Latest / SILVER / GOLD / $UFD Meme Coin Investing & Global Economics / ⚡GOLD and Silver Investors⚡YOU Best be Ready for THIS! - (plus WHEN to SELL)
Transcript
- 0:01Silver and gold investors, can you feel it?
- 0:04There's like a sense of doom, negative sentiment in the
- 0:08precious metal sector right now and the precious metal mining
- 0:12stock sector. I'm here to tell you the real
- 0:15story is something completely different.
- 0:18We got a lot of great things, great news, fundamentally,
- 0:22technically on many levels that we can look to to be remain very
- 0:28excited about the future for gold and silver.
- 0:31We're going to cover all those in this video today.
- 0:33A whole broad range of reasons why even though it may feel
- 0:39really challenging and cruddy right now, the reality is
- 0:42something much, much different. And don't forget, sentiment runs
- 0:47in cycles. That's the general mood.
- 0:49And as it can be measured, I saw some measurements this morning
- 0:53that said we're not as low as we've been, but we're pretty
- 0:55darn close to being as low as we've been in a long while.
- 0:58The good news is sentiment itself goes in cycles up and
- 1:03down. I've been around this sector
- 1:05long enough to know, right? It goes from feeling like it's
- 1:09the end of the world, nobody ever wants to buy gold and
- 1:11silver or mining stocks again to kind of a mania type phase like
- 1:15we had back in January. Well, the good news is we're
- 1:19coming back up through a through from a through and we got a lot
- 1:22of good things to look forward to.
- 1:24Let's start with Peter Schiff, because gold is reclaiming,
- 1:29right? Not gaining, reclaiming.
- 1:32Its position is the world's reserve currency.
- 1:36We got a little clip from our friend Peter Schiff.
- 1:39Let's listen to what he has to say.
- 1:42And the world is now pulling the rug out from under the US.
- 1:46The dollar is going to collapse. The dollar is going to be
- 1:48replaced by gold. Central banks are buying gold.
- 1:51They. Are to back up their.
- 1:52Currencies, they're getting rid of.
- 1:53Dollars, they're getting rid of Treasuries.
- 1:55We are headed for a economic crisis again that will make the
- 1:592008 financial crisis look like a Sunday school picnic.
- 2:03The biggest difference between the crisis that we're about to
- 2:06have and the one we had back then is this one is all in
- 2:09America. It's not going to be exported to
- 2:11the rest of the world. It's not.
- 2:12It's a global financial crisis. It's an American financial
- 2:15crisis. Wow.
- 2:16So there you have it. You know what?
- 2:18He brings up a great point that we probably don't refer to as
- 2:24often as we could here on the channel.
- 2:26And that is, yeah, the 2008, that's almost been 20 years ago,
- 2:30the GFC, the 2008 financial crisis, yeah, it was really,
- 2:34really bad. But all they did was kick the
- 2:37can down the road. So now, right, as you know, as
- 2:40we've discussed ad nauseam, both fiscally, monetarily, even
- 2:44geopolitically, we're in a much different situation now.
- 2:49The, the, the, the factors that contributed to the great
- 2:52financial crisis have become much more exaggerated.
- 2:56What we could be in for could be even more.
- 2:58Now it's not just the big central banks buying gold, like
- 3:01you said, it's the big thanks. Let's do a quick review of some
- 3:06good news from the big banks, what they're telling us about
- 3:10gold. Here's the most recent end of
- 3:13year price targets by bank. JP Morgan $6300, Wells Fargo
- 3:216300 dollars Bank of America 6000, UBS as high as 7200.
- 3:27Goldman Sachs comes in on the low end, but we'll cut them a
- 3:31little slack. 5400 and Morgan Stanley is calling for $4800.
- 3:38Now when we look at silver, this is a great chart, OK, This shows
- 3:44how silver has performed as of yesterday, May 4th.
- 3:48On a one year basis, silver up 127%, gold up 37%, the S&P 5000
- 3:58up 30%. Look how much silver has
- 4:01outperformed these other assets, the Dow 20% and Bitcoin down by
- 4:0716%. So that begs the question, I
- 4:11love this and I think you will too.
