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NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Saturday 2/28/26 · Toadstool Sports

0:00
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
0:06
Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
0:08
Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
0:11
Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
0:14
Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
0:17
Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
0:20
Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
0:25
Speaker 1: not a good day at all all in four that
0:29
Speaker 1: have not had a good season. Man with wickens the
0:33
Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
0:37
Speaker 1: a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my Bruins
0:41
Speaker 1: hat man. I don't know what is going on with
0:43
Speaker 1: the Bruins arch epe is that what it is? I
0:46
Speaker 1: don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think who
0:49
Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day it is anymore.
0:52
Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man's back
0:55
Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have.
0:59
Speaker 1: Back with you. I always am until I die, at
1:03
Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not
1:06
Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five the worst month that
1:10
Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
1:13
Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
1:15
Speaker 1: To the slump, praise, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
1:20
Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
1:24
Speaker 1: I should do at this point, other than potentially end
1:27
Speaker 1: it all. What's up, everybody, It's Toad back with you
1:36
Speaker 1: Toadstool Sports. This is the Saturday, February twenty eighth edition.
1:39
Speaker 1: Thanks for people who hung out with the basketball show
1:43
Speaker 1: College Basketball that I just did for whatever two plus hours.
1:47
Speaker 1: To go check that out before the games kick off.
1:50
Speaker 1: I will reiterate my college basketball plays at the end
1:52
Speaker 1: of this show. We got five of them. I'm gonna
1:54
Speaker 1: add one NHL play, one NBA play here. That's what
1:57
Speaker 1: we're gonna talk about here, JC. What's up? Thanks for
2:00
Speaker 1: hanging out, JC is everywhere. We went one and two
2:05
Speaker 1: on the show last night. I'm not happy about that.
2:07
Speaker 1: George Washington. Everything that I said was an outlier in
2:11
Speaker 1: the first matchup happened again. They couldn't hit any of
2:13
Speaker 1: their free throws, they won the rebounding battle again. I
2:17
Speaker 1: believe it's still lost. The game. Just absolutely ridiculous. I
2:20
Speaker 1: don't know what to tell you about. That caught Dayton
2:23
Speaker 1: in a really good spot to catch them, I thought,
2:25
Speaker 1: in a huge letdown. And then, of course my second
2:27
Speaker 1: strongest opinion, Kenes just gets the outright win. So isn't
2:31
Speaker 1: that just great? Fuck George Washington, of course the school
2:36
Speaker 1: more so than the president, but you know whatever, I mean,
2:41
Speaker 1: he did enact the whiskey what was it again? The
2:45
Speaker 1: he was trying to crack down on on private whiskey
2:49
Speaker 1: makers because he had his own whiskey distillery. So that
2:51
Speaker 1: was pretty bad. The whiskey rebellion scenario or whatever the
2:56
Speaker 1: hell was going on there. It's our early man. Still,
2:59
Speaker 1: I forget everything. I'll we won on Utah and hockey.
3:02
Speaker 1: That was an easy win with the Mammoth. The Mammoth
3:05
Speaker 1: got it done. And then Brooklyn in the NBA, dude,
3:08
Speaker 1: they ran into a historic shooting night for the Celtics.
3:11
Speaker 1: The Celtics hit like sixty five percent from three point
3:14
Speaker 1: range and they take an ass load of threes like
3:18
Speaker 1: it was their third best shooting game in like franchise history,
3:22
Speaker 1: maybe an NBA hit I don't even know, it might
3:24
Speaker 1: have been in an NBA history. Like that's what we
3:26
Speaker 1: were up against some historic performance. If you were to
3:29
Speaker 1: tell me before the game started that Brooklyn was gonna
3:31
Speaker 1: score more than one hundred and ten in the game,
3:34
Speaker 1: would have been like, yeah, they're obviously gonna cover if
3:36
Speaker 1: they scored that many points. But no, the Celtics scored
3:39
Speaker 1: almost one fifty in the game because they literally could
3:41
Speaker 1: not miss a shot. Absolutely insane, although at least I'm
3:45
Speaker 1: a Celtics fan. But let's just move on to today. Man. No,
3:51
Speaker 1: the Spurs are not going all the way. They do
3:52
Speaker 1: not have the experience factor, and I do not think
3:56
Speaker 1: they're gonna be able to beat Oklahoma City in a
3:59
Speaker 1: seven games series either, dirty sock. What's up? Yes, I'm
4:03
Speaker 1: an O and a toad? What's up everybody? Yeah? The
4:07
Speaker 1: Whiskey Rebellion? That thing? All right? NHL is where we're
4:12
Speaker 1: starting here. I got one play here. Like I said,
4:15
Speaker 1: the first game up is at noon, actually twelve thirty,
4:18
Speaker 1: excuse me. On ABC, Pittsburgh at New York, the Sydney Crosbylist.
4:24
Speaker 1: Still I believe Penguins at the Rangers. Penguins did get
4:28
Speaker 1: a win in their first game out of the break.
4:30
Speaker 1: I think that was their first game, right, Yeah, they
4:32
Speaker 1: beat New Jersey. Easy win there. Now they gotta go
4:35
Speaker 1: to the Rangers. But maybe because it's a TV game
4:39
Speaker 1: at Madison Square, maybe they'll show up. But they did
4:41
Speaker 1: just beat the Rangers on January thirty first by one
4:45
Speaker 1: in Pittsburgh, so maybe the Rangers will show up for
4:48
Speaker 1: that reason. Pittsburgh does have Vegas on deck, which is
4:52
Speaker 1: another TV game, maybe a bigger game than this one is.
4:55
Speaker 1: But the Rangers they lost again at home. I believe
4:59
Speaker 1: it was a overtime game, yeah, against Philadelphia. So this
5:04
Speaker 1: Rangers team, they are just an unbelievable nightmare at home. Dude.
