Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Did Michael Saylor Lose Control of Bitcoin? (Why is it dumping?) | EP 1491
Transcript
- 0:05We got used to Michael Saylor announcing huge Bitcoin buys on
- 0:10Monday, and the price has been responding positively for over
- 0:14the last months. But not today.
- 0:17Bitcoin is dumping. Well, they had a dump for ants
- 0:19today, but there is one signal that explains just how this
- 0:24isn't weird. It actually happens to Bitcoin
- 0:26every single year. But before we get into that,
- 0:29let's just cover what happened this morning.
- 0:32So strategy announced another buy, taking about 3200 Bitcoin
- 0:36off the market forever. Of course, that's eight times
- 0:40the daily amount of Bitcoin mined per day.
- 0:44Let's get into that. Here we go.
- 0:46So Sailor again announced another Bitcoin buy.
- 0:50This one, however, it's a lot smaller than the ones we've seen
- 0:55the last few weeks. Yes, last week we did see
- 0:58another billion dollar week for strategy, in particular to the
- 1:01stretch product. This morning it's it's getting a
- 1:04little smaller, which is very interesting.
- 1:06I was looking at the stretch numbers this morning about how
- 1:09much Bitcoin is going into it so far today.
- 1:12It is dying down a little bit, which is I, I don't say I
- 1:15wouldn't say it's a, you know, cause for concern here, but it
- 1:20is looking like it's slowing down.
- 1:22It is looking like the interest into the stretch product, at
- 1:24least so far this week is dying down a little bit.
- 1:27But here's the announcement strategy acquired 3273 Bitcoin
- 1:31for roughly $255 million. Now of course they hold about
- 1:36818,334 Bitcoin and part of this that is funny to me.
- 1:42He's buying $255,000,000 and we're like, it's small, like
- 1:46sailors losing control of the market.
- 1:48He's not able to attract as much capital as he was before and yet
- 1:53it's still a $255,000,000 buy. So it is interesting how in in,
- 1:58in context, in comparison to some of the buys we've seen from
- 2:02Sailor or rather micro strategy or strategy, this one is a
- 2:08little less than we're used to right now.
- 2:10And obviously you could make the case that maybe it's because
- 2:14people are losing interest in strategy or right now maybe he's
- 2:17not able to attract that much capital.
- 2:19It's still a huge buy in comparison to anyone else out
- 2:23there buying Bitcoin. And just to compare a little bit
- 2:26here is Strive, they announced a buy as well, 789 Bitcoin for $61
- 2:33million. So there is some interest coming
- 2:36in through the Bitcoin treasury plays.
- 2:40They're still acquiring a lot of Bitcoin, which has been going
- 2:42into the idea that it seems. Like there's probably only going
- 2:46to be a couple of. Winners in regards to the
- 2:48Bitcoin treasury play, I think it's probably going to be
- 2:51MicroStrategy. Metaplanet Strive's been holding
- 2:54on pretty good. We haven't really heard too much
- 2:56from 21 Capital, but there's still a lot of interest right
- 3:02now. It just, it is down a little
- 3:03bit, but there's still general institutional interest which I
- 3:07will cover in a minute, but I'm sure everyone's wondering.
- 3:11I thought you. Said on Friday Opti that the
- 3:14bear market was over that that we're finally going to start
- 3:18seeing this slow grind up higher.
- 3:21And I was totally convinced of that until I remembered that we
- 3:26have the Bitcoin conference today.
- 3:28And I love the Bitcoin conference actually let I was
- 3:31going to save this for later, but I'll just pull it up right
- 3:33now since I'm talking about it. Check out Nico some picks this
- 3:37morning. I, I'm obviously I'm not in Las
- 3:39Vegas today, but you know, we, we got our own little booth in
- 3:42there. It's looking kind of nice.
- 3:44So Bitcoin conference 2026 in Las Vegas Live Today.
- 3:49Now, why am I bringing that up? Because everyone knows,
- 3:52literally everyone knows if you've been in Bitcoin for a
- 3:55while. Every single time we see the
- 3:58Bitcoin conference, the price starts dumping.
- 4:01I, we don't know why, literally we don't know why this happened.
- 4:04And I, and I don't want to make this sound like I'm saying this
- 4:08is the Bitcoin conference's fault.
- 4:10You know, we love the boys over at Bitcoin Magazine.
- 4:13It just seems every single year, like clockwork, the Bitcoin
- 4:18price is gonna dump when the Bitcoin conference starts.
- 4:20And I think this is what we're seeing.
- 4:22Again, we don't really know why this happened.
- 4:25We just see a lot of selling. Or as we saw.
- 4:28This morning some liquidations and the Bitcoin price dumps.
- 4:32Now I know everyone in the chat's like oh here we go Opti
- 4:35fear mongering again or trying to blame Nico and Nico's not
- 4:38even on the show today. But this is just what happens
- 4:42every year, every. Single year, like clockwork, the
- 4:45Bitcoin price goes down around the Bitcoin conference, and then
- 4:49shortly after it's gonna make a good run.
- 4:52And of course, it wasn't even that bad if you're looking at
- 4:55the technical levels we did. Kind of bounce off that
- 4:58resistance level of 7879. It almost got to 80 K this
- 5:03morning and then we got rejected and currently around like 76.
- 5:06At least that's what the price was before I started the show.
- 5:10I haven't checked it since I started the show.
- 5:12But in general, overall view of where we are is very interesting
- 5:16and shouts out. To first of all, Onsell shouts
- 5:20out to Onsell Linder. I love his account, but I also
- 5:23got some updated charts from the Bitwise.
- 5:26Andres or Andre from Bitwise kind of showing where we
- 5:29currently are, how much the interest is coming from the
- 5:32institutions. But here's Onsell's view.
- 5:34He goes this is nuts, huge negative funding rates with a
- 5:37price about to break out. This is a recipe for a fast
- 5:40moving price back to all time high.
- 5:42And you can see 3 standard deviations for negative funding
- 5:45rates. That's huge.
- 5:47Essentially what this has been. Telling us is it's almost like
- 5:50the entire market is short right now.
- 5:52And even though we did kind of get a long liquidation this
- 5:56morning and hence the price going down a little bit, overall
- 6:00we are seeing a pretty good set up for an aggressive move on the
- 6:05opposite direction. But with this in mind, we are
- 6:08seeing that there are forces that are trying to keep Bitcoin
- 6:11under 80K. For how long?
- 6:13Obviously we don't know and for what reasons.
- 6:16Obviously we don't, no, maybe they're just trying to pack
- 6:19their bags before things start getting a little frothy in the
- 6:21market. But again, it's a Bitcoin
- 6:24conference. And even though I was bullish
- 6:27last week and I'm like, man, it really feels like we are going
- 6:29to. Break out after the Friday show,
- 6:33I remembered it's a Bitcoin conference week.
- 6:37And we're going to probably. See a dump.
- 6:38Happen in in front running of the Bitcoin conference.
- 6:42Now I think we're going to get some very big news coming out of
- 6:44the Bitcoin conference. Obviously, this is usually where
- 6:48a lot of the big. Bitcoin announcements happen
- 6:51every year, so it could be a big week.
- 6:53We could get some really good clips, we could get some really
- 6:55good news stories coming out of the Bitcoin conference.
- 6:58It literally just started and nothing really happened yet so
- 7:02far. First day is a little slow and
- 7:04then it picks up into tomorrow and Wednesday, so I'm expecting
- 7:07some pretty big news coming out of the Bitcoin conference.
- 7:11This. Week.
- 7:12Will it be anything fundamentally game changing
- 7:14that's gonna drive the Bitcoin price?
- 7:16Probably not. We we are in a scenario right
- 7:20now where it doesn't really matter what news we're hearing,
- 7:24Bitcoin's kind of just doing its own thing.
- 7:25In the past, when you get any amount of the news that we've
- 7:28seen in the last year, the Bitcoin price would RIP.
- 7:31Right now it seems like the price action is independent of
- 7:35any single news story happening. But it is.
- 7:39Building a very strong foundation for when we do make
- 7:42another move up. Now, I did see a lot of people
- 7:45over the weekend talking about the, you know, having or sorry,
- 7:49the four year cycle, how it's playing out exactly as designed.
- 7:53A lot of people are still doubling down on the idea that
- 7:55we're going to probably be going sideways until Q.
- 7:58Three of this year. No one really knows, but what we
- 8:02do know is the amount of interest coming into Bitcoin has
- 8:06fundamentally changed. We are in a new era.
- 8:09Yes, the Bitcoin price is still kind of playing out how we've
- 8:12known it would in previous cycles.
- 8:16But the interest that we're seeing, it's one of those very
- 8:20silent moves that I think is building for what is going to be
- 8:24the next leg up. So we could be having cheap sats
- 8:27until Q3? Of this year, it could also
- 8:32fundamentally change a little bit.
