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MLB Divisional + NCAAF + NHL + WNBA Finals Best Bets Wednesday 10/8/25 · Toadstool Sports

0:01
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
0:06
Speaker 1: Own seven run over the last two days after tonight
0:08
Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
0:12
Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
0:15
Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that. I
0:18
Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
0:20
Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
0:25
Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all all in
0:27
Speaker 1: four that have not had a good season. Man with
0:32
Speaker 1: wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
0:37
Speaker 1: I've reached a new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn
0:41
Speaker 1: my browins hat man, I don't know what is going
0:43
Speaker 1: on with the bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
0:47
Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
0:50
Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
0:53
Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
0:55
Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
0:59
Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die,
1:03
Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did
1:07
Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five. The worst month
1:11
Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
1:13
Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
1:15
Speaker 1: To the slump, series slump discontinuous, The slump continues. Somebody
1:21
Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
1:24
Speaker 1: should do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
1:32
Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, it's towed back with you better off dead? Wednesday,
1:36
Speaker 1: October eighth. Didn't have any plays yesterday because I'm an idiot.
1:41
Speaker 1: In the play I gave out in WNBA is actually tonight,
1:43
Speaker 1: so I will reiterate that play. We got a lot
1:46
Speaker 1: to do today, man, just a lot of different sports.
1:48
Speaker 1: It's not a lot of games on the board, but
1:50
Speaker 1: a lot of sports are in action. We got playoff Baseball.
1:54
Speaker 1: Every series is in action today. We have WNBA, of course,
1:59
Speaker 1: we have WNB finals. We have College Football Conference USA
2:05
Speaker 1: Wednesdays starting, and we have bait. What else do we
2:10
Speaker 1: have hockey? Oh? Yeah, hockey? I forgot about that, dirty sock.
2:15
Speaker 1: What's up man? Oh thank you sir, welcome back. Thanks
2:18
Speaker 1: for hanging out again, Jeffrey, what's up? Thanks for hanging
2:20
Speaker 1: out again? Man? You parlayed the underrun all three NHL games.
2:24
Speaker 1: I think they all won right, Yeah, that one nice,
2:29
Speaker 1: and then you have you did Panthers Penguins aves and
2:32
Speaker 1: that one as well. Solid the Panthers. I know they
2:37
Speaker 1: only won by one, but like statistically they pretty much
2:39
Speaker 1: dominated that game. It was crazy. They had like a
2:42
Speaker 1: massive shot edge in that game. Was crazy. The game
2:44
Speaker 1: was as close as it was. I didn't really pay
2:46
Speaker 1: attention to the other games though. I had the game
2:50
Speaker 1: on late last night here with the Colorado and I
2:52
Speaker 1: wish I gave out Colorado man because the market reeves
2:55
Speaker 1: saying Colorado. I forgot to mention a couple of things
2:58
Speaker 1: yesterday Colorado. I mentioned that LA was good at home
3:01
Speaker 1: last year. They were really good at home. But Colorado
3:04
Speaker 1: played at LA really well last year, Like they beat
3:07
Speaker 1: them both times in Colorado and the one time I
3:09
Speaker 1: think they only played once at LA and they took
3:11
Speaker 1: them into overtime. So Colorado seems to match up pretty
3:15
Speaker 1: well against and I know there's some personnel changes and whatever,
3:17
Speaker 1: but similar teams. And I forgot to mention the coaching
3:23
Speaker 1: scenario in the Penguins Rangers game. Former Penguins coach Mike Sullivan,
3:29
Speaker 1: who actually was the US coach in the Foreign Nations tournament.
3:34
Speaker 1: Or whatever. He's now the coach of the Rangers, I'm
3:37
Speaker 1: pretty sure. So that's interesting as well. And I believe
3:40
Speaker 1: he's from Massachusetts as well. He's from from my area, man,
3:45
Speaker 1: so yeah, I forgot to mention all of that. Yeah,
3:50
Speaker 1: SoC he's the undertaker, like I am. In baseball, unders
3:58
Speaker 1: tend to cash, I think, a little bit more off
4:00
Speaker 1: and then overs just because public generally wants overs. But
4:04
Speaker 1: I mean I kind of pointed out that out yesterday.
4:07
Speaker 1: I think these opening games and hockey, I think they
4:09
Speaker 1: have a little bit of a tendency to go under because,
4:12
Speaker 1: like the offenses aren't quite there yet. Like it's the
4:15
Speaker 1: same in other sports too, Like it it takes a
4:18
Speaker 1: little bit longer to get the offense going than it
4:20
Speaker 1: does to get the defense going. WNBA. We talked about
4:24
Speaker 1: this yesterday, but I'll mention it one more time. This
4:26
Speaker 1: is the same game I handicapped yesterday. Although Phoenix is
4:29
Speaker 1: now up from one and a half to four and
4:31
Speaker 1: a half, I gave it out at three and a
4:32
Speaker 1: half yesterday. Four and a half is getting a little
4:35
Speaker 1: bit dicey, but I do think Phoenix will be the
4:38
Speaker 1: right side and win this game. Hopefully. If you bet it.
4:40
Speaker 1: You bet it at a better number than four and
4:42
Speaker 1: a half, you could look to maybe use it as
4:44
Speaker 1: like a money line parlay piece if you want to.
4:46
Speaker 1: But I did give it out at three and a
4:49
Speaker 1: half on Phoenix. I'll just reiterate that Phoenix is down
4:52
Speaker 1: two in the series. Vegas is a little bit public
4:55
Speaker 1: fifty percent of tickets and cash on them. Kind of
4:57
Speaker 1: expected them to be more public, But throughout what we've
5:02
Speaker 1: seen in the market, like throughout the last few days,
5:04
Speaker 1: we've basically I think, seen the money come in on
5:07
Speaker 1: Phoenix and then I think maybe just because it got
5:09
Speaker 1: a little bit too high, maybe some of the money
5:12
Speaker 1: coming back on Vegas. But this is like a zig
5:14
Speaker 1: zag spot like I talk about in the NBA playoffs,
5:17
Speaker 1: when a team is down two coming back home, that's
5:20
Speaker 1: like the best spot to play them because they're usually
5:23
Speaker 1: gonna give you their best effort in that game they're
5:25
Speaker 1: facing elimination. I know it doesn't mean the pressure is
5:28
Speaker 1: on them, but it means that Vegas can actually kind
5:31
Speaker 1: of like take their foot off the gas a little bit.
5:33
Speaker 1: They know they want to end the series, but they
5:35
Speaker 1: know that they can win this series if they win
5:37
Speaker 1: one more in the next three games Phoenix, it's gonna
5:41
Speaker 1: be the last gasp effort, so you usually see the
5:44
Speaker 1: best effort from them in a game like this. I'd
5:46
Speaker 1: rather have them in a smaller favorite than this, or
5:48
Speaker 1: as an underdog, but that wasn't gonna be the case
5:50
Speaker 1: in a series like this. Phoenix is also good at home.
5:53
Speaker 1: I think they were like seventeen and five regular season
5:56
Speaker 1: at home. Vegas was only thirteen to nine on the road,
5:59
Speaker 1: so a little bit of a home advantage there though.
6:02
Speaker 1: That's certainly factoring into the line though, but I think
6:05
Speaker 1: also the fact that Game two was a little bit
6:07
Speaker 1: more of an outlier or Vegas won by double digits.
6:10
Speaker 1: Phoenix didn't shoot well in the game. They were like
6:12
Speaker 1: I think they were below twenty percent from three point
6:15
Speaker 1: range in the game, and Vegas shot almost fifty percent
6:18
Speaker 1: from the field. So those are outliers that you expect
6:21
Speaker 1: to kind of regress or progress back to some sort
6:24
Speaker 1: of meaning there. And with Phoenix losing that badly in
6:27
Speaker 1: game two, they're the team that has the adjustments to
6:30
Speaker 1: make coming into this Ummers with Vegas. Everything worked in
6:33
Speaker 1: that previous game, so you don't have the adjustments to make,
6:35
Speaker 1: which is why the zig zag works. So I know
6:38
Speaker 1: Vegas does have a good coach with former player Becky
6:41
Speaker 1: Ham And but yeah, we'll go with Phoenix in that game,
6:45
Speaker 1: laying the points. There, you took it as well, or
6:48
Speaker 1: laid the points, all right, Hell yeah, let's get that win, man,
6:51
Speaker 1: all right, let's keep going. Man, I don't know what
6:54
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be. I'm gonna call the entire let's call
6:56
Speaker 1: the entire show the best bet segment because they're not
6:59
Speaker 1: the game. And I have a play in every sport
7:02
Speaker 1: except for except for college football, although I always do
7:08
Speaker 1: football last because people like football the best, so that
7:10
Speaker 1: you might not like the games. Today. Let's look at
7:12
Speaker 1: a Major League Baseball here, we got the divisional round
7:15
Speaker 1: going on. All four teams are playing, or all four
7:18
Speaker 1: series are in play. Today, I should say Seattle and Detroit.
7:21
Speaker 1: Seattle won yesterday. I got to look at the bullpen
7:24
Speaker 1: you suggesterday, and Detroit had a little bit more bullpend
7:28
Speaker 1: you suggest today. So not only is Seattle up to
7:31
Speaker 1: one now, but Seattle has the better bullpen anyway, and
7:34
Speaker 1: they're a little bit more rested after yesterday. So Seattle
7:37
Speaker 1: has a lot of advantages here. I think they do
7:39
Speaker 1: have the better hitting as well. The only question is
7:42
Speaker 1: what are we going to get out of the starting
7:43
Speaker 1: pitching matchup here. Bryce Miller is pitching for Seattle, and
7:47
Speaker 1: he's been good throughout his career, but he had a
7:50
Speaker 1: really bad season which was really really plagued by injury.
