Latest / Curtis Sliwa & Larry Mendte In The Morning / WOR meteorologist Ray Stagich interview

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WOR meteorologist Ray Stagich interview · Curtis Sliwa & Larry Mendte In The Morning

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Well, we do have some severe weather moving in. How
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: severe and how long is it going to last? For that,
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: Let's turn to Ray Stage at WR Weather Channel meteorologist.
• 0:11
  Speaker 2: So when is this system expected to move in?
• 0:16
  Speaker 3: I'm probably looking at it later today early tonight could
• 0:19
  Speaker 3: clip us for parts of the rush hour, especially north
• 0:23
  Speaker 3: northwest Jersey, I think across the city around six pm,
• 0:28
  Speaker 3: give or take. I mean, there may be a few
• 0:30
  Speaker 3: showers or thundershowers out ahead of the main stuff, but
• 0:33
  Speaker 3: I think the worst will be late today into early
• 0:36
  Speaker 3: tonight and still be on again, off again with some
• 0:39
  Speaker 3: of the scattered showers of thunderstorms overnight and through tomorrow,
• 0:42
  Speaker 3: maybe even Thursday too, But I do think the worst
• 0:44
  Speaker 3: of it'll be this evening through early tonight. That's when
• 0:47
  Speaker 3: a lot of the guidance says heavy rainfall and that'll
• 0:50
  Speaker 3: be the best chance for flooding. That's gonna be the problem.
• 0:52
  Speaker 3: It's gonna come down so hard and so fast it
• 0:54
  Speaker 3: we'll get flash flooding and things will happen pretty quickly.
• 0:57
  Speaker 4: So Ray, this is now a continuum. It seems we
• 1:01
  Speaker 4: get hit with heat, sweltering heat, with humidity, and then
• 1:05
  Speaker 4: get clob and Natalie has told us of the story
• 1:08
  Speaker 4: of her daughter just a mile away, in which her
• 1:12
  Speaker 4: daughter was saying, oh my god, we got clobbed with rain.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: It's like just a pool descended.
• 1:18
  Speaker 4: On this meantime. Nothing was happening when Natalie was in
• 1:21
  Speaker 4: a house. This consistently happens. It's like all of a sudden,
• 1:25
  Speaker 4: out of nowhere, poof flash flood, and then it retreats
• 1:29
  Speaker 4: and it disappears, and it's sort of like, how did
• 1:32
  Speaker 4: that happen? Why is that happening on a continuum basis now?
• 1:37
  Speaker 3: Well, I think it's always happened. I think part of it, too,
• 1:40
  Speaker 3: is that people are more aware now. I think people
• 1:43
  Speaker 3: are more weather sensitive. But the piece of it that
• 1:46
  Speaker 3: hasn't happened is maybe the frequency of it. So there's
• 1:49
  Speaker 3: been a more awareness of it, and when it happens
• 1:51
  Speaker 3: more times, there's more of a chance. Like yesterday, I
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: would call those isolated thunderstorms. It's not like we've never
• 1:57
  Speaker 3: had that happen. It's just that it happens that for
• 2:00
  Speaker 3: places at different times, and if you're stationary. So if
• 2:03
  Speaker 3: Natalie was sitting at home right and you have isolated
• 2:06
  Speaker 3: storms popping up, and her daughter was moving right, driving home.
• 2:10
  Speaker 3: She was moving around, and she had a better opportunity
• 2:13
  Speaker 3: because she was covering more area than if you were
• 2:15
  Speaker 3: standing stationary. Now, with this event later today tonight, everybody
• 2:19
  Speaker 3: gets rained. The question will be who's going to get
• 2:21
  Speaker 3: some of the heaviest and the flooding rain ball. I
• 2:23
  Speaker 3: think everybody gets some, but who gets the two maybe
• 2:26
  Speaker 3: three inch totals? And then who gets that in a
• 2:28
  Speaker 3: very short period of time because it could happen pretty
• 2:31
  Speaker 3: quickly with some of these thunderstorms and complexes that continue
• 2:35
  Speaker 3: to push in tonight.
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: Hey, Ray, I don't think I've ever told you this before,
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: but you know I was a weather man once, but
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: it was in San Diego, so that doesn't.
• 2:41
  Speaker 4: I didn't know.
• 2:42
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I might have mentioned it a couple of times.
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: Did it ever rain there? Did it ever rain?
• 2:52
  Speaker 3: The morning clouds? Afternoon sun seventy two? Morning fog?
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: You know?
• 2:56
  Speaker 3: Marine layer?
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: Oh, there you go, the marine layer that said I
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: was the meteorologists. I thought that's somebody that hung out
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: of the docks for the settlers to come in.
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: I had no idea what a marine layer was.
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: But so but I do remember one thing, and this
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: goes back to uh, this goes back to Curtis's question
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: in front of fronts that when it's like a lot
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: of heat and and then whatever comes behind it, usually
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: there is some turmoil before and after it, and then
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: many times that's thunderstorms.
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: Do I pass some meteorological tests saying that.
• 3:31
  Speaker 3: Well, since we're only right thirty percent of the time, yes, yeah, right,
• 3:39
  Speaker 3: I would say not every time. A lot of times
• 3:42
  Speaker 3: coal front's, warm fronts typically in the spring and fall,
• 3:45
  Speaker 3: are associated with you know, thunderstorms only because you're your
• 3:49
  Speaker 3: your air mass changes are are bigger because right now
• 3:52
  Speaker 3: a warm tropical air mass in place. We've got a
• 3:54
  Speaker 3: feed from the Atlantic, maybe even a little touch from
• 3:57
  Speaker 3: the Gulf, and then coal front to the norf and
• 3:59
  Speaker 3: that's ryer air. What happens is that dryer air comes
• 4:02
  Speaker 3: in the front. Coming in the coal front is actually colder,
• 4:06
  Speaker 3: denser at the surface, which lifts that warm, moist air.
• 4:09
  Speaker 3: And not to get too much into the science of it,
• 4:11
  Speaker 3: but that's what actually happens. And you've got humidity, you've
• 4:14
  Speaker 3: got instability, and all those things come together to produced thunderstorm.
• 4:17
  Speaker 3: So the short answer is yes, with most fronts, you
• 4:20
  Speaker 3: do get precipe. Here's what I learned it, soony, all
• 4:22
  Speaker 3: up and here right twenty something odd years ago, give
• 4:24
  Speaker 3: her taken five and a half years of meteorology school.
• 4:28
  Speaker 3: Fro pa point zero one. All right, So that was
• 4:32
  Speaker 3: frontal passage. They always said, if you're forecasting, say at
• 4:35
  Speaker 3: least point zero one inches of precept, which basically is
• 4:38
  Speaker 3: a way of saying you usually get precipt with frontal passages.
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: Oh, you're just showing off right now. We're just.
• 4:45
  Speaker 4: A while.
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: What do you think, God, do you know what that was?
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: You said you were a weather man. Let me tell
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: you what a weather man really does. That's what that was.
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: He down, well, he could have easily ray stage a
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: wr Weather Channel meteorologist.
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: Thanks a lot, ray All right, guys, stay safe, alright,
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: see you later.