Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Show | December 14, 2023 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Transcript

NBA Show | December 14, 2023 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:04
All system's going clear. We left what is going on ship at Nation.
0:38
We're back Thursday here, December fourteenth, worlmpster Christmas. We got an NFL
0:43
on tap tonight. But Hoop, I'll tell you what, these NBA games
0:46
might be more entertaining than this NFL game. Obviously, you Tamba and Title
0:50
broke that game down over on the network. Anyone here who have not checked
0:54
that video out head over there did think you guys talked to that's like pretty
0:57
well gave us some angles. Obviously it's a gross game. But everyone's got
0:59
the same game. But we got seven games in the NBA here tonight this
1:03
evening. Hoop, I'll bring you in right away. How you doing,
1:06
man, how's your Thursday? Yeah? Do them all? You said,
1:08
Yeah, we've got the Thursday night game kicks off week what fifteen of the
1:11
NFL season, not the greatest and then Chargers Raiders low total. You know
1:15
a lot of backup players in there. But you know, if we found
1:19
some decent angles, if you haven't obviously checked that out, check it out
1:23
after this NBA show. But a lot of the content already starting to drop,
1:27
obviously for the Thursday night slate. I got my Captain plays already up.
1:33
Going to add the exposure and whatnot after the show, and then yeah,
1:34
I got seven NBA games. You know, we'll dive through them.
1:40
Obviously some some big totals and whatnot. Here some injury news that we can
1:44
digest. But it kicks off a busy week because we've got the three game
1:47
NFL slate on Saturday, got obviously the full NFL slate UFC pay per view
1:53
event, So a lot going on and you know we definitely have you covered
1:56
in all those areas. Yeah, you named it all the all the sport,
2:00
big MMA content, big MMA car this weekend. I know, obviously
2:04
our little bias, but our MMA content I believe is the best, hands
2:07
down in the industry. I mean we've shown that with screenshots. And it's
2:13
not like we have a massive team, Right, you got two people to
2:15
listen to. You got Title and you got Marley two, the best in
2:16
the industry. Right, Title just prints at everything he does. Obviously,
2:20
you've been in those MMA streets sweeping the floor with those freaking Tambo's been in
2:24
there. Who runs better than Tamble, Right, Tamble looks at the content.
2:28
I mean, the guy forgets about a ten K, fifteen twenty K
2:30
ship or an MMA because he's shipping one hundred k every other day in NFL.
2:35
It feels like, but we got you covered for everything and NHL,
2:38
right NHL. Obviously not a lot of people talk about NHL, but NHL
2:40
is still going every night. I got you covered with that sole plan.
2:44
A lot of our our guys in the discord have been printing money. I
2:46
know, lay the House continues to smash in their k gouls in the discord
2:51
every night, and a lot of other members all things. If you guys
2:54
are not a member, head over to ship at nation dot com. Click
2:58
on joined now, best all in rate in the industry, No promo code
3:00
guard right now hoop no, no Santa Claus no, no Santa Hoop,
3:04
no tambo clause, none of that. We gave the discounts for multiple times.
3:08
Obviously there'll be more coming around likely, but we're still the cheapest all
3:13
in the rate in the industry. So head over there check us out.
3:15
If not hit that like button, hit that subscribe button helps us out of
3:19
town. Here. We're trying to get to five thousand subscribers on this channel.
3:23
Say hi to a couple of people in the chat here. We got
3:24
Para Bay in here, we got Mark, we got Wins a lot.
3:28
Hopefully you ship a lot too as well. We love to see that.
3:30
Joe's Mandison here, Brian, everybody in here. We appreciate y'all tuning in
3:34
who first game on the slate here, you're pulling it up there. You
3:38
got Cleveland, you got Boston. Two twenty five is the total in this
3:40
one, Boston at home nine point favorites. Injury news, Porzingis and Jalen
3:46
Brown remain questionable. I haven't seen any news come through on those two guys,
3:49
obviously. I mean, if one of them misses, are both of
3:51
them miss obviously? Jason Tatum massive boost, Drew Holiday, massive boost,
3:54
Derek White massive boots. You'll get some value plays like a guy like Sam
3:58
Howser, Peyton Pritchard, Luke Crenette, some of those guys. But break
4:02
it down right now as it is. If it is basically we got them
4:05
both projected to be in right now, So let's say they both play.
4:11
Where are you going in this one? Cleveland Boston? Yeah, this is
4:15
not the most appealing game obviously on the slate. I mean Boston games are
4:19
difficult Cleveland with one of the lower team totals on the slate. Now,
4:24
the way it would get interesting, obviously, is if you know both these
4:28
guys are out, then we'd be taking a look at some of the Boston
4:30
guys like you mentioned, Jason Tatum, Drew Holliday, Derek White, and
4:34
then you know, even more like Peyton Pritchard like you said, would all
4:39
be in play. You know, it's looking like they most likely are in.
4:44
So really the only play here for me personally would be Jason Tatum.
4:47
And then it's like you got to take a look at him versus the other
4:50
studs on the slate, if you bring everyone else back into the conversation,
4:54
start looking at how does he rank first the rest of the field here,
4:58
you know, moderately, you know, we the projections like Jokic better,
5:02
Don Luca obviously has a spend Sibonis that likes more in that same price range.
