Latest / Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar / 4/24/26: Trump Floats Endless Iran War, Lebanon Journalist Triple Tap, AI Job Layoffs
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here.
- 0:01Speaker 2: Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election,
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- 0:27Speaker 1: news media, and we hope to see you at Breakingpoints
- 0:29Speaker 1: dot com.
- 0:30Speaker 3: Happy Friday, everybody. How's it going?
- 0:32Speaker 4: How's it feel?
- 0:33Speaker 3: It be number fifteen on YouTube this month?
- 0:38Speaker 4: Who's it front?
- 0:42Speaker 3: That's a great question.
- 0:43Speaker 5: We got like makeup tutorial people, mister Beast. You know, Ryan,
- 0:48Speaker 5: you're right, we shouldn't celebrate till we're number one.
- 0:51Speaker 3: Right, Yeah.
- 0:51Speaker 6: I like that attitude.
- 0:53Speaker 2: I like that attitude or the attitude Emily, how many
- 0:55Speaker 2: subs did you think we should shoot for?
- 0:56Speaker 6: Like fifty million US or something?
- 0:59Speaker 7: I'm not so too.
- 1:02Speaker 2: I mean, I think the only politics people that were
- 1:06Speaker 2: ahead of us, according to Sager, was Candace and might's touched.
- 1:10Speaker 2: So in terms of our direct competitors, if you consider
- 1:14Speaker 2: them direct competitors, that's who, that's who we got to
- 1:16Speaker 2: be gunning for.
- 1:17Speaker 8: I hate it because whenever we are super high in
- 1:20Speaker 8: the rankings, it means the world is going to complete hell. Yes, correct.
- 1:24Speaker 8: I would much rather drop down into the hundreds, have
- 1:28Speaker 8: the world be a better place and people will be like,
- 1:31Speaker 8: you know what, I don't need to hear from these people.
- 1:33Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, I feel we are. We have more profitteers here.
- 1:37Speaker 2: Apparently whenever there's a war that people are like, yes,
- 1:41Speaker 2: I got to tune into breaking points to find out
- 1:43Speaker 2: what that hell is going on. So yes, I'm with you, Ryan.
- 1:45Speaker 2: I would much rather the world be a peace and
- 1:47Speaker 2: much calmer and nobody really pay attention to what we
- 1:51Speaker 2: say because it's not that important.
- 1:52Speaker 5: Let's get back to this safe people are watching us,
- 1:55Speaker 5: the safe like forty to seventy five range.
- 1:57Speaker 3: That's where we like to be.
- 1:58Speaker 6: That's a comfortable zone.
- 2:00Speaker 7: The world is speaking bad, but it's not on the
- 2:02Speaker 7: brink of nuclear.
- 2:04Speaker 3: Then we're number one. So on that note, the world
- 2:07Speaker 3: is getting worse.
- 2:09Speaker 5: The Ron conflagration continues we've got more updates there. Ryan
- 2:15Speaker 5: is going to speak to us a little bit about
- 2:16Speaker 5: a Lebanese journalist that was triple tapped by Israel. Emily
- 2:21Speaker 5: is going to take a look at a long list
- 2:23Speaker 5: of layoffs hitting companies all across America. And then we
- 2:29Speaker 5: are going to have a guest India More who is
- 2:32Speaker 5: going to join us to talk about the impending Hollywood
- 2:36Speaker 5: merger between Warner Brothers in paramount that the Warner Brothers
- 2:39Speaker 5: shareholders just approved for eighty one billion dollars, and perhaps
- 2:44Speaker 5: a few fun stories at the end, and some aim
- 2:46Speaker 5: a questions, But Crystal, where are we at right now
- 2:49Speaker 5: with the Iran war?
- 2:51Speaker 6: That's a fantastic question.
- 2:54Speaker 2: I don't know, great question, No, I mean, I guess
- 2:58Speaker 2: the latest tactic from Trump has been to continue to
- 3:01Speaker 2: insist that the Iranians are so divided that he had
- 3:05Speaker 2: to move forward with the ceasefire while they get their
- 3:07Speaker 2: act together. There's rumors that Gollibov has resigned or been
- 3:10Speaker 2: pushed off of the negotiating team. I don't know that
- 3:13Speaker 2: there's any veracity to that whatsoever. The Iranians are very
- 3:16Speaker 2: much trying to project, you know, an image of unity.
- 3:19Speaker 2: Many of them tweeting out the same nearly identical message
- 3:23Speaker 2: about how aligned they are. No doubt that there are
- 3:26Speaker 2: different views and voices internally about whether the seasefire was good, idea,
- 3:30Speaker 2: what the approach should be, etc. But you know, on
- 3:33Speaker 2: the US side, we just had the Secretary of the
- 3:35Speaker 2: Navy pushed out at the beginning of the war, we
- 3:38Speaker 2: had the Army chief of staff pushed out. So you've
- 3:42Speaker 2: got the President of the United States who couldn't even
- 3:44Speaker 2: get a straight answer out of him whether or not
- 3:45Speaker 2: the Vice president was going to be involved in the negotiations,
- 3:48Speaker 2: whether he was in the US or on his way
- 3:50Speaker 2: to Pakistan, etc. So if there is a side in chaos,
- 3:53Speaker 2: I would see that, say that the indicator's point in
- 3:55Speaker 2: the other direction.
- 3:57Speaker 5: Why don't we throw up two clips here of Trump's
- 4:00Speaker 5: latest reasoning. Here, I'm going to play these two right
- 4:04Speaker 5: back to back.
- 4:06Speaker 4: Here.
- 4:07Speaker 9: They would have opened it up. Three days ago. They
- 4:09Speaker 9: came to us and they said, we will agree to
- 4:12Speaker 9: open the straight, and all my people were happy. Everybody
- 4:14Speaker 9: was happy except me. I said, wait a minute, if
- 4:16Speaker 9: we opened the straight, that means we're going to make
- 4:18Speaker 9: five hundred million dollars a day. I don't want them
- 4:21Speaker 9: to make five hundred million dollars a day until they
- 4:23Speaker 9: settle this thing. So I'm the one that kept the
- 4:26Speaker 9: close with total control of it, and it'll open when
- 4:30Speaker 9: they make a deal or something else happens. That's very possitive,
- 4:34Speaker 9: all right.
- 4:35Speaker 5: So Trump claiming, claiming credit saying he's the one that
- 4:39Speaker 5: kept it closed. And then we also have another sot
- 4:42Speaker 5: here where he talks a little bit about Vietnam.
- 4:46Speaker 3: Let's take a listen.
- 4:51Speaker 10: How long are you willing to wait until you get it?
- 4:54Speaker 9: Don't rush me, Jeff. You know guys like, do you
- 4:57Speaker 9: want like for eighteen years? We're in Iraq for many
- 5:02Speaker 9: many years. We're in for all the I don't like
- 5:05Speaker 9: to say World War two because that was a big ee,
- 5:08Speaker 9: but we were four and a half almost five years
- 5:10Speaker 9: in World War Two. We were in the Korean War
- 5:13Speaker 9: for seven years. I've been doing this for six weeks
- 5:18Speaker 9: and their military is totally defeated. They're outside of the
- 5:23Speaker 9: little wise sky ships. I call them the Weiit sky ships.
- 5:27Speaker 9: The little boats that they have running around with guns
- 5:30Speaker 9: in them. Will take them out too when we see them.
- 5:34Speaker 2: I believe the estimate that was posted from CBS news
- 5:37Speaker 2: of how much of the Iranian naval capacity remains somewhere
- 5:41Speaker 2: around sixty percent. So that's again from CBS News Trump
- 5:46Speaker 2: regime propaganda outlet. I mean, there's so much you could
- 5:49Speaker 2: say here on the calculation about the blockade. Of the blockade.
- 5:52Speaker 2: First of all, it's not true that it's completely closed.
- 5:54Speaker 2: There's you know, evidence that a number of ships have
- 5:57Speaker 2: been able to get through, although at a diminished rate,
- 5:59Speaker 2: So that is certainly the case. But he seems to
- 6:02Speaker 2: be calculating that that economic stress on Iran will squeeze
- 6:08Speaker 2: them to a greater extent than it will squeeze us,
- 6:11Speaker 2: and by the numbers, that may be true, but their
- 6:14Speaker 2: public is much more willing and able to withstand economic pain.
- 6:19Speaker 2: I mean, they're used to sanctions, This is existential for
- 6:21Speaker 2: them than our public is. And so that is the
- 6:24Speaker 2: Iranian calculation is that that is not remotely the case,
- 6:28Speaker 2: and that every day that the economic warfare continues, whether
- 6:31Speaker 2: the hot war continues or not, that is a day
- 6:34Speaker 2: in which their leverage is increased and our capacity to
- 6:39Speaker 2: continue on is decreased. So I think that is their logic.
- 6:43Speaker 2: And I'll just say, you know, one more thing on
- 6:45Speaker 2: that economic blockade piece. There was a note in a
- 6:48Speaker 2: Financial Times article that this was Jadie Vance's thinking after
- 6:52Speaker 2: he left the failed talks, that he was telling people like, listen,
- 6:55Speaker 2: we'll put this blockade on and this will be so
- 6:58Speaker 2: difficult for them that they'll be back at the table
- 7:00Speaker 2: ready to negotiate in no time. It's hard for me
- 7:02Speaker 2: to believe that he's dumb enough to actually think that
- 7:05Speaker 2: that's the case. But if that is, that is truly
- 7:08Speaker 2: wild that they still still misunderstand and underestimate this adversary
- 7:13Speaker 2: to that extent.
- 7:15Speaker 8: Yeah, and like harming the economy to your point, isn't
- 7:18Speaker 8: really going to do it, because we've been hurting their
- 7:19Speaker 8: economy for decades now. At this point, the real strategic
- 7:23Speaker 8: aim seems to be to basically shut down their petroleum
- 7:27Speaker 8: in their oil industry, which they could do by you know,
- 7:31Speaker 8: if all of their oil tankers and storage facilities get
- 7:34Speaker 8: filled up and they can't then you move any you know,
- 7:39Speaker 8: more oil out than they have to shut down the
- 7:42Speaker 8: entire system, and that is like extraordinarily damaging to its
- 7:47Speaker 8: very expensive. Getting it back up could take months. It's
- 7:50Speaker 8: a complete mess. But analysts differ on how long that
- 7:54Speaker 8: would take but it would take a significant amount of time,
- 7:57Speaker 8: at least four weeks, you know, maybe eight, maybe maybe longer.
- 8:01Speaker 8: And so then the question is does the does the
- 8:03Speaker 8: US and the global economy have that amount of time?
- 8:06Speaker 8: Like Lufthansa just canceled what twenty thousand flights the other
- 8:09Speaker 8: day because they don't have oil. Bangladesh is just announce
- 8:12Speaker 8: this morning it's central bank is out of money because
- 8:18Speaker 8: costs for everything are going up. So you're gonna start
- 8:20Speaker 8: seeing these cascading collapses of sectors, countries, industries, companies, and
- 8:28Speaker 8: so can the can the West and not just the West,
- 8:32Speaker 8: but the whole world? Like with stands six more weeks,
- 8:34Speaker 8: eight more weeks of this like I doubt it? And
- 8:37Speaker 8: also can like if they can get some tankers through,
- 8:41Speaker 8: then they can you know, then they can buy themselves
- 8:43Speaker 8: even more time. But meanwhile they're sending mixed signals. Griffin,
- 8:48Speaker 8: I have this Hegseth thing from I believe it was
- 8:51Speaker 8: this morning, which is kind of contradictory to what Trump
- 8:56Speaker 8: is saying.
- 8:56Speaker 4: Let me let me play this here.
- 8:58Speaker 11: Be America's fight alone. We barely use the Strait of
- 9:02Speaker 11: Hormuz as a country. Our energy doesn't flow through there,
- 9:06Speaker 11: and we have plenty of energy. Just look at the
- 9:10Speaker 11: new Global Congo line headed to Texas, a beautiful pickup.
