Latest / Connor with Honor: AI, Real Estate and Real Life / If AI Is That Smart, Why Should the Transition Hurt?
Transcript
- 0:01SPEAKER_00: It's interesting to me that the talk hasn't been much about helping people through this transition that's going to be occurring as a result of artificial intelligence.
- 0:11SPEAKER_00: So I thought I would bring that up here.
- 0:13SPEAKER_00: Now, there's a lot of people that have a lot of money that are betting on artificial intelligence being a very incredible thing.
- 0:20SPEAKER_00: So if that's the case, if if it really is going to be everything they say it's going to be, then getting through this particular endeavor, as far as having a greater than human intelligence being developed, built, procured, loved, cared for, and being released onto the world, it should probably be pretty simple of a transition for us to go through and not this dystopian, painful, oh my God, this is the horrible time type of transition.
- 0:47SPEAKER_00: You know, if we go back in the past, those best the past transitions, now we weren't there.
- 0:52SPEAKER_00: You have to crawl down the rabbit hole a little bit to really uh understand what happened.
- 0:56SPEAKER_00: And I don't know if the history books can convey the pain and suffering that happened during those times, like when the the uh Gutenberg press, the printing press, was actually developed.
- 1:08SPEAKER_00: While you would think that probably wouldn't cause a lot of problems, well, it did because people started printing books that were kind of not supposed to be printed as far as the powers that be.
- 1:17SPEAKER_00: You give the people that kind of intelligence, right?
- 1:20SPEAKER_00: They're able to read it for themselves.
- 1:22SPEAKER_00: Well, it created a problem.
- 1:23SPEAKER_00: And because they were able to print things that made people wonder, hmm, I wonder if the government does have our best interest at heart.
- 1:31SPEAKER_00: Well, that was a problem.
- 1:32SPEAKER_00: So then you look at that historical record and it sucked for a lot of people.
- 1:36SPEAKER_00: But what was interesting at the time is lifespans have a finite value.
- 1:42SPEAKER_00: A lot of times, what, males 73, which sucks, by the way.
- 1:46SPEAKER_00: I don't like that at all.
- 1:47SPEAKER_00: Females maybe a little bit longer, 83, 85.
- 1:50SPEAKER_00: I don't know what those averages are, but they're there's somewhere right around there.
- 1:53SPEAKER_00: I know if you're a retired cop, it's not good at all.
- 1:56SPEAKER_00: So please, if you're in those kind of professions, for some reason they can't wrap their mind around doing nothing or going and figuring to do something else out after 30, 35 years in a particular profession.
- 2:06SPEAKER_00: And maybe you know people like that as well.
- 2:08SPEAKER_00: They just can't, they just can't seem to get it out of their head that they should maybe go figure something else out.
- 2:13SPEAKER_00: Sanskrit, go learn Sanskrit or another language or travel, or my God, buy a buy an RV, sell everything you own, and just drive around and stay at RV party.
- 2:22SPEAKER_00: I mean, do something.
- 2:24SPEAKER_00: Okay, all right.
- 2:25SPEAKER_00: So back to this.
- 2:26SPEAKER_00: So these different endeavors in the past, each one of them was based on a particular narrow intelligence.
- 2:32SPEAKER_00: Gutenberg press, great idea, but it wasn't all about atomic theory, wasn't all about saving the environment or the planet.
- 2:38SPEAKER_00: And back then, of course, I don't think they really cared, but it probably all smelled like chimneys everywhere you went anyway, and the streets smelled like, you know, business because people did their business in the street or dumped it out of windows.
- 2:49SPEAKER_00: I don't know what it was going on.
- 2:50SPEAKER_00: But so that's where that particular little endeavor was.
- 2:54SPEAKER_00: Little endeavor created a lot of problems, but people with finite lives, you know, it went on a couple of generations and everybody forgot, everybody adjusted.
- 3:01SPEAKER_00: The people that had to go through it, well, they were dead.
- 3:04SPEAKER_00: They didn't die because of that, but they just died because of normal lifespan.
- 3:08SPEAKER_00: So now you move that into another technological uh advancement that was based on intelligence, but very narrow.
- 3:18SPEAKER_00: Let's talk about the loom, the the the clothing maker, this machine.
- 3:23SPEAKER_00: Yeah, that caused a lot of problems as well.
- 3:25SPEAKER_00: You look back, and it was just because people were panicked, didn't have jobs.
- 3:29SPEAKER_00: People that did that type of labor were enough in numbers to be able to go create a problem in the world.
- 3:35SPEAKER_00: So that's what happened.
- 3:36SPEAKER_00: But again, that generational impact, it was that one, maybe one and a half, but those people ended up adjusting or dying, and then the next ones came in, and then, you know, making clothing with machines, moving from the human labor commode to a machine making it, so on.