5:08
So if all those guys are in, probably nothing for me in this
5:13
game. If they're out, Tatum becomes probably a priority play. But I
5:17
just don't see myself getting into getting to any of the guys on the Cleveland
5:20
side. It's like it's gonna be Tatum, and honestly probably won't play him
5:26
or you know, if you're building one fifty, you can obviously play them.
5:28
But in my main team, I wouldn't play him. If those guys
5:30
are in, if he's out, if they're out, then he becomes a
5:32
little bit more of a priority on this late. Yeah, No, I
5:35
definitely like that. I mean, Drew Holliday has an okay match up here,
5:40
but man, it's just tough to play Drew Holliday at sixty seven hundred
5:44
when, especially if Jalen Brown's in there, Porzingis is in there, Jason
5:46
Tatum. I mean, there's only one basketball, right, There's a lot
5:48
of uses to command there, and Drew Hollidy's fine kind of taking the back
5:51
seat. I think if I had to pull one Boston piece, I think
5:57
it would be Derek White, just because we got him projected for thirty five
6:00
minutes here. He's been very, very He's been good in the minutes he's
6:03
getting. He's got a little bit of above average matchup here. He checks
6:08
out decent on my end here. Obviously, you can always go to a
6:11
contrarian spend up in Jason Tatum here, but probably not for me against this
6:15
Cleveland team. Overall, I'm kind of under on this game. I think
6:18
this is gonna be a defensive game here. Boston obviously very very good basketball
6:23
team. I think they slowed down here, so maybe Derek White, but
6:26
overall, not a ton of interest in that one, and we go from
6:30
one not great game to the next not great great here. I believe this
6:33
is the lowest total on the slate here to seventeen is the total Chicago and
6:40
Miami. Chicago four point dogs here injury news, Alex Crush is the only
6:45
one that I'm seeing really questionable that matters. This game is probably one of
6:49
the easiest cross off games I've seen in a while. Here, I can't
6:54
really pull anything, But do you see any kind of diamond the rough low
6:57
owned? I do want to talk about one guy that's getting ownership here is
7:00
Jamal Kaine at thirty four hundred there, played twenty nine minutes last game,
7:04
put up twenty six point two five DraftKings points any interest in going back to
7:10
him as a value piece here. Obviously we don't have them projecting very well
7:13
right now, but hit on Jamal Kaan because I do see ownership going his
7:15
way. Yeah, man, that's honestly about it. On the slate,
7:19
thirty four hundred dollars can make a lot work if you want to play two
7:23
studs on the slate, like locking in, not locking in, but playing
7:26
a thirty four hundred dollars guy, you know, makes sense. And these
7:29
thirty four hundred dollars guys, these cheap guys on a seven game slate,
7:31
even if they bost like, it's not necessarily what they do, it's what
7:35
it does for your lineup, and it gives you the ability to play more
7:40
studs. So he would be probably the only player on the slate this this
7:44
around, in this game. This game is ten like nine to ten points
7:46
lower in terms of the total than every other game on the slate. There's
7:50
just not much appeal here. You know, Jimmy Butler is kind of the
7:55
only guy showing as like a positive value here for us. And there's this
7:58
other guys I'd rather play in this range, even Tatum, you know,
8:01
in the game before Tatum is like what six hundred dollars more expensive, I'd
8:05
find a way to get to him over Butler. I don't even like Tatum
8:07
all that much. So nothing here it's it's Caine or you know, move
8:11
on essentially. For me, yeah, I do want to bring up the
8:15
Caine point because if you look at the value plays in the slate, there's
8:20
not a lot of value plays. So I do think people go more mid
8:22
tier route and that's why you're seeing obviously we're gonna touch on that Portland Utah
8:26
game right that the game of the slate that everyone wants to talk about.
8:28
I mean, you're seeing three Utah guys right now. Projective be all right
8:31
around forty percent ownership in that five k range. That's why Jamal Kaine could
8:37
be interesting get you on a little bit different roster construction. Now. I
8:39
do think a lot of teams will go three of those four guys, Taylor
8:43
Horton, Tucker Sexton, Olnk and Jamal Kain. I mean, if you
8:46
just grab any optimizer. Obviously we are partnerships here with the Solver. We
8:48
got our own projections. These aren't the Solver projections. These are our own
8:52
own projection model and different than than than the industry. But any projection chorts
8:58
you use today, points per doubt. Otherwise, if you sort by points
9:01
per dollar, not just our value rankings, but points per dollar in any
9:03
optimizer, those four guys are going to be the top. I think a
9:07
lot of teams go all four and majority, if not all the teams go
9:11
at least three of the four. You can see. I just I just
9:13
went ahead and ran ten teams just to see what happens, like, you
9:16
know, just to to get a picture without changing anything. Didn't you know,
9:20
no changes here, just ranted on the solver, which you know we're
9:22
obviously partnered with. Like you said, Caine is shown up in all ten
9:28
of those teams, texton all ten, Horton Tucker all ten, like that,
9:31
we know where the ownership's going on the site, like it's not that
9:35
hard to figure out. Yeah, exactly, no great great breakdown. I
9:39
do see some talk right now in the chat about uh boos should eat here?
