Latest / The Money Puzzle / How to optimise AI as an active investor
Transcript
- 0:10Speaker 1: Hello and welcome to the Australian's Money Puzzle podcast. I'm
- 0:13Speaker 1: James Kirby.
- 0:13Speaker 2: Welcome aboard.
- 0:14Speaker 1: How far can we go with AI? How far will
- 0:19Speaker 1: AI go with us? Can we harness it, you know,
- 0:22Speaker 1: to become better investors?
- 0:24Speaker 2: That's what I want to.
- 0:24Speaker 1: Look at today. AI, we're across AI. We all know
- 0:28Speaker 1: about the basics of AI. What about using it and
- 0:30Speaker 1: using it as an investor, right? To explore its possibilities,
- 0:34Speaker 1: but also its risks. And there are real risks there
- 0:37Speaker 1: as we're starting to realise as the weeks go by.
- 0:40Speaker 1: and searching for someone as a guest for you who
- 0:44Speaker 1: could really be across this issue, I came upon Daniel Gara.
- 0:48Speaker 1: Daniel started his career as a financial advisor, and he
- 0:52Speaker 1: later left. He co-founded technology company Advisor Logic that was
- 0:56Speaker 1: purchased by Morningstar. He's a founder again now of a
- 0:59Speaker 1: group called Vectatech. So basically, Daniel's career has been a
- 1:05Speaker 1: dress rehearsal for this podcast, I'd like to think. How
- 1:07Speaker 1: are you, Daniel?
- 1:09Speaker 2: I'm really well, James. It's great to be here. Thanks
- 1:11Speaker 2: for having me.
- 1:12Speaker 1: I'm delighted to have you. Actually, delighted to find you
- 1:14Speaker 1: in that we haven't talked much, but we have dealt
- 1:16Speaker 1: with each other, of course, in recent weeks when we
- 1:19Speaker 1: tried to capture up on the issues that were sparked,
- 1:21Speaker 1: I suppose, to some degree by OpenAI's, what would you say,
- 1:24Speaker 1: invasion of Medicare, which became global news, but sort of
- 1:29Speaker 1: captured people's imaginations, too, about what on earth is possible
- 1:33Speaker 1: and not possible with AI, just to bring it to
- 1:37Speaker 1: basics for everyone listening. And on that whole area of
- 1:42Speaker 1: AI in the mass market, where do you think we
- 1:45Speaker 1: stand with AI in terms of how we, being Australian investors,
- 1:50Speaker 1: use AI compared to other regimes or overseas jurisdictions? Do
- 1:54Speaker 1: you think we're more or less up to date? Would
- 1:56Speaker 1: you say we're ahead, behind or on par?
- 2:00Speaker 2: I think we're more or less aligned with everyone else.
- 2:03Speaker 2: It's all still pretty new for most people. And the
- 2:05Speaker 2: reality is most people aren't using it yet. So if
- 2:08Speaker 2: you are, you're probably ahead of the curve. Yes.
- 2:11Speaker 1: I saw that you had someone saying that people actually
- 2:14Speaker 1: are not using it half as much for all the
- 2:15Speaker 1: talk and all the interest. The people aren't actually using it.
- 2:19Speaker 1: So what's your observation on that? Do you think that's
- 2:21Speaker 1: the case?
- 2:23Speaker 2: It is, but it's improving every day. And People will
- 2:27Speaker 2: use it overtly. They'll sort of think about it and
- 2:29Speaker 2: maybe log into ChatGPT and use it. But more and more,
- 2:33Speaker 2: it's just becoming woven into the other products, other software
- 2:36Speaker 2: products that we're using. So whether you think about it
- 2:39Speaker 2: or not, you're still using AI in one way or another.
- 2:42Speaker 1: Right, yes. So it's becoming meshed, if you like, into
- 2:45Speaker 1: the technology that we use. But tell us about how
- 2:49Speaker 1: we could harness it. When we were working together on
- 2:52Speaker 1: a piece I was doing for The Australian, you were
- 2:54Speaker 1: talking about how there's so much more people could do
- 2:58Speaker 1: as investors with AI. Could you just give us some
- 3:00Speaker 1: idea of the possibilities that are there and to what
- 3:04Speaker 1: extent they're free and to what extent you'd have to
- 3:05Speaker 1: pay for them?
