Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Coinbase v. SEC Over!🎉Technical Analysis w/ Investing Broz

Transcript

Coinbase v. SEC Over!🎉Technical Analysis w/ Investing Broz · The Paul Barron Crypto Show

0:06
Speaker 1: My name is Paul Berre. Welcome back into tech path.
0:08
Speaker 1: Also joining me today is going to be one of
0:10
Speaker 1: our traders and he is going to break down all
0:12
Speaker 1: sorts of tokens. You guys don't want to miss it,
0:14
Speaker 1: so stay tuned here. I do want to thank our sponsor,
0:16
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0:18
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0:27
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0:35
Speaker 1: many things that you should be doing out there. Check
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Speaker 1: this one out. Use our link down below. It's going
0:40
Speaker 1: to give you one hundred dollars funding reward to get started.
0:43
Speaker 1: Joining me today, of course, is none other than mister
0:45
Speaker 1: Tim Warren coming in from Investing Bros. I will start
0:49
Speaker 1: it off with this. If you guys are not subscribed
0:51
Speaker 1: to Tim's channel, go right here. This is your chance.
0:55
Speaker 1: Before we get started. We're not going to give you
0:57
Speaker 1: one trade until you subscribe right now. Get in there
1:02
Speaker 1: and subscribe to his channel. And he's doing some good
1:05
Speaker 1: work out there. But anyway, good to see you, Tam.
1:06
Speaker 1: How are you.
1:07
Speaker 2: I'm doing good, very very glad to be with you. You
1:10
Speaker 2: got people will see. I'm in a different background. My
1:13
Speaker 2: house up in Georgia flooded, so now funks you with
1:16
Speaker 2: the washing machine, So it's okay. It's a rental. They're
1:19
Speaker 2: fixing it. Not gonna cost me a dollar. But while
1:21
Speaker 2: they're fixing it, my wife and I came down to
1:23
Speaker 2: Florida with some family, so I'll be back next week
1:25
Speaker 2: in my normal background. But it's glad. Hey, good to
1:28
Speaker 2: be here with you again, Paul.
1:30
Speaker 1: Florida's okay. I mean right now, there's some pretty cold weather,
1:32
Speaker 1: so you're in good shape, you know.
1:33
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, already. I'm loving this Florida trip so far.
1:36
Speaker 2: I think it's like forty degrees where we are right now.
1:38
Speaker 2: So that's nice.
1:39
Speaker 1: That's that's lovely. Let's go over to a clip I
1:42
Speaker 1: want to play for you. This is Brian Armstrong talking
1:45
Speaker 1: about the news. Let's go ahead and cupe that one.
1:48
Speaker 3: Yeah, in twenty twenty three, they came to us and said,
1:50
Speaker 3: we think you're trading securities on your platform. But the
1:52
Speaker 3: problem with that is, if you go back to just
1:54
Speaker 3: a few years prior we had gone public, we'd explained
1:56
Speaker 3: everything about our business to the SEC. They asked us
1:59
Speaker 3: a questions. They knew exactly what our listing process was
2:02
Speaker 3: and how we took a very conservative approach. And then
2:04
Speaker 3: a few years later the political climate changed and they
2:07
Speaker 3: suddenly changed their mind. But that's not how it works.
2:10
Speaker 3: If you're a regulator, you can't just make up new
2:12
Speaker 3: rules if you don't like the existing ones. They have
2:14
Speaker 3: to follow the law and they have to publish clear
2:16
Speaker 3: rules that the industry can then adhere to. And so
2:19
Speaker 3: this case was bogus, and we were right on the facts.
2:23
Speaker 3: If we hadn't stood up for our customers' rights and
2:25
Speaker 3: actually pushed back against this, it could have been the
2:27
Speaker 3: end of the crypto industry in America. So what we're
2:28
Speaker 3: told is that next week the Commissioners will vote on it.
2:31
Speaker 3: It seems to be a formality at this point, but
2:33
Speaker 3: the staff are they're telling us, they're recommending to the
2:35
Speaker 3: Commissioners that this be fully withdrawn. And I want to
2:38
Speaker 3: be clear, this is not a settlement where we pay
2:40
Speaker 3: some fine and admit some wrongdoing. This is just they're
2:43
Speaker 3: fully withdrawing the case and so we don't. We're not
2:45
Speaker 3: changing anything about the business. We're not paying a single
2:47
Speaker 3: dollar as a fine, which I believe is quite unprecedented
2:51
Speaker 3: in SEC history.
2:52
Speaker 1: This is fantastic news. I mean the fact and this
2:55
Speaker 1: is something we've talked about here on this chat. I know,
2:58
Speaker 1: is that we've been behind coinbase Hall alone and saying
3:00
Speaker 1: this is absolutely going to get dropped at some point
3:03
Speaker 1: to Armstrong's benefit. This is the case right now, and
3:06
Speaker 1: of course I think he hit on it, and that
3:08
Speaker 1: is that the administration shift has really made the difference.
