Latest / UK Column Radio / Iran HUMILIATED the US — Trump Forced to Sign Peace Deal? | Silk and Steel
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Joining in. The Memorandum of understanding has been signed by
- 0:03Speaker 1: Trump by the Iranian delegation Galibaf Trump Sande in Versai.
- 0:09Speaker 1: What does this mean. We've got a history buff maybe
- 0:12Speaker 1: he can give you the historical context of a surrendered
- 0:17Speaker 1: document being signed in Versailles. But also with the guest Kalza,
- 0:22Speaker 1: who we've got on, I wanted to speak about the
- 0:25Speaker 1: Chinese involvement in this. If you've been watching our interviews,
- 0:29Speaker 1: many of our guests have been speaking about how China
- 0:32Speaker 1: essentially asked Iran to sign this document. China said that
- 0:36Speaker 1: we've got your back on this. Apparently, according to this
- 0:40Speaker 1: new piece of information that we've received from Larry, China
- 0:44Speaker 1: and Pakistan pressured Israel as well that you need to
- 0:47Speaker 1: stop acting stupidly or there may be significant consequences. The
- 0:52Speaker 1: Chinese as well, apparently, according to Larry Johnson, have been
- 0:56Speaker 1: providing Iran with weapons and the devastating attacks we saw
- 1:02Speaker 1: by Iran on Jordan on Israel, we're being supplied the
- 1:06Speaker 1: weapons were being supplied by China. So we've got the
- 1:11Speaker 1: best person to speak about this, Karl Zar, who is
- 1:14Speaker 1: an expert on China, especially Chinese history. His podcast, I
- 1:18Speaker 1: think it's called the Silk Road Podcast, the Silkons I'll
- 1:20Speaker 1: get it from him. Apologies, but his podcast specifically talks
- 1:24Speaker 1: about it details Chinese history, and so who better to
- 1:28Speaker 1: ask to come on the show than Cayl Carl. Thanks
- 1:31Speaker 1: for joining, Kyl. What was the name of your podcast? Again,
- 1:33Speaker 1: I kind of did a blunder. I could't remember it.
- 1:34Speaker 1: The Silks, the Silk and Steel podcast. I can see any.
- 1:37Speaker 2: Falcon steal Silk and Steal podcast.
- 1:40Speaker 1: Awesome, awesome, the Silk and Steel Podcast. This is why
- 1:43Speaker 1: these amateurs are not getting the real TV gigs, because
- 1:45Speaker 1: we're trying to wing it. But anyway, thanks to thanks
- 1:48Speaker 1: for joining us. Carl.
- 1:48Speaker 2: How you doing sure? How how are you?
- 1:52Speaker 1: I'm doing very great? Thanks for joining us. So immediately
- 1:55Speaker 1: memorandum of understanding it's come out. What's your thoughts on it?
- 2:01Speaker 2: Well, this is the unambiguous Iranian victory.
- 2:05Speaker 1: This is I mean, would you call it total Iranian victory?
- 2:11Speaker 2: A total Uranian victory? I mean Trump would may try
- 2:14Speaker 2: to put a brave face and try to spin it
- 2:16Speaker 2: and somehow a Trump win. But everybody who's being paying attention, now,
- 2:20Speaker 2: that difference of this three months, three month and a
- 2:24Speaker 2: half war. United States really has shown the world the
- 2:28Speaker 2: limitation on the US Empire. There's and and if if
- 2:33Speaker 2: well we still have sixty days, you know, like the
- 2:36Speaker 2: grace period. If the sixty days grace period held, if
- 2:40Speaker 2: this whole peace deal come through, this is defeat of
- 2:46Speaker 2: the US Empire in West Asia. You know, United States
- 2:54Speaker 2: without their troops, the sanction, all the sanctions on Iran.
- 2:58Speaker 2: They we're going to unfreeze all the Iranian assets and
- 3:01Speaker 2: you around now Uran will be able to sell oil
- 3:05Speaker 2: to whoever they please. This is and on top of that,
- 3:08Speaker 2: you run to keep their current star pile of urrange
- 3:13Speaker 2: urge Uranian. So I mean, this is unambiguous Uranian victory.
- 3:18Speaker 2: There's no way to spin it. Uh so, Uh yeah,
- 3:22Speaker 2: I mean like this it's a it's a well deserved
- 3:24Speaker 2: victory for Uranian people, for they have been really held
- 3:28Speaker 2: under pressure and they they really stood up to the
- 3:33Speaker 2: US Empire.
- 3:35Speaker 1: They did stand up against the US Empire. And as
- 3:38Speaker 1: you said, this is an unambiguous total Iranian victory. You
- 3:42Speaker 1: look at the document and obviously we're going to go
- 3:44Speaker 1: into the specifics of the document, but I wanted to
- 3:47Speaker 1: also speak to you about a couple of important things.
- 3:49Speaker 1: First of all energy and China. So first of all,
- 3:52Speaker 1: let's talk about China. And in terms of China, the
- 3:55Speaker 1: first question is this, how much of an involvement has
- 4:00Speaker 1: China had in these negotiations. I've talked to Xcia, Larry Johnson,
- 4:05Speaker 1: Pepe Escaba, many Chinese experts, and they all said China
- 4:09Speaker 1: was instrumental in this, instrumental in the deal, instrumental and
- 4:13Speaker 1: actually telling around. Look, you need to sign the deal
- 4:15Speaker 1: here and what's your thoughts.
- 4:18Speaker 2: Well, first of all, I don't think China told you know,
- 4:21Speaker 2: told you wrong to do? Anything you wrong is a
- 4:25Speaker 2: is world superpower. Now, nobody gets to tell you wrong
- 4:28Speaker 2: what to do. But what China did is to act
- 4:32Speaker 2: as a mediator to facilitate the negotiations. I mean, there's
- 4:37Speaker 2: a reason they chose Pakistan as a place of negotiation
- 4:41Speaker 2: because Pakistan has a was in a unique position where
- 4:45Speaker 2: it has good relationship with all the GCC countries. He
- 4:49Speaker 2: has good relationship with you wrong, he has good relationship
- 4:53Speaker 2: with the United States, and it has good relationship with China.
