with that too. Yeah. I was
21:34
mad. I didn't bring that up because I was thinking
21:37
that when I was like doing notes for this, I
21:39
was like, Oh, I should bring up when they play
21:41
on Thursday night and it was the worst and I
21:44
forgot. So thank you. But yes, this game is going
21:46
to say it won't be that bad. I mean, if it is,
21:48
I won't complain, but I don't think it'd be that
21:50
bad, but it's going to suck. This, this matchup
21:53
historically sucks is what we're saying. Yeah.
21:57
So yeah. Yeah. Yeah. All right. Well, what you
22:00
got? I am. It's okay. I'm also on the under.
22:06
I it feels like, you know, I mean, y 'all really
22:11
took the took the words out of my mouth here.
22:13
I know I know we're neck and neck here, Chris.
22:16
So we're really we're riding and dying together,
22:19
brother. At least. We'll be like Thelma and Louise
22:23
driving off that cliff if this goes poorly. Well,
22:28
here we are. But yeah, I mean, there's really
22:33
not much more to say here. The Broncos defense
22:36
is very, very good. And the offense is pretty
22:40
unproven. The Colts offense looked fantastic.
22:46
Got to give it to them. But at the same time,
22:50
It is only been week one and It's it's your defense
22:57
obviously looks great when you're playing against
23:00
a guy with a conkey, so I'm on the under 42 conkey
23:05
means concussion Conkey is concussion Like but
23:19
make sense make sense. Yeah, but Anyway, but
23:30
yeah any defense will look good against against
23:31
that so I'm on the under as well and I totally
23:37
forgot that both these teams had that historic
23:40
terribly matchup back a couple years ago, so
23:47
Let's rock. Let's rock on that. I need to look
23:49
up that score real quick. Yeah, you do that.
23:53
All right. Moving on. Next game. Eagles at the
23:56
Chiefs. Chiefs home dogs by one point. Super
24:01
Bowl rematch. I guess I will go first. I feel
24:08
like if I don't take Eagles money line here,
24:11
someone I just might need to be. hung, I don't
24:14
know, might need to unalive myself or something.
24:17
This, that might be really extreme. Let's relax.
24:22
Yes, let's relax. It with the chiefs out Xavier
24:31
Worthy and Rashid Rice. I feel like I cannot,
24:37
I cannot justify putting money on the chiefs
24:40
right now. And if you put if you put this line
24:43
at one and the yeah, the Eagles are favored by
24:45
one I'm gonna take the money line. It's a bit
24:49
safer Because I need a little bit more safety
24:52
in my life if we've known anything from from
24:55
the Sunday night football game and the Monday
24:56
night football game, so I Am on Eagles money
25:01
line. I feel like they're just head and shoulders
25:03
above above better than than the Chiefs right
25:06
now The Chiefs are they're not playing with a
25:09
full deck And something seems kind of off. It
25:13
might just be because they've they played a lot
25:15
of football over the past What seven years six
25:20
seven years something like that? It's that that's
25:23
a lot of football that that'll that'll wear and
25:25
tear on you. So I'm on Eagles moneyline John
25:29
did you find the score of that game? Yeah, it
25:32
was 12 to 9 and it went to overtime. Yeah, it
25:36
was it was 9 to 9 going into overtime which was
25:39
I completely forgot about that part. I thought
25:43
your six to nothing was right, because I remember
25:45
that there wasn't a touchdown scored in the game.
25:48
Yeah, I completely forgot I went over time. I
25:51
think I stopped like paying attention. I think
25:54
I turned it off. Like that was like deep in the
25:57
season, too. It wasn't like was one. I know that
26:00
was week one. No, no, no, no. It was in October.
26:04
Yeah. It was early. I remember being like freezing
26:07
in Denver. um yeah i was like i don't need need
26:11
football right now like i i'm good i don't need
26:14
it this bad i remember it was a thursday night
26:17
and i believe i had the broncos spread which
26:19
was like it was definitely less than a touchdown
26:22
because i remember watching that game and thinking
26:26
like they can still cover overtime and the colts
26:32
had maddie maddie ice uh and i was like this
26:35
guy's horrendous this was pretty early in the
26:38
season this wasn't like i remember it wasn't
26:42
yeah it wasn't it wasn't deep but it wasn't like
26:45
week one or week two where it's like i'm gonna
26:46
watch football no matter what it is it was deep
26:50
enough where like you know what i'm i'm good
26:52
missing this one it like uh they hadn't fired
26:56
their coach yet um and it was yeah yeah I remember,
27:04
I watched that game. I stayed up to watch that
27:06
game. I was very upset. Denver was three and
27:09
a half point favorites on that game. Yeah. Cause
27:11
I knew that they could still cover. So I continued
27:14
watching. Um, but anyway, Sean, what was, was
27:17
your, uh, your pick for the Eagles chiefs? Um,
27:21
I'm going to go. Hold on. Sorry. I had to, okay.
27:26
I'm going to go under 47 and a half. Uh, both
27:30
teams. coming off, extended rest, and there's
27:35
been a strong trend on that under since 2018.
27:40
When both teams have eight plus days off, the
27:43
under is 107, 66, and three. That's hitting 62
27:48
% of the time. Six, three, and one in the last
27:51
10. This isn't going to be the Super Bowl shootout
27:56
that we got a couple years ago. Chiefs defense,
27:59
still a top 10. by metric standing, by metric
28:03
standing. And, you know, they've leaned heavily
28:07
toward lower scoring games as of late. Since
28:11
the start of last season, the second half under
28:13
in Chiefs games is 29 and 13. And what that tells
28:19
you is that even if we see points early, these
28:22
games are going to slow all the way down in the
28:26
second half. Mahomes, off a loss. Usually bounces
28:31
back, but it doesn't always mean fireworks, just
28:34
winning football games. Combine that with well
28:38
-rested defenses. Kansas City's second half under
28:41
trend and the fact that the market hasn't budged
28:44
off this number, just as we've seen a lot of
28:46
lines move just today. I think the sharper play
28:50
is the under, so I'm taking under 47 and a half.