- 8:33But hey, another year, another Bitcoin dump on the conference
- 8:38day, so right now is a good time to be buying, I said.
- 8:41It on on Friday. 'S show.
- 8:43Would you be buying right now? And I keep saying the same
- 8:47thing, I think so. I think now's a good time to
- 8:49buy, obviously. If you think it's going to go
- 8:52lower, then you don't want to lump sump in.
- 8:54But if you're just thinking long term lump sum, don't think about
- 8:59it for 10 years, you're going to be good to go.
- 9:01But as I was telling you, I do have some more of a
- 9:05institutional perspective of what's going on.
- 9:07And here's Andre again. He is from Bitwise European Head
- 9:11of research. And he goes.
- 9:12Chart of the Weeks. Institutions bought roughly
- 9:1692.9000 Bitcoin in the past 30 days, while on chain selling
- 9:21pressure cooled to roughly 14. .9000 Bitcoin and outflows
- 9:26demand is rising, outflows are slowing downside pressure on
- 9:30Bitcoin is fading, which is what I told you guys on Friday, which
- 9:34is. Yes, we are still kind of in the
- 9:38gulags. Yes, we're still kind of going
- 9:39sideways. But what we have seen in the
- 9:42last couple of months is there seems to be seller exhaustion
- 9:47going on. Right now.
- 9:48There doesn't seem to be that much Bitcoin being sold,
- 9:52especially in the face of all of the buying we're seeing.
- 9:55Obviously a very simple supply demand economics is just going
- 9:59to explain to you, well then why is the price not going up?
- 10:02Because there's more people selling, but we're starting to
- 10:04see that the selling is slowing. And once we get that selling
- 10:08pressure completely off the table, that's when we start
- 10:11running. Now with that in mind, obviously
- 10:15I think there are some very interested parties to make.
- 10:20Sure that the price doesn't start ripping right now as we
- 10:24see a lot of the Bitcoin products from Wall Street start
- 10:27to get rolled out as we start to see.
- 10:29Different positionings and and longs and shorts.
- 10:33Play out, you're starting to see we're starting to get a little
- 10:37bullish here, even though the price did go down a little bit.
- 10:39But reading the sentiment in the chat, everyone's like a dip.
- 10:44We didn't even dump. We're at like. 76 K, it's like a
- 10:47maybe not even a 1% move, yes, but it is funny that again, you
- 10:53know, we've been saying for a while all our models are broken
- 10:55except for a few models that still play out and one of them
- 10:59is no matter what, like clockwork on the conference.
- 11:03Day we get a dump. It's just one of those things
- 11:07that as a Bitcoin, have you been around for a long time, You,
- 11:10you, you hope that this time is different and yet it plays out
- 11:15exactly as designed. The heuristic of it dumped on
- 11:19conference day. It's still undefeated, but that
- 11:23doesn't necessarily. Change the long term trajectory
- 11:26here I still think. What I said on Friday, what
- 11:29sailors actually been saying the crypto winter is over and a
- 11:33conference day dump. I think both of those things are
- 11:36not mutually exclusive. I I think we can both say that
- 11:39yeah, it dumped on conference day, but also I think we might
- 11:43might have escaped a very deep draw down in the Bitcoin bear
- 11:49market. You know, we only got down to
- 11:5245% at the deepest so far. Obviously it's not over.
- 11:56It could go even further, but it is starting to feel like this
- 12:01time is different and I know when I say that it's probably
- 12:04dumping as I speak. But anyways, Andre also updated
- 12:08and goes boom net. Institutional demand growth for
- 12:11Bitcoin reaccelerates to the highest level since late 2025 S
- 12:16again, the narrative is building the the data is supporting what
- 12:20we've been seeing happen in Bitcoin the.
- 12:23Institutional interest into Bitcoin is starting to heat up.
- 12:27We're starting to reaccelerate there.
- 12:29There is a lot of buying coming on through the ETFs through.
- 12:34Institutional positioning for a long term movement, but as of
- 12:39yet we are not. Completely out of the woods yet
- 12:42sailor might believe the Bitcoin bear market is over.
- 12:45We also might believe the Bitcoin bear marketing is over.
- 12:48But there's still some selling, some spot Bitcoin selling that
- 12:53is driving down the market right now.
- 12:56And this is one of those questions that I'm always I, I
- 12:59always ask myself around conference day.
- 13:01It's the biggest, it's the biggest event in Bitcoin.
- 13:05And yet every single time it dumps on us, it's it's just part
- 13:09of the, the fun and roller coaster being in Bitcoin.
- 13:12But an update on where we currently are in Bitcoin for the
- 13:17month of April is also pretty bullish, though there's still
- 13:21this big trend or rather big idea that we're going to get a
- 13:25bullish April and then people are going to sell in May and
- 13:29then they go away as we have seen play out in the past.
- 13:33But as of now, if Bitcoin closes above 79 K, it's going to be the
- 13:37best performing April in six years.
- 13:39So. This was posted a little while
- 13:42ago, so I'm going to go to the updated view here.
- 13:45You can see we are up. Well, I can barely see that we
- 13:48are up almost 14% for April if we get to 79 K if we close
- 13:53above. 79 K then that's. Going to be one of the most
- 13:57bullish April as we've seen in Bitcoin since basically 2020 and
- 14:03that number. There. 20/20/2019 When we saw a
- 14:09very bullish April, we also saw a very bullish May.
- 14:12Even last year we saw a bullish May.
- 14:14So the this idea that everyone's saying that oh we're going to go
- 14:19up in April, it's going to dump in May, it might not exactly
- 14:22play out that way. Even last year we were roughly
- 14:25around this number and we got another very bullish May
- 14:29afterwards. So could history repeat like
- 14:34last year and we get a bullish April, May, June, July I would
- 14:40love to see? That, that would be great.
- 14:44And then obviously, would that necessarily end the idea that
- 14:50the bear market ends in October of this year, Q3 of this year?
- 14:54We shall see. But here we go.
- 14:57We'll we'll do some quarterly returns here and you know, so
- 15:03far so good into this year. It's almost playing out exactly
- 15:06as we did last year. But let's just hope we don't
- 15:09have a very negative Q. 4 But as we all know, and Bitcoin
- 15:17sometimes, sometimes it's the heuristics.
- 15:21And the memes that play out the best.
- 15:23And if we were waking up this morning expecting to see Sailor
- 15:29continue to to control the Bitcoin price, I mean?
- 15:32He's obviously not alone in pushing the Bitcoin price up,
- 15:37but it seems like he's the one single handedly.
- 15:42Moving the Bitcoin price, with the amount of Bitcoin he's
- 15:45scooping up, I think we were kind of expecting a a little
- 15:49more. Bullish Monday going into
- 15:52conference week, but again. Bitcoin conference dump still in
- 15:58play some of the models that we have, or rather maybe some of
- 16:01the heuristics that we know I was going.
- 16:04To say no and love, maybe, no and hate still play out like
- 16:07clockwork, so I wouldn't be too surprised if.
- 16:10This week we see a little bit. Of red action because of the
- 16:14conference. Again, this is not saying
- 16:17anything in regards to how much I love the Bitcoin Magazine
- 16:21conference. It just, it just plays out like
- 16:24clockwork. So if people are looking at the
- 16:26Bitcoin price and I think they're using this conference
- 16:30day dump as the reason for us going to maintain a bear market
- 16:36for another couple of months, I I think that's probably just
- 16:40engagement baiting at this point.
- 16:43I think I think what we're seeing is just kind of playing
- 16:46out exactly as designed as exactly as we know it to be.
- 16:50Now. I didn't really want to do any
- 16:52chart bowling for you guys right now, but at this point you know
- 16:56you. Guys can yell at me let's see
- 16:58I'd love to see your four or five up months.
- 16:59You know, I, I know, right? That would be great here.
- 17:02Actually, let me let me go back here and and we'll, we'll, we'll
- 17:04chat about it via this chart here.
- 17:08So it would be pretty great. I mean, look, 2025 obviously
- 17:14wasn't the best year. It it almost felt like we went
- 17:17sideways the entire year. Now I don't want to see that
- 17:20play out again. I I actually want to see some
- 17:22life in the price action of Bitcoin.
- 17:25But if we do see some slight. Pumping all the way until July.
- 17:29I, I I'd be OK with that. That'd be fun.
- 17:35Maybe, maybe we see a 2020 or 2017.
- 17:39Type. Type year, that'd be great.
- 17:44I'd be here for that though. These numbers are a little off,
- 17:47are a little less bullish than we saw in 2017, obviously.
- 17:51But man, it is. It is a.
- 17:55Slow, slow Monday. And I think what we're seeing is
- 18:00I think a lot of the big news that we're going to have this
- 18:02week are being saved for conference announcements.
- 18:06So today if I remember correctly.