- 4:57Speaker 2: So Pakistan is like acceptable party to all as like
- 5:02Speaker 2: the middle ground. And this is where also you know,
- 5:06Speaker 2: Pakistan and China. They are very close. So if you
- 5:10Speaker 2: look at where the latest Chinese military hardware goes, it
- 5:14Speaker 2: goes to Pakistan. Pakistan just receive They're going to receive
- 5:18Speaker 2: the latest Chinese stealth fighter and they just receive a
- 5:22Speaker 2: Chinese made submarine. So China likes to work behind the scenes,
- 5:30Speaker 2: you know, it doesn't want to be seen like up
- 5:32Speaker 2: you know, like front and center. Chinese prefer way of
- 5:36Speaker 2: diplomacy is behind the scene, under closed doors and conduct
- 5:42Speaker 2: the quiet diplomacy, which is quite different from the Trump
- 5:45Speaker 2: style of thumping your chest and proclaiming victory like thirty
- 5:49Speaker 2: nine times or fifty times and last count. And you know,
- 5:55Speaker 2: China obviously has an interest to see the straight or
- 5:59Speaker 2: ho moves being open to marine traffic because half of
- 6:04Speaker 2: the China's UH oil, oil and gas imports come from
- 6:09Speaker 2: the Persian Gulf region. And you know, like the closer
- 6:13Speaker 2: closure of straight or homus mean, twenty barrels of oil
- 6:17Speaker 2: per day was cut to about like what seven million
- 6:21Speaker 2: barrels of sovereignty and for its territorial integrity and and
- 6:26Speaker 2: this is why I don't think China pressure you round
- 6:29Speaker 2: to do anything. I mean, if you look at the
- 6:31Speaker 2: result of the terms. These terms are very good for Iran.
- 6:36Speaker 2: Uran got a great deal out of it. Uh you know,
- 6:38Speaker 2: you're at this at the present stage, and nobody is gonna,
- 6:42Speaker 2: you know, pressure you round to do anything. But what
- 6:44Speaker 2: China does is to access a facilitator to bring United
- 6:48Speaker 2: States and and and you around to the negotiation table.
- 6:51Speaker 2: H You know. With that, there's also the unstated fact
- 6:56Speaker 2: that China has been supplying you around with material supports.
- 7:00Speaker 2: You know, we already talk about China's providing you around
- 7:04Speaker 2: with chemical precursors to make more ballistic weapons and ballistic
- 7:09Speaker 2: missiles as well as uh engines for for Rani and June,
- 7:14Speaker 2: et cetera, et cetera. Whereas China has maintained a export
- 7:19Speaker 2: control on rare ergs to US military industrial complex, which
- 7:25Speaker 2: crippled the US uh MIC's ability to continue to drag
- 7:30Speaker 2: out this war. You know, they're unable to replenish their
- 7:35Speaker 2: exist ammunition. This is why Trump assisted from continue a
- 7:43Speaker 2: hot kinetic action type of work, and for a while
- 7:47Speaker 2: he adopted the blockade strategy. But the blockcase strategy doesn't
- 7:51Speaker 2: really work because what you really want to do is
- 7:54Speaker 2: you want to calm down the energy market and to
- 7:58Speaker 2: have the straight oh hor moves open. You know. So
- 8:01Speaker 2: now what we have is again a complete Iranian victory.
- 8:08Speaker 2: I think this is what China would like to see
- 8:10Speaker 2: as well, because what China get out of it is
- 8:12Speaker 2: the energy flow will continue. Having said that, China is
- 8:21Speaker 2: actually was the best prepared nation for this crisis. Throughout
- 8:25Speaker 2: three and a half month of closure of stri Homus,
- 8:27Speaker 2: China had barely drawn down on its one point four
- 8:30Speaker 2: billion barrels of strategic oil reserve. Unlike other nations. There
- 8:36Speaker 2: was huge drawn down in the United States, in Japan,
- 8:40Speaker 2: South Korea, all across the world. That was part of
- 8:43Speaker 2: the reason they have been able to keep the oil
- 8:46Speaker 2: price from shooting past one hundred and fifty dollars a
- 8:48Speaker 2: barrel is because of the drawdown of the strategic oil reserve.
- 8:52Speaker 2: But China barely touched its own oil inventory because China
- 8:55Speaker 2: had plenty of oil to come in. On top of that,
- 8:59Speaker 2: China had enough may make enough transition into UH into
- 9:08Speaker 2: non oil related UH energy production that you know, China
- 9:13Speaker 2: actually reduce its oil import by like six to seven
- 9:17Speaker 2: million barrels of oil UH and and per day. And
- 9:22Speaker 2: that's that that was huge. That's another factor that that
- 9:26Speaker 2: was able to keep the oil price from skyrocketing. So
- 9:31Speaker 2: so all in all, you know, China has shown that
- 9:34Speaker 2: they their their strategy trying to diversify away from from
- 9:39Speaker 2: hydrocarbons have been quite successful at least, uh you know,
- 9:42Speaker 2: like from imported hydrocarbons, and and and and and and
- 9:47Speaker 2: right now you know this is this is this is
- 9:50Speaker 2: I think this is a result the the current m
- 9:55Speaker 2: o U is the result is what China like to
- 9:58Speaker 2: see as well.
- 9:59Speaker 1: So just a question on that, because yeah, I did
- 10:01Speaker 1: read quite a bit in terms of what you're saying
- 10:04Speaker 1: that China essentially were importing about four to seven billion
- 10:09Speaker 1: less oil into their country and instead they used alternate
- 10:13Speaker 1: energy and because of that, that's part of the reason
- 10:16Speaker 1: the oil prices didn't exponentially increase. And so the question
- 10:21Speaker 1: about that is is because I've actually been proposed to
- 10:24Speaker 1: propose this question myself by some people. So did China then,
- 10:28Speaker 1: incidentally help the United States of America If the aim
- 10:30Speaker 1: of Iran was to put a stranglehold on the economy
- 10:35Speaker 1: or the world economy, and by doing so they wanted
- 10:38Speaker 1: to increase, for example, the oil prices, China actually helped
- 10:42Speaker 1: keep the prices down.
- 10:44Speaker 2: Well, China actually helped the world. I mean like the
- 10:49Speaker 2: you know, for example, when it comes to chemical fertilizers,
- 10:55Speaker 2: Chinese chemical fertilizers are not made for financial gas. I'm like, oh,
- 11:00Speaker 2: elsewhere in the world. Chinese chemical fertilizers made fund code
- 11:04Speaker 2: to gasification process and this allowed the you know, China
- 11:09Speaker 2: manufacture somewhere between twenty five to a third of the
- 11:14Speaker 2: world's fertilizer supply. That kind of lessened the impact of
- 11:20Speaker 2: to the world fertilizer or market. And China actually lift
- 11:25Speaker 2: their ban on export of gasoline, diesel and jet field halfways,
- 11:30Speaker 2: you know, only like a couple of weeks after the
- 11:33Speaker 2: closure of the Straight or Ho moose because China realized,
- 11:35Speaker 2: oh we have plenty. That helped to save the economies
- 11:40Speaker 2: of a lot of Asian particularly Southeast Asian nations. Uh
- 11:45Speaker 2: you know, I'm talking about Philippines, Indonesia, all these all
- 11:49Speaker 2: these countries that depended on the imported diesel. Because let's
- 11:53Speaker 2: face it. Let's face it, the closure of straight or
- 11:57Speaker 2: homos and the oil shortage, it it does not cut
- 12:01Speaker 2: off the energy supply to rich nations because the rich
- 12:05Speaker 2: developed countries they can always bid on the global oil
- 12:08Speaker 2: market for what they need. They just have to pay
- 12:11Speaker 2: higher prices. It's a poor global South nation that suffered
- 12:15Speaker 2: most because they cannot compete with United States or Europe
- 12:19Speaker 2: or Japan to bid on the global oil market for
- 12:22Speaker 2: a higher price of gasoline or diesel or jet fuel.
