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Iran War -- One Week Evaluation | Yaron Brook Show · Yaron Brook Show

• 0:02
  Speaker 1: A lot of fundamental principles. I'll flo lational, self interest
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: and individual wise. This is the your Own Brook Show.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: Oh right, everybody, welcome to your own book show on
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: this Saturday, March seventh. I and you missed me. I
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: miss you. I miss you guys. Glad to be back,
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: as you can see, back in my studio in Puerto Rico.
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: So that is good. Hopefully all those technical issues that
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: we had for a couple of days in London history
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: now and we can we can go back to normal,
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: all right. Uh, So today we're gonna talk about you
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: on We're gonna uh basically give you a rundown of
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: where we are I think we are. And then I
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: want to focus in on two big strategic problems that
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: I see. Is that shockingly and head scratchingly uh unexplainingly,
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the word is. Uh, the Trumpet
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: administration does not seem to be prepared for. So we'll
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: talk about two big strategic problems the Trumpe administration seems
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: to have dropped the ball on and uh and where
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: we go from here? But but so we'll do we'll
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: do both those things. Of course, I will take your questions,
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: you get shaped the show. You ask questions, I answer
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: them on any topic you want. We will have a
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: show tomorrow where we will talk about more news from
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: Youan I issue will be available tomorrow, but then we'll
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: also talk about a few other issues like h Tucker
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: Colson's latest dougin Is influence on the American right, and
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: maybe one or two other topics. We'll see, We'll see
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: what comes up, but certainly, Iwan Dugin Tucker is part
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: of the show for tomorrow, probably same time as today,
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: maybe an earlier, but no, probably the same time as today.
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: So well, I'll definitely post about that tomorrow. All right.
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: Jonathan CP Milkan, thank you for the sticker, and Amen,
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: one hundred dollars sticker. Really really appreciate that. Thank you, Amen,
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: and Jacob, thank you for your sticker. Really appreciate the support. Guys.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: Thank you. All right, So let's let's jump in on
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: what we are on this day. What is the day
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  Speaker 1: eight I think basically of this of this war, and
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: what have we learned? Well, A lot of what we
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: learned is stuff that at least some of us already new.
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: We certainly have learned that ewan is A has no
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  Speaker 1: significant military power, that it is. It is. It never
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: was a formidable military you know power. It was assumed
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: that they had this mighty ability be force and oh,
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: you know, be careful. United States are upsetting this giant.
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: It's a paper tiger. It's not even a tiger. It's
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: not even paper. There's there's no there there. They can
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: lob stupid missiles, and they do have a lot of drones,
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  Speaker 1: but that's about it. They have no other military capability.
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: And of course they ring a fire. It was destroyed
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: by Israel. So they don't have sib and Rizabella and
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: the juties and all these. You know, they have a
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: little bit of Risbella and a little bit of the hoot.
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: These duties are still not joined because they're afraid, I
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: think and and Risbella did join and they're probably regretting
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: it because it's gone all the wrong way for them.
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: We'll talk about that in a little bit. So, yes,
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  Speaker 1: we never had a fear of them. This receeve should
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: have been taken out decades ago. There's all there there.
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, they should have been the target of American
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: phone policy after nine to eleven. So yes, this is
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: we're seeing it in a day to day basis that
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: there's nothing there, you know, and and so that's the
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: big lesson. We also seeing the vast superiority of US
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: and Israeli technology and force dominance, just dominance. So right
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: now Israel and the United States have complete air dominance.
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: Over ran the Iran air defense system has been completely neutralized.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: It's suddenly in the western and central part of you On.
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: There's very little attempt to go into the eastern part
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: of you On. Maybe there's still some functioning air defense
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: systems over there, but I doubt it. Israel in the
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: United States now can basically attack any target they want,
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: at whatever pace they want, with whatever weapons system they want. So,
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: for example, there were days last week that the United
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: States was flying B fifty two's B fifty twos, those
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: old B fifty twos into combat and bombing assets, bombing locations.
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  Speaker 1: The B fifty two is not stealth. The B fifty
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: two is incredibly slow, The B fifty two is unbelievably
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  Speaker 1: vulnerable to very basic defense systems. And the fact that
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  Speaker 1: the United States felt confident enough to enter the space
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: or the B fifty two tells you everything you need
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  Speaker 1: to know in terms of the fact that they have
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: dominant superiority. They basically have nothing to fear when they're
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: flying in there from anything. The Uranian air force is
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: non existent and the air defense systems incapacitated, so complete
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: air superiority dominance. They've also the United States b twos
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: and b ones. The difference between B twos and b
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  Speaker 1: ones I have learned is the b ones are not
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  Speaker 1: stealth and B twos are stealth, So B twos are stealth.
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: B twos you use when there is significant air defenses
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: or you're not sure. B Ones are very fast, not
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: like to be fifty two, but they're not stealth, so
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: they are challenged for a defense systems, but it can
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: be taken out if it's a robusted defense system. They've
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: used both b ones and B twos to carry big bombs,
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: and B fifty two's big bombs, many cases bunker busting bombs.
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: They've used those bombs primarily on the large ballistic missile
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: storage facilities and launch pads that the Iranians have tucked
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: into deep, deep, deep tunnels in the mountains. And what
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: these bombs are doing is it's not so much that
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: they're penetrating and blowing up the missiles is they're basically
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: blocking the entrances. They're blowing up the entrance to the
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: tunnels so that the Ranians can't access all of their
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: ballistic missiles. They have all these ballistic missiles that they produced,
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: they're all in these well defended you know, uh tunnels
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: that that that nobody can bomb because they're so deep underground.
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: But if you take out the entrance, can't get the
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: can't get the missile out, it's useless. It's also the
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: case that those are the platforms where they can launch
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  Speaker 1: multiple missiles at the same time, versus the mobile launches
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: which move around, which can launch one missile at the time.
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  Speaker 1: Mobile launch is harder to destroy orthough Israel in the
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  Speaker 1: United States have destroyed most of them, but the the
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: static ones outside of these deep, deep tunnels, they're the
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: ones that can launch large quantities. That's what these big
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: bombs are being used for those launches, the tunnel openings.
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: And you can see it in in the in the
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  Speaker 1: in the numbers, I mean, it's truly stunning. On Day
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: one of the war, the Ranians lost launched three hundred
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  Speaker 1: and fifty ballistic missiles at Israel and Gulf States countries.
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  Speaker 1: Day two hundred and seventy five, so exactly half day
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  Speaker 1: three hundred and twenty, Day four fifty, day five, forty,
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  Speaker 1: day six thirty two, Day seven, twenty eight, and day
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  Speaker 1: eight fifteen. So we've gone from a beverage of three
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  Speaker 1: hundred and fifty missiles ballistic missiles, which you know, a
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  Speaker 1: very small percentage of them actually make it, but three
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: hundred and fifty small percentage, three undred and fifty. You know,
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  Speaker 1: if just you know, five percent of them make it,
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  Speaker 1: that's let's say eighteen, that could do a lot of damage.
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: Now that's dropped to fifteen. Now maybe one a day
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  Speaker 1: will drop. Everybody over the last week has been panicking,
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: Oh my god. You know, Golf States and Israel are
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: running out of interceptors, they're running out of Patriot missiles,
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: they're running of THAD missiles. You know, the United States
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: can keep producing. I mean, generally the last week is
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: being characterized and still is characterized by this pessimism. US
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: can't win, they can't do regime change. We'll get to
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: regime change later. They can't do they can't defend the
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: Golf States, they can't defend Israel. They're going to be
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: overwhelmed by the Iranian missiles. They don't have enough interceptors.
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  Speaker 1: They can't produce them. This is a sign of American weakness.
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  Speaker 1: I mean, God, they're looking at a different war than
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  Speaker 1: I am. The reality is that the United States doesn't
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  Speaker 1: need many interceptors because they've destroyed the capacity of the
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  Speaker 1: Ranians to launch. And if the Ranians were launching three
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  Speaker 1: hundred and fifty every single day and continuing definitely, then yeah,
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  Speaker 1: the US and his allies whatever problem. But the beauty
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  Speaker 1: of this is that if they're only launching fifteen a day, interceptors,
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  Speaker 1: less of an issue, less of an issue. Got enough
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  Speaker 1: interceptors for that probably last a long, long long time,
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  Speaker 1: both in the Gulf States and in Israel on fifteen
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  Speaker 1: missiles a day. Now, Israel has a problem with the Risbela.
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  Speaker 1: It has to deal with that as well. But Israel
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  Speaker 1: has other capabilities. They have I Dome, they have the
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: laser system to deal with what Krisbela is doing. But
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: the Iranian ballistic missiles, and some of them really really
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: fast and very destructive, those are basically being handled by
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: the Patriot systems. That that systems, the arrow systems, and
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: there's plenty of interceptors. So this pessimism that the mainstream
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  Speaker 1: media and so many people online expressing it just doesn't
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: make any sense. It's it's the same people who before
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: the war said, oh, the mighty Iranian military will inflict
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: these incredible incredit thousands of Americans will die. I mean,
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: it's sad that we've got what five six Americans died,
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: and it's sad that six Americans died, but six Americans
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  Speaker 1: in eight days of war where America is dominating the
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: way it is, and you think that the media would
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: would shift away from its total dominant pessimism to and
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: reflect a slightly more realistic which means optimistic view, Yeah,
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: you're not going to get that, unfortunately. So anyway, missile
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: missiles way way way down. Now the bigger challenges right
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: now not so much for Israel. It's well, it's not
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: challenged by this are drones. The reason Israel is not
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: challenged by the drones is it takes a long time
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: for the drones to get to is and that means
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: there's a long time to shoot them down. And you
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  Speaker 1: can shoot down with helicopters, with planes, with lasers, with
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: you know, air defense systems, and the Jordanian Air Force
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  Speaker 1: is participating and others are participating in shooting down the
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: drones heading towards Israel. The challenge for the drones really
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: is for the Gulf States on the eastern side or
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  Speaker 1: the western side of the of the of the of
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: the Gulf, of the Persian Gulf, the eastern side of
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  Speaker 1: the Arabian Peninsula. They are very close to Iran, so
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  Speaker 1: it takes the drones very little time to get there.
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  Speaker 1: They can fly very low, they can evade radar that way,
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  Speaker 1: and it's it's a real challenge for them to detect
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: the drones and to shoot them down. So the drones
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  Speaker 1: are a challenge for the Golf States, and it's also
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: very expensive right now to shoot down the drords. And
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: here as an example of the Trump's administration is just
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  Speaker 1: cluelessness when it comes to strategic thinking. Everybody knew. Everybody
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: knows that the Ranians have vast quantities of drones and
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: have a lot of drone productive capacity. Now we'll see
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: in a minute that even that is overstated. I just
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: overstated it. But everybody knew this, and you would have
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: thought you would have prepared for it with some kind
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: of technological solution to down these drones. Now, I don't
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: think the United States has any laser, you know, weapon
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: ready defense system ready to deploy. They're testing, they're still
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: testing them, and they've got them. They've got them shooting
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: down drones above New Mexico. But I don't think they're
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: ready to deploy them in a in battle. They need
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: to be quickly. The drone stuff is stuff that we
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: need to really get caught up on, not so much
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: because of Yawn, but because of China potential conflict with China.
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: But you know who has really really good anti drone
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: tech and I mean no, I'm sorry our friend. Supposely
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: the Ukrainians. Ukrainians are really good with drones. They know
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: how to shoot down. They have hundreds of drones attacking
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: them every single day. They figured it out. They have
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: cheap ways of taking out vast numbers of drones. You know,
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: a strategic defense department would have talked to Ukrainians before
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: engaging in this war, maybe would have even purchased some
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: of those assets, maybe secretly, and brought them to the
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: Gulf States and deployed them there. Now right now, the
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: Golf States themselves a frantically turning to Ukraine to buy
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: drone defense systems, frantically turning to Ukraine to buy drones,
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: offensive drones so they can attack as well as defend. Yeah,
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is all is coming to shock to
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: everybody when everybody in the Golf States should be blamed
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: here too, But the Americans, you know, the ones driving this,
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: the Americans and the the Golf States should have known
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: this in advance and prepared, you would think, and sadly
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: they did not. But even here there's ultimately there is
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: good news because on day one of the war, the
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: Iranians launched two hundred and ninety four drones against primarily
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: the Golf States but also Israel. On day two they
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: launched five hundred and forty one drones. So they increased
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: the number of drones significantly as their ballistic missiles shrunk
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: in half. But then after day two they shrink dramatically.
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: So day three, two hundred, day four, eighty five, day five,
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: forty five, day six, thirty eight, day seven, thirty, day
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: eight twelve. So on day eight, I think that's today,
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: we've had fifteen ballistic missiles and twelve drones. Pretty pathetic
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: for this mighty, mighty Uranian force and very manageable. We'll
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: see other ways in which the fact that the Uranians
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: still have drones is problematic. But look, the Israelis and
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: the Americans are destroying drone manufacturing capabilities. They're destroying the
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: bases in which the drones are stored. They destroyed a
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: drone aircraft carrier, a carrier for drones in the navy. Basically,
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: the United States has destroyed much of the Iranian Navy
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: does not exist anymore, so drone launch a down not
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: Also in terms of bolistic themselves and drones that Israel.