3:12
Speaker 1: The scary thing here, Tim is that this was a
3:16
Speaker 1: near miss on a cataclysmic crypto hit in the United
3:21
Speaker 1: States had something like this went through. So man, we
3:24
Speaker 1: don't know how lucky we are on this deal for sure.
3:26
Speaker 2: What do you think this is doing to the market. Yeah,
3:30
Speaker 2: I mean, obviously right now at the time we're recording
3:32
Speaker 2: this video, we're dropping in price. And I think you
3:36
Speaker 2: might talk about on the video as well. Obviously there's
3:37
Speaker 2: that big hack that happened with Ribit where Ethereum wallsh
3:41
Speaker 2: were hacked. Ada as a whole, as we're going to
3:44
Speaker 2: look at in the charts here for a little bit.
3:45
Speaker 2: I actually told our trading community this morning that I
3:47
Speaker 2: was expecting bitcoin to drop down to ninety sixty three,
3:51
Speaker 2: and that was before the bibit news came out. Of course,
3:53
Speaker 2: the bibit news has been coincidental. I know a lot
3:56
Speaker 2: of that fut has actually been dispelled at this point,
3:58
Speaker 2: but I don't know if this is going to have
4:01
Speaker 2: short term ramifications. This coin based news, it's fantastic news.
4:05
Speaker 2: And this goes into that stockpile of news that we've
4:09
Speaker 2: heard over the last month. We've heard nothing that sparks
4:12
Speaker 2: the bullishness right now, but we've heard so many things
4:14
Speaker 2: about the future of how America is going to treat
4:17
Speaker 2: cryptocurrency right that should make everybody at least long term pulls.
4:20
Speaker 2: Even if you're barish right now, even if you think
4:22
Speaker 2: bitcoin's going to drop down like seventy five thousand, even
4:25
Speaker 2: if you think all coins have further to bleed, you
4:27
Speaker 2: might be bearished for the next couple of months, but
4:29
Speaker 2: you can't be bearished for the next couple of years.
4:32
Speaker 2: And hearing this confirmation from Brian is very good.
4:35
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, you got one hundred and eight k bitcoin prices,
4:38
Speaker 1: what everybody's pointing to You're saying that we could see
4:40
Speaker 1: this dip before we start to see another opportunity going up.
4:43
Speaker 1: And a couple of points they're hitting on in this chart.
4:46
Speaker 1: One thing, of course, is they're getting in some of
4:48
Speaker 1: the macro side Jabis claims exceeding the median forecast. This
4:51
Speaker 1: is four thousand to reach two hundred nineteen thousand round.
4:54
Speaker 1: So that's a sign right there that the labor market
4:56
Speaker 1: may not withstand longer periods of this policy as it
5:01
Speaker 1: is today. And zero likelihood of the Fed doing an
5:04
Speaker 1: interest cut. So that's another factor which is coming up,
5:07
Speaker 1: you know here in a few weeks, so likely as
5:09
Speaker 1: we'll see another pause. I don't think we're going to
5:11
Speaker 1: see a hike. But if you look at the bitcoin
5:13
Speaker 1: chart right now, show me what you're thinking when you
5:17
Speaker 1: look at a ninety six k bitcoin and why you
5:20
Speaker 1: think it's going back there.
5:22
Speaker 2: Yeah. I'll preface this, Paul by letting everybody know, even
5:25
Speaker 2: though I was confidence pullback, you got right now it's
5:28
Speaker 2: recording this. We're three hundred dollars, six hundred dollars away
5:31
Speaker 2: from my target. Not a massive deal, But what I'm
5:34
Speaker 2: talking about with this pullback is actually going to be
5:37
Speaker 2: bullish if I'm right on how this plays out. And
5:39
Speaker 2: with that, let's go ahead and take a look at
5:41
Speaker 2: the bitcoin chart. What I was looking at this morning
5:44
Speaker 2: again before the by bit news, was the Luxaugo oscillator
5:48
Speaker 2: on the four hour chart that gave us a red reversal,
5:52
Speaker 2: a gray bearish dot on the hyperwave, and then in
5:55
Speaker 2: the middle here this is the money flow, the money
5:58
Speaker 2: flow starting to go negative, meaning money was pulled out
6:01
Speaker 2: of bitcoin here at least this is the bitcoin I
6:04
Speaker 2: think over coin based chart, but it's very accurate compared
6:06
Speaker 2: to other things as well. So that's where I said, hey,
6:09
Speaker 2: sell off is coming. This is my favorite cell signal
6:11
Speaker 2: using the lux Ago oscillator and what I always love
6:14
Speaker 2: to do. But we're gonna find some confluence here and
6:16
Speaker 2: I'll explain why this is so bullish. Whenever I see
6:18
Speaker 2: a cell signal, I turn on the signals and overlays
6:21
Speaker 2: from lux Ago, and I take a look at where
6:23
Speaker 2: the blue smart trail is. If we're above it, it's blue,
6:25
Speaker 2: if we're below it, it's red. I always take a
6:27
Speaker 2: look at that smart trail. Guess where that smart shill's coming?