5:08
Speaker 1: And by the way, it's just stirk And actually returned
5:11
Speaker 1: in that game, so we might get him again into
5:13
Speaker 1: night's game, and that is an improvement. He is their
5:15
Speaker 1: better goalie and maybe he was rusty coming into that game,
5:18
Speaker 1: so maybe you will get a better performance from the
5:20
Speaker 1: Rangers here. I don't really disagree with the Rangers side
5:24
Speaker 1: in this game. It's just that there's no way that
5:26
Speaker 1: I can take the Rangers at home. There's six fifteen
5:29
Speaker 1: and fifty and five excuse me at home? Man. It's
5:32
Speaker 1: just it is bad. They're They're the worst home team
5:34
Speaker 1: that I've ever seen. It's unbelievable how bad they are
5:37
Speaker 1: at home, and the money is actually coming in on Pittsburgh,
5:40
Speaker 1: up from minus one ten to minus one nineteen, seventy
5:43
Speaker 1: one percent of the tickets eighty four percent of cash
5:45
Speaker 1: on them. So the money's coming in on Pittsburgh. I'll
5:50
Speaker 1: slightly lean to the Rangers there, but there's no way
5:53
Speaker 1: that I want that My Boston Bruins are at the
5:57
Speaker 1: Philadelphia of Liars here. Bruins gotta win coming out of
6:00
Speaker 1: the break. They beat the Columbus Blue Jackets, whatever, Now
6:04
Speaker 1: they got to go to Philadelphia. It is a TV game.
6:07
Speaker 1: Philadelphia has had an okay season, but they've kind of
6:11
Speaker 1: trailed off a little bit. I do think the Bruins
6:13
Speaker 1: are overrated as far as their record is concerned. For Philadelphia,
6:17
Speaker 1: they are playing a third game in four and a's
6:19
Speaker 1: though all in different cities, coming off an overtime game
6:22
Speaker 1: against the Rangers, so they're the less rested team here
6:26
Speaker 1: with the Bruins having only played one game out of
6:28
Speaker 1: the break. The money is coming in on Philadelphia, though,
6:31
Speaker 1: after they dropped from minus one thirty to minus one fifteen.
6:34
Speaker 1: Now I think the public might look at this and
6:36
Speaker 1: think it looks pretty easy to take the Bruins because
6:39
Speaker 1: they have a really good record. Oh my god, the
6:41
Speaker 1: team with the better records an underdog. The oddsmakers are
6:44
Speaker 1: telling you, though, that the Bruins are not really that good.
6:47
Speaker 1: Seventy three percent of the tickets are on Boston, fifty
6:50
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Philadelphia, though the market rita
6:55
Speaker 1: saying Philadelphia. I don't have a strong reason to really
6:59
Speaker 1: disagree with it, but I have a strong opinion on
7:01
Speaker 1: it at all. Next game up is my second strongest
7:03
Speaker 1: opinion in hockey, and this one almost made the cut
7:07
Speaker 1: for me. This is basically, you're never as good as
7:10
Speaker 1: you look in your best game versus you're never as
7:12
Speaker 1: bad as you look in your worst game. Going on here,
7:14
Speaker 1: this is Edmonton at San Jose. Edmonton just beat the
7:18
Speaker 1: Kings eight to one on the road. I mean, come on, man,
7:22
Speaker 1: it was on the back end of a back to
7:23
Speaker 1: back two you beat anybody eight to one. I think
7:26
Speaker 1: you're gonna be feeling pretty high on yourselves after that.
7:29
Speaker 1: And now they're playing a third game in four days,
7:32
Speaker 1: all in different cities, although the first two were Anaheim
7:35
Speaker 1: in La so not far between the two. But still,
7:38
Speaker 1: this is a difficult set up for Edmonton. Man, they
7:41
Speaker 1: might just be riding that high off of that ridiculous
7:43
Speaker 1: blowout win. Whenever you see a team win by that, yeah,
7:46
Speaker 1: I don't think you want to be on that team
7:48
Speaker 1: in the next game. And on the other side of things,
7:50
Speaker 1: we have a San Jose team that played once out
7:53
Speaker 1: of the break, and they did not have that break
7:57
Speaker 1: disrupt their losing momentum. It continues, the slump continued and
8:01
Speaker 1: they lost again. You know, really bad performance at home
8:04
Speaker 1: against Calgary, who is ass and one of the few
8:07
Speaker 1: teams that's probably actually worse than San Jose because San
8:11
Speaker 1: Jose I don't think as good as their record looks,
8:13
Speaker 1: but that was a horrible game for them, losing four
8:15
Speaker 1: to one, and they're staying at home. They might have
8:17
Speaker 1: already been looking ahead to Edmonton. Who knows, but you
8:20
Speaker 1: know they're gonna get up for a game at home
8:22
Speaker 1: against the Oilers. Man, I would play San Jose in
8:25
Speaker 1: this one if I was gonna play it. Edmonton is
8:27
Speaker 1: down for minus one sixty to minus one fifty five,
8:30
Speaker 1: eighty five percent of the tickets on Edmonton seventy four
8:33
Speaker 1: percent of the cash, So they're a public team with
8:35
Speaker 1: less than the money on them. This would be one
8:37
Speaker 1: of those scenarios were I'd probably split the bet between
8:40
Speaker 1: the puck line and the money line for San Jose,
8:42
Speaker 1: like make your own plus one puck line and then
8:45
Speaker 1: push the bet if they lose by exactly one. But
8:47
Speaker 1: I think you'll get a good effort out of San
8:49
Speaker 1: Jose in that one. If you want to be really ballsy,
8:52
Speaker 1: you could just play San Jose on the money line.
