Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB Witching Hour | April 1, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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MLB Witching Hour | April 1, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

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one. Here. Seven games on Draftking six ten, seven ten Eastern time
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button, hit that subscribe button. Helps us out a ton. We're gonna
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talk pitching first. Then we're gonna talk kind of game by game, talk
4:35
through some of our favorite hitters from the games. How much I'm gonna throw
4:40
it over to you to start, We're gonna go seventy eight hundred and above
4:43
on DraftKings pricing. That's Sean Manaiah, Gibson, Hancock, Rese Elsen,
4:47
Tanner Hawk, James Paxson, and then all the way up at the top,
4:50
Tristan McKenzie from an owner ship standpoint, really wants you to talk on
4:56
McKenzie and Sean Manaiah both gonna be forty plus percent on probably and not far
5:00
behind Tanner Hawk. Pretty gross pitching slate overall. When you got these guys
5:06
that all definitely have flaws in their game at forty plus percent on just the
5:12
nature of the beast, just the nature of the slate. Obviously that bodes
5:15
well for bats once we talk about hitting. But break down this top tier
5:19
pitching in terms of DraftKings pricing, really hit on Manaiah, Hawk and mackenzie,
5:25
as those three are gonna soak up pretty much majority of the ownership one
5:29
hundred and twenty plus percent ownership on this slate. Where you going mean,
5:34
yeah, you alluded to it. Man, there's no real aces on this
5:36
slate, so you got to try to find that Brady Singer off yesterday.
5:40
Brady Singer was obviously needed to be on the winner. So yeah, I
5:43
mean, no household names. But for me, my favorite picture of the
5:47
slate is going to be Tanner Hawk. You said it. I mean he
5:50
we got him what third third highest owned today ownership wise. I like him
5:57
going up against this A's team, very bad, a offensive team they were
6:00
last year they are this year as well. He's also in a very good
6:04
ballpark. The Oakland College Seum generally plays better to pitchers. The weather there
6:11
tonight should favor him as well. He would be my sp one on this
6:14
slate. I mean, when you talk about pitchers, the highest the highest
6:18
priced pitcher and only nine thousand, you know we're used to seeing you know,
6:21
ten k plus, so you know when they're all below nine thousand,
6:25
you know it's a week slate. So give me Tanner Hawk. He's gonna
6:28
be my sp one eighty four hundred dollars. Love the matchup, love the
6:31
ballpark. Think he can do work in that number two. For me,
6:35
I'm gonna go a little bit different I think than maybe most, it's gonna
6:40
be Resulson. For me, taking on this Mets team kind of go against
6:44
the grain. I know Mania is gonna be a good picture. We'll talk
6:46
about him next, But for me, I like rees alson at eighty two
6:49
hundred dollars. I also think he's a great pivot off of Tanner Hawk.
6:53
I think Reese can can can control this this Mets team. This Mets team's
6:58
zero to three, as you alluded to you and Newes loluded too. They
7:00
got swept by the brew crew all week and long. I think Reeese continues
7:04
his domination. I think Reeves is gonna have a very good year this year
7:08
as well, so I would like him number two. Number three for me
7:13
would be Maniah. You know, simply a matchup, matchup base play here.
7:17
I mean, we saw the Tiger struggle all weekend. My boy Eric
7:21
Fetti Wop yesterday doing work. I gave Hoop some some trash talking and the
7:27
Discord chat about that. I think Mania can control this Tigers team as well.
7:32
And then I'll give you one more. Tristan McKenzie, you know,
7:36
taking on this Mariners team. Ballpark upgrade. It's the highest priced pitcher.
7:41
I don't. I don't think we'll get much ownership on McKenzie just based on
7:46
who we have between Mania and Hawk. But yeah, that would be my
7:49
top four in this in this upper tier. Yeah, no, excellent breakdown.
7:55
Mackenzie is coming in projected high second heist one behind Hawk or behind Sean
8:00
and I out right now. So he is gonna get ownership. It's just
8:03
the nature of the beast, right that's he had a lineup, lost a
8:07
couple of pieces over the all season. Here. It's a good pictures park
8:09
there on this slate. I think a lot of kind of the route I'm
8:13
going on this slate right now, at least from the from the look,
8:16
I don't love any of these pictures really. Tanner Hawk is my favorite by
8:20
far, but I really like paring pictures here on this slate together, right,
8:24
just going in on a game. I really liked both pitchers in that
8:28
Boston Oakland game. We'll we'll talk about Joe Boyle after we get past this
8:35
kind of upper tier here, but Tanner Hawk is gonna be my number one
8:37
pitcher. Really like the spot for him. I agree with you, res
8:41
Olsen. I'm just not impressed with this Mets team. Yeah, they still
8:43
got some power, right Pete Alonzo, things like that, But I mean,
8:46
the Brewers don't have a great pitching staff, and they navigated this lineup
8:50
pretty well in New York as well all season or all all last weekend here.