- 4:15Before we do that, I do want to say thank you to channel sponsor
- 4:18First Mint. If you want to get your hands on
- 4:20some of that silver, if you're a believer in silver, check out
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- 4:38Here's their website. You can check them out at First
- 4:40mint.com. There's their Hail to the Chief
- 4:43coin. Yep.
- 4:44And they still have $2 off on all silver rounds right now.
- 4:49And Please note that the prices that you see on their website
- 4:52already include the discount. And they do engraving on bars,
- 4:57which is really cool as well. Let me show you this.
- 5:01This is the five ounce bar from First Mint upstairs.
- 5:04Susie, it's like her absolute favorite.
- 5:07She loves this thing. So again, you can go to
- 5:09firstment.com. Don't forget there is a discount
- 5:12code VIPRB, very important person, Ron's basement, you'll
- 5:16get a little discount there as well.
- 5:18So here's the question. This is great if you were
- 5:28bullish on gold and silver on January 29th, right when silver
- 5:35hit $120.00 per oz, but now you're bearish on PMS. I have
- 5:41one question for you. Have the fundamentals improved
- 5:44for the US government debt in U.S. dollar global reserve
- 5:48status since January 30th? If the honest answer is no, then
- 5:53you were never a gold or silver bull.
- 5:55You were just a momentum bull. And what he's bringing up is a
- 6:00powerful point. Those factors that were in place
- 6:03that drove gold and silver to those high levels in on January
- 6:0629th, all of those factors are still in place and the argument
- 6:11can be made a few of them have been made even more, a little
- 6:15more bullish for the gold and silver sector.
- 6:19Again, I want to mention I was looking at statistics this
- 6:23morning, the sentiment in the precious metal sector, the
- 6:26precious metal mining stock sector is back toward like
- 6:30pretty super low levels guys. That alone is that sentiment.
- 6:35Sentiment goes in waves. As that changes, that will be a
- 6:39big supportive factor for the gold and silver price.
- 6:44Here we go. Here a great chart from
- 6:46goldpredictors.com. This is the gold channel that we
- 6:50are in. We are still in the the upward
- 6:54sloping channel that goes back what all the way to March of
- 6:592024. This is 2 years.
- 7:04So the gold price is also right now experiencing very, very
- 7:10solid, let's say technical, Technical Support as we go
- 7:15forward. Now let's go out here to, I
- 7:18think this one is from Michael Oliver.
- 7:21Silver price as a, this is a different way to look at the
- 7:24silver price. The silver price as a percentage
- 7:28of the gold price, the silver to gold ratio right now we are at
- 7:341.6%. Again, people are calling for a
- 7:38slingshot move, right? Gold doesn't even have to go up.
- 7:42But if we got back to the where we were in 2011, the silver
- 7:47price would almost would be double where it is right now at
- 7:51its peak. OK, the silver price as a
- 7:55percentage of the gold price was as high as 6.5% in 1980.
- 8:01That would be an almost 4X in the silver price.
- 8:07So that's what what people are referring to when they're when
- 8:11they're talking about a slingshot move in the silver
- 8:15price relative to gold. Next up, we are going to look at
- 8:20the explosive demand from robotics.
- 8:25OK guys, this is something super cool that nobody is really
- 8:30paying much attention to at this point when it comes to silver.
- 8:35We talk about all these other sources of demand and don't you
- 8:38worry, we're going to run through those as well.
- 8:40But robotics is just getting started.
- 8:43The estimates on the number of robots that are going to be
- 8:46produced in the coming 10 to 20 years are absolutely mind
- 8:51numbing here. Let's go.
- 8:52Let's go look at the numbers first, then we'll come back to
- 8:55this chart. This comes from King Kong 9888
- 9:01Eric Young, who says total silver needed for 1 billion
- 9:05humanoid robots and an average of 15 grams.
- 9:09That's what they're estimating. Each one of these robots will
- 9:12have 15 grams, about 1/2 ounce of silver per robot.
- 9:16This equates to roughly 482,000,000 Troy ounces of
- 9:21silver permanently embedded, comparable to multiple years of
- 9:26global mine production in major new structural demand driver.
