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UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan | MMA DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays & Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:04
Speaker 1: All systems going clear, the lift.
0:07
Speaker 2: Of what's going on, everybody talking some UFC fight nights.
0:39
Speaker 2: We are at the Apex this week thirteen fights. There
0:42
Speaker 2: was twelve fights until Monday, a late edition in Kaikamaka
0:45
Speaker 2: Dakota Hope. As you can see the odds there's not
0:49
Speaker 2: There is odds out, but there isn't a finishing prop
0:52
Speaker 2: right here. Big Marley is still going to look into
0:54
Speaker 2: the fight a little more, put everything up on the site,
0:56
Speaker 2: like always doing this today early. I'm flying out tomorrow
0:59
Speaker 2: and it's scheduling note next week. If you guys catch
1:01
Speaker 2: a live many do watch on playback, but we're gonna
1:04
Speaker 2: be doing on Tuesday next week. Obviously, summers are more
1:07
Speaker 2: busy time. We got stuff going on on both sides.
1:10
Speaker 2: And the nice thing about MMA is, I mean you
1:13
Speaker 2: pretty much know when the fights are beginning of the week.
1:15
Speaker 2: If they get canceled, it's usually on Friday, and yeah,
1:19
Speaker 2: we update everything projections, ownership, fight gets canceled, we mess a,
1:24
Speaker 2: we maneuver things around, and I usually on Saturday put
1:29
Speaker 2: out like a line movement update from Friday to Saturday.
1:32
Speaker 2: As you guys know, big line movement person over here.
1:34
Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm excited to talk this one through. I mean,
1:36
Speaker 2: we have a ninety nine hundred dollars fighter whereas he
1:39
Speaker 2: rights here, we have a ninety eight hundred dollars fighter,
1:43
Speaker 2: a couple monster favorites, which means there's some big dogs
1:46
Speaker 2: mid tier. Only one of the four fights are expected
1:48
Speaker 2: to finish. It's an interesting one, but prides are good
1:51
Speaker 2: as always. Excited to talk through with you, Big Marley.
1:52
Speaker 2: How we're doing today? Yeah?
1:54
Speaker 3: Doing good. I don't know. That's definitely not my favorite card,
1:58
Speaker 3: but should be a good time. I'm watching some basketball
2:02
Speaker 3: games and these fights with you for this Final four weekend.
2:06
Speaker 3: But hopefully one of us will profit and that'll make
2:09
Speaker 3: a card. That'll make it a good one. But I
2:11
Speaker 3: still got to look into this Dakota Hope guy a
2:13
Speaker 3: little bit. I saw one of his fights, but it
2:16
Speaker 3: was an early knockout, so I got to watch a
2:18
Speaker 3: good amount more. I don't even have a winner in
2:21
Speaker 3: that fight, but I've got all the other ones researched perfect.
2:24
Speaker 2: Yeah, me and Big Marley will be together on Saturday.
2:26
Speaker 2: I'm going to Big Marley's town for the Final four
2:28
Speaker 2: action a bachelor party. Big Marley's gonna meet up with us. Yeah,
2:32
Speaker 2: basketball fights money, I mean, come on, it's gonna be
2:35
Speaker 2: one heck of a night. So I'm very excited for that.
2:38
Speaker 2: Let's try and talk through this and narrow our path
2:40
Speaker 2: to get to the winner circle on Saturday nights. We'll
2:44
Speaker 2: start it off right there with the first fights. Kai
2:47
Speaker 2: Kamaka minus one fifty five taken on Dakota Hope plus
2:50
Speaker 2: one thirty five. The only prop I see out right
2:52
Speaker 2: now is over two and a half minus three hundred
2:55
Speaker 2: open minus two eleven now minus three hundred. That'll happen
2:59
Speaker 2: when I kai Kamaka, which hold on, uh, he is
3:02
Speaker 2: not eight and four. That must be another kai Kamaka.
3:06
Speaker 2: I believe he's seventeen and seven. I'll get that checked out.
3:09
Speaker 2: But because thirteen of his seventeen wins have come by decision,
3:13
Speaker 2: he was in the UFC previously. He went one in
3:15
Speaker 2: three twenty twenty one was his last fight in the UFC,
3:18
Speaker 2: but after that he went to Bellatour. He fought at
3:21
Speaker 2: PFL Tough and Rough or tough Enough was his last promotion.
3:25
Speaker 2: So at least he's fighting in solid promotions. But yeah,
3:28
Speaker 2: all I need to see is minus three hundred for
3:30
Speaker 2: over two and a half that'll take make this the
3:32
Speaker 2: most likely card or the most likely fight at least
3:35
Speaker 2: one of them to go the distance. And a guy
3:37
Speaker 2: that has only finished four of his seventeen wins eighty
3:40
Speaker 2: seven hundred feels like a real tough price. I need
3:43
Speaker 2: him to wrestle, and wrestle a lot. You do see
3:46
Speaker 2: one point nine to three takedowns per fifteen in his
3:48
Speaker 2: first stint in the UFC, and the research I did
3:51
Speaker 2: on Dakoda hope he looks like a striker and he'll
3:54
Speaker 2: push a pace. Looks like he has slid cardio, so
3:57
Speaker 2: maybe Kai wrestles. I'm definitely curious. Hear your breakdown, and
4:00
Speaker 2: you do research it a little more and break it
4:03
Speaker 2: down on Friday. But my thought right now, actually one
4:05
Speaker 2: more thing line movement Kai open minus one ninety twenty
4:08
Speaker 2: minutes later was minus one forty, and he's taking a
4:11
Speaker 2: little money since obviously the line is very inefficient right now.
4:15
Speaker 2: So the more this line moves, which it definitely can,
4:18
Speaker 2: I'll be keeping my eye on. But we need dogs
4:20
Speaker 2: on this card. I'll take really eighty points from anyone
4:23
Speaker 2: in the seven case this rate this week plus one
4:26
Speaker 2: thirty five great money. Line value. It is definitely looking
4:29
Speaker 2: like a Dakota Hope or a pass for me in
4:31
Speaker 2: this one. How do you see it?
4:33
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's my early thoughts.
4:34
Speaker 3: I feel like this Dakota Hope kind of reminded me
4:37
Speaker 3: of a young Buckley, just a powerhouse striker. I gotta
4:44
Speaker 3: definitely watch more of him. I only saw like two
4:47
Speaker 3: and a half minutes or something like that, but he's
4:49
Speaker 3: definitely gonna want to keep this one on the feet. Kamaka,
4:51
Speaker 3: I haven't seen him since he left the UFC, but
4:53
Speaker 3: I remember liking him. I mean, he was a talented fighter,
4:56
Speaker 3: well rounded guy. I would imagine in this one he
4:59
Speaker 3: would look to mix it some more takedown, so that
5:01
Speaker 3: could possibly help us want to get a little bit
5:03
Speaker 3: of them. But yeah, I think that minus three hundred
5:06
Speaker 3: on the over two and a half kind of tells
5:08
Speaker 3: us that this is going to be more of a
5:09
Speaker 3: two star fight for me, and I'm thinking it's going
5:12
Speaker 3: to be four stars on the Hope side, two stars
5:14
Speaker 3: on the Kamaka side.
5:17
Speaker 4: But I'll do my research.
5:18
Speaker 3: I'll write it up over on ship in Nation, give
5:20
Speaker 3: my full pick prediction, method of victory and all that
5:25
Speaker 3: good stuff. So early pick Kamakat a win, but Hope's
5:29
Speaker 3: probably the better DFS play for the price.
5:32
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I just do on a show as many
5:33
Speaker 2: of you guys do know. Let's just share this tab
5:35
Speaker 2: real quick. If you are looking for all our breakdowns, projections, ownership, education, video,
5:40
Speaker 2: more education, shipnation dot com, this is what you see.
5:43
Speaker 2: Join the Nation in the bottom left. You can get
5:45
Speaker 2: in as low as nineteen dollars. They'll take you five
5:48
Speaker 2: days of content. A lot of sports going on right now, NBA, PGA, MLP, MMA, NASCAR,
5:53
Speaker 2: and NHL. So definitely a great bang for your buck
5:55
Speaker 2: if you're just if you're just playing MMA and you
5:58
Speaker 2: want to be with us obviously MMA a year round sport,
6:01
Speaker 2: single sport MMA less than a dollar a day, you
6:03
Speaker 2: can get in with us just twenty dollars more. You
6:06
Speaker 2: can get sabersim access as well to help you build.
6:09
Speaker 2: If you're with us for the full year, that price
6:11
Speaker 2: even gets lower. So we'd love to have you. Definitely
6:13
Speaker 2: do join the discord if you do join any package,
6:16
Speaker 2: an awesome place of sweat outfights, ask the questions, get
6:19
Speaker 2: updates if anything changes, line movement, all of that good stuff.
6:24
Speaker 2: Let me go back to this page yet and it's
6:27
Speaker 2: Kamaka is either underweight or a fade for me if
6:29
Speaker 2: you're making like fifteen or less teams, and I definitely
6:31
Speaker 2: will be playing some Dakota Hope probably one of my
6:34
Speaker 2: favorite dogs. I'm not sure the upside, and I wouldn't
6:36
Speaker 2: be surprised if Hope has a better inside the distance
6:38
Speaker 2: prop than Kamaka. I'm actually almost expecting that Hope finish
6:42
Speaker 2: six of his eleven Six of his eleven wins have
6:46
Speaker 2: come by finish and let me refresh and see if
6:48
Speaker 2: this updated. Yeah, Kamaka is seventeen and seven with thirteen
6:50
Speaker 2: of his seventeen wins gone the distance, which you do
6:53
Speaker 2: not love to see at eighty seven hundred. Next fight
6:56
Speaker 2: on the car another one favored heavily to go the
6:59
Speaker 2: distance at least Pereira minus one thirty Haley Cohen plus
7:02
Speaker 2: one ten plus two twenty five for this fight to finish.
