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NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Wednesday 1/28/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you above that I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four that have
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with bookends the slump
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached into pink. Actually,
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna burn my browins hat Man, I don't know
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: what is going on with the bruins arch hape? Is
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: that what it is? I don't even know it's It's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I don't
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. But I don't even know
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: what data is anymore. Man, back with you after the
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: worst day that I can possibly have, Back with you
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: as I always am until I die, at least oh
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: for me. Own five. The worst month that I've ever
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't know
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: what to even tell you about this anymore. To the
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: slumpy praise, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: kill me, please. I don't even know what I should
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up? Everybody? Is towed back with you with Toadstool Sports.
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: It is Wednesday, January twenty eighth. We went one to
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: one on the show yesterday. We kind of got screwed
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: with these sexest A and m to be honest, I mean,
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: they're winning that game outright, with like fourteen minutes left
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: in the game, and then they wound up losing in
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: a blowout. I have no idea how that happened. I
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: got a look at the box score, but I think
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: it was probably some sort of BS going on there.
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know how you allow a team
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: to go on a run like that in the final
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: ten or so minutes of the game. We got the
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: win with these guys right here the Seattle Crack And
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: this is my Maddie Bennier's jersey, however you pronounce Bennie dude, dude,
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: I want some Benet's right now. Men, those like New
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: Orleans don't not to see it. Give me some of
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: those things. He's a mass Massachusetts guy, sell Shore. So
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: we're gonna we're gonna represent Uh. Got this cracking jersey
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: on here. They got an easy win for us last night,
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: five to one. We're gonna get into today. We got
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: a lot of college basketball. Wednesday is the most packed
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: day besides Saturday for college basketball. I'm gonna have five plays.
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: Jeffery's gonna hate all of it because they're all favorites.
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: We're laying a whole bunch of favorites today. Man. That's
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: just the way that it worked out. We have underdogs
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: in NHL and NBA. I have one in each. That's
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: the way it's gonna be. Spilled water all over my keyboard.
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: I'm really uh, I'm up against her right now. Man,
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: I'm hoping everything's fine with the keyboard. I I emptied
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: the water out of the keyboard. I flipped it over,
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: I toweled it off. I don't have I don't have Rice,
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, man, Oh Rice, We're gonna talk
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: about their basketball team probably. I don't know what else
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: to say, but yeah, hopefully my keyboard's fine, hopefully I
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: sound fine whatever. Tyson, what's up? Yes, thanks for hanging out,
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: Dirty Sock, what's up? Good morning, Kyle? What's up everybody?
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: Bennet's Yeah. I mean, dude, I'm I'm a fat ass.
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: So any anything that's donut esque, yeah, I'm gonna be
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: down with that. Yeah. Any fried fried dough of any form,
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: give it to me. Hopefully we make some dough here
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: today after the small loss yesterday. Alexander, what's up? Man?
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: All right, let's get into it here. A lot of
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: college basketball we got to run down, man, I got
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: plays all over the place here, sound as good. It
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: was just water. It was a bottle of water. I
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: knocked it over onto the keyboard pretty much so it
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: hit like the left side of the keyboard. I flipped
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: the keyboard over some water port out of it. I
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: toweled everything off, and that's all I could really do
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: right now. So I don't know. All right, let's get
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: into it here. The first game up. I mean, it's
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: not a TV anywhere. There might be a stream of
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: this if anybody wants to watch Mississippi Valley State, the
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: Delta Devils, and Southern in this swack game between the
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: worst team in Division one and a team that's legitimate
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: in the Swack Conference. At least, Mississippi Valley State still
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: hasn't won a legitimate game. I mean, they only won
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: that game against the Mississippi College for Women, not a
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: D one team. They're coming up yet another loss, No
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: surprise here. Still look up to get a win, though. Man,
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: They're gonna try to show up at least. But for Southern,
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: Southern's coming off a pretty bad loss to Arkansas Pine Bluff.
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: Southern definitely the better of the two teams. Southern, we're
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: nine and a half point favorites in this game pretty much,
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: so they're coming up a pretty ugly upset home loss.
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: So I think the only way that I could look
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: at this game is to lay the points with Southern.
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: But I mean, if we're laying a lot of points today, man,
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: in some of these games, if this is the only
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: action you want, though, you're having to lay twenty one
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: and a half with this Southern team if you really
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: want that. But if you're doing it, I mean, Mississippi
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: Valley State is the worst team in all of D one,
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: So it's not the number is not like that out
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: of line or anything for that matchup. But that's probably
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: what I would do, because you're getting the better team,
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: Southern in a focused spot. The problem is, though, of course,
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: they can easily win the game without covering. Just get in,
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: get out, and move on, you know. So that's kind
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: of the problem. I don't even know who they play next.
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: I'm not really a swack guy, though I'm a swag guy.
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: They play Alcorn State next, that's not a big deal
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: at all, so Southern might actually focus on that game.
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: And then there's the three pm game I think actually
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: is not happening. I think it got postponed. Maybe Arkansas
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: Pine Bluff at Grambling. I'm not sure because I saw
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: a line on it, though there is a line Grambling's
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: minus four and a half. I don't know. I don't
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: know about this game, man, But Pine Bluff, as I
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: just pointed out, they just upset Southern. They did break
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: a three game losing streak, but second straight road game
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: coming up, a big upset like that, I think if
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: you're gonna play this game, I would probably lay the
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: points with Grambling. Yet another favorite here. Grambling just lost
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: to Southern, but it was an ugly loss. But people
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: might look at this game and say, well, because if
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: anybody wants this afternoon action and it's only Swacked that
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: you can bet on here, well, oh, Grambling just lost
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: at home to Southern, and pine Bluff just went on
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: the road and upset Southern, So of course pine Bluff
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: is gonna cover as a four and a half point
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: underdog here, right, Like that might be the way the
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: public might look at this. I would not look at
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: it that way, Grambling coming off that pretty ugly loss
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: there to Southern staying at home. If I was gonna
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: play the game, I would lay the points of Grambling
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: in that one. Mister Penzy, what's up? Thanks for hanging out.
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what that what that like emoji is
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: that sticker is is a pink hand man getting caught
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: pink handed. And then we have this isolated six pm
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: game between Lehigh and Army. I don't really have anything
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: on this game at all, not even really an opinion.
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: Lehigh has won five of their last six games, though,
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: so they're actually climbing up the ranks in the Patriot League.
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: Army is a terrible team, though, and Lehigh does play
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: Colgate next. Lehigh already beat Colgate once on the road
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: in an upset. But Colgate is still always a pretty
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: big deal when you play them in this conference, so
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: they could definitely overlook a pretty bad Army team here.
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: Army just got totally embarrassed by Navy in their last game,
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: almost lost by thirty, although Navy is obviously the way
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: better team there. But I would, I guess, probably need
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: to Army in that game if I was gonna do
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: anything with it, which I will not, but it's an ugly,
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: ugly game. Leha is only a two and a half
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: way favorite, though, so it almost looks too easy to
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: lay the points with Lehigh. But I only an Army
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: in that one, if you made me give you an
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: opinion on it. Baylor at Cincinnati the first big conference
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: game of the day. Fox Sports won six thirty pm.
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: Baylor's really struggling right now. Man. I had them as
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: a bubble team, like potentially on the cusp of being
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: a tournament team, but not with what they've been doing. Man,
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: this resume is nowhere near good enough. They just took
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: another loss to TCU, getting seasons swept by TCU, couldn't
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: even beat them at home. I thought Baylor was gonna
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: win that game. They didn't. They're in struggle mode now, man,
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: the struggle sessions. Now they're having to go up to Cincinnati,
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: which is not the most familiar environment for them. Cincinnati
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: hasn't been in this conference that long. Cincinnati may bounce
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: back because they did just do the Arizona try and
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: they lost both games. Now they're back home, but they
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: do also have Houston next, so there's a possible look
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: ahead there to Houston, man to Cincinnati. They know they're
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: not going anywhere this year, so it's like, which games
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: are they gonna get up for when they know they're
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: not gonna be a tournament team this year or anything. Well,
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: Houston's obviously gonna be one they get up for. They
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: got up for them last time as well, So there
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: is the possibility that they don't take Baylor that seriously.
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati has been better at home. Though they only lost
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: by seven to Houston at home, they won their other
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: home games, including one over Iowa State and the other
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: one being Colorado, so their conference home results have been
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: pretty good. What do we have for a line? What
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: do we have for the market? Read here? The money
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: is coming in at Cincinnati. It looks like for what
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: it's worth, even though they dropped from four and a
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: half to four fifty to fifty on the tickets, sixty
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on Cincinnati though, so the
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: market read is saying to lay it was Cincinnati yet
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: another favorite there, you know. I mean, I don't know.
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: Man to me, it seems like Baylor is the more
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: desperate team Cincinnati might be looking ahead. I mean, Cincinnati
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: is actually probably further away from being a tournament team
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: that Baylor is, believe it or not, just based on
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: the resume so far, like the out of conference resume
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: and whatever. So I kind of disagree. I would probably
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: lead towards taking it with Baylor, but I don't like
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: the game at all. Butler at Saint John's, who's now
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: back in the rankings at twenty five, I think it
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: is justified. I've been saying I think Saint John's underrated
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: because they took some tough losses in the out of
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: conference slate. But now that's paying dividends because they're playing
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: pretty well in conference plate because they are pretty battle
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: test and this game's on Peacock seven pm. Butler, you know,
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: will show up for a game like this, though, Butler's
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: coming out of an easy win over Marquette. They're bringing
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: some momentum into this game. They already lost at home
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: to Saint John's, so it is one of those road
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: reversal revengeles here where Saint John's might overlook Butler because
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: they already beat Butler on the road, So like, what's
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: Butler really Saint John's. Now, I can see this going
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: two ways because Saint John's just barely got by Xavier.
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: Not a good performance for Saint John's. They were actually
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: losing a lot of that game. They came back and won.
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: Saint John's was a double digit favorite in that game,
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: and I talked about when a double digit favorite has
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: an escape like that, a lot of times they will
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: be focused in the next game. But I'm not so
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: sure because that Xavier game, that was the Battle of
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: the Patinos. Dude, Richard Patino is Xavier's coach now, so
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: it was son versus father. Yeah, inside, I want to
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: kill myself, So it was Rick versus Richard in that game.
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: The father was able to get the wins. So that
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: was probably a pretty big emotional win though for Saint John's.
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: So there are factors going both ways in this game, man,
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: the money is saying Butler, I will I will agree
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: with it. Saint John's from eleven and a half to
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: twelve and a half here, I'll agree and roll with
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: it being more of a kind of a letdown spot
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: for Saint John's off of winning the Patino Battle. There
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: a sixty eight percent of tickets on Saint John, sixty
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on Butler. So the money
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: is agreeing with Butler here, I won't disagree with it,
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: and you you just have that road revenge angle for
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: Butler there, which I like. You know, when a team
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: loss at home and now they're the road underdog, Uh,
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: that is the way to usually look. So that'll be
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: my opinion there, but not a really strong opinion. Northern
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: Iowa at Southern Illinois Missouri Valley game here. I know
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: I've talked about every game so far. I'm not going to,
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: but I think these games are interesting. Northern Iowa just
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: broke a long losing streak. They broke a five game
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: losing streak, and I talk about how when teams break
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: a losing streak sometimes it gives them new momentum moving forward.
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: The problem is Northern Iowa beat Murray State, who's one
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: of the best teams in this conference in the Missouri Valley.
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: That was a huge win for Northern Iowa. So there's
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: the Warrior that they might be in kind of a
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: hangover mode here against Southern Illinois. These teams have not
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: played yet this year. In Southern Illinois is an under
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: the radar team still. Man, I keep talking about how
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: they're underrated. I think they are. They're on a four
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: game losing streak right now. They've been sitting on this
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: loss to Valpo for a long time, and I think
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: that that was an explainable loss because they'd already beaten
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: Valpo once and they beat Belmont the game before that,
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: which was a huge win, Belmont being probably the best
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: team in this conference. So I think Southern Illinois was
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: kind of in a letdown spot there. And this sets
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: up a little bit better for Southern Illinois too, because
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: they had a game against Evansville postponed, so Southern Illinois
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: had a long time off and that can help break
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: this four game losing streak gear and I think they've
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: been off for like a week. I want to say now,
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: so when everything's going wrong for you and everything's bad
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: and you're losing all these games. It's actually good to
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: have time off. So I think they will show up
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: focused in this game, and people are gonna look at
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: this and say, well, Northern Iowa has a winning record,
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: Southern Illinois is a losing record, and Southern illinoi Is
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: actually a small favorite here, Like why would the public
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: if they look at this game, why would they want
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: to play Southern Illinois in this game? Right, they wouldn't,
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: But that is the way that I would lean in
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: this game, because I think you got to let down
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: spot on the side of Northern Iowa here. Southern Illinois
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: moved up a little bit to one and a half
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: point favorite. Like I said, eighty six percent of the
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: tickets in ninety eight percent of the cash on Northern Iowa.
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: But again I disagree with that, Like the line is
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: kind of telling you what you need to know, telling
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: you that these two teams are kind of close to
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: each other. Northern Iowa is the better team, but not
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: by that much, and they're in the worst spot here. Now.
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: I looked at Ken Bam on this though Northern Iowa
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: was an underrated team according to him, though they do
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: play really good deepfense. Technically, Northern Iowa is the better
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: deepfense here getting points. Southern Illinois is still under the
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: radar though. Ken Bomb is them as one of the
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: five unluckiest teams in the entire country, so they aren't on.
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: They are a play on team. Although both these teams
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: are unlucky. According to Kent Bump, Southern illinoi is also
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: good defensively. Actually, both of these teams are good on
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: defense and not so good on offense. Southern Illinois likes
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: to speed the game up though, even though they're more
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: of a defensive team, which Northern Iowa does not want
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: to do. They want to slow the game down, so
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: Southern Illinois might be able to up the tempo here
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: a little bit. So I like Southern Illinois in this one. Man,
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: I don't know why was this not on on my card, though,
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: I guess is the question. It seems like it should be.
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: I guess the one reason why maybe you would keep
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: it off like I've kept it off my card. I
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: guess I will still keep it off. It's close to
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: being a play for me, though, which is why I'm
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: talking about it. Northern Iowa. I mean again, when you
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: break a losing streak like that, sometimes it will give
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: you new momentum coming into the next game. So maybe
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: we'll see that with Northern Iowa here. That would be
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: the one I guess concern there because they are coming
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: off a nice win. They were probably a favorite in
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: this game against Murray State though no, they were actually
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: a small dog. Never mind, it was close to a
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: pick them, but either way, a big win for Northern Iowa.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: I'll stay away from the game, but yes, I like
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: Southern Illinois in that game. That would be my opinion
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: in that game. Okay, next up, my first play that
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: I actually have is a real ugly one. Man. We
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: have some ugly plays today, man, and their favorites. Ugly favorites.
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: We're gonna lay the points with Fordham minus four and
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: a half. We're gonna go back to trusty ford No,
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: although I think the last time I gave them out
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: they pushed as an underdog. But first of all, the
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: osmakers are telling you Fordham is better than Lasal. LASAL sucks. Okay,
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: they do, but LASAL has the better Atlantic ten record
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: right now, the better conference record, but it might be
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: a little bit misleading. LaSalle, I mean, they have to
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: face a decent schedule so far. Here. Let me see
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: about Fordham though. Actually, yeah, LaSalle's face some more difficult schedule,
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: so I don't know what's going on with that. But
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: ken Bum does have Fordham as one of the unluckiest
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: teams in the country. He has them as the eighth
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: or ninth unluckiest team in the country. They play pretty
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: good defense and they play slow, but they're not good offensively,
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: so that's what you get out of Fordham. But Lasal's
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: just not good on either side of the bamb and
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: Fordham is the better defense here. I know we're laying
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: points here. Lasal also does play slow. I know I
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: don't love laying points with slow teams, but we're doing
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: it today, man, changing it up a little bit for today.
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: He has LaSalle somewhat unlucky as well, but he's got
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: Fordham even unluckier. And the thing that put me over
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: the edge is the situation here. Obviously, not the dude
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: from a Jersey shore. I make that joke too much.
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: I gotta get some new material, man, But yeah, Fordham,
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: like both these teams are pretty bad offensively. But the
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: big difference between these two teams is Fordham is clearly
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: the better defensive teams, so there is a pretty wide
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: gap there between how good the defenses are. Also LaSalle,
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: I'm just not sold on Lasal being that good. But
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: they're also coming up a big upset of Dayton, which
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: is why I wanted to play Dayton in their last game. Right. So,
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: Dayton was coming off this bad upset loss to Lasal.
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: I thought Dayton would bounce back after that, and they didn't,
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: unfortunately for us. But if you look at this game,
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: Dayton had a terrible shooting game. They shot thirteen percent
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: from the from three. Lasal had ten more free throw attempts,
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: So some things misleading about this game. It was kind
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: of a close game statistically. Otherwise, Dayton did out rebound
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: Lasal by a little bit. But Lasal's just not as
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: good as they look, man, and they pulled off this
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: upset here. It was a nine and a half ten
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: point upset in that game, so it was a huge upset.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: I think you've just been sitting on that, I think
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: for a week or so. So I think Lasal hasn't
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: played for a week coming off one of their like
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: probably their biggest win of the year. They haven't played
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: for a week That's not what you want.
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: You don't want to have a week off. It's like
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: having a bye like I talk about in the NFL,
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: when you have a week off and you just had
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: a really great game. Yeah, you don't want to have
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: a week off because you're just basking in it. You know,
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: it can ruin your momentum. Now they got to play Fordham,
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: which I think is Oh, they play Fordham again later
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: in the season. Actually I was gonna say I think
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: they only played them once, but no, that's not true.
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: But they play Fordham, who's just way down near the
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: bottom of the conference. Right now. Up next, LaSalle has
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: Saint Joe's. Well why does that matter. Well, Saint Joe's
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: is a Philadelphia rival with LASAL, so that's an in
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: city rivalry. It's gonna be a TV game that's on
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: Saturday a few days from now in USA Networks. That's
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: gonna be a big game for LASAL against Saint Joe's.