- 9:32OK, this comes from a report from Morgan Stanley and here is
- 9:36the chart. Now this chart starts, OK,
- 9:40starts in 2025 where you can see the orange bar is silver demand.
- 9:48OK. So we almost have zero demand in
- 9:512025, even 5 years from now, four years from now, not a lot.
- 9:56But as you can see, as we move out to 203520402045 and 2050,
- 10:03it's anticipated that we are going to have massive levels of
- 10:07new demand for silver from robotics.
- 10:11And again, that's we don't even hear about that.
- 10:14It's kind of like jewelry, right?
- 10:15Think about it. It's from a big picture demand
- 10:18perspective for silver solar. We saw charts yesterday, off the
- 10:23charts, pardon the pun, electric vehicles, solid-state batteries
- 10:27projected to, to to demand significant more amounts of
- 10:32silver, AI energy jewelry, which is the big wild card and then of
- 10:39course, tokenization of silver. And of course, investor demand,
- 10:45right? Investors going from selling
- 10:47silver to just actually not selling silver and God forbid
- 10:51buying silver in the United States.
- 10:54These are all massive potential future demand sources for
- 10:58silver, which probably explains why our next little clip why he
- 11:06says how long you should how, how you should approach your
- 11:11silver investment in terms of how long you should hold, when
- 11:17you should sell. This is Bert Dolman,
- 11:23professional trader. Guy's been around a long time.
- 11:26Everybody listens to him. Listen to what he's on Kitco.
- 11:30Listen to what he has to say about silver and he talks about,
- 11:34let me preface this, what he's talking about is if we have a
- 11:37big market correction which I believe he is predicting that we
- 11:41will likely have a brief sell off in gold and silver.
- 11:46But how to approach that? And how to approach the next 5
- 11:49to 10 years with silver? And so the precious metals will
- 11:53have a decline, but always bottoms out much earlier than
- 11:58the general stock market. And as soon as the big investors
- 12:02decide they want to get in again, they will buy it.
- 12:05And then you'll see gold and silver, they're going to fly Sky
- 12:07Eye. But the first you're going to
- 12:09have that decline and that's going to discourage a lot of
- 12:11people. And so that's why you have to
- 12:14make up your mind right now and write it down what your decision
- 12:17is that you will not sell for the next 5 years, OK?
- 12:21That is so important because people that they think they're
- 12:24long term investors, suddenly they become, there's a market,
- 12:27they kind of become short term investors and they become
- 12:29traders. They say, Oh no, I wouldn't
- 12:31trade this market. And that that does wrong.
- 12:34You know, Jesse Livermore, he was the greatest trader in
- 12:361920s, made lots of money short term trading on the floor of the
- 12:39exchange, OK. But he said in 1935 after the
- 12:43crash and saw it, he said the big money is made by sitting,
- 12:47not by training. That's that's a very important
- 12:50statement for. Very important statement from
- 12:53Jesse Livermore. Oh, hold on here guys.
- 13:15OK, very important, very important piece of advice from
- 13:20Jesse Livermore. The real money is made by
- 13:23holding. OK, the book, Jesse Livermore,
- 13:26I've got it right over here. Revelations of a stock operator,
- 13:29like the classic trading book of all time.
- 13:31What he said, what Bert said is hold your silver for five years.
- 13:36He said write it down. We talk about that all the time.
- 13:40Please, if you know, I don't give financial advice, I'm not a
- 13:43financial advisor, but I will give two pieces of advice.
- 13:46Number one, always be responsible.
- 13:49Don't expose yourself to too much risk and #2 always try to
- 13:55try to strip out emotions from any trading or financial
- 13:59decision that you're making. OK?
- 14:01Now Next up the big story, it's big headline news right now is
- 14:06our, our interest rates on the US Treasury bonds.
- 14:09Let's look at what's going on. This is what everybody's talking
- 14:13about. This is the 30 year Treasury
- 14:16today. It's it, it blipped above 5%
- 14:19recently. We're still right up at 5%.