6:30
Speaker 2: Right in at right here, just south of ninety six
6:32
Speaker 2: three hundred, so it's actually like ninety six to two.
6:35
Speaker 2: But I told you there's confluence here. You're gonna see
6:38
Speaker 2: here as I turn this off. This also is the
6:40
Speaker 2: former resistance level that just the other day we broke through.
6:44
Speaker 2: This is a resistance level that's been in play since
6:47
Speaker 2: the all time high set back here in January. And
6:50
Speaker 2: even though we kind of wrestled with it and had
6:51
Speaker 2: a couple of wicks break above it here in late January,
6:55
Speaker 2: you can see we've stayed below this line the whole time. Well,
6:58
Speaker 2: the other day we did something very important. We broke
7:01
Speaker 2: through this line, closing several four hour candles above it.
7:05
Speaker 2: We even have now closed a daily candle, and we're
7:07
Speaker 2: working on opening and closing a daily candle above it.
7:10
Speaker 2: But you're also gonna see we broke above the last
7:14
Speaker 2: former high in this trend, which means for the first
7:17
Speaker 2: time since all time highs on bitcoin, technically speaking, bitcoin
7:21
Speaker 2: has changed from lower highs and lower lows to now
7:24
Speaker 2: we put in a higher high. And the question becomes,
7:27
Speaker 2: can we confirm and set the higher low? Well, guess
7:30
Speaker 2: what if I'm right, and if this is the bottom
7:33
Speaker 2: of that pullback ninety six three, ninety six to two.
7:37
Speaker 2: You're coming down here. You're bouncing off that four hour
7:39
Speaker 2: smart trail. You're also bouncing off the former resistance level
7:42
Speaker 2: and turning the support called a retest, and then you're
7:45
Speaker 2: making a way to the upside. That would confirm not
7:47
Speaker 2: only do we now have a higher high appear, but
7:50
Speaker 2: this could also be the first higher low in a
7:53
Speaker 2: new bullish trend. The other reason that happened this morning
7:56
Speaker 2: that I would say is a big catalyst for why
7:58
Speaker 2: we need to come down about that distance. We're finding
8:01
Speaker 2: further confluence here is taking a look at liquidation charts.
8:04
Speaker 2: Let me get rid of this. You can see bright
8:07
Speaker 2: bright yellow right here. Anyone who reads liquidations charts knows
8:10
Speaker 2: what that means is there are millions of dollars worth
8:12
Speaker 2: of fresh longs that were created on the breakout that
8:16
Speaker 2: experienced traders are saying, Hey, we have an excuse to
8:19
Speaker 2: come down and liquidate these long positions. Come down here
8:21
Speaker 2: in ninety six three, get rid of them, and then
8:23
Speaker 2: when everyone turns barish because they see all this negative menum,
8:26
Speaker 2: we can buy it back up and start to attack
8:29
Speaker 2: all of the liquidations to the high side, and of
8:31
Speaker 2: course we got to zoom out here and you look
8:33
Speaker 2: at larger timeframes, we have massive long liquidations piling up
8:37
Speaker 2: all the way back towards one ten. We have some
8:40
Speaker 2: to the south too, But right now I do think
8:42
Speaker 2: the markets are making some moves to convince me that
8:45
Speaker 2: the bulls are ready to make a push. We just
8:47
Speaker 2: need to set that higher load and match our new
8:49
Speaker 2: higher high Let's clear out those liquidations, start fresh, and
8:53
Speaker 2: then we can make a move even further forward. That's
8:55
Speaker 2: kind of what I'm reading at the moment.
8:56
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean the analyst that we just showed a
8:59
Speaker 1: second the chart was very similar to that in the
9:02
Speaker 1: sense that this is a potential for an early entry
9:06
Speaker 1: on the breakout. But getting down to the downside in
9:08
Speaker 1: terms around that ninety six to two range I think
9:10
Speaker 1: is going to be pretty This is going to be
9:13
Speaker 1: critical too, because if we break below that, that will
9:15
Speaker 1: be an interesting playout. That'll be a different game. As
9:18
Speaker 1: it starts to become a little bit more bearish on bitcoin. Obviously,
9:21
Speaker 1: the by bit news hit and the one thing that
9:25
Speaker 1: was going on here it was ethereum that was hacked.
9:28
Speaker 1: So Ethereum took an immediate I think on this next week. Yeah,
9:32
Speaker 1: took an immediate he had six percent right there after
9:34
Speaker 1: the confirmation. One point four billion E falls off what
9:38
Speaker 1: was really a good trend right before this, which was
9:41
Speaker 1: holding it around twenty eight hundred. How does this show
9:45
Speaker 1: up for ethereum long term? Do you think this is
9:48
Speaker 1: just a small pothole that we're in right now? What's
9:51
Speaker 1: your opinion?