8:54
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not really gonna disagree with you if
8:56
Speaker 1: you do that. New Jersey at Saint Louis. This is
9:00
Speaker 1: a hard one for me to figure out. New Jersey
9:02
Speaker 1: has lost both games coming out of the break and
9:04
Speaker 1: they're playing a third game in four tod's now all
9:07
Speaker 1: in different cities. But they lost both games by combined
9:10
Speaker 1: six to one score. But they do a Florida on
9:14
Speaker 1: deck in a TV game, so there is the potential
9:16
Speaker 1: of a look ahead here and the travel spot the
9:19
Speaker 1: lack of rest spot is not exactly great for New
9:22
Speaker 1: Jersey here. Uh Saint Louis coming into this one, They've
9:26
Speaker 1: only played once out of the break and they won
9:28
Speaker 1: against Seattle five to one. Look pretty impressive and doing so,
9:33
Speaker 1: maybe they're gonna be looking ahead as well because they
9:35
Speaker 1: got Minnesota on deck, and maybe they don't care about
9:37
Speaker 1: New Jersey that much. The money is coming into New Jersey.
9:40
Speaker 1: For what it's worth, they are the better team. They're
9:42
Speaker 1: the favorite on the road down for minus one to
9:44
Speaker 1: ten to minus one to eight, seventy three percent of
9:47
Speaker 1: the tickets, eighty five percent of the cash on them.
9:51
Speaker 1: Really really difficult read in this game for me, man,
9:53
Speaker 1: I don't really have a strong reason and not agree
9:57
Speaker 1: with the Devils in that one, but I don't love
10:00
Speaker 1: the game at all. The next game up is my
10:02
Speaker 1: play and you know where we're going with this because
10:04
Speaker 1: I feel like I play on this team all the time.
10:07
Speaker 1: It's just like they're constantly undervalued or something. We're playing
10:11
Speaker 1: the Columbus Blue Jackets again. The b Js at minus
10:14
Speaker 1: one p thirty on the money line here, So yes,
10:17
Speaker 1: they are a favorite. But that's gonna catch people's eye, right, like,
10:20
Speaker 1: why would Columbus be a favorite against the Islanders and
10:24
Speaker 1: the Islanders have been good, they have this really good record.
10:27
Speaker 1: Well the reason for that is the Columbus is just
10:32
Speaker 1: not that bad and the Islanders are probably not as
10:34
Speaker 1: good as their record looks Columbus has actually been pretty
10:37
Speaker 1: solid at home fifteen eight and four at home, although
10:39
Speaker 1: I know we're going up against an Islander team that
10:41
Speaker 1: is good on the road as well seventeen eleven and
10:44
Speaker 1: three on the road. But this is all about the
10:47
Speaker 1: spot too, so there's not really a huge home road
10:51
Speaker 1: dichotomy here between the two teams, with both teams, you know,
10:55
Speaker 1: being in decent splits here. But look at what the
10:58
Speaker 1: Islanders have come off of many It came out of
11:00
Speaker 1: the break and they played a huge overtime game against Montreal,
11:03
Speaker 1: a team that's having a really good season, and they
11:06
Speaker 1: were a road underdog in that game and they pulled
11:08
Speaker 1: off the upset in overtime. Now they have this Columbus
11:11
Speaker 1: game where I really don't know how much attention they're
11:14
Speaker 1: gonna pay to Columbus when on deck they got Florida,
11:17
Speaker 1: the back to back returning shams coming into their place
11:20
Speaker 1: on ESPN. So yeah, it's kind of a weird spot
11:24
Speaker 1: for them to have to go out to Ohio for
11:26
Speaker 1: this game coming from Montreal, and then they got a
11:28
Speaker 1: huge game back home in New York against Florida on
11:31
Speaker 1: deck on ESPN, So yeah, I believe this is a
11:34
Speaker 1: sandwich spot. Columbus had that loss out of the break
11:38
Speaker 1: at Boston. I think the break disrupted their losing momentum,
11:42
Speaker 1: and now they have a game out of the way.
11:44
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna show up for this game. This
11:45
Speaker 1: is their first home game since prior to the break,
11:49
Speaker 1: so and they do do better at home coming off
11:52
Speaker 1: a loss. I like it. We'll be on Columbus here.
11:55
Speaker 1: The market is strongly agreeing with this one. It looks
11:57
Speaker 1: like with fifty to fifty on the tickets, but ninety
12:00
Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on Columbus, they are up
12:02
Speaker 1: for minus one twenty five to minus one thirty five. Yeah,
12:07
Speaker 1: try to find that money line at like below one forty,
12:09
Speaker 1: I would say, and get in on that one. Charles,
12:13
Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out everybody? All right? Uh?
12:17
Speaker 1: Chicago at Colorado. This is obviously gonna be the biggest
12:21
Speaker 1: line on the hockey board today. Is Chicago's bad? Colorado
12:26
Speaker 1: is good? Colorado's gonna be a huge favorite. Chicago lost
12:30
Speaker 1: to their rival Nashville coming out of the break. Now
12:33
Speaker 1: they're gonna go to elevation to play Colorado. Don't know
12:36
Speaker 1: how up they're gonna be for this game, Colorado took
12:40
Speaker 1: a bad loss, even though it was to a decent
12:42
Speaker 1: Minnesota team, but that was on a back to back. Actually, dude,
12:46
Speaker 1: they played two games out of the break. They beat
12:48
Speaker 1: Utah and then on the quick turnaround back to back,
12:51
Speaker 1: coming back home, they lost to Minnesota. So they are
12:54
Speaker 1: playing a third game in four days. But they are
12:56
Speaker 1: staying at home now off a pretty ugly loss. You
12:59
Speaker 1: might get a good effort out of Colorado here in
13:01
Speaker 1: this one. I don't want to play this game at all.
