Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / CFB DFS Week 12 | College Football DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays and Process

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CFB DFS Week 12 | College Football DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:03
Speaker 1: All system's going clear the lifting. Here we go. It's
0:35
Speaker 1: week twelve, and football every day continues. We've still got
0:39
Speaker 1: a couple of weeks before that Thanksgiving slate. It has
0:42
Speaker 1: been a grind, but it has been so much fun
0:44
Speaker 1: looking up and seeing football on the screen every single day.
0:47
Speaker 1: What's going on, everybody. Welcome to the ship at Nation
0:50
Speaker 1: Week twelve College Football Breakdown Analysis show. I'm Bill put
0:53
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Speaker 1: Discord and Twitter, and another great slate shaping up on Saturday.
0:59
Speaker 1: Before we get to it, I do want to mention
1:01
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1:21
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1:23
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1:27
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1:45
Speaker 1: learning how to do this. It's it's week twelve. I'm
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Speaker 1: a novice. But even without that five five five draw,
1:51
Speaker 1: we got a ton of winners every single week, and
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Speaker 1: I feel like it's a broken record. Death taxes and
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Speaker 1: Ranger getting a five digit shipp it this four weeks
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2:02
Speaker 1: a two thousand dollars chop in NBA to boot, So
2:06
Speaker 1: Rangers just been on a hot streak lately. Other big
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Speaker 1: wins this week too, Why guy with a two k
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Speaker 1: shipper in MMA? We had m Bellman with the sixty
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Speaker 1: thousand dollars shipper up top. I mean, it's just another
2:17
Speaker 1: great week at the Nation. And you can get in
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2:36
Speaker 1: ship it and maybe see your name on this collage leaderboard.
2:39
Speaker 1: Why not. But let's jump into the college football slate.
2:42
Speaker 1: That's why we're here. I'm going to refresh my page
2:44
Speaker 1: quick because I think the lines have been updated. But
2:47
Speaker 1: we're gonna start with South Carolina and Texas A and M.
2:51
Speaker 1: South Carolina's our first game without Mike Shulett offensive coordinator,
2:54
Speaker 1: so maybe there's something to that for DFS, but it's
2:57
Speaker 1: just a tough matchup against Texas A and M on
2:59
Speaker 1: the road. I don't think the Cocks are going to
3:01
Speaker 1: be over hang with with the Aggi's here. Lenora Sellers
3:04
Speaker 1: is cheap, so I think maybe you could take a
3:06
Speaker 1: look at him. He does have some upside. Maybe we
3:08
Speaker 1: get some new offensive schemes or maybe they unleash him
3:11
Speaker 1: a little bit with the new OC. But even with
3:14
Speaker 1: his rushing upside, he did run against Bama and Oklahoma. Okay,
3:18
Speaker 1: but the sacks in the Oklahoma game still landed him
3:21
Speaker 1: with negative points in the rushing game, so I don't
3:23
Speaker 1: know if you can you can go there. He had
3:26
Speaker 1: five and a half carries or five and a half
3:27
Speaker 1: yards per carry. If you omit the sacks. It's just
3:30
Speaker 1: again tough matchup. I don't want to say it again.
3:33
Speaker 1: That's what makes these videos go too long. I repeat myself,
3:35
Speaker 1: I ramble. But on the Texas A and M sides,
3:38
Speaker 1: I'm much more interested in that Marcel reach is too cheap.
3:40
Speaker 1: Even in eighty four hundred. He's been using his legs
3:42
Speaker 1: a lot more lately, ten total touchdowns in the last
3:45
Speaker 1: three games. I don't think you need to overthink it.
3:47
Speaker 1: If he fits your build, it's a great spot for him.
3:50
Speaker 1: Rubenohen's coming off a monster one hundred yard two touchdown game,
3:53
Speaker 1: been getting the lion's share of the work, and an
3:55
Speaker 1: only fifty five hundred again matchup. E J. Smith has
3:58
Speaker 1: seen a steady snapcount. Amari Daniels might work in especially.
4:03
Speaker 1: You know, the biggest risk to Owens is like if
4:05
Speaker 1: Texas A and M gets up early using the passing
4:08
Speaker 1: game and those backup running backs just get more run
4:12
Speaker 1: than we expect him to. But speaking of the past game,
4:15
Speaker 1: Mario Kraver on the injury report fifty one hundred, he's
4:20
Speaker 1: in a great spot if he goes. He hasn't had
4:21
Speaker 1: a touchdown since I think Week three, so he's definitely due,
4:25
Speaker 1: but without Kraver, Casey Concepcio and might be one of
4:28
Speaker 1: the best receiver plays might be he would be might
4:31
Speaker 1: be the best receiver play on the slate, but definitely
4:33
Speaker 1: up there with the best that honestly, he might be
4:35
Speaker 1: one of the best receiver plays regardless. So you're playing
4:39
Speaker 1: these guys because of the matchup. I Kraver goes down
4:42
Speaker 1: or doesn't play, it opens everything up for everybody else,
4:45
Speaker 1: even like Bethel Roman and Bussy could get involved if
4:48
Speaker 1: Craver doesn't go so definitely looking at the Texas A
4:51
Speaker 1: and M side here, big blowout on paper anyway, Arizona
4:56
Speaker 1: and Cincinnati shaping up to be one of the better
4:58
Speaker 1: games on the slate. I just don't know how many
5:01
Speaker 1: locks there are under like how safe these guys are,
5:04
Speaker 1: just with the way the usage just been. No if
5:06
Speaker 1: a Fida gets most of his production through the air
5:08
Speaker 1: at seventy one hundred, I think if this game goes
5:10
Speaker 1: to script and they have to throw a lot, he
5:11
Speaker 1: could end up being one of the best quarterback plays
5:13
Speaker 1: on the slate too, just because he throws a ball
5:15
Speaker 1: forty five times. It could put up some big numbers
5:19
Speaker 1: at a pretty acceptable price for Fefida. The running back
5:23
Speaker 1: room that the Wildcats look good. As far as team running,
5:29
Speaker 1: it's just a matter of which guy is going to be.
5:31
Speaker 1: One week it's Craig, one week it's Madi, the other
5:33
Speaker 1: week it's Riscano. So they're all cheap enough for GPP.
5:37
Speaker 1: If you get the hot guye, then you're probably going
5:40
Speaker 1: to be sitting at the top of the leaderboard with
5:42
Speaker 1: a low owned Arizona running back. In the wide receiver room,
5:46
Speaker 1: Chris Hudson getting a bunch of targets. If you want
5:49
Speaker 1: to stack Fefeeda, he's a solid option. Tray Spivey a
5:52
Speaker 1: solid cheap option. He's been priced. The dude was getting
5:55
Speaker 1: like two catches a game, but one of them was
5:58
Speaker 1: going for a touchdown for a long time. Last week
6:00
Speaker 1: he finally got more usage in an increased role, didn't score.
6:03
Speaker 1: His dud game was the one that he played the most.