9:45
I mean Bo's is that ek right? There's no bam, no bam
9:50
on the other side for actually look at it. He's been been ben solid
9:54
forty three, forty seven, forty fifty eight. All right, maybe yeah,
9:58
I don't guess, I don't hate. Yeah. It just comes down
10:01
to let me let me go to center real quick. It goes down to
10:05
right, you got olinic at fifty three hundred. Rich is obviously gonna be
10:09
a talking point. You got Rudy Gobert, You got chet Holmgrim in that
10:11
same range, right, Chet against the King seventy four hundred, Rudy Gobert
10:16
seventy five hundred, got Porzingis. Obviously I don't have a ton of interest
10:20
in them, but DeAndre Ayton a little there. So I mean Vus has
10:24
a contrarian spend. Hey that this is a spot you can play a guy
10:28
like Vus, right, he just went for fifty eight against Jokic. They're
10:31
they're in Denver, you could see him. It's just I'm not I'm not
10:35
I'm not too keen on been playing these bulls all year, right, the
10:39
the Rosens and and Vucevich Is It just seems like I never get these guys
10:43
right. But that is an interesting play. Personally, I'm probably gonna be
10:48
off this game completely outside of a Jamal Kane. I know that's probably the
10:50
chalky route to go, but that's just kind of how I'm seeing the slate
10:54
personally. But if you do have a take, go ahead and in and
10:56
roll with Vus. He has been playing playing pretty good, and he is
11:00
sub ak here there it with know Zach Lvine, so could could see you
11:07
next game here Minnesota and Dallas hoop this one. We're looking at a two
11:13
thirty total close spread one point spread here. Minnesota has been very good defensively
11:18
all season long. But got to bring it up. You got to bring
11:20
up with Luca anytime Luca's on the slate. I mean, this guy continues
11:24
to just I mean, it feels like his floor is almost sixty sixty five
11:28
DraftKings points at this point. Obviously he went for ninety three couple of games
11:31
ago in in overtime there against OKC, but eleven nine. Man, we
11:35
just talked about the value plays on the slate. It's gonna be tough to
11:39
fit Luca. Jamal Kain's pretty much tell the value play that I'm seeing that
11:43
that makes that I can actually stomach, right rostering, can you get to
11:48
Luca tonight here? I do see decent amount of ownership going his way,
11:52
likely thirty to forty percent ownership here. Touch on Luca and then An Edwards
11:56
Gobert are the other two guys that that we have popping a little bit here
12:01
as well. Yeah, I guess you know, on the Minnesota side,
12:03
we got to see what happens with some of this news. I mean,
12:07
Edwards is questionable, McDaniels, McLaughlin Hall listed as questionable. So you know,
12:11
as of now, I'm not a ton of interest on the Minnesota side,
12:15
but if a couple of those guys are ruled out, then definitely have
12:18
some interest. Like Towns would get the boost, Go Bear, we'd get
12:20
the boost. You know, guys like that would come into the conversation a
12:24
little bit more. And then if Edwards is in, I think, you
12:26
know, he's fine as well. You know, with Luca, if I'm
12:31
going in this range, I think I honestly prefer him over over Jokic tonight.
12:35
I mean, it's just been so good eleven nine. So let's see
12:39
you go eleven nine and you got fifty four hundred dollars left for your remaining
12:45
spots. Let's just say you want to play a guy like Kane, Let's
12:48
see if he pops up here, you plug Cain in. Where does that
12:52
leave us here? Almost six k per spots. You can definitely make it
12:54
happen with Luca. What's going to happen though, on these teams that you're
12:56
going to see is a lot of Utah guys to fill in. So it's
13:03
gonna be Caine, three Utah guys, and Luca, And honestly, man,
13:07
if you do play Luca, it's hard to not do that, like
13:09
it really is. So you're gonna see a lot of common builds on these
13:11
spend uh type guys, which you know, there's just nothing you can do.
13:16
It's a seven game slate and there's not a ton of value, and
13:18
there's one spot that stands out as the clear, clear value. But you
13:22
know, if you're building multiple teams, I mean, you certainly want Luca,
13:24
exposure to Luca, like you just you wouldn't want to fade them.
13:28
Definitely like them in terms of getting them on the main team. Just a
13:31
matter of what we get in terms of value, and his play could could
13:35
get a little bit better. Hardway I think Hardway Junior is now probable,
13:39
I want to say, I just read that. So either Luke is a
13:41
good play on the Minnesota side. It's very contingent on whether or not these
13:46
guys are in or out. You know, if they're all in, Edwards
13:48
I think is fine. You know, go Bair, Yeah, I'm sure
13:52
I wouldn't mind him. Maybe some some Karl Anthony towns, but if a
13:56
few of them are out, then you could come to more Minnesota guys.