- 18:10Usually the first day is like industry day, so we won't see
- 18:15probably any big announcements coming out of the Bitcoin
- 18:18conference today. I think most of the big
- 18:21announcements will happen tomorrow and Wednesday, but I
- 18:25think everyone's eyes are on the conference right now as we've
- 18:28been covering. Actually, there was a lot of.
- 18:30There was a lot of. Debates and skirmishes over the
- 18:35weekend in regards to. Some of the speak speakers and
- 18:39speeches at the conference, but I think what we're going to.
- 18:43See is again some very good announcements come out of this.
- 18:47I think we will probably get some pretty big news stories and
- 18:50we're all kind of looking at the Bitcoin conference this.
- 18:53Year and really wondering how can they show up from what we
- 18:58saw the last couple of years like what could be a big.
- 19:01Announcement coming out of the Bitcoin conference.
- 19:03That is going to fundamentally change people's opinion of
- 19:07Bitcoin and it's really hard for me to see anything coming out of
- 19:12the Bitcoin conference that's going to be a game changing
- 19:16world shattering announcement. But I would not underestimate
- 19:21the Bitcoin mag team. David Bailey has a very does a
- 19:24very good job of kind of saving a lot of the big news stories
- 19:29and then dropping on dropping them on us out of basically like
- 19:33a surprise announcement. So I'm I'm pretty excited to see
- 19:37what comes out of the conference today, or rather this week.
- 19:40Obviously, I'm at home. I'm still in Miami.
- 19:44I had to do this this this stream.
- 19:47Mexicano. Thanks for the Super chat bro.
- 19:51Joining by bra. WTF can be said at Bitcoin
- 19:54conference that hasn't been said before?
- 19:56Honestly, that is that. Is kind of what I also and
- 20:01feeling at least for this year. Well, not only that everything
- 20:06has already been said at a conference, but really?
- 20:08More How can they up the ante from the last few years?
- 20:14I I can't really think of anything that would
- 20:16fundamentally be a game changing announcement coming from the
- 20:21conference. But every year, big news comes
- 20:23out of the conference. This year I'm having I'm having
- 20:26a hard time wrapping my head around what.
- 20:30Could actually be big news this year.
- 20:32It feels like everything's already happened.
- 20:34It feels like all the announcements we've seen over
- 20:36the last six months, nine months, a year are way probably
- 20:40bigger news that. It's been kind of swept under
- 20:43the rug, so I'm I don't know what's going to come out of it.
- 20:47I'm, I'm sitting here just like you.
- 20:49Are you guys wondering what's going to be what's going to be
- 20:52the big news this year? Obviously, there is one
- 20:56fundamental difference from this year based on last year and I
- 21:02think this. Is where all the dramas coming
- 21:03out in regards to what is happening at the Bitcoin
- 21:06conference? It is.
- 21:07It's some of the people that are speaking there.
- 21:10There's been a big push, at least on Twitter, of this idea
- 21:13of like, oh, now we are giving the enemies, you know, speaker
- 21:18time at the Bitcoin conference. The very people that we thought
- 21:21we were here to disintermediate are now at the conference and a
- 21:25lot of people are getting mad about that.
- 21:28And then there's the flip side of.
- 21:32Everyone's going to use Bitcoin, even our enemies, and now they
- 21:34want to speak to us at our conference.
- 21:36Now they want some, you know, space-time at the conference.
- 21:40What? Can they say what what are even
- 21:42like? Should they even be allowed to
- 21:44speak? And I think from at least my
- 21:47perspective, it's always been Bitcoin is for anyone, Bitcoin
- 21:50is for enemies. So I'm going to be very
- 21:52interested to see the sound bites to see what comes out of
- 21:55the conference. But if you're looking at the
- 21:57price action today and trying to really make a broader picture
- 22:03of, oh, look, I told you Bitcoin was bad because it dumped, I
- 22:07don't even know. Let me I'll I'll pull up my my
- 22:09chart. Today, just just for some lols,
- 22:12just so I can get a little context here.
- 22:14Actually, I'm I'm not even going to pull it up.
- 22:16I'll do it behind the scenes. The Bitcoin price dumped 3
- 22:19percent, 3% on the day and everyone is saying Oh no, it is
- 22:26officially over. Are you supposed to watch this?
- 22:32Whatever you want, man, whatever you want.
- 22:35If you're here watching us, obviously appreciate it.
- 22:38I will definitely give you guys the highlights of the conference
- 22:42when I. You know, I'm going to, I'm
- 22:44going to be scourging the psyopsin coming.
- 22:48I'm going to be looking at, you know, all the highlights coming
- 22:52out of the conference. I will package it for you guys.
- 22:55So if you don't want to sit and watch the conference, you know
- 22:588-9 hours of speakers, I will summarize as best I can all of
- 23:04the news coming out of the conference for you guys.
- 23:06So maybe, maybe you have less time, maybe you don't want to
- 23:09sit there and watch the conference for 9 hours a day.
- 23:13I'll show you. Excuse me.
- 23:14Sorry guys. I will give you the highlights
- 23:16tomorrow and Wednesday and most likely Thursday if I'm not able
- 23:20to cover everything on the show. Let's see.
- 23:27That's a good comment. Thank you for the other super
- 23:28chat, bro. Actually, I'll read it, I guess.
- 23:31No, wait, maybe not. No, we love the conference, bro.
- 23:35We love the conference. Come on.
- 23:38But for everyone that's out there in Vegas, I know you're
- 23:42not going to be able to see me. I know you're saddened about it,
- 23:45but definitely go hang out at our at our booth.
- 23:47Go say what's up. Go give Nico your vitriol in
- 23:51person. I doubt that would actually
- 23:53actually. Don't do that.
- 23:53Don't be mean to Nico. Be nice to him in person.
- 23:58They're working hard over there. Some of the team will.
- 23:59Be out there. So if you're in Vegas, go hang
- 24:02out by the booth. Got some of the Bitcoins or
- 24:05simply Bitcoin team there. It's going to be very
- 24:08interesting to see. What comes out of this?
- 24:10I'm I'm, I think I'm more interested in what comes out of
- 24:13this because it it seems like I, I just don't know what the big
- 24:17announcement would be like. What could the big announcement
- 24:20be here that is going to really put a stamp on Bitcoin biggest
- 24:242026. Now maybe it's because I just
- 24:28don't know what they're going to talk about.
- 24:30They they definitely have some, you know, some treats hitting up
- 24:33their sleeves here, but it's going to be interesting.
- 24:37I'm I'm, I'm interested to see what what we see on stage, what
- 24:40the clips are. So that's.
- 24:41Probably going to be the bulk of this week for you guys.
- 24:45We're just going to be covering most likely the news stories
- 24:48coming out of the conference. We'll see how the media reacts
- 24:51to this conference this year, especially since it is a.
- 24:54Bear Market conference, at least that's kind of the sentiment
- 24:57here, but we'll be covering it for you guys all week long, OK.
- 25:04Actually, you're funny, man. You're funny.
- 25:07Yeah. All right.
- 25:08OK. Yeah, DB, you're, you're so
- 25:12true. It's so true.
- 25:14They contributing. Yeah, yeah, I, I, I think one of
- 25:19the big interesting ideas that we're starting to see on chain
- 25:25is just that retail is no longer in control.
- 25:29I think that's the biggest signal we've seen in the last
- 25:31few months. It's institutions.
- 25:35Institutions are wholly in control of the Bitcoin price.
- 25:38At least short. Term.
- 25:39And we'll see what happens. Obviously long term, I don't
- 25:43think that that my thesis has changed on where this is going
- 25:46long term. But short term, I think
- 25:48institutions are, are 100% in control.
- 25:50Actually there's an interesting stat and when I was seeing this
- 25:55it it just made me think of. The amount of shorting and I, I
- 26:00don't want to say institutional capture of Bitcoin price, but
- 26:02did you guys see? The news that Jane St. made like
- 26:05$40 billion of profit. And my first thought was like.
- 26:10Damn dude, it's so profitable. Profitable controlling the
- 26:13Bitcoin price. Because we were all speculating
- 26:16that Jane St's been the one that's really been suppressing
- 26:18Bitcoin. Well, obviously we don't know
- 26:22their financials here. We don't know where the bulk of
- 26:25that money came from. But that 30, I think it was 30.
- 26:299.1 billion. Dollars, I guess it just goes to
- 26:33show it's very profitable to try to control the Bitcoin price
- 26:36where we currently are. At a certain.
- 26:38Point that's going to break and then that's when the fun really
- 26:41is going to start to happen, at least for us, obviously for us
- 26:46Bitcoin holders. I know everyone says Bitcoin
- 26:49price is the least interesting aspect of this, but that always
- 26:54changes when we start to see a little bit of green in the
- 26:56market. So we'll see what happens.