- 3:07Speaker 2: It's endless. There is pretty much whatever you can think of,
- 3:11Speaker 2: you can do with AI or do better with AI.
- 3:14Speaker 2: There are certainly free options. All the main providers will
- 3:17Speaker 2: give you a little bit for free. If you become
- 3:19Speaker 2: a very heavy user, then they'll want you to pay
- 3:21Speaker 2: whatever it is, $ 20, $ 30 a month. But Probably for
- 3:24Speaker 2: your listeners, that would be worth paying if they're getting
- 3:28Speaker 2: some use out of it. And I think the opportunity
- 3:31Speaker 2: is for an investor, you've got to be really quite
- 3:34Speaker 2: careful about this because AI is tremendously powerful, but it
- 3:38Speaker 2: is also imperfect. And there's a bunch of different things
- 3:41Speaker 2: to consider. And so for instance, it's only as good
- 3:45Speaker 2: as the question you ask it. So if you don't know,
- 3:48Speaker 2: if you're not quite sure what it is that you're
- 3:51Speaker 2: trying to find out, You can ask it a question
- 3:54Speaker 2: and it can give you an answer to that question,
- 3:57Speaker 2: but that doesn't necessarily make it, you know, that may
- 4:00Speaker 2: not be the thing that you need to know to
- 4:01Speaker 2: do what you need to do. So you sort of
- 4:03Speaker 2: need to be a little bit careful with that.
- 4:05Speaker 1: Is it the case, I've read, that they are compelled,
- 4:09Speaker 1: if you like, to give you an answer? Because sometimes
- 4:11Speaker 1: they would be better off not giving an answer, but
- 4:14Speaker 1: they must give an answer every time.
- 4:15Speaker 2: Is that true? That is true. And I think that's
- 4:18Speaker 2: what can really catch people off guard. Because the AI
- 4:22Speaker 2: might give you an answer which sounds, you don't need
- 4:25Speaker 2: to be afraid of the answer that sounds ridiculous, because
- 4:27Speaker 2: you'll know that's ridiculous and you'll push back. It's the
- 4:30Speaker 2: answer that sounds totally plausible, that sounds highly intelligent and
- 4:35Speaker 2: very well thought out, that you take as truth, that
- 4:39Speaker 2: may be a total hallucination, or at least not quite true.
- 4:43Speaker 2: It may be a little bit out of date, or
- 4:45Speaker 2: it may be for a different jurisdiction. That's the one
- 4:47Speaker 2: that can get you into trouble if you rely on it.
- 4:49Speaker 1: What do you think investors should be doing? I mean,
- 4:52Speaker 1: I'm thinking of what's possible. Do you think investors should
- 4:56Speaker 1: be looking at asset allocation and portfolio construction, or do
- 5:00Speaker 1: you think they should be looking at long-range computations about
- 5:04Speaker 1: how much I need in super or how much I
- 5:06Speaker 1: should spend a year?
- 5:07Speaker 2: What's the sort of.
- 5:07Speaker 1: Things you think would be elementary usage of AI for
- 5:11Speaker 1: a listener?
- 5:12Speaker 2: I think the narrower the question, the better AI will
- 5:16Speaker 2: be in this case. And so... If you want to
- 5:21Speaker 2: know something, you're talking about a diversified portfolio, you're trying
- 5:25Speaker 2: to build one, something like that, AI can probably help
- 5:28Speaker 2: you with that. What I tend to do, I think
- 5:31Speaker 2: this is key, rather than ask the AI what I
- 5:36Speaker 2: should do, I tell it what I'm thinking and then
- 5:38Speaker 2: I ask it to tear that to shreds. Tell me
- 5:40Speaker 2: all the reasons I'm wrong. Okay, give me an example.
- 5:43Speaker 1: It's very interesting.
- 5:45Speaker 2: Like what?
- 5:45Speaker 1: Just give me anything at all.
- 5:47Speaker 2: Really anything at all. If I'm thinking of, you might say, well,
- 5:52Speaker 2: it's something totally different. I'm thinking of going on this
- 5:55Speaker 2: holiday in June. If you said, is that a good idea?
- 5:59Speaker 2: It'll tell you all the reasons that a June holiday
- 6:01Speaker 2: to that location is a good idea. But if you say,
- 6:05Speaker 2: tear that idea to pieces, it'll say, oh, well, that's
- 6:09Speaker 2: monsoon season. So You might end up in the rain
- 6:13Speaker 2: every day, and that's not what you're after.
