Latest / Investor Exchange / First REIT: 1H 2025 Performance and Strategic Outlook
Transcript
- 0:02Time for another Investor Exchange podcast. Here are your hosts, Matt and Sally.
- 0:08Welcome to The Deep Dive, your ultimate shortcut to being truly well-informed.
- 0:12We know you're busy, so instead of you wading through stacks of financial reports,
- 0:15research, all that paper yourself, we do the heavy lifting for you. Our mission?
- 0:20Well, it's to pull out the most important bits of knowledge,
- 0:23the real insights, and hopefully keep you hooked with may be a surprising factor to along the way.
- 0:28Today, we're diving deep into the recent financials and the outlook for First
- 0:33Real Estate Investment Trust, First REIT.
- 0:36They're a pretty unique player in that healthcare real estate space.
- 0:40We've got their interim financial statements, their presentation slides,
- 0:43and the press release right here.
- 0:45We're going to unpack it all, helping you understand what's really driving the numbers.
- 0:48So first, just a quick overview. First, wheat.
- 0:51Singapore's first healthcare REIT. They focus specifically on income-producing
- 0:55properties, mostly healthcare, across Asia.
- 0:58So think hospitals, nursing homes.
- 1:00They've got 32 properties spread across Indonesia, Singapore, and Japan.
- 1:04And what jumps out straight away, really, is this 100% occupancy rate.
- 1:08Yeah, that's quite something.
- 1:09And a weighted average lease expiry, the whale of 10.1 years.
- 1:13That sounds, well, pretty rock solid on the surface, right? It's certainly signal stability, yeah.
- 1:17Long leases, fully occupied. Okay, so let's unpack the headline numbers then.
- 1:21First half of 2025 1h 2025 compared
- 1:25to last year because you know for a health care REIT you'd expect stability
- 1:28like we said pillar of stability almost seeing these initial numbers it does
- 1:32make you um scratch your head a bit it begs the question is something actually
- 1:37shaky here or are we missing a key piece of the puzzle so looking at the figures
- 1:41in Singapore dollars STD.
- 1:43We saw declines pretty much across the board. Rental and other income,
- 1:47net property income, the distributable amount, all down. Around 3% to 5% drops.
- 1:52For example, rental income dipped 2.9% to $65 million.
- 1:55But the one that hits home for unit holders usually is the distribution per
- 1:58unit, the DPU. For one age 2025, that saw a 5.8% reduction.
- 2:03Fell to 1.13 Singapore cents from 1.20 cents last year. That's a noticeable drop.
- 2:08Yeah, and even quarter on quarter Q2 was down a bit from Q1.
- 2:11Plus, there was a slight increase in the total issued units,
- 2:15about 0.8 percent. Tiny.
- 2:17But it contributes to that DPU dilution, too. So my first thought is, why?
- 2:22Why these downward trends in what should be a resilient sector?
- 2:27That's absolutely the crucial question to start with. It really gets to the
- 2:30core of understanding these results.
- 2:32And what's fascinating here, right, is that the primary reason for these drops,
- 2:36when you look at them in sing-dollar terms, it isn't really about the performance
- 2:40of the actual properties.
- 2:41It's almost entirely down to currency fluctuations, specifically the big depreciation
- 2:48of the Indonesian rupiah and the Japanese yen against the Singapore dollar.
- 2:53Think of it like this, maybe. If you earned your salary in yen,
- 2:56but all your bills were in Singapore dollars and the yen suddenly tanked.
- 2:59Your buying power just shrinks, even if the yen salary didn't change. Exactly.
- 3:03Even if your yen salary didn't change.
- 3:06First REIT is facing that. on a much larger scale, converting those foreign earnings back home.
- 3:10Okay. So it's like there are hospitals in Indonesia, there are nursing homes
- 3:14in Japan, they're earning good rent in rupiah or yen.
- 3:17But when first REIT brings that money back to Singapore, converts it to SGD,
- 3:22they lose a chunk just on the exchange rate.
- 3:25Not because the assets aren't performing. Is that fair? That's a perfect analogy.
