Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Quick Hit | December 25, 2023 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:04All system's going clear. Left, what is going on? Everybody talking some
- 0:38hoops? Christmas Day. If you're watching this on Christmas Day, Marry Merry
- 0:43Christmas to you. Hope you guys have a good New Year. If you're
- 0:45watching Christmas Eve a ton going on this weekend, no better time to get
- 0:49over to shipping Nation dot com. We're recording this Saturday at noon, So
- 0:54NFL two gamer today, a big NBA slay going on today. Tomorrow NFL
- 0:59mains late like always. Then Christmas Day got some NBA, got some NFL
- 1:03tons of money to be made. When we are recording this, FanDuel pricing
- 1:07is out. DK pricing is not out right now. We're gonna mainly go
- 1:11be talking matchups. We do have spreads. We do have some totals.
- 1:15I see the total for the Bucks game. I don't see it for the
- 1:18other four games. But on Drafting Sportsbook we do have the spreads. Again,
- 1:22we have FanDuel pricing. We'll go game by game like always, mainly
- 1:26touch on matchups. Our man Rio does a great job with that. We'll
- 1:30deep dive there. But of course get over to shiping Nation dot com.
- 1:33When pricing everything does come out. Projections Cash Report, Core Report, Ceiling
- 1:38rankings, everything you're used to. We will have live content all week and
- 1:42long. It's the holidays. We're busy over here. That's why recording on
- 1:46Saturday. Got some family to take care of tomorrow and on Monday. But
- 1:49gotta talk. Gotta help the people out. First, Rio quick hit before
- 1:53I throw it to you. It's back baby. Our sponsored drafters. Use
- 1:57that promo code ship it you will get one hundred percent match up to one
- 2:00hundred dollars. Playoff Bastball. We're gonna have some shows coming out starting next
- 2:05week. Fifty thousand dollars up top for Playoff best Ball and a lot of
- 2:09strategy that goes into that. So excited to talk some drafters and our man
- 2:14go collect looking to shift that three dollars. What a great start he had
- 2:16on Thursday with our man Pooka and Stafford. We'll throw it to you man.
- 2:22How's how's everything going? Christmas coming up? Any big plans? Excited
- 2:25for some NBA hoops on Christmas Day? Hey? Yeah, definitely excited for
- 2:30some some hoops. I'd be spending the Christmas with my family out in Palm
- 2:35Springs over here in California, so they're gonna all gonna be out golfing on
- 2:39Monday, so I'll be at home washing sports all day. So that's totally
- 2:44fine by me. There's a lot of a lot of good games sports all
- 2:46day. Got football on Monday too, so I'll be I'll be chilling by
- 2:50myself with some of the dogs, just watching sports all day, which which
- 2:53I love. But yeah, definitely gonna be a little bit tougher to talk
- 2:58about this, and we don't have pricing. I think a lot of the
- 3:01plays we talk about are very just priced suggested plays we know. We'll talk
- 3:06matchups, can kind of like speculate how we think things will go and how
- 3:09DraftKings is going to price some of these guys. They've done a lot better
- 3:14job of pricing up people and making value a little bit tougher kind of changing
- 3:17the builds. But yeah, it would definitely definitely break it down as best
- 3:22as we can on on the Saturday morning. Yeah, absolutely, And again
- 3:25they're I mean we're doing the matchups, we'll talk. I'll touch a little
- 3:29fandel pricing looking at it. It should be similar like I'm expecting all the
- 3:32studs to play a D and Lebron will probably be questionable. Maybe poor Zingis
- 3:38and be got beat up a bit. But no one plays on Christmas Eve,
- 3:42so everyone gets that day off the day before and it's Christmas Day.
- 3:45Everyone wants to show up. Five games, all stay your time, So
- 3:49I'm expecting everyone to play. But yeah, you didn't mention it's important.
- 3:53DK has had a lot tighter pricing as of late, so some of these
- 3:55guys, we'll touch on them. That might not sound very appealing, but
- 4:00they could be like forty four hundred and you just need them to get some
- 4:03of the studs on this late. So we'll go game by game like always,
- 4:08but no better time. Head over to Shipping Nation dot com Weekly,
- 4:11monthly, six month, and annual package. No better time to get over.
- 4:15Let's start the first game of the day at twelve Eastern, kicking it
- 4:18off my Milwaukee Bucks heading to New York taking on the Knicks. Looking at
- 4:24it, the Bucks are two point favorites. We're looking at it two forty
- 4:27two total. Again, we're expecting all the stars to play. Giannis and
- 4:30Dame on the Bucks side, Julius, Randall and Brunson on the Nick side.
- 4:36As far as fandal pricing, Giannis, all the way up to twelve
- 4:40K. I'll let you start breaking down the matchups. Obviously the Bucks can
- 4:44get beat on threes. Jalen Brunson has had I mean he's definitely turned it,
- 4:47or he started off on fire, went through a little rougher patch.
- 4:51Julius Randall took over put up that eighty five piece a couple of games back.
- 4:57I think he's interesting because he's going to be not all the way up
- 5:00in that Yiannis tier. We're talking about pricing being pretty tough. I would
- 5:04not be surprised if it's more of a balance build one of these Randall or
- 5:09Jalen Brunson playing upper thirties minutes. You don't have to spend all the way
- 5:13up for the honestes the mbeads of the world. So again we're just speculating
- 5:17at this time, but with how pricing has been, I wouldn't be surprised
- 5:20if it's more of a mid tier get all the minutes from Brunton, From
- 5:24Randall, Hartenstein a very interesting talking point as well. No Jericho Simms,
- 5:28how do you see this game going Bucks and the Knicks. Yeah, I
- 5:30definitely kind of agree with you. I think it could be a mid tier
- 5:33type build. Just speculating, I think that we're gonna have the Jannis Embiid,
- 5:41Luka Jokic, all those guys priced above eleven close to twelve K,
- 5:45and there'll probably be some pretty strong plays in the mid tier, definitely starting
- 5:48with this game on the Knicks side, maybe a couple of guys on the
- 5:53Bucks side too, But matchup wise, the Bucks surprisingly a bottom ten defense
- 5:59right now. Historically with just this player personnel, they've been pretty solid defensively,
- 6:02but they're kind of getting beat up. Like you said, more of
- 6:05a three point funnel this year. Obviously having Jannie and Brook Lopez down low
- 6:10helps shore up the interior defense, so they they're more of a three point
- 6:14funnel, and the next have a couple decent three point shooters and pretty good
- 6:16matchups. And the Knicks they started off really strong this year defensively, but
- 6:21now they're fourteenth overall in defensive rating. Obviously losing Mitchell Robinson, who I
- 6:27talked about a lot as a really just like a defensive anchor, really solid
- 6:31interior defender, one of the better most underappreciated centers in the league in my
- 6:35opinion. Obviously, he's out, so their interior defense has gotten much worse.
