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Dodgers/Reds MLB + WNBA Best Bets Tuesday 7/29/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:23
  Speaker 2: slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a good day at
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: all all in four that.
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: Have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: My browins hack Man, I don't know what is going
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: on with the Bruins arch hape?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: don't know.
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: What data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I.
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: Can possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: Until I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: Slump yesterdays, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point, other than potentially end
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: it all. What's up, everybody?
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: It's towed back with you for better rough Dead Tuesday?
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? Everything's a blur?
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: Man, July twenty ninth. Thanks for hanging out again, Sean,
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out on Twitter, jumping
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: in the chat here. One in one is how we
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: went on the show yesterday. So a slight loss, which
• 1:53
  Speaker 2: is not what I wanted. Obviously, Baltimore was an easy win,
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: whether you went first five inning like I recommended, or
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: four game. That was a winner on Baltimore Orioles shocking
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: the public. Obviously, with that contrarian play, there was an
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: easy win. They were up ten to four. They did
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: have like an outburst in the fifth inning as well,
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: but they were already pretty much winning that whole time anyway,
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: and they wound up winning eleven.
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: To four the full game.
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: Cubs Milwaukee, I don't know, man, you had simultaneously, Boyd
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: and miss Zerowski both had bad starts or they didn't
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: go that deep into the game, and that under was
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: just done early.
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: But at least it's one of those ones it's.
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: Easier to take because you know it's just over completely
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: right away, so over and the under was over.
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: So unfortunately, Yeah, I want the one there.
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: I did finally watch Happy Gilmore two, which is causing
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: I don't know, I guess a ruckus on Twitter because
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: I said it was a decent movie, which I thought
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: it was. I mean, I like the first movie. This movie,
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: they did it right. I mean, I people are saying,
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: do nothing's original anymore. You know, everything's a sequel, everything
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: is a remake, and I agree with that. I've been
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: plaining about that, but I mean that doesn't mean that
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: you should never do a sequel. And I mean, if
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: you can do it well enough then it caters to
• 3:07
  Speaker 2: the fans of the first one and they like it,
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: then okay, that's fine. So I mean I thought that
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: it was. They did an decent job with it. They
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: definitely made it for fans of the first movie. A
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: lot of callbacks to the first movie. They had a
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: ridiculous amount of cameos in it, which you have. Some
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: people are like, well, they're just money grabbing. It's a
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: money grab.
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: I mean maybe.
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: I mean everybody wants to make money obviously when they
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: make these movies. I mean that's the way that it is.
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: But if it's funny, then that's the way that it is.
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: It's funny, it actually works, so it's not just, you know,
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: a thoughtless money grab at least maybe they didn't put
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: that much thought into it. But I thought the humor
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: was fine, Like the first half hour of the movie
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: really had me laughing a lot, and then it gets
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: a bit absurd. Almost reminded me of like Dodgeball in
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: a way, although Dodgeball is a much better movie, but
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: it gets really crazy like later in the movie, and
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: some of it is still funny. I mean, there were
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: definitely some laugh out loud lines in that thing. There
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: were some moments where I'm like, a man, that joke
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: is cringe, but not too many.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: Uh So, I don't know. I kind of liked it.
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: Let's move on to today, and it was a little
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: bit actually, it got a little bit sentimental, uh in
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: at least one part as well, So that's not bad either.
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: Let's move on today.
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: Man, I'm actually gonna give out a w NBA play today,
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: which has not happened for a while.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: So you know, it's gonna lose.
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: When I finally see a w NBA side that I
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: like this much, it's gonna be a loser. Although I
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: am winning in WNBA on the season, and I do
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: have one MLB play, I do not like the w NBA.
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, excuse me, I have one MLB play. Do
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: not like the MLB.
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: Board at all today, really, but I found one play
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: that I think is worthwhile in MLB.
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: Zach, what's up? Man? Oh you lost that?
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: Yeah? That parlaying neither leg of that thing, cash Man,
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty shocked about that. Yeah, you're gonna be with
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: me man in the in the poorhouse pretty much. I mean,
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: I I recommended against playing it, man, but I said, like,
• 4:57
  Speaker 2: if you wanted to do it just for entertainment value,
• 4:59
  Speaker 2: you know, don't bet more than what you can afford,
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: you know.
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: But I'm shocked that both of those teams lost.
• 5:05
  Speaker 2: I thought there was definitely a possibility one of them
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: might and my guess would have been that Houston was
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: gonna be the one more likely to lose because they
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: can't score at all right now, but neither team won,
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: which does definitely surprise me.
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so all right today WNBA, and I.
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: Will remind you I'm not actually personally betting these right now.
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: I have to put a disclaimer on this.
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: I am I've been doing this for eighteen years and
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: betting up until you know, I lost my job here
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: and I don't have a bunch of liquid money right now.
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: I have to make sure that I have enough money
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: to get me buy here for a bit.
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: So even though yes, I've made money over that spam,
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: but last year was a losing year for me, only
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: my second ever, and this year I would actually be
• 5:48
  Speaker 2: down right now too slightly, which is bad, mostly because
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: of March and college basketball. So we got to turn
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: this around. Yeah, a lot of the favorites lost, that's true.
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not a guy that bets a lot
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: of favor though, But I mean I'll look and just
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: see where I think the advantage is. My play in
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: baseball today is a total because of course it is.
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: And yeah, I mean I am giving out these plays
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: as if I were betting them, though, so I will
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: mention that let's get to the Rundown, man, even though
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: this is gonna start with women's basketball obviously, where I
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: saw a weird clip in WNBA, Man, I don't even know.
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: I don't know if it was the Connecticut Sun, it
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: was some team.
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: One of their.
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: Players her wig fell off, and then one of the
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: people in the stands, I guess got ejected for causing
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: her wig to fall off, Like maybe she was running
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: by the guy and he like touched her hair. It
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: was hard to tell him the clip because it was
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: such a bad quality clip. I'm like, I don't know,
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: I just kind of thought it was funny. It's just ridiculous.
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: And yeah, the Indians, by the way, they should definitely
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: be named the Indians again with all the gambling that
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: they have going on on that team. Now it's Clay's classe,
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: however you pronounce his name. He's joining Luis Ortiz and
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: being investigated for potentially, you know, rigging games as far
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: as like basically they're they've been throwing a lot of
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: pitches way out of the zone.
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: Man, at certain times, that just seemed inexplicable.
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: So anyway, WNBA, my play is in this first game
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: that's up here, Golden State and Atlanta's at the first
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: game up. Wait a minute, what what am I looking
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: at here?
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: Yeah? Oh, i'd scrolled down my apologies.
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: Yeah, So I'm gonna give out a play on Golden
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: State going against well, not going against but Christa whatever
• 7:39
  Speaker 2: the guy's name was who was in here talking about
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: the WNBA the other day, had a really good call
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: on Connecticut two days ago. But I'm gonna go against
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: what happened in that game. I'm gonna go with Golden
• 7:50
  Speaker 2: State here, And as he pointed out, Golden State lost
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: Caylea Thornton. I think it's her name two games ago,
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: I believe her three games ago or whatever it is.
• 7:59
  Speaker 2: So she is out for the year now. So now
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: they're gonna have to get used to being without her.
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: But of course the line's gonna move because she's not
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: there anymore. But I think this is a spot to
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: jump back on Golden State, man, because they lost her.
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: They played really well, I believe in what was that
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: first game without her, beating Dallas. Then they lost unbelievably
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: badly Connecticut. Dude, you lose by thirty one to the
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: worst team in the league.
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: As a road favorite, you're.
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: Gonna want to bounce back from that, man, So I
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: think Golden State is gonna fix some things, come out
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: with a lot of fire after that. I mean, that
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: was a horrendous game for them, and they're now continuing
• 8:35
  Speaker 2: a road trip, so it's only gonna be their second
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: game on the road trip. Here on the road, they
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: get to stay on the East Coast and now they're
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: adjusted to the time zone. So I think this is
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: gonna help. This is gonna help, man this game. If
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: you look at those stats, this was a complete outlier
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: of a game. As I pointed out the other day,
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: Connecticut fifty three percent from the field. You never see
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: something like that in the WNBA, almost never forty one
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: point four from five. Meanwhile, the Valkyries are thirty three
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: point nine percent from the field twenty eight point one
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: percent from three. I mean both sides were just total
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: outlier shooting percentages. You had Golden State losing the turnover
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: battle horrendously twenty four turnover. So I think they have
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: the ability to clean that up as well. And yes
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: they're playing a good Atlanta team. But whereas Golden State,
• 9:21
  Speaker 2: I think is going to be in a real focus
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: spot of bounce back spot. If You're getting absolutely embarrassed
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: by the worst team in the WNBA by far. In
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: again what I think was a statistical anomaly. Atlanta's coming
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: off beating Phoenix and Minnesota and they're playing what is
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: this now, like a seventh straight Oh no, they played
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: six straight road games and now they're returning.
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: Over from a road trip. My mistake.
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: So they were returning on from a road trip that
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: took them out west. I think they were on the road,
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: then went into the All Star break, and then had
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: a new road trip.
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: So since the All Star break, they.
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: Were out on the road for three games, one two
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: of the three, including beating the best team in the league.
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: So now you have a Golden State eight team.
• 10:00
  Speaker 2: Coming off getting blown out by the worst team in
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: the league, up against a team that just beat the
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: best team in the league on the road.
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: Atlanta.
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: They pulled off that upset that was probably almost a
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: double digit upset. I would guess, right, eight and a half. Yeah,
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: So and Lanta pulled off that huge upset. And not
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: only that, but now they're returning home from a road trip.
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: And you know, I talk about these road trip return
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: spots where when these teams return home it can be
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a distraction. They have stuff to
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: do back home. They might not totally be focused on
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: this bad Golden State team. They do have Dallas tomorrow.
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: Maybe even Dallas would actually bring more of their attention
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: because if Becker's is gonna play, I mean, she's a
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: big name, basically bigger than any name the Golden State has.
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: Even though Dallas isn't that good of a team, that
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: might even be a bigger game for them tomorrow and
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: they have to go back out on the road.
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: Actually, this is a very bizarre.
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: Spot where it's like Atlanta has to get whatever they
• 10:52
  Speaker 2: need to do done at home and then go immediately
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: back out on the road. So I think this is
• 10:57
  Speaker 2: gonna be a major distraction spot for Atlanta. This is
• 11:00
  Speaker 2: the best spot that I've seen in the WNBA for
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: quite a while.
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 11:03
  Speaker 2: So I'm gonna recommend taking the points with Golden State
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: plus the eight and sprinkle some.
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: On the money line. Man.
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: Like I said, whenever you take underdogs on the spread
• 11:13
  Speaker 2: in sports, basketball, football, whatever, put a little bit on
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: the money line. I recommend about ten percent of the
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: bet on the money line if it's less than a
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: double digit spread because you're pretty much saying you think
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: there's a decent chance that this team is going to
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: be in that game and they have an okay chance
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: to actually.
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: Pull off the outright upset.
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: So Golden State Valkyries plus eight is the recommended play
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: there for me.
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: In the WNBA, we do have.
• 11:37
  Speaker 2: Chicago and Washington. I mean, this is kind of a
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: brutal game here. Washington's lost three of their last four.
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: They are just staying at home though. They lost to
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: Phoenix last time out, but I did mention that that
• 11:48
  Speaker 2: was kind of a letdown spot because Washington did pull
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: off a pretty big upset over Seattle the game before that.
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: They are the better team over Chicago.
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: Chicago has been real ugly, and I don't just mean
• 11:59
  Speaker 2: how ugly eight angle Angel Reese is. We have five
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: losses in a row here for Chicago, I mean not surprising.
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: They face all pretty good teams in that entire stretch though,
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: So Chicago, maybe they're not quite as bad as the
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: record looks, but they're definitely not good and you know,
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: struggling without Van der Slut, who I keep mentioning is
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: out for the year now. She is basically the best
• 12:21
  Speaker 2: player on their team. When she's there. Washington's a seven
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorite. I'm not gonna have any
• 12:28
  Speaker 2: any recommendation on this one, man. I mean, this is
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: just it's a tough game to really read. And then
• 12:35
  Speaker 2: I mean that line does seem a little bit high
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: to me though, to be honest on that number, based
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: on probably how badly Chicago's been playing recently. But maybe
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: it's justified because they are pretty bad. Vegas at LA
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: a bit more of a competitive line in this one.
• 12:49
  Speaker 2: LA has won five games in a row now, and
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: it wasn't that impressive to start because it was two
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: against Connecticut, two against Washington.
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: But they just pulled off an upset of.
• 13:01
  Speaker 2: The New York Liberty, Man, I mean, beating the best
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: team in the East. That was a big win. Pulled
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: off a big double digit upset I think on the
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: road there. Yeah, they were ten and a half point
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: underdogs there. That was a big win for them. And
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: now they're returning home across country from a road trip
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: there that took them all the way out East. Man,
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: So it's a bad spot for LA as well.