13:03
Speaker 1: I mean, they're a huge favorite. Down from minus three
13:05
Speaker 1: to sixty five to minus three twenty eight, ninety three
13:09
Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash
13:12
Speaker 1: on Colorado. I don't even know how to read that market,
13:15
Speaker 1: to be honest, Like there'll be a public side, you know,
13:19
Speaker 1: if you want Colorado in any capacity, I would say,
13:22
Speaker 1: maybe go over their team total and just get them
13:25
Speaker 1: to score a bunch of goals here and maybe that
13:29
Speaker 1: will be the turnaround that they'll have there. You know,
13:32
Speaker 1: I don't love the game at all. Yes, well yeah, everybody.
13:37
Speaker 1: Do you know if you're a private pooper, then yes,
13:40
Speaker 1: doing it at home is a lot better. Yes, Ottawa
13:44
Speaker 1: at Toronto, and these two teams not having excellent seasons
13:47
Speaker 1: here their their rivals in the province of Ontario. Ottawa
13:52
Speaker 1: coming off a tough loss to Detroit in overtime. Detroit
13:56
Speaker 1: a good team this season, Man's that was a big game,
13:59
Speaker 1: and they do have a big game on deck against Edmonton.
14:01
Speaker 1: But I don't really see them overlooking a game against
14:05
Speaker 1: Toronto because these two teams really don't like each other.
14:08
Speaker 1: Toronto's coming out of a real ugly loss against Florida,
14:12
Speaker 1: losing five to one, but they are returning home from Florida.
14:15
Speaker 1: They had to play Tampa Bay and Florida back to
14:17
Speaker 1: back on Wednesday Thursday. Now they're coming home, playing a
14:20
Speaker 1: third game in four and as all in different cities,
14:22
Speaker 1: and traveling back up to Canada from Florida. So the
14:25
Speaker 1: travel spat does look kind of brutal for Toronto. Here.
14:30
Speaker 1: The money is coming in on Ottawa. They're up for
14:32
Speaker 1: minus one ten to minus one twenty one, sixty two
14:34
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, sixty seven percent of
14:37
Speaker 1: tickets on Toronto. So there is a pretty big pros
14:40
Speaker 1: versus Joe's split showing up in the market here, at
14:43
Speaker 1: least for now, with the money coming in on Ottawa.
14:45
Speaker 1: I don't really have a strong disagreement with that. The
14:48
Speaker 1: market is saying Ottawa, but it's not a game that
14:50
Speaker 1: I'm really interested in at all. Washington at Montreal. Washington
14:54
Speaker 1: won last night, I believe, in a nice win over Vegas.
14:58
Speaker 1: Now they're on a back to back, having to travel
15:00
Speaker 1: to Montreal for a single game, which is kind of
15:03
Speaker 1: an odd spot. Maybe they'll be in a letdown off
15:06
Speaker 1: of the win over Vegas. Although I don't think they're
15:08
Speaker 1: gonna overlook Montreal because Montreal has had a good season.
15:11
Speaker 1: Montreal is coming up of a big game as well,
15:13
Speaker 1: where they lost an overtime against the Islanders, but they
15:17
Speaker 1: had yesterday off and they're staying at home, so I
15:19
Speaker 1: do think the spot is a little bit better for Montreal.
15:21
Speaker 1: Here the money is agreeing with Montreal fifty tickets ninety
15:26
Speaker 1: two percent of the cash, and then they're up for
15:27
Speaker 1: minus one to fifty five to minus one sixty five.
15:30
Speaker 1: I don't really disagree. It would be like a make
15:33
Speaker 1: your own minus one puck line situation if I was
15:36
Speaker 1: gonna play that one Buffalo at Tampa Bay. You'll notice
15:40
Speaker 1: that Tampa Bay is a massive favorite in this game,
15:42
Speaker 1: so the odds makers are still telling you Buffalo is
15:45
Speaker 1: not really what they look like as far as their record.
15:48
Speaker 1: They've won both games coming out of the break against
15:50
Speaker 1: New Jersey and Florida, both on the road, and now
15:53
Speaker 1: they're playing a third road game in four days and
15:56
Speaker 1: a back to back. I don't exactly love the spot Buffalo.
16:01
Speaker 1: I mean, generally, yes, you should get an effort from
16:04
Speaker 1: them against a good team like Tampa, but the fatigue
16:07
Speaker 1: problem here might be real. Tampa's coming off a tough
16:10
Speaker 1: game too, though they were run a back to back.
16:13
Speaker 1: After they beat Toronto, they had to go to Carolina.
16:16
Speaker 1: They played a good game against a very good Carolina
16:18
Speaker 1: team and they lost five to four. So they're coming
16:21
Speaker 1: out of a very difficult game too. But they are
16:24
Speaker 1: back at home. They do have a day off, although
16:26
Speaker 1: they are playing a third game in four days. They
16:28
Speaker 1: use Johanson in their last game in Nets, so it
16:31
Speaker 1: will be their better goalie back here with Vasilevski, so
16:35
Speaker 1: Tampa does have that advantage of the they're using their
16:38
Speaker 1: better goalie here. The money looks like it is on
16:41
Speaker 1: Tampa after they dropped for minus two forty to minus
16:43
Speaker 1: two twenty five seventy six percent of the tickets eighty
16:46
Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on Tampa. I think the
16:49
Speaker 1: public might want to take a shot with Buffalo here
16:52
Speaker 1: because they've looked good coming out of the break, and
16:54
Speaker 1: their record looks really good and it looks very enticing.
16:57
Speaker 1: I think to take them as an underdog, I probably wouldn't.