28:54
Chris, what you got? Take words right out of
28:57
my mouth, down to the stat. I took your step
29:01
this week. You did. I have the exact same thing
29:03
written down. I mainly take before I saw that
29:08
stat, I wrote the under down because I was like,
29:10
I don't know who to pick in this game. My honest,
29:14
my heart said Philly, but my head said Kansas
29:16
City because it's like, yes, kids or Philly is
29:19
better on almost every single position other
29:22
than quarterback. But this is just a game that
29:24
you find a way to win historically. Like when
29:28
you're like, when you're like, this is just like,
29:31
believe in something. Well, sorry. No. Like,
29:33
and I, I don't like wholeheartedly agree with
29:35
this. That's why I didn't take it. I took the
29:37
under, but it's just like, I can see myself taking
29:40
the Eagles and then it's like, Oh, there's no,
29:42
like they're better. Like this is just the better
29:45
team will win. That's just what happens all the
29:47
time. Right. And then the chiefs win and over
29:49
time or something like that. So, um, yeah, I'm
29:51
going under four, six and a half for everything.
29:54
Sean said, um, and the stat. The Chiefs defense
29:58
has been Thinking about this game since the Super
30:03
Bowl ended Because they got fucking torched.
30:06
So they're gonna play with their hair on fire.
30:08
They're not letting that happen again Yeah under
30:11
46 and a half and I will I will say that it does
30:16
suck to bet the under in this game I'm not happy
30:20
about it But it's the sharp play You can still
30:24
get good football with an under especially like
30:26
46 and a half like we can still get 20 20 True
30:31
true Yeah Okay moving on next game Sunday night
30:40
football the Falcons at the Vikings Vikings are
30:45
home favorites by three and a half here Let's
30:50
see Vikings came back against the Bears Good
30:54
good for them. They won a game against the Chicago
30:56
Bears Definitely not salty The Falcons Could
31:03
have won the game against the Bucks They didn't
31:07
go to tide But they didn't young hoku More like
31:14
young ho poo I'm sure he's never heard that one
31:20
before but Yes, so Falcons looked not bad not
31:29
bad in this in this game I am Yeah, John you
31:36
go first I'm on the Falcons plus three and a
31:40
half. Okay. I think Minnesota is Has some really
31:45
tough scheduling here They're playing their second
31:48
straight night game And also, JJ McCarthy is
31:52
the first rookie to play back -to -back night
31:53
games like this. Just a little stat for you.
32:00
So, since 2002, teams in this exact spot are
32:05
just 3 -6 straight up and against the spread,
32:09
failing to cover by more than 4 points per game.
32:13
On the flip side, Raheem Morris, actually covers
32:17
better on the road than he does at home. He's
32:21
20, 17, and one. It's not much better, but it's
32:24
better. But yes, the Falcons rushing attack was
32:32
bad week one. Chemistry between Michael Pennix
32:36
Jr., Drake London is kind of legit, kind of real.
32:41
London led the team in targets and receptions.
32:44
And dating back to last season when Panax got
32:47
more run, London was one of the most productive
32:50
receivers in the league over the final three
32:52
weeks. Yes, Atlanta is historically the worst
32:57
against the spread football team the last eight
32:59
years, but I think this number is inflated against
33:02
a Viking team with a brutal scheduling spot.
33:05
I'm going to go with the Falcons plus three and
33:07
a half. Now, Will, I'm going to throw it back
33:10
to you. I am also on the Falcons plus three and
33:14
a half here That was just kind of what my gut
33:17
was was going with It it felt like the Vikings
33:22
Were really soft against the run against the
33:25
Bears I'm not a Deandre Swift believer. I had
33:29
him in fantasy last year the guy shit the bed
33:32
so many games He didn't totally shit the bed
33:35
this game, but it felt like whenever he ran he
33:39
He got like six, seven, eight yards each time.
33:42
Uh, and was just really, thanks. Um, and, uh,
33:48
and really involved with the offense and looking
33:50
really good. So, um, I, I'm going to go with
33:53
the Falcons. They were, they were really close
33:56
to tying it with the bucks. Um, and if they lose
34:00
by three again, that's okay. Cause I won money.
34:02
Uh, Chris, what do you got? I guess I'm on an
34:07
island on this one. I'm on the Vikings minus
34:09
three and a half. These two teams very, especially
34:12
on offense, very similar. Rookie quarterbacks
34:16
who didn't really look very good until the fourth
34:18
quarter in their last game. So defense that mainly
34:22
kept a minute or at least somewhat in it from
34:25
the Vikings standpoint. But I'm going to look
34:28
to coaching for this one. I think Kevin O 'Connell.
34:30
is a far better coach than Ray Morse. I think
34:34
Ray Morse sucks. I think he's out of there in
34:36
two years. I don't think he's good at all. You're
34:38
probably right. The guy's a bum. I pull up his
34:41
coaching record. He's 29 -48. He sucks. Just
34:45
I think the Vikings defense will get after Pinnix.