- 6:15Speaker 1: So if I said, I'm thinking of putting 10% in gold,
- 6:18Speaker 1: is that a bad idea? Then it would interrogate that notion,
- 6:23Speaker 1: would it?
- 6:25Speaker 2: Well, it will. I would suggest, though, that kind of
- 6:29Speaker 2: a question is much deeper because it's missing all the
- 6:33Speaker 2: context about who you are, what your goals are. What
- 6:38Speaker 2: other things, you know, what the other sort of facets
- 6:41Speaker 2: of your financial planning are that it won't be aware of.
- 6:44Speaker 2: So again, it could give you an answer, but is
- 6:47Speaker 2: that answer going to be all that useful to you?
- 6:49Speaker 2: What's right for one person could be totally wrong for another.
- 6:52Speaker 1: How would you frame it then if you had a
- 6:54Speaker 1: diversified portfolio and you were a pretty good investor, but
- 6:57Speaker 1: you never touched gold or you never touched bonds or
- 7:00Speaker 1: you never touched whatever emerging markets. And you said, how
- 7:03Speaker 1: would you phrase it to optimize the usefulness of AI?
- 7:07Speaker 1: to get an answer?
- 7:09Speaker 2: Yeah. So James, let's not look for a definitive answer
- 7:13Speaker 2: from an AI. That is, I think that's how you
- 7:15Speaker 2: can get into trouble. But you might say, this is
- 7:19Speaker 2: what I've got. This is my portfolio. I'm thinking of
- 7:22Speaker 2: adding gold to it. I'm not quite sure how much, 5%, 10%, 20%.
- 7:28Speaker 2: Give me the pros and cons. And then that could
- 7:31Speaker 2: be the starting point So you evolve in your thinking
- 7:34Speaker 2: on the topic rather than you just getting a straight
- 7:37Speaker 2: out answer that you then rely on.
- 7:38Speaker 1: So the questions kind of evolve, at least the answers evolve.
- 7:42Speaker 2: Correct. Think of it as a really smart buddy that
- 7:46Speaker 2: you can bounce ideas off rather than a mentor that
- 7:51Speaker 2: will give you definitive answers.
- 7:53Speaker 1: Definitive answers, yeah, which probably is what most people will do.
- 7:57Speaker 1: They'll say, oh, okay, so sort this out for me. Okay,
- 8:00Speaker 1: so it actually leads you along and the questions evolve
- 8:03Speaker 1: so the answers get better and closer to what you're
- 8:05Speaker 1: looking for and you can kind of refine it. That's
- 8:08Speaker 1: sort of looking at some possibilities of AI, folks. On
- 8:11Speaker 1: terms of risks, the original, when I talked to Daniel,
- 8:15Speaker 1: it was about the open AI, as I say, invading
- 8:18Speaker 1: the Medicare records without permission. And it turns out that
- 8:22Speaker 1: they have done this, not just in the Australian government,
- 8:24Speaker 1: but several governments.
- 8:26Speaker 2: Around the world.
- 8:27Speaker 1: And I think it was probably a landmark where people realize, oh, wow,
- 8:30Speaker 1: you know, AI, anything is possible because they can go
- 8:35Speaker 1: beyond what anyone realized. Could you explain in really simple terms, Daniel,
- 8:40Speaker 1: what happened with that open AI breach? I've been reading
- 8:42Speaker 1: about how AI agents as such have come to the
- 8:46Speaker 1: point that they can train AI agents. And to that extent,
- 8:49Speaker 1: it propels itself. And does it ever reach a level
- 8:52Speaker 1: where the parent group don't know what the AI agent
- 8:57Speaker 1: is doing.
- 8:57Speaker 2: Is that possible? If they are willfully ignorant and choose
- 9:02Speaker 2: not to know what's going on, then that's possible. But otherwise, no,
- 9:07Speaker 2: I doubt that's possible. What is happening there? Let's take
- 9:12Speaker 2: a step back. What we just discussed before is that
- 9:16Speaker 2: an AI can give you an answer which sounds plausible,
- 9:19Speaker 2: which sounds knowledgeable, but is incorrect. That's the first level
- 9:24Speaker 2: of risk that we have with AI. The next level
- 9:27Speaker 2: of risk is agentic AI, which is not just in
- 9:32Speaker 2: a chat where you are talking to the AI and
- 9:33Speaker 2: it's giving you an answer. This is where you give
- 9:35Speaker 2: it agency to go out and perform tasks on your behalf.
