Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 4239 Midterm RED WAVE? The New Numbers Are BRUTAL!!!

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Ep. 4239 Midterm RED WAVE? The New Numbers Are BRUTAL!!! · Turley Talks

0:00
[SPEAKER_01]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
0:06
[SPEAKER_01]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
0:18
[SPEAKER_01]: This is Turley Talks.
0:21
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm a little more skeptical of the polling in Texas having been there because I did just get a lot of, I'm going to vote for the team, which was the message from Andrew Nixon, which it means you have a terrible candidate, but the polling are the Republican impulse.
0:38
[SPEAKER_00]: it's such a sub-deeply ingrained in Texas and it feels like it's hard to break.
0:44
[SPEAKER_01]: But on the popcorn gang, they're already starting to hedge the legacy medium, most especially the fall-left activist disguises journalist at MSNBC.
0:55
[SPEAKER_01]: are bracing their rapidly dwindling audience for the great Democrat disappointment.
1:01
[SPEAKER_01]: And they're right.
1:03
[SPEAKER_01]: Stick them to the very end of this video because we've got all the latest on the absolutely brutal early vote numbers coming in.
1:10
[SPEAKER_01]: And we're gonna see precisely why the Democrats are beginning to realize that their hopes of the midterm blue wave are literally being dashed.
1:18
[SPEAKER_01]: by the day or not, get to want to miss this.
1:21
[SPEAKER_01]: Greetings, everyone.
1:22
[SPEAKER_01]: It is live stream Friday.
1:23
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm your host, Dr. Steve, your patron professor.
1:25
[SPEAKER_01]: Here to keep you sane in the midst of all the insanity with breaking news and analysis.
1:31
[SPEAKER_01]: You're not going to get anywhere else.
1:32
[SPEAKER_01]: You know what to do.
1:33
[SPEAKER_01]: Make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button as
1:36
[SPEAKER_01]: always are super chats are up.
1:38
[SPEAKER_01]: So feel free to send in your comments, your questions throughout the broadcast.
1:42
[SPEAKER_01]: It'll be my privilege and my honor to answer them right here on this live stream.
1:47
[SPEAKER_01]: Also, you know, I hear people say all the time when it comes to gold.
1:52
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to wait.
1:54
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to wait for gold to come down.
1:56
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to wait for inflation to settle.
1:58
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to wait for the economy to stabilize.
2:01
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to wait to things feel a little bit more normal.
2:03
[SPEAKER_01]: But here's my question.
2:05
[SPEAKER_01]: What exactly precisely are you waiting for?
2:10
[SPEAKER_01]: You see the likes of the wealthy around the world.
2:12
[SPEAKER_01]: They're not waiting.
2:13
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, look at the economic reality around the central banks around the world continue accumulating gold nations continue looking for alternatives to their dependence on the US dollar and we're watching an increasingly fragmented global economy take shape right in front of us.
2:29
[SPEAKER_01]: These aren't isolated headlines, gang.
2:32
[SPEAKER_01]: They're structural changes.
2:33
[SPEAKER_01]: We've been talking about these trends in this channel for years.
2:36
[SPEAKER_01]: So when someone tells me that they're waiting for the right time to look at gold, I think they're focused on the wrong thing because of debt, currency concerns, central bank buying, geopolitical uncertainty.
2:49
[SPEAKER_01]: If those are the reasons that you were considering physical gold in the first place, ask yourself, what's changed?
2:56
[SPEAKER_01]: That's the question.
2:58
[SPEAKER_01]: Now, whether you can perfectly time it, the price is like, sorry, that's not the, not whether gold is higher today than it was a year ago, have the fundamental reasons for owning it gone away.
3:10
[SPEAKER_01]: From where I sit, they have it.
3:11
[SPEAKER_01]: And that's why people are still looking at purchasing physical gold and silver directly.
3:17
[SPEAKER_01]: While others are exploring, whether a gold IRA makes sense for a portion of their retirement savings.
3:23
[SPEAKER_01]: And if you're looking into either one,
3:25
[SPEAKER_01]: get educated first.
3:26
[SPEAKER_01]: And that's why I trust a gust of precious metals.
3:29
[SPEAKER_01]: They're experienced education team will sit down with you one on one.
3:34
[SPEAKER_01]: They'll explain physical gold and silver.
3:36
[SPEAKER_01]: They'll walk you through how a gold IRA works.
3:39
[SPEAKER_01]: Their answer all your questions and they'll help you understand your options before you
3:44
[SPEAKER_01]: Yes, you make the decision.
3:47
[SPEAKER_01]: Go to turlybyesgold.com or text turly to 35052 to request Augustus Free Guide because waiting only makes sense if you're waiting for something fundamental to change.
4:00
[SPEAKER_01]: That is still climbing.
4:02
[SPEAKER_01]: Central banks are still buying.
4:04
[SPEAKER_01]: The global order is still shifting.
4:06
[SPEAKER_01]: The reasons for owning gold haven't changed.
4:09
[SPEAKER_01]: Not one bit.
4:10
[SPEAKER_01]: Click on that link below.
4:12
[SPEAKER_01]: Right now.
4:12
[SPEAKER_01]: All right, gang, let's dive right in here.
4:14
[SPEAKER_01]: So here we are, just 11 days from the big day.
4:19
[SPEAKER_01]: And as we speak, 18 million people have already voted 18 million.
4:27
[SPEAKER_01]: Now the advantage with early voting.
4:31
[SPEAKER_01]: is that we can begin to see patterns emerge, particularly turnout patterns that provide data that we can then compare with previous election patterns and then try to make a determination for what to expect on election days.
4:48
[SPEAKER_01]: So what are we seeing big picture with these 18 million votes?
4:53
[SPEAKER_01]: Well, first and foremost, the early vote percentage is virtually identical to what it was back in 2022 and the last midterms in 2022 Democrats led as they historically always do Democrats like to come out and vote early whereas Republicans overwhelmingly wait until election day the Democrats led the early vote at the same date in time 48 to 32.
5:22
[SPEAKER_01]: Republicans then came out in mass on election day and shifted the electorate 20 points for a plus three Republican turnout.
5:32
[SPEAKER_01]: This again was in 2022 when the Republicans went back control of the house.
5:36
[SPEAKER_01]: Not by a lot, but a win is a win, right?
5:40
[SPEAKER_01]: Right now as we speak, the early percentage, the early vote percentage is nearly identical to 2022.
5:48
[SPEAKER_01]: It's now Democrats' 47 to Republicans' 30.
5:53
[SPEAKER_01]: So what we can immediately see from this aerial view, big picture that as far as turnout
6:09
[SPEAKER_01]: That's what Katie turnover at MSNBC was lamenting over.
6:14
[SPEAKER_01]: There's no more of a blue wave in 2026 than there was in 2022.
6:20
[SPEAKER_01]: That's when we compare Democrat and Republican turnout.
6:24
[SPEAKER_01]: However, there is one key differential, and that's independence.
6:38
[SPEAKER_01]: tend to swing towards the party that's out of power.
6:44
[SPEAKER_01]: So in 20 of the last 23 midterms going all the way back to 1934 and 20 of the last 23 midterms.
6:52
[SPEAKER_01]: the president's party loses seats in the house by an average about 27 seats.
6:58
[SPEAKER_01]: That's the norm.
6:59
[SPEAKER_01]: It's technically known as a refractory period where the party in power suffers from failing to get their low propensity voters to the polls, which the party out of power takes advantage of in terms of their far more motivated voters who want revenge.
7:16
[SPEAKER_01]: and independence tend to follow the party with the motivation and the enthusiasm.
7:23
[SPEAKER_01]: So what that means is for these mid-terms with independence moving toward the Democrats, rather than a plus three Republican electorate like 2022.
7:35
[SPEAKER_01]: The final electorate this year looks like it will be more a plus five Democrat turnout because they're going to get extra help from the left leaning independence given the historical pendulum swing.
7:47
[SPEAKER_01]: But the key here is that that plus five electorate, if that's what it turns out to be, a plus five electorate is frankly nothing.
7:57
[SPEAKER_01]: It's basically half of what the Democrats
8:05
[SPEAKER_01]: a plus five electorate is a national average.
8:08
[SPEAKER_01]: So it includes California, right?
8:10
[SPEAKER_01]: Now, LA in San Francisco and LA includes New York, includes Illinois, in Chicago, includes Colorado, Denver to all.
8:18
[SPEAKER_01]: It's a national average.
8:20
[SPEAKER_01]: It doesn't necessarily translate into states like Florida.
8:26
[SPEAKER_01]: or Texas, or Arizona, or Ohio, or Iowa, or Nevada, so it most certainly will flip some Republican seats, but it's low enough for Republicans to in turn flip some Democrat seats.
8:44
[SPEAKER_01]: And so what that means is that Republican turnout,
8:48
[SPEAKER_01]: has to forge an electoral fortress across the country in key areas, in key states for key seats that will effectively and valiantly defend our seats against a formidable but hardly overwhelming pro-democrat electorate, okay?
9:11
[SPEAKER_01]: That's the big picture strategy that's going on here.
9:16
[SPEAKER_01]: The strategy isn't a massing a red wave across the country since independence are most likely not going to cooperate with that if passed as precedent.
9:26
[SPEAKER_01]: What we can do instead and what the Republican Party is clearly doing instead is a mass targeted red waves
9:36
[SPEAKER_01]: that flood the states we need to flood in order to defend both Senate and congressional seats from a formidable, but hardly overwhelming pro-democrat electorate.
9:49
[SPEAKER_01]: That is precisely what this early voting data is indicating.
9:55
[SPEAKER_01]: that Republicans are indeed rising up in the occasion to the occasion, and they're refusing to allow the normal course of history to have it say.
10:06
[SPEAKER_01]: They're refusing to allow the average loss of 27 seats.
10:10
[SPEAKER_01]: They're refusing to allow key states like Texas to turn blue.
10:14
[SPEAKER_01]: They're refusing to allow key Senate seats like in Ohio to fall.
10:19
[SPEAKER_01]: They're refusing to allow key congressional seats
10:24
[SPEAKER_01]: the early vote is showing that Republicans all across the country are rising up in these targeted red waves defending their majority.
10:38
[SPEAKER_01]: So let me give you a bit of the lay of the land here as I see it.
10:43
[SPEAKER_01]: Right now,
10:45
[SPEAKER_01]: Florida, Texas, and Arizona, Arizona is interesting because it does not have, you know, a national Senate campaign at this point.
10:55
[SPEAKER_01]: But it's got a gubernatorial campaign and they're attorney general in the light.
10:59
[SPEAKER_01]: But Florida, Texas, and Arizona, right now, are absolutely crushing it.
11:08
[SPEAKER_01]: Based on the in-person early voting, I think we're pretty safe to say at this point.
11:13
[SPEAKER_01]: And I say, I'm not saying this.
11:16
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm not being coy here and I'm not being hyperbolic.
11:21
[SPEAKER_01]: I think we're pretty safe to say that these races, at least when it comes to Florida and Texas, we'll have to see what happens in Arizona given their precedent that they like their governors for two terms.
11:32
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know why that's just specific to Arizona.
11:36
[SPEAKER_01]: They like their governors for two terms.
11:38
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm still a big fan of Andy Biggs.
11:39
[SPEAKER_01]: I think you can do it.
11:41
[SPEAKER_01]: But that's, again, if past is precedent, that's where you have to figure out.
11:44
[SPEAKER_01]: But at least when it comes to Florida and Texas, particularly their senatorial and gubernatorial races are concerned.
11:52
[SPEAKER_01]: I think at this point, we could stick a fork in them.
11:55
[SPEAKER_01]: they look pretty much done.
11:56
[SPEAKER_01]: Okay.
11:57
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, Arizona has the big governor's race and very important congressional hold in Arizona too.
12:01
[SPEAKER_01]: I think that's looks like that's done at this point.
12:04
[SPEAKER_01]: But as far as Florida, Texan and Arizona concerned, they are absolutely crushed.
