Latest / Toadstool Sports / Wednesday BEST BETS | Wasted Bullpens | NBA & NHL Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/20/26

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Wednesday BEST BETS | Wasted Bullpens | NBA & NHL Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/20/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm. Man, a hole in
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: your chicks. Black coffee on the felt. Man, you look
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: like a ment three teen Parlette turned the dust in
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like they made you
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: this man. But don't you go quiet.
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: Don't you fade from the floor. Your name, steal me
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: something on somebody for show. Put the glass down, baby,
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: Now, hold on, hold on, nothing nice, now, hold on,
• 1:00
  Speaker 3: hold on and me, but it don't get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on and.
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: Stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 5: Now, what's up, everybody? It's towed back with you with
• 1:30
  Speaker 5: toad Stool Sports. It is Wednesday, May twentieth, two and
• 1:36
  Speaker 5: zero on the show yesterday. We're now eighty seven thirty
• 1:40
  Speaker 5: seven and five the last forty six days.
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: It's not gonna last. Man, I'm telling you we had
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: both plays right.
• 1:48
  Speaker 5: Yesterday Cincinnati Red's first five innings, they were winning two
• 1:51
  Speaker 5: to one. They actually won the game outright full game
• 1:55
  Speaker 5: as well, four to one or something like that. Milwaukee
• 1:58
  Speaker 5: and Cubs just got in under the total. It was
• 2:01
  Speaker 5: a three to nothing Milwaukee lead early in the game,
• 2:05
  Speaker 5: which wasn't looking great. But then the offense has died,
• 2:08
  Speaker 5: and then it was I think it was still three
• 2:09
  Speaker 5: to nothing. Pretty late in the game, it was like
• 2:12
  Speaker 5: three to one. I'm like, all right, this is looking
• 2:15
  Speaker 5: pretty good. And then I think Milwaukee put up two
• 2:17
  Speaker 5: more runs, maybe in the eighth, thenning, and then all
• 2:19
  Speaker 5: of a sudden, it's five to one. Then the Cubs
• 2:21
  Speaker 5: score a run and it's five to two. But luckily,
• 2:24
  Speaker 5: I think that meant Milwaukee probably brought their closer in
• 2:27
  Speaker 5: to shut shut it down, and it wound up five
• 2:31
  Speaker 5: to two. So we did get the under eight correct.
• 2:34
  Speaker 5: And yeah, that was how yesterday went. We'll move on
• 2:37
  Speaker 5: to today. I'm still really pissed about the NBA game, dude.
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: I think that I know that I told you the
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: stat on it.
• 2:45
  Speaker 5: Teams that are coming into a new series with over
• 2:48
  Speaker 5: a week rest have gone twenty four, twenty three and
• 2:51
  Speaker 5: fourteen maybe is what it was against the spread up
• 2:55
  Speaker 5: until this these two games that we saw. But well
• 2:59
  Speaker 5: they've gone one to one against the spread. The teams
• 3:02
  Speaker 5: with the rest advantage like that have gone one to one,
• 3:04
  Speaker 5: but they should have gone on two. Like obviously the
• 3:06
  Speaker 5: Spurs covered and one outright and I think had a
• 3:09
  Speaker 5: wire to wire cover in that game yesterday.
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: I can't believe that what happened in that game yesterday.
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: I know Cleveland is, you know, gonna be tired at
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: the end of the game. Whatever.
• 3:19
  Speaker 5: They were winning by twenty two points with like six
• 3:22
  Speaker 5: minutes left, the game was over.
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: Like I had it on over here.
• 3:25
  Speaker 5: I was like, whatever Cleveland won, I'm gonna stop watching him.
• 3:28
  Speaker 5: I should have given out Cleveland as a play. If
• 3:30
  Speaker 5: you had Cleveland plus seven or whatever, you clearly had
• 3:34
  Speaker 5: the right side. The line dropped to five and a
• 3:36
  Speaker 5: half by the time the game went off. The real
• 3:39
  Speaker 5: money was on Cleveland, So I think that, dude. My
• 3:42
  Speaker 5: Reid has always been like, if a team has a
• 3:45
  Speaker 5: long layoff, it disrupts their momentum when they're winning.
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: So I like to fade those teams. And I think we.
• 3:50
  Speaker 5: Probably should have just done that, although we'd be one
• 3:52
  Speaker 5: and one right now, but Cleveland should have won the
• 3:55
  Speaker 5: game outright.
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: That was the biggest playoff fourth quarter and plow in history.
• 4:02
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure you don't lose when you're winning.
• 4:04
  Speaker 5: My twenty two points with six minutes left. The Knicks
• 4:09
  Speaker 5: finished the final six minutes of regulation on a thirty
• 4:13
  Speaker 5: to eight run, and then they also score the first
• 4:15
  Speaker 5: nine points of overtime. It is unbelievable how that happened.
• 4:20
  Speaker 5: And then they wound up covering as well. There's nothing
• 4:23
  Speaker 5: like that. And you go if you're Cleveland, and I'm
• 4:26
  Speaker 5: pissed because I want the Knicks out and I think
• 4:28
  Speaker 5: the Knicks, if they get into the final, I think
• 4:31
  Speaker 5: the Knicks are gonna beat the Spurs in the final.
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: That's what I think. Maybe not, but I don't know.
• 4:39
  Speaker 5: But if you're Cleveland, you have Game one wrapped up,
• 4:43
  Speaker 5: You're gonna steal Game one.
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: It's over. And you go from having Game one stolen
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: and you actually have a chance to win the series
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: to losing in the worst possible way.
• 4:52
  Speaker 5: When you lose like that, there's no way you get
• 4:54
  Speaker 5: back up off the mat for Game two. So now Cleveland,
• 4:57
  Speaker 5: because of that, because of the last six minutes that game,
• 5:00
  Speaker 5: they've now lost two games. They're not gonna win game two.
• 5:03
  Speaker 5: There's just no chance that they're gonna win Game two.
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: They're dead.
• 5:07
  Speaker 5: It's unbelievable how that happened. Anyway, Tyson, what's up, Josh?
• 5:13
  Speaker 2: What's up? Dirty sock? What's up?
• 5:18
  Speaker 5: A definitive rush song? I mean, there are way too many.
• 5:22
  Speaker 5: I mean twenty one to twelve. It's my favorite album
• 5:26
  Speaker 5: of all time. That song, I mean, it's an epic
• 5:30
  Speaker 5: song with many different parts to it.
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: Probably that. Let's move on.
• 5:36
  Speaker 5: We're gonna talk about baseball. Here we have afternoon baseball.
• 5:40
  Speaker 5: I don't like this baseball board today. Man, I'm gonna
• 5:42
  Speaker 5: give up two first five inning plays in baseball, and that's.
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: Really all I have. I have another one that I
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: almost added to the card.
• 5:50
  Speaker 5: I can't figure this out at all, man, I have
• 5:54
  Speaker 5: no idea what the fuck that means?
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: Mister Penzy, what's up? All right?
• 6:00
  Speaker 5: Cincinnati and Philadelphia is the first game up. These teams
• 6:04
  Speaker 5: have split the series of our Philadelphia did lose a
• 6:07
  Speaker 5: win streak yesterday. They had a five game win streak going.
• 6:10
  Speaker 5: They lost yesterday with that play that we got right.
• 6:12
  Speaker 5: So sometimes when a team loses a win streak will
• 6:15
  Speaker 5: be hung over into the next game. Maybe that will
• 6:18
  Speaker 5: happen here to Philadelphia. Philadelphia used three relief pitchers yesterday.
• 6:25
  Speaker 5: Cincinnati used three as well. Cincinnati's bullpen has not been good.
• 6:30
  Speaker 5: They are twenty ninth out of thirty in whip and
• 6:33
  Speaker 5: their era is really not much better than that. Philadelphia fifteenth,
• 6:38
  Speaker 5: so their bullpen's actually been okay. Especially recently. Philadelphia's offense
• 6:44
  Speaker 5: has kind of fallen back a little bit again.
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: They're at twenty second.
• 6:48
  Speaker 5: Cincinnati has moved up a little bit recently at eighteenth,
• 6:52
  Speaker 5: but two offenses that are kind of struggling over the
• 6:56
  Speaker 5: course of the season. Really, and we have afternoon base
• 7:00
  Speaker 5: because these teams are shipping out.
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: You know, a lot of these teams.
• 7:04
  Speaker 5: Are starting new series. Some of the series are continuing Tomorrow.
• 7:07
  Speaker 5: Tomorrow is gonna be a short baseball card. Though I
• 7:11
  Speaker 5: don't speak you know, sci fi languages, dude, the Dune movies.
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: Haven't even watched them.
• 7:17
  Speaker 5: I read some of the books long ago, haven't seen
• 7:20
  Speaker 5: the movies. Andrew Rabbit is pitching for Cincinnati. He has
• 7:26
  Speaker 5: not been good this year. Four point two one era
• 7:28
  Speaker 5: one point five whip that's pretty bad. You can't put
• 7:31
  Speaker 5: one and a half guys on base and inning. But
• 7:33
  Speaker 5: he's been better on the road, even though usually he
• 7:36
  Speaker 5: pitches better than this at home, Like if you look
• 7:38
  Speaker 5: throughout his career, he's been better than this. But his
• 7:41
  Speaker 5: home stadium is a hitter friendly stadium. He's on the
• 7:44
  Speaker 5: road here where he has a two point six to
• 7:46
  Speaker 5: one Roadie Ray, although Philly is also kind of a
• 7:50
  Speaker 5: hitter friendly ballpark. Abbott's been better this month, though, at
• 7:54
  Speaker 5: least with the number of runs he's allowed. He's allowed
• 7:57
  Speaker 5: one run this month in sixteen to two thirds. In
• 8:00
  Speaker 5: that he did face the Cubs and Houston shut them
• 8:03
  Speaker 5: both out, and those are pretty good offenses. The walks
• 8:06
  Speaker 5: continue to be a problem with him, though he's gotten
• 8:08
  Speaker 5: eleven to eight strike out walk ratio this month. He's
• 8:11
  Speaker 5: allowed way below one hit per inning, but the walks
• 8:14
  Speaker 5: are a huge problem. That's been the case all season.
• 8:17
  Speaker 5: His strikeout rate is low, He's not really a strikeout pitcher,
• 8:20
  Speaker 5: but his walk rate is too high.
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: Over the course of the season, he's allowed.
• 8:24
  Speaker 5: Too many hits as well, so at least he's been
• 8:26
  Speaker 5: better in that department recently. His numbers it gets Philadelphia
• 8:30
  Speaker 5: are not good. In fifty nine at bats three h
• 8:33
  Speaker 5: five average, allowed eight to eighteen ops, eleven to four
• 8:36
  Speaker 5: strikeout walk ratio. So I don't love Abbott in this game,
• 8:40
  Speaker 5: even though he is starting to pitch a little bit
• 8:41
  Speaker 5: better than this. I do think he is a bit
• 8:43
  Speaker 5: better than his season numbers would suggest right now, but
• 8:49
  Speaker 5: I don't know if I could trust him.
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: Here. Aaron Nola, speaking of being an untrustworthy pitcher, is
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: pitching for Philly.
• 8:56
  Speaker 5: Five point nine to one ERA, one point five to
• 8:58
  Speaker 5: five whip Again, that's pretty bad. He's a little bit
• 9:02
  Speaker 5: better at home five point five to two ERA. At home,
• 9:06
  Speaker 5: he got lit up in his last outing. It's Pittsburgh
• 9:08
  Speaker 5: failed to go five innings in his last two outings,
• 9:11
  Speaker 5: and in fact, in four of his last five that's
• 9:14
  Speaker 5: been the case. So though he faced a bunch of
• 9:15
  Speaker 5: good offenses in here, Cubs, Atlanta, Pittsburgh has been pretty
• 9:19
  Speaker 5: good as well. Colorado not so much. He's still not
• 9:24
  Speaker 5: really trustworthy me. His strikeout rate looks like it's down
• 9:27
  Speaker 5: right now. Too many walks. Five over the last two outings.
• 9:30
  Speaker 5: He's walked three or more batters in I don't know,
• 9:34
  Speaker 5: like half of his recent starts, multiple in all of
• 9:37
  Speaker 5: them except one against Miami, where he had one good
• 9:40
  Speaker 5: start against Miami mixed in there, which was our loss.
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: By the way.
• 9:44
  Speaker 5: We faded him in that one with junk and somehow
• 9:48
  Speaker 5: Nola shut down Miami and we lost that play.
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: Nola.
• 9:53
  Speaker 5: Over the course of the season, his strikeout rate is
• 9:55
  Speaker 5: actually better over the course of the season. It's above
• 9:58
  Speaker 5: one per inning, but he's walked.
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: To many guys. His hit rate is way too high
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: as well, way over one per inning.
• 10:04
  Speaker 5: I don't think we could trust them as numbers against
• 10:06
  Speaker 5: the Reds are not good either to eighty one, batting
• 10:08
  Speaker 5: average allowed, nine to thirty seven OPS, seven to three
• 10:12
  Speaker 5: strikeout walk ratio is whatever. I don't love either bullpen
• 10:17
  Speaker 5: here either.
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: This game.
• 10:19
  Speaker 5: For me, this would be an over. The total is
• 10:22
  Speaker 5: pretty high though it's at ten. But the odds makers
• 10:25
  Speaker 5: if they throw a line of ten out there, especially
• 10:27
  Speaker 5: in Philadelphia, which is it's a hitter friendly ballpark, but
• 10:32
  Speaker 5: it's not one of the extreme hitter friendly ballparks for
• 10:35
  Speaker 5: the odds makers to throw up. But well, they actually
• 10:37
  Speaker 5: threw it up at nine and a half and it
• 10:39
  Speaker 5: got moved up to ten.
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: But the fact of the line is that high.
• 10:43
  Speaker 5: I think indicates that the odds makers and the professional
• 10:46
  Speaker 5: betters seem to think the s is going to be
• 10:48
  Speaker 5: a high scoring game. But the money is hitting the under.
• 10:51
  Speaker 5: According to the percentages, sixty five percent of tickets on
• 10:55
  Speaker 5: the over, fifty five percent of the cash on the under.
• 10:59
  Speaker 5: No I said I would go over the total here.
• 11:01
  Speaker 5: That would be the way I would play it. Philadelphia
• 11:04
  Speaker 5: has the money coming in towards them for whatever that's worth,
• 11:07
  Speaker 5: fifty five percent of tickets, seventy percent of the cash.
• 11:10
  Speaker 5: On Philly, they're around minus one. Forty is a favorite here.
• 11:15
  Speaker 5: I don't think I would lay that type of price
• 11:17
  Speaker 5: with Philly with Nola on the mound. But again, over
• 11:20
  Speaker 5: is what makes the most sense to me in that game,
• 11:24
  Speaker 5: Red's team total over. I mean, I guess I agree
• 11:27
  Speaker 5: with that, But why would you do that when you have,
• 11:30
  Speaker 5: like both pitchers are terrible, and the Reds have the
• 11:33
  Speaker 5: lesser bullpen, So it's it's more likely that Philadelphia is
• 11:37
  Speaker 5: going to be the team carrying the offensive load in
• 11:40
  Speaker 5: that game, So I would not isolate it to the
• 11:43
  Speaker 5: Reds team total. No, I would go full game total
• 11:47
  Speaker 5: over is what I would do. Philadelphia over their team
• 11:50
  Speaker 5: total probably makes more sense than Reds over their team total.
• 11:55
  Speaker 5: I mean, Philly's the favorite and Cincinnati is the lesser bullpen.
• 12:00
  Speaker 5: Baltimore and Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay has won both games
• 12:06
  Speaker 5: in the series so far. These teams are not playing tomorrow,
• 12:09
  Speaker 5: which you know because they're playing in the afternoon, So
• 12:11
  Speaker 5: that means they're not playing tomorrow because they're traveling. Baltimore
• 12:15
  Speaker 5: might show up to avoid the sweep here, and Tampa
• 12:17
  Speaker 5: is playing the Yankees next, So that is a look
• 12:20
  Speaker 5: ahead man, potentially, so Tampa Bay has already won the series.
• 12:24
  Speaker 5: They've already outscored Tampa Bay in the series twenty to seven.
• 12:28
  Speaker 5: They might overlook Baltimore here, man, given that they have.
• 12:31
  Speaker 2: The Yankees next. Situation. The situation here is not good
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: for Tampa Bay.
• 12:38
  Speaker 5: Tampa Bay used four relief pitchers yesterday and their bullpen's
• 12:41
  Speaker 5: been struggling recently. Baltimore's bullpen's not very good either, and
• 12:45
  Speaker 5: they used four relief pitchers yesterday as well. Baltimore, where
• 12:50
  Speaker 5: are we at here? Baltimore's twentieth in bullpen, Tampa Bay thirteenth.
• 12:56
  Speaker 5: Both eis are in the mid fours.
• 12:59
  Speaker 2: That's not good.
• 13:01
  Speaker 5: Tampa Bay eighth in offense, Baltimore nineteenth in offense. Tampa
• 13:06
  Speaker 5: Bay does have the better offense. Shane Boss is pitching
• 13:09
  Speaker 5: for Baltimore. Believe it or not, I think he might
• 13:12
  Speaker 5: have an edge in this game. I know he hasn't
• 13:14
  Speaker 5: pitched twelve this year. Five point two six ERA one
• 13:17
  Speaker 5: point five to two Whip that's bad. He's been a
• 13:19
  Speaker 5: little bit better on the road four point nine to
• 13:22
  Speaker 5: nine roady RRAM. He pitched decently in his last outing
• 13:26
  Speaker 5: against Washington, went seven innings, held him to three or
• 13:29
  Speaker 5: in runs, but he had still he had too many walks,
• 13:32
  Speaker 5: So this month he still has a six point seven
• 13:34
  Speaker 5: to five r RAM thirteen to eleven strikeout walk ratio
• 13:37
  Speaker 5: that definitely concerns may Obviously, that is way too many walks.