- 9:16Speaker 11: Europe and Asia have benefited from our protection for decades,
- 9:21Speaker 11: but the time for free riding is over. America and
- 9:25Speaker 11: the free world deserve allies who are capable, who are loyal,
- 9:30Speaker 11: and you understand that being an ally is not a
- 9:33Speaker 11: one way street, it's a two way street. We are
- 9:37Speaker 11: not counting on Europe. They need the Strait of Hormuz
- 9:41Speaker 11: much more than we do, and might want to start
- 9:44Speaker 11: doing less talking and having less fancy conferences in Europe
- 9:49Speaker 11: and get in a boat. This is much more their
- 9:52Speaker 11: fight than ours.
- 9:55Speaker 4: So stop it with your bagettes and think of a bazouka.
- 10:00Speaker 4: Get in the water.
- 10:01Speaker 8: So Trump, We're gonna blockade this thing, heg seth. Actually
- 10:06Speaker 8: this is your problem, uh.
- 10:09Speaker 4: Fox News.
- 10:10Speaker 8: It's the Iranians who are in disarray, like our government
- 10:13Speaker 8: is in public disarray, Like there's no public disarray from
- 10:19Speaker 8: the Runnan government. There's alleged internal disarray. But so if
- 10:25Speaker 8: you're the Iranians and you're watching, they're like, wait do
- 10:27Speaker 8: they so wait are they going to block Are they
- 10:30Speaker 8: going to keep blockading the straight or is it Europe's problem?
- 10:33Speaker 8: Like what what is what is actually going on here?
- 10:36Speaker 7: He also said Congo line. I believe he met Congo line.
- 10:41Speaker 4: Congo line, Yeah, Congo line going to Louisiana.
- 10:46Speaker 7: Yeah, it's it's also so I mean, we don't even
- 10:49Speaker 7: need to say this, but it's right. I want to
- 10:52Speaker 7: give of that. It's so dishonest to say that because
- 10:56Speaker 7: we don't get a lot of our direct energy from
- 10:59Speaker 7: the Strait of removed, is that it's not going to
- 11:01Speaker 7: affect the American economy. It's just such a ridiculous point that,
- 11:05Speaker 7: but it's it is.
- 11:06Speaker 8: Of course, why are you invading Iraq? We've got so
- 11:10Speaker 8: much natural gas right here, like stuff, don't worry.
- 11:13Speaker 2: That was pretty the fracking revolution, that right, true, you know.
- 11:17Speaker 7: But he's just like it's actually really similar. I was
- 11:21Speaker 7: just going to say, actually to what people like Pete
- 11:24Speaker 7: Heikeseth who served after nine to eleven, we're saying they
- 11:28Speaker 7: detested about the Bush era, which is people getting up
- 11:31Speaker 7: in front of a microphone and misleading the American people
- 11:35Speaker 7: behind an official government podium about war. And that's like,
- 11:39Speaker 7: I know that when Trump is riffing and being like
- 11:42Speaker 7: del rash Mede Jeff to Jeff Mason, presumably like he's
- 11:45Speaker 7: constantly in now watch this drive mode, because he's talked
- 11:49Speaker 7: so breezily. It's just completely like he doesn't even have
- 11:53Speaker 7: to switch from one to the other. Everything is just
- 11:55Speaker 7: easy breezy when he talks about it. You know, Bush
- 11:58Speaker 7: who was like switching from We're gonna win the war
- 12:01Speaker 7: to not watch this drive and that was jarring for people.
- 12:04Speaker 7: But Trump is just like constantly in the now watch
- 12:06Speaker 7: this drive mentality, and you can hear it as he's
- 12:09Speaker 7: talking about how the Iranian Navy has what did he say,
- 12:12Speaker 7: wise guy boats, the mosquito fleet that they have prepared
- 12:17Speaker 7: for many years for contingencies like this one, which is
- 12:21Speaker 7: still doing creating a lot of trouble for the American
- 12:25Speaker 7: Navy trying to implement this blockade, Like that's actually a
- 12:29Speaker 7: real issue for the American Navy right now. So it's
- 12:33Speaker 7: all it's especially i think from Pete Hegseth, who's again
- 12:38Speaker 7: served and made this argument about people who were misleading
- 12:42Speaker 7: folks into war. It's really kind of gross to hear
- 12:47Speaker 7: arguments like that.
- 12:48Speaker 2: Well, I also want to just dwell for a moment
- 12:50Speaker 2: on the part that Trump was saying about like, don't
- 12:53Speaker 2: rush me. I got all the time in the world.
- 12:55Speaker 2: You know, Vietnam was this long, and a rock was
- 12:58Speaker 2: this long, and Afghanistan was that long. Keep in mind
- 13:01Speaker 2: that number one, he thought this was going to be
- 13:03Speaker 2: over after effectively day one, and there was no planning
- 13:07Speaker 2: beyond we take out the Iatola and you know, a
- 13:10Speaker 2: bunch of other top leadership and destroy a bunch of
- 13:12Speaker 2: stuff and then that's it. You know, we find our
- 13:14Speaker 2: Delca Rodriguez and we're out a year. That's what he
- 13:17Speaker 2: was telling our allies is that it would be over
- 13:19Speaker 2: in four days. Then we were consistently getting this line
- 13:24Speaker 2: from the White House to a whole variety of reporters
- 13:27Speaker 2: that it would be four to six weeks. Well, now
- 13:29Speaker 2: here we are at six weeks, and now he's saying, hey,
- 13:32Speaker 2: you remember those Forever Wars that I ran against and
- 13:36Speaker 2: that many people voted for me thinking that I would
- 13:39Speaker 2: not be the person to get us in another one
- 13:41Speaker 2: of those.
- 13:41Speaker 7: Weren't those great?
- 13:42Speaker 2: Let's wrap our minds around being here relatively indefinitely. I mean,
- 13:47Speaker 2: that's an incredible moving of the goalpost right there and
- 13:50Speaker 2: contemplates that there isn't going to be some quick ability
- 13:53Speaker 2: to come up with some deal and wrap this thing
- 13:55Speaker 2: in a bow and be able to declare mission accomplish
- 13:58Speaker 2: and walk away.
- 14:00Speaker 4: That's a really good point.
- 14:01Speaker 5: Yeah, and Ryan, when does like europe revolt, Like are
- 14:05Speaker 5: all these countries going to allow America to essentially creater
- 14:09Speaker 5: their economies and just say, oh, I guess it's just
- 14:12Speaker 5: America is doing what they're going to do. Like, is
- 14:14Speaker 5: there a point where the world comes together and says, actually, no,
- 14:19Speaker 5: we got to put this, we got to stop this.
- 14:23Speaker 8: I think you're more likely to get serious pressure from
- 14:26Speaker 8: some of the Asian countries, which who seem to have
- 14:29Speaker 8: actually more sense, interestingly more sense of kind of dignity
- 14:33Speaker 8: and sovereignty than the Europeans do. The Europeans feel like
- 14:39Speaker 8: they give off a real sense of like hopelessness and
- 14:42Speaker 8: haplessness that they're like, well, this sucks, hope somebody can
- 14:46Speaker 8: do something about this, whereas some of the Asian countries
- 14:50Speaker 8: are like.
- 14:51Speaker 6: The Democrats of the world.
- 14:52Speaker 4: Yeah they are, they really are like democrats. Yes, I
- 14:58Speaker 4: will agree, so.
- 15:00Speaker 5: They'll do a global kneeling with the kentake cloth, but
- 15:03Speaker 5: they're not going to put any limits on this. Well,
- 15:06Speaker 5: while we talked about Pete hagg Seth. We do have
- 15:08Speaker 5: another clip from our friends at TMZ that Crystal wanted
- 15:11Speaker 5: to throw to really quickly. Why don't we take a.
- 15:13Speaker 11: Listen and well to encourage other countries to be a
- 15:16Speaker 11: part of such an effort as well.
- 15:17Speaker 4: But we're tracking that very closely.
- 15:19Speaker 11: I'm just trembing one anything to that, No, sure, right here,
- 15:23Speaker 11: new members of our press, cool here.
- 15:25Speaker 10: Jacob Bosserman with TMZ DC. We have two questions I'm
- 15:30Speaker 10: gonna ask. The first my colleague blast the second. You know,
- 15:33Speaker 10: I've heard you talk a lot about We'll see. I've
- 15:38Speaker 10: heard you talk a lot about bombing people in places.
- 15:42Speaker 10: And when you give these orders to carry out this
- 15:44Speaker 10: extreme level of violence, what's going through your mind and
- 15:48Speaker 10: your body? Do you have like an adrenaline rush? Are
- 15:51Speaker 10: you scared? Do you feel like you're on a power trip?
- 15:54Speaker 10: Just walk us through and pat us a picture of
- 15:56Speaker 10: what it feels that mentally and physically.
- 15:58Speaker 11: It's a very TMC question.
- 16:01Speaker 12: My only thought process is to ensure that our warfighters
- 16:05Speaker 12: have everything they need to be successful, defeat and destroy.
- 16:07Speaker 11: The enemy, and they come home.
- 16:10Speaker 12: They I want them to feel empowered to have every authority.
- 16:13Speaker 12: They need within our rules and within our law to
- 16:16Speaker 12: bring maximum violence to the enemy because war is violent war.
- 16:22Speaker 12: It requires doing difficult things. But I want our people
- 16:25Speaker 12: to feel in powered. So it's our guys that come home,
- 16:27Speaker 12: and they're guys that do not right.
- 16:30Speaker 7: I really like that question because I actually think that
- 16:32Speaker 7: it's the exact type of question the DC Press Corps
- 16:36Speaker 7: and even the left of centered DC journalists will laugh at.
- 16:40Speaker 7: But it's the only time you're ever going to see,
- 16:43Speaker 7: aside from maybe a sixty minutes interview, like six months
- 16:46Speaker 7: into this or ten years later, somebody confronted with that question. Now,
- 16:50Speaker 7: I don't expect him to give a deeply personal, genuine
- 16:54Speaker 7: answer to it, but it's a really interesting and legitimate
- 16:57Speaker 7: question about the human element of being thousands of miles
- 17:01Speaker 7: away and ordering hits. That's genuinely pretty interesting, And so
- 17:06Speaker 7: props to them for asking that question, even though the
- 17:10Speaker 7: even the other reporters who really dislike Pete Hegsett, they're
- 17:13Speaker 7: going to look down their noses at them. That's the
- 17:15Speaker 7: exact type of thing that we should have TMZ in
- 17:18Speaker 7: the press Corps to be asking about.
- 17:20Speaker 2: Yeah, and Heagset dismisses it. As, oh, well, that's a
- 17:22Speaker 2: very TMZ question, and I'm thinking, well, if that's a
- 17:25Speaker 2: TMZ question, I'm excited that they're here to ask those
- 17:28Speaker 2: TMZ questions because you know, we think a lot about
- 17:32Speaker 2: humanizing victims, either you know, of our foreign policy or
- 17:36Speaker 2: victims in general. But I think to force people to
- 17:41Speaker 2: imagine the mind of someone who is in this position
- 17:46Speaker 2: of pressing a button and bombing a girls school, for example,
- 17:49Speaker 2: in Iran, and to contemplate just how monstrous that is,
- 17:55Speaker 2: his answer almost becomes irrelevant, although even in his answer
- 17:59Speaker 2: he is actually says, Look, my view is us versus them,
- 18:03Speaker 2: and I really don't care about the violence that I
- 18:06Speaker 2: perpetrate against the them that I have. You know that
- 18:09Speaker 2: I have in my mind that war is inherently violent,
- 18:12Speaker 2: and that's just, you know, I don't think about it
- 18:15Speaker 2: too much. And I think that is probably actually a
- 18:17Speaker 2: fairly honest answer.
- 18:20Speaker 4: And we I.
- 18:21Speaker 8: Don't know if you saw it at Trump site, we
- 18:22Speaker 8: did this like eight minute mashup of all of uh,
- 18:27Speaker 8: not all of it, but a lot of Pete Hegsa's
- 18:29Speaker 8: most like just bloodthirsty rhetoric from up on the podium,
- 18:34Speaker 8: which it's truly extraordinary to see kind of stretch stretched
- 18:37Speaker 8: all together, stitched together.