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: They actually I don't think they They didn't play Saint
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: Joe's in the Philadelphia round, Rob and I guess because
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: they're conference opponents. So they actually play Saint jose again
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: at the very end of the season, but it is
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: a rivalry. And not only is it a rivalry, but
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: I believe Saint Jose is the team that eliminated LaSalle, yeah,
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: from the tournament last year. It was a close game
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: from the eight ten tournament. So Saint Jose is the
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: team that ended LaSalle season last year too, So it
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: is a pretty big revenge game for LaSalle facing Saint
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: Joe's next as well. So I consider that to definitely
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: be a look ahead. And you know, people who don't
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: dig deep might not see that that that is actually
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: a pretty huge look ahead. Saint Jose is also doing
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: pretty well in conference too, so that's another reason and
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: maybe look ahead to that. So I think the spot
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: is really bad for LaSalle for Fordham, they just haven't
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: been able to win these conference games yet. Man. But
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: I mean, do you expect them to win, you know,
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: against Dayton. I know Lasal beat Dayton, but Fordham lost
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: to them on the road. They lost at home to Richmond,
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: lost at home to George Mason. Those are not bad losses.
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: They lost at Saint Louis. I mean, come on, they
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: had to play at Davidson. So Fordham has not had
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: the easiest conference schedule at all Man and for LASAL,
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: I mean they did face well, I guess they did
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: face Rhode Island, but they faced a difficult schedule otherwise
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: as well. Both teams have faced Saint Bonaventure and won.
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: That was the Fordham's only win. But Fordham is now
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: coming off a loss to Davidson. I know they were
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: an underdog in that game, and they played fairly well
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: at Davidson. But at this point, I don't see Fordam
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: overlooking anybody. Man. They're back home where they lost their
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: last home game to do Caine pretty ugly. I just
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: I see them showing up in the game, man, and
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: I think it's a horrible spot for Lasal. And that's
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: basically that's what we have going on in this game.
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: Double checking it with ken Bum, ken Bum as the
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: line about around this number as well, I think, so
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: we're gonna go with Fordham minus the points in that
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: one man, And for ken Bum's purposes, yeah, he does
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: have Fordham as the better team. I guess them almost
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: to the top two hundred. Yeah great, and he has
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: LSAL twenty ranking spots lower. But you know, judging based
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: on how many ranking spots lower, isn't you know, it
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: isn't doesn't tell you everything. You still have to figure
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: out like whoa how many points are they separated by? Well,
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are basically telling you Fordham's like a a
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: point or two better here. Plus they're getting home court advantage,
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: which I think is about correct. All Right, CBS Sports,
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: we have Davidson at George Mason in the A ten.
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: Davidson just had a pretty close loss at home to
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: VCU Man. That was a big game for Davidson. So
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: the problem here is they might be hung over a
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: little bit after that big game, but they also might
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: not overlook George Mason, because George Mason is still near
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: the top of the conference, only behind Saint Lewis, who
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: won a crazy game last night. If you saw Saint Louis,
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: they came back and won last night against George Washington,
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: and Robbie of Vila hit a buzzer beater three to
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: win the game in regulation when it was tied. Crazy stuff, man,
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis. That Saint Louis team, Yeah, they make like
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: all of their shots. Man. But anyway, Davidson could be
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: hung over a little bit here. It's gonna be tough
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: for them to travel and have two huge games in
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: a row, although they obviously won't overlook George Mason. But
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: George Mason's coming up fairly ugly loss at Rhode Island,
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: so they might be in bounced back mode here after
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: a bad loss. So I think I have to lean
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: towards George Mason in this game. But the problem is,
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: what do I always talk about when a team has
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: a long win streak, like George Mason did, they have
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: a loss. It's losing to Virginia Tech in the middle
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: of non conference play. George Mason had not lost in
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: a ten play yet either, and then they finally take
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: a loss. I think that can hang you over a
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: little bit. And we've seen that happen almost every time
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: this year that a long win streak has been snapped.
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: That team essentially loses the same game twice. So that
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: has to be concerned a little bit about George Mason there,
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: So it's a stay away from me. I would slightly
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: lean towards laying the points with George Mason though, based
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: on what the teams did in their last games. But
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: I can't get there with that one. Rice. I told
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: you I would talk about Rice. Rice at East Carolina.
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: This game, for some reason is on ESPNU. I don't
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: know why. How does this game get the billing? No clue.
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: These two teams are both bad, but Rice is coming
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: up a pretty good performance against Tulsa, so I'm looking
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: at this. And they played tempo fairly well the game
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: before that, so Rice is coming up to pretty good performances.
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: They could be in a bit of a hangover spot here. Man.
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: They just only lost by six to Tulsa, So I
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: told you I thought Rice would play better. Rice had
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: been annihilated by Tulsa the first time they played them
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: on the road, so I think Tulsa just looked right
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: past them, and Rice gave them a good performance and
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: only lost by six. So I don't really trust Rice
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: coming off a performance like that. East Carolina just got
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: their first conference win, so I do talk about this again.
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: It's kind of the reverse of the other trend that
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: I just talked about, where when a team breaks a
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: losing streak, now I think that it can give them
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: new momentum moving before. Right, Like, whichever streak you break,
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: whether it's a winning streak or a losing streak, it
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: basically gives you new momentum, either in the negative or
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: the positive, you know what I mean. So East Carolina
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: finally got their first conference win, Monkeys off their back.
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: Now they can play with momentum. The problem is that
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: win was a huge upset on the road at North Texas,
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: So I don't know if I could trust East Carolina
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: off a huge upset like that. Man, And they do
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: play Florida Atlantic next, and FAU is the top team
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: in the conference right now at least standings wise, even
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: though I think Tulsa is actually better than they are.
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: So East Carolina is actually kind of in a sandwich spot.
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: So I cannot play either team in this game. The
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: money is saying East Carolina for what it's worth, they're
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: up from one to two. Here, eighty five percent of
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: the tickets are on Rice, seventy one percent of the
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: cash in East Carolina. I won't disagree with it. Again.
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: Rice is coming off two tough performances in a row.
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: I know East Carolina pulled off that upset, but North
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: Texas is not really They're not like near the top
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: of the conference standings wise at least. And East Carolina
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: at least has that new momentum, and they might not
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: really overlook anybody being a one win conference team. So
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree with East Carolina in that game. It's
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: just a tough it's a tough spot for both teams.
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: The Big Ten Network game that we have at seven pm,
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you a play on this one. Man.
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: We're gonna we're gonna lay the points with Iowa. Oh
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: I put one too many a's in it. Man, It's like, uh,
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: I don't have the drop. I don't have any Simpsons drops.
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: So it's like welcome or if you're invited to.
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: Homer's bbbbq bbbqh the extra B is for b yo
• 26:24
  Speaker 2: bb what's that extra B for a typo oh?
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: Man? That's the when The episode Releasa is a vegetarian
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: classic episode back back when the Simpsons used to be good.
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: But yes, we're gonna lay the points with the Iowa here, man,
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: even though I know Iowa they slow the game way down,
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: so laying points maybe not the greatest idea with a
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: slow down team like this, but we're gonna do it anyway.
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: USC likes to play fast, and I don't think they're
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: gonna be able to really accomplish that here, So I
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: was gonna slow them down and probably totally frustrate them.
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: But look at the spot that we have here. US
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: just upset Wisconsin. Now they're having to go from Madison,
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin to Iowa, so they're playing back to back road
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: games here within a span of I don't know what
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: it is, three or four days. Maybe huge upset winner
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: for Wisconsin. Wisconsin, I mean, they're a staple of the
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: Big ten. USC was probably about a seven whatever. They
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: were seven and a half point dog in that game.
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: Maybe maybe bigger big upset for USC. Though let me
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: see what was it. Yeah, it was seven and a
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: half or so eight, So big upset man for USC
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: in that game Wisconsin. Maybe it was just in a
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: bit of a bad spot. There was consin shot terribly
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: in the game, though man Wisconsin had more possessions in
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: the game, they outrebounded USC, but they lost the game
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: because they shot thirty four percent from the field. Horrible
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: shooting performance you don't usually see out of Wisconsin. So
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: that was a bit of an outlier. USC got a
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: little bit lucky that that was the case, I think,
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: because USC is not a very good defensive team and
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: USC did have some more free throws in the game
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: as well, but that might have just been, you know,
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: something that happened at the end of the game or whatever.
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: But either way, USC is coming off a huge upset win.
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: Now they got to try to do it again at Iowa.
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: I'm just not sure I see it happening. Man. They
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: don't have anything big up next. It's Rutgers. But i
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: was a little bit under the radar right now because
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: they're in the middle of the pack conference wise, and
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: Iowa was coming off a bad game where they had
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: pulled off a nice win over Indiana. Look at the
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: run that Iowa made leading up to their last game
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: against Rutgers. Iowa played Illinois to within six, and Illinois
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: is a legit team, man. Iowa played Purdue on the
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: road to within seven. Very good performance from Iowa there too.
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: Purdue was really good and really difficult to beat at home.
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: And then Iowa beat Indiana soundly by seventeen on the road.
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: So Iowa can win by margin, man, and Indiana is
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: a fast paced team too. So the thing about this
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: is Illinois and Purdue both plays slow, but Indiana plays
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: fast like USC does, I'm pretty sure. And Iowa was
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: able to to knock the doors off of them and
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: actually get some more scoring done there because Indiana, you know,
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: they're just weaker defensively. Actually Indiana plays slower, my mistake,
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: I'm not as slow as Iowa, but Indiana is also
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: not good defensively though, So anyway, Iowa was able to
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: beat them by seventeen. That was a big win for
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: Iowa on the road against Indiana, who's still got that
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: name recognition around them, and I think after that run,
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: Iowa just didn't really have a lot of focus in
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: this game against Rutgers. Man. Iowa almost lost the game
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: to Rutgers at home. Are only won by six, but
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: this game was a real scare man for Iowa. Rutgers
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: had chances to win the game they're winning in the
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: second half of this game was a one possession game
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: in the final minute before Iowa was able to finally
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: put it away. Not a good performance from Iowa staying
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: at home now they don't have a bigger game on deck,
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: even though they do have to go to the Pacific Coast.
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: But it's Oregon who's been playing awful, so I expect
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: Iowa to show up for this game against the USC
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: team that's been hot right now. I like Iowa in
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: this one man, and looking at ken Bum's rankings, yes, Iowa,
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: of course is the slower paced team. Ken Bumb as
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: Iowa in the top twenty five, so they're pretty under
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: ranked right now. He has them three to zero three
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: in lock, so he has them quite unlucky as a team,
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: and they're pretty balanced actually, even though they're better defensively
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: than offensively. They're in the top forty in both and
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: top twenty in depfense, which is not bad. He is
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: USC a little bit more in balance. USC is actually
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: better defensively than offensively, believe it or not, which I
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: did not think was the case, because they are a
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: fast paced team, but I think Iowa might be able
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: to slow them down frustrate them. Iowa is the better
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: team on both sides of the ball, man, because both
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: teams are better defensively than offensively. Iowas better on offense
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: and on defense than USC is and USC plays fast
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: and the fourteenth luckiest team in the country according to
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: ken Bomb, So he's telling you that they've way overperformed
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: to get to that record they have. He's got them
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: as the fiftieth best team in the country. So I
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: think there might actually be some value in this line
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: on Iowa, and the money seems to agree with me
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: on this one. Iowa's already gone up from nine and
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: a half to ten, man, so this one you might
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: have to get on it before the line gets out
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: of control. I mean, at least in basketball, ten's not
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: a key number because it's not football, but I would say, yeah,
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: try to get in on that. At least the totals
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: not in the one thirties. It's in the one forties.
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: But we're hoping that Iowa's depfense can really keep USC's offense,
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: which isn't really even that good in check enough to
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: do this. Seventy percent of the tickets are on USC.
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: The public wants USC in this one, man, because they
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: don't like the slow paced, ugly teams. They think the
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: line looks too big. USC I think has a slightly
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: better overall record too, so nobody's gonna want to lay
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: points like this. But the oswigers are telling you Iowa
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: is the better team. They got sixty seven percent of
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: the cash on them. Iowa is the play in that game, man.
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: I like it. I think the situation sets up nicely
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: for it as well, I think it's a situation. Don't
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: play and the numbers play. The both line up on it.
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: And like I said, Iowa has been able to win
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: by margin against some of these teams. Here at home,
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: Iowa beat UCLA by thirteen, so that's not bad. They
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: killed Maryland at home, of the Maryland is awful. And
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: then I'm just looking at a conference play really here.
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: That's basically it, besides the games that I already mentioned,
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: So there's not a whole lot to go on there
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: with what I was done at home, but I think
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: they do have the ability to do this against USC,
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: especially in this spot. Okay, Cal at Florida State is
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: on ACC Network at seven pm. This is a weird game,
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: and it's first of all, it's a really interesting game
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: because the line is really interesting. Why is Florida State
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: a three and a half point favorite when they have
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: one conference win and the record is horrendous at eight
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: and twelve and Cal is fifteen to five. It doesn't
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: make any sense. And I don't even know if I
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: agree with this line because ken Bomb actually has as
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: the better team, although not by that much, but he
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: has this game being like close to a pickum. I think,
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: so I don't really get the three and a half,
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: but when I see a line like this and the
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: team and has the way worst record as a favorite
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: like this, it does make me notice. Yeah, I become
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: a noticer. It makes me notice that line in that game. Now,
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: some of it might have to do with the spot
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: Cal's having to fly from Stanford to Florida. Hear, that
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: was a big win for them over Stanford. They're coming
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: off two big wins, man, they beat u NC out
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: in California, and then they beat Stanford, who's a California
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: rival of theirs on the road. Now they're having to
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: fly from northern California basically all the way to Tallahassee
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: for this game. So it is a weird spot these
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: conference realignments. Man. I'm not sure that cow who's played
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: at Florida State at any point recently. They probably haven't
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: done it since the conference realignment. So it's a weird
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: spot for them, and they could be in a letdown
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: spot coming up those two big games. They have Miami
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: on deck, which is a huge game, So Cal they're
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: in a sandwich spot here, man, So it is a
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: bad spot for them. They could definitely overlook a struggling
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: Florida State team. Problem is, I don't want Florida State either,
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: because after they pulled off their huge upset over Miami
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: in that big rivalry game, they did not suffer the
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: letdown spot last week and they almost upset SMU. I
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: thought SMU would run them out of the building. SMU
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: twelve point favorites in that game in Florida State almost
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: beat them too. Florida State almost only lost by three.
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: So I don't like how the sets up for Florida
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: State either, like they're coming up two huge performances. So
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: I just don't really I can't get there, man, with
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: either team, like based on the line though the oddsmakers
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: are kind of signaling to you something with this line.
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: Though I don't know if there's an injury for California
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: or what, because I don't pay attention to the personnel here.
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: Really maybe I should, but I just don't. It's just
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: not the way that I do college basketball. I need
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: you gotta have shortcuts when you're handicapping all these teams. Man.
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: But the fact that Florida is a three point favorite,
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: three and a half point favorite up from one and
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: a half and the market read is all over them.
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: I would have to lean to Florida State here for
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: those reasons, and it just looks way too easy to
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: take CAL plus the points, so I lean Florida State.
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: But I'm not gonna play the game. I also think
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: the numbers a little bit out of whack based on
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: you know, the power ratings of what ken bum says
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: and stuff. So I'm gonna stay away. Eighty three percent
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: of the tickets are on CAL, sixty five percent of
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: the cash on Florida State though, And like I said,
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: the I think the situation is actually bad for both
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: teams right as you would see have another week off. Yeah,
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: it's not good because they're coming off a big win
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: over Virginia. You don't want to have a lot of
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: time off, Garrett, what's up, man, Yeah, you don't want
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: to have a lot of time off after after pulling
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: off a big win, an upset win like that against
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: a ranked team. Virginia had a crazy game last night
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: that went into overtime to beat Notre Dame after they
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: came back against Notre Dame. By the way, that was
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: a crazy game. But yeah, I don't know, because UNC
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: probably had a week off to travel when they went
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: out to California, right, So, I don't know. I don't
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: know what the schedule makers are doing, but that break, yeah,
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: is too long. It might disrupt their momentum. I'm assuming
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: they're what are they They're playing on Saturday? Probably, I
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: don't know. Okay, what do we have next here? I mean,
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: if you want me to talk about some other games,
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: I will, but I'm trying to obviously find a way
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: to shorten the show a little bit here. We don't
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: have too much hockey today though, so that's good. Only
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: three hockey games Oakland and IPFW is probably the best
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: Horizon game here today. Oakland, I know their overall record
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: doesn't look good, but that's because they played a really
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: difficult out of conference schedule. They're up near the top
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: of the Horizon. Man, they're one of the better teams
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: in the Horizon. Wright State in Oakland are the top
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: two teams, but IPFW is not that far behind them.
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: And that's who Oakland is playing here now. This is
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: a second meeting. Oakland already beat IPFW at home, I believe, yeah,
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: because this is at IPFW. Yeah, Oakland beat them in
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: a very high scoring game one oh one, to ninety
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: two at Oakland, So there is a little bit of
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: maybe a revenge mode of here for IPFW, or you know,
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: a spot where IPFW might fix some things that were
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: wrong in that game and play better here. Oakland does
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: have Northern Kentucky next, which is a big game too,
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: but IPFW is ahead of Northern Kentucky in the standing,
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: so I don't really see either team overlooking this game, man.
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: Oakland's coming up beating Detroit Mercy on the road, which
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: is kind of whatever. Either're an ok team this year
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: in the conference. Purdue also just beat Detroit Mercy on
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: the road. They were supposed to play against IU Indianapolis
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: IUPUI and that game got postponed. So IPFW has a
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: longer break here, and I think that's actually bad because
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: they had five wins in a row, and like I
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: was just saying with Garrett there, you do not want
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: to have a break, like when you're on a winning
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: stream like this, you want to play through. You want
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: to keep playing, man. So this is why disrupt IPFW's
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: momentum a little bit. Even though this is a revenge
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: game for them, if you want to call it that,
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: or like an adjustment game. For them where they might
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: adjust to Oakland. So it's not all bad. I do
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: still expect both teams to show up, but that time
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: off might be disruptive for IPFW, and it looks like
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: IPFW is kind of turning into a public underdog here
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: eighty one percent of the tickets and seventy five percent
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them. So for some reason, the
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: I think it's because of the overall records, right, Like again,
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: Oakland's overall record doesn't look as good, But again that's
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: because they played like Michigan, Houston, like they played all
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: these really good teams out of conference. There's another one
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: in there that I'm forgetting, a Purdue. I think it.
