Latest / Financial Survival Network / Trillion Energy: Increasing Gas Production -- Oil Exploration Has Begun
Transcript
- 0:00The shares right now are pretty well the same before we started the drilling,
- 0:05so they are actually right now a very very good bargain because nothing has changed.
- 0:11The six wells are still there. The six wells still have the reserves.
- 0:16When you talk about a glitch, it's just normal production issues that you
- 0:21have with a with a field. We're going to be re perforating three wells
- 0:25and what that does is because the gas comes in at four to five to
- 0:28six million, can be pete per day and it blows the water out.
- 0:31So that'll produce like that for you know, two three, four months.
- 0:35The Financial Survival Network now more than ever, the Financial Survival Network. Welcome.
- 0:47This is Financial Survival Network. I'm your host, Kerry Lutts. We
- 0:51are getting a much requested update firm sponsor, Trillion Energy. It's been a
- 0:58rough patch in the oil and gas patch recently, but we're here with Trillion
- 1:03Energy CEO Arthur hollerant Art. We've been talking for years now. I said
- 1:10when I first found this company, it was the most undervalued company I ever
- 1:15found in my forty plus years of investing. And now with the company trading
- 1:22it close to one time's earnings. Try to find that. I still believe
- 1:26that undervalued, underappreciated problems emerge. But business is all about solving problems.
- 1:34What problems have hit you that you weren't didn't expect and what have you done
- 1:40about them? Okay, well, thanks carry for having me on the talk
- 1:44show. Here to us so I can explain some of it. Like you
- 1:47say, the shares right now are pretty well the same before we started the
- 1:52drilling, So they are actually right now a very very good bargain because nothing
- 1:57has changed. The six wells are all there. The six wells still had
- 2:01the reserves. When you talk about it glitch, it's just normal production issues
- 2:08that you have with a with a field. So we have long, long,
- 2:13directionally drilled wells and when you're producing the gas, you get some water
- 2:17coming in and it causes water loading. It's not the flank migrating up and
- 2:23then what happens is it's just the weight of the water. Now at the
- 2:25PERF zones, we came up with a plan. We've also engaged and they
- 2:30are engaged. They've already given us the first report of facility production engineering burn
- 2:38from Calgary. And the short term fix is perforation, which we are doing
- 2:45and which we put out a news release. We're going to be re perforating
- 2:47three wells. And what that does is because the gas comes in at board
- 2:52to five to six million per day and it blows the water out. So
- 2:55that'll produce like that for you know, two, three, four months,
- 3:00and the long term solution is to put a pump in the borehole to pump
- 3:06the water so that the weight's not done. We have three alternatives. We're
- 3:10just waiting for the arrival of the pumps and we're then we're going to be
- 3:15doing a test study. That doesn't mean we're not going to turn those three
- 3:21new perfect wells out. We're going to put the test well, the test
- 3:23pump in another well without reperforating it to bring everything back. So there's really
- 3:30no reason for the shares that go down the way they did in the last
- 3:34few days. I know why they went down, and so the people should
- 3:39know that I know, and nothing has changed. The production is still going
- 3:46to be there. The market price comes and goes. My biggest opportunities I'm
- 3:51still major position in trillion has come from mispricing and misunderstanding by the market.
- 3:58That's normal. Heading back to the consultant, you brought in, they like
- 4:02looked it and like you said, long directionally drilled wells prone to water seepage,
- 4:08which makes complete sense. And this company brought in world authority in optimizing
- 4:15gas fields and production. They figured this out like almost immediately, didn't they.
- 4:20Yeah, so they what they've done is there's going to be three stages.
- 4:24On the first stage, they just told us the issues, which we
- 4:27knew some of the issues, but they pointed them out. The next stage
- 4:30is they're going to show us the alternatives to you know, fix it.
