Latest / Brian Thomas / Daniel Davis Deep Dive

Transcript

Daniel Davis Deep Dive · Brian Thomas

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: The Talk Station.
• 0:03
  Speaker 2: 829-55-KRC, The Talk Station. It is that time of week.
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: Always look forward to this time as well. There's quite
• 0:07
  Speaker 2: a few times during the week I look forward to.
• 0:09
  Speaker 2: The Daniel Davis Deep Dive is what we call the segment.
• 0:11
  Speaker 2: That's the podcast, too. You can find retired Lieutenant Colonel
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: Daniel Davis Deep Dive wherever you get your podcasts. And,
• 0:16
  Speaker 2: of course, you can tune in every Tuesday at this
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: moment in time to hear what he has to say live.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: Daniel Davis, welcome back, my friend. Pleasure having you on.
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: You know, it's always a pleasure to be here. Thanks
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: for having me.
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: I'm glad you enjoy it because I thoroughly do. And
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: you've got all kinds of inside access and resources in
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: connection with these wars that are being waged around. And
• 0:34
  Speaker 2: before we get to unpackaging what's going on with the
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: Iranians and the re-fortification of the nuclear sites and everything
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: that's going on there and whether or not we're going
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: to bomb before the election or after the election, what's
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: going on with Vladimir Putin and Zelenskyy? Because the Trump administration,
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: Donald Trump announced that he wants them to stop bombing
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: each other's oil infrastructure because we got a global shortage of,
• 0:59
  Speaker 2: of course, petroleum products, most notably diesel. Within moments of
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: Trump saying, don't break the deal, we got the Russians
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: bombing a power plant in Kiev and a thermal power
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: plant in Kharkiv, among others. They didn't listen to him.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: And then now Donald Trump is calling for Zelensky to
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: step down and have a new election. Can you provide
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: a Daniel Davis deep dive unpackaging of this? Because I'm
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: a little confused of where we are.
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: Yeah, this is more wishful thinking from President Trump because
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: he posted on True Social that both sides had agreed
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: to an energy ceasefire. And he said, you better not
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: break it. Problem is, neither side agreed to an energy ceasefire.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: Ukraine didn't do it. Russia didn't do it. So Russia's like, hey,
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: that was not part of our deal. diesel deal we
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: didn't say anything about a ceasefire we're still in the
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: war we're willing to sell you diesel but we're not
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: stopping our war And then Zelensky, for his part, says, yeah,
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: you know, a ceasefire would be great. As a matter
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: of fact, maybe you can give me a couple of months.
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: You want me to have a new election? You want
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: a new president? That's fine. We'll do that. But I
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: need two months of a complete and total ceasefire in
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: order to get ready for the elections or something, which
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: the Russians have said, yeah, that's not going to happen.
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: We'll give you a few days, maybe, and we'll give
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: a complete ceasefire so you can have your elections, but
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: on our terms, not on yours. And of course, now
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: the war continues on. Zelensky, just this morning, posted one
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: more time. He said, for the second straight night, we
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: did not attack any of the Russian energy infrastructure, implying
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: that that's got an expiration date. And if I keep
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: getting hit, I'm going to go back to hitting two.
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: And then we'll find out what President Trump does in between.
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: But just one point, this happened also on the 14th
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: of September, where Trump declared on Truth Social that both
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: sides had agreed to an energy ceasefire. And that time,
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: it was Ukraine that launched an attack against Russian infrastructure
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: within three hours of And this time it was the
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: Russians that did, but the Russians never agreed to anything.
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: So it's a big mess.
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: Oh, and we had that memorandum of understanding with the
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: Iranians that about five minutes after that thing was signed,
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: the Iranians started bombing boats. I just ask you this.
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: I don't want to sound like I'm being overly critical
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: of Trump, but it seems to me that there has
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: to be some strategy because quite often he comes out
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: and says something that is just not accurate in this
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: particular case. He said out loud, both parties agree to it.