- 12:28Speaker 2: So in a way, China helped to save a lot
- 12:32Speaker 2: of the global suce countries from going under? Did it incidentally,
- 12:37Speaker 2: always also lessen the pressure? Sure? Sure, sure you did that.
- 12:40Speaker 2: But keep in mind China by keeping exporting gasoline, diesel,
- 12:46Speaker 2: jet field, China helps save a lot of countries ass
- 12:50Speaker 2: including countries like Australia. Australia was like days away from
- 12:54Speaker 2: running out of jet field and they depended a lot
- 12:57Speaker 2: of the jet field import coming from China. So yeah,
- 13:01Speaker 2: I would say China save the ass of a lot
- 13:03Speaker 2: of countries.
- 13:05Speaker 1: Cool.
- 13:06Speaker 2: Cool.
- 13:06Speaker 1: Now you talked about energy, and there's a couple of
- 13:09Speaker 1: key points that Trump made today. One of them I
- 13:12Speaker 1: didn't see, but Larry mentioned it to me, and the
- 13:14Speaker 1: other one I did see. So the first one was
- 13:17Speaker 1: that they said that America was running out of oil
- 13:22Speaker 1: reserves and the oil reserves weren't in a great situation
- 13:26Speaker 1: or a great spot. And the second thing that they
- 13:28Speaker 1: said was that the second thing he said, and I
- 13:32Speaker 1: was gonna bring it up, I'll bring it up in
- 13:34Speaker 1: a second is the what was again he said that
- 13:38Speaker 1: the world would go into a depression if he didn't
- 13:41Speaker 1: make this deal. What's your thoughts about.
- 13:45Speaker 2: This ondred percent? Because we are on the edge of
- 13:52Speaker 2: the economic precipitoe for the whole global economy. You know,
- 13:57Speaker 2: like it's a big deal when you cut off, when
- 14:00Speaker 2: you reduce twenty million barrels of oil coming from Persian
- 14:04Speaker 2: Golf suddenly got reduced to a trickle to like five
- 14:08Speaker 2: to seven million barrels of oil. And that is with
- 14:11Speaker 2: all the oil was sneaking out of the both of
- 14:15Speaker 2: the golf and also through the pipeline through the Saudi
- 14:19Speaker 2: through through the Red Sea, and like, like I mentioned,
- 14:22Speaker 2: a lot of you know, not not just the develop
- 14:27Speaker 2: the developing economy were bring the most, but even like
- 14:35Speaker 2: United States, which has plenty of oil and gas, was
- 14:38Speaker 2: suffering as well because you know, guess what, Us, even
- 14:41Speaker 2: though it was a big gas natural gas producer, was
- 14:44Speaker 2: exporting all this expensive American lngs to Europe, to Japan
- 14:49Speaker 2: to other places. So American farmers weren't able to afford
- 14:54Speaker 2: the grist prices of chemical fertilizers because American chemical fertilizers
- 14:59Speaker 2: are sent using natural gas. Uh, you know, seventy five
- 15:02Speaker 2: percent of the American farmer said they can't afford the
- 15:05Speaker 2: increase in the in diesel price and the chemical fertilizer price.
- 15:10Speaker 2: And and by the way, the the spring planting season
- 15:15Speaker 2: is over, folks, We're in the summer now, so the
- 15:20Speaker 2: food shortage is already baked in. There's going to be
- 15:24Speaker 2: a higher inflationary pressure down the road. You know, a
- 15:29Speaker 2: lot of the disruption to the world economy is already here.
- 15:33Speaker 2: To restore the production to the pre war level, it's
- 15:37Speaker 2: going to take at least one year if everything goes smoothly.
- 15:41Speaker 2: If everything goes smoothly, and that is also assuming that
- 15:45Speaker 2: the shipping insurance, the ship insurance, shipping insurance will come down,
- 15:50Speaker 2: because right now the war insurance for shipping has has
- 15:54Speaker 2: gone quite up, quite dramatically. And that that you know
- 15:58Speaker 2: that for a big VLCC oil tankers that's going to
- 16:03Speaker 2: Persian Golf. The difference is even if the ships keeping going,
- 16:08Speaker 2: the new shipping war insurance would mean additional ten million
- 16:13Speaker 2: dollars per ship. That's that's a big calculation for you know,
- 16:20Speaker 2: a lot of the shipping shipping lines, did you is
- 16:23Speaker 2: it worth it? Is it worth it to we direct
- 16:26Speaker 2: their ship back to the Persian Golf or will just
- 16:29Speaker 2: take the longer route through the Horn of Africa. Will
- 16:32Speaker 2: send our ships to South America, to North America to
- 16:36Speaker 2: Africa to pick up oil from there. You know, even
- 16:39Speaker 2: though the route is longer, it burns more fuel, it's
- 16:43Speaker 2: still saved more money than ten million dollars additional over
- 16:48Speaker 2: overhead and so and and there's also a matter of
- 16:55Speaker 2: restoring production at the oil world level, because those things
- 16:58Speaker 2: are not just a like your tap water you can
- 17:01Speaker 2: turn on off. They had to maintain constant pressure at
- 17:05Speaker 2: the well, the oil well and gas well in order
- 17:08Speaker 2: to maintain the flow. So when you suddainly stop production,
- 17:12Speaker 2: the pressure builds and over and over a long period time,
- 17:17Speaker 2: that's going to break a lot of equipment and then
- 17:19Speaker 2: those needs to be repaired. To give an example, Kuwait,
- 17:25Speaker 2: you know, a lot of the Kuwait's oil infrastructure was
- 17:27Speaker 2: damaged during the Golf War back in the early nineteen nineties.
- 17:31Speaker 2: Today they still haven't reached that level of production they
- 17:37Speaker 2: had before the golf war. So the idea that somehow
- 17:42Speaker 2: we're just going to back to the pre word world
- 17:48Speaker 2: like with a snapple finger, that's that's fantasy. We are
- 17:52Speaker 2: already looking at least one year worth of destruction in
- 17:56Speaker 2: the in the world energy supply chain. Now if had
- 18:01Speaker 2: Trump dragged this war even longer, then it's only going
- 18:06Speaker 2: to make matter even worse. So we're we're looking at
- 18:10Speaker 2: the difference between a economic recession or economic depression. You
- 18:16Speaker 2: know what what pressure Trump to make this deal is
- 18:20Speaker 2: he's trying to She's trying to prevent the slide from
- 18:25Speaker 2: a recession to a depression with a D.