• 13:43
  Speaker 5: Over the course of the season, his strikeout rates been down,
• 13:46
  Speaker 5: which is not good.
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: He usually gets a decent amount of strikeouts.
• 13:49
  Speaker 5: His fly ball rate is extreme, his walk numbers too high.
• 13:54
  Speaker 5: He's allowed more than one hit per inning. The good
• 13:57
  Speaker 5: thing for him recently is that the number of hits
• 13:59
  Speaker 5: have gone down. Other than that, the struggles kind of remain.
• 14:03
  Speaker 5: The good thing for him, though, is he's facing his
• 14:05
  Speaker 5: former team for the first time. And you know I
• 14:08
  Speaker 5: talk about that when a team, like in this case
• 14:11
  Speaker 5: Tampa Bay, they let Boz go, that's sort of like
• 14:15
  Speaker 5: a slap in the face, you know what I mean,
• 14:17
  Speaker 5: Like we don't want you anymore, we don't think you're
• 14:18
  Speaker 5: good enough.
• 14:19
  Speaker 2: Whatever. Boz might get up for this game, because this.
• 14:22
  Speaker 5: Will be the first time he gets to face the
• 14:25
  Speaker 5: team that got rid of them, and they're not familiar
• 14:27
  Speaker 5: with them. Only four toes and Moments have ever faced him.
• 14:30
  Speaker 5: They're zero for five with three strikeouts and two walks
• 14:33
  Speaker 5: against him. The rest of the hitters haven't seen him
• 14:35
  Speaker 5: in an actual game environment, so I think this is
• 14:38
  Speaker 5: a motivational spot for Boz. Plus, the matchup doesn't look
• 14:42
  Speaker 5: too bad unfamiliar, so I think he might actually pitch Okay. Here,
• 14:46
  Speaker 5: he will be going up against a Tampa Bay bullpend game,
• 14:49
  Speaker 5: which I don't like, given that Tampa Bay's bullpend isn't
• 14:52
  Speaker 5: that good. I know Tampa Bay they do this. Tampa
• 14:55
  Speaker 5: Bay and Detroit are the teams that do the bullpen
• 14:57
  Speaker 5: games the most.
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: So they're used to it. But I still don't think
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: it's a good idea.
• 15:03
  Speaker 5: Let me see who does tampav listed as the actual
• 15:05
  Speaker 5: It looks like it's gonna be Motts now, so we
• 15:08
  Speaker 5: might have to actually scratch that because Motts has actually
• 15:10
  Speaker 5: been going.
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: A starter's workload like it was. Schulten's listed as a starter,
• 15:15
  Speaker 2: but now it's gonna be Motts. So I gotta look
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: at this real quick.
• 15:19
  Speaker 5: Yeah, Motts is coming back from injury, so that's that's
• 15:24
  Speaker 5: why it was going to be a bullpen game. But
• 15:27
  Speaker 5: now it's gonna be Motts pitching, so that that definitely
• 15:30
  Speaker 5: changes the handicap. Like I like the situation for Baltimore.
• 15:33
  Speaker 5: If it was gonna be baz against a bullpen game,
• 15:37
  Speaker 5: I would definitely mean Baltimore. But given that it's gonna
• 15:39
  Speaker 5: be Motts now, that makes it better for Tampa Bay.
• 15:43
  Speaker 5: Motts has actually been pretty good three point eighty six
• 15:46
  Speaker 5: e r RAM, one point one whip. He hasn't been
• 15:48
  Speaker 5: as good at home though, four point five home y raim,
• 15:52
  Speaker 5: but he was pitching pretty well before he got hurt,
• 15:54
  Speaker 5: except that his strikeout rate was way low. He's been
• 15:58
  Speaker 5: hurt for most of the month of May now, but
• 16:00
  Speaker 5: he has been going a full starter's workload in these games.
• 16:04
  Speaker 5: His strikeout rate is low on the course of the season,
• 16:06
  Speaker 5: but he hasn't allowed many hits at all, well below
• 16:08
  Speaker 5: one hit per inning.
• 16:09
  Speaker 2: The walk rate is not too bad, but his.
• 16:13
  Speaker 5: Strikeout rate was low. Like his last two starts, he
• 16:16
  Speaker 5: had three strikeouts three walks. That's not very good, and
• 16:19
  Speaker 5: if you extend it to the start before that, it's
• 16:21
  Speaker 5: a seven to seven strikeout walk ratio, so that ratio
• 16:25
  Speaker 5: has a bit concerning, But he's allowed two or fewer
• 16:28
  Speaker 5: earned runs and all but two starts this season, so
• 16:31
  Speaker 5: you know, overall, his he looks pretty decent overall, but
• 16:36
  Speaker 5: he's been a reliever the last couple of years and
• 16:38
  Speaker 5: Tampa Bay turned him back into a starter. His numbers
• 16:41
  Speaker 5: against Baltimore are decent and twenty three at bats to
• 16:44
  Speaker 5: seventeen to average, seven to twenty eight oh ps, allowed
• 16:48
  Speaker 5: six to one strike out walk ratio souse.
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: I think that changes the handicap a little bit.
• 16:53
  Speaker 5: Uh Motts makes this a better a better matchup for
• 16:58
  Speaker 5: Tampa Bay here. I still wouldn't want to play Tampa
• 17:01
  Speaker 5: they're getting a little bit of the money seventy two
• 17:03
  Speaker 5: percent of tickets, seventy four percent of the cash on them.
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: I still think they're in a bad spot, so I
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: don't like it.
• 17:09
  Speaker 5: They're at minus one thirty or so with a veteran
• 17:12
  Speaker 5: like Motts, though coming back from injury, A lot of
• 17:14
  Speaker 5: times people will shy away from that picture because, oh,
• 17:17
  Speaker 5: what are they gonna do? You know, what are they
• 17:19
  Speaker 5: gonna look like when they come back from injury. But
• 17:20
  Speaker 5: if they're starting, that means they've gone through the rehab.
• 17:24
  Speaker 5: The team thinks they're ready, and he's a veteran. He's
• 17:27
  Speaker 5: been around forever, so he's used to this, you know,
• 17:29
  Speaker 5: so it's not gonna throw him off really. So usually
• 17:32
  Speaker 5: those pitchers actually are pumped to get back out there,
• 17:34
  Speaker 5: and they I think more often than not they tend
• 17:37
  Speaker 5: to do better. But yeah, that just throws off my
• 17:40
  Speaker 5: read of this game. I would have leaned to Baltimore Otherwise.
• 17:44
  Speaker 5: I still like the situation for Baltimore, but I don't
• 17:46
  Speaker 5: want to deal with this game. Money also is coming
• 17:48
  Speaker 5: in on the over, which I don't really agree with that.
• 17:52
  Speaker 5: I think I would maybe lean under first five innings
• 17:55
  Speaker 5: because you have an unfamiliar pitcher who might be motivated
• 17:58
  Speaker 5: in Boz, and then it Bos and Motts, and then
• 18:01
  Speaker 5: Motts does have decent matchup numbers, so first five undermakes
• 18:06
  Speaker 5: some sense. I would avoid the bullpens in that equation.
• 18:09
  Speaker 5: Houston at Minnesota, these teams have split this series as well.
• 18:15
  Speaker 5: I think I said season series when I talked.
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: About the other one. That is not what I meant.
• 18:18
  Speaker 5: I meant this series. Houston used a lot of their
• 18:22
  Speaker 5: relief pitchers. They use five relievers yesterday, Minnesota only used two.
• 18:26
  Speaker 5: But both these bullpens are bad. Houston's is the worst.
• 18:30
  Speaker 5: They're dead last as they remain that way. Thirtieth, Minnesota
• 18:35
  Speaker 5: twenty eighth, not much better, but their rest situation is
• 18:38
  Speaker 5: a little bit better. Houston is sixth in offense, Minnesota thirteenth.
• 18:44
  Speaker 5: Mike Burrow is getting the start for Houston. He has
• 18:47
  Speaker 5: not been good five point seven two e Ram, one
• 18:50
  Speaker 5: point five to three Whip. Don't like those numbers, obviously,
• 18:54
  Speaker 5: but he's been better on the road four point four
• 18:56
  Speaker 5: to four Roady Ram. Two of his three starts this
• 19:00
  Speaker 5: month were actually pretty good, and then he had a
• 19:03
  Speaker 5: bad start last time out against Seattle. Maybe not the
• 19:06
  Speaker 5: greatest sign Seattle, you know, they're not the greatest offense there,
• 19:11
  Speaker 5: but he's pitching.
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know. You have to gauge like is he
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: falling out a for him now or was that like
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: an outlier? And is he gonna remain in form.
• 19:19
  Speaker 5: Because his previous two starts were good. It's very hard
• 19:22
  Speaker 5: to say, but he hasn't been that good generally this season.
• 19:25
  Speaker 5: His strikeout rate is fine, it's a little bit below
• 19:28
  Speaker 5: one per inning. He gives up too many fly balls,
• 19:32
  Speaker 5: for my liking. He's allowed ten home runs. That's not good,
• 19:35
  Speaker 5: as walk rate is not too bad. But he's also
• 19:38
  Speaker 5: allowed ten more hits than any his pitch basically, which
• 19:41
  Speaker 5: is a problem. Although a lot of it was against Seattle,
• 19:44
  Speaker 5: like his two worst starts of the season were both
• 19:46
  Speaker 5: against Seattle, so it seems like he just doesn't pitch
• 19:50
  Speaker 5: well against Seattle. But I still don't really trust him.
• 19:54
  Speaker 5: His numbers against Minnesota are limited, but they're bad. He
• 19:58
  Speaker 5: has only seven at bats against some five of the
• 20:00
  Speaker 5: hero Toes have faced him before, five to seventy one
• 20:03
  Speaker 5: batting average allowed two thy fifty four ops is really
• 20:07
  Speaker 5: really wild, but it's a small sample.
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: Like I said, two to one strike at walk ratio.
• 20:13
  Speaker 5: Still, I think Burrows might be fatable in this one,
• 20:16
  Speaker 5: and he is going to have to go up against
• 20:17
  Speaker 5: Joe Ryan, who is the twins Ace three point two
• 20:21
  Speaker 5: ERA one point zero one whip. He's been good at
• 20:24
  Speaker 5: home as well, two point three to one home ERA.
• 20:27
  Speaker 5: He's pitched well this month, really, he said, besides a
• 20:32
  Speaker 5: shortened start where he got injured early in May. He
• 20:36
  Speaker 5: I think he got injured. I don't know what happened
• 20:38
  Speaker 5: in that game because he pitched on schedule after that,
• 20:41
  Speaker 5: but he's allowed two or fewer on runs in all
• 20:44
  Speaker 5: but two outings of this season. Let's just go back
• 20:46
  Speaker 5: that far. He's pitched well. I mean, we don't really
• 20:48
  Speaker 5: need to know that much. We know he's good. He's
• 20:51
  Speaker 5: more than one strike up er, inning a really low
• 20:53
  Speaker 5: hit rate. His walk rate is reasonably low as well.
• 20:57
  Speaker 5: His numbers are really good against Houston. He also has
• 21:00
  Speaker 5: pretty good numbers at seventy two at bats thirty one
• 21:03
  Speaker 5: to five strike out walk ratio is really good. One
• 21:06
  Speaker 5: to eighty one batting average allowed, six sixty four ops.
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: Good stuff.
• 21:12
  Speaker 5: I would go with Minnesota here, and it's the one
• 21:15
  Speaker 5: situation where Minnesota might actually.
• 21:17
  Speaker 2: Have the better bullpen as well.
• 21:19
  Speaker 5: They're the more rested bullpend here, and they're actually better
• 21:22
  Speaker 5: because Houston's is just that bad. I like Minnesota here.
• 21:27
  Speaker 5: I mean, I'm tempted to add this to my card.
• 21:30
  Speaker 5: If you find the money line at below minus one fifty,
• 21:33
  Speaker 5: you could just go money line on this. In my opinion,
• 21:36
  Speaker 5: at least, that's just kind of my threshold that I use.
• 21:39
  Speaker 5: They're in the minus one forties at some books. You
• 21:41
  Speaker 5: could go the split run line money line bet if
• 21:44
  Speaker 5: you wanted to on Minnesota, fifty seven percent of ticket,
• 21:47
  Speaker 5: sixty six percent of the cash on Minnesota, I would
• 21:50
  Speaker 5: lean that way, Borrows. I mean, his stats are just
• 21:53
  Speaker 5: really limited against Minnesota, so you know that, I guess
• 21:58
  Speaker 5: would be the one concern. But yeah, I like minnesot
• 22:00
  Speaker 5: And maybe you're paying a little bit of a tax
• 22:01
  Speaker 5: to play on Joe Ryan Thom. It almost looks too easy,
• 22:05
  Speaker 5: but it seems like the money is coming in that way.
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: I agree with it.
• 22:10
  Speaker 5: I'm wondering why I didn't put this on my card
• 22:12
  Speaker 5: because I do like this one. I don't know, I
• 22:15
  Speaker 5: had to be pretty selected, like I tried to be
• 22:17
  Speaker 5: really selective here.
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: I'll leave it alone.
• 22:21
  Speaker 5: Of course, I'm gonna be pissed once Minnesota winds up
• 22:24
  Speaker 5: winning the game, but yeah, I would lean towards Minnesota.
• 22:27
  Speaker 5: But of course either bullpen could just completely implode too,
• 22:30
  Speaker 5: so you could go first five innings, you know, first
• 22:35
  Speaker 5: five innings, laying Minnesota like the half run or whatever makes.
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: Some sense as well in that game. But I don't know.
• 22:41
  Speaker 5: Something about the price I just don't quite love. But
• 22:46
  Speaker 5: I like Minnesota on that one, all right. Yeah, it's
• 22:50
  Speaker 5: a tax Texas at Colorado. These seems to split the
• 22:57
  Speaker 5: series so far as well. Texas won ten to nothing yesterday.
• 23:02
  Speaker 5: Not often that the team gets shut out in course field.
• 23:06
  Speaker 5: Texas has good pitching, though Colorado used three relief pitchers yesterday,
• 23:10
  Speaker 5: Texas only used two. Texas has a really good bullpen.
• 23:14
  Speaker 5: Colorado does not. Colorado nineteenth and bullpen. Texas is fifth,
• 23:19
  Speaker 5: and they have the best bullpen ERA it's below three.
• 23:22
  Speaker 5: Really good bullpen. Hitting wise, it's not good news for Texas.
• 23:29
  Speaker 5: They're twenty fourth and hitting Colorado's sixteenth, but Colorado does
• 23:33
  Speaker 5: hit better at home. Jack Lighter is pitching for Texas.
• 23:38
  Speaker 5: He is not really one of their better pitchers. Four
• 23:40
  Speaker 5: point three five ERA, one point three to five whip
• 23:43
  Speaker 5: that's not very good. He's worse on the road, which
• 23:46
  Speaker 5: makes sense because Texas is a pitcher front the ballpark.
• 23:50
  Speaker 5: Corsefield is certainly not and Lighter as a four point
• 23:53
  Speaker 5: nine to seven roady ra He gives up a lot
• 23:57
  Speaker 5: of fly balls, which is when you're pitching a course field.
• 24:02
  Speaker 5: He's been okay over his last couple of outings. He
• 24:05
  Speaker 5: just went deep into an outing and held Houston a
• 24:07
  Speaker 5: one and run in seven innings, but his walk rate
• 24:10
  Speaker 5: was too high. So this month he's been kind of
• 24:14
  Speaker 5: all over the place. He's got a lot of strikeouts,
• 24:16
  Speaker 5: but his walk rate is really high as well, and
• 24:18
  Speaker 5: he hasn't been that hit able. That's kind of what
• 24:22
  Speaker 5: he's done all season though. Really he has a strikeout
• 24:24
  Speaker 5: rate over one per inning, hit rate below one per inning.
• 24:27
  Speaker 5: That's all pretty good, but his walk rate is too
• 24:29
  Speaker 5: high yet again, so that is the problem with him,
• 24:33
  Speaker 5: is his control is not good enough. His numbers against
• 24:36
  Speaker 5: Colorado or I would say mediocre at sixteen at bats.
• 24:41
  Speaker 5: It's not a big sample. Three to two strikeout walk
• 24:44
  Speaker 5: ratio two fifty average seven seventy one ohps is a
• 24:47
  Speaker 5: little bit on the higher side. I don't love lighter here.
• 24:51
  Speaker 5: Kyle Frieland is pitching for Colorado. He's just completely fallen off.
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: The rails here.
• 24:57
  Speaker 5: Seven point two to two ERA, one point sixty six win,
• 25:00
  Speaker 5: really really bad. He's been really bad in course field
• 25:03
  Speaker 5: eight point seven to nine ERA at home that is
• 25:06
  Speaker 5: not good. This month, he's been absolutely wrecked thirteen point
• 25:10
  Speaker 5: one five ERA this month.
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: Colorado's lost five starts.
• 25:13
  Speaker 5: In a row of his His strikeout rate remains okay,
• 25:16
  Speaker 5: but his walk rate is high.
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: This month.
• 25:19
  Speaker 5: That's a fourteen to seven at ratio. He's allowed two
• 25:22
  Speaker 5: hits per inning this month as well, which is really
• 25:25
  Speaker 5: really bad. He's allowed well over one hit per inning
• 25:29
  Speaker 5: over the course of the season. His strike out rate
• 25:31
  Speaker 5: is fine, and his walk rate is not that bad either,
• 25:34
  Speaker 5: but he's been really really hittable. That's a huge problem.