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 13:21
  Speaker 2: Maybe they should still be focused because they are playing
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: a team that's just ahead of them in the standings Vegas.
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: Vegas has been good in the WNBA for quite a while,
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: so it's not quite the level that that other play
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: that I gave out would be as far as what
• 13:34
  Speaker 2: the distraction spot would be Vegas. They're in a tough
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: spot as well, though they're playing a fourth straight road game.
• 13:40
  Speaker 2: They did finally break their lost street though beating Dallas,
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: which was without Becker's I'm pretty sure it was. I mean,
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: that was not a difficult task for Vegas to win
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: that game, but still, I mean, it's not the greatest
• 13:53
  Speaker 2: spot for Vegas here, but I do think the spot
• 13:55
  Speaker 2: is a letdown spot and worse for.
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: The SPA.
• 14:00
  Speaker 2: So I would lean to Vegas in this game, although
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: I do think the Sparks actually are maybe a little
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: bit better than the record looks. They've played a fairly
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: difficult schedule, but they've lost a lot of games to
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: the better teams.
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: So that's the way that I look at that.
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: And one more note on Atlanta by the way, so
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: slight lean to Vegas in that game. One more thing
• 14:20
  Speaker 2: about the Atlanta game, by the way against Golden State.
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: Atlanta did beat Golden State by nine last time they
• 14:25
  Speaker 2: played them in Atlanta, so that may also cause them
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: to not really take Golden State that seriously.
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: So I like Golden State in that one.
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: Major League Baseball, let's go man again, I said, I
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: don't like the board today at all.
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: We have a double header between Toronto and Baltimore, so
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: we have one afternoon game here.
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: These games are really.
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: Hard to handicap because each team is not decided on
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: a start or in one of the two games, and
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: it's not undecided against undecided in one of the games. Baltimore,
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: of course won yesterday because that was one of the
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: plays I gave it on the show Blue Toronto out
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: eleven to four. Toronto does have the bullpen edge, but
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: I mean, we can look at the bullpen usage here. Toronto,
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: their bullpen usage is a bit high. They use a
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: lot of relief pitchers yesterday. This is a rod O
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: Wire has a pretty good chart for the bullpen usage.
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: Baltimore has the worst bullpen, but they're a little bit
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: more rested based on the usage over the last three
• 15:18
  Speaker 2: days and yesterday. But I don't think we could trust
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: either bullpen in this game so or in either of
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: these games, especially not game two. So if you want
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: to start looking towards maybe an over in game two,
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: because the bullpen's are going to be not only used
• 15:32
  Speaker 2: up like they kind of are right now, but then
• 15:33
  Speaker 2: use again in that first game.
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: Might make sense to look for an over in the
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: second game.
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: But you are looking at one starter of for Toronto there,
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: who is pretty good the first game. We don't know
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: who Toronto's even gonna have starting, so again, very difficult
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: to handicap this. Baltimore is actually a favorite in this game,
• 15:50
  Speaker 2: and they're an underdog in the second game. So Charlie
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: Morton as the listed started for Baltimore here against the
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: undecided Toronto starting and Charlie Morton is actually getting such
• 16:00
  Speaker 2: respect in the market now that Baltimore is a minus
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: one thirty or so favorite in this game. Morton bad
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: numbers on the season five point four eighty RA, a
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: one point five to four whip. He's been better at
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: home though, four point seventy RA. And again, he's been
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: way better recently since he got demoted to the bullpen.
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: He's been almost lights out. He's only had two bad
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: starts since they put him back in the starting rotation,
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: and they were both at like really hit her unfriendly
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: parks at the A's and at Tampa Bay, both temporary
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: home stadiums for those two teams. Baltimore has won most
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: of the starts that Morton has made since he's returned
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: to the rotation.
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: They had one.
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: What is that They've won eight of his last ten starts,
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: I think is what that is. So he is actually
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: pitching effectively. He's only allowed more than three runs in
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: those two starts that I just mentioned before last time out,
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: though a little bit questionable giving up three runs to Cleveland.
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: He walked four guys against Cleveland, so in his last
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: three restarts, ten walks, so that is a concern.
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: So his command has kind of fallen off a cliff here.
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: So I do worry about Morton a little bit as
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: far as that's concerned. His days of pitching really well
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: seem to have kind of gone away again here.
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: And his numbers against the Blue Jays are not very good.
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: In fifty seven at bats, twelve to one strikeout walk
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: ratio is good, but three sixteen batting average eight to
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: nineteen ops that is not good. Up against Toronto, maybe
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: even going with a bullpend game here, and although you're
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: allowed to call somebody up, I believe for a double header,
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: I think you can call somebody up just that day
• 17:36
  Speaker 2: and then send them back down. So it's really difficult
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: to figure out who's gonna start in these games. The
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: total in this game came out at ten and a
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: half and now it's down to ten. But there's a
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: reason why the Oddsbrigers are throwing totals up here. The
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: second game is also at ten, so I mean, yeah,
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: there's reason for it. The Oddsbiggers are expecting high scoring
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: games here. I mean, I'm not sure I would really
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: argue against an over in both games. I think maybe
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: in this first game it might be the better way
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: to look because Morton has started pitching poorly. Again, we
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: don't even know what we're gonna get out of Toronto
• 18:07
  Speaker 2: in that game, so I think over maybe makes sense
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: in that game when it's an undecided pitcher. A lot
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: of times, that's kind of just the default thought that
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: I have. And then in the second game, Eric Lauer,
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: as the list has started for Toronto, he has been
• 18:19
  Speaker 2: pitching well two point six to one, ERA point nine
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: to three, whip very similar road and home stats doesn't
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: really matter. This month, he's been really good two point
• 18:30
  Speaker 2: six three ERA. Toronto's won three of his four starts
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: this month, and they've actually won eight of his last
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: nine starts, I believe is what that is. He's only
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: a lot more than tourn runs once in those starts,
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: although he's failed to go five innings twice, but this
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: month twenty six to two strikeout walk ratio no more
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: than touring runs a lot in any of his starts
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: this month. Lower, he is definitely a good form right now.
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: He has good command right now. His numbers against Baltimore
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: not a big sample size of eighteen four walks is
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: definitely too many walks compared to six strikeouts. To seventy
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: eight batting average is not too bad. Nine h nine
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: ops is a little bit high, though, but it's mostly
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: I mean, Carlson's fourth to eight with a double and
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: then you give up a home run to a Mullins.
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: So overall, though, I'm not expecting Lower to actually pitch
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: that poorly in that game. So I might prefer the
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: over in the first game to the over in the
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: second game because Lower is the listed starter. Toronto is
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: actually a road favorite in that game against undecided for Baltimore,
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: so Toronto should have the pitching upper hand in that game,
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: even with what's going on with the bullpens. I mean,
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: Toronto overall has the better bullpen, just I think they
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: are a little bit overworked, so maybe the bullpen situation
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: is just kind of evened out a little bit because
• 19:46
  Speaker 2: of that. But probably will need to an over in
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: both games though generally, but I think with lower pitching
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: it's a little bit less tempting to do that in
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: the second game, even though the bullpens are gonna be
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: even more used Arizona at Detroit. Detroit got to win.
• 20:02
  Speaker 2: I mean, they broke that loss streak and now they
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: have a win streak. They have two wins in a row.
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: They won five to one yesterday against Arizona. Detroit certainly
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: has the better bullpen. I don't have to even bring
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: it up. I mean I already looked. Both teams really
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: did not have a lot of bullpen usage yesterday, So
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: Detroit definitely has a bullpen edge over Arizona just because
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: well I could bring it up because it's last three days,
• 20:25
  Speaker 2: which I usually don't talk about, but Detroit's you know,
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: kind of media like moderate bullpen usage. Arizona actually not
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: much bullpen usage, but Arizona does still have the worst bullpen.
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: Brandon Fott is pitching for Arizona. He's starting to turn
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: a season around, man, because he was doing really poorly
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: for a while, but his career stats kind of suggested
• 20:45
  Speaker 2: that he would start doing better. He is. He's got
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: his ERA down to four point seven to six, which
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: I know is still not that good. One point two
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: to six whip not awful. He's been worse on the
• 20:56
  Speaker 2: road though, five point nine to four Roadie Ray, so
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: he actually pitches better in that hitter friendly park in Arizona.
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: For whatever reason, He's been good this month two point
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: seven three ERA across four starts, twenty three to four
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk ration, and his strike out walker ration last
• 21:10
  Speaker 2: month was also still good twenty three to six, even
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: though he gave up more runs last month. He's starting
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: to turn it around to pitch well man and Detroit
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: has almost no history against him. Torres is zero for
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: three with a strikeout and none of their other hitters
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: have seen it before, so fat maybe he has a
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: little bit of an edge there because he's completely unfamiliar
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: to the opposing hitters.
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: That might be a bit of an edge there. For Yeah,
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: for fought there.
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: Going up against Casey Mize, who I actually think he's
• 21:41
  Speaker 2: the worst of the two pitchers, even though I know
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: he was in the All Star Game.
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: His numbers make it look like he's better, but fought.
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: Based on looking at what these guys have done throughout
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: their careers, fot has the better stuff. Man Miz three
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: point four ERA this year one point two eight whip
• 21:57
  Speaker 2: is a bit high, though his whip is actually higher
• 22:00
  Speaker 2: than fots Mis has been better at home, though slightly
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: three point two to three ERA. He's not pitching well
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: this month though the really bad six point four to
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: three ERA. Thirteen to four strike out walk ration is
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: not that bad, but he's really struggled. I guess you
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: could argue that his two bad starts, because they were
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: both before and after the All Star break. You could
• 22:20
  Speaker 2: argue that he was distracted by making the All Star team,
• 22:23
  Speaker 2: and I have made that argument myself. But when it
• 22:26
  Speaker 2: comes to MYZ, I just don't think he's really that
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: good man. So I'm kind of willing to say that
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: he's a bit out of form right now, especially the
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: fact that when he came out of that game pitching
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: in the All Star Game, he pitched really poorly against
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: a bad Pittsburgh lineup, even though he did have five
• 22:41
  Speaker 2: strikeouts in one walk. I'm not really gonna trust miz here.
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: Although the d Backs have basically never seen him before,
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: only McCann has seen him before zero for two with
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: a strikeout, so we do have an unfamiliarity edge for
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: both pitchers here, and with both bullpens being fairly rested,
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: even though Arizona's bullpen is not good. I mean, I
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: wouldn't argue too much with looking towards an under in
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: this game for that reason, but I again I still
• 23:06
  Speaker 2: don't trust myze. Public is definitely coming in on the
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: over here totals at eight and a half, I can't
• 23:12
  Speaker 2: really see much with the percentages yet there there's more
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: of an indicator on the side where Detroit is a
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: public team. Now Detroit's back right, They've won two games
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: in a row, eighty two percent of the tickets on them,
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: but only fifty seven percent of the cash, so the
• 23:24
  Speaker 2: money seems to be fading Detroit. They're down for minus
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: one thirty five, they minus one thirty three, and I
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: would pretty much agree with that as well. I would
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: lean towards Arizona money line, and I might limit it
• 23:36
  Speaker 2: to the first five innings just to take Arizona's bullpen
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: out of the equation because their bullpen is not good.
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: But I think Fought is better than Mize, both pictures
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: being unfamiliar, but Fott is just overall the better picture.
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: He's in better form right now as well. And Arizona
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: has the better offense as well, even without Nailor. But then,
• 23:53
  Speaker 2: of course you do have to worry about Arizona again,
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: what mental state are they in with the fact that
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: they're selling, you know, players off coming into the All
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: Star break, and I think they've only won one game
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: since they made that Nailer trade, so they might be
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: in a little bit of a weird mental state there.
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: So that is one issue to be aware of there.
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: Colorado at Cleveland and Detroit's offense isn't that bad either,
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: by the way, but Detroit definitely does have a bullpen edge.
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: Still. I would say Colorado.
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: And Cleveland, I mean, these teams, I don't really trust
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: either one of these bullpens.
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: Cleveland actually lost yesterday, so.
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: They're kind of back to their losing ways that were
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: returning home from Kansas City. But it wasn't a long
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: road trip, but still they lost the game to Colorado,
• 24:34
  Speaker 2: high scoring game, and this might also be a game
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: to maybe look towards Colorado, though I don't know.
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: Man Tanner.
• 24:41
  Speaker 2: Gordon is pitching for Colorado and he's pretty much their
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: best starter, I mean, which isn't really saying that much.
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: We don't have a large sample size yet with him,
• 24:50
  Speaker 2: but he does have a three point one to three
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: ERA one point three whip is not very good. Of course,
• 24:55
  Speaker 2: he's been a little bit worse away from course Field,
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: which is weird three point eight six ERA, but I
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: think he's only made a one road start so far,
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: so he's actually pitched fairly well at home in course Fields.