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: They actually played pretty well against Purdue. The other two
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: teams blew them out, and they played UCF pretty close too,
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: So Oakland has much more difficult out of conference schedule
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: behind them. So that's why they're record doesn't look as good.
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: But the Oddsweggers are telling you Oakland is the better
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: team here, and because of the disruptive extra time off
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: for IPFW, I'll only to Oakland. Excuse me, I'll only
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: to Oakland as well. Here, Oakland dropped from two and
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: a half to one and a half. Here, it does
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: look like IPFW is getting the public action a very
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: dreaded a public home underdog, and that one it looks like,
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: so yeah, I'll only to Oakland in that one, but
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: I don't have it on my card or anything like that.
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: They're playing Georgia Tech, boll they should win that game,
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: even though it is on the road. Obviously they'll be
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: a favorite in that game, and you know, maybe it'll
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: be a game where North Carolina overlooks them, wins the
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: game and doesn't cover. I don't know, but I'll probably
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: be leaning to Georgia Tech in that game. But I
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: don't know what Georgia Tech has done leading up to that.
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: I think Georgia Tech did just play pretty well against
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: some superior team, I think against Virginia Tech in their
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: last game. So I don't know. You Indy at Robert
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: Morris here, this is an interesting game. I you, Indy
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: just pulled off a big upset of Oakland. So wait,
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: when did that happen? Wait a minute, I just talked
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: about Oakland. Oh yeah, Oakland bounced back already and beat
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: Detroit Mercy after that. Okay, yeah, that's why I didn't
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: notice that with that other handicap. But yeah, IU Indy
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: beat Oakland at Oakland. That was a huge win for
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: IU Indy. They're not a good team and they upset.
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: That was a fourteen and a half point upset against
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: one of the top teams in the conference. So you
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: got to think they're gonna be in letdown mode. Man.
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: And then they were supposed to play IPFW. The game
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: got postponed. So now they're just sitting on this Oakland win.
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: And I think that's bad because you can keep thinking
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: about that win. You have the extra time off. Now
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: you went into that break on a huge note, like
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: on a good note. You're going on the road again.
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: You're playing Robert Morris. You probably came back home expecting
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: to play IPFW, though at least for them, that was
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: only going from Indy to Fort Wayne. But now they're
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: gonna go over to Pittsburgh to play Robert Morris. Now,
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: Robert Morris did win the conference last year, but that's
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: probably not enough to totally focus on them here because
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: Robert Morris hasn't been as good this year, and I
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: you Indy already beat Robert Morris. They had only one
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: conference win until they beat Oakland, and that win was
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: against Robert Morris in overtime. I think at home in
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: and upset. Robert Morris is a road favorite there, so
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: Robert Morris might have a little bit of revenge on
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: their minds here. And I kind of liked that angle too.
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: When the better team lost as a favorite in the
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: first game, they tend to bounce back in the second game,
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: especially when they're at home. If they lost as a
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: road favorite in the first of the conference matchups, they
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: tend to bounce back. Man. So I like Robert Morris
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: in this game. I you, Indie. I think in a
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: major letdown and revenge for Robert Morris. But the problem
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: is Robert Morris just played pretty well against Green Bay.
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: They had a big game. Green Bay has been playing
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: pretty well, man, so that was kind of a big game.
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: And Robert Morris has IPFW and the right State in
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: the next two games, and those are two of the
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: top three teams standing wise in the conference. So this
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: is the game. It looks a little bit sandwich you
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: to me, Man, although again, because they did lose to
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: IU Indy, I don't think they overlooked them. So this
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: one was very very close to making my card. I
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: just didn't totally check all the boxes. I like Robert Morris.
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: I would lay the points with Robert Morris. They're down
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: from ten to nine on the line though, so the
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: line did initially drop, but I would lay it with
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: Robert Morris. The fact that total has dropped kind of
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: helps Robert Morris here because IUPUI is the fastest paced
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: team in the country. That's all they do is they
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: play ridiculously fast and they play no defense at all.
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: So the fact that they play no defense should help
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: Robert Morris be able to score points here, probably enough
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: to cover that thing. But the fact that the total
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: has gone down I think also kind of helps Robert
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: Morris because they don't want to play as fast as
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: IUPUI does, so it's kind of a crazy game. UNC
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: doesn't do well at Georgia tack Yeah, I believe that
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: Georgia attack. Yeah, they I mean they tend to step
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: it up against these big teams against the blue bloods.
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: SEC Network has two games at once at seven PM.
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State at LSU is probably the less interesting of
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: the two. Mississippi State's on a five game slide here
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: and they just got drilled at home by Vandy. Vandy's good.
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, we saw Vandy look really good last night.
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure as well. Yeah, I was right about that.
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: They absolutely trounced Kentucky last night. So the tales of
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: Vandy's demise, like I said, were premature. Let's just say
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State got killed by them. So you got to
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: think that they're gonna show up for a game here,
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: and nobody wants to lose that ugly to anybody, So
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: I expect Mississippi State to show up after a loss
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: like that. Even though LSU has only had one conference
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: win so far. The spot sets up more difficult for LSU,
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: I would say, because they just had a good game
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: at Arkansas and they almost pulled off the upset at Arkansas.
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: This was it would have been a double digit upset.
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: Arkansas were ten NAF point favorites in that game, So
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: LSU I talk about that when huge underdogs fall just short,
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: they tend to not play well in the next game. Man.
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: Although LSU has been better at home, they beat Missouri
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: here and they almost beat Kentucky at home, so they've
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: been better at home in conference play. But I think
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: the spot doesn't set up very well for them. Man,
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: They're coming off the much tougher game, whereas Mississippi State
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: has kind of been more of a bounce back. I
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: wish LSU had a bigger game up next than South Carolina,
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: though it is revenge at least LSU did lose to
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: South Carolina at home, but South Carolina is near the
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: bottom of the standings too, so I don't really know
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: how big of a look ahead that really is. Even
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: though they did beat LSU at LSU and that was
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: one of their that was their by far their worst
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: home conference loss, so maybe they will kind of look
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: ahead to that and want to get that revenge there.
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: So I like miss he stayed in this game. It's
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: not on my card, but the situation seems to me
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: to set up that way. The money seems to not agree. Actually,
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: LSU initially dropped for me and to have to six,
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: but it looks like that might have been like a
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: false move or a fake out, or maybe pregame just
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: has the numbers wrong on this or something, because I
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, Because when you see a line drop
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: like this, then you see the cash percentage reflecting the opposite.
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: You got to try to figure out, like, well, what's
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: going on here? Why did that happen? And seven is
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: kind of a key number in basketball, So I don't
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: know if maybe professionals came in and faked the books
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: out and were they actually wanted LSU here, but they
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: slammed the line down on LSU to get a better
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: number on it. I don't know, because we see sixty
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the tickets on Mississippi State but fifty
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on LSU, So the money
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: is saying LSU here. I don't agree with it. I
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: worry about about fading a market read like this though,
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: but I would take the points of the Mississippi State
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: based on the situation. But you are getting less value
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: on it now that the line has dropped. But that
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: would be my opinion in that. And then we have
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: Tennessee at Georgia, which is the better of these two
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: seven pm SEC Network games. Tennessee they just had a
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: big win over Alabama. Man, so that was a nice
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: bounce back win for them after Tennessee lost as a
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: home favorite to Kentucky. Big win over Alabama could be
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: in a little bit of a letdown spot of that,
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: although Tennessee has now beaten Alabama five times in a row,
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: so I don't know how big they really consider that
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: to be. But they beat Alabama, which is big, But
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: they also have Auburn on deck, and that's kind of
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: a big game tool though. I think as we talk
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: about Auburn, but I think it's bigger for Auburn because
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: I believe Tennessee eliminated Auburn for the SEC Tournament last year,
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: so I think there's a more of a revenge. I
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: think there's a revenge motive on the side of Auburn
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: in that game. So I don't know how much of
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: a look ahead that really will be for Tennessee. Now,
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: will they overlook Georgia. I don't know. They shouldn't because
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: george has been playing really well. They only have four
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: overall losses, three of them Conference. Georgia has been knocked
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: from the rankings, though, and that was because they got
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: blown out by Texas in the last game and that
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: knocked them from the rankings. But I told you I
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: liked Texas in that game. I was one of those
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: games where you had an unranked favorite against a ranked underdog.
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: Texas was the unranked favorite in the game. They easily
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: got the job done. Texas is very underrated. I think
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: right now like ken Bom has them very unlucky. They're
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: much better than the record looks. But now that Georgia
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: got bounced from the rankings, they're coming off an ugly
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: loss like that, I expect them to show up here
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: at home. So I think you do have a bounce
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: back spot here for Georgia, a letdown spot for Tennessee.
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: I prefer Georgia in this one. That's the way I
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: would lean. Georgia has flipped from a one point dog
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: to a pick them here, But the cash percentage is
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: on Tennessee right now, sixty five percent of the tickets
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: and eighty five percent of the cash on Tennessee. I
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: don't really agree with that, though. I think the spot
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: sets up for Georgia in this game, and it will
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: be a pacing contrast because Georgia plays absurdly fast their
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: second in the country tempall wise, although I don't like
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: teams necessarily that played that fast, Tennessee obviously wants to
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: play slower, so Georgia playing fast might disrupt what Tennessee
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: wants to do. Although Tennessee just saw Alabama they played
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: really fast too, and Tennessee had no issue really with that.
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: So Tennessee is kind of used to that, so Georgia
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: might not be able to throw them off there. And
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: we have a situation where Georgia is a slightly better offense,
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: but Tennessee is a significantly better defense. So that's what
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: we have going on in that game. And if Georgia
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: is a favorite, then Tennessee technically becomes the better defense
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: getting points there. But I'm staying away from the game.
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: Texas at Auburn on ESPN two. This is basically just
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: mentioned this game because Texas, these two teams just played
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: those other two teams I just talked about. Texas just
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: beat Georgia, pretty big win. Not Georgia from the rankings.
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: Now they're gonna go on the road. They gotta go
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: on the road. Excusing to play Auburn. Texas has been
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: okay on the road though, I mean they beat Alabama
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: on the road. They came close to me to Kentucky
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: on the road, so they're not a team that's that
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: bad on the road. They only lost by eight at Yukon.
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: That was at the Hartford Civic Center though not in stores,
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: but still Texas has not been that bad on the road,
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: but it is possible they overlook Auburn just because Auburn
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: hasn't been as good recently. Although Texas they need to
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: bolster their tournament resume right now. Mess they kind of
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: can't overlook anybody right now, and Auburn is ahead of
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: them in the standings at the very least, although Texas
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: does have the Red River Rivalry basketball version up next
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: against Oklahoma the Red River Shootout, although will they really
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: look ahead to Oklahoma and Oklahoma has been terrible this year?
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: Probably not for Auburn here. Auburn just be Florida them. Man.
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: That was a monster revenge game for Auburn there against
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: Florida Final four revenge. As you know, Florida was the
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: team that beat Auburn in the Final Four. That was
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: a monster win for Auburn. So they're in a pretty
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: major letdown spot here, probably more than Texas is because
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: Texas their win was as a favorite. Auburn's win was
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: as a monster underdog on the road and they got
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: Tennessee up next, then Alabama Vandy, Arkansas all in a row.
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: So this is pretty much a sandwich spot for Arkansas
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: for excuse me for Auburn. And like I said, I'm
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: pretty sure the Tennessee game is gonna be a revenge game. Yeah,
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: because Auburn lost in the SEC Tournament to Tennessee last year.
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: I don't know how big of revenge that really is
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: because you know, it didn't end Auburn season. Obviously, Auburn
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: just didn't care that much about the SEC Tournament last
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: year because they were already locked into the overall one
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: seed in the tournament, it didn't even matter. So maybe
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: Auburn doesn't care that much about that. But that is
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: still a bit of a revenge game there, I think
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: for Auburn coming up against Tennessee there. So I actually
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: prefer Texas in this game. But the money is agreeing.
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: Auburn is up from five and a half to six
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: and a half. Here, sixty four percent of the tickets
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: in eighty eight percent of the cash on Auburn. Looks
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: like the money's coming in on an Auburn. I don't
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: agree with it. Both these teams do have something to
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: play for the like they both need to show up
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: as far as their tournament lives are concerned, Like they
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: both need to bolster their tournament resumes right now because
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: they're both tournament bubble teams, although Texas is in more
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: a more dire situation as far as getting into the tournament,
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: and they're an underdog here, and I think the situation
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: is better for them, So I lean Texas plus the
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: points in that game, and they're I think the more
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: underrated commodity as well. I think both teams are actually
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: a little bit underrated, though West Georgia at Bellerman is
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: my next play man. I keep forgetting to put the
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: best bets graphic up, but they go, the show is
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: gonna take a while. We're gonna lay the points here
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: as well. Man, We're gonna be on Bellerman minus five
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: and a half here, which looks ridiculous, Like why would
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: you want to lay points with Bellerman when they're seven
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: and thirteen overall two and six in the Atlantic Sun.
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: West George's ten and ten overall in four and four
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: in the a Sun. Right, nobody's gonna do this. Nobody's
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: gonna lay points with Bellerman. By the way, I think
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: you might be able to get five on this instead
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: of five and a half. Absolutely nobody's gonna do this.
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: But the Oswegers are telling you that Bellerman is actually
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: the better team here. So this is a little bit
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: of a numbers play, but this is the numbers play
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: and a situation will play at the same time, man,
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: So I'm trying to find the combination of both kind
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: of at the same time. Now, if you look at
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: ken Bum, yes, Bellerman is horrible defensively, which is not
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: really what you want to do when you're laying points.
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: You don't really want it's not what you want when
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: you're laying points here. They're the fourth worst defense in
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: college basketball. So yes, that's bad, really bad. But I'm
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: gonna show you what West Georgia looks like in a second.
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: Bellerman is almost in the top one hundred offensively though,
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: so they're very efficient offensively. They're bad defensively, En, I
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: don't know what the deal is with that because they
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: play slow. I know we're laying points of the slow
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: based team, but they are very offense for one of
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: these lower tier teams. So Bellerman can still score points, man,
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: and it's even though it's gonna be a slow paced game.
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: I think as far as both teams are concerned, Bellerman
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: is fairly unlucky. According to Kentbomb at two forty eighth
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: in lock. Then if we look at West Georgia, yeah,
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: there's a difference going on there. And actually West Georgia
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: does play somewhat fast, my mistake, So Bellerman slowing West
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: Georgia down might actually frustrate West Georgia. But West Georgia
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: they're terrible on both sides of the ball. Dude, you're
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: talking about Bellerman being horrible defensively, Well, Georgia's not. West
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: Georgia is not that much better. West Georgia's three twenty
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: eighth defensively according to Kent bomb So they're barely the
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: better defense, even though technically they're the better defense getting points.
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: But the huge difference is West Georgia doesn't even make
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: the top three hundred offensively. They're awful on both sides
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: of the ball. So the fact and it's and is ridiculous.
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: Bellerman is the better team according to Kentbom. He's got
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: the yeah, like forty ranking spots higher, so he's telling
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: you that the better team. He might have this line
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: even actually a little bit higher than the four and
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: a half or whatever. So the numbers check out, and
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: he's got West Georgia as the third luckiest team in
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: the country. So he's telling you this West Georgia team
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: is total ass and that they've completely overperformed and that's
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: why there's ten and ten. But oh, this gets better
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: because we have a situation here where West Georgia they
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: just pulled off an upset of queens Man at home,
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: and queens was the only undefeated team left in the
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: a Sun and they're probably the third best team in
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: the conference, I would say, behind Austin p and Lipscomb.
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: Shout out to Queen's coach, who hopefully still follows me
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: on Twitter. I don't know. I haven't seen him in
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: a while, the ugly sweater guy. But that was a
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: huge win for West Georgia over queens Man. Monster win
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: like win of the season type of stuff for a
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: team like West Georgia dealing the team it was the
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: top the conference, their first loss beating the Royals. Zach,
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know, Zach's out there, seven and a half
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: point underdogs at home, that's what West Georgia was there.
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: Now they played Bellerman. They already beat Bellerman once, by
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: the way, they beat Bellerman at home already, and I
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: believe Bellerman might have been a road favorite in this
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: game too. Yeah, Bellerman was a one and a half
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: point road favorite, So a line of like four, four
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: and a half even five might be a little bit short,
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: which I think it is based on ken Bomb's numbers two,
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: but the fact that Bellerman was favored on the road
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: to start conference play against West Georgia, this line should
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: actually probably be like six based on that. Now West
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: Georgia on it's possible they overlook Bellerman for that reason
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: because they already beat Bellerman, but also because they're coming
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: up the big win over Queens. But it gets even
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: better for Bellerman here, worse for West Georgia because guess
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: who West Georgia plays next. Oh yeah, they're playing the
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: team that's now currently a's hop the conference, Austin p
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: who might be the best team in the conference. It's
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: between them and Lipscomb. That's who they play next. So
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: this is a huge sandwich spot that West Georgia is in.
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: They're coming up a ridiculous upset. They're not as good
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: as their record looks. They already beat Bellerman once. This
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: is pretty good, man. I like this for Bellerman. Now
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: for Bellerman, they already lost to Queens in a blowout
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: and people might look at that and say, oh, well, yeah,
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: if Bellermane got blown out by Queens, they already lost
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: at West Georgia once and West Georgia beat Queens. This
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: is so easy to take the points with West Georgia, right,
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: it looks so easy to take the points here. But
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: we're not doing that here Bellerman. They've had a little
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: bit of a difficult conference schedule. I mean, they have
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: played lipscumb already on the road. That's not easy, and
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: they played okay in that game, played them to within ten.
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: But now look at what Bellerman's coming off of. Man,
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: they're coming back home from a four game road trip,
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: which is usually you don't see that in college basketball.