7:54
Speaker 1: Five point six eighty or a one point four to
7:56
Speaker 1: one whip. Obviously, he struggled big time this year. When
8:00
Speaker 1: he's in like form, he is good, though, but I
8:03
Speaker 1: think he had Tommy John surgery and he's had real
8:06
Speaker 1: difficulty coming back from it. He's still pretty young, twenty seven,
8:09
Speaker 1: so I expect him to at some point be back
8:12
Speaker 1: in form. He showed some signs of it this year,
8:15
Speaker 1: but I'm not ready to have my money on him,
8:17
Speaker 1: especially in a playoff scenario on the road. Detroit is
8:20
Speaker 1: better at home. Seattle's not as good on the road.
8:22
Speaker 1: Although I know they won yesterday close game yesterday, I
8:25
Speaker 1: believe or no, it wasn't right. It was eight. I
8:27
Speaker 1: think they won eight to one yesterday. What am I
8:29
Speaker 1: saying the second game was close? I think yesterday was
8:31
Speaker 1: not close eight to four. I think they were up
8:34
Speaker 1: eight to one at some point in the game, though,
8:36
Speaker 1: so yeah, I don't know if I'm ready to trust
8:38
Speaker 1: Bryce Miller though, although if we get the Miller from
8:41
Speaker 1: a few years ago, he is good. This year he
8:44
Speaker 1: was actually slightly better on the road five point five
8:46
Speaker 1: six e RA, which is unlike Seattle's pitchers. He wasn't
8:51
Speaker 1: that good though down the stretch five point six to
8:53
Speaker 1: one ERA in September twenty four to seven strike out
8:56
Speaker 1: walk ratio was pretty good, but still allowing to many runs. Generally,
9:01
Speaker 1: his numbers are good against Detroit though, fifty two at
9:03
Speaker 1: bats he has a thirteen to zero strikeout walk ratio
9:07
Speaker 1: against him, which is really good. Two thirty one batting average,
9:10
Speaker 1: five hundred ops allowed, So Miller does have good matchup
9:14
Speaker 1: numbers against Detroit's. If you are thinking of Seattle here,
9:17
Speaker 1: you at least have that going for you, and generally
9:19
Speaker 1: if Miller again, I think the whole question is is
9:23
Speaker 1: Miller going to be back at some point from his
9:27
Speaker 1: you know, like recovering from Tommy John surgery and his
9:31
Speaker 1: playoff inexperience. Is that going to be a factor here
9:35
Speaker 1: because he's a little bit young still, he doesn't have
9:38
Speaker 1: that much playoff experience. If any I don't even know
9:40
Speaker 1: how much he has. So the one real advantage Casey
9:43
Speaker 1: miz as for Detroit here is that he does have
9:45
Speaker 1: playoff experience. Although I don't think he's that good. His
9:48
Speaker 1: numbers look good. Three point eight to seventy r a,
9:52
Speaker 1: one point two to seven whip is all right, but
9:56
Speaker 1: and three point six eighty RA at home was good.
9:58
Speaker 1: He was good at home. But I look at his
10:00
Speaker 1: career numbers that I still keep saying Myze, I don't
10:03
Speaker 1: think he's as good as his numbers looked. I went
10:05
Speaker 1: against him in the Cleveland series here he did pitch.
10:08
Speaker 1: Though he pitched on the Wildcard series, they only let
10:11
Speaker 1: him go three innings and then they turned it over
10:13
Speaker 1: to the bullpen. He gave up one on run, he
10:15
Speaker 1: had two walks, one strike out. He wasn't great in
10:18
Speaker 1: the game. Really, Detroit's bullpen is what imploded in that game,
10:22
Speaker 1: and that's how we got the win on Cleveland in
10:23
Speaker 1: that one. But that was part of the handicap that
10:27
Speaker 1: you didn't really know how long Myz was going to
10:28
Speaker 1: go in that game. I still think he's not as
10:30
Speaker 1: good as his numbers look, but he does have a
10:32
Speaker 1: start in the playoffs under his belt this year. And
10:35
Speaker 1: he pitched in the playoffs last year, and I think
10:37
Speaker 1: he actually wasn't that bad. So miz does have some
10:41
Speaker 1: advantages here with the experience factor against Seattle's numbers are
10:45
Speaker 1: not good though, in forty eight at bats, fourteen to
10:47
Speaker 1: five strike a walk ratio two seventy one, average allowed
10:51
Speaker 1: eight ninety four ohps. So the matchup numbers do indicate
10:55
Speaker 1: that Miller has the upper hand in this matchup. The
10:58
Speaker 1: money is coming in that way Detroit. I'm from minus
11:00
Speaker 1: won twenty to minus one, away fifty one percent of
11:02
Speaker 1: tickets on Detroit, fifty percent of the cash, so I
11:05
Speaker 1: on Seattle. I think part of the reason why Detroit
11:08
Speaker 1: is slightly public here is because the public is looking
11:11
Speaker 1: at those pictures eras and seeing Miller's as like sky high.
11:15
Speaker 1: But again, I'll just reiterate once more that Miller, when
11:21
Speaker 1: Miller is in his top form, he's definitely the better
11:24
Speaker 1: picture than myz. It's just a matter of is he
11:26
Speaker 1: going to be there and is the experience going to
11:28
Speaker 1: be a factor here. So I would I guess agree
11:31
Speaker 1: with this and slightly lean to Seattle, But I can't
11:33
Speaker 1: do it. Man. I also don't really see the uh
11:38
Speaker 1: the argument for the under here. Total sitting at eight
11:41
Speaker 1: and a half here, but we see seventy eight percent
11:43
Speaker 1: of tickets on the over, sixty one percent of cash
11:45
Speaker 1: on the over. It's a little bit of a higher
11:47
Speaker 1: total for a playoff game. The money looks like it's
11:50
Speaker 1: somewhat coming in on the under, but I don't really
11:52
Speaker 1: agree with that when you have the bullpens. Did see
11:54
Speaker 1: some use suggest today. I don't know how much we
11:57
Speaker 1: could trust either one of these starting pitchers here really,
11:59
Speaker 1: so I would slightly lead to an overall, though I
12:02
Speaker 1: think the best way to play that is Seattle. You
12:06
Speaker 1: want to hear my thoughts on hockey, Yeah, that that
12:08
Speaker 1: will come after baseball. You guys are oh tie Way Tiland,
12:13
Speaker 1: what you go into pick up some lady boys over there? Continuing, well,
12:20
Speaker 1: that was afternoon based on I would get into evening
12:22
Speaker 1: based on Milwaukee at the Cubs. I'm just gonna do it. Uh,
12:28
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go in order, but this is gonna be
12:29
Speaker 1: one of my plays. We're gonna play the Cubs here.
12:31
Speaker 1: I know that my one loss in the Baseball playoffs
12:34
Speaker 1: so far was on the Cubs in the previous game.
12:36
Speaker 1: But we're gonna go back to it. We're gonna take
12:38
Speaker 1: the Cubs at home this time. Down two to oh,
12:42
Speaker 1: it's like put up or shut up time basically, man,
12:44
Speaker 1: I mean the Yankees. Unfortunately, I got it done last night.
12:47
Speaker 1: Down two in the series, coming back home, I think
12:50
Speaker 1: it is. It's gonna be a really really motivated spot
12:53
Speaker 1: for the Cubs, and I think they have the matchup
12:55
Speaker 1: edge in this one, man, So we're gonna go with
12:57
Speaker 1: the Cubs here. I'm now three to one and one
12:59
Speaker 1: in the playoffs, so I'm still doing pretty well though
13:01
Speaker 1: that was my one loss. My one loss was the
13:06
Speaker 1: Cubs in Game two of the series, which was my
13:08
Speaker 1: last baseball play. But we're gonna do it here. Both
13:11
Speaker 1: of these bullpens are rested, at least because they didn't
13:14
Speaker 1: the teams didn't play yesterday. Both bullpens are pretty solid,
13:18
Speaker 1: so I don't think there's a huge edge one way
13:20
Speaker 1: or the other. Milwaukee does have their closer back, but
13:22
Speaker 1: the Cubs bullpen has been pretty good as well, and
13:25
Speaker 1: actually maybe the better one down the stretch. Milwaukee does
13:28
Speaker 1: have the somewhat better offense on when they're on the road,
13:32
Speaker 1: their offense is a little bit better. The Cubs offense
13:35
Speaker 1: was better over the course of the entire season, but
13:37
Speaker 1: Milwaukee's was better down the stretch. But I still think
13:40
Speaker 1: that's a little bit of a wash. Maybe Milwaukee slight
13:43
Speaker 1: edge just because they're on the road. They hit well
13:45
Speaker 1: on the road. But a lot of this is about
13:47
Speaker 1: the starting pitching matchups. So I know, if you want
13:49
Speaker 1: to go first five innings that's fine too. But because
13:51
Speaker 1: I don't think there's a huge disadvantage with the bullpen here,
13:55
Speaker 1: I think we can go full game on this. We're
13:57
Speaker 1: gonna fade Quinn Priest. I know Priest had a good
14:01
Speaker 1: season man three point three two ERA one point two
14:03
Speaker 1: to four whip for Milwaukee two point nine to one
14:07
Speaker 1: road ERA, so he was actually better on the road,
14:09
Speaker 1: but he did lose his ridiculous streak Man so Milwaukee
14:12
Speaker 1: had nineteen of his outings in a row, Milwaukee had
14:17
Speaker 1: won the game, and I think most of them were
14:18
Speaker 1: starts from him, and they finally lost that streak last
14:22
Speaker 1: time out. So I think this might be a spot
14:24
Speaker 1: now where now that that streak is over, it might
14:27
Speaker 1: cause a little bit of a hangover effect here. Priester
14:29
Speaker 1: also has not pitched since that game, which was against
14:33
Speaker 1: the Reds late in the season September twenty six, a
14:35
Speaker 1: priest has had a bit of extra time off, and
14:38
Speaker 1: sometimes that will affect a pitcher negatively when they have
14:40
Speaker 1: too much time off. I don't know how much playoff
14:43
Speaker 1: experience Priester has because he was mostly on Pittsburgh, so
14:46
Speaker 1: I think he's pretty new to this. I don't even
14:48
Speaker 1: know if he has any playoff experience, so he has
14:51
Speaker 1: definitely had an experienced disadvantage in this matchup. He did
14:55
Speaker 1: pitch well in September, still three point five two ERA
14:57
Speaker 1: twenty five to five strikeout walk ratio, but I think
15:00
Speaker 1: this might be where it ends for him. Man last
15:03
Speaker 1: time out in this stadium against the Cubs on August
15:05
Speaker 1: twenty first, he only gave up one earned run, but
15:08
Speaker 1: he wasn't good. He threw ninety five pitches in four
15:10
Speaker 1: and a third innings. He walked five guys and had
15:13
Speaker 1: four strikeouts, so his walk rate was terrible in the game. Generally,
15:17
Speaker 1: he's just not that good against the Cubs. I know
15:19
Speaker 1: his previous outing against the Cubs at home was okay,
15:22
Speaker 1: gave up two earned runs and five to two thirds,
15:24
Speaker 1: but his numbers overall against the Cubs they're really experienced
15:27
Speaker 1: against him because he's been in their division for like
15:29
Speaker 1: his entire career with Pittsburgh and Milwaukee, although I know
15:33
Speaker 1: he was on the Red Sox very briefly. Maybe they
15:35
Speaker 1: should have kept him. Sixty seven at bats against the Cubs,
15:38
Speaker 1: he has a below one strikeout walk ratio ten to eleven,
15:43
Speaker 1: which is really bad. Two ninety nine batting average allowed
15:46
Speaker 1: to nine oh five ops allowed. None of that is good.