- 26:59We'll see what happens. You guys don't get stretched.
- 27:03It's true. That's why that's that's why I
- 27:06don't buy it. That's why I tell you to just
- 27:08buy spot. But hey, people love it.
- 27:12It's it's got a huge amount of interest.
- 27:14Actually, I'll do a little update before I move on.
- 27:16We'll go. We'll see what's going on today
- 27:18with the numbers. For.
- 27:20Stretch again here is Bitcoin for corporations.
- 27:24I really like this site and you can see let's see 120 million on
- 27:31the day for Stretch. It's kind of interesting
- 27:35considering that Sailor or strategy bought, you know what
- 27:38was it 255,000,255 million last week.
- 27:42Well, excuse me announced it this morning and already 120
- 27:47million into the stretch product for the day.
- 27:51Now let's see if Sailor is. Able to attract another billion
- 27:56dollars this week in stretch. That's probably the bigger news
- 27:59story for me this week. Wondering can Sailor repeat the
- 28:03billion dollar week of inflows into stretch for the 4th week in
- 28:07a row for the entire month of April?
- 28:11Sailor potentially can attract a billion dollars in the stretch.
- 28:15Now this trend continues on. I think that that is a lot of
- 28:19signal for how much interest there is into not only Bitcoin
- 28:23but into the stretch product. So we have a couple of stories.
- 28:27Obviously, the big, big kind of thing that we will be watching
- 28:31this week is what news comes out of the Bitcoin Conference 2026
- 28:37and then I will be watching very closely.
- 28:39I'll probably cover it for you guys on Friday since we'll get
- 28:43all of the updated numbers. Can Sailor attract another
- 28:47billion dollars into stretch by the end of the week to secure a
- 28:52four week run, A billion dollars into stretch?
- 28:56Or is that demand dying right now or rather maybe waning a
- 29:00little bit? Maybe they've attracted all the
- 29:02money so far and we'll see what goes on anyways.
- 29:12Brand one. Why don't the people buying
- 29:14stretch just buy Bitcoin? It it's it's a different market
- 29:17man. It's for the fixed income.
- 29:20I'm guessing, again, I'm not the biggest stretch enjoyer, I guess
- 29:26to just put it lightly, but it's attracting capital from capital
- 29:30that can't actually just go straight into Bitcoin.
- 29:33That's kind of the point, or rather maybe from people that
- 29:37want to get a yield 11 1/2 percent return on their capital.
- 29:43Obviously, as we all know, Bitcoin doesn't have a a yield
- 29:47return here. It's it's servicing a different
- 29:51part of the market. It's servicing a different
- 29:53market than just a spot Bitcoin buyers, but.
- 29:58It is in itself a Bitcoin buyer. So people that are probably
- 30:04interested in Stretch, maybe they're not so interested in
- 30:07Bitcoin at all. Maybe all they want is that
- 30:1011.5% return. Because in other assets that are
- 30:15similar, that are other, you know, fixed income yield assets,
- 30:18they only get about 3. What's it?
- 30:20I think it was 3 1/2%. So it is attracting capital from
- 30:24people that probably aren't interested in Bitcoin.
- 30:28That's the big kind of, I think, move that Sailor made here.
- 30:32Anyways, going further, what do I got for the rest of the show?
- 30:36Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah, guys.
- 30:37So we got a new clip from Trump talking about the quote crypto
- 30:42markets, an interesting post about the billionaire tax in
- 30:47California that Chamoth posted on.
- 30:50He did a like a breakdown of it on Twitter and it really reminds
- 30:54you of the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913.
- 30:58It's not surprising if you are a bitcoiner if you understand how
- 31:03governments work. And then in the culture.
- 31:09As the saying says, ask and ye shall receive.
- 31:11I got to talk about the bit key. They just announced the latest
- 31:15update of their bit key. It's absolutely beautiful.
- 31:20And I, I think it's making a couple of statements that I'll
- 31:23cover at the at the end of the show.
- 31:25So that's today's show. What was it?
- 31:30Stage guys, what are you, what are you talking about?
- 31:32I don't know. Anyways, I'll be right back.
- 31:35Give me a commercial break. Today's episode is brought to
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- 33:48All right, guys, we are getting on the break.
- 33:52We're getting some sorry, sorry, I I got distracted.
- 34:02I get distracted by the chat, but we're we're getting some,
- 34:04some, some sound bites already coming out of the Bitcoin
- 34:07conference. So I'm, I'm going to look at the
- 34:09program real quick because I could have swore Monday is
- 34:13usually or first day is usually like industry day.
- 34:19But it looks like, you know, I'll pull it up for you guys.
- 34:22It looks like we're we're going to be getting some we're going
- 34:27to be getting some sound clips, some sound bites, some news
- 34:30happening today looks like it's going to be 3 days of
- 34:33programming here. So not just yeah, actually
- 34:37today. OK, cool.
- 34:39So I was what was the opinion that that today was going to be
- 34:45industry day, but it looks like we're going to be getting some
- 34:48announcements for you guys very quickly.
- 34:51So I'm guessing tomorrow I'll I'll cover whatever news comes
- 34:54out. The show will probably be
- 34:56heavily influenced by what's coming out of the conference.
- 35:01So maybe the rest of this week it'll just be Bitcoin conference
- 35:052026 summaries, but here we are. Current Bitcoin price is 76,000.
- 35:10Oh, I didn't even. Sorry guys.
- 35:13I didn't even show you guys the agenda, but.
- 35:16Trust me that I was looking at the website.
- 35:18Current Bitcoin price is 76,740 which is a 39.2% discount from
- 35:24all time high. The market cap we still holding
- 35:26on to 1.54 trillion and the block height is 946,901.
- 35:32All right guys. So a little change up.
- 35:35We are going to move away a little bit from the conference
- 35:38news because we got an interesting sound bite over the
- 35:41weekend. Obviously I'm sure you guys
- 35:43heard or saw or are making up some kind of speculations about
- 35:50what what happened this weekend. But if you were completely
- 35:55unplugged this weekend, there was another How do I say this
- 36:00for YouTube? There was another attempt at Mr.
- 36:07President's life. Is that is I?
- 36:09Don't know if that's YouTube friendly.
- 36:10Let's hope I don't get kicked off.
- 36:11And there was this whole, you know, big event.
- 36:16It was probably the biggest news in regards to what happened over
- 36:21the weekend. There was a White House
- 36:23correspondent dinner. There was I'm I'm having trouble
- 36:30saying this so that it doesn't sound too bad on YouTube.
- 36:35There was something that happened at the dinner which
- 36:39basically shut down the dinner, but that's not what we're going
- 36:42to talk about. That's probably the the bigger
- 36:45mainstream news story. I'm sure you guys saw it.
- 36:47It was probably everywhere. I'm I?
- 36:49If you were on Twitter, you probably saw the memes too.
- 36:52But. This is that's.
- 36:53Not what we're talking about. There is another little Trump
- 36:57story that we saw over the weekend and in in particular in
- 37:01regards to Bitcoin or crypto and he was being interviewed and he
- 37:07said something pretty interesting.
- 37:09And I will give you the cynical take and then I also will give
- 37:13you probably the more bullish take of this.
- 37:15But here's a short, it's very short clip and then I'll I'll
- 37:19chat about it a little. Bit I really feel I have an
- 37:21obligation from this. As a president, I have to be
- 37:25able to make sure that all of our industries do well.
- 37:28Cryptos are big industries. OK, short clip.
- 37:33Short but sweet. This was posted by Watcher Guru.
- 37:37Again, you know, President Trump is making it an obligation to
- 37:43ensure the crypto industry goes up.
- 37:45And we have heard him say this a couple of times in, in, in
- 37:49different respects. The first one that comes to
- 37:53mind, Trump has been saying for a while that he's looking at the
- 38:00stock market and of course the Bitcoin price as an indicator of
- 38:05how he is doing as a president. Now he has the stock market
- 38:11angle. It's obviously at all time
- 38:13highs. I don't know if you guys checked
- 38:14those, you know, S&P 500, the NASDAQ, QQQ.
- 38:19Dow Jones, but they're. All but one at all time high.
- 38:25The only one that isn't back at all time high is Dow Jones.
- 38:27And we all know the famous Dow Jones is almost at 50,000 and it
- 38:31completely dumped. And that was a huge scandal.
- 38:34And now Pam Bondi's out. And what we are seeing though is
- 38:37stock market is basically back at all time high.
- 38:41So he's winning on that front. Now, what I think is interesting
- 38:47about this very short clip is we know for a fact that Trump is
- 38:53looking at the Bitcoin price as an indicator of whether he's
- 38:57doing well or not. And again, my cynical view here
- 39:00is maybe we don't want him doing that because in the last year or
- 39:07so, the price hasn't been doing too hot.
