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Transcript

Thursday BEST BETS | End it All | NHL & WNBA Playoffs & MLB Playoffs & NCAA Football & NFL | 10/1/26 · Toadstool Sports

0:17
Speaker 1: You got a slip in your palm and a hole
0:20
Speaker 1: in your chest.
0:21
Speaker 2: Black coffee on the felt, man.
0:24
Speaker 1: You look like a mess. Three-team parlay turned to dust
0:28
Speaker 1: in your head. Now you stare at the chips like
0:32
Speaker 1: they made you this mad. But don't you go quiet,
0:36
Speaker 1: don't you fade from the floor. Your name still means
0:39
Speaker 1: something to somebody for sure.
0:42
Speaker 2: Put the glass.
0:43
Speaker 3: Down, baby.
0:45
Speaker 4: Look at me now Hold on, hold on Not tonight,
0:56
Speaker 4: not now.
0:58
Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on Let me pull you out That
1:07
Speaker 3: fellow fights hard But he don't get the.
1:13
Speaker 5: Crown Hold on, hold on, stay with me now.
1:28
Speaker 2: What's up, everybody? It's Toad back with you. Toadstool Sports.
1:33
Speaker 2: October 1st, I guess it's a good thing we get
1:35
Speaker 2: a new month here. I don't know, man. I don't
1:39
Speaker 2: know what else to say. Thursday, October 1st.
1:43
Speaker 6: 0-2 on the show yesterday. Hunter Brown gave up four
1:46
Speaker 6: runs in the first inning. He didn't even make it
1:48
Speaker 6: out of the first inning. So immediately that bet is dead.
1:51
Speaker 6: Although Houston cut it to 4-3 by the time the
1:55
Speaker 6: fifth inning happened. So there was an outside chance of it.
1:58
Speaker 6: And they had two guys on for Alvarez in the
2:01
Speaker 6: bottom of the fifth. So if he hits a home
2:02
Speaker 6: run there, we could.
2:04
Speaker 2: Win the bet. That did not happen, though.
2:07
Speaker 6: And Houston was the only bracket pick that I got
2:09
Speaker 6: wrong so far. With Philly still pending here. It's shocking
2:16
Speaker 6: to me that Houston lost that series that badly. Although,
2:19
Speaker 6: I mean, game one was a complete toss-up because both
2:23
Speaker 6: teams going with a bullpen game. Like, what the hell
2:25
Speaker 6: even is that? And the WNBA game was not what
2:28
Speaker 6: it looked like at all. Washington was winning the rebound battle.
2:32
Speaker 6: I don't know what to tell you, man. There's no
2:34
Speaker 6: way that statistically they lost that game by as much
2:37
Speaker 6: as they did. They were within three in the fourth quarter,
2:40
Speaker 6: even though, yes, they were losing the whole game. but
2:43
Speaker 6: they were within single digits the whole game. So I'm like, okay,
2:46
Speaker 6: just make a run late. It looked like that was happening.
2:48
Speaker 6: They're down three in the fourth quarter. Then all of
2:51
Speaker 6: a sudden, oh, no, Atlanta goes on a 10-0 run.
2:54
Speaker 6: And now Washington's going to lose the game by double digits.
2:59
Speaker 6: You got to be kidding me, man. I don't know
3:01
Speaker 6: what else to tell you. And then, of course, my
3:02
Speaker 6: other WNBA lean was correct. So yet again, I'm on
3:05
Speaker 6: the wrong one of the two games yet again. I'm
3:07
Speaker 6: so fucking sick of the WNBA. Fuck the WNBA. I'm...
3:12
Speaker 6: so fucking done with the shit. I have nothing else
3:15
Speaker 6: to say about this. I've won one play today. I think,
3:19
Speaker 6: I think the best play on the board is in
3:21
Speaker 6: hockey as you could probably guess, because that's where most
3:24
Speaker 6: of the games are today. I, I kind of wanted
3:28
Speaker 6: to make a play in the NFL game.
3:30
Speaker 2: Uh, I don't know.
3:34
Speaker 6: I have the market read is what's concerning me with
3:37
Speaker 6: it a little bit. Um, The Phillies, well, yeah, well,
3:41
Speaker 6: the Braves got lucky in the first game, so whatever, sir. Yeah,
3:49
Speaker 6: that's not going to happen. Zach Wheeler against Grant Holmes, probably. Yeah,
3:56
Speaker 6: good luck with that. I would be shocked if the
3:58
Speaker 6: Braves won that game. The Braves should have lost game one.
4:01
Speaker 6: I mean, they were losing in the bottom of.
4:03
Speaker 2: The eighth inning with two outs, so don't give me
4:05
Speaker 2: that bullshit. And I don't even like the Philly. I
4:08
Speaker 2: hate Philly. I hate Philly's fan base. I don't care.
4:11
Speaker 2: I just want to be right about the Philly's winning.
4:15
Speaker 2: Who cares? He's Zach Wheeler. He's a veteran.
4:18
Speaker 6: You think Wheeler on short rest is worse than whatever
4:21
Speaker 6: the fuck the Braves are doing today? Maybe the Braves
4:24
Speaker 6: go with a bullpen game because their bullpen is pretty good,
4:27
Speaker 6: but that still looks like a disadvantage to me. Yeah,
4:34
Speaker 6: you know which way I'm leaning in that game, but
4:35
Speaker 6: I'm talking about NHL first. I'm going to try to
4:37
Speaker 6: get through this quickly. We have a bigger NHL board today.
4:41
Speaker 6: Buffalo and Columbus is the first game. All these games are.
4:44
Speaker 2: In the evening. Neither team has played a game yet.
4:48
Speaker 6: What I have on this is that Buffalo is going
4:50
Speaker 6: to be riding what they did last year.
4:52
Speaker 2: That's the perception of Buffalo now.
4:54
Speaker 6: Buffalo won their division last year, and I kept saying
4:58
Speaker 6: they were overperforming last year.
5:00
Speaker 2: I don't think they're as good as that.
5:02
Speaker 6: Columbus missed the playoffs, I believe.
5:04
Speaker 2: I think they did, right?
5:05
Speaker 6: But they were in that mix for one of the
5:07
Speaker 6: last playoff spots really late into the season. This is
5:11
Speaker 6: not a Columbus team that's just going to roll over.
5:14
Speaker 6: And I also don't think Buffalo's as good as people
5:16
Speaker 6: thought they were last year. So I would lean to
5:19
Speaker 6: Columbus in this game. It's all just based on people's
5:22
Speaker 6: perception based on last year. Buffalo's a very public side.
5:26
Speaker 6: 83% of tickets, 89% of the cash on them. Buffalo's
5:30
Speaker 6: about a pick-em price. So it looks way too easy
5:33
Speaker 6: to play Buffalo. Given what we saw last year out
5:36
Speaker 6: of these two teams, everyone is going to consider Buffalo
5:39
Speaker 6: to be the better team here. And they are, I mean,
5:41
Speaker 6: the odds are telling you they're the slightly better team here,
5:45
Speaker 6: but I would link Columbus here. The money's also coming
5:47
Speaker 6: in on the over and the way these teams play stylistically,
5:52
Speaker 6: the over, I guess makes sense to me.
5:54
Speaker 2: And it's a high total six pretty much.
5:56
Speaker 6: Um, I wouldn't disagree with the over in that one either,
5:59
Speaker 6: but the, uh, First game of the season, a lot
6:02
Speaker 6: of times the offense is just behind the defense. The
6:05
Speaker 6: offense just isn't in rhythm yet, so that would worry
6:08
Speaker 6: me a little bit. But, I mean, if you're going
6:10
Speaker 6: to play an over in any of these first games,
6:13
Speaker 6: it could be something like that where I think both
6:15
Speaker 6: teams are sort of lesser defensive teams, let's say. Philadelphia
6:20
Speaker 6: and New Jersey. Interesting handicap here because Philadelphia got destroyed yesterday,
6:27
Speaker 6: 7-0 at home. And one of the best things for
6:29
Speaker 6: a team after that happens is just go out on
6:31
Speaker 6: the road, forget about it. So you've got to think
6:33
Speaker 6: Philadelphia is in a bounce-back spot after that. That was
6:36
Speaker 6: a revenge game for Pittsburgh, even though right now I
6:40
Speaker 6: do not think Pittsburgh is the better team over Philadelphia.
6:43
Speaker 2: But they destroyed Philadelphia yesterday.
6:45
Speaker 6: I haven't even looked at the box score, but any
6:48
Speaker 6: 7-0 game in the NHL is going to be at
6:50
Speaker 6: least somewhat misleading.
6:53
Speaker 2: So I do think it's a bounce back spot.
6:55
Speaker 6: A lot of times NHL teams that get shut out
6:57
Speaker 6: at home, they do well in the next game. Now, yes,
6:59
Speaker 6: Philadelphia is on a back-to-back, but like I said with
7:02
Speaker 6: Toronto yesterday, a back-to-back at the beginning of the season
7:06
Speaker 6: is different because you haven't had this run of games
7:09
Speaker 6: in a short period of time yet. You've only played
7:12
Speaker 6: one game, so it's easier to play a back-to-back here,
7:15
Speaker 6: and they're only traveling.
7:15
Speaker 2: To New Jersey.
7:17
Speaker 6: They're literally just going over the Delaware River or whatever,
7:21
Speaker 6: so this is a really easy travel spot. I like
7:23
Speaker 6: Philly in this one. Philadelphia, I mean, they have an
7:27
Speaker 6: edge of having already played, too. Like I said with Toronto,
7:29
Speaker 6: a similar spot to Toronto yesterday, although Toronto was in
7:33
Speaker 6: a slightly worse spot, I think, yesterday because they were
7:36
Speaker 6: coming off a big game against Montreal, whereas even if
7:39
Speaker 6: you consider Philadelphia-Pittsburgh to be a big game, Philly got
7:42
Speaker 6: destroyed in that game, whereas Toronto's game was kind of
7:45
Speaker 6: close against Montreal. So I think this is a better
7:48
Speaker 6: spot for Philly than it was for Toronto yesterday. The
7:51
Speaker 6: One issue maybe I have with this is that Philadelphia
7:53
Speaker 6: does have a game up next that I think is
7:55
Speaker 6: somewhat big, let me say. I don't like how ESPN
7:58
Speaker 6: doesn't show you the upcoming schedule there. Yeah, they play
8:01
Speaker 6: Carolina on Saturday, so that's a pretty big game as well,
8:05
Speaker 6: but Philadelphia and New Jersey is a little bit of
8:07
Speaker 6: a rivalry too because I think New Jersey steals some
8:10
Speaker 6: of the Philadelphia fan base over there because usually I
8:13
Speaker 6: think South Jersey usually is like a Philadelphia fan base there, but.