17:00
Speaker 1: I would probably lean towards Tampa here. Both teams are
17:03
Speaker 1: in pretty ugly spots though, so I would not really
17:05
Speaker 1: disagree with an over in this one either, even though
17:08
Speaker 1: I know Tampa does have their better goalie in net here.
17:10
Speaker 1: But the money looks like it is indicating on the over,
17:13
Speaker 1: and it is a high total at six and a half,
17:15
Speaker 1: So just you know, food for thought there. Detroit at
17:19
Speaker 1: Carolina one of the other pretty good games of the
17:21
Speaker 1: night here in the nights late here, of course, because
17:24
Speaker 1: we do have a few after noon games today. The
17:26
Speaker 1: afternoon games are Pittsburgh versus the Rangers, Boston Philadelphia and
17:31
Speaker 1: Edmonton San Jose, and then there's a weird five pm
17:34
Speaker 1: game as the Devil's in Saint Louis, and then we
17:36
Speaker 1: get into the evening stuff. Detroit coming up that win
17:39
Speaker 1: against Ottawa. It was a close call, though, but they
17:42
Speaker 1: almost lost to kind of an inferior Autawa team. Now
17:45
Speaker 1: they got to step up and play Carolina. Carolina is
17:49
Speaker 1: coming up that monster game where they beat Tampa Bay.
17:51
Speaker 1: That was a huge win for Carolina. So I probably
17:54
Speaker 1: lean to Detroit in this one. I think you might
17:56
Speaker 1: see Carolina in maybe a slight letdown whards Detroit. I'm
18:00
Speaker 1: not kind of a questionable performance. Let's say, even though
18:03
Speaker 1: they did get the win, Carolina down for minus two
18:06
Speaker 1: to ten to minus win eighty five, looking like a
18:08
Speaker 1: very public side ninety two percent of the tickets and
18:11
Speaker 1: cash on them. I would go Detroit, probably split the
18:15
Speaker 1: bet puck line money line on that one, and then
18:18
Speaker 1: if they lose by one, you'll push the bet, do
18:20
Speaker 1: something like that pros versus Joe's versus yours. I don't
18:26
Speaker 1: remember what show that was. NHL Network has Calgary at
18:30
Speaker 1: the La Kings. This is the only televised night game.
18:35
Speaker 1: I don't know why this would be the one horrible game.
18:40
Speaker 1: Calgary is coming off that win over San Jose. Don't
18:42
Speaker 1: know how they did that, But this is the opposite
18:46
Speaker 1: end of the of the other situation I just talked
18:48
Speaker 1: about where Calgary won by quite a bit, then one
18:53
Speaker 1: four to one against San Jose, and they're gonna be
18:54
Speaker 1: playing the team that lost eight to one against Edmonton,
18:58
Speaker 1: which is the La Kings here, So I think you
19:00
Speaker 1: gotta look towards the Kings to bounce back here. Calgary
19:03
Speaker 1: pulled off kind of an absurd win against a team
19:06
Speaker 1: that's better than they are. Calgary is just not good LA.
19:09
Speaker 1: I mean, anytime you get a team that loses eight
19:12
Speaker 1: to one, especially at home, even though I know they're
19:14
Speaker 1: not a good home team, but they're staying at home.
19:17
Speaker 1: I know it's a third game in four days, but
19:19
Speaker 1: they had yesterday off to try to rest a little bit.
19:22
Speaker 1: That was a horrible game for them, So I think
19:24
Speaker 1: the Kings will bounce back. I know they do host
19:26
Speaker 1: Colorado next, but they're hosted to get a TV game here. Yeah,
19:31
Speaker 1: I think you'll get an effort from a team anytime
19:33
Speaker 1: they have such an ugly performance. So I like the
19:35
Speaker 1: Kings here. They're all the way down for minus one
19:37
Speaker 1: seventy eight to minus one forty five. There might have
19:40
Speaker 1: been a goaltender change or something. I don't know why
19:42
Speaker 1: that line would have moved like that. Sixty nine percent
19:45
Speaker 1: of the tickets in ninety two percent of the cash
19:47
Speaker 1: on the Kings. I agree with the Kings in that game.
19:49
Speaker 1: It would be probably a money line play for that one.
19:53
Speaker 1: Nashville is at Dallas. Nashville just won against Chicago. As
19:58
Speaker 1: I told you, those two teams really I don't like
20:00
Speaker 1: each other, so that's a nice win for them. But
20:02
Speaker 1: they're not going to overlook Dallas either. But having to
20:05
Speaker 1: go to Dallas maybe not the easiest thing to do Dallas.
20:10
Speaker 1: Both teams have only played one side of the break.
20:12
Speaker 1: Dallas got an easy win over Seattle. They are staying
20:14
Speaker 1: at home. The spot's not terrible for Dallas here. Dallas
20:19
Speaker 1: is a very public side though, ninety four percent of
20:21
Speaker 1: the tickets and cash down for minus one sixty to
20:24
Speaker 1: minus one fifty five. You know, these percentages are all
20:27
Speaker 1: probably not totally accurate right now, of course, because NHL
20:30
Speaker 1: also doesn't have high volume. But that's a game. It's
20:33
Speaker 1: a total stay away from me, and I actually might
20:35
Speaker 1: even lean into Dallas slightly in that one. But the
20:38
Speaker 1: money looks like it's probably disagreeing. I wouldn't want to
20:40
Speaker 1: play that public of a side, but it's not a
20:43
Speaker 1: horrible spot for Dallas. So I just don't really see
20:46
Speaker 1: what the issue really is there, other than the fact
20:51
Speaker 1: that maybe they're just considered to be overvalued right now.