15:49
Speaker 1: So the Cubs really do a lot of damage against Priest,
15:52
Speaker 1: so that's not looking good. The Cubs are going with
15:55
Speaker 1: Jameson tye On, who is the more experienced pitcher, and
15:58
Speaker 1: he did have a good season three point six one
16:01
Speaker 1: point six whip really good, and he was good at home,
16:04
Speaker 1: so the home road splits are actually in favor of
16:06
Speaker 1: both pitchers here three point h five Homira for Tyon.
16:10
Speaker 1: Tyon was injured in the middle of the season. He
16:12
Speaker 1: missed almost two months, and then since he's come back
16:15
Speaker 1: in late August, he's allowed two or fewer earned runs
16:18
Speaker 1: and every single one of his outings. He's only allowed
16:20
Speaker 1: six earned runs total across seven starts, including a fourding
16:26
Speaker 1: shutout for his first playoffs start against San Diego four strikeouts,
16:31
Speaker 1: no walks, two hits allowed, very good in that outing,
16:33
Speaker 1: and they didn't want to overextend him, so they only
16:35
Speaker 1: let him go sixty pitches. So he's on schedule. Now.
16:39
Speaker 1: Andy's fresh, and he has that experience. I mean, he's
16:41
Speaker 1: already pitched in the playoffs in his career anyway, so
16:44
Speaker 1: he is definitely the more experienced pitcher. But he also
16:46
Speaker 1: has a start under his belt this postseason. So I
16:49
Speaker 1: think all of those things are advantages for him, and
16:52
Speaker 1: not being overworked, being on schedule, and his numbers against Milwaukee.
16:56
Speaker 1: You're pretty good in one hundred and eighty three at bats,
16:59
Speaker 1: thirty eight to twelve strike a walk ratio not bad,
17:01
Speaker 1: two fifty one average allowed in sixty nine ops. So
17:06
Speaker 1: I think we have a big edge here in the
17:08
Speaker 1: starting pitching. I think it's an edge overall with the Cubs.
17:11
Speaker 1: That's where we're gonna go with baseball today. They're down
17:13
Speaker 1: for minus one twenty one to minus one fourteen on
17:15
Speaker 1: the money line. The best I saw was minus one
17:17
Speaker 1: twenty But I think that's a fine price. Basically, you're
17:22
Speaker 1: just getting pretty much home advantage and nothing else. If
17:24
Speaker 1: you play that as the price fifty four percent of
17:27
Speaker 1: the cash on the Cubs, fifty six percent of tickets
17:30
Speaker 1: on Milwaukee. So Milwaukee is a little bit public because
17:32
Speaker 1: they're two to zero public. Very recentcy biased, Milwaukee had
17:36
Speaker 1: the better record of the season. I think the Cubs
17:38
Speaker 1: get this one, and again I think maybe they should
17:41
Speaker 1: even be a little bit more of a favorite here
17:43
Speaker 1: and then just getting basically a home field because I
17:45
Speaker 1: think they do have a decent edge in this particular matchup,
17:49
Speaker 1: So Cubs will be the play there. Yeah, Ben, what's
17:54
Speaker 1: up man? Priester? Yeah, the Milwaii Yeah, I point in
17:59
Speaker 1: that Milwaukee, Well Priester, is that his record or is
18:03
Speaker 1: that Milwaukee's record? Yeah? I mean Priester. Yeah. I pointed
18:07
Speaker 1: out they went on a run of nineteen straight games
18:10
Speaker 1: in a row where Priester had pitched in those games
18:12
Speaker 1: and Milwaukee won all of them, but they lost his
18:15
Speaker 1: last start. I think Priest was over performing, man, Like
18:18
Speaker 1: the advanced analytics guys have been talking about Priest over
18:21
Speaker 1: performing for a long time and it's continued. But like
18:25
Speaker 1: he's been able to do well for sure, but I
18:27
Speaker 1: think it's coming to an end here, man. So I
18:29
Speaker 1: think I think my analysis is solid on that. I
18:33
Speaker 1: think the fact that it is priest R I think
18:35
Speaker 1: is part of the reason why we're getting some value here.
18:37
Speaker 1: So we're gonna go with the who I think is
18:39
Speaker 1: the better and more experienced pitcher. Tie on Toronto at Yankees.
18:44
Speaker 1: As we get to the night games here, Toronto could
18:47
Speaker 1: have put the seeries away. Man. They had a six
18:49
Speaker 1: to one lead last night with Shane Bieber on the mound,
18:53
Speaker 1: he gave up a couple more runs and then Toronto's
18:55
Speaker 1: bullpend was really bad in the game, which you expect
18:58
Speaker 1: the Yankees bullpen to be bad. The Yankees bullpen has
19:01
Speaker 1: been really bad throughout the playoffs, but it was Toronto
19:04
Speaker 1: who was bad yesterday. I'm pissed because I think I
19:08
Speaker 1: think Toronto's gonna lose the series. Man, I just I
19:12
Speaker 1: just don't see it. The pitching matchup today is terrible,
19:14
Speaker 1: absolutely terrible for Toronto and now and they're gonna it's
19:19
Speaker 1: gonna go to a Game five where it's like anything
19:21
Speaker 1: can happen. So Toronto, they looked totally dominant in the
19:24
Speaker 1: first two games, looked like the series was over. No
19:27
Speaker 1: they needed to win. Last night with Bieber on the mouth,
19:29
Speaker 1: they had a decent shot to win that game, and
19:31
Speaker 1: it didn't happen. We did see a lot of bullpen
19:34
Speaker 1: usage on both sides. Bieber was out of the game
19:36
Speaker 1: really early. Probably they should have left him in longer.
19:39
Speaker 1: I don't know what that was because he was out
19:40
Speaker 1: pitching Radon. Radon was terrible in the game. Yeah, I
19:45
Speaker 1: don't know what to tell you about that. The Yankees
19:47
Speaker 1: used some of their high leverage relief arms last night, though,
19:51
Speaker 1: but both bullpens are pretty used. I think Yankees have
19:53
Speaker 1: a slight bullpen and disadvantage here, though generally their bullpen
19:57
Speaker 1: is not really as good as Toronto's. Toronto's isn't that
20:00
Speaker 1: good either, though, But that's gonna be kind of taken
20:03
Speaker 1: out of the picture though, because Toronto's basically going with
20:05
Speaker 1: a bulp end game here, which is a huge problem,
20:09
Speaker 1: and the Yankees have the somewhat better offense to Both
20:11
Speaker 1: offenses are good, but this is really bad. Man. Louis
20:14
Speaker 1: Ireland is gonna get the start, the well, the opener
20:18
Speaker 1: for the Blue Jays. He hasn't. I don't think he's
20:20
Speaker 1: made a legitimate start since twenty twenty three, when he
20:23
Speaker 1: was on Milwaukie. He's been like an opener and a
20:26
Speaker 1: relief pitcher. Since then, his numbers were good two point
20:29
Speaker 1: nine to seven e RA one point two whip, but
20:31
Speaker 1: you're only gonna get one two winnings out of him.
20:33
Speaker 1: He wasn't as good on the road four point h
20:35
Speaker 1: two ERA. He actually pitched last night. He's pitching every
20:41
Speaker 1: game in the series so far, so the Yankees have
20:44
Speaker 1: seen a bunch of him. But again, he's probably only
20:46
Speaker 1: gonna go about winning one inning. He gave up two
20:48
Speaker 1: home runs in the game last night, so he was
20:50
Speaker 1: one of the main reasons they lost last night. Oh
20:52
Speaker 1: after that, why not, let's just have him start this
20:55
Speaker 1: game after he gave up two home runs last night?
20:57
Speaker 1: How about that? Yeah? Fuck you. I don't think he's
21:00
Speaker 1: gonna do well, man, I really don't. His numbers against
21:03
Speaker 1: the Yankees are abysmal three ninety four batting average allowed,
21:06
Speaker 1: one thousand and three ninety eight ops really really bad.
21:11
Speaker 1: But he's only gonna be in there for one inning.