• 25:38
  Speaker 5: Numbers against Texas are bad. In seventy seven at bats,
• 25:42
  Speaker 5: twenty one, strikeout, six walks, that's fine, but three thirty
• 25:45
  Speaker 5: eight batting average allowed, nine to eighteen ops. Freeland could
• 25:49
  Speaker 5: definitely get lit up here. Probably, I don't know. I
• 25:56
  Speaker 5: would probably lean Texas in this one. Maybe Tech over
• 26:00
  Speaker 5: their team total makes sense. You just get Texas hitting
• 26:03
  Speaker 5: against Freeland and the bullpen there, and then you don't
• 26:07
  Speaker 5: have to worry about what Lighter is gonna do, because
• 26:10
  Speaker 5: I could see Lighter, you know, ranging from good to
• 26:13
  Speaker 5: awful in this game.
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: Money is coming in on.
• 26:16
  Speaker 5: Texas sixty five percent of tickets, seventy eight percent of
• 26:19
  Speaker 5: the cash on them. They're around minus one thirty. Texas
• 26:22
  Speaker 5: over their team total does make sense. You're probably gonna
• 26:24
  Speaker 5: need him to score six runs here, which I don't
• 26:27
  Speaker 5: know if I love that. The over in general is
• 26:30
  Speaker 5: taking money fifty per tickets, sixty nine percent of the
• 26:33
  Speaker 5: cash on the over totals at ten. Yeah, you know,
• 26:39
  Speaker 5: maybe that is the way I would still play it
• 26:41
  Speaker 5: and just allow both teams to do some damage for
• 26:44
  Speaker 5: you over the total of ten makes I don't know,
• 26:47
  Speaker 5: That's probably what makes the most sense to me in
• 26:49
  Speaker 5: that game. But Texas on the money line and Texas
• 26:54
  Speaker 5: team total over makes sense to me in that game
• 26:56
  Speaker 5: as well. Uh, San Francisco at Arizona. Arizona has won
• 27:01
  Speaker 5: three in a row. I believe on the verge of
• 27:04
  Speaker 5: sweeping the series. But I believe Arizona only plays Colorado next,
• 27:08
  Speaker 5: so that's not really a look ahead. But San Francisco
• 27:12
  Speaker 5: might show up with a little bit extra intensity to
• 27:15
  Speaker 5: try to avoid the sweep. Yeah, Arizona plays Colorado starting tomorrow.
• 27:21
  Speaker 5: Arizona will be staying at home for that, but yeah,
• 27:23
  Speaker 5: you might get a little bit extra motivation out of
• 27:25
  Speaker 5: San Francisco. Arizona might take them lightly. San Francisco has
• 27:29
  Speaker 5: not been playing well, especially offensively. They used four relief
• 27:32
  Speaker 5: pitchers yesterday, but Gauge only through two pitches, so he's
• 27:36
  Speaker 5: probably available again.
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: Arizona used two.
• 27:40
  Speaker 5: I don't like Arizona's bullpen, even though there's still ranked fourth,
• 27:43
  Speaker 5: and Whip I don't like them.
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: They're eras in.
• 27:45
  Speaker 5: The mid Fest, not good San Francisco and Whip is
• 27:49
  Speaker 5: ranked seventeenth, but their bullpen era is way better. I
• 27:52
  Speaker 5: think clearly they are the better bullpen. Arizona is the
• 27:55
  Speaker 5: better offense, though they're twelfth, the Giants are twenty eighth.
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: Good.
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: Tyler Maley's pitcher for Sanrancisco.
• 28:03
  Speaker 5: He's had a really ugly season five point five to
• 28:06
  Speaker 5: ninety RA, one point five to six WHIP. He's been
• 28:09
  Speaker 5: really bad on the road eight point three to eight
• 28:11
  Speaker 5: roady RA home road Split's looking really awful for him.
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 28:15
  Speaker 5: He pitches better in the pitcher friendly environment of San Francisco.
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: He just got lit up on.
• 28:22
  Speaker 5: The road, but it was at the A's stadium, so
• 28:24
  Speaker 5: that's a very difficult stadium to pitch him. His strikeout
• 28:27
  Speaker 5: walk ratio this month has actually been good nineteen to
• 28:30
  Speaker 5: four so in sixteen innings. That shows you he does
• 28:33
  Speaker 5: have good command right now. But he's also allowed way
• 28:35
  Speaker 5: over one hip per inning, so he's been way too
• 28:38
  Speaker 5: hittable and that's kind of been what he's done the course.
• 28:40
  Speaker 5: Over the course of the season, he has over one
• 28:43
  Speaker 5: strike up per inning, but his walk rate is definitely
• 28:45
  Speaker 5: too high on the season, and he's allowed more than
• 28:48
  Speaker 5: one hit per inning by quite a bit, which is bad.
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: Overall. I don't trust him, especially on the road.
• 28:54
  Speaker 5: Arizona hits him well as well, but only five of
• 28:57
  Speaker 5: the hitters have faced him. But thirty eight at bats
• 29:00
  Speaker 5: with two eighty nine batting average, eighth five OPS, seven
• 29:03
  Speaker 5: to four strike out walk ratio. Yeah, I would lean
• 29:06
  Speaker 5: towards fading Molly in this one. He's going up against
• 29:09
  Speaker 5: Meryl Kelly, who is starting to turn his season around.
• 29:13
  Speaker 5: His numbers overall is still bad five point nine to
• 29:16
  Speaker 5: one ERA, one point five to four WHIP.
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: He's still worse at home seven point one to five
• 29:21
  Speaker 2: home the RA, but he's coming off two good starts
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: in a row.
• 29:25
  Speaker 5: He went seven plus innings in both of them, allowed
• 29:27
  Speaker 5: two eurn runs combined nine to three strike out walk ratio.
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: That man was fine.
• 29:33
  Speaker 5: He just threw his first complete game of his career, though,
• 29:37
  Speaker 5: which was at course field, so he actually pitched well
• 29:40
  Speaker 5: in a hit or friendly environment, and he might maybe
• 29:44
  Speaker 5: he has a little bit of a personal letdown because
• 29:46
  Speaker 5: that was the first complete game of his career, so
• 29:49
  Speaker 5: it is possible he has a little bit of a
• 29:52
  Speaker 5: let down here and regresses a little bit here, but
• 29:54
  Speaker 5: he is starting to.
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: Come into form.
• 29:56
  Speaker 5: He was awful in his first few starts of the season,
• 29:59
  Speaker 5: so it is good that he is trending in the
• 30:01
  Speaker 5: right direction and pitching better. And his numbers against Sar Francisco,
• 30:05
  Speaker 5: though they are not good seventy three at bats, three
• 30:08
  Speaker 5: to zero one, batting average allowed, nine to five ops,
• 30:11
  Speaker 5: sixteen to three strike a walk ratio is good though,
• 30:14
  Speaker 5: but overall we have home road splits that go against
• 30:18
  Speaker 5: both starting pitchers.
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: The only thing that worris me. I like the over
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: in this game.
• 30:23
  Speaker 5: But the only thing that worries me is that Kelly,
• 30:26
  Speaker 5: you know, is coming into form right now. And Malay
• 30:30
  Speaker 5: actually has better recent numbers as well if you look
• 30:32
  Speaker 5: at his command numbers. So that's kind of my worry
• 30:34
  Speaker 5: here is that these pitchers might be in decent form
• 30:38
  Speaker 5: right now, but other than that, they have bad matchup numbers, bad.
• 30:41
  Speaker 2: Home road splits.
• 30:43
  Speaker 5: I at least do not like one of the two
• 30:45
  Speaker 5: bullpens here, So I think over is the way to
• 30:47
  Speaker 5: go with this game. The money doesn't seem to agree.
• 30:52
  Speaker 5: Seventy seven percent of tickets, eighty four percent of the
• 30:55
  Speaker 5: cash on the under total at eight and a half
• 30:58
  Speaker 5: close to nine.
• 30:59
  Speaker 2: Though, if you go over, yeah, I mean try to
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: get the over eight and a half.
• 31:03
  Speaker 5: I guess it minus one twenties you are below that
• 31:06
  Speaker 5: key number of nine.
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I like the over in that one. The
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: money's coming.
• 31:10
  Speaker 5: In towards San Francisco too, which I don't have a
• 31:12
  Speaker 5: good read on the side there. Minus one thirty is
• 31:15
  Speaker 5: the price on Arizona. Seventy one percent of ticket, sixty
• 31:18
  Speaker 5: six percent of the cash on Arizona.
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: That one I probably feel a bit more strongly about. Though.
• 31:24
  Speaker 5: I do like the over in that one, probably more
• 31:28
  Speaker 5: than I like the over in the Cincinnati Philly one
• 31:30
  Speaker 5: as well.
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: I don't know that one. I'm considering it.
• 31:34
  Speaker 5: That one is kind of calling my name, and it's
• 31:36
  Speaker 5: a bit of a lower total, and it is a
• 31:38
  Speaker 5: hitter friendly ballpark, you know, I don't know.
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: I'm thinking about it.
• 31:45
  Speaker 5: I just worry that, you know, the pictures might be
• 31:47
  Speaker 5: coming into form right now. That's my one concern with it.
• 31:51
  Speaker 5: I guess I'll leave it alone. But I do like
• 31:52
  Speaker 5: the over in that one.
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: Chicago White Sox at Seattle.
• 31:57
  Speaker 5: These teams have split the series as well, so I
• 32:00
  Speaker 5: think both teams are going to show up. For that reason,
• 32:03
  Speaker 5: White Sox do not have a good bullpen. They use
• 32:06
  Speaker 5: three relief pitchers. Yesterday Seattle used three as well. Seattle
• 32:09
  Speaker 5: has the better bullpen, though they used Castillo out of
• 32:12
  Speaker 5: the bullpen. Now things are going really bad for him.
• 32:16
  Speaker 5: Seattle's sixteenth in WHIP, but they have one of the
• 32:18
  Speaker 5: best bullpen eras they're a good bullpen. The White Sox
• 32:22
  Speaker 5: are not the White Sox twenty third. Hitting wise, the
• 32:25
  Speaker 5: White Sox have been good their ninth Seattle is twenty third,
• 32:31
  Speaker 5: although I think they're a little bit better than that.
• 32:33
  Speaker 5: Sean Burke pitching for the White Sox, decent season from him,
• 32:37
  Speaker 5: four point one ERA, one point one to eight WHIP.
• 32:40
  Speaker 5: He's been better on the road and he's getting to
• 32:42
  Speaker 5: pitch in a pitcher friendly stadium here, so that's good
• 32:45
  Speaker 5: news for him two point eight to one road ERA.
• 32:48
  Speaker 5: The bad news for him is Seattle has seen him already.
• 32:52
  Speaker 5: They just saw him two starts ago and it was
• 32:54
  Speaker 5: one of his worst starts. He was awful, and that
• 32:57
  Speaker 5: started at home against Seattle didn't make it five and
• 33:00
  Speaker 5: he's give up six earned runs.
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: It was pretty bad, and.
• 33:03
  Speaker 5: His numbers, mostly because of that start, are bad against Seattle.
• 33:06
  Speaker 5: Fifteen at bats, five thirty three average, eighteen thirty two OPS,
• 33:11
  Speaker 5: three to three strikeout walk ratio. I know it's one start,
• 33:16
  Speaker 5: so maybe he does do better in this one, and
• 33:18
  Speaker 5: he does pitch better on the road, whatever, but I
• 33:20
  Speaker 5: don't really think he's trustworthy right now here. He's going
• 33:24
  Speaker 5: up against Emerson Hancock, who I think is the better pitcher.
• 33:27
  Speaker 5: Hancock has good numbers here three point two ERA, one
• 33:31
  Speaker 5: point oh one WHIP. He's good at home two point
• 33:34
  Speaker 5: four to eight home ERA, so he's better at home.
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: He's in good for him this month with twenty four
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: strikeouts and four walks.
• 33:41
  Speaker 5: Although his one bad start this month was against you
• 33:44
  Speaker 5: guessed it, the White Sox two starts ago. He went
• 33:47
  Speaker 5: six inning's gave it five earned runs. But I believe
• 33:50
  Speaker 5: he was matchup against Burke in that game. I think
• 33:53
  Speaker 5: we lost an under in that game, so I'm not
• 33:56
  Speaker 5: gonna try to play an under in this game. But yeah,
• 34:00
  Speaker 5: all of the starting pitchers got lit up in that game.
• 34:02
  Speaker 5: Although Hancock did still outpitch Burke in that game, and
• 34:05
  Speaker 5: he actually still got the win even though he didn't
• 34:07
  Speaker 5: pitch well.
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: Handcock overall has been good.
• 34:10
  Speaker 5: He's got over one strike up per inning, below one
• 34:13
  Speaker 5: hit per inning in a low walk rate this season,
• 34:15
  Speaker 5: so he's good for Burke by the way. Over the
• 34:18
  Speaker 5: course of the season, his numbers have been okay. He's
• 34:23
  Speaker 5: allowed fewer than one hit per inning, pretty low walk rate,
• 34:26
  Speaker 5: and his strike out rate is low. Though as far
• 34:31
  Speaker 5: as uh oh yeah Hancock against I'm all over the place.
• 34:34
  Speaker 5: Hancock against the White Sox twenty five at bats four
• 34:38
  Speaker 5: to four strike up walk rat show not very good.
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: Two forty batting average is low.
• 34:42
  Speaker 5: Seven to eighty five ops is not very low though,
• 34:47
  Speaker 5: But yeah, overall, I think Hancock does have the edge here.
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: I probably lean to Seattle here.
• 34:52
  Speaker 5: I don't really want to do it, but the money
• 34:54
  Speaker 5: is coming in on Seattle sixty four percent of tickets,
• 34:57
  Speaker 5: eighty seven percent of the cash on Seattle. They are
• 35:00
  Speaker 5: at minus one forty or so here minus one forty five.
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: Really money line makes sense.
• 35:06
  Speaker 5: I mean, if it's above one fifty, I start recommending
• 35:09
  Speaker 5: splitting between run line and money line. Total is really
• 35:12
  Speaker 5: low at seven and a half given how high scoring
• 35:15
  Speaker 5: the game was the last time these two pitchers matched up,
• 35:18
  Speaker 5: And yeah, they could both pitch better here, that's true,
• 35:20
  Speaker 5: But the money's coming in on the over seven and
• 35:23
  Speaker 5: a half usually indicates it's going to be a lower
• 35:25
  Speaker 5: scoring game.
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: But I'm not so sure in this case.
• 35:28
  Speaker 5: Although Seattle is a more pitcher friendly ballpark than the
• 35:31
  Speaker 5: White Sox Park is, which is where that other game was.
• 35:34
  Speaker 5: So do it that information what you want as I
• 35:37
  Speaker 5: clean my glasses here, But yeah, I think I would
• 35:40
  Speaker 5: lean to Seattle more so in that game than anything else. Plus,
• 35:43
  Speaker 5: they give you a bullpen advantage there, and I think
• 35:46
  Speaker 5: they're the better team even though they have the lesser records.
• 35:48
  Speaker 5: So the odds makers, like I said in Game one
• 35:51
  Speaker 5: when I gave out Seattle as a play, the odds
• 35:53
  Speaker 5: makers are telling you something by lining Seattle as a favorite.
• 35:58
  Speaker 5: Atlanta at Miami. These teams have split the first two
• 36:03
  Speaker 5: games of this series. Miami won in a blowout in
• 36:06
  Speaker 5: the first game, and then Atlanta got them back yesterday.
• 36:10
  Speaker 5: Miami used a lot of relief pitchers in that game.
• 36:12
  Speaker 5: Looks like it was an extra inning game even though
• 36:14
  Speaker 5: it wasn't. Miami used five relief pitchers in that game.
• 36:19
  Speaker 5: That's not good.
• 36:21
  Speaker 2: Atlanta use four.
• 36:24
  Speaker 5: These are both good bullpens, but I would avoid them
• 36:27
  Speaker 5: in this game because the bullpens are not rested. Although
• 36:30
  Speaker 5: Atlanta's ranked number one Miami seven in bullpen, Atlanta's number
• 36:35
  Speaker 5: two in offense Miami fifteenth. This looks like a good
• 36:39
  Speaker 5: pitching matchup here though. Man Chris Sale is pitching for Atlanta.
• 36:44
  Speaker 5: He's having another really good season one point nine to
• 36:46
  Speaker 5: sixty RA, point nine to one WHIP. He's been more
• 36:50
  Speaker 5: hittable on the road though three point six roadie RA
• 36:54
  Speaker 5: still pretty good, but he's not as good on the
• 36:56
  Speaker 5: road as he is at home. But still I wouldn't
• 36:58
  Speaker 5: really look to fade him or any like that. He's
• 37:01
  Speaker 5: pitched really well this month, twenty six to five strike
• 37:04
  Speaker 5: out walk ratio well below one hit per inning. And
• 37:07
  Speaker 5: those are starts at Coursefield, on the road against the
• 37:10
  Speaker 5: Dodgers and at home against the Cubs, so not easy
• 37:14
  Speaker 5: pitching assignments. And he dominated in every one of those
• 37:16
  Speaker 5: starts pretty much and out it came out of that
• 37:20
  Speaker 5: with a one point three to five RA over those starts.
• 37:23
  Speaker 5: He's got a really high strikeout rate, really low hit rate,
• 37:26
  Speaker 5: and his walk rate is pretty low this year as well.
• 37:29
  Speaker 5: Numbers across the board really good, and somehow Miami only
• 37:32
  Speaker 5: has two hitters who have.
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: Ever even faced Sale before.
• 37:36
  Speaker 5: They're combined one for seven off and Morell has the
• 37:39
  Speaker 5: only hit a single. They have two strikeouts, no walks
• 37:42
  Speaker 5: against them.
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: So you're looking.
• 37:44
  Speaker 5: At a Hall of Fame pitcher who's still pitching well,
• 37:49
  Speaker 5: who's unfamiliar to most of the opposing lineup here and
• 37:52
  Speaker 5: has done well against the guys that he has faced.
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: Sale looks like he sets up pretty well in this game.
• 37:57
  Speaker 4: Man.