9:53
Speaker 2: Yeah, so this is a I don't want to call
9:55
Speaker 2: it a full blown black Swan event, because a black
9:58
Speaker 2: Swan event carries ca that would say like something catastrophic's
10:02
Speaker 2: gonna happen. But it was a surprise. I mean, no
10:04
Speaker 2: one holding a theory in this morning was prepared for
10:06
Speaker 2: this kind of a news and it hit. And so
10:09
Speaker 2: what you're gonna see play out is we did see
10:10
Speaker 2: a big, big bearish candle here on the ethereum chart
10:14
Speaker 2: over the last couple of hours. It's still bleeding, just
10:16
Speaker 2: like Bitcoin is. But I think what's really good is
10:19
Speaker 2: that was a pretty large hack that happened. It came
10:21
Speaker 2: out of nowhere. I think there was an initial response
10:24
Speaker 2: thinking that this was maybe another major exchange fallout. It's looking,
10:29
Speaker 2: at least from what I'm seeing, the CEO of bid.
10:31
Speaker 2: It is saying that everything is solvent. They're just working
10:34
Speaker 2: to try to recover the funds. But even if they
10:36
Speaker 2: don't recover the funds, everything's going to be okay. What
10:38
Speaker 2: I'm still here though, if you're just a chartist, you
10:41
Speaker 2: might say, yeah, those are some pretty big bearish candles
10:44
Speaker 2: over the last eight hours, But as a whole, we're
10:47
Speaker 2: still trending in an upward manner here with higher highs
10:50
Speaker 2: and higher lows here on the four hour chart. We're
10:52
Speaker 2: not doing anything special, nothing spiffy just yet. But this
10:56
Speaker 2: is going to take you out to a longer time
10:57
Speaker 2: frame thing that we've been monitoring on our channel. And
11:00
Speaker 2: you got to understand on the larger the timeframe, the
11:02
Speaker 2: longer bisgnles can take to come and play out. Ethereum
11:06
Speaker 2: has been under a bisgnal now for just about a
11:09
Speaker 2: week or so, where you had the green reversal, you
11:11
Speaker 2: had the bullsh momentum, and then you have the start
11:13
Speaker 2: of the positive money flow again. This all kind of
11:15
Speaker 2: came together back around the thirteenth, so a little over
11:18
Speaker 2: a week ago. But I always tell people whenever you
11:20
Speaker 2: have the bi singles, it's not uncommon to see it
11:23
Speaker 2: have a delay or what I call a manipulated play
11:26
Speaker 2: for about twelve candles, and sure enough, right now we're
11:30
Speaker 2: still within that window. If Ethereum does decide to finally
11:34
Speaker 2: go to the upside, and this is a bullsh sign
11:36
Speaker 2: something really bad happened to Ethereum, it's still pretty in
11:38
Speaker 2: higher high and higher lows. I'm looking bare minimum three
11:41
Speaker 2: thousand to get back up here. But if you look
11:45
Speaker 2: at this other trend line I was showing our community
11:47
Speaker 2: the other day, let me turn off lux for a
11:49
Speaker 2: second to make it clear. We're retesting this blue line
11:52
Speaker 2: right here. We're retesting a very significant upper trend of
11:56
Speaker 2: a support level that Ethereum has been using since the
11:58
Speaker 2: bear market bottom back in June of twenty twinty two.
12:01
Speaker 2: And look at the big rallies Paul, after touching this
12:04
Speaker 2: support level, after dropping to it, look at the different heights.
12:08
Speaker 2: Ethereum rallies in a couple of weeks, one hundred and
12:10
Speaker 2: thirty percent back there in twenty point two, it comes down,
12:12
Speaker 2: touches it again. Over the next couple of months, it
12:14
Speaker 2: rallies one hundred percent, comes down, touches again. This is
12:17
Speaker 2: the big one here. I got to scroll up to
12:19
Speaker 2: get here. After touching it again, Ethereum would rally one
12:21
Speaker 2: hundred and seventy three percent, And even this most recent
12:23
Speaker 2: time we dragged on that line, but after we finally
12:26
Speaker 2: decided it was time to go up Ethereum, it was
12:28
Speaker 2: the smallest one of them all, seventy two percent. Even
12:31
Speaker 2: if you look at the low end of that and
12:33
Speaker 2: you say seventy two percent again, we're still talking about
12:35
Speaker 2: brand new all time highs. We're still talking about getting
12:37
Speaker 2: up over forty five hundred dollars. But I could easily
12:40
Speaker 2: see with Ethereum being more stifled recently, despite the fundamentals
12:44
Speaker 2: being strong and the team being strong, I wouldn't be
12:47
Speaker 2: surprised to see another one hundred and seventy two hundred
12:48
Speaker 2: percent rally and see in the next couple of months
12:51
Speaker 2: a prediction I made a while ago, seven thousand is
12:54
Speaker 2: going to be a very interesting level to watch for
12:56
Speaker 2: Ethereum over the next couple of months. Can we start
12:59
Speaker 2: an the next big rally. We're seeing some small term
13:02
Speaker 2: positive signs and history is a big fan of this
13:05
Speaker 2: type of move off the support bounce, but we do
13:07
Speaker 2: have to wait to see it kind of come to confirmation.