21:13
Speaker 1: But then Toronto's gonna turn it over to their bulp
21:15
Speaker 1: and yeah, that's not gonna be good. So yeah, I
21:19
Speaker 1: think there is a way to play this game, which
21:21
Speaker 1: we'll talk about at the end. Of the analysis here
21:24
Speaker 1: Cam Schlitzler is pitching for the Yankees. I will talk
21:28
Speaker 1: about Schlitler right now. It's a little bit interesting because
21:31
Speaker 1: obviously he's good two point nine to six ERA one
21:34
Speaker 1: point two to whip on the season, a little bit
21:36
Speaker 1: worse at home three point one two ERA. There are
21:40
Speaker 1: a couple of drawbacks with Schlittler though. Man, yes he
21:43
Speaker 1: is young. Yes he did get one playoff start out
21:45
Speaker 1: of the way in the wildcard rounds, so that is
21:47
Speaker 1: good that the experience factor was not an issue. He
21:50
Speaker 1: had an eight inning shutout against the Red Sox with
21:53
Speaker 1: twelve strikeoups. But here's the thing, man, he was extremely motivated.
21:57
Speaker 1: It was a rivalry series. The Red Sox fans were
22:00
Speaker 1: kind of giving him shit because he's from Massachusetts, and
22:03
Speaker 1: they were talking about how his family or traders if
22:05
Speaker 1: they root for the Yankees, which I call Schlittler a
22:08
Speaker 1: trader because he's from Massachusetts. Fuck him. Uh, But I
22:12
Speaker 1: think he could be in a little bit of a
22:13
Speaker 1: letdown spot. Man. I know it is the playoffs. I
22:16
Speaker 1: don't think he's actually gonna do that badly here, but
22:19
Speaker 1: this isn't the best situation for him. He threw the
22:21
Speaker 1: most pitches he's ever thrown in that game, one hundred
22:24
Speaker 1: and seven pitches to get that win. They probably should
22:27
Speaker 1: have taken him out like an inning before that. I
22:29
Speaker 1: know he continued to pitch well, but the Yankees, I
22:31
Speaker 1: know the Yankees bullpen sucks, but they probably should have
22:34
Speaker 1: pulled them after seven innings, to be honest, because they
22:37
Speaker 1: knew he was gonna have to pitch again if they
22:39
Speaker 1: were gonna win that game. They knew they had to
22:40
Speaker 1: get him ready to pitch again. So I think they
22:42
Speaker 1: overworked him a little bit, and that was such a big,
22:45
Speaker 1: like emotional game. This could be a problem for him.
22:48
Speaker 1: And I think the other issue with Schlitler, and there
22:51
Speaker 1: aren't many issues, but the other issue is he basically
22:54
Speaker 1: had one really bad start on the season and guess
22:56
Speaker 1: who it was against. It was against Toronto in the
22:59
Speaker 1: Bronx on September fifth, the only last and one to
23:01
Speaker 1: two thirds, four earned runs allowed, two strikeouts, two walks,
23:05
Speaker 1: five hits allowed, and Toronto seemed to figure something out
23:09
Speaker 1: with him. It seemed like he was tipping his pitches.
23:11
Speaker 1: Maybe he's fixed that since then, but Toronto has been
23:14
Speaker 1: one of the only teams that's really figured out Schlitzler.
23:16
Speaker 1: That was by far his worst start, and he actually
23:19
Speaker 1: wasn't that good in the other start against Toronto either,
23:21
Speaker 1: just his second start ever at Toronto. Not an easy assignment,
23:25
Speaker 1: but he had three walks in the game, two earned runs,
23:29
Speaker 1: a lout in five innings. Wasn't that bad. But Schlitzler
23:31
Speaker 1: has not been good against Toronto. Man, that last time
23:33
Speaker 1: out maybe should scare you a little bit because it
23:37
Speaker 1: did look like Toronto had figured him out, and his
23:39
Speaker 1: overall numbers are not good against Toronto because of that.
23:42
Speaker 1: I know, it's a small sample size, twenty three at bats,
23:45
Speaker 1: four to four, strikeout walk ratio four to thirty five,
23:48
Speaker 1: average allowed, nine to fifty three ohps, So you do
23:51
Speaker 1: have to worry a little bit about Schlitzler there. Obviously,
23:54
Speaker 1: I think the Yankees are gonna win this game, but
23:56
Speaker 1: the money is kind of starting to fade them, although
23:58
Speaker 1: I don't see how you could put your money on
24:00
Speaker 1: Toronto with what they're doing with this bullpen game. I mean,
24:03
Speaker 1: come on, man, the number on the Yankees is up
24:07
Speaker 1: for minus one sixty miss one sixty seven, seventy five
24:09
Speaker 1: percent of tickets, sixty six percent of the cash on
24:14
Speaker 1: the Yankees here. So the money is going against the
24:16
Speaker 1: Yankees a little bit. But no, I the way that
24:19
Speaker 1: I would play this game is, you want to fade
24:21
Speaker 1: the Yankees rookie. I don't know, man Schlitler, he's definitely
24:25
Speaker 1: the real deal. You want to fade. I would not
24:29
Speaker 1: fade the Yankees here. The way I would play this
24:31
Speaker 1: game is I would go Yankees over their team total
24:34
Speaker 1: in this game. Uh, I mean, come on, man, Like
24:36
Speaker 1: it gets Violin and then you don't even know who
24:38
Speaker 1: the fuck Toronto's gonna throw after Viarlind Like, it's such
24:42
Speaker 1: a bad situation for Toronto. Like I don't know how
24:45
Speaker 1: many runs you're gonna need the Yankees to get here,
24:47
Speaker 1: like maybe five, five, six or six runs maybe whatever
24:51
Speaker 1: it is. I think they can do that. Uh, this
24:53
Speaker 1: is just a bad pitching. This is, yeah, a bad
24:57
Speaker 1: scenario for Toronto. Man. So I would probably do that
24:59
Speaker 1: if I was gonna play this game, Yankees over the
25:01
Speaker 1: team total, or I would maybe consider going over in
25:05
Speaker 1: just over in the game, even though the money looks
25:08
Speaker 1: like it's coming in the under, but I don't know
25:10
Speaker 1: what the fuck that is. Eighty one percent of tickets
25:12
Speaker 1: in the over seventy one percent of cash on the under,
25:14
Speaker 1: I don't understand it totals down from eight and a
25:18
Speaker 1: half to eight juice to the over. Money coming in
25:20
Speaker 1: on the under. I think it's almost guaranteed that Toronto
25:23
Speaker 1: is gonna give up some runs here. With this setup,
25:25
Speaker 1: Schlittler is a little bit more of a mystery. I think, like,
25:29
Speaker 1: if there's one team that could do damage against him,
25:31
Speaker 1: it is Toronto. So it is possible Toronto gets him,
25:34
Speaker 1: at least for a little bit. I mean, I think
25:36
Speaker 1: he'll still be pretty good, but Toronto might be able
25:39
Speaker 1: to get enough runs off him that we can get
25:40
Speaker 1: this thing over. The total and the bullpen's I don't
25:44
Speaker 1: trust either bullpen obviously and especially after last night, so
25:49
Speaker 1: the the money coming in on the under makes no
25:52
Speaker 1: sense to me in this game. But yeah, I think
25:55
Speaker 1: Yankees over their team total or just over in the game,
25:58
Speaker 1: or the the ways that I would look at that game.
26:01
Speaker 1: And then Philadelphia at the Dodgers. We all know I
26:04
Speaker 1: have the Dodgers winning the National League in my bracket.
26:08
Speaker 1: I told you the Dodgers are going to be an
26:09
Speaker 1: extremely dangerous team in the playoffs. I mean, we know
26:13
Speaker 1: they won the whole thing last year, but the Dodgers
26:15
Speaker 1: just kind of slacked off in the middle of the
26:17
Speaker 1: season man and they wound up with only getting the
26:20
Speaker 1: three seed. They still won their division, but they got
26:24
Speaker 1: some of their best starting pitchers back. Their starting pitching
26:27
Speaker 1: rotation is really good. The Dodgers' only weakness really is
26:30
Speaker 1: their bullpen, but Philadelphia also has a bullpen weakness, so
26:35
Speaker 1: that's a problem. The Dodgers already won both games in Philadelphia,
26:39
Speaker 1: so this series. This series is pretty much over to
26:42
Speaker 1: be Honestly, I don't think there's any way the Dodgers
26:44
Speaker 1: lose both games at home. It might end tonight. The
26:47
Speaker 1: Dodgers haven't lost in the playoffs yet. Both bullpens are
26:51
Speaker 1: pretty bad. They're both rested, but I think the Dodgers'
26:54
Speaker 1: bullpen is actually slightly less bad than Philadelphia's. Dodgers also
26:58
Speaker 1: have a really, really good offense at home, so even
27:01
Speaker 1: though both teams can hit, Dodgers have the better offense.
27:04
Speaker 1: Dodgers also have the better starter here. Aaron Nole is
27:07
Speaker 1: pitching for Philly. He's been good throughout his career, but
27:10
Speaker 1: he's coming back from Tommy John surgery this year and
27:12
Speaker 1: he's had a bad season six point one ERA, one
27:15
Speaker 1: point three to five whip really bad on the road
27:18
Speaker 1: to six point nine to seven Roadra started to get
27:22
Speaker 1: it together a little bit in the last month. I know,
27:24
Speaker 1: five point four ERA isn't very good, but thirty one
27:27
Speaker 1: to seven strike a walk ratio is pretty good. So
27:29
Speaker 1: he actually wasn't bad in September. I think he just
27:32
Speaker 1: kind of got unlucky with some of the runs he
27:34
Speaker 1: gave up. So he is actually pitching somewhat better against
27:38
Speaker 1: the Dodgers. He actually does have good numbers and he's
27:40
Speaker 1: seen a ton of them. Two hundred forty six at bats,
27:43
Speaker 1: forty three to sixteen, strike a walk ratio, two twenty average,
27:46
Speaker 1: allowed six forty five ops. So he has done well
27:50
Speaker 1: against the Dodgers in the past. There, Uh, they have
27:54
Speaker 1: to start and Nola, I mean, what else are they
27:56
Speaker 1: gonna do? They Sanchez started in Game one, I think, right,
28:00
Speaker 1: and Sanchez their number one, Lozardo as their number two.