8:54
Obviously the Mets stay at home here, Detroit coming into town. It's
8:58
not afraid of this Mets team, to be honest, I wasn't very impressed
9:03
here. Brewer's got the job done there. Not too often you're saying Milwaukee's
9:07
sweeping teams here, and they definitely got the sweep done this weekend. So
9:11
I do like rhees Olsen here, I have a little bit of interest in
9:13
Emerson Hancock on the other side of that Trisian McKenzie matchup. Hancock, I
9:20
mean, it's kind of a scary matchup overall, but he does rank pretty
9:24
well in our sp rankings over here. He's actually our highest ranked pitcher on
9:28
the slate. When we look at our underlying statcast metrics both sides of the
9:33
plate, opposing lineup projected lineup, Emerson Hancock actually grades out as our number
9:37
one ranks pitcher over here at ship at nation dot com eight K It's not
9:43
a very very good strike up match a right Cleveland, a very low strikeout
9:46
team. Emerson Hancock not a great strike up pitcher either, but I do
9:52
think at eight k he's going to be very low owned here. He can
9:54
navigate this lineup through and I think he could get us fifteen to twenty DraftKings
9:58
points, which on this slate, if you're you're telling me you're gonna give
10:01
me fifteen points from a pitcher, I'm gonna kind of probably probably pencil him
10:05
into my lineups, just because I'm not very floored with any of these pitchers,
10:09
to be honest. So I do like Emerson Hancock there with you on
10:13
Rie Solsen, with you on Tanner Hawk, and then the other guy I'm
10:16
looking at up on this top end is James Paxton here. Just not afraid
10:22
of this Giant's lineup at all. Here projected lineup has a strikeout rate red
10:24
around twenty five percent. Matt Chapman and Jorge Hilaire are really the only two
10:30
bats that I'm scared of, right Those are both lefty smashers here. I
10:33
think they're both solid ones. We talk about bats, but the rest of
10:37
this team, I'm really not scared of at all. Slater thirty six percent
10:41
strikeout rate last year against left handed pitching, Patrick Bailey thirty plus Nick Aman
10:46
thirty plus Confordo right around thirty percent as well. So I do think James
10:50
Paxton, he had a twenty five percent strikeout rate last year. I think
10:52
he can keep that if he returns back to the old Paxton that we saw
10:58
before the injuries, when he when he was with Boston and his strikeout I
11:01
mean, he had the thirty four percent strikeout rate before those injuries. If
11:05
he can return back to even a twenty five twenty six percent strikeout rate pitcher
11:09
here, I think he's got some ceiling here. It isn't worry. Dodgers
11:13
don't love to run their pitchers out there a long time. He should have
11:16
run support Dodgers. My favorite stack of the night, So I'm ranking this
11:20
top tier. Tan or Hawk number one for me, I'm gonna go James
11:24
Paxton number two, Resol Some three, and then Emerson Hancock number four.
11:28
Sean Maniah. I'm just taking the approach tonight that I'm just gonna be underweight
11:31
on the on this clearcut chalk favorite pictures are the clearcut chalk pitcher, and
11:37
that's Sean Maniah. I get the reasoning for it, but I actually stacked
11:41
up these Tigers on Saturday over the weekend here. They did well for me,
11:46
and I'm just gonna I mean, Sean MANI are average innings pitch last
11:48
year was three right around three innings, three three and a half innings.
11:54
I get it. The strikeout stuff is there, but I'm just gonna be
11:56
underweight on the field and just kind of kind of go with these other guys
12:01
personally is kind of the route I'm going, So a little bit underweight on
12:05
Manaiah here. I won't have any Manaia in my team's my two to three
12:09
teams here tonight, Let's talk about the rest of the pitchers on the slate
12:13
seventy eight hundred and below. Want to throw out a couple of names.
12:16
Joe Boyle number one for you, you I want to throw him out.
12:20
And then you got Ronel Blanco as well, who I think picks up a
12:24
decent amount ownership here on the slate all the way down at the bottom at
12:26
sixty five hundred going up against this Toronto team. Really like the offense in
12:31
that game, But talk about him I mean sixty five hundred. There is
12:33
bats to spin up on this game on this slate, right, padres are
12:37
on here. Obviously you got the Dodgers, you got the Yankees coming off
12:41
of sweep over the weekend. You got the Houston bats, right that are
12:45
expensive. So talk about this cheap tier. Hit on Joe Boyle, hit
12:50
on Blanco, and then anyone else you have interest in, Yeah, you
12:56
hit it. I mean Joe Boyle would kind of be my favorite guy to
13:00
to pick on. I've talked about the ballpark earlier, how I really like
13:03
this ballpark and this Red Sox team is just not impressive, striking out almost
13:07
twenty eight percent versus right handed pitching last year. A lot of those same
13:11
cast the characters are back, and so give me some Joe Boyle. I
13:15
mean, this pitching slate is gross. I don't know if we need to
13:18
go all the way to the bottom just based on the fact that the highest
13:20
priced pitcher is seven K. But if you were going to go down there,
13:24
it would be Joe Boyle for me. I don't mind him. And
13:26
then the other one is the fireballer Ronel Blanco. He's got a lot of
13:33
speed on those pitches. I'm not gonna personally get there. I mean,
13:37
sixty five hundred dollars, not against this Blue Jays lineup. I actually liked
13:41
this Blue Jay's line up a lot. I know you do too, has
13:43
some leverage off some of these other teams, but yeah, anything below seventy
13:46
eight hundred, it's gonna be Joe Boyle for me that I'm going to pass
13:50
on the rest of these guys down here. Yeah, I'm with you,
13:54
Joe Boyle. Like I said, I like paaring pitchers together or Tanner.