• 25:06
  Speaker 2: That's a decent sign. But his strikeout rate is not
• 25:11
  Speaker 2: that high, so he doesn't strike out a lot of guys.
• 25:13
  Speaker 2: He walked three guys in his last outing, although it
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: was a six inning shutout against Saint Louis, so it
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: was still his best.
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: Start of the season so far. He is still a
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: young guy and.
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: He does seem to have some decent stuff, although he
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: doesn't strike out a lot of guys. Like I said,
• 25:28
  Speaker 2: his numbers overall are okay this season. Though he's facing
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: a week Cleveland lineup who has never seen him before,
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: so he might have a little bit of an upper
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: hand there against that lineup. Cleveland is Logan Allen pitching
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: four point one six ERA, one point three to seven
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: whip not great numbers, slightly worse at home four point
• 25:46
  Speaker 2: two four ERA at home.
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: He's actually been good this month.
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: Though the three point eight ERA eighteen to five strikeout
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: walk ratio last month he wasn't really that awful either.
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: He's been consistent at least where he's allowed at least
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: four or fewer runs in every start going all the
• 26:00
  Speaker 2: way back to April actually pretty much, so he is
• 26:05
  Speaker 2: consistent and that he never has a start where he
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: actually gets completely bombed. I usually at least holds an
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: opponent a run totals down. And he's facing a bad
• 26:13
  Speaker 2: Rocky offense here, but the Rockies have okay numbers against
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: him in a very small thirteen at bat sample size
• 26:20
  Speaker 2: though a three to zero eight batting average in seven
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: eighty five ops, three strikeouts, two walks, So I am
• 26:27
  Speaker 2: kind of leaning towards Gordon a little bit.
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: I do think.
• 26:30
  Speaker 2: I mean, Colorado has the worst of the two offenses. Though,
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: so maybe again either maybe a first five inning player,
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: maybe a run line play towards Colorado. The money money
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: seems to be coming in on Colorado, or at least
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: it did on the money line Cleveland down for minus
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: two twenty five to minus one ninety eight, although we
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: see seventy four percent of the tickets and eighty nine
• 26:47
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Cleveland.
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: But who is Cleveland to be laying a price like
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: this against anybody? Man? I said that yesterday too. I
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: mean they're not a good team.
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: I think they're just kind of riding their recent success
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: here and now they have all these distractions with the
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: gambling stuff going on. I don't like what's going on
• 27:04
  Speaker 2: with Cleveland here, man, so I don't trust them. So
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: Colorado money line, or excuse me, Colorado run line might
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: be a way to look there. And maybe your Colorado
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: first five inning run line could be worth a look there,
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: and expect Gordon to outpitch Allen, take the bullpens out
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: of the equation maybe, And money seems to be coming
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: in on the under as well, totally down from nine
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: to eight and a half, which is a decent size move.
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: I mean, getting off that key number of nine at
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: least getting it off man sixty one percent of the
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: tickets on the over ninety five percent of the cash
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: on the under. So it looks like public kind of
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: wants the over here, which whatever, Man, you want an
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: over the too bad offenses, all right, I mean, I
• 27:41
  Speaker 2: know yesterday's game had a lot of runs, fourteen runs,
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: which might skew public perception and the under getting ninety
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: five percent of the cash. Maybe it'll lean towards first
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: five inning under Man, because both well, both offenses are bad.
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: Both starting pitchers have been okay recently, so maybe that
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: would be the way to go and just avoid the
• 27:59
  Speaker 2: bullpen pen scenario there. With the bullpens here, I don't
• 28:04
  Speaker 2: even know what the bullpen usage is. I think they
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: both got used a bit yesterday, some moderate usage there
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: for Cleveland, less so for Colorado. Actually Colorado used one
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: more of their relievers yesterday, though, I believe, but neither
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: bullpen is really that good. Tampa at the Yankees. This
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: game is gonna be on TBS tonight. The Yankees have
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: been sliding, man, and I believe since the start of July.
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: I believe is what it is.
• 28:30
  Speaker 2: The Yankees have the third few I believe they've actually
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: they men have the fewest wins in all of baseball
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: or something like that. It's like Yankees, Rockies, and maybe
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: the White Sox in there.
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: I have like the fewest wins in all of baseball.
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: The Yankees have been awful over that stretch for whatever reason.
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: I mean, I expect them to turn it around, though,
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: but their bullpen really hasn't been that good.
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: Their offense is struggled.
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: Of course, as I've forgotten to mention on the show,
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: Aaron Judge is actually hurt right now too, So he's
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: missed two games and he's on like the ten day
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: disabled list or whatever. So he's probably gonna be back
• 29:06
  Speaker 2: at some point.
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: Towards the end of this week is where that would
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: put it, I guess. So he's not in the lineup
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: right now. Yankees lost to Tampa Bay yesterday four to two.
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: Coming into this game, I mean, this looks like a
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: huge mismatch for the Yankees, right. I mean, I'm still
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: gonna give the Yankees the offensive edge over Tampa Bay.
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: I will give Tampa Bay the bullpen edge. Tampa does
• 29:25
  Speaker 2: have the better bullpendal. They used a couple of their
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: best relievers yesterday. Their bullpen usage has been fairly consistent,
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: so not overworked really, Yankees, and they have the better
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: bullpen in general. Yankee is not a ton of usage either,
• 29:38
  Speaker 2: but Yankees bullpen is the worst of the two. So
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: Tampa against the bullpen edge starting pitching looks like a
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: total mismatch. Though, right you have the Yankees Ace Freed
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: up against whoever the hell Joe Boyle is for Tampa Bay.
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: He's got good numbers, he's young, one point four two
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: we are a point six to three whips, and maybe
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: they're expecting him to become something good. He's been a
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: little bit worse on the road to the two era,
• 30:03
  Speaker 2: but he's been pitching out of the bullpen.
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: I think to some extent.
• 30:07
  Speaker 2: Maybe I'm wrong about that, actually, because he's only made
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: five starts, so maybe, actually, maybe I'm completely wrong about that.
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: Let me look at his career stats. I might be
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: thinking of a different pitcher. No, he's mostly been a yeah, actually, no,
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: I'm right. He made one start this year, so yeah,
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: I am right. He's been coming out of the bullpen.
• 30:23
  Speaker 2: He was a starter for the A's the last couple
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: of seasons for the most part he was coming out
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: of the bullpen for Tampa, but I think it's a
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: last game.
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: One of these games.
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: He did make a start, and I'm not sure which
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: game it was, but he's been pretty decent overall. I mean,
• 30:37
  Speaker 2: eighteen to six strike a walker Rasio overall is not bad.
• 30:40
  Speaker 2: Only six hits in nineteen innings pitch that's pretty good.
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: So he's been pretty hard to hit. So maybe there
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: is something to this Boil character here. Yankees have four
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: at bats against him in their careers, two walks, three strikeouts,
• 30:53
  Speaker 2: a two fifty average Volpi has.
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: The only hit.
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: I mean, at least he's doing something because he can't
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: fields earning into Chuck naw block out there. He's got
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: the yips and then seven fifty ops there for the Yankees.
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: Very small sample size against Boil, so there's not a
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: whole lot to take away from that. But Boyle, I mean,
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: it seems like he might have good enough stuff then
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: maybe he can actually kind of compete in this game.
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: Of course, he's going up against one of the best
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: pitchers this season, Max Freed. But Freed I told you
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: that he wasn't gonna continue to be as completely lights
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: out as he was earlier in the season, and that
• 31:26
  Speaker 2: has been the case because looking at his career stats,
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: he's good, but he's not that good, so he's he
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: is starting to regress a bit, although he still has
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: a two point six two ERA and one point zero
• 31:36
  Speaker 2: four whip really good numbers. Obviously, he's been better at
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: home two point twenty four ERA at home this month, though,
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: he's been way worse with a six point five two
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: ERA twelve to nine strike out walk raight shore. I
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: think he was probably named to the All Star Game
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: and didn't actually pitch in the game. But this month
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: he's gonna five and a third or fewer innings in
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: three of the four starts. The Yankees have lost three
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: of his four starts. He's given up at least three
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: runs in all those starts, and he's walked multiple guys
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: in three of the fourth starts, and his strikeout rate
• 32:08
  Speaker 2: has gone down too. He has three or fewer strikeouts
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: and three of the fourth starts too, so he is
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: not in good for him right now, Freed kind of
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: falling apart right now. He has done really well against Tampa,
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: though in his career forty six at bats, they only
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: have five hits no extra base hits, three walks, seven strikeouts,
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: one oh nine average two seventy two ohps. So Freed,
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: I mean, his matchup numbers would suggest that he should
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: do better here, But the money is coming in all
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: on Tampa here.
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: The Yankees down for minus two to end to minus
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: one eighty five, seventy five percent of tickets and only
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: fifty percent of the cash. So Yankees on the public side,
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: the public still on the Yankee train here as bad
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: as they've been playing recently. But I think you're paying
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: a price as usually are for the Yankees, especially with
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: Freed on the mounted up against a very unknown boil here.
• 32:58
  Speaker 2: This is actually a matchup of left handers too, So
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: sometimes when you have a lefty that you're unfamiliar with,
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: it takes even more to kind of get used to
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: hitting against that guy, because for whatever reason, lefties tend
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: to throw with like weirder arm angles and stuff. So
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: the money seems to be saying Tampa Bay is the
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: right side here, at least at that huge underdog price
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: that they may be able to compete.
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: In this game. And the money's coming in on the
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: over as well.
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: Fifty four percent of tickets on the under eighty percent
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the over. Total flip from eight
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: and a half juice to the under, the juice to
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: the over, so it seems like a legitimate move on
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: the over too, maybe expecting Freed, you know, not in
• 33:34
  Speaker 2: good form right now. It is possible that he gives
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: up some runs here. But again, I'm not really ready
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: to fade Freed in this spot, just because the matchup
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: numbers seem like enough to look at to be like, eh,
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: I'll just stay away from this game. But it is
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: certainly possible he doesn't do as well in this game
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: Dodgers reads. As you can see from the title, that's
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: going to be a play. You already pretty much know
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: what it is. But I'll wait until the best Bets
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: segment to talk about that one. Atlanta at Kansas City.
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: Oh boy, Kansas City has a lot of bullpen usage
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: right now, and they're one of the most overworked bullpens,
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: if not the most recently. As you can see here
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: last three games tons of pitches thrown. This is the
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: number of pitches thrown by all of their different relievers.
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: So Kansas City is an overworked bullpen right now. Even
• 34:18
  Speaker 2: though generally I would say they have the better of
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: the two bullpens. Atlanta not as much usage there from them,
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: so the bullpen scenario kind of balances out a little
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: bit there. Maybe there's not much of an edge for
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: Kansas City like there normally would because normally their bullpen
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: is the better one.
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: Starting pitching, here we go, Man Eric.
• 34:37
  Speaker 2: FEddi will be making his Atlanta Braves debut after he
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: was designated for assignment by the Cardinals and then I
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: think they wound up. I don't know how that actually works,
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: because I think they wound up trading him to the Braves.
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: I think he's gonna make his first appearance for the Braves,
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: and that might not be a good thing for the
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: Braves because he is not doing well. Five point two
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: to two ERA one point five whip. You know me,
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: I've faded him a couple of times this year. I
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: think I've played on him a couple of times too.
• 35:04
  Speaker 2: But he is a little bit better on the road
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: this year. Four point nine to two ERA on the road.
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: Not pitching well this month at all.
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis when he was with.
• 35:14
  Speaker 2: Them, lost five straight starts of his before they got
• 35:17
  Speaker 2: rid of him. He'd allowed three or runs or more
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: in all of them, failed to go five innings in
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: four of the five and this month six to six
• 35:28
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk ratio on a twelve era. Failing to go
• 35:32
  Speaker 2: five innings in every single start. That is just awful,
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: including against the Braves. Who's now gonna be pitching four?
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: Oh my god, so Fetti. I mean, I'm not ready
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: to think that he's gonna do anything here. The Royals
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: are really bad offense though, so at least he gets
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: kind of an easier task here and maybe put in
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: a good scenario at a bounce back, because this is
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: a bad, very weak offense. Sorry, Zach, Fetti actually has
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: good numbers against the Royals. He's seen them because they're,
• 35:59
  Speaker 2: you know, Saint Louis's natural rival there and I think
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: Fetti was also on the White Sox.
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: But that does mean that the Royals are familiar with.