13:58
So we need to kind of see the news on the situation. Yeah,
14:03
I do want to bring up Dante Xem too. I mean, this guy's
14:05
been playing out of his mind right since the Kyrie injury. Between him and
14:11
Hardaway, it seems like those two are are definitely the two guys that you
14:16
want to kind of kind of go load up on around Obviously, if you
14:20
can't get the Luca, because if Luca right doesn't get his ninety or his
14:26
eighty points right that he's gotten before, it's because likely that Obviously Hardaway and
14:31
ExHAM are taking shots away from Luca. Obviously Luca does a lot, but
14:35
look at last game, Hardaway against the Lakers took twenty one shot attempts right
14:39
score thirty two real life points. That's kind of what you need out of
14:41
Hardaway. Right, He's not going to pick up a ton of periphials,
14:45
So I don't love that a ton at six K with a guy that's pretty
14:48
scoring dependent and a guy like Tim Hardaway. Dante Exem though sixty six hundred,
14:52
I mean he's been involved point guard right, he's got seven assists seven,
14:58
six to three, gonna maybe maybe get some steals there. He's been
15:01
shooting the ball pretty well. His numbers are a little inflated right last game
15:05
he did shoot eight from ten from the field, seven seven and nine from
15:09
three, So take that with a grain of salt that there. Obviously,
15:13
could he keep it up, Yeah he could. I'm just looking at other
15:16
ways if you can't get up to Luca on how you could attack this this
15:20
pretty good good total here obviously close spread. And then on the Minnesota side,
15:26
heavily reliant obviously on injury news. Fan Edwards and McDaniels both missed.
15:30
That's a lot of usage to go to guys like Mike Conley, right,
15:33
SlowMo Anderson if you want to go to and die on that hill again,
15:35
which personally I'm a I'm team never Never Kyle Anderson, So you can take
15:39
that for what it's worth. But Reed, yeah, no, nas Reed
15:43
would probably be my preferred guy if if McDaniels does miss there, do like
15:52
that. So obviously you got to rely on news. This game starts an
15:54
hour after the first two games lock, so we probably won't get that news
15:58
before those first two game games lock you could wait, because again we both
16:02
didn't like those first two games very much. I do think this is kind
16:06
of the game that people are gonna wait for news and start their teams around
16:08
this game, outside of maybe at Jamal Kaine early still from a roster standpoint,
16:12
from the overall slate perspective, that seems to be the common route because
16:17
it also it's fifteen minutes after that that football game kicks off their hoops,
16:22
so people will be getting their teams in and uh wait for this news and
16:25
then start their NBA teams. It's kind of how I'm seeing this this slate,
16:29
outside of maybe at Jamal Kayane Early. Yeah, talked a lot on
16:32
that game. Obviously news news is pretty dependent in that game, right,
16:34
There's a lot of a lot of news that can change that game up in
16:37
terms of spens. But obviously Luca, anytime he's on the on the slate,
16:41
you can go to him next game. Same thing. We got another
16:45
stud on the slate twelve k it's Jokic here. I do like Jokic at
16:49
home, but Jamal Murray is back now for for Denver here. I think
16:53
he's coming in with a questionable take this game, Yeah, especially probable now,
16:57
so he's yeah, he's playing, Yeah, yeah he should should play.
17:02
So Denver basically fully healthy here in terms of ownership, I mean,
17:07
I'm seeing Nick Claxton get a little bit of ownership. But in this one.
17:11
The total in this one here, let me just pull up real quick,
17:17
thirty one, Yeah, two thirty one. Obviously a big spread,
17:19
big spread here, right, Denver nine point favorites at home here? Can
17:23
you get to Jokic here? Obviously it's something like you were Luca over Jokic,
17:27
But I'm seeing some five percent ownership on Jokics for one hundred dollars more
17:30
or anytime Yokic is at home and you do get the flop Lake spot right,
17:34
obviously Jokic just I believe he got ejected right against Chicago where he put
17:41
up twenty five DraftKings points in sixteen minutes. You could see a little pissed
17:44
off Yolks back at home here, coming back after getting getting tossed out of
17:48
that game. Are you are you joining the revenge the little flop leg pissed
17:52
off Yolkic narrative here at home against Brooklyn here, Yeah, I guess I
17:57
didn't realize the ownership describing and see what was that much? I mean,
18:00
we have yeah, five and then Luca is show him how like thirty five.
18:06
So Jokis just has to be a really good play, you know,
18:10
in tournaments for that For that reason, you know, that's one of the
18:14
easiest ways to get different on an NBA slate. When you can see a
18:17
huge ownership difference in the studs or the you know, the big time spends
18:21
on the slate, you immediately are competing with lesson. It's going to be
18:26
hard to play both of these guys. So that's probably the reason why he's
18:27
coming in low owned and center. We have some good value at center,
18:32
So I guess it does all kind of add up and make sense when you
18:34
think about it. But Jokis just has to be a good play at five
18:37
percent. I mean, you could just absolutely nuke this slate. I mean,
18:41
what it would take is him to beat Luca obviously, and then you
18:44
know, some of these other value centers to essentially bust a little bit.
18:47
So very interested in him. Jamal Murray does have a good price tag seventy
18:51
three hundred. I don't think he's the worst play in the world, but
18:56
after that, it drives up quick in this game, like with Claxton six
19:00
seven hundred. You know, I don't absolutely hate him, you know,
19:03
pretty consistent, not a building block or anything, but if I had that
19:07
sort of money, you know, sixty seven, I think it's fine in
19:11
this game. But outside of that, there's like really not much here.