12:09
[SPEAKER_01]: When you wait, you see these numbers, they are unprecedented.
12:12
[SPEAKER_01]: Republicans are coming out in mass.
12:24
[SPEAKER_01]: where the Republicans are doing very, very well.
12:28
[SPEAKER_01]: It's competitive, but they are doing awesome again.
12:31
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to show you that and to show you some numbers.
12:34
[SPEAKER_01]: What we're going to see is that bottom line.
12:37
[SPEAKER_01]: The Democrats are suffering from having cannibalized their vote.
12:42
[SPEAKER_01]: So they've exhausted their highest propensity voters early on.
12:47
[SPEAKER_01]: In the first days of in-person early voting, and now they're just gassing out.
12:52
[SPEAKER_01]: Their numbers are dropping dramatically.
12:54
[SPEAKER_01]: All the while Republicans are gaining and surging on into election day where their highest propensity voters always vote.
13:02
[SPEAKER_01]: And this Republican turnout,
13:04
[SPEAKER_01]: looks like it's going to effectively stay off whatever turn out the Democrats hope to master for these midterm.
13:11
[SPEAKER_01]: So let's dive into some of the numbers here.
13:12
[SPEAKER_01]: Let's look at Florida.
13:14
[SPEAKER_01]: And I mean, seriously, this is insane for early voting in the sunshine state.
13:21
[SPEAKER_01]: On the first day of in person early voting, the Republicans were up by just about one
13:33
[SPEAKER_01]: On the third day, they were up 8%.
13:37
[SPEAKER_01]: On the fourth day, yesterday, they were up over 12%.
13:43
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, this is nuts.
13:46
[SPEAKER_01]: We have never seen this before.
13:48
[SPEAKER_01]: At this rate, the Republicans are going to be dominating the early vote by 20 points, which means that there's simply no hope for the Democrats.
13:57
[SPEAKER_01]: They're done.
13:58
[SPEAKER_01]: A lot's what I mean where you can just stick a fork in them.
14:00
[SPEAKER_01]: They need at least 200,000 vote lead in the early voting, to even have a prayer was standing the mass of Republican election day turnout.
14:11
[SPEAKER_01]: Go back to the, the totals back in 2022 and 2024.
14:17
[SPEAKER_01]: If they're losing the early vote by 20 points, this race is over.
14:21
[SPEAKER_01]: You could stick a fork in Angie Nixon, right?
14:24
[SPEAKER_01]: She's going to lose by at least 10 points too.
14:26
[SPEAKER_01]: The great incumbent senator Ashley Moody, stick a fork in David.
14:30
[SPEAKER_01]: Jolly, he's an Ian going to be so jolly on the day after election day on November 4th.
14:36
[SPEAKER_01]: You could, the Cuban tutorial race is going to run away with the Byron Donalds.
14:41
[SPEAKER_01]: In fact, we talked about this yesterday.
14:43
[SPEAKER_01]: We're now getting word that the Democrats have pulled money out of the two Florida seats.
14:49
[SPEAKER_01]: They were hoping to flip Florida 7th and Florida's 25th.
14:53
[SPEAKER_01]: Their seats, those seats are gone.
14:55
[SPEAKER_01]: They're going full red at this point.
14:58
[SPEAKER_01]: Also, keep your eye on Miami date.
15:02
[SPEAKER_01]: Those of you who've been with this channel for a while, if not, make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button.
15:06
[SPEAKER_01]: You'll know we all have talked about Miami date as a bell weather for the Republicans in presidential race, Seth Cachele, the election analysts, I believe is one of the fellows that discovered this.
15:18
[SPEAKER_01]: No Republican historically.
15:20
[SPEAKER_01]: No Republican has won Miami,
15:23
[SPEAKER_01]: and lost the national election.
15:25
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, these are presidential elections to be fair.
15:28
[SPEAKER_01]: So we might know, so no Republican presidential candidate has one Miami date, like Trump did in 2024.
15:38
[SPEAKER_01]: And then went on to lose the national election.
15:41
[SPEAKER_01]: It's a bell weather for the electorate.
15:44
[SPEAKER_01]: So we might even call it a rabbit's foot as a word, for a national Republican turnout.
15:50
[SPEAKER_01]: and Republicans won Miami-Dade on the third day of early voting.
15:57
[SPEAKER_01]: Democrats are still winning county-wide, but again, given that they tend to front-load their most rabid voters, if we're seeing that same pattern here, Republicans look to be consistently winning this important bell-weather county as well.
16:12
[SPEAKER_01]: It's if they lose it, that's not a big deal.
16:14
[SPEAKER_01]: That's not to
16:16
[SPEAKER_01]: Republicans losing Miami-Dade is not predictive of how they do nationally.
16:21
[SPEAKER_01]: It's only when they win when they win Miami-Dade.
16:23
[SPEAKER_01]: That is predictive of them winning everywhere as it were.
16:28
[SPEAKER_01]: Let's take a look at Texas.
16:29
[SPEAKER_01]: Now, you heard Katie Turer of MSDNC lamenting the Tolerico polls are crap, which they are.
16:37
[SPEAKER_01]: They are literally fabrications.
16:39
[SPEAKER_01]: They're all wrong.
16:40
[SPEAKER_01]: We'll talk about that.
16:42
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, we'll talk about that in a moment.
16:44
[SPEAKER_01]: Um, and it's precisely because again, we're seeing the exact same pattern that we've been seeing in Florida.
16:51
[SPEAKER_01]: The Democrats are exhausting.
16:54
[SPEAKER_01]: They're high propensity voters in the first few days of in person early voting.
16:59
[SPEAKER_01]: And then they're just basically gassing out from there.
17:03
[SPEAKER_01]: So here's a map courtesy, again, of our good friend, Seth Cashle.
17:06
[SPEAKER_01]: If you don't know, Seth is the election modeler, par excellence.
17:11
[SPEAKER_01]: He is Newt Gingrich's favorite election modeler.
17:15
[SPEAKER_01]: Newt has, I mean, Newt is touting Seth everywhere he goes as he ought to.
17:19
[SPEAKER_01]: Seth's a good friend to our channel.
17:22
[SPEAKER_01]: This was from day two of in-person early voting.
17:31
[SPEAKER_01]: had more in-person votes cast Tuesday, their second day of in-person voting than on Monday.
17:38
[SPEAKER_01]: So they're going upwards.
17:39
[SPEAKER_01]: They're increasing in their total turnout.
17:45
[SPEAKER_01]: 57 of those 58 counties were carried by Trump.
17:50
[SPEAKER_01]: Republicans are showing up like never before.
17:52
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, Democrats start big and then fall.
17:57
[SPEAKER_01]: like a slope, Republican start pretty good and then start going up and up and up and up until election day when their super duper high propensity voter comes out to vote.
18:10
[SPEAKER_01]: So what it seems to be is this get out the vote campaign, this go TV campaign on the Republican are getting our load and no prop voters out early is steady, Eddie all the way through and what that means is we're turning out
18:27
[SPEAKER_01]: every single day, while Democrats dissipate.
18:30
[SPEAKER_01]: So the turnout is as if this were right now a presidential election in all of these Republican counties.
18:39
[SPEAKER_01]: That's the Republicans.
18:41
[SPEAKER_01]: What about the Democrats?
18:43
[SPEAKER_01]: Well, this is the latest from a tonerous use on X again, one of the best election modlers out there would have been falling very closely in his Ohio modeling.
18:54
[SPEAKER_01]: Turn out in deep blue Dallas County is down upwards of 20% from yesterday and nearly 50% from Monday, the first person of in person voting.
19:10
[SPEAKER_01]: It is a total inversion of what you're seeing in the deep red rules.
19:17
[SPEAKER_01]: And that's a disaster for the Democrats.
19:19
[SPEAKER_01]: That alone is a disaster.
19:20
[SPEAKER_01]: But then you combine that with the fact that the deep red roll counties have been voting like mad all week.
19:27
[SPEAKER_01]: That's a double double disaster.
19:29
[SPEAKER_01]: Double double double double, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
19:43
[SPEAKER_01]: Texas's eight blue counties, Dallas, Travis, El Paso, et cetera, they all have to come out at literally unprecedented levels, presidential levels.
19:52
[SPEAKER_01]: They got a absolutely maximized their turnout while at the very same time, the 250 plus red rules have to implode in turnout.
20:07
[SPEAKER_01]: They have to have the single lowest turnout we've seen in decades.
20:12
[SPEAKER_01]: That's the only path to victory for Tolerika mathematically.
20:15
[SPEAKER_01]: It can't just be blue counties showing up in mass.
20:18
[SPEAKER_01]: The rules are still Republican enough to overcome maximum turnout from the likes of Dallas and Travis County with Austin.
20:28
[SPEAKER_01]: It's got to be both.
20:29
[SPEAKER_01]: There has to be a mass turnout inflation in the blue states or a blue counties and a mass turnout deflation in the red counties.
20:42
[SPEAKER_01]: turned out in mass, say for the first day or two, and they're just gassing out their vote is deteriorating and extraordinary rate half of what it was on the first day of voting all the while the rule votes are coming out stronger than ever and they haven't stopped and they're showing no sign of stop.
21:00
[SPEAKER_01]: Now keep in mind Republicans won election day 2024 election day vote in Texas.
21:06
[SPEAKER_01]: by 18 points.
21:08
[SPEAKER_01]: Okay.
21:10
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, this, this, this is why I find the pull frauds show ridiculously egregiously horrifically irresponsible especially in the part of Fox News.
21:25
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, again, they
21:30
[SPEAKER_01]: And when they show polls with Tallahureka winning by 10 points, like they were doing two weeks ago, that is not new, you're not living in reality.
21:41
[SPEAKER_01]: That's not news.
21:43
[SPEAKER_01]: That's nonsense.
21:44
[SPEAKER_01]: There is no conceivable mathematical universe where Tallahureka or any Democrat is going to win a statewide race in Texas when Republicans win election day by nearly 20 points.
21:56
[SPEAKER_01]: Again,
22:02
[SPEAKER_00]: I'll talk more about the polls in a moment.
22:04
[SPEAKER_01]: Here are the totals as of yesterday.
22:07
[SPEAKER_01]: The Democrats are at 36% of the vote as a hold as a statewide while Republicans are just shy of 35% at the early vote.
22:17
[SPEAKER_01]: If the current trends hold with the Democrats cannibalizing most rabid voters are high-prop voters,
22:24
[SPEAKER_01]: They were public and should take the lead either today or this weekend.
22:28
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, it most likely today.
22:31
[SPEAKER_01]: So I checked to see if there was one more data dump before the live stream here.
22:38
[SPEAKER_01]: There was not.
22:39
[SPEAKER_01]: So I was hoping to give you the good news.
22:40
[SPEAKER_01]: They've already taken over and again, as you can see with the trans there's no going back once they take over like in Florida.
22:47
[SPEAKER_01]: It's a full steam ahead from there.
22:49
[SPEAKER_01]: So they'll be going into election day, which they dominate leading in both Florida and Texas and as it turns out in Arizona as well.
22:59
[SPEAKER_01]: We're getting huge numbers coming out of Mojave County and Yavapay and Yavapaya.
23:07
[SPEAKER_01]: I guess it is in Penal and Hina.
23:10
[SPEAKER_01]: and take a look at Maricopa, where three fists of the Arizona population live, it's a virtual time.
23:18
[SPEAKER_01]: If the pattern of the Democrats cannibalizing their vote holds there, the Republicans will take the lead as early as today.
23:27
[SPEAKER_01]: This was the total statewide early vote as of last night again, just like with Maricopa.
23:32
[SPEAKER_01]: It's a virtual tie.
23:34
[SPEAKER_01]: Republicans are just 0.2% away from taking the lead.
23:38
[SPEAKER_01]: Only Ruby, Red, Rule 1, Ruby, Red, Rule Dump, and they've got it.
23:45
[SPEAKER_01]: They've got it.