- 6:42They are going to be without Jericho Simms most likely. I don't I
- 6:45don't know his injury status. I know he's expected this a few games still,
- 6:47but I'm not sure if he'll be ready for the Christmas Day matchup.
- 6:51But I mean, regardless, that'll Isai Hardstein's going to play a ton of
- 6:56minutes. They have one to two weeks. I'm not expecting him to play.
- 6:59I'm expecting to to be the same with hart and Stein. Okay,
- 7:01yeah, so that's good to know. Yeah, they'll they'll have a todsh
- 7:04Gibson backing up Isaiah Hartenstein at the center spot. So hard Sid's a pretty
- 7:11solid defender, but obviously todsh Gibson, he's he's old now. It doesn't
- 7:15have the wheels. Apparently I didn't watch his first game as a nick this
- 7:18year, but apparently he was tired after five minutes and was calling for a
- 7:23sub, which definitely makes sense. He was just on the couch, probably
- 7:27drinking beers and watching hoops a week ago. So but yeah, Yiannis definitely
- 7:34gonna be one of my favorite spins on the slate on Christmas Day. Very
- 7:40beatable matchup for him with no Mitchell Robinson down there. He already tourched his
- 7:44team once this year, going thirty five eight and ten and then twenty two
- 7:46eight and six in the second matchup, which wouldn't be that good of a
- 7:49score for him considered where he's gonna be priced. But I love be honest
- 7:54as a spend up for sure, I'm interested to see how the ownership will
- 8:00shake out, just because I think people Christmas is definitely there's a lot of
- 8:03strategy that goes into it. With all these games being spaced out throughout the
- 8:07day, I think late swap is really big. You can get gain a
- 8:09lot of information by just saving some roster spots for the later later games and
- 8:16seeing how you know first couple of games shakeout. I think that you could
- 8:18definitely make a case to fade a couple of these games that the first two
- 8:24or first three games and and backload a lot and gain more information that way
- 8:28and seeing how your value shakes up versus the value in the earlier games.
- 8:33But I think GIS could probably come in pretty low, and I think this
- 8:35is a pretty good matchup for him. Much less intrigued by Damian Lever's matchup.
- 8:41I mean, the next are more vulnerable three point shooters this year,
- 8:43but I think there's probably gonna be better spends than Dame. He's just you
- 8:48know, lower usage with with Giannis out there, It's it's him and and
- 8:50Giannis that are gonna demand all of the usage. But I'll side with Giannis
- 8:54here in this matchup. Always pretty interested in brook Lopez as a low owned
- 9:01centerpiece. Definitely more intriguing on fandubal where he get more points for steals and
- 9:07blocks, and that's where he gains a lot of his upside. But I
- 9:09assume he'll be in the low six six K range on DraftKings and we'll definitely
- 9:15fit into some mid tier builds, just like Chris Middleton always gains a lot
- 9:18of ownership just because he's shooting guard small forward eligible. Going to be around
- 9:24six point two to six point four K most likely, and probably gets one
- 9:28of the easier matchups in terms of the starting lineup for the Bucks. I
- 9:31think he'll probably get RJ. Barrett on him. He's about a neutral defender.
- 9:35But Middleton's been playing much better. Minutes are kind of hovering around thirty
- 9:39minutes a game and always has pretty good fantasy point per minute upside when he's
- 9:46getting those type of minutes outside of those main four guys. So I don't
- 9:50really have a ton of interest in Malik Beasley. His minutes have come way
- 9:54down value Portis minutes can fluctuate. He's always live to have a big game
- 9:58off of the bench. I should see a lot of his minutes matched up
- 10:03with TOAJ Gibson, which definitely would be a good matchup for him. So
- 10:07he is definitely in the player pool, but not sure. He's definitely more
- 10:11price more of a price point play depending on where he's priced up, because
- 10:16I could definitely see him being six K and at that at that price,
- 10:20I don't think he'd be a very good play. And then Pat Coinson back
- 10:24in the lineup for them, I think he'll probably be a pretty popular value
- 10:30just based off of the pricing. He's always in the low four k's and
- 10:33he's gonna he's probably their most trusted person off of the bench outside of Bobby
- 10:37Porta is gonna see around twenty minutes a game and doesn't have a ton of
- 10:43upside, but he'll stand in the corner and launch them threes and he could
- 10:45definitely knock down two or three and find his way to hitting some value.
- 10:50Those be the main guys I would look to on the Bucks side and then
- 10:54on the Knick side. This is a tougher matchup for Randall, although the
- 10:56Bucks are bottom six in DVP. Versus his power forwards, He's gonna see
- 11:01Giannis and a lot of Brook Lopez down low, and that's kind of where
- 11:05he does most of his offensive work. Did have a good game against the
- 11:09Bucks last time out, put up forty one real points. But I think
- 11:13I'm gonna side with Brunson here. Just a much better matchup on paper versus
- 11:20the Bucks and Guards. They're gonna have Damian Lillard Molie Beasley thrown at him,
- 11:22and he's had had a really good game against the Bucks first time they
- 11:26faced off, one for forty five, four and five. I know that
- 11:28everybody remembers that game was a he was just balling right there. But yeah,
- 11:33it's a little bit tough to invest in Brunson. I think that Randall
- 11:37is always the safer play, just because you know that he's gonna dominate the
- 11:41usage, and sometimes Brunson will just take the take the back seat and let
- 11:46let Randall go to work, but I like the match up a little bit
- 11:48better for Brunson here style side with him. Yeah, Hartenstein gonna play a
- 11:56ton of minutes. He only got to thirty minutes last game when he started,
- 11:58but he did have a trip to the locker room where he had to
- 12:01fix a busted lip. I think he got stitches. To My assumption is
- 12:05he would have got up to around thirty four to thirty six minutes in a
- 12:07regular game without losing those minutes. And Todje Gibson played eighteen and yeah,
- 12:13like I said, he's out of shape. I don't think they're gonna want
- 12:16to run him out there from more than maybe twelve to fourteen in a game.
- 12:20So I think that hearts See would be a pretty solid play just as
- 12:24a minutes upside type of guy. They don't really have a ton of interest
- 12:28in RJ. Barrett's a fine matchup for him where the Bucks are kind of
- 12:31getting beat by three point shooters, but he doesn't really show a ton of
- 12:37upside while sharing the floor with Julis Randall and Jelen Brunson. So I would
- 12:39take an underweight stance on him and then all of the secondary guys. Emmanuel
- 12:45Quickly, Josh Hart, Dante de Vincenzo. I think you could definitely keep
- 12:46them in your playpool. I think they'll be pretty popular value options. I
- 12:50think my favorite would be Josh Hart. I could see him getting his minutes
- 12:54up in this one just for his size and defense, and I think he
- 12:58could get there just minutes alone. He'll probably be a pretty solid value play,
- 13:01so I like him the best. I think Quickly it is fine too.