6:06
Speaker 1: Chris Hunter is not on the report anymore though, so
6:09
Speaker 1: if he's back, it just kind of waters down the
6:11
Speaker 1: rest of these guys. I mean, Wattley's still out there,
6:13
Speaker 1: Hunter could be a guy in the three k's, but
6:17
Speaker 1: Hudson's still probably the main guy you're looking for. But
6:20
Speaker 1: like I said, maybe Spivey does better with a hunter
6:23
Speaker 1: back because he's not going to play as much, so
6:25
Speaker 1: they'll just throw to him in the end zone. On
6:28
Speaker 1: the Cincinnati side, Brendan soarsby just and he continues to
6:30
Speaker 1: have a stellar year. I just had a down game
6:33
Speaker 1: in a tough road matchup against Utah. The last time
6:36
Speaker 1: we saw these guys, Arizona's passed. He looks good on paper,
6:38
Speaker 1: but it's a little bit skewed. They played Colorado, they
6:40
Speaker 1: played Oklahoma State, and even the BYU game because BYU
6:44
Speaker 1: ran for two hundred and sixty yards. But even at
6:47
Speaker 1: eighty eight hundred, Soresby's got that upside because of his
6:49
Speaker 1: rushing ability and the passing gets spread out for the
6:53
Speaker 1: wide receivers. We'll get to that in a moment, but
6:55
Speaker 1: Soresby's going to be the one throwing the ball to
6:57
Speaker 1: all of them. So at eighty eight hundred spot the
7:01
Speaker 1: running back room. Evan Pryor's questionable to play without him.
7:04
Speaker 1: Against Utah, nobody really stood out, but again tough matchup.
7:08
Speaker 1: So I think Tyllie Walker is still in a great
7:09
Speaker 1: spot if Pryor doesn't go. If Prior does go, maybe
7:13
Speaker 1: you can take a look at him. Now we might
7:14
Speaker 1: see Covey and Chance Williams. There's a chance we'll see Chance.
7:19
Speaker 1: I like that if Evan Pryor doesn't go, but Walker
7:22
Speaker 1: would be the guy if Prior does go. I don't
7:24
Speaker 1: know how much of this running back room will get
7:26
Speaker 1: in the wide receiver room. Like I said, it gets
7:28
Speaker 1: spread out. But Cyrus Allen just has a knack for
7:31
Speaker 1: finding the end zone. It doesn't matter how many touches
7:33
Speaker 1: he's get. I mean between him and Spivey on the
7:35
Speaker 1: other side. Maybe just stack those two together and you
7:37
Speaker 1: might get four touchdowns. Caleb Goodie and Isaiah Johnson are questionable,
7:42
Speaker 1: so if they can't go, that could help out with
7:45
Speaker 1: this usage being spread out of my funnel a little
7:47
Speaker 1: bit more to the main guys like Alan, Joe Royer,
7:50
Speaker 1: Jeff Caldwell, Noah Jennings. If Goody doesn't go, Caldwell and
7:54
Speaker 1: Jennings will probably get the biggest bump. Like I said,
7:58
Speaker 1: there could be a lot of DFS points scored here.
8:00
Speaker 1: It's just a matter of how spread out those points are.
8:02
Speaker 1: It's hard to pinpoint what guy exactly it's gonna be
8:05
Speaker 1: on either team, to be honest, That's why I think
8:07
Speaker 1: the safest plays are probably the quarterbacks on both sides.
8:12
Speaker 1: Notre Dame at Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh the Giant Slayers. There's a
8:17
Speaker 1: chance we can see some rain and win in this game,
8:20
Speaker 1: so weather could play a factor. And also penn Argoozy
8:24
Speaker 1: said that he'd be fine if they lost one hundred
8:26
Speaker 1: and ten to ten because it doesn't impact the conference standings.
8:29
Speaker 1: I don't know how to take that. Are we taking
8:32
Speaker 1: it as whatever, we can sleepwalk through this game and
8:35
Speaker 1: we can still make the ACC Championship and win the
8:37
Speaker 1: thing and get to the playoff, or is it I'm
8:40
Speaker 1: gonna say we're gonna win one hundred and ten or
8:41
Speaker 1: lose one hundred and ten to ten. But I want
8:44
Speaker 1: that to motivate my guys. I don't know how I
8:46
Speaker 1: would feel as a player in that situation. Either way.
8:49
Speaker 1: Notre Dame a pretty solid favorite here on the road. CJ.
8:52
Speaker 1: Carr is at his lowest priced since the second game
8:54
Speaker 1: of the season when he was five K and Notre
8:56
Speaker 1: Dame should be able to throw if they want to,
8:58
Speaker 1: just matter if they want to. It's really only been
9:01
Speaker 1: able to shut down teams like Syracuse with no Steve
9:03
Speaker 1: Angeli in Boston College. So it's it sets up really
9:07
Speaker 1: well at a very acceptable price and probably a little
9:10
Speaker 1: bit too cheap for Car Holy Price. By the way,
9:12
Speaker 1: Jeremiah love ten k. He's been ten k once and
9:15
Speaker 1: I don't remember if he got there. It was close,
9:18
Speaker 1: it was close. It's just a lot of money to
9:20
Speaker 1: pay for one guy. But really, I don't know what
9:22
Speaker 1: you want me to say more about these guys than
9:24
Speaker 1: I have all year. I love love and I love
9:26
Speaker 1: Price's price. And again, Notre Dame can probably run. Pittsburgh
9:31
Speaker 1: has looked pretty good against the run, but again, what
9:33
Speaker 1: has their competition been. It's it's tough to really buy
9:37
Speaker 1: into this defense against a team like Notre Dame when
9:39
Speaker 1: they haven't faced a team like Notre Dame the passing game.
9:42
Speaker 1: If we like Car and we want to stack him,
9:43
Speaker 1: Jordan Faison's probably been the most consistent receiver on the team,
9:47
Speaker 1: But really, any one of these guys is capable. These
9:49
Speaker 1: top four guys is capable of having a spike game,
9:52
Speaker 1: Fields palling even rared On who disappeared last game. Malchi
9:55
Speaker 1: fields back in the three k's, they're down like in
9:58
Speaker 1: the thirty seven at thirty seven hundred achieved, Dude, Will
10:01
Speaker 1: Pauling even at four k still could be the two
10:05
Speaker 1: touchdown guy. We've seen it before. Again, a good matchup
10:09
Speaker 1: for this wide receiver room, but it's tough to pick
10:12
Speaker 1: just one and figure out which guy it's going to be.
10:15
Speaker 1: On the Pitt's side. Mason Heinschel, the true freshman, has
10:18
Speaker 1: had a pretty good run six since taken over for
10:20
Speaker 1: Eli Holstein, but teams and teams have shown they can
10:24
Speaker 1: throw on Notre Dame. But like at eighty five hundred,
10:27
Speaker 1: we just talked about Marcel Read a couple of games
10:29
Speaker 1: ago and Brendan Soresby in the last game, Heinschell's kind
10:33
Speaker 1: of in that range. Which guy do you feel most
10:34
Speaker 1: comfortable with? That's what it's going to come down to.