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: Sometimes just in the smaller conferences, sometimes you will see
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: that because sometimes they're I don't know, I don't know
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: why it is, because I was gonna say they're more
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: spread out, but not really. I don't know why it's
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: the case. But Bellermin just had four straight road games,
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: and that final road game just caught up to the
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: man and they had an awful loss to North Florida,
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: who's one of the worst teams in the conference, worse
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: than bellerman Is. That was a bad loss for Bellerman Dude,
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: it went into overtime. Bellermane was the favorite in this game.
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: Bellerman was a three point road favorite. Uh, it was
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: a bad game for them. Man. Again, North Florida. North
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: Florida just shot totally out of their minds in this game.
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: All though both teams did. Both teams shot sixty percent
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: or above from the field, but North Florida also hit
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: nineteen to three pointers. They had fifty percent of their
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: threes in the game. And yeah, North Florida did out
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: rebound bellerman That worries me a little bit. But North
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: Florida could not miss from three, even though Bellermane was
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: hitting threes as well. North Florida just had a really
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: good shooting game, couldn't miss. I don't think that's gonna
• 57:53
  Speaker 1: be the case with West Georgia here, because again, they're
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: just really really bad on both sides of the ball.
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: Bellerman's the much better offensive team here. They're coming up
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: a really bad loss. West george is in a terrible spot. Yes,
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: Bellerman is Queen's next, but I don't see them overlooking
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: that coming back home after a bad lost in North Florida. Also,
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: as I talk about when these teams return home from
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: road trips like this in college basketball, and the last
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: time they were at home they didn't do well. Bellerman
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: in this case lost in North Alabama at home. A
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: lot of times they bounce back and they do better. Man,
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: So they do they do beller Man, they do better,
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: they do better Men, So yes, I think they will
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: be in a situation like that where they want to
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: show up play better back at home. Bellerman again. In conference. Also,
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: they played a lot of road games so far in conference.
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: They've only played two home games so far in six
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: road games. So that's part of the reason why Bellerman's
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: two and six right now. Man, they're one and one
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: in conference play at home and went yeah, one and
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: five on the road, So they've had a they've had
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: a difficult conference schedule so far, and that they've played
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: almost all road games. So being mack homes should definitely
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: help them. Here we're on Bellerman in this one. I
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: like it for basically every reason in the book. They
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: are up from four and a half to five here,
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: we can call it five. I think it looks like
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: it's consensus five there. I don't know where I got
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: that five and a half number. To be honest, we'll
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: call it Bellerman minus five there Again, like I said,
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: were lame points all over the place today. That's just
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: the way that it worked out today. Man, all right,
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: what else do we have going on here? Where was
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: I at? Oh? Yeah, all right? And then you know
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: Central Arkansas is at Queens. You might want to look
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: towards Queens in this one. Central Arkansas just beat West Georgia.
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: So people might look at that and think, oh, well,
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: if Central Arkansas just crushed West Georgia on the road
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: to West Georgia beat Queens, well, then Central Arkansas can
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: cover this game as an underdog, right, But I don't
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: see things that way obviously. I think Queens coming on
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: just an ugly loss to West Georgia, I think they
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: probably bounce back and play better here. But the worry
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: is they just lost the long win streak, and I
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: talk about that when teams lose their long win street,
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: they take their first conference loss this deep into conference place.
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: Sometimes it will hang them over into the next game.
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: So that is the one concern with Queen's there. But
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: overall I probably lean towards Queens to bounce back in
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: that one. They're out from a four and a half
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: point favorite. Basically, it was six and a half point
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: favorite already, so the line move did kind of go
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: in their direction, and I don't disagree with it, but
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: it's a stay away from me. In that one, we
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: have Evansville at Drake. I think I looked at this
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: game and there was something in dressing about it. Evansville
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: just got drilled by Illinois Chicago. Horrible loss for Evansville,
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: even though Illinois Chicago has been playing better this year
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: than we thought. But when you lose by almost thirty
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: points to anybody, man, you're gonna want to bounce back
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: from that. And Evansville had a game Agains Southern Illinois postponed,
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: like I mentioned, so they have extra time off to
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: break this losing momentum. So I think that's pretty helpful
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: to that. Now they're playing Drake, and Drake already actually
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: beat Evansville at home already in Evansville, so it's a
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: little bit of a road revenge angle here. Evansville is
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: one of the avenging road dogs here. They do play
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: Northern Iowa next, so in Northern Iowa kind of middle
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: of the pack rank standings wise here, so they might
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: not be looking ahead to Northern Iowa. Here they might
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: focus on Drake. Drake, of course at least won the
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: conference last year, even though they were a totally different
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: team this year and not as good. Now, what was
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: I clicked on the wrong team here, Drake? What did
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: they just do? They just beat Indiana State on the road.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: I think that was probably a slight upset. Yeah, they
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: were three and a half point dogs and that was so.
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: Drake is coming off beating Murray State and then beating
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: Indiana States, so they didn't really have a letdown in
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: that game at all. They pulled off another ups they
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: pulled out a Yeah, pulled off an upset there. I
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: think the home win against Murray State probably was an
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: upset as well. Yeah, four and a half big win,
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: that was. I think that was Murray State's first comp
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: it's loss. And Drake has Bradley and Belmont and Illinois
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: State in their next three games, and those are the
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: pretty much the top three teams in the conference except
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: for Murray State. Excuse sorry, I keep forgetting Murray State,
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: even though I soady about them. Sorry, Murray State, I
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: keep forgetting about you. But this is a sandwich spot
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: that Drake is in man, So I like Evansville in
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: this game for a bunch of reasons. I have a
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: hesitation just because that upset that Drake just pulled over
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: Indiana State wasn't exactly that massive. The line has moved
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: up from nine to nine and a half with Drake here.
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: But I would take the points with Evansville in that one, man,
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna do anything with it. Totals fairly
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: low one forty one, but I think Evansville is the
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: right side there, and fading the Drake would be the
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: way to go in that one in my opinion. Boy,
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: I'm really starting to dislike the Drake. Hate the Drake.
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: Hate the Drake in that one. All right. I don't
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: hate them in that game. I I dislike the Drake
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: in that game. Xavier at Seaton Hall, as we finally
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: get into the seven thirty games here, we have a
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: lot of fucking games here, man, this is insane. I'm
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: trying to keep it to mostly just the TV games
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: and the better games games that are interesting as well.
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: But all right, Xavier at Seaton Hall, this is the
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: best bet as well. We're laying points in this one too, man,
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: even though I know we're doing it again with a
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: slow team. We're laying points with slow teams here, Man,
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: all over the place, and this is another one. But
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: this is just the way it worked out today. We're
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: gonna lay six and a half with Seaton Hall in
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: this one. And the market is not agreeing with me
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: on this one at all, And I don't understand it.
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall dropped from seven to now you might be
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: able to get six on this seventy eight percent of
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: tickets and only sixty eight percent of the cash on
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall. They're public and the market read is going
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: completely against them. But I don't get it at all. Man.
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: I think Xavier is in a really bad spot here
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: because they just almost pulled off that upset against Saint
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: John's Man. Huge game. Like I said, it was the
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: battle of the Patinos. Richard Patino doesn't look too happy
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: right there. This is a massive game for Xavier, man,
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: and they could have won the game potentially. They had
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: a huge lead in this game. Look at this, Xavier
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: was winning the majority of the game. They had a
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: giant lead in the game, double digit lead for a
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: decent chunk of the second half, and they gave it away.
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: But then didn't quite give the whole thing away, and
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: then pushed the lead again. Looked like they might be
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: able to win the game. Then they fell behind, didn't
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: go away. The game was tied with whatever that was,
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: I can't really see because I'm zoomed in Yell. With
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: one minute left, Basically the game was tied and then
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: Xavier fell just short at the end. Brutal loss for Xavier.
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: That was a monster game for them against Saint John's.
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: They were all I thought they were double digit I
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: thought they were double digit dogs. My mistake. I thought
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: it was like ten and a half. It was eight
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: and a half. My mistake in that one. But still,
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: that was a monster game for Xavier in that one.
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: Now they're gonna go all the way in New Jersey
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: from Cincinnati off of that game. And by the way,
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: the game before that, they played Creighton to within one point,
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: so they're coming off two big games. They were eight
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: and a half point underdogs in that game they almost
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: upset Creighton. So now they're coming off two near upsets
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: and now they're gonna go They gotta go on the
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: road to face this Seaton Hall team that might be
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: getting a little bit desperate. Man because they're kind of
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: fading into the They're in like bubble territory big time
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: in the tournament now because they've lost four games in
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: a row and if they want to make the tournament
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: for the first time in a few years, they got
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: to get a win, man, So they can't afford to
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: lose this game. So I think they're gonna be focused
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: on this game, and and they're coming back home. And
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: this is what I talk about with the team that
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: isn't playing well, they come back home in their last
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: home game they lost to Butler. In this case, I
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: think they bounce back nicely and they want to get
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: that home win. They actually lost the previous home game
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: as well to Yukon, but I think that's why they
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: lost to Butler so bad, because they were coming off
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: a huge game against a Connecticut and they had Saint
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: John's on deck. I believe I gave you, guys, Butler
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: as a play. I think in that game, if I'm
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: not mistaken, Butler got the outright win for us there
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: on that one in what was a major sandwich spot
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: for Seton Hall. I'm pretty sure I gave that out
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: as a play. So that was an explainable loss against Butler.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: Then Seton Hall played really well against Saint John's on
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: the road, and then what did we do? We faded
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: them in the next game on Saturday, they had to
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: go out to De Paul. They did not have a
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: good game. Man. Seton Hall was off that huge game
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: against Saint John's, had the hangover spot lost to De Paul. Well,
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: now it's Xavier that's in the spot coming off the
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: game against Sint John's. And I think that was an
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: even bigger deal for Xavier because it was the Patino
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: clash for the first time this year in Xavier blew
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: a massive lead and almost had out the upset win there.
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: The outright win would have been huge for Xavier. Yeah,
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: I think this is a horrible spot now for Xavier
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: for that reason and for Seton Hall. They were in
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: that type of spot last week, although maybe slightly less bad.
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: They took the loss. We got the win with De
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: Paul in that one. Now Seton Hall's come I have
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: kind of an ugly loss to The Paul. They've lost
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: four games in a row. They're back at home, they
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: only play Marquette next and they lost their last two
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: home games to me. The spot sets up way better
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: for Seaton Hall. The only way that I think you
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: can look at this game is to play Seaton Hall. Man,
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: I just don't get it. I don't get what the
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: market is seeing with Xavier here. I know Seton Hall
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: is not that great kem bom wise fifty first. They're
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: bad offensively, and I know that's not great when we're
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: laying points here, but they're a top ten defensive team,
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: so they're great defensively to seventy first Temple. Of course,
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: like I said, they do play slow, but Xavier likes
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: to play way faster, so that might frustrate Xavier the
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: fact that Seaton Hall is gonna slow the game way down.
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: Ken Bomas, Seaton Hall pretty unlucky at this point at
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: two seventy third in lock. Meanwhile, that's not the case
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: with Xavier. He's got Xavier a bit luckier at one
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: thirty eighth in lock, so Xavier is the luckier team.
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: Xavier plays fast, and he's got Xavier fifth overall, but
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: he has them only in the top ninety barely offensively,
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: and then he has them outside of the top ninety defensively.
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: So I don't see how Xavier is actually eighty fifth
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: based on that, I don't understand that. I don't know
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: how ken Bum's rankings are working there in that case,
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: but clearly Seaton Hall is a significantly better team here,
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: although again the public seems to be on the Seaton
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: Hall side, and of course we know, I mean, Seaton
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: Hall has the better record, so it kind of makes
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: sense that the public would be on them, But I
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: don't think if that's the case, I don't think they're wrong.
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: I like Seaton Hall in that game. All right, let's
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: keep this going. Man, Belmont at Valparaiso. I think I
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: looked at this game briefly. Belmont just got a pretty
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: big win over Illinois State and they got Murray State
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: on deck. Man, So this game is sandwiched in between
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: two of the bigger teams in the conference, two of
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: the better teams in the conference. So it's a sandwich
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: spot that Bellmont is in. And they did already beat
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: Valpo at home, but it was a close game. Valpo
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: kind of gave them a run for their money and
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: they only Belmont only won that game by four. So
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: you could make the argument that that will cause Belmont
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: to actually take them seriously, But I don't know man,
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: the fact they've beating Illinois State and they got Murray
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: State on deck, it's a little bit of a revenge
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: spot for Valpo, and you know Valpo will not overlook Belmont.
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: The spot looks a little bit better for Valpo here
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: to Maine. But they are coming off beating Southern Illinois
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: at home. That was off of beating Northern Iowa in
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: a game where we unfortunately took the loss in that game.
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: So they're coming off two okay wins. But I don't
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna be in a hangover spot or anything
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: like that off of those games. They're gonna show up
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: with Belmont coming into their place. So I would prefer
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: Valpo in this one. It's not a play for me,
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: but Belmont dropped from five to four and a half here.
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: It actually looks pretty easy to lay the points with Belmont,
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: the team with the better record not laying that many
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: points here. But I like Valpo. Like I said, sixty
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets a sixty two percent of the
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: cash on Belmont. Hard to read what those percentages really mean,
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: but yeah, my preference is definitely Belmont in that one.
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: North Texas at Tulsa, North Texas like I said, they're
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: coming up that horrendous home loss to ECU East Carolina.
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: North Texas was a huge favorite in that game, and
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: they might have been looking ahead to Tulsa, man because
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: they had a bad game. And when teams had bad
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: games a lot of times they bounce back nicely in
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: the next game, So especially if they had a bad
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: game as a favoring, you know, because they're a decent
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: team that just took a really, really ugly loss. So
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: I think North Texas will show up in this game.
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: But for Tulsa, as I already pointed out, they had
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: a pretty bad game themselves against Rice, and I think
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: that was a bit of a sandwich spot because they'd
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: beaten Memphis the game before that, which is always a
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: big win in the American Conference, and they had this
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: North Texas game on deck, and then Wichitan, then FAU
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: and then South Florida and then UAB and then Wichita again,
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: So that Rice game was like the obvious down spot
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: in the schedule for Tulsa. So I see them bouncing
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: back in this game as well. So I think both
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: teams will show up for this game. So this game,
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: it's difficult to figure out what to do with it
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: looks like North Texas is public eighty six percent of
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: the tickets and only seventy one percent of the cash
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: on them. Tulsa did drop from ten and a half
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: to nine and a half here, but it looks like
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: North Texas is the public road underdog here, and when
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: that's the case, you usually want to look towards the
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: favorite here. So I won't really disagree with Tulsa. They
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: are the better team I think here. Ken Bum has
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: the sixtieth overall, but he does have them pretty lucky.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: They're a mid tempo team and they're way better offensively.
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: The defensively though on North Texas is the significantly better
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: defense though, but they're very bad offensively. They're one hundred
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: and forty fifth in Kembom's rankings, a slow team, of course,
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: as they always are, and they're in the middle of
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: kem Bum's luck in nex North Texas is so based
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: on that, I mean there are some arguments for North
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: Texas here too. I mean, both teams are in focused spots,
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: bounce back spots. Total's fairly low. North Texas is the
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: better defense, getting it ton of points, but if Tulsa's
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: able to speed this game up, which they probably want
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: to do. They might throw North Texas out of their
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: element a bit. So I think it's probably side and
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: total kind of correlated here, and the total did go
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: up a little bit, so I think Tulsa and the
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: over are correlated here in North Texas and the under
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: are correlated in that game, for what that's worth. But
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: based on the market read, the lead would be Tulsa
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: in that game. But I don't necessarily love it. I mean,
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: obviously I'm staying away from the game in its entirety. Okay,
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna skip some of these other games. I mean,
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: if you want me to talk about some of these
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: other games, I will, but I'm focused on kind of
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: the TV games, the bigger games, because we've gone already
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: over an hour here too, and then I gotta give
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: you my final plays as well. I only have one
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: more play in one of the late games. De Paul
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: is going to Georgetown here. Now. De Paul just had
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: that nice win at home over Seaton Hall. They already
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: beat Georgetown once at home, so it is possible the
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: kind of overlook Georgetown here. Although the next game is
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: against Xavier, who De Paul already actually beat as well,
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: but possible this is little bit of a revenge spot
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: for Georgetown here. The problem is Georgetown has pulled off
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: a nice road upset at Providence, so I don't think
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: I really trust Georgetown in the spot either. Both teams
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: are kind of in letdown spots here, so it's yeah,
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: it's a difficult handicap. The money is indicating on to Paul,
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: Georgetown's gone down for four and a half to three
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: and a half, seventy one percent of tickets on them
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: and only seventy percent of the cash on them, So
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: the public likes Georgetown, the money is disagreeing with it.
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: I was kind of in new Georgetown just because there
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: is a little bit of that revenge factor there. But
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: and Georgetown to just erase a long win streak and
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: I talk a long losing streak, excuse me, And I
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: keep mentioning that when a team has a long losing
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: streak and they break that losing streak, sometimes it gives
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: them new momentum. So I'm not sure I agree with
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: the market reading this one. Now, that was a bigger
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: upset for Georgetown, but they were only five and a
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: half point dogs. Providence hasn't exactly been that good this year,
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: so Seton Hall has kind of been the better team
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: this year, so like mentally, that might have been a
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: bigger except for De Paul. So I think I slightlylean
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: Georgetown in that game and against the market read there,
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: but I don't want to play it at all. That's
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: Fox Sports one at eight thirty pm Eastern, ESPN two
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: at nine pm Eastern, Number ten Houston at TCU. Houston's
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 1: gonna try to bounce back. They just had a big
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: game and took a loss to Texas Tech. Texas Tech
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: beat them once last year and beat them once this year.
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: Now I think both of those games, I think Texas
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: Tech won both games at home. If I'm not mistaken,
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know. But Houston that was their first conference loss.