8:20
Speaker 2: Actually, the Devils are in North Jersey. What am I saying?
8:23
Speaker 2: Why do I keep thinking they're in South Jersey? They're not.
8:25
Speaker 2: They're in the northern part of New Jersey, I think.
8:28
Speaker 2: But whatever.
8:29
Speaker 6: Still a quick spot for Philadelphia. A quick travel spot.
8:32
Speaker 2: Whatever.
8:34
Speaker 6: New Jersey hasn't played yet. I think that's a disadvantage
8:37
Speaker 6: to them. I think Philly having a game under their
8:39
Speaker 6: belt and the fact that they did not look good,
8:42
Speaker 6: I would lean to Philly in this game. And you're
8:44
Speaker 6: going to get them as a big underdog, actually. The
8:46
Speaker 6: money is kind of indicating that way as well. New
8:48
Speaker 6: Jersey's minus 170 or so here, 160-something. So the odds
8:53
Speaker 6: makers are telling you the Devils are actually the better team.
8:56
Speaker 6: That also worries me a little bit because, of course,
8:58
Speaker 6: Philadelphia made the second round of the playoffs last year.
9:01
Speaker 6: New Jersey, I believe, didn't even make the playoffs last year.
9:04
Speaker 6: That was because Hughes.
9:05
Speaker 2: Was hurt and whatever.
9:07
Speaker 6: So I think that worries me because the perception of
9:10
Speaker 6: people based on last year is going to be, well,
9:12
Speaker 6: Philadelphia must be the better team.
9:14
Speaker 2: How are we getting them as an underdog here?
9:17
Speaker 6: Well, yeah, that would worry me a little bit because
9:19
Speaker 6: the odds makers are going against that perception and telling
9:22
Speaker 6: you New Jersey is the better team here.
9:24
Speaker 2: But New Jersey is a public side here for whatever reason.
9:27
Speaker 6: 85% of tickets on them, only 74% of the cash.
9:31
Speaker 2: You could take Philly.
9:33
Speaker 6: You could make a plus one puck line with Philly
9:36
Speaker 6: on this and get them to just come within one puck,
9:39
Speaker 6: one goal, and push the bet if they lose by one.
9:42
Speaker 6: I think that's how I would play this if I
9:44
Speaker 6: was going to do it. I would make the plus-one
9:45
Speaker 6: puck line with Philly, but I don't like it enough
9:48
Speaker 6: to do it. Tampa Bay at the Rangers. The Rangers
9:52
Speaker 6: did already play, and they looked bad. They lost 3-0
9:54
Speaker 6: to another bad team, my Boston Bruins.
9:59
Speaker 2: If you look at the box score of that game,
10:01
Speaker 2: it was misleading.
10:02
Speaker 6: I mean, it was a 0-0 game to the third period.
10:05
Speaker 6: One of the Bruins' goals was an empty netter at
10:07
Speaker 6: the end. It was a close game statistically. So, yeah,
10:11
Speaker 6: New York is bad. I would say they're bad. Tampa's
10:14
Speaker 6: definitely the better team here, and Tampa's a pretty heavy
10:16
Speaker 6: road favorite here. But The fact that the Rangers have
10:20
Speaker 6: a game under the belt, they got some nerves out
10:23
Speaker 6: of the way, didn't look good against a bad team
10:25
Speaker 6: like the Bruins. Nobody's going to want them here. Tampa,
10:28
Speaker 6: I don't think they played yet on the season. So, again,
10:31
Speaker 6: I would say the Rangers actually have a little bit
10:33
Speaker 6: of an advantage here, and they also didn't play yesterday.
10:36
Speaker 6: So they played in Boston, I think, two days ago.
10:39
Speaker 6: They're coming home from that. Pretty easy trip there, one
10:42
Speaker 6: day off. Game under your belt. Also, you didn't look good.
10:45
Speaker 6: So the public's not going to want you at all
10:47
Speaker 6: if you're the Rangers. I like the Rangers here, but
10:50
Speaker 6: you remember how bad the Rangers were at home last year.
10:54
Speaker 6: I don't think I really want to do it, but
10:58
Speaker 6: I'm going to give out a lean on all these
10:59
Speaker 6: games if I can. My lean in this game would
11:02
Speaker 6: be to the Rangers. It would be money line, Rangers
11:05
Speaker 6: money line. Tampa's got 92% of the tickets, 78% of
11:08
Speaker 6: the cash on them.
11:10
Speaker 2: They're about a.
11:11
Speaker 6: Minus 140 road favorite here, so the odds makers, I mean,
11:14
Speaker 6: we all know Tampa is the better team here, but
11:17
Speaker 6: It's hockey.
11:18
Speaker 2: It's a close sport. The spot, I think, sets up
11:21
Speaker 2: better for the Rangers there. All right.
11:24
Speaker 6: Again, I think the team that has a game under
11:26
Speaker 6: their belt is better off than the team that hasn't
11:29
Speaker 6: played yet during the regular season because you've already gotten
11:31
Speaker 6: used to playing and shed the nerves. I know these
11:33
Speaker 6: teams played in the preseason, but it's not quite the same.
11:37
Speaker 6: Minnesota at Nashville. Minnesota is definitely the better team here,
11:42
Speaker 6: but by how much, I don't know. I don't really
11:43
Speaker 6: have much on this game. This is the first game
11:45
Speaker 6: of the season for both teams. Minnesota's a public side,
11:48
Speaker 6: 82% of tickets, only 65% of the cash on them.
11:52
Speaker 6: They're around minus 140 here. Nashville, I mean, it seemed
11:56
Speaker 6: like every time I wanted to play Nashville, like in
11:58
Speaker 6: a decent spot, they let me down, so... I've kind
12:00
Speaker 6: of had it with Nashville. I don't want to deal
12:02
Speaker 6: with them. The money seems to indicate on Nashville here, though.
12:08
Speaker 6: The public perception is definitely that Minnesota's the better team.
12:11
Speaker 2: I agree. I think they are. Maybe Nashville's a little
12:14
Speaker 2: bit under the radar. I mean, you're talking about a team.
12:16
Speaker 6: That still was, I believe they were still close to
12:18
Speaker 6: being a playoff team last year. Minnesota is one of
12:21
Speaker 6: the top teams in the conference, though, so... I mean,
12:24
Speaker 6: that's why they're a road favorite like this year. You
12:27
Speaker 6: don't see road favorites that are necessarily that heavy in hockey,
12:29
Speaker 6: although there is one in the last game on the
12:32
Speaker 6: board that we'll talk about, which is a complete mismatch,
12:35
Speaker 6: in my opinion.
12:37
Speaker 2: The team that's.
12:37
Speaker 6: On the favorite end of the mismatch lost that game.
12:43
Speaker 2: So I'm talking about the Edmonton game. I'll get to that.
12:45
Speaker 2: when I get to it.
12:47
Speaker 6: Seattle and Calgary, this is just ugly. I mean, there's
12:49
Speaker 6: two of the worst teams in hockey. At least that's
12:52
Speaker 6: what they're expected to be. This is a terrible game.
12:54
Speaker 6: I think the perception is that Seattle's the better team.
12:58
Speaker 6: They have 68% of the tickets on them, 56% of
13:01
Speaker 6: the cash on Calgary.
13:03
Speaker 2: It's basically a pick-em price, though.
13:05
Speaker 6: And given the look of the market and whatever, Calgary,
13:08
Speaker 6: I think, was the last-place team in all of hockey
13:12
Speaker 6: last year.
13:12
Speaker 2: It might have been Vancouver. I forget.
13:14
Speaker 6: I think just the perception has the public thinking that
13:17
Speaker 6: Seattle is the better team over Calgary. Maybe they are,
13:22
Speaker 6: but it's not really by that much. So based on
13:25
Speaker 6: that and quick market read here, I guess I would
13:27
Speaker 6: say Calgary would be.
13:28
Speaker 2: The lean there. Both teams haven't played yet. They're both
13:32
Speaker 2: awful teams.
13:33
Speaker 6: I mean, I don't know what else to say about that.
13:35
Speaker 6: It's one of those games where because both teams are
13:37
Speaker 6: bad and over somewhat makes sense too, because the Matchup
13:41
Speaker 6: between two bad teams, the public tends to have a
13:43
Speaker 6: tendency to think, well, that means it's going to be
13:45
Speaker 6: more of an under because these teams suck.
13:47
Speaker 2: That means they can't score. Well, no.
13:48
Speaker 6: A lot of times these teams suck because they don't
13:51
Speaker 6: play defense well. And the money is coming in on
13:54
Speaker 6: the over in that game, although it's not really a
13:55
Speaker 6: high total at five and a half. But, you know,
13:58
Speaker 6: hockey totals, there isn't much of a range there with
14:01
Speaker 6: hockey totals. Chicago at Utah. Chicago is yet again a
14:05
Speaker 6: big underdog. They're not expected to be very good this year.
14:08
Speaker 6: They lost pretty ugly to the Golden Knights in their
14:12
Speaker 6: last game. They're staying on the road, and they're going
14:14
Speaker 6: into elevation at Utah, so they're having to play two
14:17
Speaker 6: playoff teams from last year, one of which I believe
14:21
Speaker 6: eliminated the other last year. I believe the Knights eliminated
14:24
Speaker 6: the Mammoth last year. Dude, imagine being a hockey fan Like,
14:29
Speaker 6: you know, I don't know, a decade or so ago
14:31
Speaker 6: and then jumping or a little bit more than a
14:33
Speaker 6: decade ago and then jumping into this show.