• 37:58
  Speaker 5: The only concern at all is that he's not quite
• 38:00
  Speaker 5: good on the road, but the matchup looks really good
• 38:03
  Speaker 5: for him. It's a pitcher friendly ballpark. Miami is going
• 38:06
  Speaker 5: with Jansen Junk. He's been a little bit worse recently.
• 38:10
  Speaker 5: I like how he's pitched this season for the most part, but.
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: His current form is what concerns.
• 38:14
  Speaker 5: Me, because this is I consider putting this game on
• 38:18
  Speaker 5: my card. I like the first five under in this game.
• 38:22
  Speaker 5: Junk has been alright this season four point one four ERA,
• 38:25
  Speaker 5: one point two to four WHIP. He's been better at
• 38:27
  Speaker 5: home three point twenty four home ERA, so he has
• 38:30
  Speaker 5: the home road splits in his favor. My concern is
• 38:33
  Speaker 5: his last two starts were not very good. His start
• 38:37
  Speaker 5: against Washington you might be able to give him a
• 38:39
  Speaker 5: pass for that one because he had a six to
• 38:41
  Speaker 5: two strike out walk ratio, But then he followed that
• 38:43
  Speaker 5: up with really a horrendous performance against Tampa Bay, So
• 38:47
  Speaker 5: I worry that he's going out of form right now.
• 38:50
  Speaker 5: That would be my concern. To give up seven runs
• 38:52
  Speaker 5: and five to two thirds innings there. He's not a
• 38:54
  Speaker 5: big strikeout guy, but he does induce a lot of
• 38:57
  Speaker 5: ground balls. His strikeout rates low, but he has a
• 38:59
  Speaker 5: low walk great for the most part the season, it's
• 39:03
  Speaker 5: not high. At least he's a lot fewer than one
• 39:05
  Speaker 5: hit per inning. So overall, his numbers still are pretty good,
• 39:08
  Speaker 5: and he does actually have good matchup numbers against the Braves.
• 39:11
  Speaker 5: Small sample though eighteen at bats you only have one
• 39:14
  Speaker 5: extra base hit off him. Du Bond has a double
• 39:18
  Speaker 5: five strikeouts, no walks to twenty two batting average allowed
• 39:22
  Speaker 5: five hundred ops, so junk looks like he does match
• 39:25
  Speaker 5: up pretty well normally. I like both these bullpens, and
• 39:28
  Speaker 5: I would go I would lean full game under Normally
• 39:31
  Speaker 5: but because of the bullpen rest scenario looking really.
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: Bad on both sides. I like, first five under in
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: this one totals at seven and a half juice to
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: the under though for the full game, so it's getting
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: a little bit dangerous. But you're looking at probably an
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: under three. You might be able to find a three
• 39:48
  Speaker 2: and a half for the first five there under three.
• 39:53
  Speaker 5: And a half might yeah, I mean that would be
• 39:55
  Speaker 5: my lean first five under three and a half seventy
• 39:58
  Speaker 5: five percent of tickets, eight percent of the cash on
• 40:01
  Speaker 5: the under in this one. The money's also hitting Atlanta
• 40:04
  Speaker 5: seventy nine percent of tickets, ninety four percent of the
• 40:06
  Speaker 5: cash on Atlanta. But you're paying attacks with Chris Sale
• 40:11
  Speaker 5: and with the team with as you know, a record
• 40:13
  Speaker 5: that's as good as Atlanta's is. You're laying almost minus
• 40:16
  Speaker 5: two hundred on the road for Atlanta. I'm not really
• 40:19
  Speaker 5: willing to do that. I mean, there is a run
• 40:22
  Speaker 5: line option there, obviously, but I don't think I would
• 40:24
  Speaker 5: want to do that. I think my play in that
• 40:27
  Speaker 5: game will be first five inning under. But that one
• 40:30
  Speaker 5: didn't quite make the cut for me, And again, maybe
• 40:32
  Speaker 5: I'm being too selective.
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: Cleveland at Detroit Detroit.
• 40:35
  Speaker 5: Is just in a bad situation here, man, just in general,
• 40:39
  Speaker 5: I mean where they have no pitching right now, I
• 40:41
  Speaker 5: mean the situation, like as far.
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: As the situation in this game.
• 40:45
  Speaker 5: Though Detroit's lost the first two games of the series,
• 40:48
  Speaker 5: they still have a good home record, although a lot
• 40:50
  Speaker 5: of that was before you know, the schoolbol injury and
• 40:53
  Speaker 5: all this crap has happened to Detroit that's kind of
• 40:56
  Speaker 5: caused them to unravel. These teams are playing tomorrow as well,
• 40:59
  Speaker 5: so this is not the end of the series, so
• 41:02
  Speaker 5: technically Detroit is not on the verge of getting swept yet.
• 41:05
  Speaker 5: But they've lost the first two games of the series,
• 41:08
  Speaker 5: so Cleveland might overlook them here. Detroit probably has a
• 41:12
  Speaker 5: little bit extra motivation, but they just look I don't know,
• 41:16
  Speaker 5: they look like a bad team right now.
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: Dude.
• 41:19
  Speaker 5: Losing school balls seems to have really really affected their
• 41:22
  Speaker 5: mental state Detroit. I mean, you can't let that happen
• 41:25
  Speaker 5: with just one guy going down. But still, Detroit used
• 41:27
  Speaker 5: three relief pitchers yesterday. Cleveland used five, so that's not
• 41:32
  Speaker 5: very good. So I would look probably to avoid both
• 41:36
  Speaker 5: bullpens here. Cleveland is tenth in bullpen though their bullpen
• 41:39
  Speaker 5: hasn't been bad. Detroit's is not great at eighteenth. Hitting wise,
• 41:45
  Speaker 5: Cleveland's actually moved.
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: Up a bit. They are fourteenth right now. Detroit's fallen
• 41:49
  Speaker 2: down to nineteenth.
• 41:51
  Speaker 5: Although I'm not quite convinced that Detroit is really the
• 41:53
  Speaker 5: worst of the two offenses here. We know that Tanner
• 41:56
  Speaker 5: by best picture for Cleveland here, he's been not great.
• 42:00
  Speaker 5: Four point one five ERA, one point three to five whip.
• 42:05
  Speaker 5: He's been really bad on the road eight point one
• 42:08
  Speaker 5: five ROADRA, which is six runs higher than his home THERA.
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: That's pretty bad.
• 42:13
  Speaker 5: He's been pretty good in his last two outings though
• 42:16
  Speaker 5: he's got eleven strikeouts four walks over those two. He's
• 42:18
  Speaker 5: allowed three or fewer earned runs in both of them.
• 42:21
  Speaker 5: So Baby is pitching a little bit better. Uh really,
• 42:24
  Speaker 5: three of his last four starts have been good. But
• 42:27
  Speaker 5: we've seen a flip flop in his run support because
• 42:30
  Speaker 5: if you remember last year, his numbers were like about
• 42:34
  Speaker 5: the same last year, but Cleveland was winning like all
• 42:37
  Speaker 5: of his games because they were giving.
• 42:38
  Speaker 2: Him a ton of run support.
• 42:40
  Speaker 5: This year, they're losing every single one of his games
• 42:42
  Speaker 5: because they're giving him no run support. For the most part, Yeah,
• 42:47
  Speaker 5: Cleveland has not won any.
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: Of his starts. Is his first start of the season,
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: and again, some of it is not his fault.
• 42:53
  Speaker 5: He's made good starts in there and it still has
• 42:56
  Speaker 5: not resulted in in his team winning, so it's not
• 42:59
  Speaker 5: all his fault. Do we trust him here, though I
• 43:03
  Speaker 5: don't know. His numbers against Detroit are okay, one hundred
• 43:06
  Speaker 5: and thirty two at bats. They are familiar with him,
• 43:09
  Speaker 5: but we have a big sample to look at here,
• 43:10
  Speaker 5: which is a better indicator. Two forty two batting average,
• 43:14
  Speaker 5: a lot seven at seventeen ops, thirty three to fourteen
• 43:18
  Speaker 5: strike out walk ratio. Not good with the number of walks,
• 43:21
  Speaker 5: but overall his numbers are not that bad against Detroit.
• 43:24
  Speaker 5: But I worry that Cleveland doesn't give him one support.
• 43:27
  Speaker 5: I worry that he's not good away from home. Obviously,
• 43:31
  Speaker 5: I got some concerns with this. But then Detroit is
• 43:33
  Speaker 5: going with a bullpen game here. Their listed is undecided.
• 43:36
  Speaker 5: But I went back and I looked five games prior
• 43:39
  Speaker 5: to this was Detroit's bullpen game where they opened with
• 43:42
  Speaker 5: Hannafee and then they went to Madden in relief behind him.
• 43:47
  Speaker 5: Madden's not really that bad though, So if Madden not
• 43:49
  Speaker 5: John Madden Time Madden. If Madden comes into this game
• 43:53
  Speaker 5: and gives you like four innings, that's not really that
• 43:56
  Speaker 5: bad for Detroit. But this game is very, very difficult
• 43:59
  Speaker 5: to handicap. Obviously, this is this is not a game
• 44:02
  Speaker 5: I'm going to be touching. Cleveland is favored at around
• 44:06
  Speaker 5: minus one twenty on the road. I don't know that
• 44:09
  Speaker 5: they deserve to be favored like that, especially with a
• 44:11
  Speaker 5: starting pitcher that's kind of mediocre and really not good
• 44:14
  Speaker 5: on the road. I don't know if that price is justified.
• 44:17
  Speaker 5: Seventy two percent of tickets eighty percent of the cash
• 44:19
  Speaker 5: on Detroit total is surprisingly low. It's seven and a half.
• 44:23
  Speaker 5: I don't know what's up with that total, you know.
• 44:27
  Speaker 5: I mean, Cleveland plays a lot of low scoring games,
• 44:29
  Speaker 5: but a lot of them are at home.
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 44:31
  Speaker 5: I mean, just that total just in general seems a
• 44:34
  Speaker 5: bit low, Like it just seems like it should not
• 44:37
  Speaker 5: be that low. But if the osbagers put out it's
• 44:40
  Speaker 5: older that low, they are usually telling you something. So
• 44:43
  Speaker 5: I'm not quite ready to be like, yeah, you should
• 44:44
  Speaker 5: go over that total, because the last time I said that,
• 44:47
  Speaker 5: it was that one nothing San Diego and Dodgers game,
• 44:52
  Speaker 5: but that would involve two like legitimate pitchers, though they
• 44:55
  Speaker 5: just have a bad matchup numbers.
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: All right, Charge, what's up? Thanks for hanging out? All right?
• 45:04
  Speaker 5: Mets and Washington is the next team? Man, oh man,
• 45:08
  Speaker 5: I'm feeling it. My voice is fucked. This baseball is
• 45:12
  Speaker 5: so annoying to handicapped dude, and to talk about it
• 45:15
  Speaker 5: on the show, it just takes for fucking ever. I
• 45:18
  Speaker 5: gotta find a better way to do this without getting
• 45:20
  Speaker 5: like really tired and killing my voice and with my
• 45:24
  Speaker 5: sinuses not being horrible. Mets at Washington This series continues tomorrow.
• 45:31
  Speaker 5: These teams have split the first two games of the series,
• 45:33
  Speaker 5: both games very high scoring Washington at home. They tend
• 45:38
  Speaker 5: to have a lot of high scoring games at home.
• 45:40
  Speaker 5: Their bullpen is also really bad. The only use two
• 45:43
  Speaker 5: relief pitchers yesterday, though the Mets used one. The Mets
• 45:48
  Speaker 5: have the better bullpen, Washington's is bad. They're twenty fifth.
• 45:51
  Speaker 2: Mets have been pretty good in that department. They're ninth.
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: Their offense has been their huge problem.
• 45:57
  Speaker 5: They're dead last still in offense, thirtieth in his fifth
• 46:01
  Speaker 5: so Washington does have the better offense. Mets are gonna
• 46:04
  Speaker 5: be going with Zach Thornton, who is making his major
• 46:07
  Speaker 5: league debut. The Mets don't even ESPN. I mean, doesn't
• 46:11
  Speaker 5: even have a head shot for him yet. They've been
• 46:13
  Speaker 5: better at getting pitchers head shots up here, but not
• 46:16
  Speaker 5: for him. Zach Thornton is a thin six' three, lefty
• 46:21
  Speaker 5: and a lot of times lefties like they're arm, angles
• 46:27
  Speaker 5: usually just tougher to pick up for hitters because they
• 46:30
  Speaker 5: see lefties less.
• 46:31
  Speaker 2: Often et.
• 46:32
  Speaker 5: CETERA i looked At thornton's you, know scouting he doesn't
• 46:35
  Speaker 5: throw that. Hard he throws like low, nineties but his
• 46:39
  Speaker 5: best pitches are a slider and a cutter that both
• 46:42
  Speaker 5: have a lot of movement on, them AND i guess
• 46:44
  Speaker 5: he mixes in like a curveball and a change up
• 46:47
  Speaker 5: THAT i guess are not his best.
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: Pitches like, basically a scouting report is saying.
• 46:53
  Speaker 5: That his ceiling is like a last man in the
• 46:56
  Speaker 5: rotation type of major league. Starter but his numbers In
• 46:58
  Speaker 5: TRIPLE a have been pretty good this. YEAR i looked
• 47:00
  Speaker 5: up his. Numbers is he RAY i think was like in.
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: The twos or maybe ones In TRIPLE.
• 47:05
  Speaker 5: A it was a small sample though this, season but
• 47:08
  Speaker 5: he had good numbers across the, board really, like wasn't
• 47:11
  Speaker 5: allowing a lot of, hits wasn't allowing a lot of.
• 47:12
  Speaker 5: Walks his strikeout rate was. Decent he might be able
• 47:16
  Speaker 5: to do okay, Here like when you have a talented
• 47:19
  Speaker 5: young pitcher and they're unfamiliar to the opposing, hitters which
• 47:22
  Speaker 5: of course he, is a lot of times they can
• 47:24
  Speaker 5: pitch they can, have you, know an extra advantage because
• 47:27
  Speaker 5: the hitters have to figure him. Out So thornton might
• 47:30
  Speaker 5: actually pitch well. Here and he's going up against the
• 47:33
  Speaker 5: Other zach, Here Zach littel in The battle of The.
• 47:36
  Speaker 5: Zachs Zach lettel has not been good For washington six
• 47:40
  Speaker 5: point ONE era one point five. Whip his home road
• 47:44
  Speaker 5: splits are pretty pretty much the same between home and.
• 47:47
  Speaker 2: Road he did have.
• 47:49
  Speaker 5: A five inning shutout last time out Against, baltimore but
• 47:51
  Speaker 5: he failed to go five innings in three straight starts before.
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: That he has a four to four strikeout walk right
• 47:57
  Speaker 2: here this.
• 47:57
  Speaker 5: Month that is not. Good i'm not seeing much to
• 48:00
  Speaker 5: like About. Lttel he has a really low strikeout rate
• 48:03
  Speaker 5: over the course of the. Season he's allowed way over
• 48:06
  Speaker 5: one hit per inning as well his walk. Rate you
• 48:10
  Speaker 5: know it's not, great it wouldn't be that, bad but
• 48:12
  Speaker 5: his strikeout rate is just so.
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: Low he's not. Good. Man there's not a lot to like,
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: here and his numbers against The mets are also. Bad
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: he's got fifty at.
• 48:21
  Speaker 5: Bats against some nine to six strike out walk ratio
• 48:24
  Speaker 5: three twenty batting average, allowed nine to thirty three. Ops
• 48:28
  Speaker 5: some of The American league guys that used to be
• 48:30
  Speaker 5: in The American league have seen him a, bunch Including
• 48:34
  Speaker 5: boba schett who used to be in the same.
• 48:36
  Speaker 2: Division BECAUSE i Think.
• 48:37
  Speaker 5: Lttel was On Tampa bay for a, While i'm pretty, sure, yes, Correct,
• 48:45
  Speaker 5: YEAH i don't like what we're seeing out of latel here.
• 48:48
  Speaker 2: MAN i would lean to The. Mets mets have the better.
• 48:52
  Speaker 5: Bullpen you could definitely make the argument The mets have
• 48:55
  Speaker 5: the better starting pitcher here Because lattel is. Bad But
• 48:58
  Speaker 5: thornton is just a mystery. Man we don't know what
• 49:01
  Speaker 5: we're gonna get out Of. Thornton one other approach that
• 49:03
  Speaker 5: you could take here is to Go.
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: Mets over their team. TOTAL i know that.
• 49:08
  Speaker 5: Sounds, insane and they're favored on the road and the
• 49:11
  Speaker 5: totals nine and a, half so you're gonna be asking
• 49:13
  Speaker 5: the worst offensive baseball The, mets to score like six
• 49:17
  Speaker 5: runs probably or five runs maybe in the. GAME i
• 49:21
  Speaker 5: know that's a difficult, ask SO i don't know if
• 49:24
  Speaker 5: that's my favorite. Approach But washington has a lot a
• 49:26
  Speaker 5: ton of runs at, home like they're pitching is awful at,
• 49:29
  Speaker 5: home so it's definitely not out of the question The
• 49:31
  Speaker 5: mets are gonna score that many. Runs and by the,
• 49:34
  Speaker 5: way The mets have scored that many runs in both
• 49:36
  Speaker 5: games in the series so, far so maybe it's not
• 49:38
  Speaker 5: that much of an ask because in this series they've
• 49:41
  Speaker 5: scored sixteen and six in the two. Games i'm pretty
• 49:44
  Speaker 5: Sure mets minus won twenty or. So on the price,
• 49:49
  Speaker 5: here the money's coming out Of. Washington there is no
• 49:52
  Speaker 5: WAY i would Play washington in this, game no. Way
• 49:55
  Speaker 5: seventy five percent of tickets on The, mets seventy one
• 49:57
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash On. WASHINGTON i still think The
• 50:01
  Speaker 5: mets would be my preferred way of playing that. Game
• 50:03
  Speaker 5: but it's, again it's a total mystery what you're gonna
• 50:05
  Speaker 5: get out of a guy in his.