- 18:39Speaker 4: Uh, it's a good question. Like you talk all the.
- 18:42Speaker 8: Time about all this this extraordinary violence that you're going
- 18:46Speaker 8: to meet out on these people, like as a human being,
- 18:49Speaker 8: how do you feel about that?
- 18:51Speaker 2: Yeah, and glorifies it and wraps it in the Bible too,
- 18:55Speaker 2: by the way, even yeah, even the pulp fiction version
- 18:59Speaker 2: of the Bible. So yeah, I thought it was an
- 19:02Speaker 2: excellent question. I know Jacob who was asking the question,
- 19:05Speaker 2: who we had on the show yesterday, by the way,
- 19:08Speaker 2: who's you know, a fan of a fan of Breaking Points.
- 19:11Speaker 2: And you know, it was very complimentary the work that
- 19:13Speaker 2: we're doing. I know he and Julian have already gotten
- 19:16Speaker 2: together our buddies too, So got nice partners with crime there.
- 19:19Speaker 6: I love that.
- 19:21Speaker 4: Did they get a follow up question?
- 19:23Speaker 6: Not sure? I just starts, Yeah, I don't know.
- 19:27Speaker 7: I was going to say, is that structurally? You know,
- 19:30Speaker 7: it's when you're on the outside of the government and
- 19:32Speaker 7: you're like you're on literally in Fox News or some
- 19:35Speaker 7: other place, and you're looking back at mistakes that prior
- 19:38Speaker 7: administrations made that are deeply personal to you, it's really easy.
- 19:43Speaker 7: And Trump was a critic of these wars and the
- 19:45Speaker 7: reasons for these wars as well. It's really really easy
- 19:48Speaker 7: to criticize people for lying us into war, and then
- 19:52Speaker 7: when you become part of the government and you think
- 19:55Speaker 7: that war is a good decision, you structurally end up
- 20:00Speaker 7: becoming part of this very real blog where it's almost
- 20:04Speaker 7: inherent to the work that you're going to be dishonest
- 20:08Speaker 7: because you are trying to justify an end and the means.
- 20:13Speaker 7: Then I think some people talk themselves into saying, you know,
- 20:16Speaker 7: don't we don't get much of our energy from the
- 20:18Speaker 7: straight orfom moves, so it's good. Our economy is fine,
- 20:20Speaker 7: this is whatever, it's you know, we can we can
- 20:23Speaker 7: sell the war this way by talking to the American people,
- 20:25Speaker 7: and it's technically true, so it's fine. But those like
- 20:28Speaker 7: actual little technically true pieces of information add up to
- 20:34Speaker 7: this really misleading picture. And so I think the contrast
- 20:38Speaker 7: between the criticisms prior to this administration and what we're
- 20:41Speaker 7: seeing in this administration, which actually does look very much
- 20:44Speaker 7: like the time period surrounding the invasion of I Rock,
- 20:50Speaker 7: this is really sad.
- 20:53Speaker 5: Yeah, if the Washington Press Corps is getting one opt
- 20:57Speaker 5: by TMZ in the arenas of class and journalistic integrity.
- 21:01Speaker 5: We might have some issues, or it might just be
- 21:03Speaker 5: the heroes we deserve. One last update on the Iran
- 21:06Speaker 5: War from the Iranian side that I wanted you guys
- 21:09Speaker 5: to react to. We have a New York Times report
- 21:11Speaker 5: on Kamenie Junior and sort of how Iran is being led.
- 21:17Speaker 7: Introduce him as Jesse Waters would every time Jesse Waters mentions.
- 21:23Speaker 7: Every time he says, the Gaya Tola deadpans, yes.
- 21:29Speaker 5: Uh bringing bringing you can't have You can't let Jesse
- 21:32Speaker 5: Waters bring down my journalistic integrity. I'm bringing tm Z
- 21:36Speaker 5: and Emily, all right.
- 21:37Speaker 7: So the.
- 21:40Speaker 5: Gay Tola says that, uh, you know, he's injured. He's
- 21:44Speaker 5: sending notes and messages to commanders, but the i r
- 21:49Speaker 5: GC themselves no longer visit him directly for fearing Israel
- 21:54Speaker 5: could track his location.
- 21:56Speaker 3: Crystal, what do you.
- 21:57Speaker 4: Make of that?
- 21:59Speaker 6: I mean, it's certainly possible.
- 22:01Speaker 2: There's been a lot of questions about his health status,
- 22:05Speaker 2: and it certainly makes sense why they are really trying
- 22:07Speaker 2: to keep his location under wraps, because obviously they don't
- 22:12Speaker 2: want him to also be assassinated. So, you know, I
- 22:15Speaker 2: think it also makes sense that this leak is coming
- 22:19Speaker 2: right now, because they're really trying to push this picture
- 22:22Speaker 2: of an Iranian government in chaos and divided, and so
- 22:25Speaker 2: they're like, you know, the Iatola is like barely even
- 22:28Speaker 2: functioning and he has to send these written messages, et cetera.
- 22:31Speaker 2: But regardless of the status of his health, I don't
- 22:35Speaker 2: think there's any indications that there's like a real breakdown
- 22:38Speaker 2: internally in terms of the functioning of the government. And
- 22:42Speaker 2: one of the things that I've said before that it
- 22:44Speaker 2: appears to me is that in America we used to
- 22:48Speaker 2: have leaders and you know, senior policymakers who had a
- 22:53Speaker 2: more nuanced and complex view of Iran, and they sold
- 22:58Speaker 2: a cartoon version of that to the public. Now I
- 23:01Speaker 2: think the leaders bought the cartoon version that had been
- 23:04Speaker 2: sold to the public, Which is how Trump, for example,
- 23:07Speaker 2: could imagine that just taking out the leader would be
- 23:09Speaker 2: enough to topple the whole government, as if you know,
- 23:12Speaker 2: just taking out some of our leadership here would just
- 23:14Speaker 2: completely topple our system. Now, this is a government that
- 23:17Speaker 2: is established over a number of years. They have a constitution,
- 23:20Speaker 2: they have institutions, they have a line of succession. You know,
- 23:23Speaker 2: after the Ietola was killed, there was a process and
- 23:25Speaker 2: procedure to select the next one, and that would be
- 23:28Speaker 2: the case even if they were able to get to
- 23:31Speaker 2: this the new guy and be able to take him
- 23:33Speaker 2: out or get Gollibof off the team, or as Martisan
- 23:36Speaker 2: suggested and Trump retweeted, he said, oh, if there are
- 23:40Speaker 2: two factions and one is causing trouble in the negotiation,
- 23:43Speaker 2: so I just kill the kill those ones and leave
- 23:46Speaker 2: in place the ones that we aren't having trouble with
- 23:48Speaker 2: working with, as if you know, that would just keep
- 23:50Speaker 2: the status quot and as if that wouldn't change the
- 23:52Speaker 2: calculus also of the people who were remaining in the negotiation.
- 23:55Speaker 2: So you know, I just I see it in light
- 23:57Speaker 2: of that. Obviously it's you know, interesting to know what
- 24:01Speaker 2: potentially the status of Mashaba comedy is. But but I
- 24:06Speaker 2: would see it in light of this broader picture that
- 24:08Speaker 2: they're trying to paint.
- 24:10Speaker 7: Ran I'm curious what the drop site reporting is on
- 24:13Speaker 7: this too, because I know Jeremy has some Jeremy was
- 24:15Speaker 7: on the show this week talking a bit about the
- 24:19Speaker 7: sort of the real tensions between the IRGC and the
- 24:24Speaker 7: government right now. But obviously they're projecting would you say unity,
- 24:30Speaker 7: I mean, I know you guys have had some reporting
- 24:31Speaker 7: on this. How would you describe it?
- 24:33Speaker 8: And it's not quite that simple, you know, as he mentioned,
- 24:37Speaker 8: you know, Gollibof is himself and iergies. Even though he's
- 24:40Speaker 8: a Speaker of the Parliament, he's himself an IERGC veteran.
- 24:45Speaker 8: And there are you know, there are disagreements within the IURGYC,
- 24:47Speaker 8: disagreements within the Parliament, disagreements within the Security Council and
- 24:51Speaker 8: so on. But right now they seem to be completely
- 24:55Speaker 8: unified in a very simple demand, which is that talks
- 24:59Speaker 8: don't start until you lift this illegal naval blockade. We'd
- 25:02Speaker 8: think it's illegal. Stop and if you want to restart war,
- 25:07Speaker 8: go ahead, restart the war, but we're not sitting down until.
- 25:13Speaker 4: You lift this.
- 25:13Speaker 8: They thought that they had an agreement, as Jeremy reported,
- 25:16Speaker 8: They thought like, that's what the Pakistani's effectively told them.
- 25:20Speaker 8: And so the big question is, did the Pakistanis play
- 25:23Speaker 8: a double game and tell them something that they hoped
- 25:28Speaker 8: they could get Trump to agree to but Trump hadn't
- 25:30Speaker 8: agreed to, or did Trump tell them in some convoluted
- 25:33Speaker 8: way that he would agree to that, and then it
- 25:38Speaker 8: you know, pulled the rug out from under it, you know,
- 25:41Speaker 8: or was it supposed to be. And this is my suspicion,
- 25:45Speaker 8: a pretty kind of delicate diplomatic dance in the way
- 25:48Speaker 8: that the statements were rolled out after the agreement was
- 25:52Speaker 8: reached and was coming into place.
- 25:54Speaker 4: And Donald Trump is not for ballet like.
- 25:58Speaker 8: He's not somebody who can do delicate diplomatic dances.
- 26:02Speaker 4: He started to.
- 26:05Speaker 8: Even giving the conciliatory straight of Iran truth social posts,
- 26:10Speaker 8: but then but then he lost his mind and spent
- 26:12Speaker 8: the next seven hours, you know, just going completely bananas,
- 26:16Speaker 8: threat threatening, making you know, wild threats about destroying everything
- 26:20Speaker 8: that exists and so on and so forth, and so
- 26:24Speaker 8: that that unraveled everything, so that that there's a real
- 26:28Speaker 8: question whether Trump is physically mentally capable of following through
- 26:33Speaker 8: on something that he promises privately.
- 26:36Speaker 6: That's so true.
- 26:37Speaker 2: And I, for what it's worth, Kyle and I interviewed
- 26:39Speaker 2: Professor Mirandi yesterday and got you know, his perspective on
- 26:43Speaker 2: how Iranian's reviewing things. And he was careful to say, look,
- 26:46Speaker 2: I don't really have inside knowledge. People think I know
- 26:49Speaker 2: a lot more than I do. But he said, you know,
- 26:51Speaker 2: I asked him about what is the Iranian view on
- 26:54Speaker 2: the Pakistanis as mediators at this point? You know, do
- 26:57Speaker 2: they feel like they are true sort of neutral art,
- 27:00Speaker 2: here is their trust there, et cetera. And he's like, listen,
- 27:02Speaker 2: it's not the problem isn't the Pakistani's the problems Trump,
- 27:05Speaker 2: The problem is the is America. The problem is Israel.
- 27:08Speaker 2: The problem is really not with the Pakistani's because yeah,
- 27:11Speaker 2: I mean you think about it, like, and I'm not
- 27:13Speaker 2: saying they're they're perfect or whatever, but imagine trying to
- 27:16Speaker 2: be the go between with Trump where I mean think
- 27:20Speaker 2: about how in the same sentence he'll say two different things, right, Like,
- 27:24Speaker 2: imagine trying to be the go between said, Okay, Trump
- 27:26Speaker 2: said he'd do this, and here's the sequence, et cetera,
- 27:29Speaker 2: and the Iranians go ahead and follow through. Okay, we'll
- 27:32Speaker 2: put on our tweet saying the straight is open. And
- 27:33Speaker 2: then immediately Trump comes down and does something completely different.
- 27:37Speaker 2: So so yeah, I mean, there they are in an
- 27:40Speaker 2: impossible situation as far as oh as far as I
- 27:43Speaker 2: can tell. Sorry, the dog just knocks something over and
- 27:46Speaker 2: everything's fine, though you heard a.