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: You know, most of these weapons have not been targeted
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: at Israel, and the main reason is Israel's very good
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: at shooting them down, and Israel is far. It's much
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: more difficult to shoot down either ballistic miss drone if
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: you don't have any time, if it's really really fast,
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: and that means if it's really really close. So, for example,
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: the UAE United Arabam Rights Dubai is one of them,
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: had eight hundred and sixty three drones and missiles targeted
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: at them, Quit five hundred and sixty two, Katta one
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: sixty two, Bahrain one twenty nine. Israel only one hundred
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: and thirteen, and then Jordan forty cyplus five Oman to
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: Saudi Arabia two and then one I guess went to
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: Tokey and a couple went to Azerbaijan. But very little,
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: you know, relatively speaking in terms of what one would expect.
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: Now this is this is a few days old, so
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: this is earlier in the week. These numbers are all higher,
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: but the trend, the general trend is the same. I
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: think many more in Saudi Arabia now. And but Israel
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: a steady, very steady, low drip, very low quantities of
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: missile shot at Israel and drones again they don't reach
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: as well, they're not damaging. The drones from Risbala in
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: Lebanon are going to do damage to Israel because of
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: the show distance. But again Israel has the iron dome
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: and it has the laser system, so Israel is well
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: equipped to deal with whatever Risbella sins at them. All right,
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: So let's see, So where we got complete oil dominance,
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: huge humongous, massive reductions in missile and drone attacks the
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: United States and Israel, other than continuing to pound any
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: kind of missile facility, drone factories, any and bases where
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: they might launch drones and going after mobile launchers. They
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: probably hit more than fifty percent of all the mobile
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: launches that the Uranians have. They shifted towards the end
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: of the week, and I think I mentioned this, They
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: shifted towards a targeting regime regime installations, particularly those regime
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: installations that used by forces that the Ranians used to
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: oppress and suppress their own people. Uh, and maybe going
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: after this particularly Tehran, but also needs to fund in
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: other places, uh, just pounding these uh these uh you know,
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: GC installations basedge and other police stations and things like that,
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: just to try to take out the soldiers and the
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: facilities and the command and control that would suppress a
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: a an uprising by the people if they rose up
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: against the regimes. So that has been happening and it
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: continues to happen, uh, you know, to some extent. They
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: they started shifting the day before yesterday to attacking these
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: kind of installations along the Iraqi border where Iran and
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: along and within the Kurdish areas in anticipation of a
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: potential Kurdish uprising, military uprising and actually incursion by Kodes
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: from Iraq into Iran as boots on the ground. Now,
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: we'll get to that issue in a few minutes, about
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: how possible, how likely that is, and what effect that
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: might have. Let's see commander control destroyed. I don't know
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: if you saw the attack on the bunker underneath Hameni's headquarters,
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: which was attacked the first day, but then the bunker
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: was attacked a few days ago, supposedly fifty Israeli apcraft,
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: hundreds of munitions. This something goes deep, deep down. How
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: to tell who is killed there? We're not getting a
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: lot of reports of which leaders are killed. We know
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: the president are still alive. We know that this council
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: that is running things, they are still alive. Not clear
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: who are the dead, the Iranian or not. Iranians are
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: not disclosing. It is interesting that Homony's funeral really really
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: important in Islam. To have that funeral quickly has not
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: happened yet. They're afraid. They're afraid that during the funeral
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: is Or will attack and take out the leadership that
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: attends the funeral, so the funeral is not being held anyway.
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: Is only the United States destroying and undermining the command
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: and control capabilities of the Ranians Again, They've decapitated much
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: of the leadership, but now they need to keep doing
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: that with the lower levels of leadership and with any
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: kind of I mean, the reality is that Iran is
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: pretty resilient. It has a system just like Hamas, just
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: like he's Ballah. They have a system where the decision
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: making just gets pushed down to lower levels as you
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: decapitate the top. And even if you disrupt command and control,
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: units function independently, and a lot out of the argument
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: right now is that a lot of the missiles and
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: drones are being fired not through the command and control,
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: not through leadership, but through independent entities. And today, for example,
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: the president of Iran not the supreme leader, the president's
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: room leader. They have an appointed one. But the president
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: came on and apologized to the Golf States for all
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: the attacks on them, saying that it was rogue units
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: of the Islamic Revolutionary God that we're attacking these Golf States.
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: Now within an hour, the islomach evolutionary God said, don't
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: pay any attention to the president. He doesn't know what
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: we're talking he's talking about. This has always been the plan,
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: and generally the presidency used to be marginalized, which is
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: good to see because you're seeing the first cracks in
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: the system. You're seeing the first explicit you know, out
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: there conflicts among Iranian leadership. And that is a very
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: very good sign for the future, that is, for the
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: potential for what might happen in the days and weeks
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: to come. All Right, let's see what else do I
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: want to say? So we talked about the kods. We'll
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: talk more about the coods in a minute. All right,
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: one more topic really here, and then I'll get to
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: the two strategic issues that I think are real weaknesses
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: that the Americans have and these releas have, but primarily
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: the Americans, because these are things that the Americans would
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: have been responsible for and seem to have defaulted completely on.
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: It is always dealing with the fact that Risbela has
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: entered the Fray and is shooting missiles from and drones
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: from Lebanon. Now, the numbers are very low as compared
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: to what was feared, you know, before is Well took
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: out Krisbela a couple of years ago. There's always this
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: sphere of thousands of missiles. At some point Risbela had
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: one hundred and four thousand missiles that they could shoot
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: at Israel. Israel's depleted that dramatically. I have to say,
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: I think that the Israelis are pretty happy with the
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: fact that Risbela's joined because they see it as the
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: ultimate opportunity to take them out, finish them completely, and
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: destroy them thoroughly. And indeed, the Lebanese government seems to
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: be cooperating with that idea the union. The Lebanese government
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: has declared the it's declared Risbeala military wing is illegal.
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: The Lebanese a Justice minister announced that he's going to
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: request the arrest of Risbola's secretary general named Kassam, which
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: is pretty amazing. This would not be even thought of
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: just just a couple of weeks ago. The Lebanese have
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: also basically kicked out, kicked out, basically announced that the
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: Islamic Revolutionary God which is been stationed and you are
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: in Lebanon for years, for decades really and runs Grisbellah,
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: they are unwelcome in Lebanon and unless they leave the
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: country they will be arrested. And they have all evacuated Lebanon.
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: So Lebanon is becoming a good place, you know, in
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: a place that's Antihisbela. And this is what Israel wants
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: is it wants Lebanon to turn against Gisbella, to ultimately
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: have its own military and ultimately hopefully sign a peace
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: deal with Israel where Rizbela is completely defanged. And I
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: think we're moving slowly in that direction. In the meantime,
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: Israel is occupying land in southern Lebanon to create a
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: buffer zone between the Grisbela and its civilian population in
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: northern Israel. It is also bombing Grisbela facilities. About four
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: hundred thousand plus people have been basically asked to leave
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: their homes. Most of the population of southern Lebanon south
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: of the Litani have been asked to go north of
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: Lily Tani. I think I showed you once years ago
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: a map of Lebanon. There's this river that flows through
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: southern Lebanon, and it's it's it's kind of a natural
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: you know, uh uh kind of everything south of the
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: Lily Tani is very very close to Israel uh And
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: and Israel considers that as a security belt and would
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: like to see that demilitarized, so as in a past
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: occupied that territory. And so Isael's basically going to make
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: sure that Gasbella doesn't exist south of Li Tani will
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: see what actions it takes to achieve that. H But
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: then in Bay Roots they basically told the entire neighborhood
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: in south Bay Root that is occupied by sites primarily
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: back as Grisbela to leave, to get out of there.
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: Then they're gonna bomb freely, and everybody should get out
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: of there because otherwise I'll be killed. And hundreds of
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: thousands again of Leban years have left. So Israel has
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: been knocking down multi story buildings every day, basically buildings
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: that have some relation to Risbella. They've attacked banks, they've
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: attacked commanding control centers, they've attacked bunkers, uh and and
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: the destruction in the south part of Beirut is vast,
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: and then even in the Baka Valley, this is in
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: the area closer to the border with Syria. Israelis evacuating
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: villages and attacking and attacking Risbela bases and munition depots
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: and missile depots. And this is Israels. What is it
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: wants to do the next two weeks is basically or
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: in the next two three four weeks, basically destroy Risbella's
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: military capabilities and then tell the Libanese, Okay, maybe there's
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: some left. You guys are strong enough now to take
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: it over, right, because the Lebanese are two weeks to
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: challenge Bala is what wants to make the Lebanese so weak, sorry, Risbella,
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: so weak that the Lebanese have the ability to take
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: them on. And and and that is really what we
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: are waiting for. Yeah, so that is where we are.
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: Uh and uh, you know, let me just one other issue,
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: I guess. I mean, the target of this war is
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: regime change. Trump keeps saying he doesn't care what the
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: regime is. It might be a regime of clerics, but
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: they have to be friendly to the United States and
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: to Israel and stuff supporting terrorism. I don't think that
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: can be a regime of clerics. He doesn't understand quite
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: the theology that's involved here. But the ultimate goal is
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: regime change. And look, regime change is very, very difficult
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: to achieve in the air. Ultimately, the Indian people are
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: going to have to take steps to do the regime change.
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: And as I've told you before, we're going to have
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: to see and we haven't seen yet. And this is
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: very disappointing, and maybe there just hasn't be an opportunity.
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: We're gonna have to see some military forces on the
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: Ranian side defect and embrace regime change. Now, I'm going
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: to be interviewing on Monday at two pm East Coast
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: time two pm Each coast time. Andrew Fox is a
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: military expert from Great Britain. I was going to talk
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: to him about Gaza because he's done. He's written a
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: lot about Gaza and was in Gaza and knows a
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: lot about Gaza so called genocide in Gaza. We'll talk
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: about that a little bit. We'll also talk about Iran.
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: He has thoughts about Iran. He's more pessimistic than I
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: am about Iran, but he has thoughts about Iran and
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: particularly what it would take to get regime change in Iran.
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: So we're going to talk to him about that. But
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: I think I'm channelling him when I'm saying we need
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: some military units to switch sides, and we haven't seen
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: it yet, and I'm hoping that over the next few days,
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: as the US and Israel continues just to pound the
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: Islamic Revolutionary God, that that will change. I think more
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: stuff needs to happen. We'll get to that in a minute.
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: To bring about regime change, and to entice the population
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: that might be not quite ready to overthrow the regime,
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: or parts of the population and not quite ready to
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: overthrow the regime, entice them to do it. And part
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: of the way to entice them to do it is
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: they need to suffer a little bit, suffer the consequence
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: of this war beyond what they've already suffered. And the
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: variety of ways you can do that and I think
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: should be done that we'll get to. All right, So
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: I'll be talking more in the days to come about
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: what next and where we go from here and how
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: to achieve the regime change. I mean again, and I'm
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: not going to cover this now, but one of the
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: great I mean, there's a number of big, big strategic
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: holes that the United States has in this war. Talk
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: about two of them in a minute. But the third
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: and maybe the most important one is I don't know
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: that they have a plan for regime change. I don't
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: know that they're well, we'll talk about that in a minute.
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know that they've thought it through. And it
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: doesn't seem like they've talked a lot to the opposition.
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: Trump doesn't seem to want to have anything to do
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: with the shaw Son It seems like they're just clueless.
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: I think he's probably getting some bad advice on CIA
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: in terms of who the opposition is and whether there
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: is an opposition. The CIA is I mean American intelligence.
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: With all due respect, it's probably it's good in terms
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: of assets on the ground, but in terms of value
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: evaluating the future, in terms of being able to tell
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: relative strength and tell what could and couldn't happen, or
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: even evaluating you's nuclear program, I don't think the American
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: intelligence is very competent or good. The good with you know,
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: COVID operations. They're not good with anything that requires let
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: me see, what's the word intelligence. I mean. Remember, this
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: is the CIA that thought that the Soviet Union in
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: the nineteen seventies was going faster than the US and
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: it was a real economic competitor to the US. This
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: is the over and over and over again, over many, many,
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: many many years, US intelligence has been wrong on so
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: many things. So anyway, they've screwed this up. Somebody needed
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: to have a plan for regime change, and that meant
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: having people on the ground, right all right, let's see.
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: All right, so let's talk about a couple of strategic
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: problems that I see with this war war effort by
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: the United States, in particular, because these are things again
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: that the US seems to be responsible for. The first
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: is really this question of regime change, in particular aspect
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: of it. They seem to bean towards the end of
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: last week like this frantic realization that oh my god,
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: we need boots on the ground. We can't get regime
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: change without boots on the ground. What are we going
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: to do? And almost a panic around this, and then
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: you know, and there were some even rumors of the
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: possibility of bringing American putting American boots on the ground.
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: We'll talk about the one scenario where I think American
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: boots on the ground might be appropriate. But there were
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: some thoughts about boots on the ground. There were rumors
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: about the eighty second ableone Division maybe maybe getting ready
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: to flight the Middle East and maybe using it boots
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: on the ground. But then everybody kind of coalesced around
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: this idea of let's get the goods to be our
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: boots on the ground. Now, the codes are interesting, right,
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: the Kurdish population, it's a minority in the Middle East.
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: The Codes do not have a state. There are vast
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: numbers of them distributed between Turkey, Syria, Iraq and Iran.
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: They are armed and over the decades they have been
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: armed by the United States and I suspect by the Israelis.
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: The Codes are being a throwne in the side of
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: Turkey because they've wanted independence from Turkey. So there are
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: militant groups within Turkey that the Turkish government considers terrorists
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: and has tried to get rid of, but they are
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: Most of the Codes in Turkey are peaceful and not
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: seeking independence, but there is a militant group. The CODs
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: in Iraq have always been fairly militant, and if you
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: remember the one time Saddam Hussein used or what do
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: you call chemical weapons, it was against the goods in
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: northern Iraq. And then of course during during the two
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: thousand and three invasion of Iraq by the United States,
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: the kids sided with the Americans. They were also the
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: kids were the victims of ISIS. Both the kids in
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: Iraq and in Syria were victims of ices, and they
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: sided with American fighting ISIS and landed up to being
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: our number one ally in defeating ISIS. Colds did more
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: boots on the ground work to defeat ISIS than anybody,
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: including the Americans, and so the Couds have been The
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: Couds have also received some kind of autonomy within the
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: i Wauki states. They participate in the Iyuki government in Baghdad,
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: but they have autonomy in the northeast of the country.
