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Is Ohio State or Texas CLOSE to getting EXPOSED in MASSIVE Game? | Buckeyes | Longhorns · College Football Addiction: A Show About All Things College Football

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Alright, welcome back.
• 0:00
  Speaker 2: This is our complete matchup guide for Ohio State and
• 0:04
  Speaker 2: Texas game of the year type stuff in Austin. We'll
• 0:07
  Speaker 2: see if that ends up playing out the way we
• 0:09
  Speaker 2: think it will. Last year was not necessarily the most
• 0:12
  Speaker 2: exciting just because of the play styles and the newness
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: of a lot of the offense, but this year we're
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: hoping for better, right Graham?
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: So this preview presented by.
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: PrizePix, we'll talk more about them in a little bit,
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: but what's the first thing that jumps off the page
• 0:24
  Speaker 2: at you when you look at Ohio State and Texas,
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: maybe outside of the billion skill position elite athletes that
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: are out there?
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  Speaker 3: I think both these teams had trouble running the ball
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  Speaker 3: at times last year. Texas, across the board, had trouble
• 0:43
  Speaker 3: running the ball, and Ohio State really had trouble running
• 0:45
  Speaker 3: the ball with anybody not named Bo Jackson. So that's
• 0:50
  Speaker 3: the thing that pops to me. One of the things
• 0:53
  Speaker 3: we've been tracking on our website outside of the stuff
• 0:57
  Speaker 3: we do for Georgia is we kind of have.
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  Speaker 4: A trenches metric section now.
• 1:03
  Speaker 3: And I was just looking at that as you were
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  Speaker 3: doing the intro from last week. You know, Texas against
• 1:10
  Speaker 3: the Cupcake, they played only 1.97 points. first contact yards
• 1:15
  Speaker 3: for an attempt. So I wish it was just a
• 1:16
  Speaker 3: measurement of, you know, how many, which is about 27th
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: in the country, which is not terrible. 27th among power
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  Speaker 3: five teams. So kind of middle of the road, but
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  Speaker 3: I don't know that you would think that if you
• 1:28
  Speaker 3: just looked at.
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  Speaker 4: The score line of their game, right.
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  Speaker 3: And then kind of looking over at Ohio state, not
• 1:36
  Speaker 3: super lovely on the pressure rates given up versus Ohio.
• 1:41
  Speaker 4: Right.
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  Speaker 3: Like, in comparison to what you would expect them to
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  Speaker 3: give up against Ohio. So that's really the starting point
• 1:48
  Speaker 3: for me. I think in this game is, is who's
• 1:49
  Speaker 3: going to get something of a push and, and some
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: time for their quarterback off their offensive line.
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: I think both offensive lines have questions. Ohio state certainly
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: didn't finish the year very strong on the offensive line.
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: They've had to move.
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  Speaker 2: I mean, I spoke with somebody today at Ohio state,
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  Speaker 2: they didn't move a tackle around. They've, I think they
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: have short up the right side, which is a little
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: bit better. Um, Texas, kind of the same thing. They
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: got some talent back. They got a guy out of
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: the pool they really like. They got a guy that
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: could have gone to the NFL back that they really like.
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  Speaker 2: They've suffered some hang-ups, some injuries. They've had questions there.
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  Speaker 2: And again, when you look at the run games of
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: both these teams, as good as these skill positions are
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  Speaker 2: out wide, we understand what wins big-time games, right? Like,
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  Speaker 2: I think both these teams would prefer to establish the
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: run and play defense, right?
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: I like to be very, very cliche.
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  Speaker 2: And I do think that whichever team can not be
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  Speaker 2: one dimensional, like whichever team doesn't have to rely solely
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: on arch or solely on saying is probably going to
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: be the team that wins. Like, I think it's that straightforward.
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: I know that's really cliche. And how about you in
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: the game of the trenches? Good, good analysis there.
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: But I do think not being one-dimensional against two really
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  Speaker 2: good secondaries and against two really good pass rushes. That's
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: the other thing, too, is both these offensive lines have
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: some questions. They have a lot of questions about Texas'
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: defensive front. They have a lot of questions about Ohio
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: State's defensive front. And so the team that cannot be one-dimensional,
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: to me, feels like they've got a huge leg.
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: Up in this.
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  Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree. And I would say within.