- 18:29Speaker 1: And that's what Trump had to say today. Let me
- 18:32Speaker 1: just show you this video of Trump earlier essentially explaining
- 18:37Speaker 1: this point in terms of what we're talking about. This
- 18:40Speaker 1: is where you have to say and stupid.
- 18:44Speaker 3: It's in the low seventies now, right, that's amazing. So
- 18:48Speaker 3: that's what speaks. It speaks louder than where the alternative
- 18:52Speaker 3: would be a worldwide depression. You know, the stupid people
- 18:56Speaker 3: want to have a worldwide depression and the stupid people
- 19:01Speaker 3: so he can only go so far. Drive somebody into
- 19:05Speaker 3: the ground and matter bad things happen. Number One, the
- 19:08Speaker 3: Straight would never open because they don't like floating billion
- 19:13Speaker 3: dollar ships up and down a straight when the rockets
- 19:16Speaker 3: flying over them in minds all over the place. So
- 19:18Speaker 3: the Straight would never be open. It wouldn't be open
- 19:20Speaker 3: for a long time. So we have we have a
- 19:24Speaker 3: very hard stock market, and we have a very starting
- 19:27Speaker 3: to be a very low oil price and then it's
- 19:29Speaker 3: in the low SEP.
- 19:30Speaker 1: So that's really important, right Carl, because and the reason
- 19:33Speaker 1: why that's important is this he let out something really
- 19:36Speaker 1: important and it's something that I've always held my view on.
- 19:39Speaker 1: I didn't think that they would destroy the financial market completely.
- 19:44Speaker 1: And what he's basically saying is he's squeezed enough. They've
- 19:48Speaker 1: basically done as much wealth transfer as they can and
- 19:51Speaker 1: we're going to see the results of that over time.
- 19:53Speaker 1: But if they squeeze more and people have no hope left,
- 19:58Speaker 1: that's that's something that all about never won, because that
- 20:01Speaker 1: is then anarchy, that is rebellion. And so he said,
- 20:05Speaker 1: we couldn't do it anymore. But anyway, that was my thoughts.
- 20:07Speaker 1: But Glad, what you thoughts on us?
- 20:09Speaker 2: Well, I mean, he he has done plenty of Walls
- 20:13Speaker 2: transferred to his own family. I mean, this guy market
- 20:17Speaker 2: manipulation put Nancy Pelosi to Shane. I mean, like just
- 20:23Speaker 2: just making those thirty nine announcement for for making peace
- 20:27Speaker 2: deal and then suddenly switched tact end of the end
- 20:31Speaker 2: of the week when the market closes, his son, Baron
- 20:34Speaker 2: Trump was making a killing, you know, like beating all
- 20:37Speaker 2: the Wall Street all the Wall Street hedge fund guys. Uh,
- 20:41Speaker 2: it's it's it's ridiculous, and but but you know it's
- 20:44Speaker 2: it's it's by design. This is how American system works.
- 20:49Speaker 2: The war has been very good for for American big
- 20:53Speaker 2: oil producers. You know, the Shall Shall reported the first
- 20:58Speaker 2: quarterly earning the double double their profit over the last quarter.
- 21:03Speaker 2: And and you if when they report their second quarter earning,
- 21:07Speaker 2: that's even going to be even bigger because the first
- 21:09Speaker 2: quarter earning only included uh like because the war started
- 21:13Speaker 2: February twenty eighth, so it's only March that falls into
- 21:17Speaker 2: that period. So so the their second quarter early is
- 21:20Speaker 2: going to be even greater. And the big oil company
- 21:23Speaker 2: are the major backers of Trump. Their profiting, but everybody
- 21:28Speaker 2: pays the bill. You know, that's how American America works.
- 21:33Speaker 2: Its socialized the cost but but but but uh, but
- 21:38Speaker 2: then then then all the profit, all the all the
- 21:40Speaker 2: all the profit goes to a very few pocket And
- 21:44Speaker 2: but with the you know, the funny thing is socialized.
- 21:48Speaker 1: And the socialize the losses for the autogags as well.
- 21:51Speaker 2: But do continuea it's it's it's you know, it's socialism
- 21:55Speaker 2: for the rich. You know, they always get get bailed out.
- 21:58Speaker 2: They always get bail out. Everybody life is a burden
- 22:01Speaker 2: of sharing the cost and the risk.
- 22:04Speaker 1: I say America is socialism for the rich, capitalism for
- 22:08Speaker 1: the paw because whenever the rich are in trouble, they
- 22:11Speaker 1: always bail them out. So they build the banks during
- 22:14Speaker 1: the bank run, they build the banks previously, during the
- 22:17Speaker 1: financial crisis, even during the tariff war with China. Right,
- 22:22Speaker 1: what happened. Part of the reason he pulled out was
- 22:23Speaker 1: because people like Bill Ackman, Ben Shapiro, a lot of
- 22:27Speaker 1: these billionaires, zions, billionaires, they all were like, we've long
- 22:31Speaker 1: the market. This is going to be harmful to us.
- 22:33Speaker 1: So he jumped in and changed his entire policy for them.
- 22:36Speaker 1: So it is definitely United States of America is socialism
- 22:39Speaker 1: for the rich, capitalism for the paw. But sorry I
- 22:41Speaker 1: jumped in. Go ahead.
- 22:42Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that that is by design, that's how
- 22:45Speaker 2: the system works. It's a feature, not a bug. And
- 22:49Speaker 2: but the but the funny thing that Trump says, oh,
- 22:51Speaker 2: only the stupid people want the world depression. I wonder
- 22:55Speaker 2: which stupid people that God has seen It's mess in
- 22:58Speaker 2: the first place. Right, see that Egyptian president. I think
- 23:01Speaker 2: that it was like trying to hold in laughter the
- 23:06Speaker 2: whole time. But but yeah, this is ridiculous. But but
- 23:12Speaker 2: I'm glad where the US establishment is finally coming to
- 23:16Speaker 2: its sensus that they realize it's not sustainable. As much
- 23:20Speaker 2: as they can squeeze the world and and American tax paces. Uh,
- 23:25Speaker 2: it reaches a point where it's gonna it's just gonna
- 23:30Speaker 2: break the whole system. So so they I'm glad they
- 23:33Speaker 2: step back from that economic PRECIPITUEU. As you mentioned, they
- 23:38Speaker 2: can't they can't squeeze people anymore, you know, anymore, there's
- 23:41Speaker 2: going to be systematic breakdown.