- 3:28It's a direct currency translation effect, purely that.
- 3:31And this is where the picture gets really interesting. Because if you strip
- 3:34out that currency impact, if you look at what happened in local currency terms,
- 3:39the underlying operational strength.
- 3:42It becomes very clear. Okay, tell me more. Well, for instance,
- 3:45their properties in Indonesia, they actually saw a pretty healthy 5.5% increase
- 3:50in rental income in rupiah term. 5.5% increase, okay. Yeah.
- 3:54And in Singapore, their properties recorded a solid 2.0% increase in rental income. Right.
- 4:00And in Japan, rental income in yen terms remained stable.
- 4:04So the assets themselves locally are doing fine, generating more rent or holding steady. Exactly.
- 4:09Robust performance in their local markets. The dip you see reported in SGD is,
- 4:14well, largely an accounting and conversion thing. That's a really powerful distinction.
- 4:18Strong local operations sort of masked by these currency headwinds.
- 4:22But beyond that big currency story, were there other things going on financially,
- 4:27maybe positive shifts, negative shifts, costs, accounting things that shake
- 4:32the overall picture? Oh, certainly.
- 4:34There were definitely other factors at play. I mean, beyond the currency,
- 4:37their cost management looks pretty effective, too. property operating expenses
- 4:40actually decreased by a notable 9.3% down to S1.5 million dollars.
- 4:46Oh, interesting. Why was that?
- 4:48It was mainly due to lower expenses in both Japan and Indonesia.
- 4:52So good control there. And even the manager's management fees decreased by 2.5%
- 4:57to S4.2 million dollars.
- 4:59That's kind of linked actually to the lower total asset and net property income
- 5:03figures after you factor in the currency weakening.
- 5:05I see a knock-on effect. And on the debt side, which is always important,
- 5:09a positive sign, finance costs actually fell slightly by $7.4 million to $10.9 million.
- 5:15And that's because? They attributed that to easing interest rate conditions.
- 5:19So that's a direct saving.
- 5:20Helps the bottom line. Okay. Any other big movers on the statements?
- 5:24Yeah. A couple of noteworthy things. For instance, they reported net fair value
- 5:29gains on their investment properties as $2.6 million for the first half. Gains. After. Exactly.
- 5:36That's a huge turnaround from the S6.2 million dollar loss they booked in the first half of 2024.
- 5:41Wow. What does that tell us? Well, for a REIT, that's crucial.
- 5:45It speaks to the perceived market value, the long-term health of their core assets.
- 5:50It's a strong counter-narrative to just focusing on the currency impact,
- 5:54suggests revaluations are moving favorably again. OK, that's definitely positive.
- 5:58But on the flip side, you have to balance that. They also incurred net foreign
- 6:02exchange losses of S3.8 million dollars. Ah, the currency again.
- 6:07But losses how? Yeah, and crucially, S1.7 million dollars of these were realized losses.
- 6:13This isn't just paper translation. It's largely from actually moving funds,
- 6:16remitting cash, mainly from Indonesia back to Singapore.
- 6:20So like that analogy earlier, you earn money in rupiah, you convert it to SGD
- 6:23to bring home, and if rupiah drops just then, you literally get fewer dollars in your hand.
- 6:28Precisely. It's a real cash impact. And that directly hit the amount of cash
- 6:32they had available for distribution. It shows currency isn't just a spreadsheet
- 6:35number, it affects the cash. Got it.
- 6:37Anything else on the expense side? Just briefly, income tax expenses also decreased
- 6:41by 4.0% to S7.4 million dollars.
- 6:46That was also partly due to the weaker JPY and IDR, plus lower deferred tax
- 6:51provisions for their Japan subsidiary.
- 6:53Okay. So if you synthesize all that, operations were strong locally,
- 6:56cost control was good, finance costs eased, property value saw gains.
- 7:00But those currency movements, especially the realized FX losses from remittances,
- 7:05they really did distort the overall financial picture when you report it all
- 7:08back in Singapore dollars.