20:53
Speaker 1: But they have Vancouver next, which is not a big
20:55
Speaker 1: deal at all, So you know, I think Dallas probably
20:59
Speaker 1: gets to win there. Vancouver at Seattle, this is a
21:02
Speaker 1: pretty ugly game. Vancouver's bad, Seattle's not as good as
21:06
Speaker 1: the record looks. Vancouver's had a couple of days off.
21:09
Speaker 1: They took Winnipeg into overtime. Maybe they will show up
21:11
Speaker 1: because they haven't won in a while. Seattle is off
21:15
Speaker 1: an ugly performance as well. They lost five to one,
21:18
Speaker 1: but they were on a back to back when they
21:19
Speaker 1: did that. They lost to Dallas the game before that.
21:21
Speaker 1: They had back to back games in different cities. Not easy.
21:25
Speaker 1: Now it is a third game in four days, all
21:27
Speaker 1: in different cities, and they do have Carolina on decks,
21:29
Speaker 1: so the spot is not exactly easy for Seattle. They're
21:33
Speaker 1: down for minus one seventy eight to minus one fifty six,
21:35
Speaker 1: eighty two percent of the tickets, ninety percent of the
21:38
Speaker 1: cash on them. I don't want to deal with the
21:40
Speaker 1: game at all, But I actually don't really love the
21:42
Speaker 1: spot for Seattle. I mean might slightlyan I might have
21:47
Speaker 1: a slight lean towards Vancouver in that one. Seattle's just
21:50
Speaker 1: really not as good as their record looks, and it's
21:52
Speaker 1: kind of a tough spot. But nothing I really want
21:55
Speaker 1: to do with that. Let's go to NBA and then
21:56
Speaker 1: I'll get out of here quick. You know, show here
22:00
Speaker 1: when it's not when we don't have to deal with
22:02
Speaker 1: college basketball. It's a lot quicker. Five NBA games here,
22:06
Speaker 1: there's or two afternoon games. One is at one pm
22:09
Speaker 1: Portland at Charlotte. It's a somewhat interesting game. I guess
22:13
Speaker 1: Portland did just beat Chicago and beat me. My NBA
22:18
Speaker 1: has been bad recently, man, I apologize it's not going well.
22:21
Speaker 1: I think I did get two wins in the NBA,
22:23
Speaker 1: and on one night, not that long ago, Portland did
22:26
Speaker 1: beat Chicago. Unfortunately they did cover. Now they're coming to Charlotte.
22:31
Speaker 1: Charlotte is coming off beating Indiana, but they are turning
22:33
Speaker 1: over from a road trip. It was a kind of
22:36
Speaker 1: quick road trip, but it was almost a week long.
22:38
Speaker 1: They've been away since Sunday, and you know, I talk
22:40
Speaker 1: about this when a team returns home from a road
22:42
Speaker 1: trip A lot of times they can get a little
22:43
Speaker 1: bit distracted, maybe not have full focus in that game,
22:46
Speaker 1: So I think I would probably lean towards Portland. But
22:49
Speaker 1: it's not a game that really has any strong like.
22:52
Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't have a strong opinion on
22:53
Speaker 1: this at all. The Hornets are a seven and a
22:55
Speaker 1: half point favorite, sixty percent of tickets seventy six percent
22:59
Speaker 1: of the cap them, but the line has dropped a
23:01
Speaker 1: little bit on them. I think I would lean slightly
23:04
Speaker 1: to taking the Blazers, though Amazon Prime has the other
23:08
Speaker 1: the better of the afternoon games, which is Houston at Miami.
23:12
Speaker 1: Houston's on a nice little role here. They are definitely
23:14
Speaker 1: a good team. They've won three in a row, but
23:17
Speaker 1: against three teams that are all worse than Miami is.
23:20
Speaker 1: And now they're playing a third game in four days,
23:22
Speaker 1: all in different cities, which is not gonna be that
23:25
Speaker 1: easy for them in Miami while they're returning home from
23:27
Speaker 1: a road trip. It was a quick two game road
23:29
Speaker 1: trip and they lost both games. Bad loss to Milwaukee
23:34
Speaker 1: and then lost to the Philadelphia seventy six ers as well.
23:37
Speaker 1: So even though they're in a return home spot, I
23:39
Speaker 1: don't really see them overlooking Houston on Amazon Prime. It
23:43
Speaker 1: was a quick trip that was only Tuesday Thursday. You know,
23:47
Speaker 1: two losses in a row, you've got to expect Miami
23:50
Speaker 1: will show up for this game. I think they're at
23:52
Speaker 1: pretty much full strength. I think they do have Hero back.
23:55
Speaker 1: He's played the last couple of games, so I would
23:57
Speaker 1: lean to Miami in this one. The market looks like
24:00
Speaker 1: it is all over Miami with Houston. Fifty percent of
24:03
Speaker 1: the tickets on them is a minus two and a
24:05
Speaker 1: half favorite ninety two percent of the cash though on Miami.