10:36
Speaker 1: Do you like Heinschel in this matchup where he's probably
10:39
Speaker 1: going to be throwing a lot, or do you goo
10:41
Speaker 1: Marcel Reid who's got the rushing upside. Brendan soors he's
10:44
Speaker 1: got the rushing upside. So it's really about how you
10:47
Speaker 1: want to play the game with this one. And maybe
10:50
Speaker 1: you get Heinschel at an ownership discount, and that's what
10:52
Speaker 1: sways you Desmond Reid that we're not going to get
10:55
Speaker 1: an injury report for this game for Pitt because it's
10:58
Speaker 1: a non conference game. Now, Doozy's says it, Desmond Read
11:00
Speaker 1: is healthy. How healthy is he? I don't know. They
11:03
Speaker 1: did have the bye week, so you think he had
11:05
Speaker 1: a little bit more recovery time. And I can't imagine
11:07
Speaker 1: they'd send him out there if you if nobody like
11:11
Speaker 1: they say, nobody's one hundred percent at this point in
11:13
Speaker 1: the season. But they wouldn't send Reid out there if
11:16
Speaker 1: he wasn't good enough to go. But we could still
11:19
Speaker 1: see some Jakayron Turner even if he does. And with
11:23
Speaker 1: Desmond Reid, it doesn't matter if Pitt can't run the
11:26
Speaker 1: ball against Notre Dame because he's involved in the passing
11:28
Speaker 1: game enough he could see it, like he could go
11:30
Speaker 1: for eight catches, one hundred yards and a touchdown and
11:33
Speaker 1: it wouldn't surprise me. So Read at five to eight again,
11:35
Speaker 1: a guy who was in the eight and nine k's
11:37
Speaker 1: all last year when he played, just seems like a
11:40
Speaker 1: discount and price no matter who the matchup is. And
11:43
Speaker 1: then in this wide receiver room, if you like the
11:45
Speaker 1: passing game, it's still pretty much Kenny Johnson and Rafael
11:48
Speaker 1: Williams catching passes from Heinschel Taurus. Hicks has found some
11:52
Speaker 1: more usage lately, getting a little bit more of the
11:55
Speaker 1: target share, and he's basically mint Price, so I think
11:58
Speaker 1: you could take a look at him here. And then
12:00
Speaker 1: the other thing is that since your Lee has been
12:02
Speaker 1: getting back into this wing, he's only played two games now,
12:04
Speaker 1: but he saw an increased role from game one to
12:06
Speaker 1: game two, so that could kind of water down this
12:08
Speaker 1: wide receiver room a little bit. But if Pitt's going
12:11
Speaker 1: to be throwing the ball a lot, you could I mean,
12:13
Speaker 1: Desmond Reed is still going to involve in the passing game,
12:16
Speaker 1: but you could take a shot on one of these
12:17
Speaker 1: wide receivers, especially as a run back, if you think
12:19
Speaker 1: they can keep it close. A game stack isn't out
12:23
Speaker 1: of the question here, even with a twelve and a
12:24
Speaker 1: half point spread. Michigan at Northwestern. This game is being
12:29
Speaker 1: played at Wrigley Field, so we're going to be just
12:31
Speaker 1: off of Lake Michigan in November. Might be some wind.
12:35
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's going to matter much in
12:37
Speaker 1: this game anyway, because how much were these teams planning
12:39
Speaker 1: to throw Bryce Underwood. He's been pretty underwhelming for the
12:43
Speaker 1: most part this year, but I think he does still
12:45
Speaker 1: have some rushing upside, and if it is going to
12:47
Speaker 1: be windy, maybe we see it here in the running
12:50
Speaker 1: back room, no Justice Haynes. Jordan Marshall might be the
12:52
Speaker 1: best running back player on the slate seventy one hundred.
12:55
Speaker 1: He's going to get the lion's share of the workhorse numbers,
12:57
Speaker 1: but I feel like everybody else knows that too, because
12:59
Speaker 1: he's had four hundred twenty eight yards and five touchdowns
13:01
Speaker 1: over the last three games, not to mention he's got
13:04
Speaker 1: a few catches out of the backfield. Michigan loves to
13:06
Speaker 1: run the ball. They've always loved to run the ball,
13:09
Speaker 1: so I think Jordan Marshall is in an absolute just
13:13
Speaker 1: brilliant spot for the Wolverines. And then if you are
13:17
Speaker 1: playing the passing game, Andrew marsh is probably the top option.
13:21
Speaker 1: Mccully's a little bit overpriced in my mind. Samaje. Morgan's
13:24
Speaker 1: kind of disappeared. I don't think I'm gonna go there
13:27
Speaker 1: in this one, especially with Michigan being the favorite. If
13:30
Speaker 1: they get up, they're gonna run the ball even more.
13:33
Speaker 1: The Northwestern side. Is interesting because this line has moved
13:36
Speaker 1: a little bit toward Northwestern midweek. Early in the week,
13:38
Speaker 1: it was at twelve and a half. As of Thursday
13:41
Speaker 1: night is down to ten and a half. Maybe they
13:44
Speaker 1: think either Northwestern can score or they're gonna shut Michigan down,
13:49
Speaker 1: or this game. Maybe it's just because this game might
13:50
Speaker 1: move a little bit slower with all of the running.
13:53
Speaker 1: The Prestonstone, he's been bad. I'm not gonna say much
13:57
Speaker 1: more about him. Who I am gonna talk about is
13:59
Speaker 1: Kale Komo. He's been getting a ton of work lately,
14:02
Speaker 1: back to back one hundred yard games. Also has eight
14:04
Speaker 1: targets across those two games. Now, Hyman does rotate in,
14:08
Speaker 1: but Koma Lafe has been RB one and Hyman was
14:10
Speaker 1: banged up last game, so we'll have to wait for
14:12
Speaker 1: that injury report. But at fifty four hundred for his
14:15
Speaker 1: involvement in this offense, he might get a low owned
14:18
Speaker 1: guy at the running back position who could see upwards
14:22
Speaker 1: of twenty to twenty two touches. Count me in for
14:25
Speaker 1: that just on volume alone. And then the wide receiver room.
14:28
Speaker 1: I don't really love the wide receivers, but Griffin Wilde
14:31
Speaker 1: has just got to be on your radar because of
14:32
Speaker 1: his target share at and that's it. That's it. I'm
14:38
Speaker 1: not going to say much more about that next game.
14:42
Speaker 1: Arkansas LSU a pretty decent looking total. But what are
14:47
Speaker 1: these How do these teams feel? I don't. They're both
14:51
Speaker 1: in potential letdown spots, but because it, I guess it
14:54
Speaker 1: could let down against each other. But Taylor Green is spendy.
14:58
Speaker 1: LSU struggled against Marcell Diego Pavia and I can put
15:02
Speaker 1: Taylor Green kind of in that same boat, similar rushing
15:04
Speaker 1: upside to those two guys, so there's not a reason.
15:07
Speaker 1: There's no reason he can't do it here. And it's
15:10
Speaker 1: projected to be a competitive game. So if you're gonna
15:12
Speaker 1: buy into this projection high scoring SEC sort of track
15:15
Speaker 1: meet game, Taylor Green can certainly get there. He's a
15:18
Speaker 1: pillar of their offense. Mike Washington has had double digit
15:21
Speaker 1: carries now in seven straight games, and he's only average
15:24
Speaker 1: fewer than four yards to carry once in that game
15:27
Speaker 1: in those games. Not to mention, he's got five targets
15:30
Speaker 1: in two of the last three games as well. And
15:31
Speaker 1: now Braylan Russell's questionable. So if Mike Washington's the only
15:35
Speaker 1: guy back there, and it's just going to be Green
15:36
Speaker 1: Washington running the ball. Another pivot off of some of
15:39
Speaker 1: these higher owned guys. I don't think Washington's going to
15:42
Speaker 1: garner the ownership like a guy like Jordan Marshall is,
15:44
Speaker 1: or a couple of guys we'll talk about later. Maybe
15:47
Speaker 1: that's your pivot in a game that could be high
15:50
Speaker 1: scoring and competitive. In the wide receiver room, Omega Blake
15:53
Speaker 1: did have a down game last time out, but he's
15:55
Speaker 1: still wide receiver one six three is just a weird price.
15:59
Speaker 1: There's other guys in that range or cheaper than him.