- 23:43Speaker 1: So let's look at this memorandum of understanding. How do
- 23:48Speaker 1: you see this sanctions relief a part of it? And
- 23:51Speaker 1: that's what I want to talk to you about, because
- 23:53Speaker 1: you know, the kind of financial implications of this. So
- 23:57Speaker 1: you basically have it where it's the limiting of all
- 24:00Speaker 1: all oil sanctions, petroleum sanctions, basically energy sanctions, but not
- 24:05Speaker 1: only the lifting of those sanctions, but also the financial
- 24:10Speaker 1: mechanism related to them. So I mean those assets can't
- 24:14Speaker 1: be seated in the future and they're able to procure
- 24:17Speaker 1: the proceeding proceeds from it. What's your thoughts on this.
- 24:21Speaker 2: Well, I mean that is a basic demand for Uranian
- 24:24Speaker 2: You know, what's the point of lifting the oil sanction
- 24:29Speaker 2: just to have the US Treasury Department to freeze their
- 24:32Speaker 2: fund at the bank level, right as Scott Beson himself
- 24:36Speaker 2: boasted openly in front of the television. So all these
- 24:41Speaker 2: sanction has to go, all these the financial sanctions, et cetera,
- 24:46Speaker 2: they all have to go there, and they have to
- 24:48Speaker 2: unfreeze the Iranian asset that US government has seized before.
- 24:54Speaker 2: You know, So this way because what Urun needs is
- 24:59Speaker 2: a guarantee, a guarantee that we will not uh you know,
- 25:04Speaker 2: return back to you know, it's because Trump did this
- 25:08Speaker 2: before he tore up j C. P o A. Uh.
- 25:10Speaker 2: You know, there was a deal that was signed between
- 25:13Speaker 2: the US government and Iran regarding to Uran's nuclear program.
- 25:18Speaker 2: But Trump first term that he tore up that deal
- 25:22Speaker 2: and ran won certain level of guarantee that would not
- 25:25Speaker 2: be that would not be repeated. You know, we're not
- 25:28Speaker 2: going to be like a few months later back into
- 25:30Speaker 2: back to the war again. But what Uran does have,
- 25:36Speaker 2: you know, their ace in the whole is their control
- 25:39Speaker 2: of Straight hor Moose because they also know at any time,
- 25:43Speaker 2: if US do renee on the deal, well guess what,
- 25:45Speaker 2: the Straight of Homos will be closed. And US has
- 25:49Speaker 2: no uh, they have no no leverage over that. You
- 25:54Speaker 2: know that if if they were able to open the
- 25:56Speaker 2: Straight or Homos, they would have done it already. They
- 25:59Speaker 2: have no option them, no military option to open the
- 26:02Speaker 2: Serrada Hormoves to challenge Iran in control of the Straight,
- 26:05Speaker 2: and this is why they have to, you know, come
- 26:08Speaker 2: to the negotiation table and sign the MU So I
- 26:12Speaker 2: think that way. I think Iran made the decision. You
- 26:16Speaker 2: know what, our control of Srida Hormoz is almost as
- 26:20Speaker 2: good as possession of actual nukes because this is the
- 26:26Speaker 2: new coding over the world economy and so so. So
- 26:30Speaker 2: that's why they agree to uh, you know, not to
- 26:35Speaker 2: further any enrichment of Uranian, which is fine because they're
- 26:40Speaker 2: already a nuclear threashold state there. They already hope of
- 26:43Speaker 2: sixty percent. Uh, they're already enrached. Youre Uranian too, like
- 26:48Speaker 2: sixty percent, it's very easy to go from sixty percent
- 26:50Speaker 2: to ninety percent and so so so again, all Iran
- 26:55Speaker 2: at this point they hold all the cars and so
- 26:59Speaker 2: this is why this deal is very good for them.
- 27:01Speaker 2: And this is a complete surrender by the United States.
- 27:06Speaker 1: So in terms of the sanctions relief, another thing that's
- 27:10Speaker 1: going to be part of the deal is complete removal
- 27:13Speaker 1: of all sanctions primary, secondary, all sanctions to be released,
- 27:19Speaker 1: assets to be given back to them. You mentioned earlier
- 27:22Speaker 1: in the show that Iran is going to be a
- 27:24Speaker 1: world superpower. Can you elaborate and illuminate on what you
- 27:28Speaker 1: mean by Iran the com in a world superpower?
- 27:31Speaker 2: Well, I mean if a country can cut off twenty
- 27:35Speaker 2: percent of the world's hydrocarbon supply and nobody can do
- 27:40Speaker 2: anything about it, they are a superpower by definition. You know,
- 27:45Speaker 2: we've seen that. You know, US is supposed to be
- 27:48Speaker 2: this world global cop hedge amoun right, and that the
- 27:53Speaker 2: whole idea of US Imperial Alliance is by hosting military
- 27:59Speaker 2: basis soil, you're supposed to get protection. The US security
- 28:03Speaker 2: and bull are supposed to cover you. But the war
- 28:05Speaker 2: winds Iraq has shown that's all farce. You know, having
- 28:09Speaker 2: US base actually make you a target for urrounding this
- 28:13Speaker 2: South and Jones and US has no reliable way of
- 28:17Speaker 2: shutting that down. And they can't. They can't offer protection
- 28:20Speaker 2: to their vassals. They cannot open the street or homos,
- 28:24Speaker 2: they cannot you know, they cannot challenge you running position
- 28:29Speaker 2: in West Asia, you know, so I I mean it's
- 28:33Speaker 2: it's pretty unambiguous now, you know you Ruan has a
- 28:36Speaker 2: veto over the whole world economy. I mean, like twenty
- 28:41Speaker 2: percent of the oil and gas is a big deal,
- 28:46Speaker 2: no doubt. So.
- 28:48Speaker 1: Also in terms of the world superpower, I was more
- 28:50Speaker 1: talking from the because you're talking more from the kind
- 28:53Speaker 1: of control aspect, the kind of ability to administer military
- 28:58Speaker 1: consequences all in this way, military consequences which have financial implications.
- 29:05Speaker 1: But I'm also talking about the idea that Iran is
- 29:08Speaker 1: now going to be part of the world economy. It
- 29:11Speaker 1: will have obviously the military power in the Middle East.
- 29:15Speaker 1: You've seen the level of power they have through their
- 29:17Speaker 1: military capability, but also financially they are essentially I have
- 29:22Speaker 1: pepeon many times, he explains, as do many others as
- 29:25Speaker 1: and I aw the same position that Iran is in
- 29:27Speaker 1: a key position through China for a number of key corridors.
- 29:32Speaker 1: In addition to that, you have it where Iran is
- 29:36Speaker 1: essentially going to be having all sanctions removed from it.
