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Probabilities have rarely ever been this high. This is why.
Markets are pricing an imminent and sharp drop for interest rates. It's not just about the Fed and rate cuts. But with regard to those, history shows the so-called reaction function flips decidedly when these things happen.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Federal Open Market Committee Conference Call
June 5, 1989
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC19890605confcall.pdf
Meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee
July 5-6, 1989
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC19890706meeting.pdf
Federal Open Market Committee Conference Call
July 26…
The skinny
The skinny isn't ready yet — notes appear once the transcript is processed.