16:01
Speaker 1: I feel like there's guys that you want to pay
16:03
Speaker 1: up for, more guys that you want to pay down
16:04
Speaker 1: in this range. But again, like I said, good overall game,
16:08
Speaker 1: but I don't know how much ownership is going to
16:09
Speaker 1: get to these guys. One guy that maybe is Raylan
16:13
Speaker 1: Sharp because Jalen Brown's still out and he's six or
16:15
Speaker 1: more targets and four of the last five games Sharp does.
16:18
Speaker 1: Those are probably the two main guys you're looking at.
16:22
Speaker 1: And we don't forget Rohan Jones might end up with
16:25
Speaker 1: two catches for one hundred and ten yards. And two
16:27
Speaker 1: touchdowns and a rushing touchdown. Remember that game that was
16:30
Speaker 1: fun on the LSU side. Frank Wilson said we'll see
16:34
Speaker 1: both Garrett nus Meyer and Michael van Buren after Nuts
16:38
Speaker 1: got benched, but he said Nuts will probably get the start.
16:40
Speaker 1: He is probable on the report. So the fact that
16:42
Speaker 1: he's on the report maybe says something. But according to
16:46
Speaker 1: what coach said, and you know, we just believe everything
16:49
Speaker 1: coaches say, right, we're gonna see Nuts first. I don't
16:53
Speaker 1: know if you can touch the quarterback situation, which is
16:55
Speaker 1: we don't know who's going to play the majority of
16:57
Speaker 1: the snaps. Maybe they'll split fifty to fifty. You just
17:00
Speaker 1: want to attack Arkansas through the air. I don't know
17:02
Speaker 1: how you do it with these quarterbacks in this situation, though,
17:04
Speaker 1: if you do want to lean that a I dust
17:07
Speaker 1: Meyer's going to get the start, and maybe he'll just
17:09
Speaker 1: get off to a hot start and look really good
17:11
Speaker 1: early and they'll keep him in the entire game. I
17:13
Speaker 1: don't think anybody's gonna do that. I don't recommend it,
17:16
Speaker 1: but I don't think anybody's gonna do it. The running
17:19
Speaker 1: back room, Cayden Durham and Harlem Barry have pretty much
17:21
Speaker 1: been splitting snaps. Barry's just been getting more work and
17:24
Speaker 1: doing more with it. Durn's a little bit more involved
17:27
Speaker 1: in the past game, but not much so. I think
17:29
Speaker 1: if you're playing a running back, it's probably Barry. In
17:32
Speaker 1: the wide receiver rooms, you can spin the wheel with
17:34
Speaker 1: these receivers. Barry and Brown's probably had been the guy
17:37
Speaker 1: the last few games, so he's probably the safest if
17:40
Speaker 1: I were to pick one trade, as Green had been
17:43
Speaker 1: on a tear, but after a couple of drops last
17:45
Speaker 1: game against Alabama at Bauer Sharp just kind of turned
17:48
Speaker 1: into the tight end a jure there. I might go
17:52
Speaker 1: back to Green in a bounce back if nobody else
17:53
Speaker 1: is going to do it, though. Aaron Anderson's probable to
17:56
Speaker 1: play another situation where it kind of waters down the
18:00
Speaker 1: wide receiver room, and and Xavi and Thomas has obviously
18:03
Speaker 1: been involved as well, some of it with Anderson, some
18:05
Speaker 1: of it without. It's again, it's a team total that
18:10
Speaker 1: you kind of want to attack, but there's so much
18:13
Speaker 1: split usage, even at the quarterback position, it makes these
18:16
Speaker 1: guys harder clicks. So if nobody's going to go to
18:19
Speaker 1: this game and we get a competitive high scoring game.
18:21
Speaker 1: Like I said, Pivot City, why not West Virginia and
18:24
Speaker 1: Arizona State on the West Virginia side. West Virginia Mountain Mama,
18:30
Speaker 1: we got Scottie Fox, who I I don't know if
18:34
Speaker 1: he's that good. He did not impress me against Colorado.
18:37
Speaker 1: He's still cheap though. It's just a tough matchup. And
18:41
Speaker 1: I mean, if you can't get it done against Colorado,
18:43
Speaker 1: I don't know if you can get it done on
18:44
Speaker 1: the road against Arizona State. But cheap option Diory Hubbard
18:50
Speaker 1: is probable. It's a tough matchup for him too, and
18:52
Speaker 1: he's priced up now. He did look really good, even
18:55
Speaker 1: on one leg apparently in the last game against Colorado.
18:59
Speaker 1: Maybe that's why Fox didn't look that great too. I mean,
19:03
Speaker 1: the box score wasn't good, but even watching the game,
19:05
Speaker 1: it was it was Hubbard. Sincere Bower's still gonna be
19:08
Speaker 1: involved some you know, Clay ash was off the report Wednesday,
19:12
Speaker 1: but he was back on at a questionable Thursday. And
19:14
Speaker 1: that sort of trend tells me that I don't think
19:16
Speaker 1: he's gonna play if he's trending that direction, So it
19:20
Speaker 1: maybe you want you're gonna get the usage out of
19:22
Speaker 1: Hubbard that you could go there. But the running backs,
19:25
Speaker 1: the way its shaping up on this slate, he's kind
19:26
Speaker 1: of in no man zone at fifty six hundred, and
19:29
Speaker 1: these wind out seem a little bit too expensive too.
19:31
Speaker 1: I mean, Vaughn is fine, Gallagher's fine, It's just a
19:35
Speaker 1: matter if you want to pay for these guys. That
19:36
Speaker 1: kind of leads me to Whimer maybe being the best
19:38
Speaker 1: option because he's basically mid price. But we've already talked
19:41
Speaker 1: about a mid price wide receiver back up here with
19:46
Speaker 1: Gautari's Hicks, who might project better than Jeff Weimer. They're
19:51
Speaker 1: both wide receiver three isshes. It kind of kind of
19:55
Speaker 1: switches off with the West Virginia I think maybe he
19:58
Speaker 1: just avoid it all together, especially with an eighteen point
20:00
Speaker 1: team total. But lool at Jeff Sims price man coming
20:04
Speaker 1: off a two hundred and twenty eight yard rushing game,
20:07
Speaker 1: I'm not scared of West Virginia's defense. Are we really
20:10
Speaker 1: playing chock? Jeff Simms? I mean probably it just feels weird.
20:18
Speaker 1: Safety net Sims is what one of our guys called
20:21
Speaker 1: it in our team meeting this week. But seventy four
20:23
Speaker 1: hundred Jeff Simms it's gonna be tough to avoid in
20:26
Speaker 1: the cash streets GPPs. I mean, okay, so I got
20:31
Speaker 1: some ways to maybe play him in GPPs. If you
20:33
Speaker 1: want to, we'll discuss here. Releake Brown is still getting
20:38
Speaker 1: the volume. He just hasn't been super effective. He's only
20:40
Speaker 1: got one touchdown in the last six games. But if
20:43
Speaker 1: everybody's gonna zig to Zims, maybe we zag to releak
20:46
Speaker 1: Brown or play them together. Why not? You can do
20:51
Speaker 1: a Jeff Simms releak Brown stack here, and with Brown's
20:54
Speaker 1: price and other running backs in that price range, I
20:57
Speaker 1: doubt anybody's gonna play Sims like that, or very few
20:59
Speaker 1: people are going to play Sims with RALIEK. Brown. There's
21:03
Speaker 1: still no Jordan Tyson in the wide receiver room. Trauma
21:05
Speaker 1: Mattaire has had six or more targets in six of
21:08
Speaker 1: the last seven games. No big deal, right, but his
21:12
Speaker 1: price is getting up there. But again, stacking with Simms.
