Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA DFS | Olympics | July 30, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 2: Fall.
- 0:03Speaker 1: System's going clear, we lift.
- 0:05Speaker 2: Up what's going on. Everyone, Welcome to the ship at
- 0:37Speaker 2: Nation PGA DFS show. We're here breaking down the Olympic event,
- 0:42Speaker 2: which m sorry for the technical difficulties, but yeah, we're
- 0:52Speaker 2: here to break down the Olympic event. Obviously that the
- 0:55Speaker 2: contests and DraftKings are are pretty damn big. It didn't
- 0:58Speaker 2: really change too much into the week to week offering,
- 1:01Speaker 2: so we're gonna be here covering a little bit different
- 1:02Speaker 2: this week. We're just doing this solo show. It's like
- 1:05Speaker 2: sixty golfers. We're gonna kind of go through talk through
- 1:08Speaker 2: everyone too. We can find talk a little bit of
- 1:10Speaker 2: roster construction. And then obviously you guys can head on
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- 3:07Speaker 2: Appreciate like and subscribe on this video as well. Helps
- 3:11Speaker 2: us out of ton. So in terms of the Olympics
- 3:14Speaker 2: golf event, you know, relatively new. I think it's only
- 3:17Speaker 2: the third year, third time they've done this at the Olympics,
- 3:21Speaker 2: so playing in France, it's of course that they a
- 3:24Speaker 2: lot of these guys have played at before. But in
- 3:27Speaker 2: terms of like data models, I mean, it's kind of
- 3:30Speaker 2: like a toss up event. You really don't we don't
- 3:32Speaker 2: know what to expect. One thing I do know those
- 3:34Speaker 2: no cut event and that's you know, the big importance
- 3:38Speaker 2: to me is all these guys are getting four rounds.
- 3:41Speaker 2: And when you take some of these top golfers in
- 3:43Speaker 2: the world and give them four rounds, more times than not,
- 3:46Speaker 2: they're gonna, you know, be in contention. So I do
- 3:48Speaker 2: think at the end of the week it's gonna be
- 3:51Speaker 2: the big dogs at the top, which makes me want
- 3:53Speaker 2: to get exposure to them. You can see the pricing
- 3:55Speaker 2: structure here with Scottie at twelve fives and or eleven
- 3:58Speaker 2: and six, Rory eleven one, John Ram ten to seven,
- 4:01Speaker 2: Obert Mari Kala. Pretty easy to get any of these
- 4:05Speaker 2: guys in that you want. If you start with Scotty
- 4:08Speaker 2: still seventy five hundred dollars per spot. Can we go
- 4:10Speaker 2: Scotty and someone else? It gets a little tight now
- 4:12Speaker 2: you're looking at you know, Scotty Mari Kala got sixty
- 4:15Speaker 2: eight twenty five dollars left essentially per spot. You know,
- 4:20Speaker 2: if you take two ten gig guys, you go Rom
- 4:22Speaker 2: and Ludwig seven to five. So these guys will be
- 4:25Speaker 2: popular just because of how easy it is to play them.
- 4:29Speaker 2: You can take some chances, obviously because it is a
- 4:31Speaker 2: no cut event. You get Scotty and Xander what nine
- 4:35Speaker 2: hundred dollars apart, they'll both get get good ownership. I mean,
- 4:39Speaker 2: Xander's like three and a half to one to win
- 4:41Speaker 2: the gold medal. Xander is I think like six and
- 4:45Speaker 2: a half to one or something to win it. So
- 4:46Speaker 2: these are the two favorites. If anyone gets squeezed up here,
- 4:50Speaker 2: I think it could potentially be Rory just because of
- 4:53Speaker 2: the success of the other guys, and Rory had just
- 4:56Speaker 2: you know, coming off the cut at the Open Championship,
- 4:58Speaker 2: had the disastrous fish at the US Open. People are
- 5:01Speaker 2: probably more down on him. Rom coming off a live win,
- 5:05Speaker 2: it's gonna increase his ownership. Maybe he can look to
- 5:07Speaker 2: build on that momentum. Everyone likes Ludwig and ten to
- 5:11Speaker 2: three it's easy to get in there. And then Morikaw
- 5:13Speaker 2: is just playing phenomenally well as you can see here.