- 7:10That context is incredibly helpful. It really paints a much clearer picture,
- 7:14that operational versus translation story.
- 7:16OK, let's pivot then. Let's shift focus to their balance sheet. Capital management.
- 7:20How healthy is the foundation? We saw the net asset value, the NEV per unit,
- 7:25decline by about 6.5%, down to 26.75 Singapore cents from 28.60 cents at the end of last year.
- 7:32And again, it seems like that weaker Indonesian rupiah hitting the property
- 7:36valuations when converted played a big part there. That's right.
- 7:39The asset value, when translated back to SGD, takes a hit from the weaker rupiah.
- 7:44It affects the NAV calculation directly. Right.
- 7:46Now, looking at their debt, their borrowings, total borrowings nudged up slightly
- 7:50to S461.8 million dollars from S453.5 million dollars.
- 7:56They mentioned that was mainly due to drawing down loans for working capital.
- 7:58Seems straightforward.
- 7:59Pretty standard. Yeah. But here's something that, you know, might make you pause initially.
- 8:03A really significant jump in current liabilities. From S18.2 million dollars
- 8:08up to S263.3 million dollars, that's a huge leap. What's driving such a dramatic change?
- 8:13Yeah, that number definitely jumps out at you on the page. But the explanation is quite specific.
- 8:17That seemingly large increase, it's almost entirely due to one thing.
- 8:22The reclassification of a big loan. The S246.7 million dollar social term loan A.
- 8:30Reclassification. From what to what? From non-current liabilities to current
- 8:34liabilities. Simply because its official maturity date is May 2026.
- 8:39And accounting rules say if a loan matures within the next 12 months from the
- 8:42balance sheet date, you have to classify it as current.
- 8:45Okay, so it's an accounting requirement because the clock is ticking towards May 2026. Exactly.
- 8:50However, and this is the absolutely crucial detail here, the trust has an option.
- 8:55An option. Yes, they have a prearranged option to extend this specific bank
- 8:59loan for another two years beyond May 2026.
- 9:03Ah, so even though it's technically current on the books now?
- 9:06They don't actually have to refinance it right away. They can trigger that extension.
- 9:09Which means effectively no immediate refinancing crunch until potentially May
- 9:152028 if they take the extension.
- 9:17Well, the option is for two years, so likely pushes the need out to May 2028
- 9:22if exercised. The key point is no requirement until May 2026 at the earliest,
- 9:27and they have control over pushing it further.
- 9:30Right. OK, that context completely changes the perception of that big liability jump.
- 9:35It's not an immediate liquidity crisis. It's an accounting move with a safety
- 9:40net built in. Precisely.
- 9:42It's important context, and it reflects on their overall capital management,
- 9:45which actually remains quite robust.
- 9:47Their gearing ratio, for instance, is at 41.2%. Yes, it's up slightly from 39.6%
- 9:53at the end of 2024, but still reasonable. And the ICR?
- 9:56The interest coverage ratio, or ICR, held strong at 3.7 times.
- 10:00That indicates they can comfortably cover their interest payments from their earnings.
- 10:04Their all-in cost of debt is currently 4.8%. And they've been quite proactive
- 10:08in managing risk here. How so?
- 10:10Well, 56.2% of their total debt is currently on fixed rates or has been hedged
- 10:15against interest rate movements. So more than half is protected from rate hikes.
- 10:19Exactly. It demonstrates a strategic approach. They're trying to mitigate both
- 10:22interest rate and currency volatility, especially thinking about those cash
- 10:26flows coming in from Indonesia and Japan.
- 10:29Hedging strategies, you mean, like forward contracts. Precisely.
- 10:32The reports mention they're using strategies like forward contracts to protect
- 10:36those income streams from currency swings.
- 10:38Given the environment we've been discussing, that foresight is absolutely critical.
- 10:42That definitely sounds reassuring, especially with those persistent currency headwinds.
- 10:47Okay, before we look ahead, there was one other small note in the reports about tenant arrears.
- 10:52Can you just quickly touch on that? The outstanding rental from PT Metropolis,
- 10:56Propertindo, Utama, PT and MPU.