- 9:39Speaker 2: What happened with Medicare was agentic AI basically went out
- 9:44Speaker 2: and did something that it was not asked to do.
- 9:48Speaker 2: That's how that happened. There's the risk of asking it
- 9:52Speaker 2: the wrong thing and getting the wrong outcome. And then
- 9:55Speaker 2: there's the risk of asking it to do A and
- 9:59Speaker 2: it just decides. for whatever reason to go out and
- 10:01Speaker 2: do B. It decides. Yep.
- 10:06Speaker 1: Is that a danger? When you say it decides, what's
- 10:08Speaker 1: really happening there?
- 10:11Speaker 2: Well, it's got an objective and the person setting that
- 10:14Speaker 2: objective is unaware or doesn't consider what actions are available
- 10:19Speaker 2: to that AI. And that it might go out of
- 10:22Speaker 2: what you expect it to do to try and achieve
- 10:25Speaker 2: that objective. Right.
- 10:26Speaker 1: It's ethically agnostic, obviously, unless it's been coded as such.
- 10:31Speaker 2: Well, I'm not sure that's right because it's all got
- 10:37Speaker 2: a bias, right? Because someone's programmed it. So there's a
- 10:41Speaker 2: bias of the company and the people in that company
- 10:43Speaker 2: that are embedded into that tool. And that may come
- 10:46Speaker 2: out in ways that aren't so obvious. There must be a.
- 10:49Speaker 1: Real danger that, you know, people, fraudulent activity will be spectacular.
- 10:55Speaker 1: That we will have spectacular incidents of AI agentic-driven fraudulent activity.
- 11:01Speaker 1: I mean, we must be really close to it.
- 11:03Speaker 2: That's always been the case. As computers and technology have evolved,
- 11:07Speaker 2: that sort of fraud has, the potential for it has grown.
- 11:11Speaker 2: But what's also grown is the strength of those fighting
- 11:14Speaker 2: it and the ability to push back. So, yeah, sure.
- 11:18Speaker 2: New models such as Mythos from Anthropic are very powerful
- 11:23Speaker 2: and have been able to expose bugs in software and vulnerabilities.
- 11:27Speaker 2: But also the ability to protect and to patch those
- 11:30Speaker 2: gaps is now increasing dramatically. So as those vulnerabilities are
- 11:35Speaker 2: found by the good guys, so to speak, the ability
- 11:37Speaker 2: to patch them and defend very quickly has evolved dramatically.
- 11:41Speaker 2: So I'm not too pessimistic on that front.
- 11:45Speaker 1: Okay, that's interesting that you're not because you're right at
- 11:47Speaker 1: the heart of it. Okay, just bringing it back to
- 11:49Speaker 1: basics for the listener in terms of their own risk.
- 11:53Speaker 1: There is a specific risk, isn't there, that you're, if
- 11:55Speaker 1: I go in and I put into AI, you know,
- 11:58Speaker 1: I want to retire at a certain age or I
- 11:59Speaker 1: want this amount of money and I want to reverse
- 12:01Speaker 1: engineer it. So what do I do from today to
- 12:03Speaker 1: get there or whatever? That all that information linked with
- 12:06Speaker 1: me is out there and it's in the system and
- 12:10Speaker 1: it can be reused by any AI company any way
- 12:15Speaker 1: they want, really. And I have a way to stop them,
- 12:18Speaker 1: but most people don't realize I can stop them. And
- 12:21Speaker 1: it's in the settings. Could you explain to the listeners
- 12:23Speaker 1: how they can stop AI tools that they use using
- 12:27Speaker 1: their information in the future? You gave me a marvelous
- 12:30Speaker 1: example of OpenAI, which had this splendidly ambiguous button that
- 12:33Speaker 1: nobody would guess is actually the security button. But how
- 12:36Speaker 1: would people, when they're using, let's just use chat GPT,
- 12:40Speaker 1: which is probably the most common one. How would someone
- 12:42Speaker 1: turn off that, AI tool's ability to reuse their information?