23:46
[SPEAKER_01]: Now keep in mind, on this day, in 2022, the Democrats led Arizona by upwards of three points.
23:55
[SPEAKER_01]: So we are seeing, this is what I mean about this targeted red way.
24:00
[SPEAKER_01]: We're seeing a significant shift to the right, a three point shift to the right in an election that's supposed to be a Democrat plus five electorate.
24:13
[SPEAKER_01]: Okay, so this is what I mean, Republicans are rising to the occasion to creating their fortress.
24:18
[SPEAKER_01]: They're defending their majority in key states and key regions.
24:24
[SPEAKER_01]: And again, while there's no Senate race in the docket in Arizona, Republicans do want revenge from 2022.
24:31
[SPEAKER_01]: Obviously, they got robbed in the governor's race with Katie Hobbs, they got robbed in the Attorney General's race with Chris Mays, and they're out for retribution, right?
24:41
[SPEAKER_01]: And again, we're getting confirmation that it's working reports are confirming.
24:47
[SPEAKER_01]: that Democrats have given up on Arizona too, where Republican Eli Crane is defending his seat.
24:54
[SPEAKER_01]: That was a long scene as a possible pickup for the dams.
24:57
[SPEAKER_01]: Not anymore.
24:57
[SPEAKER_01]: They pulled their money from the race, and you can see why.
25:00
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, take a look at the early voting data coming out of his district.
25:04
[SPEAKER_01]: It's two to one republicans, it's a slaughter, 54 to 26%.
25:07
[SPEAKER_01]: So those are the big three, is it where Florida, Texas, and Arizona, they are absolutely crushing it.
25:17
[SPEAKER_01]: So what are we seeing in the Midwest?
25:19
[SPEAKER_01]: What are we seeing in Ohio?
25:21
[SPEAKER_01]: What are we seeing in Iowa?
25:22
[SPEAKER_01]: And what are we seeing in North Carolina that's so concerning
25:30
[SPEAKER_01]: what we're going to see next.
25:31
[SPEAKER_01]: But first gang, if you are just joining us a super chat, sir, up to feel free to send in your comments, your questions.
25:37
[SPEAKER_01]: It would be my honor to answer them on this line stream.
25:40
[SPEAKER_01]: Also, with the midterms right around the corner, while everyone is asking who's going to control Congress, I want to ask something even more closer to home.
25:49
[SPEAKER_01]: What's your plan to build wealth?
25:52
[SPEAKER_01]: And earn more in no matter who wins?
25:55
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, there's a lot of the line on November 3, with implications, I could affect taxes and regulations and the markets, the economy, your financial decision, but the absolute best way to fight back is to become an owner rather than just a consumer.
26:10
[SPEAKER_01]: So that's why I'm so excited to tell you about my good friend, Jeff Rickowski, Jeff is a pastor, Navy veteran investor, and the founder of Kingdom 320, a faith-based real estate training and education company through practical real estate education, experience coaching, and a faith-driven community.
26:30
[SPEAKER_01]: Kingdom 320 helps believers learn how to invest in real estate God's way so they can become better leaders, investors, and stewards of the wealth real estate can create.
26:41
[SPEAKER_01]: Now, that's what I call the Patriot economy in action or better yet.
26:46
[SPEAKER_01]: Heaven's economy here on Earth.
26:47
[SPEAKER_01]: Because when you've got more income, you can provide for your family, give more to causes care about and you can pursue the calling that God has placed in your life.
26:57
[SPEAKER_01]: Now, Jeff is who I trust with all my real estate education over the last 20 years.
27:02
[SPEAKER_01]: He's trained more than 30,000 people and is accumulated more than a quarter of a billion dollars in real estate assets.
27:10
[SPEAKER_01]: Now, Jeff wants to show you
27:12
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27:39
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27:49
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28:01
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28:09
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28:17
[SPEAKER_01]: Again,
28:22
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28:23
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28:26
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28:30
[SPEAKER_01]: All right.
28:31
[SPEAKER_01]: So since we're just in Arizona, let's take a quick look at neighboring Nevada because again, we're seeing the same pattern here, although on this chart, it's in reverse with the Republicans progressively surgeon.
28:43
[SPEAKER_01]: So the Republicans amassed a one point lead on day one of in person early
28:50
[SPEAKER_01]: Day two, most county precincts were closed except for the Democrat ones.
28:55
[SPEAKER_01]: Every precinct makes up their own rules, so be it.
28:58
[SPEAKER_01]: So they came out with an artificial lead of nine points, then the Republicans came back with a seven point lead on day three, then an eight point lead on day four, then a nine point lead on day five.
29:12
[SPEAKER_01]: And then if you could believe it on day six, again, this is the pattern.
29:19
[SPEAKER_01]: it's insane.
29:21
[SPEAKER_01]: Let's look at the Midwest.
29:22
[SPEAKER_01]: Here's the latest from Ohio now.
29:25
[SPEAKER_01]: These are the top 24 counties sorted by their share of the 2024 presidential vote already cast.
29:34
[SPEAKER_01]: Every single one of the top 24 counties in Ohio.
29:42
[SPEAKER_01]: They're casting the most votes in relation to how they cast in 2024.
29:47
[SPEAKER_01]: Every single one is red.
29:51
[SPEAKER_01]: Everyone.
29:52
[SPEAKER_01]: They're all super Trumpy and they're coming out of mass.
29:57
[SPEAKER_01]: The blue counties, what's left of them in Ohio, are all at the bottom 20 of Ohio's 88 counties.
30:05
[SPEAKER_01]: I mentioned the other, I mean, you can go online today when you're following all this stuff in election modeling and so on.
30:13
[SPEAKER_01]: And, you know, at the beginning, at the very first week of October when Ohio in person
30:21
[SPEAKER_01]: early voting started, and of course, the Democrats front loaded with all their high prop voters.
30:26
[SPEAKER_01]: Oh, my, the Democrat modelers were like, oh, we're going to crush, we're taking Ohio's just so great.
30:31
[SPEAKER_01]: They've, they've largely gone silent.
30:34
[SPEAKER_01]: It's crickets there.
30:35
[SPEAKER_01]: They don't even talk about Ohio anymore.
30:38
[SPEAKER_01]: Here's a perfect example of what's plaguing the Democrats, not just in Ohio,
30:49
[SPEAKER_01]: Democrats front load their high propensity voters and most likely voters and that front loading inevitably wanes it dissipates and allows the Republicans to begin front loading their low propensity voters since traditionally high proper public and voters vote on election day and you can see it in real time here again this is data from Warren County
31:15
[SPEAKER_01]: On the first day of in-person early voting, back on October 6, Republicans were 39% of the vote, and Democrats were 34%.
31:24
[SPEAKER_01]: Now, just follow along that just look down the red and blue columns.
31:32
[SPEAKER_01]: The Democrats aggressively go down from there while Republicans progressively go up.
31:42
[SPEAKER_01]: So the Democrats have gone from 34% of the vote down to 32% the next day down to 29% the next couple of days down to 25% finally they've fallen all the way down to 17% they fall in 50% from where they start on the first day of in person voting just like we're seeing in Dallas County in Texas.
32:09
[SPEAKER_01]: By contrast, the Republicans started at 39% of the vote.
32:14
[SPEAKER_01]: They hit a high of 44% and just as of the other day, they hit another 40%.
32:20
[SPEAKER_01]: So it's called slow and steady and consistent.
32:23
[SPEAKER_01]: That's what wins the race.
32:24
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, we're seeing the same Democrat deterioration in the state of Iowa.
32:30
[SPEAKER_01]: Democrats started off with 52% of the in person early voting Republicans at 32% all the Democrats Oh, look, we're going to win.
32:39
[SPEAKER_01]: It's going to be great.
32:39
[SPEAKER_01]: This is a stunt.
32:40
[SPEAKER_01]: We're taking Iowa.
32:42
[SPEAKER_01]: And then, for the Democrats to just regresses from there, they fell to 46%, that's on the second, third day.
32:50
[SPEAKER_01]: They fell to 43% on the fourth, 42% and then 39%, and they'll just keep going down and down and down and by contrast,
33:01
[SPEAKER_01]: Republican started 32% of the vote on the first day and then they grew to 36 and then 37 and then 39 and now 40 so they've surpassed the Democrats and they're only going to widen that lead it will literally be an inverse at the end of next week from what where it started on the first day of in person early voting now this pattern.
33:26
[SPEAKER_01]: The Democrats cannibalizing their high prop voters is appearing even in North Carolina where the Democrats originally opened up a massive lead in in person early voting North Carolina has been freaking out a lot of Republicans online and that it looked like it was slipping away.
33:53
[SPEAKER_01]: and the Republicans are quietly beating their 2022 early vote pace, which keep in mind they went on to win.
34:00
[SPEAKER_01]: So I have a better idea of how much Republicans are making a comeback by midnight next week.
34:06
[SPEAKER_01]: Now that said, again, I'm always going to give you the bad news along with the good.
34:11
[SPEAKER_01]: It does look as if Mike Wattley is given up for this is the Republican senatorial candidate.
34:18
[SPEAKER_01]: Roy Cooper is a popular former governor.
34:21
[SPEAKER_01]: The Democrat is popular former governor in North Carolina, and there are reports that Mike Wattley has an air to commercial in days.
34:32
[SPEAKER_01]: uh... and that may signal that money was pulled uh... the the the basic of the rug was pulled the financial rug was pulled from under his feet again we will have to see but if there were one bleak spot on the map which we have always uh... predicted uh... i've been predicting North Carolina will be a democrat flip it would be the seat in North Carolina but the good news is we make up for that senate seat loss
35:00
[SPEAKER_01]: very likely now with Mike Rodgers and Michigan, who's absolutely crushing it, Abduel Sayed is falling apart at seems again, it's an uphill battle.
35:10
[SPEAKER_01]: Michigan is not voted for a Democrat center since 1934 since Spencer Abram.
35:15
[SPEAKER_01]: So it's a very, very uphill battle, but if anyone's going to do it, it's Mike Rodgers.
35:19
[SPEAKER_01]: He came within 0.5% of taking out that
35:23
[SPEAKER_01]: freak slot can in 2024.
35:26
[SPEAKER_01]: I think we frankly got robbed from that, but regardless, he came with him 0.5% he can do it here.
35:32
[SPEAKER_01]: Okay.
35:33
[SPEAKER_01]: And perhaps perhaps maybe maybe maybe cross your fingers two pickups in New Hampshire with Sonu new and in Minnesota with Michelle to FOIA, possibly possibly.
35:46
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, it's a stretch.
35:48
[SPEAKER_01]: but particularly to FOIA, she's absolutely crushing about there in the state where many Democrats look like they finally are ready to turn on their party for all the outrageous fraud that they've endured of light.
36:02
[SPEAKER_01]: So bottom line, what we're seeing here, big picture, appears to be something akin
36:11
[SPEAKER_01]: to what I'm calling a number of targeted red waves.
36:16
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, because of midterm history, past is precedent, nationally, independence are largely going to sign with the party out of power.
36:25
[SPEAKER_01]: So the electorate as a whole is the national average, including California, you know,
36:33
[SPEAKER_01]: Illinois and New York and the like, as a national average, the electorate will most likely be a plus Democrat electorate, probably something on the order of a plus five Democrat electorate.
36:45
[SPEAKER_01]: So what the Republicans are doing is they're targeting key states,
36:49
[SPEAKER_01]: and key races pouring tons of money in those races, and funding get out the effect of get out the vote campaigns, just like Cliff Maloney is doing, and Scott Pressler and TPUSA.
37:01
[SPEAKER_01]: We have Scott on the show.
37:02
[SPEAKER_01]: I think later on today, by the way.
37:05
[SPEAKER_01]: And TPUSA is doing amazing stuff in Arizona.
37:08
[SPEAKER_01]: Thank you, Charlie.
37:10
[SPEAKER_01]: And they're effectively generating
37:13
[SPEAKER_01]: targeted red waves that are pushing back against whatever the Democrats and their indie sympathizers can muster.