7:05
Speaker 2: Cohen the underdog slightly better inside this is probap plus
7:07
Speaker 2: four fifteen, Pereira plus four to twenty five. When I
7:11
Speaker 2: wrote this up, Prareierra was plus three eighty five inside
7:13
Speaker 2: the distance now plus four twenty five. You don't like
7:16
Speaker 2: to see that really easy for me again, eight hundred
7:19
Speaker 2: dollars difference. Oh it's a so I just skipped over
7:23
Speaker 2: the different order, so you throw me off that with
7:26
Speaker 2: I'm sorry. Let let's just go talk on this fight.
7:28
Speaker 2: To be honest, that Barbosa Gotta fight and Parerra Cohen
7:31
Speaker 2: are pretty much identical. Like the price are there. The
7:34
Speaker 2: odds are very similar, both favored to go the distance. Sorry,
7:37
Speaker 2: I got ahead of myself. I was going based on
7:39
Speaker 2: the fight odds order. So yeah, we're gonna talk at
7:42
Speaker 2: least Pereierra Haley Cohen again minus one thirty Barbosa or
7:47
Speaker 2: my gosh, minus one thirty Praarra plus one ten Cohen
7:50
Speaker 2: plus two twenty five for this fight to finish, so
7:52
Speaker 2: you see right here on Monday plus two hundred to
7:55
Speaker 2: finish now plus two twenty five the over taking money,
7:58
Speaker 2: Pereyra taking a little money on the money line. I
8:01
Speaker 2: have the same thoughts when we get to this next fight.
8:03
Speaker 2: But there's a six hundred dollars difference in a fight
8:05
Speaker 2: where I think in a slate where I think salary
8:07
Speaker 2: is pretty tough, and it looks like Pereira the striker,
8:10
Speaker 2: Cohen more the wrestler push you up against the case,
8:13
Speaker 2: try and get you to the mat. I don't see
8:15
Speaker 2: myself really playing Perera eighty four hundred. I'll take eighty
8:18
Speaker 2: seventy five, maybe even at seventy eight hundred on this card.
8:22
Speaker 2: So it is Haley Cohen or pass for me. What
8:25
Speaker 2: about you?
8:26
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm thinking the same thing.
8:27
Speaker 3: I really wanted to put this as a one star
8:30
Speaker 3: because I really have no interest in it.
8:32
Speaker 4: I don't even want to watch this fight.
8:35
Speaker 3: But yeah, I look at it as Pereira striker Cohen
8:38
Speaker 3: primarily the grappler, and she should be able to take
8:42
Speaker 3: advantage of a green Perreira. But I'm okay using Cohen
8:46
Speaker 3: because she is. I mean, if she was the favorite,
8:51
Speaker 3: I wouldn't complain about that line, to be honest with you,
8:54
Speaker 3: but she's not very good herself. But seventy eight hundred
8:57
Speaker 3: dollars for a grappling underdog, I'm cool with that.
9:00
Speaker 4: Pereira.
9:00
Speaker 3: The only real reason to use her, I think would
9:02
Speaker 3: get would be to get different trying to go for
9:05
Speaker 3: that solo one hundred k in case she can knock
9:07
Speaker 3: out a thirty four year old Cohen. But I would
9:12
Speaker 3: just have a really hard time clicking on Pereira. If
9:14
Speaker 3: you have a limited number of lineups, and even if
9:17
Speaker 3: I had one fifty, I'd be tempted to x her out.
9:20
Speaker 3: But I think that the low levelness of this fight
9:23
Speaker 3: is what makes it playable, just kind of targeting against
9:26
Speaker 3: either low level side. For me, it's gonna be Cohen
9:29
Speaker 3: is my preferred play. She's my pick to win as well.
9:32
Speaker 3: I also think she's gonna have a lot easier time
9:34
Speaker 3: hitting ten x or more in a win.
9:37
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's really easy Cohen or pass for me in
9:40
Speaker 2: this one. I jumped the gun, but I mean I'm
9:42
Speaker 2: not pretty much gonna copy and paste this next fight.
9:44
Speaker 2: And Melissa or Deanna Barbosa minus won twenty seven me
9:47
Speaker 2: Lisa gotta plus one oh seven plus one ninety five
9:50
Speaker 2: for this fight to finish the underdog again better inside
9:53
Speaker 2: the business prop plus three hundred gotto plus five twenty
9:56
Speaker 2: five Barbosa. Both girls more likely to get a submission
10:00
Speaker 2: and then they are to get a knockout again eight
10:03
Speaker 2: hundred pretty much a coin flip fight, very closely lying
10:06
Speaker 2: eight hundred dollars difference on a slate that we need
10:09
Speaker 2: some savings, and the underdog is plus three hundred in
10:13
Speaker 2: the favorite is plus five twenty five inside the distance,
10:16
Speaker 2: it's got over pass. So yeah, I jumped the gun
10:19
Speaker 2: on the fights, but it's it's copy and paste, and
10:21
Speaker 2: I see you kind of see it similar. It looks
10:23
Speaker 2: like you had four star, two star, four star, two star.
10:26
Speaker 2: I might even have it five to one, but I
10:28
Speaker 2: don't know. I mean just because if they win and
10:30
Speaker 2: score seventy five seventy seven hundred and seventy eight hundred,
10:33
Speaker 2: have a chance to get there eighty five hundred, eighty
10:36
Speaker 2: four hundred a lot more difficult. But yeah, dog or
10:38
Speaker 2: pass and both of them. I see it very similar.
10:41
Speaker 2: And I'll throw it to you for you to break
10:42
Speaker 2: it down, and then which one would you rather click
10:44
Speaker 2: on if you had to?
10:46
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm a got o'er pass on this one. I
10:49
Speaker 3: think that Barbosa is probably our better wrestler in this one,
10:53
Speaker 3: but Gotto is a dangerous submission artist. Gotto, I think
10:57
Speaker 3: is also the better, more dangerous striker. But it could
11:01
Speaker 3: be real close on the feet if we're if it's
11:03
Speaker 3: going by minutes, and if we're going by minutes, neither
11:05
Speaker 3: one of them is gonna score well on the feed either,
11:08
Speaker 3: So we need either the finish or we need grappling
11:10
Speaker 3: in this fight. For me, it's gonna be Gotto, but
11:12
Speaker 3: we haven't seen her in two years. Don't really know
11:14
Speaker 3: what to expect. But I mean I used to be
11:17
Speaker 3: kind of a Gatto, not really fan, but I mean
11:19
Speaker 3: I liked clicking on her and DFS back in the
11:21
Speaker 3: day when she was an underdog. So I'll probably go
11:24
Speaker 3: back to it. At seventy seven hundred dollars, where I'm
11:26
Speaker 3: searching for underdogs, Gotto will be. I'm guessing I'll get
11:31
Speaker 3: at least as much as the field does, if not more,
11:34
Speaker 3: because I picked her to win and I feel better
11:36
Speaker 3: about her than I do Cohen, and she's one hundred
11:39
Speaker 3: dollars cheaper than Cohen. So I'm gonna end up clicking
11:41
Speaker 3: on more Gotto than I would like to, to be honest,
11:43
Speaker 3: but not gonna be getting any Barboso this week.
11:47
Speaker 2: Yeah, we see it very similar. I would pick Gotto
11:49
Speaker 2: in a vacuum if I had to, but I do
11:51
Speaker 2: think she might be higher on probably them seeing the
11:54
Speaker 2: plus three hundred inside the distance one hundred dollars cheaper again,
12:00
Speaker 2: and it's kind of like I'm gonna play both of
12:01
Speaker 2: them on some cards when you're hunting, like when the
12:04
Speaker 2: lines are really short, when you're hunting for a lot
12:06
Speaker 2: of upside. I wouldn't love these two on the card
12:09
Speaker 2: on the card like that, but this card's different, a
12:11
Speaker 2: lot of real a couple of really big favorites, which
12:14
Speaker 2: then makes the six k range really hard to get
12:16
Speaker 2: to and obviously really good appeal in the way way
12:20
Speaker 2: upper tier. But the mid tier only one of four
12:22
Speaker 2: fights expected to finish, so we're not really gonna get
12:25
Speaker 2: obviously both of these mid tier fights. We might not
12:27
Speaker 2: get too many big scores right there, so seventy eight
12:31
Speaker 2: could be enough at seventy seven hundred or seventy eight
12:33
Speaker 2: hundred on this card, So yeah, I mean we started
12:36
Speaker 2: it off right there. Dog dog dog as our preferred play,
12:41
Speaker 2: so I will be hoping dogs bark early, and obviously
12:43
Speaker 2: that means as we go up the card, probably prefer
12:46
Speaker 2: some favorites, and that is definitely the case in this
12:48
Speaker 2: next fight.
12:49
Speaker 3: For me.
12:50
Speaker 2: We got as I met the Koya of minus six
12:53
Speaker 2: fifty taken on Treyshon Gore plus four to seventy five
12:56
Speaker 2: minus two to fifteen for this fight to finish, the
12:58
Speaker 2: Koi of minus one sixty inside of this sin score
13:00
Speaker 2: plus five point fifty. The KOI of round one plus
13:03
Speaker 2: two hundred, So this line's moved a little bit. The
13:06
Speaker 2: koy of opened minus eight fifty an hour later was
13:09
Speaker 2: minus five hundred, and then this so far this week
13:13
Speaker 2: he's taking some money excuse me, at the minus six
13:16
Speaker 2: point fifty mark. So he's ninety five hundred, and what
13:20
Speaker 2: we have we have a ninety nine hundred and ninety
13:22
Speaker 2: eight hundred. He's ninety five hundred, and then the next
13:25
Speaker 2: highest is ninety three ninety two and all that. So
13:28
Speaker 2: he's kind of priced right in the middle of the
13:30
Speaker 2: guys that are minus one thousand favorites and greater and
13:33
Speaker 2: then like that ninety three hundred range. That to be honest,
13:36
Speaker 2: I'm struggling with a little bit, so curious to hear
13:38
Speaker 2: your take. First thing I see is a lot of
13:40
Speaker 2: takedowns per fifteen minutes. But pretty much all Tree schon
13:43
Speaker 2: Gore does or can do is takedown defense. I mean,
13:46
Speaker 2: he got outstruck by the grappler in Ridolfo Vieira, so
13:50
Speaker 2: I think the easy path the koiv just strike. He
13:52
Speaker 2: showed that he actually has some questionable, questionable cardio when
13:56
Speaker 2: he does try and wrestle a lot, so that makes
13:59
Speaker 2: me a little more has in DFS. If he does
14:01
Speaker 2: just strike, probably needs the first round knockout, but very
14:03
Speaker 2: very live to do. So what do you think in
14:05
Speaker 2: this one?