- 12:49Speaker 2: Good question. So because the default setting in ChatGPT says
- 12:56Speaker 2: that they can take what you've put in there and
- 13:00Speaker 2: use it to train their model, which basically means that
- 13:04Speaker 2: whatever you put in there, they get to hold onto
- 13:06Speaker 2: that information. That's probably not what most people want, but
- 13:10Speaker 2: that's the default setting. So in order to stop that,
- 13:14Speaker 2: You need to go into settings in ChatGPT, and there's
- 13:17Speaker 2: a little section called data controls. And then you need
- 13:21Speaker 2: to turn off the beautifully named, improve the models for everyone.
- 13:26Speaker 2: So rather than being the good guy and improving the
- 13:29Speaker 2: model for everyone, you need to instead turn that off,
- 13:34Speaker 2: which means that data that you put in won't be
- 13:38Speaker 2: used to build the model. you should be aware that
- 13:41Speaker 2: they can still hold onto that for a variety of reasons.
- 13:45Speaker 2: And they will for normally a month is what you
- 13:48Speaker 2: see in the TNC. But it certainly should reduce your risk.
- 13:53Speaker 2: I still wouldn't be putting in very personal information that
- 13:56Speaker 2: can be linked back to you. I wouldn't put a
- 13:58Speaker 2: tax file number in, for instance, and anything you can
- 14:01Speaker 2: avoid putting in, I'd avoid it. Okay.
- 14:04Speaker 1: It's fascinating that. So folks, if you're using ChatGPT, The
- 14:08Speaker 1: default setting is that they can reuse your information. If
- 14:11Speaker 1: you don't want it used, you go in.
- 14:13Speaker 2: There's a button.
- 14:14Speaker 1: It literally says improve the product for everyone. And that
- 14:16Speaker 1: button is on. You turn it off. And it goes
- 14:19Speaker 1: against your good nature, right? You want to improve the
- 14:21Speaker 1: product for everyone. They're so clever, these people. But that's
- 14:23Speaker 1: basically how you stop them reusing your information. In the
- 14:27Speaker 1: next segment, I'm going to take a look at the
- 14:29Speaker 1: most more advanced operations that we can use as investors
- 14:33Speaker 1: on AI.
- 14:33Speaker 2: Stick with us.
- 14:50Speaker 1: Hello, welcome back to the Australian's Money Puzzle podcast. James
- 14:53Speaker 1: Kirby here with Daniel Gara of VectorTech. Daniel is an
- 14:57Speaker 1: AI technology expert. He is a former financial advisor, which
- 15:02Speaker 1: is marvellous because he really understands what we're talking about
- 15:05Speaker 1: here on the show. And at the moment, he's actually
- 15:08Speaker 1: building something, which we'll talk about in a short while,
- 15:10Speaker 1: what he's trying to do in this area. For most listeners,
- 15:14Speaker 1: it's worth knowing, Daniel, I think that financial advice has
- 15:16Speaker 1: been pretty quick To use AI, I mean, I'm in
- 15:20Speaker 1: some financial advisor chat groups and they were really in
- 15:24Speaker 1: really early. I mean, two years ago, they were saying,
- 15:26Speaker 1: what have we got? What can we do? Because they
- 15:28Speaker 1: had this notorious load, if you like, of low, what would.
- 15:33Speaker 2: You call it?
- 15:34Speaker 1: Regulatory red tape that most advisors will complain they spent
- 15:38Speaker 1: most of their time not advising, but ticking boxes and
- 15:42Speaker 1: that this could be done by AI. And it does
- 15:44Speaker 1: seem to be the case that there is.
- 15:47Speaker 2: A lot happening.
- 15:48Speaker 1: Now, the big arch rival to OpenAI and ChatGPT is
- 15:53Speaker 1: the Anthropic Group, and they have CLAUDE, C-L-A-U-D-E, which is
- 15:58Speaker 1: a worldwide attempt, isn't it, to basically nail the financial
- 16:02Speaker 1: advice market's AI demands. Tell us about CLAUDE and what
- 16:07Speaker 1: Anthropic have planned. What can it do that couldn't be
- 16:09Speaker 1: done previously, and how might it change the world for investors?