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: And again I'm gonna mention this, Houston had a long
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: win streak snap there, so that could hang you over
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: a little bit, man, And it was a big game,
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: so I could see this being a hangover spot for
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: Houston here. They got Cincinnati up next to Cincinnati did
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: kind of give Houston a run for their money back
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: when they played them on January third, So there is
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: the possibility used to kind of overlooks this game against TCU,
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: and again that hangover Spot lose the same game twice,
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: Spot could rear its head here. For Houston TCU, they're
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: sort of on the tournament bubble right now, but this
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: would be a huge win for them. If they were
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: able to get this, that might put them right back
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: in the tournament mixed. So TCU is definitely gonna be
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: motivated here. Although they did just get the sweep of Baylor,
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: which was big, but Baylor just hasn't been playing well
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: this year man, So even though that's good that for TCU,
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: that's an in state rivalry game, this is an in
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: state big brother here with Houston, and you know they're
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: not going to overlook Houston. So I would have to
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: take the points with TCU in this game if I
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: was gonna do anything with it. Houston's obviously a road
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: favorite here, They're an eight point favorite. The cash seems
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: to be disagreeing with me on this though sixty nine
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets are on Houston, ninety seven percent
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Houston. I don't agree. I would
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: take the points with TCU or not play the game.
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: SEC Network at nine PM, number nineteen Florida is at
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: South Carolina. Now, this is gonna be a pace in
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: contrast here, Florida likes to go ask South Carolina likes
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: to go slow generally, so South Carolina. South Carolina's gonna
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: try to muddy up this game, and you know, maybe
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: they'll be able to do. What I mean, South Carolina's
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: a balanced team, they're just not that good. Florida's legit obviously,
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: as we've seen recently, They've relegitimized themselves in a big way.
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: But now Florida's coming to have a loss to Auburn.
• 1:16:21
  Speaker 1: So it's an ugly loss for Florida. Auburn got a
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: huge revenge win there, so you could make the argument
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: that Florida will bounce back off of that loss because
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: they lost. It's a pretty big favorite there. Not a
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: good loss for them, but then ended a win streak
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: for them. They'd won five games in a row, so
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: that could hang them over a little bit. You know,
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: South Carolina's gonna get up for this, and Florida does
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: play Alabama next, so maybe that's a little bit of
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: a concern there. There's a look I had spot there
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: to a big ABC game, So we will see South
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: Carolina coming into this game off of losing badly to
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: Texas A and M, and now they're coming back home.
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: They did win at home in the last game. South
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: Carolina has actually been okay at home in conference play.
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: They beat Oklahoma the last time their hero though Oklahoma
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: hasn't been that good this year. They only lost to
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: Georgia by five on this floor, and they lost by
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: twelve to Vandy, not a bad loss there either. So
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: South Carolina has been okay at home, and you know
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: they're gonna step up for this. I think the spot's
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: a little bit better for South Carolina here. I would
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: lean that way, And again the money's not agreeing with me.
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: Florida's gone up from twelve to thirteen thirteen and a
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: half almost here, seventy seven percent of tickets on Florida,
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: ninety six percent of the cash on Florida, so they
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: do have more of the cash percentage there. But I
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: would disagree. I would take the points with South Carolina
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play that game, but again it's
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: not on my card. Wyoming at Utah State is on
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports nine pm. It's not that interesting of a game.
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: Wyoming did just break a four game losing streak though,
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: so they should probably show up with in this game
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: and have some new momentum because they just won against
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: San Jose State. Not an impressive win though, so Whyoming
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: was able to break their losing momentum and it was
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: a bad game. At the same time, they almost lost
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: this thirteen and a half point favorites, so they might
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: have been looking ahead here. They'd come off a game
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: against Boise too, so it was kind of a sandwich spot.
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: But I think it's good for Wyoming that they didn't
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: play well as a big favorite and they still got
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: the win, so that would give them focus. But they
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: will have momentum coming into this game against Utah State. Now,
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: Utah State did bounce back after losing two games. They
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: bounced back and they beat Colorado State on the road,
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: but that was a decent win, so even though that
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: might give them some new momentum here, they got San
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: Diego State in New Mexico up next. Those are two
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: bigger games than this, so I think I would probably
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: lean towards Wyoming in this game. And again it looks
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: like the market doesn't agree. The market looks like the
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: cash percentage on Utah State. They're from thirteen to fourteen
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: and a half. Yeah, they are the better team here,
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: but the total is fairly low, and I think Utah
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: State likes to go fast, Wyoming likes to go slow.
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: You test States actually more of a mid tempo team
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: this year, so my mistake, but Wyoming is still one
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: of the slower teams. But I was like, look, oh,
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: yeah the market read Yeah, Utah State up to fourteen
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: and a half here from thirteen. It is a fairly
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: low total, which does maybe mean that it will be
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: more difficult for them to cover a large point spread here.
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: Eighty percent of the tickets in ninety seven percent of
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: the cash on Utah State though, so the money is
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: kind of indicating on Utah State there. I lean the
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: other way. I would take the points with Wyoming, but
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: I'm staying away, man. And then we got Illinois State
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: at Murray State. This is gonna be one of the
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: better games in the Missouri Valley here today. Illinois State's
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: not that bad. Murray State also pretty good. Illinois State
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: did just lose to Belmont, but they lost by double digits.
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: Don't think they're gonna overlook Murray State here, man, I
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: don't think these teams have played yet this year. Yeah,
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: they play again later this year, so I think Illinois
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: State should show up here. Murray State did just take
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: that lost in Northern Iowa, second straight loss for them,
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: and maybe they were hungover because Drake gave them their
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: first conference loss. And yet again we see another instance
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: of this man when a team takes that first conference loss,
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: they get hung over and they lose the next game.
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: So it's happening a lot this year. I think it
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: is a strong angle. I just haven't I haven't used
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: it as far as my plays this year, really, but
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: it is a strong angle. Maybe I should weigh it
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: more strongly. I don't know. But Murray State, now that
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: they lost that second game in a row, I kind
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: of expect them to bounce back here as well. They
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: do a Bellmont on deck, which will be a big game.
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: And Murray State has not faced a terribly difficult conference schedule,
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: yet they're out from three to three and a half here.
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: I honestly don't know what to do with this game.
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: Ken Bums Murray State eighty ninth. They're a very fast
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: team because they're the Racers. They play offense and they
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: don't play deep Betts very well, they're a little bit lucky.
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: According to Kenbom, they're playing who are they playing again here?
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: Illinois State. I kept on as Illinois State actually slightly
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: better than Murray State. He's got Illinois State as the
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: better defense. They play slower and they're less lucky. So
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: you know, maybe I would lean in Illinois State in
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: this game plus the points because they're the better defense.
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: If both teams show up, Murray State's gonna try to
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: speed them up and maybe that will throw them out
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: of their element. It's another game where maybe under or
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: excuse the total inside probably correlated In this game, Murray
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: State probably correlated to an over and Illinois State probably
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: correlated to an under because Illinois State wants it to
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: be a slow, defensive game. And I would slightly lean
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: that way, even though the total ticked up a little bit.
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: But not a really strong opinion for me there. ESPNUU
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: has South Florida at Tulane at nine pm. South Florida
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: is definitely the better of these teams. Tulane started out
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: hot in conference play, but they've had a huge drop
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: off because they're not really that good. South Florida, though
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: they just beat Florida Atlantic. Man, that was a big
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: win for them, and they have Temple on deck, who's
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: right behind them in the standings, so I think they
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: can easily overlook Tulane in the spot. I think it
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: is a sandwich spot that South Florida's in here. Man
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: beating Florida Atlantic was big Florida Atlantic atop the conference
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: right now. Tulane might come into this with some motivation
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: here because they've lost four games in a row and
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: that is never good obviously, So I don't think that
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be unfocused coming into this game. To put
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: it mildly, they should show up for a game against
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: South Florida. I like Tulane in this one. This one
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: was somewhat close to making my card. South Florida is
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: an eight and a half point road favorite, sixty seven
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on them, eighty three percent of the
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: cash on Tulane. I agree with Tulane in this one.
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: I think it is pretty much a sandwich spot for
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: South Florida there. I don't think it's one of those
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: like mega sandwich spots or anything like that where I
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: don't think like South Florida. Well, actually, South Florida was
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: a favorite against Florida Atlantic, So even though that was
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: a huge win, they were expected to win that game,
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: and I liked them to win that game. So I
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: don't know how big of a letdown it really is
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: for them, but yes I leaned towards Tulane in the
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: game Minnesota at Wisconsin. This is a rematch and road
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: revenge angle for Minnesota, although they played well at home
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: against Wisconsin and I thought we were gonna get the
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 1: win with Minnesota. That was a play for us on
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: the show because it was after Wisconsin beating Michigan, so
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: I thought Wisconsin was then a major letdown spot in
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: Minnesota let us down and missed the cover by like
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: one one and a half points there, and Minnesota has
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: not won since then. They've lost five games in a row.
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: That was the second of that five game losing streak.
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: But they had to play Illinois on the road, Ohio
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: State on the road played okay in both those games.
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: I lost in Nebraska. I mean, what else is now?
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: We just saw Nebraska almost beat Michigan last night on
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: the road, which I didn't expect. I thought Michigan would
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: have an easier time winning that game. Crazing Nebraska to
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: take their first loss though in the end, But anyway,
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: Minnesota losing Nebraska is not a horrible loss for them
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: by any means. I think they will show up. I mean,
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: they've lost far too many games in a row now
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a revenge angle here because they
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: lost at home to Wisconsin. I think they will show
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: up here. Wisconsin though they took that lost to USC
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: in their last game, like I said, but that did
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: any five game winning streak for them, so you got
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: to worry that that might hang them over a little bit,
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: even though they did lose as a favorite, and sometimes
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: you bounce back when you lose a favorite. When you
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: lose a long win streak, it might hang you over. Man,
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: and they do have Ohio State in Indiana and Illinois,
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: Michigan State, Ohio state or excuse Iowa all up, not Oregon.
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: Oregon's after that, but Oregon would not be a look ahead.
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: But those next like five games or six games that
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin plays are all bigger than this game. So I
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: would prefer Minnesota in this one. I Wisconsin is an
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: eight and a half point favorite. Looks like they're getting
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: the money too, though eighty four percent of the tickets
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: in ninety eight percent of the cash on Wisconsin now
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: eighty one percent of the tickets in ninety eight percent
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them. Looks like they are market
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: indicators on Wisconsin, but I don't agree with that. I
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: would take the points of Minnesota or leave it alone.
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: Stanford at Miami. Stanford having to travel to Miami kind
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: of a weird spot for Stanford, just like with Cal,
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: They're having a travel cross country. Stanford's coming off two
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: losses back in California, though blown out. They got blown
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: out by Duke and then they played closer against Cal
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: but lost that game too. They should be focused here.
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: Maybe it would be good for them just get out
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: of there go play at Miami, although it is gonna
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: be weird travel across country. Miami just beat Syracuse on
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: the road, decent win, but I don't know if they
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: really overlook Stanford necessarily on Miami's at least staying in
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: the Eastern time zone, but they are coming back home
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: from Syracuse. It's a tough game to figure out what
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 1: to do with. But I think I would lean to
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: taking the points with Stanford here because they are coming
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: off the uglier game the uglier performance a loss Miami
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: coming off a decent win on the road. Miami dropped
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: from nine to eight and a half. Here, sixty seven
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on Miami, fifty two percent of
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: the cash on Stanford. Though, So the money is saying
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: Stanford in this game, and I'll agree with it. I
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: would take the points with Stanford as well in that game.
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: All right, my final play of the day, not just
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: for college basketball. I do have one in hockey and
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: won an NBA Best Bets. Let's go, We're gonna I
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: told you it's another favorite. We're gonna lay the points
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: with Pacific in this one. I think Pacific is actually
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: not that bad as I've been saying all season, and
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: they have a decent lookie record, kind of under the
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: radar still though the public might want Pacific in this
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: game too if they look at the game though, although
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: it's not gonna be I mean, in a big college
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: basketball slate like this, the public's probably not getting involved
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: in this game. Although, yeah, Pacific has the better record,
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: so it does look like you should lay the points
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: with them. Here. We don't see percentages on this yet.
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: Line's just sitting at seven and a half. But in
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: this game, I think it is the right side here,
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: and I think they are the significantly better team over Portland.
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: Ken Bomb as Portland just barely in the top two hundred.
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: He's got them fairly lucky. They're fast tempo team as well.
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: Pacific plays slower, so Pacific might try to grind them
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: down a little bit here in Portland is better on
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: defense than offense, but Pacific is also better on defense
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: and offense, and they're better than Portland on both sides
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: of the ball. Pacific is actually close to me and
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: Ken Bomb's top one hundred. They're similar to Portland in
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: the luck index, so that just kind of candles cancels out.
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: Candles out, the candles flame out. Oh, it just kind
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: of cancels out. But Pacific, Yeah, they do like to
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: play a lot slower. I know, I don't like to
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: lay points necessarily with the slope ace team, but at
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: least it's basketball, so it's a game where just a
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: lot of points get scored generally, so it makes it
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: easier to cover. But Pacific's better around both sides of
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: the ball, man, and I think the spot is better
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: for them, and they might frustrate Portland by slowing them down.
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: But look at the spot that Portland is in, man,
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: they just almost beat Safe Mary's. They had Saint Mary's
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: come to their place, and they lost the game by six.
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's were fourteen and a half point favorites in
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: this game, so way better team than Portland. And I
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: don't know what happened because the like statistically the game
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: was like, it looks like Saint mary should have won
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: the game. Here, like they shot forty three percent from
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: three uh, Saint Mary's out rebounded Portland by ten, So
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: it's like the only reason Saint Mary's really lost this
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 1: game was that they lost a turnover battle. I guess
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: I don't really know because I don't see very many
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 1: disparities in this game statistically, So don't know exactly what happened.
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: Or Saint Mary's won the game. Excuse me, they barely
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: won the game, so I don't know. Statistically, it looks
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 1: like Saint mary should have won the game by more
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: than they did, so I think it is a little
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: bit of a misleading result there. But Portland was in
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 1: this game, man, they almost won the game. Portland made
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: a comeback. They were losing most of the game, but
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: they kept coming back, didn't go away, and the game
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: was within one point with two minutes left in the game, man,
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: and they were still within like one possession pretty late
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 1: in the game. So huge game for Portland. And now
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: that's what they're coming off of. Horrible spot for Portland
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: because of that. Where again, when you have a team
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: that was a huge underdog that played really well, Yeah,
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: I think they tend to not play well in the
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: next game coming off of that. I think they're hung
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: over a little bit. Now Portland also has they already
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: beat Pacific once at home and Portland was an underdog
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: in this game and they beat Pacific in overtime. Portland
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: shot fifty seven from three point range in that game, man,
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: So that was a major outlier three point percentage for Portland.
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: There pretty much the reason they won. They got out
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: rebounded in the game. Uh, there were three and a
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: half point dogs in the game and they beat Pacific.
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: So that's one of those games man. With Pacific, they're
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: now a home team. Like I said, they're a home
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: team that in the first conference matchup they lost as
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: a road favorite, and that is a good angle to
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: look at when you have the better team back at home,
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: who lost that first conference matchup. As a favorite, they
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: tend to play well. They don't overlook that team, so
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: I like that for Pacific as well. Portland only plays
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: Washington stayed up next. Maybe they're not looking ahead to that,
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: but Washington State did beat Portland at home, so that
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: is a little bit of a revenge game. And then
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: they played on Zaga in the next game after that,
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: So to me, this looks like, you know, not really
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot necessarily, but it's not a good spot.
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: It's at the very least a letdown spot. And for Pacific,
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: they just beat Seattle and it wasn't a good performance
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: for Pacific. Pacific was a favor in this game, although
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: only slightly like Seattle's actually a good team. But I
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: like playing on teams that win ugly, man, and that
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: was an ugly game where both teams stayed in the
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: fifties at Pacific barely got by that game. They're staying
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: at home. I don't see them overlooking Portland and Pacific
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: coming off a bad offensive effort. I don't see them
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: overlooking Portland because they already lost them once on the road.
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: They got San Francisco up next. San Francisco has been okay,
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: but they are behind Pacific in the standings right now.
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: It's not necessarily really a look ahead or anything there.
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: I like it. I think it's a horrible spot for
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: Portland will lay the points with Pacific in that game,
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: who are still under the raidar in my opinion, even
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: though Kembaum has them as kind of a lucky team still.
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. I don't really hear anybody talking
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: about Pacific in that conference, and I think they might
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: be like the fifth best team in that conference. Okay,
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: and then we have FS one Fox Sports one as
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: Colorado State at San Diego State. This is an interesting game.
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: Colorado State just had a close loss to Utah State.
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: I've been playing a lot of these teams close. Man,
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: that was a big game. And they're not going to
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: overlook San Diego State obviously because they're atop the conference
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: yet again, one of the best teams in the conference
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: yet again. But Colorado State is gonna have to put
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: in a huge at for two games in a row,
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: so that might not be easy. Whereas San Diego State
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: just bounce back from their loss. Nice easy win for
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: them over UNLV. Coming into this game, with a little
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: bit of momentum. But the problem for San Diego State
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: is they play Utah State next, so they have a
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: huge look ahead here, so that would be the concern
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: with San Diego State. So it's basically a hangover spot
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: versus look ahead spot. But I do think the hangover
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: spot is a little bit worse generally. Although the money
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: is coming in on Colorado State, it looks like San
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: Diego State down from nine to eight and a half here,
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of the tickets in, eighty six percent
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Colorado State. So the money is
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: saying Colorado State here. I won't disagree with it. I
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: don't have too much of a reason to disagree with that,
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: So I'm fine with that with the lean of Colorado
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: State plus the points there, but I'm staying away. And
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: then we have CBS Sports at eleven PM, getting into
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: the real degenerate specials here. Our West Coast Conference has
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: San Francisco and Santa Clara, pretty big game. Santa Clara
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 1: has been really good this year. I don't believe these
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: seeds have played yet right now. They play again towards
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: the end of the season. But San Francisco look at
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: what they just did. Man, They just went to Gonzaga
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: and played them to within two points. So San Francisco
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: is coming up a monster effort against Gonzaga. You know,
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: Gonzaga an elite team. Gonzaga was winning the entire game
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 1: pretty much, mostly by double digits, and San Francisco didn't
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: go away and made it really close with a very
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 1: late run. Really in the final like two minutes of
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: the game. San Francisco raised a double digit deficit and
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: came to within one score of Gonzaga late in the game. Crazy.