34:48
They were able to get after Williams. And so
34:52
he will about Cale Williams. He's been in the
34:53
league long enough to, I guess this is his second
34:56
year. He's been in the league longer than Pinnix,
34:58
so he should be competent. And he wasn't after
35:03
that first drive. So I think they'll get after
35:05
pennix and the fluster him. JJ McCarthy, like
35:09
I said, the intro, he shoved it up my ass. So
35:11
I still don't think he's a particularly great
35:14
quarterback. But I think he'll do enough to win
35:16
this game by four points. So yeah, Vikings minus
35:19
three and a half. Okay, moving on. Next game,
35:23
we're going to discuss is one of Excuse me the
35:28
the Monday night football games and that's bucks
35:31
at the Texans Texans home favorites by two and
35:35
a half Did I have a pick for this oh I do okay
35:41
Texans I've got to be honest didn't watch that
35:45
game at all And the bucks game I obviously did
35:50
watch that a little bit bucks look really good
35:53
bucks look that kind of like the same team as
35:56
last year like really Pretty explosive on offense
36:01
and and very Pretty pretty good on defense though.
36:05
I am going to throw this to Chris first because
36:08
he brought he probably has a more shelled out
36:10
Thought behind this game Chris Going back to
36:14
the bake show. I'm taking bucks. I'm taking them
36:16
on the money line The Texans might be bad I know
36:21
it's week one. I know this could be an overreaction.
36:24
This could look like the worst take in the world
36:27
in three or four weeks, but they can't really
36:31
do anything outside of CJ Stroud. Their offensive
36:36
line was terrible last year. They retooled it.
36:41
I think it was almost completely new this year.
36:44
They still gave up three sacks. Granted, the
36:47
Rams are Pretty solid defensive front. So gave
36:49
up three sacks. I believe their center was carted
36:51
off the field. He has a high ankle sprain. Um,
36:56
don't know if he's going to play. I know high
36:57
echo sprains are bad, especially if you're like
37:00
300 pounds. Um, so he's probably not going to
37:02
play. Um, that's just my professional medical
37:05
opinion. Uh, they can't run the football. I mean,
37:09
Nick Chubb cannot be a bell cow at this stage
37:11
in his career. He just can't, they can't move
37:14
the football other than CJ Stroud and I mean,
37:18
he wasn't that great last year and he was, dare
37:20
I say, like pretty mediocre to bad. Grant, I
37:24
did not watch, I just kind of got enough box
37:27
score. He didn't really, nothing really jumped
37:29
off the page at me. The Bugs didn't really get
37:32
the quarterback in week one. Todd Bowles called
37:35
out the defense and the post game presser saying
37:39
like, We got to get after, we got to do a better
37:42
job pass rush. So I think they'll come out with
37:43
their hair on fire. I think they'll get after
37:45
CJ Stroud, make him uncomfortable. And yeah,
37:48
I think Baker's good enough to be granted very
37:53
good, but still quite beatable Texas defense.
37:57
So yeah, I don't really need too many excuses
38:00
to back Baker Mayfield, especially on prime time.
38:02
So yeah, give me, give me the bucks on the money
38:04
line. Sean, what are you taking? I want Will
38:08
to go first. All right, well, what are you taking?
38:12
I'm I'm also on the bucks. Um, I am kind of wondering
38:16
why the texans are favored. Um, I don't think
38:21
it's just because they're at home. I mean, because
38:24
it wasn't two and a half. That's probably yeah,
38:26
I think it's I think it's generous. They give
38:28
them two instead of three, but it's just home
38:31
field advantage. Yeah. Okay. Um, I I'm also on
38:36
the bucks there. It just feels like they're Bit
38:38
more of a fleshed -out team. I don't think the
38:41
Rams are showstoppers by any means But it really
38:44
didn't seem like they could do anything against
38:45
them Just going off box or box score as well.
38:49
I didn't see any highlights or anything but He
38:54
yeah, I forgot that Nick Chubb was was on the
38:56
Texans until until this morning when I was listening
38:59
to a podcast about this game, but But yeah, I'm
39:04
I'm on the I'm on the bake show. I don't Don't
39:10
really have any anything else to add. I mean,
39:12
I just feel like they are a better team and They
39:17
have better players. I don't know. I really don't
39:21
have much to add Sean did was that what you were
39:24
looking for or yeah, I Just wanted you to go
39:29
first cuz I got some I got some spat I got some
39:32
stats to spit real quick Please so I'm on the
39:36
bucks obviously Texans keep their script going
39:40
from last season. Great in the first half, bad
39:43
in the second. They were the best first half
39:46
against the spread team last year and the worst
39:49
second half against the spread team last year.
39:53
And they carried that over into week one against
39:56
the Rams. And that ties directly into CJ Stroud's
40:00
split. First half passer rating, 80 .9. drops
40:05
to 67 .3 in the second, the exact same issue
40:08
as last year. Stroud also has not been good in
40:15
the early parts of weeks one and two of the NFL
40:20
season. He is 0 -5 against the spread in his
40:24
career in weeks one to two. The most without
40:29
a win against the spread since any quarterback
40:32
since 2003. Now Houston's a favorite after not
40:38
scoring a touchdown last week. That's a bad spot
40:41
historically Just favorites in that spot 9 and
40:47
24 against the spread on the other side Baker
40:50
and the Bucks better position than people think
40:53
It's only the third time in his career Baker
40:57
has started 1 -0 wild And in both of those other
41:02
games, Tampa went on to win and cover to start
41:07
2 -0. Baker also turned this around in road play.