28:04
Speaker 1: And then what else do they have left? They have Nola?
28:07
Speaker 1: And then who else do they even have? Wheeler is
28:09
Speaker 1: on on the injured list, so they don't have Wheeler?
28:12
Speaker 1: Who is their ace? Oh yeah, they have Ron your Suarez.
28:15
Speaker 1: That's I mean, what do you want to do? You
28:16
Speaker 1: want to start Walker Buehler even though Bueller, yeah he
28:20
Speaker 1: has experienced, but he's been so bad for years now
28:24
Speaker 1: since his Tommy John surgery. So yeah, I mean, I
28:27
Speaker 1: think they maybe should have started Suarez here. But uh,
28:32
Speaker 1: Suarez is gonna be if if Philadelphia does happen to
28:35
Speaker 1: win this game, it will be Suarez tomorrow. But I
28:38
Speaker 1: mean Nola. I think Nola probably has better numbers against
28:42
Speaker 1: the Dodgers. I think that might be part of the
28:44
Speaker 1: reason why, Like I could check right now, but I
28:47
Speaker 1: think Suarez probably doesn't do well against the Dodgers. Yeah,
28:50
Speaker 1: three twenty six average, nine to ten ops allowed to
28:53
Speaker 1: the Dodgers, So what do you think. I think I
28:56
Speaker 1: would actually probably agree with that move and trust Nola
28:59
Speaker 1: a little bit more. Suarez bad numbers against against the Dodgers. Man,
29:05
Speaker 1: But Philly's gonna have to get by Yoshinobu Yama Mota,
29:08
Speaker 1: who obviously had a really good season for the Dodgers
29:10
Speaker 1: two point four ninety ra point nine to nine whip.
29:13
Speaker 1: He was slightly worse at home three point oh four
29:17
Speaker 1: homy ra. He hasn't allowed to run in his last
29:20
Speaker 1: three outings. He only allowed two earned runs in September.
29:23
Speaker 1: He's obviously pitching well right now. He made one start
29:26
Speaker 1: of the playoffs already, in the Cincinnati Series in the
29:28
Speaker 1: Wildcard six six and two thirds innings. Pitch didn't allow
29:32
Speaker 1: any earned runs two unearned runs though, nine to two
29:36
Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio Yama Moto. He is in good
29:38
Speaker 1: form right now. His numbers are pretty good against the
29:40
Speaker 1: Phillies as well, and only twenty six at bats, though
29:43
Speaker 1: it's a small sample. Eight to three strike out walk
29:46
Speaker 1: ratio two sixty nine average allowed, six ninety one ops.
29:52
Speaker 1: This is a game I would actually consider going under,
29:55
Speaker 1: even though I don't like the bullpens. I mean the
29:57
Speaker 1: bullpen's arrested first five inning. Under my makes sense. I
30:00
Speaker 1: actually think Nola might not do that bad in this game.
30:03
Speaker 1: I think both starting pitchers might actually do well here.
30:06
Speaker 1: Sixty four percent of tickets on the over, fifty eight
30:08
Speaker 1: percent of casual on the under. The total did drop
30:10
Speaker 1: a little bit down to the seven and a half. Uh,
30:13
Speaker 1: so I think under actually might make sense here. It's
30:17
Speaker 1: a little bit of a risk with Nola though, obviously,
30:19
Speaker 1: but he has been in better form better than you
30:20
Speaker 1: would think recently, and he typically is good against the Dodgers.
30:25
Speaker 1: Money coming in on the Dodgers as well. Up for
30:28
Speaker 1: minus one sixty, he might just won seventy five sixty
30:30
Speaker 1: six percent of tickets on them, seventy percent of the
30:32
Speaker 1: cash on them. I wouldn't disagree with the I mean,
30:36
Speaker 1: I think the Dodgers will win this game, but it
30:37
Speaker 1: seems like a bit of a price to lay to me, honest.
30:40
Speaker 1: I mean, you're gonna get a little bit tax for
30:42
Speaker 1: playing the Dodgers usually, especially with a huge era disparity
30:46
Speaker 1: between these two starters. So I don't know that I
30:50
Speaker 1: would really want to do that. You couldn't maybe look
30:52
Speaker 1: to Philadelphia to go under their team total if you
30:54
Speaker 1: want to do something like that, and go with Yamamoto
30:57
Speaker 1: to pitch. Well, but Nola is the one that actually
30:59
Speaker 1: has the better matchup, So I think I just prefer
31:01
Speaker 1: the the under in the game in general, maybe just
31:04
Speaker 1: first five innings Nola two and a half strikeouts? Is that?
31:08
Speaker 1: Is that what his strikeout line is? I mean, the
31:11
Speaker 1: only question is how long are they going to leave
31:13
Speaker 1: him in there? Right? Like? That's the whole thing. Philly,
31:15
Speaker 1: They're on the verge of elimination, man, So they might
31:18
Speaker 1: do with something weird, like they could pull Nola at
31:20
Speaker 1: any point and just start using their bullpend because the
31:23
Speaker 1: bullpen's arrested. So that's the risk if you go Nola
31:26
Speaker 1: over his strikeout number there, if he's gonna stay in
31:30
Speaker 1: the game longer. It seems like a decent idea to
31:33
Speaker 1: go over with that giving up too many home runs. Yeah, well,
31:38
Speaker 1: Nola again, he was returning from Tommy John surgery. He
31:42
Speaker 1: pitched better in September. I don't think there's any doubt
31:44
Speaker 1: about that. You think they should have known with Suarez,
31:48
Speaker 1: I don't really agree. Yeah, Sanchoz started game one, correct Sanchez. Yeah,
31:54
Speaker 1: I mean Sanchez is really good this year. Suarez, I
31:57
Speaker 1: mean he has less experience than Nola, and his numbers
31:59
Speaker 1: are really really bad against the Dodgers. So I would
32:02
Speaker 1: not trust Suarez with my with my playoff life on
32:06
Speaker 1: the line, man, and they had to go with one
32:08
Speaker 1: of the two guys. So it's gonna be Nola Slash.
32:11
Speaker 1: Maybe a little bit of a bullpend game in this one. Yeah, Nola.
32:16
Speaker 1: I mean he might go five innings in this one.
32:17
Speaker 1: He may very well be able to do that. Nola's
32:20
Speaker 1: got I mean, he's still got experience too, man. So yeah, Cubs,
32:25
Speaker 1: blue Jays and Phillies parlay at ten to one. I
32:27
Speaker 1: don't think the blue Jays are actually I would not.
32:30
Speaker 1: Why would you want the Blue Jays with Viarland plus
32:33
Speaker 1: blue Jays bullpend game seems really really bad to me.
32:36
Speaker 1: I don't like the Phillies either. I don't think you're
32:38
Speaker 1: you're not getting anywhere near enough of a price on
32:41
Speaker 1: that ten to one. That should probably be like eighteen
32:43
Speaker 1: to one. I don't like any of it. I like
32:46
Speaker 1: the Cubs obviously, but I think the way to play
32:48
Speaker 1: this is Cubs. Uh. That is the play in baseball
32:52
Speaker 1: is the Cubs. Yeah, I'm a Moto seven and a
32:55
Speaker 1: half strikeouts that seems high. We don't know how long
32:58
Speaker 1: he's gonna go in the game there, Man, It's possible
33:02
Speaker 1: the Dodgers start kind of mixing and matching their bullpen too.
33:07
Speaker 1: The number on Yamamotos strikeouts I would assume would be
33:10
Speaker 1: lower than that, right, like probably somewhere around five or six.
33:13
Speaker 1: Usually it's like the highest that you'll see hockey. I
33:18
Speaker 1: usually I'm not gonna talk about every single hockey game
33:21
Speaker 1: throughout the season. Here, I'm only gonna talk about the
33:23
Speaker 1: interesting situations, which I don't think we really have any
33:26
Speaker 1: necessarily interesting situations here, but these are interesting matchups. Montreal
33:31
Speaker 1: is playing Toronto. I mean, this is a huge rivalry
33:33
Speaker 1: game here. Toronto's a pretty big home favorite. It MNUS
33:37
Speaker 1: won sixty five, but I think maybe they're a little
33:40
Speaker 1: bit too high priced in this one. Toronto went for
33:44
Speaker 1: minus one fifty five to minus what sixty three. They
33:48
Speaker 1: are getting the money sixty two percent of tickets, eighty
33:50
Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash. But Montreal is kind of
33:52
Speaker 1: this upstart team. Man, they made the playoffs last year.
33:55
Speaker 1: Toronto's good for sure, but Montreal might still be a
33:59
Speaker 1: little bit under the rate. Man. I mean, they have
34:01
Speaker 1: some youth on this team. They're starting to play well again.
34:04
Speaker 1: This is a huge game for both teams. I mean,
34:06
Speaker 1: these teams hate each other, so both of these teams
34:09
Speaker 1: they're gonna show up, They're gonna go all out. I
34:12
Speaker 1: don't really have any handicap necessarily of this game. Otherwise,
34:16
Speaker 1: and we can see what the starting goalie matchups are here.
34:19
Speaker 1: It is Montembau the young starter for the young goalie
34:22
Speaker 1: I mean for Montreal, here, and I think Montreal has
34:25
Speaker 1: the better goaltending here. Man, the Maple Leafs, I don't
34:28
Speaker 1: think their goaltending was that impressive last year. Stolars looks
34:31
Speaker 1: like he might be the goalie heear. I don't love that, So,
34:35
Speaker 1: I mean, I still think there is actually some value
34:38
Speaker 1: maybe looking to the Montreal side there. I mean, obviously
34:40
Speaker 1: I don't want to give that out as a play,
34:41
Speaker 1: but that would be my lean there. I mean, I
34:44
Speaker 1: don't I wait for the hockey season to start going
34:48
Speaker 1: usually and get some like situations to set up my
34:51
Speaker 1: Boston Bruins are at Washington Boston. Oh geez, the Red Sox,
34:57
Speaker 1: I mean the Red Sox. The Bruins. They're they're like
35:00
Speaker 1: one hundred and ten to one to win their division. Man,
35:02
Speaker 1: They're supposed to come in last place in their division,
35:05
Speaker 1: which I don't think that's gonna happen. I mean, the Bruins.