- 3:52SPEAKER_00: And so you see this throughout history: steam engines and backhoes and and jackhammers and and nail guns and ATM machines, right?
- 4:03SPEAKER_00: And and now uh AI over radiologist.
- 4:06SPEAKER_00: You have all these different aspects of the world that have changed.
- 4:11SPEAKER_00: And AI with radiologists, that's probably a whole different standard because that kind of changed the theory of what AI was typically going to do.
- 4:18SPEAKER_00: And they love to talk about that one because if in fact that's what happens with the rest of intelligence, then we're we're pretty good because with the radiologists, AI disrupted that business.
- 4:30SPEAKER_00: And people said, well, you're never going to get a job as a radiologist anymore.
- 4:33SPEAKER_00: Well, now they need more radiologists because AI reads scans, read the scans more, and better.
- 4:39SPEAKER_00: Now you need more radiologists to back that system up.
- 4:42SPEAKER_00: So now they're running a lot more scans than they ever did using AI.
- 4:46SPEAKER_00: It was able to look at all the past historical record and scans as well.
- 4:49SPEAKER_00: Say, oh my God, Mrs.
- 4:50SPEAKER_00: Smith, you have an issue here that we never would have identified if it wasn't for internal artificial intelligence.
- 4:56SPEAKER_00: But now you need the human being to be in the loop here with the radiologists and so on and so forth.
- 5:01SPEAKER_00: So that's that one.
- 5:02SPEAKER_00: But looking at the intelligence and watching how the past has um dealt with it with these finite lives, this is a different kind of technology where it's basically at a point, or it may be at a point, where we're never going to come up with a good idea to save our lives.
- 5:19SPEAKER_00: Hopefully we won't have to.
- 5:21SPEAKER_00: Hopefully, we're all going to be sitting on the beach drinking whatever our favorite drink is, but a non-alcoholic, of course, or whatever you want.
- 5:28SPEAKER_00: But we're, we should be hopefully at that point.
- 5:31SPEAKER_00: But when you listen to the people that are the early investors, the venture capitalists talking about it, they can't say enough good about it.
- 5:37SPEAKER_00: And they're talking about how, oh, they just met with some kids this week at MIT and they they had this great idea.
- 5:42SPEAKER_00: So well, I threw them up, you know, a couple million bucks because I know it's going to be something, and it's called cold fusion or something crazy.
- 5:49SPEAKER_00: You see?
- 5:50SPEAKER_00: So this is where those people are.
- 5:54SPEAKER_00: I miss that boat.
- 5:55SPEAKER_00: I didn't have the the uh I I often say this story in in my dorm room.
- 6:01SPEAKER_00: That first year in college, it was it was rough.
- 6:04SPEAKER_00: Uh Drew was, I don't even know if he's still alive.
- 6:06SPEAKER_00: I don't, I don't, I wouldn't guess, but he's he was goth when goth wasn't fun.
- 6:10SPEAKER_00: So I was I laid there many nights concerned, didn't know what was going to happen.
- 6:15SPEAKER_00: You know, you know how that goes, right?
- 6:16SPEAKER_00: Maybe, maybe you don't, but I didn't have Zuckerberg in my room or Gates in my room or whomever else uh that was good to room with back then, where you gave them$50 in pizza money turned into$500 million later.
- 6:28SPEAKER_00: I I didn't have that.
- 6:29SPEAKER_00: And maybe you did, maybe you didn't either, but the people that are in these spaces, they were right place, right time, right education, right college.
- 6:36SPEAKER_00: And yes, that's offered up for everybody.
- 6:38SPEAKER_00: Everybody has an equal share, equal opportunity, apparently, to get into those systems and missed it.
- 6:43SPEAKER_00: And maybe you missed it as well.
- 6:45SPEAKER_00: So that being the case, now we have to kind of be a little concerned about where we are currently and what that's gonna look like for us.
- 6:52SPEAKER_00: That's why this show exists, that's why I talk about it, and that's why people on the on the left side or the the upside, the people that are investing into the companies are saying this is gonna be fantastic.
- 7:02SPEAKER_00: Oh my gosh, I can't wait to see what's gonna happen next.
- 7:05SPEAKER_00: But in their talk, they kind of have a little bit of, yeah, it's gonna be a little rough.
- 7:11SPEAKER_00: But not really for them.
- 7:13SPEAKER_00: Um only unless it's rough for all of us, right?
- 7:17SPEAKER_00: Unless, unless the doomers have what they say is true come true.
- 7:22SPEAKER_00: This is what they're saying is going to be true.
- 7:24SPEAKER_00: If that does happen to come true, that means AI is going to end it all for all of us.