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: The Couds in Iran have sought autonomy for many decades
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: and ever received it. They're frustrated. It was from among
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: the Koords that the first girl whose name sadly I
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: can't remember, was killed over the not wearing her Book
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: of Right and launched kind of the Goals revolution from
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: that part of Iran. So there was a lot of
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: frustration among the Kurds, who are maybe more secular uh
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: and certainly not particularly happy about being ruled by the
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: mulahs in Tehran. And again they've wanted some kind of
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: autonomy and have not received it. So the idea was,
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: let's there's a militant faction of Iranian Coods in Iraq
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: that are well armed, and late last week the idea
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: was the CIA was arming them and arming the Iranian
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: Coods and they were going to invade Iran and basically
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: start fighting the Istamic evolutionary God and Theian military with
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: the idea of distracting them and maybe even pushing all
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: the way to say Hurran. But but, but most of
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: the focus I think is being on they would distract
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: so that an uprising could happen to ta Huan to
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: overthrow the regime anyway. And the idea was the courds,
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: we're gonna We're gonna do this. They were going to
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: be out boots on the ground for the purpose of
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: regime change. But here's the problem. The problem with that
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: scenario is that the Couds have been betrayed by the
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: Trump administration over and over and over again Pamelion, Syria,
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: and in Iraq. In the first Trump administration, there was
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: the famous phone call between other One and Trump where
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: the One requested that the United States would draw its
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: troops from the areas where the Kurds were and non
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: intervene as the Tuks came into areas in northern Syria
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: and Iraq and wiped out the goods, and Trump, with
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: Bolton on the phone with him, basically agreed to it
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: One's demands. More recently, the Syrian regime has attacked the
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: Kods in northern Syria, and these are cords that had
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: been working with the Americans again for years, a couple
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: of decades on killing Isis, and the United States basically
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: facilitated the surrender of the Kods to the Syrians and
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: the complete capitulation of the Kurdish enterprise with no autonomy
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: for them, not to mention the murder rate, just horrible
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: scenes coming out of the Kurdish areas committed by Syrian soldiers,
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: basically all sanctioned by the United States by the Trump administration.
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: So Trump has basically stabbed in the back in betray
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: the codes over and over and over and over again,
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: and now he's asking them for help. Suppose he's on
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: the phone with two Courdish leaders trying to get them
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: to convince them to invade Iran and to be his
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: boots on the ground. Why would they do that when
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: they know that as soon as things shift, as soon
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: as things go differently, as soon as Trump changes his mind,
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: he will quite likely stab them in the back again.
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: This is one of the many problems of having Trump
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: be the president executing what we're doing right now. Nobody
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: can trust him, Nobody knows what he's going to do,
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: Nobody knows what he actually wants. He doesn't know what
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: he wants. So, you know, the CODES were asking simple questions.
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: Are they being asked to go to Tehran and actually
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: impose regime change? And are they going to be alone?
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: Is the United States is going to send in troops
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: as well? You know what about the possibility that Yan
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: then starts attacking the CODES in northern Iraq with their drones.
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: They don't have any defense systems to protect themselves, and
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: these drones could be catastrophic for the Ranians. Of the
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: Americans going to provide any air defense systems. No answer
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: to any of these questions, Who's going to offend the
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: CODES against whatever the Ranians choose to do? Again, because
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: of being America's proxy force against ISIS for decades and
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: every single time, every single time, the United States has
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: abandoned them and stabbed them in the back. Trump more
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: than anybody else, And of course everybody remembers that Trump
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: cut a deal with the Taliban, Biden fulfilled that deal
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: and ran from Afghanistan. We won't Trumpet cut a deal
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: with the Iranians. I mean, does anybody trust him. So
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: because of hesitant, unsurprising. They want to see a plan,
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: they want guarantees, they want to be protected. They do
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: not trust the Trumpet administrations. So there was a lot
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: of talk last week it seemed like they were going
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: to invade imminently, they were going to enter into and
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: they haven't. And not surprising at all, not surprising at all.
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: So a real again failure, a failure to plant, advance,
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: figure this out in advance against this war was not
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: a complete surprise to Trump. I mean, he's been planning
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: this foll for at least a month, maybe more, probably
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: from sometime in January when the protests happened. There's plenty
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: of time to talk about this, to om the Kurds,
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: to prepare, to put in the right kind of a
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: defense systems, maybe provide them to the coods, and to
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: really think through boots in the ground, regime change, what
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: do we want the Kods to do and how we
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: get their trust? None of that happened. Okay, second strategic failure,
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: and this one is so stunning that I just it's
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: hard to really have woods to describe it. And that is,
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: it seems from what we're seeing and from what I'm
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: hearing it seems that Trump administration had no plan, did
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: not think through the closing of the Straits of Homos. Now.
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: I'd been talking about this for a long time, including
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: the first the twelve Day War with the Idill engaged
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: and told you the number one weapon the Ranians have
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: against the West and against the world really is to
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: close the Homost Straits. And it's easy for them to
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: do because they're narrow, and they have probably fifteen hundred mines,
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: and they have these small boats, and they have submarines,
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: and they have the ability sorry Atlanta ship missiles, and
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: they have drones, and they can block the Homo Straits.
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: They absolutely can, And everybody knew this. This is the
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: number one bigger risk than ballistic missiles, bigger risk than drones.
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: The number one risk of war with Iran is the
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: long term closure of the Strait of Homos. Now, unless
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: you thought the war would be a week long and
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: Iran would just capitulate, then it's not a problem. But
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: given the Trump between saying four weeks maybe longer, that's
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: a problem. Four weeks without any oree flowing through the
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: Straits of Homos is a problem worth seeing that in
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: the massive spike in all prices and the decline is
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: stock prices, which makes sense. How you don't have a
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: plan for this. How you don't have a plan for this,
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: I do not understand. This should have been a big
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: part of what the American military should have thought about
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: is how do we secure them the straits and how
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: do we get the ships by now? Right now, the
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: thing that is really blocking the Homost Straits is the
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: fact that the ships carry war risk policies and those
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: are basically being canceled. London based insurance London is always
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: at the heart of the maritime insurance, has been from
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: the beginning of maritime insurance. Basically, they've canceled the war
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: risk policies. Now again that should have been expected. They're
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: not going to carry policies into a war zone. I
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: mean they can if they don't know a war is happening,
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: but the war how is happening? Now? They can cancel them.
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: And as a consequence of that, all prices are spiking.
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: You know, we're heading into an election year. Trump is panicking.
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: The gasoline prices are going up, and they'll go up
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: a lot more in the weeks to come. Unless this
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: is solved. I mean, just give you a sense of
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: the lack of planning. The United States has a strategic
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: petroleum reserve in a sense that strategic petroleum reserve was
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: created specifically for cases like this to be able to
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: pump into the world market petroleum to lower prices to
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: a reasonable level, not to flood the market with it.
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: It would eficiate the reserve quickly. You buy oil when
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: oil is cheap, like a few months ago, and then
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: you use the strategic reserve when war causes a dramatics
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: coulds in supply. And yet the Trump administration did not
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: fill up the strategic petroleums, so it's only at fifty
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: eight percent capacity. They wasted the months when what would
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: you mind was not science fiction, it was a had
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: some probability of likelihood they could have filled up the
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: strategic reserve, and yet they chose not to. It's mind
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: boggling the extent to which this administration didn't think this through.
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: That there's no planning and what to do right now.
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: There are things you can do right now to lower
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: gas prices. You could start releasing stuff from their Strategic
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: Patrolling Reserve. There's an international petroleum reserve that can also
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: start putting oil into the marketplace. You can do away
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: with things like the Jones Act or at least suspended temporarily.
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: You can increase the mystic all production, but that takes
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: time and it's not going to be that big of
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: an impact. But it is stunning that these things have
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: not been have not been uh really uh addressed. Um
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: So what can be done? What can be done well?
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: The others things to do is to end this world quickly.
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: It's the win quickly, and I actually believe that is possible,
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: but it's to require things that the United States has
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: avoided doing, indeed Israel is avoided doing. To win this
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: war quickly is going to require to make it so
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: painful for the Ranian regime and so painful for the
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: Uranian people that it's just not sustainable for them. And
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: notice what is not being hit during this war. It's
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: a unique in the history of war that this is
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: not being done. What is not being hit. Military has
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: been hit, missiles, drones, military industries, headquarters, even police stations.
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: But what is not being hit, what is not off
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: the table? They haven't touched, which would be easy. Elon's infrastructure,
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: it's civilian infrastructure, now I know Trump has gone after
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: Putin for hitting Ukraine's civilian infrastructure, which again is stupid.
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: Whar everything's a target. Imagine somebody says regime change with
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: up boots on the ground is not possible. Wait and see,
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, I love it. We have real experts in
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: the house who know exactly what it takes to have
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: regime change. And again this is media driven pessimism. The
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: media driven it can't be done. It cannot be done.
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: He runs this powerful thing they've got. We're already seen
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: cracks in the regime and you're gonna see bigger and
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: bigger cracks. It might take a while, it may take time,
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: but regime change is absolutely possible, and I think could
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: be possible a lot faster if we went after infrastructure.
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: What are the infrastructure power? Imagine, hey one with no electricity? Water?
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: I Wan is in deep problems with water. Imagine suddenly
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: you couldn't pump water into Tehran. And ultimately, what about
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: the oil infrastructure? I mean, i Won is still pumping
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: oil now it can't send them out because Homo Strait
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: is blocked even for their own ships. But nobody said
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: there infrastructure. There's one island There's one island off the
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: coast of Ivan that has ninety percent of all the
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: oil exports go off of this one island. It's the
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: facility that loads up all the boats, all the ships
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: that carry oil out of Ivan. One island hasn't been hit.
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: Issuel didn't hit in a twelve day war, hasn't been
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: hit this war. Nothing. The entire civilian infrastructure of you
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: want is untouched. Now you want? They targeted desalination plan today?
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: Who targeted which descellination part? I know that the Iranians
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: are targeting Saudi desalination plans. The Iranians are targeting Saudi
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: oil facilities and Kuwadio facilities and uae A facilities, and
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: they're even targeting ports and and and and places where
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: LNG and oil is being put on. But the United
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: States and Israel have not targeted a single one of
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: these type of infrastructures in Iran. Now they're lending the
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: Ranians got free. You want to make this world faster,
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: You want to win this world faster. Bring them real pain,
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: bring them real pain, and make it urgent for the
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: civilians who support who are against this regime. Make it
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: urgent for them to act and promise them that once
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: they replace the regime you're in and help them rebuild.
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: But make them feel the pain. Make them feel the pain.
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, part of the strategic era of this whole
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: thing is if Trump had led Israel continue the twelve
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: days for another couple of weeks, the Iranian regime would
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: have been already on the brink of destruction. The reality
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: is that, you know, that was a massive strategic mistake
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: just bombing the Newsele facilities and walking away by Trump.
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: That was the opportunity right there. But anyway, what else
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: can the United States do to get oil out of
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: the Persian Gulf flowing back into global markets. Well, what
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: the United States has to do is start escorting ships
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: and providing insurance to replace to cancel the war risk policies. Now,
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: to do that place that canceled war wrist policies, the
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: United States will probably have to have an Act to
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: Congress providing the funds to do that. It hasn't done
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: anything like that since World War Two, and it would
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: be expensive but probably worthwhile. In the United States could
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: probably charge premiums from you know, ship companies, and then
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: it would have to escort these ships using the US Navy.
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: Now this is dangerous. The Ranians have drones, missiles, mines,
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: They have a lot of ways to flick pain on
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: the Americans and take flick pain on the ships coming
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: out of the Homo Straits. What do you do about that? Well,
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: a few things. One, you basically tell the Ranians that
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: they have to keep the straits of Homos open and
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: that they better not strike the US Navy as it
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: escort ships out. And you tell them exactly what the
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: consequence will be. Every ship that is down by an
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: Iranian missile, an Iranian refinery goes up in smoke. Iwan
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: refines this is not true twenty years ago, but today
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: most of the petroleum that it uses knock out the
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: refineries again haven't been targeted yet. So every ship that
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: goes down refining rey gets taken out. Not that many
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: refineries in Iran. At some point they'll have no ability
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: to produce petroleum, no ability to produce petroleum. Again, threatened
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: the civilian infrastructure, I mean beyond that, threaten the entire
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: Iranian owe sector. Iwan is attacking the all sector in
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: other countries. If you bring down a ship, we'll take
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: out your island. Will make it impossible for you for
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: decades to be able to export oil. If that doesn't help,
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: we'll take out to oil fields now. That could really help.
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: That could really help. Just happened. Supposedly IDF just attacked
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: the Ranian refineries and oil depots. Well, they did. It's
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: a mistake because they should have waited to use it
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: as a threat to open up the Homo Straits. So
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: I haven't seen that yet, but it would be interesting
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: if that actually just happened. Then on top of that,
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: then on top of that, who gets most of the
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: oil coming out of the Homo Straits. By the way,
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: Trump has suggested that the United States use the Development
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: Finance Corporation to invite Avery. This is quoting Trump. Very
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: reasonable price for the insurance political risk insurance and guarantee
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: for financial security of all maritime trade, especially energy traveling
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: through the Gulf. The United States Navy will begin escorting
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: tankers through the Homemost Straits as soon as possible. Hasn't
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: happened because it exposes the US Navy. It's a problem,
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: and the US Development Finance Corporation doesn't have enough money.