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: Major league, debut and you, know he doesn't have high.
• 50:10
  Speaker 5: Heat LIKE i, said he's more of a guy that
• 50:14
  Speaker 5: relies on, location the movement of his, pitches you know
• 50:18
  Speaker 5: that type of, stuff and you know. SMARTS i, suppose all,
• 50:23
  Speaker 5: right the next game up Is toronto and The. Yankees
• 50:26
  Speaker 5: this is gonna be AN Mlb network And Amazon prime
• 50:29
  Speaker 5: game because of course it is because it involves The.
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: Yankees so why wouldn't.
• 50:32
  Speaker 5: It yankees have won the first two games of the,
• 50:36
  Speaker 5: series both by one. Run toronto had a chance to
• 50:40
  Speaker 5: win both, games So i'm not happy about it Because
• 50:43
  Speaker 5: yankees sock fuck The. Yankees this series continues, tomorrow by the,
• 50:48
  Speaker 5: way so this is not the last game of the.
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: Series maybe The yankees start.
• 50:51
  Speaker 5: Overlooking, toronto you, KNOW i don't, know because this is
• 50:55
  Speaker 5: a revenge series for The yankees, though Because toronto eliminated
• 50:58
  Speaker 5: them from the playoffs last. Year so maybe beating them
• 51:01
  Speaker 5: twice by one run isn't enough for The. Yankees and
• 51:04
  Speaker 5: do you THINK i want to Fade Cam schlittler? Here not, really,
• 51:08
  Speaker 5: no although when you look at the matchup, numbers it
• 51:10
  Speaker 5: actually does make it an option in this. Game The
• 51:14
  Speaker 5: yankees bullpen, wise the use four relief pitchers, yesterday which
• 51:17
  Speaker 5: is a.
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: Decent amount to have to.
• 51:19
  Speaker 5: Use toronto also used four though On toronto's bullpen is
• 51:23
  Speaker 5: not particularly.
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: Trustworthy The yankees have the better.
• 51:26
  Speaker 5: Bullpen they ranked eleventh right Now toronto is where Is toronto,
• 51:32
  Speaker 5: Fourteenth so they're not really that much. Worse so we
• 51:35
  Speaker 5: have two okay bullpens. Here yankees have the better offense by.
• 51:39
  Speaker 5: Far they're, third and they're a really good offense at.
• 51:43
  Speaker 5: Home they're the best offense.
• 51:44
  Speaker 2: At home this.
• 51:45
  Speaker 5: Season AS i mentioned, yesterday The yankees are scoring like
• 51:50
  Speaker 5: six and a half runs per game at, home but
• 51:52
  Speaker 5: on the road they're scoring like below. Four BUT i
• 51:56
  Speaker 5: think their scoring rate at home is probably gonna go
• 51:58
  Speaker 5: down because it's like such an, outlier like that's a
• 52:01
  Speaker 5: that IS i know it doesn't sound that high, maybe
• 52:04
  Speaker 5: but that is really.
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: High.
• 52:05
  Speaker 5: Uh toronto's twenty sixth in, offense by the, way not,
• 52:09
  Speaker 5: good but they do Have Trey Ya savage on the.
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: Mound he is one of their better. Pitchers he's.
• 52:14
  Speaker 5: Good he's still really, young twenty, two but he's got
• 52:18
  Speaker 5: a decent amount of experience, Already.
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: He's faced The yankees before.
• 52:21
  Speaker 5: Him he's pitched in the playoffs, already. Playoffs you, know Y,
• 52:26
  Speaker 5: savage he's. Good he's got one point four era is
• 52:29
  Speaker 5: one point two nine. Whip you wish it was a
• 52:31
  Speaker 5: little bit, lower but he hasn't pitched that many games so.
• 52:34
  Speaker 5: Far they've limited his pitch count a bit so. Far
• 52:37
  Speaker 5: last time out they let him go a little bit.
• 52:39
  Speaker 5: Further he went six innings Against detroit last time. Out
• 52:43
  Speaker 5: pretty good start from. Him his walk rate has been
• 52:46
  Speaker 5: a little bit, high so that's kind of the concern right.
• 52:48
  Speaker 5: Now he's got a good strikeout rate over one per,
• 52:50
  Speaker 5: inning allowing fewer than one hit per any but his walk.
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: Rate is slightly. High, uh you want that to be
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: a bit lower than it.
• 52:57
  Speaker 5: Is but overall he's allowed two or fewer runs and
• 53:00
  Speaker 5: all his, outings even THOUGH i know two of them
• 53:02
  Speaker 5: were shorter than five. Innings but he's pitched well, overall
• 53:06
  Speaker 5: and he's been kind of A yankee killer so far
• 53:10
  Speaker 5: in his. Career they have fifteen at bats against. HIM
• 53:12
  Speaker 5: i know that's not a, lot but they're zero for
• 53:14
  Speaker 5: fifteen off of, him with ten strikeouts and one. Walk
• 53:18
  Speaker 5: so he has dominated The yankees lineup when he actually
• 53:21
  Speaker 5: has faced. Them NOW i know some of that is
• 53:24
  Speaker 5: because The yankees hadn't seen, him so now that they,
• 53:26
  Speaker 5: Have i'm not expecting The yankees to continue to not
• 53:29
  Speaker 5: get a hit off him at, All BUT i think
• 53:31
  Speaker 5: this matchup does set up pretty well for You savage. Here,
• 53:35
  Speaker 5: Meanwhile schlittler having a really good season obviously one point
• 53:39
  Speaker 5: three to FIVE ra point seven to eight whip might
• 53:42
  Speaker 5: wind up being a Cy young winner this. Year he's
• 53:45
  Speaker 5: been a little bit worse at home two point one SIX,
• 53:48
  Speaker 5: era but it's in a smaller. Sample, still that's a good,
• 53:50
  Speaker 5: era And Yankee stadium is a hitter friendly. Ballpark But,
• 53:55
  Speaker 5: SCHLITTLER i, mean he's been really good over the course
• 53:57
  Speaker 5: of the. Season he's allowed one or zero runs in
• 54:00
  Speaker 5: every start going all the way back to Mid. April you,
• 54:04
  Speaker 5: know obviously we don't really need to go into. It
• 54:06
  Speaker 5: his numbers are really.
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: Good over the course of the.
• 54:08
  Speaker 5: Season tons of, STRIKEOUTS i mean over one per, inning
• 54:12
  Speaker 5: low walk, rate and he's allowing so few hits that
• 54:16
  Speaker 5: he's almost allowing only one hit every two.
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: Winnings very very.
• 54:20
  Speaker 5: Good but as you might have just seen BECAUSE i
• 54:22
  Speaker 5: jumped the gun on, it he's been bad Against toronto
• 54:26
  Speaker 5: in thirty two at. Bats toronto has actually matched up
• 54:29
  Speaker 5: well against. Him toronto has a four to thirty eight
• 54:31
  Speaker 5: average against, him nine to thirty NINE, ops three to
• 54:35
  Speaker 5: two strikeout walk. Ratio so this starting pitching matchup looks
• 54:39
  Speaker 5: like it Favors trey Is savage here And toronto might
• 54:43
  Speaker 5: have a little bit of extra motivation trying to get.
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: A game in this.
• 54:46
  Speaker 5: Series, Here i'm gonna lean Towards toronto in this. Game,
• 54:51
  Speaker 5: uh you, KNOW i don't really want to do. IT
• 54:54
  Speaker 5: i don't THINK i.
• 54:54
  Speaker 2: Really want to Fade, schlittler BUT i think if you're
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: going to do, it this is Going this is one
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: of the WHERE i think you might actually be able
• 55:02
  Speaker 2: to do it and get a win out of.
• 55:04
  Speaker 5: It sixty six percent of, ticket sixty four percent of
• 55:07
  Speaker 5: the cash on The yankees money is agreeing With toronto,
• 55:10
  Speaker 5: HERE i THINK i might do.
• 55:12
  Speaker 2: It first Five, WELL i don't. KNOW i don't Like
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: toronto's bullpen that. Much but you're looking at like probably
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: a run line On toronto, Tho so.
• 55:19
  Speaker 5: MAYBE i would go full game on this because you,
• 55:23
  Speaker 5: know the motivation comes into Play. Toronto by the, way
• 55:26
  Speaker 5: they've covered a one and a half run line in
• 55:27
  Speaker 5: both games so far in this, series so obviously it's
• 55:31
  Speaker 5: not out of the. Question they lose by one, again
• 55:35
  Speaker 5: minus one seventy something is the price. Here but STILL
• 55:37
  Speaker 5: i think first five actually probably is still the better, approach,
• 55:40
  Speaker 5: though just BECAUSE i don't think you really want to
• 55:43
  Speaker 5: have to deal With toronto's, bullpen you know they might
• 55:46
  Speaker 5: give it. Up yankees' bullpen is at least a little bit.
• 55:48
  Speaker 5: Better so first five innings on The toronto run line
• 55:52
  Speaker 5: at plus half a run or something makes sense to
• 55:55
  Speaker 5: me in this one for You savage to Outpitch, schlitler
• 55:59
  Speaker 5: which it looks like the matchup numbers do dictate. That
• 56:03
  Speaker 5: so that's the WAY i would play that. GAME i
• 56:06
  Speaker 5: didn't get it right. YESTERDAY i Know Dylan cease did
• 56:09
  Speaker 5: not get the first five in and win. Yesterday good
• 56:12
  Speaker 5: THING i didn't add that to my. Card the couple
• 56:15
  Speaker 5: of plays THAT i liked THAT i didn't add to
• 56:16
  Speaker 5: my card yesterday were not.
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: Wins.
• 56:19
  Speaker 5: Although one of them is The cleveland calves they absolutely
• 56:22
  Speaker 5: should have, covered and one out. Right BUT i don't
• 56:25
  Speaker 5: want to talk about that game. Anymore i'm gonna be right.
• 56:27
  Speaker 5: BACK i still have two plays to give. OUT i
• 56:29
  Speaker 5: KNOW i haven't done it. Yet my two plays are
• 56:31
  Speaker 5: both in the night time, slate But i've given you
• 56:34
  Speaker 5: out on my leans so far THAT i THINK i
• 56:36
  Speaker 5: like the best Are Minnesota twins split bet run, line money, Line,
• 56:41
  Speaker 5: giants D backs over the, total And Braves miami first five.
• 56:46
  Speaker 5: Under probably those are my three favorites out of the
• 56:50
  Speaker 5: ones That i've talked about so. Far or sorry, over
• 56:54
  Speaker 5: sorry sorry, no, no first five? Under, yeah what AM
• 56:57
  Speaker 5: i talking?
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: About?
• 56:58
  Speaker 5: Yeah over In San francis Going diamondbacks over in that,
• 57:02
  Speaker 5: one which you, KNOW i think if you look at
• 57:04
  Speaker 5: look at the, matchup it seems pretty. Obvious and first
• 57:07
  Speaker 5: five Under braves Of miami that that those are my,
• 57:11
  Speaker 5: recommendations BUT i have not made those.
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: PLAYS i will be right back and THEN i will
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: get to my two. Plays all.
• 58:40
  Speaker 5: Right our next game up is a play for. Me
• 58:43
  Speaker 5: let me, See we're going back to The Red sox
• 58:47
  Speaker 5: And royal series here Hang on WHERE i gave out
• 58:51
  Speaker 5: a win two nights ago on The Red. SOX i
• 58:54
  Speaker 5: was correct about The Red sox yesterday as, well But
• 58:57
  Speaker 5: i'm doing a little bit of something different in this.
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: Game, here this, Game i'm gonna go first five innings
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: under the total of, four WHICH i see out.
• 59:12
  Speaker 5: There at even money right, now you can pay a
• 59:14
  Speaker 5: bit more to get under the four and a half
• 59:16
  Speaker 5: if you want, To but it was like minus one thirty,
• 59:18
  Speaker 5: something SO i was, like, EH i don't, Know i'll
• 59:21
  Speaker 5: just take the cheaper price and go under four and
• 59:25
  Speaker 5: hope that we get it. Here but OBVIOUSLY i like
• 59:27
  Speaker 5: the starting pitching matchup in this. ONE i don't really
• 59:30
  Speaker 5: trust the, bullpens So i'm keeping the bullpens out even
• 59:32
  Speaker 5: THOUGH i know The Red sox bullpen is. Good but
• 59:34
  Speaker 5: you'll see Why i'm doing this in a.
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: Second.
• 59:37
  Speaker 5: Now The Red sox have won both games in the
• 59:39
  Speaker 5: series so. Far neither team plays, tomorrow so, Yes Kansas
• 59:44
  Speaker 5: city is trying to avoid a. Sweep heer The Red.
• 59:47
  Speaker 5: Sox who do they playing, Next. MINNESOTA i don't really
• 59:52
  Speaker 5: know that that's necessarily to look ahead of The. MINNESOTA
• 59:54
  Speaker 5: i believe did beat The Red sox when they played them,
• 59:57
  Speaker 5: before so maybe The Red sox do look ahead to.
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: That But i'm not gonna focus on the side.
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 5: HERE i think this game could go either way as
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 5: far as the, side BUT i like both starting. PITCHERS
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 5: i don't Like Kansas city's. Bullpen they also use five
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 5: relief pitchers, yesterday and here comes the. Problem The Red
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 5: sox also used a lot of their relief pitchers. Yesterday
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 5: chapman did not get used, though so he is available.
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 5: Today but they used five relief. Pictures So i'm just
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 5: gonna take the bullpen's out of the. Equation bullpens are
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 5: not resting And Kansas city's is, bad SO i just
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 5: don't really want to deal with. It Kansas city twenty
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 5: sixth in. Bullpen The Red sox have been really. Good
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 5: they're third now in bullpen AND i believe they're second
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 5: in bullpen era, now so this is a Good Red sox.
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 5: Bullpen Red sox pitching has been, good. Dude they have
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 5: a lot of good young, starters which we're gonna talk
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 5: we're gonna talk about in a.
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: Minute pretty good.
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 5: Starters but they're hitting needs to get, better. Dude Red
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 5: sox are twenty seventh in offense right. Now Kansas city
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 5: is twenty. First they haven't exactly been great. Either that's
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 5: good for us with an. Under we have two teams
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 5: that haven't been hitting. Well The Red sox actually did
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 5: break out a little bit last night with seven, runs
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 5: so you saw. It both bullpens got really. Used that's
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 5: kind of crazy that both bullpens saw that much usage
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 5: in a.
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: Game that was not an extra inning. GAME i don't know.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 5: What the deal was with, that but we're gonna Get
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 5: Connelly early pitching for The Red sox. Here he's a young,
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 5: guy he's got. Talent he is pitching well so. Far
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 5: three point two to ONE era one point two. Whip
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 5: that whip has actually gone, down SO i like seeing
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 5: that he's been good on the. Road two point three
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 5: ROADYRA i Know Kansas city is not the pitcher friendly
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 5: park that it was prior to this year because they
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 5: moved the walls, in BUT i still think we can
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 5: get this under. Here early's pitching. Well he's got a
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 5: seventeen to four strike a walk ratio this.
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: Month that's.
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 5: Good few were in the one hit per. Inning he's
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 5: allowed two and zero earned runs in his last two.
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 5: Outings aside from giving it up a little bit Again,
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 5: houston he's allowed three or fewer earned runs in every
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 5: start this, Season so you like to see that.
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: He's allowed a decent amount below one hit per. Inning that's.
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 5: Good strikeout rate is almost one per inning pretty good as.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 5: Well the walk rate is too. High that's the one
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 5: thing you'd like to see be fixed and you, know
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 5: it looks like it's trending in the right. Direction his
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 5: walk rate has gone down a bit, recently so that's
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 5: a good.
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: Sign And Kansas city's never faced him, before so you,
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: KNOW i like.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 5: That when a young pitcher that has, talent AS i always,
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 5: say is facing a lineup that has to figure him,
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 5: out that that is what happens a lot of the.
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 5: Time the opposing hitters struggle to figure that picture, out you,
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 5: know especially given that he is a lefty with some.
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: Pretty nasty breaking. Stuff so.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 5: You, KNOW i think that'll make it difficult for hitters
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 5: to be able to figure him out first couple of times.
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 5: Through Michael waka is pitching For Kansas. City he is
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 5: one of their best.
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 2: Pitchers. MAN i, mean he's been, Consistent he's been pretty
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: good throughout his.
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 5: Career he's been good this year two point eight THREE,
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 5: era point nine to nine. Whip he's been a little
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 5: bit better at home two point sixty three HOME. Era
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 5: so both pitchers have the better of their home road
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 5: splits here though for walk, cuts you, know his numbers
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 5: are not that different home and. Away walka is in
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 5: pretty good for him this month as. Well he doesn't
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 5: strike out a lot of, guys but he's only allowed
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 5: eleven hits in twenty, innings fourteen, strikeouts four, walks and
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 5: he's allowed three or fewer earned runs in all of
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 5: his outings this. Month he's only allowed more than three
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 5: twice this, season and one was at The a's. Stadium,
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 5: overall numbers look pretty. Good his strike out rates not that,
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 5: high but he hasn't really walked that many. Guys his
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 5: hit rate is really, low well below one per, inning
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 5: so his numbers look. Good and he's been good against
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 5: The Red sox throughout his. History fifty four at, bats
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 5: he's held him to a one point eighty five batting
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 5: average five sixty three, ops eleven to six strikeout walk.