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  Speaker 3: Let's just go down a hypothetical path where both teams
• 3:33
  Speaker 3: become one-dimensional.
• 3:36
  Speaker 4: I think that that really favors.
• 3:38
  Speaker 3: Texas over Ohio State in that scenario. I don't like
• 3:43
  Speaker 3: what Julian Zane did under pressure against Miami last year.
• 3:48
  Speaker 3: It's not just that he didn't make hero throws on
• 3:52
  Speaker 3: the run. I think Zane is a really good quarterback.
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  Speaker 3: I think he's a very high-floor type of quarterback. But
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  Speaker 3: I think he is at his best when he can
• 4:01
  Speaker 3: sit in the pocket, make quick passes, deliver, kind of
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  Speaker 3: run some RPO-type stuff.
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  Speaker 4: And then off of that.
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  Speaker 3: You know, you get your deep shot schemed up to
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  Speaker 3: Jeremiah or whoever else of their former five-star wide receivers
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  Speaker 3: they like to match up on in that particular moment
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  Speaker 3: in time. I don't think that he is a guy
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  Speaker 3: who can make plays off script and just, you know,
• 4:26
  Speaker 3: sound– like too hot take a share, but I just,
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  Speaker 3: I don't think he's got the arm strength to be
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  Speaker 3: making throws much past the line of scrimmage on the run.
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  Speaker 3: Like if, if you're talking dump offs to the tight
• 4:38
  Speaker 3: ends or something while he's under some duress, sure. But
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  Speaker 3: like once he breaks container that pocket, especially if Texas
• 4:45
  Speaker 3: is able to get Colin Simmons off the left edge
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  Speaker 3: of their own defensive line and for saying.
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  Speaker 4: To his left, like it's, it's dead at that point,
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  Speaker 4: the play is dead. The play is over.
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  Speaker 3: And so it's, The right tackle for Ohio State is
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  Speaker 3: maybe the most important player on the field in this.
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  Speaker 4: Game because we saw that offense just become.
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  Speaker 3: Pretty anemic against Miami last year under similar scenarios with
• 5:07
  Speaker 3: those pass rushers that they had in that game.
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  Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on the other quarterback? There's so
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: much hype. There's so much excitement around his name. There's
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: so much hate that comes with that, too. He seems
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: to do weird things in games, like the turnover against
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: Texas State really bad. and I spoke with Jerry Hamilton
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: of On Texas Football earlier today, and just, yeah, sometimes
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  Speaker 2: just makes like, whereas like, both these quarterbacks to me
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  Speaker 2: have limitations, and you mentioned Sayans a little bit.
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  Speaker 1: Arches, certainly more athletic, certainly going.
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: To use his athleticism at times, and you're going to
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: be able to rely on that some as Texas. But
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: he's also, it feels like, certainly in some big games,
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: some small games, really a whole of them, I guess
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  Speaker 2: he did it last week too, he's just going to
• 5:51
  Speaker 2: do one or two things that just make you go, dude,
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: what the heck did you see there to do that?
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: And like, so both these core, like this isn't like a,
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: a Mensa versus car situation. When we get to week 11,
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: then we can just talk about like the most elite
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: of the most elite. This is like both these quarterbacks
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  Speaker 2: do have some limitations. And I think that's probably the,
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: if you're, if you're, you know, if we're critiquing saying
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: for what he's got, like Archer's questions are like, okay, well,
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: when you have that detrimental mistake, like don't let it
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: go the other way for six from like, you know, uh,
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  Speaker 2: Sanchez or like, you know, like don't let it be
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  Speaker 2: to that guy, you know.
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  Speaker 4: For sure.
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  Speaker 3: And, you know, I think with both these guys, they,
• 6:35
  Speaker 3: I don't know if it's because of things that happened
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: last year or just structure of offense or, or what,
• 6:41
  Speaker 3: but they, they both strike me as guys who want
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: to get the ball out of their hands. And that's,
• 6:46
  Speaker 3: that's normal often, I think for like, highly recruited heralded
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  Speaker 3: quarterbacks at big time programs like Texas and Ohio state,
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  Speaker 3: like Carson Beck, even, you know, later in his career
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  Speaker 3: when he became a starter at Georgia in 2023, there
• 7:02
  Speaker 3: was a long period of time where he would just
• 7:04
  Speaker 3: sort of like rush through his reads in a lot
• 7:07
  Speaker 3: of big games. And it's not that he was turning
• 7:10
  Speaker 3: the ball over necessarily, but it's just like, he was
• 7:12
  Speaker 3: kind of a, what's the expression stepping over dollars to
• 7:15
  Speaker 3: pick up pennies, right? Like, like getting the ball out
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  Speaker 3: really quick when things were, were popping open downfield.