- 27:47Speaker 8: Loud crash and we know because he accidentally when he
- 27:52Speaker 8: was trying to reach out to Pambondi through direct message
- 27:55Speaker 8: on truth Social If you guys remember that he accidentally
- 27:58Speaker 8: posted it publicly, and so we know that his private
- 28:01Speaker 8: messages are just as unhinged and filled with all caps.
- 28:05Speaker 4: It's not like he has a private like medit.
- 28:08Speaker 8: Deliberative communications like communication style.
- 28:11Speaker 4: That's that's how he communicates.
- 28:13Speaker 8: So you can imagine, let's say he's texting a simonair
- 28:17Speaker 8: or Sha Sharif, like what his ideas are like to yeah,
- 28:21Speaker 8: to a Christmas point.
- 28:22Speaker 4: You imagine didn't he text.
- 28:24Speaker 7: Messages with Mark Rutta at one point and they were like.
- 28:28Speaker 8: Bananas macron right, macron right, maybe him too, but yeah,
- 28:33Speaker 8: imagine you're the Pakistanis and you're getting these texts. Imagine
- 28:37Speaker 8: your job to take his truth Social posts and tell
- 28:41Speaker 8: the Iranians what he's trying to say. I mean, I
- 28:45Speaker 8: would just forward the whole thing like what's app style,
- 28:47Speaker 8: just like here, maybe it's what you will.
- 28:52Speaker 4: No idea? So good lord?
- 28:58Speaker 5: Like, well, speaking of of negotiations, you know they've extended
- 29:06Speaker 5: this Israel Lebanon sees fire, but meanwhile Israel continues to fire. Uh,
- 29:13Speaker 5: there was a triple tap on a journalist Amal Khalil Ryan.
- 29:18Speaker 5: Why don't you tell us a little bit about that,
- 29:19Speaker 5: because probably won't be hearing about this on CNN or
- 29:22Speaker 5: any other news organization. Let me pull up I've got
- 29:26Speaker 5: I've got a video of her.
- 29:28Speaker 8: Yeah, if you want to play that, or and then
- 29:30Speaker 8: later I can put up the drop site story that.
- 29:34Speaker 4: Did for us. Yeah you want to play this? Yeah?
- 29:38Speaker 3: Yeah, you know it, just got a video.
- 29:39Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 29:40Speaker 8: Was a she's She was a Lebanese, prominent Lebanese reporter
- 29:43Speaker 8: for aloc Bar and Lebanon Let Me Out outfit, and
- 29:48Speaker 8: she was a number of other journalists.
- 29:51Speaker 4: Was in southern Lebanon reporting.
- 29:55Speaker 8: The car that was driving in front of her and
- 29:59Speaker 8: her colleague was struck by an Israeli drone. They were
- 30:04Speaker 8: injured in that blast. They were able to get out
- 30:07Speaker 8: of the car and run into an abandoned home right nearby,
- 30:13Speaker 8: from which they called. They were calling all of their
- 30:19Speaker 8: friends and colleagues saying like we're being fired on, we
- 30:24Speaker 8: need help, we need you know, we're hurt, we need
- 30:26Speaker 8: to get out of here. The entire country and world
- 30:30Speaker 8: that was paying attention was following this, and the Lebanese
- 30:36Speaker 8: Prime is the Prime Minister of the President like was publicly,
- 30:42Speaker 8: you know, begging Israel to stop shooting at her, like
- 30:45Speaker 8: let so the Red Cross publicly was saying, we are
- 30:48Speaker 8: right here, we are right next to the home, like
- 30:53Speaker 8: we need to go in and rescue these women. Please
- 30:55Speaker 8: stop firing at us and stop firing at the home.
- 31:00Speaker 8: And they wouldn't, And so the Red Cross left and
- 31:07Speaker 8: after hours of this, Israel seven hours, Israel.
- 31:11Speaker 4: Bombed the house and killed her.
- 31:16Speaker 8: And eventually the Red Cross was able to get in
- 31:21Speaker 8: under an intense fire and pull out her colleague who
- 31:25Speaker 8: was alive, but she was still stuck under the rubble,
- 31:29Speaker 8: and the medics had to evacuate before they could before
- 31:34Speaker 8: they could get her out, because the Israelis were, you know, continuing,
- 31:38Speaker 8: continuing to fire insanely. She had been getting threats like
- 31:45Speaker 8: leading right up to that, death threats, and they posted
- 31:50Speaker 8: the number that was threatening her. Sour one of our
- 31:54Speaker 8: correspondents who was in southern Lebanon for US maybe six
- 31:58Speaker 8: months or a year ago, Jeremy Lfredo, He texted that
- 32:03Speaker 8: number and let me find people should read history if
- 32:07Speaker 8: they get a chance. But so here, so here, he said, Hi,
- 32:10Speaker 8: my name is Jeremy Lfredo. I'm a journalist for the
- 32:12Speaker 8: American publication job site news, and I'm wondering if you
- 32:15Speaker 8: have any comment on the threat you sent to Lebanese journalists.
- 32:17Speaker 8: Tomal Khalil, These are not innocent people. The journalists affiliated
- 32:22Speaker 8: with Hesbela that Israel eliminated were also spies for Hesbela,
- 32:25Speaker 8: approaching our soldiers and then informing the terrorist organization where
- 32:29Speaker 8: our soldiers were in real time. Similarly, on October seventh,
- 32:33Speaker 8: journalists affiliate with Hamas were eliminated because they were intelligence officers.
- 32:38Speaker 8: Send greetings to all journalists affiliated with Hesbela for anyone
- 32:41Speaker 8: who works for the organization should know they are destined
- 32:45Speaker 8: for death. He then adds, I think about the possibility
- 32:49Speaker 8: that you are one of them too, and am offering
- 32:52Speaker 8: you to find another partner in Lebanon. There are a
- 32:54Speaker 8: lot of good people over there. Maronites, Sunnis, Drus and others.
- 32:59Speaker 8: Tried to cover their narrow of you're a naive, very naive,
- 33:02Speaker 8: and then some weird emoji. Uh so this is basically
- 33:07Speaker 8: a threat. Yeah, that's so threatening, threatening Jeremy as well.
- 33:13Speaker 8: Noah her what's reached out and the guy told him
- 33:17Speaker 8: his name before we finished the segment. I can I
- 33:24Speaker 8: can find the guy's name, but we like we know
- 33:26Speaker 8: the guy's actual name, and you know, nothing is going
- 33:31Speaker 8: to be done to this guy.
- 33:33Speaker 5: Or it's like a guy in the government, Like who
- 33:36Speaker 5: is this guy troll?
- 33:39Speaker 8: He's like a pro war writer, like affiliated with the
- 33:43Speaker 8: like pro war.
- 33:44Speaker 4: Well they're all pro war.
- 33:47Speaker 5: Let me, this is like a Fox This is like
- 33:48Speaker 5: a Fox News guy that he's one of these.
- 33:52Speaker 8: People who's like affiliated not affiliated with the government that's
- 33:57Speaker 8: sort of like a mouthpiece for it.
- 34:01Speaker 4: Yeah, like.
- 34:03Speaker 8: Utterly like just just just a murder of this of
- 34:08Speaker 8: these unarmed, unarmed journalists like that, and like it's not
- 34:14Speaker 8: even serious, Like she's in her own country first of all.
- 34:18Speaker 8: So like even if she was reporting on where the
- 34:21Speaker 8: Israeli troops are, which that's what journalists do. They'll say,
- 34:24Speaker 8: like this is where the battle is happening, and they
- 34:26Speaker 8: tell the public where the battles are happening. But even
- 34:29Speaker 8: if that's true, they're in her country. Like can you
- 34:32Speaker 8: imagine the gall there to like invade somebody else's country
- 34:37Speaker 8: and then kill the reporters in that country for reporting
- 34:41Speaker 8: on the fact that you're in that country. It's just
- 34:47Speaker 8: such an unbelievable. Okay, I'm just an unbelievable crime. All right,
- 34:53Speaker 8: let's see here's Noah, let me see Ryan.
- 34:57Speaker 2: Do you suspect that because we've seen people we targeted
- 35:00Speaker 2: based on these sort of like not affiliated sort of
- 35:03Speaker 2: affiliated accounts and like propagandistic allies. Do you suspect there's
- 35:09Speaker 2: a direct connection between these threats and the murder?
- 35:13Speaker 8: Yes, yes, I do think so, especially tracking all the
- 35:17Speaker 8: other journalists who've been killed Palestinian jurnals who have been
- 35:19Speaker 8: killed in Gaza.
- 35:21Speaker 4: These kinds of.
- 35:21Speaker 8: Threats always foreshadow and assassination, but you can you can
- 35:26Speaker 8: map it. That's why we were so pressed to get
- 35:31Speaker 8: Abu Baker abed out of Gaza, because all of a sudden,
- 35:36Speaker 8: these people started making these threats privately and publicly.
- 35:40Speaker 2: And that's sort of like when Laura Lumer starts tweeting
- 35:44Speaker 2: about someone who needs to be deported or fired or whatever.
- 35:47Speaker 6: I mean.
- 35:47Speaker 8: Right, And so the guys said his name was Gideon
- 35:51Speaker 8: gal Ben Abraham.
- 35:56Speaker 2: So just no shame happy to respond to the text.
- 35:59Speaker 2: Tell you is I don't yeh feels.
- 36:02Speaker 5: As also the same as at a Laiar story. You know,
- 36:07Speaker 5: he started getting lots of d MS in the same way.
- 36:10Speaker 5: And uh, I guess you know, Rafot wasn't press, But
- 36:13Speaker 5: it does seem like these press badges are turning into
- 36:16Speaker 5: more like, uh, like bullseye targets.
- 36:19Speaker 4: It's basically press. But yeah, you're right, Yes, they threatened him.
- 36:23Speaker 8: They were very clear they were going to try to
- 36:25Speaker 8: kill him.
- 36:28Speaker 4: And then they they do this crazy thing.
- 36:30Speaker 8: They called her like, they called her and told her
- 36:32Speaker 8: they were going to kill her like and that's a
- 36:35Speaker 8: very common thing.
- 36:36Speaker 4: Like it you'd be surprised.
- 36:38Speaker 8: But like raft got calls as well from Israel, from
- 36:42Speaker 8: Israeli military officials, and there's no I don't like, there's
- 36:47Speaker 8: no utility in calling them unless you're trying to like
- 36:53Speaker 8: make sure that maybe maybe they're making sure that the
- 36:55Speaker 8: phone that they've been tracking is actually them, so that
- 36:58Speaker 8: that could be the Allen's utility of it. But otherwise
- 37:01Speaker 8: it's just sadistic.
- 37:03Speaker 6: It's just it's part of the terror campaign.
- 37:05Speaker 8: And last week they called a journalist I don't know
- 37:09Speaker 8: if you saw this story and said we're going to
- 37:13Speaker 8: kill you immediately. You can either die with your family
- 37:17Speaker 8: or you can run and we will kill you alone.
- 37:22Speaker 8: And he said, I'm going to run and so he
- 37:25Speaker 8: fled his house, got into his car, and they hit
- 37:30Speaker 8: him very quickly with a drone strike in his car
- 37:32Speaker 8: and burned him alive. And there's the video of some
- 37:37Speaker 8: of this unfolding. There had been a lot of stories
- 37:39Speaker 8: of this, of that's happening before, people saying, you know,
- 37:44Speaker 8: the Israeli's calling ahead of time. So they so they
- 37:47Speaker 8: called and said we're going to kill you. And it
- 37:51Speaker 8: undercuts the idea that there is such a thing as
- 37:53Speaker 8: a human shield, because if he said I'm not leaving
- 37:56Speaker 8: this house, those those other humans are not a shield
- 38:01Speaker 8: like they would.
- 38:02Speaker 6: They would have thought nothing of murdering them as well.
- 38:04Speaker 5: Right and crystal this from Haaretz, Israeli soldiers testified a
- 38:10Speaker 5: widespread looting in Lebanon. Commanders know and do nothing, So
- 38:14Speaker 5: it seems like they're just totally picking the entire southern
- 38:18Speaker 5: Lebanon for scraps as they bomb and destroy villages.