21:16
Speaker 1: If everybody's going to play Sims naked, pair them with
21:18
Speaker 1: a pass catcher, pair them with a running back. It's
21:20
Speaker 1: not about who you play, it's how you playing. Where
21:22
Speaker 1: have you heard that before? McLain and Moss are on
21:25
Speaker 1: the field enough that I mean, you could consider these guys.
21:28
Speaker 1: McLain did have the spike game. All of these guys
21:31
Speaker 1: certainly capable of catching a touchdown. But I do love
21:34
Speaker 1: this matchup for Arizona State. I just think there's so
21:36
Speaker 1: many ways you can play Jeff Sims and still get
21:38
Speaker 1: a little bit different with the rest of these guys,
21:39
Speaker 1: pairing them with them. Oklahoma at Alabama. Could Oklahoma pull
21:44
Speaker 1: up the upset for the second year in a row. Maybe.
21:48
Speaker 1: I mean the difference is this game is in Tuscaloose,
21:49
Speaker 1: so that one was in Norman. John Matier does have
21:54
Speaker 1: the bye week to get a little bit more healthy,
21:56
Speaker 1: and the last time we saw me, he did get
21:57
Speaker 1: the running game going a little bit more. Again, another
22:00
Speaker 1: quarterback in the AKS. You got to make a decision
22:02
Speaker 1: on It's not a great team total, tough road matchup.
22:07
Speaker 1: Maybe we get moneyline a tier, Maybe we don't. I
22:10
Speaker 1: don't know. It's tough to say because Alabama's been good,
22:14
Speaker 1: but John Myteer's pretty good too. This running back room,
22:19
Speaker 1: Zavie Robinson has looked pretty stellar and it seems like
22:22
Speaker 1: he's taken over the backfield. But Joe Barnes and Taylor
22:26
Speaker 1: Tatum are both questionable on the report. That's an upgrade
22:29
Speaker 1: because those guys haven't played in a while. I don't
22:32
Speaker 1: know how much it's going to factor in, but if
22:34
Speaker 1: we get Zavi Robinson at forty four hundred owning this backfield,
22:38
Speaker 1: I think you got to take a look at him.
22:40
Speaker 1: And then in this wide receiver room, it's been Isaiah
22:43
Speaker 1: Setania getting the target share for the most part. Dim
22:45
Speaker 1: Burks was a lot more involved against Tennessee, but again,
22:48
Speaker 1: this Oklahoma team has had another week to get healthy,
22:50
Speaker 1: and Keyantes Lewis has now upgraded the probable and he
22:53
Speaker 1: was pretty involved before he went down, but he went
22:56
Speaker 1: down before Jovanni Gibson was healthy. So now with all
22:59
Speaker 1: of these guy in the mix, I don't know if
23:01
Speaker 1: we're going to see all of the usage funnel to
23:03
Speaker 1: these top two guys Sataniam Burks. It almost makes me
23:07
Speaker 1: want to wait and see what this offense looks like
23:09
Speaker 1: with the wide receiver room healthy again and again tough matchups.
23:13
Speaker 1: So that kind of points me even more and more
23:16
Speaker 1: toward kind of avoiding this Oklahoma side. But as soon
23:20
Speaker 1: as I say it, that's maybe when we're going to
23:23
Speaker 1: get a spike game from one of these guys in
23:24
Speaker 1: the low owned dart just gets there. On the Alabama side,
23:29
Speaker 1: Ty Simpson, he's expensive. This is a really tough matchup.
23:34
Speaker 1: But Oklahoma's really only faced two solid passing teams and
23:37
Speaker 1: they both threw for three hundred Tennessee just nearly threw
23:39
Speaker 1: for four hundred yards on them, So there is still
23:42
Speaker 1: some upside here for Simpson especially. I mean, Simpson looks great.
23:48
Speaker 1: If they continue to run the ball poorly and all
23:49
Speaker 1: they can do is throw Oklahoma's run, he's really good.
23:52
Speaker 1: So unless they can find a spark, Jam Miller, Kevin Riley,
23:55
Speaker 1: Daniel Hill, all of them, maybe they get involved in
23:58
Speaker 1: the pass game. But I it's hard to play these
24:01
Speaker 1: running backs right now with the way Alabama has been playing.
24:04
Speaker 1: But that also means that Ryan Williams, Jeremy Bernard, they're
24:08
Speaker 1: still getting. Their production is pretty balanced with each other.
24:12
Speaker 1: But if Alabama's gonna throw a ton, I like them.
24:14
Speaker 1: But Lazier Brooks might be the best option because he's
24:16
Speaker 1: only four K and after missing a few games, maybe
24:21
Speaker 1: just missed one game, just a South Carolina game, he
24:23
Speaker 1: was right back to seven targets last week, and if
24:25
Speaker 1: he put that with his previous three games. It's nineteen
24:28
Speaker 1: targets over the last three games, so they're getting the
24:30
Speaker 1: freshmen involved. So four K I don't mind him. Maybe
24:34
Speaker 1: a good stack option with Simpson because Simpson's more expensive
24:37
Speaker 1: and Lazier Brooks gets you a little bit of value.
24:40
Speaker 1: It's it's gonna be a good real life football game.
24:42
Speaker 1: How much is there for DFS. I don't think it's
24:45
Speaker 1: as good for DFS as it is for real life viewing,
24:50
Speaker 1: but stranger things have happened. Oklahoma beat Alabama last year,
24:54
Speaker 1: Central Florida at Texas Tech. I am not going to
24:56
Speaker 1: talk much about the UCF side. Tavin Jackson's off the report,
24:59
Speaker 1: he's going to start moving on Miles Montgomery's questionable. Stacy
25:03
Speaker 1: Gage is already ruled out, so pretty much just leaves
25:06
Speaker 1: Jayden Nixon left in this backfield. But how much do
25:09
Speaker 1: we care? Texas Tech Bay for that defense and it's working.
25:14
Speaker 1: I don't think you can play UCF against his team again.
25:18
Speaker 1: Maybe you can lucksack your way into a couple of scores,
25:21
Speaker 1: like both of these projected touchdowns being to one wide
25:23
Speaker 1: receiver or one running back, but I don't know that
25:26
Speaker 1: it's worth it not on a slate like this on
25:29
Speaker 1: the Texas Tech side Big Boy team total with thirty
25:32
Speaker 1: six projected on the implied Baron Morton was in a
25:35
Speaker 1: boot earlier this week at practice, but he's still on
25:37
Speaker 1: track to play. He's listed as probable, but they might
25:40
Speaker 1: not need him to do much in this game, and
25:42
Speaker 1: that kind of makes me glad. He's priced up in
25:44
Speaker 1: the AK, so I just don't even have to worry
25:45
Speaker 1: about it. And if Texas Tech gets up, we know,
25:48
Speaker 1: we know they want to run the ball. Cam Dickey
25:51
Speaker 1: is the same price as Baron Morton. If you're going
25:54
Speaker 1: to do a side by side comparison, I think i'd
25:55
Speaker 1: lean Dicky just because of the volume, and I wouldn't
25:59
Speaker 1: be as of Texas Tech runs the ball forty five
26:01
Speaker 1: times now. One thing that could get Baron Morton there
26:05
Speaker 1: is Jacoby Williams catching an eighty yar and screen pass
26:07
Speaker 1: and maybe a long touchdown to one of his receivers.