- 5:16Speaker 2: I mean, hasn't finished worth worse than sixteenth and I
- 5:19Speaker 2: don't hopefully about ten events. So all these guys are
- 5:23Speaker 2: in play. Like I said, Rory has a chance to
- 5:25Speaker 2: get squeezed, I think just because of the miscut at
- 5:29Speaker 2: the Open Championship and the crumbling performance at the US
- 5:33Speaker 2: Open to Bryson. So you know, for me, definitely like Scottie, Xander, Morikyle,
- 5:40Speaker 2: those are probably the three that I'll be focused on most.
- 5:42Speaker 2: But again, you can play most of these guys with ease.
- 5:45Speaker 2: Nine care range is pretty small and really not a
- 5:48Speaker 2: ton to like here. I mean, Shane Lowery at nine
- 5:51Speaker 2: to eight has been playing well, but do you really
- 5:53Speaker 2: want to pay ninety eight hundred for Shane Lowry? It's
- 5:55Speaker 2: a big boy price Like Covelin has not been great.
- 5:58Speaker 2: Fleetwood I mean hasn't been great one the last time
- 6:01Speaker 2: you've needed Fleetwood. I mean maybe the masters say he
- 6:04Speaker 2: just a lot of twenty plays finishes and then he
- 6:06Speaker 2: has the cut at the open, so his game is
- 6:08Speaker 2: not necessarily trending in the right direction. Nine to five
- 6:11Speaker 2: is a big, big price tag. Nieman has had success
- 6:13Speaker 2: on Live, but outside of Live at the Majors not much.
- 6:18Speaker 2: Tom Kim kind of found some form and then he's
- 6:21Speaker 2: missed two out of the last three cuts to open
- 6:23Speaker 2: in the Rocket mortgage. Nine to two for him is
- 6:25Speaker 2: the big boy price tag. And then Norm at nine
- 6:28Speaker 2: k kind of got back on track a little bit
- 6:30Speaker 2: after a couple of misscuts, But do you want to
- 6:32Speaker 2: pay nine k for Norm? So I do think this
- 6:35Speaker 2: range has a chance to go pretty overlooked because of
- 6:37Speaker 2: the names and the forum. For a lot of these
- 6:40Speaker 2: guys heading down into the eight K range, I think
- 6:45Speaker 2: more appealing than the nines. Connor's been just as steady
- 6:48Speaker 2: as they come, I mean twenty fifth, tenth, twenty seven, ninth,
- 6:51Speaker 2: twenty six, twenty six, thirteenth, Like if he makes Potts,
- 6:55Speaker 2: he has a chance to get into the top ten
- 6:57Speaker 2: at this event with only sixty golfers. Matciama has been
- 7:00Speaker 2: pretty hit or miss recently. More miss, you know, sixty
- 7:03Speaker 2: six at the Open, missed the cut at the Genesis,
- 7:06Speaker 2: did have the good finish at the US. I do
- 7:08Speaker 2: think he is someone that wants to go out there
- 7:11Speaker 2: and you know, grind for his country. So he's a
- 7:13Speaker 2: guy that's on my radar. Fifth, Patrick Day. Not a
- 7:16Speaker 2: ton of interests there have SEPs Draca, Yeah, I mean
- 7:20Speaker 2: I can get unsupped. The nice thing about Sep is
- 7:22Speaker 2: you know he can get to the top, you know,
- 7:24Speaker 2: fifth at the Charles Schwab, fifth at the Memorial, eighth
- 7:27Speaker 2: at the Wells Fargo, fifth at the RBC. Here is
- 7:30Speaker 2: twenty second at the Open is solid for him. So
- 7:33Speaker 2: pretty interested there. Wyndam Clark at eighty one hundred, just
- 7:39Speaker 2: due to his ability to get hot. I mean he's
- 7:40Speaker 2: been up and down this season, He's kind of been
- 7:43Speaker 2: all over the map, but he can get he can
- 7:46Speaker 2: get hot, and eighty one hundred cheaper than the average
- 7:49Speaker 2: roster spot on DraftKings. I'm interested there for sure. At
- 7:53Speaker 2: eighty one for him, and then Pavone, who was really
- 7:56Speaker 2: good to start the season and fell off for a while.