37:24
[SPEAKER_01]: All right, so one last thing I do want to say something about the latest polling outlet collapse.
37:32
[SPEAKER_01]: um, that we are seeing.
37:34
[SPEAKER_01]: We saw yet another you may have heard about this.
37:38
[SPEAKER_01]: We saw yet another polling company go defunct.
37:42
[SPEAKER_01]: Trump has killed the polling industry, right?
37:45
[SPEAKER_01]: He destroyed the, he destroyed the legacy media.
37:49
[SPEAKER_01]: He can sign them to virtual irrelevance.
37:52
[SPEAKER_01]: And now he is crushing the polling industry.
37:56
[SPEAKER_01]: You may have heard about this, but another one just bit the dust.
38:00
[SPEAKER_01]: So cow strategies, they're gone, so cow's gone, so cow strategies is pulling outlet that consistently boost Democrats.
38:09
[SPEAKER_01]: They've been cited by every major legacy media outlet.
38:13
[SPEAKER_01]: They have officially closed their proverbial doors.
38:16
[SPEAKER_01]: You have to, you have to believe that some kind of Democrat organizations funding these guys.
38:22
[SPEAKER_01]: There's just no way around it.
38:26
[SPEAKER_01]: They're done, they're yet the latest polling outlet to be caught faking and fabricating polls on behalf of the Democrats, artificially boosting their numbers, particularly James Talleriko's.
38:42
[SPEAKER_01]: So, so, cow was the fourth polling outlet in months.
38:46
[SPEAKER_01]: to get outed as a pro-democrat super PAC.
38:49
[SPEAKER_01]: They've been outed.
38:50
[SPEAKER_01]: Wedge would got out at earlier this week.
38:52
[SPEAKER_01]: They're now gone.
38:54
[SPEAKER_01]: Median strategies got outed several months back PSI.
38:58
[SPEAKER_01]: Got outed several months back.
38:59
[SPEAKER_01]: They're now gone for historically cited.
39:03
[SPEAKER_01]: supposedly reputable polling outlets, at least that's what the New York Times told us, they have been publicly exposed as lying fake fabrications, and of course all pro-democrat.
39:15
[SPEAKER_01]: All their fraud numbers always benefited the Democrat party, and I want to give a huge shout out.
39:24
[SPEAKER_01]: to all you Republicans out there who are showing up and voting and amassing these targeted redways, kudos to you for not buying the nonsense, for not buying the propaganda.
39:40
[SPEAKER_01]: The polling industry has turned into a sionp designed to do basically three things.
39:46
[SPEAKER_01]: It's designed to send money to Democrat coffers and get Democrat candidates very well financed since Democrat donors who write the big checks are political illiterates.
39:56
[SPEAKER_01]: They respond only to polls.
39:59
[SPEAKER_01]: So favorite polls like like like the ones with James Tolerico, they what they ended up do is they end up lining Democrat candidates, candidates, pockets.
40:11
[SPEAKER_01]: So that's the first thing they do.
40:13
[SPEAKER_01]: They give Democrats money.
40:14
[SPEAKER_01]: Second, polling provides the basis for the legacy media to concoct narratives that fabricate fake massive Democrat leads and portray the Democrat parties to show of the country that everyone who is in their right mind obviously aligns with.
40:34
[SPEAKER_01]: in the hopes of convincing Indies to vote Democrat, as the anointed party to which the arc of history inevitably bends.
40:44
[SPEAKER_01]: And then third, the polls are there, obviously, to demoralize and disparage you.
40:51
[SPEAKER_01]: since they consistently betray the Republican party as the perpetual losers.
40:59
[SPEAKER_01]: The hunchback, knuckle dragging outsiders that no one wants anything to do with.
41:05
[SPEAKER_01]: And you'd be a fool to even show up to a voting booth right now because that whole line that you'd be stand behind would if they knew who you're gonna vote for, they'd all turn around and they'd point in laughter.
41:16
[SPEAKER_01]: And I want to give a huge shout out to all of you Republicans out there who have voted, who are about to vote, you didn't fall for this crap.
41:27
[SPEAKER_01]: We have been saying it for years now.
41:30
[SPEAKER_01]: These polls are propaganda.
41:34
[SPEAKER_01]: They are not, there are a few pollsters that we follow.
41:37
[SPEAKER_01]: We've had them all in the show and so forth.
41:40
[SPEAKER_01]: And the like, but by and large, the polling industry is broken.
41:46
[SPEAKER_01]: It is a far left industry.
41:48
[SPEAKER_01]: It's an industry that has been taken over by pro-democrat operatives.
41:53
[SPEAKER_01]: and it is there to do those three things to get Democrats money to create that false narrative that the whole or anyone who's normal is going to vote Democrat and then third to disparage and disparate you judging by these numbers these insane turnout numbers all throughout the country
42:12
[SPEAKER_01]: you didn't fall for it a bit.
42:16
[SPEAKER_01]: You didn't fall for it in 2016.
42:18
[SPEAKER_01]: You didn't fall for it in 2020.
42:19
[SPEAKER_01]: When we came within 40,000 votes of winning when all the polls said the Trump is going to lose by 20 points.
42:26
[SPEAKER_01]: You didn't fall for it in 2024.
42:28
[SPEAKER_01]: When we were told the Kamala was going to win in a landslide and you are certainly not falling for it now.
42:35
[SPEAKER_01]: And I don't even know if you have to worry about following for it from now on because Trump has broken the polling industry.
42:41
[SPEAKER_01]: It is now, it is now our job to make sure that what Trump has broken, we as of November third, Barry once and for all.
42:55
[SPEAKER_01]: Over to you guys.
42:56
[SPEAKER_01]: Over to you.
42:56
[SPEAKER_01]: Our super chats are still up.
42:58
[SPEAKER_01]: So fire away with any questions or comments you have.
43:00
[SPEAKER_01]: It'll be, uh, be my honor to answer them right here on this line stream.
43:05
[SPEAKER_01]: Also, did you know that more Americans are being diagnosed with Alzheimer's?
43:09
[SPEAKER_01]: Do you know this?
43:10
[SPEAKER_01]: Including people far younger than we traditionally associate with the disease more than 55 million people worldwide.
43:17
[SPEAKER_01]: are living with Alzheimer's or another form of dimension reports has shown major increases in diagnosis among younger adults.
43:25
[SPEAKER_01]: We're talking at 370% increase among people ages 30 to 44 and a 301% increase among those 45 to 54.
43:29
[SPEAKER_01]: So what exactly is happening inside the brain?
43:38
[SPEAKER_01]: Well, one of the hallmarks of Alzheimer's is a protein called beta amyloid.
43:43
[SPEAKER_01]: Now, normally these proteins are cleared away.
43:46
[SPEAKER_01]: But in Alzheimer's, they can begin clumping together, and they form sticky plaques between brain cells that interfere with normal brain function, drug companies report billions into developing Alzheimer's treatments, much of that effort focus on amyloid betas.
44:00
[SPEAKER_01]: But researchers are also looking beyond the brain, and specifically what's happening in the gut.
44:05
[SPEAKER_01]: And that's because your gut and your brain are constantly communicating through something called the gut brain access.
44:12
[SPEAKER_01]: Now think of it as a two-way highway, connecting your digestive system and your brain through nerves or bones, immune signals.
44:21
[SPEAKER_01]: And the trillions of bacteria living in your gut playing important role in that communication.
44:25
[SPEAKER_01]: And that brings us to a centuries-old
44:30
[SPEAKER_01]: Researcher's study bioactive compounds found only in kinshi to see how they affected cognitive and memory problems and results were fascinating.
44:39
[SPEAKER_01]: These compounds helped improve memory and cognitive function while reducing oxidative stress, inflammation, and brain cell death.
44:47
[SPEAKER_01]: Three processes
44:48
[SPEAKER_01]: closely associated with neurological decline.
44:50
[SPEAKER_01]: That's exactly why kimchi one from Brightcore has become part of my daily routine.
44:56
[SPEAKER_01]: It takes the power traditionally fermented kimchi, including more than 900 probiotic strains, and puts it into an easy capsule that I can take every day without the strong taste, smell, or mess.
45:08
[SPEAKER_01]: Because taking care of your brain may start somewhere you would not expect.
45:12
[SPEAKER_01]: And that's your
45:13
[SPEAKER_01]: Today you can try kimchi one by clicking the link below for 25% off your entire order or for the best deal available call my friends at right core for up to 50% off plus free shipping call now triple eight five nine seven zero two three three that's eight eight five nine seven zero two three three all right Josh what do we got what do we got
45:36
[SPEAKER_01]: Calvin, thank you for that super chef, very kind of you.
45:40
[SPEAKER_01]: Sam, thank you very much as well.
45:42
[SPEAKER_01]: Very kind of you are a rock dog, Dr. Steve, watching Italy in Francis Week again, help but think that we too are on the verge of war like they are in.
45:52
[SPEAKER_01]: We saw the new migrant caravan that is illegally crossed Mexico.
45:56
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm concerned you saw or asked me about.
45:58
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm concerned that if we don't start putting controls on the media, like they're used to be with their lives and manipulation, we're only one election away from the chaos and the violence, and losing our country the way France is, your thoughts.
46:10
[SPEAKER_01]: Great question.
46:12
[SPEAKER_01]: Um, yeah, I'm with you.
46:16
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, I think, I think,
46:19
[SPEAKER_01]: We're a, see, the prompt, the difference between us and France is something called the second amendment, and we're a big country.
46:28
[SPEAKER_01]: We are a massive massive country.
46:31
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, this is what I think the far left activists described as journalists at MSDNC are figuring out with these polls.
46:41
[SPEAKER_01]: We're a big country and, and so.
46:46
[SPEAKER_01]: Yes, in some areas, we're going to have a reckoning.
46:50
[SPEAKER_01]: In many ways, we already have.
46:51
[SPEAKER_01]: You look at that strange Somali commercial did you see that?
46:56
[SPEAKER_01]: The Somali ad in Minneapolis urging people to go out and vote.
47:02
[SPEAKER_01]: and they're all in their Somali dress and so forth.
47:05
[SPEAKER_01]: And literally, I mean, just even the make of the commercial, I'm not trying to be disparaging here, but the make of the commercial, it looked like it was straight from Mogadishu.
47:15
[SPEAKER_01]: It wasn't, it was from Minneapolis.
47:18
[SPEAKER_01]: So there are parts of the country that are, in effect, third world.
47:23
[SPEAKER_01]: There are, but there are parts of the country that are basically saying, you know, what would you, you know, Charlton Heston would say on a my cold dead hand.
47:34
[SPEAKER_01]: you know, you are you shall not pass.
47:36
[SPEAKER_01]: And again, to his credit, Greg Abbott stood up and by the way, much of the walls already been constructed.
47:42
[SPEAKER_01]: I have a video on that.
47:43
[SPEAKER_01]: It's pretty stunning the technology that they're putting into the southern wall, border wall.
47:50
[SPEAKER_01]: It is unreal.
47:51
[SPEAKER_01]: Check out that.
47:52
[SPEAKER_01]: I think it's next week of the week after.
47:53
[SPEAKER_01]: We're going to, you'll see a really cool video on that's really fascinating stuff.
47:59
[SPEAKER_01]: So he stepped up during the the bleak
48:03
[SPEAKER_01]: and defended with Texas troops, both national guard as well as Texas's own military.
48:11
[SPEAKER_01]: They actually have their own military.
48:15
[SPEAKER_01]: They defended our border when Biden went derelicted duty.
48:21
[SPEAKER_01]: So yes,
48:25
[SPEAKER_01]: What happened in France and Milan can happen in parts of America, but even in the summer 2020 and the George Floyd riots, those were primarily limited to urban areas or blue states and there were plenty of Patriots in the vast majority of the counties in the country we're talking.
48:48
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, 25, 2700 plus counties of our 3,000 plus counties who said no way and they and they have the arms to defend themselves.