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: Fetti's That might actually help the Royals a little bit
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: because they've seen him quite a bit. Fifty one at bats,
• 36:12
  Speaker 2: though Fetti has had the upper hand against them. Seven
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: to five strike a walk ratio is bad, but he's
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: held him to a two thirty five average and five
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: ninety eight oh ps. So Fetti has done well against
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: this Kansas City lineup, and he's going up against Seth Lugo,
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: whom I believe just gotten a new contract with the Royals,
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: so that might help him in because when you get
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: that new contract, that kind of like helps you refocus
• 36:34
  Speaker 2: and like put that out of mind. And I know,
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: again the advanced analytics guys have a problem with Lugo.
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: They don't think he can sustain what he's been doing,
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: but he's done it for a couple of seasons. Now,
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm I'm just looking at the numbers that
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: I look at ERA whip, you know, strike out walk ratio,
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: and it all kind of checks out for me for Lugo.
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: Two point nine to five VRRA, one point zero nine whip.
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: He's definitely having a good season, better at home as well.
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: Two point four to eighty r at home this month,
• 37:01
  Speaker 2: pretty good. Three point seventy RA is still nothing to
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: scoff at. Kansas City has won three of his four starts,
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: have actually won five of his last seven, which is
• 37:11
  Speaker 2: really kind of saying something because Kansas City can't hit.
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: So if you're doing that well as a pitcher on
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: this team, that means you're pitching pretty well. Probably twenty
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: three to five strike out walk ratio this month is
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: pretty good. He's only allowed more than tour in runs
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: once in the going back to the end of May,
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: so he is in pretty good form right now as well.
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: His numbers against the Braves are fairly good as well.
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: In seventy nine at bats, twenty four strikeouts thirteen walks
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: is definitely too many walks, although five of them are Ozuna,
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: because it seems like he's kind of pitched around him.
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: But Ozuna is only one for eleven off him, so
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: he's held these Braves bats in check. Except for Akunya,
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: who's six for twelve. None of the other guys have
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: done that much damage, although Olsen three for five of
• 37:52
  Speaker 2: the home run but overall twoin fifteen average allowed six
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: to eighty one ops. So this game, I mean, I
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: think Lugo probably has the upper hand in the starting
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup. Atlanta obviously has the better offense. The money
• 38:05
  Speaker 2: is coming in against Kansas City down for minus one
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: twenty five to minus one, twenty sixty four percent of
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: the tickets and fifty six percent of the cash, so
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: Kansas City is slightly public because Atlanta has been playing
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: so poorly. But again, I think this is just that
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: phenomenon that we keep seeing where Atlanta keeps getting the
• 38:22
  Speaker 2: professional money man again the professionals saying Atlanta, they're not
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: as bad as their record looks. And the one positive
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: for Atlanta they just broke their recent loss streak with
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: a win yesterday against Kansas City's ten to seven. So
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: Atlanta being able to win that game, that's gonna break
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: that losing momentum for them. So I agree that they're
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: in a better situational spot now because of that win.
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: But I still don't know if I like Atlanta and
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching matchup. Man, I don't know if you
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: could trust Fetti at all. Said Lugo is the more
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: trustworthy pitcher, So I mean, I wouldn't hate looking at
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: Kansas City at least in the first five innings, And
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: you know, not agreeing with the market read here, because
• 38:58
  Speaker 2: the market READI just seems to all always indicate on Atlanta.
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: But I think Lugo does have the upper hand of
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching matchup, so potentially first five inning Kansas
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: City is worth the look.
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: But maybe the under in this game is worth the look.
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: The total is high it's up from nine to nine
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: and a half, but eighty eight percent of the tickets
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: and only eighty percent of the cash on the over.
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: And if you're thinking Fetti, I mean, I don't know
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: if you can bank on Fetti, But if you're thinking
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: he might be able to actually pitch well against this
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: really bad offense, he might be pumped up to be
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: on a new team. Now, just get out of that
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: situation he was in. Even though he's on a team
• 39:31
  Speaker 2: with the worst record. Maybe it'll show up and want
• 39:34
  Speaker 2: to pitch well. Here Man, in this case, lineup doesn't
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: do well against him. So I could see arguments for
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: the under as well, but I'd probably limit that to
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: the first five innings as well, because the bullpend used
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: to is just too high, Man to really.
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: Trust the bullpen.
• 39:46
  Speaker 2: So Kansas City and under and first five innings, I
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: think is kind of what makes sense in that game.
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: That's right, Zach, what's up? Doink? What's up? Man?
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: Thanks for thanks for checking me out, No homo here
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: checking me out on Twitter? Man, we get some Twitter
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: love this morning. My Boston Red Sox lost on a
• 40:06
  Speaker 2: walk off yesterday to Minnesota. Come on, man, I mean
• 40:10
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox need to win these games, man, where
• 40:12
  Speaker 2: they have seemingly the upper hand against worst teams like this,
• 40:16
  Speaker 2: that is just bad. Although it was Dick Fits pitching
• 40:20
  Speaker 2: for the Red Sox, you don't really expect that much
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: from him this game. I don't know what we're gonna
• 40:24
  Speaker 2: get in this game, man. I think we've seen a
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: lot of bullpen usage from Minnesota recently too.
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: Minnesota O. The bullpend is a.
• 40:31
  Speaker 2: Little bit overworked here over the last couple of days.
• 40:33
  Speaker 2: Red Sox have the bullpen edge. I would say in
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: this game, they really only have overworked Hicks and he
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: has not been that good. He blew the save last night,
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: and he's one of the trade pieces in that Dever's trade.
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: I think he has decent stuff, Like he's gonna need
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: to start pitching back.
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: He was pitching better. He had like two I think
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: he had one or two.
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: Bad appearances, like right after they got him, and then
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: he was pretty much good until like last night, pretty
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: much and he did badly again or maybe one or
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: two other appearances. But he's gonna need to get himself together, man.
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: But he won't be seen in tonight's game. The Red
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: Sox did have to use a decent amount of relievers
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: as well, so I don't know if we could trust
• 41:10
  Speaker 2: the bullpens in this game. It's tough to handicap this
• 41:13
  Speaker 2: game with undecided For Minnesota, I think they have they
• 41:16
  Speaker 2: have actually decided on a pitcher, which, by the way,
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: I was I'm just watching the board here trying to see, like,
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: are there pitchers being decided on here?
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: Oh, Easton Lucas. By the way, it's pitching.
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: For Toronto, So, uh, do you want me to get
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: to get to that game real quick here because he's
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: going up against uh, Charlie Morton in Game one here. Now,
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: let's see if he's on the roster here. Lucas has
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: been on their team before.
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: I know.
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: I don't even think he's listed on this roster right man.
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: I just want to fully handicap these men, which I
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: only do during baseball season because it's the only sport
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: going on. Lucas doesn't have good numbers this year though,
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: five point eight two we are a one point four
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: to three whip. I think they're calling them up just
• 41:54
  Speaker 2: for today to make a spot start. So it's not
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: like he's, you know, some great prospect. I don't think
• 42:00
  Speaker 2: where they're going to bring him up. He wasn't pitching
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: that well in the majors this year decently. I strike
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: got right though, twenty two strikeouts in twenty one and
• 42:07
  Speaker 2: two thirds innings. Pitch gave up five home runs and
• 42:10
  Speaker 2: ten walks, though he was giving up a lot of walks,
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: a lot of hard contacts.
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: So definitely worry a little bit about Lucas here.
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: But he is facing, you know, not the most difficult
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: offense here in Baltimore, and Baltimore has never seen Lucas before.
• 42:24
  Speaker 2: But Lucas hasn't been pitching well. So do with that
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: information what you will. I mean, I still think maybe
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: an over is worth the look in that first game.
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: They're still expecting Lucas maybe to not do that well.
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: Sixty nine percent of the ticket seventy six percent of
• 42:36
  Speaker 2: the cash on the over there, So maybe that's the
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: way to still look at that game, although with Lucas
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: having the unfamiliarity edge over Baltimore, it's a little bit
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: less tempting to me at that point, which I wasn't
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: tempted to give that out as a play anyway. Anyway,
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: Red Sox we have Lucas Gilido pitching for the Red
• 42:54
  Speaker 2: Sox here today, He's been starting to pitch pretty well
• 42:56
  Speaker 2: man three point nine to seventy R one point two
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: toy six whips better on the road. He's had most
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: of his really bad starts at home in Fenway three
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: point three ERA on the road, so he is better
• 43:07
  Speaker 2: on the road. He's been mostly good this month three
• 43:10
  Speaker 2: point nine one ERA, twenty one to six strike a
• 43:12
  Speaker 2: walk ratio, but his last two starts were pretty rough.
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: He gave up nine runs in nine and a third innings,
• 43:18
  Speaker 2: pitch only an eight to three strike a walk ratio,
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: and gave up five bombs, but four of them were
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: in the Philly game, and those were both difficult tasks.
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: Man Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies, both on the road.
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, those are good offenses.
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: So I don't know if I'm ready to actually say
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: Giuledo is in bad form, necessarily because he is stepping
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: way down in class to face in Minnesota here, and
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: he's got good numbers against him one hundred one at bats.
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: I think Giledo was on the White Sox right, so
• 43:45
  Speaker 2: they've seen him a lot. Yeah, so in Cleveland, I guess.
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: So he's been in the Minnesota Division for a while,
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: but that means Giulito is used to pitching in this ballpark,
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: but it means Minnesota's familiar with them. One hundred and
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: one at bats, but they have not hit him well
• 43:58
  Speaker 2: thirty seven to eleven strikeout walk ratio to eighteen batting
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: average six ninety one ops. So Giolito looks like he
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: does have the upper hand here in this matchup. We
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: gotta figure out who this Pierson old guy is. Man
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: looks like the Red Sox are public though ninety percent
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: of the tickets, only seventy four percent of the cash,
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: and they are a road favorite up for minus one
• 44:19
  Speaker 2: oh seven of minus one point fifteen. It looks like
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: the money is saying to fade the Red Sox here,
• 44:25
  Speaker 2: and maybe they shouldn't be priced as a road favorite.
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: Is essentially what that means, although I would still I
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: mean to me, I'm kind of leaning towards the Red
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: Sox right now. I have to see who Oil is
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: though it sounds like, you know, like a Southerner saying
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: oil right, got gotta go dig for that all. We'll
• 44:44
  Speaker 2: see who that guy is in a minute. But Giolito
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: does have good matchup numbers here. The Red Sox do
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: overall have the better bullpen, and with both bullpens being
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: used up, I think the Red Sox do.
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: Have the bullpen edge.
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: Red Sox have the better hitting as well, so to
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: me does seem to kind of line up for the
• 44:59
  Speaker 2: Red Sox. But let's see, I'm gonna look up who
• 45:01
  Speaker 2: Pearson Ole is right now?
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: Man? Uh, let's does he have any stats in the majors?
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: Let's see, he's making his major league debut today, so wow,
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: uh dude, he looks like I mean, I don't know
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: if I can bring his up pitch his picture up here,
• 45:21
  Speaker 2: but I'm in a different tab here. I mean I could,
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: but there's one picture of him wearing glasses.
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: He looks like a total nerd.
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: He looks like a guy who should be like in
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: the front office for a baseball team and not on
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: the mound for them.
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna look at his.
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: Minor league stats here. This is gonna take me a
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: little while, man, because I didn't handicap this game. I
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: missed it minor leagues. He actually has really good numbers
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: this season in the miners. Let me see how much
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: of that is in Triple A. He's been in single A,
• 45:48
  Speaker 2: Double A, and Triple A this year, and in Triple
• 45:50
  Speaker 2: A this year. Twenty two and a third innings pitch
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: he has twenty three strikeouts, five walks. That's a good ratio,
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: one point one two whip that's pretty good as well,
• 45:58
  Speaker 2: and a two point eight two So he has pitched well.
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: He's pitched well across all of.
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: The levels of minor league baseball this year. So that
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: looks actually pretty good for all. Let me see what
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: his so maybe that's why the money's coming in against
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox. Here, let me see what his scouting
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: looks like. The Red Sox might be getting screwed here.
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: He was drafted in twenty twenty one out of Grand
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: Canyon University. He was really good there. I guess doesn't
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: have a lot of velocity. I guess his fastball is
• 46:29
  Speaker 2: high eighties. I mean that is by.
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: Today's standards, that is way way low.
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: Obviously, I want to see what let's see, Yeah, high eighties,
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: low nineties fastball. What else does he throw? I'm just
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: kind of interesting because I like to see what is
• 46:44
  Speaker 2: this guy's arsenal?
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean?
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: Says he has really good command, he has a curveball
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: and above average change up, which I guess is his
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: second best pitch besides his fastball. Is his fastball his
• 46:57
  Speaker 2: best pitch? I mean, I don't see how it could
• 46:59
  Speaker 2: be when it's that, but maybe so fastball, curveball.
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: Change up from him? Jay MANE, what's up? Man?
• 47:06
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out again. Man, you picked up seven Reno.
