Latest / Mike Check - A College Football Podcast / BIG GAME PREVIEW: FLORIDA VS MISSOURI
Transcript
- Jackson: Next game, number eight, Florida, going to Columbia to play number twenty five, Missouri, who was coming off a loss last week against Mississippi State. Florida, obviously coming off a big win, fifty two twenty eight against Ole Miss. The line here is Florida, minus five and a half, over under, set at fifty seven and a half. Davis: Yeah, Florida's four and for the first time since twenty nineteen. Jackson: Yeah, that was the that was the Trask year. Or maybe that was twenty twenty, but it was twenty twenty. Or it was maybe twenty nineteen Davis: Trask was yeah. Jackson: too, but they played Bam on the S C championship in twenty. Davis: Yeah, I guess they didn't start four and that year. Maybe. Jackson: Maybe. Anyways, it's a it's a big year for Florida. They're they're back Davis: I don't know. But yeah, Trask was the covet year. Jackson: for the first time in a while. It seems like John Semeros got them got them on the right track. you think this is a letdown spot for for Florida? Davis: I think potentially. But the one thing that that is consistent is your run game. You know, they they always say run game travels, and I know that this is is in Missouri, so I could say that the run game travels here as well, but I think the run game allows you to have a floor to kinda keep you from letting down. Does that make sense? Jackson: Yeah, no, I agree. Davis: So I I I don't I don't think so. I yeah. And I know that this has been the the Buster Faulkner show podcast recently with the amount of I guess times we've talked about him, or at least I've talked about him. Jackson: Yeah, I I just think, you know, Florida scored fifty two points against Ole Miss. And they scored forty four against Auburn. I don't know what the numbers say, but I don't think Missouri's defense is as good or definitely is not better than Ole Miss's defense or Auburn's defense. I mean, th th you look at the stats, like I said, they haven't really played anyone. They played Mississippi State last week. To me, that was the only team that you can really take into account when it comes to stats. They did play Kansas, but Kansas has shown that they're not very good this year, so they're they're able to score points though. So I I do think that Austin Simmons and Missouri will be able to score points, especially at home. Almost did score twenty-eight last week in a road game So I think I think this one will be a higher scoring game. But to me, you know, you have the number one offensive coordinator in the country. This right now is the number one offense in the country. No one can stop them. If you're Missouri and you're gonna try to win this game, I think you just have to sell out against the run. Like you cannot let them beat you on the ground. Whatever you do, do not let them beat you on the ground. and just make Aaron Philo beat you with his arm. Not saying he can't do that, but you know they can beat you on the ground, so you may as well take that away and see if they can beat you somewhere else. So yeah, that's that's kinda my take on this. You just you can't let Florida run all over you like Ole Miss did. Davis: Yeah, and I think Missouri's run game defense is actually one of the strengths of this team. I I just got through talking about how good Mississippi State is at running the ball, and it was really through the air that Mississippi State had to win that game. Mississipp State only ran for a hundred and thirty nine yards, which isn't a low total, but given the talent that they have on on that team, it is lower than what state has been. Put up throughout the year. I I guess kind of when I was going through this, I was actually leaning Missouri, mainly because of that rush defense. They have a really good linebacker transfer from Auburn, Robert Woodyard. He's been tearing it up. but I think that the more that I dived into the numbers, the less confident I was in Missouri's offense. I know you look at the points per game numbers and it's pretty impressive. You look at the yards, and you know, they've been able to move the ball really well. They I guess went down early to Mississippi State, but after that had no problem scoring. But one thing that I kind of found which was interesting. So it all comes back to the point that I think that Missouri's offensive numbers may be a little inflated. The reason for that is because Missouri Jackson: Yeah. Davis: is scoring twenty-five percent of its points from points off turnovers. And I know that sounds like a good thing. They're forcing turnovers, they're scoring, they're capitalizing. That sounds great. but I think that because of that, they're kind of relying on the the fact that they are creating these turnovers. Florida doesn't turn the ball over. They've had th three turnovers in four games. So you're gonna make Missouri have to execute on a long field, they're not gonna get the ball on short field position. So I think that you're gonna make that Missouri offense earn it from the get go. And I I'm not convinced that they'll that they'll be able to do that. Jackson: Yeah, I mean one point to kinda help you, I guess if you're if you're thinking about going Missouri, Florida's pass defense ranks ninety-fourth nationally. they're coming off a b game obviously where they played Trinidad Chambless. He completed seventy three point five percent of his passes. Missouri hadn't been able to run the ball ball very well. They ran for three point four yards per carry against Mississippi, who has somewhat of a weaker front, so to me, if you're Missouri and you're on offense, you're just dropping back and and trying to rip it. I think that's how you keep up with this team. I think Austin Simmons can sling it. I I just don't think you're gonna be able to keep up with a team like Florida just dropping back and throwing the ball a hundred times, especially with how many points I think Florida's gonna score. I think you're first in this one. I'll go ahead and get mine out the way. I like Florida taking the points, just think it's too much. Davis: Yeah. I like Florida too. And Florida's gonna have like forty minutes of time of possession too. Jackson: Cool.