- 39:09Man, we have the quote. First Bitcoin president in the
- 39:13United States and the Bitcoin price is. 50% off like maybe we
- 39:21don't. Want the president focused on
- 39:23Bitcoin? But also, you could argue, at
- 39:28least most people are arguing, that Trump has been a net
- 39:31positive for Bitcoin. We've all tried to minimize the
- 39:36damage of his shit coin scams of him embracing Bitcoin, of the
- 39:41genius Act Clarity Act. Now, I think you could argue,
- 39:46and this is me T reading this is me connecting dots and aren't
- 39:50there per SE. But when I hear that clip of
- 39:55Trump making an obligation to really focus on the Bitcoin
- 40:01industry or the crypto market at large, it really makes me think
- 40:05that. There's going to be a a stronger
- 40:11emphasis right now and I think pushing through the Clarity Act,
- 40:15as we saw about a week ago, Trump very deliberately tweeted
- 40:18saying that anyone's trying to stop the Clarity Act, that it's
- 40:22trying to be sabotaged, that, you know, that's UN American,
- 40:24that that's not what you should be doing.
- 40:27So they put their weight behind Bitcoin, behind the Clarity Act,
- 40:30and that's. When I saw this clip.
- 40:32It made me and that's what that was the first thing I I thought
- 40:34about. It made me think that there is
- 40:37definitely a push behind the scenes to get the Clarity Act
- 40:40through because everyone has this view, at least if they I
- 40:46guess are more bullish that the Clarity Act is going to bring a
- 40:50lot of capital into Bitcoin. So when I heard that clip,
- 40:52that's that was like the first thing that came to my mind.
- 40:57It's just interesting that we have the sitting president and
- 41:00in the face of all kinds of crazy stuff that he's still out
- 41:03here, like crypto industry's huge.
- 41:06We're making an obligation. We're going to make sure
- 41:08basically, without saying, we're going to make sure it starts
- 41:10pumping. So, you know, I'd love to see
- 41:13that. On the one hand, that's been my
- 41:15thesis this whole time, that the only thing I really cared about
- 41:18with institutions coming in was I expected them to pump our
- 41:21bags. But if that Jane St. story is
- 41:26any indicator of what is happening, they make money
- 41:31whether Bitcoin is down or up. And Jane St. it's they're like
- 41:35the most profitable quarter I think ever.
- 41:39They're they're, they're up there with one of the most
- 41:41profitable companies right now. And again, Jane St. we really
- 41:44don't know what they're doing, how they made most of that
- 41:46money. But all of us bitcoiners for the
- 41:48last couple of months have really suspected them for being
- 41:52the ones that are suppressing the Bitcoin price.
- 41:54And it just so happens that when they were getting sued for price
- 41:57suppression, literally the next day, Bitcoin starts pumping.
- 42:01So a lot of things are playing out at once.
- 42:04But hey, presidents out here still trying to pump Bitcoin.
- 42:08Let's see if it'll happen. Obviously we've all been joking
- 42:13that we would probably be a lot higher if Kamala was president
- 42:18right now if we. Had AUS government that was
- 42:22fighting Bitcoin, maybe Bitcoin would be higher because we have
- 42:26one that's embracing Bitcoin and.
- 42:30We're playing out exactly as it was in the past.
- 42:33Now with that in mind, though, I think it's going to be very
- 42:38interesting, like I was saying in the beginning of the show of
- 42:40what comes out of the Bitcoin conference.
- 42:43If we do get some pretty big news announcements, if we, I
- 42:47think if we get more than just rhetoric coming out of the
- 42:50conference, then that's going to be a good sign of, of where
- 42:54we're going. Because I know a lot of people
- 42:57are getting angry, like I said a minute ago over some of the
- 43:00speakers, what their speeches are called and everyone's kind
- 43:03of saying I'm, I'm kind of tired of the hot air coming out of
- 43:07their mouth. Like we need some actual action
- 43:10here. We need some things done, but we
- 43:13are starting to see like this, You know, maybe it's
- 43:15coincidental that Trump's saying, yeah, I'm, I'm going to
- 43:18basically pump Bitcoin right in front of the Bitcoin conference.
- 43:21Obviously the price dumped, but I don't know.
- 43:24We'll see. We'll see what comes out of the
- 43:26conference this week. And and I, I I.
- 43:28Can already hear you guys probably yelling I'm I'm not
- 43:30paying attention to the chat right now because you know, I'm
- 43:33running the show. But we'll see if anything really
- 43:40comes out of it. I really would hope for some
- 43:42huge news that come out of this, but it's just hard for me to see
- 43:48what what could really be said to really move the needle right
- 43:52now. I think it's just going to be a
- 43:54timing thing kind of as Andre was saying, we're seeing seller
- 43:57exhaustion kind of happening right now.
- 44:00There's less Bitcoin to sell. The price is in a pretty healthy
- 44:04position. We are seeing a lot of shorting
- 44:06happen, but nothing is really a leading, you know, charge for
- 44:16the next move up. We're all kind of waiting for
- 44:20Bitcoin to get out of this 80K range.
- 44:23And once we do that, then we'll see if this breakout is real.
- 44:26It really feels like the Wall Street psychology chart right
- 44:29now. We're all in kind of disbelief.
- 44:31At least I know I'm in. I'm like, this isn't a real
- 44:33rally, even though it feels like if I wanted to feel like 1, I'm
- 44:37like, Nah, dude, where this is a suckers rally.
- 44:41And that's it's a pretty good psychological point for where we
- 44:45currently are. I think we're all kind of
- 44:47feeling this is a suckers rally, which maybe means it's going to
- 44:53defy what what we think is going to happen.
- 44:56Anyways, I do want to look, I'm not the biggest fan of Chamath,
- 45:01but this tweet breakdown of the billionaire tax in California,
- 45:05maybe it's because I'm an ex Californian that it's, it's
- 45:09pretty disgusting to say the least.
- 45:11But are we surprised? Not at all.
- 45:13So that's what I'm going to cover right now.
- 45:14I'll be right back. I want to give a shout out to
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- 46:57code simply. Hold on be before I cover this
- 47:06Mexico hotter. Do you actually believe this?
- 47:08Thanks first of all again, thanks for all the $20 super
- 47:12chats bro. But he goes.
- 47:13Everyone needs to understand that financial institutions own
- 47:16Bitcoin now. It's not for the people anymore.
- 47:18They own number go up. Everyone else is the exit
- 47:21liquidity the Bitcoin ship has. Sailed.
- 47:23Do you actually believe that bro?
- 47:26It's no, it's no longer the exit.
- 47:28Let me see. Everyone needs energy.
- 47:33We I agree with the first part. They do own Bitcoin now, but
- 47:38it's not for the people anymore. Come on bro.
- 47:41You can't believe that they they do in fact short term own number
- 47:44go up. I'll I'll give you that they
- 47:46obviously have been able to I think very clearly suppress the
- 47:51price with and it's not just like Wall Street.
- 47:55I think as we've been seeing some of the numbers are showing
- 47:58that most of the shorting is happening right now on Binance.
- 48:01Binance basically owns the PERT futures.
- 48:04And so maybe that has something to do with the pardon.
- 48:09Maybe I don't know I could be spreading conspiracy theories,
- 48:12but all of us being the exit liquidity Bitcoin chip has
- 48:17sailed. I don't know about that, bro.
- 48:20I don't think so. I don't think so, man.
- 48:26Not going to make. It, little bro.
- 48:29OK, OK. You believe that?
- 48:31All right, well. Then what else is there?
- 48:33Mexico, Mexico huddle, What else is there?
- 48:38I think we're just, we just ride the fun now.
- 48:41Just, hey, they're going to pump Bitcoin when it's ready.
- 48:49OK, all right. Anyways, anyways, this is
- 48:52interesting. So again, Chamath, he is venture
- 48:56capitalist, part of the. All in podcast bought Bitcoin
- 49:03very early. He has seemingly become not so
- 49:08Bitcoin friendly recently, but I think he's still a bitcoiner.
- 49:12Here is this breakdown here. So if you are not familiar with
- 49:20what's going on in California, it's bad, my Bros.
- 49:24It's it's super bad. There's been a quote billionaire
- 49:28tax proposal or actually, I don't, I don't think it went
- 49:32through yet, but there's been a lot of talk about taxing the
- 49:36billionaires in California and we've seen an exodus of people
- 49:38leaving California. Obviously, usually they go to
- 49:41like Texas or Florida. The more you know red states
- 49:48without state income taxes, you know where the money is treated
- 49:52better. Anyways, here's Chamath's
- 49:54breakdown of this, which is not a surprise when you understand
- 50:00the people that do this stuff what they really plan to do.
- 50:05But I'll just read the tweet. OK, so Chamath goes the
- 50:08billionaire tax is actually in everyone tax.
- 50:10The billionaire tax is a new tax proposal written by 4 professors
- 50:13who don't believe in the American dream.