24:08
Speaker 1: I do agree with that, but it's not a strong
24:11
Speaker 1: opinion for me on that one. With the market read
24:13
Speaker 1: looks pretty strong on Miami. For what that's worth, it
24:16
Speaker 1: does look way too easy to lay the very short
24:18
Speaker 1: number with Houston there, which I think might be what
24:21
Speaker 1: the public is gonna do. So you know, lean to
24:25
Speaker 1: Miami for me. The next game up is my final
24:27
Speaker 1: play of the day, and it's an ugly one and
24:31
Speaker 1: we're going back to it again. And I know this
24:32
Speaker 1: team has a lot of injuries, like they're big Man
24:35
Speaker 1: Sar is out. I think one of the other guys
24:38
Speaker 1: is injured right now too. Trey Young, I think isn't
24:41
Speaker 1: playing we're gonna do it anyway. Washington plus thirteen and
24:44
Speaker 1: a half. It's a bad spot for We're fading Toronto here,
24:49
Speaker 1: and I know Toronto is better on the road than
24:51
Speaker 1: they are at home. They're like eighteen and eleven on
24:53
Speaker 1: the road, but you're asking them to cover a huge
24:56
Speaker 1: number as a road favorite here, man, And look at
24:58
Speaker 1: the spot that they're in. They do have two days off,
25:01
Speaker 1: but on Tuesday and Wednesday they played Oklahoma City and
25:04
Speaker 1: that game was like tied with four minutes left and
25:07
Speaker 1: they lost. My nine. Huge performance from them against Okay
25:10
Speaker 1: Seal though without SGA, but still huge game. And then
25:13
Speaker 1: they followed that up with a huge performance against San
25:16
Speaker 1: Antonio where they only lost by three and they took
25:19
Speaker 1: the Spurs basically right to the limits. They played pretty
25:22
Speaker 1: much the top two teams in the West. And now
25:24
Speaker 1: they're coming up of those huge effort games. They have
25:27
Speaker 1: to travel to Washington for some reason, and then they
25:30
Speaker 1: come back home and they play the Knicks, and then
25:33
Speaker 1: they go out and play Minnesota after that. So those
25:35
Speaker 1: games are much bigger than this game against Washington. I
25:38
Speaker 1: think it's a sandwich spot. Washington has eleven of their
25:41
Speaker 1: sixteen wins at home, by the way, so they are
25:44
Speaker 1: way better at home, and you're not asking them to
25:46
Speaker 1: win the game at least, you're asking them to just cover.
25:48
Speaker 1: And they're coming off some embarrassing losses. Man, coming out
25:51
Speaker 1: of the break. After they did beat Indiana, which does
25:54
Speaker 1: show you that we're putting in some effort. They've lost
25:56
Speaker 1: three in a row now to Charlotte and then Atlanta.
25:59
Speaker 1: They were not able to zigzag against Atlanta. But I
26:02
Speaker 1: think you will get an effort from them here. I
26:04
Speaker 1: know they're returning home from a road trip, but it
26:06
Speaker 1: was only a single city road trip to Atlanta, a
26:09
Speaker 1: quick trip back home. I think they're gonna show up
26:13
Speaker 1: for this man and try to break this losing momentum.
26:15
Speaker 1: I don't think that they're in tank mode yet. Raptors
26:18
Speaker 1: are republic side, seventy percent of the tickets, all those
26:21
Speaker 1: seventy three percent of the cash for now it opened, fourteen,
26:24
Speaker 1: we see pretty much thirteen and a half's out there.
26:26
Speaker 1: It's not much of a difference. It's not football, so
26:28
Speaker 1: fourteen not really a key number at all. But I mean,
26:32
Speaker 1: getting fourteen's better than thirteen and a half if it's
26:34
Speaker 1: out there. But I wouldn't pay extra for it, all right,
26:38
Speaker 1: Lakers at Golden State here, but yes, that is my
26:41
Speaker 1: one NBA play. I know it's horrendous. It's really really ugly.
26:45
Speaker 1: Lakers at Golden State. This is on ABC at eight
26:47
Speaker 1: thirty pms. This is the primetime TV game. Lakers have
26:52
Speaker 1: lost three games in a row. You gotta think you're
26:54
Speaker 1: gonna get a better effort out of them here. Not
26:56
Speaker 1: good for them. They did beat Golden State, not that long.
27:00
Speaker 1: I'll go February seventh, but I don't think it's gonna
27:02
Speaker 1: be like a revenge spot or anything. Golden State is
27:04
Speaker 1: still without Steph Curry, so keep that in mind. Golden
27:08
Speaker 1: State to just go to New Orleans and Memphis, and
27:10
Speaker 1: now they're returning home from that. It was only a
27:12
Speaker 1: two game road trip Tuesday Wednesday, but it is still
27:15
Speaker 1: a road trip return. So sometimes those road trip returns
27:19
Speaker 1: are tricky. But I don't think they're gonna overlook the
27:21
Speaker 1: Lakers in a TV game. Man. I don't think beating
27:24
Speaker 1: Memphis but in a blowout was really a big deal.
27:27
Speaker 1: Memphis not a good team. So what do we do
27:29
Speaker 1: with this game? I don't know, man. The market is
27:32
Speaker 1: saying the Warriors. Lakers are up to a four and
27:35
Speaker 1: a half point favorite, sixty nine percent of tickets on them,
27:37
Speaker 1: seventy eight percent of the couch on the Warriors. I
27:41
Speaker 1: don't know if I fully agree. I don't know. I
27:44
Speaker 1: think I kind of lean Lakers in this one. But
27:47
Speaker 1: the Lakers, I mean, they're One real drawback is they're
27:50
Speaker 1: actually a really bad defensive team. Laying points on the
27:53
Speaker 1: road with a team it is not a good defensive
27:55
Speaker 1: team is not exactly something I enjoyed doing. So it's
27:58
Speaker 1: a stay away from me. But you know, it's a
28:00
Speaker 1: tricky game. Pelicans at the Jazz this one. I'd be
28:04
Speaker 1: looking at maybe a zigzag spot here because this is
28:07
Speaker 1: a repeat of the same game that they played two
28:09
Speaker 1: days ago, and New Orleans won the game by double
28:12
Speaker 1: digits in Utah, So there might be a little bit
28:15
Speaker 1: of a zig zag here where Utah will be the
28:17
Speaker 1: team to make the adjustments here. But I dug it
28:19
Speaker 1: in that box score and it wasn't really that misleading, really,
28:23
Speaker 1: so I didn't see that much of an opportunity for
28:25
Speaker 1: the zig zag here. New Orleans does play the LA
28:28
Speaker 1: team's next Clippers Lakers, so maybe they overlook Utah after
28:32
Speaker 1: they did beat them easily once here, Utah hasn't won
28:35
Speaker 1: for four games now, so maybe you get a little
28:37
Speaker 1: bit of better effort out of them. But the worry is,
28:40
Speaker 1: you know, Utah keeps benching their best players, so that
28:43
Speaker 1: is the concern with Utah's how much of an effort
28:46
Speaker 1: will you get? Pelicans are a six and a half
28:48
Speaker 1: point road favorite, though, I mean, do the Pelicans really
28:51
Speaker 1: deserve to be a six and a half point road
28:53
Speaker 1: favorite against anybody? I'm not so sure. Fifty eight percent
28:57
Speaker 1: of the tickets on them, seventy seven percent of the
28:59
Speaker 1: cash on the jazz. The public being on the Pelicans
29:02
Speaker 1: is just a hilarious idea. It just makes absolutely no sense.