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: I mean, we'll talk about him when we get to
• 47:11
  Speaker 2: the late night games. He's not good at home, man,
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: he is very, very bad in fact, at home.
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: So I don't know if I like that call.
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: Playing him on the road is definitely maybe worthwhile, but
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: at home is terrible. Seven Reno I'm talking about is
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: terrible at home. But I was just talking about pearson
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: Ole as far as the guy who doesn't have a
• 47:32
  Speaker 2: hard fastball, but he's put up good numbers in the miners, man,
• 47:36
  Speaker 2: So it seems like he has some funky movement on
• 47:40
  Speaker 2: his pitches or something going on there where he fools hitters.
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: So we'll see what happens here. Remember, he's probably the
• 47:45
  Speaker 2: reason why the money is coming in against the Red Sox.
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: To me, if that's the case, I think.
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: You're gonna be looking for an under in the first
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: five innings in this game, because I don't want anything
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: to do with these bullpens that are overworked in Minnesota's
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: bullpen's not good anyway, eighty three percent of tickets, only
• 47:59
  Speaker 2: fifty percent of the cash on the over here total
• 48:02
  Speaker 2: already down threw the key number of nine down to
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: eight and a half, but it looks like you'd still
• 48:07
  Speaker 2: probably get an under nine at some price there, So
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: that's or well, first five innings probably you're looking at
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: four and a half maybe, which is not a bad
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: number to get there, So that's probably how I would
• 48:17
  Speaker 2: look there. The Red Sox offense is actually not that
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: good on the road, hasn't been good recently, and Minnesota's
• 48:22
  Speaker 2: offense isn't that good either, so it looks like it
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: could wind up being kind of a pitching duel early
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: on in that game. So that's actually probably the better
• 48:29
  Speaker 2: way to look at that game.
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: Seven Reno.
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I know, but most if not all, of those
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: games I'm pretty sure have been on the road. Seven Rena.
• 48:40
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'm gonna talk about him on the last
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: game on the card here, but yeah, like I never
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: want to trust him at all at home. He's been
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: so bad in the stadium. Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee here
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: one of the big matchups of the day. Not that
• 48:55
  Speaker 2: enticing of a pitching matchup, really, Cubs in Milwaukee, Milwaukee's
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: I kind of seen a lot of bullpen usage recently. Normally,
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: I would say both of these bullpens are decent. Milwaukee
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: kind of a lot of bullpen usage though in a
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: lot last night too, So I might want to leave
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: the bullpens out of that equation or favor the Cubs
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: bullpen because they only use two relief pitchers yesterday. So
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: the Cubs actually are one of the more rested bullpens
• 49:18
  Speaker 2: coming into today, and they probably have the better bullpen anyway,
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: So the Cubs do have a bullpen edge in this game.
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: They probably have an offensive edge as well. I would
• 49:27
  Speaker 2: say they probably don't have the starting pitching advantage, though,
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: because you know, I don't really like Colin Ray. I
• 49:31
  Speaker 2: think he's kind of a I don't think he's as
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: good as what his numbers would tell you. Four point
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: oh six ERA, one point two to seven whip that's
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: not bad, better on the road to three point six
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: three ERA. I mean, his numbers just continue to be
• 49:46
  Speaker 2: He continues to pitch okay, and I just don't know
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: how he keeps getting away with it. I mean, it
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: doesn't strike out a lot of guys this month, seventeen
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: to eight strike a walk ratio. That's fine, it's mediocre.
• 49:57
  Speaker 2: Three point oh four era. He gave up one run
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: three straight starts, but then he got like bombed in
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: his last start against this really bad Royals offense. They
• 50:07
  Speaker 2: got five earned runs off him in five innings without
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: any walks, and three home runs off of them. That's
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: not a good sign for ray Man. If he's given
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: up that many runs. That wasn't Wrigley Field though, where
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: he doesn't pitch as well. Maybe it was a wind
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: blowing out scenario there or something. So I don't know
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: if that's becoming a trend and we're ready to say
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: Ray is not in great form. I just don't like
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: him that much as a pitcher. Milwaukee's surprisingly has not
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: seen that much of him. They only have seven at
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: bats against him. Three hitters have seen him before, but
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: they've done well against him with a four to twenty
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: nine average one thousand and seventy one ops one to
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: one strike a walk ratio. So I don't love Ray here, Man,
• 50:45
  Speaker 2: I actually am buying it to Quinn Priest much more so,
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: as again it's sad.
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: The Red Sox very briefly.
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: Had him at the end of the year last year,
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: and I think they didn't realize what they were getting
• 50:55
  Speaker 2: because he didn't look good when he was on the Pirates.
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: And now, all of a sudden, this Milwaukee rotation is,
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: all of a sudden like one of the best in baseball.
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: It's crazy, and Priest is part of it. Three point
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: two EIGHTYRA, one point two whip Priester pitching really well.
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: He's got a three point two ERA at home, so
• 51:13
  Speaker 2: he's even better at home this month, three point oh
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: four ERA, twenty.
• 51:18
  Speaker 1: Five to six strike out walk ratio. His team is won.
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: I believe ten games in a row that he started
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: now he's allowed more than two hour runs only twice
• 51:26
  Speaker 2: in those starts. He's chugging along, man, he is pitching well.
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: He is in good form.
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: He looks good right now. The Cubs, though, actually have
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: good numbers off him. In thirty at Bass they have
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: three homers off him from three different hitters, Bush Crow,
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: Armstrong against the Azuki all have them five walks, only three strikeouts,
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: three sixty seven average in oneenty twenty four ops. So
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: priest Cubs obviously saw him when he was on the Pirates,
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: and maybe they've seen him when he's been on Milwaukee too,
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: I'm not sure, but the Cubs have good numbers off him. Man,
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: So I'm kind of leaning to the Cubs in this
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: game slightly because they have the hitting edge and the
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: bullpen edge, and I think Priester, I mean, he looks
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: like he's the better pitcher. He's in the better form
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: right now. I think he is the better picture. But
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: his matchup numbers I really really worry about that. I
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: think it kind of evens out the starting pitching matchup
• 52:16
  Speaker 2: a little bit there. It seems like the money is
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: coming in on Milwaukee though, fifty four percent tickets, seventy
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: seven percent of the cash coming in on them, up
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: for minus one twenty to minus won twenty three. If
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: I was gonna play the Milwaukee side, I would probably
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: limit it to the first five innings and only go
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: with the starting pitchers there and not deal with where.
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: I think Milwaukee has the big disadvantages that they don't
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: hit as well at home, so I think their offense
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: isn't as good and their bullpen is much more overworked
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: right now. So that's kind of the way that I
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: look at that game, and the totals down from eight
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: and a half juice to the over to eight and
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: a half, sixty five percent tickets, ninety six percent of
• 52:50
  Speaker 2: the cash on the over, So the money actually even
• 52:53
  Speaker 2: though the initial drop on the total was on the under,
• 52:56
  Speaker 2: it does look like the money is actually coming in
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: on the over in that game, and maybe expect these
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: two pitchers to both maybe not do as well as
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: what you think they might, and then the bullpen rest
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: scenario at least doesn't look that good for Milwaukee. I
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: don't necessarily disagree with the over in that game either
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: ol is he starter or is he bulk? Really, he's
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: gonna be a starter. It's just it's his first major
• 53:20
  Speaker 2: league start. So the question is how long are they
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: gonna let him go? That's the only question. So yeah,
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: like his Minnesota, I mean, Minnesota basically has nothing to
• 53:28
  Speaker 2: lose right now because they're not going anywhere this year,
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: and they don't really risk overworking him because he doesn't
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: have a hard fastball, and it's the second half of
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: the season. So my guess is they're gonna leave him
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: in as long as he's pitching well in that game.
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: What died? What something died? Did? My dude?
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: My suicidal sports bending show suicided itself? What Depeche Mode
• 53:51
  Speaker 2: at Dodger Statum? That sounds like a good show for
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: free that's even better. That sounds pretty sick man getting
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: into some of that eighties like New.
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: Way stuff there.
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: I wasn't really a fan of that for a while,
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: and then I kind of came around to it more recently.
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: All right, Philadelphia at the White Sox. I want to
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: get through this game.
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: We have a lot of games left and I still
• 54:14
  Speaker 2: have to talk about my best baseball bet Philadelphia. Actually
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: I believe they lost yesterday, right, Yeah, they lost.
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: Six to two.
• 54:22
  Speaker 2: Maybe that made sense because they were coming off a
• 54:24
  Speaker 2: big series against the Yankees, so it was kind of
• 54:26
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot for Philadelphia there. I don't like either
• 54:29
  Speaker 2: of these bullpens, obviously, if Philadelphia I think is the
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: less overworked of the two bullpens right now? Ah yeah,
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: so the White Sox have used a bit more of
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: their bullpen, not necessarily yesterday, but probably a slight actually
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: bullpen advantage to Philly. They usually don't have a bullpen edge,
• 54:46
  Speaker 2: but maybe they do in this game. Obviously they have
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: a big hitting edge. The big advantage in this game
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: is Philly's offense. Luzardo is pitching for Philly and he's
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: kind of falling off man after a great start to
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: the season.
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: Four point five eighty RA a one point four to
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: three whip. Those not good numbers.
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: Better on the road though, three point seventy nine road ERA,
• 55:04
  Speaker 2: and he's facing a weak White Sox lineup here this month.
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: He's really been struggling. He's been struggling for a couple
• 55:10
  Speaker 2: of months now, but this month not good. Seven point
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: two to three ERA. Is still a very high strikeout
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: rate twenty five and eighteen to two thirds, but eleven
• 55:19
  Speaker 2: walks is terrible. He's been really wild. His team has
• 55:23
  Speaker 2: lost four of his last five starts. Last start to
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: give up six runs against the Red Sox on only
• 55:30
  Speaker 2: two hits in five inuans because he walked five guys.
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: He was really really wild in that game against the
• 55:36
  Speaker 2: Red Sox. He's not a good form right now, Man,
• 55:39
  Speaker 2: but he does do well against the White Sox in
• 55:41
  Speaker 2: a limited seventeen at bat sample size. Ben and Tendy
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: former Red Sox player does have a home run off him,
• 55:48
  Speaker 2: but overall, they have six strikeouts no walks against him.
• 55:51
  Speaker 2: He's helping to a one to eighteen batting average and
• 55:54
  Speaker 2: four to twelve ops. Lozardo has pitched well against them.
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: You like Luzardo over his strikeout prop Let me say,
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: you're gonna cut seven Rena for all? I would probably
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: play all over seven Rena, but it's he's much more
• 56:12
  Speaker 2: of a roll of the dice, though.
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: Oh, you like, you don't know what you're gonna get
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: out of.
• 56:15
  Speaker 2: Him, But seven Reno, I think most likely you're gonna
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: You're gonna lose. The last person I saw live weird Al.
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: I went to Weird Al like two weeks ago or
• 56:25
  Speaker 2: something like that. Weird out with Puddles, Pity Party, who
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: also puts on a pretty good show.
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: Man Nate don't ca much? Who doesn't wait? Who's which? Nate?
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: Who doesn't ca much? Lozardo?
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: You like Luzardo over seven is such a high number, though, man,
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, he's facing a bad lineup that does
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: have a tendency to strike out against him. The White
• 56:47
  Speaker 2: Sox too have a high strikeout rate against him. He
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: has a high strike out rate even while he's been
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: pitching bad. You gotta worry about how deep Lozara will
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: go into this game. I mean, I don't hate it,
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: but it seems like a high number.
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: I mean I wouldn't really want to do it. Three
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: over seven unders for Soroka. I don't like Soroka either.
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: Let me see, Uh you want news on all? I mean,
• 57:14
  Speaker 2: there isn't really gonna be any news. I mean, he's
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: making his major league debut.
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: Oh, the Gnats.
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: The Nats don't strike out that much, Okay, yeah, I
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: mean yeah, I'll get to that game soon.
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: I guess I don't even know which we're talking about.
• 57:29
  Speaker 2: Well, that's so Roca against Houston though, right Soroka's on
• 57:33
  Speaker 2: the Nats anyway, Jonathan Cannon is pitching for the White Sox.
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: Here he is actually pitching a little bit better. Here.
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: It looks like I lost my connection to YouTube, so
• 57:45
  Speaker 2: I apologize, guys. Streamyard is being bullshit right now, let
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: me reconnect.
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: This is some bullshit. Oh my god. Now I have
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: to verify it on my phone because it's forcing me
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: to relog in. And this is all awesome. Man.
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: Let me confirm that, yes, it's me. This is such
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: bs man, so I apologize for this. Man. This is
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: a long video today and our games aren't until tonight.
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: Let me know if the stream is back up on YouTube. Man,
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: I just reconnected it, so hopefully it is.
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: Anyway. Yeah.
• 58:23
  Speaker 2: Jonathan Cannon pitching for the White Sox here four point
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: four to eighty RA, one point four whip.