- 7:58Speaker 2: We have seen some better finishes lately. The US opened
- 8:02Speaker 2: fifth Travelers sixteenth. This is a home event for him.
- 8:08Speaker 2: France is the host country. He's eight K for that reason.
- 8:12Speaker 2: You know, I'll definitely give him a look as well.
- 8:14Speaker 2: At eight K. I do think, you know, just talking
- 8:17Speaker 2: about this, a lot of people try to start. I
- 8:19Speaker 2: mean a large majority of teams are gonna start with
- 8:21Speaker 2: someone up top, you know, ten K and above. Nine
- 8:25Speaker 2: k's go overlook, and I think a lot of the
- 8:27Speaker 2: guys in the eight k's go over lay that you're
- 8:28Speaker 2: gonna see a lot of stars and scrubs this week.
- 8:30Speaker 2: That's one thing that does stand out. I don't think
- 8:32Speaker 2: anybody in the eight k's comes in as a popular play.
- 8:36Speaker 2: If you want to say that so I can subscribe
- 8:39Speaker 2: to the video. Again, we appreciate that support. Seven K range,
- 8:45Speaker 2: I think a lot of the same. To be honest
- 8:48Speaker 2: with you, I don't think anyone's gonna be overly popular.
- 8:50Speaker 2: Carlo's Ortiz seventy nine hundred. That's a big boy price
- 8:54Speaker 2: tag for him. Moronk Hoyguard is someone that might get
- 8:59Speaker 2: looked up, but man, look at the I mean it
- 9:00Speaker 2: just has not been good seventy seven hundred for him.
- 9:04Speaker 2: Ab answer Fox, I don't mind Guido. I like the
- 9:08Speaker 2: lower sevens more than the uppers. I'd take a chance
- 9:10Speaker 2: on a guy like Guido at seventy four. Cebez had
- 9:13Speaker 2: the withdrawal when was that? That was at the Genesis
- 9:16Speaker 2: and then came back at the Open and played very poorly,
- 9:19Speaker 2: So who knows where his game is. Olison I do
- 9:23Speaker 2: like Victor Press, another guy that's getting basically a home
- 9:27Speaker 2: I don't know, you know how close he lives a course,
- 9:28Speaker 2: but it's in France and he's from France, so he
- 9:32Speaker 2: should have some sort of benefit EVR. And then Manasra
- 9:36Speaker 2: has been playing very well at seven k flat thirty
- 9:39Speaker 2: first fifteenth forty seven, so I had success on the
- 9:42Speaker 2: DP World Tour, and then also you know, the last
- 9:45Speaker 2: two events, the Genesis and the Open Championship has found
- 9:47Speaker 2: some success. Seven k flat for him, I think is
- 9:50Speaker 2: a solid press take. So for me seven k range
- 9:53Speaker 2: much more interest in the lower part opposed to the
- 9:55Speaker 2: upper part, like these guys in the upper seventh, I'd
- 9:58Speaker 2: probably just find it way Like I can't imagine playing
- 10:01Speaker 2: Ortiz over a guy like Wyndam Clark, Like I'm gonna
- 10:03Speaker 2: find two hundred dollars and get myself to Wyndham Clark,
- 10:06Speaker 2: to be honest with you. So it's kind of where
- 10:08Speaker 2: my head's at in the seven K range. Six k's,
- 10:11Speaker 2: you know, because of the nature of this late no
- 10:13Speaker 2: cut event, a lot of high end golfers that I
- 10:16Speaker 2: want to get exposure to. I'm gonna I'm gonna take
- 10:18Speaker 2: some chances down here and a lot of these guys
- 10:20Speaker 2: to be honest with you. Grio at sixty eight kind
- 10:23Speaker 2: of stands out. Nick Taylor, Bella Mackie. I'm fine with Sharma.