14:07
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's kind of what I was thinking too. If
14:09
Speaker 3: he is just kind of stuck with striking, then we're
14:12
Speaker 3: we're gonna need a knockout. We're gonna need it to
14:14
Speaker 3: be early because he doesn't strike at a slow pace,
14:16
Speaker 3: but he also doesn't strike at a high pace like
14:18
Speaker 3: that we would need at ninety five hundred. I think
14:21
Speaker 3: he is the better striker, He's the more dangerous striker.
14:24
Speaker 3: But Gore has heavy hands, he has okay boxing. He
14:28
Speaker 3: just doesn't throw enough hands at all to really make
14:31
Speaker 3: me like him.
14:33
Speaker 4: All he really does.
14:34
Speaker 3: He has stuff takedowns and gets standing guillotinees. So if
14:37
Speaker 3: he takedowns, it's gonna be able to take points away
14:40
Speaker 3: from Bakoyev. But if McCoy if can get takedowns, I
14:43
Speaker 3: think he can do whatever he wants on the mat
14:45
Speaker 3: against Gore. He's just gonna look levels above Gora on
14:49
Speaker 3: the ground if he can get it there, and I
14:51
Speaker 3: think he can get it there, so I'm interested in
14:53
Speaker 3: playing Mcoyev. I like that ninety five hundred dollars price
14:56
Speaker 3: tag too. It's a lot more easy to afford than
14:59
Speaker 3: ninety nine. But man, yak Yayev is gonna be somebody
15:03
Speaker 3: I'm also trying to get to.
15:05
Speaker 4: So I don't know.
15:05
Speaker 3: I feel like it's gonna be Bakoyev or yak ya
15:08
Speaker 3: Yayev are gonna be in a lot of my lineups,
15:10
Speaker 3: one or the other, if not both.
15:12
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like it. And again, if you are trying
15:14
Speaker 2: to spend all the way up and get there a
15:15
Speaker 2: you have to either play really cheap dogs. But if
15:18
Speaker 2: you're playing Night ninety nine hundred, ninety five hundred, that
15:21
Speaker 2: already takes out at least one on the other side.
15:24
Speaker 2: And that's where the Cohens, the Gados, the Hopes of
15:26
Speaker 2: the world do make a lot of sense. Yeah, it's
15:29
Speaker 2: a lot easier when you do plug him in to
15:31
Speaker 2: get up to bakoy of or but or Mkoyev or
15:36
Speaker 2: ya ya yak Yayev or McMillan or any of these
15:40
Speaker 2: nine K plus fighters. So yeah, bakoy ever passed for me.
15:42
Speaker 2: I'm not interested in Trey shonk Gore. But that being said,
15:45
Speaker 2: I would be more likely to play tray shon Gore
15:47
Speaker 2: than I would Zacchini or Ribero, So do with that
15:51
Speaker 2: what you will. But yeah, limited lineups, I would not
15:54
Speaker 2: touch him. What's up, Big Driggs. Great to see you,
15:57
Speaker 2: Hope you're having a good day. Next fight on the
16:00
Speaker 2: card one of those kind of higher price fighters, Lando
16:04
Speaker 2: Vanada making his way back to the UFC minus two
16:06
Speaker 2: ten taking on Darius Flowers plus one eighty minus won
16:09
Speaker 2: ninety for this fight. To finish, Vanada plus one forty
16:12
Speaker 2: inside the distance, Flowers plus two fifteen. So it stands
16:17
Speaker 2: out to me ay on Monday, Vanada was minus two
16:20
Speaker 2: fifty five. Now he's minus two ten, so some buyback
16:23
Speaker 2: on the Flowers side. And also it stands out Flowers
16:27
Speaker 2: only seventy three hundred dollars, but he's plus two to
16:29
Speaker 2: fifteen inside the distance. That is another underdog. I will
16:32
Speaker 2: definitely be clicking on good inside the distance prop taking
16:35
Speaker 2: on someone that hasn't fought in three years. But yeah,
16:40
Speaker 2: Flowers is not being good in the UFC. There's no
16:42
Speaker 2: denying that. So I'm really curious to hear your take
16:44
Speaker 2: on this one for real life and for dfs oh Man.
16:47
Speaker 4: Yeah, ah, I don't know what to expect in this one.
16:50
Speaker 3: We haven't seen Vanada in like three years, and he
16:54
Speaker 3: was never really a high work rate fighter, But I
16:57
Speaker 3: think he is more talented than Flowers everywhere. I think
17:01
Speaker 3: he would be the better minute winner on the feed.
17:03
Speaker 3: I think he would also be the more likely guy
17:07
Speaker 3: to get a knockout just because he's flashier. I think
17:09
Speaker 3: Flowers has more power than Vanada, but that's really the.
17:14
Speaker 4: Only edge I would give Flowers.
17:15
Speaker 3: And I think Flowers, even though we haven't seen them,
17:19
Speaker 3: I mean Vanada in three years, I still would give
17:20
Speaker 3: Vanada the cardio edge in this fight. And I just
17:24
Speaker 3: have a hard time clicking on Flowers in any fight
17:27
Speaker 3: because I don't think he's UFC level. If you're going
17:30
Speaker 3: to it's because he's seventy three hundred dollars going against Vanada,
17:34
Speaker 3: who I forgot he was even fighting. I mean, did
17:37
Speaker 3: he retire and come back?
17:38
Speaker 4: I don't know.
17:39
Speaker 3: I mean, is this guy coming for a paycheck? Maybe
17:41
Speaker 3: that's the reason to click on Flowers, but I man,
17:44
Speaker 3: this is another one where I would want to make
17:46
Speaker 3: it a one star, but you kind of have to
17:48
Speaker 3: target against both guys, and that makes me want to
17:51
Speaker 3: use either side. So I got it as a three
17:53
Speaker 3: star because I'm fine going to either guy.
17:56
Speaker 4: Vanada is my preferred play.
17:57
Speaker 3: I think he should win this fight, but I could
18:00
Speaker 3: definitely see Banata winning and scoring fifty nine points. So
18:04
Speaker 3: I have it as a three star, but it's closer
18:07
Speaker 3: to a two star really at this point, and it's
18:09
Speaker 3: another fight that I'm not looking forward to watching unless
18:12
Speaker 3: it's in my lineup and I need it.
18:13
Speaker 2: I'm going to disagree a little bit. In the Sentinel.
18:16
Speaker 2: I would have it probably as a four star. The
18:18
Speaker 2: reason for that it's minus one ninety to finish. There's
18:21
Speaker 2: question marks on the Vanada side. There's definitely question marks
18:24
Speaker 2: on the Flowers side. And I mean the inside of
18:27
Speaker 2: the distance props on both guys plus one forty for
18:29
Speaker 2: Veananda Good Chris Duncan one hundred less. I think people
18:32
Speaker 2: will obviously want to go dunk in and then maybe
18:34
Speaker 2: a spend up above that, so kind of in a
18:36
Speaker 2: weird range, and then Flowers plus two to fifteen inside
18:39
Speaker 2: the distance for seventy three hundred again against a guy
18:42
Speaker 2: that's been off for three years with question marks. That's appealing.
18:45
Speaker 2: My Flowers is an easy click in my opinion, at
18:48
Speaker 2: that price when I don't love too many dogs below.
18:51
Speaker 2: My question to you is, like, Flowers can't stuff a
18:53
Speaker 2: takedown or defensive wrestle to save his life. Can Lando
18:56
Speaker 2: put on the wrestling shoes? Do you think that is
18:58
Speaker 2: his game plan in this one, because I think we
19:00
Speaker 2: more than likely need that at eighty nine hundred, and
19:03
Speaker 2: if he does, I could see a hundred plus. I mean,
19:05
Speaker 2: Flowers is not good when it comes to that.
19:08
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would think he goes for at least one
19:11
Speaker 3: takedown in every round. It's just that, I mean, he's
19:15
Speaker 3: not an active wrestler. It's just if he gets that
19:18
Speaker 3: one takedown, he probably keeps it on the ground for
19:21
Speaker 3: the rest of the time unless it can give a
19:22
Speaker 3: submission along the way. But my worry is like, if
19:25
Speaker 3: we don't get a finish on either side, I don't
19:27
Speaker 3: think either guy hit seventy points just going by minutes
19:31
Speaker 3: and what they can do with their you know, yeah,
19:36
Speaker 3: with their wrestling or lack of lack of output. But
19:40
Speaker 3: I'll be praying for a finish if I'm using either
19:43
Speaker 3: side of this one. I just don't know that we're
19:44
Speaker 3: gonna get it. I feel like this one's going to
19:46
Speaker 3: go the distance.
19:47
Speaker 2: You might have to bet the bet the over in
19:49
Speaker 2: this one. They'll get some plus money at it. There.
19:50
Speaker 3: We're going just to have some sort of action and
19:52
Speaker 3: want to want to watch it.