48:57
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think it could happen in limited skirmishes, but not in the way it just overwhelmed a passive and and placid and relatively socialist population like it did in France.
49:14
[SPEAKER_01]: But I'll stock to freedom man.
49:15
[SPEAKER_01]: I love it.
49:16
[SPEAKER_01]: Can we expect a spectacular, truly live show in election night.
49:19
[SPEAKER_01]: Maybe you can invite Alex.
49:23
[SPEAKER_01]: Oh, my, having the keys.
49:25
[SPEAKER_01]: The keys.
49:27
[SPEAKER_01]: So what did, yeah, no store dumb ass of election prediction with his precious keys with the, oh, the no store dumb ass of election with his precious keys.
49:36
[SPEAKER_01]: That's it.
49:37
[SPEAKER_01]: We'd love a live election.
49:38
[SPEAKER_01]: I'll see what I can do, definitely.
49:40
[SPEAKER_01]: No promises as of yet, but I'll see what I can do.
49:44
[SPEAKER_01]: Liberty give us some good news talk you got it man.
49:46
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, we got so the good news is targeted redways targeted redway.
49:52
[SPEAKER_01]: I think that's going to be the key term going into the midterms.
49:57
[SPEAKER_01]: It's not going to be an overwhelming national redway.
50:00
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, historically speaking,
50:02
[SPEAKER_01]: If past is precedent, the Indies are going to go with at least to a point with the party out of power in this case, Democrats, but what we're doing is we're amassing where we are strongest and creating an electoral fortress that is defending the key Senate seats we need to keep our majority and then the key congressional seats to keep our majority.
50:26
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm around 60, 40.
50:29
[SPEAKER_01]: I think we're we're going to we're going to win with 220 around 60 40 but that again, all we have to do is lose three seats and we're we're 20 to 17, we're in the minority.
50:40
[SPEAKER_01]: So this is going to come down to literally every seat, but the targeted red wave approach, the fortress approach, I think is the right one to take and we're doing it, which is great.
50:53
[SPEAKER_01]: Brian, my good friend, following up on my money question, I get that we cannot take any red states for granted, but you seem to be seeing that foreign and Texas are not going blue.
51:03
[SPEAKER_01]: Yet the president's spending time in each of them is it possibly needs to do that even in those states to get the voters to the polls?
51:10
[SPEAKER_01]: If that's so in those states, then what confidence can we have that a win the others necessary to hold Congress, if not, are there other reasons he's in deep red states instead of elsewhere?
51:22
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah.
51:22
[SPEAKER_01]: No, again, I think it's just the targeted red.
51:25
[SPEAKER_01]: Um, so like we talked about on Monday, when you're dealing with Senate and congressional seats, those aren't guarantees.
51:34
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, even again, Trump won Ohio by what 11?
51:39
[SPEAKER_01]: but JD won it by six, burning Miranda won it by three, they're competitive, they are competitive.
51:47
[SPEAKER_01]: That's just the nature, the beast, even in a deep red state like Ohio.
51:52
[SPEAKER_01]: And for Florida, we want to make sure we've got Florida 25, what's the other one, Florida 7?
51:57
[SPEAKER_01]: So, so those are, I mean, he is not, he's not leaving anything, it seems to me is not leaving anything to chance there.
52:08
[SPEAKER_01]: Everything is there to pump up.
52:11
[SPEAKER_01]: Republican turnout in those key races for sure, but also just in general, because every Trump rally gets broadcast nationally and so I think it just pumps up MAGA as a whole.
52:29
[SPEAKER_01]: So I'm not seeing, let's just put it this way, if we're looking at strictly the in-person and male early voting.
52:40
[SPEAKER_01]: There is, I mean, what are you seeing in Florida in Texas, in Arizona, in Nevada, in Ohio, in Iowa, that's giving you concern?
52:49
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm not seeing anything, literally nothing.
52:53
[SPEAKER_01]: right so that so so so from there all I can do is say okay he's not leaving anything to chance he's making sure we get as big margins as we can so that we get the down ticket from the gubernatorial races he's he's going in the North Carolina that's what so if if the
53:14
[SPEAKER_01]: If North Carolina was really a done deal and it was going blue, I don't think he would have been in North Carolina, I think he believes that North Carolina can be salvaged at least when it comes to the two congressional seats that we want there.
53:29
[SPEAKER_01]: So I just see him as being very strategic and really rallying the troops all over the country, but in, but again, in those states that we need to is not going into minutes.
53:42
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't think he's going to maybe you will do it.
53:44
[SPEAKER_01]: Is he going to do New Hampshire?
53:46
[SPEAKER_01]: He's even going to do Maine.
53:46
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm not sure doubt it because Susan Collins can handle herself.
53:50
[SPEAKER_01]: I heard somebody say Susan Collins could survive in nuclear winter.
53:54
[SPEAKER_01]: She's just amazing there.
53:55
[SPEAKER_01]: So anyway, I get what you're saying, but I think it's a little bit too much implicative as opposed to evidential.
54:03
[SPEAKER_01]: It's, it's, he is going into states where the early voting is crushing it and, and so there is no indicator that he's going there because he's really, really concerned he's going there not to leave it to chance.
54:18
[SPEAKER_01]: you got to watch out when it comes to Senate seats and house seats because they can flip.
54:25
[SPEAKER_01]: A president can win by double digits, but a Senator can win by just three or four.
54:30
[SPEAKER_01]: So you got to make sure every vote gets out.
54:35
[SPEAKER_01]: Father, how do you know it's going to be done plus fund the cycle of the polling is unreliable?
54:42
[SPEAKER_01]: Also, how much did the Dems win by in 2018?
54:46
[SPEAKER_01]: Wasn't it by 11?
54:48
[SPEAKER_01]: No, so going backwards.
54:51
[SPEAKER_01]: So in 2018, Republicans won.
54:53
[SPEAKER_01]: We won the house.
54:56
[SPEAKER_01]: I forget what was the 22, 22 seats or something like that.
55:00
[SPEAKER_01]: But we won with a plus three.
55:06
[SPEAKER_01]: demographic plus three electorate, I should say.
55:10
[SPEAKER_01]: So we, we were in the majority, just like Trump was in 2024.
55:13
[SPEAKER_01]: We, we won with a 1.6 Viracle 1.7, electorate advantage.
55:22
[SPEAKER_01]: When it comes to how do we determine the final makeup of the electorate, there's a number of different ways of doing it.
55:33
[SPEAKER_01]: But one of the ways is you look at states like say, you look at states like say Virginia.
55:45
[SPEAKER_01]: So Virginia generally voted in 2024.
55:52
[SPEAKER_01]: about eight points to the left as the rest of the electorate.
55:59
[SPEAKER_01]: So they vote eight points.
56:00
[SPEAKER_01]: So if the electorate voted, let's just make it simple by Republicans two points.
56:09
[SPEAKER_01]: And then Virginia voted for Kamala, Democrat by six points.
56:14
[SPEAKER_01]: That's an eight point shift, right?
56:19
[SPEAKER_01]: Right now, Democrats are voting at about a 13-point advantage for Democrats.
56:25
[SPEAKER_01]: And if we just take that same benchmark and we move it backwards and that there's still eight points.
56:31
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, it's an assumption, but there's still eight points to the left of the national electorate.
56:36
[SPEAKER_01]: And they're voting about 13 points.
56:41
[SPEAKER_01]: total left, then that means the national electorate, eight minus 13, this could be around five.
56:48
[SPEAKER_01]: So that's how you get, that's one way.
56:51
[SPEAKER_01]: There are other ways.
56:52
[SPEAKER_01]: And in such a way, you don't have to rely on the, on the, on the pulling.
56:58
[SPEAKER_01]: What is happening right now?
57:01
[SPEAKER_01]: And that's why I'm calling these kind of targeted red waves.
57:04
[SPEAKER_01]: What's happening is, right now, I mean, if we were to apply the same method to say Florida, it would be a Republican blowout, right?
57:16
[SPEAKER_01]: Because if Florida is voting, say 12 points to the right of the electorate.
57:24
[SPEAKER_01]: And right now they're voting 14 or 15 points.
57:28
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, that would
57:30
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, so you have to kind of average it at you have to average it out, but that's that's a way of being able to determine the national average without having to rely on polls.
57:42
[SPEAKER_01]: RT Corps, a great and laryd patron professor thought you might like to know last Thursday was a 39th birthday last Friday and saying we're 20 year high school union reunion.
57:53
[SPEAKER_01]: And Monday was my last oncology appointment 99% cancer-free God bless ERT Corps because nothing is 100% guaranteed, right?
58:00
[SPEAKER_01]: I know I family member who has to do her six months screening.
58:06
[SPEAKER_01]: and I will serve until retirement.
58:08
[SPEAKER_01]: Awesome.
58:09
[SPEAKER_01]: I think I've had the great last two weeks.
58:11
[SPEAKER_01]: God bless your arts.
58:12
[SPEAKER_01]: And you know, thank you, first of all, God bless you.
58:15
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, we prayed for you.
58:16
[SPEAKER_01]: And also, thank you for reminding us of what really matters in the world.
58:25
[SPEAKER_01]: A lot of people always ask, how do you stay so optimistic?
58:28
[SPEAKER_01]: And one of the reasons I can honestly say, because I intentionally try to focus on rightly ordering my priorities.
58:38
[SPEAKER_01]: And politics is not my number one priority.
58:41
[SPEAKER_01]: And I'm sure it's none of your number one priority.
58:45
[SPEAKER_01]: Politics is not my number one priority.
58:48
[SPEAKER_01]: God,
58:49
[SPEAKER_01]: family, health, cultivating the truth of good and the beautiful in my own life, my human flourishing for myself, my wife, my children, my friends, my loved ones.
59:06
[SPEAKER_01]: That's what gives life its meaning and its purpose.
59:10
[SPEAKER_01]: And yes, certainly professional and financial
59:14
[SPEAKER_01]: But I tend to see the five areas of meaning in life as your spiritual, your relational, your health.
59:23
[SPEAKER_01]: your finances or your professions and your finances.
59:27
[SPEAKER_01]: And if you order it that way, if you structure your priorities that way, if you had to choose between job or family, for example, which would you choose, of course, your family.
59:39
[SPEAKER_01]: So if you order it that way, I think you stay healthy.
59:45
[SPEAKER_01]: You stay sane in the midst of the insanity.
59:48
[SPEAKER_01]: You're able to weather the storms, right?
59:53
[SPEAKER_01]: And so that I just think which you just gave us there is a wonderfully beautiful personal testimony and reminder of how we all need to make sure we do that going into November 3rd.
1:00:06
[SPEAKER_01]: Because let's be honest.
1:00:08
[SPEAKER_01]: Let's be honest, you know, I've been asked about this numerous times.
1:00:12
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, conservatives tend to doom.
1:00:15
[SPEAKER_01]: It's just it's in our nature.
1:00:17
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't think there's an Alex Jones equivalent on the left.
1:00:22
[SPEAKER_01]: I just don't, I think maybe young Turks, I don't know, but, you know, we do tend to be very pessimistic and there's historical reasons for that.
1:00:33
[SPEAKER_01]: Some would even argue there's neurological reasons for that, but we do tend to be very pessimistic and we do tend to be, we do tend to be bedwaters when it comes to any shred of bad news.
1:00:47
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, we could be the happiest people on Earth, Seth Kesher was just lamenting on this on X if he's listening.
1:00:54
[SPEAKER_01]: I saw this where
1:00:58
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, he's like, you know, one minute, you know, you got a data dump come in from, I don't know, Arizona, Yavapai County, and, and, and we're crushing it.
1:01:09
[SPEAKER_01]: We're in the lead in Arizona.
1:01:11
[SPEAKER_01]: And then you find out that Mike Wattley commercials have been pulled, oh, it's over.
1:01:16
[SPEAKER_01]: It's done.
1:01:16
[SPEAKER_01]: We're, you know, the Democrats are going to kill us all now.