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  Speaker 4: And I think that.
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  Speaker 3: Both these guys kind of have some of that in them. Arch,
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  Speaker 3: I have seen do like at that Georgia game last
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  Speaker 3: year that I covered from the press box, I was
• 7:34
  Speaker 3: really impressed with some of the throws that he was
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  Speaker 3: able to make at times in that game, just when
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  Speaker 3: the arm talent comes together.
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  Speaker 4: And I do think that like.
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  Speaker 3: The arch we saw late in the season last year
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  Speaker 3: was better than I don't know that I think he
• 7:46
  Speaker 3: was as good as some other people have sort of
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  Speaker 3: made him out to be throughout this off season. So
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  Speaker 3: when it comes to these guys in this game, it's like,
• 7:57
  Speaker 3: who can kind of live in that space between trigger
• 8:01
  Speaker 3: happy and gun shy.
• 8:02
  Speaker 4: Right.
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  Speaker 3: And I think that I, I actually think within that framework,
• 8:08
  Speaker 3: you know, saying might be a little bit better suited.
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  Speaker 4: To do that just because.
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  Speaker 3: Like, I mean, you're talking Cam Coleman, Jeremiah Smith, a
• 8:18
  Speaker 3: lot of good wide receivers on the field in this game.
• 8:20
  Speaker 3: But I do think that Ohio State's offense and Ohio
• 8:24
  Speaker 3: State's receiver weapons maybe flow a little bit better towards
• 8:32
  Speaker 3: some of those kind of early quick pass type stuff.
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  Speaker 4: And I just.
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  Speaker 3: Don't know with like Wingo and Cam Coleman and some
• 8:40
  Speaker 3: of the action in Texas' offense. I could eat my
• 8:43
  Speaker 3: words if they get Smothers involved in the pass game
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  Speaker 3: out of the backfield at the running back position. But
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  Speaker 3: I think that Texas' offense– I'm very interested to see, like,
• 8:53
  Speaker 3: can they sustain drives in this game or does it
• 8:55
  Speaker 3: turn into the offense is, like, let's try and hit
• 8:59
  Speaker 3: a big play to Cam or Wingo downfield. Or maybe
• 9:02
  Speaker 3: there's a reverse or an end around called up for
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  Speaker 3: Wingo at some point in each half.
• 9:08
  Speaker 4: And, like, beyond that.
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  Speaker 3: What is sustainability look like? Just cause I, I don't
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  Speaker 3: trust them to run the football in this game.
• 9:15
  Speaker 4: I really don't. So that's mine.
• 9:19
  Speaker 3: I don't know if that answers your question, but like, I,
• 9:22
  Speaker 3: I do think that both these guys are.
• 9:24
  Speaker 4: Sort of.
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  Speaker 3: Volatile enough to where it doesn't feel super predictable. Like
• 9:31
  Speaker 3: which one's going to make that crippling error. I just
• 9:34
  Speaker 3: think if, if both play safe, Ohio state probably has
• 9:37
  Speaker 3: a better chance to win than Texas.
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: I'll get right back to the video, but first I
• 9:40
  Speaker 2: want to give some love to our friends over at PrizePix.
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: There's a ton on the PrizePix app right now that
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: you can go get. There was a free play tonight
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: here on Wednesday night for Sam Darnold. There have been
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: free plays for all this NFL opening weekend stuff that
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: you can find. And then, of course, why we're here,
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: college football. Whether you're looking for Jeremiah Smith or Arch
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: Manning or you're looking for... Satanga at Oklahoma or you're
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: looking for something with Michigan because you want to take
• 10:03
  Speaker 2: a less, whatever you're looking for, they've got you taken
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: care of. We showed a lot of love to Faison
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: Brandon tonight. You can go look at his lines against
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: Georgia Tech. Go check out the more or less options
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: that you've got over on the Price Picks app.
