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Nate's Super Bowl 59 Prop Bet Extravaganza · Nate's Daily Wager

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  Welcome to Natee Daily wager. I ain't picking winners, but I
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  am making wagers. Time to put my money where my
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  mouth is. This is Nate's daily wager for
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  February 8th, 2025, and last night didn't go as we wanted.
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  Let's get past that, cause today.
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  Today is Nate's daily wager. Super Bowl prop bet
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  extravaganza. This is the day we all love.
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  Day before the Super Bowl. We're getting geared up.
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  Get our prop bets in. Do our game picks tomorrow.
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  I got a bunch for you. Cousin Vinny's got a bunch for
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  you. His liver's not doing well, but
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  you know, that's what happens when your team goes to the Super
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  Bowl and it's in New Orleans. So I got a few for you.
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  I'm just going to lay them out kind of basically the way they
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  are on my sheet. So first one we got, well, first
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  one we got of course is tails, right?
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  Like you're going to be a full DJ and you got to go on the the
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  coin flip. So we're going to take tails on
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  that. You should be able to get that
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  for even. But worst case, minus one O 5 or
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  something. Just shop around.
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  You can find even. But tails, because I figure, you
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  know, lots of feathers between chiefs and the eagles.
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  So that's tails. All right, next one we got any
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  time touched down by the tight end go dirt.
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  I think that's how you call his name, or at least that's how I'm
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  calling his name. That's a + 310.
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  So we like that. I think there's going to be a
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  lot of tight end play in this game on both ends.
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  And so that's that's where I'm going with that one.
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  I think that's I think that one's almost a lock.
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  It's like they're giving me money there and plus 310.
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  Love it. All right, the next one, here's
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  another one that I think it's not a lock, but I think there's
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  a ton of value here. So it's any player to record an
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  octopus. Now.
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  What's an octopus you say? If you're a true D Gen. you
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  already know. But for those of you casuals out
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  there, appreciate you listening along.
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  An octopus is when the player scores the TD and the two point
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  conversion. So I think we have a lot of
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  candidates that are able to do this.
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  Saquon, Jalen Hurts, both of the tight ends, Kelsey and Goder
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  Brown. I mean there's just a plethora
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  of players that can make this happen that.
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  So I think there's going to be a 2 point conversion and I think
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  there's a possibility it's going to be the same player doing
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  both. So at +1040, lots of value
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  there. And as I said, will there be a
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  successful 2 point conversion? I'm going to go with yes, there
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  is going to be a 2 point conversion attempt that's also
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  sitting around even money. So minus one O 4 -, 1 O 5 -,
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  110, you know, somewhere in that region.
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  But I think there's a very likely to be an attempt.
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  All right, let's keep going. So next one we got is which team
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  will have the first, we'll call the first time out.
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  And I, I think this one's pretty easy.
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  Yeah, it's a coin flip, not an actual coin flip, but it's
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  sitting at -110 on both teams. But look, Chiefs have been
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  there. They've done this plenty of
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  times. Who's going to be the first one
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  to crack? It's going to be Philly.
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  So that's, that's where I'm going.
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  They're going to be the first one to get a little confused.
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  They're going to take a time out first.
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  So we're going to put our money on Philly.
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  They'll be the first team to take a time out now next I told
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  you lots of tight end play. So I like this Kelsey voter to
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  combine for 12 plus receptions. That's at plus 115, but you're
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  getting two players each can have six.
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  Either one of these could end up with double digit touches.
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  So I like this lots of tight end play.
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  That's where we're going and last but not least, just the
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  easy money here. It's going to take the full game
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  for this to play out well. I guess at one point we'll know
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  that they have 30 minutes, but team to have the most time of
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  possession. And that's going to be the
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  Eagles. Right now.
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  It's -190 it's free money. You know, their plan going in is
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  to keep the ball out of the hands of Mr. Mahomes.
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  So they're going to do everything they can to make sure
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  that they possess the ball. I think this is easy money.
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  This is just picking up money from the floor, so enjoy the
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  props. We'll be back tomorrow with our
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  game picks. Cousin Vinny's up next.
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  He's got plenty for you. Hopefully he holds up and
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  actually makes it to the game tomorrow.
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  So see anything better than that?
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  Pound it. That's my pick and I'm sticking
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  to him. Vinny.
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  Cousin give him. What you got you calls him
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  Vinny. It's Super Bowl 59.
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  Super Bowl LIX, Roman numeral LIXI.
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  Had to Google it. I'm not going to lie.
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  I bet you lied. You had to do that, too.
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  Yeah. So Super Bowl 5959 is not a
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  remarkable number by any means. I I plugged in 59, and Chachi
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  dictated. Nothing cool has ever happened
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  in 59. There's never been a notable
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  athlete with the number 59, at least that not that I know.
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  But we now have a notable 59, and that is Super Bowl 59.
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  And I do think the Super Bowl is going to be notable.
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  I do think it's going to be a great game.
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  And Cousin Vinny, in case you didn't know, we'll be there live
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  in person. What's up?
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  Let's get into prop bets here. As you guys previously, we've
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  been fought along you, you, you know that we like to roll out
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  the prop bets on Saturday. We we put our picks in on Sunday
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  and we've got some great, great luck with our our prop bets over
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  the years. So let's get right into it.
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  I'm going to break down my prop bets under a couple assumptions
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  here. You know, usually what I like to
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  do is pick design the game how I think it's going to play out in
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  my head and then build my profits around it.