13:56
Hawk's my favorite pitcher, probably my second favorite pitch. Your lineup construction wise
14:01
is gonna be Joe Boyle. I'm just I like pairing the pitchers. I
14:03
like that that ballpark for pitching. The weather's good, good for pitching.
14:09
There. Not afraid of this Boston lineup. Obviously they do have some bats
14:11
in the right Rockael Devers and Cassas, but outside of that, I mean,
14:16
really, this lineup got worse over the offseason. Here high strikeouts projected
14:22
lineup has a strikeout rate of right around twenty eight percent. Athletics on the
14:26
other side twenty six percent. So I just think see pitchers due here.
14:30
I like pairing them both together. So outside of a Boyle, I'm not
14:33
gonna mess with the Blancos. I like the Toronto offense here, not gonna
14:37
mess it with any of the francis Is or any of these other guys.
14:39
So for me, it's pretty much five pitchers. For me, it's Joe
14:43
Boyle, It's Emerson Hancock, Reees Olsen and and uh Tanner Hawk James Paxton
14:48
is kind of where I'm looking. Go ahead and rank your your your five
14:52
pitchers here before we go game by game and talk about stacks, talk about
14:56
hitters. Yeah, number one for me like him a lot. You kind
15:03
of sold me on Eberson Hancock, and plus we have him at the top
15:07
of our list, and that Cleveland up's not gonna scare me, so I
15:09
would say Hancock number two, I'm going Ree Souls In three, I'm gonna
15:15
go mcken, Tristan McKenzie four, and I'm gonna go Joe Boyle five.
15:20
Just kind of a lower rown guy, seventy five hundred dollars on DK kind
15:24
of my top five. Yeah, No, excellent breakdown here. Let's jump
15:30
over to game by game. We got seven games to talk about. First
15:33
game we have is the Tigers and the Mats. Tigers implied for three point
15:37
six runs. Matt's on the other side, implied for four point one.
15:43
Here talk about this one. I mean we had interested in results in here.
15:48
Sean Mania is gonna be Chalky's pitcher on the slate. Do you have
15:52
any of these Tigers as leverage bats, Spencer Torklsen, our guy, Gee
15:56
Rising Boy, our guy, Jake Rogers, I love, love me a
16:00
little Jake Rodgers there against the lefty. Any of these Tigers for leverage and
16:03
then I don't think you're going to be getting to any of these Mets.
16:07
But talk about him. I mean Dj Stewart, Pee de Alonzo, Brandon
16:11
Neimo all hit right, he's pretty pretty decent, at least last season.
16:15
Where are you going in this one? Detroit, New York. Yeah,
16:18
let's start on uh, let's start for the Tigers. And yeah you said
16:22
it. I mean tourgl Sin can can beat up left He's pretty good.
16:25
Gee Rosen will be doing uh, we'll get going doing cartwheels. If Turklesen
16:29
goes yard, he knows those cars will be getting some uh getting some play.
16:33
So I like Torkleson as a one off. We currently haven't projected batting
16:36
in the two hole. I don't I don't mind that, especially getting twenty
16:38
seven outside of those Tigers thetorkle sin for me and then on the other side,
16:44
Uh, two names I want to toss out obviously, Pete Alonzo.
16:47
I think Pete Alonzo versus anybody is always a good play as a one off
16:49
and then one other one other play. I like tonight if he's in the
16:53
lineup, Francisco Alvarez, especially on DK catch a position thirty two hundred dollars.
16:59
He hits hits ry Sultan's main pitch was the sinker pretty well from the
17:03
right handed side. So give me some Francisco Alvarez as a one office there,
17:07
especially if Francisco's bat in you know, four or five. I really
17:11
like. We haven't currently projected as a seven hitter, but if Francisco's up
17:15
there, really like him as a one off tonight. Yeah. In Rock
17:19
I haven't seen it. Yeah, I played. I played Alvarres as a
17:22
one off on Saturday. That was nice to see get get the home run
17:27
there and uh had another Ybride there, so I did play him. I
17:30
think he's a solid, solid option, but I like the catcher on the
17:34
other side of the game, to be honest, Jake Rodgers at thirty four
17:37
hundred for two hundred dollars more much more. Uh. Actually, I like
17:42
Andy Abanye's, Torklesen, Jake Rogers, in Cana, those four hitters for
17:47
Detroit double leverage off of shan H, Sean and Iya and looking at last
17:52
season's numbers when I struggled with power to the right side of the plate and
17:56
struggled with fly balls, Banyas, Torklesen, Rogers, and Can all fly
18:00
ball hitters last season against left handed pitching. I like those four bats as
18:06
leverage here. Don't think you need a stack them a full stack, but
18:10
a mini stack. Grab two of those four Jake Rogers, Canna, Torkosen
18:12
a Banya's. I like all those guys, so I have a little interest
18:17
in those four hitters for Detroit. They did have good numbers against lefties last
18:22
season. Banyas had a two sixty nine ICEO, Torkosen had a three hundred
18:26
IO, Canna had a two hundred IO, and Jake Rodgers had a three
18:30
twenty seven IO against left handed pitching last year. And that's all one hundred
18:33
plus played appearances each, so I like to sample size there guaranteed nineteen out
18:37
of bats double average off of Manaia Chucky's pitcher on the slate. I don't
18:41
hate those guys on the Mets side. Pete Alonzo's always finds one off for
18:45
me. Brandon Neimo I think is fine. DJ Stewart is a value outfielder.