- 38:22Speaker 3: Do you think this is going to have a major
- 38:24Speaker 3: effect on the talks.
- 38:26Speaker 5: I know that Iran was trying to say, hey, if
- 38:30Speaker 5: there's no ceasefire in Lebanon.
- 38:32Speaker 8: Here I found who this guy is. Let's just wrap
- 38:34Speaker 8: that up right, let's do it so we don't leave
- 38:36Speaker 8: leave it hanging. So this is from Noah who he said,
- 38:41Speaker 8: this guy Gal Gideon Ben Abraham told Noah this is
- 38:44Speaker 8: who he was. We don't know if that's true, but
- 38:46Speaker 8: this is what the number said. He was his Israeli
- 38:48Speaker 8: comment commentator who has a number of YouTube videos speaking
- 38:51Speaker 8: on issues around the genocide and Gaza and wars in
- 38:53Speaker 8: Lebanon and Iran. I've not yet independently verified that this
- 38:56Speaker 8: account belongs to him.
- 38:59Speaker 4: So he's an Israeli. He's like an Israeli commentator.
- 39:02Speaker 5: Basically awesome, awesome, But yeah, I mean, Crystal, how does
- 39:08Speaker 5: this carnage and Lebanon affect any potential deal in the future.
- 39:13Speaker 2: I mean, the Iranians have been very clear that, you know,
- 39:17Speaker 2: if there is a true return to just bombardment in Lebanon,
- 39:22Speaker 2: that is going to be unacceptable to them. It was
- 39:25Speaker 2: after the seasfire was broken between Israel and Lebanon that
- 39:30Speaker 2: Arachi tweeted on Okay, this street is open because this
- 39:32Speaker 2: Lebanon has been this Lebanon seasfire has been secured. So
- 39:35Speaker 2: this is always been very central to them. They are
- 39:40Speaker 2: very unified in this demand. So I think it's you know,
- 39:42Speaker 2: I think it's extremely important. There's also reporting coming out
- 39:45Speaker 2: of Israeli outlets that Israel's preparing to go back to war.
- 39:49Speaker 2: Obviously Israel wants to go back to war. There were
- 39:53Speaker 2: significant meetings at the White House yesterday, so we don't
- 39:55Speaker 2: know what the next plans are. But if I could
- 39:58Speaker 2: just say, you know, one thing specifically about this report
- 40:00Speaker 2: of widespread looting of homes in Lebanon. And there was
- 40:03Speaker 2: a video that went or a picture that went viral
- 40:05Speaker 2: of an IDF soldier who would like you know, they
- 40:09Speaker 2: came in and the village is completely abandoned because you know,
- 40:12Speaker 2: anybody that's left there is assumed to be a terrorist
- 40:14Speaker 2: and potentially murdered. And she's going through the garden and
- 40:19Speaker 2: plucking out the vegetables that have been planted by this
- 40:22Speaker 2: family and preparing this elaborate feast in this family's abandoned kitchen.
- 40:26Speaker 2: And I was thinking about something Gideon Levey's that I
- 40:29Speaker 2: think actually in Piers Morgan's show, about how you can't
- 40:33Speaker 2: have this long term occupation and subjugation of people without
- 40:38Speaker 2: just completely dehumanizing them. And so this behavior is the
- 40:43Speaker 2: logical outgrowth of a long term project of dehumanizing, you know,
- 40:48Speaker 2: not just Palestinians, but anyone that they would see as resisting,
- 40:52Speaker 2: you know, their project of greater Israel and their need
- 40:56Speaker 2: for complete and total security, et cetera. So I think
- 40:59Speaker 2: it's that, you know, very consistent with the behavior we
- 41:02Speaker 2: saw of id of soldiers in Gaza.
- 41:05Speaker 6: It is not a one off. This is part and
- 41:06Speaker 6: parcel of what this ideology is.
- 41:09Speaker 7: It's it's how humans prepare themselves to do mass civilian
- 41:14Speaker 7: damage and like just maass warfare in general. The last
- 41:18Speaker 7: thing I would say is Steve Sweeney went on Tucker
- 41:21Speaker 7: Carlson Show, I think it was last week. He's a
- 41:23Speaker 7: journalist for art, not a place I would work, but
- 41:26Speaker 7: nevertheless he told the story of how he ended up
- 41:30Speaker 7: getting targeted, so obviously targeted in Lebanon, and I just
- 41:37Speaker 7: recommend that to everybody because you see how clear he's
- 41:41Speaker 7: press and you see how clear the attempt on his
- 41:44Speaker 7: life was, and that should I mean, there's there's basically
- 41:47Speaker 7: no way to refute that he was he was being
- 41:49Speaker 7: targeted for being a journalist.
- 41:51Speaker 5: So all right, so we just wanted to make sure
- 41:54Speaker 5: we covered that because again, you probably will not hear
- 41:57Speaker 5: about Amal Khalil on any other.
- 42:00Speaker 4: Major news network.
- 42:04Speaker 5: Let's move over to some things happening in our country currently, Emily.
- 42:09Speaker 5: We've got some economy news and some layoffs. What do
- 42:12Speaker 5: we got.
- 42:13Speaker 7: We'll start by saying, Marcus have been open for about
- 42:16Speaker 7: an hour as we're talking right now, the S and
- 42:18Speaker 7: P five hundred is up. So I'm sure that's great
- 42:23Speaker 7: news to everybody over in the White House. But a
- 42:26Speaker 7: couple of big layoff announcements that we wanted to cover.
- 42:29Speaker 7: We can start with this Meta announcement. Meta is going
- 42:32Speaker 7: to cut ten percent of its workforce, according to a
- 42:35Speaker 7: New York Times story, that's eight thousand employees. They're going
- 42:40Speaker 7: to close an additional six thousand roles that were open,
- 42:46Speaker 7: and they're in the process of obviously, as the Times
- 42:49Speaker 7: points out, spending heavily on AI, so going basically peddle
- 42:53Speaker 7: to the metal on artificial intelligence. Another one to cover
- 42:57Speaker 7: here is Nike is announcing about fourteen hundred layoffs. That's
- 43:03Speaker 7: two percent of the entire company. Comes out to about
- 43:07Speaker 7: two percent of the entire company. Shale Ben Frame had
- 43:12Speaker 7: a roundup so that we can also pop on the
- 43:15Speaker 7: screen Griffin of Nike.
- 43:18Speaker 3: Meta.
- 43:18Speaker 7: Also Microsoft offering voluntary retirement buyouts to about seven percent
- 43:23Speaker 7: of its US workforce. Another company that is going pedal
- 43:26Speaker 7: to the metal on artificial intelligence, Oracle, has an AI
- 43:31Speaker 7: driven layoff, between twenty thousand to thirty thousand employees getting
- 43:35Speaker 7: cut again. That's as they're going pedal to the metal
- 43:39Speaker 7: on AI. Amazon sixteen thousand jobs cut at the corporate
- 43:43Speaker 7: level back in January. Many people will probably remember that
- 43:47Speaker 7: they had recently cut about fourteen thousand. Shyl points out
- 43:50Speaker 7: just a couple of months earlier at the end of
- 43:52Speaker 7: last year. Block massive cuts from Jack Dorsey as they are,
- 43:58Speaker 7: they were ones that were basically site AI. They are
- 44:00Speaker 7: the ones that really kind of brave enough to actually
- 44:02Speaker 7: cite AI. Dell cut about eleven thousand jobs over the
- 44:06Speaker 7: last year. So it's you know, the analysis of why
- 44:12Speaker 7: we're starting to see mass layoffs are a little bit mixed.
- 44:17Speaker 7: A lot of experts look at that and say, what
- 44:19Speaker 7: we've seen so far is reaction to a super uncertain
- 44:23Speaker 7: economy post I mean, so we have Ukraine, now we
- 44:27Speaker 7: have ran but in the process we've also had tariffs
- 44:32Speaker 7: over the last year as well, and so there has
- 44:34Speaker 7: been just an enormous amount of uncertainty. Now, the mag
- 44:38Speaker 7: seven companies are over thirty percent of the SMP. Just
- 44:43Speaker 7: think about that, thirty percent of the SMP. And a
- 44:46Speaker 7: lot of them are these companies that we were just
- 44:48Speaker 7: talking about. So they're cutting tons of jobs. This is
- 44:53Speaker 7: the sign that we are now i think, on the
- 44:56Speaker 7: cusp of the economy, not just being a reaction to uncertainty,
- 45:01Speaker 7: but actually being a direct reaction to artificial intelligence. And
- 45:04Speaker 7: this is as of course, a lot of those entry
- 45:07Speaker 7: level workers, entry level white collar workers, are graduating college
- 45:11Speaker 7: in the spring. Just in the next three weeks here,
- 45:14Speaker 7: there have been projection projections we're going to see historic
- 45:17Speaker 7: levels of unemployment for recent college graduates. This should prepare
- 45:21Speaker 7: people for that to prove accurate in the next several weeks. Unfortunately,
- 45:25Speaker 7: that's really where we are.
- 45:27Speaker 2: Yeah, And one of the points Shia makes there that
- 45:30Speaker 2: is very important, and you know, matches with your analysis
- 45:33Speaker 2: of where the market is at this morning, is he's like,
- 45:36Speaker 2: you know, we're kind of used to when companies are
- 45:37Speaker 2: doing mass layoffs. It's because those companies aren't doing well,
- 45:40Speaker 2: so they've got to costs, they've got to trim back,
- 45:43Speaker 2: and you know, they would like to keep those workers theoretically,
- 45:47Speaker 2: but they're unable to. That's kind of a landscape that
- 45:50Speaker 2: we're used to. But these are companies that are all
- 45:52Speaker 2: doing very well, have high profit margins, but they and
- 45:57Speaker 2: their stock will go up from cutting this workforce. And
- 46:02Speaker 2: this is the terrifying logic of AI is as companies
- 46:07Speaker 2: implement it and eliminate large swaths of their workforce, the
- 46:11Speaker 2: overall public will be worse and worse off, but the
- 46:16Speaker 2: you know, top echelons of those companies and their you know,
- 46:20Speaker 2: and their CEOs and their top shareholders will be better
- 46:24Speaker 2: and better off. So the level of inequality that we
- 46:27Speaker 2: have right now is already world historic, you know, and
- 46:32Speaker 2: certainly historic in terms of our nation's history. It's at
- 46:34Speaker 2: as high as levels ever that is set to skyrocket
- 46:38Speaker 2: with the logic of AI, where yes, the stock market
- 46:41Speaker 2: may continue to go up and up, and rather than
- 46:44Speaker 2: being even correlated to the general success and well being
- 46:49Speaker 2: of the American people, it will be an inverse correlation
- 46:53Speaker 2: where the higher the stock market goes up, the worst
- 46:56Speaker 2: ordinary people are actually faring.
- 46:59Speaker 7: And that's because of what a bubble it shows that
- 47:03Speaker 7: we're under right now. Like to Crystal's point, if something
- 47:07Speaker 7: goes wrong and people start realizing. There's also a lot
- 47:09Speaker 7: of circular funding in the mag seven world and AI
- 47:14Speaker 7: world in general. So if somebody realizes one investment is
- 47:18Speaker 7: looking worse than they expected and starts pulling back a
- 47:23Speaker 7: little bit and the bubble starts to pop, we're literally
- 47:26Speaker 7: talking about thirty five percent of the S and P.
- 47:28Speaker 7: So it's the risks of this big AI project and
- 47:33Speaker 7: expansion inflation are really significant and actually pretty frightening. Ryan.
- 47:41Speaker 8: Yeah, we are rapidly, rapidly approaching you know, very dark
- 47:48Speaker 8: territory because, yeah, the the.
- 47:51Speaker 4: Incentives are are awful.
- 47:54Speaker 8: Companies are always looking to shed their workforce so that
- 47:59Speaker 8: they can boost their stock price, so that they can
- 48:03Speaker 8: then you know, send out dividends to executives. Executives can
- 48:09Speaker 8: then cash out and move on to the next company
- 48:11Speaker 8: and do it again. It's like it's it's just a
- 48:15Speaker 8: it's a system designed for looting by executives, and AI
- 48:20Speaker 8: is becoming the the scoop or the vehicle, the weapon
- 48:25Speaker 8: that they're going to do this do this looting with.