26:10
Speaker 1: But Jacoby Williams is just underpriced. Again. I know he
26:13
Speaker 1: didn't quite get their last game, but at five K,
26:16
Speaker 1: I think you still take a chance on him here.
26:18
Speaker 1: I mean, he's solid value. All all four meats cash
26:23
Speaker 1: GPP single entry, you name it, I think he's still
26:26
Speaker 1: on your board. And then in this wide receiver room,
26:29
Speaker 1: Caleb Caleb Douglas had a six touchdown catch last week,
26:32
Speaker 1: but again more spread out usage in this wide receiver room,
26:37
Speaker 1: it's they're all in the five K to six K range.
26:40
Speaker 1: It just makes them harder to play. But that also
26:41
Speaker 1: means you're probably gonna get an ownership discount on a
26:44
Speaker 1: team with a thirty six point team total if they
26:46
Speaker 1: get there through the pass game early and you have
26:49
Speaker 1: the right wide receiver. It could be the difference in
26:52
Speaker 1: a GPP. But I really do like the running game
26:55
Speaker 1: for Texas Tech here, and you know Williams, if everybody's
26:59
Speaker 1: going to play him in cash, just pivot to Cam
27:01
Speaker 1: Dickey and find it's not true pivot. They're thirty one difference,
27:05
Speaker 1: But you know what I mean, maybe played Dicky instead
27:07
Speaker 1: of Williams. Virginia at Duke another another good looking competitive
27:14
Speaker 1: game and high total. Glad to see if Chandler Morris plays.
27:19
Speaker 1: He's in the concussion protocol. It sounds like he's on
27:22
Speaker 1: track to play, but the concussion protocol can be weird.
27:24
Speaker 1: You can get a setback at any time. Luckily we
27:26
Speaker 1: have the injury report, we'll have his availability. Just list
27:30
Speaker 1: them in or out, please, But if he goes, he's
27:33
Speaker 1: in a great spot. Duke's pass defense is not good.
27:36
Speaker 1: It's not so Chandler Morris eighty two hundred solid price.
27:40
Speaker 1: A lot of eight K range quarterbacks this week. We
27:43
Speaker 1: got one on the other side of this game too.
27:46
Speaker 1: Jamari Taylor might be the workiest of all workhorsebacks outside
27:49
Speaker 1: of maybe Jordan Marshall. Seventy seven hundred is a fair
27:52
Speaker 1: price because Noah Vaughn and is Xavier Brown are out
27:54
Speaker 1: again and Wayley just hasn't been involved enough to talk
27:57
Speaker 1: me off at Jamari Taylor. Duke's brandy defense is better
28:00
Speaker 1: than their pass defense, but honestly, I don't. It's not
28:04
Speaker 1: really saying much. Passing game. Trel Harris has been pretty
28:08
Speaker 1: consistent as of late draws. A really good matchup, you
28:11
Speaker 1: get a good discount on cam ross E. Dryan is
28:14
Speaker 1: still on the field and this has been getting more.
28:16
Speaker 1: You work with no Conway Twitty in the tight end room,
28:18
Speaker 1: so there's several ways to stack this UVA team. Like
28:21
Speaker 1: I said, I do like it a lot more. If
28:23
Speaker 1: Chandler Morris plays but there's a lot to love on
28:27
Speaker 1: this side, and as much as there is to love
28:29
Speaker 1: on the Virginia side, there's just as much to love
28:30
Speaker 1: on the duke side. Mensu's price back down roller coaster
28:33
Speaker 1: for him. Sixty five one week, ninety five the next,
28:36
Speaker 1: now back down to eight. Maybe they'll figure it out
28:38
Speaker 1: by the end of the season. We're only in week twelve.
28:40
Speaker 1: They still got time, but this price is a lot
28:43
Speaker 1: easier to swallow now. Virginia's pass defense has looked better
28:45
Speaker 1: since they played Louisville, but they faced the likes of
28:48
Speaker 1: Washington State, North Carolina Wake Forest. Mens is in a
28:52
Speaker 1: good spot with a high team total. Here Nate Shepherd,
28:56
Speaker 1: Nate Shepherd, our guy Hamhock called it last week in
28:59
Speaker 1: our discord that he really liked Nate Shepard set up
29:02
Speaker 1: for a big game and came to fruition. Gotta love
29:05
Speaker 1: that when that hits. But it seems like he's taking
29:07
Speaker 1: a hold of this backfield. So the usage is there
29:09
Speaker 1: if we continue to get that kind of volume, I
29:11
Speaker 1: don't mind him at eight K. If everybody else is
29:14
Speaker 1: going to be playing Marshall and Jamari Taylor on the
29:16
Speaker 1: other side of this game, why not play Shepard. He's
29:21
Speaker 1: in a good spot and if his ownership is down,
29:25
Speaker 1: I'll take the leverage. In the wide receiver room, still, Cooper,
29:28
Speaker 1: bar Kate and Kwaishan Brown is the primaries for pass catchers.
29:32
Speaker 1: Andrew Anthony has seen an uptick in target share lately
29:35
Speaker 1: and he's thirty seven hundred, so another value wide receiver.
29:39
Speaker 1: Makes it easy to stack somebody in the eight k's
29:42
Speaker 1: like Menso and then Hagens and Hazley are still involved.
29:45
Speaker 1: Outside of Barkate. This is where you get the value
29:48
Speaker 1: of the duke stack, though any one of these guys
29:49
Speaker 1: after him. It's just bar Kate gets so much of
29:52
Speaker 1: the target share if you can afford the seventy one hundred,
29:55
Speaker 1: He's still the top option in this duke offense. North
29:59
Speaker 1: Carolina State at my Emmy tough matchup for CJ. Bailey,
30:03
Speaker 1: but hey, a seven K quarterback, I think you can
30:06
Speaker 1: get to this Miami team through the air. It's just
30:09
Speaker 1: a matter of if North Carolina State can get to
30:11
Speaker 1: them through the year. I wouldn't be surprised if he
30:13
Speaker 1: has a decent DFS game. Just because of the way
30:15
Speaker 1: it's scripting out, They're gonna probably have to throw the
30:18
Speaker 1: ball a lot, and he can run if he needs to.
30:22
Speaker 1: This running back room, I don't know how much we're
30:24
Speaker 1: gonna target it, but we do have to watch the
30:25
Speaker 1: status of Hollywood Smothers. He did miss the last game,
30:28
Speaker 1: but Miami hasn't allowed more than three point eight yards
30:31
Speaker 1: per carry to anybody this year. And both of these guys,
30:35
Speaker 1: Smothers and Scott are involved in the pass game. We're
30:37
Speaker 1: just like with Scott, we're not getting the backup running
30:39
Speaker 1: back discount that we typically would, you know when there's
30:42
Speaker 1: a questionable lead back in the room. So I don't
30:46
Speaker 1: know how much of this running back room. I'm interested
30:48
Speaker 1: in the wide receiver room again, another another team that
30:52
Speaker 1: spreads the ball out a lot. Even if they do
30:54
Speaker 1: have success, it's going to be difficult to pinpoint which
30:56
Speaker 1: guy is gonna beat Jolian Rodgers do seem like the
30:59
Speaker 1: top two guys, and Jolie's questionable, So maybe you could
31:02
Speaker 1: get some Noah Rodgers leverage. And at thirty three hundred
31:05
Speaker 1: for a wide receiver one, I don't hate it, but
31:07
Speaker 1: it could be Anderson grimeser Hoffman too. If North Carolina
31:13
Speaker 1: State scores, I do got to put that caveat and
31:15
Speaker 1: they're projected to score twenty and a half points. I
31:16
Speaker 1: don't know how they're going to get that half point,
31:18
Speaker 1: but you know what I mean, if if it funnels
31:21
Speaker 1: to one of these guys, it could be another leverage spot.