18:48
But outside of that, don't really want to attack Resolson. I'd rather
18:52
attack Manaiah here personally is kind of how I'm looking at it, but still
18:56
not a great game. Four bats overall. Let's jump to the next game,
19:02
which I do think this is probably when you look at the slate in
19:04
general, I think both these offenses that are very viable. We could see
19:08
fireworks here. I think this is the highest total in the slate as well.
19:11
Blue Jay's implied to score right around four point three Astros right around five
19:17
implied run total here Francis on the mound, Blanco on the mound. Blanco
19:22
is only in the starting rotation for Houston due to injuries. In that rotation,
19:26
he hit a twelve percent barrel rate last year. Expected the array over
19:30
five decent strikeout right. But on the other side, Francis also had double
19:33
digit barrel rate as well. Flyball hitter struggle with power to Riety's talk about
19:41
this game, I think there's fireworks on both sides. I think offense,
19:44
both offenses make some sense here. But where you're going individually Toronto Houston,
19:49
Yeah, I'm with you. I won't be stacking either one of these teams.
19:53
I'll be more picking guys off with a one off. My favorite Blue
19:57
Jay that I would go to tonight would be Dalton Varshow. I like VARs
20:02
show batting lefty versus Blanco currently seeing him projected in the in the five hole,
20:08
which I don't mind that, So I like Varshow as a one off
20:12
that On the flip side, I mean Youdon Alvarez, obviously you can always
20:18
play him, but I'm gonna go down to yarn Now Diaz at thirty three
20:21
hundred if he's catching tonight, I really like him tonight against Francis. I
20:23
think this is gonna be a bullpen game early for the Jays. I think
20:27
the Astros could get to him, and Diaz is my favorite. Is my
20:32
favorite one off Astro outside of obviously you're done. I think you can always
20:36
play him as well. Yeah, no, excellent breakdown. I do have
20:41
Houston as one of my favorite stacks here. I did the slave plan over
20:44
at ship A Nation. It's already live up on the website. I like
20:48
Houston. I think they come in lower owned than the Dodgers and the Yankees.
20:52
And looking at Francis last season, I mean Lefty Struckle just seventeen percent
20:59
of left handed hitters flyball, extreme flyball hitter against a flyball offense, low
21:03
strikeout offense. Here in the Astros, I mean he was pushing thirty forty
21:07
percent fly balls, especially to righty's here, looking at the flyball guys,
21:14
I mean Jordan Alvarez, Kyle Tucker, Bregman, Jake Myers, Jinar Diaz,
21:18
Chas McCormick's kind of where I would start from the Astros. Those those
21:22
six hitters right there, like all of them, nice stack. Pick five
21:26
of the six, pick three to six if you if you want a three
21:29
man stack, do you like those guys quite a bit? Obviously? Can
21:32
you can sprinkle in the other guys for the Astros, the Jeremy Paniaz,
21:36
that bray Use, Jake Myers. Don't love those guys A top a ton
21:38
really like those top six batters, though, Janar Diaz another value catcher with
21:42
some power thirty three hundred. I think he's a great play obviously, Jordon
21:47
Kyle Tucker, you can play those any slate, Bregman Chas McCormick. So,
21:51
I do like the Astros. But on the other side, I mean
21:53
looking at these Blue Jays, I think this is one of my favorite leverage
21:56
stacks of the slate. I think if again, if people are punting,
22:00
they're going to Blanco because they like the Astros bats, he should get run
22:03
support. But looking at last season numbers, I mean he struggled with power
22:07
to both sides of the plate. He wasn't a ground ball pitcher at all.
22:10
He had thirty five percent flyball rate to both sides of the plate.
22:14
Looking at some of these Blue Jays hitters, I mean Justin Turner, if
22:17
he's in there, Dalton varshow really like him, Bigio. I mean,
22:22
I like a lot of these Blue Jays bats. Guarantee nighting at bats is
22:23
always good Springer Justin Turner, Dalton Varshaw, Kirk down there, Bigio as
22:30
a three thousand dollars second basement a weak position to fill that as a value
22:34
bat, so I do like these Blue Jays as a contrarian spot. My
22:40
favorite bat definitely would be probably vlad lad there at fifty five hundred first base,
22:45
a little pivot off of the Freddie Freeman's the Otani's of the world there
22:49
Dalton varshow at thirty six hundred, one of my favorite value plays on the
22:53
entire slates. So like both sides here, stick to the flyball guys.
22:57
I think we see fireworks in Houston. Don't have interest in either one of
23:02
these pitchers, but do have interest in both sides of the play. Four
23:04
hitters jump into the next game here, Cleveland and Seattle, Hancock on the
23:10
Mount, Tristan McKenzie. I think we see a pitcher's duel in this one.