14:36
Speaker 2: Be like the Golden Knights against the Mammoth. What the
14:39
Speaker 2: fuck are you talking about? You know what I mean? Anyway,
14:44
Speaker 2: I don't think Chicago is that good of a team.
14:46
Speaker 6: Utah is definitely a heavy favorite, though, and because Chicago
14:49
Speaker 6: has a game under their belt. I think that does
14:52
Speaker 6: give them a little bit of an advantage, even though
14:53
Speaker 6: it's going to be tough for them going into elevation here.
14:55
Speaker 6: It's not that easy to play in Utah, and I
14:58
Speaker 6: think that did help Utah last year in their first
15:01
Speaker 6: season as the Mammoth, and I believe it was their
15:03
Speaker 6: second season as the Utah Mammoth. the team out of Utah,
15:08
Speaker 6: they were the Utah hockey club for a year before
15:10
Speaker 6: that 74% of tickets, 85% of the cash on Utah, Utah,
15:14
Speaker 6: of course is still the coyotes from the years prior
15:18
Speaker 6: to that. Like a lot of the personnel stayed the same. Uh,
15:22
Speaker 6: Utah is a minus two 20 favor here. The money
15:24
Speaker 6: is actually coming in towards Utah. I would slightly disagree
15:27
Speaker 6: with that though. Cause again, I think the advantage slightly
15:30
Speaker 6: goes to the team with a game under their belt,
15:32
Speaker 6: but it is, I think going to be a little
15:34
Speaker 6: bit difficult for Chicago. Um, playing two pretty good teams
15:37
Speaker 6: in a row and having to go into elevation. So
15:40
Speaker 6: I'm not interested there either. Which brings us to the
15:42
Speaker 6: game I am actually going to play. And that is
15:50
Speaker 6: we're going to take the San Jose Sharks on the
15:53
Speaker 6: money line against the Florida Panthers here after I gave
15:56
Speaker 6: out the Panthers as a winner, barely, in game one. Now, yes,
16:01
Speaker 6: I know Florida has a game under their belt and
16:03
Speaker 6: San Jose does not, so that is an advantage. to Florida,
16:07
Speaker 6: but I think there are just too many disadvantages for
16:10
Speaker 6: Florida in this one. Number one, I think it's a
16:12
Speaker 6: letdown spot. Florida just went into Carolina. They played a tough, physical,
16:17
Speaker 6: low-scoring game against Carolina. They won the game in overtime
16:20
Speaker 6: two days ago, beat the returning champs, Florida, good way
16:24
Speaker 6: to kick off the season.
16:26
Speaker 2: Big win for Florida.
16:27
Speaker 6: Now, I think public perception is just going to be
16:29
Speaker 6: right back on Florida again. And while, yes, I think
16:32
Speaker 6: Florida is one of the best teams in hockey, I
16:35
Speaker 6: am high on them to return to being a championship
16:39
Speaker 6: contender this year. I don't like this spot, again, for
16:44
Speaker 6: the reason that it is a letdown spot here, coming
16:46
Speaker 6: up that massive win, but also they're having to travel
16:49
Speaker 6: to the Pacific Coast for a late-night game.
16:51
Speaker 2: San Jose's already out there waiting, you know what I mean?
16:54
Speaker 6: So there's no time zone adjustment for San Jose here,
16:56
Speaker 6: for Florida here. There is, and I talk about this
16:59
Speaker 6: all the time, an East Coast team going out West
17:02
Speaker 6: for a.
17:02
Speaker 2: Late-night game, not good.
17:04
Speaker 6: You have to readjust your biological clock, so I don't
17:07
Speaker 6: like that for Florida at all. They might overlook a
17:10
Speaker 6: San Jose team that has not made the playoffs recently.
17:13
Speaker 6: I think they're a bit under the radar right now.
17:15
Speaker 6: I like San Jose this year. If you saw my preview,
17:17
Speaker 6: I think they're a team that's on the rise. They've
17:20
Speaker 6: got a lot of young talent there, including Celebrini, Mr.
17:23
Speaker 6: Boston University, although he is Canadian sometimes. Unfortunately, but he
17:28
Speaker 6: went to BU. So he has ties to Boston. Plus,
17:32
Speaker 6: I believe he's Italian, right? So he's my Italian brother there,
17:37
Speaker 6: if that's true. Anyway, yeah, I think it's a better
17:41
Speaker 6: spot for San Jose. I think it's a really negative
17:43
Speaker 6: spot for Florida. And they do have Anaheim next. Anaheim
17:46
Speaker 6: was a playoff team last year. And then LA, Minnesota, Buffalo.
17:49
Speaker 6: So they have four playoff teams in a row from
17:53
Speaker 6: last year coming up after this. So I think you
17:55
Speaker 6: could argue it's a sandwich.
17:57
Speaker 2: Spot as well.
17:57
Speaker 6: Maybe they look ahead a little bit because Anaheim did
18:00
Speaker 6: have a good season last year. Yeah, we'll be on
18:03
Speaker 6: San Jose in this one. The money seems to agree
18:05
Speaker 6: with this. 68% of tickets are on Florida, 51% of
18:08
Speaker 6: the cash on San Jose. Grab them as an underdog.
18:11
Speaker 6: Florida's a fairly hefty favorite here at about minus 140-something.
18:16
Speaker 6: You can get a good money line price on this,
18:18
Speaker 6: at least in the plus 120s, maybe plus 130s. I
18:21
Speaker 6: was thinking you could make a puck line out of this,
18:24
Speaker 6: but the San Jose plus one and a half, is
18:26
Speaker 6: it like minus 200? So I was like, yeah, I
18:28
Speaker 6: don't know. That's a bit pricey. I'd say just fire
18:31
Speaker 6: on the money line here and hope that we get
18:33
Speaker 6: it right. But at money line prices like this, I mean,
18:36
Speaker 6: this is hockey. We do it in baseball too, but
18:39
Speaker 6: in hockey even more so. You don't even need to
18:41
Speaker 6: win 50% of bets like this. So it's a long-term thing, right?
18:45
Speaker 6: You know that you're playing an underdog, so they're not
18:47
Speaker 6: necessarily expected to win, but you're saying that you think
18:49
Speaker 6: they have a better chance to win than what the
18:52
Speaker 6: odds are. And over time, as long as you hit
18:56
Speaker 6: like high 40s percent of these particular plays, you're going
19:00
Speaker 6: to profit off of it.
19:01
Speaker 2: So that's what we're going to do in that one.
19:03
Speaker 2: All right.
19:04
Speaker 6: And then we have the game I was talking about
19:05
Speaker 6: with Edmonton and Vancouver. Don't ask me how, but Edmonton
19:09
Speaker 6: lost to Vancouver in the first game of the season
19:12
Speaker 6: in Edmonton.
19:13
Speaker 2: And it was a very Edmonton game, 6-5.
19:17
Speaker 6: I mean, it was an overtime game, but still, this
19:19
Speaker 6: is an Edmonton team that we know.
19:21
Speaker 2: What they are.
19:22
Speaker 6: They score a ton, and they don't have good goaltending.
19:24
Speaker 6: They don't really play good defense. This game was definitely misleading, though.
19:28
Speaker 2: I mean, come on, man.
19:29
Speaker 6: I mean, look at what happened in this game. Vancouver
19:32
Speaker 6: scored a shorthanded goal early. They did have a power
19:35
Speaker 6: play goal later in the game as well. Oilers did
19:38
Speaker 6: have a power play game late as well.
19:41
Speaker 2: But this game.
19:42
Speaker 6: I mean, it was 5-2 at one point, Vancouver, which
19:45
Speaker 6: is just ridiculous after they scored three goals in quick
19:48
Speaker 6: succession in the third period. And Edmonton still came all
19:52
Speaker 6: the way back. After a game like this, you got
19:55
Speaker 6: to think Vancouver is going to be in a letdown
19:56
Speaker 6: spot regardless of who they're playing next, even though, yes,
19:59
Speaker 6: I know. They're returning home from this and playing Edmonton again.
20:03
Speaker 6: But this looks like a major zigzag spot to me, right? Like,
20:06
Speaker 6: when you have a huge favorite like Edmonton was, they
20:09
Speaker 6: were a minus 300-something favorite, which is one of the
20:12
Speaker 6: biggest favorites you'll ever see in hockey. And you have
20:15
Speaker 6: a team like that, a favorite like that, that lost
20:17
Speaker 6: a game, they usually bounce back in the next game.
20:19
Speaker 2: Whereas on the flip side.
20:22
Speaker 6: When a team like Vancouver pulls off a monster upset
20:25
Speaker 6: like this, they're in a letdown spot after that.
20:28
Speaker 2: And they both coincide here because these teams are playing
20:30
Speaker 2: each other again. So it's a zigzag.
20:32
Speaker 6: It's one of those road revenge angles that I look
20:35
Speaker 6: for as well. When you have Edmonton in this case,
20:37
Speaker 6: a team that lost at home, they go out on
20:39
Speaker 6: the road and they play that same team again. A
20:41
Speaker 6: lot of times that team leaves home after that bad performance.
20:44
Speaker 6: They go out on the road, they make the adjustments,
20:46
Speaker 6: and they do way better in that next game. So
20:49
Speaker 6: that's another reason why the zigzag works. Especially this road
20:53
Speaker 6: reversal angle tends to work quite a bit because the
20:55
Speaker 6: road team is thinking, well, if we beat this team
20:57
Speaker 6: on the road, we can come back home and we
21:01
Speaker 6: can do it again. But that team has no adjustments
21:03
Speaker 6: to make because everything worked for them. Now, if you
21:06
Speaker 6: look at the box score, this game was also dominated
21:09
Speaker 6: by Edmonton. They dominated every stat. They were plus 14
21:13
Speaker 6: in shots on goal. They had three times as many hits,
21:16
Speaker 6: and they won the face-off battle by a huge amount
21:19
Speaker 6: as well, 60%. So Edmonton dominated every statistic in this game.