- 48:28Speaker 8: And you can say, even for the AI skeptics, they're like,
- 48:31Speaker 8: I don't actually think it's going to work. They don't
- 48:35Speaker 8: care like they will lay off these workforces, take the
- 48:40Speaker 8: stock price bump, you know, take their dividends, and then
- 48:44Speaker 8: move on. People keep thinking that whether something will actually
- 48:49Speaker 8: work matters. What matters is whether it's useful to extract
- 48:53Speaker 8: wealth up to the very top.
- 48:56Speaker 4: And this is and so that's the way it's going
- 48:57Speaker 4: to go, and.
- 48:58Speaker 6: There's a direct go ahead.
- 49:00Speaker 7: M Well, just nobody basically went to prison enough for
- 49:03Speaker 7: the Great Recession, partially because a lot of this is legal,
- 49:05Speaker 7: but some of it is as dubious anyway. So what
- 49:07Speaker 7: are the incentives for people not to engage in this
- 49:10Speaker 7: stuff if they know they're going to be fine, they'll
- 49:11Speaker 7: get a payday.
- 49:13Speaker 2: Yeah, no, that's exactly right. And they've all convinced themselves
- 49:15Speaker 2: too that it's this existential battle for whoever reaches agi first,
- 49:21Speaker 2: and that creates the worst incentives to rush things that
- 49:24Speaker 2: are genuinely dangerous to the market. We talked yesterday about Mythos,
- 49:28Speaker 2: which is the anthropic product that they deemed to be
- 49:31Speaker 2: too dangerous to release to the public. But there was
- 49:35Speaker 2: a report that a group of hackers were able to
- 49:39Speaker 2: gain unauthorized access to that anyway, so clearly it was
- 49:44Speaker 2: being kept under lock and key, but not lock and
- 49:46Speaker 2: key enough to keep out. And so if they were
- 49:49Speaker 2: able to gain access, who else was able to gain access?
- 49:51Speaker 2: I mean, this is already the world that we're living in,
- 49:53Speaker 2: and there is a direct tie in potential impacts from
- 49:56Speaker 2: the Iran War that go in a few directions. I mean,
- 50:00Speaker 2: of all, you've got the golf economies that are going
- 50:03Speaker 2: to be really hard hit. They're already pulling back all
- 50:06Speaker 2: sorts of investments. I saw Saudi Arabia's pulling an investment
- 50:09Speaker 2: from like the met opera just as another indication they're
- 50:11Speaker 2: already they're pulling their investment from live golf. And a
- 50:14Speaker 2: lot of what they were investing in was these data
- 50:17Speaker 2: centers and AI in a you know, attempt to diversify
- 50:20Speaker 2: their economies. So you know that could be significant. You
- 50:24Speaker 2: also have these data centers really depend on relatively inexpensive energy.
- 50:29Speaker 2: Obviously the Iran war is creating an energy crunch, so
- 50:32Speaker 2: that could be significant in terms of the build out.
- 50:35Speaker 2: You've obviously also got the grassroots backlash that we've been
- 50:39Speaker 2: tracking here trying to slow down the build out of
- 50:41Speaker 2: these data centers. But the other pieces with the Iran
- 50:45Speaker 2: war The reality is that the race with China for
- 50:51Speaker 2: who can get the furthest the fastest with AI is
- 50:55Speaker 2: very perilous for humanity. And the same way that the
- 50:58Speaker 2: nuclear arms race between the Soviet Union in the US
- 51:01Speaker 2: was very perilous for humanity. And the reason we've been
- 51:05Speaker 2: able to avoid some you know, mass nuclear war, which
- 51:09Speaker 2: is really, honestly quite an extraordinary accomplishment, was through mechanisms
- 51:13Speaker 2: of global cooperation. But the Iran War, of the Ukraine War,
- 51:18Speaker 2: and you know, other actions are moving us further away
- 51:22Speaker 2: from the ability to collaborate and cooperate in some way
- 51:26Speaker 2: that we'll ensure that we're not going to destroy each other,
- 51:29Speaker 2: you know, some new doctrine of effectively probably mutually. Sure,
- 51:33Speaker 2: just are some sort of limiting principles that need to
- 51:36Speaker 2: be developed globally around AI. It seems very difficult to
- 51:40Speaker 2: imagine how that collaboration could happen as harder and harder
- 51:44Speaker 2: draw lines are being drawn and the Iran War is
- 51:48Speaker 2: exacerbating those tensions.
- 51:53Speaker 4: Yeah, and interestingly, Mike Flynn.
- 52:00Speaker 8: Has now kind of joined Joe Kent in pushing this
- 52:04Speaker 8: idea that the way out is just to kind of
- 52:07Speaker 8: very slowly just walk away just.
- 52:08Speaker 7: Walk away, Simpson into the bushes.
- 52:12Speaker 8: Yeah, and I'm starting to think that that is a
- 52:15Speaker 8: very plausible way that this kind of winds down. That
- 52:19Speaker 8: Trump never necessarily signs any documents or agrees any particular thing.
- 52:26Speaker 8: You know, if if, if the US and Israel don't
- 52:29Speaker 8: attack Iran, Iran is extremely unlikely to launch an attack
- 52:33Speaker 8: on it on them, and so you just very slowly
- 52:38Speaker 8: and deliberately.
- 52:39Speaker 7: Start although maybe more likely now.
- 52:43Speaker 4: I mean they'd have to I think they'd have to
- 52:45Speaker 4: get hit.
- 52:46Speaker 8: I think Iran would have to get hit at this point,
- 52:49Speaker 8: but Iran.
- 52:53Speaker 2: Yeah, It's it's a very to me, a very unstable
- 52:57Speaker 2: outcome that is likely to be able to persist for
- 53:00Speaker 2: a significant amount of time for a variety of reasons.
- 53:02Speaker 2: I mean, first of all, if you don't restore, you know,
- 53:06Speaker 2: free flow goes through the strait of Hormons. You continue
- 53:08Speaker 2: to have this tightening of the global economic news that
- 53:11Speaker 2: is going to prove unsustainable for Trump. You have Israel
- 53:14Speaker 2: constantly wanting to go.
- 53:15Speaker 6: Back to war.
- 53:16Speaker 2: So it's hard for me to see how you know,
- 53:20Speaker 2: I can see how he could walk away in the
- 53:21Speaker 2: short term, it's hard for me to see how he persued.
- 53:25Speaker 2: Trump persists in that outcome and that you know, achieves
- 53:29Speaker 2: some sort of a long term balance. It seems very
- 53:32Speaker 2: much more likely to me that we end up back
- 53:34Speaker 2: here again if that's what they try to achieve in
- 53:36Speaker 2: the short term.
- 53:39Speaker 4: Yep.
- 53:40Speaker 3: Well, on that note, why aren't we tell that's I
- 53:44Speaker 3: was just.
- 53:44Speaker 7: Gonna say that your best example of that is what
- 53:46Speaker 7: happened in Goza. It's like we were talking on the
- 53:48Speaker 7: show about this this week too. Is like for Trump,
- 53:52Speaker 7: it looked like the wind that he could say he
- 53:53Speaker 7: ended another conflict, put you know, another notch in the
- 53:57Speaker 7: Nobel Prize qualification, and it rolls on and we could
- 54:02Speaker 7: see flare ups anyway, So it's like branding basically.
- 54:07Speaker 5: Let's wrap up this with a little bit of AMA questions.
- 54:11Speaker 5: This one's for Crystal from Nick Brannon in response to
- 54:15Speaker 5: the Jacobin panel. How does the left flank of the
- 54:17Speaker 5: Democratic Party actually exert power? I am little left of
- 54:21Speaker 5: most social Democrats, but I know quite a bit of
- 54:24Speaker 5: Trots and Leninists.
- 54:25Speaker 4: Okay, how does.
- 54:26Speaker 5: It not fall into the traps of reformism in the past.
- 54:29Speaker 5: The distance between the DSA and the Green Party seems worrying.
- 54:33Speaker 5: Could you truly imagine row Er AOC running as a
- 54:36Speaker 5: Green Party candidate if they get kicked out of the
- 54:39Speaker 5: primary process by party elites. All right, there's a lot there,
- 54:42Speaker 5: So I don't know which part you want to tell.
- 54:43Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, look, my view is very much that,
- 54:47Speaker 2: let's be honest, DSA has been fantastic.
- 54:50Speaker 6: They've had a lot of growth.
- 54:51Speaker 2: Obviously, they're directly involved in the election of zor On
- 54:54Speaker 2: Mom Donnie, which is one of the most important, I
- 54:56Speaker 2: think significant developments for the left in since like Bernie
- 54:59Speaker 2: Zanders since ran in twenty sixteen, and their most successful
- 55:03Speaker 2: strategy has been running people as Democrats. So the outside parties,
- 55:09Speaker 2: you know, the Green Party, et cetera, they just don't
- 55:12Speaker 2: have the size, strength, institutional muscle to be a real
- 55:17Speaker 2: contender at this point in time. The mechanism is the
- 55:20Speaker 2: Democratic Party, and so the only solution then is to
- 55:22Speaker 2: effectively take over the Democratic Party. And I think at
- 55:25Speaker 2: the base level, in a lot of ways that has
- 55:26Speaker 2: already happened. Like the base of the Democratic Party agrees
- 55:30Speaker 2: now with Bernie Sanders, like they have been won over,
- 55:34Speaker 2: and they also agree with the and this is the
- 55:36Speaker 2: really critical part with the critique both of liberal media
- 55:40Speaker 2: establishment and with liberal leadership, that creates a tremendous opening
- 55:45Speaker 2: that really hasn't been has never been there before in
- 55:49Speaker 2: my lifetime. So I think there's I think there's a
- 55:52Speaker 2: lot of possibility now that hasn't existed in the past.
- 55:56Speaker 2: And it's just look, the Democratic Party is just a shell.
- 55:59Speaker 2: It's just you know, it's a name. It can be
- 56:01Speaker 2: whatever you force it to be, but you have to
- 56:05Speaker 2: have a different cast of characters in there, and you
- 56:07Speaker 2: have to have a grassroots behind it that are going
- 56:09Speaker 2: to pressure those new leaders to act in the interests
- 56:13Speaker 2: of people versus in the interests of corporate donors.
- 56:19Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 56:19Speaker 5: Absolutely, all right. Coming up next to do for Emily
- 56:25Speaker 5: from alex NYC. If you didn't talk about it on
- 56:28Speaker 5: today's show, I'd like to hear Emily's thoughts on Pete
- 56:30Speaker 5: Hegsa's reading of The Book of Tarantino.
- 56:35Speaker 7: I thought there was some really like ridiculous clipping done
- 56:38Speaker 7: of that, I will say, because it was obvious that
- 56:41Speaker 7: he was doing something from pulp fiction, and if you
- 56:45Speaker 7: were like listening to him, that's clearly what he was doing.
- 56:49Speaker 7: And there were people who originally clipped it as though
- 56:51Speaker 7: he was making up Bible versus and not like he
- 56:54Speaker 7: was literally stealing from pulp fiction. He credited pulp fiction.
- 56:58Speaker 7: So that was the like, some of the misleading clips
- 57:01Speaker 7: were driving me insane because they like, it's already wild
- 57:05Speaker 7: enough that he's just like riffing on pulp fiction. So
- 57:09Speaker 7: I thought it was a little weird. I mean, he's
- 57:11Speaker 7: been doing some weird stuff. I think they're having a
- 57:14Speaker 7: hard time coming up with a viable justification that's broadly
- 57:22Speaker 7: appealing to the American public. And are you know, that's
- 57:27Speaker 7: the right way to put it. They are. They're now
- 57:31Speaker 7: in a bubble where they're kind of high on their
- 57:35Speaker 7: own supply because they've purged i think criticism from their
- 57:40Speaker 7: ranks and their vicinity, and that's always really dangerous. That's
- 57:45Speaker 7: how you get into very dangerous situations. So that's kind
- 57:49Speaker 7: of my take on it.