- 4:35And the third stage is to give us learnings to when we drill our new
- 4:41wells. Right. So an example would be one of the first things they
- 4:45pointed out, which we mentioned before, but was tubing size. We had
- 4:49four and advts tubing and that was because we needed that size tubing to run
- 4:55the borehol tractors to bring the perforations string to perthi zone. And then that's
- 5:02too big. They say we should be down to like two and three eighths
- 5:05inch tubing and that makes it more production can lift the water. And so
- 5:10the learning for the next time is we're going to perforate all the zones all
- 5:15at once. When we drill the well and then put the tune half or
- 5:18two and three eight since tubing in, So they pointed that out. They
- 5:23also were saying, with the smaller tubing, we can use velocity screen where
- 5:28the gas just goes up and we don't need pumps and things like that.
- 5:32So they've already looked at it already in a fair bit of detail, and
- 5:36so anticipating I've seen the numbers. Production by year end should be netting what
- 5:44to seven and a half a million cubic feet per day, that's trillion share
- 5:49of the hole. And in addition, we've seen gas prices go up a
- 5:55little bit in Turkey. Right, that's correct. How we're getting over twelve
- 6:00dollars US now for our gas. And then, like you say, we
- 6:04expect to just by re perforating these three wells and putting in them, the
- 6:12water pumps will be up to about fifty million cubic feet per day one hundred
- 6:15percent, so half of that would be ours. And the low hanging fruit
- 6:18is just the perforating the three wells, and we will be doing that.
- 6:25We get detractors because we needed attractors. Well, detractors will be there probably
- 6:29next week, so we'll be perforating in about a week or ten days.
- 6:31So this is happening right away, so we're going to see an immediate production
- 6:35boost once the new perfs take place. That's correct. And there's also this
- 6:40big rumbling people say money, money, money to do all the perforations.
- 6:46Our percentage is the cost is about six hundred thousand to eight hundred thousand dollars.
- 6:51And how it works is that TPEO is the operator. They do the
- 6:57activity, they perforate, they send us in boys and then we have to
- 7:00pay it in thirty days. So we already have gas production, right,
- 7:04because everybody remembers a gas production is instant. The minute we perf the wells
- 7:09run production. Right, they're connected. And then for next year you've got
- 7:14the side tracks. I think there are five side tracks for next year.
- 7:17So what you know now is obviously going to speed up the production of the
- 7:23side tracks and avoid these issues. Yeah, that's correct. And the other
- 7:28little part about it is when we're talking about the side tracks before, so
- 7:32the existing borehold is there, and there's existing perforations, but they didn't recover
- 7:38all the gas for one reason or another, and some of them is because
- 7:41of the water loading and because they never used ESP pumps and so on.
- 7:46So if we find out it works for our trial study because we're going to
- 7:51try it an ESP or progressive cavity, then potentially we don't have to drill
- 7:59all sidetracks. We can re enter the old boreholes and do nothing but hump
- 8:03the water down and the gas will come back on. So that will be
- 8:07way cheaper. That'll be like a couple of hundred thousand versus eight nine million
- 8:13to drilling. It will. So, you know, the rumors are flying
- 8:16and it basically the rumor is that TCF is not going to make it,
- 8:20that you're going to go out of business. So look me in the eyes,
- 8:24tell me that you're in this for the long haul, and that the
- 8:26solvency the future of the company isn't in doubt. Yeah, that the company
- 8:31is here and it's not it. There is no doubt in the future.
- 8:35And you know, one of the things about business, I always say,
- 8:39it's not about the money you manage to get, It's about how you manage
- 8:46the money you do get right, And there is like right now, there's
- 8:50no issues between now and early twenty twenty four. Sidetracks are drilled, they're
- 8:56all producing optimally. What can production look like at that point? And I
- 9:01understand it's an estimate at best, but you have a pretty good idea.