- 13:05He can always get hot off of the bench. And we definitely like
- 13:07attecking the bucks with guards. But there's a couple of different ways you can
- 13:11go. I wouldn't I mean, this is one of the higher totals on
- 13:16the slate. I would assume both teams two forty two sorry, and both
- 13:22these teams kind of struggling defensively, So I definitely think you could load up
- 13:24on a couple of guys in this game. Yeah. Great breakdown, and
- 13:28again we're speculating on a lot. Again. Ship a Nation will have projections,
- 13:33will be updated all day, cash report if things change, GPP corres
- 13:37report. All changes will be in yellow. Soah, again, no better
- 13:41time to get over to ship in Nation dot Com Huge NBA slate NFL going
- 13:45on as well. Tambo and Hoop are doing a quick hit for the NFL
- 13:48on Christmas Day. So very punk, so much money to be made.
- 13:52And yeah, I think you made a really good point early with five Staggert
- 13:54Star times, especially Christmas Day, people are gonna be with the family.
- 13:58We're gonna be a family. You said your family's gonna be golfing, You'll
- 14:01be grinding. I'll still be grinding too. Laptop will be with me of
- 14:05course. So it is pretty interesting. This game probably gets some ownership if
- 14:09you want to cross off the first game or the first two games and see
- 14:11did the chalk smash? Do I have to get different in spots or not
- 14:15playing the min cash game, Like if Jiannis just say was seventy percent own
- 14:18and puts up eighty and you don't have them, well you're not going to
- 14:20play the ship. You're trying to get min cast. You still have to
- 14:24might get different in the spot or to a lot of game theory, honestly,
- 14:28like this on Christmas Day or eighty percent Yiannis bus and again I don't
- 14:31think he's going to be close to eighty percent, just talking hypothetical. Well,
- 14:35now you know where you're sitting compared to the field and you have a
- 14:37big leg up. So I do not mind it at all, and probably
- 14:41a lot of people, especially if projections do jam this game. People want
- 14:45to get their stuff off. It's the morning, twelve Eastern. They're going
- 14:48with the family that don't want to worry about late swap and all that.
- 14:50The later games probably do come in lower owned. My quick thoughts on this,
- 14:54Yeah, Hartenstein will play all the minutes. I have interest there.
- 14:58Brook Lopez always a conturing and center spend when center is pretty tough. I
- 15:03don't mind Dante di Devincenzo, either him or Josh Hart in that mid tier
- 15:07build revenge game. Just put up a forty piece. The minutes are a
- 15:11little concerning, but if he gets hot, they'll need his scoring. I
- 15:13like Dante can can stroke it from deep. Bobby Portois, I always love
- 15:18Body's upside. Doubt he gets too much ownership. He has that upside for
- 15:22forty two to break a slate at low ownership. I'm on the Brunton over
- 15:26Randall train. I'm hoping Randall is more popular too, like that pivot to
- 15:30Brunson and tournaments. I'm with you on Dame the price on FANDUL nine point
- 15:33two K isn't bad, But then you look in Jalen Brunton's eight point three
- 15:37K. I'd much prefer him if I can get to any spend on the
- 15:41site. It is probably honest, But as we talked about earlier, I
- 15:45assuming value is going to be pretty tough not probably be more focused on the
- 15:48mid tier. Middleton will probably fit that build. I'd be fine plug him
- 15:54as the last piece, but he really doesn't excite me. Man, his
- 15:56legs are going a little bit. It's not the same. Middleton is a
- 15:58couple of years ago. Dame there, Janni's there. He'll probably fit a
- 16:03lot of bills though because of his price the minutes, I guess, but
- 16:06I don't love that play. So yeah, Brooke Hartenstein, Bobby the Dante's
- 16:11the Josh Hart's in that mid tier to get a little different, got the
- 16:14money for Giannis. Prefer him over Dame, and I like Brunton over Randa
- 16:18like you do. So first game of the night, we only have a
- 16:22total for that one, I see spreads for the other four. That's the
- 16:25only only total I see. But two forty two has to be probably the
- 16:27biggest on the slates. Looking at these other games. Next game on the
- 16:32slate again, they're all stagger twelve pm Eastern, two thirty five, eight
- 16:36ten thirty Basketball Day, Football Day. Can't get a better Christmas gift right
- 16:41there. Golden State Warriors heading to Denver. Looking at the spread, we
- 16:45got Denver favored by five and a half. Again, no DK pricing right
- 16:51now. Looking at FanDuel pricing, Joki just above twelve K. Steph has
- 16:55been way too cheap on fandel Is eighty eight hundred yesterday. He's only nine
- 16:59thousand here, so I expect Steph to be one of the more popular plays.
- 17:03A lot of people feel under price on FANDL. Though Brunson was a
- 17:06three Jamal coming off a monster game on Friday, he's only eight K.
- 17:11Pods came back. I always love some pods trace Jackson Davis coming off a
- 17:15monster game on Friday. Looney did get in a little early foul trouble,
- 17:19but it's so obvious how much better Davis is, great rent protector, double
- 17:23double machine. I think the Warriors are going to offer a lot of good
- 17:26mid tier value. Wiggins should be interesting. I'm expecting him to play.
- 17:30It was a downgrade. I believe in illness that he missed that game,
- 17:33so I expect him to play. But they love Pods, his rebounding floor,
- 17:37he has double double upside. Loved Jackson Davis great, going right back
- 17:42to him. I don't know, like I talk about a little like Dario
- 17:47Saarich, if we do get Looney for very cheap, I don't know if
- 17:49I really need that. Then on the other side, Aaron Gordon, Oh,
- 17:52Kaminga too. How do I forget Kaminga? Him and Davis together man
- 17:56athletic freaks, protect the paint. The Warriors are gonna be fun on these
- 18:00next couple of years. So more we're talking about if these Warriors mid tier
- 18:03guys are probably where I'm going to go to for a lot of mid tier
- 18:07builds. The other side, with the Nuggets, if you can get Yo
- 18:10Kic, you can Jamal might be interesting. I'm PJ. Aaron Gordon,
- 18:15what do you see in this one? Yeah, definitely in agreement with you.
- 18:18I love the mid tier plays on this Warrior side, assuming that they're
- 18:23all priced properly. I mean, we've had the draftings, gonna have a
- 18:26couple of days to kind of react to the Warriors how they've been playing,
- 18:30so I wouldn't be surprised to see Kuminga come in six K. Plus I
- 18:34wouldn't be surprised to see Jackson Davis come in close to six K. And
- 18:40if that's the case, I would have much less interest. But if they're
- 18:42still in like the low five k's mid five k's, definitely have a ton
- 18:47of interest in them. But yeah, this is the game I could see
- 18:48kind of coming in as one of the lower scoring ones just how both teams
- 18:52play. They both like to get set up in the half court offense.