31:24
Speaker 1: Just a very tough matchup on the Miami side. Carson Beck,
31:30
Speaker 1: a quarterback in the seven k's on this slate that
31:33
Speaker 1: seems to be a value, so he's in a solid matchup.
31:37
Speaker 1: Hasn't shown much of a ceiling this year, but teams
31:39
Speaker 1: have been absolutely torch against the State through the air.
31:42
Speaker 1: So I don't hate Carson Beck at seventy seven hundred.
31:46
Speaker 1: And if you're going to play Carson Beck, Malachai Toni
31:50
Speaker 1: is a receiver you can stack him with. He's finally
31:52
Speaker 1: priced back up, but with Beck's price staying under control,
31:55
Speaker 1: it makes for an easier stack. CJ. Daniels, though now
31:59
Speaker 1: off the report or so he's fine a stack as well.
32:02
Speaker 1: Get a discount from Malachi Tony. But that could also
32:04
Speaker 1: be a reason to play Malachi Tony if CJ. Daniels
32:07
Speaker 1: is going to take some of the attention off for
32:09
Speaker 1: that defense and Tony's left more a little bit on
32:11
Speaker 1: an Island. In terms of what happens after that, it's
32:16
Speaker 1: going to be tougher to pinpoint. I think Jojo Trader
32:18
Speaker 1: has earned his spot in this rotation, and he's only
32:21
Speaker 1: thirty one hundred. So if you want to pay up
32:24
Speaker 1: for these running backs, you might need a guy like
32:26
Speaker 1: Trader in your lineup to help do that. Keelan, Marion
32:31
Speaker 1: Josh Moore might be the guys that are squeezed with
32:33
Speaker 1: Daniel's back, but Tony Johnson is also still out. Not
32:36
Speaker 1: that he was a mainstay in this passing game, but
32:39
Speaker 1: just having fewer mouths to feed is really these top
32:43
Speaker 1: three guys that I'm interested in. I don't know if
32:46
Speaker 1: I'll get to Marion and more, but again I wouldn't
32:48
Speaker 1: be surprised. But the biggest risk to these receivers is
32:52
Speaker 1: Miami running the ball more. I even in blowouts, we've
32:55
Speaker 1: seen Miami throw the ball thirty or more times. I
33:00
Speaker 1: do think getting ahead and running the ball just leads
33:03
Speaker 1: me to Marty Brown forty five hundred. Mark Fletcher's out again,
33:08
Speaker 1: and Brown got a bulk of the work. Jordan Lyle
33:10
Speaker 1: did start, so you see he started the game. He
33:12
Speaker 1: may start this game. He very well could too, but
33:14
Speaker 1: Marty Brown has been getting a bulk of the workload
33:18
Speaker 1: behind Fletcher, and now without Fletcher, we did see some
33:21
Speaker 1: Gerard Pringle, so we could see him in this game too,
33:24
Speaker 1: especially if Miami gets up early. But this backfield is
33:27
Speaker 1: all cheap Marty Brown being the top guy. I don't
33:31
Speaker 1: know if you take a shot on Lyle or Pringle,
33:33
Speaker 1: but I would certainly wouldn't be surprised if one of
33:36
Speaker 1: those guys finds the flame emoji next to their DraftKings score.
33:40
Speaker 1: Iowa USC is going to be rainy in Los Angeles.
33:46
Speaker 1: Some forecast models show it's gonna start raining on Friday
33:49
Speaker 1: morning and not stop un till Sunday. And I don't
33:52
Speaker 1: know if you know this, but the coliseum is a
33:53
Speaker 1: natural grass field. I don't think that hurts Iowa, though,
33:58
Speaker 1: I think that might help Iowa because Iowa doesn't throw
34:01
Speaker 1: the ball, and when they do, they don't throw it
34:03
Speaker 1: very far. So Mark Gronowski I think is actually an okay,
34:06
Speaker 1: cheap option this week. You're not playing him for his arm.
34:09
Speaker 1: He has at least one rushing touchdown in every single game.
34:11
Speaker 1: And let me check my probability notes. It seems like
34:16
Speaker 1: the data tells me is probably gonna happen again. Of course,
34:19
Speaker 1: now that I say that, this will be the one
34:20
Speaker 1: week that he doesn't. But Iowa's running game might get
34:24
Speaker 1: a little bit of a bump here just because they're
34:26
Speaker 1: not going to be able to throw even more. And
34:28
Speaker 1: Kamari Moulton's part of that running game. He had Caleb
34:30
Speaker 1: Johnson type numbers last week in terms of volume. Not
34:34
Speaker 1: super efficient, but an easier matchup this week against USC
34:37
Speaker 1: than it was against Oregon, and USC's run defense has
34:41
Speaker 1: been a little bit easier to move the ball on
34:43
Speaker 1: the back half of the season, So he's a solid
34:44
Speaker 1: option in the six K range, and other guys will
34:47
Speaker 1: mix in, but it's really Gronowski and Molten and I'm
34:49
Speaker 1: not going to talk about these wide receivers, not going
34:51
Speaker 1: to mention one name. I'm going to skip right, scroll
34:53
Speaker 1: scroll scroll, sweet saving some time with the Iowa passing game.
34:57
Speaker 1: On the USC side, Jade my av has been up
34:59
Speaker 1: and down. When he's up, it's great. When he's down,
35:02
Speaker 1: it's not. I don't love the matchup here. Rutgers is
35:05
Speaker 1: still the only team that's throwing the ball on Iowa,
35:07
Speaker 1: which is weird. But again with the weather forecast, will
35:12
Speaker 1: obviously have to watch it closer to the slate locking
35:16
Speaker 1: and closer to the I mean the two thirty games
35:19
Speaker 1: locking two thirty lords time zone. Don't at me about
35:21
Speaker 1: the Eastern time zone. I don't care. I care about you.
35:25
Speaker 1: I just don't care about what time it is. But
35:29
Speaker 1: it's just the weather Iowas defense, the roller coaster nature
35:33
Speaker 1: of my Ava's game for DFS this year is kind
35:34
Speaker 1: of kind of what's leading me to stray away from him.
35:38
Speaker 1: But King Miller, on the other hand, is the same
35:40
Speaker 1: price as my Ava, but he's been just an absolute
35:44
Speaker 1: stud since taking over this backfield. Oregon just ran for
35:47
Speaker 1: two hundred and sixty one yards and it wasn't on volume.
35:49
Speaker 1: They averaged more than seven yards of carry. So even
35:52
Speaker 1: at this price, I think you're getting giving King Miller
35:54
Speaker 1: a look. And if people are going to funnel to
35:57
Speaker 1: those seven K running backs, this could be a pivot.