- 9:05You know what your reserves are, you know what's in the ground there under
- 9:09the water. Yeah, that's correct. And what we did was we just
- 9:11use the legacy wells because they're identical. Some are not as good as good
- 9:16as pay as we have. And so our exit for twenty twenty four or
- 9:20in that ring should be about twenty four to twenty five million, could be
- 9:24feet pretty one hundred percent, So alf of that is ours and that's being
- 9:28middle of the road, and that's that's nearly double what you're expecting to end
- 9:33twenty twenty three with. And hey, we don't know what the price of
- 9:37that gas is going to be. Nobody knows that. I mean, just
- 9:41to look at the traders in the United States, we had a recent breakout
- 9:46in the price. Nobody was expecting it, but of course that's when it
- 9:48happens. So just if we have the same price that we have now,
- 9:52which is unlikely, it's going to be pretty much an eighty percent increase in
- 9:58monthly revenues. Yeah, that's correct, And right now, there's doom and
- 10:03gloom out there. Like you say, everybody saying that the TCF is not
- 10:07going to be around, and like I say, that is in my opinion,
- 10:13that is a group that's putting that news out there for certain reasons.
- 10:18And I'm afraid to tell them or happy to tell them that TCP is going
- 10:24to be around. Because we drill the wells, we have the gas there,
- 10:28we're getting a good gas price, we have a way to solve the
- 10:31issues we have. We're just going to execute it. And at the same
- 10:35time, now our oil block that we're farming into is looking better and better
- 10:39because I just asked for some information and it appears a TPAO, the government
- 10:46company, has licensed about four more new expiration wells within a few if not
- 10:52a kilometer from our blocks, and so those wells were probably drilled before we
- 10:58actually drill our wells. So in what we used to do in Canada is
- 11:03when we had an expiration block and somebody was going to drill right beside our
- 11:07block, it was like getting a free look at what we had in our
- 11:09block. And for that also, we're starting the seismic for the eastern over
- 11:16the part that has the antikline, because we also have some surface mapping.
- 11:20Now, any anti cline that has those large oil discoveries, both of them
- 11:24trend and pass right through our barm and block, and so it's looking really
- 11:31really good. How much are those other antikline fields nearby? And my understanding
- 11:37is ones as close as ten kilometers? How much are they producing those fields?
- 11:41So yeah, again the information is pretty tight, but I just got
- 11:46an update here a few days ago. They have six six wells and they're
- 11:50producing eighteen thousand together, eighteen thousand barrels oil per day, and you know
- 11:56they produce over one thousand barrels each and they intend to just keep drilling.
- 12:01They're just going to keep drilling. Pretty those are gushers, right, Yeah,
- 12:05they're pretty good wells. Yeah, and that's thirty six and forty one
- 12:07API, and you're pretty much very similar geology to what they've got there,
- 12:16exactly the same geology. And for that eighteen thousand barrel oil pertage field that
- 12:22anti cline is on surface mapping carries right through our profit and there's no seismic
- 12:30on that block where that anti cline is, and know well, so it's
- 12:33complete new growth. Okay, So once the earliest you think you'll be drilling
- 12:37your first exploratory well. So that first exploratory well will be in June or
- 12:43July of twenty twenty four. We'll have the seismic shot because we have to
- 12:48shoot it before the winter. Before December. We'll have some rough I'll be
- 12:52there looking at it, but it'll be processed, and the early processing we'll
- 12:56be able to see, you know, in a the size and the location
- 13:03or the geometry of that any client, and that will be a news release
- 13:07all were putting out right away, and then by February March we'll have the
- 13:11more refined mapping and then we'll set up to drill June July, and drilling
- 13:18is two and a half million bucks. Yeah, the seismology, you were
- 13:22doing the updated seismological study on SASB. Where is that at now? So
- 13:28we finished the reprocessing. The mapping is going to be starting here. They're
- 13:33now doing the calculations of the a VO, So some of the rough mapping
- 13:39for the faults and stuff like that is occurring right now, and then in
- 13:43about end of November they will start to map the AVO anomalies and so on,
- 13:48so we should be start seeing some pretty good maps by January February.