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: All new users there.
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: Who play $ 5 and win that first lineup using code H,
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: you may get $ 150 in lineups instantly. We appreciate Bryce
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: Picks for their support. Go check them out. From a
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: coaching standpoint, do you think there's anything to... Texas has
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: won some big games, right?
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: But a lot of those games, they were expected to win.
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: The A & M game was a big game last year,
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: but I think we all kind of thought A &
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: M was... I don't want to call them a fraud,
• 10:45
  Speaker 2: but I will say they had fraud tendencies. Like, you know,
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: they won a couple of playoff games. They were huge
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: favorites and probably didn't win them convincingly enough. Played Ohio
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: State well enough then. They've lost to Georgia 3 Street. Like,
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: are there, are, like, just thoughts around the mindset of, like,
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: Ryan Day, who does typically go out and win big
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: games like this, versus Steve Sarkeesian.
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: Also, I guess, the coordinator aspects of it.
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: You have had a first-hand look of Champ, and now
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: he's at Texas. Is there a matchup where Matt Patricia
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: or Muschamp, I know it's early in his tenure there,
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: but is there a coaching edge here?
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: Because they're all really good.
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: Everybody's ranking up all these guys in their top ten.
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: But what's your thoughts around that?
• 11:41
  Speaker 3: I do think there's a coaching edge a little bit
• 11:45
  Speaker 3: that favors a day in this matchup. Have we seen–
• 11:53
  Speaker 3: what is Sark's best win as a head coach?
• 11:56
  Speaker 4: I think that's the fair question.
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: In Tuscaloosa.
• 11:59
  Speaker 3: In Tuscaloosa against an Alabama team that got rid of
• 12:05
  Speaker 3: its defensive play caller midseason for the first time in
• 12:08
  Speaker 3: the history of Saban's dynastic career after that game. And then,
• 12:14
  Speaker 3: you know, went on and did its thing like with
• 12:17
  Speaker 3: a really young secondary.
• 12:18
  Speaker 4: So yeah, great.
• 12:22
  Speaker 3: I just, I don't like take the, take the in-game
• 12:29
  Speaker 3: decision stuff off the table. I question Texas's culture straight up. Honestly,
• 12:38
  Speaker 3: like in moments like this, I think that, there is
• 12:41
  Speaker 3: a little bit to this point has been a bit
• 12:44
  Speaker 3: of a mercenary style kind of vibe around them and
• 12:48
  Speaker 3: that that's great when things are going well, but what
• 12:52
  Speaker 3: if you're down by seven in the fourth quarter and
• 12:55
  Speaker 3: you've had some mistakes to that point?
• 12:57
  Speaker 4: Do they stick together?
• 12:58
  Speaker 3: Muschamp should theoretically be an anecdote to some of that
• 13:03
  Speaker 3: kind of stuff just because his style is tenacious and
• 13:06
  Speaker 3: hard and all those things, but I don't know that
• 13:09
  Speaker 3: it is.
• 13:11
  Speaker 4: Yet.
• 13:12
  Speaker 3: I think that the way that roster has been constructed,
• 13:15
  Speaker 3: I'll just call it out. I think they use NIL
• 13:18
  Speaker 3: almost like a marketing expense and that they often will
• 13:23
  Speaker 3: overpay for recruits if it is a recruiting battle that
• 13:27
  Speaker 3: has a high enough profile as to create clips off
• 13:32
  Speaker 3: of it where people are going to say, look at
• 13:33
  Speaker 3: all the momentum that Steve.
• 13:34
  Speaker 4: Sarkeesian and Texas have on the recruiting trail. And that's great.
• 13:38
  Speaker 4: in the moment, but I've come to think of the
• 13:40
  Speaker 4: whole NIL.
• 13:41
  Speaker 3: Era as like, you know what the actual easiest thing
• 13:43
  Speaker 3: to do is, is to just say yes and give
• 13:47
  Speaker 3: these kids as much money as it takes to get
• 13:49
  Speaker 3: them on campus. But then once you get them there,
• 13:52
  Speaker 3: can you deal with the fallout of that?
• 13:53
  Speaker 4: Can you deal with all the.