13:10
Speaker 1: Well, and this is something that I think ETH has
13:12
Speaker 1: been due. You know, if you look at some of
13:15
Speaker 1: the scenarios that we've seen with Solana running out very
13:17
Speaker 1: early in what we thought was going to be an
13:20
Speaker 1: all coin market, but in fact we saw a reversal,
13:23
Speaker 1: and if you compare that to what's happening in Solana,
13:26
Speaker 1: it's kind of interesting to see this play out for Eth.
13:29
Speaker 1: I'm with you, I'm very bullish on ETH right now.
13:31
Speaker 1: I'm looking at this long term in terms of really
13:33
Speaker 1: starting to I think, maybe lead out this all coin
13:37
Speaker 1: season finally, which we will get one. Hopefully Eth will
13:40
Speaker 1: be the one that does that. Again, what about Solana
13:42
Speaker 1: right now? You've got a forty percent decline in user activity,
13:46
Speaker 1: mean coin rug pulls happening left and right. Everybody's starting
13:49
Speaker 1: to smash on Solana. It went back up a little bit,
13:53
Speaker 1: back over one seventy. But will this hurt Solana long
13:57
Speaker 1: term or do you feel like this is just a
13:59
Speaker 1: side swipe for Solona?
14:02
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think something is really important. Whenever you start
14:05
Speaker 2: to ask a question, is a coin in trouble or
14:09
Speaker 2: is it still positive? I always tell people before you
14:12
Speaker 2: freak out, zoom out. Okay, right now, what's the negative
14:16
Speaker 2: news that everyone's worried about. It's the mean coin frenzy.
14:19
Speaker 2: We all know that Solana has benefited from mean coin frenzies.
14:22
Speaker 2: Every single time meme coins are the pot topic, Solona
14:25
Speaker 2: does well. Every single time meme coins kind of get
14:29
Speaker 2: in trouble, Solana is in trouble as well. But with
14:31
Speaker 2: that said, again, I like to zoom out before I freak.
14:34
Speaker 2: Oh gosh, this toggling thing. There we go. If I
14:36
Speaker 2: can get this on all right, I'm just hitting the
14:38
Speaker 2: button two many times. There we go, toggling this on it.
14:40
Speaker 2: So if you look at this chart, right, if you're
14:42
Speaker 2: looking at the daily chart, you're only looking at what
14:44
Speaker 2: Solona's done since March of twenty pointy four. We set
14:48
Speaker 2: new highs in December and in January. Good stuff. But
14:52
Speaker 2: it doesn't look like the most interesting chart, right. Well,
14:55
Speaker 2: that's why you zoom out and you take a look
14:57
Speaker 2: at the long term perspective here if it wants to
14:59
Speaker 2: look mode Solana is I want to say one of
15:04
Speaker 2: because I'm not gonna sit here and say it'fty only.
15:06
Speaker 2: But it's one of the very few alt coins that
15:09
Speaker 2: actually technically has set a new all time high, but
15:11
Speaker 2: it was still around for the majority of the twenty
15:14
Speaker 2: twenty and twenty twenty one bull market. Right, almost no
15:16
Speaker 2: other coin is doing what Solana is doing. And yes,
15:19
Speaker 2: Solana has had a pull up. Here if you want
15:22
Speaker 2: to look at percentages from that all time high set
15:24
Speaker 2: in January, we're currently down forty percent. But to me,
15:28
Speaker 2: when I zoom out and look at this chart and
15:29
Speaker 2: I see a continual higher highs and higher lows, I
15:33
Speaker 2: actually sit here and say, you know what Solana loves
15:35
Speaker 2: to do when it wants to cool off. Solana loves
15:38
Speaker 2: to fall forty to forty five percent. It did it
15:41
Speaker 2: back here in the summer of twenty twenty four. It
15:43
Speaker 2: did it right back here. Let's go back to this
15:45
Speaker 2: collapse in July twenty one three forty five percent. Forty
15:48
Speaker 2: five percent seems to be a magical number for Solana
15:51
Speaker 2: on these pullbacks. Guess what we have right now from
15:55
Speaker 2: the all time high on Solana. If you go from
15:57
Speaker 2: the top to the bottom, we roughly had a forty
15:59
Speaker 2: five percent pullback. You're also gonna see, similar to what
16:02
Speaker 2: I was talking about with Bitcoin, with what we call
16:03
Speaker 2: a retest the former resistance trend from last summer has
16:08
Speaker 2: now been used three times as support and even though
16:10
Speaker 2: we have a couple of weeks down below, you can
16:12
Speaker 2: see here a massive buy up as we retested that
16:16
Speaker 2: supply level or that support level. That is a very
16:19
Speaker 2: big win for Solona. And even though we don't quite
16:22
Speaker 2: have a daily by signal yet, we're very close with
16:25
Speaker 2: GREENI versal bulls from minimum. We just see that money
16:27
Speaker 2: flow to go positive. We are seeing the twelve hour
16:29
Speaker 2: chart printing a BI signal and this one you see
16:32
Speaker 2: this bright red mark right here. This is called excessive sellers.