- 18:57Nuggets are bottom two paced team, Warriors are in the top thirteen, but
- 19:02we know that they like to kind of get get things going in the half
- 19:04court offense a lot more. So I could definitely see this game coming in
- 19:07as one of the lowest scoring ones on the night. Yeah, Yokic always
- 19:11always gonna be great. Spend nothing really to to break down about that.
- 19:15He's been playing much better lately after having a pretty big shooting slump. Assuming
- 19:22that him and Embiid are priced, you know, within a couple hundred of
- 19:26each other, I think I'll side with with Jokic in this one there too.
- 19:32Yeah, then I'll probably I'd probably go Yanis over over Jokic. I
- 19:37think that they've been kind of pricing down Giannis. I could see him being
- 19:41like eleven k Yo can be Jokis being like eleven point eight one point six
- 19:45something like that. So I think Janis would The money would definitely go a
- 19:48long way if Jannis is cheaper, So I think I would side with Yanis,
- 19:52But Jokic is really close, and if the pricing is if they're near
- 19:56each other, then I'll side with Jokic. If it's like a one hundred
- 19:57to three hundred difference, all definitely side with Jokic overall. Three. Yeah,
- 20:03but he's he's done very good against the Warriors team's Looney's a pretty solid
- 20:07defender. But like you said there, it seems like they're kind of shifting
- 20:11over to the young guys a little bit. You obviously have pods in there
- 20:12starting now, You got Kminga starting for Draymon Jackson, Davis minutes have been
- 20:18taking up a lot. He's been playing really well, and it just seems
- 20:22like Looney's kind of starting to lose his role with this team. Been a
- 20:26great warrior, one of the probably one of the fan favorites, been a
- 20:30really solid just centerpiece to this team over the last couple of years. But
- 20:33he's getting older, not very athletic, his asthma so he can't even play
- 20:37that much. So I think it makes sense to get Jackson, Davis,
- 20:41Kamina and pods more minutes now and kind of start looking to the future.
- 20:45But yeah, Jamal Murray played really well. His minute seemed to be back
- 20:49to normal, got it to thirty four minutes last game, shot it really
- 20:52efficiently. He's always been one of the better shooters, just most efficient players
- 20:56in the league. So he'll he'll be a good play, pretty popular and
- 21:00you know, the matchup should be fine for him. I think he would
- 21:03get well, Wiggins isn't starting, so he wouldn't get the Wiggins assignment.
- 21:07I would assume maybe maybe Kaminga is on him. They like to put kaming
- 21:11on on some on ball type of guys, so I could definitely see cominga
- 21:15get in that defensive assignment. But I like Jamal warriors or bottom six DVP
- 21:21versus point guards the year on this year, so he's a He's a really
- 21:25solid play. M PJ and Eric Gordon both definitely would make the player pool
- 21:30but I probably would want to be Max one of those guys, just with
- 21:33them being probably so so near each other and kind of eating to each other's
- 21:36upside. And yeah, I mean it's just the main like the main four,
- 21:41really the main two guys on the Denver side, Yo, Kitchen Jamal
- 21:44and then sprinkling in Porter and Aaron Gordon and then on the Warrior's side.
- 21:49Uh, I mean, it's a I have no idea where step is going
- 21:55to be priced. I think that would definitely dictate my interest in him,
- 21:57because he's been kind of in the low nine ks and much more upsided that
- 22:03at that price. Just he's his minutes have been down this year, that
- 22:07just the efficiency has been down. He's not really adding a ton of rebounds
- 22:10and assists to his stat line, so his his upside has taken a really
- 22:14big hit. So I am kind of off of him, and it's gonna
- 22:17be a tough matchup versus KCP. The Nuggets do a really good job defending
- 22:21three point shooters this year. They're I'm not sure where they rank, but
- 22:23they're in the definitely top half of the league in three point defense. So
- 22:27that would kind of make me want to take an underweight stance. On Steph,
- 22:30I would probably just x out Clay personally, just minutes are not there
- 22:34and he's just been pretty bad this year. Chris Paul definitely price depended,
- 22:41but in the mid six case, I would have interest in him, and
- 22:44then I mean mainly I have a lot of interest in the minsieer guys like
- 22:48Pods, Jackson Davis and cominga on the warrior side of things. Yeah,
- 22:52we're saying that the same way. I'll put CP three right in that boat
- 22:56as well, coming off the bench, but still a big role there will
- 22:59follow a lot. Don't see myself getting to many. Like if I land
- 23:02on the MPG, I'm totally and Aaron Gordon probably gonna play mid thirties minutes
- 23:07in a competitive game. MPJ can get hot, Aaron Gordon can get double
- 23:11double upside. I'm not sure I can get to Jokic. I think I
- 23:15prefer Yiannis to Jokic. But again, if I land on Yiannis, I
- 23:19think a lot of power forward eligibility, which is nice too. Jamal always
- 23:22says it upset. I'm with you on Steph though probably won't get to get
- 23:26to Steph. I mean he can have forty real ones and have forty five
- 23:30DK points. There's so many other studs on this slate I'd rather get to,
- 23:33but the kamingas the Davis, the Pods of the world. I'm very
- 23:37interested in in this game as well, But I don't think Warriors. I
- 23:41might get a little ownership with those guys, especially if they are priced in
- 23:45that mid five K range. I don't think many people get to. Again,
- 23:49we don't have pricing out yet, but if Yokich is like twelve K
- 23:52or eleven eight or one of the highest there, I think he'll probably be
- 23:56somewhat contrarion, and I think Jamal will probably be somewhat conturing on this late
- 24:00as well. But Warriors mid tier guys look very very strong, assuming they
- 24:04are priced in the mid tier, which I would be very shocked if they
- 24:07weren't. Do us a favor, haven't as yet one second, hit that
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- 24:42dot com. Check it out again when pricing's out. Projections, Cash Report,
- 24:47Core Report for NFL for MBA, all the contents as usual during this
- 24:52busy holiday season, and hope you guys enjoy it with the family, hopefully
- 24:56win some extra cheese to pay for the Christmas gifts. Game five pm,
- 25:00Eastern Boston heads to the Lakers. These are all just such good games,
- 25:03man. Christmas Day always a blast. We got the Boston favored by two
- 25:08in this one. Chris STAPs Porzingis has been missing the past couple of games
- 25:14with an ankle injury. I'm expecting him to play, but we do not
- 25:18know for sure if he's out. Al Horford I think would be one of
- 25:21the more popular plays on the slate, assuming DraftKings probably keeps his price where
- 25:26it has been. Maybe like a Sam Hawser, something gets a little bump.
- 25:30I don't see too much value screaming to me in this one. My
- 25:33favorite ones would be the higher mid tier guys, at least what I'm expecting.
- 25:37Derek White's been absolutely on absolute fire, Drew Holliday good price on FanDuel
- 25:42seven point one k fits a scoring get over there as well. The Tatum
- 25:47and Jalen Brown prices will be interesting too. Again, I'm not sure we'll
- 25:51have the money with how tough value could be to get embiid Jokichiannis. If
- 25:56I land on Jalen Brown or Tatum, I'm totally good with that too.