21:24
Speaker 6: This is a very misleading result, too. So I think
21:27
Speaker 6: the only way to play this game is to play Edmonton.
21:29
Speaker 6: But you're looking.
21:31
Speaker 2: I mean, the money doesn't even agree with this, by
21:33
Speaker 2: the way.
21:33
Speaker 6: But you're looking at Edmonton at minus 200-something, minus 220.
21:36
Speaker 6: So how do you play this?
21:38
Speaker 2: I mean, it's like.
21:40
Speaker 6: You know, you could Moneyline Parlay this thing. You take
21:42
Speaker 6: Edmonton and throw them in a Moneyline Parlay with like
21:44
Speaker 6: a football game over the weekend or something. You find
21:48
Speaker 6: some favorite that you think is going to win that's
21:50
Speaker 6: in a similar price range. 92% of tickets are on Edmonton,
21:55
Speaker 6: 53% of the cash on Vancouver, though. So the money's
21:57
Speaker 6: back in Vancouver. I do not agree with that. I
22:01
Speaker 6: think it's like a clear zigzag spot where the score
22:04
Speaker 6: in that game is very misleading. Edmonton, in my opinion,
22:07
Speaker 6: is the right side here. I guess, you know, you
22:10
Speaker 6: could lay a puck line, minus one and a half.
22:14
Speaker 6: I mean, Edmonton is one of the one teams where
22:16
Speaker 6: maybe it makes sense to do that because they score
22:19
Speaker 6: a ton of goals, and this game is a high
22:21
Speaker 6: total as well. It's six and a half, and the
22:24
Speaker 6: money is coming in on the over as well. Puck line,
22:27
Speaker 6: minus one and a half puck line, always pretty dicey
22:29
Speaker 6: in hockey, though. I almost never do it. um maybe
22:33
Speaker 6: this is a situation where you could I mean the
22:35
Speaker 6: other way to do this I mean you could take
22:37
Speaker 6: Edmonton to go over their team total but I mean
22:39
Speaker 6: they did in the last game too even though they
22:41
Speaker 6: lost they still went over their team total both teams
22:44
Speaker 6: did uh their team total I guess it's likely to
22:48
Speaker 6: I guess be you're gonna have to they'll have to
22:51
Speaker 6: get at least four in this game um but you
22:54
Speaker 6: know obviously that's reasonable in a game like this so Yeah,
22:57
Speaker 6: Edmonton's team total over might be a way to look
22:59
Speaker 6: at that, although it seems maybe too obvious, kind of obvious.
23:02
Speaker 6: I mean, Edmonton pretty much always scores a lot, so
23:06
Speaker 6: that's what we got going on there.
23:07
Speaker 2: All right, let's go to WNBA as I keep shifting.
23:11
Speaker 2: I don't have all the windows up here.
23:12
Speaker 6: WNBA, I think there's only one game today. Yeah, because
23:17
Speaker 6: the other series ended, and that was the Minnesota series.
23:21
Speaker 6: Indiana and Vegas, going back to Vegas for the deciding
23:24
Speaker 6: game of the series here. You know I have Indiana
23:26
Speaker 6: winning this in my bracket. Indiana did really well against
23:30
Speaker 6: Vegas during the regular season. In fact, Indiana was, I
23:33
Speaker 6: believe they were 3-0 against Vegas during the regular season,
23:36
Speaker 6: or were they 2-1?
23:38
Speaker 2: Let me see. I know they won both games in
23:41
Speaker 2: Vegas during the regular season. I know that.
23:44
Speaker 6: Whoops, I'm looking at Indiana here. I wanted to look
23:46
Speaker 6: at the regular season matchups. I think Indiana blew out
23:49
Speaker 6: Vegas both times in Vegas during the regular season, although, yes,
23:52
Speaker 6: I know they lost here. Yes, and then they lost
23:54
Speaker 6: at home in overtime during the regular season. Now, in
23:57
Speaker 6: the playoffs, it's flipped a little bit. The home team
23:59
Speaker 6: has won each game fairly decisively here. But I think
24:05
Speaker 6: Indiana's competitive. I think they match up well with Vegas.
24:08
Speaker 6: Vegas did not do well, man.
24:09
Speaker 2: In the two home games... which mattered.
24:12
Speaker 6: I mean, they were both in a weak span, and
24:13
Speaker 6: Vegas could not turn it around and flip the script
24:16
Speaker 6: the second time. They lost badly both games. They lost
24:19
Speaker 6: even worse in the second game. They lost by over.
24:21
Speaker 2: 30 points to Indiana.
24:24
Speaker 6: Neither game was close in Vegas, so Indiana does seem
24:27
Speaker 6: to match up pretty well against Vegas for whatever reason,
24:30
Speaker 6: although I have my reservations with it. I mean, Indiana's
24:32
Speaker 6: not a very good road team, although, again, Vegas is
24:35
Speaker 6: not a completely dominant home team either. It looks like
24:39
Speaker 6: Clark is day-to-day right now, but she'll play.
24:42
Speaker 2: I mean, this is a deciding... This is.
24:44
Speaker 6: A series-deciding game in the playoffs, man. If she can go,
24:48
Speaker 6: she's going. So I would assume she's going to play.
24:51
Speaker 6: There was some weird incident with Asia Wilson. I don't know,
24:56
Speaker 6: fighting with somebody in the Indiana crowd in the last
24:59
Speaker 6: game was very bizarre. Like, somebody in the crowd, I guess...
25:03
Speaker 6: pointed at Wilson and then she started like going back
25:06
Speaker 6: here like you're not allowed to point at me and
25:08
Speaker 6: like it almost became like a fight of some I
25:11
Speaker 6: don't know what the hell it even was to be
25:12
Speaker 6: honest um I don't know if Wilson got a tactical
25:16
Speaker 6: for it or not but I don't know I don't
25:17
Speaker 6: think that you you should be allowed to do what
25:19
Speaker 6: she did in that game she seems to be uh
25:23
Speaker 6: maybe a little bit of a head case here I
25:24
Speaker 6: don't know I don't know if that's gonna have any
25:26
Speaker 6: impact on this game probably not I mean Wilson's obviously
25:29
Speaker 6: not suspended or anything for that but yeah um these
25:33
Speaker 6: teams will be at full strength. I would say I'm
25:36
Speaker 6: going to slightly lean towards Indiana here, man. Although they
25:40
Speaker 6: look like kind of a public underdog, which does scare
25:42
Speaker 6: me a lot. They're a public, I think they were
25:44
Speaker 6: a public dog.
25:45
Speaker 2: In game one too.
25:46
Speaker 6: It seems like the public, you know, they just go,
25:48
Speaker 6: Oh yeah, Indiana, Caitlin Clark, whatever. And they're going to
25:51
Speaker 6: see what Indiana just did in the last game. 72%
25:54
Speaker 6: of tickets, 76% of the cash on them. Vegas is
25:57
Speaker 6: a four and a half point favorite, but I don't know, man, Indiana, I'm,
26:01
Speaker 6: They seem to have some matchup edges that not a
26:03
Speaker 6: lot of teams have against Vegas for whatever reason. Although,
26:07
Speaker 6: if you want to zigzag this, you'd be leaning towards
26:11
Speaker 6: the ace this year. But it was not a misleading result, really,
26:15
Speaker 6: except for the fact that Indiana did shoot 52% from
26:17
Speaker 6: the field in that home game. So, yeah, they shot
26:21
Speaker 6: a little bit of an outlier percentage there. But if
26:23
Speaker 6: you look at what happened in this game otherwise, I mean,
26:26
Speaker 6: Indiana won the game. It was a pretty close game statistically,
26:28
Speaker 6: but they won the rebound battle. three pointers are close. Um,
26:32
Speaker 6: Indiana missed a lot.
26:33
Speaker 2: Of free throws.
26:34
Speaker 6: Vegas went to the free throw line way more and
26:36
Speaker 6: hit a bunch more free throws. And that might actually
26:38
Speaker 6: regress a little bit in this game. Indiana had way
26:41
Speaker 6: more field goal attempts in this game. So they had more, uh,
26:45
Speaker 6: possessions in which they attempted field goals, which to me
26:49
Speaker 6: is usually an indicator that that team was the better
26:51
Speaker 6: team there. So it wasn't really a misleading win for
26:54
Speaker 6: Indiana there.
26:54
Speaker 2: I don't know.
26:55
Speaker 6: It's a hard game to handicap. I don't want anything
26:57
Speaker 6: to do with it. Um, Obviously, I wouldn't be shocked
27:00
Speaker 6: if Vegas won. I mean, they're still a very experienced
27:03
Speaker 6: playoff team and the returning champs. But to me, it
27:06
Speaker 6: just seems like Indiana's given them a lot of problems
27:08
Speaker 6: this year. Although I know in game one of this series,
27:11
Speaker 6: it was not even close. But I think that game
27:13
Speaker 6: was a little bit misleading, game one, which Vegas won easily.
27:16
Speaker 6: Whereas game two, where Indiana won by 10, was actually not.
27:20
Speaker 2: As misleading as game one. All right. Let's go to
27:24
Speaker 2: Major League Baseball. We only have one game here. in
27:27
Speaker 2: the baseball playoffs.
27:28
Speaker 6: I'm saving football for last, even though it's not playoff
27:32
Speaker 6: action as usual.
27:35
Speaker 2: We have one game, Philly and Atlanta.
27:37
Speaker 6: We still don't know who's pitching in this game, although
27:39
Speaker 6: I think we can kind of guess, but because this
27:41
Speaker 6: is the final game of the series and a tied series,
27:46
Speaker 6: these teams are going to pull out all the stops here, man.
27:48
Speaker 6: So I'm going to say that if this game is
27:50
Speaker 6: close later in the game, I think the edge does
27:53
Speaker 6: shift to Atlanta because they have the better bullpen here.
27:56
Speaker 6: Atlanta does have the better offense here as well, especially
27:59
Speaker 6: at home where Philadelphia does not hit that well on
28:02
Speaker 6: the road. Philadelphia was able to get that late win
28:05
Speaker 6: yesterday in what was.