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: But it's the right approach. It's exactly what needs to
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: be done, but also at the same time Iran needs
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: to be threatened. So I'm just reading from me this
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: has not done the trick. Partly, the problem is the
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: dfc's two hundred and five billion liability ceiling does not
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: suffice to cover the shar number of tankers going through
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: the Straits more than three hundred and fifty a week
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: in normal times. This could be an expensive scheme, right,
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: so they need a lot more money and they probably
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: need to go to Congress for that. Now, note that
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: almost all of Iran's exported oil five hundred and twenty
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: million US million barrels go to China. That's about fifteen
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: percent of Chinese sea born sea born crude. Iran was
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: second only to Saudi Arabia's China mean supplier, but even
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: Saudi can't supply the Chinese because it has to go
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: through the Straits. Another one point four billion barrels come
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: from five other countries, all the chips through the Straits
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: and homoes. In other words, somewhere between thirty eight to
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: let me just see it, where the numbers are toy
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: to forty eight percent. So between thirty eight to forty
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: eight percent of all the oil that comes into China
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: comes from the Homo Strait. That is also true of
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: natural gas. Most of the natural gas that goes to
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: China comes through the Homeost Straits. So China has a
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: huge incentive, huge incentive to keep the straits open, and
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: I think done wisely, the Trump administration can leverage that
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: this is a long shot, but go to China and say,
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: do whatever you have to do to force the Ranians
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: to keep the straits open. We will lesk gout the ships,
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: but you put the political pressure on Iran. I think
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: that's very doable. But here's one more escalatory thing that
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: can be done that would be pretty amazing if it happened.
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: China has at least a couple of ships very close
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: to the gulf, the Persian Gulf. It has that put
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: where that facilitates the Chinese Navy create a coalition of
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: Asian countries countries that hate each other, China, Japan, India,
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: and tell them that they have to escort the ships
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: out of the Straits of Homos. They're the ones with
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: the strongest interest. The US will back them up. The
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: US will support them with the air defense systems, with
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: its own military assets, but we want a Chinese ship there,
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: we want a Japanese ship. Japan by the way, has
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: at least one significant navy asset in the region. Also,
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: it reported Jibouti that it can deploy. Have the Asians
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: put their ships into the Gulf of Persia and dare
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: the Iranians to down a Chinese ship or Japanese ship
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: on an Indian ship. So that's what should be done,
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: uh you know, a threatening her on credibly put in
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: play the civilian infrastructure. And by the way, on top
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: of that, just just on top of that, and basically
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: the United States has already sunk most of the significantly
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: sized Iranian ships. Would I would basically expend massive resources
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: on bombing the entire coast to destroy whatever small boats whatever.
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: Uh uh you know assets they have that can deploy
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: ground to ship missiles. Now some of them are shoulder held.
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: There's very little you can do there but take out
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: every military base a lot the coast of the Persian
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: Gulf on the Iranian side. Just use those B fifty
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: two's to just drop massive quantities of bombs in this area.
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: Tell the civilian population the evacuate, Tell the Sivilian population
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: they evacuate. The entire coast of the Persian Gulf. If
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: Israe can tell you know a significant percentage of the
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: Lebanese population, they evacuate, move out. America could do the
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: same with the Uranians. Unless you want to get killed,
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: move away from water, move inland. And then the United
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: States needs to massively bomb the entire coast as to
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: make it unusable to attack. Now. Iwana has a number
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: of submarines in the United States says destroyed, some not
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: clear how many. It should make whatever efforts need to
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: be done to make sure that those submarines are not
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: in the Persian Gulf, not it near the Persian Gulf.
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: And if they are to destroy them, hopefully the US
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: has those capabilities. Right, It's not hard to bomb the
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: coast of you on. This is not difficult. The United
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: States has the resources, and Iran is not a very
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: developed country. Again, evacuate the civilian population, tell them to
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: leave and do it. And then, by the way, if
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: you're going to put troops on the ground, if you're
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: going to put boots on the ground anyway, I wouldn't
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: put boots on the ground in Tehran, as you'll see.
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're going to be needed. But you
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: should consider and could consider strategically putting boots on the
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: ground on the coast, deploying the eighty second Airborne or whatever.
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: I'm a I'm not an expert on Americans. Three assets.
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: Put boots in the ground along the coast, basically make
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: it so that if you want once the attack the ships,
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: they have to do it from fall. And then you know,
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: the US Navy is very well equipped with air defense
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: systems to knock those whatever they send out there down
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: and then accept the fact that you might take casualties anyway.
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: That's what I would have done. Not impossible, but requires
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: requires some balls, requires strategy, requires some effort, require some focus,
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: and requires the willingness to really punish you on really
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: punish them, which they need to anyway to end to
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: walk quickly. And by the way, again, Japan gets all
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: it's all from there, South Korea gets all it's all
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: from there, China gets all its after fifty percent of
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: it's all from there. These countries that should have a
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: significant vested interest in making sure all continues to flow.
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: Bring them in as allies, bring them into the wall.
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: Just in terms of just you know, in terms of
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: just what do you call it? Guiding the ships out?
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: Guiding the ships out. Don't need much more than that.
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: You don't need anything more than that from them. They
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: don't have to fire shot. They have to knock things stiff,
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: stuff down, So defensive posture. But that's it, all right.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: A Taiwan gets thirty eight percent of its oil stuff
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: could be a thirty percent, Japan thirty percent, and I
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: think natural gas and he's just even much much higher
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: than that. So all these countries are in big trouble
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: if they don't help. So use that Trump, use it.
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: This is this is, this is where the United States
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: could really use some leadership. All right, what else did
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: I want to? I think I think we're covered. I mean,
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: of all the oil, the ironic exports goes to China,
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: and it all goes through the straits. Now, Saudi Arabia
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: and the UAE have pipelines. They can get around the
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: Strait of Homos, but the capacity is very limited. So
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: they need to ramp up and they will, I think,
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: ramp up production through those pipelines and ramp up offloading
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: on ports that are way from the Homo Straits. But
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: you got to open the States to normalize all markets
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: and to make this I mean, one of the problems
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: that Trump will face is that as all prices go up,
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: the approval rating for this war will plummet. And then
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: the great risk is political, that is that Trump will
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: get tired of the war, he will be worried about
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: his approval rating, He'll be worried about the elections in November,
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: and he will stop. He will call it a victory
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: and walk away. And that'll be a tragedy because we're
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: so close to actual regime change, We're so close to
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: basically pounding this regime into oblivion that it would be
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: truly tragic to stop partway. And Trump is completely capable
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: of doing it completely, one hundred percent case. I think
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: the Israelis are committed, They're willing to run the course.
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: But if Trump tells him stop, they will stop. Russia
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: does not produce enough oil for China. Does not produce
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: enough oil for China, and it's a different quality of oil.
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: China does not have enough refining capacity to deal with
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: heavy Russian oil. What they love about the Gulf oil
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: and Iranian oil is how light it is. China cannot
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: replace easily replaced Gulf oil oil is very different product
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: and requires particular, you know, particular refining capabilities in order
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 1: to deal with it. China cannot cannot just shift easily
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: to relying only in China and Russia. And Russia just
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: doesn't have enough of it, doesn't have enough of it.
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: And if the United States took seriously the sanctions on
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: Russian oil, which they're not right now, the oil would
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: it would be very difficult for Chinese companies to buy
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: Russian oil. Not easy. But let's get the Japanese navy
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: in there, let's get let's get to the Chinese. Just
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: on this one little issue on outside that could be interesting.
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, Trump is going to seek c next month.
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: He could make this a condition of the visit, pressure
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: on Iran to not attack the ships as the United
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: States escorts them out of the Gulf. That would be
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: what I did, what I would do, you know, plus
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: the bombing and the you know, the taking control of
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: the coastline of the golf on the Ranian side. All right,
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: we have a ton of questions, a ton, and I
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: have a hard stop at some point, so I better
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: get to the questions. Thank you all really appreciate it.
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: Let me remind you of our sponsors. Ironman Institute is
• 1:08:41
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• 1:09:17
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• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: react to what is going on. Check him out Alex
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: Epstein dot substack dot com, h hand a shot wealth
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• 1:10:00
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• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: economic political basis, which is fantastic. You might want to
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: bring this into your business or to you or to
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: your Chamber of Comments or something some some organization that
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: you think would well all of them could use Defenders
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: of Capitalism program, but you think would be open to that.
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: Check it out Defenersifcapitalism dot com. All right, let's jump
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: in here. Remind you all to support the show on
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: Patreon dot com. Monthly support greatly appreciated, really really helps.
• 1:10:34
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• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: incredibly valuable for the future of this show. All right,
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: let's jump in here. Tyler with three hundred Swiss Fanks.
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: Thanks are worth a lot of money these days. I
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: just was in Zurich, so Tyler says, thank you for
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: coming to Zurich and for the great talk. Thank you.
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: I did a talk in the morality of war. It
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: was a pleasure to finally meet you in person. Keep
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: up the great work, Tyler. Tyler, thank you really appreciate it. It
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: was good to meet you. I hope to be back
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: in Zurich at some point give another talk there. The talk,
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: by the way, we'll go up on my channel at
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: some point I need to get the link to so
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: I can upload it to my channel. But yeah, hopefully
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: we'll have it soon. James one hundred dollars. Thank you, James.
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: The Floterhouse just passed a joint resolution to place a
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: proposed constitutional amendment or November ballot that would abolished property
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: taxes for primary residences. Will DeSantis use this as this
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: platform to run for president rather than bashing immigrants? I
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: doubt it. I doubt it very much. Plus, remember a
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: property taxes a local the state taxes are not federal taxes.
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: There's no federal property taxes, So I don't think he
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: could as president abolish property taxes and look, at the
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: federal level, the problem is not taxation. At the federal level,
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: the problem is is government spending. And even at the
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: state level, and I hesitate to say this because some
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: of you will be upset at me. Even at the
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: state level, I don't think property taxes are the priority.
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: That is at the state level. There are other more
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: distortive taxes. And from my understanding, this constitutional amendment, you
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: know why why you know, it's primary residences, and it's
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: got all kinds of other caveats about when it applies
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: and when it doesn't apply. If you're going to have
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: a constitutional amendment, then it should be a ban on
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: all property taxes, all property taxes, commercial, residential, all property taxes.
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: It's just once you start manipulating, only residential and only this,
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: and only first homes and not second homes and not
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: vacation homes are not And look, I'm not I believe
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: the priority should always be cutting government spending, cutting government involvement,
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: cutting goverment regulations, cutting government controls, and only then taxes. Now,
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: Flaida doesn't have an income tax, so that's good, but
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: I'm sure there are lots of taxes on businesses. For example,
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: the distort businesses that could be cut, made made most streamline,
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: made most simple, and property taxes is not the first,
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: probably the first thing I would cut, and if I
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: did cut it, I would cut it across the board.
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: But look generally, yeah, cutting taxes good, particularly FLAIDA, which
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: does not have a huge deficit, it's good. But I
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: worry about all the loops and all the exceptions and
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: all of that rather than a straightforward cut the whole thing.
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: And again, it's not a it's not a national agenda
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: because you can nationalize it because federal government doesn't have
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: property taxes. All right, let's see Athena seventy Canadian dollars.
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: She says, I miss you you on I couldn't stand
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: the wall updates from any other source. Thank you for
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: all that you do. I appreciate that, Athena, thank you,
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: thank you. I really appreciate the support, and I appreciate
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: you missed me. And yeah, I'm I'm I'm going to
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: be here. I will be traveling again startying Thursday. But
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: I think that while I travel on this trip, I'll
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: be able to do a show every day, well except
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: for the days where I'm actually traveling, And so that
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: that'll be good, so there won't be you won't miss
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: out a lot. I'm actually going to Prospera in Honduras,
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: which will be interesting. I'll be reporting to you from
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: the most kind of free, private city and so it
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: should be interesting. I'm looking forward to seeing what that's like.
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: Prospera in Hondua, so that'll be on that. I'll fly
• 1:15:12
  Speaker 1: down Thursday, probably do a show on Thursday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday,
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: Sunday I'll do shows Monday I'm traveling all day. Won't
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: be able to do one. Thank you Athena all right,
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: not Javis, I'll go with them. All those Enlightenment ideas
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: aren't just going to go away, even if they're rejected
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: in academia. Look at you, Wron. Much of the population
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: values Enlightenment thinking, despite being taught the opposite by their
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: school systems and totalitarian government. Yes, I mean I don't.
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: I think up to a point. I think that's right.
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: And I've said all along that the Enlightenment doesn't just
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: collapse everywhere all at once, but it's certainly eroding in
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: the West, and whatever versions of it, you know, they
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: might come back and they might get eroded. I just
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: expect that you're going to see kind of mixed economies.
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: Slow growth. Mixed economy is the soul of ideas for
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: decades now. I don't expect the dark ages. I don't
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: as I've said, I don't expect. I don't expect the
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: West just to go dark. I don't expect the collapse
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: of the West. I expect slow stagnation over the very
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: long term, and then how we get out of that
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: is going to be interesting. How we get out of
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: that is going to be interesting. But yes, it is
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: inspiring to see that a little bit of the Enlightenment
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: ideas that are still in the West have inspired people
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: in Iran who have access to the Internet and TV
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: and see what life is like and travel and see
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: what life is like in the West and want to
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: live that way too, and don't want to give up
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: on those freedoms and those liberties and that individualism that
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: is expressed in the way you cut your hair and
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: the clothes you wear and the kind of life that
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: you live. They want that. They want the freedom to
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: be able to live the life that they want and
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: pursue the values they want, and they're willing to fight
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: for it. And good for them. That is the enlightenment.