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: I mean that whip is not good.
• 58:29
  Speaker 2: He's been way better at home though, three point four
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: to two ERA at home, and he's actually pitching okay
• 58:35
  Speaker 2: recently for the most part. Four point one five ERA
• 58:37
  Speaker 2: this month, seventeen to six strikeout walk ratio. He's allowed
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: more than two hour runs only once. The White Sox
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: have actually won his last five outings. But his last
• 58:48
  Speaker 2: outing was his worst at Tampa Bay. But that is
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: a weird park, man, It's a hitter friendly park. He's
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: struck out nine in that outing, which is really crazy
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: too because Cannon's not really a strikeout guy. But he's
• 58:58
  Speaker 2: gotten his walk numbers down a bit. He is pitching
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: okay right now, so he's in probably about as good
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: form as he will be in. Uh for Cannon, but
• 59:07
  Speaker 2: I will see, man, Philly is actually very unfamiliar with
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: them only kept the re seeing him before.
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: But he's two for two with a.
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: Double, no strikeouts, no walks, and three RBIs.
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: Canon. I mean, yeah, that's the trade off.
• 59:19
  Speaker 2: You're right, Like, he does have an unfamiliarity edge with
• 59:21
  Speaker 2: these pictures that are unfamiliar to the opposing hitters. They
• 59:26
  Speaker 2: contend to do alright against these opposing hitters. But this
• 59:29
  Speaker 2: is a very strong Philadelphia lineup. Cannon isn't really that
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: strong of a pitcher, So I don't know what you're
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: gonna get out of Cannon in this game. This is
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: a very difficult game to handicap. The money is coming
• 59:39
  Speaker 2: in at big time on the White Sox. Philly open
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: at minus two h five, which does seem really really
• 59:44
  Speaker 2: high for a Lozardo game. Down to minus one sixty eight,
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: seventy three percent of the tickets on them, seventy three
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash coming in on the White Sox.
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: The money is actually coming in on the White Sox
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: here on the money line there, So yeah, I mean,
• 59:58
  Speaker 2: do with that information what you will. In the totals
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: crept up from eight and a half all the way
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 2: through the nine to over nine, but nine percent of
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 2: the tickets and only eighty six percent of the cash
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: on the on the over there. So again, we'll have
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: to see what happens in that game. And that is
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 2: not a game that I find easy to handicap at all,
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: So we'll That's a wait and see type of game
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: for me.
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: It's just a game, and you sit back and watch
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: what happens.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: Man, it looks like we are okay on YouTube, right
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna check again right now, but let's see.
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it is.
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: It is working on YouTube right now, so I think
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: we're all right. All right, Let's go to Miami.
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: And Saint Louis. Saint Louis got the win yesterday, seven
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: to one.
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: I actually got a good start out of Polante Cabrera
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: wasn't really that bad from Miami either, but the bullpen
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: wasn't good for Miami. Miami's bullpend not very good. Saint
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 2: Louis's bullpen isn't great either. Miami's bullpen usage actually isn't
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 2: that bad and they only use two relievers Yesterday's Their
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 2: bullpen usage is like moderate. Saint Louis's bullpen is very
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: low though, so you gotta give Saint Louis the bullpen
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 2: edge in this game.
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: I would say, ol Contra.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: Is fishing from Miami, and I don't know if there's
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: gonna be, you know, the trade rumors kind of swirling
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 2: around our contract because he is a potential trade target,
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: so we'll see. I don't know if that's gonna be
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 2: affecting his mental state or not. Again, he hasn't been
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: good though this year. He hasn't been good for quite
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 2: a while. Man, since his Tommy John surgeries, he's never
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 2: returned to form. But he's got a six six six
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: ERA six point sixty six, which is very evil. One
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: point four to three ERA. That's not good. I want
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 2: to stay away from those numbers. He's been real bad
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: on the road. A ten point oh six e R
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: on the road is pretty much unforgivable.
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: So I don't see how you could.
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: Possibly play al Contra in this game this month, fourteen
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: to five strike at walker ratio is all right, but
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: five point six three ERA his strikeout rate is also
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 2: way down. He used to be a strikeout pitcher and
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 2: that is no longer the case. He at least isn't
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 2: walking that many guys, but he's given up a lot
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: of hits, a lot of hard contact, a lot of
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: runs it's just not working out for al contra Man,
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: although his last start was actually fairly good, a seven
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: inning shutout, or he gave.
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: Up one run, but it was unarmed.
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, didn't walk anybody against the Podres the decent
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 2: sign against Saint Louis's numbers are mediocre and thirty nine
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: at bats seven to five strikeout walk ratio is not good.
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 2: Two fifty six average allowed seven seventy seven ops isn't
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: very good either.
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: Excuse me.
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 2: Two fifty six averages is pretty good, but a seven
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: to seventy seven ops is not that good. My apologies,
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 2: I'm very distracted right now. Overall, I don't really like
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: ocontre here. I would lean towards Sonny Gray in this game.
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: Four point three to three ERA, one point one.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: To nine whip.
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: He's still a good pitcher man, even though he's had
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: some bad outings recently three point three to nine ERA
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: at home, so he is definitely better at home, and
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: I know he was bad last time out at home
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 2: against San Diego.
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: You have a lot of hits.
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: He's given up twenty two hits in his last two outings,
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: fourteen runs and all that over eight and a third innings.
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: I know that's really bad, but he also has ten
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 2: strikeouts and no walk, so it's kind of crazy.
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: What's been going on.
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 2: Man, He's just been, I guess, just leaving his pitches
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: over the plate because he has an eight point three
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: four ERA this month. Was pitching fairly well into those
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: last two outings though. Twenty seven to two strike out
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: walk ratio tells you that his command is still there though.
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: I mean that's a.
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 2: High strikeout rate, so he's still striking guys out. Saint
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: Louis actually still won three of his last four starts.
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 2: They still won that last outing that was pretty bad
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: against San Diego, so all that's not that bad.
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: In Miami has almost never seen him before.
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: They have nine at bats against him, one to eleven
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: batting average, four ninety five oh ps, two to two
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 2: strike out walk ratio. But I think you got to
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: give Gray the upper hand man because he's the better,
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 2: uh pitcher.
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: I believe, like just.
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: This season right now, I think you got a bullpen
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: advantage with Saint Louis. I think Saint Louis has the
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: offensive edge with the money again is coming in completely
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 2: against it. Saint Louis's minus won sixty on the money line,
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: fifty four percent of tickets on them, but sixty five
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash coming in on Miami. So the
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 2: money is coming in towards Miami. I don't really get it.
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 2: I don't see how you can trust Alcondra on the road, man,
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: total actually dropped two from eight and a half to eight,
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: fifty eight percent of tickets on the under and sixty
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: seven percent of the cash on the under.
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: So the marker Reid is saying Miami and the under.
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: I'm not really seeing it, to be honest, man, I
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 2: think it's got to be maybe Saint Louis on a
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 2: run line, or Saint Louis even like their team total
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: over maybe would be the better ways to look at
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: that game, to be honest, it just fade out. Contra
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: on the road, Washington at Houston.
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: Houston lost yesterday.
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 2: And this Houston team, man, they have some offensive injuries.
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: As I mentioned, their offense has been really really bad recently.
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 2: They scored three or fewer runs in all five of
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 2: their most recent games, losing all five, including losing two
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 2: to one yesterday. This is just not good for Houston,
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 2: although Houston should still have at least a pitching edge
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: to some extent. I mean they have a bullpen edge.
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: Their bullpen is the better one, and it's not really
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: very over worked here. Neither bullpen has actually seen that
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: much usage, although Houston has the better bullpen, so Houston's
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 2: got the bullpen edge. I don't like either starter here
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: at all, though Michael Sarraka, I know, his whip looks
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: good at one point one to three. That is a
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: good whip four point eight five era. I mean this
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 2: whip indicates his ERA should be better than that. But
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 2: Soraka pretty bad on the road. Five point one to.
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: Three ran the road. But I guess for jam in there.
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: One thing about Siaka, I guess that you're getting is
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: that he is facing a very injured Houston line up
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: here that is in very bad for him right now.
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: So that's one thing you do have going for you
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: is that Houston is very bad offensively right now. Soraka,
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: I mean, his team has been really bad behind him,
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 2: whether it's been the bullpen, whether it's been the hitting
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 2: not being there.
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: But they've lost eight straight starts for Soraka.
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 2: He hasn't been that bad in most of them, though
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 2: he's given up on more than four earned runs once
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: more than three in runs only twice this month. Five
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 2: point three era not really that good though, still nineteen
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 2: to nine strike a walk ratio isn't really that good either,
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 2: So his whip is actually going up in these recent
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: starts too, So I'm not ready to trust sir Raka man.
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: I mean, to me, he's putting too many guys on base,
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 2: but his numbers are good against Houston. So again, Houston
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: has a very injured offense. They haven't done that well
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: against him in only seventeen at bats, but seven strikeouts,
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 2: one walk, two thirty five average six thirty one ohps.
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: So again, I mean, maybe Soroka is worth looking looking
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: at as far as like, if you need to play
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: a guy in fantasy, maybe that's not the worst way
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 2: to look for Houston. George Costanza's pitching for them, Jason
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: Alexander George is probably gonna be getting upset here because
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: eight point one four r right, one point nine whip.
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: He's been terrible, man.
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: I mean, he was on the A's and that's really
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 2: hard stadium to pitch him for the A's, But.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, overall, he's just been real bad this season.
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 2: I don't know if these numbers are just with Houston,
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 2: but he has an eight point three to one ERA
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 2: listed at home, and that might just be with Houston.
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: Let me see, maybe it's not.
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: Actually, no, no, it's not just with Houston, because with
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: Houston he actually uh. He didn't do well though at
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: home against his former team, the A's, but the A's
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 2: had just seen him.
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: But that was his one home start.
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: He gave up five and runs and eleven hits in
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: that game, so he was bad in that game as
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: a five VRA this month five to four strike out
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 2: walker ratio. With Houston, he has a nine to seven
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: strike out walker ratio in three starts.
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: That's bad.
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 2: He's not good at all home, man, So I don't
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: like that at all. The Knats have barely seen him.
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 2: They only have two guys who have seen him. They're
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: one for three. Garcia is the only hit off him.
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: Bell has a walk off him. They have no strikeouts.
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: There's not a whole lot you can do with that information.
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: But I think Alexander is at the disadvantage here, man.
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: So even though I think Houston has a bullpen edge,
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: I mean Washington's boopen.
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: Is miserably bad.
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 2: Probably I would look to Washington first five in this game,
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 2: and they do seem to have the upper hand with
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: the starting pitching matchup here, sixty three percent of the
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: tickets are on Houston. Public still liking Houston as the
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: team with the better record here fifty percent of the tickets.
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, soaka, he is the better pitcher
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: over Alexander. I mean, there's no way really to debate that.
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: So again, you could probably grab Washington as an underdog
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: in the first five innings, and that is what I
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 2: would do in that game. Houston down for minus one
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 2: fifty seven of minus one thirty five.
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: There.
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 2: Why shouldn't they adopt children because gay people, they only
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: adopt boys, and they do so to sexually abuse them.
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: Every time, man, every single.
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: Time that video that came out, people were like praising it.
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: Oh like, look at this video.
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 2: Look at these fat, creepy looking dudes with this baby boy.
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: Because of course it's all why do you think it's
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: always a boy that they adopt? I wonder, and I said,
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: right away before the news even came out, I'm like,
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: this is not gonna go well, this is.
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: Gonna be abuse.
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 2: And then oh yeah, by the way, one of these
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 2: guys is a convicted sex offender already, So isn't that
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 2: just great? Yes, they should not be able to adopt it.
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 2: In that case, it was sarrogacy. They shouldn't be able
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 2: to do that either, because the statistics are massively against
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: that working out well in any way.
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: And even if they're.
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 2: Not abusers, that baby is probably gonna wind up being
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 2: fairly fucked up man living in that environment.
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: I'm sorry, but yes, it should not be allowed.
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: Now. I'm gonna get my I'm gonna get banned on
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: this channel now because I because I stream to Twitter,
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 2: don't knew better off dead man. Uh, Texas at Anaheim here.
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: Anaheim won yesterday six to four. Although, of course, as
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 2: we have to have stayed every time, Anaheim has the
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 2: worst bullpen.
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: We know this. Anaheim's bullpen's bad. Uh.
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: The usage has been a little bit high recently too,
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: not a good bullpen. Texas bullpen uh, you know, moderate
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 2: usage as well, But obviously Texas has the better bullpen,
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 2: so we know that Anaheim has the better offense. Though.
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 2: As far as the starting pitching, Patrick Korban continues to
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 2: pitch fairly well for the Rangers. Somehow they're pitching. They
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 2: got good pitching coaches there, man. That's all I could say.