- 29:39Speaker 1: There will be a key point for the North South
- 29:41Speaker 1: East West corridor. There's even this initiative between Iran and Pakistan,
- 29:47Speaker 1: this oil that this oil corridor that they're going to do,
- 29:49Speaker 1: which China is involved in. So I'm talking more from
- 29:53Speaker 1: that perspective. If all of those things are enacted, and
- 29:55Speaker 1: if you can elaborate on that, how much of an
- 29:58Speaker 1: impact will that have on Iran has been a power
- 30:02Speaker 1: in the Middle East, and as by what you said,
- 30:04Speaker 1: a global superpower.
- 30:07Speaker 2: Well, first of all, the you know, US have been
- 30:10Speaker 2: waging this campaign of regime change against Iran for decades
- 30:14Speaker 2: and a major part of that is through economic strangulation,
- 30:20Speaker 2: UH through the sanctioned regimes, and now with the lifting
- 30:23Speaker 2: of all the sanctions, it's admission that United States has
- 30:27Speaker 2: failed and not only US has failed. But all this
- 30:30Speaker 2: increased economic activity that will bring reintegrate Iran into the
- 30:35Speaker 2: global trade networks, it's gonna it's going to strengthen and
- 30:40Speaker 2: enrage yourn further. So I mean forget about regime change.
- 30:43Speaker 2: You know, Iranian government is in a very strong position
- 30:47Speaker 2: right now. Uh they they they just got their position,
- 30:51Speaker 2: their prestige, their power boaster by the result of this war.
- 30:57Speaker 2: And and and you wrong itself. Not only that it
- 31:01Speaker 2: controls the straight or Homos, it's been sitting, you know,
- 31:05Speaker 2: right next to the Persian Gulf, but it's it's strategic position.
- 31:10Speaker 2: Kind of strike in the middle of the Eurasian continent
- 31:14Speaker 2: has always been a very strategic uh position. You know,
- 31:18Speaker 2: you have your run. As you mentioned, you kind of
- 31:22Speaker 2: serve as a nexus of the different economic corridors that
- 31:28Speaker 2: connect say China, Russia, East West Asia. And now he
- 31:33Speaker 2: can perform that role by reintegrating itself back into the
- 31:38Speaker 2: world economy. There's a lot of companies, a lot of
- 31:43Speaker 2: businesses who would very much like to go do business
- 31:47Speaker 2: with Irun, but they have been held back by the
- 31:50Speaker 2: US secondary sanctions. And now now with all these secondary
- 31:55Speaker 2: sanctions remove, Iran's economy is going to receive a major
- 31:59Speaker 2: boost and this will boost its economic power, and economic
- 32:04Speaker 2: power ultimately is a basis for its military power. So
- 32:09Speaker 2: so overall this is UH. This is great for not
- 32:13Speaker 2: only for Uran, but also for Bricks because Iran is
- 32:16Speaker 2: a bricks member and it's part of its has signed
- 32:20Speaker 2: on to the Balti and Road initiative.
- 32:23Speaker 1: UH.
- 32:23Speaker 2: China has built railroad through Central Asia to Yuran, which
- 32:28Speaker 2: actually functioned as one of the vital links to supply
- 32:33Speaker 2: materials to Iran during this war. That will continue, you know,
- 32:37Speaker 2: the ports I expect UH, there will be more investment
- 32:40Speaker 2: into the ports of Iran.
- 32:42Speaker 3: UH.
- 32:44Speaker 2: Before during Biden era, United States Israel, they had a
- 32:50Speaker 2: proposed a project of like the the the Middle East
- 32:55Speaker 2: Corridor that will you know, some some kind of land bridge,
- 33:00Speaker 2: the plan to ship goods from India to to you know,
- 33:06Speaker 2: to UAE and then have an over land route through
- 33:11Speaker 2: Saudi Arabia connect to Israel. Right that all that idea,
- 33:16Speaker 2: the whole idea of that corridor is completely bypassed. You run,
- 33:20Speaker 2: and also it's tilted as an alternative to China's Belting
- 33:24Speaker 2: Road initiative. Well, that project is is pretty much dead
- 33:28Speaker 2: in the water. Now, especially after October seventh. But this again, this,
- 33:34Speaker 2: this will only bolster Youran's own road in the region
- 33:39Speaker 2: as the as the nexus of all these land bridges
- 33:42Speaker 2: coming together.
- 33:45Speaker 1: Yeah, and that's that's going to be extremely important. Now,
- 33:48Speaker 1: another element of the deal which I wanted to talk
- 33:50Speaker 1: to about was Lebanon. This is always the Quagmai appoint
- 33:55Speaker 1: and I think if this wasn't an issue, there probably
- 33:57Speaker 1: would have been a deal a lot sooner. Lebanon is
- 34:01Speaker 1: included in the deal. It also says quite clearly, unequivocally,
- 34:05Speaker 1: that Israel needs to respect the sovereign right of Lebanon.
- 34:09Speaker 1: It means they need to leave Lebanon as well. How
- 34:12Speaker 1: much of a chance do you think that the israelis
- 34:14Speaker 1: fulfilledness and what is the chance that they go back
- 34:17Speaker 1: to one? The reason I asked this is because again
- 34:20Speaker 1: there is this understanding that China has been put in
- 34:22Speaker 1: pressure on Israel as well not to respond allegedly thoughts.
- 34:26Speaker 2: Well, Israel is a fly in the ointment in this
- 34:30Speaker 2: deal because Israeli interest has always been to drag Youran,
- 34:36Speaker 2: to drag United States into war against Iran, to destabilize
- 34:39Speaker 2: Middle East, so Israel can have a chance to achieve
- 34:44Speaker 2: its greater Israel project. And what part of the greater
- 34:47Speaker 2: Israel project is destabilization of Lebanon and occupation of Lebanon.
- 34:53Speaker 2: And the Yahoo already said, you know, they would like
- 34:56Speaker 2: to continue to pursue their Israel's own objective in Lebanon,
- 35:00Speaker 2: which right now they are turning southern Leblon into another Gaza.
- 35:05Speaker 3: Uh.
- 35:05Speaker 2: This is why Youran has insisted that Lebanon must be
- 35:09Speaker 2: part of the deal. Israel must desist. Well what is doing?
- 35:15Speaker 2: So this is where I'm gonna see. This is you know,
- 35:19Speaker 2: this is one of the details in the deal that
- 35:23Speaker 2: potentially could make or break the deal because you know,
- 35:28Speaker 2: Natoyahu has been very insistent Israel have the right to
- 35:32Speaker 2: do whatever he wants. And I don't know if the
- 35:36Speaker 2: United States United States definitely have the wherewithought to restrain Israel.
- 35:42Speaker 2: The question is does the United States have the political
- 35:46Speaker 2: will to restrain Israel? You know, to to restrain Israel
- 35:51Speaker 2: is actually easy. It's just to have the United States
- 35:55Speaker 2: sit down with the leader of Israel, this case Natiyahoo
- 35:58Speaker 2: and say, okay, you got to stop doing what you're
- 35:59Speaker 2: doing or will stop all the aid. Uh. You know,
- 36:03Speaker 2: the US can't do that. On occacious. They did that
- 36:06Speaker 2: when Israel was selling weapons to China back in the
- 36:10Speaker 2: early two thousands and United States set down Israel, give
- 36:14Speaker 2: it a talk, and Israel stopped. So if the United
- 36:19Speaker 2: States really want to exert its political will, you can't.