19:53
Speaker 2: Yeah, we'll see. Yeah, there you go. What's going on
19:56
Speaker 2: with Tao's good to see you. All right, we'll keep
19:58
Speaker 2: it rolling. Next fight on the card, ninety three hundred
20:01
Speaker 2: Alessandra Coasta taken on Stewart Nickel Coast to minus four
20:04
Speaker 2: hundred Nickel plus three to thirty. This fight is minus
20:08
Speaker 2: one sixty to finish coast to minus one thirty inside
20:11
Speaker 2: the distance Nickel plus six seventy five, so it was
20:15
Speaker 2: minus one fifty to finish on Monday now minus one sixty,
20:18
Speaker 2: the undertaking a little bit of money. More importantly, Coasta
20:21
Speaker 2: is minus one ten inside the distance on Monday now
20:24
Speaker 2: minus one thirty. And yeah, I mean disappointing output or
20:28
Speaker 2: performance from him last time output. Nickels a pure wrestler,
20:31
Speaker 2: and Alessandra Coasta looks to be well rounded, so if
20:34
Speaker 2: he can stuff takedowns, that leg kick will be money.
20:37
Speaker 2: I think he pieces them up on the feet. Also
20:39
Speaker 2: Coast of minus three fifty five Monday now minus four hundred,
20:43
Speaker 2: so Coasta to finish and his money line taking some money.
20:47
Speaker 2: I kind of see it that way. But I prefer
20:49
Speaker 2: nickel over Gore. I prefer nickel over Ribero. I prefer
20:54
Speaker 2: nickel over Zecchini. If he does win, he's gonna wrestle
20:58
Speaker 2: and he's probably gonna be optimal. So at that point,
21:02
Speaker 2: what did I say, might let me check the odds
21:04
Speaker 2: converter quick because he's plus three point thirty, which is
21:09
Speaker 2: twenty three percent. I mean almost if I think most
21:12
Speaker 2: of his wins are optimal, So I'll just say twenty
21:15
Speaker 2: percent that's going to be more likely to be than
21:17
Speaker 2: his ownership is. So for that reason, I am going
21:20
Speaker 2: to play some nickel, even though I don't love it
21:22
Speaker 2: on paper. But do you see it the same if
21:24
Speaker 2: he wins it through wrestling.
21:26
Speaker 3: Yeah, I pretty much agree with everything you said, and
21:28
Speaker 3: I think that does make sense to click on a
21:30
Speaker 3: little bit of nickel there. I mean, twenty three percent,
21:33
Speaker 3: that's probably like three times the field, or at least
21:35
Speaker 3: twice the field. I'm thinking.
21:37
Speaker 4: Uh so, yeah, I'm fine.
21:38
Speaker 3: I'm fine with a little bit of nickel, and he's
21:40
Speaker 3: gonna need to wrestle in order to win this fight.
21:43
Speaker 3: I just think Coast is gonna be better everywhere. Coast
21:45
Speaker 3: is a strong enough guy where I think he can
21:48
Speaker 3: stuff most takedowns, and if he is taken down once
21:51
Speaker 3: or twice, I don't know that it's gonna be enough
21:53
Speaker 3: for Nickel.
21:54
Speaker 4: My issue with Coasta is that he's ninety.
21:56
Speaker 3: Three hundred dollars another guy that's not a high output guy,
21:59
Speaker 3: so you really relying on the damage and probably early
22:04
Speaker 3: damage as well, because I don't think he's gonna be
22:06
Speaker 3: going for any takedowns himself. So I'm cool with some
22:09
Speaker 3: Coasta exposure, but I would prefer to get up to
22:13
Speaker 3: uh Bakoyev if I can afford the two hundred dollars,
22:17
Speaker 3: although if he's gonna be like ten to fifteen less
22:20
Speaker 3: owned than Bakoyev, I'm also not against moving a b
22:24
Speaker 3: Akoyev lineup down to him and just saving that two
22:26
Speaker 3: hundred dollars and the ownership and less dupe. So I
22:30
Speaker 3: do like Coasta to get the win, just worrying about
22:33
Speaker 3: how much he can score.
22:34
Speaker 1: On this one.
22:36
Speaker 2: I'm going to come back and have you rank three
22:38
Speaker 2: people in two fights, because I was really struggling with
22:42
Speaker 2: Delano Costa and Venada that range again, and they're right
22:46
Speaker 2: next to each other, and Bakoyev's like two hundred more
22:48
Speaker 2: than the Coasta. You have the ninety nine ninety eight
22:51
Speaker 2: hundred clear ones, and Duncan's a clear one at eighty
22:54
Speaker 2: eight hundred. But like that was like a dead range
22:56
Speaker 2: that I really really struggle to differentiate or try and
22:59
Speaker 2: rank those guys. So when we talk about the Tolano
23:01
Speaker 2: fight in two fights, I'm gonna ask you to rank
23:03
Speaker 2: him first. Though, we got to talk about the only
23:06
Speaker 2: mid tier fight expected to finish pretty much a coin flip.
23:09
Speaker 2: Thomas Peterson minus one fifteen Garremy Pat minus one oh five.
23:13
Speaker 2: Minus won thirty five for this fight. To finish, Pat
23:16
Speaker 2: plus one forty five inside the distance Peterson plus three thirty.
23:20
Speaker 2: Couple things stand out. Pat a slight or slightly higher priced,
23:23
Speaker 2: but now a slight dog. It's pretty much a coin
23:26
Speaker 2: flip though, and also this fight Minus won fifty to
23:29
Speaker 2: finish on Monday now Minus won thirty five, so some
23:33
Speaker 2: money coming in on the over very easy though, the
23:36
Speaker 2: striker and Pat versus the wrestler and Peterson. What do
23:39
Speaker 2: you like in this one? How do you see it yeah, I.
23:44
Speaker 4: Don't like much in this one.
23:46
Speaker 3: I mean, you got Peterson as the underdog who is
23:48
Speaker 3: going to be looking to wrestle. I STI don't think
23:51
Speaker 3: he's good enough, and even when he does wrestle, he might.
23:54
Speaker 4: Not hit ten X.
23:55
Speaker 3: If he wins this fight, and then on the Pat side,
23:58
Speaker 3: I think he is gonna be the much better striker,
24:01
Speaker 3: the more dangerous striker. But if he doesn't get a knockout,
24:04
Speaker 3: I don't think he's scoring either, especially if he's gonna
24:06
Speaker 3: spend it round on his back.
24:08
Speaker 4: So I think this could be a two star.
24:11
Speaker 3: Or if we're gonna get a knockout on the Pat side,
24:16
Speaker 3: then we're gonna need to be overweight on him, which
24:18
Speaker 3: I am okay with. That's what I'm picking to happen.
24:21
Speaker 3: He's gonna be my preferred play. But if you're picking
24:24
Speaker 3: Peterson to win, I think it would make sense to
24:27
Speaker 3: be underweight to Pat, overweight to the wrestler. I just
24:31
Speaker 3: kind of it's another fight I kind of hate. I
24:33
Speaker 3: think it'll be a little bit back and forth. Maybe
24:35
Speaker 3: we don't get the early knockout from Pat, and if
24:38
Speaker 3: it's a third round knockout, it's probably too late at
24:40
Speaker 3: that point, So I don't know, I just don't like
24:43
Speaker 3: it that much. But I am gonna take more of
24:45
Speaker 3: a stand on this one and I'll be on the
24:46
Speaker 3: path side.
24:47
Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna be another fight I'm a little
24:50
Speaker 2: different with you on and then pretty much as my
24:53
Speaker 2: hands just forced. It feels like for mid tier fights,
24:56
Speaker 2: Ricci Genderoba massively favored to go the distance, this fight
25:00
Speaker 2: only one expected to finish, Pereira Cohen massively favor to
25:04
Speaker 2: go the distance, Barbosagado massly favor to go the distance.
25:07
Speaker 2: So the mid tiers week, you can go stars and scrubs.
25:10
Speaker 2: That's definitely a viable option. But again, don't like treyshon
25:14
Speaker 2: go Or, don't like Zecchini, don't like Ribero, Nickels questionable,
25:18
Speaker 2: So then you're kind of just running out of options.
25:20
Speaker 2: And I get a clash of styles, the closest price
25:24
Speaker 2: fight and it's expected to finish, So I'm gonna probably
25:27
Speaker 2: be overweight on both guys, and I'm gonna hope this
25:29
Speaker 2: fight's optimal. Peterson's my preferred play for two reasons. One,
25:33
Speaker 2: he's the primary wrestler. Even if it does go to decision,
25:37
Speaker 2: he has more outs to win it'd be very hard
25:39
Speaker 2: for Pat to win or to be optimal in a
25:42
Speaker 2: decision win, and then you can plug in any Pat lineup,
25:45
Speaker 2: you can go to Peterson. With that being said, with
25:48
Speaker 2: Peterson now the small favorite, if that does get to
25:50
Speaker 2: like minus one twenty five minus one thirty range, you
25:53
Speaker 2: could see a pretty big ownership gap because people are
25:55
Speaker 2: gonna need dogs, and a favorite that wrestles and a
25:59
Speaker 2: fight expected to finish is appealing for a lot of people.
26:01
Speaker 2: So I almost want Pat to be the favorite of
26:05
Speaker 2: this line to stay a coin flip because the more
26:07
Speaker 2: it goes in Peterson's side, and the more the ownership
26:09
Speaker 2: gap widens, then I almost rather Pat as a way
26:12
Speaker 2: to get different on this card. Regardless, I want to
26:15
Speaker 2: be overweight on both guys. It's not fun. I will
26:18
Speaker 2: be cheering for a finish or a dominating wrestling performance
26:20
Speaker 2: on the Peterson side, but I just really don't like
26:23
Speaker 2: those mid tier fights too much, and I'm kind of
26:25
Speaker 2: forced into this one, so that's how I see it.
26:28
Speaker 2: But I'll be keeping a close lot eye online movement
26:31
Speaker 2: because I do think ownership adjusts a little too much
26:34
Speaker 2: for like ten cents fifteen cents in closely priced fights
26:37
Speaker 2: like this when the underdog is the favorite. Yeah, exactly.