35:07
Speaker 1: They had a really bad season last year. They fired
35:10
Speaker 1: their coach. They just seem to have no motivation for
35:13
Speaker 1: half the season. This Bruins team is at least more
35:15
Speaker 1: talented than what we saw out of them last year.
35:17
Speaker 1: They lacked some depth. They still got some really good
35:20
Speaker 1: players on this Bruins seem and I think they had
35:23
Speaker 1: some goalie issues last year because of the Swayman contract
35:27
Speaker 1: thing they had just gotten rid of. Ohmark didn't know
35:29
Speaker 1: what was going on. But I think Swayman he's a
35:31
Speaker 1: really good goalie man. I mean, I think just everything
35:35
Speaker 1: was kind of in his head last year because he
35:37
Speaker 1: like missed training camp last year, there was the contract
35:41
Speaker 1: holdout thing whatever. I think now that he's under contract,
35:44
Speaker 1: he's being paid a ton of money though, But I
35:45
Speaker 1: think once he did begin like getting that huge contract
35:49
Speaker 1: last year, I think that was in his head too.
35:51
Speaker 1: But now I think new season, I think you can
35:53
Speaker 1: just kind of forget about that. He's there. Now we
35:55
Speaker 1: know he's the guy. I think he's just gonna kind
35:57
Speaker 1: of return to form here. So I do think Swayman
35:59
Speaker 1: will be better this year than he was last year.
36:01
Speaker 1: I mean, he's he's too good to be as bad
36:03
Speaker 1: as he was last year. We know Washington was really
36:06
Speaker 1: good last year, at least in the regular season. They
36:08
Speaker 1: were I believe, the top seed in the Eastern Conference,
36:10
Speaker 1: although I didn't think they were really that good and
36:13
Speaker 1: they didn't win in the playoffs. Obviously, Washington's very public
36:17
Speaker 1: here they're down for minus one eighty eight to minus
36:19
Speaker 1: one eighty five, seventy five percent ticket seventy eight percent
36:22
Speaker 1: of the cash coming in on Washington, I looks like
36:24
Speaker 1: they're gonna probably be going with Logan Thompson as their goalie,
36:27
Speaker 1: which I think he was on a different team last
36:29
Speaker 1: year too, wasn't he I forget what Washington had for
36:32
Speaker 1: their goalies last year, but I'm bad with hockey personnel, man,
36:37
Speaker 1: but I think he was somewhere else last year. I
36:39
Speaker 1: think he was on Vegas. Maybe, Am I right about that?
36:42
Speaker 1: Let me see, So I don't know, man Thompson. He
36:45
Speaker 1: was pretty good last year last year, I believe, but yeah,
36:48
Speaker 1: he was on Vegas. I don't know he was on
36:50
Speaker 1: Washington last year. I'm by saying I don't know. I
36:52
Speaker 1: must have missed that. He did play one season with
36:55
Speaker 1: Washington last year, so I don't know. He was pretty
36:57
Speaker 1: good as well. But I think there'd be some value
36:59
Speaker 1: on the just because they look so bad last year.
37:02
Speaker 1: I think they're a little bit undervalued coming into this year.
37:05
Speaker 1: It's a pretty low total in this one at five
37:07
Speaker 1: and a half, so expected to be a bit lower scoring.
37:10
Speaker 1: The Bruins might be able to hang in this game.
37:12
Speaker 1: So I know I'm leaning towards all underdogs here, but
37:15
Speaker 1: that's kind of just the way that it is. And
37:17
Speaker 1: then we do have Calgary Edmonton. Here's my play. I'll
37:21
Speaker 1: give you out a play on this one. We're gonna
37:23
Speaker 1: do a split bet Calgary plus the one and a
37:26
Speaker 1: half puck line at minus one thirty and the other
37:29
Speaker 1: half on the money line at plus one ninety. If
37:32
Speaker 1: you want to go straight up just on the puck
37:33
Speaker 1: line here, you have to lay a little bit more
37:36
Speaker 1: than I would like on the minus one thirty. Like
37:38
Speaker 1: you can basically do that like a spread bet, you
37:40
Speaker 1: have to have to pay a little bit more for it.
37:42
Speaker 1: This way, you're kind of reducing your risk a little bit.
37:44
Speaker 1: And then if they come within the one and a half,
37:46
Speaker 1: you'll win less' but you'll win a little bit of something.
37:49
Speaker 1: You'll only lose the money line portion of it. If
37:51
Speaker 1: you split it so that each side of the bet
37:55
Speaker 1: is to win the same amount. Then if they come
37:57
Speaker 1: within one goal within one and a half goal, you'll
38:00
Speaker 1: at least win a small amount, but you're putting less
38:03
Speaker 1: on the line if you do it this way, although
38:06
Speaker 1: you'd put even less on the line of you if
38:08
Speaker 1: you just go straight up money line. But I'm not
38:09
Speaker 1: sure they're really gonna win this game, but I think
38:12
Speaker 1: they can hang in this game against Edmonton. Man. Calgary
38:15
Speaker 1: actually played Edmonton well last year. I mean, these teams
38:18
Speaker 1: know each other pretty well, their rivals in Alberta, Calgary.
38:23
Speaker 1: If you look at what they did last year against Edmonton,
38:25
Speaker 1: they actually played them pretty well. They actually won in
38:27
Speaker 1: Edmonton early in the season last year, three games in
38:30
Speaker 1: they beat them four to one. Although Vladar was the
38:33
Speaker 1: goalie in that one. Looks like it's gonna be Wolf
38:35
Speaker 1: this time. But I don't think there's a huge disparity
38:38
Speaker 1: between Calgaries two goalies. Man, I think they might still
38:40
Speaker 1: have them both. But Wolf, I mean he's used to
38:43
Speaker 1: being there too. That was ed Edmonton that they won
38:47
Speaker 1: that game four to one. Then they did lose the
38:51
Speaker 1: other game, but they only lost in overtime on the
38:53
Speaker 1: road at Edmonton, and they did lose at home four
38:55
Speaker 1: to two. But they actually played well both times they
38:58
Speaker 1: played at Edmonton. They didn't lose in regulation in either
39:01
Speaker 1: game at Edmonton last year and Wolf played that second game,
39:04
Speaker 1: so they did do pretty well. And Skinner was the
39:07
Speaker 1: goalie in the game where Edmonton did worse. In the
39:09
Speaker 1: four to one game Picker to Piccard, nose Picker was
39:13
Speaker 1: the captain Picard captain. Nose Picker was the goalie in
39:17
Speaker 1: the other game for Edmonton that they won an overtime.
39:20
Speaker 1: So I don't know, Man, Edmonton, I still don't really
39:23
Speaker 1: trust their goalies here. Skinner is probably gonna be the
39:26
Speaker 1: guy in this one, but I still don't think he's
39:28
Speaker 1: that good. I think Edmonton kind of thrives off of
39:31
Speaker 1: their offense. And now we know they just signed McDavid
39:34
Speaker 1: to some massive new contract. But I think that could
39:37
Speaker 1: get in his head a little bit here, man, just
39:38
Speaker 1: like I talked about with Sway, and you become like
39:41
Speaker 1: the highest paid I think he might be the highest
39:43
Speaker 1: played hockey, highest paid hockey player in history. Now, McDavid, like,
39:48
Speaker 1: that's something that maybe can kind of affect you early
39:50
Speaker 1: on and fuck with your head a little bit. And
39:52
Speaker 1: Edmonton is in the spot that I talk about this
39:55
Speaker 1: the finals hangover spot, and it's double that now because
40:00
Speaker 1: Edmonton they lost in the finals last year and they
40:03
Speaker 1: lost in the finals the year before that. It's just
40:05
Speaker 1: brutal man teams in that situation could start slow the
40:09
Speaker 1: next season. I mean, that's just the way that it is.
40:11
Speaker 1: It happens in every sport. I don't really know exactly why,
40:14
Speaker 1: but I believe I went with that same thing last
40:17
Speaker 1: year and I got a win on that last year
40:19
Speaker 1: with Edmonton. They started slow last year and I think
40:21
Speaker 1: they might a gat. Yeah, they lost that was postseason
40:24
Speaker 1: hang on. Yeah, they lost their first three games last year,
40:28
Speaker 1: including losing six nothing to win a peg, which I
40:31
Speaker 1: think was one of my wins last year, and that
40:34
Speaker 1: was with Skinner and net So Skinner was really bad
40:36
Speaker 1: in the early games. They actually lost to Chicago in
40:40
Speaker 1: one of the early games too, So I think you
40:41
Speaker 1: could see a similar situation here man Edmonton. Two seasons
40:45
Speaker 1: in a row. They're in this runner up hangover spot,
40:49
Speaker 1: which is like a curse early on. I know Edmonton
40:52
Speaker 1: wind up wound up having a fine season anyway, but
40:54
Speaker 1: early on, I think it's gonna be bad. So yeah,
40:58
Speaker 1: I think Calgary does have some advantages here and Edmonton.