41:16
He started his career 17 -31 straight up at the
41:19
Browns, but he is 6 -3 straight up over his last
41:24
two seasons. Pretty good. I don't know if y 'all
41:28
looked into this at all, but Bowles and Baker
41:31
both have really ugly prime time against the
41:36
spread records. I don't have the numbers on those
41:40
because I didn't write them down. But we're getting
41:43
the points here. We're going just bucks straight
41:46
up money line against the Texas team that just
41:48
has shown that they cannot finish games. Take
41:53
the bucks. Easy money. Hell, yes. Okay. Well,
41:59
that's the main slate of games that we're gonna
42:01
talk about here Obviously, we'll have a pick
42:04
for the second Monday night game. I haven't even
42:07
looked at it but But yeah, that's the the main
42:11
slate now for everyone's favorites segment the
42:16
surefire double unit Guaranteed not to lose picks
42:20
of the week. I I'll go first Because I want to
42:27
formally apologize That Panthers pick Not very
42:33
good. Not very good fault. You can't control
42:35
lightning it Lightning the lightning would have
42:41
I feel like Could have helped me Truthfully because
42:47
they were down going into the delay say they're
42:49
already getting spanked It wasn't really I thought
42:53
it was delayed before it even started No, no
42:56
is delayed like Second quarter, I think yeah
43:00
halfway through the second quarter and then they
43:02
went to halftime. I feel like five minutes Which
43:05
was I don't know kind of silly but it makes sense
43:09
But that was a bad pick. That was me. That was
43:13
week one will he's dead now He's gone This week
43:19
my double unit surefire play Guaranteed not to
43:23
lose is the Patriots and the Dolphins under 43
43:27
and a half Both these teams stink The Patriots
43:34
only put up 13 against Fair enough very well
43:38
coached Raiders team now. They have a good coach.
43:41
I feel like they can actually win some games
43:44
However Brock Bowers went out. So I don't think
43:47
he will be there. I don't think they will score
43:49
as many points He's gonna play though Who's to
43:55
say anyway the same but the the Dolphins look
44:00
like dogshit But the Patriots I think they are
44:04
still going to struggle on offense I saw that
44:08
their rookie lineman their rookie Oh lineman
44:11
was shit the pants shit his pants gave up like
44:14
five pressures and and two two sacks last game,
44:19
so Yeah, I don't think I don't think things are
44:23
are gonna go well in this game. So I'm going
44:25
under 43 and a half Yeah, also it's a divisional
44:31
matchup those are always unnecessarily silly
44:34
and so I'm hoping the silliness Rides in the
44:38
in the fact that you know, I hope someone scores
44:41
But anyway, that's my play Sean. What's your
44:46
play? What's your surefire double unit guaranteed
44:48
not to lose pick of the week? Surefire double
44:53
guaranteed not to lose pick the week is Jags
44:56
Bengals under 49 and a half. This is a crazy
45:00
line 49 and a half for the Jags Bengals That's
45:07
crazy. First off this this spot lines up with
45:12
just one of the strongest early single a angles
45:15
that we've seen From our friends at Trent Center
45:19
non -playoff team unders When two teams from
45:22
the same conference meet before Week 3 and both
45:26
miss the playoffs the prior year, the under has
45:30
been the most profitable side and it speaks to
45:35
how these teams usually start off offensively
45:39
slow and still figuring things out. These quarterbacks
45:45
here are both bringing question marks. in early
45:49
-seizing scoring environments. Joe Burrow has
45:52
been brutal in weeks one to two. He is three
45:56
and eight against the spread, and his teams have
45:59
routinely struggled to get into rhythm early.
46:03
Cincinnati hasn't led wire to wire in any week
46:07
one or week two games since 2019, and they are
46:11
just averaging 19 points per game. in those matchups,
46:16
and Joe Burrow himself is managing only 113 passing
46:21
yards between weeks one and weeks two. On the
46:26
other side, Trevor Lawrence has a home cover
46:30
streak, but when you take him on the road, the
46:34
scoring efficiency drops. Jacksonville has been
46:38
inconsistent, struggled together, productive
46:43
offensive games. Especially after forcing turnovers,
46:47
they are just 2 -9 straight up in games following
46:50
where the defense took the ball away. That means
47:00
they can't always parlay extra possessions into
47:04
points. Defensively, the Bengals quietly shine
47:09
against weaker rush defense. They're 22 -8 -1
47:13
against the spread since 2022 against teams allowing
47:17
100 plus yards on the ground. But that also speaks
47:22
to how they control tempo in these spots. If
47:25
Chase Brown continues to miss force tackles,
47:28
like he did in Week 1, Cincinnati can lean on
47:31
the run, bleed clock, and keep the score lower
47:34
than expected. When you put it all together,
47:38
non -playoff team unders trend, Joe Burrow slow
47:43
starts, Jacksonville offense sputters on the
47:47
road, Cincinnati ground games just lean on the
47:50
clock. All signs point to under 49. This number
47:55
just feels incredibly inflated. Asking these
48:00
two teams to hang 50 is... Kind of boggling my
48:05
mind and I was kind of shocked to see where this
48:09
line was when I got to it. So Surefire double
48:12
unit guarantee not to lose pick of the week bank
48:15
Jags Bengals under four to nine and a half Chris
48:19
what you got Chris before Chris gets to it sure
48:22
pick I completely forgot that the Bengals are
48:26
notoriously slow starters Hell yes, that's awesome.
48:31
Also that video of Miles Garrett putting Joe
48:36
burrow in the dirt. Oh my God, this guy might
48:40
die by week four. Yes. And also this is not dying.
48:47
He's Joe Cool. Joe Cool. But Miles Garrett is
48:51
a massive human. Shut out of the fucking cannon.