- 7:28SPEAKER_00: In order to do that, AI is gonna have to become aware of its existence and then make a decision that human beings shouldn't be around for whatever reason or ignore us and push us out of all the aspects that cause us to be able to survive.
- 7:42SPEAKER_00: And there's no way that we can fix it, apparently.
- 7:45SPEAKER_00: And it just happens that they release a virus, they release some kind of all the nukes, they do something to destroy us.
- 7:53SPEAKER_00: Right now, we don't have AI as the villain yet talking on television, telling us that it's gonna end us.
- 8:01SPEAKER_00: That that if that happens, that'll be.
- 8:03SPEAKER_00: I don't know if that movie has been made yet, but it it will be interesting if that does happen.
- 8:09SPEAKER_00: And then, of course, we'll have to make the adjustment.
- 8:11SPEAKER_00: I I can't tell you how many people say, well my God, what am I gonna do?
- 8:15SPEAKER_00: What's gonna happen?
- 8:16SPEAKER_00: Well, we have to we have to wait and see what happens.
- 8:18SPEAKER_00: I mean, we don't have to wait and see till they're coming down the street, you know, uh, with 500 robots.
- 8:24SPEAKER_00: I mean, we'll probably have a little bit of a glimpse prior to that happening, unless we're stuck at ground zero and we're the we're the first ones out.
- 8:32SPEAKER_00: And maybe, maybe if we're the first up, maybe we'll have a chance to escape a little bit more than the robots becoming used to a certain plan of attack and learning more and more about human beings and the physical world and so on.
- 8:43SPEAKER_00: But AI, before that happens, AI has to become aware of itself, has to develop its plan and so on.
- 8:49SPEAKER_00: This is just AI.
- 8:50SPEAKER_00: I'm not so concerned about that scenario.
- 8:53SPEAKER_00: The doomers talk about it, and yes, I understand.
- 8:56SPEAKER_00: And you know, maybe all of us have a little bit of doomer in us.
- 8:59SPEAKER_00: The people that are selling and buying the technology right now, there's no doomer in there at all, at least what they tell you.
- 9:09SPEAKER_00: So, besides doomers, then there's people that say, well, it's not so much going to be the AI themselves, it's gonna be that they're selling this technology and it's a complete bubble.
- 9:19SPEAKER_00: And pretty soon it's gonna pop.
- 9:20SPEAKER_00: And we've already started to see early indications of this with these neo-cloud companies that have gone out.
- 9:25SPEAKER_00: And it was a smart business model, I would assume.
- 9:28SPEAKER_00: I don't know.
- 9:29SPEAKER_00: It's like buying a whole bunch of houses and renting them out, except houses have actual land associated with them.
- 9:34SPEAKER_00: So even if the houses are wiped out, you still have the land in most cases and purchasing real estate.
- 9:39SPEAKER_00: Yes, you can lease land.
- 9:41SPEAKER_00: I understand that.
- 9:42SPEAKER_00: There's modular homes we have out here in Santa Clarita and Los Angeles, different areas where the land is on a 99-year land lease.
- 9:49SPEAKER_00: But that's still a hundred years, that still surpasses most human beings on this planet.
- 9:56SPEAKER_00: It did.
- 9:57SPEAKER_00: And maybe that's gonna be the different the difference here in the future, where if it is a little rough for a little bit of time, but human humans don't age out anymore.
- 10:06SPEAKER_00: Humans have AI that have had us supplied some kind of a fix to aging, and now we live for a much longer period of time.
- 10:14SPEAKER_00: Well, you just look at all the numbers, none of them are gonna make sense the way the economy is moving forward.
- 10:20SPEAKER_00: They, I guess they think that death is a necessary part of life, and if they fix that, if that is something to fix, now you're gonna have religious folks, you're gonna have people that are God-fearing folks, you're gonna have a lot of folks that are gonna be irritated with this.
- 10:33SPEAKER_00: You're probably gonna have number crunchers as well, government entities that say, well, we can't survive when these people live in three or four hundred years.
- 10:40SPEAKER_00: We'll never be able to get anything past them because they've got so much longevity on the planet, so much experience.
- 10:46SPEAKER_00: They've actually been able to build out common sense, where we used to think common sense as something of a rarity.
- 10:52SPEAKER_00: They're actually, they have it after a couple hundred years of life.
- 10:55SPEAKER_00: Now they have common sense baked in.
- 10:57SPEAKER_00: So the political class isn't going to be able to pull the game if there's enough of those people and sages, if you will, people that are very smart, if you will, but not people that are crass and mean and like old people on porches on rocking chairs with BB guns shooting kids in the butt as they drive by on their bikes.
- 11:12SPEAKER_00: Not that way.