- 10:59Is that significant? Right, PT and MPU. As of the end of June 2025,
- 11:04there was about $7.0 million outstanding in total from them. It breaks down roughly.
- 11:09S3.3 million dollars related to mall properties they operate and S3.7 million
- 11:14dollars related to the hospital portion.
- 11:17Okay, S7 million dollars isn't insignificant. No, but there's important context again.
- 11:21For the hospital portion, that S3.7 million dollars, there's a security deposit
- 11:26held from Salome Hospitals Group, the main operator worth S4.0 million dollars.
- 11:31Ah, so the hospital part is fully covered by the deposit. Effectively, yes.
- 11:35That deposit covers those specific arrears. And furthermore...
- 11:39First REIT received about $6.9 million in payment from PTNPU in July 2025.
- 11:45Just after the reporting period.
- 11:47Okay, so progress is being made. Yes, it shows they're actively engaged with
- 11:50PTNPU to sort out the outstanding amounts.
- 11:53So while it's something to monitor, there are mechanisms in place to mitigate
- 11:56the risk, and they seem to be making headway. Good to know.
- 11:59Okay, so we've dug through the numbers, the currency impact, the balance sheet.
- 12:03What does this all mean looking forward? What's the outlook for First REIT,
- 12:07especially with this fascinating mix of strong local operations but challenging
- 12:11external currency pressures?
- 12:13Well, the reports themselves paint a picture of, frankly, heightened uncertainty
- 12:17and volatility in the global landscape.
- 12:19That's the backdrop. We're seeing uneven growth patterns across different regions,
- 12:24shifts in trade policies, geopolitical tensions are definitely up.
- 12:27It's a complex environment. And specifically for Asia. The IMF,
- 12:31the International Monetary Fund,
- 12:33they project Asia's overall regional growth to actually slow down a bit in 2025
- 12:37to 3.9 percent down from 4.6 percent estimated for 2024. Why the slogan?
- 12:43They cite things like lower demand from outside the region, sort of a muted
- 12:47technology cycle and weaker private consumption within Asia itself.
- 12:52These are broad headwinds that any business operating across the region like
- 12:55First REIT will have to navigate. And I'm guessing the currency volatility that
- 12:59hit their reported numbers so hard, that's not expected to just disappear,
- 13:03is it? You are absolutely right.
- 13:04Currency volatility is expected to remain a really persistent theme,
- 13:08especially across Asia.
- 13:09Look at the Indonesian rupiah. It faced significant depreciation enough that
- 13:13Bank Indonesia had to intervene in the market back in June 2025.
- 13:17That shows the pressure. And the Japanese yen, similarly, has continued to weaken.
- 13:23That's largely driven by the big gap between U.S.
- 13:26Interest rates and Japan's very low rates.
- 13:28The Bank of Japan seems pretty cautious about hiking rates much further so that gap might persist.
- 13:33So those external currency factors are likely to keep influencing First REIT's
- 13:38SGD-reported financials.
- 13:39Regardless of how well the actual hospitals are doing locally.
- 13:43It seems very likely, yes. That's a key risk they'll continue to manage.
- 13:47And just on a strategic note, the reports mention that First REIT's strategic
- 13:51review is still ongoing.
- 13:53What's the aim of that? The stated goal is to deliver long-term sustainable
- 13:56value for their unit holders.
- 13:58So it's essentially their internal process for figuring out the best path forward
- 14:02in this complex environment.
- 14:04They say updates will come as material developments occur. That review is really
- 14:08their core response to navigating these challenges and trying to build future value.
- 14:12Okay, so let's try and bring it all together for you, the listener.
- 14:15First tweet is showing this really intriguing split almost.
- 14:19On one hand, you have strong operational performance within its local markets.
- 14:24Indonesia, Singapore, Japan.
- 14:26The properties seem to be generating robust rental income and local money.
- 14:30They're managing costs well. But on the other hand, their overall financial
- 14:34results, especially when you translate everything back into Singapore dollars,
- 14:37are being significantly hit by this precipice.
- 14:40Music.