36:00
Speaker 1: There's no reason King Miller can't outscore Jamari Taylor. It's
36:04
Speaker 1: very possible. So again, play in the game, get your
36:07
Speaker 1: leverage on players like Miller that we've seen the volume
36:13
Speaker 1: from before akaile Lemon, Jacobe Lane. The primary focus of
36:18
Speaker 1: this passing game. Again. I think the weather's going to
36:23
Speaker 1: have an impact. But if they are going to be
36:25
Speaker 1: able to throw the ball is probably gonna be to
36:27
Speaker 1: these two guys. Maybe the weather gives Lake McKee McCree
36:30
Speaker 1: a little bit of a bump just because he's a
36:31
Speaker 1: tight end you don't have to throw the ball as
36:33
Speaker 1: far and he's a big dude. But if you're playing,
36:36
Speaker 1: if you're playing this passing game, you're probably still looking
36:38
Speaker 1: at Lemon and Lane his good. Nah, I'm not. It
36:43
Speaker 1: might be sneaky, you know what. I'm gonna call it
36:45
Speaker 1: a maybe sneaky game, just because Iowa has shown the
36:49
Speaker 1: ability to put up points when they need to, except
36:52
Speaker 1: when they lose to Oregon. Penn State at Michigan State,
36:56
Speaker 1: Penn State great game against Indiana. Do you think they
36:59
Speaker 1: keep the moment? I don't know. This seems like a
37:02
Speaker 1: letdown spot on the road against Michigan State. A team
37:04
Speaker 1: that sucks everything on the drawing board tells me, let down,
37:08
Speaker 1: let down, let down. But we got to play the
37:11
Speaker 1: game and Penn State still has a lot of good
37:14
Speaker 1: players on their team. Ethan Grunka Meyer is not I mean,
37:18
Speaker 1: it's a solid matchup he's just eighty two hundred, and
37:20
Speaker 1: we've already talked about all of the other A K quarterbacks.
37:22
Speaker 1: I don't know why you click grunk and Meyer's name.
37:25
Speaker 1: Maybe you want a guy at one percent ownership in
37:27
Speaker 1: a good matchup, But the running back room, I am
37:30
Speaker 1: still interested in. Kate tron Allen has been the constant
37:32
Speaker 1: this season. He's been good in almost every game. But
37:35
Speaker 1: you get a major, major discount on Nick Singleton, who
37:37
Speaker 1: just had a huge game against Indiana. Again, great matchup
37:40
Speaker 1: for both. I think you can consider both. They want
37:43
Speaker 1: to keep their draft stock high. I don't know that
37:45
Speaker 1: a down game against Michigan State is going to affect
37:47
Speaker 1: that too much, but I do like these runners, and
37:50
Speaker 1: Trevor Pana is just simply under price. One of those
37:53
Speaker 1: weird scenarios. You could even get away with a running
37:55
Speaker 1: back wide receiver stack and not play the quarterback just
37:58
Speaker 1: because of the way pricing shapes up. But it's like,
38:02
Speaker 1: I don't mind throwing a few pen steak guys in
38:04
Speaker 1: your playerpool. Here on the Michigan State side, we have
38:07
Speaker 1: a quarterback battle aid and Chili's got benched against Minnesota,
38:11
Speaker 1: so it was Alessio Milavoyevich. Let's take a moment to celebrate.
38:16
Speaker 1: I did practice that one and I think I nailed it.
38:19
Speaker 1: Millia Voyevich got the start, like I said, against Minnesota,
38:22
Speaker 1: and he looked pretty good. And if you look at
38:25
Speaker 1: these two quarterbacks are very different. Chili's has more of
38:27
Speaker 1: the I know it's child's, I'm just hungry. He has
38:31
Speaker 1: more of the rushing upside. And miller Voyevich is kind
38:33
Speaker 1: of the pocket passer. I've seen him described as a
38:35
Speaker 1: sniper procket pocket passer, which I can believe he did.
38:39
Speaker 1: Like I said, he chucked that pigskin. So at sixty
38:42
Speaker 1: one hundred, maybe like maybe the best value quarterback on
38:46
Speaker 1: the slate. I know there's not very many because everybody
38:49
Speaker 1: else is priced in the eight case, but millia Voyevich.
38:52
Speaker 1: Don't ignore the fact that he can do a lot
38:55
Speaker 1: to help your lineup builds if you want to pay
38:57
Speaker 1: up at running back and wide receiver and the running
39:00
Speaker 1: back room will have to check the status of Makai Frazier.
39:02
Speaker 1: He missed against Minnesota without Elijah Tao. Tolliver finally had
39:06
Speaker 1: the game we thought he was going to have earlier
39:07
Speaker 1: in the season. Brandon Tallis is still going to split
39:11
Speaker 1: in all likelihood, But Penn State's a much better run
39:13
Speaker 1: defense than the Gophers. Hate to admit it, but it's true.
39:17
Speaker 1: Gotta face the facts. Minnesota is not very good run defense.
39:21
Speaker 1: Probably not going to these guys though the wide receiver room.
39:24
Speaker 1: Nick Marsh is an obvious name when it comes to
39:26
Speaker 1: Michigan State, but he's just expensive. And when you get
39:29
Speaker 1: him at six k and you see guys like a
39:31
Speaker 1: Mariy Kelly at three to three who had three more
39:33
Speaker 1: targets and four more catches than Marsh with Milivoyevich at quarterback,
39:38
Speaker 1: I don't know how you take that twenty seven hundred
39:41
Speaker 1: dollars price jump to Nick Marsh and Rodney Bullard had
39:44
Speaker 1: a huge increase role in the game against Minnesota. So
39:47
Speaker 1: at these prices, I don't mind Bullet and Kelly is
39:50
Speaker 1: one offs in this game, especially what a weird stack
39:53
Speaker 1: you could do like a Singleton, paynya Marie Kelly and
39:59
Speaker 1: Milliavoyevitch act and pay up everywhere else. It's gross, but
40:05
Speaker 1: tell me it's not gonna work. Tell me this game
40:08
Speaker 1: it might. I think it's I think it's a great
40:10
Speaker 1: way to get some of these higher priced guys all
40:13
Speaker 1: in the same lineup over the rest of the slate.
40:15
Speaker 1: But that's gonna do it for Week twelve preview show. Again,
40:20
Speaker 1: I think there's a lot of sneaky spots here, whether
40:22
Speaker 1: it's the Notre Dame Pittsburgh game. You think Pittsburgh keeps
40:24
Speaker 1: it close. Northwestern everybody's gonna ignore them, but they got
40:27
Speaker 1: a stud running back. There's a lot of different ways
40:29
Speaker 1: you can go on this slate, and I think it's
40:30
Speaker 1: gonna be pretty easy to get different. We're going to
40:33
Speaker 1: see some ownership funnel to these guys like Jordan Marshall.
40:37
Speaker 1: We're gonna see ownership funnel to Jeff Sims. So there's
40:39
Speaker 1: plenty of opportunity to pivot off of those guys. But
40:42
Speaker 1: that's gonna do it for the show. We're gonna end
40:43
Speaker 1: the show the same way we do every single week.
40:45
Speaker 1: Rule Number one, college football is fun. Enjoy the process,
40:49
Speaker 1: enjoy the sweats, enjoy building your lineups. Just be thankful
40:52
Speaker 1: that we have the opportunity to watch college football on TV,
40:55
Speaker 1: and even more thankful that we get to play college
40:57
Speaker 1: football daily fantasy sports. Most importantly, do not ever take
41:02
Speaker 1: a single day for granted. We never know when our
41:03
Speaker 1: last one's going to be in, and it's never enough.
41:07
Speaker 1: But that's going to do it for this week's college
41:09
Speaker 1: football show. I will see you in the streets this weekend.
41:12
Speaker 1: Let's go out there. Ship one for the big guy.