28:07
Speaker 2: A close game.
28:07
Speaker 6: Philadelphia was able to dodge having Sanchez. Sanchez is really
28:12
Speaker 6: not that great against Atlanta, not that great on the road,
28:15
Speaker 6: but he was good enough yesterday.
28:16
Speaker 2: And then Andrew Painter.
28:18
Speaker 6: The unsung hero for Philly. Rookie Andrew Painter came in
28:22
Speaker 6: and pitched the last three innings of the game scoreless
28:25
Speaker 6: and got the win, which is pretty impressive, man. Painter,
28:30
Speaker 6: he was pitching better at the end of the season.
28:32
Speaker 6: He might not suck, to be honest. Coming into this game,
28:36
Speaker 6: I think we can take a guess what we're going
28:38
Speaker 6: to see in this game, and it is probably going
28:40
Speaker 6: to be Zach Wheeler, in my opinion here, because he's
28:43
Speaker 6: next up in the rotation here.
28:44
Speaker 2: When's the last time he pitched? Let me see. He pitched....
28:49
Speaker 6: On the 27th, which was Sunday, so that was how
28:53
Speaker 6: many days ago?
28:54
Speaker 2: I can't do math anymore, man. Yeah, so it's short rest.
28:57
Speaker 6: As Garrett said, it would be one fewer day of
29:00
Speaker 6: rest than normal, pretty much, if Wheeler is going to
29:02
Speaker 6: pitch here. My guess is he is, but maybe I'm
29:06
Speaker 6: wrong about that. He has good numbers against Atlanta. If
29:08
Speaker 6: he is going to pitch, he has 347 career at-bats
29:12
Speaker 6: pitched against him, which is an insane number. 113 strikeouts
29:16
Speaker 6: and 21 walks is a really good ratio. 225 average,
29:20
Speaker 6: 672 OPS allowed. So he has good numbers against Atlanta
29:24
Speaker 6: if he is going to pitch in this game. Now,
29:28
Speaker 6: if he's not, then I don't know what Philly's going
29:30
Speaker 6: to actually do here. They have Aaron Nola, I guess,
29:35
Speaker 6: would be next up. When did he last pitch, though?
29:37
Speaker 6: He pitched on Saturday, so I guess Nola... would be
29:40
Speaker 6: the guy who's actually on normal rest here so i
29:42
Speaker 6: guess it's possible it's nola here um nola is not
29:46
Speaker 6: good against atlanta in 416 at bats they have a
29:50
Speaker 6: 288 average against him at 881 ops 105-35 strikeout walk ratio.
29:55
Speaker 6: Nola was pitching well down the stretch, but he had
29:58
Speaker 6: a bad game in his last outing against Tampa Bay.
30:00
Speaker 2: But prior to that, he was pitching pretty well.
30:03
Speaker 6: Nola is pitching well right now, but he does not
30:05
Speaker 6: have a good matchup against Atlanta here. So if it's Nola,
30:09
Speaker 6: I think that's worse for Philadelphia than Wheeler would be.
30:14
Speaker 6: But that's, I mean, we all know that anyway. Wheeler's
30:16
Speaker 6: just the better pitcher anyway, but it's the better matchup
30:18
Speaker 6: for him. For Atlanta, my assumption is it's going to
30:22
Speaker 6: be Grant Holmes because the rest of their pitchers are injured.
30:25
Speaker 6: He hasn't pitched since Friday, so my guess is it's
30:27
Speaker 6: going to be him starting here. Holmes had a 3.44 ERA, 1.31
30:33
Speaker 6: whip on the season, 227 average allowed against Philly, 724 OPS.
30:39
Speaker 6: So his numbers are pretty good against Philly, except the
30:41
Speaker 6: strikeout walk ratio is really bad, 20-13 OPS. I honestly
30:47
Speaker 6: don't know what to do with this game because we
30:48
Speaker 6: don't know who's pitching in the game. Philadelphia is getting
30:52
Speaker 6: the money here, and they're actually a favorite, which kind
30:54
Speaker 6: of tells you something. So I think the public is
30:56
Speaker 6: looking at this and thinking, why would Philadelphia be the
30:58
Speaker 6: favorite here? Because the public has been on Atlanta this
31:02
Speaker 6: entire series. 55% of tickets are on Atlanta, 55% of
31:06
Speaker 6: the cash on Philly. But it's tough to say, you know,
31:09
Speaker 6: not knowing who the pitchers are going to be here.
31:12
Speaker 6: Money is also backing the over 7.5 in this one.
31:16
Speaker 2: I mean, I.
31:19
Speaker 6: Don't have a great feel for the total. It all
31:21
Speaker 6: depends on who's pitching. I think the difference between Wheeler
31:25
Speaker 6: and Nola pitching is big here. I think Philly is
31:28
Speaker 6: way better off if Wheeler pitches, even if he's on
31:31
Speaker 6: short rest. We'll see what they decide to do. Both
31:35
Speaker 6: pitchers might get into the game. I don't know what
31:37
Speaker 6: they're going to do in this game, to be honest.
31:41
Speaker 2: But, you know, I don't know.
31:43
Speaker 6: Yeah, it's a really difficult game to figure out, although
31:45
Speaker 6: I believe Atlanta does have a good record against Philly
31:48
Speaker 6: this year. I think Atlanta won the majority of their
31:51
Speaker 6: games against Philly this year, so something to keep in
31:53
Speaker 6: mind there as well.
31:56
Speaker 2: Dirty Sock, what's up? Yeah, thanks for hanging out.
32:01
Speaker 6: The Phillies, it depends on the starting pitching here. I
32:06
Speaker 6: think a lot of it comes down to that, like,
32:09
Speaker 6: My assumption was that Wheeler was going to start in
32:11
Speaker 6: this game, and I thought that would give them a
32:13
Speaker 6: decided edge in this game. But given that his rest,
32:16
Speaker 6: he'd be on short rest, I don't know if that's
32:18
Speaker 6: what they're going to do. But I don't know, man.
32:21
Speaker 6: Don Mattingly's their manager now. What's going through his head here?
32:24
Speaker 6: I mean, you've got to win this game. It's a
32:26
Speaker 6: decisive game.
32:27
Speaker 2: And if you.
32:28
Speaker 6: Consider that and the fact that the matchup is better
32:32
Speaker 6: for Wheeler, Wheeler is your better pitcher here. I think
32:35
Speaker 6: you've got to get him out there on short rest.
32:37
Speaker 2: That's what I would do.
32:38
Speaker 6: I would have Wheeler start the game if.
32:42
Speaker 2: I was him.
32:43
Speaker 6: Wheeler's a veteran, dude. I mean, he can go on
32:46
Speaker 6: one day fewer rest. I mean, think about what guys
32:49
Speaker 6: used to do back in the old days. Guys would
32:51
Speaker 6: pitch every fucking day. Like, what are we, a bunch
32:53
Speaker 6: of cowards, a.
32:54
Speaker 2: Bunch of pussies?
32:56
Speaker 6: Wheeler, I mean, yeah, he's been in the league for forever.
32:58
Speaker 6: I mean, yeah, I think he'd be fine if he
33:01
Speaker 6: went out there on one day short rest. All right,
33:04
Speaker 6: let's go to college football, which I am not particularly
33:08
Speaker 6: interested in here. These games are bad games tonight, man.
33:12
Speaker 6: I don't know who's going to watch these games, although
33:14
Speaker 6: there might be a lot of scoring in these games here.
33:17
Speaker 6: Western Kentucky and New Mexico State to kick off Conference USA,
33:21
Speaker 6: conference action here.
33:22
Speaker 2: On CBS Sports. These teams are bad.
33:26
Speaker 6: Western Kentucky looks particularly bad, especially on defense. This is
33:30
Speaker 6: not a good team, but they played a really tough schedule.
33:32
Speaker 6: I mean, did anybody think they were going to beat
33:35
Speaker 6: Georgia or Indiana on the road? No, of course not.
33:38
Speaker 6: They started out with three straight road games, and the
33:40
Speaker 6: first one they had to go to Reno, Nevada for
33:43
Speaker 6: that game. So they have not had an easy schedule. So, yeah,
33:47
Speaker 6: at 1-3, they won last week against an FBS team, which,
33:50
Speaker 6: by the way, both of these teams have played That
33:52
Speaker 6: same team, Mercyhurst, who's in Erie, Pennsylvania. For whatever reason,
33:56
Speaker 6: they played both of these teams that are playing in
33:58
Speaker 6: this game tonight.
33:59
Speaker 2: I don't know how that happened, but whatever.
34:02
Speaker 6: So, yeah, Western Kentucky, maybe they're not as bad as
34:04
Speaker 6: their record would indicate because they played two teams that
34:06
Speaker 6: they obviously were not expected to beat. But they've looked bad. Like,
34:11
Speaker 6: they have not looked good in any of these games
34:13
Speaker 6: so far except Mercyhurst, but... Is that even that good?
34:16
Speaker 6: I think almost any FBS team could beat Mercyhurst, and
34:21
Speaker 6: the majority of them could blow that team out. Now,
34:24
Speaker 6: Western Kentucky is having to go to Las Cruces, New
34:26
Speaker 6: Mexico for this, which is another weird travel spot for them.
34:30
Speaker 6: They're playing a fourth road game in five games to
34:34
Speaker 6: start the season now.
34:35
Speaker 2: Is it in five weeks, or do they have a
34:36
Speaker 2: bye in here? Let me see. If it's in five weeks,
34:40
Speaker 2: that is a difficult scheduling spot.
34:43
Speaker 5: Um.
34:45
Speaker 6: Yeah, it looks like it is. It looks like they've
34:46
Speaker 6: not had a bye. So four road games in five weeks,
34:50
Speaker 6: that is something you do not usually see in college football.
34:53
Speaker 6: So that is pretty difficult, all that travel for Western Kentucky.
34:57
Speaker 6: So even though they are battle-tested, I don't think I
35:00
Speaker 6: really like them in this game.