26:41
Speaker 2: Mid tier is very tough. I like dog. I like
26:44
Speaker 2: a cheaper fighter, cheaper fighter, cheaper fighter, both fighters. That's
26:49
Speaker 2: how I'm looking at this really weak mid tier. All right,
26:53
Speaker 2: next fight on the card, Jose Delano, actually hold on,
26:57
Speaker 2: let me, let me get out of that minus three hundred,
27:00
Speaker 2: Robert Ruchella plus two to fifty minus two minus one
27:04
Speaker 2: ten for this fight to finish, Delano plus one fifty
27:07
Speaker 2: inside the distance, Ruchella plus four fifty. So on Monday,
27:10
Speaker 2: Delano is minus three fifty. Now he's minus three hundred.
27:14
Speaker 2: Some money coming in on the Ruchella side. Break down
27:17
Speaker 2: this fight, and then please rank Delano, Coasta, Banada all right,
27:22
Speaker 2: in ninety three, ninety two, eighty nine, but those are
27:25
Speaker 2: all in a row. There's no nine k or ninety
27:27
Speaker 2: one hundred dollars fighter this week.
27:29
Speaker 3: With the ranking, I'll start with I think Delano actually
27:34
Speaker 3: in that order, Delano, Costa, Thenveanada. Just the worries on
27:39
Speaker 3: the whole Banata fi I kinda. I think that fight
27:42
Speaker 3: is going to be slow, boring and go the distance.
27:44
Speaker 3: But you're just targeting against both guys. This one Delano.
27:48
Speaker 3: I kind of like Delano this. He looks like a
27:50
Speaker 3: good striker, a fast striker. He could be a high
27:53
Speaker 3: output guy. And I also think he could get a knockout.
27:58
Speaker 3: So all those are solid, but hundred dollars tough price
28:01
Speaker 3: to pay, and he probably won't be looking to wrestle
28:03
Speaker 3: at all. And then Ruchella, he is the guy who
28:07
Speaker 3: is the more well rounded fighter. I think he could
28:09
Speaker 3: put up a pace. He should be looking for takedowns
28:13
Speaker 3: in this fight, especially early in the fight, and if
28:16
Speaker 3: he can get his hand raised, I think he will
28:18
Speaker 3: score more than ten x here. So this Ruschelle, he
28:22
Speaker 3: is one of the cheap underdogs.
28:24
Speaker 4: I think.
28:24
Speaker 3: I'm definitely interested in clicking in I mean clicking more
28:27
Speaker 3: than the field. I think you have to click him
28:29
Speaker 3: a little bit. But he also won't get crazy ownership.
28:33
Speaker 3: And the more the money comes in on him, the
28:35
Speaker 3: more I like him as well. Because Delando's just unproven.
28:39
Speaker 3: I only saw a couple of fights. He just looked
28:40
Speaker 3: really good in those fights, and I like his hand.
28:43
Speaker 3: I like his speed, his hands, his speed, and I
28:46
Speaker 3: think he's gonna be a little bit too much for Rushala,
28:49
Speaker 3: So picking him to get a TKO at some point,
28:51
Speaker 3: I think he can score well. But I like both
28:53
Speaker 3: sides of this fight. I might change it to a
28:55
Speaker 3: four star.
28:57
Speaker 2: Yeah, I got nothing to argue. I don't have a
28:58
Speaker 2: strong lead on the Delana coast of Vanada, to be honest,
29:01
Speaker 2: I went Vanada, Delano Coasta and that was literally just
29:05
Speaker 2: because of the pricing. Like I can drop a Delano
29:07
Speaker 2: down to Vanada, eat the Chalk main event other fights
29:10
Speaker 2: and leave the money and hope he wrestles. Also, it's
29:13
Speaker 2: minus one ninety to finish that fight is which is
29:15
Speaker 2: the most likely of all three of them. But no strongly,
29:19
Speaker 2: and I've been struggling and probably will struggle, and I
29:22
Speaker 2: don't want to make a hard stand on I guess
29:24
Speaker 2: any of those three too. I have enough stands with
29:26
Speaker 2: the underdogs, with the mid tier stuff. I do like Richella, though,
29:29
Speaker 2: especially seeing that he's taking fifty cents since Monday. And yeah,
29:33
Speaker 2: even if the line keeps closing, that makes me like
29:35
Speaker 2: him even more. Delano making his UFC debut maybe a
29:39
Speaker 2: little more unknowns that way. I think Delano pushes a pace,
29:41
Speaker 2: makes Rochella actually fight, and then if he does win,
29:44
Speaker 2: he scores also below him Nickel, who I'm gonna play
29:48
Speaker 2: some of. Again, I mentioned I think his win equity
29:52
Speaker 2: and like, when he wins, he's probably optimal versus his
29:54
Speaker 2: ownership is a little off. But I don't like gor
29:57
Speaker 2: Zecchini ribero, so that means Rouchelle is the second lois
30:01
Speaker 2: I like, and it goes Nickel sixty nine, Ruchella seven k,
30:03
Speaker 2: then Flowers seventy three hundred, So I really only like
30:06
Speaker 2: two fighters seven k and below. And yeah, if you
30:10
Speaker 2: want to get all the way up to ninety nine
30:11
Speaker 2: hundred Yakiyev, you might need a cheap dog. And I
30:15
Speaker 2: think Ruchella is a live one, and if he wins, yeah,
30:19
Speaker 2: he probably scores pretty well. Right. Next fight on the card,
30:23
Speaker 2: second biggest favorite, second highest price, Tommy McMillan minus four
30:26
Speaker 2: fourteen hundred Manola Zecchini plus eight hundred minus six hundred
30:31
Speaker 2: for this fight to finish McMillan minus five to fifty
30:33
Speaker 2: inside the distance Zecchini plus eleven hundred McMillan round one
30:39
Speaker 2: minus one oh five open plus one fifteen. McMillan a grappler,
30:43
Speaker 2: He's minus one forty by sub he's plus two hundred
30:46
Speaker 2: by KO. I see you have it a three star.
30:49
Speaker 2: Explain why that you have this as a three star?
30:52
Speaker 2: What are you doing with it?
30:53
Speaker 3: Just the ninety eight hundred dollars price tag is why
30:56
Speaker 3: it's only a three star. I mean, it's one side
30:59
Speaker 3: for me. I'm not paying Zecchini. Not even sure why
31:02
Speaker 3: he's in the UFC. I mean, we haven't seen him
31:04
Speaker 3: in like two years, I want to say. And he
31:06
Speaker 3: got knocked out in the first round on Dana White's
31:08
Speaker 3: Contenders series, so I was like, oh, so McMillan must
31:12
Speaker 3: add somebody pull out and this guy stepped in late notice,
31:15
Speaker 3: but that wasn't even the case. So I have no
31:18
Speaker 3: idea why they're in there. It must just be a
31:19
Speaker 3: setup fight for this McMillan guy. But then I watched
31:22
Speaker 3: him and I'm like, man, there's no way I'm laying
31:24
Speaker 3: minus eleven hundred on this guy in the UFC. If
31:28
Speaker 3: you are at all, it's against this Zucchini guy.
31:30
Speaker 4: So it's gonna be McMillan our past.
31:33
Speaker 3: But that price tag is just going to be too
31:35
Speaker 3: high for me when I would rather find a way
31:38
Speaker 3: to get one hundred dollars more for.
31:39
Speaker 4: Yak Yayev, who I is always going to be in
31:42
Speaker 4: play for the quick win bonus.
31:44
Speaker 3: And this McMillan guy, I mean, he could put up
31:46
Speaker 3: a high pace. I think he wins the fight anywhere,
31:49
Speaker 3: probably does put up a big score, but ninety eight
31:52
Speaker 3: hundred dollars just makes it tougher to click on. When
31:55
Speaker 3: you got three hundred dollars cheaper for Bakoyev, that will
31:58
Speaker 3: be easier to afford on this. So I don't think
32:01
Speaker 3: I'm gonna be able to get to too much of him,
32:03
Speaker 3: But he also can't be faded because he could completely
32:06
Speaker 3: dominate this fight at a high pace.
32:09
Speaker 2: You and I see it the same. I have him
32:11
Speaker 2: underweight right now. Part of the reason is like, yeah,
32:13
Speaker 2: Yakev Yakiyev just looks so much better for one hundred more.
32:17
Speaker 2: With that being said, he's gonna be more popular as Yakiyayev.
32:21
Speaker 2: So if you just dropped the one hundred less and
32:23
Speaker 2: chalk your lineups and hope that is viable. Now my
32:27
Speaker 2: concern is this is the key guys is so bad
32:30
Speaker 2: that McMillian can go out there and get one takedown
32:32
Speaker 2: in a submission a minute and eight seconds later, and
32:34
Speaker 2: then you're getting five points for a takedown and hardly
32:37
Speaker 2: anything after and he scores like ninety nine or one hundred.
32:40
Speaker 2: Ken Zecchini, get up, I mean you want him to
32:43
Speaker 2: when you're playing him. Also minus one zero five in
32:46
Speaker 2: or for round one versus yak Yayev, who's plus or
32:49
Speaker 2: is minus two forty. Like, that's a huge difference right there.
32:52
Speaker 2: So on paper he looks a lot worse. Ninety eight
32:55
Speaker 2: hundred is a big boy price. But when you're playing
32:58
Speaker 2: the game theory, the ownership stuff in chalk your teams,
33:01
Speaker 2: you can leave the one hundred or you can just
33:03
Speaker 2: plug him in and zero out your money so you
33:05
Speaker 2: can't get yak Yayev. I do not think playing McMillan
33:08
Speaker 2: Yakiyayev teams are really viable on this lid. I think
33:11
Speaker 2: that is very difficult to use all of your salary there.
33:14
Speaker 2: But yeah, you could see yak Yayev fifty percent owned
33:18
Speaker 2: or something and McMillan like twenty two percent. And when
33:21
Speaker 2: you look at it like that, he's still minus fourteen hundred.
33:24
Speaker 2: He's taken he's taken three hundred or three dollars since Monday,
33:29
Speaker 2: and he's minus five fifty to finish. So when you
33:31
Speaker 2: say it all like that, you're kind of just nitpicking.
33:34
Speaker 2: But Yakyeyev is finished. We'll get there in a sec.