19:15
Yeah, I think it's I do yok I think Yolkic's ceiling is a little
19:18
bit capped right with Jamal Murray back, which obviously if you click the game
19:23
lodge you can see that, right, Yolkic was in the seventies and eighties
19:26
with ceiling. Wise, we haven't seen him surpass really like sixty sixty two
19:32
DraftKings point sixty one since Murray's been back. Obviously, it's a pretty limited
19:37
sample since Murray's been back here, Yelkic could do it every but to your
19:41
point, right, one of the easiest ways to get different is contrarian spend
19:45
on a stud because is there really that much difference between Yokic's ceiling and lucas
19:49
ceiling. Obviously, yeah, Luka doesn't have Kyrie to contest with, but
19:53
it's still Yolkic's team, right, It's Jamal Murray is not going out there
19:56
and saying, Yolkic, I'm this is my team, right, I'm going
20:00
to take over here. Uh, it's still Jokis's team. So one hundred
20:03
dollars difference thirty to twenty five to thirty percent ownership difference as well, that's
20:07
one way to get different. Right off the top. On the nets side,
20:11
I'm not really seeing much love at all on the nets. I mean,
20:15
mckel bridges is uptilst nine k. He's been pretty mid performance wise,
20:19
is while Cam Johnson sixty six hundred really hasn't been doing playing playing good basketball
20:23
at all. Dinwitty seventy six. With all three of those guys, it
20:27
just seems like they all eat into each other where you're not seeing a ceiling
20:32
performance out of them. So I think they just all take too much from
20:33
each other. They just got too many ball handlers there. So basically Jokich
20:38
or Jamal Murray a pass for me in that game. Despite the decent total
20:42
in that one, I agree, Yeah, same page. Let's jump into
20:48
Oklahoma and Sacramento here in this one in terms of the total here two forty
20:53
five the largest total on the slate and just a two point spread here.
20:57
Obviously, this is where I was going with that Vucevich talk, right,
21:02
got Chad Holmgrem seventy four hundred here. Obviously he's been letting down here,
21:07
but you could see a little mister check get up in this game. Obviously
21:11
a massive total here. I really like a contrarian spend on this slate that's
21:15
cheaper than the Jokic and Luca range. I like mister Sga here, Shai
21:21
Gilgez Alexander at sub ten percent ownership against the against the Kings here in this
21:26
spot. I really like this matchout for him. I think Sga could absolutely
21:30
dust this slate and he's ten to five, So it gives you a little
21:34
bit of different roster construction than spending all the way up to Jokic or Luco,
21:40
which I do think is a pretty pretty common route that people are going
21:44
to go on this slate, especially with the Lucas side. So touch on
21:47
Sga, touch on the Sacramento side. Obviously, very close spread here,
21:51
the largest total on the slate where you're going, Yeah, I mean this
21:53
is a very appealing game from a fantasy perspective. I mean it has the
21:57
big total two forty five, close spread that's kind of you know, what
22:00
we want, so I like getting multiple pieces of this game, multiple sides.
22:06
I mean, Sabonis has a very nice price. I get ninety three
22:08
hundred kind of compared him to Jason Tatum earlier on and then Jimmy Butler was
22:15
in that same price range. Man Sabonis, you know, jumps off the
22:18
page, and our projections obviously love him. Ninety three hundred, We're showing
22:22
fifty projection for him. I think that's a very fair number, a lot
22:26
of different ways to get there. Sga seven eight percent like a great guy.
22:33
I mean he's the one. You know, we have Luca, we
22:34
have Jokaid, We've talked about. He can compete with those guys for a
22:40
little bit cheaper and you know, lower ownership than on Lucas. I'm fine
22:42
with him. You know, Darren Fox is coming in at like three percent.
22:48
You know, if you're building multiple teams, I don't hate getting some
22:51
exposure to him and then we have some you know a little bit cheaper guys.
22:55
You know, Holding Brown, like you talked about, very steady.
22:56
I mean you look at just his recent production. He'sty four thirty six,
23:00
twenty six thirty nine thirty forty fifty, like just very steady seventy four hundred,
23:07
you know, fair price type for him, does play that center position.
23:11
Keegan Murray is a very solid value on the slate. We talked about
23:15
those Utah guys. They're going to be pretty pretty popular, and Murray's getting
23:18
ownership as well. But fifty nine hundred, he's going to play a lot
23:22
of minutes into the thirties and his last couple of games been very productive,
23:26
So I like him at that fifty nine. You know, Jalen Williams is
23:30
a play monk, you know, maybe a little bit of giddy. I
23:33
just want a lot of pieces of this game. I mean, if it
23:37
holds true to the two forty five total and you know, stays close which
23:41
it is projected to, you're gonna want a couple of these guys on your
23:45
team, so that this will be a priority game for me in tournaments to
23:51
get some pieces of this game way, some way, shape or form.
23:55
Yeah, I do want to bring up one piece, and I see a
23:57
common in the chat from Dustin, our guy, and I'm going to tie
24:02
it into this game because if you go, we one play that I missed
24:06
out on here is Julian Strawther from the last game, the Denver Brooklyn game.
24:10
The reason I want to bring him up is he's sub ten percent ownership
24:14
right now forty six hundred at you can play him at the small forward position.
24:18
He played twenty eight to twenty three minutes. Yeah, he was very
24:21
productive, right, shot six of eleven from three in that twenty eight game.