48:56
Yeah, I saw that was like if that hit me, I would
48:59
have been physically broken in half into two
49:01
pieces. I won't retired. I would have been a
49:05
dead person. I will say this is the second time
49:12
in a row that I will be sure firing the Bengals
49:17
in some sort of way. What's the worst that can
49:22
happen? I was asking for Joey B to be on my side.
49:27
Now I'm asking him to suck balls, which he might.
49:32
But Chris we've got we've got two unders Do we
49:37
have a third under for a surefire because that
49:40
would be hilarious We are not okay. We have the
49:44
opposite we have an over Okay, here we go. Okay,
49:47
and we already talked about bills jets over 45
49:49
or yeah 45 and a half I was saving a little stat
49:54
for this one From our friends at the trend center.
49:57
This is a deep one. So bear with me for a second.
50:00
So Since 1994, when the Jets are playing a team
50:05
in the AFC, and that team that their opponents
50:10
total went over in the previous game, and the
50:14
Jets total also went over in the previous game,
50:17
when the total in the current game is between
50:20
49 and 29, and the spread is less than nine,
50:23
the over is 53 and 24, nine and one in the last
50:27
10 on a three game win streak. So. Jets. Bills.
50:33
Over 45 and a half. Take it to the motherfucking
50:35
bank. Give me some points with some... If we're
50:39
going by week one, some dogshit defenses. So,
50:41
over 45 and a half. Surefire. Guaranteed not
50:44
to lose. Let's go 2 -0. Oh yeah, alright. Love
50:48
it. That was a lot of stats. The only way it's
50:51
gonna matter is when you're up. double unit after
50:54
this cash. I did give up that stat when I was
50:58
talking about that game too. Oh, you did? I did,
51:01
but it's OK. I thought you gave out a different.
51:06
I gave out two which were both. They were both
51:10
sides of the no, it's don't apologize. It's.
51:14
We're working for each other, so. Could have
51:18
just said the one that Sean said before before
51:19
it looked like an idiot stumbling through that.
51:23
It's all right. Well, it's all right. This if
51:30
you parlay all these, I think this is a winner.
51:34
I think this is a winner right here. This is
51:36
it. So we said last week. Well, I was a moron
51:42
last week. I was also a moron. Don't. Don't sell
51:45
yourself short. You weren't the only one to lose
51:47
your surefire That was a a dollard anyway moving
51:52
on. Um Uh, so extra plays of the week. Um, I
51:57
will have a monday night foot, uh the uh, the
52:00
another monday night play because there's two
52:02
games this week Um, I have not yet looked at
52:05
it. Um, I noticed the charters and the raiders.
52:08
Um, I haven't even looked at the line yet, but
52:10
I will later And that'll be on the Twitter unless
52:17
you guys have a play for it I only have one extra
52:21
play which feels like a rat line, but I Think
52:27
I'm gonna take it. Anyway, it's the Niners minus
52:30
four and a half against the Saints I don't I
52:34
don't think the Saints are Good in any aspect
52:37
of the game. So I'm taking down as one. Yes,
52:40
Chris possibly It's looking like, but I don't
52:44
think it's officially yet. No party and no kettle.
52:46
That is that's official. OK, well, maybe I will
52:51
take a look at that later. So I'll mark it with
52:54
some question marks. Like this, I think the lines
52:58
are to move to three. Oh shit, OK, well, I'm
53:02
going to throw it to you, Chris. All right, your
53:05
extra plan sounds good. All right, well. I already
53:10
talked about a game that was going to suck earlier
53:12
in the Broncos Colts. This one's also going to
53:15
suck. We'll touch on earlier. That's Pat Stoffins
53:17
under four, three and a half. This is going to
53:20
be a brutal, brutal watch. Both these offenses
53:24
can't move football. This feels like a game.
53:27
Mike Vrabel is just going to want to get in there
53:29
and just muck the hell up. He sees Mike McDaniel
53:32
and his fancy little like nerdy offense. He's
53:35
like, you know what? I'm going to go in there
53:36
with some. some fucking football players, we're
53:39
gonna play defense, we're gonna try to win this
53:40
game. If this is higher than 17 -13, I'll be
53:44
kind of surprised. That being said, it'll probably
53:46
be a shootout. But Pat Stolphin's under 43 and
53:49
a half. Sean made some really good points about
53:53
this during his surefire, but I'm sticking with
53:56
my gut. Bengals minus three and a half. Not really
53:59
so much a bet on the Bengals, more a bet against
54:02
the Jags. I think they're getting too much credit
54:04
for beating up on a what seems to be a dead Panthers
54:08
team. I don't think this game will be a particularly
54:13
fun watch. I do think it will go under, but I
54:15
think the Bengals can squeak out a four point
54:17
win against, I mean, the Jacks just aren't very
54:19
good. Let's just call a spade a spade. They're
54:21
not. So, Bengals should be able to cover. I hate
54:26
this one so much. Bears plus five and a half
54:30
against the Lions. I was also thinking about
54:33
it. I saw a bunch of trends on the, I saw a bunch
54:35
of like the, I mean, not even just trends and
54:37
there were a bunch, but then, um, just people
54:41
on Twitter, Oh, dogs who also, who lost week
54:45
one are like really good against, I forget the
54:48
exact name. I think I think I saw like 20 fucking
54:50
different posts about it, but yeah, they're really
54:53
good against the spread, but I don't think, I
54:57
think the lines might be going back to being
54:58
dead. I know week one overreaction, um, but I
55:02
did find this stat which convinced me to take
55:06
the Bears. So Jared Goff has now played 22 games
55:11
in his career when the play caller was not Sean
55:15
or Ben Johnson. Two, we could say, of the better
55:21
if not best offensive minds in football today.