33:36
Speaker 2: Has finished both of his fights within a minute, so
33:39
Speaker 2: that's a huge range of earth. It's definitely a possibility
33:42
Speaker 2: he puts up that first minute bonus, and if he does,
33:45
Speaker 2: it's hard to see McMillan even getting close to that.
33:47
Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm in agreement totally with you. No Zacchini McMillan,
33:51
Speaker 2: just a way to get different, but I don't love
33:54
Speaker 2: it with yak Yayev. Just one hundred more. All right,
33:58
Speaker 2: keep it rolling. We just want to say, everyone watching live,
34:01
Speaker 2: watching on playback, all we do or all we ask
34:03
Speaker 2: is if you guys could hit that like button and
34:05
Speaker 2: subscribe button for us. We appreciate it helps us out
34:08
Speaker 2: a ton. If you have any hot takes in the
34:10
Speaker 2: mid tier, any of these underdogs, I would love to
34:12
Speaker 2: hear from you in the YouTube comments as well. But
34:15
Speaker 2: appreciate all the support as always. Next fight on the card,
34:19
Speaker 2: the legend Ethan Ewing minus one forty two taking on
34:22
Speaker 2: Raphael Estevon plus one twenty two plus one thirty for
34:25
Speaker 2: this fight to finish, Ewing plus two to fifteen inside
34:28
Speaker 2: the distance, Estevon plus four twenty five. I said the
34:32
Speaker 2: legend because I mean many probably remember and they probably
34:35
Speaker 2: didn't go their way. But Ewing stepped in on short
34:38
Speaker 2: notice against Malcolm Wallmaker. Wallmaker was like eighty four hundred
34:41
Speaker 2: dollars because he was already on the card, and Ewing
34:44
Speaker 2: comes in and spoils the party, outstruck the striker in
34:48
Speaker 2: well Maker. Now he gets a completely different matchup though
34:51
Speaker 2: against just a wrestler. As you can see on the stone,
34:53
Speaker 2: six point oh one takedowns per fifteen for Estebam, he
34:58
Speaker 2: is fourteen and zero to be. I was kind of
35:00
Speaker 2: surprised to see him as the dog, but I mean
35:03
Speaker 2: he opened the favorite at minus two fifteen. Very shortly
35:07
Speaker 2: after he went down to minus like one fifteen, and
35:12
Speaker 2: then slowly but surely money has been coming in on
35:15
Speaker 2: the Ewing side. I'm looking at this as striker and
35:18
Speaker 2: Ewing versus wrestler and Estebam. What I will say, though,
35:22
Speaker 2: Estevam is not gonna sneak past anyone. We need dogs
35:24
Speaker 2: on this card. He wrestles a lot. When he wins,
35:27
Speaker 2: he puts up scores. He is gonna be chalky, probably
35:30
Speaker 2: over thirty percent. So when you're playing Chris Duncan and
35:33
Speaker 2: then you're going to Estevam and then you're going to
35:35
Speaker 2: Yak Yayev. You gotta be careful what you do with
35:38
Speaker 2: the rest of your team. So I'll just say that.
35:39
Speaker 2: But I think it's good Chalk like he easily can
35:42
Speaker 2: shatter this late if he does win. Uh yeah, what
35:45
Speaker 2: do you see in this one?
35:48
Speaker 4: Yeah?
35:48
Speaker 3: I mean, I think it's gonna be tough, a tough
35:51
Speaker 3: fight for Estevan, But if he does win, he's gonna
35:53
Speaker 3: put up a solid score that's gonna contend for the
35:55
Speaker 3: optimal lineup, probably be on the Opta MA linea period.
35:58
Speaker 3: If he wins, I would imagine he's gonna have to
36:01
Speaker 3: score more than five six takedowns if he's gonna get
36:04
Speaker 3: his hand raised here, and he could score ten takedowns.
36:08
Speaker 3: But Ewing is gonna be the better striker. He's also
36:10
Speaker 3: gonna have much better cardio, and I think he can
36:14
Speaker 3: get up from a lot of these takedowns, which could
36:16
Speaker 3: be good on the Estivam side if he can keep
36:19
Speaker 3: Matt returning. But if Estevaom slows down or gases out,
36:25
Speaker 3: I think Ewing could finish him really in any round.
36:28
Speaker 3: I think it's gonna have a big striking edge, but
36:31
Speaker 3: if it goes the distance, it's definitely only it's Estebam
36:34
Speaker 3: er Pass. I don't think youing has any chance of
36:36
Speaker 3: making the optimal lineup in a decision win.
36:41
Speaker 4: So I'm gonna have a.
36:41
Speaker 3: Hard time clicking on him at eighty six hundred dollars,
36:44
Speaker 3: but I think you can because of the TKO equity
36:48
Speaker 3: and because of.
36:49
Speaker 4: All the people that are gonna be on Estevom.
36:51
Speaker 3: You're just gonna kill off that many lineups, and if
36:53
Speaker 3: it's an early TKO, you're gonna put yourself in a
36:55
Speaker 3: good position. I'm just not gonna get too much of
36:58
Speaker 3: that myself, and I am gonna be clicking on the stabm.
37:01
Speaker 4: Chock because he's my pick to win.
37:03
Speaker 3: I think that the wrestling is just gonna be a
37:05
Speaker 3: little bit too much for you, and it's gonna be
37:07
Speaker 3: a different type of fight than that first one was
37:09
Speaker 3: for him in the UFC, And I was surprised to
37:12
Speaker 3: see a thousand dollars salary difference when I when I
37:16
Speaker 3: saw the salaries. Yeah, he was the first freaking person
37:19
Speaker 3: I clicked on actually in my first lineup.
37:21
Speaker 4: But I do think that a lot of people are
37:23
Speaker 4: gonna be doing that, and he is gonna be.
37:26
Speaker 3: I mean, he might get more own than Mui Kanoo.
37:29
Speaker 2: I think you will.
37:30
Speaker 3: I think you will interesting. But yeah, it's gonna be
37:33
Speaker 3: those two that everyone's clicking if they're trying to get
37:35
Speaker 3: to yak Yayev and McMillan on this card.
37:39
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think because of the money line, and I
37:41
Speaker 2: think just because the lack of appeal on the other side,
37:44
Speaker 2: whereas Chris Duncan has a lot of appeal. But yeah,
37:48
Speaker 2: probably is pretty close. I'm gonna play chalk s Im
37:51
Speaker 2: when I When I play him, though, I'm really gonna
37:52
Speaker 2: think about ways to get different. Maybe that's when I
37:54
Speaker 2: plug in yak Yaev and then I go down to
37:56
Speaker 2: McMillan and leave one hundred and just hope he outscores him.
37:59
Speaker 4: There.
38:00
Speaker 2: It's hard to fade the main event. We'll get there
38:02
Speaker 2: in a little bit. But yeah, he's gonna be. He
38:05
Speaker 2: could be thirty seven percent on when it's all said
38:07
Speaker 2: and done. I wouldn't be shocked. And that does bring
38:10
Speaker 2: me interest in the ewing side. Pure leverage kind of
38:13
Speaker 2: like you said, and another one similar to Nickel, like
38:16
Speaker 2: I talked about earlier. You got me into this plus
38:18
Speaker 2: two fifteen inside the distance comes out to thirty one percent.
38:23
Speaker 2: He might be like eighteen percent twenty percent when it's
38:26
Speaker 2: all said and done. So not only is he under owned,
38:29
Speaker 2: it looks like for his finishing equity versus his ownership,
38:34
Speaker 2: you get so much leverage off a very chalky dog
38:36
Speaker 2: that if Sabm does lose and gets finished, he's not optimal. Now,
38:41
Speaker 2: what I will say to that is, I don't think
38:43
Speaker 2: all Ewing finishes are optimal on this card. Stevon could
38:47
Speaker 2: dominate round one with the wrestling Ewing come out, knock
38:50
Speaker 2: him out in round two and score eighty and that's
38:52
Speaker 2: not going to be enough, more than likely at eighty
38:54
Speaker 2: six hundreds. So I don't love Ing by any means,
38:57
Speaker 2: but on the card that I'm kind of struggling to
38:59
Speaker 2: get difference, he is someone that I will be looking
39:02
Speaker 2: I'll be playing a little bit of to get massive
39:04
Speaker 2: leverage from the Stabam side if he stuffs takedowns. I said,
39:07
Speaker 2: if I'm still going to keep attacking him Ewing, then
39:10
Speaker 2: should be able to piece him up and a knockout. Obviously,
39:12
Speaker 2: you will take at ownership and leverage on this card.
39:17
Speaker 2: Three fights left we keep mentioning yak Yajev, and there
39:21
Speaker 2: he is at minus eighteen hundred taken on Brentson Robero
39:24
Speaker 2: plus nine hundred minus twelve hundred for this fight to
39:27
Speaker 2: finish under one and a half minus four twenty five
39:30
Speaker 2: open minus two fifty yak Yayev minus one thousand inside
39:34
Speaker 2: the distance Ribero plus eleven hundred Yakiya I have in
39:37
Speaker 2: round one now minus two seventy five after opening minus
39:41
Speaker 2: two hundred. I mean, yeah, I don't see any one
39:45
Speaker 2: minute prop on him, but both of his wins so
39:48
Speaker 2: far have been under a minute. I don't know why
39:50
Speaker 2: they sanction this fight. Brentson Rovero is gonna die. It
39:53
Speaker 2: just comes down to when is Yakiev gonna get the finish.
39:56
Speaker 2: And also he's ninety nine hundred, so there is a
39:59
Speaker 2: quick win bonus. When I won on the Serroukian card
40:02
Speaker 2: last last year, where there was someone that got a
40:05
Speaker 2: quick win bonus and scored I don't know one twenty
40:07
Speaker 2: six and wasn't optimal because of his price was so
40:10
Speaker 2: high and just how the card shook out with the dogs.
40:13
Speaker 2: So that's why it's always even if he does his job,
40:16
Speaker 2: he's almost a sure lock for one hundred and one
40:18
Speaker 2: to twenty plus upside. It's not guaranteed to get there,
40:22
Speaker 2: but yeah, that's that's a I'm in madfs. That's what
40:25
Speaker 2: makes it fun. So what do you see in this one?