- 36:24Speaker 2: The question is, uh, would Trump be able to fight
- 36:31Speaker 2: the Israeli lobby? And it's interesting Washington over that because
- 36:35Speaker 2: you know, Israel lobby is still over has an overwhelming
- 36:39Speaker 2: influencing Washington. It basically has a whole pose aisle of
- 36:43Speaker 2: the Congruse in its pocket. This is why you saw
- 36:47Speaker 2: very little opposition from the Democratic Party during the war,
- 36:52Speaker 2: because they're they're they're you know, they don't have any
- 36:55Speaker 2: disagree fundamental disagreement with Trump. Their only disagreement is Trump
- 36:59Speaker 2: is they would prefer to be the one doing the
- 37:02Speaker 2: bidding for Israel rather than Trump's administration. Uh so, so yeah,
- 37:07Speaker 2: that's that's that's a that's a big one. I expect
- 37:13Speaker 2: that the Yahoo will keep on doing what he wants
- 37:16Speaker 2: to do until he is being stopped by a restraining hand.
- 37:24Speaker 2: And I don't know if United States can play that
- 37:28Speaker 2: role it has the capability, I don't know. I just
- 37:31Speaker 2: don't know whether the US establishment at this point can
- 37:36Speaker 2: really break away from the Israeli lobby influenced to go
- 37:40Speaker 2: to do something so contrary to the Israeli interest.
- 37:46Speaker 1: So you talked about the US and what pressures they
- 37:48Speaker 1: can put on what pressures can China put on them?
- 37:51Speaker 1: And the reason I ask that is because China is
- 37:53Speaker 1: becoming very influential. I know China has if you can
- 37:57Speaker 1: elaborate on this, China has trade deals with this, They've
- 38:00Speaker 1: got significant investment in Haifapop. So what pressures can China
- 38:05Speaker 1: put on a country like Israel.
- 38:08Speaker 2: Well, I mean if China choose to uh, you know,
- 38:12Speaker 2: China can also apply economic pressures. As you mentioned, China
- 38:17Speaker 2: do have a lot of commercial interests and and there's
- 38:22Speaker 2: a lot of uh uh China. Israel does rely on
- 38:27Speaker 2: China to supply a lot of the daily daily goods.
- 38:31Speaker 2: So if if China wants, I think it can definitely
- 38:35Speaker 2: apply economic pressure against Israel. And and I'm right now
- 38:42Speaker 2: I'm looking at of course, the most direct pressure would
- 38:48Speaker 2: be Washington telling Israel like, look, if you if you
- 38:52Speaker 2: don't stop what you're doing in Lebanon, all the aid
- 38:57Speaker 2: US American aid will stop coming that that will be
- 39:00Speaker 2: the most direct pressure because Israel can survive even under
- 39:05Speaker 2: a Chinese economic sanction because you know, they can just
- 39:09Speaker 2: buy goods from elsewhere through third party, you know, like
- 39:13Speaker 2: you know, United States can just keep on buying Chinese
- 39:16Speaker 2: goods and we sell them to Israel. The Israeli may
- 39:19Speaker 2: have to pay a little slight premium over, you know,
- 39:23Speaker 2: for the third party, but they will not run out
- 39:25Speaker 2: of the essential goods. But if United States decide to
- 39:30Speaker 2: cut off the aid for Israel, that is more an
- 39:34Speaker 2: existential issue for Israel. So I'm I'm hoping, I'm hoping
- 39:41Speaker 2: that there's enough people in the US foreign policy establishment
- 39:46Speaker 2: that realize that they can, you know, they have to
- 39:49Speaker 2: make a choice. One is to one is to obey
- 39:56Speaker 2: israel interest. The other one is to stop the world,
- 40:01Speaker 2: including the United States, from sliding into a world economic depression,
- 40:05Speaker 2: because that would happen if the straight off her moose
- 40:08Speaker 2: remains close, which is a big incentive for us to
- 40:13Speaker 2: actually break away from the Israeli uh influence are.
- 40:20Speaker 1: We shall see, we shall say. Now another element of
- 40:25Speaker 1: the deal is the straight of hermose. We talked about
- 40:28Speaker 1: the importance of the straight her moose in detail, but
- 40:32Speaker 1: it seems like what's happening and there's a bit of
- 40:34Speaker 1: conflict be souse. I'm just saying now that there is
- 40:36Speaker 1: a report allegedly saying that Iran will charge a feast,
- 40:39Speaker 1: but I'm not sure about this. But what the document
- 40:42Speaker 1: clearly says is that for sixty days there will be
- 40:44Speaker 1: no charging of feasts, and then after that, obviously it
- 40:48Speaker 1: says only sixty days, which means seems to suggest that
- 40:51Speaker 1: after that it's going to be Arang's choice whether it
- 40:53Speaker 1: wants to charge or not. The document also says that
- 40:57Speaker 1: Uman and Iran are going to have complete administration control
- 41:01Speaker 1: administrative control of the Straight of r Moose. What does
- 41:05Speaker 1: that say about again, the implications of this and how
- 41:09Speaker 1: much of a loss is this because they didn't have
- 41:11Speaker 1: control of the moose before this war started.
- 41:15Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean this is pretty big because prior to this,
- 41:20Speaker 2: the International Convention was that while the Straight of Homose
- 41:27Speaker 2: basically was divided into the territorial water of Iran and
- 41:31Speaker 2: Oman the countries inside the Persian Gulf, most of the
- 41:37Speaker 2: GCC countries have a right of transit through the Strait
- 41:42Speaker 2: uh without without paying toes, and that has been that
- 41:46Speaker 2: has been the way of things before the war started.
- 41:52Speaker 2: Now it's uh. At this point, the GCC country may
- 41:56Speaker 2: not have a choice because it's either paid the toes
- 41:59Speaker 2: or they will not be able to sell any of
- 42:02Speaker 2: their oil again if they're if they don't uh, if
- 42:08Speaker 2: it's just the GCC countries, they might be able to
- 42:12Speaker 2: might be able to be forced into this accept this agreement,
- 42:17Speaker 2: you know, unless United States object of course. But again,
- 42:23Speaker 2: you know it's I think it's just remain to be
- 42:26Speaker 2: worked out. We'll have to see what happens within sixty days.