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: So now they're coming off of that, and they shouldn't
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: overlook Santa Clara, man, because this is a big game
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: as well. But how much energy did they have left
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: of that Gonzaga game? That is the question. And for
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: Santa Clara, they just beat San Diego and didn't cover.
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 1: That was a game where I gave you San Diego
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: on the show as a play there and luckily we
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: got it. It was a backdoor cover. Santa Clara played
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: well in the game and they just packed it in early.
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: I think we got the late cover from San Diego there.
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: But Santa Clara was coming out that huge win over
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's, so I thought they were in a at
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: least a letdown spot there, But good for Santa Clara,
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: they continued their momentus them into this game, so I
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna show up in this game as well.
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: I think both teams will show up. I prefer Santa
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: Clara in this game. The money does agree with that one.
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: I just can't overlook San Francisco coming up that monster
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: game against Gonzaga, and if San Francisco was playing really
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: anybody else in this game besides Santa Clara or Saint Mary's,
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: I would be on. I would be fading San Francisco
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: in this game. And I still think that is the
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: way to go in this game if you do do it.
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: Eighty three percent of tickets, ninety five percent of the
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: cash on Santa Clara threw up from a nine and
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite to ten point favorite. There. I
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: don't disagree with that market Reid there, and then Ucla
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: and Oregon to finish it off on the Big ten network. Yeah, okay,
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: this game being a Big ten game still sits pretty
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: odd with me. Now, Ucla, I thought they would be
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: in a letdown off of that Purdue game, and I
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: believe Northwestern covered by a half point against UCLA, but
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: they played well enough to win the game against Northwestern,
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: coming up that big win over Purdue. Now, UCLA does
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 1: have to go on the road, but they're at least
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: going to a familiar venue for them against Oregon. But
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 1: Oregon has been awful this year man, so it is
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: possible UCLA starts looking ahead to Indiana up next to
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: UCLA already beat Oregon once at UCLA by eleven, so
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 1: there's a little bit of maybe a revenge factor here
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: for Oregon. Oregon could make the adjustments here. Oregon's having
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 1: an atrocious season, losing six games in a row, so
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: Oregon might be the team that shows up with more
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: effort in this game, and it could be a slow,
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: ugly game too. The totals at one thirty six, so
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: game like that, I would probably prefer to have the
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: points as well. I would lean to Oregon plus the
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: points here. UCLA is up from four to four and
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: a half. It almost looks too easy to lay the
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: points with UCLA here because everybody just kind of knows
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 1: UCLA is the better team and they have the better record,
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: and Oregon's record is just disgusting. So I don't see
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: why the percentages look like this, seventy percent of the
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: tickets and eighty four percent of the cap on UCLA. Like,
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: I don't get the cash percentage. I mean public, Yes,
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: obviously they're gonna be on UCLA trying to get some
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: of their money back at the end of the day. Probably,
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: I don't really know where the cash percentage is gonna
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: go from here, but I would take the points with
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: Oregon if I was gonna play that. All right, let's
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: do it, man, Hockey almost done hockey. We don't have
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: too many games for hockey. And then we do have NBA.
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: We have New York, New York. In the first game
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 1: here between the Rangers and the Islanders technically a road
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 1: game for the Rangers, so that's probably a good thing
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: for them, even though they're staying in New York City,
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: they get to go to Queens or whatever it is
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: to play a road game here. I think it's a Queens.
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: The Islanders no longer playing the Nassau County Coliseum, but
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 1: I think they play in Queens now. The Rangers just
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: ended a three game losers to streak with a win
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: over the Bruins. Kind of a big win. Because the
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: Bruins had annihilated them ten to two the previous time
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: they played them. It was an Original six matchup. Good
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: win for the Rangers, but I don't think they're gonna
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: overlook the Islanders. The Islanders have upstaged them in New
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 1: York like this season in the Islanders have been the
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: better New York team this season, and the Rangers probably
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: don't want to let that stand. And the fact that
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: they ended their losing momentum, the fact this is not
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: at home, where the Islanders have been terrible at home,
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 1: I think the Rangers might show up for this one man.
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: The Rangers sixteen twelve and two on the road, that's
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: gotten a little bit worse, but they're still pretty good
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: on the road. The Islanders have been pretty decent at
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: home though fourteen nine and two at home. They've actually
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: been good both home and away for the Islanders. So
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 1: they're coming off that destruction of Philadelphia. But remember that
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: was a spot I gave you guys that play on
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: the show. Philadelphia. I believe was returning home from a
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: road trip and was coming off an upset of Colorado.
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: So it was a horrible spot for Philadelphia, and I
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 1: think they had to look ahead as well. Maybe or
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: I forget what it was. Although I don't really think
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: they were gonna over I didn't think they were gonna
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: overlook the Islanders. I think it was just a bad spot,
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: and I thought the Islanders were in a great bounce
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: back spot of a losing five nothing to Buffalo. Well,
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: now the shoe might be on the other foot here, man.
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 1: Now the Islanders, they lost that game to Buffalo because
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: they were in a return home spot. It was a
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: horrible spot. I believe that was also a winner on
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 1: the show. If I'm not mistaken, I think I gave
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: up Buffalo in that game. Maybe I didn't, I forget.
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: I don't remember if I did or if I didn't.
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: I definitely give up the Islanders in the next game
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: to bounce back. In the next game, excuse me to
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: bounce back. They beat Philadelphia four it to nothing. But
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: now the Islanders, the shoe is kind of on the
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: other foot now where they're coming off a satisfying shutout
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: road win. They're playing this Ranger team that, even though
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: they're usually the bigger brother in New York, they're just
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 1: kind of overlookable now because they haven't played that well
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: this year, so I lean to the Rangers in this game.
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: The market reads seems to be all over them. The
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: Islanders already dropped from minus one fifty five to minus
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: one twenty five, although that might be because of maybe
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 1: a goaltender switch or something like that, but it is
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: possibly also reverse line moment against a very public Islander side.
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: Eighty six percent of the tickets on the Islanders and
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 1: only eighty four percent of the cash. So Margaret Reid
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: looks good for the Rangers here. There's a reverse line
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: movement there. The cash percentage is going in the direction
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: of the Rangers as well versus the ticket percentage. So yes,
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: I like the Yeah, I like the Rangers in that game. Uh,
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: the next game up is gonna be my play. I'm
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 1: giving you a play in the TV game for you. Uh.
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: That wasn't intentional. I like the spot. It's TNT, true, TV,
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 1: HBO Max and involves Philadelphia. You probably already know where
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with this one, because I'll be on
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 1: a team in one game and I'll be against them
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: in the next game. It's the zigzag nature of sports man.
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 1: We're gonna or excuse me, I was, I was against
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia in the last game. I was like, wait a minute,
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 1: what I was against them in the last game, and
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: now I'm gonna be on them this game. Jeffrey probably
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 1: not showing up because he's mad at me because I
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 1: faded both full teams that day with success. The Flyers
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: and Flyers and the Sixers both got wrecked that day
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: and I got them both right for plays on the show.
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: But no bias, man, even though I did say last
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: night and loser cast that Philly is the most violent
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: and atrocious sports fan base, which I don't think there's
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: really a way to disagree with that, But all that
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 1: aside sports, I try to exclude bias from it, man,
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: Except I do have my biases that are, like, this
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: team is not this good, like the Chicago Bears and whatever.
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 1: But that's at least an you know, at least there
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: are analytics that back that up and stuff. But you
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: got to avoid your you know, your emotional biases, you
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 1: know what I mean, even though that kind of becomes one.
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: But whatever the case is, I like the spot here
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 1: for Philadelphia to bounce back. Now, the shoe was on
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 1: the other foot for Philadelphia where they're in a spot
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: where they lost at home. They were in a return
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: home spot. Like I said, they were coming off the
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 1: huge upset of Colorado, so they were in a terrible
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 1: spot against the Islanders. We got it right with the Islanders.
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 1: Now Philadelphia is coming off losing in a shutout at home,
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 1: and usually teams are lose in a shotout at home,
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: they do play better in the next game. They're starting
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: a road trip coming off an ugly loss like that.
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: I do not think they're gonna overlook Columbus. They got
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: Boston up next. Bruins have been playing alright, but I
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 1: just don't really see them overlooking whoever they're playing here Philadelphia.
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 1: I don't see them overlooking anybody after that ugly loss
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 1: like that. So I like it. And on the other hand,
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 1: I think it's a bad spot for Columbus, and what
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 1: Columbus did in their last two games might keep Philly
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 1: focused on them. Because Columbus beat Dallas in a shutout
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: at home in this arena that we have of this
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 1: game and tonight, and they beat Tampa eight to five
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: at home. So Columbus is coming off two monster games.
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 1: And then they were supposed to play the Kings, but
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 1: the game got postponed because of weather. So now Columbus is, yeah,
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: they're they have more rest here. But I think that's
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: a bad thing because when you go into this rest
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 1: off of two monster wins, like Columbus did, I think
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 1: you're just sitting at home. You're just sitting on those wins.
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: Everybody's all fired up, thinking they're all awesome and whatever.
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 1: I think that this is a letdown spotyer for them. Man.
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: I think the extra break might hurt their momentum. I
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 1: wish they had a bigger game up next. They do
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 1: start a road trip next, but it's only with Chicago,
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 1: but still starting a road trip. I don't know. Is
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 1: there the potential that they look ahead, maybe because Philly
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: has kind of turned into kind of a mediocre team.
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 1: But either way you look at it, that's the play
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 1: I like filling in this game. That's my one hockey play.
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: The market seems to very much agree with it as well.
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 1: Columbus did move up from minus one thirty to minus
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: one thirty five yere but seventy percent of the tickets
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: on them sixty one percent of the cash coming back
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: on the flyers side. I like the flyers in this one.
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 1: We're getting them is a nice dog price around plus
• 1:42:49
  Speaker 1: one twenty looks like a pros versus Joe's set up
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 1: for this market at least for now, which I like
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 1: as well. Philadelphia is the play in that one, Philadelphia JC,
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out, Not the Jeffrey JC,
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 1: the JC JC, what's up? Man? And then the final
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: hockey game is Colorado at Ottawa, which is the game
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 1: with the biggest line on it, of course, because Colorado
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 1: is an excellent team. Now Colorado might also be in
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: a well, I don't know. I don't know what I
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 1: want to say about Colorado here. They just bounce back
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 1: from having four losses over a span of five games.
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 1: They bounce back nicely with a destruction of Toronto on Sunday.
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: Now they've had a couple of days off, but I
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 1: don't think that they're gonna have like momentum disrupted or anything,
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 1: because really they just disrupted. They're losing momentum with that
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: win against Toronto. So now they're going to Ottawa. Now,
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: the problem is they did just destroy Ottawa back in
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 1: Colorado on January eighth, eight to two, so you know
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 1: Ottawa is gonna be gunning for Colorado here, and Colorado
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 1: does play Montreal and then Detroit twice up next, and
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: they might consider those gonna be bigger games because Ottawa
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 1: hasn't played that well recent Colorado already crushed Ottawa recently,
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 1: so potential overlook spot for our Colorado here. For Ottawa,
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 1: they just broke a bit of a losing streak as well.
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: They broke a stretch of losing four games in five
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: games as well. But we're losing four out of five,
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: I should say as well. But the problem with Ottawa
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: is they destroyed Vegas on Sunday seven to one, so
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 1: now they're sitting at home out of that huge win.
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 1: I can't really do anything with Ottawa off of a
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 1: win like that. That's a monster, monster win for them, man,
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: so I definitely worry about it. Colorado did drop for
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty five to minus one thirty eight, so
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 1: some reverse live movement there. Don't know if there was
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: a goaltender like switch that might of factor into that.
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Ninety three percent of the tickets in
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 1: ninety eight percent of the cash on Colorado. Don't know
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: if those percentages are accurate, but Colorado would be a
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 1: public side. I probably would lean towards taking the price
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: with Ottawa there, but I don't love the game at all,
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 1: So gave you my one playing hockey, and we have
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 1: one more play that is in the NBA, and then
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 1: I will get out of here. We have a decent
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 1: sized NBA board today, unfortunately, because I got to talk
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 1: about all these games here. Holy crap. Actually, no, it's
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: not that big. It's what is it like, eight games?
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 1: Nine games? Yeah, it's it's quite a few. But let's
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 1: run through it, man, because I gotta get this show
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 1: up at least. But I don't think we have any
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 1: games at noon today, So Lakers at Cleveland is the
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: first of the ESPN doubleheader and probably the lesser of
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: the two games, though it's not that bad. I mean,
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 1: like the two best games of the day are the
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 1: ESPN games. So I'll give the schedule makers that the
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 1: Lakers are coming into this game up of beating Chicago. Fine,
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 1: you know they're coming into this game with momentum. Nothing
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 1: really bad about the spot for them. They should show
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: up for a game against Cleveland. Cleveland I still think
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: is a little bit under the radar, just because they
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 1: haven't been very good this year. But now they have
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 1: won four games in a row, but they've done it
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: against mostly questionable teams Charlotte, Sacramento and then Orlando. And
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: unfortunately they won in that zigzag spot against Orlando. But
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: I thought Orlando would zigzag and get us the cover
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 1: in that game, and that didn't happen. It was just
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: a ridiculous explosion from Cleveland late in that game. Now
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: that's what they're coming off of, but that was kind
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 1: of a misleading result. Man, So I don't know what
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 1: we want to do it this game though, because both
• 1:46:24
  Speaker 1: teams are coming into this game with momentum, they Bulls
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 1: should show up the money. The market read looks like
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: it's saying to take the points of the Lakers. Calves
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 1: are up from two and a half to three. Here,
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 1: fifty two percent of the tickets on them and only
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 1: fifty one percent of the cash. Seems like the public
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: is kind of split on the game. I thought the
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 1: Lakers might be public because they are the flashier team
• 1:46:45
  Speaker 1: kind of they have the better record and they're getting points.
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: So I was thinking I might lean to Cleveland in
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: this game, but based on the market, I kind of
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 1: have to lean to the Lakers. But I don't think
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: the spot is great either way. And then of course
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: you do have to look at the personnel because it
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: is the NBA. Austin Reeves is on the verge, are
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 1: coming back when he's not out? He's not back yet,
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: excuse me. Garland is still out for Cleveland, and then
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 1: Evan Mobley is out now too, so they one of
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 1: their big men has dropped out, which is not great
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 1: for Cleveland. So although I don't know if LA necessarily
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 1: has the size to really do a ton of damage
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 1: inside against Cleveland, so I don't have much of an
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 1: opinion on that game at all. Bulls are at Indiana.
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 1: Here Chicago at Indiana Bulls Pacers sounds like one of
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 1: those old nineties playoff matchups. Man, the Bulls just lost
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 1: a four game win streak to the Lakers, so sometimes
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 1: that will hang you over into the next game. So
• 1:47:39
  Speaker 1: I don't love that aspect of this for the Bulls
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 1: coming off three pretty big games, beating Minnesota, beating Boston
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 1: and then losing to the Lakers by double digits. I
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: know it's a double digit loss, but sometimes you don't
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 1: bounce back right away when you lose a win streak,
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 1: and it was a big get up game like that,
• 1:47:54
  Speaker 1: they do up Miami on deck, and they might look
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: ahead to Miami because Miami's probably at least going to
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 1: be like a playoff team or something in the East.
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 1: They have a winning record at least. Indiana might be
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 1: in the better spot here, but well maybe not. Just
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 1: looking at who they played last of what they did.
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 1: They got destroyed by Atlanta, and that was expected because
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 1: Indiana had upset Oklahoma City in the previous game, and
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: a monster revenge spot and monster ups that for Indiana.
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 1: Normally I'd say, well, now they were in a letdown spot.
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 1: Yes they were, of course they were. They lost to Atlanta.
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 1: Didn't give it out as a play. Unfortunately, I almost did,
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 1: and Atlanta did capitalize on that letdown spot. And normally
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 1: I would say, well, now Indiana's going to bounce back here.
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 1: But the problem is they were turning over from a
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 1: road trip. They've been on the road since the seventeenth
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 1: and you know I talk about this. There are a
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 1: lot of road trip returns today in the NBA. Man,
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: and one of my plays is fading one of those teams,
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 1: and it's the only one that I deemed strong enough
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 1: to make a play on unfortunately, because usually I love
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 1: these return home spots, but I just have questions about
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 1: some of them, including this one. Indiana and now were
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: turning back home from that road trip. Now they do
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 1: have Atlanta on deck, and Atlanta did just embarrass them
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 1: in their last game, so I guess there's the possibility
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 1: they look ahead. But Atlanta has been pretty bad this year,
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. Man, I don't know that Indiana
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 1: necessarily is gonna overlook Chicago. But it is still a
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 1: return home spot from a long road trip. And as
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 1: I always say, teams are turning home from road trips,
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 1: they can get distracted. They have to get back to
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: home life. They've been away for a while, they have
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 1: stuff to do. But then, also, of course, I worry
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 1: about the spot the Bulls are in because the Bulls
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 1: are coming up that huge game against the Lakers, and
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 1: that ended a win stream for the Bulls, so I
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: worry about the hangover for the Bulls. Here I lead
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 1: to the Bulls in the game, but I'm gonna stay
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 1: away from it. The Bulls that flip from a two
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 1: point dog to a two point favorite for some reason here,
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 1: I don't know if the personnel is doing something here, Twig.
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 1: Thank you, sir, I appreciate it. What's up man? Thanks
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 1: for checking out the show, Dirty Sock. You have Flyers
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 1: and Avalanche today. Well, obviously I agree with the Flyers,
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 1: that's one of my plays. I don't really agree with
• 1:49:59
  Speaker 1: the ad. I worry about that one. Yes, all have
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 1: thoughts on the Celtics. That's is that the next game
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 1: I'm going to talk about. If you stick around, I'm
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 1: definitely gonna talk about I'm gonna talk about every game.
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 1: But yeah, that's the next game, So hold on one second.