- 13:52And just one thing about seismology the way it is now when you drill for
- 13:58oil or gas. It used to be, you know, you had a
- 14:00guy with a divining rod, one edd of two out of every ten wells
- 14:03would be good, ten would be dry holes dusters. Now nowadays it's the
- 14:09opposite, right when when you drill, when you actually drill for oil or
- 14:13gas, you're I didn't say, I don't want to say absolutely certain,
- 14:18but you have a very good idea of what you are going to find when
- 14:22you start drilling. Yeah, that's correct, especially on SASB because the way
- 14:26the gas and the sands with the process, because they're such a good reservoir
- 14:31that well, I'm not saying they're going to calculate. They calculated an anominate
- 14:35thing and it's called av oh. And from the drilling, we know that
- 14:41we can see the gas in the seismic and it has to be a certain
- 14:45thickness and so on. But all the old pools that we drilled and the
- 14:48new pools we drilled were based on the signature. And then you do a
- 14:52color contrast and it becomes very hot and it is I mean, I said
- 14:58one, I'm one hundred percent sure we'll get oil and gas, and then
- 15:01Security Exchange pull me up and said, no, I can never say one
- 15:05hundred percent. And that's a true, a true thing. So I am
- 15:09as certain as I can be that there's gas there when you see it was
- 15:15anomalies. Hey, And just to drive on the point that I trust to
- 15:18your judgment. You're six for six, right, Yeah, that's correct.
- 15:24Yeah. And also what people don't realize is that three of the wells that
- 15:28we actually drilled were expiration wells. Right. So for Gulich two, there
- 15:35was a Gulige South and that was a reserve well. We never drilled own
- 15:41because we saw a better ABU signature what I'm talking about in the northern one,
- 15:46which was the expiration block. And so when we drilled out when we
- 15:50got seventy five meters of bay versus thirty five in the southern one. And
- 15:56this souther one still exists, we never drilled it. It's proven because it
- 15:58has a vertical well. And yes, so we're six for six. Yeah.
- 16:03So when you say, when you drill, you're almost certainly going to
- 16:07find oil or gas, I tend to believe you based upon your track record.
- 16:11Unfortunately, the production lagged the drilling because of the issues you said,
- 16:17but you know, it's all part of the learning process. And more importantly,
- 16:22you're optimizing the production now and it's just a matter of the getting this,
- 16:26doing the purfs, getting the pumps in place, if that's what you
- 16:30decide to do. But by the end of the year, we're going to
- 16:33see the production that we were expecting all along. That's correct. And when
- 16:37we talk about the averages, you know, so when we perforate these three
- 16:41wells, we will be at that year end production for the first month or
- 16:45so, so it'll they'll come in very, very high. And then so
- 16:49we will then start getting some good, good cash flowed from that. Okay,
- 16:53So you know, it's always darkest before the light. As they say,
- 16:57you know, the market is the market. We don't need to question
- 17:02what its reasons are rationale. But my feeling is that in the end,
- 17:08value wins out. And even more important and value is cash flow. When
- 17:14the money's coming in, nobody can say that trillion's going to disappear, can
- 17:18they? You know, that's correct. And again talking about the cash flow,
- 17:22the cash flow for now, like for the expiration for the recompletion and
- 17:27so on is not that much that what we need. The big cash is
- 17:33way next year and we'll have these wells on producing and we will be banking
- 17:38most of that money. So that's that's like way in the future. And
- 17:41we already we still have the five million dollars worth of consumables that we purchased
- 17:48for those side trucks. We still have that, so that's already paid for.
- 17:52So you already paid for a substantial portion of this future drilling art.
- 17:57I want to thank you for coming on. Thank you for you know,
- 18:00looking me in the eye and telling me what's going on. You know,
- 18:06I hope when the production's up, cash flows up, you'll come back on
- 18:11and we can drink a glass of virtual champagne. Kiss twenty twenty three goodbye,
- 18:18and look forward to twenty twenty four. Yeah, that's correct, and
- 18:21in twenty twenty four we'll hit that big oil well. Go to the company
- 18:25site trillion Energy dot com sign up for notifications. You know, the most
- 18:30transparent, up to date reporting of any company I've ever seen. Ticker symbols
- 18:36Canada tcf US new symbol t r l e ED. I'm still holding my
- 18:41shares Bart, we'll talk to you in a couple of months hopefully. Okay,
- 18:45thank you very much. The Financial Survival Network