Latest / Conversations: Special Guests with Preston Scott / Voting Blocks Swinging, Israel & Iran, The Price of Chocolate

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Voting Blocks Swinging, Israel & Iran, The Price of Chocolate · Conversations: Special Guests with Preston Scott

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  It's been a really fun journey. You know, this show offers us the
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  opportunity to make really engaging, enlightening, helpful friendships with people in the most
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  unique ways. Because one of our research assistants, who's a dear friend,
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  Rob, we got introduced to something called the bee line and you can find
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  it at bline blogger dot blogspot dot com and it's the work of Scott Beacon.
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  And I started referencing a lot of Scott's research digging kind of number crunching,
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  and next thing, you know, we get introduced to Scott and I
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  look forward to having him be at least a monthly visitor on the program.
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  And we welcome back Scott b. And right now, Scott, how are
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  you, sir Preston. I'm doing great and a fantastic back with you and
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  your listeners today. How's the golf game? It could be better? But
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  isn't that always the case? Yes, it is, everybody except Scottie Scheffler
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  saying that right about now exactly, You've written a lot of great content and
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  I want to focus on three recent blogs you've pushed out. Let's start with
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  the kind of the dynamics of what's going on in the lead up to the
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  twenty four election, because there's a shift that you've noted, especially with younger
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  voters. Tell us what you've learned. Well. I enjoy looking at the
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  polls, you know, I think there's voice questions about how accurate they are,
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  sure, but I think they show some trends. And I think one
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  of the interesting trends that I'm noticing is that the support of younger voters,
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  particularly those eighteen to twenty nine, appears to be eroding for Biden. And
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  I think it's very interesting looking at the data. For example, he won
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  that demographic by some twenty four points in twenty twenty. Compare that to Hillary
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  only won that demographic by nineteen in twenty sixteen, but a recent NBC poll
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  shows him only up by eight over Trump in that demographic, and a Fox
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  News poll actually showed Trump up by eighteen. So whether you believe those polls
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  or not, and they're probably both inaccurate, but you look at the broader
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  trend and it clearly shows a disillusionment of the young with Biden. Whether they'll
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  move to Trump as a question, but I think that's an interesting trend to
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  keep an eye on. You know, one of the things we noted.
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  We came across a story back a couple of weeks ago where a Democrat operative,
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  a guy who is really highly thought of as a consultant inside the Democrats,
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  were he was screaming at the top of his loans to party insiders to
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  stop registering kids to vote on college campuses. He said, you're registering Trump
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  voters. They're swinging. Yeah, very interesting, very interesting. Now,
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  just on the other side of that is the thing that's a little concerning for
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  the Trump supporters is we're seeing older voters who have kind of been a lynch
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  pan of support for the Republican Party over a number of years, seem to
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  be moving away from Trump. So that's going to be interesting to see both
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  camps how they try to bring each of those groups back into the fold.
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  But you know, those that don't believe this younger voter moving, I mean,
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  just look at what Biden is doing with regard to student loans. I
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  mean, he's already been told clearly by the Supreme Court that it's unconstitutional right
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  to try to forgive these loans, and yet here he is out hitting that
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  again and again. And I think that shows you how concerned they are about
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  the young voters. I don't think it can be viewed in any other way
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  other than he's trying to buy votes and he's doing it in the only way
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  he's got available to him, even if it is illegal. Right. Well,
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  it's very unfortunate too, because you know, they know that any court
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  action is not going to be done until well after the election. So it's
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  really sad to see how they're trying to use young voters this way, because
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  clearly this is unconstitutional and it will be shown again, I think after the
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  election, but at that point it's going to be too late for the young
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  voters. Good morning, and welcome to the Morning Show with Preston Scott.
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  Scott Beacon my guest this morning. Scott, you weighed in on the Iran
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  Israel. I don't know what we would call it where we are with that
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  right now. It seems like every side has a spin to what's happening there.
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  I know where I side, My allegiance is always going to be with
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  Israel. That said, your observations, well, I think where we are
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  right now is trying to figure out what the next move is for Israel.
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  I mean, they're in a tough spot here they're obviously getting a lot of
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  pressure from from the Biden administration to not do anything more, just to kind
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  of take this and leave it and not up the ante, so to speak.
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  But you know, I think you've got to put some of this in
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  context. You know, they had the Israel had three hundred and thirty one
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  projectiles at their territories from Iran, you know, came in Saturday night,
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  you know, sixty tons of ordinance. Now to put that in perspective,
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  you know, we talk about the Moab bomb that the US has has dropped
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  in Afghanistan. That's for propective, that's eleven tons. So what was coming
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  to them was almost equal to six mo Ab bombs when you put all those
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  three hundred and thirty one missiles and drones coming at them. So to ask
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  them to stand down, I think it's a big ask with regard to to
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  Israel, and it's going to be interesting to see, you know, where
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  they go with this. You Know. The other thing I think it's been
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  interesting is how the mainstream medium plays this and even what Iran's position has been.
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  Well, they were just retaliating because their embassy was attacked. But if
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  you really look at what was going on. Their embassy was fully intact.
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  It was a building neck to their embassy which they claimed to be a consulate.