- 50:15Some of them aren't even American.
- 50:16Go figure. Despite it's name, it applies to
- 50:18every California resident who currently has assets or ever
- 50:22will. The creators named it the
- 50:23billionaire tax so you would get into a froth and wouldn't look
- 50:26closely at what it actually does to you.
- 50:28On page 26 it explains how the government can convert to an
- 50:32everyone tax without bolder approval.
- 50:34They can also adjust the tax to be a yearly tax and not just a
- 50:37one time, again without your approval.
- 50:40Here's how the tax would work. As a voter, you're being asked
- 50:43to approve a tax that would require you to one list all your
- 50:46assets and the value of each, then submit them to the
- 50:48California Franchise Tax board 2 authorize the tax board to
- 50:52appraise your assets and confirm the.
- 50:53Value of each three pay a penalty of up to 40.
- 50:56Percent of your tax bill if the board determines your reported
- 50:59value is too low in their opinion 4 Allow the tax board to
- 51:03subpoena your financial records from every one of your financial
- 51:05institution for auditing this Everyone Tax runs 34 pages of
- 51:09shifty language describing how the government plans to take
- 51:12your assets. Read the fine print and decide
- 51:15for yourself. If this were truly a billionaire
- 51:18tax, it would be 3 pages. It's 34 pages so that it can
- 51:22create the mechanisms to steal from all of you.
- 51:27You know, am I surprised at this?
- 51:29Not at all. You know, it not at all.
- 51:34Maybe it's because I am a Californian that has fled.
- 51:37I, I didn't do it intentionally. I just, you know, I went and had
- 51:42some fun in Dallas with some friends and now I work down in
- 51:45in Florida. But I saw a lot of people
- 51:49talking about this, where you see this happen a lot where you,
- 51:54the powers that be, however you want to say it.
- 51:57I mean, this is like a very clear, you know, collectivist
- 52:00tax. And you can see that something
- 52:04similar has been done in New York.
- 52:06Mandami proposed something very similar, I think it was like
- 52:10last week. But it's it's.
- 52:13Viewed in this idea of let's tax the billionaires, you know, the
- 52:17billionaires need to pay their fair share.
- 52:19When in reality, it's like the rich people do pay most of the
- 52:23taxes. But that's that's not what I
- 52:25want to talk about here. It's the framing that we're
- 52:28seeing that Chamath is putting out there that it starts off
- 52:32with this idea of, hey, we're going to tax the billionaires.
- 52:35But if you read the fine print, it will very easily.
- 52:39And maybe this is where you say slippery slope.
- 52:42It will end up taxing everyone. And we saw something similar
- 52:47happen with the creation of the Federal Reserve.
- 52:50Or actually, we've seen this happen with almost every
- 52:53government proposal ever, you know?
- 52:57What's the saying? There's nothing more permanent
- 53:01than a temporary government action and we're seeing this
- 53:06play out, which really I think sheds a light on the prevailing
- 53:11sentiment right now amongst a lot of the youth.
- 53:16We are seeing. There is a Fiat crisis playing
- 53:20out. There is a financial crisis
- 53:22playing out for the majority of people.
- 53:24Most people can barely get by, rents getting more expensive.
- 53:29You know, taxes are at levels that would make the founding
- 53:34fathers in the US vomit and, you know, turn around in their
- 53:39graves. And yet most.
- 53:42People. Obviously most people aren't
- 53:44economically literate. They don't really understand
- 53:49that socialism's failed everywhere.
- 53:51It's, it's been tried, it's, it's not a successful way to
- 53:54manage capital, but it's a feel good story.
- 53:57It makes people feel good that yeah, we need to tax the
- 54:00billionaires like they've, they're the oppressors.
- 54:02And I, I don't even, I can't even straw man their views here.
- 54:05But you know, they've, they've, they've oppressed the workers
- 54:09and they got rich off the backs of the slave labor of the masses
- 54:14or whatever. Whereas from my perspective,
- 54:16yes, there is some, I would say maybe inherent inequalities, to
- 54:25put it nicely. But I, I usually view that the,
- 54:28the richest people in society are the ones that are the most
- 54:30productive. They're the ones that offer
- 54:32society the products that you use every single day.
- 54:35And especially if you think about California's Silicon
- 54:38Valley in particular, they're using all the products that we
- 54:41know and love and that we are indispensable with, with our
- 54:46everyday lives. And the very people that are
- 54:49using these devices are saying we need to tax them more because
- 54:53they aren't paying their fair share.
- 54:56And then the government uses this as an excuse to propose
- 55:00things that is going to literally hurt you.
- 55:05It's it reminds me of what we saw in New York.
- 55:08I forget the exact thing, but like mom, Donnie was running on
- 55:13this idea of we're going to make, you know, rent and housing
- 55:17cheaper. And it turns out within a, you
- 55:21know, couple of very short weeks that people were complaining
- 55:23about the rent actually increasing.
- 55:27Guys, it really is amazing just how much farther ahead you are
- 55:34with just a semblance of economic literacy.
- 55:40I was naive and young and idealistic as well my 18 year
- 55:45old. Version of me.
- 55:48And and then I might have fallen for a lot of the few.
- 55:51Actually, I literally did. I, I voted for Obama.
- 55:53I voted once and I got scammed and I've never voted again.
- 55:57And I did fall for the idealism. And then, you know, life happens
- 56:02and you realize not this isn't going to fix it.
- 56:04What's? That one quote, if you're, if
- 56:08you're young and you're not a Democrat, you don't have a
- 56:12heart. And if you're old and you're not
- 56:15conservative, you don't have a brain or whatever it is.
- 56:18You guys know I'm not, I'm not good with remembering figures of
- 56:23speech here, but I, I literally lived through that when I was
- 56:27young. I might have fallen for this.
- 56:29Now I realize, obviously maybe it's because I'm older, a little
- 56:33wiser, that this usually ends with more oppression from the
- 56:38government, that it doesn't just stop with the intended group.
- 56:42It's going to get spread out to every single person.
- 56:45And this is really, really sad to me personally, because I, I
- 56:51always had this idea of, you know, I'm going to be in
- 56:56California forever. It's, it's like the last Mohican
- 56:59in California. I can't let the collectivist
- 57:01win. And then I had some friends that
- 57:04basically were like, yo, just move out to move out to Texas,
- 57:07man. You'll have a lot of fun.
- 57:08I'm like bet, let's go like I'm. Out of here, who cares?
- 57:11And now I'm in South Florida, literally the farthest away from
- 57:16home that I can be. And it, it is extremely sad to
- 57:21see that California just keeps, keeps going lower and lower and
- 57:26lower and they just keep digging themselves deeper and deeper
- 57:29into that economic grave. And there is no light at the end
- 57:34of the tunnel. It's just going to get worse.
- 57:37And it's unfortunate 'cause I, I, you know, I grew up there.
- 57:42I love that state. Well, parts of it.
- 57:47Parts of it. And here we are.
- 57:50It's just history. Repeating itself.
- 57:52We've seen this happen forever. It always plays out the same
- 57:56exact way. So you know, shouts out the
- 57:58Chamath. Even though I'm not the biggest
- 58:00fan of Chamath, you know, he's not the biggest fan of Bitcoin.
- 58:06I would say smart dude. But I I give credit where
- 58:11credit's due and him highlighting this, obviously, if
- 58:17you're a person that is looking at Chamath, you're like, yeah,
- 58:20of course a billionaire doesn't want a billionaire tax.
- 58:25But I think a lot of people are missing the point that this
- 58:29isn't just going to end up that they're taxing the billionaires.
- 58:32It's literally an excuse for the California government to come
- 58:35after every single person's assets, if you even have assets.
- 58:40The majority of young people probably don't even have assets.
- 58:44They're just like, whatever, you know, debt servitude forever way
- 58:48G for life. I will own nothing and be happy.
- 58:52It is what it is. At this point let's just tax the
- 58:56people we don't like because at least it'll make me feel good.
- 59:05Dude, I. Bro, I can't speak Spanish.
- 59:08Dude, my Spanish is horrible. Dude, do you hear this valley
- 59:14girl accent? I I can barely speak one
- 59:17language, man. Oh, man.
- 59:22OK. All right.
- 59:23Anyways, I, I just thought that was pretty crazy.
- 59:30It, it's, it is, it's insane that people think this is a
- 59:34viable way to fix society. Is just, you know, let's just
- 59:39tax more. Let's just make the government
- 59:43even bigger. Let's just give the government
- 59:47more money. Actually, it reminds me of is JJ
- 59:50in the chat? JJ in the chat today on Rumble.
- 59:55No, I'm not really seeing it. So, you know, I, I don't like to
- 59:59talk smack of people when they're not here.