23:14
Don't love really anyone here. Obviously, you can always play Jose Ramirez,
23:18
Josh Naylor, one offs from from the Guardians with Hancock's struggles sometimes low
23:22
strikeout guy. On the other side, you got Planco Mitch Garverer. But
23:26
realistically, don't love a lot of if any offense in this one. Cleveland
23:32
and Seattle. But do you see something on missing here? Yeah? I
23:37
was just looking at uh looking at this game. As you were talking,
23:40
I know we talked of, you know, Emberson Hancock a little bit,
23:42
but uh man, these these Guardians, they just don't strike out. And
23:47
Emerson Hancock, you know, is a small sample from last year. He
23:51
just wasn't striking out major league hitters last year. They brought him up late
23:53
last year. I remember his first start. I mean, these Guardians put
23:57
the ball in play, assuming you know, you know, they get good
24:03
bab hip on their side. I just I don't know if I like every
24:06
soon we have them highly ranked over here. I'm gonna dig in a little
24:08
more after the show, but I'm kind of liking the Guardians just based on
24:11
the fact that their top five hitters, I mean, they don't strike out,
24:15
you know, much more than than ten percent. You got three guys
24:18
that strike out less than twelve percent and two guys to strike out fifteen and
24:22
twenty. So I kind of like these Guardians to get the ball in play.
24:25
And then Tristan McKenzie just looking at it more, I'm loving Tristan McKenzie
24:30
now that I'm looking at this projected lineup seeing who's in it. So I'm
24:33
gonna be I'm gonna be off of Emerson Hancock, especially in three Max,
24:37
and then I'm gonna be I'm gonna be up on tea mat Tristan McKenzie just
24:41
based on this Mariners lineup that I'm looking at now. So give me some
24:45
Guardians and don't give me any Mariners. Yeah, No, excellent breakdown.
24:51
I don't have a ton for bats. I already kind of mentioned the guys
24:52
I was looking at outside of that. Really really not looking at anyone from
24:56
bats in that game. But let's go to the next game. Highest total
25:00
in the slate Yankees and Dbacks Arizona. The roof is gonna be closed.
25:04
I believe in Arizona. You got Nelson on the mound, and then you've
25:07
got Luis Gill on the mound for the Yankees. Here, Yankees highs implied
25:11
team total on the slate. Definitely the highest projected owner offense on the slate.
25:17
Aaron Judge, Juan Soto, Austin Wells. My boy didn't get the
25:19
job done on Friday night with the home run, but I still like them
25:23
here against another rity that gets hard contact, low Strikeoull pitcher in Rie Nelson
25:29
here, talk about this game. I think both sides are definitely intriguing here.
25:33
Yankees definitely the clearcut chalk of the slate in terms of offense if I
25:37
had to pick one. But on the other side, Dbacks implied to score
25:40
right around five runs. They're at home. They have power and speed littered
25:44
throughout this lineup here, Christian Walker, Jack Petterson, Uhenio Suarez, right,
25:49
Corbyn Carro talk about this one. I think this is definitely an interesting
25:53
game and can definitely can test. I think with that Toronto Houston game in
25:59
terms of a game stay act with some fireworks here, Yeah, I would
26:03
agree with you. One thing I would say about this Yankees team is do
26:06
not play Alex Verdugo. Every show I'm on, I will say that he
26:10
is not a major league caliber player anymore. No Alex Verdugo for me.
26:14
But the rest of that, the rest of that lineup, I think it's
26:17
pretty dangerous. Obviously, you got the you know, the big three or
26:19
four. However you want to slice at Soto, Judge, Rizzo, Stanton.
26:22
I do think Stanton is on the decline and his career, but I
26:26
still think he's viable. Tonight, Volpe, Anthony Volpe, he got scratched.
26:30
He was a late scratch yesterday, so make sure you see see what
26:33
he's doing. But you know, if someone like John Birdie is in over
26:37
over Volpe, I think that weakens the lineup a little bit. So if
26:41
that's the case, I would really only want to go one through five.
26:44
You know, Torrez all the way through Stanton. They will be popular.
26:48
So it's just you know, you got to get unique. You know,
26:51
you like Austin Wells. I'm not a big fan of Austin Wells, but
26:53
if I would get unique if you were stacking up these Yankees and some of
26:56
these chalkier pitchers, the old you know, maybe eight now, one,
27:00
two, three, reach around if you will, stack of the Yankees.
27:03
But for me personally, it's gonna be one through five opinion on who's in
27:07
who's out. But uh, just make sure you're watching that Bulpey news because
27:11
he didn't get late scratched yesterday. And then on the other side, yeah,
27:14
I mean, I think these d backs are always employed. They're gonna
27:15
be a fun team all year, power and speed as you alluded to.
27:19
I mean, really, really, one through nine, I think these guys
27:22
can do it. They won't. Uh, what kind of ownership are you
27:25
seeing on them, Nates, I don't see a lot of ownership on them,
27:26
and maybe, yeah, they're gonna be low. They're gonna be pretty
27:30
low on especially for their h their implied uh team total. Some of the
27:33
bands are gonna get some ownership, but as an overall stack, I don't
27:37
think they get a lot of ownership. To be honest, I think four
27:38
or five teams are gonna be higher than them. I think, yeah you
27:42
said, I mean they got almost a five implied run total, so uh
27:47
gonna put up some runs. They got tons of power, litter through out
27:48
there and steals hitting the steals as good as a triple. So, uh
27:53
yeah, I like these d backs. I mean, obviously Corman Carroll's a
27:56
great play your boy, Jack Jams, Jack Peterson, Christian Walker, you
28:00
can play pretty much. You know, any of these guys. You could
28:03
stack them up, you know, a five man stack if you wanted to.
28:07
Yeah, no, excellent breakdown. I'll start with the chalk here Yankees.