1:01:19
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, and it's like it's these, it's these, you've got to avoid those two extremes.
1:01:28
[SPEAKER_01]: And that's what I try to do for you guys in particularly in our live streams, but on our videos every day.
1:01:36
[SPEAKER_01]: Willow tool, a good AM doctor, is Ukraine deliberately trying to sabotage our elections by going off the farm because it seems to be beyond coincidence that U.S. reported was released while Zelensky gave Trump agita with military decisions.
1:01:54
[SPEAKER_01]: Thank you.
1:01:54
[SPEAKER_01]: Will, I don't, it's a good question.
1:01:56
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know.
1:01:57
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know if Zelensky wants to do that.
1:02:00
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know Zelensky wants to sabotage Trump because he knows in the end, I think he's at least savvy enough to know that Congress doesn't
1:02:10
[SPEAKER_01]: they don't control anything when it comes to money and funds and weapons and intelligence and the like that's that's a hundred percent the executive branch government that's that's the defend the department of war there's just you know so i think he knows that no so i just think that's it's part of he he's he's he's getting conflicting signals he's getting pro
1:02:38
[SPEAKER_01]: Confrontation signals from the EU, and the European contingent, and is getting very anti-confrontational signals from Trump, and sometimes he goes with Trump and sometimes he goes with the EU's, and so that's where I think you're just getting this very
1:03:01
[SPEAKER_01]: approach to this to this war.
1:03:04
[SPEAKER_01]: There is no, again, I've been very consistent and very steadfast with it.
1:03:11
[SPEAKER_01]: There is no solving this war militarily.
1:03:16
[SPEAKER_01]: You're not kicking Russia out of the 20% of Ukraine that it is a next.
1:03:22
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm not saying you shouldn't.
1:03:23
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm not saying it's good and I'm saying that.
1:03:25
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm just being realistic.
1:03:26
[SPEAKER_01]: It's not going to happen to one of the most fortified regions on the planet.
1:03:30
[SPEAKER_01]: They are not moving.
1:03:32
[SPEAKER_01]: And if you escalate this battle to a point where Russia feels that they are being existentially threatened, meaning they're very existences being thrown.
1:03:43
[SPEAKER_01]: When you're sending hypersonic missiles towards Moscow, all bets are off at how they're going to respond.
1:03:51
[SPEAKER_01]: And the question is, is Ukraine worth that?
1:03:55
[SPEAKER_01]: Is Ukraine worth a possible full-blown world war 3?
1:03:59
[SPEAKER_01]: Trump has said repeatedly, no effing way.
1:04:02
[SPEAKER_01]: It's not.
1:04:03
[SPEAKER_01]: And I think in the end, even if even if Russia were to attack a NATO country in some kind of retaliation
1:04:18
[SPEAKER_01]: Ukrainian aggression.
1:04:19
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't think Article 5 would be invoked, certainly not the way not with the tension between Trump and NATO.
1:04:27
[SPEAKER_01]: So he needs to stop, and he needs to, but he knows the money stops is, I mean, I'm not trying to be a jerk, but his grip is over.
1:04:34
[SPEAKER_01]: He's got to have elections.
1:04:36
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, it's a dictatorship right now as we speak.
1:04:39
[SPEAKER_01]: There are no elections.
1:04:40
[SPEAKER_01]: He's been in office since what?
1:04:41
[SPEAKER_01]: 2019 or so.
1:04:43
[SPEAKER_01]: So it's seven years.
1:04:44
[SPEAKER_01]: So anyway.
1:04:47
[SPEAKER_01]: Robo Guy, I'm hearing a lot of people say because of the ad with Amy Acton's mom.
1:04:52
[SPEAKER_01]: It'll cost me the governor's race or make it harder to win.
1:04:56
[SPEAKER_01]: Even ready, go politics was warning about it, thought.
1:04:59
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I'm with, I mean, that's Jack, Jack.
1:05:03
[SPEAKER_01]: I saw that Jack went with the polls on that, and, you know, it just,
1:05:11
[SPEAKER_01]: You just, it's a very simple question to answer.
1:05:14
[SPEAKER_01]: Has it affected the early polling, or I'm sorry, the early, the in-person early voting in the least.
1:05:22
[SPEAKER_01]: And if you look at all the data from Ohio, there is an a shred of evidence that that Amy Acton ad
1:05:33
[SPEAKER_01]: damaged the back as so much as a centimeter.
1:05:37
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, it's just, there's nothing there in the actual data.
1:05:42
[SPEAKER_01]: Just, I think we have, I know, I mean, again.
1:05:46
[SPEAKER_01]: I do polls, you guys know that.
1:05:48
[SPEAKER_01]: I do polls, but I'm not, I think what's, and I'm not saying Jack at Red Eagle politics is dependent on it, but I think a lot of the old school election forecasters are just way too dependent on the polls.
1:06:05
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm just gonna say that.
1:06:07
[SPEAKER_01]: And so they have yet to sort of catch up to at least in terms of their, in terms of habituating themselves, they have yet to catch up to the fact that the poles are pure propaganda at this point.
1:06:20
[SPEAKER_01]: They really are not all of them.
1:06:22
[SPEAKER_01]: I like quantum insights.
1:06:23
[SPEAKER_01]: I like inside our advantage.
1:06:25
[SPEAKER_01]: There are some good polling, but they have just become, they have become such propaganda.
1:06:31
[SPEAKER_01]: They've become such tools.
1:06:34
[SPEAKER_01]: in pushing a particular persuasion, and in my opinion, if it was a, if it was a disaster sound for VVAC, I think they would just let them continue to, why force them to stop running it?
1:06:48
[SPEAKER_01]: Why demand he stop running it?
1:06:51
[SPEAKER_01]: Just let him keep running it and let the damage continue to inflict itself right if your enemy is beating up themselves you just sit back and butter the popcorn So I don't see any evidence not a shred of evidence that hurt be back at all in the early voting
1:07:07
[SPEAKER_01]: Steve, what's up, Charlie gang?
1:07:09
[SPEAKER_01]: Love your spot on analysis.
1:07:10
[SPEAKER_01]: Steve, thanks Steve.
1:07:11
[SPEAKER_01]: Great name, Saints name.
1:07:13
[SPEAKER_01]: You talk real statistics, which are the kind of statistics.
1:07:17
[SPEAKER_01]: We were always supposed to be getting from the media all these years, but are not.
1:07:21
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, say, man, thank you.
1:07:23
[SPEAKER_01]: Thank you for that.
1:07:23
[SPEAKER_01]: That's right.
1:07:24
[SPEAKER_01]: What does Elon say?
1:07:25
[SPEAKER_01]: We are the media now, Steve.
1:07:28
[SPEAKER_01]: We are the media now.
1:07:29
[SPEAKER_01]: And we are.
1:07:30
[SPEAKER_01]: We are, I mean, they're, they're, again, the legacy media are progressive realists.
1:07:35
[SPEAKER_01]: They live breathe and have they're being and pushing the ideology that history inevitably moves in the, uh, towards the, uh, the, the, the arch of history inevitably moves towards a left-wing vision of social justice.
1:07:49
[SPEAKER_01]: They learn that in the universities.
1:07:51
[SPEAKER_01]: They learn that in their journalism schools.
1:07:53
[SPEAKER_01]: They're learning that through HR programs at wherever outlets they're working.
1:07:58
[SPEAKER_01]: and they are just real bone.
1:08:00
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, they just, they just see liberalism and reality as the same.
1:08:05
[SPEAKER_01]: And so that's how they live free than have they're being.
1:08:08
[SPEAKER_01]: And so what we do is we call that out for the nonsense that it is that the archipisteries actually ironically moving in a very different directions moving towards a civilizationalist direction, nationalist populist traditionalist religious moving away from them while at the same time it's becoming radically more technological because the revivocation of civilizations
1:08:33
[SPEAKER_01]: are now expressing and projecting their power through technological advance.
1:08:38
[SPEAKER_01]: So we're becoming an archaeo future world.
1:08:40
[SPEAKER_01]: We're becoming more religious and more scientific and more technological at the very same time, working together.
1:08:46
[SPEAKER_01]: So they're on the outs.
1:08:48
[SPEAKER_01]: They don't know where to fit into such a world.
1:08:51
[SPEAKER_01]: So thank you Steve.
1:08:52
[SPEAKER_01]: Very kind of you.
1:08:54
[SPEAKER_01]: Manga 24th of Dr. Steve is a Democrat and a deep state plot that data Republican expose an act of sedition, a tacit admission that Dems are going to lose the midterms or both.
1:09:06
[SPEAKER_01]: That's a good quote.
1:09:07
[SPEAKER_01]: I haven't looked to, I love DR. She's wonderful.
1:09:11
[SPEAKER_01]: We follow each other in Acts.
1:09:13
[SPEAKER_01]: We've mastered each other.
1:09:15
[SPEAKER_01]: She's great.
1:09:17
[SPEAKER_01]: I haven't followed it too deeply.
1:09:20
[SPEAKER_01]: But that is DR, that's DR best.
1:09:24
[SPEAKER_01]: is tracing out the tentacles of the sort of, well, originally was the deep state, you know, the administrative state, USAID, and she could trace out the tentacles of the sorrows network, like no one else, and increasingly the DSA.
1:09:44
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't think there's much of a deep state anymore.
1:09:46
[SPEAKER_01]: We have to keep that in mind.
1:09:48
[SPEAKER_01]: It has been pretty effectively ravaged any more than there's much of an administrative state.
1:09:55
[SPEAKER_01]: But, um, yes, Democrats know they're not idiots.
1:10:03
[SPEAKER_01]: They're evil, but they're not idiots.
1:10:05
[SPEAKER_01]: They know they're not going to win taxes.
1:10:07
[SPEAKER_01]: They know that.
1:10:09
[SPEAKER_01]: Just ask how much money the Democrat Senatorial campaign is put into, like zero, nothing.
1:10:16
[SPEAKER_01]: It's all private donors.
1:10:17
[SPEAKER_01]: It's all again.
1:10:19
[SPEAKER_01]: It's the politically illiterate Democrat millionaires, right in him, checks.
1:10:26
[SPEAKER_01]: that's what the polls were for.
1:10:27
[SPEAKER_01]: So they know they're not winning these races.
1:10:31
[SPEAKER_01]: They know they're not winning Florida.
1:10:32
[SPEAKER_01]: They know that.
1:10:34
[SPEAKER_01]: So they've got to figure out different ways of trying to create some kind of leverage of power in their direction.
1:10:43
[SPEAKER_01]: And the ways are going to be very nefarious.
1:10:46
[SPEAKER_01]: But I have not gotten into the specifics of what DR has, has uncovered, but I've read some superficial things on it and just like with what you're doing here and I'll have to take a look.
1:11:06
[SPEAKER_01]: Move your honor, thank Virginia Red Seats.
1:11:08
[SPEAKER_01]: We'll stay even high-dem, male, yeah, that's, so that's what we're going to have to do in Virginia 1, Virginia 2, we'll have to see.
1:11:16
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, Virginia is a, the beauty of it is, I mean, when you're dealing with midterms, you are dealing with the politics of a congressional district, and the counties that are included in that.
1:11:36
[SPEAKER_01]: And so we're gonna have to see.
1:11:38
[SPEAKER_01]: I have not seen the last us on V2 was pretty good, right?
1:11:44
[SPEAKER_01]: I haven't seen V1 yet, but those, those are gonna be two.
1:11:48
[SPEAKER_01]: We want to try to hold for sure.
1:11:50
[SPEAKER_01]: Uh, or else those are two, two, two less seats.
1:11:53
[SPEAKER_01]: And again, if we've got a ceiling of about 20, 220, maybe 220, one, if Max Miller pulls it off and Ohio is at Ohio's seven.
1:12:04
[SPEAKER_01]: Despite all of his scandals, we can get up around 221, but right now it looks like it's a pretty hard ceiling at 220.
1:12:12
[SPEAKER_01]: If we lose both those Virginia seats to 18, so that's it.