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 1: I'm going to talk about that in a second. But yes,
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 1: as far as the market for the Bulls, seventy four
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets and eighty six percent of the
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 1: cash and the Bulls, so it looks like the market
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 1: read the money is stronger on the Bulls. I don't
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 1: disagree with it. Like I said, I think the fading
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 1: the return home spot is one of the best things
• 1:50:28
  Speaker 1: you can do. So I agree with the Bulls here.
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 1: I have my reservations about it though. And then why
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 1: have the Bulls moved up to like a two point favorite?
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 1: Is the other question? Like we already know Gidea has
• 1:50:39
  Speaker 1: been back for a while now, a few games, so
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 1: that's not affecting the line move from one game to
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 1: the next. Indiana looks like they have a pretty clean
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 1: injury sheet as well, except obviously Haliburton just has missed
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 1: the entire season. That's not a change from one game
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 1: to the next. Top and has been out for a
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 1: while too, so that doesn't matter either. So I don't
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 1: know what this line move here, not a pun because
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 1: we're not talking about the Spurs. I don't know what
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 1: bull did that line move on that? But yeah, the
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: line has moved in the direction of the Bulls, and
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree with it, all right, Atlanta, at my
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 1: Boston Celtics here as a Boston fan, you know, I'm
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 1: hoping the Celtics suck, get us get another win here.
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 1: I'm sorry, dude, Firefox is just really messing up for
• 1:51:24
  Speaker 1: me right now. This is maybe hopefully my mouse didn't
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 1: get affected by the water spill, the Great Spill of
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty six. No, I don't think it did, because
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 1: my mouse is on the other side from where it's spilled.
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, all right, Atlanta. They just obliterated
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: in Indiana, of course, they've won three games in a row,
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 1: but they're not gonna overlook the Celtics. Man. It is
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a weird travel spot though, having
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: to come up here into cold weather, though of course
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 1: this is not an outdoor game, but you know, just
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 1: does it Atlanta want to travel up to Boston. I
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 1: don't know, but I think they will be focused though,
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 1: because it is Boston and they just got embarrassed by
• 1:51:59
  Speaker 1: Boston in Atlanta back on January seventeenth, So there is
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a quick revenge mode of here
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 1: for Atlanta, or maybe not revenge, but it might cause
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 1: the Celtics to overlook Atlanta a little bit because they
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 1: easily destroyed them in that game, and Atlanta will have
• 1:52:14
  Speaker 1: the adjustments to make, whereas if you're the Celtics, you
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 1: have no adjustments to make there. So I think Indiana
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 1: does come into this with some focus, some momentums. Is
• 1:52:22
  Speaker 1: a little bit weird when you have these single game
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 1: travel spots there. They have Houston next tomorrow as well,
• 1:52:28
  Speaker 1: so that's gonna be a weird spot having to travel
• 1:52:30
  Speaker 1: back with no time off. But I don't see Atlanta
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 1: overlooking the Celtics here. Celtics also having a good season.
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 1: So Celtics are coming out beating Portland. That was a
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 1: return home spot, but only for a quick from a
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 1: quick road trip there. Celtics beating Portland, I mean it
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 1: wasn't a great win or anything. It was a win
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: they covered actually by a half point. Celtics are not
• 1:52:51
  Speaker 1: exactly in a terrible spot here. They only play Sacramento next,
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: doesn't really matter, so I don't really see the Celtics
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 1: being totally unfocused in the game, but they might think
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: that it's gonna be a little bit easy to beat
• 1:53:03
  Speaker 1: the Hawks here. So if I was gonna play this game,
• 1:53:05
  Speaker 1: I would lean to the Hawks and taking the points here.
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 1: And it looks like there is pretty strong market agreement
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 1: on that, with the Celtics sitting at around six six
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 1: and a half here, public is obviously gonna side with
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 1: the Celtics in this game. Sixty five percent of the
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, but eighty four percent of the cash
• 1:53:20
  Speaker 1: on Atlanta. Looks like kind of a pros versus Joe's
• 1:53:23
  Speaker 1: set up there, So hopefully that gave you the information there.
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 1: And you know, I don't really talk about totals much
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 1: here because I'm just not a totals guy, But I
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 1: try to focus on sides and try to just nail
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 1: the sides. But yeah, in that game, I lean to
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 1: the Hawks plus the points in that and I think
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 1: that quick revenge modive there and the Celtics might just
• 1:53:43
  Speaker 1: not take the Hawks that seriously, I think is what
• 1:53:45
  Speaker 1: the the main factor is in that game. The next
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 1: game up is my actual play, and I'm hoping that
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 1: the market read is still, oh well, isn't that great?
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 1: The market read is not agreeing with me on this one,
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 1: but we're doing it anyway. We're gonna take the well,
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 1: we put the best bets up again. I was hoping
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 1: to get this show done before noon, but I guess
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 1: because there are no noontime games, it doesn't really matter
• 1:54:07
  Speaker 1: that much. But if the people want to listen to
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 1: it on audio there, HiT's gonna be a long ass
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 1: show that they can enjoy. In the afternoon, we're gonna
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 1: be on the Orlando Magic plus three. Although it looks
• 1:54:18
  Speaker 1: like it might be two and a half at most
• 1:54:19
  Speaker 1: spots right now, I'd probably still do it at that.
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 1: Looks like there might still be threes out there. I
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 1: saw a few books had a three up there. A
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: little while ago. We're gonna fade the Miami Heat in
• 1:54:28
  Speaker 1: this game, And of course, as I said, the Heat
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 1: are one of these teams that's in a return home spot,
• 1:54:34
  Speaker 1: so that's one of the strongest spots to fade a team.
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 1: And this is a fairly long road trip. They've been
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 1: on the road since Monday the nineteenth, and then went
• 1:54:42
  Speaker 1: out to the Pacific coast, man and into elevation, so
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 1: it was one of those cross country trips from Miami.
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 1: So I think this is a bad spot from Miami
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 1: on the return home spot here and man, and they
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: have to go back out on the road tomorrow and
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 1: play the Bulls. And I know the Bulls haven't been
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 1: doing that great, but the Bulls in Orlando will almost
• 1:54:59
  Speaker 1: have the record now, so it's not like one of
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 1: those games is necessarily going to be that much bigger
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: than the other. And Orlando might be more overlookable right
• 1:55:07
  Speaker 1: now because they're without Wagner right now, who's one of
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 1: their best players. And Chicago just got giddy their best
• 1:55:13
  Speaker 1: player back, so Orlando's more or excuse me, Chicago's more
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 1: at full strength right now. So there could definitely be
• 1:55:20
  Speaker 1: some reasons why Miami might not pay attention to this game,
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 1: and of course the big one is it's a return
• 1:55:24
  Speaker 1: home spot. And I know they have a couple of
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 1: days off coming back home, but again, the return home
• 1:55:30
  Speaker 1: spot that can just make you settle in a little
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 1: bit more home. When teams return home from long road
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 1: trips like this, they can get distracted. They got stuff
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 1: to do back at home. They tend to overlook their
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 1: opponent more often than they don't, so I think that
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 1: might be the case here. Orlando hasn't been playing well either,
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 1: so that's another reason why they might want to overlook that. Well.
• 1:55:48
  Speaker 1: They might, they don't want to, but they just might
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 1: have a tendency to overlook them. Miami is also coming
• 1:55:53
  Speaker 1: up finishing the road trip with an upset road win
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 1: of the Phoenix Suns, who they actually beat twice this month.
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 1: Are right, they won at home and won on the road. Uh,
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 1: so decent win that Miami is coming off of as well.
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 1: And again tomorrow they actually to fly up to Chicago,
• 1:56:08
  Speaker 1: so it's it is one of these weird spots where
• 1:56:10
  Speaker 1: it's a return home spot and it's sandwiched in between two.
• 1:56:14
  Speaker 1: I don't want to call it a road trip because
• 1:56:15
  Speaker 1: it's only a single game on the road in the
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 1: next game, but it's still between two between a road
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 1: trip and another road game. At the very least, it's
• 1:56:24
  Speaker 1: a very, very weird spot where you just don't have
• 1:56:26
  Speaker 1: that much time at home to get done what you
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 1: need to get done. I think Orlando's gonna be desperate
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 1: for a win, man. I mean, they have not won
• 1:56:33
  Speaker 1: since they went out to Europe there and they won
• 1:56:37
  Speaker 1: for Wagner there and Wagner was playing back then in Europe.
• 1:56:40
  Speaker 1: They won in Germany and since then they haven't won
• 1:56:43
  Speaker 1: it all. They got zigzag by Memphis and they came
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 1: back home, tough spot to come back from Europe. Lost
• 1:56:48
  Speaker 1: that game, then they lost to the Calves twice. But
• 1:56:51
  Speaker 1: the Calves are a good team, man. And I know
• 1:56:53
  Speaker 1: I gave out Orlando in that last game for the
• 1:56:55
  Speaker 1: zigzag spot there against Cleveland, But Orlando looked like they
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 1: were gonna be able to get us the cover in
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 1: this game, man. They were winning the game outright into
• 1:57:04
  Speaker 1: the second half. The game was fairly close for a
• 1:57:06
  Speaker 1: while and then they fell apart and then statistically the
• 1:57:09
  Speaker 1: game was just kind of ridiculous. Cleveland shot fifty three
• 1:57:12
  Speaker 1: percent from the field, Orlando had fifteen more field goal
• 1:57:16
  Speaker 1: attempts in the game and made fewer field goals. Still,
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's ridiculous. You almost never see that. Cleveland
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 1: had twelve more free throw attempts as well, So Cleveland
• 1:57:25
  Speaker 1: went to the line way more. Just some outliers in
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 1: this game that should see regression, man. And statistically the
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 1: game was closer than the final by quite a bit.
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 1: I mean, the rebounding battle was close, so a lot
• 1:57:38
  Speaker 1: of it was free throws and just Orlando missing a
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 1: lot of their shots and Cleveland was hitting a lot
• 1:57:45
  Speaker 1: of their shots. So that was just the deal there. Now, Yes,
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 1: like I said, Orlando Orlando, Orlando is without Wagner, I know,
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 1: but Suggs is back. I'm pretty sure you know. But
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 1: Chero has been playing. So this is still a decent
• 1:57:58
  Speaker 1: Orlando team. And there were spots. They're in a spot
• 1:58:00
  Speaker 1: where they're gonna be desperate to play well and get
• 1:58:03
  Speaker 1: a win here. And it looks way too easy to
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 1: lay the points with Miami, I think in this game.
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 1: So I think we're gonna see Orlando show up. I
• 1:58:09
  Speaker 1: know they play on ESPN on Friday against Toronto, but
• 1:58:12
  Speaker 1: they can't afford to overlook anybody right now. We just
• 1:58:14
  Speaker 1: kind of explained why they lost those four games in
• 1:58:18
  Speaker 1: a row there, even though one of them was the
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 1: injured player theory spot the first one with Wagner out,
• 1:58:22
  Speaker 1: but and usually a team plays better in a spot
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 1: like that. But whatever, I think that's what I got
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: in that game. If we want to look at the
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 1: personnel real quicker, I think it's pretty much what I
• 1:58:34
  Speaker 1: already said. Tyler Hero is still out for Miami, by
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 1: the way, He's been out for a while. He looks
• 1:58:39
  Speaker 1: like he might he might come back tomorrow, so we'll
• 1:58:42
  Speaker 1: see about that. And then, like I said, Wagner is
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 1: the one main injury there on the side about Orlando,
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 1: and he looks like he might come back in their
• 1:58:49
  Speaker 1: next game as well, but not in this game today.
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 1: So I don't know what's going on with the market though.
• 1:58:54
  Speaker 1: Is the heat of sixty one percent of the tickets
• 1:58:56
  Speaker 1: and eighty seven percent of the cash now and when
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 1: I looked at this morning, like the money was coming
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 1: in on the side of the magic, So I don't
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 1: know what's happening here. The threes look like they're getting
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 1: picked off though, so it looks like some professional betters
• 1:59:09
  Speaker 1: of playing the three there. So I don't know, but
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 1: I like the magic in that game. That was what
• 1:59:14
  Speaker 1: I decided on as the strongest play of the NBA
• 1:59:17
  Speaker 1: slate here. So those are my thoughts there. The Knicks
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 1: are at Toronto, this line is gonna look too easy,
• 1:59:25
  Speaker 1: I think for people to play the Knicks here, first
• 1:59:27
  Speaker 1: of all, man although I don't know, because Toronto's record
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 1: is pretty good as well, but the fact that Toronto's
• 1:59:31
  Speaker 1: favored just seems a little bit weird because the Knicks
• 1:59:34
  Speaker 1: just like basically nobody can name any player on the Raptors,
• 1:59:38
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, And the Knicks have more
• 1:59:40
  Speaker 1: star power with Brunson and Kat and whatever. So people
• 1:59:45
  Speaker 1: I think are gonna have a tendency to be looking
• 1:59:47
  Speaker 1: towards the Knicks here. But the Knicks are not very
• 1:59:49
  Speaker 1: good on the road. They're nine to twelve on the road.
• 1:59:51
  Speaker 1: Toronto hasn't been that great at home though either at
• 1:59:54
  Speaker 1: thirteen and ten. I think Toronto's actually better on the road.
• 1:59:58
  Speaker 1: As far as the schedule, it's about. The Nicks have
• 2:00:00
  Speaker 1: won three in a row Toronto back to back though,
• 2:00:02
  Speaker 1: but they had an easy win yesterday against Sacramento. But
• 2:00:05
  Speaker 1: back to back and having to travel up to Toronto.
• 2:00:08
  Speaker 1: That's not that easy for the Knicks to do. I'm
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 1: having to travel between these two games as far as
• 2:00:13
  Speaker 1: Toronto is concerned. They did not play yesterday, but Toronto's
• 2:00:16
  Speaker 1: in a really bad spot though. Toronto's returning home from
• 2:00:19
  Speaker 1: a road trip that took them out to the Pacific
• 2:00:21
  Speaker 1: coast back on January eighteenth. They've been on the road
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 1: since then, and they finished the road trip by upsetting
• 2:00:27
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City and pulling off a double digit upset in
• 2:00:31
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City, who for some reason lost those two games
• 2:00:34
  Speaker 1: in a row there. Man, I don't get what happened,
• 2:00:37
  Speaker 1: but we know that Indiana had a really bad game.
• 2:00:39
  Speaker 1: Coming off that Oklahoma City upset, Toronto may very well
• 2:00:42
  Speaker 1: have a really bad game as well. I think it's
• 2:00:44
  Speaker 1: actually a horrible spot for Toronto because again it's a
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 1: letdown spot. But also, return home from a road trip,
• 2:00:51
  Speaker 1: you know, you have stuff to get back to, you
• 2:00:54
  Speaker 1: can get distracted. My hesitations on giving off the Knicks
• 2:00:58
  Speaker 1: here as a play are that it looks easy to
• 2:01:00
  Speaker 1: play the Knicks. Toronto might not overlook the Knicks because
• 2:01:04
  Speaker 1: it's the Knicks that might actually keep Toronto in check.
• 2:01:07
  Speaker 1: A little bit, although Toronto has to fly down to
• 2:01:09
  Speaker 1: Orlando after this and play an ESPN on Friday, though,
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 1: So this is a spot where there's simwiched in between
• 2:01:15
  Speaker 1: basically two road trips, just like I said with the
• 2:01:18
  Speaker 1: other game. So it is a bad spot for Toronto
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 1: where they have to go right back out on the road.
• 2:01:22
  Speaker 1: So maybe they just are not even able to focus
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: on the Knicks here, man, So that's kind of the issue.
• 2:01:27
  Speaker 1: But of course the other issue is the Knicks around
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 1: the back to back with travel, and I just don't
• 2:01:32
  Speaker 1: love playing teams on the back to back there. But
• 2:01:34
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play this game, it would have
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 1: to be the Knicks. The spot is just so atrocious
• 2:01:39
  Speaker 1: for Toronto here the Raptors have gone up from pick
• 2:01:42
  Speaker 1: them to one and a half here. Hopefully I picked
• 2:01:44
  Speaker 1: the right game with the magic man, I'm hoping hopefully
• 2:01:47
  Speaker 1: we get some magic here. Fifty six percent of the ticket,
• 2:01:50
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of the cash on the Knicks, money coming
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 1: in on the Knicks side, and you just know that
• 2:01:54
  Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna be right on Probably I'm gonna get
• 2:01:58
  Speaker 1: the magic wrong, and the Bulls and the will both
• 2:02:00
  Speaker 1: be right. Won't that just be so fun. But yes,
• 2:02:03
  Speaker 1: I would lean to the Knicks in this game, plus
• 2:02:05
  Speaker 1: the points. Horrible, horrible spot for the Raptors in that game.
• 2:02:11
  Speaker 1: Charlotte at Memphis, this is a pretty ugly one of those.
• 2:02:15
  Speaker 1: Charlotte's been playing decently recently. As I said, Charlotte is
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 1: coming off that monster win for us, though they caught
• 2:02:21
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia in a good spot. We got the win with
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 1: that on Monday. You gotta think Charlotte might be a
• 2:02:26
  Speaker 1: little bit overconfident now after a win like that, beating
• 2:02:29
  Speaker 1: the Sixers my almost forty points and putting up one
• 2:02:32
  Speaker 1: hundred and thirty in the game. That's just crazy. Now
• 2:02:35
  Speaker 1: they're starting a road trip with momentum, and I don't
• 2:02:37
  Speaker 1: know that they're really gonna be looking ahead to the
• 2:02:39
  Speaker 1: Dallas Mavericks in their next game. So they might have
• 2:02:42
  Speaker 1: that momentum carry into this game. But I don't know, man,
• 2:02:46
  Speaker 1: I mean, you might just be feeling a little bit
• 2:02:47
  Speaker 1: too high on yourselves after a win of that magnitude.
• 2:02:51
  Speaker 1: Memphis is coming off loss to Houston. They only lost
• 2:02:54
  Speaker 1: my nine. We had a win with that actually, so
• 2:02:56
  Speaker 1: actually Memphis played well in that game. That was another
• 2:02:59
  Speaker 1: one of our wins Monday. Those are the two wins
• 2:03:01
  Speaker 1: that we had along with that Orlando loss. I think
• 2:03:06
  Speaker 1: Memphis could have won that game, dude. Memphis played really
• 2:03:09
  Speaker 1: well as a double digit underdog in that game at Houston.