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: That is fundamentally the enlightenment, and it won't go away completely.
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: But it's not an uptick in terms of full understanding
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: of it and a full embrace of it and driving
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: us towards capitalism. That is not happening. All right, Moulten's
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: splendid fifty dollars. Thank you Moulten spender. You were missed.
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: Thank you. Can't believe I made it four days without you.
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: Thanks for all you do. Always really appreciate. That was
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 1: a four days? Did it really go four days? Probably
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: today's I don't even know what day is this today.
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: I'm completely jet lagged, so it's Friday, Thursday, Wednesday. Did
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: I not do it show on Tuesday? I thought I
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: did a show on Tuesday. I thought it was just
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: three days. But anyway, it felt like four days. Whether
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: it was four days or not, it felt like four days.
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: Thank you, Molten splendid sciate it all right. Let's see
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: some stickers rolling. Thank you for the stickers. More more Swiss. Thanks.
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: I appreciate that. Didn't see you in Zeits though you
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: didn't take the train over. Let's see what else do
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: we have? Dum and you know the stickers. Yes, Apple Jack,
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: thank you for the sticker, and uh, all right, all
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: lot of stickers, lots of questions, Blue Soul, thank you
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: for the sticker. Lots of questions though, and a lot
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: of dollars I'm in of course, thank you for the
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: one hundred dollars. And Seapy Milk and Jonathan, thank you
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: for the sticker. All right, guys, let's jump into some
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: more questions and we'll just run down the twenty dollars
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: questions and then move to the to the five, two, five,
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: ten dollar questions. Clark Young says, could you do a
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: whole show on what accounts for the slow spread of objectivism?
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know that I have a
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: full show of content to do about this. What the
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: council is slow? Slow of a textism. I mean, I'll
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: think about it, I'll think about how much I have
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: to say. I don't think I have a whole show's
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: worth to say about it. I just think it's slow.
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: Everything's intellectual change, real fundamental philosophical change is slow. I
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: just don't think there's any way around that. No magic bullets,
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: no shortcuts. It's just no way to change the philosophical
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: culture fast. But I'll think about what I can talk
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: about it more leam. Leftists claim to care about the
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: working class, but if you've ever been around them, they
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: treat working people like trash. They're extremely rude to waiters,
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: uber drivers, labor day labors. What explains this disconnect, Well,
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: I mean leftists are usually you know, intellectuals. They come
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: middle class, of rich family. I mean Marx was a
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: good example. He never worked a day in his life
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: as a laborer, you know. And and I think he
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: was pretty dismissive of the of the working class and
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: treated is made pretty badly. I think he had unfair
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: with her. I think I think you haven't had kids
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: with her. Anyway. Marx was not a nice human being.
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: Most of these people in nice not nice human beings.
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: They come to leftism to their class struggle ideas out
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: of resentment, out of guilt, out of fear, and out
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: of hatred, rather than out of love, out of positive values.
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: And that's what is expressed. That is it's not about
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: the working class. It never was about the working class.
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: It's about tearing down the wealthy, and it's about tearing
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: themselves down in a sense of putting themselves down because
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: they it's self hatred. So much of leftism is motivated
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: by self hatred rather than something positive to be achieved,
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: something beautiful to be to be brought about. I think
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: much of it is the hatred of self and really
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: the hatred of reality and what's around us. And you
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: can see that starting with Marks. They just don't like
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: people that much. They wish they were a different being.
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: They wish they were ants. Harrison Recursive Revolution, the song
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: about feedback loops and the Industrial Revolution by feed Rate
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: Command came out yesterday and tomorrow you'll be able to
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: hear a rap battle between chat GPT and Grock just
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: for fun, all right, check that out. That is on Spotify. Freed.
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: Feed Rate Command is the the I don't know what
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: it is, the AI music label. Paul, what is your
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: opinion about the unconstitutional aspect of the war. Since Congress
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: did not declay war, should the war be condemned because
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: of it? Yes? So No, I mean I said from
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: day one, this is unconstitutional. It was not approved by Congress,
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: and and she be condemned as unconstitutional. And at the
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: same time, you can hold two thoughts at the same time.
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: It's unconstitutional, it's wrong for president engage in war without
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: a pro getting approved of Congress. And given that no
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: president has really gotten proper a proof of Congress engage
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: in war really since World War Two, you know, it's
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: not surprising. And of all the wars that we've engaged
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: in since World War Two, this is one of This
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: is one of the more justifiable ones. This one has
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: a small purpose, and it is essential for the in
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: you know, protection of the United States, essential for the
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: United States self interest, and therefore you have to support
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: the war while condemning it. You can do both. You
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: can support the war from the perspective of this is
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: essential for American self defense and condemned the war from
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: the perspective of it wasn't approved by Congress. And in
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: that sense, you condemned Trump, not the war. You condemned
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: Trump for not getting Congress's approval, and for that matter,
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: for not even making the case to American people, for
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: not really caring what anybody thinks about the war. Except
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: this is more of Trump being an emotionalist, which is horrible,
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: and he could really, really really screw this up the war.
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: That's the risk of anything, that's the risk of electing Trump.
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: And yet the war is a just war. There war
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: was a right war in spite of that, all of that,
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: and remember this is all in the context in which
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: presidents don't ask Congress for approval, and in the context
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: of so much of what presidents have done for the
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: last one hundred years has been unconstitutional, should be condemned
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: as such. But sometimes they do something good that's unconstitutional,
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: and you go, yeah, it should be condemned, and it's
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: something good they did. You have to be heard to
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 1: hold more than one thought at the time. Hard sometimes
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: not to have as algorithm, would you say, iin Rand
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: had a profound impact on the American business community or somewhere,
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: or minor or somewhere in between. Probably somewhere in between.
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: She had a profound impact on a certain number of
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: individuals and a certain number of people that turned out
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: to be very, very successful and very very important for
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: American business, particularly in Silicon Valley. But it's hard to
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: tell what would have happened without her. I think American
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: American business life would be American business would be a
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: lot less successful without her. So maybe it's profound. I
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: don't know how exactly to measure that, but she had
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: a profound impact. That's not objectivism. That is, it's they
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: didn't embrace it as a system for a lot. They
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: embraced her ideas as inspiration. They took it as inspiration
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: for their own productive ability. And that's huge and we've
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: all benefited from that. Natchavityr algorithm. Has Trump changed his
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: mind about the Nobel Peace Prize? He'd prefer his legacy
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: to be toppling regimes and being feared by the world. Well,
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: I mean, if he brings regime change to Iran, he
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: might actually deserve the Peace Prize for once. I think
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: he's not changed his mind about it. I think he's
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: given up on it. I think he realizes he's not
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: going to get it, so he might as well succumb
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: to his whims. Michael, if you're really integrated, if you've
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: really integrated objectivism, you're going to be smarter than most
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: people around you. You have a superpower most people don't
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: know they can tap into. Yes, you know. The more
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: you integrate objectivism, the more you can use objectivism in
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: your life. The more you can see connection between things,
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: the more you can understand the world around you, the
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: more you can understand yourself, the more inspired and inspiring
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: you can be. Yeah, that's a competitive advantage, there's no
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: question about that. Now you know whether that means that
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: you are smarter. I don't know what's smart depends how
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: you define smart, but you're definitely better at living and
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: that should show up in a variety of different ways. Eric,
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: I'm going to a law and economics conference this week.
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: I'm assuming there will be a lot of Canesian types there.
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: Any advice on how to push back or tactfully rock
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: the boat? Well, I mean lawn economics. Lon economics generally
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: tend to be more they lean free markets, so there
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: will be some free marketers there. If this is a
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: long economics as a field as a fielded really they
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: are what am I looking at? Right? So you know,
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: I think the biggest problem with them is lack of principles.
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: The pragmatists. They're full of cost benefit analyses and almost
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: no principles at all. And I think you can push
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: back a little bit, and on what basis is that?
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: Where do you get that from? How did you come
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: up with that? You know, what about this? Why not?
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: What about the principle of property rights? What about you
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: can push that way? I would say push on the
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: on where they're getting their stuff from and try to
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: get them to to a principle politely, nicely. dB Rennick,
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: you're on your one analysis can't be beat. I hope
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: someone rationally minded close to Trump administration listens to your podcast.
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: If such a person exists, you know, maybe somebody in
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: the Defense Department. That would be cool, because that's what's
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: relevant right now. It's the people at the top are
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: not going to get this. They don't care that then
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: you know it's not for them. But there are people
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: in the Defense Department, I'm sure one or in the Pentagon,
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: the one the usd WIN that are thinking strategically about
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: these issues. Maybe they've already thought about everything that I say,
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: but maybe I can inspire them. Maybe I'll give them
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: an idea of about something else. I don't know. But
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: but thank you, dB Readmick. We really appreciate that Vadim
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: having serious YBS withdrawal. Thank you for coming back absolutely
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: and again there'll be a show tomorrow basically the same time.
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: Jamie from Canada, do we know who hit the ghost
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: schools and you on yet? I mean, from everything I'm seeing,
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: it's likely the US did. It's likely an accident. The
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: ghost school was right next to a strategic location of
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: an Islamic Revolutionary God base and they either targeted it
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: wrongly thought it was part of the base, or a
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: miss out went off and you know, missed the target
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: and hit the school. Either way, it's i Wan's fault, right.
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: So i Wan is the initiated force in the struggle,
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: and all the all the victims are their fault. But
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: it's sad, it's tragic that these goals are to suffer.
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: It's sad and tragedy. The children get killed in war.
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: But it's a cost of war. There's just nowhere around it.
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: You can't go to war and not expect significant deaths
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: among civilians or among innocence. In this case, that's just
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: the cost of war. So it's an accident. It wasn't
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: done on purpose. It appears now to be an American missile.
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: They were bombing the camp next to right next to
• 1:29:51
  Speaker 1: Michael is giving Trump credit for attacking Iran, like giving
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: Hitler credit for attacking the Soviet Union. No, Trump is
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: not Hitler, uh and so no I I And there
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: was no value in Hitler attacking the Soviet Union. But
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: again Trump's not Hitler, So those comparisons are not helpful.
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: Trump still represents the United States of America free country.
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: So Trump gets credit for making the decision. We'll see
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 1: if he gets the credit for falling through. That is
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: yet to be determined. Michael, can you give an example
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 1: of empathy as a selfish act? Yeah, of course. I
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: mean your your loved one is going through pain, physical pain.
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: You know, she is your life, your your reality, your world.
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: You you know you feel her pain, and and you
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: respond in an appropriate way. You respond as if it's
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: you've got the pain. You respond, And I mean you
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 1: don't respond in a helpful, understanding, sympathetic way because you're empathetic.
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: And that's a selfish value because the person you're feeling
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: empathy towards is of great selfish value to you. And
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: empathy is one way in which you relate to them.
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: You give them visibility, you give them a sense that
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: you're with them, you are strong with them, you are
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: supportive of them. Clark is total victory coming? Will we
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: witness Iran transform into a first world Western country in
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: our lifetime? I don't know. I'm not sure that we'll
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: get a total victory. I'm hoping we get victory, but
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know about total victory. I think there's a
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: chance that we see Ran starting the process of moving
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: towards a Western country, a first world Western country. Whether
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: they achieve it or not is a question. And you know,
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: just the fact, even if we get total victory here,
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: does that mean that in five years there's not a
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: counter revolution? In ten years these slamers don't make a comeback.
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: You'd have to know a lot more about how big
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: of a base the Islam must have and how strong
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: they are to be able to tell. But I do
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: think there's a chance that you will see it transformed
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: in your lifetime, James, Can you learn from the podcast
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: from podcasts about economics and philosophy than you can from universities?
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: Can you learn more from podcasts by economics and philosophy
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: than you can from university? It depends on the podcast
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 1: and it depends on the universities. You can learn more
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: about philosophy from the Iron Band university than you can
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: from podcasts, and you can, but you can learn a
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: lot about philosophies from podcasts, and you can learn a
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: lot from universities. I'm sure there's some good universities out
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: there in terms of teaching philosophy for the philosophers to you.
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: And the same is true of economics. You go to
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: joege Mason, you'll learn a lot of good economics. You
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: go to some other places, you'll learn good economics. There's
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 1: some good podcasts, there's some bad podcasts. I don't know
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: which podcast in economics you listen to. So defends Harrison.
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: What do you think of Stuck's net. There's a feed
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: rate command song coming out about it in April. Very
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: cool subject matter. I know know what structure net is.
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: I'm showing my ignorance. But there's more advertising for feed
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: rate command song feedbad command songs on Spotify. All right, Rez,
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: how would you? How would we argue against another person
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: who supports an unconstitutional act that we do not support.
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: They could use the fact that our support for this
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: war against us as we objected to such a thing.
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: I don't tend to argue as a main argument that's unconstitutional.
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: I mean it is an argument, but not the main argument.
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: My main argument, for example, against tariffs is it's a
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: violation of rights and stupid economics. And oh, by the way,
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: using this particular provision is unconstitutional, but it's still imol
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 1: and really bad economics. Everything that you want to argue
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: against that the government does there should be argued primarily
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: from the perspective violates individual rights. Therefore it's immoll because
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: the reality is the Constitution today is at least impossibly
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: are pretty empty. That is, we latch onto fragments of
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: the Constitution to somehow keep us free a little bit,
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: But the Constitution is not the basis of my criticism
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: of ninety nine point nine percent of what the government does,
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 1: based on my criticism is it's violating rights, it's immoral,
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: and it's usually bad policy, bad economics, bad for the country.