35:02
Speaker 2: New Mexico State is also 1-3. I mean, they've had
35:04
Speaker 2: some difficult games, too.
35:07
Speaker 6: Their only win is also against Mercyhurst, like I said,
35:10
Speaker 6: also in a blowout, but they lost on the road
35:12
Speaker 6: at Florida State. I mean, they weren't expected to win
35:14
Speaker 6: that game, but they actually played pretty well. They only
35:16
Speaker 6: lost by 17, so that was a better result than
35:19
Speaker 6: what Western Kentucky put up against the power conference opponents
35:23
Speaker 6: they played, although those opponents are better than Florida State, obviously.
35:27
Speaker 6: Then New Mexico State had to play in Hawaii, which
35:29
Speaker 6: that's just, you know, not expected that they're going to
35:32
Speaker 6: win that game, that weird travel spot.
35:34
Speaker 2: Then they had a bye.
35:35
Speaker 6: So New Mexico State has more rest here because they
35:37
Speaker 6: had a bye before last week. And I gave them
35:40
Speaker 6: out as a play last week, and this was misleading, man.
35:42
Speaker 6: They didn't cover, but look at this. They only got
35:45
Speaker 6: out-gamed by 25 yards in this game against their big brother,
35:48
Speaker 6: New Mexico. New Mexico State probably should have covered this
35:51
Speaker 6: game based on the statistics, but they were minus three
35:54
Speaker 6: in turnovers. and the turnovers put them in a huge hole,
35:57
Speaker 6: so I think we kind of got screwed in this game. Statistically,
36:01
Speaker 6: it was definitely close enough that they could have covered
36:04
Speaker 6: a double-digit spread there, so I think that was kind
36:06
Speaker 6: of a misleading result for New Mexico State. New Mexico
36:09
Speaker 6: State is the better defense out of these two teams.
36:12
Speaker 6: They're going to want to run the football, so these
36:13
Speaker 6: teams are a little bit different stylistically. Western Kentucky is
36:16
Speaker 6: not good on defense. They throw the football and That's
36:20
Speaker 6: kind of what they do. I believe that's what they
36:22
Speaker 6: do still. Whereas New Mexico State, they're going to try
36:24
Speaker 6: to slow the game down, run the football, and they
36:27
Speaker 6: play better defense. And like I said, I think the
36:30
Speaker 6: scheduling spot's a little bit better for them. Less travel,
36:33
Speaker 6: more rest. I'm going to lean towards New Mexico State here,
36:35
Speaker 6: but the money's not agreeing with me at all. 63%
36:37
Speaker 6: of tickets on New Mexico State, 68% of the cash
36:39
Speaker 6: on Western. kentucky here new mexico state initially moved up
36:45
Speaker 6: from a one point favorite to a two two and
36:46
Speaker 6: a half point favorite though so there was an initial
36:49
Speaker 6: move on new mexico state and i don't think it
36:51
Speaker 6: hit the three yet now it looks like there's money
36:54
Speaker 6: coming in on western kentucky anyway even though it didn't
36:56
Speaker 6: reach that key number three i don't get what we're
36:59
Speaker 6: doing here and i think side and total might be
37:01
Speaker 6: correlated in this one it's a high total 57 and
37:04
Speaker 6: a half basically um That number's gone way up, so
37:08
Speaker 6: there has been legit money on the over here, but
37:10
Speaker 6: I think that is correlated with Western Kentucky, the over is,
37:13
Speaker 6: because I think they're more of a fast-paced offense and
37:16
Speaker 6: less of a defense, whereas New Mexico State, if they're
37:19
Speaker 6: going to cover this, they're going to want to slow
37:21
Speaker 6: the game down, or.
37:22
Speaker 2: In this case, win, because they're the favorite here.
37:25
Speaker 6: Oddsmakers are telling you these teams are pretty evenly matched
37:28
Speaker 6: with new Mexico state, basically getting almost exactly what their
37:31
Speaker 6: home field advantage probably is here. Maybe a little, maybe
37:35
Speaker 6: new Mexico state has a little bit less than that
37:36
Speaker 6: for home field. Um, Yeah, I don't think I have
37:40
Speaker 6: much else on this game. The money coming into Western
37:43
Speaker 6: Kentucky may just be because they're more battle-tested than New
37:46
Speaker 6: Mexico State.
37:47
Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't want to touch this game, though.
37:49
Speaker 6: I don't want the other game either on ESPN, which
37:52
Speaker 6: is North Texas and Tulsa.
37:54
Speaker 2: North Texas, they're off and running, man.
37:56
Speaker 6: They lost their coach, Morris, and their quarterback, Mestemaker, and
38:01
Speaker 6: some other guys they had.
38:02
Speaker 2: They all went out and moved over to Oklahoma State.
38:06
Speaker 6: So it was expected that North Texas was going to
38:07
Speaker 6: have a down season this year, but They really haven't
38:10
Speaker 6: been that bad so far. They crushed UNLV, although I
38:13
Speaker 6: think they caught UNLV coming back from Hawaii, so they
38:16
Speaker 6: did catch them at a good time. They got blown
38:18
Speaker 6: out by Indiana, but I mean, what can you do?
38:20
Speaker 2: I mean, it's Indiana.
38:22
Speaker 6: And then North Texas played a pretty competitive game against
38:24
Speaker 6: a pretty good Texas State team. And then they crushed
38:28
Speaker 6: Houston Christian last week, although that's an FCS team. Now
38:31
Speaker 6: North Texas got to go back out on the road, though,
38:33
Speaker 6: to face Tulsa. I think this game is also... a
38:36
Speaker 6: game that's more or less offense versus defense. North Texas
38:40
Speaker 6: is an offensive team, just like they were last year. Yeah,
38:44
Speaker 6: they like to run fast-paced offense, score a lot, whereas
38:48
Speaker 6: Tulsa's going to want to slow the game down and
38:49
Speaker 6: play defense. Now, Tulsa's 3-1, but they've faced a really
38:54
Speaker 6: easy schedule so far.
38:56
Speaker 2: Although I know they beat Oklahoma State.
38:57
Speaker 6: I know that was a nice win for them, but
39:00
Speaker 6: it seems like recently Tulsa always beats Oklahoma State, and
39:03
Speaker 6: that's always a big game for Tulsa. Because Oklahoma State's
39:07
Speaker 6: the big brother in the state of Oklahoma to them.
39:10
Speaker 2: So Tulsa gets up for that game.
39:12
Speaker 6: Now what's interesting, though, is that Oklahoma State, remember what
39:15
Speaker 6: I just said, they have North Texas' coach, quarterback, and
39:19
Speaker 6: some of their other guys from last year. So that
39:21
Speaker 6: Oklahoma State team they beat actually runs the same system, basically,
39:26
Speaker 6: that North Texas is running, sort of, even though I
39:28
Speaker 6: know North Texas has a new coaching. now but basically
39:31
Speaker 6: Tulsa already saw this North Texas offense once this year
39:35
Speaker 6: and they were able to slow them down so that's
39:38
Speaker 6: that is a good sign for Tulsa coming into this
39:40
Speaker 6: game if they were able to do what they did
39:42
Speaker 6: against Oklahoma State maybe they'll be able to do it
39:44
Speaker 6: to North Texas as well and slow them down but
39:48
Speaker 6: I'm not entirely sure about that. You know, because, again, Tulsa,
39:53
Speaker 6: they get up for that game against Oklahoma State. Tulsa
39:57
Speaker 6: did not have a good game coming off of that. But,
39:59
Speaker 6: you know, it was a letdown spot coming off of that.
40:01
Speaker 6: They were in a bad spot off of that. They
40:03
Speaker 6: went to Sam Houston. They beat Sam Houston barely and
40:06
Speaker 6: didn't cover. Tulsa beat FCS East Texas.
40:09
Speaker 2: A & M by a lot.
40:10
Speaker 6: And then they lost badly to Arkansas last week. Arkansas,
40:14
Speaker 6: you know, middle of the pack SEC team basically.
40:19
Speaker 2: What do we do with this Tulsa team, man?
40:20
Speaker 1: I don't know.
40:21
Speaker 6: A lot of times when a team's coming off their
40:22
Speaker 6: first loss, I actually don't like to back them because
40:25
Speaker 6: a lot of times it'll hang them over into the
40:27
Speaker 6: next game.
40:28
Speaker 2: But more or less, I think both teams will get
40:30
Speaker 2: up for this because this is their first conference game.
40:33
Speaker 2: So I don't know what to do.
40:36
Speaker 6: And the other thing that we need to know is
40:37
Speaker 6: that Tulsa's quarterback is hurt right now, Baylor Haynes.
40:40
Speaker 2: It looks like he is coming back, though.
40:44
Speaker 6: So then we have to kind of gauge, is this
40:46
Speaker 6: a reverse injured player spot or whatever here for Tulsa?
40:50
Speaker 2: Let me see. So Baylor Hayes had a knee injury.
40:54
Speaker 2: He is starting tonight. Yeah, he missed two games.
40:58
Speaker 6: So in the injured player theory spot, that was the
41:00
Speaker 6: game they played East Texas A & M. So they
41:02
Speaker 6: didn't really need him in that game anyway, but they won.
41:05
Speaker 6: I'm assuming they covered in that game as well. But
41:09
Speaker 6: that was the injured player theory spot, you know. They
41:12
Speaker 6: covered by a half point. That's crazy. There were almost
41:15
Speaker 6: 42 point favorites in that one. But yeah, that was
41:18
Speaker 6: the interplayer theory game. You know, I say when a
41:20
Speaker 6: quarterback goes down, the team will step it up in
41:22
Speaker 6: that first game without him. And then a lot of
41:24
Speaker 6: times they fall back down to earth in the next game.
41:27
Speaker 6: And that's kind of what happened against Arkansas, though Arkansas,
41:29
Speaker 6: obviously a better.
41:31
Speaker 2: Team than Tulsa. There's no doubt about that.