- 25:59Upper thirties minutes. So yeah, the nature of this late I think a
- 26:03lot of the time on Christmas Day unless some random news pops up, which
- 26:07these guys want to play on Christmas Day? Man, all eyes on them?
- 26:10What else you're gonna be doing sitting on the bench when everyone's watching.
- 26:11So I'm expecting everyone to play Brown Tatum if he does have that price discount
- 26:18from like, I prefer Tatum over Steph for sure if it was similar pricing.
- 26:22So depending on Tatum's discount from the big dogs could get to him.
- 26:26Jaylen Brown should have a price discount is Derek White that dude? Man?
- 26:30Can we can we keep going back to him? Drew Holliday, I doubt
- 26:33I get to these Lakers much. How do you see this one? Yeah?
- 26:37I mean this, I'm hoping that people kind of overlook this game a
- 26:41little bit and think that it's gonna be a lower scoring, defensive game,
- 26:44because I have a lot of interest in this game. I think it could
- 26:48These rotations are gonna be extremely condensed compared to some of these other teams.
- 26:51I mean, you know, the Warriors are going to run pretty deep.
- 26:53The Nuggets outside of Jokic are gonna run a pretty deep rotation. I mean
- 27:00I could see I could see Boston like running seven seven and a half guys.
- 27:06I can see the Lakers giving a D and Lebron close to forty minutes
- 27:10in this one. I think a lot of there's gonna be a lot of
- 27:11upside in this game. And I mean defensively, both these teams are really
- 27:17really solid. Lakers number seven overall, Boston's number five overall. Both really
- 27:21solid intoior defense, Lakers top eight, the Celtics are top four, but
- 27:26then you look a little bit deeper, the the Lakers are bottom two to
- 27:30three point defense, and the Celtics are bottom six, so you already know
- 27:34right away how you want to attack things. And yeah, like you said,
- 27:38with Tatum, hopefully, I think that there's a chance we could get
- 27:41him pretty cheap here, just he missed last game. I could see them
- 27:45pricing up Jalen Brown close to eight point five, eight point ak around there,
- 27:48and then Tatum probably coming in less than ten k. And I think
- 27:52he would be a really strong option. I like him regardless, even if
- 27:55he is around ten k. But yeah, I think he's got huge upside.
- 28:00He's gonna want to play, play a ton of minutes, wanted to
- 28:02show out against l A at at LA see. I like, I like
- 28:07Tatum a lot. I would I would just go Tatum over Jalen Brown.
- 28:11I mean regardless, I don't really care about the pricing. I think that
- 28:15this is a Tatum game more than a Jalen Brown game. And yeah,
- 28:19I think, yeah, Derek White is gonna be a great play. Also,
- 28:22I think he's just been on fire this year, shooting the ball really
- 28:26well. Just one of the best two way type defenders and the guard players,
- 28:32great three point shooter, really solid on ball defenders. I like him
- 28:34a lot, definitely would prefer him to Drew, and then you know,
- 28:41if Chris Tops is in like the matter for him too. Gonna be a
- 28:42little bit a little bit resky with him probably being the starting center, and
- 28:47he'll get a lot of the Anthony Davis matchup. Would definitely bring some foul
- 28:51risk, but he should be left up in a ton on three point line
- 28:53and could definitely get hot from there. He's got pretty pretty deep range as
- 28:57well, so I would like him, and I don't even think it's too
- 29:00crazy to go to Al Horford off the bench. He's going to get close
- 29:03to probably twenty six to thirty minutes and definitely going to be out there a
- 29:08lot for Anthony Davis defense. I think that him and Chrisops Berzingis could share
- 29:12the floor together just to kind of make things a little bit easier for Christops
- 29:15down low. But Al Horford is always a guy that's left open a ton
- 29:18behind three point line, and he's been shooting it a lot better this year.
- 29:22I don't know the exact numbers, but I know that he's been one
- 29:25of the most efficient wide open three point shooters on the year, which I
- 29:29mean last year he was really struggling, especially in the playoffs, but he's
- 29:33turned it around and he's really involved as a passer and a rebounder. So
- 29:37like Al Horford a lot as a value option this game. And then on
- 29:41the Laker side, it's pretty much just Ad or Lebron. I side with
- 29:48Lebron in this one. He's just been one of the mean historically. He's
- 29:51played a ton of games on Christmas Day and obviously leads the NBA in pretty
- 29:56much every stat, every Christmas Day stat. He loves playing on Christmas Day,
- 30:02so this'll be a home game for him too, so I can definitely
- 30:03see him getting up to up to forty minutes and be kind of flirting with
- 30:07a triple double, which he's done a ton lately. For sure. The
- 30:11Lakers just need to win games, and he's been kind of putting the team
- 30:15on us back, even at his older age, just been playing as one
- 30:17of the top five player in the league. He's just unreal. So side
- 30:22with Lebron there just the Celtics are really solid defense versus opposing centers, so
- 30:27kind of gets me off of Ad a little bit. I mean, they've
- 30:30been running their offense through him a lot more he's been. He's definitely good
- 30:33enough to beat any matchup. But I mean, Al Horford, as as
- 30:37much as we kind of make fun of him a little bit, he's really
- 30:41one of the best center defenders in the league. He's just done a really
- 30:44good job against some opposing centers this year. Some played against some of the
- 30:48best ones too. So I'll side with Lebron in this one. And I
- 30:52don't really have a ton of interest in any of the secondary guys. Pretty
- 30:55much just Lebron on the Lakers side, and then a lot of interest in
- 30:57Tatum and Derek White, and then on the Celtic side. Yeah, I
- 31:02mean, how I'm seeing with these studs, Like, I guess whoever is
- 31:04the most popular? You can just eaither There's so many ways to pivot Brunts
- 31:08and Randall, Tatum, Brown, jokicch Embi ad like all these dudes.
- 31:14If there's one guy that's way more popular than the other, I might just
- 31:18I don't know if I have the balls to just exit out. I'll definitely
- 31:21be mmming on this slates. I think there's a huge edge, but I
- 31:25mean, who knows, Like all these dudes are gonna show out. All
- 31:26these dudes are gonna play up for thirties minutes. It's just the the value
- 31:33is what's probably gonna be really tough and kind of force people in more of
- 31:36a mid tier build. I like the Porzingis shout. If he does play,
- 31:38I'd expect him to be low all. Maybe people are concerned if he
- 31:42plays. I think he'd be good to go again. Match up is tough,
- 31:45but he can stretch it, stretch five and then I don't know,
- 31:48man, if he's like five percent seven percent, like, I'll be looking
- 31:52for guys like that that have that slate breaking upside that will be around the
- 31:56ten percent range because there's so many studs on the slate and not everyone can
- 32:00be played. Orford for sure, still would be nice if he does have
- 32:04power forward eligibility, but still like the center like jokichm beat with how expensive
- 32:08they are, I'm not sure how loaded center. Hartenstein will be pretty good,
- 32:12Brooke will be pretty good. It's probably a two center night like it
- 32:15usually is. But yeah, Derek White, for sure, I'm with you
- 32:17on Tatum over Brown. It would just be Brown for me. Or I'd
- 32:22have more interest if just say he was like thirteen hundred cheaper than Tatum or
- 32:24something where I couldn't get that, and it goes a long enough way.