29:06
Speaker 1: I don't even know that they would be because the
29:09
Speaker 1: record is just so battle The record is actually like
29:13
Speaker 1: it's almost the same as Utahs now. Though Utah is
29:17
Speaker 1: better at home than on the road, though they're not
29:19
Speaker 1: horrible at home, the Pelicans haven't been very good on
29:21
Speaker 1: the road, So I don't know I would. I guess
29:24
Speaker 1: I would slightly lean to the jazz and the zigzag,
29:27
Speaker 1: but not something I love at all, and that is
29:29
Speaker 1: gonna do it man. So once again, actually let's look
29:32
Speaker 1: at the market read real quick on all my college
29:34
Speaker 1: plays here before we get out of here. So for college,
29:37
Speaker 1: we have Buffalo minus the points, Bellerman plus the points,
29:42
Speaker 1: Bryant plus the points. So you might be able to
29:44
Speaker 1: get a better number on that. We'll have to see
29:46
Speaker 1: Arizona minus the points, and Virginia Tech plus the points.
29:51
Speaker 1: Looking at what the market read looks like on those,
29:54
Speaker 1: Buffalo is up to a six point favorite now, so
29:56
Speaker 1: it looks like there is some money coming back in
29:58
Speaker 1: on the Buffalo side, probably would still lay the six. Yeah,
30:03
Speaker 1: Bellerman looks like an anti public home dog Austin p
30:06
Speaker 1: with ninety two percent of the tickets in eighty six
30:08
Speaker 1: percent of the cash, So that market read is looking
30:10
Speaker 1: all right for me. Now Bryant is looking like they're
30:13
Speaker 1: getting the money. You can get four on Bryant now,
30:16
Speaker 1: so yeah, we'll put it into the system at that.
30:18
Speaker 1: I told you guys in my earlier show to wait
30:20
Speaker 1: on that one because I thought that the number, based
30:23
Speaker 1: on ken Bums numbers, the number was actually a little
30:25
Speaker 1: bit short. But now we're getting a great number, I think,
30:28
Speaker 1: and a pretty good number and a great spot with Bryant.
30:31
Speaker 1: You can get four maybe even four and a half
30:33
Speaker 1: on that, and it looks like the money is finally
30:35
Speaker 1: coming in on Bryant eighty two percent of the tickets,
30:38
Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the cash in them. I think
30:40
Speaker 1: the initial move I think was a fake out because
30:42
Speaker 1: the professional betters hate njie Man, So the professional betters
30:46
Speaker 1: came in and slammed n Jite knowing the number was
30:49
Speaker 1: gonna go up, just so their actual bets could come
30:51
Speaker 1: back in on Bryant. I think it's a great spot
30:54
Speaker 1: for Bryant. So we're looking at Bryant and that one
30:57
Speaker 1: still and then my other ones were Arizona. The money
31:01
Speaker 1: looks like it's coming back on Kansas in that one.
31:03
Speaker 1: I don't like that, but I don't agree with that
31:05
Speaker 1: at all. It's Arizona for me in that one, even
31:08
Speaker 1: at minus ten, I think I still go Arizona there.
31:10
Speaker 1: I love that one. Actually, I love the spot. So
31:12
Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on with the market there now.
31:14
Speaker 1: And the money is still all over Virginia Tech indicating
31:17
Speaker 1: of Virginia Tech. So the market reads are looking pretty
31:19
Speaker 1: good for me in these games today. So those are
31:23
Speaker 1: my basketball players. And then we got Columbus Blue Jackets
31:26
Speaker 1: and hockey money line and washing Wizards plus the points
31:30
Speaker 1: in the NBA and not confident. That's gonna you know,
31:34
Speaker 1: I'm trying to turn my bad NBA around with the Wizards.
31:36
Speaker 1: Man's That's what we do on this show. Hopefully it works.
31:41
Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for me. Learn it Toad on Twitter.
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31:45
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32:09
Speaker 1: excuse me, Learn to Lose learn Cast loser Cast. Go
32:15
Speaker 1: check out the Loser Cast every Tuesday night, the comedy
32:18
Speaker 1: podcast that I do with Layton and Tyler if he
32:21
Speaker 1: ever shows up again, and Brosif and Ennis is that
32:26
Speaker 1: enis Penis Dennis whatever his name is, that guy Eldon
32:30
Speaker 1: I think is actually his name, and Adam Nutter in
32:33
Speaker 1: spirit kind of but he's never shown up that's gonna
32:36
Speaker 1: do it. Let's have a good day, man, Let's get
32:38
Speaker 1: some wins today. March madness is quickly approaching peace for now, guys,