41:34
Speaker 6: Now Tulsa is in a reverse injured player spot, though,
41:36
Speaker 6: because their quarterback's coming back. So it's possible they might think, well,
41:40
Speaker 6: if we can play all right without him, you know,
41:42
Speaker 6: a lot of times they kind of take their foot
41:44
Speaker 6: off the gas a little bit with that starter coming back,
41:46
Speaker 6: and sometimes the chemistry's a little bit off and they
41:50
Speaker 6: have to work him back in there.
41:51
Speaker 2: So I don't know.
41:51
Speaker 6: I think that's a negative for Tulsa just in the
41:53
Speaker 6: short term, bringing him back here.
41:55
Speaker 2: I don't know.
41:58
Speaker 6: I kind of like North Texas here a little bit.
42:00
Speaker 6: The money's coming in on Tulsa. Tulsa is the better defense.
42:05
Speaker 2: So there is that.
42:05
Speaker 6: A lot of times I do like the better defense,
42:07
Speaker 6: but the initial move flipped the favorite. Tulsa opened a
42:11
Speaker 6: two and a half point favorite. It flipped the North
42:13
Speaker 6: Texas one and a half, but I thought that might
42:14
Speaker 6: be because Tulsa's quarterback was going to be out. But
42:17
Speaker 6: now that he's going to be back, wouldn't you think
42:20
Speaker 6: the line would kind of move back towards Tulsa here?
42:22
Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on here.
42:23
Speaker 6: 68% of tickets on North Texas, 59% of the cash
42:27
Speaker 6: on Tulsa. I don't really love playing on teams when
42:31
Speaker 6: their quarterback's coming back like this, man. So I don't
42:33
Speaker 6: really want Tulsa here. But they are the better defense.
42:36
Speaker 6: Tulsa is the anti-public side. They look like the side
42:39
Speaker 6: that's getting the money. So I might kind of disagree
42:41
Speaker 6: with the money in both these games here today.
42:45
Speaker 2: And again, I think it is correlated, though. I think
42:47
Speaker 2: Tulsa and the under are correlated.
42:49
Speaker 6: And the money is actually agreeing with the correlated total
42:53
Speaker 6: in both games, by the way. So the money is
42:55
Speaker 6: in alignment with Western Kentucky in the over in that
42:58
Speaker 6: first game and then Tulsa and the under in the
43:01
Speaker 6: second game. And I think those are all correlated in
43:03
Speaker 6: each game. Particular game, I think those things are correlated. Tulsa,
43:07
Speaker 6: being the better defensive team, I think they're correlated to
43:09
Speaker 6: the under. And North Texas would be correlated to the
43:14
Speaker 6: over because they want to air it out and throw
43:15
Speaker 6: the football.
43:19
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a tough game to figure out, man.
43:21
Speaker 2: It really is. The money is coming in on Tulsa here.
43:24
Speaker 6: Yeah, my slight opinion was in the other direction there,
43:29
Speaker 6: but North Texas... The public likes to back offenses like that,
43:34
Speaker 6: so that makes me not want to back them as well.
43:36
Speaker 2: So, I mean, you can see why I'm not playing
43:38
Speaker 2: these games. Hindium, what's up? Thanks for hanging out. You're
43:41
Speaker 2: losing on stocks. What are you talking about here? Stonks.
43:46
Speaker 2: All right, NFL.
43:48
Speaker 6: I don't think I could do this, man. This is
43:50
Speaker 6: Pittsburgh at Cleveland as Mr. Thursday Night.
43:54
Speaker 2: I don't know. Am I Mr. Thursday Night or is
43:56
Speaker 2: Kevin Stefanski Mr. Thursday Night?
43:59
Speaker 6: Former Cleveland coach because he keeps winning on Thursday night,
44:03
Speaker 6: and he was with Cleveland most of the time, and
44:05
Speaker 6: some really crazy trends going on in this game. Cleveland,
44:10
Speaker 6: I'm trying to, let me get this straight here. I
44:12
Speaker 6: believe Cleveland has won seven straight Thursday night games, and
44:16
Speaker 6: I believe five of them were under, or yeah, I
44:19
Speaker 6: think the last five of them were under Stefanski. So
44:22
Speaker 6: Cleveland has won seven Thursday night games in a row,
44:25
Speaker 6: which is kind of insane. I don't know if it's
44:28
Speaker 6: just teams overlook them and Cleveland gets up for having
44:31
Speaker 6: a primetime game like this. But the other interesting trend
44:34
Speaker 6: here is Cleveland has won four straight home games against Pittsburgh.
44:38
Speaker 6: And I believe I gave out Cleveland as a play
44:41
Speaker 6: at home against.
44:42
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh last year.
44:43
Speaker 6: And I think that was a Thursday night game as well.
44:46
Speaker 6: And I was using the same trends that I'm citing now.
44:50
Speaker 6: And I'm like, yeah, Cleveland's going to be the right
44:52
Speaker 6: side here. I think they won outright. I mean, they
44:54
Speaker 6: did because I just told you what the trends were there.
44:57
Speaker 6: So a lot of trends indicating on the Cleveland side here,
45:02
Speaker 6: which would be crazy because if Cleveland wins this game,
45:04
Speaker 6: they're going to be three and one to start the season.
45:07
Speaker 2: How insane is that?
45:08
Speaker 6: And the crowd might actually be into it now, man,
45:10
Speaker 6: because the crowd, they hated Deshaun Watson, whatever. But now
45:14
Speaker 6: that they've had a home game and Deshaun Watson won
45:16
Speaker 6: them that game and they're a team with a winning
45:19
Speaker 6: record right now.
45:19
Speaker 2: I don't know, man.
45:22
Speaker 6: Crowds are fickle like that. They might just start being like, whatever, man,
45:25
Speaker 6: let's just root for this guy. And I told you
45:27
Speaker 6: Deshaun Watson was their best quarterback. Uh, there are other
45:30
Speaker 6: quarterbacks are ass and Deshaun Watson. Remember he actually was
45:34
Speaker 6: okay with Houston back in the day. It's just his
45:37
Speaker 6: career got derailed because of the massages and whatever. And
45:40
Speaker 6: I guess because of being in this Cleveland organization, but yeah,
45:44
Speaker 6: I mean, I'm leaning Cleveland in this game and there
45:45
Speaker 6: are other reasons to do so as well. Um, Pittsburgh
45:49
Speaker 6: is considered to be the better team by the Publix.
45:51
Speaker 6: The Publix is going to be on Pittsburgh. Yeah, they
45:53
Speaker 6: are the better team. They're favored on the road here,
45:55
Speaker 6: of course. Some other things to not like about Pittsburgh here.
45:59
Speaker 6: They just had a big win over the Bengals last week.
46:01
Speaker 6: That was a huge divisional win.
46:03
Speaker 2: It was a home upset. pulled off by Pittsburgh.
46:06
Speaker 6: I think coming off a game like that, it could
46:08
Speaker 6: be a letdown spot for them here. They play the
46:10
Speaker 6: Colts next. I don't think that's that big of a deal.
46:13
Speaker 6: It's just kind of a normal Sunday afternoon game, I think.
46:16
Speaker 6: But still, at the very least, it's a letdown spot
46:18
Speaker 6: for Pittsburgh, and they're on short rest.
46:20
Speaker 2: But what I will say is that the home.
46:22
Speaker 6: Team usually does have an advantage in the Thursday night
46:25
Speaker 6: game on short rest, and Cleveland is staying at home here.
46:28
Speaker 2: But obviously, you know, it's a.
46:30
Speaker 6: Quick travel spot for Pittsburgh to go from Pittsburgh to Cleveland.
46:33
Speaker 6: That's easy for them, and they're very familiar with it.
46:36
Speaker 6: So when you have divisional opponents going up against each other,
46:39
Speaker 6: it mitigates that to some extent. The road team is
46:41
Speaker 6: not as bad on Thursday nights when it's a divisional game,
46:44
Speaker 6: and the teams are already familiar with each other, so
46:46
Speaker 6: the road team kind of knows that team and whatever,
46:49
Speaker 6: so it's less bad for that road team usually.
46:54
Speaker 2: But this is not Mike Tomlin here. This is Mike McCarthy.
46:56
Speaker 6: Now, that could go both ways, or maybe the Browns
46:59
Speaker 6: don't really know what the Steelers are going to look
47:01
Speaker 6: like offensively, although you've seen what they've looked like. They've
47:04
Speaker 6: kind of looked like ass, except they did look pretty
47:06
Speaker 6: good last week, but the Bengals are a shit defense,
47:08
Speaker 6: you know what I mean? The capable defenses that Pittsburgh
47:12
Speaker 6: has gone up against, which are the Falcons and the Patriots,
47:15
Speaker 6: Pittsburgh did not look good against either of those defenses,
47:18
Speaker 6: and the Browns, I would qualify them as a capable defense.
47:22
Speaker 6: So Pittsburgh's good offensive performance was against a weak Cincinnati defense.
47:27
Speaker 6: So keep that in mind. I would not expect Pittsburgh's
47:31
Speaker 6: offense to be that good again. Although you could make
47:34
Speaker 6: the argument that maybe Aaron Rodgers is getting his bearings
47:37
Speaker 6: again and that he is going to play better throughout
47:39
Speaker 6: the remainder of the season here.
47:40
Speaker 2: There is.
47:41
Speaker 6: I could see that argument being the case, but the
47:44
Speaker 6: Browns are still a tough defense to face. The Browns
47:47
Speaker 6: still have a good track record on Thursday night, good
47:49
Speaker 6: track record at home.
47:50
Speaker 2: Against the Steelers.
47:51
Speaker 6: They always get up for this game against the Steelers.
47:54
Speaker 6: Maybe the Steelers won't overlook them for once because they're 2-1,
47:57
Speaker 6: but literally everyone in this division is 2-1 right now.
48:01
Speaker 6: So it still just might be, yeah, they're the same
48:04
Speaker 6: old Browns, but the thing is also, pittsburgh at this
48:07
Speaker 6: point might be hearing the trends and might like know
48:10
Speaker 6: this though right like they're going to remember they went
48:12
Speaker 6: into cleveland last year on thursday night and they lost.