16:36
Speaker 2: This is one of the cool features of Luxlagwa has
16:38
Speaker 2: those excessive sellers that were suppressing price pretty much starting
16:41
Speaker 2: back here on February fifth. They are now gone. So
16:44
Speaker 2: we not only have a BI sgnal, I call these
16:46
Speaker 2: super BI signals in our community. And at the very
16:49
Speaker 2: bare minimum, we're talking about a move for Solana back
16:52
Speaker 2: up here towards two hundred dollars. Daily chart's gonna tell
16:55
Speaker 2: us again up here probably two eighteen to twenty, but
16:59
Speaker 2: this is one I'm already starting to look back up
17:01
Speaker 2: at the red reversal cloud saying I think three hundred
17:04
Speaker 2: dollars is coming for Solona soon. It hasn't officially broken
17:08
Speaker 2: structure yet. You can see if you got a lower timeframes,
17:11
Speaker 2: it very clearly is still in a lower high and
17:14
Speaker 2: lower low category. So you're not gonna get You're not
17:16
Speaker 2: gonna get overwhelming positive feelings until you break back above
17:20
Speaker 2: two hundred instead a new higher high. But if you
17:23
Speaker 2: want to be aggressive, anyone wants to be aggressive and
17:25
Speaker 2: buy the dip on Solana, you're not that far removed
17:28
Speaker 2: from the dip back here at one sixty one. And
17:30
Speaker 2: historically this is the time piod where people this forty
17:34
Speaker 2: five percent dip is the time period where people have
17:36
Speaker 2: been buying the perfect bottom on Solana before the next
17:39
Speaker 2: big takeoff. So that's kind of what I've done. I
17:41
Speaker 2: bought Solana the other day about one seventy and even
17:45
Speaker 2: though I'm just a dollar eighty five in profit in
17:47
Speaker 2: price action, it's a long term buy. So I'm holding on.
17:50
Speaker 2: I'm still expecting much bigger things to come.
17:52
Speaker 1: Okay, what about if you look at the soul eth
17:56
Speaker 1: chart right now of how it would compare when you
18:00
Speaker 1: look at the trade variation.
18:01
Speaker 2: What I'm seeing right here, Paul, is this, I'm kind
18:05
Speaker 2: of seeing a rising trend here. That is saying we're
18:08
Speaker 2: on the bottom end of this trend. We're hitting some
18:11
Speaker 2: support levels. Now what becomes important is what does it
18:13
Speaker 2: look like from an oscillator perspective. On the daily chart,
18:16
Speaker 2: the money flows negative, but we are getting reversals and
18:19
Speaker 2: bullish momentum. I wonder how low I have to go
18:21
Speaker 2: to get a bisignal. Not very far twelve hour. On
18:24
Speaker 2: the twelve hour chart, Solana is projecting to outpace ethereum
18:29
Speaker 2: over again. If this is a twelve hour chart we're
18:30
Speaker 2: talking about the next week to two weeks is the thought,
18:33
Speaker 2: it should be making its way back up here towards
18:36
Speaker 2: point zero seven. But again, that should probably bleed into
18:39
Speaker 2: a daily chart, by which you'll probably oh, look at
18:41
Speaker 2: a bouncer right off the Daily Smart Show. That's a
18:43
Speaker 2: perfect bounce right there. As well. This will probably leaked
18:46
Speaker 2: and leak and leak. I wouldn't be surprised to seet
18:48
Speaker 2: back up here at the top of this resistance new
18:49
Speaker 2: all time highs over the next couple of weeks.
18:52
Speaker 1: Okay, so that kind of validates your point as the
18:55
Speaker 1: soul could be a little bit more bullish right now,
18:57
Speaker 1: at least in the near term going forward, Let's talk
19:00
Speaker 1: about XRP ETF looks like it's gonna happen. To Graysale,
19:04
Speaker 1: XRPATF countdown has now begun a lot happening because they
19:08
Speaker 1: filed with the Federal Register. Most likely going to see
19:11
Speaker 1: this occur. If this occurs, you look at the XRP
19:15
Speaker 1: chart and you think that's been hovering around two fifty
19:18
Speaker 1: to three dollars for quite some time here after its
19:20
Speaker 1: run up. Do we see a potential explosion on XRP
19:25
Speaker 1: in the next little bit if we see an ETF land.
19:29
Speaker 2: Oh absolutely, I mean we'll look at the charts. But
19:31
Speaker 2: news like that absolutely would bring more adoption, more excitement
19:35
Speaker 2: to XRP. But I love what you said there that
19:38
Speaker 2: people need to remember. This is again zoom out before
19:41
Speaker 2: you freak out what you said. Have you been hovering
19:44
Speaker 2: around two fifty? Another word for hovering would be consolidating.
19:48
Speaker 2: So it's more about what what are we consolidating at.
19:51
Speaker 2: What's the details of the consolidation. I want to show
19:53
Speaker 2: you guys this chart. I'm zoomed in first, but I
19:55
Speaker 2: want to show you we're trading on a short term
19:58
Speaker 2: below this red trending level and a of this green
20:01
Speaker 2: trending level, So consolidation in a symmetrical triangle pattern. These
20:06
Speaker 2: symmetric triangle patterns normally and we say roughly about seventy
20:09
Speaker 2: percent of the time, so more than two out of
20:12
Speaker 2: three times. If you're bullish heading into this type of pattern,
20:15
Speaker 2: you're more than likely going to head bullish outside of it.