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 5: Ratio that's all pretty good except for the walks isn't that,
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 5: Great but three of them Are Wilson, contreras who was
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 5: On Saint louis so they were the inter league. Rivals
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 5: but he's still Held contraras to a four for twenty
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 5: one clip as. Well SO i like how it sets
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 5: up for both. Starters we'll take the bullpens. Out the
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 5: money kind of looks like it's, agreeing but we have
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 5: ninety one percent of tickets ninety two percent of the
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 5: cash on the. Under but remember that's a full game situation,
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 5: there with the totals eight on the full. Game SO
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 5: i know four looks a little bit low for the
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 5: first five, innings but the odds makers know well eight
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 5: is juice to the under as. Well but the oddsbreakers
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 5: also know these are two pretty good starting pitchers. Here
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 5: but that's what we're going. With the money is indicating
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 5: on The Red sox for what that's, Worth Kids' city's
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 5: around minus one fifteen or, so basically fifty seven percent
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 5: of tickets on, them seventy percent of the cash on
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 5: The Red.
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 2: Sox public seems to Like walk.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 5: Because they know who he is over, early but, Again
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 5: i'm not gonna try to figure out the side. HERE
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 5: i think it should be a low scoring. Game early
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 5: would BE i read on, It so that is What
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 5: i'm going. With of, course if it's a close, GAME
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 5: i think The Red sox have the advantage later in
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 5: the game because their bullpen is. Better but we're going
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 5: first five innings under four, There, gerald what's up? Many
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 5: they start hanging out, Toast, yes that's, Me i'm. Toast
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 5: we're gonna start losing plays, man BECAUSE i can't keep this.
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 5: Up milwaukee and The. Cubs this is ON Espn. Unlimited
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 5: this series continues.
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: TOMORROW i.
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 5: Believe, no Actually i'm, wrong my, Mistake i'm. Wrong, actually
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 5: you know, WHAT i, Know i'm wrong Because milwaukee.
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: Plays The dodgers. Next so does that mean does that
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 2: mean they're gonna start looking? Ahead?
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 5: MAYBE i mean this is a this is a huge, series,
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 5: though but they've already won the first two games of
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 5: the Series milwaukee, has so maybe they do start looking
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 5: ahead to The dodgers after both teams actually Have tomorrow.
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 2: Off The cubs have lost four in a. Row they're
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: not that, bad. Though The cubs are still a good, team.
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 5: DUDE i, Mean milwaukee's, good but The cubs are gonna
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 5: have to go up against another good starting pitcher, Here
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 5: So i'm, not you, know running to the window to want.
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: To play The cubs here or to play The. COBS
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: i should.
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 5: Say cubs used four relief pitchers. Yesterday milwaukee used four as,
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 5: well But Chad patrick only came in for three, pitches
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 5: but he's kind of a long relief.
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 2: Guy.
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 5: Usually bullpens have both been pretty. Good The cubs are
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 5: Eighth brewers. Twelfth brewers have a good BULLPEN, era Though
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 5: cubs are fourth in. Offense The brewers have not been
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 5: as good, offensively but they are sixteenth now so they
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 5: are starting to hit. Better brewers Have Kyle harrison pitching
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 5: Red sox should not have traded him. Away he's been really.
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 5: Good two point zero NINE, era one point one to nine.
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 5: Whip he's been a little bit worse on the, road
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 5: but two point five ONE e r ray is still.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 5: Good he's been good this, month eighteen to five strike
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 5: a walk. Ratio he's allowed two or fewer and runs
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 5: in every outing on the entire, season although some of
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 5: his some of his outings haven't been that, deep but
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 5: still he's ALLOWED i, mean he's. Gone he's had way
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 5: over one strike up er, inning hasn't allowed that many,
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 5: walks and he's allowed pretty few hits below one per.
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: Inning, yeah he's pitching, well we get.
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 5: It and The cubs have basically not seen him very.
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 5: Much they have six at bats against, him four hitters
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 5: have faced, him and they're zero for six with two
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 5: strikeouts against him and no, Walks so they don't have
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 5: anybody who's ever reached base against him before he's hard to, get,
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 5: man but it looks like it sets up nicely For
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 5: harrison and the hitters that haven't seen him before him,
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 5: again they might struggle to figure him out early. On
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 5: and he is also a lefty by the, Way so,
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 5: yeah So harrison sets up pretty well in that in that,
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 5: GAME i think for all those. Reasons Edward cabrera is
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 5: pitching for The. Cubs he's been, good but his whip
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 5: is getting a little bit high for my.
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: Liking.
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 5: Here he's got a four point oh SIX, era one
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 5: point three to one. Whip he's got to get that whip, down.
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 5: Dude he's been better at home, though three point six HOMEY.
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 5: Ra he's struggled this month, though six point three to
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 5: TWO era this. Month strike out rate's been high more
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 5: than one per, inning but he's allowed well over one
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 5: hit per. Inning and he's had six walks this.
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: Month.
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 5: Now he's had two of those starts on the, road
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 5: but one of them was At. Texas that's not a
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 5: good sign if you go into a pitcher's paradise against
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 5: a bad offense and you don't do well. There cabrera
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 5: looks like he's out of form right. Now, Man his
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 5: strike out rate over the course of the season is,
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 5: low although.
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 2: He's actually increased that.
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 5: Recently usually he's a good strikeout, pitcher but his strike
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 5: out rates not as high as you would. Think this,
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 5: year he's allowed fewer than one hit per, inning which is,
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 5: good but his walks have been a. Concern he's, yeah
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 5: he's walked too many people this. Year that's been the
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 5: main concern with. Him Against, milwaukee he has decent numbers
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 5: and forty one a bats to forty four batting allowed
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 5: seven oh one ops six to one strike a.
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: Walk.
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 5: Ratiom you, KNOW i, considered LIKE i was thinking about
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 5: maybe an under in this, game BECAUSE i normally like
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 5: both these starting, pitchers BUT i.
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 2: Worry About cabrera's.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 5: Form The cubs are favored in around minus one eighteen
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 5: or so sixty seven percent of, tickets sixty percent of
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 5: the cash on, them so the money is indicating Towards.
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 5: Milwaukee the money is hitting the. Under but the total
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 5: came out at like basically a, seven and it immediately
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 5: fell to six and a half and it's already teetering on,
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 5: six which is. Ridiculous but you know that that means
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 5: that the wind is blowing in At. Wrigley the wind
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 5: has a huge effect if you see a six and a.
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 5: HALF i know we have a decent starting pitching matchup,
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 5: here but this total would not be that low unless
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 5: the wind was also blowing in which it must.
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 2: Be but you, know, me the key number, SEVEN i
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 2: just don't want to do.
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 5: IT i worry About cabrera's current form, anyway so that
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 5: took the under kind of off the table for.
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 4: Me.
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 5: Anyway milwaukee is definitely worth considering in this, game, THOUGH
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 5: i Think harrison looks really. Good cabrera is kind of
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 5: struggling right. Now HARRISON i think has the slightly better
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 5: of the matchup to the. Bullpen's you, KNOW i wouldn't
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 5: really see a need to take the bullpen out of
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 5: the equation For milwaukee, there ALTHOUGH i think they might
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 5: have used their closer yesterday let me say they Did,
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 5: miguil but, STILL i, MEAN i Think milwaukee in the
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 5: full game makes some sense in that, one but that
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 5: is not on my card or.
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 2: Anything the next game.
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 5: Up Is Pittsburgh Saint. Louis they've only played one game
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 5: in the series so. Far Saint louis won. Again pittsburgh
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 5: is still mired in a losing streak. HERE i thought
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 5: they would win yesterday with the better of the starting
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 5: pitcher match up there, yesterday And PITTSBURGH i think is
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 5: the better. Team Still i'm not Buying Saint louis's records still,
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 5: man BUT i don't think this is necessarily the spot
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 5: to want to Play, pittsburgh although when you look up the,
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 5: Matchup when you look at the, MATCHUP i don't think
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 5: it's like out of the. Question pittsburgh used four relief
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 5: pitchers yesterday and their bullpen's not really that. Good neither
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 5: Was Saint, louis As Saint louis used five relief, pitchers
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 5: so a lot of relief pitcher usage yesterday and the
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 5: bullpens are not that. Good Saint louis twenty, Second pittsburgh twenty.
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 2: First.
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 5: Hitting both teams have been decent, Offensively pittsburgh, Tenth Saint louis.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 5: Eleventh looking at the starting, PITCHERS i, mean these are
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 5: obviously not name pitchers, here but they might be better than you.
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 5: Think pittsburgh is going With Carmen, molodzinsky who does not
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 5: have great numbers on the season four point FOUR era
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 5: one point four to four whip but well and also
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 5: he's not that good on the. Road four point nine
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 5: to FOUR era on the road's not, good but this
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 5: is a pitcher friendly. Ballpark he's done okay in his
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 5: last two, outings except he just doesn't strike guys.
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 2: Out but he's allowed two earned runs in each of,
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: them which isn't too.
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 5: Bad but it was At San francisco against a weak
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 5: offense and a pitcher friendly and Against colorado at, home
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 5: and they're not good offensively on the. Road but if
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 5: you look at his numbers, overall they're not that. Bad
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 5: he's got almost one strike up per. Inning he has
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 5: a lot too many, hits but it's not that, many
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 5: more than one hit per. Inning as walk, rate you,
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 5: know probably should be lower than it. Is but his
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 5: numbers are not like, egregious and his numbers Against Saint
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 5: louis are actually. Good he's got thirty nine at bats against,
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 5: them two h five average, allowed five forty four, ohps
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 5: fourteen to three strike out walk ratio some.
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: Load zitski might actually do okay in this. Game he's
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 2: going up Against.
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 5: Michael, McGreevy who actually has good numbers this year For
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 5: Saint louis two point ONE era point eighty eight. Whip
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 5: somehow he's pitching, well even though he's not really a
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 5: guy that goes out and dominates, hitters you know WHAT i? Mean,
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 5: Uh Saint, louis by the, way won that game in
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 5: extra innings last, night So Mike lean towards The pirates
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 5: wasn't really that far off in that. Game, McGreevy though
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 5: he's been, good he's been really good at home one
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 5: point one seventy. Ra he's not necessarily a GUY i
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 5: really want to, fade you. Know this, month he's allowed
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 5: one run total in eighteen. Innings his team has won
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 5: all three of his, outings including shutting out The dodgers
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 5: for six, innings including pitching on the road at The A's.
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 5: Stadium fifteen to six strikeout walk ratio over that span
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 5: isn't exactly, excellent but nine hits all out in eighteen
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 5: innings and one run a, Lot i'm not gonna argue with.
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 5: That and the start before that was really good as.
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 5: Well Against, seattle he's allowed three or fewer earned runs
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 5: and all but one start two or fewer and all
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 5: but one all but. Two excuse, me this, season he's
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 5: just not putting guys on, base, dude his hit rate
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 5: is really. Low his walk rate is pretty low as.
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 5: Well his strikeout rate is. Low he doesn't strike guys,
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 5: out but he's still getting guys to you, know he's
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 5: getting guys out Against pittsburgh though his numbers are not
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 5: really that, good but it's a small. Sample fifteen at
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 5: bats they only have five hitters have faced him four
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 5: hundred batting average though thirteen seventy one ops five to
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 5: one strike a walk. Ratium you, know this game still
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 5: reads as like an early under to, me, Though LIKE
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 5: i think both starting pitchers might actually do okay.
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 2: Here McGreevy does have the.
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 5: Lesser of the match up, here So i'm not gonna you,
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 5: KNOW i THINK i would lean To pittsburgh slightly as.
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 5: WELL i think PROBABLY i prefer under in the first
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 5: five total seven and a, half which is a really low.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 5: Total so the oddsmakers are kind of telling you something with.
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 5: That BUT i don't like the. Bullpens we have fifty
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 5: to fifty ticket percentage on the, total but fifty six
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash on the under first five makes
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 5: some sense to. Me, again, also a lean Towards pittsburgh
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 5: makes some sense to me as. Well with the matchup
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 5: numbers for the starting pitcher actually mean a little bit,
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 5: better even THOUGH i worry because he's not the better picture,
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 5: though so that does worry. Me we have sixty percent of,
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 5: ticket sixty four percent of the cash On Saint, louis
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 5: they're like minus one sixteen or.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: So there do with all that information what you.
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 5: Want the next game up will be my other, play
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 5: which is in The Dodgers padres. Series and this game
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 5: is not on one of THE tv, stations which is
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 5: interesting because these, teams it's a huge.
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: Series they split the first two games of the. Series
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 2: these teams are back and forth and you, know battling
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 2: for first place in the division right.
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 5: Now these teams do not play, TOMORROW i don't think
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 5: so this is for the series. Here dodgers are obviously
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 5: the better team, Though but where are we going with? This,
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 5: well hold, on we're going with another first five under.
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 5: Here AND i saw this one about minus one. Fifteen
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 5: this one is not as cheap as the other ONE
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 5: i gave out for obvious. REASONS i, mean we Have
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 5: San diego is a very pitcher friendly ballpark and show
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 5: hey otanious, pitching so that has something to do with.
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 2: It BUT i still think this is a pretty good number.
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 5: Bullpen Whyse San diego did use a lot of their
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 5: relief pitchers, yesterday so because you might, think why AM
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 5: i going first five here instead of full game when we,
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 5: have Like San diego basically has any elite bullpen and
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 5: The dodgers' bullpen is good as. Well well you can
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 5: see right, Here San diego used five relief. Pitchers, yes
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 5: to Name, miller two days in a row had to, Pitch.
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 2: SO i just want to avoid. THAT i don't like,
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: that AND i believe these teams went to. Extras did? They,
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 2: no they did, not my.
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 5: Mistake The dodgers won in regulation yesterday five to, four but,
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 5: whatever and then The dodgers on their end used a
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 5: lot of relief pitching, too a little bit, less but
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 5: they used five as. Well So i'm just gonna avoid
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 5: the bullpens. HERE i know they're both good and they
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 5: might pitch well, again But i'm gonna go first five.
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 5: Here San diego is ranked sixth in, bullpen but we
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 5: know they have a really good, bullpen including the best
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 5: closer in the. Universe but he's not gonna be able
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 5: to pitch today unless they're. Insane and then.
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 2: The dodgers are number two in.
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 5: Bullpen they're bullpen has been shockingly good this year after
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 5: that was their one like big issue last. Year dodgers
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 5: are number one in offense as. Well they have a
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 5: way better offense Than San. Diego San diego's twenty, ninth
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 5: ALTHOUGH i think based on who they, have they they
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 5: got to be better than.
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 2: That but, still.
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 5: The dodgers are the concern here because they hit. Well
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 5: they hit well on the, road and YESTERDAY i said
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 5: that The dodgers with the highest scoring team on the,
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 5: road BUT i actually think it's The, Braves so my
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 5: mistake with. THAT i think The braves are actually higher.
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 5: Scoring but both of those offenses are really. Good but
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 5: we're gonna look for these pitchers to actually keep the
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 5: offenses in check a little. Bit shoeotani is pitching for The, dodgers,
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 5: obviously that side of it is gonna look good to.
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 5: EVERYBODY i, mean, Dude, Shoeotani LIKE i don't even know.
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 5: Him is he one of the best baseball players?
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 2: Ever, like because he's an elite, hitter but he's also
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 2: like he's pitching like a cy young pitcher.
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 5: Too he's got a point eight TWO era point eight to.
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 5: Whip he's been good both home and, away it doesn't really.
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 5: Matter he's got at least six innings in every, outing
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 5: and he's had four shutouts compared to three non, shutouts
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 5: and he's only allowed four earned runs over the course
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 5: of the entire. Season he's got more than one strike
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 5: up per, inning a low walk, rate and he's allowed
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 5: almost one hit every two winnings as, well.
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 2: Which is very low as.
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 5: Well he's been completely, dominant although you, know you look
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 5: at the lineups that he's faced a lot of weak
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 5: lineups in, there so maybe he's not this, good but
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 5: we know he's. Good And San diego qualifies as a
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 5: weak lineup right now as. Well and they haven't really
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 5: hit him that. Well they have fifty two at bats against,
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 5: him two thirty one, average six thirty two, ohps thirteen,
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 5: strikeouts four. Walks, generally, Yeah choeotani has good numbers against.
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 5: Them Randy vasquez is pitching for The, padres AND i
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 5: know the advanced analytics guys don't like, him And i've
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 5: been saying THAT i don't like him in recent years
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 5: because his walk number was crazy, high his whip was too,
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 5: high but right now that's not the. Case he's got
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 5: a two point six to eighty orra one point one
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 5: to one. Whip he's pitched well this. Season he hasn't
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 5: been as good at, home which doesn't really make a
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 5: whole lot of sense because it's a pitcher friendly stadium
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 5: AND i know we're getting the worst of his home
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 5: road splits, here but three point eighty six is not
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 5: exactly a bad era.
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 2: Pitch.
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 5: Well the last time he was here at home Against Saint,
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 5: louis and they're a team that can hit, decently so
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 5: that's not a bad. Sign then he turned around and
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 5: shut Out seattle on the road in a pitcher friendly.
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 5: Ballpark but, Still he's got an eleven to two strikeout
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 5: walk ratio this month and has a lot fewer than
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 5: one hit per, inning so he's in pretty good form
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 5: right now over his last two outings overall this, season
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 5: not a high strikeout rate, really but he's a lot
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 5: fewer than one hipper. Inning his walk rate is reasonably
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 5: low as, well especially for. Him his walk rate is
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 5: usually way more concerning than it is, here so he
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 5: seems to be kind of figuring it. Out no walks
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 5: in his last two. Outings by the, Way i'm not
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 5: saying he's gonna not walk anybody, here but he also
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 5: has good numbers against The, dodgers believe it or.
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 2: Not in forty three at, bats he sell them to.
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 5: A one to eighty six batting, average five eighty three oh,
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 5: ps eight to three strike out walk. Ratio SO i
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 5: think both pitchers actually can come in and pitch well. Here,
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 5: obviously that's Why i'm doing this first five.
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 2: Under.