48:15
Speaker 2: So you could kind of maybe make the argument.
48:18
Speaker 6: That pittsburgh is gonna have revenge in mind after that
48:22
Speaker 6: although they do have a new coach here um because
48:24
Speaker 6: that was tomlin last year and now it's mccarthy mike
48:27
Speaker 6: tomlin by the way playing minecraft for the last 12
48:30
Speaker 6: years and if you haven't noticed um pittsburgh uh did
48:34
Speaker 6: not do as well since mike tomlin started uh being
48:36
Speaker 6: obsessed with minecraft 12 years ago pittsburgh only made one
48:40
Speaker 6: conference championship game and lost to the patriots uh that
48:44
Speaker 6: was the only time they made a conference championship in
48:47
Speaker 6: that span which is crazy anyway yeah and the browns
48:52
Speaker 6: by the way the browns won't get credit for last
48:54
Speaker 6: week's win really the public's not going to give them
48:56
Speaker 6: that much credit for beating the panthers.
48:58
Speaker 2: You know what i mean um Like, whatever. It is
49:01
Speaker 2: what it is. They beat a team that's not that good.
49:03
Speaker 6: The Panthers are not a good defense, and the Browns
49:07
Speaker 6: were able to out-defend them.
49:09
Speaker 2: But the Browns, give them credit. I mean, they had
49:11
Speaker 2: to come back late.
49:12
Speaker 6: Deshaun Watson led a late-winning drive there.
49:16
Speaker 2: All right, you know. Yeah, I mean. obviously, as I said,
49:21
Speaker 2: I like the Browns in this game. The money doesn't
49:23
Speaker 2: really seem to agree, though.
49:24
Speaker 6: 53% of tickets, 67% of the cash on Pittsburgh. Two
49:28
Speaker 6: and a half point favor. But the thing is, the
49:29
Speaker 6: two and a half... That tells you a lot. The
49:32
Speaker 6: oddsmakers throw out a two and a half, and it
49:34
Speaker 6: hasn't even really moved. It looks like a couple of
49:37
Speaker 6: books might be kind of teetering on the three here now.
49:40
Speaker 6: But when you see that on that key number three,
49:42
Speaker 6: and you know the public's coming in on Pittsburgh, at
49:44
Speaker 6: least to some extent, and the line hasn't moved, that
49:47
Speaker 6: kind of tells you something. The oddsmakers are kind of
49:50
Speaker 6: taking a stand, and they're just okay with taking the
49:52
Speaker 6: Pittsburgh money. It does look kind of inviting to take
49:55
Speaker 6: Pittsburgh at minus two and a half.
49:57
Speaker 2: You know what I mean? And we also have a
49:59
Speaker 2: low total here. Maybe the total is actually the better
50:02
Speaker 2: way to look at this, perhaps. I mean, I don't know.
50:05
Speaker 6: I still think the Cleveland side is still my approach
50:07
Speaker 6: here in this game, especially if you can get three.
50:10
Speaker 6: I'd be leaning Pittsburgh here. Or excuse me, I'd be
50:12
Speaker 6: leaning Cleveland. Excuse me, Cleveland is the way I'd be
50:15
Speaker 6: leaning here. Cleveland, especially if you can get plus three.
50:18
Speaker 6: 38 and a half is the total here, though, and
50:19
Speaker 6: the money is coming in on the under here. 50-50
50:22
Speaker 6: on the tickets, 64% of the cash on the under.
50:24
Speaker 2: I agree with the under here.
50:26
Speaker 6: I mean, I think you're looking at two offenses that
50:29
Speaker 6: aren't very good, and both teams are better on defense
50:31
Speaker 6: than offense. I think both defenses have the edge here,
50:34
Speaker 6: and whereas a lot of times the defenses, you know,
50:37
Speaker 6: on a short week, a lot of times defenses won't
50:39
Speaker 6: be as good because they have less rest, the defense
50:42
Speaker 6: does tend to do a little bit better when it's
50:44
Speaker 6: a divisional matchup because the teams know each other better,
50:48
Speaker 6: so they know what to expect from the other team's offense. Although, again,
50:52
Speaker 6: like I said, maybe Cleveland doesn't know what to expect
50:54
Speaker 6: from Mike McCarthy's pittsburgh off but so but still generally
50:57
Speaker 6: these teams know each other well they know how to
51:00
Speaker 6: defend against them and the game just plays a little
51:04
Speaker 6: bit tighter like defensively in a divisional game usually it's
51:07
Speaker 6: like just a little bit more intensity there so i
51:10
Speaker 6: think the under makes some sense here but yeah i
51:14
Speaker 6: i think uh the cleveland side yeah i mean i'll
51:17
Speaker 6: i'll go back to that the cleveland side is the
51:19
Speaker 6: best way to play this and i have to determine
51:21
Speaker 6: whether or not i want to put it on my
51:22
Speaker 6: pick five entry i told you i do not like
51:26
Speaker 6: the football board today or this week I mean this
51:29
Speaker 6: week I do not like the football board at all
51:31
Speaker 6: I might wind up with maybe like two plays here
51:36
Speaker 6: I really don't like it we'll see it's not a
51:40
Speaker 6: bye week yet next week we have the first byes
51:43
Speaker 6: which are KC and Carolina are on bye next week
51:46
Speaker 6: a lot of times I thought the byes had started
51:48
Speaker 6: in week four and maybe they did for a while
51:51
Speaker 6: but I guess that's not the case this year But
51:54
Speaker 6: we will have another stupid London game this week.
51:56
Speaker 2: The London games are.
51:57
Speaker 6: Now starting again. Featuring my Indianapolis Colts, so isn't that great?
52:02
Speaker 6: They have to go to London again, I suppose. I
52:05
Speaker 6: think they did last year. I think both teams in
52:07
Speaker 6: that game, Washington and Indianapolis, I think they both did.
52:10
Speaker 6: But anyway, I'll save that for a little bit later
52:13
Speaker 6: in the week. Hopefully we don't miss any line moves
52:18
Speaker 6: here for the games that I want, but usually we
52:20
Speaker 6: don't because usually I'm fading.
52:21
Speaker 2: The public in a very public sport, so... Yeah, that's
52:24
Speaker 2: all I got, man.
52:27
Speaker 6: So my lean in that game would be to the
52:28
Speaker 6: Cleveland Browns plus the points there, especially if you can
52:30
Speaker 6: get three. My one actual play of the day, we're
52:34
Speaker 6: going to fade the team that got me the win
52:37
Speaker 6: in hockey to start off the season, and we're going
52:39
Speaker 6: to take the San Jose Sharks against the Florida Panthers.
52:42
Speaker 6: You can get them at a decent underdog price here.
52:45
Speaker 6: I think the spot is bad for Florida, so let's
52:48
Speaker 6: take the Sharks, even though it is their first game.
52:50
Speaker 6: I think the Sharks, again, I think they're better than
52:52
Speaker 6: people think they are, at least. I think they're a
52:54
Speaker 6: little bit under the radar here. Kind of an up-and-coming team.
52:57
Speaker 6: Bad West Coast travel spot plus letdown spot for Florida
53:00
Speaker 6: off of that huge win against Carolina.
53:03
Speaker 2: So let's take San Jose for my one play of
53:06
Speaker 2: the day.
53:06
Speaker 6: That's going to do it. Learn to Tone on Twitter
53:08
Speaker 6: and Learn to Tone on Instagram. Like, subscribe to the
53:11
Speaker 6: channel here. And you'll get notified when I go live.
53:14
Speaker 6: We'll have the night football shows coming back. I don't
53:16
Speaker 6: know what I'm going to do tomorrow because I have
53:17
Speaker 6: another concert tomorrow. um, smashing pumpkins, so I gotta figure
53:21
Speaker 6: out when I wanna do my college football show, doing
53:24
Speaker 6: it after coming back is gonna be, like, completely fucking brutal,
53:27
Speaker 6: so I gotta figure out if I wanna do it earlier,
53:31
Speaker 6: or maybe do it, I don't know, do it tonight, even,
53:34
Speaker 6: I don't know, I don't know what I wanna do
53:35
Speaker 6: about that, um, I gotta figure it out, uh, thank you, everybody, um,
53:41
Speaker 6: What else do I have? We're on audio, Apple, Spotify, Spreaker.
53:44
Speaker 6: Let's get those numbers spiking again like last Saturday. Let's
53:49
Speaker 6: get some more weekend spikes here.
53:50
Speaker 2: With the football. It had to have been the football
53:53
Speaker 2: content that started doing it, right?
53:54
Speaker 6: It had to have been the college football show because
53:56
Speaker 6: that got a lot of views on YouTube too, even
53:58
Speaker 6: though it was a two-and-a-half-hour show.
54:00
Speaker 5: I don't know.
54:01
Speaker 6: I think that was maybe what did it. I don't know,
54:04
Speaker 6: but let's get back to it. You'd think the NFL.
54:06
Speaker 2: Would be it though because it's like a shorter show.
54:08
Speaker 2: I do like an hour for the NFL.
54:11
Speaker 1: I don't know.
54:11
Speaker 2: And people are certainly into that as far as betting
54:15
Speaker 2: as well. So I don't know. It's the most bet sport.
54:18
Speaker 2: But whatever. Yeah.
54:20
Speaker 6: Covered in you because my ukulele channel on YouTube. I
54:26
Speaker 6: forget what else I usually plug. Patreon.com slash Learn to
54:29
Speaker 6: Tote if you want to support me there.
54:31
Speaker 2: Loser cast every Tuesday night. Hindium is in the chat here.
54:35
Speaker 2: Check that show out. And I believe that is going
54:37
Speaker 2: to do it. Thanks, everybody. Peace for now.
54:42
Speaker 1: Hold on, hold on, not tonight.
55:08
Speaker 4: Not now Hold on, hold.
55:14
Speaker 2: On Let me pull you.
55:18
Speaker 3: Out That bad luck fights hard But it don't.
55:25
Speaker 4: Get the crown Hold on.
55:30
Speaker 2: Hold on Stay with me now.
55:36
Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on. You're still here now.