- 16:14Speaker 2: Daniel? Right, so this is... So Claude's their standard product
- 16:18Speaker 2: and what they've launched is Claude for Advisors. And Claude
- 16:22Speaker 2: for Advisors is intended to sit between all the online
- 16:27Speaker 2: tools that advisors use to make them more efficient in
- 16:30Speaker 2: their day-to-day work. So whereas previously an advisor might have
- 16:34Speaker 2: a client coming in and they want to update their
- 16:39Speaker 2: records on what that client is holding, what insurances, what investments,
- 16:43Speaker 2: the idea is that Claude for Advisors would just go
- 16:46Speaker 2: in to all their systems, grab the data, synthesize it
- 16:50Speaker 2: into a nice report that they could review themselves to
- 16:54Speaker 2: get up to date on where that client's at and
- 16:56Speaker 2: maybe show it to the client as well.
- 16:58Speaker 1: Right.
- 16:59Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 17:00Speaker 1: And it's the first time in a formal fashion that
- 17:02Speaker 1: one of the big AI outfits has zoned in on
- 17:06Speaker 1: this profession of financial advice. Will it change financial advice,
- 17:10Speaker 1: do you think?
- 17:13Speaker 2: It will over time. It's one of the things that will.
- 17:15Speaker 2: It's not the only... thing but it's definitely a step
- 17:18Speaker 2: in the right direction it's intended to remove the tedious
- 17:23Speaker 2: tasks that are not particularly value add but just need
- 17:27Speaker 2: to be done and i think you know historically over
- 17:30Speaker 2: over centuries we humans have been pretty good at picking
- 17:33Speaker 2: those up and getting value.
- 17:35Speaker 1: From them yeah it is a particular it would seem
- 17:38Speaker 1: to be a genuine complaint of the financial advisory sector
- 17:41Speaker 1: that the more problems they had the more regulations were
- 17:44Speaker 1: laid upon them not that Those regulations seem to make
- 17:48Speaker 1: much difference. We have an endless line of, a conga
- 17:50Speaker 1: line of fraudsters in financial advice, and they never seem
- 17:53Speaker 1: to go away, regardless of what regulations are put upon them.
- 17:57Speaker 1: I want to ask you now about your own, what
- 18:00Speaker 1: you're trying to do in this area in Australia. Tell
- 18:04Speaker 1: us a little bit about VectorTech, what you're trying to build.
- 18:07Speaker 2: Yeah, thanks, James. So the idea of Vector is we're
- 18:12Speaker 2: looking to help the segment of the market that doesn't
- 18:14Speaker 2: currently get advice. So if you have a relatively sophisticated
- 18:19Speaker 2: situation and you have enough money that you can justify
- 18:22Speaker 2: spending the thousands of dollars on an advisor, then you
- 18:27Speaker 2: already have a solution. And that's great. I'm a huge
- 18:29Speaker 2: proponent of financial advice. But then there are people who have,
- 18:34Speaker 2: let's say, maybe $ 100, 000 in super and a mortgage, and
- 18:40Speaker 2: they need advice. They want advice. But they can't really
- 18:43Speaker 2: justify or afford the price of an advisor. And so
- 18:48Speaker 2: using AI, what we're looking to do is reduce that
- 18:52Speaker 2: price point so that investors can use Vector for the
- 18:58Speaker 2: initial part of the financial planning process, which are things
- 19:01Speaker 2: like exploring your goals, understanding your current financial position, your
- 19:06Speaker 2: propensity to take risks, and a few other areas, and
- 19:11Speaker 2: wrapping that up and bringing it to an advisor who
- 19:13Speaker 2: can then provide advice. And the idea is that will
- 19:18Speaker 2: dramatically reduce the cost to serve for an advisor, which
- 19:22Speaker 2: means that they can reduce their prices for that kind
- 19:26Speaker 2: of interaction, still profitable for them, and bring it to
- 19:30Speaker 2: a price point where more Australians will be able to
- 19:33Speaker 2: look forward to see an advisor.
- 19:35Speaker 1: So they can concentrate on the value add that the
- 19:38Speaker 1: advisor brings to the table, as opposed to their ability
- 19:41Speaker 1: to tick boxes on really broad elemental stuff like your goals,
- 19:45Speaker 1: et cetera. I see. Very interesting.
- 19:47Speaker 2: When is this out?
- 19:48Speaker 1: When is it released?
- 19:48Speaker 2: Are you there yet? We're doing pilot programs as we speak. Okay.
- 19:53Speaker 1: Very good. What I want to do now is we'll
- 19:55Speaker 1: take a break, but I've collected some questions for you,
- 19:57Speaker 1: which is a collection of listener questions that have come in.