41:00
Speaker 1: Remember they made that huge run throat all the way
41:03
Speaker 1: to the finals, which I think when seven games, where
41:05
Speaker 1: as Calgary didn't even make the playoffs. So I think
41:08
Speaker 1: that's gonna be something that affects them here too. Calgary
41:12
Speaker 1: has way more rest here. Edmonton went through then tire
41:15
Speaker 1: grueling playoff run for like extra months, you know what
41:19
Speaker 1: I mean. So I think that has something to do
41:20
Speaker 1: with this hangover effect to some extent too, Whereas Calgary
41:24
Speaker 1: went home early, got a lot of rest. So Calgary
41:28
Speaker 1: should be the more rested team coming into this too,
41:30
Speaker 1: So we'll we'll go with Calgary. Man split bet half
41:34
Speaker 1: puck line half money line. Wouldn't shock me if they
41:37
Speaker 1: won the game out right, although I'm not gonna totally
41:41
Speaker 1: bank on it, but we'll have some of the money
41:43
Speaker 1: on it. Edmonton is up from minus two o five
41:45
Speaker 1: to minus two four team, and they are really public,
41:48
Speaker 1: the most public of all the all the teams here,
41:50
Speaker 1: ninety three percent of tickets, ninety seven percent of the
41:52
Speaker 1: cash on them, So we will fade them here. Edmonton
41:59
Speaker 1: sucked in the final. Actually did it not go seven
42:02
Speaker 1: games this time? The previous year with seven games? How
42:05
Speaker 1: many games did a goal last year? I forget? Maybe
42:07
Speaker 1: it didn't go seven. I thought that it did though,
42:10
Speaker 1: but maybe I'm wrong. Maybe it didn't. I don't know.
42:13
Speaker 1: I remember I had Florida winning the whole thing. Though
42:15
Speaker 1: in my bracket, I think Wolf will start. He looks
42:18
Speaker 1: like he is scheduled to start here, but I don't
42:20
Speaker 1: know if they still have Vladar. We'll see man. I
42:24
Speaker 1: don't know which one of them they even considered to
42:25
Speaker 1: be the better goalie. And then we do have La
42:28
Speaker 1: at Vegas, so LA is gonna be the first team
42:30
Speaker 1: to play two games here. They played last night and
42:33
Speaker 1: they lost four to one with Kemper in net for La.
42:36
Speaker 1: So now LA is probably gonna go with their other
42:39
Speaker 1: goalie here on a back to back. It looks like
42:41
Speaker 1: it's probably gonna be fours Burg. He's not bad, but
42:45
Speaker 1: he is the lesser of their two goalies here. So
42:47
Speaker 1: LA is kind of in a disadvantage here because they
42:50
Speaker 1: had to play last night, so they're on the back
42:52
Speaker 1: to back. They're actually having to travel, though it's only
42:54
Speaker 1: from La to Vegas. They will be with their backup
42:57
Speaker 1: goalie here was Vegas starting out the season. They hit
43:00
Speaker 1: in net. Who I think Hill's overrated. I know he
43:03
Speaker 1: was the starting goalie I think for Canada in the
43:07
Speaker 1: UH four Nations tournament or whatever. I don't know if
43:11
Speaker 1: I totally trust Hill though, but he is their starting goalie.
43:15
Speaker 1: This is gonna be Vegas's home opener. Obviously, Vegas solid team.
43:19
Speaker 1: Both these teams are solid last year. Vegas is a
43:21
Speaker 1: very heavy favorite, up from minus one to eighty five
43:23
Speaker 1: to minus two hundred seventy four percent green with Vegas
43:31
Speaker 1: a little bit here, and I would kind of disagree
43:32
Speaker 1: at that price too. I think part of the reason
43:35
Speaker 1: that the price is so high is because LA played
43:37
Speaker 1: yesterday and because they didn't look good. But LA is
43:40
Speaker 1: also not as good on the road, at least they
43:42
Speaker 1: were not last year. So definitely some disadvantages for LA here.
43:46
Speaker 1: But then again, because they already have a game out
43:48
Speaker 1: of the way, maybe that kind of takes the pressure
43:50
Speaker 1: off of them a little bit. Although I'd probably like
43:53
Speaker 1: it better if they won that game, because then did
43:55
Speaker 1: kind of have some momentum coming into this game, whereas
43:57
Speaker 1: Vegas coming into this game a little bit cold. And
43:59
Speaker 1: I know there were preseason games and whatever, but I
44:04
Speaker 1: might lead to an over in this one if I
44:06
Speaker 1: was gonna do it. Y. You know, LA has their
44:08
Speaker 1: backup goaliean or the second string goalie. Their defense might
44:11
Speaker 1: be a little bit slow because they played yesterday, So
44:15
Speaker 1: the fatigue can affect the defense more than the offense.
44:18
Speaker 1: They're up from five and a half to six here,
44:20
Speaker 1: sixty or the total is I should say sixty seven
44:23
Speaker 1: percent of tickets only sixty three percent of casual on
44:25
Speaker 1: the over, but I think it over kind of makes
44:27
Speaker 1: sense here. Uh, both teams can put up some scoring
44:30
Speaker 1: and Vegas uh, I still don't know if I totally
44:34
Speaker 1: trust their goalie Hill. So I could see that game
44:36
Speaker 1: being higher scoring than some of the other games. So,
44:39
Speaker 1: and it's the first game that involves a team that
44:41
Speaker 1: played already. So uh, yeah it went seven. Yeah. I
44:46
Speaker 1: don't think Edmonton really sucked in the finals. I mean
44:49
Speaker 1: Florida was a really good team and Edmonton played them
44:52
Speaker 1: to the pretty much to the limit there, although I
44:56
Speaker 1: think Florida was the better team the series. Florida I
44:58
Speaker 1: think had a big lead early in the series, right,
45:00
Speaker 1: they were probably out to at least a two nothing
45:03
Speaker 1: series lead. I think I think they were the previous
45:05
Speaker 1: year too. I think the previous year Edmonton came almost
45:10
Speaker 1: came back from down three I think the previous year.
45:12
Speaker 1: But still it went seven games. That's gonna fatigue Edmonton
45:15
Speaker 1: even more so. That helps me out with that handicap there,
45:19
Speaker 1: and then we do have college football to finish this off. Man,
45:23
Speaker 1: I mean, you think anybody's really gonna want to watch
45:25
Speaker 1: these games? Man? I think every team involved tonight has
45:30
Speaker 1: has a below five hundred record, has a losing record,
45:32
Speaker 1: although part of it is because these are Conference USA
45:34
Speaker 1: teams and most of them have played at least some
45:37
Speaker 1: of the better conference teams. The first came up at
45:40
Speaker 1: seven thirty on ESPN two seven thirty Eastern is Missouri
45:45
Speaker 1: State and Middle Tennessee. Missouri State is a newcomer to FBS.
45:49
Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee has been awful this year. Man. This Middle
45:53
Speaker 1: Tennessee team, I mean they lost my twenty at home
45:56
Speaker 1: to Austin p who was an FCS team. They got
45:59
Speaker 1: blown went out by Wisconsin on the road, so that's
46:02
Speaker 1: kind of expected. Their only win was at Nevada. I
46:04
Speaker 1: don't even know how they did that. I mean, Nevada
46:07
Speaker 1: is one of the lesser teams in the FBS as well,
46:09
Speaker 1: but Middle Tennessee is so bad. They were still like
46:12
Speaker 1: a nine and a half point underdog in that game,
46:14
Speaker 1: and they somehow won that game on the road. Then
46:16
Speaker 1: they came back home and they got slaughtered by Marshall,
46:19
Speaker 1: who is playing better than I expected, but still Marshall
46:23
Speaker 1: came into this season with all new players, like after
46:26
Speaker 1: losing their entire team over to Southern miss from last year.
46:29
Speaker 1: This Marshall team is not good. And then Middle Tennessee
46:32
Speaker 1: also lost last time out at Kansas State, who is
46:35
Speaker 1: a team that's at least on the rise a little bit,
46:37
Speaker 1: but still not good. This Middle Tennessee team, people kind
46:40
Speaker 1: of remember them making bowls a bunch of times recently,
46:43
Speaker 1: but man, they are bad right now. Even though they
46:45
Speaker 1: have their quarterback back from last year, Vatiado, but it
46:48
Speaker 1: has not been good for them. They are really bad,
46:51
Speaker 1: and they're in fact so bad that Missouri State is
46:53
Speaker 1: actually a favorite on the road here, up from minus
46:56
Speaker 1: one and a half to minus two and a half
46:57
Speaker 1: year sixty three percent of tickets seventy five the cash
47:00
Speaker 1: on Middle Tennessee though, and it is a fairly low
47:03
Speaker 1: total actually in both these games. This one's at forty nine.
47:08
Speaker 1: I don't really have any gauge on the total. I mean,
47:11
Speaker 1: both offenses I think could potentially maybe score against these defenses,
47:15
Speaker 1: but man, I mean Missouri State they played at SMU
47:20
Speaker 1: close as I remember I had Missouri State in that
47:22
Speaker 1: game somewhat close. It was a bad spot for SMU,
47:25
Speaker 1: and that one Missouri State beat Marshall, by the way,
47:28
Speaker 1: so the one common opponent. People are gonna look at
47:30
Speaker 1: that and say, oh, Missouri State won at Marshall. I'm
47:34
Speaker 1: MTSU lost, I believe at home really badly to Marshall.
47:37
Speaker 1: So of course it almost looks too easy to take
47:40
Speaker 1: Missouri State here. But the public's still not even doing that.
47:43
Speaker 1: The public is looking at this and I think saying,
47:44
Speaker 1: wait a minute, like, how are you laying points on
47:47
Speaker 1: the road with a below five hundred team. So I
47:49
Speaker 1: don't know, man, I mean, I agree with the oddsmakers
47:51
Speaker 1: at Missouri State is the better team. Middle Tennessee has
47:54
Speaker 1: been awful this year. They're really bad, But I don't know.
47:58
Speaker 1: The money looks like it's starting to come in against them.