24:25
But even twenty three, I mean he's picking up some rebounds, he's
24:27
picking up a cyst. Obviously they're forty six. The reason I'm bringing him
24:33
up is because I'm seeing lou Dort at the same position here forty three hundred.
24:37
So if you spend three hundred dollars more than lou Dort, you're getting
24:41
a massive ownership discount. Click on lou Dort. I don't want to sign
24:45
out for a chalky lou Dort here to get me twenty DraftKings points. And
24:49
that just goes to the nature of the slate. Right, values pretty tough.
24:52
So people are landing on guys like lou Dort because of the total.
24:56
So I am definitely team Strawther over Loudort. Lou Dort is Yeah, you're
25:03
not kidding, Yeah, lou Dort is definitely a piece that I want to
25:07
be underweight on here. I'm definitely a team spend three hundred dollars more and
25:11
go to Strawther in a much better matchup. If you look at loud Dort,
25:15
right, lou Dort is not a huge fantasy point per minute guy on
25:18
fan duel. Maybe right with his steals and his defense upside there, but
25:22
I mean this guy is not a huge guy. I mean, you're he
25:27
scored twenty five DraftKings points last night night and he scored sixteen real life points.
25:32
So that just goes to show you in almost forty minutes or in his
25:36
last game against Golden State, right, I think that that was an overtime
25:40
game there, but played almost forty minutes and scored twenty five DraftKings points,
25:42
and now he's going to be thirty five percent on due to the total and
25:47
due to the nature of the slates. So I'm off Dort in this one.
25:49
But I really like the Studs a lot in this game. Sg is
25:52
my favorite spend up on the slate. Really like him, really like the
25:56
the ping pong. If you can get to Sabonis, I'm definitely team Sabonus
26:02
over Darren Fox here, and then all these ancillary pieces like Jalen Williams,
26:06
Keegan Murray, Chet Holgrim. I think all those guys are firmly in play.
26:08
But I did want to really bring up the loud Or piece because that
26:11
is definitely a talking point on the slate. And I do like that saw
26:15
O their pivot there, Straw the pivot. Excuse me, because Brooklyn does
26:19
string struggle against Wings for sure. Next game, obviously we've got the next
26:26
game is definitely an interesting one here Hoops. It's only a two twenty six
26:30
total, but again very close spread here in this one Portland three point favorites
26:36
here at home. And if you look at ownership, this is where all
26:40
the ownership's going. You got Sexton, You've got Taylor Horton Tucker, you
26:42
got a Linark, and you got Anthony Simons. Obviously, if DeAndre Aight
26:47
misses again and Brogdon miss again, yeah, I'm team Anferny Simons all the
26:51
way. The dude just absolutely chucks. He's gonna play thirty seven to forty
26:56
minutes, twenty seven shot attemps, twenty one shot at TEMs, twenty three
27:00
shot attempts. He's had double digit three point attempts in each one of the
27:03
last three games. If those guys miss, obviously I'm definitely a team Anthony
27:07
Simons really like him. But eight and brogged and remain questionable. I haven't
27:12
looked at shoot around or everything. Obviously, I've been pretty tied up today.
27:15
So if anyone in the chat wants to let me know if those guys
27:18
miss shoot around or if they had to shoot around, that would definitely be
27:22
be helpful. But a lot of ownership going to this game. I mean,
27:26
I'm seeing, let's see nine guys in double digit ownership from Chris Dunn,
27:32
Thibel Fontacillo, Taylor Hendrix, ad Baji, Anthony Simons. A lot
27:37
of ownership on this ute out side, talk about this one. How do
27:41
you want to break this out? Yeah, you know these guys are gonna
27:45
get ownership. You see at mid thirties for all of them, And yeah,
27:47
I think it definitely remains true. If you're playing some higher stake stuff,
27:49
those numbers probably come up even even higher. But they're just like necessary
27:55
price tags on the slate, like the fifty seven hundred for sext and the
27:57
five k for Horror and Talker, the fifty three hundred for Kelly Alenik.
28:02
We've talked about it. We don't have a ton of value on the slate,
28:04
so you're almost forced to take a look at some of these guys to
28:08
some degree. There's just really no way around it. On the seven game
28:11
slate, we talked about Cleveland, Boston, there's not many plays in that
28:15
game, Chicago, Miami, not many plays in that game, Miami,
28:18
Dallas, like, not many plays in that game that standout. So you're
28:22
just almost like forced into this a little bit, forced into these these sort
28:27
of plays. But I do like getting Simon though, because for that reason,
28:32
if you are going to be heavy on the Utah side of things,
28:36
you want something coming back on Portland and man like, those are some nice
28:40
numbers and very friendly for DraftKings scoring. When a guy shooting eleven, ten,
28:44
and thirteen threes, like you pointed out, like thirty four three pointers
28:48
in the last three games, even if he shoots like shit and just a
28:51
couple go in, that's good. That's a good number and you get that
28:53
bonus for the threes. So a lot to like here in Simon's I think
28:59
he's a phenomen I'm gonna play in terms of the rest of the Portland guys.