- 14:22This is causing a lot of drama, a lot of big, you know, a lot of
- 14:26big financial pundits are saying, Oh my gosh, Oh my gosh.
- 14:30Here's an article from Yahoo Finance.
- 14:33The long bond is back in Wall Street's danger zone.
- 14:36OK. But I'm going to tell you why we
- 14:38as precious metals investors don't need to worry about it.
- 14:41But there's a couple paragraphs, OK?
- 14:43This talks about October 2023 was one of the last times that
- 14:48the 30 year yield rose above 5%. That's when investors priced and
- 14:54higher for longer FED policy. Heavy, heavier heavy treasury
- 14:59supply, weak auction demand in the S&P dropped about 6% before
- 15:03cooler inflation data in the Fed pivot helped yield.
- 15:07The fall helped up yields fall and stocks recover.
- 15:11I want to point out to you that at that point in October of
- 15:132023, the gold price was $1800 per oz.
- 15:18This time is different. The move comes with more moving
- 15:21parts, higher oil prices, war risk, sticky inflation concerns,
- 15:26heavy Treasury supply in a Federal Reserve leadership
- 15:30transaction transition. Jerome Powell just shared his
- 15:33final Fed meeting. Wash is on deck and markets are
- 15:36again asking how much pain Washington is willing to
- 15:40tolerate in a long in long term rates.
- 15:43Here's why. It does not matter period #1
- 15:49inflation rules the day at this point.
- 15:53And what's even more interesting about what's happening right
- 15:56now, everybody knows that the Fed cannot tolerate these high
- 16:00interest rates, especially on the 30 year Treasury.
- 16:04They will monetize the debt, right?
- 16:06That's a fancy way of saying something very simple.
- 16:10What that means is the Fed will print money out of thin air and
- 16:14buy those long term treasury bonds.
- 16:17It's almost like buying something from yourself, right?
- 16:20Which doesn't make sense. But a lot about what the Fed
- 16:23does with monetary and fiscal policy doesn't make sense.
- 16:27They when they print money and buy those long term bonds that
- 16:31will create even more inflation. We are in a situation right now
- 16:37where inflation drives the boat. OK.
- 16:40And that boat happens to be called the USS Titanic, as many
- 16:45of us know. All right, But one more big hot
- 16:48topic that we've been covering on the channel is the
- 16:54tokenization of gold. And we've got another a guy who
- 16:58I know is like the smart people out there, people like Vince
- 17:01Lancey are covering it. But now we've got Marin Catoosa,
- 17:05who I saw last night put this out.
- 17:08OK, while you while you debated gold's top, Tether doubled down
- 17:1346 tons to 135 tons in the last three years of gold, 3 billion
- 17:20to 20 billion. A crypto company is now one of
- 17:23the largest private holders of physical gold on earth, and
- 17:28they're still buying. OK Marin Catoosa is one of the
- 17:32smartest minds out there in the gold and silver sector.
- 17:35He's a guy who looks around the corner, a guy who looks around
- 17:39the looks into the future and sees what's coming.
- 17:42Vince Lancey's also talking about a Tether and keeping a
- 17:46close eye on Tether. We are keeping a close eye on
- 17:49Tether. Why?
- 17:50Because they're tokenizing gold, but the tokenize gold or the
- 17:54tokenize silver for that matter, There's something very important
- 17:58that needs to happen 1st, and that is that these companies
- 18:02have to buy the physical metal. So you don't have to like crypto
- 18:07or like blockchain or agree with tokenization.
- 18:10Any of that doesn't matter. The fact is that these big
- 18:14companies that are looking to tokenize precious metals, the
- 18:17very first thing they got to do is buy the metal before they
- 18:23tokenize it. It's going to be, again, on top
- 18:26of robotics and everything else that we talked about, one of the
- 18:29major drivers of demand for metals as we go into the next 5
- 18:33to 10 years. Hey guys, thanks for joining us
- 18:36down here in the basement today. Please, if you haven't already,
- 18:39subscribe to the channel. It's always a big honor to have
- 18:42you down here. We are the basement dwellers.
- 18:44Take care. Have a great day and we'll see
- 18:47you soon.