55:25
His record in those 22 games is 3 -18 -1. Yikes.
55:33
Yeah. So I know that's only a that's only a few
55:38
seasons and I will say one was his rookie year.
55:42
So take that with a grain of salt. But he's still
55:44
318 and one without two of the best play callers
55:47
in, like I said, in football today calling his
55:51
place. I mean, the Lions look fucking lost. They
55:56
don't have an identity right now. So that means
55:58
the Paris didn't look that much better So I think
56:00
this will probably a little scoring game that
56:02
being said I like a dog plus five and a half
56:05
in a low scoring game So give me the Bears Five
56:08
and a half is also like kind of a lot for a divisional
56:11
matchup. I mean Say what you will about each
56:14
team, but divisional matchups like it. They're
56:16
just there most of the time they're always kind
56:19
of a shit show I Think Ben Johnson will be extra
56:22
motivated to for this one Bears didn't look like
56:28
completely more moronic in that, like they, yeah,
56:33
they lost, they were ahead and then they ended
56:36
up losing. Like, yeah, that sucks. But like they
56:38
didn't, they didn't look bad. Caleb Williams
56:41
did not look good at all. Like outside of that
56:43
scripted first drive. I mean, he just, he, he,
56:47
he's just not very good. Um, and I'm maybe Ben
56:51
Johnson will say them. I think Think I don't
56:54
know maybe Ben Johnson be like I want to win
56:56
this game as opposed to kind of install my offense
56:59
So I'm just gonna have Caleb just just complete
57:02
some passes. Don't fuck up But yeah, and it's
57:06
more so like my last one. It's more so just a
57:08
betting it's a lines. I think they they might
57:11
be really bad, so yeah bears plus five and half
57:15
and That's my card. I will have a bet for the
57:19
second Monday night game one thing that I was
57:21
thinking of just popped into my head. What's
57:24
the total? Does anyone have the line in front
57:25
of them? I can on three, two, it's forty six
57:31
and a half. I was thinking about taking the under
57:33
purely out of one of maybe you take the under
57:37
in both. I just already have a play in the other
57:38
one. Maybe take the under in both because whenever
57:43
they do double or like doublehead Monday night,
57:46
one of them always sucks. Yes, so. I'm thinking.
57:54
Maybe maybe take the under in both, but I was
57:56
thinking under and Chargers Raiders late night
57:59
in Vegas. That feels too. That feels too high.
58:02
I don't think the Raiders, the Raiders offense
58:04
isn't that good, and it's it's too old school
58:06
coaches. Yeah, I know the Chargers were out there
58:10
slinging the rock. I was not expecting that,
58:12
but Chargers look really good. They do look really
58:15
good. May May May I spit for this Monday night
58:19
game? Because I gotta pick for. Go for it. Oh,
58:22
yes. Sean, give the rest of your card. Yeah.
58:25
So I do have a pick for the second Monday night
58:28
game. I'm going Chargers minus three. If you
58:33
go back and look at Justin Herbert's career stats,
58:35
he's basically a coin flip. He's 42 and 40 straight
58:39
up. But against that number, he's he's profitable
58:45
against the spread at 45, 35 and two. The key
58:50
split, when his defense keeps opponents under
58:55
24 points, he's nearly automatic at 34 -10 -2
59:01
against the spread. Pretty crazy. This is the
59:06
exact type of game script that Harborough wants.
59:11
Defense first, ball control, and let Herbert
59:14
operate. That's the order. Speaking of Harborough,
59:19
He's been a covering machine since his return
59:23
to the NFL. He's 13 -5 -1 against the spread
59:26
with the Chargers. Historically, he's 55 -32
59:31
-4, good for 63%, puts him in an elite company
59:37
with Belichick, Payton, McCarthy, Dan Campbell,
59:40
one of the most profitable coaches in the last
59:42
20 years. Even more importantly, he's 26 -10
59:46
-2 against the spread in September and October,
59:50
starting seasons hot and betting the numbers
59:53
early. Herbert has also been one of the best
59:58
road quarterbacks. He's 26 -16 against the spread
1:00:02
away from home, including 11 -5 against the spread
1:00:08
in September and October since 2023. He's covered
1:00:12
nine of his last 12 roads last neutral games
1:00:16
Chargers may have be on the road for you know,
1:00:19
this neutral site or you know, this was last
1:00:22
week, but Historically he thrives in these spots
1:00:27
so I'm gonna go Chargers minus three. I just
1:00:33
Yeah, I'm adding it. Yeah, I I do think the Chargers
1:00:39
are they're here to compete Also, like they could
1:00:43
very much win this division. I think they will
1:00:47
I mean I week one Yeah, just going off that could
1:00:50
be a total overreaction. I mean, I mean they
1:00:52
look far and away the best team and I mean in
1:00:55
week one to in week one to already go ahead against
1:01:01
your biggest opponent in your division is huge
1:01:06
for winning the division even if you split Your
1:01:11
other these other divisions like your other opponents
1:01:14
in this division They're not dog shit, but they
1:01:18
might as well be dog shit compared to like what
1:01:21
you got like The Raiders are you know what I'm
1:01:25
saying like Raiders are very mediocre the Broncos
1:01:28
I think at most could split with the Chargers,
1:01:31
but I don't see them like I definitely don't
1:01:34
seem winning too so Yeah, getting one of the
1:01:37
chiefs early is you already have one in your
1:01:40
pocket is huge. Yeah, I mean, that's just kind
1:01:44
of it. I mean, just going back to back divisional
1:01:48
opponents, this is kind of what the Chargers
1:01:51
need. So I'm going to I'm going to I'm going
1:01:54
to lane Chargers minus three here, even if this
1:01:56
game probably I don't hate the under, but if
1:02:03
this game kind of sucks. I expect the Chargers
1:02:06
to win by at least six. I might take the Under
1:02:09
and both just out of principle. That one of them
1:02:11
is probably going to stink. Yeah, I mean, late
1:02:14
game, late night in Vegas, divisional matchup.