28:11
The reason they're Chalky is guaranteed nine thing at bats coming off a big
28:15
weekend, right and then looking at Nelson's numbers from last year, I mean
28:18
just a fourteen percent strikeout rate, to lefties, sub eighteen percent strikeout rate
28:22
to righty's and fly balls and a lot of power to the right side to
28:26
play well. Guess what you got Aaron Judge, one of the best right
28:29
handed hitters in all of baseball, right there in the heart of that lineup.
28:32
Then you got Glabor Torres, got some power from the right side.
28:36
Stanton all or nothing kind of guy, but tons of power there. And
28:40
then you got the addition of Juan Soto right in the middle there, I
28:45
mean Austin Wells down at the bottom, got Oswaldo Cabrera as a third base,
28:49
outfield value option switch hitter there. I mean, I think they're good
28:53
options. I prefer the Dodgers a little bit more. I prefer Houston a
28:56
little bit more, I think, just because that's kind of where I'm looking.
29:02
The roof being closed, clearcut chalk offense in the Yankees. I'm just
29:07
gonna I mean, early on the season, one of the most volatile sports.
29:11
You're gonna hear me talk about chalk a lot and being underweight on chalk,
29:15
and baseball for sure helped me and made me a lot of money last
29:18
year. Obviously, chalk for a reason, right guaranteed anything a bat's high
29:22
supply team total on the slate, but the end of the day, I
29:25
mean Hall of famers fail seven out of ten times here in baseball, So
29:30
Yankees good plays. I like him more as a mini stack. I really
29:32
like Soto, Judge and an Austin Wells or Cabrara three man stack kind of
29:36
wrap around throwing a glaber there as well. It is expensive, I get
29:40
it right. Sodo sixty four hundred, Judge is sixty two hundred, but
29:44
Aaron Judge. I don't really like Judge or Soto is a one off personally,
29:48
just due to their ownership. I do think they're pretty chalky. I
29:51
don't usually like grabbing a chalky one off, especially on kind of the chalk
29:56
stack. It's just not how I like to build teams, because if he
29:59
does hit a home run and you're behind all of those Yankee stacks anyways,
30:02
which is kind of what you're looking for when you do pick a one off.
30:06
So I prefer more as a mini stack On the d Backs side,
30:08
though, I do think the d Backs are a pretty good play here.
30:12
Didn't write them up. They didn't make my slight plan over here at ship
30:17
a nation. But I do think there's still a good offense. I mean,
30:19
we're gonna be playing these guys. I think you can stack these guys
30:22
pretty much every game this season. I mean outside of a couple of matchups
30:27
maybe from a pitcher standpoint, but power speed throughout this lineup here. Luis
30:33
gil does he have some strikeouts. He struggles with control a little bit,
30:37
and Arizona is a pretty patient offense here. Yankees got a good bullpen,
30:42
so that does hurt a little bit here, But Lords Garriel talk about it
30:47
in the chat. He's on fire right now. Christian Walker, Jock Jams
30:51
obviously, Corb mc carroll, power speed there, he's expensive. You got
30:55
cheap guys down at the back, Jake McCarthy right, Perdomo. So I
31:00
think they're they're a solid offense. I prefer more as a mini stack again,
31:03
so kind of pretty much two mini stacks here is where I'm looking at.
31:07
But I do think both offenses are definitely in play for me. Jumping
31:12
the next game here, Cardinals and Padres Waldron on the mound. Kyle Gibson
31:17
on the mound for the Cardinals. Cardinals imply to score right around four and
31:19
a half runs on the flip side. Padres right around pretty similar as well.
31:23
Here I have a little bit of interest in these Cardinals against Waldron and
31:27
his little strikeouts, high barrel rate pitcher here, talk about these Padres,
31:33
talk about the Cardinals where you're looking at for offense in this one. It
31:37
should be a good series if Cardinals, you know, get to take a
31:40
deep breath, get to leave la. I think they went one to two,
31:42
so that against swept, so that's that's not too shabby. But man,
31:45
this Padres lineup, they struggled. You know, they're pitching struggled all
31:49
weekend. You know Musgrove ceas I was on both of them all weekend,
31:55
and you know, they just got lit up. I feel like, but
31:57
this Padres lotup doesn't get much easier than the Dodgers. There's a lot of
32:00
big bats and there a lot of big names. No Kyle Gibson for me,
32:06
you know, low strikeout guy. I think the Padres can can get
32:08
to him. I don't I don't mind stacking the Padres. It would be
32:13
the usual suspects. Tatise Machado my two favorite ones. And then I saw
32:17
on Kim Hi Don Kim. If you will has that power, has that
32:22
stolen based upside, which we love and covet so much. Would kind of
32:24
be where I start with those guys. And on the other side you alluded
32:29
to it, Matt Waldron, super low strikeout raids up twenty percent, and
32:34
you got some huge bats over there, Goldie, Nolan Gorman, Arenando Contreras.
32:38
I mean, I think, you know, just looking at their projected
32:40
lineup, you know, one through seven, I mean I'd be okay with
32:45
playing we have some guy named Victor Scott and Mason winn in you know eight
32:49
nine, No, thank you, there be one through seven for me on
32:52
the Cardinals. Don't mind that at all. Just need to wait and see
32:54
what that confirmed lineup is to kind of see where I want to go.
33:00
Yeah, no great breakdown here. I'll start with the Cardinals' bats here.