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: You know it. I know it. The realities of what
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: happened in real world time with the bombing, they didn't
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: agree to it. They came out loud and said it.
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: Why would he subject himself to that kind of criticism?
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: Is there something that I'm missing in the strategy on
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: saying it?
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: Well, there might be something that we're just not willing
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: to acknowledge because it's uncomfortable. And that is that President
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: Trump could be having some genuine cognitive decline problems. Because yesterday,
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: I don't know if you saw yesterday afternoon, One of
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: the reporters out in front of the White House asked him,
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: they said, hey, you said that there was an agreement
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: on both sides, but both sides said there was no agreement.
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: What do you say? And he goes, you know what?
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: There was an agreement. You know why? Because I said
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: there was. And, you know, everybody's kind of looking at
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: each other like, what? Just because you say it doesn't
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: mean that it's true. But somehow in his mind that
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: did because he was pretty angry about it. And now
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: that everybody else, and that means Zelensky, that means the Europeans,
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: that means the Russians, everybody's got to try to figure
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: out what is President Trump going to do? What does
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: he mean? And if we don't do what he imagines
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: we agree to, what is he going to do in response?
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: And I mean, that's both sides, adversaries and allies alike.
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: We all have to try to figure it out. And
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: that is no way to do international business.
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: Well, that's kind of my take on it. Again, I,
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: you know, I can hear the listeners screaming at the radio. Ah,
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: he's part of the conspiracy theory that, you know, it's
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: Trump's not Biden. He's much better than all I can
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: say is, well, he did say both sides agreed and
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: both sides said they did not agree. So how do
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: you make sense of it? It's a legitimate question, Daniel Davis.
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: I just have to say it out loud. So in
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: the ceasefire component, I guess I'm wondering why, But that
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: would inure to Zelensky's benefit because if he had a
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: short time to cease fire, obviously drone production goes on 24-7.
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: They can build up a lot of additional drone resources
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: that they can launch on the Russians if they get
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: a two-month pause in the bombing. The Russians obviously don't
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: have any strategic benefit in allowing that, do they? Or
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: maybe I'm missing.
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: Something on that point. Not only do you have it
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: spot on, that is almost verbatim what the Russians said.
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: That's why they said we're not going to have one
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: of those because the only party that would benefit from
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: that is our adversary. And if you're going to ask
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: me to do something like that, there has to be
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: a pretty big quid pro quo. And there's not anything offered.
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: They don't see one. So they say, no, we're not
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: going to do that. What they do say over and
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: over is we are absolutely willing to go into end
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: of war negotiations. We are looking for an end of
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: war peace treaty, not just a temporary ceasefire that will
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: only benefit you in coming back and hitting us harder.
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: We're just not going to go there. And unfortunately for us.
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: they have the leverage to make their version reality on
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: the ground. We don't get to bypass that.
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: Well, and of course the Russians have every interest in
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: making life miserable for the Ukrainians that maybe haven't had
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: life as miserable as they can be. If you bomb
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: the infrastructure, you're going to, as you head on into winter,
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: a lot of people are going to be freezing their
• 6:13
  Speaker 2: collective butts off and starvation may become an issue for
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: the Ukrainians.
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: It is. In fact, that's one of the other problems
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: that we have in this is that Kayakalis, basically the
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: foreign minister for the European Union, made that very point.
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: She says, you know, we're coming up because Russia's hit
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: so much infrastructure over the last six or so months,
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: heading in now to the beginning into the winter phase,
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: there's going to be some real problems here. And she
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: just said, listen, we need a ceasefire so that Ukraine
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: can rebuild some of this stuff. And that's That's fine
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: as far as it goes, but she offers Russia nothing
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: to do that. And she just says, you know, Russia
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: is bad, so we're not going to do anything different.