- 1:00:01But our boy JJ on Rumble, a cash maxi and I, I'm reminded of what
- 1:00:08he usually says. He usually says like money
- 1:00:11printing isn't the problem. We just need the right people
- 1:00:14printing money and you're just like, yo, like sounds like the
- 1:00:19same thing going on here. Taxing isn't the problem.
- 1:00:25We just need to tax the right people.
- 1:00:28We just need to get more money from the rich people, and then
- 1:00:31we'll be able to solve all the world's problems.
- 1:00:35Nah, fam. Even better if I don't think
- 1:00:39that Oh you're funny bro all. Right.
- 1:00:43All right, guys, I'm, I'm gonna keep it moving.
- 1:00:46It's, it's Monday. I'm here alone, got to wait
- 1:00:54until tomorrow to really get some good updates, but I'm
- 1:00:58feeling good, man. I, I, I really feel that we're
- 1:01:02in a good place in Bitcoin right now.
- 1:01:05It's like it's been kind of quiet in terms of price, but it
- 1:01:09really feels like the foundation is being built for the very, for
- 1:01:12the next leg up. And from some of the stuff I've
- 1:01:15been seeing, it's like, man, the next leg up.
- 1:01:18I know everyone believes in the diminishing returns meme, but
- 1:01:20the next leg up, I think it feels like it's going to be a
- 1:01:24bigger move than we've seen in the last two cycles.
- 1:01:27But again, I'm, I'm a bull, I'm, I'm stupidly bullish all the
- 1:01:31time. So I could be wrong again, I
- 1:01:34acknowledge I was wrong last year, but I don't know.
- 1:01:37I, I, I don't know. Let me let me know in the chat.
- 1:01:40Do you guys feel like the next leg up, this next bull market is
- 1:01:44going to be bigger than the last ones?
- 1:01:46The last two in particular, the what 2021 and the 2020 five, I
- 1:01:53guess from, you know, tops. I think I, I really do feel like
- 1:01:59this next one's going to be bigger, but everyone believes in
- 1:02:01diminishing returns, but I think gold really fundamentally kind
- 1:02:05of broke that idea. A bigger number means it's
- 1:02:07harder for a bigger number. We just need a lot of capital
- 1:02:11flowing in. But anyways, I'll, I'll read the
- 1:02:13chat real quick. Last commercial break and we
- 1:02:17will wrap up this Monday show. I want to give a shout out to
- 1:02:21our partner Hive Digital Technologies.
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- 1:02:52infrastructure. You can catch the latest buzz at
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- 1:03:59Right. Hold on.
- 1:04:01Opti was left home alone. But like Kevin, Yeah, I was.
- 1:04:07No, I'm, I'm OK with it. I'm I'm OK with having to hold
- 1:04:11down the show. Personally I didn't really want
- 1:04:14to travel, love conferences but I really don't like getting on
- 1:04:21planes now. Dude maybe maybe it's because
- 1:04:23it's you you get on a plane and it's to work a long weekend or
- 1:04:29longer work days. I'm like it just it's also
- 1:04:34tiresome. It's awesome tiresome.
- 1:04:37But some of you guys in the chat agree with me.
- 1:04:39I'm with Opti, big move this time.
- 1:04:41I really, I really hope Familia, we did not have a real bull
- 1:04:45market during 2025. Senor Gringo, I just hope it
- 1:04:49goes over 150 K at least. Yeah, me too bro.
- 1:04:54Let's see. Ken, I'm loving these dibs
- 1:04:56because I didn't expect cheap stats will be around for much
- 1:04:58longer. Yeah, I totally, totally agree.
- 1:05:01Ian, doubling down, we are hitting the vertical bit of the
- 1:05:04S curve. I would love for that to be the
- 1:05:07case. I would love, don't we?
- 1:05:10Prefer solo optive? Like.
- 1:05:14I appreciate it, I, I do, but personally I, I love when it's
- 1:05:22me and Nico on the show. I, I think, I think when we are
- 1:05:27covering like topics, I think it's more dynamic when we either
- 1:05:34don't fully agree or we do agree because we can kind of parse out
- 1:05:39the information a little more. It, it, it gives us a, you know,
- 1:05:43slightly different perspective on things.
- 1:05:45Hold on. Wow, sorry.
- 1:05:50So I, I think the show's more dynamic when there's more than
- 1:05:53one person on the show. Obviously I can handle the show
- 1:05:56by myself. As you guys know, I, I really, I
- 1:06:00really messed up by doing the show by myself that one day, you
- 1:06:03know, a few months back because I, I proved to Nico that I can
- 1:06:05handle the show alone and. Now he's like, all right dude,
- 1:06:08have fun, do the show, but. I, I think the show, I think
- 1:06:13what you guys loved about the show is that there there is
- 1:06:16more, a more dynamic messaging on the show when it's Nico and
- 1:06:21I, you know, Nico has a certain perspective.
- 1:06:23I have a certain perspective. Obviously that really diverted
- 1:06:26and and you guys crashed out on Nico when he was getting bearish
- 1:06:31in October, but even then I the show wouldn't have been good if
- 1:06:38I was being completely bullish and.
- 1:06:40The price dumped, you know, we needed Nika to throw a little.
- 1:06:43Cold water on us, man. So you guys are funny, man.
- 1:06:52You guys are funny. You know I can't OK, I I can
- 1:07:02handle the show, but I like I like when we argue.
- 1:07:06I like when you know, I'll say something and then Nico will add
- 1:07:11a slightly different take a little more depth to what I'm
- 1:07:13saying or vice versa. You know, Nico likes the Nico
- 1:07:16likes to rant and then I just pepper in some some good
- 1:07:19commentary in there. But I I will be doing the show
- 1:07:22all week alone. OK, so I think so I'd have to
- 1:07:25look at my schedule. I might have some guests this
- 1:07:27week, but for the most part, you're going to get some solo
- 1:07:30Opti shows all week. So if you like it, come back.
- 1:07:33All right. Anyways, that's not what the
- 1:07:36whole culture is about. Yeah, that's not that's not what
- 1:07:45the culture is. I do want to talk about this and
- 1:07:49you guys could say you know, this is a show, this is a plug
- 1:07:53cause Bit Key is one of our sponsors as you know, Bit Key,
- 1:07:59love it, love it, love it. But they just dropped, so this
- 1:08:02probably. Is the biggest news announcement
- 1:08:04so far that we heard from the Bitcoin conference?
- 1:08:08Is that bit key made a new version of the bit key?
- 1:08:12Same, same, basically same bit key, but they added a screen on
- 1:08:17the back of it guys, which is huge.
- 1:08:21Everyone was basically saying, look, the big key's super cool,
- 1:08:25but one of the things that we didn't like is that I can't
- 1:08:27verify that I'm sending my Bitcoin to the addresses that I
- 1:08:32think I am that as like I don't like it because there's no
- 1:08:36screen on it. Now, obviously some people don't
- 1:08:40like it because of the you know, as it says, no seed phrase.
- 1:08:45The multi sig by design was really kind of one of those
- 1:08:47features that everyone thought was really cool.
- 1:08:51But now they added a screen on it.
- 1:08:53So let's see look at this guys wait, does it show it was it the
- 1:09:00other one that I saw? Oh here, you can see it right
- 1:09:03there. Check it out, guys.
- 1:09:08Same Bit Key, but now a screen on the back.
- 1:09:11Now obviously I'm not just talking about this because
- 1:09:14they're one of our sponsors. I think what is super cool about
- 1:09:18what we're seeing from Bit Key or rather all of Jack Dorsey's
- 1:09:20companies right now is that they are listening to the customer.
- 1:09:26They are, you know, dropping a product, they're iterating on
- 1:09:30it, they're getting feedback from the customer, and then they
- 1:09:34drop another product that's probably going to make everyone
- 1:09:37even happier. So here we go.
- 1:09:38Meet the new bit key as you. Oh, here's the picture.
- 1:09:40You know, they got a screen on it introducing a bit key, a new
- 1:09:46bit key. Let's see.
- 1:09:49It keeps everything that's defined bit key from the start.
- 1:09:51Two of three multi sig by default, no seed phrase
- 1:09:53biometric access, secure hardware that never exploits
- 1:09:56it's key. Recovery pass for phone loss,
- 1:09:58hardware loss and total loss. Built in inheritance and an
- 1:10:01emergency exit kit that lets you leave with your funds no matter
- 1:10:04what happens to us. Huge.
- 1:10:07That was another big update. I didn't even notice that.
- 1:10:09And of course the screen Bit key screen goes beyond what you'd
- 1:10:12expect from a typical hardware wallet.
- 1:10:14Most hardware devices use the screen to validate transaction.
- 1:10:17Bitcoin use it or Bit Key uses it for so much more.
- 1:10:20Your wallet isn't just transactions, it's also a set of
- 1:10:23settings that defines what happens when thing goes wrong.