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: What's moral is the practical or the practice is them
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 1: all and hey, by the away, ninety of what the
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 1: government does is unconstitutional. But if you just argue that,
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 1: you'd be batting your head against the wall because you
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 1: disagree with the Supreme Court. Supreme Court doesn't think ninety
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: percent of what the government does is unconstitutional. I think
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: the existence of the federal reserve is unconstitutional, But if
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: I ever really argued that as the main reason to
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: object to the no federal reserves, it's immoral for the
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 1: state to control our money. That's the argument. So an
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: argument needs to be moral and based on a political philosophy,
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: not based on a particular interpretation of the Constitution. Adam,
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: why did Outside not have a coherent plan for winning?
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: Why not at least bring together, organize and prepare the
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: anti regime factions in advance. Adam, you shock me that
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: you asked this question, because Outside is run by Donald
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: Trump and Pete Hegseth. Hegseth. I mean, it's run by moments. Sorry,
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: I know, God, but it is. It's run by people
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: who are not strategic thinkers. And the people within the
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: Pentagon who are strategic thinkers probably opposed the war and
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 1: weren't inclined to do all that work because they opposed
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: the war. So we don't have an intelligent, strategic thinking
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: president or you know, Secretary of Defense or of War
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: or whatever you want to call him. We just don't
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: have it. And the people around Trump are just not strategic,
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: not strategic, and even Rubio maybe he's too focused on
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: Latin America, but he's just he's just not that strategic.
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: So that's why we could have easily we didn't because
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: they're on thinking. Because they don't plan because they go
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: by gut feeling. Jennifer, is it more likely we unalive
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 1: Hominy's sun before or after he's named supreme leader? I
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: don't know the latest intelligence I have, which is I
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 1: don't know what it's worth exactly, but the latest intelligence
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: I have is that he was injured in one of
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 1: the attacks but wasn't killed. I think to the extent
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: that they know where he is, they will try to
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: kill him. But you know, my guess is that the Iranians,
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: I guess now at this point of the war, smart
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: enough not to be in predictable places. And that's why
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: we haven't heard much about leaders within the Ranian regime
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: dying in the last few days, because there may be
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 1: on the road. Maybe they're outside of Tehran, maybe they've
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: gone all the way out to west eastern Iran. I
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 1: don't know, but the point is that they're probably scattering.
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: And to the extent that we know where how many
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: Son is, he's already a dead man, and if he
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: hasn't been killed, it's only because we're not sure where
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 1: he is. Molten Splendor, can you share your opinion on
• 1:38:11
  Speaker 1: how and if the Kurds might soon be in a
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: leadership position and how they would lead or as I said,
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 1: I don't think the Kurds will be in a leadership position.
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: I don't think they want to be in a leadership position.
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: They're a small minority within Iran. They don't want to
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: control Iran. What they'd like is autonomy in the region
• 1:38:30
  Speaker 1: in northwest Iran. The most you could expect from the
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: Kurds is to distract the Islamic Revolutionary God so that
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: they would have to deploy forces to combat the Kurds
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 1: in northeast Iran. I don't expect them to march and
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: onto Hran. I don't expect them to take over the
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: levels of power into Huran. I don't think that will happen.
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 1: So what they want is autonomy. What they really want
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: is a code of state that takes chunks of Iran,
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: chunks of Iraq, chunks of Syria, and chunks of Turkey.
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: But that, unfortunately for the Kods, is not happening. Is
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: not happening. But I think they will fight in their
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 1: region for their region and that will be a major
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 1: distraction and that will help the cause of the Americans.
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: But it's not going to be the boots in the
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: ground in Tehran that are needed in order to replace
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: this regime that is going to happen. That is going
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: to have to be Iranians, local Iranians. That's gonna have
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: to be. I think ultimately it's gonna have to be
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 1: the military. I mean, the whole goal I think of
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: the Israelis and Americans at this point is the weaken
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: is the weaken uh the Islamic Revolutionary God so much
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: that the military, the opposition figures within the military, have
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: the courage to stand up against them. H Linda says,
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: did you read that Rama Douaji, the wife of New
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: York Maya Zaharan Mamdani, like social media posts on Instagram
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: that appeared to celebrate the Haramas led October seventh, twenty
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: twenty three attack on his role. I did, and doesn't
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: surprise me. It didn't surprise me for one iota. You
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: know you think Mamdani didn't, I'm sure he did. If
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: he didn't like them, I'm sure he felt that sentiment.
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: We all know he's a globalized the fada guy. That
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: was just an occurrence of the global tafada. So none
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: of that surprises me at all. That's who he is now.
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's that qua Islamist. I think he's
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: that Quah leftist. And I think he suppressed that because
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: you know, he worried that by having those views he
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: wouldn't win the election. He might have been right, he
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: might have been wrong. It's not clar Liam says, someone
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 1: told me watch the rich for markets, but watched the
• 1:40:59
  Speaker 1: middle as for the economy. Any truth to this. I
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: don't even know what that means. It strikes me as
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 1: a meaningless statement, right, I mean most of the richer
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: passive investors in the markets, I don't know. I don't
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: know what it means to watch them. I don't think
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: they know anything in advance. I don't think they're particularly
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 1: good in markets unless they're in finance. And I don't
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 1: know what it means into the middle class in the economy. Yeah,
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 1: I really don't know what it means. And I know
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't I wouldn't go buy something like that. Roman
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 1: says Kata stopped all diplomatic diplomacy with the Islamic dictatorship.
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 1: Should Kata teach europe diplomacy Why the Europeans are so
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: hesitant in this war? Because they're hesitant. They has it
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 1: in every war. The hesitance in life. They don't want
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 1: to make moral statements. So don't you know people who
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 1: don't want to make any moral judgments, who never judge anybody,
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 1: who never take a stand, who never take a radical position.
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 1: And by the way, I don't trust the Kataris beyond,
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 1: you know, beyond anything. I don't trust them. I don't
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: know what exactly they're doing. I don't know that they're
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: not working with the Iranians on the side. I wouldn't
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 1: trust them one iota one bit. Anyway, Uh, Europeans are
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 1: moral relativists, and they and they refuse to judge. And
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 1: because they can't judge the Muslim brotherhood, they can't judge
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 1: the Iranians, and there's a consequence they land up sitting
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: on fences. Harper Campbell, you said ICE is a phenomenon,
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 1: phenomenon we've never seen in American history before. But weren't
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 1: the Japanese interminent camps far worse than what ICE is
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: tasked to do. I mean, maybe maybe, but I'm not
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: sure it is. I mean, first of all, there was
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 1: a semi valid reason for the internment camps. There was
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 1: a war, there was a fear of people spying for
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 1: the Japanese. It was initiated by Japan. There was real
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 1: fear that local Japanese would spy for Japan. I'm not
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: saying it's justified, but there was some national security reason
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: to do it. It was much easier to round them up.
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 1: They were concentrated in particular places where Japanese lived and worked.
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 1: They weren't thugs and neighborhoods all over the place. The
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 1: numbers weren't quite as large. I think it was much
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 1: simpler and much more localized, much more defined operation of
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 1: what you're seeing with Ice, which is somewhat open ended.
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 1: Hop up, Maybe your path is harder because your calling
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 1: is higher. Again, I don't know what that means. I
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 1: don't know what my calling is. I don't know what
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 1: calling is. I don't like nobody's called me to do anything.
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 1: Calling is not a good term, certainly not a good
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 1: objectivist term. So purpose is to good term. Purposes is
• 1:44:01
  Speaker 1: what the objectives legitimate term is. Gary. Could you see
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 1: Lebanon and Beyroot becoming again the powers of them at least? Yes?
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: I can't. I can't, And a lot depends on the
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 1: next few weeks. If we can really neutralize Risbllah. Wow,
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 1: look out bay Root could could could really flourish, Lebanon
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 1: could really flourish particularly, and they're willing to sign a
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 1: peace agreeing with Israel. Yes Na Chavi Jagorithm. Will Maga
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 1: turn on Trump overs perceived some servience to Israel, big
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 1: chunks of mega. No maga is whatever Trump says it
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 1: is for most maga. Now there is a faction, the
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 1: the Tucker Colson, a candae own faction that you know
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: that that is tuning against Trump over this. But what's
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 1: their options? Who are they going to go with? There's
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 1: nobody out there that is challenging channeling them other than
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 1: these influences. Maybe tech. Of course it gets it to
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 1: politics in order to take advantage of that, I don't know,
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 1: not Java Jagorhithm. Why are intellectuals yearning for a dark age,
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 1: both left and right? Well, they don't say they're uni
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 1: for dark age. They don't think they're uning for dark age.
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 1: They think they want an age of success and prosperity.
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 1: It's just that the dog age is a consequence. But
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 1: they can't, they they won't. They don't hold it in
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: their mind as I wanted dark ages they are attracted
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 1: to ideas because of their religion, because of because then
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 1: they can't think, and they can't think about cause and effect,
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: and they can't think about consequences. They at some edge
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 1: of their mind know that this is bad, but they
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 1: can't really can't really they can't really think it through.
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 1: And and and they they just don't have the capacity
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 1: or they have the capacity. They're ignoring that capacity, evading
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 1: that capacity. So it's not like they you know. And
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: what they're yearning for is destruction more than anything else.
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: And that comes from hate and fear. Primarily hate and fear,
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 1: the driving emotions of both the left, the far left,
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: and the far right. I like numbers. When Oxyford's Mesa's
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: Society promotes scholarships for young people to attend events at
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 1: Mesas Institute at Auburn, does that counter as sanction? I
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 1: mean it does, But I give a certain latitude. Latitude
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 1: I think statitude to students, to youth organizations run by students,
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 1: you know, I think I think they at least can
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: be assumed to be more ignorant then assumed to be
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 1: evil in a sense of having the knowledge to know
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 1: that this is evil and this is bad. And therefore
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 1: I don't have a problem speaking for two student runs
• 1:47:10
  Speaker 1: student based libertarian organization, and even more so in Europe
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: where they don't always know how bad the Mesa's institute is.
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 1: But you know, students, I'm gonna give them the benefit
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 1: of the debt until they prove me wrong. Michael Ismam
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 1: donny all talk. Will he not actually do another majority
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 1: anything majorly destructive or will New York City landlords be
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 1: in some rough times? I think it's gonna be somewhere
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: in the middle. I think he'll do stuff that's destructive.
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 1: It won't, so landlords are in for a rough ride.
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 1: But I don't think he can get away with a
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 1: lot because they are property rights and they are courts.
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 1: So it'll be less harmful than what it would expect
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 1: given his rhetoric, but more harmful than if he did nothing.
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: So it'll be bad but not horrific. That is my prediction.
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 1: Not Youvry algorithm. You said Trump hasn't done anything to
• 1:48:12
  Speaker 1: move against the warfare state, but they have cut medicaid
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 1: and food stamps. They cut medicaid a little bit, they
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 1: cut food stamps a little bit, or they changed food
• 1:48:24
  Speaker 1: stamps and made them it's not that they cut them.
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 1: They made them more reliance on work. But these are
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 1: tiny little changes that have very little impact and don't
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: change any of the budget stuff. And they did it
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 1: in order to be able to spend money on other
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 1: things that they wanted. They haven't done anything fundamental and
• 1:48:47
  Speaker 1: anything substantial about the warfare state. Maybe they've done some
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 1: minor stuff. It's minor whatever they've done. Look at the numbers,
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 1: the shin amount of money spent on Medicaid and food stamps.
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: I don't think has gone down. Is going down? Benjamin,
• 1:49:04
  Speaker 1: Can you elaborate on how you maintain objectivest principles when
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 1: supporting this war? It seems pragmatic to support regime change
• 1:49:12
  Speaker 1: by corrupt Trump. I mean why, I mean the question is,
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 1: if there's going to be a regime change, then there's
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: going to be a regime change. Why does it depend
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 1: whether Trump is corrupt or not. Does that make the
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 1: freedom of the Uranians any different? Does that make the
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 1: fact that America will be more secure any different? Trump
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: is corrupt, completely corrupt, more corrupt than any of the president,
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 1: but other presidents were pretty corrupt to from a constitutional perspective,
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 1: And yet I still supported them when they did good things.
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 1: Now I'm hazardingt with Trump because he can screw this up.
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 1: And I keep telling you, Trump can still screw this up,
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 1: so I support it as long as Trump doesn't screw
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 1: it up. He's ready to some extent screwing it up
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 1: because you know, States of home wos are closed and
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 1: stuff like that. But no, you can't. I mean this
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 1: idea that a president's cor up, therefore you must oppose
• 1:50:08
  Speaker 1: everything that they do. I don't understand that. I just
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 1: don't understand that. I mean, I continue to argue against
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 1: Trump and continue to argue that he could really screw
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 1: this up. But if, by chance, because of our military
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 1: not because of Trump, it is successful, then you know
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 1: that is a good thing and it won't change my
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 1: criticism with Trump. So you know, let's say make this extreme.
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 1: Jan is about to launch a nuclear weapon towards the
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 1: United States and we're like and Trump is like, okay,
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go stop them, and we're like, no, you
• 1:50:53
  Speaker 1: can't do that. You're Trump. We won't let you do
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 1: it because you'll corrupt, So you can't do something that
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: will save American lives. Well, he's doing something that will
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 1: long term, save American lives. Even if he stopped today,
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 1: this will have been good because it's stopped American saved
• 1:51:15
  Speaker 1: American lives. And that's the purpose of government is to
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 1: protect the individual rights of Americans, which means save American lives.