- 32:29But you can always play Brown, you can always play ad secondary piece is
- 32:31definitely tougher for me. To get to the Boston side is pretty nice though.
- 32:37Two games left. Definitely the least favorites, our least appealing game for
- 32:42me, Philly heading to Miami. This has to be the lowest total.
- 32:45Again, we don't have totals besides that first one heat. Our favored by
- 32:49one though. All these games one, two, five and a half,
- 32:52four and a half, two very close games, so we should be in
- 32:54for some competitive basketball, not worrying about any blowouts. Of course we can
- 33:00out. If you can get to Embiid, you can get to him.
- 33:01I think he'll be the highest priced. He is on fan duel twelve point
- 33:05nine K. His way up there. But bam, I mean talk a
- 33:09little bit about Actually, the first thing we should mention is Jimmy. He's
- 33:13been out these past games. He didn't play yesterday. I'm not sure if
- 33:16you have any lean I'm not sure either. It's a calf injury. If
- 33:20he does come back, I guess his price would be very interesting. Let's
- 33:23just say Jimmy comes back, he's like eight point three K talk about that.
- 33:27But if he's in and he's priced normal, I don't think I need
- 33:30to get to any of these guys. If he's out, I think dam's
- 33:32fine. Heroes fine, still pretty tough. I played Josh richardson yesterday.
- 33:37What a donkey I am. Maybe he'll be very cheap and a little value.
- 33:42Again, you're not hoping for five X you're gonna click on these cheap
- 33:45guys. You're literally hoping probably seventeen sixteen and it's what it gets you.
- 33:51I don't love this game. A Tobias shout out to him what to call
- 33:53on Friday Night? Absolutely nuke Tyrees Max, he nuked. I don't know.
- 33:58I don't love picking on the heat. Think it'll be the lowest total
- 34:00on the slates. Tommy Hakkaz Duncan Robinson. I don't know, man,
- 34:05I'm trying to find some mid tier guys. Mate, what do you see?
- 34:07Yeah? Started with Jimmy Butler. I mean, I feel like the
- 34:12spread probably indicates him being in, because I don't know necessarily that Miami should
- 34:16be favored versus Philly with with Jimmy Butler out, So I would assume he's
- 34:22in, and maybe, I mean maybe that embiid comes in a little bit
- 34:28banged up in this one with with the sp I just feel like Philly should
- 34:30be favored in this game personally, But yeah, that that kind of tells
- 34:35me that Jimmy Butler's in. I think that they're just kind of trying to
- 34:37find find games to rest Jimmy and Bam, they know that you just got
- 34:43to make the playoffs with this team. You gotta get get to the playoffs
- 34:45healthy. So I think that it's probably just been more of like a rest
- 34:49situation for Jimmy. Maybe he is actually injured and he's at risk of missing
- 34:53this game, but I think that it's more just finding some rest spots for
- 34:57him, because they obviously just got Tyler here back three games ago, so
- 35:00that's kind of the perfect time to let Jimmy take a couple of nights off.
- 35:05But I think he probably plays in this one, and yeah, I
- 35:08would assume his price that comes in pretty low. Owned we know that Jimmy
- 35:12Butler is definitely the type of guy that holds grudges, and they he had
- 35:15a pretty I mean every scene that he's left, he's had a pretty bad
- 35:19falling out with so I could see I could see Jimmy coming in here being
- 35:22motivated. He's gonna get Tobias Harris on de bench, which is not It's
- 35:27definitely not a hard matchup by any means. I think that he has a
- 35:31little bit of beef with Tobias Harris too, So I could definitely see Jimmy
- 35:34coming out pretty motivated and putting up a big game. And if he's low
- 35:37owned, would have a lot of or low price that would have interest in
- 35:39him. Yeah, outside of him, I mean, I don't really even
- 35:45have that much interest in and beating this one. I've been, you know,
- 35:50really really high in and beat this whole year. Obviously, it's not
- 35:52not a hot take. He's just been been playing lights out and definitely the
- 35:54MVP of the year up to this point, just been crying his like ten
- 36:00straight games of sixty one plus DraftKings points. So he's just been on fire.
- 36:05But if there was anybody that could limit Embid, it would definitely be
- 36:10Bam out of Bio. They played each other a bunch over the past five
- 36:15years that BAM's been in the league, and Embiid's best score in all those
- 36:19games was only fifty seven point eight draftings points, So the downside is pretty
- 36:22big considering what you're gonna probably be paying for him. I mean, it's
- 36:28definitely not to say that Embiid can't outproduce that, it's just the range of
- 36:30outcomes. I mean, he's had a couple of games in the thirties,
- 36:34a couple games in the twenties against BAM, definitely a different Embiid. It
- 36:37seems like Nick Nurris has kind of unlocked his true potential a little bit more.
- 36:42He's just been obviously playing amazing, but BAM is a really solid defender,
- 36:46and I would expect him to be out there mirroring Embiid's minutes and kind
- 36:52of trying to try to stop start, to just slow him down a lot.
- 36:55But if Embiid gets slowed down, I think, I mean, somebody's
- 36:59got to score the point. I would have interest in Tigres Maxi and Tobias
- 37:01Harris in lineups that do not contain Embid. Maybe you want to give them
- 37:05a little bit of a boost. And I mean, Maxi probably going to
- 37:09be guarded by Caleb Martin, who's a pretty solid on ball defender. But
- 37:13the heat historically have been a pretty big three point Finnel this just historically just
- 37:19how they defend. They want to kind of stop people from scoring at the
- 37:22rims. I think MAXI could Max and Tobias could definitely be launching from three,
- 37:25and we just saw both these guys go off in the same game,
- 37:28so it's definitely possible. But yeah, those would be the only guys I'm
- 37:32really interested in on the on the sixers side of things, and then on
- 37:37the heat side. I don't really want to get to Bam just he's gonna
- 37:43be priced probably around nine K, and he's had really low downside too,
- 37:49going to get somebid over the years. Obviously, the matchup brings a ton
- 37:52of foul risk, and Beat is really good at drawing fouls, so that
- 37:55would definitely ding his upside a lot if he were to get in foul trouble.