- 10:28Speaker 2: Two very solid finishes at the Genesis, thirty ninth, Yeah,
- 10:31Speaker 2: I'm sure he's dirt cheap. I'm not sure his price
- 10:33Speaker 2: was there, but had to be cheap. Thirty ninth you
- 10:36Speaker 2: probably take it. And then the open nineteenth te tied
- 10:40Speaker 2: for nineteenth you would definitely take that as well. Schmid,
- 10:44Speaker 2: I don't mind taking a look at seventy four hundred,
- 10:48Speaker 2: and then one other guy I wanted to mention was Ventura.
- 10:51Speaker 2: I've been playing well on the corn Ferry tour. You
- 10:54Speaker 2: know that's not necessarily saying a ton, But at sixty
- 10:57Speaker 2: two hundred, I mean two hundred dollars about the minimum
- 10:59Speaker 2: I need guys down here, I'm fine taking that chance
- 11:02Speaker 2: on him. So he's a guy that would be in
- 11:04Speaker 2: my playerpool this week. I'm sure I'll had some more,
- 11:06Speaker 2: maybe even a guy like ct Pan. I'm sure he
- 11:09Speaker 2: hasn't been playing well, did have the second at the
- 11:11Speaker 2: John Deer Class sick Like, I'll extend my exposure in
- 11:14Speaker 2: the six k range as much as I need to
- 11:16Speaker 2: in order to get the guys up top that I want,
- 11:18Speaker 2: the proper exposure up top. So if I have to
- 11:20Speaker 2: add in six K guys or extend my exposure on
- 11:23Speaker 2: some six K guys like, I'd be good doing that
- 11:26Speaker 2: in order to make sure I have the heavy hitters
- 11:29Speaker 2: up top that I want. So the way roster construction
- 11:32Speaker 2: is going to go this week, it's going to be,
- 11:33Speaker 2: you know, probably one or two guys up top almost
- 11:35Speaker 2: on every team. A lot of people skipping the nines,
- 11:39Speaker 2: you know, skipping a lot of the eighths and skipping
- 11:41Speaker 2: a lot of the upper sevens you're probably gonna see
- 11:43Speaker 2: most teams have three guys nine K and above, and
- 11:46Speaker 2: then you know, three guys mid sevens and below. I
- 11:50Speaker 2: don't know if that works. Let's see punch in a couple. Yeah,
- 11:53Speaker 2: so you know, if you punch in two six K
- 11:55Speaker 2: guys a seven K guy, just click random names. You
- 11:57Speaker 2: got ninety nine hundred, so you can get whatever you
- 11:59Speaker 2: want up here. You can get three guys. So that's
- 12:01Speaker 2: how most teams go balance build. People will always ask like,
- 12:05Speaker 2: can I go balance build? Yeah you can, but man,
- 12:07Speaker 2: like the win equity up top is just too much
- 12:09Speaker 2: for me to pass up in a no cut event,
- 12:10Speaker 2: So I don't want a lot of mid tier builds
- 12:13Speaker 2: balance builds. I'll just pass on that, and you know,
- 12:16Speaker 2: if it beats me, it beats me. Like these guys
- 12:18Speaker 2: up here with four round Scheffler, Leander, rom Rordy, even
- 12:23Speaker 2: Ludwig Morikawa. Just the win equity is just too much
- 12:26Speaker 2: for me to pass up. So I won't be doing
- 12:28Speaker 2: a lot of balance builds. I'll be doing more stars
- 12:30Speaker 2: and spread, and I'll be taking some chances in the
- 12:32Speaker 2: six K range. So it's kind of where I'm at
- 12:34Speaker 2: a quick breakdown here. Like I said, all our content
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- 13:36Speaker 2: Good luck this week in your golf contest. We'll be
- 13:39Speaker 2: back next week with our PGA show. And made mistaken
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