- 57:50Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, his whole strategy just seems to try
- 57:52Speaker 2: be to try to portray himself as the most comically
- 57:55Speaker 2: villainous person you can imagine, and like using the pulp fiction.
- 57:59Speaker 2: You know, Prayer for Violence is I think an example
- 58:02Speaker 2: of that, which is why to go back to the
- 58:04Speaker 2: earlier discussion we're having about the TMZ question like, basically,
- 58:08Speaker 2: what does it feel like to make these decisions in
- 58:11Speaker 2: favor of violence and be the one, you know, making
- 58:14Speaker 2: the call to authorize these incredibly violent and deadly actions.
- 58:20Speaker 2: I think that's why that question is so important, because
- 58:22Speaker 2: it's like you're trying to portray yourself as a monster.
- 58:25Speaker 6: Are you really, like, what is it like.
- 58:27Speaker 2: To be inside your head and justify some of the
- 58:31Speaker 2: things that are being done right now?
- 58:33Speaker 7: And I was thinking about that when we were Oh,
- 58:34Speaker 7: go ahead, no, I'm go for it. I was just
- 58:37Speaker 7: going to say, when we were talking about the clip earlier,
- 58:40Speaker 7: I was thinking about how he changed Department of Defense
- 58:42Speaker 7: to Department of War, and they're trying to make the
- 58:45Speaker 7: case that this was essentially a defensive war because it
- 58:48Speaker 7: was preemptive, and they've been trying to build this into
- 58:51Speaker 7: Christian just war doctrine. And I think just changing the
- 58:55Speaker 7: name itself is such an obviously symbolic thing, But when
- 58:59Speaker 7: you look back on that decision, I think it was
- 59:01Speaker 7: much more honest. I think it's much more honest refer
- 59:03Speaker 7: to the previously known as Department of Defense as the
- 59:07Speaker 7: Department of War. But it's I think you're now really
- 59:12Speaker 7: seeing what that meant.
- 59:14Speaker 8: Yeah, it's interestingly, it's never been honest. You know, it
- 59:19Speaker 8: used to be the War Department, back when the US
- 59:23Speaker 8: wasn't really they were expansionary internally doing their whole genocide
- 59:28Speaker 8: taking over the whole continental United States, but they weren't
- 59:32Speaker 8: going abroad yet.
- 59:34Speaker 4: And when we well, they were doing some.
- 59:37Speaker 8: But like when they change it to the Department of Defense,
- 59:40Speaker 8: that's when we really went ham on the world. So
- 59:43Speaker 8: now for changing it back, maybe it means in the
- 59:46Speaker 8: Orwellian sense, we're going to be retrenching.
- 59:49Speaker 2: It has not meant that, Ryan, I regret and you
- 59:52Speaker 2: should keep up the current events.
- 59:56Speaker 7: Read a book, Ryan.
- 1:00:01Speaker 5: Okay, this one's for a Ryan from Eddie hazel Fan.
- 1:00:05Speaker 5: I want to challenge Ryan on his A pack tracker
- 1:00:09Speaker 5: slash J Street objections. It seems clear to me that
- 1:00:13Speaker 5: Normy voters are disgusted by the concept of a lobby
- 1:00:15Speaker 5: for a foreign country and have basically no understanding of Zionism,
- 1:00:19Speaker 5: much less liberal Zionism versus Lakudnik Zionism versus religious Zionism,
- 1:00:23Speaker 5: et cetera. DEM's embracing J Street while the right says
- 1:00:27Speaker 5: they reject the whole lobby is a recipe for losing
- 1:00:30Speaker 5: the issue to them, isn't it?
- 1:00:32Speaker 4: Wait what was the last part?
- 1:00:34Speaker 5: Basically they said that they're like, oh, Republicans are disavowing
- 1:00:41Speaker 5: all Israeli lobby They're not. They're not making a difference
- 1:00:43Speaker 5: between liberal Zionism or Zionism. I say, I think that's
- 1:00:47Speaker 5: at least what he's saying.
- 1:00:48Speaker 6: Guys are doing that.
- 1:00:49Speaker 2: Thomas James fishback, Yeah, right, yeah, So.
- 1:01:00Speaker 8: Setting that part aside, I don't know. I just don't.
- 1:01:03Speaker 8: I like things to be accurate. Like if it's called
- 1:01:05Speaker 8: a pack tracker, make it an a pack tracker. If
- 1:01:09Speaker 8: it's all pro Israel money tracker, call it that.
- 1:01:14Speaker 4: I almost have.
- 1:01:16Speaker 8: Now a bigger problem with what I've noticed is they're
- 1:01:18Speaker 8: getting some heat for and I think justifiably so is
- 1:01:21Speaker 8: the lobby donors part? Like if so, it says lobby
- 1:01:24Speaker 8: donors X amount of money, and then it says, you know,
- 1:01:29Speaker 8: if it looks like the methodology is if somebody gave
- 1:01:33Speaker 8: two hundred bucks at some point to J Street at some.
- 1:01:37Speaker 4: Point in their life, like ten years ago, they get.
- 1:01:40Speaker 8: Classified as a lobby donor, and then if they give
- 1:01:45Speaker 8: to anybody.
- 1:01:48Speaker 4: Then they get counted.
- 1:01:50Speaker 8: And it doesn't seem like they're being kind of straight
- 1:01:53Speaker 8: up about it, Like because Tall Rico they list like
- 1:01:56Speaker 8: one hundred plus thousand or whatever, quote unquote lobby don't
- 1:02:00Speaker 8: doesn't take a pack money. He's been critical of our
- 1:02:04Speaker 8: Israel policy. He's taken like thirty or forty million bucks in.
- 1:02:09Speaker 8: Some of that is going to come from people who've
- 1:02:10Speaker 8: also given a J Street at some point, like they're
- 1:02:13Speaker 8: a red card. But then there are other people that
- 1:02:15Speaker 8: they like who get a green card, who have raised millions,
- 1:02:18Speaker 8: who I guarantee you if you go through there, like
- 1:02:21Speaker 8: AOC or Rashida or Ilhan, I guarantee you they have
- 1:02:25Speaker 8: gotten money. Everybody hates AOC, Rashida and Ilhan guarantee you
- 1:02:30Speaker 8: they've gotten money from people who have given also to
- 1:02:32Speaker 8: J Street. Why don't they get a red card? So
- 1:02:35Speaker 8: that that's the like it's to me, I'm just.
- 1:02:38Speaker 6: It's got to be totally consistent, got to be consistent
- 1:02:42Speaker 6: about the decision.
- 1:02:44Speaker 2: Let you know what the crisier is and how you're
- 1:02:47Speaker 2: applying it, and if you are going to use something
- 1:02:51Speaker 2: that's so broad of anyone who's ever given any money to.
- 1:02:55Speaker 6: J Street or a pack like it.
- 1:02:58Speaker 2: I first of all I don't like that critry criteria,
- 1:03:00Speaker 2: but if you're going to use it, it has to
- 1:03:02Speaker 2: be done consistently across the board, has to be well
- 1:03:05Speaker 2: explained what it means too, and then.
- 1:03:08Speaker 8: Give Rashida a red card. People will be like, we'll
- 1:03:10Speaker 8: hold on a second.
- 1:03:13Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 1:03:14Speaker 7: No, I couldn't agree with that more because it's that
- 1:03:16Speaker 7: it's you never ever want to make people. You don't
- 1:03:19Speaker 7: want to give people reason to doubt good work. And
- 1:03:22Speaker 7: that's why the precision of the language is important, like
- 1:03:25Speaker 7: building trust with people so that they don't suddenly look
- 1:03:29Speaker 7: into something and be like, Okay, so now I don't
- 1:03:30Speaker 7: trust this entire project because it was literally linguistically misleading
- 1:03:36Speaker 7: to me. And so yeah, I mean I think the
- 1:03:37Speaker 7: broad point is important about normies versus a political analyst. Yes,
- 1:03:43Speaker 7: that's that's obviously important, but we give normies a little
- 1:03:46Speaker 7: bit more credit too, for you know, following their own
- 1:03:50Speaker 7: their own trails sometimes and trying to get to the
- 1:03:52Speaker 7: bottom of what's going on. And the last thing that
- 1:03:55Speaker 7: you want if you want the project to be successful,
- 1:03:57Speaker 7: is losing I think the trust and credibility.
- 1:03:59Speaker 2: In that case, I will say J Street is like
- 1:04:01Speaker 2: a very confusing organization to me at this point, and Ryan,
- 1:04:05Speaker 2: I'd be curious for your thoughts on this, because yeah,
- 1:04:07Speaker 2: they were really trying to hold the like liberal Zionist
- 1:04:10Speaker 2: ground that is an increasingly untenable place to stand. So
- 1:04:16Speaker 2: they've shifted their positions, but it's still I mean, they're
- 1:04:19Speaker 2: just still sort of, I think, figuring out where to land,
- 1:04:22Speaker 2: because how can you advocate for Israel at all and
- 1:04:26Speaker 2: hold liberal values At this point.
- 1:04:28Speaker 8: They really blew themselves up over the first eighteen months
- 1:04:31Speaker 8: of the genocide refusing to call for a ceasefire. They
- 1:04:36Speaker 8: had this really kind of expansive J Street University apparatus going,
- 1:04:40Speaker 8: and I think it just completely evaporated because all of
- 1:04:45Speaker 8: the students who were J Street u students were like, no,
- 1:04:49Speaker 8: we need a ceasefire, we need to stop this genocide,
- 1:04:52Speaker 8: and they see their organization not calling for that. They've
- 1:04:57Speaker 8: since come around, but I don't know if that it
- 1:04:59Speaker 8: can be I don't know if it can be repaired.
- 1:05:02Speaker 8: We you know, we were talking about having either Jeremy
- 1:05:05Speaker 8: or maybe Elon On Elon Goldberg on from Jay Street
- 1:05:09Speaker 8: just to hash some of this out. We should we
- 1:05:11Speaker 8: should definitely make that happen to be an interesting conversation.
- 1:05:13Speaker 2: But yeah, you think Tommy Veeter did a pretty good
- 1:05:16Speaker 2: job in the terview that he did recently.
- 1:05:19Speaker 8: I gotta watch that whole thing that was with Elon Goldberg,
- 1:05:21Speaker 8: right the VP. Yeah, they came in and like after
- 1:05:25Speaker 8: the nine War where Yahu launched this war right after
- 1:05:30Speaker 8: Obama was elected but before he was sworn in.
- 1:05:32Speaker 4: He's like, sweet, got a couple months to do a
- 1:05:35Speaker 4: quick war.
- 1:05:36Speaker 8: And some Democrats wanted to oppose it, but call it
- 1:05:40Speaker 8: like anybody who remotely said anything skeptical of it was
- 1:05:44Speaker 8: called anti semitic. So Jay Street was like born out
- 1:05:48Speaker 8: of that war to give Democrats who wanted to be
- 1:05:52Speaker 8: critical of Israel somebody who would validate them as not
- 1:05:56Speaker 8: anti semitic. Like that was essentially the theory of change
- 1:06:00Speaker 8: and behind j Street. But then, but people have pushed
- 1:06:06Speaker 8: significantly further than Jay Street is willing to go. So yeah,
- 1:06:12Speaker 8: it raises interesting questions about what they're where they fit anymore.
- 1:06:16Speaker 2: Well, I mean in the reality of Israel has just
- 1:06:18Speaker 2: pushed further than it's really possible to like because they
- 1:06:22Speaker 2: want to do a lot of the like, oh well,
- 1:06:24Speaker 2: if we just get Nan Yahoo out of there, then
- 1:06:26Speaker 2: it'll be then it'll be different. And then you look
- 1:06:28Speaker 2: at the polls and you listen to the opposition leaders
- 1:06:31Speaker 2: who were like net Yahoo didn't do the war hard enough.
- 1:06:35Speaker 2: I don't really think this is going to be a solution, guys.