33:04
Looking at Waldron's season numbers last season, right eighteen seventeen point nine percent strikeout
33:09
rate isso numbers north of two point thirty here, which is obviously where the
33:14
power comes from. Flyball rates approaching thirty percent as well. Give me some
33:19
of these flyball guys from the Cardinals. Nolan Gorman leads the pack there,
33:24
followed by Goldchmant and then Ronato a little two three four stacked there. I
33:29
think those three are great plays there. That's a great mini stack there should
33:32
be pretty low owned as well. You can throw some other guys in there
33:36
if you need them, but really gold Schmidt, Gorman, Ronado, Contreras
33:39
I think is fine, and then Brenda Donovan I'd probably stick to the top
33:43
five. Jordan Walker is a power bat there, young kid forty one hundred
33:46
in the outfield spot. I don't think he's he's the craziest play so like
33:51
some of these Cardinals bats on the other side, these padres, I'm not
33:53
going to get to these padres tonight. Obviously, you can always play at
33:57
Tatis I think here or Machado, but outside of that, I'm not going
34:00
to really attack Kyle Gibson here. Don't want to play Kyle Gibson tonight from
34:05
a pitcher standpoint, just because he lacks the strikeouts here against a very low
34:08
strikeout team in San Diego, I think the lowest on the slate this projected
34:13
lineup is just a sixteen percent strikeout rate last season against right handed pitching.
34:16
So while I'm out in Kyle Gibson I'm also out kind of on these Padres
34:20
offense as well. Do you like these Cardinals? They're one of my stacks
34:23
that I did right up over here in the slate. Plan would stick to
34:27
the top five personally. If you want to jump down, you can obviously
34:30
throw in a Walker or some of those value guys. But I do think
34:34
the Cardinals are a pretty decent stack overall here tonight. That won't garner too
34:38
much ownership as well. Let's talk. We got two games to talk about
34:44
here. This one. I liked both pitchers. I think this is a
34:47
pitcher's duel here. Really no offense for me in this one. It's the
34:50
Red Sox at the Athletics Red Sox. Do you have a decent implied run
34:53
total? Joe Boyle does struggle with control issues. He had double digit walk
34:59
rate, I believe here, so I could see some people this This Red
35:04
Sox is kind of a boom or bus spot here tonight. I like going
35:06
in on boil. I'm just gonna take the chances because I don't like the
35:08
pitching slate to be honest, really like Tanner Hawks. I'm just gonna pair
35:13
both pictures together and just hope it's a Pictures duo. But I do think
35:15
I do want you to talk about this Red Sox offense a little bit if
35:19
you have any interest in them with the control issues that Boil has shown in
35:23
his past. And then any athletics for you that that you're looking at here
35:28
tonight. Yeah, no, thank you. On the a's for me,
35:31
I'll pass on them, and then on the on the on the Red Sox,
35:36
I don't think you can stack these guys. Uh, they just haven't
35:38
shown us this year that you know that they can get it done. If
35:43
I were to play any Red Sox, it would be a one off lefty
35:45
uh, you know, obviously Devers and Cassis leading the way. I think
35:50
Yoshida might be you know, would be an okay, one of the Durham
35:53
if he's leading off. But yeah, it's it's one maybe Max two Red
35:58
Sox with with Devers and Casts lead the way. Bad ballpark. Uh.
36:02
You know, Boyle gets in trouble, I think they'll they'll they'll relieve him
36:06
early. So yeah, so it's it's it's a one off Max too for
36:10
me on the Red Sox side. No athletics for me, Yeah, no,
36:15
I'm right there with you. No, bats For me, I like
36:16
both the pitchers. That takes us to the last game. My favorite stack
36:21
of the evening. It's the late night Dodgers here, San Fran Dodgers.
36:25
Dodgers implied to score over five and a half runs. Here, Giants implied
36:29
to score under four runs. But I do think Jorge Hilaria Matt Chapman,
36:34
two lefty masters here. I think both those guys are firmly in play.
36:37
For me. You got Jung Ho Lee right, Hu Lee up at the
36:40
top, projected the lead off any interest in any of these giants and then
36:45
talk about these Dodgers team. I love my favorite stack of the night,
36:49
but they are expensive. Hashtag always Mookie right, you got the whole tany
36:53
scandal there going on, But man, he's still an incredible talent, incredible
36:58
player. Touch on this well, last game of the night, last game
37:00
on the slate, Yeah we should. Uh I was fifty percent right on
37:06
Friday Nads. They gave the people Mookie Mookie bomb. He goes yard very
37:08
first at bats and uh, I tagged you in the chat. Never heard
37:13
from you, man. I thought you might be uh, you know,
37:15
mad at yourself for going on with two and I'm over there just raking in
37:17
these home run calls? What was up with that? Yeah, I mean
37:22
crazy hot take, right, I'm giving these low owned value, one off
37:27
power guys that you can fill out your teams, and then you grab one
37:30
of the most expensive players on the entire slate and Mookie Bats. So really
37:34
really hot take there, I mean absolutely groundbreaking news to pick Mooki Bats.
37:39
But bravo to you getting the Mookie Bets home run. He still has to
37:43
go out there and hit the home run, so good job for you.
37:45
But where are you going tonight? Are you going back to Mooki? What
37:49
are you doing here? Yeah? My guy Landa's in the chat. He
37:52
loves these giants tonight, wind blowing out. I'm with you, Naids.