20:18
Speaker 2: The simplicity here, I'm really gonna go back to this
20:20
Speaker 2: this level right here, you would take this opening, you'd
20:23
Speaker 2: move it over to a breakout spot. You would say
20:26
Speaker 2: XRP based off this analysis, should be heading towards four
20:29
Speaker 2: dollars and fifty five cents, right this is the more
20:32
Speaker 2: conservative level when we eventually get a breakout and assuming
20:36
Speaker 2: that breakouts to the upside. But there's good reason to
20:38
Speaker 2: assume that. But what's even more bullish again consolidating Zoom
20:42
Speaker 2: out before you freak out. Why is XRP consolidating so long?
20:45
Speaker 2: It's because it had such a massive blast off in
20:49
Speaker 2: November up until January of this year's ever since Donald
20:53
Speaker 2: Trump was announced as the President of the United States,
20:56
Speaker 2: even before he was inaugurated. When he was announced, we
20:59
Speaker 2: have expled loaded. Nothing is been outpacing XRP except for
21:03
Speaker 2: maybe bitcoin. And this is a very positive sign. But
21:07
Speaker 2: what some people are gonna take a look at here
21:08
Speaker 2: and say, this is one of my predictions for their
21:10
Speaker 2: bull market top. If you take a flagpole like this
21:13
Speaker 2: and attach it to a pennant or a cemeentric triangle
21:17
Speaker 2: pattern and move it to the breakout, this would predict
21:19
Speaker 2: the XARP. I think a little bit ago. I'll have
21:21
Speaker 2: to evaluate this, but twelve dollars what I had earlier,
21:24
Speaker 2: right now it's telling me closer towards fifteen. I have
21:26
Speaker 2: to play with this, and I don't think I'm drawing
21:27
Speaker 2: the line correctly, But north of ten dollars for XRP,
21:31
Speaker 2: I have that as my level. I think that a
21:34
Speaker 2: realistic price prediction for XRP is gonna be somewhere in
21:37
Speaker 2: the realm of just over ten, probably eleven to twelve dollars.
21:40
Speaker 2: But I do have a hey, if the stars keep
21:42
Speaker 2: aligning an XRP does well, don't sleep on a sixteen
21:46
Speaker 2: dollars price prediction for XRP. This is a consolidation after
21:51
Speaker 2: a major, major rally. A lot of times that just
21:54
Speaker 2: means this whole tool it's gearing up, it's getting ready
21:58
Speaker 2: for the next big move and that x big move
22:00
Speaker 2: and low end four fifty, high end north of ten dollars.
22:04
Speaker 2: The A lot of extrap fans are gonna like to
22:05
Speaker 2: hear that, But this news is gonna be very good
22:07
Speaker 2: for it. Trump endorse it pretty much on True Social
22:10
Speaker 2: the other day. They have very big news for it.
22:12
Speaker 2: I wouldn't sleep on XRP.
22:14
Speaker 1: Yeah, And there's just so many things that you know,
22:15
Speaker 1: we've been reporting on here recently in terms of the
22:18
Speaker 1: XRP news that have been coming out Europe, what we've
22:20
Speaker 1: seen on the payment rails. Also, we're going to most
22:23
Speaker 1: likely see in terms of maybe a blockchain selection even
22:27
Speaker 1: inside the US government. So lot and brewing for Ripple.
22:30
Speaker 1: Let's go over to Doze because this is one that
22:33
Speaker 1: you know, is kind of correlated to what Elon is
22:35
Speaker 1: doing with the government efficiency program. But yet at the
22:41
Speaker 1: same time, we haven't seen Doze really launching itself. And
22:45
Speaker 1: if you look at the polymarket right here, this is
22:47
Speaker 1: a doe GTF approved in twenty twenty five, people still
22:50
Speaker 1: putting this at a high relation ship for a possibility.
22:53
Speaker 1: Why have we not seen doge move a little bit better?
22:57
Speaker 1: Especially with Doze, you know kind of connected to this
23:01
Speaker 1: in reality. Even Elon mentioned this the other day, is
23:04
Speaker 1: that Doge the Department of Government Efficiency is a meme
23:08
Speaker 1: in itself, and it was all built off of the token.
23:12
Speaker 2: Yeah, we're talking about one of the most intelligent humans
23:16
Speaker 2: on the planet who's gone silent on crypto after being
23:19
Speaker 2: pretty vocal on it in the past. Yeah. I don't
23:21
Speaker 2: think that that's an accident. I'm not ready to say
23:24
Speaker 2: that he's given up on Doge. In fact, I think
23:26
Speaker 2: he still holds Doge very close to his heart. We're
23:27
Speaker 2: talking about Doge the crypto, not Doge the government department.