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: We're not going to take anything off the table. We're
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: not going to stop attacking Russia, but we want them
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: to stop attacking Ukraine. And that's just unrealistic. And if
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: I can say, hey, there may be some issues with
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: President Trump, there's some cognitive problems here, you can't claim
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: that on the European side. It's just delusional thinking. from
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: European leaders across the board, and they have nothing to
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: offer Ukraine that can help them win. All they can do, Brian,
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: so important here, all they can do is keep the
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: war going, can drag it out further, and then that
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: makes sure more Ukrainian people die pointlessly. They're never going
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: to defeat Russia. The only chance they have is to
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: have some kind of negotiated settlement on ugly terms that
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: we won't like, but on terms that will end the
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: killing of Ukraine, at least preserve something of the state. Otherwise...
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: we faced a prospect that they could one day physically lose.
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: Well, a pause in kinetic activity would allow the Ukrainians
• 7:47
  Speaker 2: to re-fortify some of their drone and arsenal, but that's
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: kind of what's going on right now and so far
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: with us vis-a-vis the Iranians, which I read are now
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: re-fortifying the nuclear bases. They're building, I guess, berms around,
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: so they're expecting ground forces to perhaps enter certain areas.
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: Got Donald Trump's threat in that Well, we're going to
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: start bombing them again either after the election or before
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: the election. We've got another carrier group going on over there,
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: which I think is to suggest that he plans on
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: making good on it. But here they are using the
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: time to re-fortify. I mean, they're expecting some kind of
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: bombing campaign, but they're not backing off, Daniel Davis.
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: Oh, not only are they not backing off, because I've
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: talked to a number of folks associated– with from Tehran University,
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: for example, and they categorically say they all expect there
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: to be an attack. They don't even think it's probable.
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: They think it's going to happen. So they're merely just
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: saying we just don't know when it's going to happen,
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: but we're ready for it. And they're preparing fully for everything,
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: everything from like a local ground incursion, obviously not a
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: ground invasion like, you know, in Iraq in 2003, but
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: some kind of special forces kind of thing or a
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: marine expeditionary unit, something like that. And then, of course,
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: big missile strikes here. But the problem is we're never
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: going to be able to penetrate those underground mountain caverns
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: into missile cities with our conventional weapons or, and I'll
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: be blunt, not even nuclear weapons because those things are
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: so far underground of a grand mountain, we cannot knock
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: them out with nuclear weapons even. So certainly conventional weapons won't.
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: So if we go back and try to do again
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: what we did in the first 40 days or the
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: second 13-day process, All we're going to do is burn
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: through more of our missiles. We'll kill a lot of Iranians.
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: We'll blow up a lot of stuff on the surface,
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: but not where the drone factories are, not where the
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: missile factories are, not where the launch points are. We
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: cannot knock those all out. So all that's going to
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: do is Iran then is going to launch and potentially
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: burn down the Middle East, which is what they've claimed
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: to do. Now, ironically, the one thing that's putting a
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: brake on that, it might be China, because they're saying
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: don't do that to their ally Iran or their friend Iran.
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: And they're saying because that will cause problems for us
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: and the global economy that will drag us all down.
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: So they're asking for some restraint. That might be the
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: one thing to slow down what Iran might do, but
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: I can guarantee you it's going to be ugly for
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: our side if we return to combat operations.
• 10:08
  Speaker 2: Well, and we didn't even get to the Houthis in
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: Yemen bombing the Saudi Arabians again and blowing up the
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: Air Force Base. Daniel Davis, we'll have to talk about
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: that perhaps next week and hope for some better news
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: between now and then. Daniel Davis.
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: I'm sure that'll still be on the track. I know.
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: I know.
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: We'll face whatever we face next week. Daniel Davis, Daniel Davis,
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: deep dive, find them where you find your podcast and
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: tune into the morning show every Tuesday at eight 30.
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: Take care and have a great week. My friend.
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: You're there.
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: Eight 40. We're going to learn about breast cancer, breast
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: cancer awareness month. It is breast cancer awareness month. My
• 10:41
  Speaker 2: friends from OHC specifically doctor. Who is it this morning?
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: Dr. Abigail.