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 5: Dodgers padres is my play. Here the money isn't really
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 5: indicating one way or the. Other we have ninety one
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 5: percent of tickets and cash on the, under but the
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 5: total's low for the full. Game it's seven and a
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 5: half juice to the. Unders the odds makers are kind
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 5: of telling you they think it's gonna be low. Scoring
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 5: the money is indicating towards The podres AND i talk
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 5: about this a. Lot WHEN i go with an, UNDER
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 5: i think that's a good sign because the more like
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 5: the better. Pitcher otani is being faded in the, market
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 5: you know WHAT i. Mean and that money is not
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 5: saying That otani's gonna do, bad you know WHAT i.
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 5: Mean that money is basically saying we think The dodgers are.
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 2: Too heavy a. Favorite we Think vazquez.
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 4: Can hang in this.
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 5: Game SO i like seeing, that seeing the lesser of
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 5: the pitcher getting the money when you want to go.
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 5: UNDER i like that seventy percent of, tickets fifty seven
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash on The, dodgers the money indicating
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 5: Towards San, diego and part of it is, yes with The,
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 5: dodgers and With otani on the, mind you're obviously paying
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 5: too heavy of a.
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 2: Price they're around minus. ONE i, mean the line's all
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 2: over the. Place it's minus one ninety at some of the,
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: books but then The vegas sports books are all in
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 2: the minus one seventy one to eighty, range so very.
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 2: Weird the the number is way higher on The dodgers
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 2: at the online, books which is interesting.
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 5: BECAUSE i think that, means you, know because These vegas books,
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 5: HERE i, think like The Super book and, WHATEVER i
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 5: think those books cater more to. Professionals SO i think
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 5: that's also indicating that the public money is on The dodgers.
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 5: Here the professional money seems to be fading them to some.
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 5: Extent but we're going under vers five in that, one
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 5: and then we have one more baseball Game a's At.
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 5: Anaheim these teams do play, TOMORROW i think so this
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 5: is a four game series that continues.
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 2: Tomorrow these teams will split the verse two of the.
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 5: Series the first, game you, Know anaheim won in ridiculous
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 5: fashion WITH. Jt gin had a no hitter going for
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 5: The a's into the ninth inning and then he in
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 5: two at. Bats it went from no hitter to losing
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 5: the game on a walkoff home. Run he gave up
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 5: a hit and then a home.
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 4: Run just.
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: Great and Then anaheim might have been hung over or.
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 2: SOMETHING i don't know what that.
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 5: Was they were in a letdown, spot who, knows but
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 5: they wound up getting crushed yesterday fourteen to. Six anaheim
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 5: not a very good team. Though bullpen, Wise anheim's not
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 5: a good. Bullpen these three relief pitchers. Yesterday The a's
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 5: are not a good bullpen, either and they use five
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 5: but they only Use sterner for four, pitches so do
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 5: what you want with that. Info The a's are twenty
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 5: fourth and Bullpen anaheim is worse at twenty. SEVENTH i
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 5: keep Hearing revving. Engines, man it just really really fucking
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 5: pisses me. Off anaheim's bullpen is really really bad, though
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 5: like their bullpen era is almost as bad As, houston's
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 5: so they are one of the absolute worst. Bullpens a's
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 5: have been a good hitting, team the Seventh anaheim has
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 5: fallen completely off offensively and they're twenty, fourth so they're
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 5: not playing good.
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 2: Baseball this pitching matchup is not exactly.
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 5: Elite Aaron savallee is pitching for The a's and he
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 5: has a two point SEVEN, era which looks, good but
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 5: a one point three to nine whip tells you that
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 5: THAT era is. Misleading, uh savale has not actually been that.
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 5: Good that whip is definitely too. High he's been good
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 5: on the road, though two point oh eight road E.
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 5: Ra he's been good in his last two, starts giving
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 5: up tour in runs combined across ten.
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: Innings his last four starts have actually been pretty.
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 5: Good he's given up two or fewer earned runs in
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 5: all four of them, actually and The a's have won
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 5: his last.
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 2: Three but strike out walk ratio is a little. Concerning
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: it's fourteen.
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 5: To seven over that, span so that's not that, great
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 5: and he's allowed more than one hit per inning over that,
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 5: span so it looks like he's getting a little bit.
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 5: Lucky his strikeout rate is not. High he's an extreme
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 5: fly ball, pitcher which is not great well considering, that
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 5: though his numbers actually don't look that bad considering he
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 5: pitches in that horrible as, stadium given that he's that
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 5: extreme towards the fly, ball and he somehow only allowed
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 5: six home runs this, year.
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 2: You know that's.
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 5: INTERESTING i guess he's somehow avoiding. That but his walk
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 5: rate's a little. High he's allowed more than one hit per.
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 5: Inning so, overall, yeah his, numbers HIS era is, misleading
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 5: like he's worse than. That his numbers Against anaheim are
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 5: not particularly good. Either in eighty four at bats two
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 5: ninety eight batting average allowed seven to seventy three oh
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 5: ps not. Good twenty to six strikeout walk ratio is,
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 5: good but the rest of those numbers are. Not he
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 5: is going to be going up Against Jack, kohanowitz who
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 5: is probably the worst of the two. Pitchers though four
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 5: point five SIX, era one point three six whip that's not.
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 5: Good he's been better at, home at least three point
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 5: four to two home the, ra so he does pitch
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 5: better at. Home he had a stretch where he was
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 5: actually pitching a little bit better but he hasn't been good.
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 5: Recently anaheim's lost six starts in a row of His
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 5: some of those were not his, fault but his last
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 5: two starts he allowed six or in runs in each of.
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 2: Them that is not.
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 5: Good this, month he's got a ten to seven strike
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 5: out walk ratio well over one hit a lot per.
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 2: Inning, yeah he's not pitching.
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 5: Well he's starting to pitch really poorly, again very low strikeout. Rate,
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 5: well he's you, know he doesn't strike guys. Out he
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 5: induces a lot of ground, balls which a lot of
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 5: times is good because it means you're getting.
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 2: Out but he's not.
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 5: Real even though he's a lot fewer than one hit per.
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 5: Inning he doesn't strike guys. Out but his walk rate
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 5: is really the. Concern his walk rate is way too.
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 5: High he's walking like one guy every two, winnings which
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 5: you cannot. Do and against the as his numbers are.
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 5: Bad eight at bats not a huge, sample but three
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 5: point fifty seven batting, average eleven to thirty four, ohps
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 5: seven to three strike out walk. Ratio none of those
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 5: numbers are that. GREAT i think over is the way
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 5: to go with this. GAME i don't like either starting.
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 5: PITCHER i mean both starting, pitchers, well both starting pitchers
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 5: might be worse than their era. Looks savali definitely, is
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 5: and the matchup numbers don't look particularly good for either of.
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 5: THEM i Know savally is a little bit, better but
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 5: the money's actually. Fading The a's eighty three percent of,
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 5: tickets seventy two percent of the cash on. Them they're
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 5: a favorite on the. Road bad times For anaheim Man.
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 5: Uh The a's are about minus one twenty on the.
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 5: Road BUT i Think over is the way to, go
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 5: even though he have eighty nine percent of tickets ninety
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 5: two percent of the cash on the over totals at
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 5: nine and a.
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 2: Half it's that high for a. Reason over would.
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 5: Be my lean in that, game BUT i don't like
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 5: it as much as some of those other. Ones so
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 5: you've got my plays and then my additional leans.
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 2: There let's go TO.
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 5: Wnba i'm actually gonna give out A wnba play. Here
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 5: even though the number has moved on the, Game we're
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 5: still gonna do. It it's going to be in the
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 5: late game though it's it's a really ugly. Game all
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 5: these games might be kind of. Ugly the second game
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 5: is a decent, matchup but the other two are, ugly
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 5: starting WITH Usa network having a double header here with
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 5: the first game.
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 2: Up Being portland At.
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 5: Indiana, Now indiana's only two and, two so the public
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 5: is probably gonna look at this and see That indiana
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 5: is a double digit favorite here and probably not gonna
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 5: want to lay the points With, Indiana like why would
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 5: you want to lay double digits with.
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 2: A two and two? Team?
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 5: Right but you, KNOW i Think indiana maybe give them
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 5: a pass for starting out a little bit slow because
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 5: Like clark And cunningham are both hurt to. Start they're
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 5: both hurt at the end of last, season so they
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 5: have to you, know regame their footing and chemistry or.
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 5: Whatever clark's been playing better. Recently they just won by
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 5: double digits Against. Seattle seattle is a bad, team but
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 5: STILL i think that, that's you, Know indiana's trending.
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 2: In the right direction.
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 5: Here that was a bounce back spot for them after
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 5: an ugly. Loss BUT i think they're trending in the right.
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 5: Direction this should be an easy game for them to.
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 5: WIN i think the only issue is maybe they start
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 5: looking ahead To Golden, state Because Golden state's a good,
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 5: team But, portland they're also two and. Two so again
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 5: people are gonna see the double digit spread here and,
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 5: think oh my, god to two and two. TEAMS i
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 5: want to take the huge underdog. Here how AM i
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 5: getting that many? Points, Well portland's not as good of a, team.
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 5: MAN i know they pulled off an upset against the
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 5: against The New York, liberty but they're only like one
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 5: of Their, yeah their only other wins Against.
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: Connecticut you, Know connecticut is possibly the worst team in the.
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 2: League so you're really gonna like my play THAT i have.
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 5: Tonight by the, Way, Yeah i'm not impressed by them
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 5: Beating connecticut by. One. Okay and now the problem For
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 5: portland is they have to travel away from home for
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 5: the first time this. Season they have not had a
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 5: road game yet this, season SO i think that's going
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 5: to be difficult for them to turn around two days
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 5: after their last game and have to play In. Indiana
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 5: indiana's definitely this significantly better. Team portland is, still you,
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 5: know kind of trying to figure it. Out like these
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 5: teams that had to go through an expansion, draft they
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 5: have to build up their. Chemistry it takes. TIME i
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 5: would lay the points With. Indiana it's not my play
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 5: but the money seems to be agreeing with. This portland
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 5: sixty three percent of, tickets sixty one percent of the.
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 5: Cash you have to lay thirteen, though or thirteen and
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 5: a half With, Indiana but that is the WAY i
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 5: would lean in that. Game and it's a pretty high,
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 5: total so more points are expected in that, game which
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 5: makes it easier for a team to cover a large.
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 5: Number dallas At chicago is the only really Competitive, well,
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 5: ACTUALLY i don't want to say. That the other game
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 5: should be competitive, too but this is the only competitive
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 5: game between good. Teams chicago's coming up a nice win Over,
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 5: minnesota although again it Was minnesota without call, here But,
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 5: chicago they look like a pretty decent team. Here, Man
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 5: they're three to one right. Now they've played all road
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 5: games so, far so this sets up an interesting scenario
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 5: where they've.
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 2: Been on the road for eleven twelve days whenever eleven.
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: Days so it is a return home.
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 5: Spot and you, KNOW i talk about this when a
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 5: team returns home from an actual long road.
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 2: Trip they have to get back to home. Life even
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i know this IS wnba we're talking.
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 5: About but STILL i think it is still a negative
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 5: returning on from a long road trip like, that you
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 5: can get. Distracted they Got minnesota on deck, again BUT
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 5: i think that would mean more if they just lost To.
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 5: Minnesota but the fact they beat, them maybe that makes
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 5: that a little bit less of a look. Ahead, STILL
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 5: i think it's a bit of a distracted spot. Here
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 5: but it is their home, opener so maybe they get
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 5: up for it because it's their first home. Game so
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 5: a couple of reasons WHY i don't really want to
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 5: fade them. Here maybe they get up for kind of
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 5: an Upstart dallas team that is gonna be probably a
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 5: decently competitive team this year with their draft picks that
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 5: they've made over the last couple of. SEASONS i, mean
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 5: they had one impressive win Over indiana so, far they
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 5: played all pretty competitive. Games though they almost Beat, atlanta
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 5: who's the pretty good. Team they almost Beat, minnesota who's
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 5: still pretty good even without their best, player and then
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 5: they Crushed. Washington So dallas's resume is not that. Bad
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 5: now they are starting a road. TRIP a lot of
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 5: times that is a focused spot when you start the road.
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 5: Trip BUT i don't love them coming off a blowout
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 5: either of. Them i'm gonna lean To dallas here BECAUSE
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 5: i THINK i would rather have the team starting a
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 5: road trip.
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 2: Than the team returning from.
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 5: One the money is disagreeing, though ninety ticket sixty six
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash On, dallas although they were they
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 5: open at one and a half and now they're laying.
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 5: Three though oddsmakers are telling you something With dallas laying
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 5: three points on the.
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 2: ROAD i don't know if there's an injury For chicago
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 2: or what the deal is.
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 5: There. Though chicago wasn't a good team last, year BUT
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 5: i think they're a decent team this. Year van Der
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 5: slute is still. Out she's one of their best, players
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 5: AND i don't think she's played this, year so that's
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 5: not really a huge.
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 2: Job, yeah she hasn't played yet this, year so that's.
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 5: Not a big change for. Them but, YEAH i mean
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 5: there are some injuries here on The chicago, side BUT
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 5: i would my opinion would be to lay the points With,
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 5: dallas BUT i don't really want to do, it and
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 5: that leaves my actual, play which is a real ugly
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 5: one In connecticut And.
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 2: Seattle this is the best bet for. ME i know
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 2: we're three and zero.
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 5: In THE wnba AND i would like to continue being.
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 5: Undefeated it's not possible BUT i do like the spot.
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 5: Here we're gonna Take, Connecticut, yep we're taking the worst
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 5: team in basketball here at plus one and a. Half
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 5: but the fact That seattle's only a one and a
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 5: half point, favorite that's telling you something Like seattle's really
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 5: on a downward. Spiral they're not very good this. YEAR i,
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 5: Know connecticut's a bad. Team why WOULD i want? Them
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 5: they're own five and you're basically asking them to win a. Game,
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 5: YEAH i, know BUT i like the situational set up.
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 5: Here connecticut has played a game finally on The West,
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 5: coast so they're on The west coast. Already they're only
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 5: going From portland To seattle, here so that's. Good that's
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 5: a decent. Sign connecticut As britney Grind. OR i, mean come, on,
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 5: man how bad could they? Be they have a dude
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 5: on their.
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 2: Team come, on But.
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 5: Connecticut, YEAH i, mean now that they're adjusted to The
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 5: pacific time, ZONE i.
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 2: Think that makes this a better. Spot and this is
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 2: a quick road revenge angle.
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 5: Because, yeah guess one On may, Tenth connecticut lost at
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 5: home To seattle eighty nine to eighty, Two SO i
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 5: Think seattle might not take them that, Seriously connecticut might
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 5: make some. Adjustments if you look at what happened in that,
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 5: Game connecticut could have won that. Game connecticut was actually
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 5: favored at home by one and a, half which you.
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 2: Know makes a kind of that basically makes sense based
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 2: on what this line is.
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 5: Here But seattle shot forty from three point, range so
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 5: that was a bit of an. OUTLIER i don't think
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 5: you're you're gonna see that happen, again SO i Think
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 5: seattle's gonna regress from three point.
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 2: Range seattle went to the line way. More they had
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 2: eleven more free throw attempts and they hit nine more free,
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 2: throws so that was an outlier as. WELL i think
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 2: we might see some regression From seattle there as.
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 5: Well connecticut shot kind of, normally But connecticut had way
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 5: more field goal. Attempts they had twelve more field goal
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 5: attempts in the, game made a couple, more and they
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 5: still lost the. Game so that kind of tells you
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 5: That connecticut probably should have been on the winning side
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 5: of this. Thing they had a lot of. Turnovers they're
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 5: gonna have to clean that, up but they lost the turnover.
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 5: Battle the one thing THAT i do like that's the
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 5: more predictable stat here Those connecticut won the rebounding battle by,
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 5: nine which makes sense if you Have griner in the middle.
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 5: There but, yeah that tells me That connecticut's the better
• 1:34:41
  Speaker 5: paint presence, team even though SOMEHOW i don't know How
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 5: seattle went to the line way, more because usually the
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 5: team that rebounds better is also the team that gets fouled,
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 5: more it goes to the line.
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 2: More that wasn't the.
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 5: Case BUT i like The connecticut out Rebounded. Seattle so
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 5: we have some shooting outliers here From, seattle a free throw,
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 5: disparity and then the rebounding indicator That connecticut was the better.
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 5: Team SO i like all. That so we have a
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 5: road revenge game. Here we have a, misleading misleading final.
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 5: Score in the first, game we Have, connecticut now being
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 5: adjusted to the time, zone probably hungry to get their first. Win.
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 5: SEATTLE i know people kind of think that they're a decent. Team,
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 5: obviously people think they're better Than, connecticut but they're not
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 5: a really good team this. Year. MAN i know they
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 5: played most of their games on the road so. Far
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 5: their only win was that win Against. Connecticut but they're
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 5: now returning.
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 2: Home from a road. Trip by the, Way seattle just.
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 5: Went To, Connecticut, Toronto, indiana and now they're returning home
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 5: to The west, coast so they're the team that actually
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 5: has to adjust to the time. Zone connecticut's already out,
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 5: There seattle's returning, home and they've been away for ten,
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 5: days so it is a return home spot For, connecticut
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 5: or excuse, me For seattle as, well so they're crossing
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 5: multiple time.
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 2: Zones they're returning home from the. ROAD i think that's
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 2: a bad, spot.
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 5: DUDE i think it's a tractive spot playing against the
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 5: team you already, beat a team that might be making
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 5: the adjustments against, you and they're coming up a game Against,
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 5: indiana which is a big, game even though they weren't
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 5: close to winning. It SO i would like this even
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 5: better If seattle had a close call Against, indiana which
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 5: they did. Not BUT i like the other aspects of.
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 5: This we're fading a team returning on from a road,
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 5: trip a team that might be a little bit.
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 2: Overrated it's road. Revenge, yeah the other team has the
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 2: way better travel, spot so let's do. It connecticut is
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: the play, here and the money seems like it.