40:27
Speaker 3: Yeah, yak yai ever passed. I'm looking forward to seeing
40:31
Speaker 3: what he can do against real talent.
40:32
Speaker 2: Man.
40:32
Speaker 3: I'm excited about his potential. He's a dangerous dude, and
40:37
Speaker 3: he comes out aggressive, and I think he's gonna if
40:39
Speaker 3: they're gonna keep feeding them softballs. I think he can
40:42
Speaker 3: keep getting one minute finishes for a while. And there
40:46
Speaker 3: is a line fight to end in the first sixty
40:49
Speaker 3: seconds of round one plus three point fifty, so that's
40:53
Speaker 3: like twenty two and it makes me like him way worse.
40:57
Speaker 3: Same same, especially when he's gonna be high owned. But
40:59
Speaker 3: I don't think a quick win bonus is only to
41:02
Speaker 3: score one hundred and twenty points. He could just dominate
41:06
Speaker 3: in wrestling. I'm not sure how good this guy is.
41:08
Speaker 3: He just destroys everybody so he don't get a chance
41:11
Speaker 3: to see how talent he is. Talented he is, you know,
41:15
Speaker 3: over the course of fifteen minutes, and I don't think
41:17
Speaker 3: we're going to get to here either that ninety nine
41:21
Speaker 3: hundred dollars. Man, I always say over ninety five hundred
41:24
Speaker 3: dollars I don't love, and especially when I can get
41:26
Speaker 3: the Koyev at ninety five hundred dollars and probably like
41:29
Speaker 3: those lineups more because I don't like the cheapest guys
41:32
Speaker 3: on this card. I really don't like even Nikolas sixty
41:35
Speaker 3: nine hundred. I don't like clicking to him. I don't
41:37
Speaker 3: like kicking Rushala at seven k. Those are just people
41:40
Speaker 3: I'm willing to click in order to get up to
41:43
Speaker 3: a Yak Yayev. But at the same time, everyone else
41:47
Speaker 3: is doing the same thing that my line is not.
41:49
Speaker 4: Going to be too much different from them.
41:50
Speaker 3: So the more I think about it, the more I
41:53
Speaker 3: want to get away from yak Kyayev and hope that
41:55
Speaker 3: he is fifty percent owned on this card and he
41:58
Speaker 3: ends up putting up one hundred and five and that's
42:01
Speaker 3: probably not gonna cut it at that price tag. But
42:03
Speaker 3: I think he dominates the fight ends his ends it
42:06
Speaker 3: in round one. But yeah, I want to see how
42:09
Speaker 3: he looks against real UFC competition.
42:13
Speaker 2: I do too. I'm worried that he's not having a
42:14
Speaker 2: mess round with wrestling because he knows he can knock
42:16
Speaker 2: him out, and if it's like a minute and eight seconds, like,
42:19
Speaker 2: I don't think Rivert is getting up when he does
42:21
Speaker 2: knock him down, like he he's gonna fall like a
42:23
Speaker 2: ton of bricks and then yeah, you're one oh six,
42:25
Speaker 2: one oh four. Whatever it may be, it's probably not enough.
42:29
Speaker 2: The problem on this card and why he is still
42:30
Speaker 2: gonna get so much ownership obviously the money line inside
42:33
Speaker 2: the distance all that is. It comes back to Coasta, Delano, Vanada,
42:38
Speaker 2: like you can poke holes and all those guys, and
42:40
Speaker 2: that's what makes it difficult. I'm definitely not looking to
42:42
Speaker 2: go Yak Yayev team down to any of those guys
42:45
Speaker 2: and leave that chunk of money. But yeah, you can
42:48
Speaker 2: leave five hundred with a uh, or you can leave
42:52
Speaker 2: three hundred or five hundred with the Vanada team or
42:54
Speaker 2: three hundred with the Coasta team where you can't get
42:56
Speaker 2: up to the Tommy Yak Yayev stuff. But you do, uh,
43:00
Speaker 2: you do leave money to get different that way. Yeah,
43:02
Speaker 2: I mean plus three fifty is twenty two percent. He
43:05
Speaker 2: might be closer to the forty five percent range not
43:08
Speaker 2: I guess, Yeah, he doesn't need the first minute bonus.
43:11
Speaker 2: But if there's not many dogs barking, which I'm not
43:14
Speaker 2: sure how many are, it's it makes it a little
43:16
Speaker 2: more difficult. All right, Let's go to the co main events.
43:20
Speaker 2: The most likely fight to go the distance, or at
43:22
Speaker 2: least it's either this fight or the Caamaka fight. It'll
43:26
Speaker 2: be the It'll be this fight. It'll be this fight
43:28
Speaker 2: for sure. Verna minus won twenty five inside or excuse me,
43:31
Speaker 2: not inside the distance. Verna minus won twenty five on
43:33
Speaker 2: the money line Tabitha Ricci plus one oh five plus
43:36
Speaker 2: three hundred for this fight to finish, Verna plus three
43:40
Speaker 2: fifty inside the distance Ricci plus nine hundred. So what
43:43
Speaker 2: you notice on Monday or granted eighty three hundred Ricci
43:46
Speaker 2: semi nine hundred Verna. On Monday it was already Verna
43:49
Speaker 2: minus one fifteen Ricci minus one oh five. Now Verna's
43:53
Speaker 2: taken even a little more money, so four hundred dollars cheaper,
43:56
Speaker 2: but a minus one twenty five favorite. Also the way
43:59
Speaker 2: better inside the distance prop at plus three fifty versus
44:02
Speaker 2: plus nine hundred. With that being said, on Monday, she
44:05
Speaker 2: was plus three hundred inside the distance, so some money
44:08
Speaker 2: has come in on the over. I do not like
44:10
Speaker 2: this fight, but if someone's optimal, I do think it
44:13
Speaker 2: is Verna because I do think she's the one hunting
44:15
Speaker 2: for offensive takedowns and trying to grapple, where Ricci, if
44:19
Speaker 2: she is smart, just keeps it on the feet and
44:20
Speaker 2: tries out pointer and eighty three hundred. It's hard for
44:24
Speaker 2: me to see that being optimal, so Verna as the
44:27
Speaker 2: dog or a pass. I still don't even love Verna though.
44:31
Speaker 4: Yeah, same.
44:32
Speaker 3: I think Ricci's gonna be our better wrestler here, and
44:34
Speaker 3: if she can use that wrestling to keep this fight standing,
44:37
Speaker 3: she probably wins the fight there, just won't score enough.
44:41
Speaker 3: But Janderoba should be looking to grapple. She's the more
44:45
Speaker 3: dangerous submission artist, which is why Ricci might not be
44:49
Speaker 3: looking to wrestle on this one. And if Jenderoba can
44:52
Speaker 3: get Richi on her back, then Ricchie could be in
44:54
Speaker 3: trouble here. So I'm definitely gonna be clicking on Janderobajeneroba
44:58
Speaker 3: scored one hundred and twenty four points in a loss
45:01
Speaker 3: in her last fight. That's like that's got to be
45:02
Speaker 3: the most win. Yeah, So I mean that gives me
45:07
Speaker 3: hope as well, and it's like it almost makes me
45:10
Speaker 3: think that she could be something like a no gender
45:13
Speaker 3: Roba no cash if she gets her hand raised. But
45:16
Speaker 3: she's gonna have to look to wrestle and grapple in
45:19
Speaker 3: this fight, and I think she will have some success.
45:21
Speaker 3: But I picked Ricchi to win because I don't think
45:23
Speaker 3: she'll have enough success and I think more of this
45:26
Speaker 3: fight will take place on the feet.
45:28
Speaker 4: But I don't really like Riccia at all in DFS.
45:30
Speaker 2: So Janderoba fess, Yeah, I see it the same. If
45:34
Speaker 2: I had to bet, I would take the minut or
45:36
Speaker 2: the plus one zero five with ri Chi to use
45:38
Speaker 2: her wrestling to strike, like you said, but for DFS,
45:42
Speaker 2: and we're hunting for upside, just for the optimal. It's
45:45
Speaker 2: Verner pass for me in this one. All right, Time
45:48
Speaker 2: for the main events again, first before we do so,
45:51
Speaker 2: just want to show off again if you are looking
45:52
Speaker 2: to get over to the nation. We do have trial
45:55
Speaker 2: five days for nineteen dollars. You get Saber sim you
45:58
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46:11
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46:14
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46:21
Speaker 2: and you want to check us out, twenty nine dollars
46:23
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46:25
Speaker 2: to use sabersim. But it's a yearly sport, so if
46:28
Speaker 2: you know you're gonna be playing every single week, you
46:30
Speaker 2: want our slate plan, the Stone Projections, ownership access to
46:33
Speaker 2: the Discord education video. You can find that over here
46:37
Speaker 2: in the single sport tab under MMA Great Main Events.
46:42
Speaker 2: Kind of a lackluster card like we've talked about, but yeah,
46:45
Speaker 2: regardless of how hammered we are, what basketball games going
46:48
Speaker 2: on this and that they're better be it's either gonna
46:50
Speaker 2: be on my phone or it's gonna be on the
46:52
Speaker 2: TV because it probably won't last too long, but it's
46:54
Speaker 2: gonna be fun when it does. Chris Duncan minus won
46:57
Speaker 2: seventy five or not dol Way Kano plus one fifty
47:00
Speaker 2: minus three twenty five for this fight to finish, Duncan
47:03
Speaker 2: minus one twenty five inside the distance. Moicano plus two
47:07
Speaker 2: fifty round one props not great, Duncan plus four to
47:10
Speaker 2: twenty five, Moikano plus eight hundred. I'll just throw it
47:14
Speaker 2: to you on this one. I see three star, three star,
47:16
Speaker 2: and five star. Actually, first I will say Monday minus
47:19
Speaker 2: one ninety or Duncan was minus one ninety now he's
47:21
Speaker 2: minus one seventy five, So some buyback on the Moikano side,
47:25
Speaker 2: But yeah, load up on it. Are you gonna make
47:28
Speaker 2: a rule to have one hundred percent if you were
47:30
Speaker 2: playing one hundred teams?