29:02
We got to see what's going on with Brogden, uh and eight and
29:04
I believe they're still questionable. I haven't seen anything different. Yeah, they're
29:11
still sitting there listed as officially questionable. So I got got to see on
29:14
that maybe open up more. But I mean, this is a slate where
29:17
you might want to backload as is, like you kind of already talked about
29:19
with with Cleveland, Boston kind of not being all that appealing, Chicago,
29:25
Miami not being all that appealing. Slate could start at eight thirty Eastern if
29:29
you really wanted then, you know, just wait for all the news.
29:32
So tough to avoid those Utah guys, you know how you use them,
29:34
you know, be careful of because they will be popular than Portland. Need
29:37
to see on Broggden and eighton. But either way, Simon's I think is
29:41
a phenomenal play. I think I do like setting a rule here. I'm
29:45
not too much a team rules guy, but every team I'm seeing at all
29:49
three of Sex and Horton Tucker, and when we ran those teams earlier,
29:52
you look at it. I mean they're all They're in every one of the
29:55
top ten teams. If you just run an optimizer blindly boom boom boom,
29:59
they're all in those then a lot of teams will look like that. We
30:02
talked about it. When I put Luke in there and I put Kanaan just
30:06
naturally fits to go to that five K range and hit all three of those
30:08
guys, and a lot of people will do it be very very common to
30:11
play those three together. Yeah, I like set in a rule max of
30:17
two of those guys, and I really like max of one of Horton,
30:21
Tucker and Sexton. I'm definitely team Sexton all the way. I mean,
30:25
if you look at his usage rate over the last five games, right,
30:27
it's twenty seven percent usage rate over the last five. You look at Taylor
30:33
Horton Tucker's usage rate, Olynicx usage rate fifteen and a half percent. You
30:37
look at Taylor Horton Tucker's usage rate, I mean, it's way on the
30:41
board. So I'm just team Sexton over Horton Tucker a lot here, and
30:48
ownership is going to be going crazy there. So I really like Sexton.
30:52
Anthony Simons are the two chalk pieces I do want to hit on in this
30:56
game. I like those two guys a lot. I mean Anthony Simons since
31:00
Brogden's been out right, I mean thirty two percent usage right over the last
31:03
last games. I mean those shout attempts off the charts. We know Simons
31:08
anytime he's out there from last year right, since he's returned back from injury,
31:11
he's just chucking. So I really like him and Sexton Olenics fine a
31:18
baji if he starts at forty five hundred. Again, his game watch is
31:23
pretty gross if you click on it. But man, he shot two for
31:26
twelve from the field last game, one for five for three, put up
31:30
fourteen fantasy points with only five real life points. He can pick you up
31:33
some some periphial stats there, so I don't hate that overall. I mean
31:38
this is a definitely a game where where a lot of your pieces of your
31:41
team are going to come from just due to pricing. I mean, you
31:44
look at the pricing on the slate. If Brogden's out, I mean,
31:47
the most expensive guy on the slate is in this game is Shadon's Sharp here,
31:52
which that's another interesting piece. Let's let's talk on the Shaden Sharp real
31:56
quick, who should and Sharp versus Simons here? Because the two hundred dollars
32:00
apart. Obviously, Simon's uses right and shots and everything are off the chart
32:05
here. But from an ownership standpoint, I'm seeing some five percent ownership on
32:08
Shadon Sharp, who's eighteen shot attempts fifteen seventeen, nine three pointers, ten
32:13
three pointers, nine three pointers. He's still chucking the basketball. He hasn't
32:16
scored under under forty two Fantasy points in the last five games. That's kind
32:22
of interesting there. I like that little appealing. What do you think about
32:25
that? That's a little that's a little little thing, oh man, three
32:30
percent ownership, Like, that's a that's a that's a nice little call there,
32:32
I mean, and not many people are gonna go to them. The
32:35
price tag's gonna scare people off. Another nice thing is guard and forward eligible,
32:39
so it offers some flexibility on those teams where you're gonna play a lot
32:44
of Utah, get a low owned piece here that's kind of been going off.
32:46
I think that's a that's a good like a sneaky type play. And
32:52
I got another another little little sneaky pivot off off of the lou Dort at
32:57
the the same price point forty three. Remember when I said Lou Dort at
33:00
at forty three hundred, people want to go to him. Well, guess
33:02
what you can play, mister Chris Dunn at forty three hundred at the same
33:07
shooting guard position in this game environment against Portland. Much better spot here.
33:13
He could see twenty to twenty five minutes. He's been very good. I
33:16
like that little pivot there. I'm seeing about a third of the ownership on
33:21
Chris Dunk compared to there, So I like those the little shade on sharp,
33:23
Chris Dunn, little combo package off of off of the the Lou door,
33:30
and a guy like Anthony Simons right that little TV two Tampa's always doing
33:36
those two V twos. In terms of the NFL, I'll give the I'll
33:38
give the people a little TV two here, a little give me a give
33:43
me a little shade on sharp and Chris Don TV two to outscore, to
33:49
outscore Anthony Simons and Lou Dort. So that's one for the people out there.
33:52
But obviously a great game here to target and arguably hoop. Outside of
33:58
maybe one or two spots you can you can make case that the slate doesn't
34:00
start until nine pm, right until hec Sacramento. Yeah, yeah, I
34:04
mean there's there's many routes. I mean you can find a full definitely find
34:07
a full team with these last three games. I mean there's no doubt about
34:12
it. And you know people will walk in guys before this, but you
34:15
can build a team starting at you know, a ton of Eastern and beyond.