- 20:01Speaker 1: And we're going to talk about what random questions, but
- 20:04Speaker 1: useful for you in terms of AI. Could you build
- 20:08Speaker 1: a portfolio on AI? What sort of a portfolio could
- 20:11Speaker 1: you expect to build on AI? You know, what's the
- 20:13Speaker 1: best thing we've seen around? What are the worst things
- 20:16Speaker 1: we've seen?
- 20:16Speaker 2: Back in a moment.
- 20:28Speaker 1: Hello, welcome back to the Australian's Money Puzzle podcast. James
- 20:31Speaker 1: Kirby here talking to Daniel Garra, Okay, Daniel, so let's
- 20:35Speaker 1: really test it. Let's say I sit down with a
- 20:37Speaker 1: couple of AI tools, just the usuals, you know, ChatGPT,
- 20:40Speaker 1: Google Gemini, whatever. I mean, how far can I go?
- 20:43Speaker 1: Can I assemble a reasonably diversified, reasonably dependable portfolio just
- 20:52Speaker 1: with those tools, do you think?
- 20:55Speaker 2: You can. You can, you know, create an infinitely diversified portfolio.
- 21:00Speaker 2: I think that the trick is, though, that Diversification is
- 21:03Speaker 2: not the objective. It's just the tool that you need
- 21:07Speaker 2: when creating a portfolio. Again, you need to be careful
- 21:10Speaker 2: here what questions you're asking of it. When you're speaking
- 21:14Speaker 2: to the AI, what are you trying to do? What
- 21:17Speaker 2: sort of diversification are you looking for? What's the objective
- 21:20Speaker 2: of the portfolio? You need to know what it is
- 21:25Speaker 2: that you want when you start a conversation with an AI.
- 21:30Speaker 2: There's no point in saying, hey, give me a great
- 21:32Speaker 2: diversified portfolio. Are we looking for something that you could
- 21:37Speaker 2: cash out within the year if you needed to or
- 21:39Speaker 2: something that is for 20 years? It also won't know
- 21:43Speaker 2: what other assets you have and what sort of volatility
- 21:46Speaker 2: and risk exists there.
- 21:48Speaker 1: Okay. Tell me if I was, if I plowed ahead
- 21:51Speaker 1: and it did one for me, would it? I'm guessing,
- 21:54Speaker 1: but I imagine that they have a bias towards listed investments.
- 21:57Speaker 1: I expect it would all be ETFs. I doubt they
- 21:59Speaker 1: would say to me, buy property and buy number 22
- 22:02Speaker 1: railway cuttings in Western Sydney.
- 22:08Speaker 2: It depends which AI you're using. If it's an AI
- 22:10Speaker 2: from a company that sells those products, then yes, I
- 22:12Speaker 2: think it's highly unlikely that an ETF company would provide
- 22:15Speaker 2: an AI that tells you to go out and buy
- 22:17Speaker 2: an investment property. But if it's one of the generic
- 22:21Speaker 2: ones like DeClaude or Gemini, chat GPT, it probably doesn't
- 22:26Speaker 2: have too much of a bias. But again, it's also
- 22:30Speaker 2: not really going to have a proper understanding of your background.
- 22:33Speaker 2: So I still see that relationship with a good financial
- 22:39Speaker 2: advisor is the gold standard. What this might help you
- 22:42Speaker 2: do is come to that advisor with better questions or
- 22:47Speaker 2: a suggestion that you can unpack with that advisor rather
- 22:50Speaker 2: than just being a blank slate. Right. Yeah.
- 22:56Speaker 1: How far do you think you can go alone without
- 22:59Speaker 1: ever going to an advisor? I mean, can you go
- 23:01Speaker 1: further now than you used to be able to with
- 23:03Speaker 1: the arrival of AI tools?
- 23:06Speaker 2: You can. More is possible, which also means that the
- 23:12Speaker 2: danger increases as well. So because you can do so
- 23:17Speaker 2: much more so quickly... You need to be careful that
- 23:21Speaker 2: you don't confuse quantity and speed with quality. Going back
- 23:26Speaker 2: to our previous example, you could go out and design
- 23:29Speaker 2: something with AI that seems, on the surface of it,
- 23:33Speaker 2: to be perfect, awesome, exactly what you want, but you
- 23:37Speaker 2: haven't really verified that with an expert. You don't know
- 23:41Speaker 2: what you don't know, and it doesn't know either. Unless
- 23:46Speaker 2: you are really being incredibly careful and unless you are
- 23:50Speaker 2: very confident that you've given it all the relevant information
- 23:54Speaker 2: to give you that advice and that you've then gone
- 23:56Speaker 2: and verified and validated the advice it's given you, I
- 24:00Speaker 2: think that you're still taking a bit of a risk.