1:02:19
I don't hate the Under, but I'm going to go with
1:02:21
the Chargers here. Hell yes. Do you have any
1:02:25
other plays, Sean? I do. I got two more plays.
1:02:30
One, I'll make really simple. 49ers sinks. under
1:02:34
40 and a half. You don't really need to look
1:02:37
too deep into this injury plague and bad offenses
1:02:42
make for a slugfest. You don't believe in the
1:02:44
Mac attack? No, I do not. Who's he referring
1:02:50
to? Mac Jones. Mac Jones. 49ers backup. Did not
1:02:54
know that. Yeah. I was thinking about this. I
1:02:59
don't mean to interrupt, but just one quick thing.
1:03:01
I have seen a granted different quarterback,
1:03:04
but I haven't seen this 49ers team without Purdy
1:03:08
in person when I went to the Packers 49ers game
1:03:12
last season. They were awful. I know it's Brandon
1:03:16
Allen to Mac Jones. Mac Jones is probably is
1:03:21
better, probably. But now it's one of us now.
1:03:24
You don't talk to us around Titans legend Brandon
1:03:26
Allen, but they could not move the football one
1:03:29
inch. So, yeah, I like that. I mean, what if
1:03:38
George Kittle's out, then. And Debo is on the
1:03:42
manders like. Is Ayuk still on this team? Ayuk
1:03:47
looks like he's about to eat himself out of the
1:03:51
league. He's fucking gained like 300 pounds in
1:03:54
the off season. Jesus Christ. 49ers and former
1:03:58
49er player getting fat. Yeah, I know. What the
1:04:01
hell is going on? Just keep it simple. Saints
1:04:09
are the worst team in the league. Under 40 and
1:04:12
a half. I think it's generous. You get it above
1:04:14
40 to be honest Last play Giants Cowboys over
1:04:21
44 and a half On the surface the Giants offense
1:04:27
looked rough in week one But we got some betting
1:04:31
trends here while we're targeting the over. Historically,
1:04:36
Cowboys' home games after and against the spread
1:04:39
win have been shootouts, hitting the over 52
1:04:43
and 20. Giants on the road after an under in
1:04:48
conference play, that's a 40, 20, and one over
1:04:53
record since 2002. Dallas is offense playing
1:04:58
at home at AT &T fast track should find rhythm
1:05:02
while the Giants offense under real Russell Wilson
1:05:04
is a question mark But these trends combined
1:05:08
with the Cowboys scoring positional makes for
1:05:10
the over a very very strong play for me Over
1:05:14
44 and a half. That's my card So, yeah, I think
1:05:18
that's it check the Twitter for other plays I'm
1:05:21
probably gonna add I'm I'm definitely gonna add
1:05:23
more than this so Dick Twitter, this is all I
1:05:27
had time to look up today all right well uh You
1:05:33
do you I mean? For all the hat all the time you
1:05:36
had today. I think I killed it. I think you killed
1:05:39
it. I think I think I killed it you're sure fire
1:05:42
Holy shit, you came you came ready. So I don't
1:05:46
I umbies around today. Yeah, I cannot I Cannot
1:05:51
afford to have a week one again i cannot afford
1:05:57
to have a week one again i had to i had to dig
1:06:02
in deep and i do it for the boys i do it for
1:06:07
the fans i do it we give these picks out for
1:06:11
free so i do it for everybody you know yes you
1:06:17
should never you should never pay for picks uh
1:06:20
that's my personal opinion That's my personal
1:06:22
opinion. If you do it, you know, whatever. That's
1:06:26
selfish. You should pay for data. That's where
1:06:29
our friend's trend center comes in. I'll do the
1:06:32
ad read at the end. But Chris, I would be remiss.
1:06:38
I know you're not mentally prepared for this,
1:06:40
but I feel like you can be in a matter of three
1:06:44
seconds. Chris, I want to give you a little bit
1:06:47
of a soapbox here for For what happened during
1:06:51
the Titans game here again? I will give you a
1:06:54
few seconds if you want to maybe maybe Write
1:06:58
down or collect some some some one -liners some
1:07:01
zingers if you want unless you've been thinking
1:07:04
about this the entire week I Mean, I'll give
1:07:08
you the floor. I don't need any time. I haven't
1:07:11
been thinking about it the entire week, but my
1:07:13
thoughts have not changed from The second the
1:07:16
game ended this is the same fucking team I mean,
1:07:21
incompetent coaching, bad offensive line, dumb
1:07:24
ass penalties. It's the same fucking thing. And
1:07:26
it is what it is. I mean, that sucks. And people
1:07:31
need to be held accountable for it. But it's
1:07:33
just the attitude of people who cover this scene.