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: Three point seven to eighty RA one point two to
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 2: seven whip. Corbin's the guy I almost always love to fade,
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 2: but this year you can't really do it so much.
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 2: He has been worse on the road four point three
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 2: to nine ERA on the road. He's pitching well this
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: month though Texas has won all four of his starts
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: this month. He's allowed two or fewer earned runs in
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 2: all four starts, five innings or more in every start,
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 2: twenty two to five strike up walker issue on a
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: two point h one ERA. Yeah, he's in good form
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 2: right now. I don't think that you could fade KORbin
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: here Man. But his numbers against Anaheim are bad and
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 2: one hundred and five at bats three fourteen batting average
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 2: eight sixteen ops, twenty four to nine strike out walk
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 2: ratio not good. Not good numbers against Anaheim. Man, So
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 2: that's the warrior that I have. Because it looked like
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: it was lining up for Corbin to maybe pitch well
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: here So look like maybe you could look towards an
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 2: under in this game. But with Cordman not having good
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 2: matchup numbers, I would worry about that. Uh yose Kakuchi
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 2: is pitching for Anaheim. He's got a really good RA
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 2: three point two TOY three, but his whip is too high.
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: One point four.
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's been wild off and on this year, though.
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 2: He has been way better at home two point two
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 2: six ERA at home, but his form recently has not
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 2: been that good twenty eight to ten strike a walk
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: ratio this month. His strike gout rate's been pretty high,
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 2: but his walk rate has also been high, with multiple
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: walks in all but one start out of the five
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 2: this month four point eight five ERA, and he's allowed
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: multiple runs in every start, although he hasn't allowed more
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: than four in any starts. He's at least keeping his
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: team in the games at the very least, but he's
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: not exactly in the greatest form. He is facing a
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: very weak Texas lineup, though, and he's done well against
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 2: them in a huge one hundred and twenty five at
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: bat sample size, thirty four to ten strike a walk ratio,
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: two sixteen batting average and six twenty six ops. I mean,
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 2: his numbers are good against Texas. Uh yes, actually, I mean,
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's just it's just based on observation too.
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 2: You can just see every single time you see a
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: gay couple with a child, it is always a boy.
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: Find me one where it's not. I don't think you
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: can find it.
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: I seriously do not think you can find one example
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: of that every single time that you see it. I
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: mean you probably go find the statistics on it too.
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: All right, let me yeah, so again, I mean an
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 2: under still maybe makes sense in this game, but if
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: you want the under here, you gotta go first five
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: innings with it because you do not want to deal
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 2: with Anaheim's bullpen. Sixty of the tickets on the over,
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 2: fifty two of the cash on the under. So the
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: money is coming in on the under. Dude, I'm not
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 2: talking politics here. This is better off dead. Please just whatever, man,
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 2: all right, we got u. Yeah, the money coming in
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: on the under here? Yeah, well the total went up
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 2: for me and a half to nine. But again the
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: cash percentages like it's on the under, and the money
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 2: looks like a strong market read on Anaheim up for
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 2: minus one to sixteen of minus one to twenty five
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: here seventy three percent of the cash or excuse me,
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 2: the tickets on Texas sixty five percent of the cash
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: on Anaheim. Anaheim is taking the money, so that's the
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: way to read the market here. I would probably agree
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: with that. In the first five innings, I would not
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 2: want to deal with Anheim's bullpen again, So maybe Anaheim
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: moneyline first five innings, you might have to pay a
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 2: little bit more for that.
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: Mets at Padres.
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 2: Padres have won three games in a row, including beating
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 2: the Mets.
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: Yesterday in a close seven to six game.
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 2: Here, both these bullpends have been used, man, I mean,
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: the Padres have the better bullpend, so I think you
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: give them the bullpen edge.
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: Actually, they're used to just kind of moderate. It looked
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: like they used a lot.
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 2: It wasn't a lot of pitches for a couple of
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 2: their guys yesterday, though the Mets used a lot on
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 2: Sunday night.
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: I know.
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 2: So the Mets have more bullpend usage recently, so you
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 2: got to give the bullpen edge to the Padres.
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 2: Mets obviously have the better offense, so they get the
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: offensive edge.
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: I would.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: I'll probably say the starting pitching edge is also in
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: favor of the Matt's. Sean Manaia is pitching. He just
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: came back from injury and He's been good so far,
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 2: but in a limited amount of starts two point one
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 2: to ninety RRA point nine to seven whip he's still
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 2: eraser head there with his hair. It looks like maybe
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 2: he should do something about that. Sean two point seventy
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 2: R on the road is still pretty good, and this
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 2: is a pitcher friendly park here, so I'm expecting Mania
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 2: to do all right. He's got an eighteen to four
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 2: strike a walk ratio so far on twelve and a third,
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: and he's pitched only eight hits allowed. He is definitely
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 2: pitching well right now. His numbers against San Diego are
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 2: not good, though, in one hundred and twenty at bats,
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 2: three seventeen batting average allowed, five different hitters of home
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 2: and off him eight eighty three ops twenty five to
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 2: six strike a walk ratio is pretty good, but his
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 2: numbers not good against San Diego's offense. But I mean,
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 2: I don't know about those matchup numbers. Man versus the
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 2: fact that Mania is in decent form right now, it's
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 2: difficult to gauge which way this is gonna go. Ryan
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 2: Burge is pitching for San Diego. His numbers have been
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 2: good this year in a limited amount of playing time
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 2: two point eight fourty one point one for whip. It's
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 2: hard to gauge what this guy is really gonna get
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: you as well, though. San Diego has actually won most
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: of his appearances recent whether they were starts or out
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 2: of the bullpen. Some of them were starts, some of
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 2: them might have been out of the bullpen. I don't know,
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 2: but seven of the nine appearances have been wins for
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 2: san Diego. He's not going that deep into most of
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 2: these games though. The last three times he's appeared, he
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 2: hasn't gone five innings in any of them, though one
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 2: was against the Dodgers, one was against Philly, so some
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: difficult offenses to face there. He has a thirty to
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 2: fourteen strike at walk ratio, so that is too many walks,
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 2: strike got raided is decent, and thirty one to two
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 2: thirds inning. He's only twenty two hits allow, so he's
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: not aligned that many hits. He's wild though, so his
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 2: walk numbers are not that good. And if you look
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 2: at his numbers against this starting lineup, if I can
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 2: even get this right, if I can type anything right now,
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 2: I can't. Apparently, Come on, man, I hate when ESPN
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 2: doesn't give you the bat ever, like, why do they
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 2: even take that tab away?
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: Fuck you ESPN.
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 2: Mets have never faced Pergere before, so actually Burgere may
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 2: have an upper or berg ar, I don't know how
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 2: you pronounce his name. I go French with it man,
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 2: So maybe he has a little bit of an edge
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 2: against the Mets offense just because they haven't seen him before.
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 2: But the money appears to be coming in on the
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 2: Mets up for minus one oh five to minus one
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 2: twenty three, fifty eight percent of tickets, sixty seven percent
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 2: of the cash coming.
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: In on the Mets.
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 2: Not entirely sure that I would agree with that laying
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 2: a price like that with the Mets. But again, Bregere
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 2: is a bit too wild. Yeah, I mean I don't
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 2: like Manaia's numbers against San Diego, so I hesitate with it,
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 2: even though when I saw that pitching matchup, I said, well,
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 2: of course Manaiah has the upper hand. But now I'm
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: not really so sure. And if you want to go
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 2: with the Mets, I would go first five innings again
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 2: there because I don't think the bullpen.
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: Scenario is good for the Mets.
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh at San Francisco San Francisco was taking some professional
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 2: money yesterday with wizen Hunt making his major league yesterday.
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 2: But I told you wizen Hunt weird arsenal memories, mostly
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 2: a change up pitcher. They lost the game. Wizzen Hunt
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 2: wasn't that good. Pittsburgh got the win. Pittsburgh continuing to
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 2: actually play fairly well right now. The Giants continuing to
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 2: struggle a six' five. Loss The giants have the better bullpen,
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 2: generally they have had some usage recently, Though giants a
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 2: lot of bullpen, usage one of the more more used bullpens.
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 2: Recently again Because sunday night sometimes you see a lot
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 2: of bullpen. Usage pittsburgh fairly overworked bullpen as, well, though
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 2: SO i think you probably actually still give the bullpen
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 2: edge to The giants because they do have the better
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 2: of the two. Bullpens pittsburgh a bit. Overworked Bailey falter
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 2: pitching For. Pittsburgh he's having a decent season three point
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 2: eight TWO, era one point one to eight, whip four
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 2: point four to THREE era in the, road though so
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 2: his numbers on the road not really as good this.
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: Month not a GOOD.
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 2: Era four point six FOUR era seventeen to three strike a,
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 2: Walk rasue is good, though so he's not walking in
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 2: a lot of, guys but he's allowing a fair amount of.
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: Runs he's not going that deep into some of these.
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 2: Games his team has lost three out of the, four
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 2: but of course his offense doesn't really back them.
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: Up they have a bad.
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 2: Offense both of these offenses are, bad BUT i think
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 2: Probably San francisco actually has the better of the. Two
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 2: pirates offense is just that. Bad falter has faltered and
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 2: failed to actually go even five innings and two of
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 2: his last three. Starts his best start of the three
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 2: was actually Against, detroit whereas he did badly against The
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 2: White sox In Kansas. City very strange doing better against
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: the one good team out of those. Three his numbers
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 2: are not great in the small sample size against The
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 2: giants and twenty four at bats three point thirty three
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: average allowed nine to forty three ohps four to one
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: strike a walk. Ratio So i'm not ready to really
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 2: Trust falter based on his recent performance and in this
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 2: matchup against The giants Vern landers pitching For San, FRANCISCO
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: i mean he might be ready to hang it. Up,
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 2: man just go, home you, know live With Kate opton
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 2: live your, life, bro you, know be rich. WHATEVER i,
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 2: mean he's not pitching well this year four point SEVENTY,
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 2: ra one point four to, nine whip a little bit
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 2: better at home four point FIVE, era and he finally
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 2: gotta win. MAN i, mean he has no offense backing him.
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: Up he was zero to.
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: Eight now he's won and eight with a, shutout one
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 2: hit performance Against, atlanta but it wasn't all good because
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 2: he did walk five guys in that. Game, VERLANDER i,
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: mean his command has actually not been that bad this,
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 2: season but he's given up too many. Hits for the most,
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 2: part he's given up too many. RUNS i, mean he's
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: at least mostly held his team in these, games though
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 2: he's actually allowed three or fewer earned runs in all
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 2: but four of the STARTS i think this, season which
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 2: isn't too. Bad pittsburgh only his four hitters was seen him.
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 2: Before they have fifty eight at bats against, him two
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 2: forty one, average seven to fifteen. Ops because he do
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 2: have a couple of home runs off and From Kiner
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 2: filefa And fam thirteen to, five straying to walk, ratio So, verlander.
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 2: Okay umbers Against pittsburgh is okay enough that in his current,
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 2: form he'll do well.
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: HERE i don't.
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 2: KNOW i, mean you're paying attacks For, verlander, man you're
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 2: paying attacks for The giants because they still are the
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 2: team with the better. Record everybody knows Who verlander, is
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 2: SO i think you're paying too much of a price
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 2: for them. Still but the money seems like it's on
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 2: The Sar francisco. Side from minus one fifty five to
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 2: minus one sixty, five sixty six percent of, tickets eighty
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 2: three percent of the cash coming in on The San francisco, Side.
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: So that is the market. Read it looks like the
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on that.
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 2: Side total seventy one percent of tickets on the over
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 2: and only fifty one percent of the cash in the.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: Over so the under eight looks like it's getting some
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 2: of the money as. WELL i wouldn't want to deal
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 2: with those overworked bulltpens, though so first five minuting under,
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 2: Maybe BUT i don't even know if you could Trust verlander.
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 2: Either some looks like too much of a price to
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 2: play With. Verlander, obviously you can see Why i'm not
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 2: playing that. Game and now we get To seattle in
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 2: The A's, severino your Guy Jaymin The a's lost in
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 2: the return home, spot WHICH i thought they. WOULD i
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 2: should have given Out seattle as a play. MAN i
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 2: almost did return home spot for a bad team like
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 2: The a's really suck at. Home looked like it was
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 2: a bad spot for The. A'S i just thought that
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 2: Because sears had good numbers Against. SEATTLE i also did
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 2: like the under early in that, game AND i was
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 2: correct about that, Too so that's how it worked.
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: Out The a's lost that.