• 13:55
  Speaker 3: Transfers that leave because they're pissed off that they produced,
• 13:59
  Speaker 3: they started, they played through a torn labrum in their
• 14:02
  Speaker 3: shoulder or whatever it was. And then the kid that
• 14:05
  Speaker 3: just came in with the five stars next to his name,
• 14:07
  Speaker 3: who's fat and lazy and 15 pounds overweight is getting paid,
• 14:12
  Speaker 3: you know, four times what they are. And Texas hasn't
• 14:15
  Speaker 3: been able to figure out how to deal with those
• 14:17
  Speaker 3: two things yet. So part of this matchup is that,
• 14:22
  Speaker 3: and part of this to me is I do wonder
• 14:25
  Speaker 3: about like, we talk all the time in college football
• 14:29
  Speaker 3: about what teams get out of the transfer portal.
• 14:31
  Speaker 4: We don't talk enough about what they lost.
• 14:33
  Speaker 3: Texas is, put a lot of water in the top
• 14:36
  Speaker 3: of the cup, but they had a lot of water
• 14:37
  Speaker 3: drip out of the bottom.
• 14:38
  Speaker 4: Right.
• 14:39
  Speaker 3: And so now you're in this spot where you're asking
• 14:42
  Speaker 3: arch to go into this really big game.
• 14:44
  Speaker 4: Fortunate for him.
• 14:45
  Speaker 3: It's an, it's at home, but they're going into this
• 14:47
  Speaker 3: game with no Parker Livingstone. None of these guys that
• 14:52
  Speaker 3: he's played with and sort of had gone through the,
• 14:56
  Speaker 3: the game at Georgia last year, the game in Columbus
• 14:59
  Speaker 3: last year. And I do think that's a disadvantage for them.
• 15:02
  Speaker 3: I like, I, I think it helps their home, like
• 15:05
  Speaker 3: I said, but I do think that, you know, Ohio
• 15:07
  Speaker 3: State is kind of here and not to say they
• 15:11
  Speaker 3: don't use the portal and all that because they do,
• 15:13
  Speaker 3: but there's a decent amount of continuity in that group
• 15:17
  Speaker 3: as you go into this game. And they've sort of
• 15:20
  Speaker 3: been through the battles before and they don't have to
• 15:22
  Speaker 3: like relearn how everybody's going to respond when things get
• 15:26
  Speaker 3: really tight. And I don't know that Sark is the
• 15:30
  Speaker 3: guy that I trust to have his team ready for
• 15:34
  Speaker 3: this situation in week two of the season. I think
• 15:37
  Speaker 3: that if Texas goes on to do big things in 2026,
• 15:41
  Speaker 3: which they very well may do, that it might end
• 15:44
  Speaker 3: up being because they got hot late, not because they
• 15:47
  Speaker 3: looked dominant early and just stayed that way wire to wire.
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: With so many weapons on both offenses, you talk about
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: Jeremiah and Wingo and Cam and Smothers and Bo, like.
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: There's a ton of talent.
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: And as much as we're nitpicking the quarterbacks, two of
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: the better quarterbacks in our sport, too.
• 16:05
  Speaker 3: Sure.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: They're playing at a good level. We are certainly... We're
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: going to get comments on both sides. You hate my guy.
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: And it's like, all right, now, come on. Is there
• 16:16
  Speaker 2: a secondary... Nobody matches up.
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: Well with receivers like are going to be on the
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: field this week.
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: But is there a secondary that does have an advantage
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: in this game that you look at and you say, like, okay...
• 16:30
  Speaker 2: you could do better at slowing down the other team's
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: elite wide receivers or not really?
• 16:36
  Speaker 3: Not, I mean, I, I think that, you know, not
• 16:43
  Speaker 3: to get too cliche. I, I do think that like,
• 16:47
  Speaker 3: this is one of those situations where it, it feels
• 16:53
  Speaker 3: fair to me to, to really talk about the defense
• 16:57
  Speaker 3: as a unit. Because the way that these secondaries are
• 17:00
  Speaker 3: going to survive in this game against these receivers is
• 17:05
  Speaker 3: because their front sevens are forcing these quarterbacks to get
• 17:08
  Speaker 3: the ball out faster. And I do think that is
• 17:14
  Speaker 3: where I favor Texas. I do like Texas' front seven
• 17:19
  Speaker 3: talent more than I like Ohio State's front seven talent
• 17:24
  Speaker 3: from what I've seen to this point, which is a
• 17:26
  Speaker 3: very small sample size. I know they recruit well there. Like,
• 17:30
  Speaker 3: obviously I just, I think Texas sort of has, that
• 17:33
  Speaker 3: is one place where they not at the linebacker position, but,
• 17:36
  Speaker 3: but in terms of the pass rush.