1:12:16
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I mean, again, it's we can't afford to lose another one.
1:12:19
[SPEAKER_01]: So we'll have to say again, like I said, these are targeted red waves.
1:12:23
[SPEAKER_01]: We're trying to defend, but there's no margin for error.
1:12:29
[SPEAKER_01]: Stephanie, from what I see here in Oregon, yes, there's a huge propensity for independence to vote red for draws and for governor and Congress even if they can lean toward Democrats and local elections, what should you think?
1:12:43
[SPEAKER_01]: Well, code, so code tech is
1:12:47
[SPEAKER_01]: As I understand, co-tech is the single most unpopular governor in the country.
1:12:52
[SPEAKER_01]: And that's saying something, especially when you have some like Tim Walls, right?
1:12:57
[SPEAKER_01]: So that means that if ever there draws in had a striking opportunity, it's this one.
1:13:07
[SPEAKER_01]: So again, it's just, it's a math issue.
1:13:09
[SPEAKER_01]: Like you're saying it's the Indies, but there's just so many Democrats, for example.
1:13:16
[SPEAKER_01]: If we can stack onto Taloreco in Texas, we can stack on another 150 to 200,000 indie votes that not even beta got.
1:13:32
[SPEAKER_01]: Okay.
1:13:32
[SPEAKER_01]: Another 150, another 200,000 Indies.
1:13:36
[SPEAKER_01]: See, crossing over and voting for Taloreco.
1:13:39
[SPEAKER_01]: He would still lose by a million votes.
1:13:45
[SPEAKER_01]: There's too many Republicans, right?
1:13:48
[SPEAKER_01]: And you're just not, and unless you get 50% plus one of those Republicans to, of that million Republicans to cross over, there's nothing you can do.
1:14:00
[SPEAKER_01]: And that's the concern I have with Oregon.
1:14:02
[SPEAKER_01]: So this is not to disparage or to demoralize.
1:14:06
[SPEAKER_01]: It just simply go and do everything you possibly can to win.
1:14:12
[SPEAKER_01]: Remember, if you didn't have Multimaccounty, you'd be winning every single...
1:14:16
[SPEAKER_01]: The Republican would be winning by 10 points in every single election.
1:14:20
[SPEAKER_00]: That's just the electorate there.
1:14:22
[SPEAKER_01]: It's freaking molten, what are you going to do?
1:14:24
[SPEAKER_01]: It's Portland.
1:14:26
[SPEAKER_01]: So what you've got to do is you just got to maximize rule out turnout, got to maximize the turn coat some on the Indies turnout.
1:14:38
[SPEAKER_01]: And hopefully there's enough Democrats sick of Kotech that they would say, let's give
1:14:46
[SPEAKER_01]: So it's a math issue when all said and done, it's a tough one for Oregon, but keep going stuff.
1:14:53
[SPEAKER_01]: That's awesome.
1:14:53
[SPEAKER_01]: Keep going.
1:14:54
[SPEAKER_01]: Keep fighting.
1:14:57
[SPEAKER_01]: Luzedak, do you think Federman will ever switch the GOP and if so, how would that affect the midterms?
1:15:05
[SPEAKER_01]: Oh, that's interesting.
1:15:06
[SPEAKER_01]: Well, I don't think he would switch before that might be a very interesting October surprise, but I think we're getting past that now, we're 11 days away.
1:15:15
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know, that's not true, it could happen.
1:15:19
[SPEAKER_01]: So I don't think it would impact the midterms what if there is a big, big turnout for the Republicans and these targeted red waves.
1:15:26
[SPEAKER_01]: are able to hold and maybe possibly even gain, pick up a new hamster, pick up a sentencing in Michigan and Minnesota, possibly gain.
1:15:38
[SPEAKER_01]: I could see Fetterman making a switch within just on the heels of this midterms.
1:15:47
[SPEAKER_01]: I think he has to.
1:15:49
[SPEAKER_01]: He can't win as a Democrat and I think he knows that and he's more or less admitted that all the polling that we see, I mean that this polling would have to be ridiculously off, but it looks like he would only get about 20% support in a Democrat primary, where is he he would get 80% report in a Republican primary.
1:16:11
[SPEAKER_01]: in in in it's ironic because I think in Pennsylvania he's your kind of your perfect Pennsylvania Republican in many ways.
1:16:19
[SPEAKER_01]: Pennsylvania have to deal with Philadelphia on one side and Pittsburgh on the other and Alabama in between.
1:16:29
[SPEAKER_01]: And the Pittsburgh and the Philly and the Pittsburgh kind of dilute the Alabama ish and and get rid of the deep redness of Pennsylvania.
1:16:40
[SPEAKER_01]: So you get someone like a McCormick or you get someone like a federalman something like that.
1:16:44
[SPEAKER_01]: They'll vote with the Republicans most of the time, federalmen would if he's a he's a team player if he switches parties he'll vote with us most of the time.
1:16:53
[SPEAKER_01]: But he's not going to be, you know, he's not going to be maggots.
1:16:55
[SPEAKER_01]: He's not going to be a Ken Paxton or anything like that, or Ron Johnson.
1:17:00
[SPEAKER_01]: Anyway, but I do think he'll have no choice but to he'll have no choice but to defect.
1:17:08
[SPEAKER_01]: And I doubt he'll become independent.
1:17:11
[SPEAKER_01]: I think he will become Republican.
1:17:15
[SPEAKER_01]: David Brock, Dr. Steve, you know, the rush limbo of the hour, you're always optimistic if we went back to Senate, should we make demand of a new majority leader?
1:17:23
[SPEAKER_01]: Great question.
1:17:24
[SPEAKER_01]: Well, first of all, I am talented alone from God.
1:17:28
[SPEAKER_01]: I am not worthy of that rush rush was one of, I'm used my idol growing up.
1:17:35
[SPEAKER_01]: I got to meet him in New York City very briefly at his a taping of his TV show, his
1:17:44
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, he was one of a kind, and so God bless you for even putting us in the same sentence.
1:17:54
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, again, it's just political reality.
1:17:57
[SPEAKER_01]: Okay.
1:17:57
[SPEAKER_01]: And that's that's what we're facing in the Senate.
1:18:01
[SPEAKER_01]: Who, who, but Thune is going to get the votes, right?
1:18:06
[SPEAKER_01]: The reason why Thune is majority leaders, because he was the only one who could get the votes.
1:18:11
[SPEAKER_01]: Ted Cruz couldn't get the votes.
1:18:14
[SPEAKER_01]: Rick Scott couldn't get the votes.
1:18:17
[SPEAKER_01]: It's just it's old school politics for both Democrats and Republicans.
1:18:22
[SPEAKER_01]: That's why Democrats want to abolish the Senate.
1:18:26
[SPEAKER_01]: You think we're disappointed in our party.
1:18:29
[SPEAKER_01]: The freaking Democrats want to abolish the entire institution.
1:18:32
[SPEAKER_01]: They just want to burn the whole thing to the ground.
1:18:34
[SPEAKER_01]: We just want a new Senate leader.
1:18:36
[SPEAKER_01]: All right.
1:18:36
[SPEAKER_01]: That's the different.
1:18:37
[SPEAKER_01]: We are not the same.
1:18:38
[SPEAKER_01]: That's the difference between our parties.
1:18:40
[SPEAKER_01]: So I would just simply say that I think we're stuck with soon.
1:18:46
[SPEAKER_01]: And what Trump is going to have to figure out, and certainly with JD's guidance being a former senator, and with Marko's guidance as well, they're going to have to figure out how to work effectively with this paralyzed Senate, but I don't think we're going to get another leader.
1:19:08
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm already seeing ex-accounts.
1:19:10
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, go, oh, we need a new Senate leader.
1:19:12
[SPEAKER_01]: We need to, don't listen to this.
1:19:14
[SPEAKER_01]: Just to, I mean, again, it's just, it's, it's, it's as dumb as these Fox news polls that showed Talarica with a 10 point lead.
1:19:21
[SPEAKER_01]: It's, there's no mathematical possibility for, for, for even remotely, anything you're saying to happen, none.
1:19:31
[SPEAKER_01]: So just pay no attention to it.
1:19:33
[SPEAKER_01]: It's sound and fear is signifying nothing.
1:19:42
[SPEAKER_01]: Richard Dr. Steve, could you review where Elon's donations went?
1:19:46
[SPEAKER_01]: Oh gosh, yeah, I'd have to look at that.
1:19:48
[SPEAKER_01]: I know a lot of them went to Texas, he's a Texas resident, so I know a lot of them went to Texas and hold the new Texas seats and the like, but I'd have to look it up in terms of where, again, he's, as I understand that he is targeting
1:20:05
[SPEAKER_01]: very key districts in order to awaken the targeted right way.
1:20:12
[SPEAKER_01]: That's the thesis I'm going into this midterms with.
1:20:18
[SPEAKER_01]: Now, I think we've just got enough in-person early voting data to know.
1:20:24
[SPEAKER_01]: We knew that, but so last weeks,
1:20:27
[SPEAKER_01]: line stream was titled, you know, the fake polls have been exposed.
1:20:33
[SPEAKER_01]: We know these things are nonsense.
1:20:35
[SPEAKER_01]: So this week is dude, I think I think we've got a targeted red wave in the works here.
1:20:43
[SPEAKER_01]: And Elon is helping with that because historically, the congressional candidate that spends the most wins 94% of the time.
1:20:58
[SPEAKER_01]: Um, again, can we do it in a plus five Democrat electorate again?
1:21:05
[SPEAKER_01]: That's when I'm estimating.
1:21:06
[SPEAKER_01]: We'll see.
1:21:07
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, I'm not no stradomas.
1:21:09
[SPEAKER_01]: I do not know unlike Alan Lickman, right?
1:21:12
[SPEAKER_01]: Um, I don't know.
1:21:14
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm just doing the best.
1:21:15
[SPEAKER_01]: Like I don't have keys, uh, magical keys that unlock the future.
1:21:21
[SPEAKER_01]: But whatever the districts are and I'd have to list them.
1:21:25
[SPEAKER_01]: I'd have to get the list.
1:21:27
[SPEAKER_01]: We can get them, it's not hard.
1:21:28
[SPEAKER_01]: I actually saw it.
1:21:30
[SPEAKER_01]: I saw the districts.
1:21:31
[SPEAKER_01]: I thought there was about 20 districts who was pouring money into.
1:21:35
[SPEAKER_01]: Plus the big Senate race, for example, in Texas, we can Pakistan.
1:21:40
[SPEAKER_01]: but the key with Elon is the congressional candidate who is best funded wins nine out of ten times.
1:21:49
[SPEAKER_01]: And that's good.
1:21:50
[SPEAKER_01]: That's good news for us.
1:21:53
[SPEAKER_01]: Here is his donations an hour about half a billion.
1:21:57
[SPEAKER_01]: They've reached half a billion at this point.
1:22:02
[SPEAKER_01]: In human condition, Dr. C, are you surprised about
1:22:09
[SPEAKER_01]: And my surprise, it's a good question.
1:22:13
[SPEAKER_01]: I think I was more disappointed.
1:22:15
[SPEAKER_01]: So you notice I haven't done a video on it, no while.
1:22:18
[SPEAKER_01]: And that's just because based on all the research I was doing, you know, and I didn't know how much trust the polls, but from the cultural commentary that I was reading, there was just,
1:22:35
[SPEAKER_01]: There was no sense that it really was taking off.
1:22:38
[SPEAKER_01]: You could tell in back in the 90s and the Quebec referendum, it was taking off.
1:22:44
[SPEAKER_01]: Something was the same with Brexit in June of 2016.
1:22:48
[SPEAKER_01]: It was starting to take off.
1:22:50
[SPEAKER_01]: Something was happening here.
1:22:52
[SPEAKER_01]: Keep your eye on it.
1:22:53
[SPEAKER_01]: There was none of that with Alberta.
1:22:55
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, there were Albert and Separatists, sympathizers who were saying that.