- 42:30Speaker 2: Sixty days can be a very long time, as we
- 42:32Speaker 2: find out this year and and right now, currently we
- 42:38Speaker 2: do see a lot of interests at least among a
- 42:42Speaker 2: lot of the shipping shipping lines. A lot of the
- 42:45Speaker 2: oil containers are now hanging around the Indian Ocean, you know,
- 42:51Speaker 2: hoping to take advantage of this uh uh reopening of
- 42:55Speaker 2: the strait or homos. Looks like they're all prepared to
- 42:59Speaker 2: head over to the proving golf again. So uh, we
- 43:03Speaker 2: just have to wait and see. Uh. Currently we don't.
- 43:07Speaker 2: We haven't seen any one voice like kind of public
- 43:11Speaker 2: opposition against the uh clicking of the toe by Iran
- 43:16Speaker 2: other than GCC country and the United States and and
- 43:19Speaker 2: and more recently that our position has been muted. So
- 43:24Speaker 2: again these are just some of the details that that
- 43:26Speaker 2: remains to be work out. We have to see how
- 43:28Speaker 2: how that develops.
- 43:30Speaker 1: Yeah, and so on the on that. Obviously we'll see
- 43:34Speaker 1: how it develops. But quite clearly it does seem to
- 43:36Speaker 1: be that Iran is going to have control over the
- 43:39Speaker 1: straight or her moves. They're going to have control over
- 43:41Speaker 1: the administration of the straight ORR Moose And the only
- 43:44Speaker 1: bit of question is whether they're going to charge fees
- 43:47Speaker 1: for the first sixty days. The deal seems to be
- 43:49Speaker 1: that they want but I don't know. There's a statement
- 43:51Speaker 1: coming out, but again I haven't checked the interviewing, whether
- 43:54Speaker 1: it's from official challenge or not. But I didn't see
- 43:56Speaker 1: something saying that there could be possibly some form of
- 43:58Speaker 1: disagreement on that. Now, the when you look at the deal,
- 44:04Speaker 1: it's for sixty days, it has this ability to be extended,
- 44:07Speaker 1: so much concerned that this might be extended for like
- 44:11Speaker 1: a year, for a very long time. What's your thoughts
- 44:14Speaker 1: on the kind of pros and con cons of these
- 44:18Speaker 1: unlimited possibility, the possibility of an unlimited amount of extensions.
- 44:24Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, like the business. The one thing that
- 44:29Speaker 2: business really hate is instability, uh because that really limit
- 44:34Speaker 2: their uh the because the business the want stability able
- 44:40Speaker 2: to make long term investment decisions. Right, and these extensions
- 44:45Speaker 2: well nice, but still baked in a lot of uncertainty.
- 44:50Speaker 2: You know, what happens and that the deadline is reached
- 44:53Speaker 2: and the extension now extended. So uh it's I think
- 44:57Speaker 2: it's every What everyone wants is to have the sixty
- 45:03Speaker 2: days extension whatever to to finally formalize into a long
- 45:09Speaker 2: term solution. Uh. You know that that that's the only
- 45:12Speaker 2: guarantee to have the business to return return to a
- 45:16Speaker 2: pre war quote unquote normal because you know, like right now,
- 45:23Speaker 2: there's just too much uncertainty, uh surrounding this issue. You know,
- 45:28Speaker 2: United nobody is going to know whether US Israel or
- 45:31Speaker 2: You're wrong will be able to uh you know, restart
- 45:35Speaker 2: the whole uh closure and or restart kinetic action and
- 45:42Speaker 2: so so people are trying to put this. People are
- 45:45Speaker 2: looking for clarity, by which I mean they're looking for stability.
- 45:50Speaker 2: So everyone is waiting for like a final settlement of
- 45:55Speaker 2: terms before they can continue to you know, pursue long term,
- 45:59Speaker 2: long term investment decisions, particularly in the in the in
- 46:04Speaker 2: the golf region.
- 46:05Speaker 1: Yeah, that there's always that risk about the instability. But
- 46:08Speaker 1: when when do you think people start becoming a lot
- 46:10Speaker 1: more comfortable, Like when the final deal happens, or like when, well, I.
- 46:15Speaker 2: Mean right now, people have no choice. Right, people just
- 46:19Speaker 2: have to accept what they can get. But I think
- 46:23Speaker 2: the you know, they if to calm down the energy
- 46:28Speaker 2: market and the world financial market, people are expecting a
- 46:36Speaker 2: settlement sooner rather than later. I mean, the longer this
- 46:39Speaker 2: thing drags out, it's like a it's a dead weight
- 46:42Speaker 2: hanging over the world economy because you know, there's a
- 46:47Speaker 2: lot of money. There's a lot of money at stake here,
- 46:50Speaker 2: you know, not least of which are all these oil
- 46:55Speaker 2: wealth of the GCC countries. They need to make a
- 46:59Speaker 2: decision where their money gonna go.
- 47:02Speaker 1: Uh.
- 47:03Speaker 2: You know, some of them have already made the decision, uh,
- 47:06Speaker 2: to take to part that wealth elsewhere. There's indication that
- 47:10Speaker 2: there's a lot of money coming out of West Asia
- 47:14Speaker 2: going into Southeast Asia and China. You know, Hong Kong
- 47:18Speaker 2: just became the largest destination of foreign funds, overtaking Switzerland
- 47:24Speaker 2: and I think that a lot of the golf money
- 47:26Speaker 2: is is a reason for that.
- 47:29Speaker 1: No doubt. Kyle, thank you so much for taking your
- 47:32Speaker 1: time out to join us. Always appreciate you joining us.
- 47:35Speaker 1: I know people can find you on the Silk and
- 47:38Speaker 1: Steel podcast, which they can find on Patreon, I believe,
- 47:42Speaker 1: as well as on YouTube. Is that right?
- 47:43Speaker 3: Is that?
- 47:43Speaker 1: Where else can people find you?
- 47:45Speaker 2: Yeah? My YouTube, my my channel is under just just
- 47:50Speaker 2: same as my name, carls Are. I'm also a prolific
- 47:53Speaker 2: ship poster on x You can find me under my
- 47:56Speaker 2: hand on Carl's as well.
- 47:58Speaker 1: So yeah, there's no there's no the wrong with trolling.
- 48:01Speaker 1: I just put up Trump with a white flag leg
- 48:03Speaker 1: Sometimes sometimes we give the news, but sometimes we've got
- 48:05Speaker 1: to do a bit of trolling as well. So we're
- 48:07Speaker 1: down with the trolling for sure. But Carle, thank you
- 48:09Speaker 1: so much for taking your time or to join for
- 48:11Speaker 1: joiners and really appreciate you coming on anytime. Thank you
- 48:15Speaker 1: so much. That was Carl Zar. Do check him out
- 48:18Speaker 1: on YouTube and Praytreon guys. Make sure you like this video.
- 48:22Speaker 1: Let's get the likes up. Make sure you share this
- 48:24Speaker 1: video and subscribe to the channel. Have your notifications on