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 1: So if Trump can do that in a particular context,
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 1: then maybe even because of the particular nature of altruism
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 1: and a particular character of Donald Trump, he might be
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 1: the only one who can do it. I'll even go
• 1:51:34
  Speaker 1: that far. Then I will support him in this narrow,
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: very very narrow thing and recognize the harm that might
• 1:51:42
  Speaker 1: be done as a consequence. Liam is New York City
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 1: more like Europe than America? No, because I think America
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 1: is not that far behind New York City, and I
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 1: think all of New York and I mean New York.
• 1:51:59
  Speaker 1: You know, it's a driven city in a way that
• 1:52:01
  Speaker 1: no city in Europe is driven like New York. Remo says,
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 1: what do you think of Zurich? I just love it.
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 1: It's a pretty city. It's a pretty city. It's a
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 1: it's a it's it's very pretty if people are incredibly friendly.
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 1: Actually went to a good restaurant too, so food is good. Yeah,
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 1: you know, I I I like Zurich. I haven't spent
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 1: a lot of time there. I'm always in and out quickly.
• 1:52:26
  Speaker 1: But the time I've spent that I have enjoyed remo
• 1:52:30
  Speaker 1: value for value. Thank you, Remo. I appreciate that. Uh,
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 1: gold Gold. I am an aerospace engineer. I want to
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 1: study Masters in Finance. Cool Master's in Finance is a
• 1:52:46
  Speaker 1: good degree to have. There's a lot of jobs for that.
• 1:52:49
  Speaker 1: Go to the best university you can get into. Forgetting
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 1: your masters and finance that I'll give you great job
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: prospects afterwards. Clock, despite Trump's befo buffoonishness, are you optimistic
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 1: about Iran's future and Radical Islam dissolving because of this
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 1: military action? I still am. I still think that, yes,
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 1: despite of Trump and despite of lack of strategy and
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 1: planning and all of that, Iwan is so weak ultimately
• 1:53:23
  Speaker 1: that this really could lead to regime change and a
• 1:53:27
  Speaker 1: significantly improved future for the for you on. So I'm
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 1: still optimistic. Neo IDF launches on Iranian refineries and oil depots. Yeah,
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 1: I have to catch up on the news. I can't
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 1: do that while I'm While I'm doing this, we'll see Ryan,
• 1:53:45
  Speaker 1: can you make the regime and ilg feel the pain
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 1: without doing it to the people too, and get regime
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 1: changed without much damage to the people. I don't know.
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know. We'll discover that, but I I think
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: some pain to the people is inevitable. No gasoline, for example,
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 1: take out the refiner refineries so they can't drive, which
• 1:54:13
  Speaker 1: are really hood because trucks won't be able to deliver food.
• 1:54:16
  Speaker 1: It'll be a problem. But I don't know if you
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 1: can get regime change without doing that power water, you know,
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: you'd have to decide what are the priorities. But some
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 1: pain for the people is going to have to happen.
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 1: Borus you on thank you for being a voice of
• 1:54:36
  Speaker 1: reason in an increasingly irrational world. Your defensive reason of
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 1: freedom is deeply appreciated. Thank you, bars really appreciate it.
• 1:54:44
  Speaker 1: On Maykat for once, I'm going to play the dove.
• 1:54:49
  Speaker 1: Thirty thousand plus Iranians are being killed by the regime
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: they hated plenty this time. Good will among Iranians Iranian
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 1: people is an asset. I still think what I think
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 1: about Gaza, I mean, that's all true, and yet there's
• 1:55:06
  Speaker 1: still significant proportion of the Ranian population, probably supports this regime,
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 1: and they're going to have to be brought to understand
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 1: what happens if they continue on this route. I don't
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 1: think you can avoid war. Is who you cannot avoid
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 1: civilian pain in a war. Otherwise, don't go to war.
• 1:55:29
  Speaker 1: Rob after weak of bombardment of Islamik, Iran has the
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 1: fighting ability of the GC and bessage being degraded to
• 1:55:38
  Speaker 1: Iranian people can oppose them. I think it's been significantly degraded.
• 1:55:41
  Speaker 1: Whether the Iranian people can oppose them, I don't know yet,
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 1: but suddenly it's been degraded so that and I think
• 1:55:49
  Speaker 1: this is the ultimate goal. At least this would be
• 1:55:51
  Speaker 1: my goal, is so that the Iranian army can easily
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 1: oppose them. That's what I think the goal needs to be.
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 1: Not to degrade the i uh GC to the point
• 1:56:02
  Speaker 1: where unarmed civilians can oppose them, but to degrade them
• 1:56:06
  Speaker 1: to the point where lightly armed military can depose them.
• 1:56:10
  Speaker 1: That that should be the goal. And I'm not sure
• 1:56:12
  Speaker 1: where they yet, but that's where we're heading. I make it.
• 1:56:16
  Speaker 1: I'm okay bombing oil facilities. I GC gets the revenue anyway,
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 1: just not water and power, not this time. Yeah, but
• 1:56:24
  Speaker 1: oil will mean no cause, no trucks, no delivery of food,
• 1:56:29
  Speaker 1: no delivery of anything. It'll mean that Radian people will suffer.
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 1: How Wolf says, wrathful You're on is what the world needs,
• 1:56:41
  Speaker 1: right Yeah, they need Iran wrathful and gentle and considering
• 1:56:47
  Speaker 1: and principled and uncompromising and dedicated to liberty and freedom.
• 1:56:55
  Speaker 1: That's what they need. They need, They need your on,
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 1: They need a lot of me the deeper with Diego,
• 1:57:03
  Speaker 1: Dan and James said, anyone who leaves Iran and goes
• 1:57:06
  Speaker 1: to watch them over at AARs asc UK, you'll get
• 1:57:13
  Speaker 1: five bucks. Dan and James are gonna give people five bucks.
• 1:57:16
  Speaker 1: So the people who leave my show, I mean, there's
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 1: no reason to leave my show and go to a
• 1:57:21
  Speaker 1: c UK because they their shows are like ten hours long.
• 1:57:25
  Speaker 1: You can go anytime today, show mine a short condensed powerful.
• 1:57:30
  Speaker 1: This show's gone forever. You can catch them after my show,
• 1:57:34
  Speaker 1: catch them before my show. Anyway. They're not going to
• 1:57:40
  Speaker 1: give you five bucks. There's no way Dan and James
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 1: are going to give you five bucks. Cook abandoning the
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 1: Kods was not only disloyal, but would have severely adverse
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 1: have severe adverse consequences worldwide. For any future effort to
• 1:57:56
  Speaker 1: recruit allies who might later be seen as ex This
• 1:58:00
  Speaker 1: is from John Bolton's book. Hmm. And that was the
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 1: first time they were betrayed. That was when they were
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 1: trained in twenty nineteen, eighteen or nineteen. They were even
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 1: betrayed worse last year by Trump. So it's god. You know,
• 1:58:23
  Speaker 1: people never learn. And John Bolton was an exceptional national
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: security advisor, but Trump didn't deserve such a good national
• 1:58:33
  Speaker 1: security advisor. P gooked up absolutely loved Mister Sunshine, thanks
• 1:58:40
  Speaker 1: haunting scenes and music. Fast forward to episode two to
• 1:58:44
  Speaker 1: get going after multiple failed starts, Well, you have to
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 1: do yes, you have to. You have to get through
• 1:58:51
  Speaker 1: episode one and two to get into it. But episode
• 1:58:54
  Speaker 1: one is important because it sets the context. But you
• 1:58:56
  Speaker 1: have to watch it more than once because you have
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 1: to figure out what's a what's a flashback, and what
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 1: is happening this and who are the characters and when
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 1: it's hot. But once you get past it, it becomes easier.
• 1:59:08
  Speaker 1: Enrick thoughts on Trump demanding political and economic change in Cuba.
• 1:59:13
  Speaker 1: I think it's good. I think it's good, you know,
• 1:59:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think regime change in Cuba is easier
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 1: than regime changeing Iran and the demand for regime change
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 1: in Cuba. I mean, what are the downside? No downsides,
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 1: lots of upsides. Roman thoughts of Pere polyv seems reasonal. Yeah,
• 1:59:34
  Speaker 1: I liked him. I was disappointed that he didn't win
• 1:59:37
  Speaker 1: the Canadian election, but I think that's Trump's fault. He
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 1: seems like a good conservative relatively speaking, so I'm favorably inclined.
• 1:59:48
  Speaker 1: Seems like a free market conservative relative. Augustina says, thanks
• 1:59:54
  Speaker 1: for your working on spending my saturity bunch money to
• 1:59:58
  Speaker 1: support you. Oh now you make me feel bad. I'm
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 1: causing Augustina not to eat brunch on Saturday. I'm going
• 2:00:07
  Speaker 1: to feel guilty all weekend for that. Thank you, Augustina,
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 1: and thank you for all the wokie you do. You're
• 2:00:13
  Speaker 1: an inspiration. Peak up to worry. Ranian assembly of experts
• 2:00:18
  Speaker 1: all killed? Who elected hominy Son? Well nobody so first, no,
• 2:00:22
  Speaker 1: they weren't. It turns out the building was probably we
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 1: don't know, but probably mostly empty. Some were killed, but
• 2:00:29
  Speaker 1: maybe not a majority. They weren't there. They were. Turns
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 1: out they were using zoom or something. But nobody's elected
• 2:00:36
  Speaker 1: kromene Son. There is no supreme leader in Iran right now.
• 2:00:39
  Speaker 1: So while rumors say how many Son is the supreme leader,
• 2:00:43
  Speaker 1: he is not. There's no proof of that. There's no
• 2:00:45
  Speaker 1: evidence of that. It's not definitive. There is no supreme
• 2:00:49
  Speaker 1: leader right now in Iran. They're still waiting for that
• 2:00:51
  Speaker 1: decision to be made. So, no, he was not. They
• 2:00:56
  Speaker 1: were not mostly killed and he was not elected. Not
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 1: javijag with them. When people say life is meaningless, do
• 2:01:02
  Speaker 1: they mean there's no intrinsic value to life. We're all
• 2:01:06
  Speaker 1: going to be dead and forgotten. The objectives to you
• 2:01:10
  Speaker 1: is that life has meaning. We give it for the
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 1: time we have. Yes, And the meaning of life is
• 2:01:17
  Speaker 1: to live. It is in the living, that's the meaning.
• 2:01:20
  Speaker 1: There's no meaning outside of life. There's no meaning outside
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 1: of us. There's no meaning that comes from other places.
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: It's like we don't have a calling. Nobody calls us.
• 2:01:28
  Speaker 1: There's no somebody out there to call us. So it's
• 2:01:31
  Speaker 1: it's you give meaning to your life in how you
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 1: live it and the values you pursue. That's what gives
• 2:01:40
  Speaker 1: meaning to your life. And yes, I agree they say
• 2:01:43
  Speaker 1: life is meaningless because they view it as intrinsic value.
• 2:01:47
  Speaker 1: Whereas we know it's not intrinsic, it's the value you
• 2:01:50
  Speaker 1: give it. And so you know, it's the Nietzsche God
• 2:01:54
  Speaker 1: is dead, life is meaningless because there's no outside forced
• 2:01:59
  Speaker 1: to give it meaning. Danielle, I hate to be negative
• 2:02:03
  Speaker 1: while we're bombing you on, but if this goes good,
• 2:02:07
  Speaker 1: I could see the right saying, you see, it wouldn't
• 2:02:09
  Speaker 1: have happened. If Trump wasted time with Congress, it's something
• 2:02:13
  Speaker 1: we'll have to watch out, you know. Maybe, But the
• 2:02:17
  Speaker 1: reality is that's not the kind of resolution he would
• 2:02:20
  Speaker 1: have needed from Congress. He could have done it a
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 1: month ago, two months ago. And it's also the case
• 2:02:26
  Speaker 1: that whatever happens, the right is going to take credit
• 2:02:28
  Speaker 1: for it and claim victory. Trump will anyway, Yeah, I mean,
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 1: that is the downside of anything Trump does successfully is
• 2:02:39
  Speaker 1: they'll say, see, only Trump could do that, See we
• 2:02:41
  Speaker 1: need a Trump that Yeah, And that's the danger, that's
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 1: but that's Look, that's a consequence of electing Trump. Once
• 2:02:47
  Speaker 1: you elect Trump, there are lots of downfalls. There are
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 1: lots of downsides. But then to ignore something good happening,
• 2:02:55
  Speaker 1: potentially it is the igno reality. It's something good happen.
• 2:03:04
  Speaker 1: Loss some logic. Thank you for the sticker who really
• 2:03:06
  Speaker 1: appreciated twenty dollars. I appreciate that, all right, res right.
• 2:03:14
  Speaker 1: That was my thought to using the Constitution as a
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 1: primary basis is the error. I agree, Yes, you don't
• 2:03:20
  Speaker 1: disagree with stuff primarily because it's unconstitutional. The fact that
• 2:03:24
  Speaker 1: it's unconstitutional is one aspect of what we, from an
• 2:03:28
  Speaker 1: objective's perspective, disagree with something on I you know, I
• 2:03:32
  Speaker 1: don't start with it's unconstitutional because so much is unconstitutional.