1:22:59
[SPEAKER_01]: But outside of that, I wasn't catching a wider,
1:23:03
[SPEAKER_01]: a commentariat that recognized that wave.
1:23:07
[SPEAKER_01]: So 25 to 75, that's, you know, it's, it under, it even underperformed the one in three that that, that, that the polls were suggesting.
1:23:19
[SPEAKER_01]: It turned out to be more one in four.
1:23:24
[SPEAKER_01]: And so, yeah, Alberta, Alberta is going to stay with Canada, and, you know, that's cool, that's okay, that's part of self-determination, and a lot of people are making a big deal, but yeah, but one in four won a leave, okay, yeah, but you can.
1:23:42
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, it's a little thing called math, but you can't.
1:23:47
[SPEAKER_01]: So, so on to Quebec.
1:23:52
[SPEAKER_01]: Now, you just had to keep a quad party that was voted in.
1:23:56
[SPEAKER_01]: They're promising a referendum.
1:23:58
[SPEAKER_01]: Poles are showing the opposite when it comes to young people.
1:24:01
[SPEAKER_01]: They want to leave 60% want independence.
1:24:05
[SPEAKER_01]: So we'll have to keep an eye there.
1:24:07
[SPEAKER_01]: Now, if they vote for independence, what happens with the next Alberta referendum?
1:24:12
[SPEAKER_01]: So it's the cat's out of the bag.
1:24:17
[SPEAKER_01]: Jeannie's out of the bottle, pick your metaphor.
1:24:22
[SPEAKER_01]: But it does seem to be that it is it's on the back burner as it were it's been put on the shelf for now now what on to see what happens with Quebec
1:24:35
[SPEAKER_01]: Danny, sending love to American Patriots from Israel, God bless Baruch Atah Adana Alechina Melechah Olam.
1:24:42
[SPEAKER_00]: God bless you, Danny.
1:24:43
[SPEAKER_00]: Thank you.
1:24:44
[SPEAKER_01]: Thank you for that.
1:24:45
[SPEAKER_01]: I've always wanted to visit, never, never visit Israel.
1:24:48
[SPEAKER_01]: But it's good, it's good.
1:24:49
[SPEAKER_01]: See, I studied Hebrew for a while as well.
1:24:51
[SPEAKER_01]: Franz Boll, Dr. Steve, I saw your analysis of the French riots being considered very positively by a channel called Metatronite.
1:25:05
[SPEAKER_01]: I've often gotten a lot of
1:25:08
[SPEAKER_01]: flag.
1:25:08
[SPEAKER_01]: So I will take a look at it, meta-tronaut.
1:25:11
[SPEAKER_01]: Very good.
1:25:12
[SPEAKER_01]: That's great though.
1:25:13
[SPEAKER_01]: That's what they're there for.
1:25:16
[SPEAKER_01]: They're there to be used and circulated anyway.
1:25:20
[SPEAKER_01]: But yeah, the French riots are that is third worldism coming to the four.
1:25:28
[SPEAKER_01]: Third worldism hates western civilization and it
1:25:36
[SPEAKER_01]: because both sea, they're both blame exploitation for their relative impoverishment.
1:25:46
[SPEAKER_01]: And but third world is so the ones who are have redefined the oppressor oppressed binary away from the bourgeois to a proletariat.
1:25:59
[SPEAKER_01]: bourgeois over proletariat in the Marxist socialist frame to Western civilization third world.
1:26:06
[SPEAKER_01]: So they see the whole of the Western civilization.
1:26:09
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, there were very astute thinkers who were arguing this way back in 1911, back in 2001, that this is the new Marxism.
1:26:20
[SPEAKER_01]: This is the new sort of Leninist conception of a press or versus a press.
1:26:30
[SPEAKER_01]: It's third world versus the first world.
1:26:34
[SPEAKER_01]: That's the new, but they speak in very much the same universalistic term.
1:26:40
[SPEAKER_01]: So that's what you're seeing breaking out unfortunately in France and Milan.
1:26:46
[SPEAKER_01]: Politically incorrect for avid actor Steve giving your musical background talent and musical connections You could do a parody and video Ilhan Omar with the holly song.
1:26:55
[SPEAKER_01]: He ain't heavy.
1:26:56
[SPEAKER_01]: He's my friend Oh my oh my oh, maybe a classical guitar rendition of it
1:27:07
[SPEAKER_01]: you guys are hilarious.
1:27:09
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, you ain't heavy's my brother.
1:27:11
[SPEAKER_01]: That's right.
1:27:12
[SPEAKER_01]: Poor gal.
1:27:14
[SPEAKER_01]: She's fallen apart, man.
1:27:16
[SPEAKER_01]: She's fun.
1:27:16
[SPEAKER_01]: Did you see that interview?
1:27:18
[SPEAKER_01]: Oh, yeah, not to my knowledge.
1:27:21
[SPEAKER_01]: And the memes that have come out of that, she's fallen apart.
1:27:24
[SPEAKER_01]: And now we have the bird are marriage certificate that's being
1:27:28
[SPEAKER_01]: shared where she's sharing the same name as her husband or the, sorry, her father that's put on to the, onto the marriage certificate has the same name basically as her husband.
1:27:45
[SPEAKER_01]: So showing that they, they appear to be related.
1:27:48
[SPEAKER_01]: It's very, very interesting.
1:27:51
[SPEAKER_01]: Love you say there are one million reasons to vote red, but just for securing borders alone is the most important reason to vote red forever from now on.
1:27:59
[SPEAKER_01]: Amen, love you, I say.
1:28:00
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, you know, I think the electorate is recalibrating.
1:28:06
[SPEAKER_01]: Seth Cashle was just done a very interesting article, Newt Gingrich cited it, that there is evidence that the Latino vote has now solidified for the Republican party because in heavily Latino areas,
1:28:20
[SPEAKER_01]: In both in Texas and in Arizona, in heavily Latino counties, their pro Republican turnout is now higher than it was in 2024 and 2024 said a record.
1:28:36
[SPEAKER_01]: So 2024, say, they came out, oh, I don't know.
1:28:43
[SPEAKER_01]: Let's say they came out, what's a good stat?
1:28:49
[SPEAKER_01]: At this point in the election in 2024, say they came out at, say, 30% of the,
1:28:56
[SPEAKER_01]: of the county.
1:28:58
[SPEAKER_01]: Now, at this point, same point in 206, they're coming out 35% 36% 37% these are heavy Latino areas and they appear to be very red and they're coming out at even greater margins than 2024.
1:29:14
[SPEAKER_01]: So that is suggesting.
1:29:16
[SPEAKER_01]: that we're actually increasing our inroads with Latinos.
1:29:20
[SPEAKER_01]: And if that's the case Democrats are gone, they banked everything on getting the Latino vote.
1:29:26
[SPEAKER_01]: I think they're turned to third worldism in many ways is sort of reaction to losing the Latino vote.
1:29:33
[SPEAKER_01]: politically and correct forever, Dr. Steve.
1:29:35
[SPEAKER_01]: I know that the Democrats are using fake political polls conversely.
1:29:38
[SPEAKER_01]: I believe that James Telefrico is taking the real polls every day.
1:29:45
[SPEAKER_01]: Tank, tanker Rico, as a... Yeah, yeah, yeah, they're calling him tank, tanker Rico.
1:29:57
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, he's falling apart.
1:29:58
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, it's not even going to be close at this point.
1:30:04
[SPEAKER_01]: Ms. Magnolia Georgia, what will happen with the two large migrant caravans had to abort.
1:30:09
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm not sure.
1:30:11
[SPEAKER_01]: I think shine bomb in the end is going to have she's going to be forced to have to dissipate them or deal with them.
1:30:17
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't think they're going to be allowed at our border.
1:30:19
[SPEAKER_01]: If they were, we will take care of them.
1:30:21
[SPEAKER_01]: We have a border enforcement that will be happy to show them which way is south.
1:30:30
[SPEAKER_01]: Bill's then Yegor Trump needs to end around in Ukraine to secure win.
1:30:41
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know about that.
1:30:42
[SPEAKER_01]: That's a good quote.
1:30:43
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, again, that could be an October surprise if he did announce that the war was over between Ukraine and Russia.
1:30:51
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know if that's going to translate.
1:30:53
[SPEAKER_01]: Obviously, it's not going to translate to the votes over the cast.
1:30:56
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know if that'll translate to the momentum that we're already seeing or reversing some momentum like with a plus five Democrat.
1:31:05
[SPEAKER_00]: I'd have to think about that.
1:31:07
[SPEAKER_01]: But I would certainly love to see the end of that war for sure.
1:31:13
[SPEAKER_01]: Franz, Dr. Steve, could those conducting political polls in August and September be the same people that predicted the rest when the scene from, oh, dang, dude, Franz, you're on fire, but yeah, I,
1:31:32
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I'd say the ones who predicted the Rams win were a lot more accurate.
1:31:36
[SPEAKER_01]: Let's put it that way.
1:31:38
[SPEAKER_01]: They have a lot more integrity than the idiots that were behind those polling.
1:31:42
[SPEAKER_01]: The polling with the results were predetermined.
1:31:44
[SPEAKER_01]: They just need some kind of sample to justify the predetermined numbers.
1:31:50
[SPEAKER_01]: Love you, I say I am a legal immigrant naturalized citizen.
1:31:54
[SPEAKER_01]: I have no idea how so many Native-born Americans hate USA.
1:31:58
[SPEAKER_01]: There's no way that I will ever vote Democrats because demon rats complete destruction of USA.
1:32:05
[SPEAKER_01]: Amen, amen, love USA, 12, we love you.
1:32:10
[SPEAKER_01]: My wife is immigrant, Trump's wife is an immigrant.
1:32:14
[SPEAKER_01]: JD's wife is a daughter of immigrants.
1:32:20
[SPEAKER_01]: We love immigrants who love the United States.
1:32:22
[SPEAKER_01]: Everywhere right?
1:32:23
[SPEAKER_01]: And immigrants here who become citizens, love immigrants who love the United States.
1:32:29
[SPEAKER_01]: If you want to get my wife and I'm sure get you upset, start bringing up a legal migrant and start bringing up people who cut to the front of the line and then demand.
1:32:38
[SPEAKER_01]: that they be given amnesty in special treatment and the like.
1:32:42
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm with you.
1:32:43
[SPEAKER_01]: It's this whole nonsense that the Democrats try to confuse this with an anti-immigrant sentiment as a put.
1:32:51
[SPEAKER_01]: Now, there may be certainly there may be an anti-immigrant sentiment in this county or that county because of what they've had to endure.
1:32:58
[SPEAKER_01]: from having, you know, a 30,000 people county getting 50,000 Haitian migrants dumped into the gap.
1:33:06
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm sure they're going to be like, get out, you know, all migrants get out short.
1:33:10
[SPEAKER_01]: There's going to be the pendulum swing.
1:33:11
[SPEAKER_01]: I'll move the other way.
1:33:12
[SPEAKER_01]: But generally speaking, this is all about legal versus the illegal and those who love versus those who hate
1:33:20
[SPEAKER_01]: All right, that's it guys.
1:33:21
[SPEAKER_01]: I do have a hard stop at one o'clock.
1:33:23
[SPEAKER_01]: And so, sorry, if I could not get to your questions and so forth, remember I'm your back porch professor over the weekends.
1:33:33
[SPEAKER_01]: So if we got any break in news, you know, where to go, I got an interview Scott Presser on the latest coming out of Pennsylvania, I purposely left Pennsylvania out because we got another video coming later today and he's going to give you all the latest.
1:33:46
[SPEAKER_01]: so make sure you tune in there and until then guys make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button for breaking news and analysis you're not going to get anywhere else.
1:33:54
[SPEAKER_01]: Love you all.
1:33:55
[SPEAKER_01]: God bless.
1:33:57
[SPEAKER_01]: Thanks so much for listening to this episode of The Turley Talks Podcast.
1:34:01
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1:34:06
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1:34:13
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