• 17:37
  Speaker 4: Positions, they've had some decent continuity there. And I think
• 17:43
  Speaker 4: they've got.
• 17:43
  Speaker 3: A shot, you know, can justice Terry give them a
• 17:46
  Speaker 3: big game on Saturday, right? Like a five-star defensive tackle
• 17:51
  Speaker 3: who is coming into a second season that they paid
• 17:54
  Speaker 3: a lot of money to retain. If you can, couple
• 17:58
  Speaker 3: him with hero Kanu and Colin Simmons, then you've got
• 18:03
  Speaker 3: a shot to create that dynamic. We were just talking
• 18:05
  Speaker 3: about where Julian saying is uncomfortable and he's not able
• 18:09
  Speaker 3: to sit in the pocket and let those vertical routes
• 18:11
  Speaker 3: and double moves and things develop. And, you know, that
• 18:14
  Speaker 3: to me feels like the best path for either one
• 18:18
  Speaker 3: of these defenses to be kind of dominant in this game.
• 18:21
  Speaker 4: But, but, you know, I mean, the other.
• 18:23
  Speaker 3: Thing about college football in particular, any football is, uh,
• 18:28
  Speaker 3: Predictability is huge for a defense, right? And so the
• 18:33
  Speaker 3: thing we opened this about talking about, can either of
• 18:37
  Speaker 3: these teams really sustain a run game?
• 18:40
  Speaker 4: That's the bailout. And then the flip side.
• 18:43
  Speaker 3: Of that is, you know, I'm very curious how Day
• 18:48
  Speaker 3: does back in, like, this is a really unique situation
• 18:50
  Speaker 3: with both head coaches being play callers for this game.
• 18:53
  Speaker 3: But you look at Sark, His history as a head
• 18:59
  Speaker 3: coach or as a play caller, I should say, and
• 19:03
  Speaker 3: a head coach is that if they get behind in
• 19:05
  Speaker 3: a game, like he will abandon the run pretty quickly.
• 19:09
  Speaker 3: And I don't know how, you know, I don't know
• 19:12
  Speaker 3: what they learned in his time away or from calling
• 19:15
  Speaker 3: plays or watching Chip Kelly, you know, all of that.
• 19:18
  Speaker 3: But it'll be very interesting to see sort of how
• 19:25
  Speaker 3: this equation shakes out. Yeah.
• 19:28
  Speaker 2: Do, with all the things we've considered, with all the
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: things we've talked about, to me, I don't know. I mean,
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: last year, I think when this game happened, I think
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: I just said, like, man, I'll take the team that's
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: at home. I don't know that I quite have that
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: same feeling in this, and I'm probably just giving Ohio
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: State a little bit too much of the benefit of
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: the doubt because it feels like when Ohio State goes
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: up in these big matchups, they just find a way
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: to do it. And like I said, Sark has won
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: some big games. I don't know that they've won a
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: game like this.
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: Like, I just don't.
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: And so I'm probably being blinded by that because what
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: has happened in the past has.
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: No impact on this. Like, you know, before the people
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: jump in, well, nothing matters about them. Yeah, I get that.
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: But there is a little bit of benefit of the
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: doubt that I think you give Ohio State because of
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: what you've consistently seen them do under Ryan Day. I
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: think I would lean Ohio State just very slightly here,
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: like three or less. But I don't know that I
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: have a great feel for it. I think this game
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: really comes down to, and it's not very good analytics.
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: That's why you're on here for that side, and I'm
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: on here for the vibes. But I think this is
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: a really even matchup in a lot of areas, and
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: this game is really going to come down to how
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: the ball bounces at times. I could very easily see
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: this being a very even game where one team gets
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: a bad break, makes a good break, whatever it ends
• 20:53
  Speaker 2: up being, and.
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: That's what decides it.