48:00
Speaker 1: I wouldn't want to do it. There isn't really much
48:02
Speaker 1: of a situation to look at. All. The teams that
48:04
Speaker 1: are playing today were off on Saturday, of course, because
48:07
Speaker 1: they were getting ready to shift their schedule to these
48:10
Speaker 1: midweek games. Missouri State did play a tougher game against
48:13
Speaker 1: Western Kentucky last time out, Western Kentucky kind of a
48:17
Speaker 1: known quantity in the Conference USA. That was a pretty
48:19
Speaker 1: big game, even though Missouri State was only three and
48:22
Speaker 1: a half point underdog. Hosting Western Kentucky when you're a
48:25
Speaker 1: new FBS team like this pretty big deal. So they
48:28
Speaker 1: are coming off of that, and maybe they won't pay
48:30
Speaker 1: as much attention to Middle Tennessee. Here. Middle Tennessee coming
48:34
Speaker 1: off a pretty ugly loss to Kennasaw, really a couple
48:37
Speaker 1: of really ugly losses in a row. Kennasaw was probably
48:40
Speaker 1: favored in this game. They'll olebviously, Yeah, by seven and
48:43
Speaker 1: seven and a half, some more than I thought. So
48:47
Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean, it's difficult to gauge
48:49
Speaker 1: this game. I don't really have an opinion on it,
48:52
Speaker 1: to be honest. The money's starting to come in on
48:54
Speaker 1: Middle Tennessee. If there's no way I would want to
48:56
Speaker 1: do that. They're just atrocious Missouri State. You could argue
49:01
Speaker 1: their spot is slightly worse just because they're coming off
49:04
Speaker 1: that Western Kentucky game, or they played them close. I
49:06
Speaker 1: don't want anything to do with it. You're talking shit. Yeah, Well,
49:11
Speaker 1: the finals were the same matchup as the previous year,
49:13
Speaker 1: so nobody liked it. I don't like either team either,
49:16
Speaker 1: so but I wanted Edmonton to lose because fuck Canada, Curtis,
49:21
Speaker 1: what's up man? You came just at the end, man.
49:24
Speaker 1: And then we have Liberty and UTEP similar market read
49:29
Speaker 1: to the first game, and we have the road team
49:31
Speaker 1: being a favorite public kind of coming in on the
49:33
Speaker 1: home underdog here with UTEB eighty six percent of the
49:36
Speaker 1: tickets on them, but more of the cash on them
49:39
Speaker 1: eighty nine percent of the cash, and Liberty dropped from
49:41
Speaker 1: a three point favorite to a one point favorite. This
49:43
Speaker 1: total is low as well. That went up a little
49:45
Speaker 1: bit to forty seven, which is a key number by
49:48
Speaker 1: the way. But the money is actually coming back in
49:50
Speaker 1: on the under this one. Both both these games have
49:53
Speaker 1: money coming in on the under, it looks like at
49:55
Speaker 1: this point. And this involves a pretty bad teams on
50:00
Speaker 1: both sides. Man, I don't know what I think about
50:03
Speaker 1: the totals in these games. Really, maybe slightly into the
50:07
Speaker 1: under in both of these games, but I think Liberty
50:10
Speaker 1: UTEP might be the better game to look towards the under,
50:12
Speaker 1: but I don't really I'm not really much of a
50:14
Speaker 1: totals guy. This is a CBS Sports game here at
50:17
Speaker 1: eight pm Eastern. Liberty has been massively underperforming this year. Man,
50:21
Speaker 1: They've been fairly bad. Their only win was against FCS Maine.
50:26
Speaker 1: We remember Liberty being pretty good in this conference for
50:29
Speaker 1: a while, and they've been lined like they're a pretty
50:31
Speaker 1: good team for a while. I think they were a
50:32
Speaker 1: favorite in multiple of these games. I think they were
50:36
Speaker 1: a road favorite at Jacksonville State. I think they're a
50:38
Speaker 1: road favorite at Bowl and Green as well. They lost
50:41
Speaker 1: both of those games. Although Jacksonville State, Bowling Green, they're
50:43
Speaker 1: not terrible really, but that was just I don't know
50:47
Speaker 1: what that was, man, They lost both those games as
50:49
Speaker 1: road favorites. They came home and they lost to JMU.
50:52
Speaker 1: But JMU is actually solid. JMU was actually a road
50:55
Speaker 1: favorite against them James Madison and then Old Dominion is
50:59
Speaker 1: solid as well, so you couldn't really expect Liberty to
51:01
Speaker 1: win that game. Old Dominion was a fourteen and a
51:03
Speaker 1: half point favorite. Liberty only lost by fourteen, but it
51:07
Speaker 1: was a low scoring game. Liberty has played a lot
51:08
Speaker 1: of low scoring games actually, to their offense has really
51:11
Speaker 1: not gotten it going. They've scored third so yeah, in
51:15
Speaker 1: all their FBS games, They've scored thirteen or fewer in
51:17
Speaker 1: all but one of them, so that's not a great sign.
51:20
Speaker 1: This is there gonna be their fourth road game in
51:24
Speaker 1: five games, man, So Liberty really has not had an
51:26
Speaker 1: easy schedule either. I mean this is like, this is
51:29
Speaker 1: so many road games in a row, which I think
51:31
Speaker 1: is are in a short spam, which is why I
51:33
Speaker 1: think some of the money's coming out on UTEP. I
51:35
Speaker 1: wouldn't really disagree with that because that is a brutal schedule.
51:39
Speaker 1: Of course, these teams also did have Saturday off because
51:42
Speaker 1: they're waiting to play this midweek game. UTEP is coming
51:45
Speaker 1: off some ugly losses. Man. They played Texas actually pretty competitively,
51:50
Speaker 1: losing only twenty seven to ten on the road. I
51:52
Speaker 1: think Texas just kate like sleepwalk through that game. Basically
51:55
Speaker 1: almost said cake walked. And then UTEP lost at home
51:58
Speaker 1: to you A. Monroe, who not a good team. UTEP
52:02
Speaker 1: was favored and lost that game, and then UTEP lost
52:05
Speaker 1: badly at home to Louisiana Tech last week as a
52:09
Speaker 1: slight underdog. Louisiana Tech's pretty good though, so UTEP's coming
52:13
Speaker 1: off of that. They're staying at home. They've had mostly
52:15
Speaker 1: home games so far, so there is a little bit
52:17
Speaker 1: of an advantage to UTEP as far as that's concerned.
52:19
Speaker 1: I actually think UTEP, out of these two teams, UTEP
52:22
Speaker 1: is actually the team that is I think more under
52:25
Speaker 1: the radar, and they did play Utah State and Texas
52:28
Speaker 1: so they played a little bit more of a difficult
52:29
Speaker 1: schedule too. Although both teams only have wins against FCS teams,
52:33
Speaker 1: UTEP only beat Tennessee Martin, But I think UTEP has
52:37
Speaker 1: played a little bit more of the difficult schedule. Osweakers
52:40
Speaker 1: are still telling you Liberty is the better overall team,
52:42
Speaker 1: but I do think UTEP's a little more battle tested,
52:45
Speaker 1: so I think UTEP makes sense as a lean in
52:47
Speaker 1: this one. As far as the sides in both these games,
52:49
Speaker 1: I think that's probably the better of any of them.
52:52
Speaker 1: But there's no way I would want to put my
52:55
Speaker 1: money on these shit games, so we will we'll stay away.
52:59
Speaker 1: But those are the college ball gage Today. We get
53:01
Speaker 1: Conference USA Wednesday. Now that's gonna do it, man. So
53:04
Speaker 1: my place day one more time with the WNBA Phoenix
53:06
Speaker 1: minus three and a half, although I know the line's
53:08
Speaker 1: four and a half now, but I gave it up yesterday,
53:10
Speaker 1: hopefully the line was still more palatable. We are gonna
53:14
Speaker 1: be on the Chicago Cubs money line, and we're gonna
53:16
Speaker 1: have a split bet on the Calgary Flamers plus one
53:20
Speaker 1: and a half on the puck line on for half
53:22
Speaker 1: the bet and the other half on the money line.
53:24
Speaker 1: Hopefully we just get it done. Man. I think the
53:26
Speaker 1: handicapping is a decent I hope with those. So those
53:29
Speaker 1: are the players today. Let's get some wins after yesterday.
53:32
Speaker 1: We actually had off because I thought that WNBA game
53:35
Speaker 1: was yesterday, but it's tonight, so that's it. Man. Thanks
53:38
Speaker 1: for hanging out, man. I appreciate it, especially everybody coming
53:41
Speaker 1: back to Yeah, Ben, Jeffrey, who else was in here?
53:45
Speaker 1: Dirty sock? I appreciate it from everybody, man and Curtis.
53:49
Speaker 1: Thanks everybody for hanging out. Let's get some wins here
53:51
Speaker 1: and I'll be back again tomorrow. And we have an
53:55
Speaker 1: NFL tomorrow for Thursday night as well, in addition to
53:58
Speaker 1: more college football. So let's get it done. Oh yeah,
54:03
Speaker 1: learn it tone on Instagram, learn it tone on Twitter?
54:05
Speaker 1: Of course? What else do we got? We got? Of course?
54:09
Speaker 1: Like and subscribe to the channel here. Let's get this
54:11
Speaker 1: channel going on YouTube. Man better off dead. You can
54:13
Speaker 1: give me a review on iTunes Spotify those helped me
54:17
Speaker 1: out as well, or Apple on Spotify. I should say
54:20
Speaker 1: listening and reviewing on there helps me out. Covering Uke
54:24
Speaker 1: is my yuke channel on YouTube, so I'm trying to
54:26
Speaker 1: get back on I Actually I did a cover yesterday.
54:29
Speaker 1: I was using this webcam and this mic for it,
54:31
Speaker 1: so hopefully I know it's only one mic that I
54:33
Speaker 1: have to do vocals and yuke on the one mic,
54:36
Speaker 1: but hopefully the audio sound a little bit better than
54:38
Speaker 1: what I have been doing with my phone in the past,
54:41
Speaker 1: So we'll see if I want to continue doing that. Yeah,
54:45
Speaker 1: and then Patreon dot com slash learn to Toe and
54:46
Speaker 1: there's some bonus yuke content there for now. Yeah, thanks guys,
54:51
Speaker 1: I appreciate it. Thank you, Thanks for hanging out, Curtis Jeffrey,
54:54
Speaker 1: Thanks guys, and yeah, I'll be back again tomorrow morning.
54:58
Speaker 1: Unless I'm no longer still a lot five peace mhm.