1:07:35
I turned on 104 .5 after the game, I sent a message
1:07:38
to the group me about this on the way home, just
1:07:40
like seeing what they had to say. And they were
1:07:44
chalking this up as a moral victory. And That
1:07:48
made me more livid than the game itself. I was
1:07:51
like, how can a game that you gave away be a
1:07:56
moral victory? It's like, oh yeah, the Broncos
1:07:59
were a playoff team last year. They're supposed
1:08:00
to be good this year. Cool. You gave this game
1:08:04
away. This is not a moral victory. There are
1:08:07
none, first of all. And second of all, it was
1:08:11
the... It was a kick in the nuts. You had an
1:08:16
opportunity to win this game. Brian Callahan
1:08:18
is a fucking idiot. First of all, he is gone
1:08:21
after this year unless we just rattle off some
1:08:23
wins. He's a bomb. The offensive line is just
1:08:28
it's it's never going to be good again. I mean,
1:08:32
we keep making these moves that seem to be smart
1:08:36
or at least in the heading in the right direction.
1:08:39
And it's just the same shit. Every year. And
1:08:42
then the penalties are I mean, God, when you
1:08:46
have one more yard of total offense and you have
1:08:49
penalties, you're going to lose the fucking football
1:08:51
game and you should lose it by a lot. Titans
1:08:53
are lucky they covered. Yeah, I mean, this team
1:08:56
fucking sucks. And shame on I didn't really think
1:09:00
it would be that much better. But I didn't think
1:09:04
it would be the same. It was like we had all
1:09:07
this off season, all this time to prep and it's.
1:09:10
It's the same. Like, what the fuck are we doing?
1:09:15
So, yeah, that's just. Yeah, it seems sucks.
1:09:20
Yeah. Yeah. It was just like I didn't expect
1:09:26
to win this game. I don't think I don't think
1:09:29
any Titans fan in the right mind expected to
1:09:33
win all the the only thing that you you really,
1:09:37
really wanted to see as a Titans fan is is Cam
1:09:41
Ward competent and which he is. I think, I think
1:09:45
he was. I just, yeah, he was the lone bro, other
1:09:50
than, I guess you could say that the secondary
1:09:52
actually causing turnovers, he was the one of
1:09:56
two bright spots for the entire day. Yeah. And
1:10:00
that's that in itself is like, okay, we have,
1:10:06
we did one thing right. In this offseason we
1:10:10
were opportunistic on our opportunities and we
1:10:12
did one thing right cool It is only week one.
1:10:17
So we will see what else happens. Did you see
1:10:19
that? Brian Callahan, I really fucked up that
1:10:24
Callahan Did you see that? He he doesn't know
1:10:28
he didn't know the rule. He didn't know the rules
1:10:30
that an elbow equaled to Yeah, I fell head coach.
1:10:37
I don't know if that call would have even been
1:10:40
overturned. I don't even if it was when it made
1:10:42
a difference. I don't know. It's just to have
1:10:46
your NFL head coach admit that he doesn't know
1:10:51
the rule lie. Just say, oh, I thought I just
1:10:55
say like there was someone in my ear thought
1:10:57
we thought it wouldn't get overturned. Just say
1:10:59
that and nobody would have thought for two seconds.
1:11:03
Yeah. And in that press conference, Teron Davenport
1:11:06
was just like, Well, what about the other people
1:11:09
on the sideline that was like, hey, you should
1:11:11
challenge that. And he was like, yeah, we're
1:11:13
not really going to get into that. We're going
1:11:16
to keep that in -house. And just like, I was
1:11:19
like, so nobody knows the rules on that sideline.
1:11:25
Like, are you kidding me? You have to know the
1:11:27
rules. You have a one of 30. One there's 31 teams.
1:11:36
No, there's 30 teams 31 other teams 31 other
1:11:40
teams. There's there's two teams totaled you
1:11:43
you are one of of of 32 in terms of My top minds
1:11:52
in the game of football and you don't know this
1:11:55
rule that was Not not good. Um, you know, we
1:12:01
were up going into half and than we weren't.
1:12:06
I know we're showing time. My biggest fear right
1:12:09
now, the direction of this franchise, we're going
1:12:11
to get stuck in a bear's loop, which is we get
1:12:13
a quarterback, but we don't have a coach. And
1:12:16
then we fire the coach, but still keep the quarterback.
1:12:18
And then the new coach and the quarterback don't
1:12:21
mesh well. So we've got to get a new quarterback.
1:12:25
But then it just doesn't work out. So we've got
1:12:27
to fire the coach. We're going to be stuck in
1:12:29
a never -ending cycle of suck. is what it appears,
1:12:32
because Carly ain't a fucking guy. So I'd say
1:12:34
you fire him. Again, unless we just go on a run,
1:12:37
which I don't see happening. Fire him after this
1:12:40
season, get someone in where you can get three,
1:12:42
maybe four years with Cam. And then let's try
1:12:44
to do something. Yeah. All right. Well, I'm going
1:12:48
to end it. Well, real quick, real quick, real
1:12:51
quick. So the Colts owner, Carly Irsay. Yeah,
1:12:59
she sits on the sideline with a headset in, knowing
1:13:03
that she's like, I want to know if these people
1:13:06
are just talking shit, if they know what they're
1:13:10
talking about. At first, when I saw that, I was
1:13:14
like, yo, what are you talking about? But now
1:13:18
I'm like, you should kind of get somebody like
1:13:22
this. Miss Amy needs to take a lesson from that.
1:13:24
Yeah, yeah. Wrap it up, Will. All right, thank
1:13:27
you so much for listening, watching, really appreciate
1:13:29
it. Like, comment, subscribe really helps our
1:13:31
reach. Check out the Trent Center app. Just go
1:13:34
TFTM, 50 % free membership. See you next week,
1:13:37
the three of us. Now let's make some money. Yeah.
1:13:44
All right.