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: I was telling somebody earlier, I could see this being
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: like Louisville Ole Miss where it's slow for a half,
• 20:59
  Speaker 2: and then both teams just answer, answer, answer, answer, answer,
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: and then somebody's going to have the ball last and
• 21:05
  Speaker 2: either score or blow it. That's kind of how I
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: see the game playing out. Now, it'll probably just be
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: a 17-10 game like last year just to make me
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: really wrong about this. And so how do you even
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: predict that? So anyway, I don't even know how to
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: make a pick here. I guess I would lean slightly
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: Ohio State, but do you have a feel on what
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: ends up happening?
• 21:26
  Speaker 3: I mean, I... I struggle with everything we were just
• 21:33
  Speaker 3: talking about, kind of how to, how to handicap all
• 21:37
  Speaker 3: the factors of this game with very few priors. Like
• 21:41
  Speaker 3: I also am very curious, just, you know, how does
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: Texas handle this spot at home as a slight favorite after,
• 21:52
  Speaker 3: you know, I mean like this is kind of, to me,
• 21:55
  Speaker 3: this feels like it might be like their Penn state
• 21:57
  Speaker 3: Oregon game of last year. And if things don't go
• 22:01
  Speaker 3: well for them, they could go really, really poorly very
• 22:06
  Speaker 3: quickly because of all that's been kind of loaded up
• 22:09
  Speaker 3: and built towards with this season.
• 22:13
  Speaker 4: I agree with what you're saying.
• 22:14
  Speaker 3: Like, this could be a game where, especially this early
• 22:17
  Speaker 3: in the season, it's like somebody doesn't get out of
• 22:20
  Speaker 3: the way of a punt that bounces in a weird
• 22:22
  Speaker 3: way and it creates a big turnover. And, you know,
• 22:26
  Speaker 3: those three points that.
• 22:26
  Speaker 4: Come off of it are what matters. I.
• 22:31
  Speaker 3: Even with the wide receivers, I think it's interesting because
• 22:37
  Speaker 3: people talk about Day and Sark as if they're these
• 22:42
  Speaker 3: offensive guru type guys. They have offensive reputations and they
• 22:46
  Speaker 3: are great offensive coaches with a lot of brilliant offensive ideas.
• 22:51
  Speaker 4: Over the years.
• 22:51
  Speaker 3: But if you look at their big game track records,
• 22:55
  Speaker 3: they're pretty conservative until they can't be anymore. And so
• 22:58
  Speaker 3: if like I'm talking about how do I want to
• 23:01
  Speaker 3: play this from a gambling standpoint? I'm, I'm looking at
• 23:07
  Speaker 3: that over under, and I'm, I'm, I'm getting under that
• 23:11
  Speaker 3: number of 49 and a half probably. Cause I could
• 23:13
  Speaker 3: see this game being 10, three or, you know, something
• 23:18
  Speaker 3: like that at halftime. And even if it does spark
• 23:21
  Speaker 3: out and go crazy, I'll probably bet the first half
• 23:23
  Speaker 3: under in this game, quite frankly, like, That's where I'll be.
• 23:26
  Speaker 3: I'm not even sure talking to you right now, what
• 23:28
  Speaker 3: exactly the number is, but, but I'm sure I'll like it.
• 23:31
  Speaker 3: So put me down for that. But yeah, I will,
• 23:35
  Speaker 3: you know, Ohio state, I just got it. I got
• 23:37
  Speaker 3: to see it from Texas until I don't. And Hey,
• 23:39
  Speaker 3: that's something that people said about Kirby Spartan Georgia at
• 23:41
  Speaker 3: one point and they figured it out. Right. So it's like,
• 23:44
  Speaker 3: I'm not saying it can't happen, but we have seen
• 23:49
  Speaker 3: this particular group of Ohio state players and this particular
• 23:53
  Speaker 3: group of Ohio state coaches. do it in this spot
• 23:57
  Speaker 3: more than we've seen their counterparts from, from Austin. So I'm, I'm,
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: I'm leaning Ohio state. And I, I don't know why,
• 24:08
  Speaker 3: but I just sort of have a weird feeling that
• 24:10
  Speaker 3: this thing could, could, could come down and, and, and
• 24:14
  Speaker 3: fall in a very painful way for Texas. I don't,
• 24:17
  Speaker 3: I don't know why I just kind of do.