• 2:03:37
  Speaker 1: So much again, something like ninety percent of what the
• 2:03:41
  Speaker 1: government does today is unconstitutional. Pegupta, Willie Raney coulds work
• 2:03:46
  Speaker 1: with Paula Vi. Yeah, I think they will, particularly if
• 2:03:49
  Speaker 1: he's willing to give them autonomy, and I think he's
• 2:03:51
  Speaker 1: expressed a willingness to do that. Harrison Stucksnett was probably
• 2:03:57
  Speaker 1: is Oh the computer virus designed with extreme precisions to
• 2:03:59
  Speaker 1: talk and destroy Urania uranium centrifugias and nothing else. I
• 2:04:03
  Speaker 1: remember that really powerful set back the Uranian nuclear program
• 2:04:08
  Speaker 1: by years and years and years. Yep, ray Raymond. Why
• 2:04:15
  Speaker 1: should the government issue shipping insurance right now? Isn't this
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 1: just a subsidy? Why is this a proper action? By
• 2:04:22
  Speaker 1: the government. I think because oil is a strategic asset.
• 2:04:26
  Speaker 1: Oil is necessary. A decent price in oil is necessary
• 2:04:30
  Speaker 1: for national security. So you know, governing intervention with regard
• 2:04:36
  Speaker 1: to it during a war and only during a war
• 2:04:39
  Speaker 1: is relevant. It's the war that has caused the problem
• 2:04:43
  Speaker 1: again national security. Why escort the ships that in a
• 2:04:49
  Speaker 1: sense is a military intervention in a civilian things because
• 2:04:54
  Speaker 1: of the strategic nature of the issue. And again the reason,
• 2:05:00
  Speaker 1: the reason that the US Navy is as big and
• 2:05:03
  Speaker 1: as vast and as powerful as it is, it's by
• 2:05:06
  Speaker 1: me function is securing the shipping lanes. This is its shop.
• 2:05:09
  Speaker 1: But yes, I you know, this is a subsidy, but
• 2:05:12
  Speaker 1: it's a subsidy focused on moving cargo that would have
• 2:05:17
  Speaker 1: moved if not for the war. It's not a subsidy
• 2:05:21
  Speaker 1: to increase production. It's not a subsidy for anything like
• 2:05:24
  Speaker 1: that which has distortive effects. This would not actually distort,
• 2:05:28
  Speaker 1: This would return to normal. It would be short lived,
• 2:05:32
  Speaker 1: only during this emergency and then it would be gone.
• 2:05:43
  Speaker 1: On Some israelly YouTube news channels, you recommend other sources. God,
• 2:05:49
  Speaker 1: you know, my wife listens through Channel twelve and con
• 2:05:55
  Speaker 1: Ka n You can find channel twelve. I think they
• 2:05:58
  Speaker 1: both cast live. I don't listen that much, which she
• 2:06:02
  Speaker 1: fills me in. I read telegram, various telegram accounts A
• 2:06:09
  Speaker 1: meet segal is pretty good on politics and Israel and
• 2:06:13
  Speaker 1: what's going on. And then there's then there's a number
• 2:06:16
  Speaker 1: of others whose name I can't remember, but I follow
• 2:06:18
  Speaker 1: like five different telegram channels that are pretty reliable now
• 2:06:23
  Speaker 1: for a few years, and they've been really reliable. Christina,
• 2:06:29
  Speaker 1: what do you know about DHS secretary nominee mcwayne mullin.
• 2:06:35
  Speaker 1: That's a weird first name. And how do you think
• 2:06:38
  Speaker 1: he'd perform his head of DHS if con I don't
• 2:06:41
  Speaker 1: know that much about it. He's a Trump loyalist from
• 2:06:44
  Speaker 1: the Senate. You know. Everybody seems to think from what
• 2:06:49
  Speaker 1: I've read about him that he is much more level headed,
• 2:06:53
  Speaker 1: that he's smart as compared to Gnome and kind of
• 2:06:58
  Speaker 1: level headed, a good organizer. I don't think you'll see
• 2:07:03
  Speaker 1: a dramatic shift in what the department does. I think
• 2:07:08
  Speaker 1: you'll see it become a little bit more professional in
• 2:07:12
  Speaker 1: what it does. It will be less abusive, but maybe
• 2:07:16
  Speaker 1: more efficient, which I'm not sure I like the more efficiency,
• 2:07:19
  Speaker 1: but likely to focus on being efficient and trying to
• 2:07:24
  Speaker 1: be less abusive. What he'll try to do is position
• 2:07:29
  Speaker 1: Ice towards the November election as going after criminals is
• 2:07:35
  Speaker 1: making your life safer and less about just random rounding
• 2:07:40
  Speaker 1: up people. I think. But it's going to be interesting
• 2:07:44
  Speaker 1: to see how he performs during the confirmation hearings and
• 2:07:47
  Speaker 1: what he says. I know it seems like a number
• 2:07:51
  Speaker 1: of Democrats will actually vote for him because they like him.
• 2:07:53
  Speaker 1: He was a friendly senator Andrew, welcome back. Iran should
• 2:07:58
  Speaker 1: have been confronted decades ago. Oh yes, better late than
• 2:08:01
  Speaker 1: never watching Tucker and other mega megi at squeamishness is
• 2:08:06
  Speaker 1: a side poke. Yes, I'll talk about Tucker tomorrow. He
• 2:08:10
  Speaker 1: said some amazing things of the last few days which
• 2:08:13
  Speaker 1: are fun. John. Would it be more likely than an
• 2:08:17
  Speaker 1: objectivist wins an election under an established party, probably a Democrat?
• 2:08:22
  Speaker 1: Or couldn't objective's party have a chance? When now I
• 2:08:26
  Speaker 1: don't think either one has a chance. I think probably
• 2:08:30
  Speaker 1: of an objectivist winning an objective's party winning is zero.
• 2:08:36
  Speaker 1: The probably of an objectivist winning an election with an
• 2:08:40
  Speaker 1: established party depends on unware. It's very close to zero,
• 2:08:49
  Speaker 1: but is higher because you get the party affiliation, and
• 2:08:55
  Speaker 1: you get people voting for the party just because they
• 2:08:56
  Speaker 1: vote for the party rather than you. So I mean
• 2:09:00
  Speaker 1: Rob Tasinski running in Virginia is going to be interesting
• 2:09:04
  Speaker 1: because he's as close to objectivist as we have and
• 2:09:07
  Speaker 1: running and he's running as a Democrat, which is interesting
• 2:09:14
  Speaker 1: because he shares my hostility towards Republicans and Trump. And
• 2:09:18
  Speaker 1: we'll see how many votes gets. It'll be interesting. And
• 2:09:21
  Speaker 1: he's articulate and he's bright in politics, so it'll be
• 2:09:26
  Speaker 1: interesting what he can do. Charles hi Ron, thanks on
• 2:09:34
  Speaker 1: an interesting evening at Oxford. It was worth the trip
• 2:09:38
  Speaker 1: down from London. Thank you, Charles. I'm glad you made
• 2:09:41
  Speaker 1: it out. I am glad you found it interesting. Yeah,
• 2:09:44
  Speaker 1: it was. It was fun a Saana's good to meet
• 2:09:46
  Speaker 1: you there. Look forward to meeting you in the future
• 2:09:50
  Speaker 1: in London, Oxford or whatever. Come to Porto. You should
• 2:09:55
  Speaker 1: come to Porto, Harrison. Could we possibly make an AIU
• 2:10:00
  Speaker 1: at some point I had this company that was going
• 2:10:02
  Speaker 1: to do it and they disappeared. I think they went
• 2:10:05
  Speaker 1: belly up. I think they couldn't raise enough money. So yes,
• 2:10:08
  Speaker 1: there will be at some point. Neil contact Mark Mark
• 2:10:14
  Speaker 1: Mike at the outstartled Foundation in Canada. Yeah, I know.
• 2:10:17
  Speaker 1: I've been meaning to interview it for a while. I
• 2:10:19
  Speaker 1: will at some point. He's very responsible by email and
• 2:10:22
  Speaker 1: could be a great contact and guest for the show. Yeah,
• 2:10:25
  Speaker 1: I plan to do that. I've just I've neglected it.
• 2:10:28
  Speaker 1: I apologize, Loan Dissenter. Best case scenario is that Iron
• 2:10:33
  Speaker 1: becomes like Jordan, still authoritarian, was some pro Western alignment
• 2:10:38
  Speaker 1: and no expansion aspiration. That would be a good thing
• 2:10:42
  Speaker 1: for the world. It would, but I don't think that's
• 2:10:43
  Speaker 1: the best case scenario. I think you could have much
• 2:10:46
  Speaker 1: better than that. I mean, I don't know if you
• 2:10:49
  Speaker 1: saw the Goals Revolution, I don't know if you saw
• 2:10:51
  Speaker 1: the protesters going out there, young people going out there,
• 2:10:54
  Speaker 1: you know that is not a population that's going to
• 2:10:57
  Speaker 1: settle for being Jordan. And if they all like Jordan,
• 2:11:01
  Speaker 1: will they oppress their people when the people go onto
• 2:11:04
  Speaker 1: the streets demanding freedom. I just don't think that's a
• 2:11:08
  Speaker 1: stable equilibrium. Too many Iranians want to be free for
• 2:11:13
  Speaker 1: that to be a stable equilibrium. Daniel, this might be
• 2:11:17
  Speaker 1: the only time I can remember American asserting itself in
• 2:11:20
  Speaker 1: spite of the regular caveats. It does feel pretty great.
• 2:11:24
  Speaker 1: Do you think this will help build our self esteem
• 2:11:27
  Speaker 1: to an extent? You know, maybe I think all of
• 2:11:30
  Speaker 1: that is under cut by the fact that Trump is
• 2:11:32
  Speaker 1: doing it sadly, but maybe maybe it's certainly building up
• 2:11:39
  Speaker 1: Trump's boastfulness, and that's the danger that convinces Trump he's
• 2:11:43
  Speaker 1: invincible and follow his whims in everything. All right, it
• 2:11:50
  Speaker 1: looks like Brian Cross is going to have the final question.
• 2:11:54
  Speaker 1: Let's see, I had thought Trump could have informed Congress
• 2:11:59
  Speaker 1: as required, maybe even gotten the votes to start the bombing.
• 2:12:03
  Speaker 1: Is that required? But he didn't want to imply that
• 2:12:06
  Speaker 1: he needed to consult Congress and anything. I think that's right.
• 2:12:10
  Speaker 1: He could have asked Congress, and I said this on
• 2:12:12
  Speaker 1: a previous show. He could have asked Congress for the
• 2:12:16
  Speaker 1: permission to attack Iran at his discretion given the threat
• 2:12:21
  Speaker 1: they posed America, and just to vote to give him
• 2:12:24
  Speaker 1: the discretion in terms of timing to attack Iran, to
• 2:12:29
  Speaker 1: dismantle the nuclear program, and even in the law. I
• 2:12:33
  Speaker 1: could have said, potentially bring about a regime change. He
• 2:12:36
  Speaker 1: could have done that. He could have done it a
• 2:12:37
  Speaker 1: month ago, two months ago, He could have done that
• 2:12:39
  Speaker 1: a year ago, just giving him the discretion as the
• 2:12:42
  Speaker 1: timing and urgency, it wouldn't. And I think I think
• 2:12:48
  Speaker 1: if he'd done it right and he've gone to the
• 2:12:49
  Speaker 1: American people and gone to Congress and navigated Congress, he
• 2:12:53
  Speaker 1: could have gotten the votes. But yeah, you're right. He
• 2:12:58
  Speaker 1: didn't want to be in a position where he's going
• 2:13:01
  Speaker 1: to ask Congress or anything. He doesn't believe in it.
• 2:13:06
  Speaker 1: All right, everybody, thank you, Thank you for your support,
• 2:13:09
  Speaker 1: really really really appreciate it. Have a great rest of
• 2:13:12
  Speaker 1: your weekend. I will see you guys again, same time tomorrow. So, oh, tomorrow,
• 2:13:19
  Speaker 1: clocks are switching. Huh. So I'm not sure exactly. It's
• 2:13:25
  Speaker 1: the tomorrow either two o'clock or three o'clock. Probably one
• 2:13:29
  Speaker 1: hour later tomorrow, probably three o'clock Eastern time tomorrow. See
• 2:13:35
  Speaker 1: your clocks are changing mine or not? So I now
• 2:13:39
  Speaker 1: become East Coast time as of tomorrow, so it changes
• 2:13:42
  Speaker 1: all my schedules. It just bamboozles me every time. So
• 2:13:46
  Speaker 1: probably three o'clock Eastern time tomorrow instead of two o'clock.
• 2:13:50
  Speaker 1: All right, hope you enjoyed the show. Don't forget to support.
• 2:13:54
  Speaker 1: You're on book show on Patreon dot com. You on
• 2:13:57
  Speaker 1: book show become a monthly supporter. Oh we got one
• 2:13:59
  Speaker 1: more thing. Frank came in. You have been the best.
• 2:14:02
  Speaker 1: Frank says, a level headed reporter on the war. Not
• 2:14:06
  Speaker 1: a time for hysterics reading W. S. Jevons. Jevon's great
• 2:14:11
  Speaker 1: writer the economists. Thank you, Frank, and wow, I mean
• 2:14:16
  Speaker 1: that's uh, you're reading some intense content. That's good. That's good.
• 2:14:23
  Speaker 1: And thank you for the support. Fifty dollars. That's amazing.
• 2:14:25
  Speaker 1: Oh molten Splender says, what is the status of Aiyran.
• 2:14:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I've lost touch with those guides. I
• 2:14:32
  Speaker 1: need a good Thanks for reminding me. I'll let you
• 2:14:35
  Speaker 1: know in the next few weeks. I'll drop them an
• 2:14:37
  Speaker 1: email and see if they exist. I have a feeling
• 2:14:39
  Speaker 1: that the company's gone bailly up because I haven't heard a word.
• 2:14:42
  Speaker 1: All right, see tomorrow, Bye everybody,