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 2: GAME a lot of, times when the team loses their
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 2: first game back, home they will do better in the
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 2: second game and they'll turn it around and bounce. Back
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 2: But i'm not so sure that's gonna be the case
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 2: for The a's, here because they stink at. Home this
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 2: is a temporary home, stadium and they lost a win, streak,
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 2: Man and a lot of times when you lose a
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 2: win streak and you're all fired up like, that that
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: can kind of hang you over into the next. Game
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 2: SO i don't think it's necessarily the greatest spot for
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 2: The a's. Here bullpen, situation, obviously the bullpen advantage Is.
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 2: Seattle's seattle hasn't even used that much of their. Bullpen
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 2: they're actually one of the more lightly used bullpens of the.
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 2: Day The a's have one of the worst bullpens in
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 2: all of. Baseball they're not really overly worked, here but
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 2: seatle as the bullpen. Edge seattle has a good offense
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 2: on the road that can kind of match The a's,
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 2: Offense so not really a huge offensive advantage for The a's.
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 2: Either Logan evans is pitching for The. Mariners, Uh he's
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 2: hard to predict right. Now, Man he's a young. Pitcher
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 2: he does have decent. Stuff three point six FOUR era
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 2: is pretty, good one point four whip is not as
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 2: good a bit worse on the road as basically all
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 2: Of seattle's pitchers are four point five to FIVE. Era
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 2: pitching in this stadium might not be that good for, him,
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 2: man you, know like looking at his other, starts he
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 2: had one start in a very hitter friendly stadium or
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 2: two Really arizona And, yankees and he was pretty bad
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 2: in both of those. Starts those are his worst two
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: starts all. Year so this might not be the best
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 2: location for him to be. Pitching and although The a's
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 2: offense isn't quite as good as those two offenses that
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 2: he was, facing he's been in not the greatest form
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 2: this month either really four point one to ninety ras,
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 2: alright thirteen to nine strike a walk race is not.
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 2: Good three walks a piece in his last two. Starts
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: that's not gonna get it. Done failing to go five
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 2: innings in two of the last. Three ALTHOUGH i know he's,
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 2: young so they don't really want to completely overwork. Him
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: but his strikeout rate has not been. High he's not
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 2: really a strikeout. Pitcher but he's given up a lot
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 2: of walks and a lot of home runs in more
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 2: than one hit per, Inning so it's not really that.
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 2: Good a's have never seen him, before so maybe he
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: has a little bit of an edge there or the
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 2: a's haven't seen him. Before BUT i worry About evans
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 2: in this, stadium AND i worry about Seven reno in
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 2: this stadium, too Seven reno four point nine to five
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 2: R r in the, season one point three to five.
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: WHIP i, mean those numbers are just not that.
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 2: Great but at home he's been horrendous six point six 't.
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: EIGHTY rra at.
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 2: Home eight of the thirteen runs he's allowed to have
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 2: been at home his last few, starts the last two
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 2: were both on the.
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: Road three of his last four were on the. Road
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: his most recent home.
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 2: Start it looks like it was okay because you only
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 2: give uIP one on in run and did have eight,
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 2: strikeouts but he gave up seven, hits two walks and
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: didn't even make it five, innings and that was another.
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: LOSS i think that was a PLAY i might have
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 2: given out maybe against Seven reno in that. ONE i
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: forget if that was the case or. Not but Seven,
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 2: RENO i, mean he's been real bad at. Home you
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 2: look at his home record. Here when's the last time
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 2: they even won a game for him at? Home five
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 2: losses in a row home six. Seven the last time
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 2: they won for him at home Was may, fifth that
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 2: was and they won an extra innings and he didn't
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: pitch well in that game. Either so The a's have
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 2: not won of Seven reno home. Games It's may fifth Against.
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 2: Seattle his numbers are mediocre and fifty five at, bats
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 2: sixteen to nine string a, walk race show two seventy three,
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: average seven ninety three.
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: Ops So i'm worried about Seven reno.
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 2: Here. MAN i would lean To, seattle but the money's
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: coming in against, them SO i don't. KNOW i, mean
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 2: sometimes the market read isn't the way you want to, go,
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 2: THOUGH i tend to not want to fade the. Market
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 2: read they're down for minus one ten to minus one
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 2: oh nine sixty six percent of, tickets only fifty six
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 2: percent of the. Cash so a Public seattle, team the
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 2: actual money seems to be coming in against them a little.
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 2: BIT i would probably lean to the over, here man
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 2: and the total ten and a, half and it's already gone,
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 2: up so the juice is. Gone on the under ten
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 2: and a, half the juice is loose sixty eight. PERCENT
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 2: i think it's eighty six percent of the.
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: Ash on the. Over that's probably the WAY i would.
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 2: GO i, mean you have a bad as Bullpen seattle
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 2: good offense on the. Road this is a hitting friendly.
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 2: Park both pitchers could struggle here. Potentially, yeah that's probably
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 2: the WAY i would lean In that game would be the,
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 2: over and then we will get to my best bet
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 2: of the, day which is not going to be an,
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 2: over although it looks like the money is coming in
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 2: on the. Over and disagree with me on, it let
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 2: me Check Action network real. Quick DO i want to
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 2: make this my best? Bet BECAUSE i was not even
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 2: gonna have a baseball play, Today so hang, on maybe
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 2: my best bet is just the.
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: Is only gonna be. NOW I we'll still do this.
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 2: One SO i do have THAT wnba play out, there
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 2: but we're gonna give up my best. Bet let's go to,
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: it let's get, it let's get it. Done man best bet.
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 2: Segment and Again i'll Reiterate Golden state plus EIGHT i
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 2: gave out during THE wnba. SEGMENT i should have waited
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 2: those of the best bets. SEGMENT i guess best bet in,
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: baseball THOUGH i like THE wnba play better is the under.
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: NINE i, MEAN i know it's a.
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 2: High total In dodgers', reds and this is gonna be
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 2: a play WHERE i really thought the public would be
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 2: looking at the over in this. Game although we see
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 2: the money here now it looks like sixty eight percent
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: of the tickets and cash all in the, under and
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 2: the totals actually crossed through the nine up for eight
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 2: and a half all the way up to nine juice
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 2: to the, over so that money is really coming in
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 2: on the. Over SO i worry about that because that's
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: some strong market movement towards the. Over and we do
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 2: see money coming in on the red side, Too dodgers
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 2: up for minus one forty five to minus one fifty,
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 2: two seventy six percent of, tickets only fifty eight percent
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 2: of the.
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: Cash the money fading The.
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 2: Dodgers you're coming in On, cincinnati but the fact that that's,
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 2: HAPPENING i kind of like that BECAUSE i Think cincinnati's
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: pitcher is the one that you could trust a little
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 2: bit less right. Now so OBVIOUSLY i like the starting
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup. HERE i Know i'm going full game on
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: the under BECAUSE i think you get a better number
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 2: on the full, game even though, YES i don't think
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 2: you could trust The dodgers bullpen that. Much dodgers are
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 2: kind of a bottom tier, bullpen but they have not
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 2: seen a lot of. Usage they're one of the least
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 2: used bullpens. Recently most usage last couple of days Was.
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 2: Robleski he was a long relief, man So dodgers do
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: have their best relievers. Available SO i actually think extending
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: this to full game instead of going under four and
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 2: a half or whatever in the first five is the
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 2: way to.
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: Go you can still do that if you.
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 2: Want The reds have seen a little bit more usage,
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 2: recently but still their bullpen is not that overly, worked
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 2: SO i think the under is okay here for those,
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 2: reasons AND i think our starters can kind of get
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 2: us fairly deep into this. Game ALTHOUGH i know based
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 2: on the bullpens we're not looking at good bullpens. Here,
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 2: Really reds are mid tier at thirteenth IN. Whip their eras,
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 2: alright bullpen, Wise dodgers actually a lot.
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: Worse they're in the bottom third.
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: Again but Glass now is pitching for The dodgers, man
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 2: and they have some of their best relievers available, today
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 2: so hopefully that combination can keep The reds in. Check
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 2: glasnow came back from injury pretty recently and he's pitching
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 2: well already right. Away, again he's basically the best pitcher
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 2: they Have man two point seven FIVE, era one point
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: zero THREE. WHIP i know the home road splits are
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 2: not gonna look good for. This he has a four
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 2: point zero nine ROAD, rra so that's not. Good but
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 2: he is in really good form all of a sudden right.
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 2: Now this, month twenty three to five strike a walk,
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 2: ration only nine hits allout in eighteen innings ONE, era
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 2: so he seems like he's basically completely. Back he threw
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 2: one hundred pitches last time, out but he's a veteran,
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 2: Man SO i don't Think i'm ready to say that he's,
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 2: gonna you, know have like completely fall apart in the
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 2: next game after. That it wasn't that big a game
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 2: against The. Twins, again he's a, veteran he's been around
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 2: for a. While he's used to being an ace like
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 2: this and, throwing you, know having starts like, That SO
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 2: i don't think he's gonna like suffer from any of.
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: That his numbers against The reds are.
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 2: Decent in thirty nine at, bats two fifty six, average
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 2: fourteen to three strike a walk race year the ops
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 2: is a little high seven to seventy. One he has
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 2: a lot of home runs To benson And, hayes but
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: still overall he's done okay enough against, them holding them in.
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 2: CHECK i think we should be able to get a
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 2: decent start out of, him ALTHOUGH i know this is
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: a hitter friendly park and the osmakers are gonna throw
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 2: a high total up there for a. Reason Nick lodolo,
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 2: pitching though for The. Reds this makes it look like
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 2: it's a pitching. Duel Here man three point eight, r
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 2: one point oh four. Whip those are good, numbers solid
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 2: numbers For, LODOLO i know, again the splits don't look
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 2: good four point one seventy r at, home he's been
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 2: worse at. Home he's allowed eleven of the sixteen old
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 2: runs he's allowed at.
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: HOME i know.
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 2: Him i'm fading that sentiment, Here but last time he
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 2: was at home he had a nice, shout a shutout Against.
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 2: Miami AND i know The dodgers are a completely different.
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 2: Animal dodgers way way better. Offense but he's actually been
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 2: okay at. HOME i, mean he didn't last five innings
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 2: against The, yankees But yankees good, offense and he held
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 2: them to one, run didn't walk anybody this month really,
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 2: good with a one point six one E ra twenty
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: seven to three strike a walk.
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: Ratio he's allowed.
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 2: Two or zero in runs in each of his last three.
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 2: Starts reds have won six of his last Seven, star
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 2: which is also a decent indicator if you want to
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: look towards the red side. Here he is coming off
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 2: a nine, inning complete game shutout with eight, strikeouts no,
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 2: walks four hits Against.
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: Washington it's a bad.
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 2: Offense he did throw over one hundred, pitches but he's been,
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 2: throwing you, know into the, nineties SO i don't think
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 2: that's really gonna affect him that. MUCH i don't think
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 2: he's gonna be in that much of a letdown. SPOT i,
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 2: mean you're facing The dodgers like you're gonna want to
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 2: step up for. This even though they might be able
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 2: to hit him a little, BIT i think he is
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 2: still gonna do well. Here both of these pitchers are
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 2: in a really good recent. Form the matchup numbers don't
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 2: look that, great but it's a small twelve at bat sample,
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: size and some of The dodgers' best hitters have actually
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 2: never Faced lodolo. Before so looking at you, Know, freeman
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 2: assuming that a Is freeman heard or is he? PLAYING
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 2: i don't, know but him bets like these guys are
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 2: not even listed in the career stats. Here so The
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 2: dodgers have a fair number of guys who have never
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 2: seen him. Before so he might have a little bit
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 2: of an edge in that respect as, well because he's
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 2: unfamiliar to. Them The dodgers who have seen him before
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 2: for twelve often, him but they have no extra base, hits,
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 2: strikeouts no walks three thirty three. Average of, course it's
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 2: only six sixty seven ops, though So i'm ready to say,
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 2: yeah we'll go under in this Game Red's. Dodgers that'll
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 2: be my only baseball play today and that'll do it for, today.
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: Man and once again the other, play which is the
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: one THAT i like, Better Golden state IN wnba plus.
• 1:31:20
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• 1:31:23
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• 1:31:25
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• 1:31:27
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• 1:31:30
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• 1:31:34
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• 1:31:37
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• 1:31:41
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• 1:31:43
  Speaker 2: That and covered In yuke is my yuke channel on,
• 1:31:47
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• 1:31:50
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• 1:31:52
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• 1:31:55
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  Speaker 2: the highest level you can request you stuff from. Me
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 2: Maybe i'll do some Like patreon streams and. Stuff, POTENTIALLY
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 2: i got to figure out HOW i want to really
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 2: deal with. It something like that still.
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: A work in.
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 2: Progress we got to figure it, out but all those
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 2: links are also at linktree dot com slash learn To
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 2: TOAD i believe as, well and that's gonna do WHAT
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 2: i think. Man so, yeah thanks, everybody and we'll see
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 2: you tomorrow WHEN i come back, again.
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: Assuming That i'm still. Alive peace, out, Guys Happy. Tuesday