47:32
Speaker 3: Now, I wouldn't make a rule, but it is my
47:34
Speaker 3: favorite fight to target and all. I mean, it's my
47:37
Speaker 3: only five star fight. And I guess my other question
47:40
Speaker 3: you would be, what other fight if you had to
47:42
Speaker 3: move one of these other ones to a five star,
47:44
Speaker 3: what would it be before I get into this one?
47:46
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that is such a difficult question because
47:51
Speaker 2: of how one sided those fights are. To be honest,
47:56
Speaker 2: it's gonna sound gross, but it's the it's the Pat
47:58
Speaker 2: Peterson fight that you said you might even have a
48:00
Speaker 2: two star, but it's really just the pricing. And I
48:02
Speaker 2: totally agree. I wouldn't have any of them as a
48:04
Speaker 2: five star, but I think that's then the fight that
48:07
Speaker 2: I'm gonna have the most overweight too. On both sides,
48:11
Speaker 2: classic styles, mid tier expected to finish in a range
48:13
Speaker 2: that's terrible, but I would not have it a five star.
48:16
Speaker 2: That just shows how hard this card is. But you
48:19
Speaker 2: kind of want that in dfs at the end of
48:21
Speaker 2: the day because ownership ro gets a little spread out.
48:23
Speaker 2: But clear slam dunk fight on is this one.
48:26
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean this will be a five star no
48:28
Speaker 3: matter what, but I don't love a five star for
48:31
Speaker 3: any of these other ones, which.
48:32
Speaker 2: Let me that what's your question, what's your answer to
48:34
Speaker 2: that question?
48:36
Speaker 3: I don't know, man. I think that it's it's kind
48:40
Speaker 3: of right as is, and that's what makes me like
48:44
Speaker 3: this fight even more. Which I wouldn't be against making
48:47
Speaker 3: the rule if you wanted to go about it, but
48:48
Speaker 3: I would not do it because I think it could
48:51
Speaker 3: be like a second round dunk and win and then
48:53
Speaker 3: he doesn't get there. I think he's gonna put up
48:58
Speaker 3: you know, ninety plus points, but maybe doesn't get there
49:01
Speaker 3: on this card. That's what you're probably hoping for if
49:04
Speaker 3: you're fading this fight. But I think it's just gonna
49:06
Speaker 3: be a banger could finish in any round from either guy.
49:11
Speaker 3: Both of them are well rounded. I like Duncan to
49:13
Speaker 3: be the better wrestler. I like Mui Kano to be
49:16
Speaker 3: the slicker submission guy, but more so when he's in
49:19
Speaker 3: a dominant position. Mui Kano is not a great nail.
49:23
Speaker 3: He can get his ass beat for a long time.
49:26
Speaker 3: Muikano's solid minute winner on the feet.
49:29
Speaker 4: So is Duncan too.
49:30
Speaker 3: He's got solid, solid volume. But I think Duncan's just
49:34
Speaker 3: gonna have a lot more power, more durability. If the
49:37
Speaker 3: fight ends early, I think it's gonna be dunkin the
49:40
Speaker 3: longer it goes. Maybe that FA favors Mui Kano, but
49:44
Speaker 3: it also could be all all Duncan for five rounds
49:49
Speaker 3: or until that finish happens. So I'm not sure on
49:51
Speaker 3: this one, man. I like both sides. I'm picking Duncan
49:55
Speaker 3: to win, but eighty eight hundred to seventy four hundred,
49:59
Speaker 3: Muikano get you up to all those other favorites that
50:01
Speaker 3: we've been talking about on the card, So I don't
50:04
Speaker 3: know who I'm going to end up with more exposure
50:07
Speaker 3: to my first lineup when I said I clicked on
50:10
Speaker 3: est of them, and when est of them Duncan, So
50:13
Speaker 3: I prefer Duncan when I'm starting my lineup. But if
50:17
Speaker 3: I need to move down to Moui Kano, then I'm
50:19
Speaker 3: cool doing that.
50:21
Speaker 2: I don't really have much more to add. I do
50:22
Speaker 2: the point that you made. I would not make a
50:24
Speaker 2: rule in one hundred teams the reason like you said.
50:26
Speaker 2: And moy Kano gets on top and wrestles round one
50:29
Speaker 2: and beats him up there, and then Duncan gets a
50:31
Speaker 2: quick finish, a quick knockout in round two that could
50:34
Speaker 2: be eighty five ninety or even then the round two
50:37
Speaker 2: Woi Kano gets back there, but then he slows down,
50:40
Speaker 2: and then round three, then you're even getting a worse score.
50:43
Speaker 2: And it's mainly due to the ownership. Like this fight
50:45
Speaker 2: might have ninety two percent owned ownership combined. So if
50:49
Speaker 2: this fight bus at ninety two percent ownership combined, you're
50:51
Speaker 2: playing against eight percent of the field. And that's really appealing. Now,
50:55
Speaker 2: That's why I always preach. At least for me, I'm
50:58
Speaker 2: a lot better making a lot of teams and building
51:00
Speaker 2: a portfolio and trying to make each individual lineup good
51:04
Speaker 2: versus single entry. I don't know I couldn't imagine not
51:07
Speaker 2: clicking one of these two names in single entry, even
51:09
Speaker 2: in fifteen or less. Like, I'm not sure that's enough
51:12
Speaker 2: of my portfolio, especially when you're playing against one hundred
51:14
Speaker 2: and fifty max stuff. When people are putting that in,
51:18
Speaker 2: I just try and get more narrow and I would
51:20
Speaker 2: make a rule there. But there is a path. Whencano
51:23
Speaker 2: wrestles in round one, maybe wrestles in round two, Duncan
51:25
Speaker 2: a second or third round knockouts after being on his
51:29
Speaker 2: back most of the fight, and it busts. But other
51:32
Speaker 2: than that, I mean all gas no breaks. This fight's
51:35
Speaker 2: gonna be wa Kano a bad nail you can see
51:37
Speaker 2: on the stone. Chris Duncan, he just he's always doing something.
51:42
Speaker 2: I picked Chris Duncan mainly for the age gap, like
51:46
Speaker 2: Conno's a. He hasn't been great the past two fights,
51:49
Speaker 2: but it's still money. Moycano. He's dangerous and he's seventy
51:53
Speaker 2: four hundred versus eighty eight hundred, so I'll definitely be
51:55
Speaker 2: forced to click the name. I really don't care who
51:58
Speaker 2: I have more of when it's all set in, Like
52:00
Speaker 2: you said, I want to be pretty similar fifty to
52:02
Speaker 2: fifty fifty five, forty five, sixty forty. I don't want
52:05
Speaker 2: too much of a stand. You didn't make me think though,
52:08
Speaker 2: maybe it's better. Maybe Estevon lineups are better to go
52:11
Speaker 2: Moi Kano because I do think a lot of Esavon.
52:14
Speaker 2: Then the clear pairing is with Duncan. With that being said, though,
52:18
Speaker 2: if you go Estevan muay Kano, a lot of those
52:20
Speaker 2: pairings I think will be yakiya Iev because you'll have
52:23
Speaker 2: the money there, So maybe getting a little different when
52:25
Speaker 2: you do that is something I'll be looking at. But yeah, yeah,
52:29
Speaker 2: and that's what.
52:29
Speaker 3: I got back to your point with the pat and
52:31
Speaker 3: Peterson being the other possible five star. I do think
52:35
Speaker 3: if I avoid yak Yayev, I do like that fight more,
52:38
Speaker 3: just ending up in the mid range more rather than
52:41
Speaker 3: stars and scrubs type of lineup.
52:43
Speaker 2: So not a bad answer, Yeah, I like it. What
52:46
Speaker 2: did you have an answer? Can you give me one?
52:48
Speaker 2: If you had any, I mean.
52:50
Speaker 3: I would say it would just be uh estebom because
52:55
Speaker 3: of him, or it would be like yak Yaya because
52:59
Speaker 3: of him.
52:59
Speaker 2: It can't do Yeah, no, I know for sure. It's
53:04
Speaker 2: really hard. It's really hard. That's why you don't have
53:06
Speaker 2: any of This is a five star and I totally agree.
53:09
Speaker 2: I would not have any but the main events either. Well,
53:12
Speaker 2: I said, I was wondering where you're at. I'm glad
53:14
Speaker 2: you're still kicking. It shows up right when we are
53:17
Speaker 2: getting out here. But yeah, any final thoughts, Big Marley excited.
53:20
Speaker 2: Not too excited for the real life aspect of this one,
53:23
Speaker 2: but I'm excited because we'll be together watching fights. Prizes
53:27
Speaker 2: are big and yeah, if you have any sweat and them,
53:29
Speaker 2: it could be the worst card of all time. If
53:31
Speaker 2: you have a sweat late, there's no better sweat, in
53:33
Speaker 2: my opinion, than two people in their underwear trying to
53:36
Speaker 2: kill each other for a lot of cheese. So yeah,
53:38
Speaker 2: any final thoughts before we get on out.
53:40
Speaker 4: Yeah, man, hopefully we do have a sweat going into
53:42
Speaker 4: that main event. That'll be awesome.
53:43
Speaker 3: But I'm looking forward to it. She'll be a good weekend.
53:47
Speaker 3: Holler at us if you're in Indy this weekend for
53:49
Speaker 3: the final four. But I'm looking forward to a good
53:51
Speaker 3: luck to you title, good luck to everybody listening.
53:53
Speaker 4: Let's ship it.
53:55
Speaker 2: We'd love to see at the Nation agains ship nation
53:57
Speaker 2: dot com Join the Nation multiple different packages to join.
54:00
Speaker 2: That'll do it for us until next week for my man,
54:03
Speaker 2: Big Marley untitled Town. Good luck this week and be
54:06
Speaker 2: safe