- 38:00Much prefer Jimmy probably because he's going to be priced pretty low, and
- 38:06I would prefer tyther Hero as well. But yeah, I don't have a
- 38:08lot of interest in this game. This is going to be a pretty low
- 38:10scoring one, I think, and it would be a good time to just
- 38:15maybe only keeping a couple guys in your playpool in this game and just hope
- 38:19that it's a low scoring game. Yeah, I think it'll be the lowest
- 38:22total. We don't like picking on Miami. If Jimmy's in, especially if
- 38:25he's out, then the heroes of the World. Maybe Duncan Hak has something
- 38:30like that. But my least favorite game of the five by far, and
- 38:34maybe this is the time have some dinner, turn off the TV and spend
- 38:37it with the family and then catch the nightcap. In this last game of
- 38:40the slate, which is ten pm Eastern, ten thirty pm Eastern. Excuse
- 38:45me, Dallas headed to Phoenix. We're looking at Phoenix as four and a
- 38:50half point favorites right now. I mean, man, we're not gonna have
- 38:52to deal with all this MAVs value like we did again. We're recording this
- 38:55Saturday. Many of you guys, if you are watching on Monday again Mary,
- 38:59Chris Miss, enjoy it. Enjoy it with the family. Still be
- 39:02locked in though to the news. We're not gonna have to worry about these
- 39:07the secondary guys on Dallas. Lucas should play Kyrie. Who knows if Kyrie.
- 39:12I mean it feels like he could play in this game. Even if
- 39:15he did. I would not have interest in the first game back, regardless
- 39:17of the price, but it would take all these secondary guys out of play,
- 39:22even with Luca back, Like I don't know Tim Hardaway in the six
- 39:25k's Jaden Hardy just disappointed Grant Williams. I don't think I really need to
- 39:30get to these Dallas guys can always play Luca, of course, maybe you
- 39:34have a different take there. As far as the Suns, they burned us
- 39:37yesterday too. Nurkic was excuse me out with the personal reason U Banks didn't
- 39:42do anything. Met two didn't do anything. The minutes weren't even there.
- 39:45I think a Kogi news, not that it's important, but maybe like like
- 39:51it was this year, little starting for him, and then Grayson Allen got
- 39:52the nod yesterday. I wouldn't mind a great and Allen, maybe Eric Gordon
- 39:57in the mid tier to fit those talk about Luca compared to the other spans
- 40:01on the slate, vande book kd thoughts on them, probably around like the
- 40:07Tatum range is what I'm guessing. Yeah, Luca is probably a top top
- 40:14two spend on the slate for sure, should should come back, and he's
- 40:16gonna play huge minutes loves torching the Suns, and yeah, I mean both
- 40:22these teams are really struggling defensively right now. I would assume this game is
- 40:27probably one of the higher game totals on the slate just with I mean,
- 40:30Mavericks are playing up and Pace Phoenix has been really bad defensively. Yeah,
- 40:35I think Luca is just an absolute smash play we have with some back end
- 40:39stuff that that Boomer has for us. The Suns have just been getting absolutely
- 40:45torched this year on DVP wise versus the posing point guards. And I mean,
- 40:51yeah, Luca Lucas gonna smash in this one, I think. But
- 40:55yeah, I mean outside him on the Maverick side, I mean, wow,
- 41:00the pricing on Fandal isn't saying you get Dante x M at seven point
- 41:02four k. That's just I know he's been playing good, but I don't
- 41:06think he should ever be close holiday almost at Derek Hawai and it's pretty crazy.
- 41:12Yeah, that's that's why. I Fandal is usually pretty good with their
- 41:15pricing, But that's that seems like a pretty big mistake that would I would
- 41:19probably not even have him in my playerpool on Fandel, but DraftKings, he'll
- 41:23probably play. He's missed. He missed last game too. I think they're
- 41:25just resting these guys to get them out there healthy on Monday or because this
- 41:30will be definitely I think. I think they'll probably play Luca and that today
- 41:36get the day off. Three games in four days they didn't want. But
- 41:39I expect him to play today, ramp up and Christmas Day like normal.
- 41:44Yeah, yeah, I'm expecting that as well. Yeah, I like I
- 41:47like Tim Hardaway Junior. I think he would probably be the him and Derek
- 41:51Jones Junior would be the guys that would keep in my playerpool as far as
- 41:53the secondary guys on Dallas. Tim Hardaway Junior really never gets a lot of
- 41:59ownership, and he's the guy that has seen the biggest usage bump, the
- 42:01biggest upside just draftings, scoring bump. With Kyrie irving off of the floor,
- 42:07we know that he's going to be coming off of the bench, but
- 42:09he'll see he'll see starter like minutes and he's got the chance to get hot
- 42:15every time that he's coming off the bench. I like Tim Hardway Junior a
- 42:17lot, but really, I mean, Derek Joe Junior just kind of would
- 42:22fit some builds because him being small forward. I believe he's small for power
- 42:25forward eligible on DraftKings, and he's always gonna be priced around like the low
- 42:30five K range, and he'll be out there a ton for his defense.
- 42:34So those be the main guys I would be looking at. I don't have
- 42:37a lean if Derek Lively is going to be in or out. I think
- 42:39that he could probably return, and if he does, he steps into a
- 42:43pretty good matchup, just with the Suns being a pretty bad interior defense,
- 42:50pretty good price cycle on FanDuel at six K. But yeah, I mean
- 42:52it's mostly Luca or Bus and then you could get into some Tim Hardway junior
- 42:57Derek Jones junior stuff if you want to. But Becaus got a really good
- 43:00matchup, so I like him a lot to suspend up. And then on
- 43:04the Sun side, yeah, Mavericks have been getting torched by opposing wings forward
- 43:12type guys, so I think Kevin Durant said it pretty nicely. Here.
- 43:15Issue is with both Katie and Durant just they haven't shown really big upside lately.
- 43:20Neither one of them is like separating from each other. They're kind of
- 43:22eating to each other's upside a lot. They're both just scoring around thirty real
- 43:28points and not really doing a ton with the peripherals. Every now and then
- 43:30Booker has the spike and assist, but neither one of these guys is really
- 43:37really standing out to me. I think you need around forty real points from
- 43:43one of them in order for them to hit their upside, which I mean,
- 43:45obviously they both can do their great scores, but I think that compared
- 43:49to how their price on fandle, which I assume will be kind of similar
- 43:52to the DraftKings, I would much rather get to Jason Tatum, much rather
- 43:57get to Lebron obviously Yannis and all the guys above them. But you definitely,
- 44:02I don't think you're excellent because they definitely could come in really low own
- 44:06and it's a good matchup for them too. Nurkich is a good matchup.