- 24:03Speaker 1: It's really interesting. For someone who is so deep in tech,
- 24:07Speaker 1: it seems to me you sound like you believe the
- 24:11Speaker 1: human factor matters. must be there still in big decisions financially.
- 24:18Speaker 2: Absolutely. That's my recommendation. I would want to keep a
- 24:22Speaker 2: human in the loop, keep an expert in the loop.
- 24:25Speaker 2: I think the opportunity with AI and advice and portfolio
- 24:29Speaker 2: design is making it more efficient and being able to
- 24:34Speaker 2: get better ideas and a more diverse and interesting group
- 24:38Speaker 2: of ideas for you to consider and make decisions or
- 24:41Speaker 2: sort of put you in a direction, but you still
- 24:44Speaker 2: want an expert to say, well, that's all well and good. However,
- 24:49Speaker 2: we haven't considered A, B, and C, and that could
- 24:51Speaker 2: be catastrophic. The classic one is, do I pay off
- 24:55Speaker 2: my home loan or do I contribute to super? I
- 24:58Speaker 2: think everyone's thought that one at some point. Mathematically, the
- 25:03Speaker 2: answer might be clear, but If your goal is to
- 25:06Speaker 2: do something in particular in five years' time and you
- 25:09Speaker 2: can't actually access your super for another 15 years, then
- 25:13Speaker 2: maybe putting the money into super isn't the way to go.
- 25:16Speaker 2: Even though it might be tax efficient and it might
- 25:19Speaker 2: give you a better dollar outcome, if you needed that
- 25:21Speaker 2: money five years from now, then you've just created a
- 25:23Speaker 2: problem potentially.
- 25:25Speaker 1: It was right, but it was wrong for you.
- 25:28Speaker 2: Correct.
- 25:28Speaker 1: Okay, and that's when it goes wrong. Tell me what's
- 25:31Speaker 1: the most impressive thing you've seen AI do? It doesn't
- 25:34Speaker 1: even have to be in financial world. What did you
- 25:36Speaker 1: come across where you just went like, whoa, that's really something?
- 25:40Speaker 2: Well, I'm working in technology, and when we get all
- 25:42Speaker 2: sorts of documents from third parties, integrations that we have
- 25:46Speaker 2: to do, and I can throw in a 200-page document,
- 25:50Speaker 2: ask it a couple of questions, and it will give
- 25:52Speaker 2: me answers seconds later. Stuff that would have taken someone,
- 25:58Speaker 2: days to go and trawl through and fiddle with and unpack.
- 26:03Speaker 2: And that's just wild. I still get excited every time
- 26:07Speaker 2: we do something like that. It's a great time to
- 26:09Speaker 2: be alive and be in tech for sure. Yeah.
- 26:13Speaker 1: Well, I hope some of our listeners pick you up
- 26:15Speaker 1: on that. It is quite extraordinary and I use it
- 26:17Speaker 1: all day long and I find it terrific. I've also
- 26:20Speaker 1: found it very useful as an investor. More on computation, really,
- 26:26Speaker 1: and calculation. That's what I found it particularly useful for,
- 26:30Speaker 1: because I didn't really have those tools before. I just
- 26:32Speaker 1: had a calculator. And you can go a lot further now,
- 26:35Speaker 1: especially where there's issues with duration or time or timing.
- 26:41Speaker 2: It's splendid.
- 26:42Speaker 1: Terrific to talk to you today, Daniel Gara of VectorTech.
- 26:45Speaker 1: Lovely to have you on the show, and thanks for
- 26:47Speaker 1: your observations there.
- 26:48Speaker 2: Thanks so much, James. Have a good day.
- 26:50Speaker 1: That was Daniel Gara of VectorTech, a financial advisor one
- 26:54Speaker 1: time who has become something of a technology force, but
- 26:57Speaker 1: an open AI and AI expert. Very useful information. Keep
- 27:02Speaker 1: that in mind, folks. Keep the emails rolling, themoneypuzzle at theaustralia.com.au.
- 27:08Speaker 1: Today's show was produced by Tiffany Dimack. Thank you.