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  But that constance so happened to have the head commander of the KODS force
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  there along with six other high level commanders. So what it begs the question
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  is that really a diplomatic mission or was that really harboring you know, some
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  terrorist forces with regard to the IRGC, that really sows a lot of terrorism
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  throughout the Middle East. Well, I made the argument that is real intelligence
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  is about generally, I mean, everyone makes mistakes, but generally is about
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  as good as it gets. They clearly, I you know, authored a
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  very precise strike at a very precise target, and it was meant to do
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  what it did. It was meant to send a message, and it was
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  meant to target people that they believed and had intelligence were responsible for some of
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  what has been going on in the region. Scott, I've been making the
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  argument, if you start the fight, you don't get to dictate the terms
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  on how it ends exactly. And you know, the sad thing is is
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  the Iranian people in all of this. You know, I had a note
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  in my in my blog post it was kind of interesting that if you go
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  back to nineteen seventy eight, when the Shaw was still in power, it
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  took seventy one realls to equal one dollar. That's now six hundred and sixty
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  five thousand reawlls. I mean, it's an incredible amount of suffering economically that
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  the Iranian people have taken with the Mullos and charge there. So, yeah,
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  the endgame here, I don't know where the endgame is, but it
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  wouldn't it be poetic justice if out of all this we ended up with a
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  regime of Iran coming down and the Iranian people could be free. That would
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  be marvelous. Scott standby. I want to ask one more question relative to
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  Iran and Israel and kind of broaden it into the problem this country's facing with
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  regard to oil and where Iran fits into all of that. And then we're
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  going to talk about something else that we mentioned briefly, and to look into
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  the world of Coco, a product that my life just cannot live without in
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  its various forms WSLA on your phone with the iHeart radio app, and on
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  hundreds of devices like Alexa, Google Home, Xbox, and Sonos. So
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  here we go in ihearts radio season visiting with Scott Beacon. He's the Bline
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  Blogger. It's Bline Blogger dot blogspot dot com. And you can subscribe to
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  the newsletters and trust me, you will really really like the content. It's
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  well researched, thoughtful, and it prods just enough get you thinking past what
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  you might read in the mainstream media out there. Scott, I want to
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  just put a bow on the topic of Israel and Iran. Clearly, one
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  of the first things Joe Biden did when he took office was hurt our energy
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  independence. In fact, pretty much end it. What happens if Israel targets
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  Iran's only source of revenue, which would be it's oil, Well, you
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  know, I think we live on oil. I mean that's the way it
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  is. I mean a lot of people don't want to believe that right now,
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  but that is the reality in the world today. And you know,
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  I was around in the Arab oil crisis back in the mid seventies. We
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  had gas lines that would extend for miles. And you know, if things
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  get disrupted over there, either whether Israel attacks the oil facilities or you can
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  see Iran, it takes retaliation and tries to do something with the straits or
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  moves or whatever. We can have a major disruption in oil, and obviously
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  the biggest problem we have right now is we prepare for that eventuality with the
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  strategic patrollum reserve. But Joe Biden has drained half of that off in the
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  last over the last year, and we really don't have the reserves that we
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  did at one time if we have a real disruption in oil. He's kind
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  of used it for political purposes, which is concerning. And that's a big
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  concern that I've had. I've written about several times in bline. You know,
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  what do we do if we have a true disruption, a true emergency
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  and not a political emergency, which is how he's basically used it. Yeah,
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  it's been problematic. We've noted it as well, and and it certainly
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  hasn't fallen under the category that we've defined as the purpose of having the strategic
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  reserves. But it is what it is and where it is right now.
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  You wrote another piece back earlier this month, just about six seven days ago
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  in fact, dealing with chocolate, and I think a lot of people,
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  you know, they look at what they spend at the grocery store right now.
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  And buried within these prices are these subplots, and one of them is
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  coco. Share what you've written about, Well, now we're into something really
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  important. I think, so the chocolate, that's right, And this is
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  how I kind of write sometimes, you know, you kind of get these
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  nuggets that you aren't aware of. And I have no idea. I happened
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  to see something that the price of cocoa had risen to over ten thousand dollars
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  a ton. So that doesn't mean much if you don't have context, right,
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  But the thing that really amazed me was that it now is more expensive
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  to buy a ton of cocoa than it is to buy a ton of copper.
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  And we see these stories every day where people are stealing copper off of
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  houses and going into infrastructure to sell it to recycle it because the price of
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  you know, copper has risen as well. But to think that coco is
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  now more expensive than copper, you better lock up your chocolate because someone might
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  be coming for it in the near future. Now, the other interesting subplot
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  about this is, you know, I always want to delve in, well
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  why is that? How could the price which has normally been about two thousand
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  dollars a done. How did it all of a sudden rise ten thousand dollars
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  a ton, right, And it appears that it goes back to three quarters
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  of the production of cocoa in the world is going on in Africa, and
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  a lot of those are done by small farmers over there, and they've had
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  three consecutive years of yields where they've got met the production they've seen in the
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  past, and so immediate at least. The other interesting subplot in this,
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  you know, the climate alarm must come out and say, well, it's
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  due to climate change. Obviously due to climate change, and you kind of
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  look further at that and say, well, it's really not climate change.
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  The real reason is these farmers who are poor, and we remember with a
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  fertilizer price was really high in twenty one and twenty two, they couldn't afford
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  to fertilize their trees and a lot of the trees are older, so the
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  yields drop because they didn't fertilize the trees. And why was the price of
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  fertilizer high, Well, that's because we had the natural gas fight, you
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  know, coming up, which that evil fossil fuel. So it's kind of
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  interesting the way all these things kind of work, and sometimes it's completely contrary
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  to the narrative you hear. But I think eventually this will pass. I
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  mean, you've got short cellars, You've got a lot of that transportation goes
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  to the Red Sea with the Hoothys, so there's a lot of things going
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  into this thing. But right now coco is more expensive than copper in the
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  world commodity markets. That's incredible. We could talk for a very long time,
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  my friend. I'll settle for having you come on next month. I
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  appreciate your time, Okay, I always enjoyed Preston. Thank you, sir,
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  Scott Beacon with us and again the website bline Blogger dot blogspot dot com.
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  It's one of the best newsletters you'll subscribe to because you're just going to
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  get data, observations and questions, but you're going to get lots of data.
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  Twenty seven minutes after the hour