- 1:10:25Who gets notified if someone tries to recover the wallet,
- 1:10:28where those notifications go to who can help you recover if you
- 1:10:30lose everything, how much you can spend without the hardware
- 1:10:34and who inheritance inherits your funds.
- 1:10:37Every one of those settings, it's security critical decision
- 1:10:39bit bit key hardware verifies them all.
- 1:10:42Dude, I'm it's not not just cause bit key sponsored me, but
- 1:10:49Jack Dorsey is absolutely killing it in regards to all of
- 1:10:54his companies creating Bitcoin products because as we've been
- 1:10:56talking about bit. Bitcoin is still so early.
- 1:11:05And how do we know it's early? It's because it's still
- 1:11:07extremely difficult to do very basic things.
- 1:11:09Now, it might not be difficult for us because we've been around
- 1:11:12in Bitcoin, we're so used to it. But for the average person,
- 1:11:15doing things as simple as just taking Bitcoin into self
- 1:11:18custody, it is hard for them. And you know, this one was cool,
- 1:11:25but now there's a screen on the back of it.
- 1:11:28So we're going to have to get a, we'll have to get the updated
- 1:11:31one and, and, and play with it for you guys.
- 1:11:34We didn't get any first access to this.
- 1:11:36OK, I'm, I'm going to, I'm going to get 1 and I, I will, I will
- 1:11:41talk about it for you. But I did see this tweet by
- 1:11:47Thomas Templeton, who's work, who worked on this and he goes,
- 1:11:51Bitcoin works when it moves. That only works if we build the
- 1:11:53systems underneath today. New bit key hardware wallet
- 1:11:57Bitcoin 5% back in Bitcoin peer-to-peer payments on cash
- 1:12:00app NFC tap to pay in Bitcoin toggle coming to Square proof of
- 1:12:03reserves across the ecosystem. We're building the
- 1:12:06infrastructure so customers can actually use it.
- 1:12:11You got to love that. Is that not a perfect summary of
- 1:12:15what the culture is here for bitcoiners?
- 1:12:18Jack Dorsey's doing that with Block.
- 1:12:23He's making it as easy as possible with the same security
- 1:12:27features that we love for the average everyday person to get
- 1:12:31into Bitcoin. Hence why I keep saying that we
- 1:12:34are seeing a lot of the building blocks for this next cycle of
- 1:12:41adoption. We've been covering a rather
- 1:12:43maybe speculating on this show whether we have left the early
- 1:12:47adopters phase and entering into the early majority phase.
- 1:12:53And as much as we may not like it, part of that early majority
- 1:12:57phase does come with the institutions.
- 1:13:00But on the flip side, with what we're seeing from a lot of the
- 1:13:02Bitcoin companies is, for lack of better terms, a lot of the
- 1:13:09Bitcoin quote cult mentality. I'm not saying it's going by the
- 1:13:13wayside, but we are. We are seeing that a lot of the
- 1:13:16very hardcore Bitcoiners are building the product.
- 1:13:18So it's easier for the next 1,000,010 million, 100 million
- 1:13:22billion people to get on Bitcoin.
- 1:13:24Now, does that mean that we have the final Bitcoin products that
- 1:13:28people are going to be using 100 years from now?
- 1:13:31Probably not. But we are starting to get to a
- 1:13:34point where the products are getting updated and they are a
- 1:13:39lot easier for everyone to use. It was actually funny.
- 1:13:43I think I brought it up on the show a little while ago.
- 1:13:45I had one of my good friends reach out to me and this was
- 1:13:48probably end of last year ish. And he knows I do this show.
- 1:13:53He's been in Bitcoin for a long time.
- 1:13:55But he kind of tuned out for a little bit and he hit me up and
- 1:14:01was wondering, OK, like, can you just refresh me on taking my
- 1:14:07Bitcoin into self custody? And I'm like, yeah.
- 1:14:08And you know, I did the whole thing and he's like, yeah, yeah,
- 1:14:10I know. And he's like, is there any new
- 1:14:11Bitcoin products? And he's like, I swear, in the
- 1:14:14five years that I've been a Bitcoin, there hasn't really
- 1:14:17been any, any new products. And I was like, well, the big
- 1:14:20key. And he's, you know, did a little
- 1:14:23research. He's like, oh, that's like,
- 1:14:24really cool. It's super easy.
- 1:14:27It's convenient. It's like, it really feels like
- 1:14:29there hasn't been any new Bitcoin products.
- 1:14:31And now we're getting to the point where I'm just like, hey,
- 1:14:35dude, just buy a bit key. Super easy.
- 1:14:38You don't have to deal with all the all the headaches that
- 1:14:40you're kind of familiar with. And now they just made it even
- 1:14:44easier. Biggest announcement so far is
- 1:14:48the bit key with the screen coming out of the Bitcoin.
- 1:14:52Sorry guys, Bitcoin conference. Yes.
- 1:14:57Also refreshing to see them add proof of reserves.
- 1:15:07Familiar, buddy, because basically this is how you talk
- 1:15:10about I'm simply. Yeah, I got it, you guys.
- 1:15:15Look, you guys give my boy a lot of shit, and actually I give him
- 1:15:19shit too. But that's just because we're
- 1:15:20friends and that's how I show my friendship and love.
- 1:15:23But. The.
- 1:15:25Chat you guys are vicious you guys are vicious we wouldn't be
- 1:15:28here without Nico all. Right.
- 1:15:30We, we. When Nico's away, we're.
- 1:15:32Going to be nice. We're going to be nice, OK, we
- 1:15:37are going to be nice. Anyways guys, that's the Monday
- 1:15:40show again. I am going to be solo this week.
- 1:15:48Actually, one more thing. One more thing that I almost
- 1:15:50forgot. This week might be a little
- 1:15:53weird. Tomorrow I, I don't know if I'm
- 1:15:58going to be in the studio. They're they're actually like
- 1:16:03repairing the roof. So, you know, bear with me this
- 1:16:08week. Tomorrow I think I'm going to be
- 1:16:12like, I'm hoping that I'm going to be able to stream from the
- 1:16:14studio all week long. But again, they are going to be
- 1:16:18repairing the roof. Right now there is some like
- 1:16:21water damage. It's like leaking when it's
- 1:16:24raining and it's about to be raining season.
- 1:16:26So hopefully tomorrow I am. Able to stream from the studio,
- 1:16:30but there might be a lot of noise here, so if it happens
- 1:16:35that I'm not able to stream from the studio then I might.
- 1:16:38Just have to stream from my apartment and it's not going to
- 1:16:40be, you know, the pretty studio. It it, it'll be a bare bones set
- 1:16:45up because I have to probably last minute get the stream set
- 1:16:50up. So this week might be a little
- 1:16:52strange. Hopefully you guys don't notice
- 1:16:56anything. Hopefully I'm able to just
- 1:16:57stream from the studio all week long.
- 1:16:59It is going to just be me. I will be holding down the show.
- 1:17:02I think Niko might get back Thursday.
- 1:17:04I doubt he's going to come on the show Thursday.
- 1:17:06So maybe the Friday show he'll be back.
- 1:17:09So I'm going to hold it down. But this week might be a little
- 1:17:14strange. It might go to a bare bones set
- 1:17:16up. The background won't be that
- 1:17:18sexy. I'll still have a camera, I'll
- 1:17:20still have a mic, but I don't know, just bear with me.
- 1:17:23This week could be a little strange because they are
- 1:17:27repairing the roof here. So I don't I don't know.
- 1:17:31I don't know. All I'm saying it's it's up in
- 1:17:34the air right now, but we will be doing a show all week long.
- 1:17:38It just might be a little different.
- 1:17:39OK anyways guys. It will be streamed from A.
- 1:17:42Bastard closet dude, basically. It'll it'll be a.
- 1:17:46It'll it'll be a. Throwback stream I I don't think
- 1:17:49I'm going to do the whole green screen it'll we'll figure it
- 1:17:52out. OK, I I just want to pre warn
- 1:17:54you guys, this week might be a little strange, but you'll get a
- 1:18:00show nonetheless. Anyways guys, I appreciate you
- 1:18:02guys. I'll see you tomorrow.
- 1:18:03Have a good rest of your day, you know, stack some sats, eat
- 1:18:07some good food, call your loved ones, get outside, get a walk,
- 1:18:11get some sun on ya, all that good stuff.
- 1:18:15We're going to get a glimpse at the hobby cave.
- 1:18:19You're going to you're going to see a a blank white wall.
- 1:18:21OK, That's basically all you're going to get.
- 1:18:23All right. Anyways, peace out guys, have a
- 1:18:27good rest of your day. I'll catch you tomorrow.
- 1:18:30Today's episode was brought to you by bitcoinwell.com, a
- 1:18:33Bitcoin only platform on a mission to enable financial
- 1:18:36independence.