34:21
Yeah, exactly. Let's talk about the last game of the night here.
34:24
Paul George is questionable in this one. Obviously, that's decent news,
34:29
right, gives give some other guys like Zubaka a little boost, and then
34:31
Harden and Kawhi Leonard if he's in it's it's tough to go to these guys.
34:37
From a total standpoint two thirty two, so pretty healthy total. Here,
34:42
Clippers are five point favorites at home here, Harden, Kawhi, Paul
34:45
George, all priced right right within, I mean a couple hundred dollars of
34:52
each other. Breakdown those Obviously, our projection is like Kawhi the most right
34:55
now as it stands, and then on the other side you got Chris,
34:59
Paul got Steph Curry is another contrarian spend up that just haven't hasn't really shown
35:05
a massive ceiling so far this year like he has last season. So hit
35:09
on this one late night hammer game here, pretty healthy total. Yeah,
35:14
it's a tough one. Not the most people. I mean, it would
35:15
get better obviously if Paul George were to miss. So, I mean the
35:19
key to this one is if Paul George is out, then you can take
35:21
a look at Kawhi and Harden, and I definitely want exposure to those guys,
35:25
like there's no no doubt about it, you know. But after that,
35:29
it just gets tough in this one, Like Chris Paul's fine, Like
35:31
you said, Steph Curry is just hard to play him over some of these
35:35
other studs on the slate, Like he's the same price as Sabonis, Like
35:37
I just have to play Sabonis over him. So it just makes it makes
35:43
it very difficult from that standpoint, you know. But again, this situation
35:46
is very contingent on what happens with with Paul George. And another reason not
35:51
to like lock yourself into some of these early games, Like just wait for
35:54
some of this news. You'll be able to build a good ass team that
35:58
starts, you know, starts relatively late. So don't lock in anything in,
36:02
you know, sacrifice roster construction when you don't have to. But you
36:07
know, if Paul George is in, I mean, I'm not going to
36:09
have much of this game. If he's out, I'll have Kwi, I'll
36:13
have Harden, but not much else. Man. This, you know,
36:16
despite the high total, is not very appealing from a fantasy perspective. Yeah,
36:21
from a DFS perspective, not super appealing if you want a late night
36:24
Hammer. Obviously people just like late night hammers right for the sake of just
36:28
having one. But I mean, really, is it that much of a
36:30
late night Hammer compared to the Oka se Sacramento in the Utael Portland game,
36:32
which obviously much better pricing, much better spots personally here, so you could,
36:39
I mean, Zubac Kaminga maybe if you want to grab a mid tier
36:43
play here Kuminga. He's shown a ceiling right, It's just very risky.
36:49
You don't know what you're getting with him. But I mean, he he
36:52
does pick up peripherals right double double two games ago against okay See and he
36:57
shot only ten for twenty one from the field. He's just fifty four hundred.
37:00
He's probably my favorite play just due to pricing. Zubac I just really
37:06
can't get these Clippers without with if Paul George is in. So really not
37:10
that that much of an appealing game for me. I mean, I think
37:14
we narrowed it down pretty good. I do like that little TV two I
37:15
gave. I see some guys in the chat, our guy Sean Sullivan saying
37:20
hot take hey Sean. Sometimes I mean, obviously, you can play the
37:23
best plays and you can just build your cash team and just throw it in
37:27
there and hope for the best. Or you can make a little TV two
37:30
off of off of a pretty chalky good play team and that could be the
37:35
difference between them in cash and shipping the whole tournament. So that's what we're
37:37
trying to do. Obviously. Hoop and I could get on here and just
37:39
tell you guys to play the high stone plays and just play the same teams
37:44
as everyone else, but we try to look for a little different angles that
37:46
still makes sense in the in the same game environment. So any final closing
37:51
remarks here for this for the slate here, who yeah, I mean,
37:54
busy night. Obviously you've got the seven game NBA Slate. We got the
37:59
Showdown game as well. All our content will be up nice and early,
38:02
so you guys can digest it, get in the discord, ask any questions
38:06
that you have. So if you're not a member, get on over to
38:09
ship at nation dot com. Check it out. Full content for the NBA
38:13
slate and the NFL showed on slate here tonight. Yeah, we got you
38:17
covered. I got the NHL stuff up there. We already. I already
38:20
recorded my video today, posted the slate plan. My core plays are gonna
38:23
go up for that. I'm gonna throw my NFL cores up. I'm gonna
38:27
throw my NBA cores up. We're running triple duty out here Hoop today.
38:30
But appreciate everyone in the comments section, Sean, I appreciate that. We're
38:34
just trying to give you different angles. And obviously I can definitely see it's
38:37
a one game, It's a one night sample, right. I could definitely
38:39
see those two guys definitely outscoring the other two v two for a very similar
38:44
price point at way lower ownership. So that's gonna do it for this NBA
38:49
show here for Whop for myself, good luck tonight in your contest. Hope
38:53
to see those Shipping Nation logos at the top. Let's ship it, no
39:13
names, no Nights have mad