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  And you know, no surprise here. A high scoring close game is
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  probably what we're in in for, in store for.
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  And as an Eagles fan, I feel like we have to score 2730
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  points to pull this off against the Chief.
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  Chiefs offensive just always seems to be able to put points
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  up when it matters most in the second-half.
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  And the other thing to keep in mind here is I like to focus on
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  the value props. I don't necessarily think
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  they're all going to come true. I just I like to pick props up
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  now like I just see a lot of value in these numbers.
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  So I'm a category, break it down by category here and get the
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  last philosophy I have is I like to get a couple safe prop bets,
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  put them in and use that as a hedge for the more the higher
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  risk bets that I see see value in.
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  So hopefully we come out on top here.
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  So let's start there. The free money category.
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  What I can call this free money props.
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  I got 2 in here. 1 is Patrick Mahomes at -110 / 5 1/2 rushing
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  attempts. I I just see him scrambling a
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  lot. Eagles cracker are great in
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  coverage. Victor Fangio is a great
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  defensive coordinator. He's going to have to use his
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  legs to score points in this game and keep that the game
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  competitive to the chiefs #2 in the free money prop bets, the
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  over of 2 1/2 brotherly shoves tush pushes in the game.
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  There's no doubt that the Eagles want to keep the homes off the
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  field and they're going to be playing 4 downs.
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  They're going to be putting the pedals in the metal with the
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  running game. They are easily going to hit
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  more than 2 1/2 push pushes in this game, so I think that's a
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  free money one as well. My next category is we're living
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  in 2025 froth bed edition. Yeah, we've heard about the next
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  judge stats all week. And I finally it popped up on on
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  one of my sites that you can actually bet over maximum speed
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  achieved by a player. And if I'm going to bet on any
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  player to reach a maximum speed, it's going to Saquon Barkley.
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  And the number even money at -112 is over 19.5 mph.
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  Well, you know, with Saquon and breaking loose in this game, I
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  think it's not if, it's when. I definitely see him at least
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  breaking one through the secondary and getting into the
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  open field and hitting a home run.
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  I just love the home run potential for him.
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  Even if he doesn't make it to the end zone.
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  I think he hits 19 1/2. My next category is the value
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  prop category. This is prop.
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  These are props or one prop. I think the screams value to me.
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  This. If you were to take one, this
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  would be it. Plus 240A successful 2 point
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  conversion. I just love this for so many
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  reasons. In fact, I'm not going to get
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  too deep into Jake Elliott, the Eagles kicker, until my next
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  prop bet category. But we'll just say I just feel
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  really strongly there's going to be a 2 point conversion in this
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  game. And yeah, let's segue into my
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  next category, the emotional hedge prop bet.
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  Yeah, cousin Benny's an Eagles fan.
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  I need to put a prop bet in there that it just happens.
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  I'm going to feel better about myself.
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  At least pocket a couple dollars plus 330 is for a missed field
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  goal in this game. If Jake Elliott misses a field
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  goal in the first or second quarter, not not missed field
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  goal, but missed extra point. Jake Elliott very welcome to
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  this extra point. I think he's missed an extra
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  point to the last three games. At plus 330 is another one at
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  least. Yeah, if I'm watching the game
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  and I see it, it's going to stink.
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  But maybe I can pocket a couple dollars on on this one.
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  My next category is the never doubt and tush push prop bet and
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  this is not we talked about the over under on tush pushes, but
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  this one is plus 550 for Jalen hurts to get 2 DVS.
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  Man, listen, this guy is just scored a lot of touchdowns in
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  his career every season and everyone who plays fantasy
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  football knows the value of of Jalen Hurts and how he is not
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  only dangerous of breaking one and running one in, but also on
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  A1 yard line, just pushing in there touch, pushing it away
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  plus 550 for two for two TDs. They don't have to be Tush
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  pushes just two DTDS for for Jalen Hertz.
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  He's had this 15 times in his career. 15 times Jalen Hertz has
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  scored two TDs in the game and plus 550.
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  I just love this prop bet and as we're moving in further along
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  and getting higher odds here, you know my final one in my
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  final category is my inner excellence prop bet and that is
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  A.J. Brown to win the MVP at plus
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  3500. Sure, throw 10 bucks on it and
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  pocket 350. Hey, maybe you throw $100 on it
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  and and pocket 3500. I don't know.
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  I'm not telling you what to do, but this is a fun one to throw
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  out there. You know, AJ has been pretty
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  quiet in the playoffs and he had a nice game in the NFC
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  Championship game, but he does have the ability to to break it
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  open and he could just torch Mcduffie and and press coverage.
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  A lot of statistics show that Jalen Hurts gets the ball out
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  quickly and press coverage against, you know, against the
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  blitz. And A.J.
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  Brown is his favorite target. So AJ cafes today against
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  Mcduffie and there you have it. So hope you get these in today.
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  Hope you enjoy the day before the Super Bowl and we'll be back
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  tomorrow for our Super 59 pics live from Bourbon Street.
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  So until tomorrow, it's cousin Benny.
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  With your luck of the week, don't forget to rate, review,
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  subscribe, follow on Spotify, iTunes or your favorite podcast
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  application, and check out the show notes for some other great
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  podcasts. Whether you're looking for
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  general sports discussion, something team specific, or good
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  old wrestling, you're sure to find something you'll love.
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  Check them out and I'll see you tomorrow with another wager.