• 2:03:12
  Speaker 1: Memphis had the lead in the fourth quarter in that
• 2:03:14
  Speaker 1: game and then they wound up losing by nine and
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 1: almost didn't cover. Thankfully they did because I think they
• 2:03:21
  Speaker 1: still want up with a wire and wire cover in
• 2:03:22
  Speaker 1: that game. We got the cover in that game, but Memphis,
• 2:03:25
  Speaker 1: that was a big performance from them. Man. Now they're
• 2:03:28
  Speaker 1: coming back home off of that game. So the spot's
• 2:03:29
  Speaker 1: not great for Memphis because that game was pretty difficult.
• 2:03:32
  Speaker 1: So I don't like the spot for either team in
• 2:03:34
  Speaker 1: this game. The Hornets flipped from a one and a
• 2:03:36
  Speaker 1: half point dogs or two point favorite here, but it
• 2:03:38
  Speaker 1: looks like they are public. We have seventy four percent
• 2:03:43
  Speaker 1: of the tickets and seventy three percent of the casual
• 2:03:45
  Speaker 1: on the Hornets, so the money is just like kind
• 2:03:48
  Speaker 1: of against the Hornets after the line flipped on them.
• 2:03:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what personnel might have flipped the line
• 2:03:54
  Speaker 1: like that. Not a whole lot going on here. Zach
• 2:03:58
  Speaker 1: Eedy has been out for a long time for Memph
• 2:04:00
  Speaker 1: is he still loud. We know John Morant went down again,
• 2:04:02
  Speaker 1: or maybe they just don't want him to play anymore.
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 1: He's been out for a few games, so no real
• 2:04:07
  Speaker 1: change there. And then I don't know. I mean Simpson
• 2:04:12
  Speaker 1: and plumb Lee both out for the Hornets. I think
• 2:04:14
  Speaker 1: they've been on the injury reports. I don't know. I
• 2:04:16
  Speaker 1: don't really follow Charlotte's personnel that much, man, so I
• 2:04:20
  Speaker 1: don't know. But the market read is basically kind of
• 2:04:22
  Speaker 1: staying towards to take the points of the Grizzlies. But
• 2:04:26
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't even know if I agree, because
• 2:04:27
  Speaker 1: the Grizzlies are coming off that monster game where they
• 2:04:30
  Speaker 1: could have had that upset of Houston and fell just short.
• 2:04:32
  Speaker 1: So I actually think the Hornets maybe still have momentum
• 2:04:35
  Speaker 1: coming into this one, even though they're coming off of
• 2:04:37
  Speaker 1: a blowout win. I don't know. I kind of prefer
• 2:04:40
  Speaker 1: the Hornets in that game, and it looks like I
• 2:04:44
  Speaker 1: don't think the public's gonna want to come in and
• 2:04:46
  Speaker 1: lay points on the road here, you know, with a
• 2:04:49
  Speaker 1: team that has still a really ugly looking record. So
• 2:04:53
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I kind of like Charlotte and that
• 2:04:55
  Speaker 1: one slightly, but no strong opinion there Minnesota at Dallas,
• 2:05:00
  Speaker 1: Minnesota was able to zigzag and get the win against
• 2:05:03
  Speaker 1: Golden State after they lost the day prior to that
• 2:05:05
  Speaker 1: against Golden State. Playing both those games at home, Golden
• 2:05:09
  Speaker 1: State had gotten their playoff revenge. Of course, that first
• 2:05:12
  Speaker 1: game got postponed just because Minnesota had to be all
• 2:05:18
  Speaker 1: woke as usual postpone the game just because a guy
• 2:05:22
  Speaker 1: got shot in Minnesota. Which if you were postponing games
• 2:05:26
  Speaker 1: for people dying of gunshots, then the Bulls would never
• 2:05:29
  Speaker 1: play another game. So I'm sorry, like did never play
• 2:05:33
  Speaker 1: another home game. So I don't know what else to
• 2:05:37
  Speaker 1: say about that, but it was stupid. But anyway, as
• 2:05:39
  Speaker 1: far as this game is concerned, Minnesota had a nice
• 2:05:41
  Speaker 1: zig zag, nice bounce back. They beat Golden State and
• 2:05:44
  Speaker 1: that did any five game losing streak for Minnesota. So
• 2:05:47
  Speaker 1: sometimes when you end a win streak, sometimes it will
• 2:05:50
  Speaker 1: carry that momentum forward. The problem with that is that
• 2:05:53
  Speaker 1: was a pretty good win over Golden State. Now they
• 2:05:55
  Speaker 1: got to go on the road for one game to Dallas,
• 2:05:57
  Speaker 1: who they might not have total focus on because Dallas
• 2:05:59
  Speaker 1: is in disarray, and tomorrow on Amazon Prime, Minnesota has
• 2:06:04
  Speaker 1: to play Oklahoma City man, and they did beat Oklahoma
• 2:06:07
  Speaker 1: City the last time they played them, I think, but
• 2:06:09
  Speaker 1: that is still a monster game to be looking ahead to.
• 2:06:11
  Speaker 1: So I think it's kind of a sandwich spot for
• 2:06:14
  Speaker 1: Minnesota here. The problem is Dallas is coming off a
• 2:06:17
  Speaker 1: big game as well, and I wanted to fade them
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 1: on Sunday because they were on the back to back
• 2:06:22
  Speaker 1: after blowing the game against the Lakers. They had a
• 2:06:25
  Speaker 1: chance to beat the Lakers and that ended a win
• 2:06:27
  Speaker 1: streak for them. I wanted to fade Dallas because their
• 2:06:30
  Speaker 1: momentum was snap. That was a huge game against Minnesota,
• 2:06:33
  Speaker 1: but their plane got stuck or something and they couldn't
• 2:06:36
  Speaker 1: fly to Milwaukee, so the gamebout postponed. Now, they haven't
• 2:06:39
  Speaker 1: played since then, They've just been sitting around. But I
• 2:06:42
  Speaker 1: still think that loss of momentum might kind of stick here, man,
• 2:06:45
  Speaker 1: And they're coming off that game where they almost beat
• 2:06:47
  Speaker 1: the Lakers. Yeah, they should get up for a game
• 2:06:49
  Speaker 1: against Minnesota. They have extra rest now, but I still
• 2:06:52
  Speaker 1: think it's a difficult spot for Dallas. Now. Do I
• 2:06:55
  Speaker 1: think the spot is worse for Minnesota? I guess I
• 2:07:00
  Speaker 1: would say yes. It's hard to really say, but yeah,
• 2:07:03
  Speaker 1: I guess I would still lean to Dallas here, but
• 2:07:05
  Speaker 1: I don't want either team here. The money is saying
• 2:07:07
  Speaker 1: Dallas for what it's worth. Six and a half is
• 2:07:10
  Speaker 1: the line here. I think Minnesota dropped from seven to
• 2:07:12
  Speaker 1: six and a half. Sixty five percent of tickets around
• 2:07:15
  Speaker 1: the tea Wolves is sixty seven percent of the cash
• 2:07:16
  Speaker 1: on Dallas, so it doesn't look like the money is
• 2:07:19
  Speaker 1: kind of intigating on Dallas. In that game, we have
• 2:07:22
  Speaker 1: Golden State at Utah. Golden State to just take that
• 2:07:25
  Speaker 1: loss and pretty much a blowout to Minnesota in the
• 2:07:28
  Speaker 1: second game now having to go to elevation here, but
• 2:07:31
  Speaker 1: it is a third game in four days, and it
• 2:07:33
  Speaker 1: is a wait, is that right? Oh no, no, I
• 2:07:37
  Speaker 1: was gonna say it's a fourth game in five days,
• 2:07:39
  Speaker 1: but that's not right. It's because the postponed game is
• 2:07:41
  Speaker 1: still on the schedule here. I was like, that can't
• 2:07:43
  Speaker 1: be right. But it is still a third game in
• 2:07:45
  Speaker 1: four days for them all in different cities, having to
• 2:07:47
  Speaker 1: go into elevation and they do play Detroit on ESPN
• 2:07:51
  Speaker 1: on Friday, so that might be a big look ahead
• 2:07:53
  Speaker 1: to Detroit. So I don't know if Golden State's gonna
• 2:07:56
  Speaker 1: bounce back because I worry about the look ahead here
• 2:07:59
  Speaker 1: in the lack of rest and the travel here. Now.
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 1: Utah is on a back to back though, so extra rest,
• 2:08:06
  Speaker 1: you know. Speaking of rest, Utah doesn't have it. Utah
• 2:08:09
  Speaker 1: played yesterday, but they did lose again at home to
• 2:08:12
  Speaker 1: the Clippers, so at least for them, they're staying at
• 2:08:14
  Speaker 1: home and they might show up in this game against
• 2:08:16
  Speaker 1: Golden State. But this is a difficult handicap for me.
• 2:08:19
  Speaker 1: I guess I would lean to taking the points with
• 2:08:21
  Speaker 1: the Jazz because they are pretty good at covering at home.
• 2:08:25
  Speaker 1: They're definitely a better home team than road team. The
• 2:08:28
  Speaker 1: spot to me, does look a little bit worse for
• 2:08:30
  Speaker 1: Golden State. They're up from nine to nine and a
• 2:08:32
  Speaker 1: half here, so they're laying a lot of points. The
• 2:08:35
  Speaker 1: Warriors are fifty tickets seventy seven percent of the cash
• 2:08:38
  Speaker 1: on the Jazz. Again, it's a stay away from me,
• 2:08:42
  Speaker 1: but the market read is saying the Jazz. So again,
• 2:08:45
  Speaker 1: it's yeah, ridiculous that the one game that I gave
• 2:08:47
  Speaker 1: out is disagreeing with the markets. Wasn't that just great?
• 2:08:51
  Speaker 1: And then finally, probably the best game of the night
• 2:08:53
  Speaker 1: on ESPN San Antonio at Houston, the Battle of Texas
• 2:09:00
  Speaker 1: because Dallas just doesn't even really count at this point.
• 2:09:03
  Speaker 1: They don't even exist in Texas. Now. San Antonio is
• 2:09:06
  Speaker 1: coming off a gross loss at home to New Orleans,
• 2:09:09
  Speaker 1: so you got to think they're gonna be bouncing back
• 2:09:11
  Speaker 1: from that, and they were probably looking ahead to Houston,
• 2:09:14
  Speaker 1: and the last time they were here they lost to Houston.
• 2:09:16
  Speaker 1: Houston won and covered barely covered. I think Houston were
• 2:09:20
  Speaker 1: like four and a half point favorites maybe in that game,
• 2:09:23
  Speaker 1: believe it or not, against San Antonio, so the oddsmakers
• 2:09:26
  Speaker 1: were telling you Houston is the better team out of
• 2:09:28
  Speaker 1: the two. But in this game, san Antonio might make
• 2:09:32
  Speaker 1: the adjustments because they did lose that other game. They're
• 2:09:34
  Speaker 1: coming off that really bad loss to New Orleans, so
• 2:09:38
  Speaker 1: you might get more focused from san Antonio for that reason,
• 2:09:41
  Speaker 1: and you might get a little bit of line value
• 2:09:45
  Speaker 1: maybe on san Antonio in this one. Houston's coming up
• 2:09:48
  Speaker 1: then went over Memphis where they almost lost the game
• 2:09:51
  Speaker 1: to Memphis, so it wasn't a great performance for them either,
• 2:09:53
  Speaker 1: And that was sandwiched in between Detroit and San Antonio,
• 2:09:56
  Speaker 1: which is why I gave out Memphis in that game,
• 2:09:59
  Speaker 1: because I thought you would just look right past them,
• 2:10:01
  Speaker 1: and pretty much they did. Memphis had chances to win
• 2:10:04
  Speaker 1: that game or we're winning in the fourth quarter. So
• 2:10:07
  Speaker 1: now Houston's coming up a pretty bad performance as well.
• 2:10:09
  Speaker 1: They're staying at home. But based on the fact that
• 2:10:12
  Speaker 1: Houston won uncovered in the last game, they were four
• 2:10:15
  Speaker 1: point favorites. I don't know, man, because it is odd
• 2:10:18
  Speaker 1: that this line is now three and basically around three
• 2:10:21
  Speaker 1: three or two and a half here and the money
• 2:10:23
  Speaker 1: is coming in on the Rockets, And I think maybe
• 2:10:25
  Speaker 1: that's because the Rockets were a four to four and
• 2:10:28
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite in that previous game. So the
• 2:10:31
  Speaker 1: fact that you're getting a shorter line on the Rockets,
• 2:10:37
  Speaker 1: maybe that's why it looks like the professional money might
• 2:10:39
  Speaker 1: be coming in on that side on the Rockets fifty
• 2:10:41
  Speaker 1: three percent of the tickets and sixty three percent of
• 2:10:43
  Speaker 1: the cash on the Rockets. I slightly disagree, though. I
• 2:10:46
  Speaker 1: would be leaning Swarts taking the points of the Spurs,
• 2:10:49
  Speaker 1: like based on the situation. But yeah, the line doesn't
• 2:10:51
  Speaker 1: really set up that great for it. Like I thought
• 2:10:53
  Speaker 1: this line might wind up being like four and a
• 2:10:55
  Speaker 1: half five in this one, and then maybe the Spurs
• 2:10:58
  Speaker 1: would make more sense take the points that the line
• 2:11:00
  Speaker 1: did open at four and it dropped, So I don't know, man,
• 2:11:03
  Speaker 1: And I don't know if there are injuries on the
• 2:11:05
  Speaker 1: on the ustage side here. No, I mean it's still
• 2:11:09
  Speaker 1: pretty clean injury sheet in this game, so not really
• 2:11:11
  Speaker 1: anything going on there. So I don't know. Those are
• 2:11:14
  Speaker 1: my thoughts on that game. That's gonna do it. I
• 2:11:16
  Speaker 1: appreciate everybody for hanging out man for a two plus
• 2:11:19
  Speaker 1: hour video Wednesday. College basketball. I mean, it does me in.
• 2:11:22
  Speaker 1: Maybe I got to start doing the college basketball at
• 2:11:24
  Speaker 1: night Tuesday nights after Loser cast. That would be difficult though,
• 2:11:28
  Speaker 1: But anyway, the play is today college basketball. You got
• 2:11:30
  Speaker 1: Bellerman minus the points, I Owe minus the points, Ford
• 2:11:34
  Speaker 1: Them minus the points, Seaton Hall minus the points, Pacific
• 2:11:39
  Speaker 1: minus the points. We have five favorites in college basketball. Rare.
• 2:11:43
  Speaker 1: It's rare, but I don't avoid favorites. Man. Hockey. We
• 2:11:47
  Speaker 1: got the Flyers, Money Lined and Orlando Magic plus the
• 2:11:52
  Speaker 1: points in the NBA, Man, and that's gonna do it.
• 2:11:54
  Speaker 1: Learn to tote on Instagram, learned to tote on Twitter.
• 2:11:56
  Speaker 1: Starting to try to do us some subscriber content on Twitter,
• 2:12:00
  Speaker 1: get some more subscribers rolling in there. The short form
• 2:12:05
  Speaker 1: betting content of course is on Instagram, of course, like
• 2:12:08
  Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel here, give me replies. You know,
• 2:12:11
  Speaker 1: let's boost this channel because it's been stagnant. I don't
• 2:12:14
  Speaker 1: like it. Gotta boost this thing up, man, Hopefully we
• 2:12:17
  Speaker 1: could do that. I forget what else I was even
• 2:12:20
  Speaker 1: gonna say. Oh, we're on audio. That helps out as well,
• 2:12:24
  Speaker 1: listening on audio because it is monetized, so it's not
• 2:12:27
  Speaker 1: bringing in that much. But if the numbers increase, it'll
• 2:12:31
  Speaker 1: increase those numbers too. Apple and Spotify, I can give
• 2:12:35
  Speaker 1: me a good review over there, listen over there, covered
• 2:12:37
  Speaker 1: in you because my ukulele channel on YouTube, which is
• 2:12:40
  Speaker 1: a smaller channel than this, But trying to get content
• 2:12:44
  Speaker 1: up there whenever I can. But my index finger is
• 2:12:48
  Speaker 1: like busted man from slapping the yuke. I don't know.
• 2:12:50
  Speaker 1: I don't like it any think. I don't know if
• 2:12:52
  Speaker 1: it's I don't know what I did. I don't know
• 2:12:54
  Speaker 1: if it's a broken bone. I don't know, man, I
• 2:12:57
  Speaker 1: don't know what to think about it. Tendon maybe muscle thing,
• 2:13:00
  Speaker 1: no clue, but I might have to take take a
• 2:13:03
  Speaker 1: rest for a little while at the yuke, even though
• 2:13:05
  Speaker 1: I love playing it anyway, covered in Yuke Yeah on YouTube,
• 2:13:09
  Speaker 1: patroon dot Com, Slash and Learned to Tell. We got
• 2:13:11
  Speaker 1: the Patroon there. You can get some bonus yuke stuff
• 2:13:13
  Speaker 1: there as well. And then Loser Cast. We had another
• 2:13:16
  Speaker 1: new episode last night. I gave out the very obvious
• 2:13:19
  Speaker 1: choice this week of Alex Pretty so you can vote
• 2:13:25
  Speaker 1: for him if you want to. I think Layton misspelled
• 2:13:27
  Speaker 1: his name in the the poll, but you can go
• 2:13:30
  Speaker 1: check out as well, check out the show, the new
• 2:13:33
  Speaker 1: comedy show that I do and that is gonna do it. Man.
• 2:13:36
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out everybody. I'll be back yeah tomorrow
• 2:13:40
  Speaker 1: morning with the junk. Thursday College Basketball Slay is what
• 2:13:44
  Speaker 1: we call it because usually there are no or very
• 2:13:46
  Speaker 1: few big conference games on Thursday, but it's all the
• 2:13:48
  Speaker 1: junk conferences pretty much, a lot of them playing on Thursday.
• 2:13:52
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. I appreciate everybody. Peace,