- 1:06:37Speaker 2: So and also just the reality that you know, Israel
- 1:06:40Speaker 2: is a one state at this point. You know, they
- 1:06:43Speaker 2: exercise total control from the river to the sea. That
- 1:06:47Speaker 2: is the reality. It's a reality that was intentionally constructed
- 1:06:50Speaker 2: to block any sort of two state solution ever in
- 1:06:52Speaker 2: the future. And so that also is something that you
- 1:06:55Speaker 2: have to grapple with. So I don't know, it's just
- 1:06:58Speaker 2: hard for me to really unders stand the purpose they
- 1:07:00Speaker 2: serve as an organization at this point, given the the
- 1:07:06Speaker 2: realities that everyone's eyes are open to it.
- 1:07:08Speaker 6: You know, now, well, it.
- 1:07:09Speaker 5: Seems like they gave democrats the wiggle room to not
- 1:07:14Speaker 5: send like defensive weapons, even even I think that was
- 1:07:17Speaker 5: like a big thing recently from j Street, right.
- 1:07:19Speaker 8: Ryan, I endorsed the idea that Okay, we're not going
- 1:07:23Speaker 8: to subsidize Iron Dome anymore, and we're not going to
- 1:07:27Speaker 8: fight you around if you don't want to subsidize Iron Dome,
- 1:07:30Speaker 8: but you still should sell the Iron Weapons to as Or,
- 1:07:36Speaker 8: which is you know, it's a substantial move, but things
- 1:07:40Speaker 8: are moving fast. Jay Street, if it becomes kind of
- 1:07:43Speaker 8: an anti Zionist pro one state democracy organization could be
- 1:07:48Speaker 8: would have an interesting role to play m H to say,
- 1:07:52Speaker 8: we we believe in equal rights for everybody within these borders.
- 1:07:57Speaker 8: We're against apartheid, we're guest occupation, but we recognize that
- 1:08:01Speaker 8: two states is no longer going to happen. That would
- 1:08:03Speaker 8: that would be an interesting place for them to exist.
- 1:08:07Speaker 5: An APEC tracker also has like their work cut out
- 1:08:10Speaker 5: for them, because, as you've documented, Ryan, there's now all
- 1:08:13Speaker 5: these like hidden a PAC groups, right elect Chicago Women
- 1:08:16Speaker 5: and stuff. It's like yeah, but and like there really
- 1:08:18Speaker 5: can't be a Twitter account for every single one of them.
- 1:08:20Speaker 5: Although I did get the elect Chicago Women Twitter account.
- 1:08:23Speaker 4: Sorry but there's news on that. Yeah.
- 1:08:27Speaker 8: We busted a pack funding Ala Stanford against Chris rab
- 1:08:32Speaker 8: and Shreeve Street in this uh Philadelphia race and AOC
- 1:08:35Speaker 8: actually today just endorsed Chris Rab.
- 1:08:38Speaker 9: I thought she.
- 1:08:38Speaker 6: Didn't new endorsements. I'm so confused your staff was able
- 1:08:45Speaker 6: to figure this one out.
- 1:08:46Speaker 5: Apparently, Crystal I can't get clipped again Okay, I we
- 1:08:49Speaker 5: got clipped last week.
- 1:08:50Speaker 3: I don't like being any hassan. I can't be retweeted
- 1:08:55Speaker 3: into the into all that.
- 1:08:56Speaker 7: As it was happening, I knew that was about to
- 1:08:58Speaker 7: get clipped.
- 1:08:59Speaker 5: I was just like, more than anything else. So thank
- 1:09:02Speaker 5: you Friday Show viewers.
- 1:09:04Speaker 7: I always know, like whatever it is. Like when a
- 1:09:07Speaker 7: couple of weeks ago, I was on set with Megan
- 1:09:10Speaker 7: and she said the thing about the like Trump could
- 1:09:14Speaker 7: use a nuke, which was in the context of this
- 1:09:15Speaker 7: hour long conversation or whatever about saying it was horrible
- 1:09:18Speaker 7: to threaten to nuke another country. I was like, oh,
- 1:09:22Speaker 7: I can always tell, Like literally, when I used to
- 1:09:24Speaker 7: do Fox, I would be like, this is one thousand
- 1:09:26Speaker 7: percent getting clipped, and nine percent of the time I'm
- 1:09:28Speaker 7: right because you know what's going through like the little
- 1:09:30Speaker 7: media blogger's head.
- 1:09:31Speaker 2: Yeah, that was a crazy thing for Megan to say, though,
- 1:09:34Speaker 2: so I understand why that got clicked.
- 1:09:36Speaker 7: It was a good joke. It was a joke. It
- 1:09:42Speaker 7: was a whole hour long conversation. Oh, we don't get
- 1:09:44Speaker 7: it about how a horrible Trump's.
- 1:09:46Speaker 2: Out of respect for your your position here, I'm not
- 1:09:50Speaker 2: I'm not going to say anymore.
- 1:09:51Speaker 6: But it was a crazy thing to say.
- 1:09:56Speaker 5: Uh, all right, and I'm not taking any opinions as
- 1:09:59Speaker 5: someone that goes on the after party network. All right,
- 1:10:02Speaker 5: let's do our final question here. Uh from Happy Days,
- 1:10:07Speaker 5: oh eight seven to two. Any thoughts on frequent guests
- 1:10:10Speaker 5: Row Conna and him getting called out by all In
- 1:10:13Speaker 5: podcast for having stock returns slash gains better than Nancy
- 1:10:17Speaker 5: Pelosi or virtually anyone.
- 1:10:21Speaker 7: Brian, you've done. It's Roe's wife, right, Oh?
- 1:10:24Speaker 8: Is that what they're beating him up for? Yeah, Rose, Yeah,
- 1:10:26Speaker 8: Roe's wife is extremely rich.
- 1:10:30Speaker 6: And like you know, family money. I believe hundreds of millions.
- 1:10:33Speaker 4: Or tens of millions, like, yeah, enormously rich. Uh.
- 1:10:39Speaker 8: He has consistently introduced legislation that would force every spouse
- 1:10:46Speaker 8: of every member of Congress to what like divest or
- 1:10:50Speaker 8: put them stuff in a blind trust like it would
- 1:10:53Speaker 8: it would force it would legally force his wife.
- 1:10:57Speaker 4: You know, to not do it. She's currently doing so.
- 1:11:03Speaker 8: I don't know of many members of Congress who have
- 1:11:06Speaker 8: done that before. But so, yeah, it's like it's tricky.
- 1:11:11Speaker 8: It's like Roe married her, she's super rich. It's harmony.
- 1:11:15Speaker 8: He can't really tell her what to do with it.
- 1:11:18Speaker 8: The federal government could, and he's trying to get the
- 1:11:21Speaker 8: federal government to do something about it.
- 1:11:23Speaker 6: That's an interesting dynamic.
- 1:11:25Speaker 2: I'm going to pass a law that's going to make
- 1:11:28Speaker 2: you do the dishes.
- 1:11:29Speaker 7: Yeah, you know it's a good marriage. You know it's
- 1:11:32Speaker 7: a good marriage when he can't force her to stop
- 1:11:34Speaker 7: doing it. That's how you know that it's a healthy
- 1:11:36Speaker 7: marital dynamic. And actually there's social science research that the
- 1:11:40Speaker 7: happiest marriages are the marriages where both partners feel equal.
- 1:11:46Speaker 7: So it seems to me like if Roe can't say.
- 1:11:50Speaker 8: One brings in the hammer of the federal legislation to.
- 1:11:56Speaker 4: That imbalance.
- 1:11:57Speaker 8: Yeah, so that's the that's the situation. And he I'm
- 1:12:02Speaker 8: sure he knows it's a political liability and that his
- 1:12:06Speaker 8: opponents are going to hammer.
- 1:12:07Speaker 4: Him for it.
- 1:12:09Speaker 8: Because you know, it looks like he's insider trading if
- 1:12:13Speaker 8: you look at Buton but like it does. And his uh,
- 1:12:19Speaker 8: his opponent has millions to you know, to spend, get
- 1:12:24Speaker 8: a lot of money too to spend.
- 1:12:25Speaker 4: So we'll see.
- 1:12:26Speaker 7: I remember when Ryan you first started, uh, when Roe
- 1:12:31Speaker 7: was like really uh building his profile as a leader
- 1:12:35Speaker 7: in the progressive space. I remember you like years ago
- 1:12:38Speaker 7: on the show confronting him about this. So the all
- 1:12:40Speaker 7: in guys could have looked that up from like five
- 1:12:43Speaker 7: years ago. Crystal and Soccer probably did it too.
- 1:12:45Speaker 8: Yeah, yeah, yeah, because he's one of the ones that
- 1:12:50Speaker 8: jumps out because his wife has so much money and
- 1:12:53Speaker 8: they and his wife's broker trades it like pretty regularly.
- 1:12:58Speaker 8: So it's popping up constantly on these on those reports.
- 1:13:03Speaker 4: Mm hmmm.
- 1:13:04Speaker 8: Yeah, but you're start to feel bad for somebody for
- 1:13:07Speaker 8: having a wife with too much money.
- 1:13:10Speaker 5: Yeah, you know how there's like a everybody's there's there's
- 1:13:13Speaker 5: unusual whales, the tracks Insiders, Maybe we do unusual wives Pelosi.
- 1:13:22Speaker 8: You know it is her husband who was like an
- 1:13:24Speaker 8: actual trader, like he's that's his job, Like that was
- 1:13:27Speaker 8: his job. I don't know if he still doesn''s.
- 1:13:29Speaker 7: A hell of a profession when your wife is the
- 1:13:31Speaker 7: leader of the Democratic Caucus.
- 1:13:34Speaker 5: Yeah, well, I guess all marital disputes will now be
- 1:13:38Speaker 5: uh dealt with with legislation, So look forward to that.
- 1:13:43Speaker 5: Uh And that's going to do it for us this week.
- 1:13:45Speaker 5: Anything else that we need to mention before we sign off, No,
- 1:13:48Speaker 5: I'm sorry for.
- 1:13:50Speaker 2: I'm going to talk to her about introducing legislation to
- 1:13:53Speaker 2: limit the amount of golf channel viewing that's allowed in
- 1:13:55Speaker 2: the household per week.
- 1:13:56Speaker 3: That's true. It's literally the only way to get back.
- 1:14:05Speaker 6: I think I think I could get a lot of
- 1:14:06Speaker 6: support for that personally.
- 1:14:09Speaker 8: But this is clearly a bill of a painder directed
- 1:14:14Speaker 8: at one.
- 1:14:14Speaker 7: Kyle Crystal, maybe you could use the new Virginia dem
- 1:14:20Speaker 7: power to get them to pass this for.
- 1:14:22Speaker 6: There you go, okay, yeah, that we could just do
- 1:14:24Speaker 6: it in Virginia. That does work.
- 1:14:25Speaker 4: Yeah, state law.
- 1:14:27Speaker 2: Let the old people in Florida continue watching their golf changels,
- 1:14:30Speaker 2: leave them alone. He really does have the viewing habits
- 1:14:33Speaker 2: of like an eighty year old guy. He watches the
- 1:14:35Speaker 2: golf channel on the Weather Channel all the time.
- 1:14:37Speaker 4: Oh I love the channel. It's like on in the
- 1:14:39Speaker 4: background constantly.
- 1:14:41Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I guarantee if I go over to the
- 1:14:43Speaker 2: room right now, it's on.
- 1:14:47Speaker 4: Something soothing about golf on TV.
- 1:14:49Speaker 7: I find true.
- 1:14:50Speaker 4: Yeah, totally. It's like let it wash over you.
- 1:14:56Speaker 5: All right, Congress, get your act together, Ryan Crystal, thank
- 1:15:00Speaker 5: you for incredible Friday show and audience. Thank you for
- 1:15:02Speaker 5: bringing us to number fifteen. Hopefully next month we're not
- 1:15:06Speaker 5: at number one, and that we're sinking down to a
- 1:15:10Speaker 5: more normal number, and thank you all for watching and
- 1:15:13Speaker 5: sharing the show with your friends, and we'll see you Monday.
- 1:15:16Speaker 10: I