- 44:10Maverick suck versus centers, and just they struggle to defend the interior as well,
- 44:15so I think that heat is in play. But he's really expensive on
- 44:19on van Duel at a loaded center positions, I don't think that you can
- 44:22really get to them there. And yeah, you mentioned Grayson Allen. I
- 44:25think that he makes the player pool not nothing stands out from a matchup perspective
- 44:30for him, but he's small, probably shooting guard small Ford eligible, and
- 44:36will be in the low five k range, which will definitely be a popular
- 44:39range. We'll need to find some plays in that in that area. Same
- 44:43goes for Eric Gordon. Yeah, I mainly just interested in the studs here
- 44:47on both sides of this game. Yeah, I'm with you that I lean
- 44:52Book over KD if you want to go to the Luca Book narrative. He
- 44:55has the ball in his hand more. But if he's ten to one and
- 45:00ten two like we're seeing on Fandel, I much prefer I do prefer Tatum
- 45:05if they're right in that same range, Brunton and Randall would probably be cheaper.
- 45:07I would definitely make a rule Max one. I'm saying that out loud,
- 45:12so I make a note of that myself. I don't want two of
- 45:14the same, like I don't want both Jalen Brown and Tatum on this lady
- 45:17either. Depending on the prices for Randall bruntson, I so will probably make
- 45:22a rule Max one. There's just so many studs in all these games that
- 45:25I think they're going to eat into each other's lunch. It's tough to see.
- 45:29I think both we say that when we saw what MAXI Tobias and then
- 45:31beat, I'll put up fifty five plus. So I don't know, maybe
- 45:35that's not the right thing to do, but I I probably want one to
- 45:37fifty if I'm playing like thirty teams, whatever it may be. I don't
- 45:42really want book and KD together. I want to build up that really quick,
- 45:47just because it kind of plays into just some of the stuff we have
- 45:52on our website with the tools. Because normally I'm I'm pretty strict on some
- 45:58rules, you know, I'm that one the guys you said, like Brunston
- 46:01and Randall, and usually I'll be max one like the Jonte Trey or Embiid
- 46:07and MAXI. But I took a look at the correlation sheet yesterday before building
- 46:13some lineups, and you know, I was seeing that a lot of the
- 46:15times that Maxie is hitting his ceiling, you have Embiid hitting a ceiling,
- 46:20But a lot of times when Embids hitting his ceiling, Max is hitting the
- 46:22ceiling. So I had a lot of lineups, and the same with Jamal
- 46:24Murray and Yokich had at a lot of lineups containing both of those guys,
- 46:28And obviously that pairing worked out really well. You had MAXI get up to
- 46:30fifty four fifty five draftings points, EMBID was close to seventy, and yeah,
- 46:37they hit together a lot of the time, So I think that you
- 46:40definitely couldn't do it with this being a smaller slate, But I don't know
- 46:45if I wouldn't if I want to group it out as much you talked to
- 46:50me out of it. I mean that that tool is definitely really good to
- 46:52look at, and you always have that OT upside, especially with Yeah,
- 46:55if one of these games go to OT the five, that extra five minutes
- 46:59can really be key to break the slate all close spreads as well, So
- 47:02maybe you are I still like on fandom, I still don't. I know
- 47:06I'm not gonna play Katie and Booked together ten to one, Yeah, ten
- 47:08two, that's using time, so I know that for sure do it to
- 47:13the pricing, But like Randall Brunton, I think would be wrong. And
- 47:15if that sheet says they hit their ceiling together a lot, you're not breaking
- 47:20the absole bank with them like over ten k plus, So I think that's
- 47:22hotly fine. That tool I got to look at check that out more.
- 47:25That's a that's a really good call there. You could always you can correlate
- 47:30them too as well. I mean, if you you boost up the I
- 47:34didn't set a rule that said if if Randa old lineup hass to contained Brunson.
- 47:38I just you know, said if if lineup has Randall, then boosts
- 47:43brunts and by you know, ten fifteen or whatever it is. And then
- 47:46if you maybe if you say lineup contains both Randall and Brunson, you boost
- 47:51up a Yannis or boost up a Damian Lillard, boost up Middleton Brook Lopez.
- 47:55That way, you're kind of you're building a correlated lineup where saying,
- 48:00okay, this first game of the night is going to be the one that
- 48:02shoots out. I mean it's a high total close spread, So you could
- 48:06definitely, I mean, if the game goes to overtime, you get thirty
- 48:09five thirty six minutes from Middleton, you get forty from Dame, you get
- 48:13forty two plass from Randall and Brunston, you could be looking really good.
- 48:17And I don't think a lot of people would play it that way. So
- 48:21just kind of talking through things because a lot of definitely a lot of strategy
- 48:24goes into playing on Christmas Day. You're going to have an edge just by
- 48:28watching the games, just by paying attention to your lineups and seeing how things
- 48:32are going throughout the night. Late swapping is definitely big. Yeah, I
- 48:37mean, you could definitely look at overstacking some games. Just I mean,
- 48:40it's pretty likely that all the games in the middle from uh on Pacific time,
- 48:46but all the games from eleven thirty to five pm Pacific time could come
- 48:50in pretty low scoring. You could just definitely overstack the first and last game,
- 48:53for example, and be way ahead of the field on those games.
- 48:58Yeah, a lot of game theory definitely be checking how your lineups are doing.
- 49:01Late swap if you want to just target a couple of games and fade
- 49:07the rest, see how you're sitting. Again, if you're honest with eighty
- 49:09percent, he puts up eighty points and you don't have him, obviously,
- 49:13you know you're just trying to get to the mint cash line, adjust your
- 49:16lines differently. If he's eighty percent, puts up twenty and you don't have
- 49:20him, you have a huge leg up on the field. Maybe you can
- 49:22swap off. Just say you've had a five percent Peyton Prichard. You don't
- 49:25need to really take that risk anymore. You can get chalkier since a lot
- 49:29of other lineups are dead. So great stuff there always fun five games here.
- 49:34Hoop and Tambo did an NFL quick hit for Christmas Day as well.
- 49:37That will be up no better time. Headover Shippingnation dot com Weekly, monthly,
- 49:44six months and annual packages Rio any final thoughts man, No merry Christmas,
- 49:50everybody. Thank you for hanging around with us this year. Thank you
- 49:53for welcoming me to the Shippitt family a couple months ago. I appreciate everybody
- 49:58that's been been riding with us and showing their support. Definitely going to be
- 50:01a big year in twenty twenty four for sure, so I'm excited for the
- 50:06future for this company. Yeah. Absolutely appreciate everyone out there. Hope you
- 50:09guys do have great holidays. We appreciate you Rio great NBA mind help us
- 50:15out a ton part of the family. Helped a lot of people make some
- 50:17cheese as well. So if you do get in the ship Nation dot com.
- 50:22The weekly does not have discord, but the monthly, six month and
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- 50:29Projections get updated. Boomer lets everyone know it's always on the site, updated
- 50:34as well. Merry Christmas to all, though, Happy New Year. Be
- 50:37safe out there and we'll be back next week talking hoops for Rio on Title
- 50:40Town. Good luck, stay safe, happy holidays. No han Bs have
- 51:05madst nother have. Fasts have been steep, mother and fists