37:55
We're in a We're in alignment here, Matt Chapman, jorgees Solaier, both
38:00
power guys. We saw Paxton struggle at times last year. I have not
38:05
checked the win, but that if the winds blowing out in Chavez Ravine,
38:08
hey, it could be it could be fireworks there. This could overtake that
38:10
Astros game. But yeah, give me, give me so lair, gimme
38:15
Chapman. Uh, struggled a little bit last year, as most of these
38:19
giants did at Wilmer Flores lifetime longtime lefty Masher see where see where he is
38:24
in the lineup. Don't don't hate that little three four five combo if they're
38:30
all in there. Austin Slater hits lefties as well. Uh so, yeah,
38:35
let's see this confirmed lineup and don't mind those but so Lair and Chapman
38:38
leading the way for sure. And then on the flip side, I mean
38:42
yeah, I mean we could talk about this all the time, but one
38:45
through five for me, that's kind of gonna be where I where I,
38:46
where I stay As it relates to this Dodgers team, I just don't trust,
38:51
you know, the hernandez Is, the Outmans, the Haywards, de
38:53
Luxes. Uh, they're gonna get subbed in and out so much. It's
38:57
all platoon based in my opinion. You're gonna have to get you know,
39:00
two homers and two at bats in my opinion to be on the winner.
39:02
So if you can consistently you know that one through five they're gonna do damage
39:07
all season long. Bets of Tommy, Fraeman, Smith and Muncie. Yeah,
39:10
give me that one through five and then give me Flores. I'm sorry
39:15
Chapman, and so Lair on the Giant side than Floores too if he's in
39:19
the lineup. Yeah, no, excellent breakdown here, I think again,
39:22
Chapman Solair would be my two preferred bats from the Giants. I think they're
39:27
good one offs. I did right. Matt Chapman is one of my favorite
39:29
one offs over here in the slate plan at ship at Nation. I think
39:32
he's a great option there in the heart of that lineup for the Giants.
39:36
On the flip side, I'm a different a little bit than you and these
39:38
Dodgers. I do like James Outman quite a bit here on the back half.
39:42
I don't mind Jason Hayward. I think Gavin Locks is fine as well
39:45
as a value guy. Yeah, there's pinch Hick concerns there as well.
39:47
But man, just saying one through five, who you gonna play a pitcher?
39:52
I mean because sixty five hundred, sixty three hundred sixty one, forty
39:58
six, forty five, forty four, I mean you run out of salary
40:00
quick. Maybe you got the maybe you got the cheek killed there, you
40:04
got the dk REP giving you extra salary cap and your roster, But I
40:07
do like these other guys. I think I would prefer sticking with the flyball
40:12
guys. Keaton winn is a ground ball pitcher. Last season, heavy ground
40:16
ball guy, sixty percent ground ball rate to both sides of the plate.
40:21
But looking at this Dodgers lineup, everyone in this lineup outside of Jason Hayward
40:24
is green in terms of fly balls north of thirty percent. You got Freeman,
40:30
will Smith, Mookie Bets, Otani, James Outman, and then Max
40:32
Muntsey has forty two percent flyball rate last season. It gets right hand and
40:37
pitching James Outman right there, Otani, Mookie Bets. So love all these
40:40
Dodgers. I'm a little bit different than you. There is some pitch hit
40:44
concerns. I'm definitely on a little bit lower on Jason Hayward and Gavin Lux
40:47
than the other top seven, But outside of that, I think love them
40:52
all. My favorite sec of the night, thy'd my five man that I'm
40:55
rolling with tonight is kind of what I'm looking at. I do like James
41:00
Outwin a little bit more than you do as well. That's all seven games
41:06
talked about. Pitching talks about our favorite stacks. You want to run it
41:08
back with our home run calls. Let me guess you're gonna go with hot
41:13
take, like a like a freaking Jordan Alvarez or something, just a crazy
41:16
hot take right tonight. But how much I'll throw it over to you.
41:20
Man, who's your home run call of the evening? Here? Yeah,
41:25
this is just too easy. I'm gonna go with Uh, I'm gonna go
41:29
with my my guy. Gee, rozen's got Spencer Torklesen bat in second tonight
41:34
against Sean Manaya. You know, new team for Sean Sam result will get
41:38
taken over the left field wall, left center wall. I got Spencer Torklesen
41:43
going deep tonight in New York. Yeah no, uh, that's uh you
41:49
you took my guy there. But hey, I'll let you have it,
41:52
all right, I'll let you have it. I'm gonna go with the late
41:55
night Hammer, guaranteed ninth in at bat. I'm gonna go Matt Chapman here
42:00
forty four hundred third base. Nice price point on him against the James Paxton
42:06
lefty there. Chapman smashes left handed pitching. Here had a three ninety three
42:09
IO last season against lefties. He's our top ten. He's ranked in our
42:14
top ten over here at chip Nation in our hitting rankings, price matchup,
42:19
everything checks out. I like Matt Chapman here projected to hit in the five
42:22
spot tonight, to take James Paxton over the over the wall tonight in Dodgers
42:29
Stadium. That's going to do it. We appreciate everyone watching. If you
42:32
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43:00
That's going to do it though, for this edition of the MLB Witching Hour
43:06
four Haandwich, I'm needs to five. Good luck tonight in your contest.
43:08
Hope to see those Shiping Nation logos at the top. Let ship it