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 5: Agrees seventy eight percent of tickets eighty eight percent of
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 5: the Casual. Connecticut, unfortunately the line open at three and
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 5: a half and now it's down to one and a.
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 2: Half it looks like it's some.
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 5: Books there might be some two's cropping back up, Though
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 5: SO i mean this, one you might be able to
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 5: wait and get a little bit of a better number on.
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 5: It but we're Getting connecticut as an underdog, Here SO
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 5: i like, that AND i would put some of the
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 5: bet on the money line as, well of, course because
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 5: that's WHAT i recommend when you play an, UNDERDOG i
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 5: recommend putting at least in that. Case, yeah ten percent
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 5: of it on the money line makes sense to. Me
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 5: usually that's WHAT i do when it's a small. SPREAD i,
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 5: mean when it's that small and there's a pretty good,
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 5: chance like if they, cover you know they're pretty much
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 5: winning out, right, Though so maybe a little bit more
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 5: of it might be in order for that. One BUT
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 5: i usually just do ten percent on the money line
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 5: when it's a, small small. Underdog when it's like a
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 5: double digit underdog or, GREATER i put like three percent
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 5: or less on, it all, RIGHT, nhl we do have
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 5: a Game vegas And colorado beginning their Series Western Conference
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 5: finals ON espn at EIGHT. PM i Think colorado is
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 5: gonna win the, series even THOUGH i Picked vegas in my.
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 2: Bracket vegas is not a good road. Team colorado is
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 2: a pretty big favorite. Here don't really think they're gonna
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 2: lose the.
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 5: Series colorado does have a little bit more time, off
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 5: but it's not that, much SO i don't think the
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 5: rust angle is really that big. Here colorado played On,
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 5: wednesday And i'm pretty Sure vegas played On, friday So
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 5: colorado has been off for a. Week vegas has been
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 5: off for five, days SO i don't think there's like
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 5: a big rest VERSUS russ thing. Here colorado did easily Beat.
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 5: MINNESOTA i think they would have struggled more Against, dallas, though.
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 2: Looking at the season series.
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 5: Here between the, two of, Course colorado has been really
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 5: good at Home vegas if you include overtime, Losses vegas is.
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 2: Not good on the. Road they're below five hundred on the.
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 5: Road i've included the overtime, losses but what Has vegas
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 5: done on the road during the playoffs is something to.
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 5: Consider they're actually four and two on the road in
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 5: the playoffs, though so that's actually.
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 2: Better So vegas has actually done well in the playoffs
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 2: on the.
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 5: Road but of, Course COLORADO i think has won every
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 5: home game during the. Playoffs they swept The kings and then,
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 5: yeah they won all three home. Games, yeah all three
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 5: home games Against. Minnesota So colorado's five and zero at.
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 5: Home so that's so they're not bad at. Home let's
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 5: just put it that. Way and if we look at
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 5: the season, Series colorado.
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 2: Did have the upper.
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 5: Hand during the season, series they only played three, times
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 5: And colorado won two of the. Three but the only
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 5: game they lost Was april, eleventh and you, know at that,
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 5: Point colorado had the like the number one seed already wrapped,
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 5: Up i'm pretty, sure so they really didn't need to
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 5: win that, game SO i don't think they really cared
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 5: about that. Game and still The knights had to win
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 5: that game in, overtime so that's not a good. Sign
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 5: and then the other that was At. Colorado the other
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 5: two games were both At, vegas and The avs won
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 5: both of, them although one of them was gonna. Shootout
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 5: BUT i dug into the box score here In colorado
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 5: was better in both, Games like they were the better
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 5: statistical team in both. Games SO i don't think this
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 5: is a particularly good matchup For, vegas even THOUGH i
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 5: did pick them to win in.
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 2: My, bracket BUT i was also that was at the
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 2: start of the, playoffs you, know where you were considering
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 2: The coloramo loose.
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 5: To dallas or if it might be the. Case, YEAH i,
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 5: Mean i'm gonna leave this game. ALONE i don't want
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 5: anything to do with. It both teams with big. LAYOFFS
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 5: i THINK i would lean under in this game is
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 5: probably the WAY i would. Go eighty seven percent of,
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 5: tickets eighty six percent of the cash on the, over
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 5: so the money seems to.
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 2: Agree total is, six but you know how dangerous that
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 2: is with the empty nets and.
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 5: Whatever if you wanted to go like first period, under
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 5: that makes Some that might make some sense there because
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 5: both teams might come out slow on offense because they're
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 5: both really. Rested you, know the REST i think helps
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 5: the defense and it negatively impacts the. Offense, Typically colorado's
• 1:40:31
  Speaker 5: also a pretty big. Favorite LIKE i, said they're in
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 5: the minus one ninety range. Here the money is fading
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 5: them a little. Bit eighty six percent of, tickets only
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 5: eighty five percent of the cash on. THEM i don't
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 5: know IF i really see, it, Though i'm gonna wait
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 5: and see how the series starts playing out and try
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 5: to find some like zig zag spots and, whatever but
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 5: not gonna be a play for. Me and then we
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 5: HAVE Nba San Antonio Oklahoma City game. Two this GAME
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 5: nbc And peacock eight THIRTY. PM i thought Oklaham Is
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 5: city was gonna play better in game. One you, KNOW
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 5: i USUALLY i like the zigzag, Right like when the
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 5: home favorite loses in game, one they're usually a really
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 5: really good playing game two because you cannot fall down
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 5: two losing both games at home and have to go
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 5: on the.
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 2: Road you just can't do, it you know WHAT i.
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 5: Mean Oklahoma city's best game Against San antonio was a
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 5: double digit win at. Home the only time they beat.
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 5: Them they had A cup game in, there WHICH i
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 5: think didn't really, matter although San antonio won that. One
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 5: the one really bad thing About Oklahoma city is they
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 5: had a zigzag spot Against San antonio during the rego
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 5: season where they were favored by about seven or seven
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 5: and a half at, home AND i gave that out
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 5: as a play on my. SHOW i think it was On,
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 5: christmas and, okay, see didn't even win that. Game they lost,
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 5: Outright so there is a problem, here San antonio looks
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 5: like they have a matchup edge Over Oklahoma.
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 2: City that is my worry.
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 5: Here, Man it's LIKE okac cannot stop San. Antonio but
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 5: here's the thing about San. Antonio though they're coming off,
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 5: adult they're coming up a double overtime, game and San antonio.
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 2: Overworked all of their.
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 5: Starters So Oklahoma city has a depth, edge and that
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 5: might help them in this. Series Oklahoma city runs like
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 5: ten guys out, there whereas San antonio is basically playing
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 5: like primarily five and Like wemby played like forty nine
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 5: minutes in that, game you know WHAT i. Mean So
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 5: Oklahoma city is going to at some point be a
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 5: bit more rested than San antonio is because San antonio
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 5: has a less deep, rotation so.
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 2: They're overworking their. STARTERS i.
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 5: Guess the one good thing for San antonio is That
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 5: fox didn't, play which made no sense actually Because fox
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 5: played at the end of The minnesota. Series but he's,
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 5: INJURED i don't, know and he didn't play In game
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 5: one and they still. Won but if he comes, BACK
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 5: i think that's gonna be a bit of a, negative
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 5: to be, Honest Like fox is one of their better, players,
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 5: obviously but you know WHAT i talk, about when when
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 5: an injured player comes, BACK a lot of times that's
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 5: a problem because you have to work back into the. Rotation,
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 5: now the good thing is he's going to be fresh
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 5: because he didn't play in game, one so they will
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 5: have rested one of their best players will be rested
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 5: coming into the.
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 2: Game he is. QUESTIONABLE i think he is going to.
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 5: PLAY i, mean would you really sit one of your
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 5: best players for the first two games of the conference.
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 5: FINALS i don't think they, Would SO i think he
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 5: is going to. Play but, again that could kind of
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 5: mess with their, chemistry you know WHAT i. Mean but
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 5: the good thing is he'll be. Fresh that'll give him
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 5: a fresh body out. THERE i know that sounds, bad but,
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 5: yeah SO i think there is a rest Edge Troklahoma
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 5: city here because they have a deeper, rotation so they
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 5: didn't overwork their starters Like San antonio. Did Jalen Williams
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 5: Roklahoma city looks like he's kind of still, injured even
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 5: though he hit a couple of key three pointers near
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 5: the end of that game, There but he looks like
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 5: he is still like he still has a hamstring. Issue
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 5: but he did still play pretty. WELL i don't know
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 5: if he's injured in this game or. Not let me say,
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 5: no he's not even on the injury, reports so apparently he's. Playing,
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 5: now if we look at the box, score you, know
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 5: that's WHAT i. Do you gotta look at the box.
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 5: Score The spurs led the majority of the, game But
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 5: Oklahoma city could have won that. GAME i Think wemby
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 5: hit like a half court shot to even send the
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 5: game into double. Overtime i'm pretty sure The spurs were
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 5: winning by three at the very end of, OVERTIME i, believe,
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 5: Right i'm pretty sure that was the, case or ECUSE
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 5: okc was WINNING i, Thought AM i wrong about? That
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 5: and maybe it was the end of, REGULATION i don't.
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 5: Know i'm pretty SURE okac was about to win the
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 5: game And wemby hit a. Three, ACTUALLY i think it
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 5: was right, here, yeah, this, YEAH i think this was.
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 5: It right, Here, yeah it was at the end of
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 5: the first. Overtime wemby hit like a half court shot
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 5: that Saved San antonio had sent the game into double
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 5: ot and THEN i told you a double. Otem Oklahoma
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 5: city kept getting back to within one, point and then
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 5: every time they gave up an and one To San.
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 5: ANTONIO i don't, know but if we look at the box,
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 5: score you, know there weren't really that many outliers. Here
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 5: San antonio did go to the free throw line more
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 5: so that is a little bit of an outlier that
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 5: they were plus eleven from the free throw.
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 2: Line SO i do expect that to regress a little.
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 5: Bit but the problem Is San antonio is kind of
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 5: dominant on the interior because they Have, wemby and nobody
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 5: really has an answer for. That and this is the
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 5: PROBLEM i. Have San antonio was plus twenty one in.
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 5: Rebounds they lost the turnover battle and they still, won
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 5: and they, dude when a team dominates the rebound battle like,
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 5: that there's a.
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 2: Problem SO i don't really want to Play Oklahoma city.
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 5: Here even THOUGH i THINK i am gonna still lean
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 5: To Oklahoma city to cover in this, GAME i don't
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 5: want to do. IT i have too many concerns about
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 5: the match up. Here, MAN i don't know What i'm
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 5: gonna do about the. Series you, KNOW i might wait
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 5: to see maybe IF okac wins a game in a
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 5: blowout or, something and come back and Play San. ANTONIO
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 5: i don't. KNOW i don't know HOW i want to
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 5: play this. Series but, yeah San antonio led eighty one
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 5: percent of that. Game they dominated the. Rebounds, YES i
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 5: think their free throw shooting will. REGRESS i Expect Oklahoma
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 5: city to get more calls this. Time, also San antonio
• 1:46:16
  Speaker 5: is not gonna shoot ninety three percent from the free throw. Line, Again,
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 5: WEMBY i think it was like eleven for twelve from
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 5: the free throw. Line he is, good but AN nba
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 5: team is not gonna shoot ninety percent as a team
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 5: from the free throw line. Consistently And, okay, see by the,
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 5: way did have more field goal attempts in the, game
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 5: not by much but by a little, bit so they
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 5: definitely could have won that, game although San antonio was
• 1:46:40
  Speaker 5: actually the better team in the. Game so that is
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 5: what worries. ME i do lean To Oklahoma. City, still
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 5: they're laying six and a. Half the number is headed towards,
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 5: seven so the money is still coming in On okay
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 5: seeing the numbers about where it was last, game except
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 5: that last game it closed at five and a half
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 5: and now it's already at six and a half against
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 5: the osmakers are kind of figuring the zigzag into.
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 2: This fifty percent of tickets fifty two percent of the
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 2: cash on ok. Scene, uh the total looks like it's
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 2: a little bit lower.
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 5: Here let me see what was in game, one BECAUSE
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 5: i was considering maybe an under here because the first
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 5: game should have gone way.
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 2: Under the under was correct in game. One, Uh like
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 2: the teams were tied at one oh, THREE i, think
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 2: so the.
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 5: Game was like double digits under the total at the
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 5: end of, regulation AND i believe the game was still
• 1:47:32
  Speaker 5: under at the end of the first, overtime but it
• 1:47:35
  Speaker 5: went two overtimes and it wound up going over because
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 5: it went two. Overtimes so that was a really bad.
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 5: Beat if you had the, under you absolutely had the correct.
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 5: Total play on the under. There, uh the total was
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 5: two nineteen and a. Half and, yeah that's kind of
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 5: the problem WHERE i kind of like the under because of,
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 5: that because the total was the final score was misleadingly
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 5: high because it went into double. Overtime but now you're
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 5: looking at two sixteen here to sixteen and a, half
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 5: so the total has dropped three points coming into this,
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 5: Game SO i don't love. That, like there's not as
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 5: much value on the under as there would have. Been
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 5: we have seventy two, tickets seventy three percent of the
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 5: cash on the. Under the other thing THAT i don't
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 5: like IS i don't like the under in game two as.
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 5: Much in game, one the under is a better play
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 5: usually because sometimes the teams will come out cold after
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 5: having like a long layoff or. Whatever the team's, arrested
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 5: so you get better defense colder. Offense but now you're
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 5: on a quick turnaround. Time the under actually hits less
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 5: in game two than it does in game, one SO
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 5: i don't love that. Either so that actually is a
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 5: little bit of an argument for the, Over like you
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 5: might be getting a little bit of value now going
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 5: back and flipping it and going with the over. Here
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 5: BUT i don't really want to do that. EITHER i,
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 5: mean we have two really good defenses yere, too SO
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 5: i don't. Know but the the other thing about the
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 5: over that might help those that we're coming off a
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 5: double overtime game, here, right so that means you're gonna
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 5: have tired, legs especially On San antonio's, side the defenses
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 5: might be a little bit tired, here. Man so, actually,
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 5: YEAH i probably due lean over in this, game even
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 5: though the score is misleadingly high in game. One but,
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 5: Yeah i'm not gonna play this, game and that's gonna do.
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 4: It.
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 2: Man those are my thoughts on all the games.
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 5: Today the plays we do have are first five under
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 5: In Red, Sox royals under the, four first five under
• 1:49:25
  Speaker 5: the four In Dodgers, padres and then we HAVE Wnba
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 5: Connecticut sun plus the one and a half or maybe
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 5: wait and get a little bit of a better number on.
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 5: That possibly that's gonna do. It and, then LIKE i,
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 5: said my other OPINIONS i guess in baseball real quick
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 5: Were hold, on what DID i even have for my
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 5: other baseball? Opinions i'm trying to close all these windows.
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 5: Here my other opinions in baseball Were minnesota split bet
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 5: and run line money, Line giants and D backs over the,
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 5: Total Atlanta miami first five under and, YEAH i don't.
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 5: KNOW i think those are the best other three THAT
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 5: i had that are not on my. Card so that's
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 5: gonna do.
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 2: It learn It toad On.
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 5: Twitter you can subscribe to me. There that helps me
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 5: out if you want to throw me some. Support learn
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 5: It toad On instagram for the short form betting. Content
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 5: all of our plays are night place, tonight so we're
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 5: skipping the afternoon board.
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 4: Like.
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 5: It subscribe to the channel. Here obviously we are going.
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 5: Up we've got some new, subscribers so let's keep it. Up.
• 1:50:28
  Speaker 2: MAN i appreciate. It, Welcome thanks. EVERYBODY i Know i'm
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 2: hard to listen. To my voice is. Abrasive i'm massively,
• 1:50:36
  Speaker 2: autistic you. Know but we're on a hot run. Here
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 2: hopefully we can we can continue. It hopefully this info is.
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 2: Good like, it, subscribe, man tell everybody about.
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 5: It we're on audio as, Well Apple, spotify so go
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 5: listen over, there give me good reviews over. There covered
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 5: in you because my yuke channel on YouTube that's going
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 5: up a little bit in the viewership as.
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 2: Well can go check that.
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 5: Out patreon dot, com slash learn it toad for some
• 1:50:59
  Speaker 5: extra off and to throw me some, support give, me you,
• 1:51:02
  Speaker 5: know some you, know if you want to just support
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 5: me BECAUSE i do this And i'm trying to make
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 5: you money here And i've been doing that for, you
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 5: so you, know consider. It and Then Loser cast we
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 5: had a new episode last.
• 1:51:15
  Speaker 2: Night it was.
• 1:51:15
  Speaker 5: FUN i think it was pretty funny for the most.
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 5: PART i think my loser pick was not really the.
• 1:51:20
  Speaker 5: BEST i just didn't really have a good idea for,
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 5: one so it was probably my.
• 1:51:24
  Speaker 2: Worst That i'm. Picked it's not. Good The White White
• 1:51:28
  Speaker 2: Women grilling was was my.
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 5: Pick and then The giants G spot podcast for The
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 5: New York giants That i'm on will be back at some,
• 1:51:37
  Speaker 5: POINT i, think but it might be after The Libertarian
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 5: convention at this point Because, ben my co, host is
• 1:51:44
  Speaker 5: gonna is involved with that and he's got some stuff
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 5: going on with, That so that's gonna do. IT i appreciate. It,
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 5: everybody have a Good.
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 2: Wednesday, peace but.
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 4: Don't you go.
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: Quiet don't you play it from the flow your, name
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 1: steal me something, new some boy it for.
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 4: Show put the glass, down, baby.
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 2: Look at, me nic.
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 1: Hold, on.
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 3: Hold, on nothing nice up, now hold.
• 1:52:18
  Speaker 4: On hold, on let me pull you that bites, hot
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 4: but it don't get the.
• 1:52:32
  Speaker 1: Crown hold, on hold on and stay with me now