23:31
Speaker 2: But he understands that when he speaks and when he
23:34
Speaker 2: does things, it has massive implications. Sure, well, you can't
23:39
Speaker 2: blame a person for being self aware and understanding that
23:42
Speaker 2: and knowing he needs to be careful what he says
23:45
Speaker 2: when he says it, but also when he's good and ready,
23:48
Speaker 2: he full well knows that if he tweets a picture
23:52
Speaker 2: of the Doge dog tomorrow that this price will skyrocket.
23:55
Speaker 2: He has that kind of a power. What I'm looking
23:58
Speaker 2: at is in way, and I tell people all the time,
24:01
Speaker 2: when you look at the charts, the charts don't tell
24:04
Speaker 2: you as much when, as they tell you what the
24:07
Speaker 2: news tells you when. So I can't tell you when.
24:10
Speaker 2: But I still believe that Doge is going above a dollar.
24:12
Speaker 2: But in the short term we're developing another consolidation on
24:15
Speaker 2: a very bullish pattern. And some people want to say, Tim,
24:17
Speaker 2: this is not a bullish pattern whatsoever. That's a lot
24:20
Speaker 2: of downward action since these highs in December. Doze is
24:23
Speaker 2: down from those highs right now, still fifty percent. But
24:27
Speaker 2: what the pattern is? Anyone who knows technical analysis knows
24:31
Speaker 2: this constriction with lower highs and lower lows but coming
24:33
Speaker 2: close together is called a falling wedge pattern. And if
24:37
Speaker 2: this ends up playing out in the very bare minimum,
24:40
Speaker 2: we should see dose pop when breaking resistance and come
24:43
Speaker 2: back up here towards thirty six cents. I know that's
24:45
Speaker 2: not a new high or anything, but it is something
24:47
Speaker 2: to be aware of. And then this is just one
24:51
Speaker 2: you look at these patterns before. Can we have another
24:53
Speaker 2: run like we had there in twenty many four. This
24:56
Speaker 2: wasn't a wedge, but this was a descending channel, a
24:58
Speaker 2: very barreesss channel, all right, a very bullish channel. But
25:01
Speaker 2: going to the downside, we popped up way above expectation
25:05
Speaker 2: there as well. Could we see potentially, could we see
25:08
Speaker 2: a similar looking position here as well, and watch Doze
25:12
Speaker 2: shoot up here to a dollar based off of the
25:15
Speaker 2: same momentum we just had in November happening after this
25:18
Speaker 2: fallback consolidation as well. That's not solid technical analysis there,
25:22
Speaker 2: So don't take that and say that, oh, Tim just
25:23
Speaker 2: said the ta is showing that we're going to a dollar. No,
25:26
Speaker 2: the ta is showing thirty six cents. But what I'm
25:28
Speaker 2: talking about is momentum. Could could something happen soon that
25:33
Speaker 2: that causes momentum to go back to the upside. The
25:35
Speaker 2: last thing I'll say that doesn't have to do with
25:37
Speaker 2: chart as well, though, is I'm not a doge holder.
25:39
Speaker 2: I like Dose. If anyone would tell own dose, I'm like,
25:41
Speaker 2: hey that I understand why you hold it, but someone
25:44
Speaker 2: wants to put it in a very good light to me.
25:47
Speaker 2: Doge Coin, for a lot of people was their first crypto,
25:50
Speaker 2: their favorite crypto. I think retail investors who lost a
25:54
Speaker 2: lot of money in twenty twenty two have left, and
25:57
Speaker 2: they're gonna start coming back when good crypto announced start
26:00
Speaker 2: coming when the quantitative easing happens, when regulatory clarity comes in.
26:07
Speaker 2: All these people that knew crypto from twenty twenty one
26:10
Speaker 2: to twenty two, they're going to come back and they're
26:12
Speaker 2: going to start asking questions wanting to buy coins that
26:14
Speaker 2: they held back then. So I love the suies and
26:17
Speaker 2: on those things, but these retail measures won't know anything
26:19
Speaker 2: about these new bottoms. They will remember the past, and
26:22
Speaker 2: dogecoin was one of the favorites in the past. Watch
26:25
Speaker 2: it become an OG's favorite once again. When crypto starts
26:29
Speaker 2: getting some legs again.
26:30
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I think you have that one. You have
26:32
Speaker 1: Cardono also, I know that's one of your favorite tokens
26:35
Speaker 1: that also kind of has that OG capacity there. Maybe
26:38
Speaker 1: drawing in back some of the recent retail Let's talk
26:41
Speaker 1: about Avalanche real quick. Avalanche continues their antics on social
26:44
Speaker 1: media as now they have the Pong version. Point is
26:49
Speaker 1: is they're just trying to get attention. It's a funny
26:52
Speaker 1: way to play it out, but the point being, if
26:54
Speaker 1: you look at Avalanche right now, still a very strong chain,
26:58
Speaker 1: but we haven't seen a lot of movement within it
27:00
Speaker 1: over the last almost sixty days now, So what is
27:03
Speaker 1: your opinion and prediction for Avalanche?
27:07
Speaker 2: Yeah, so I've had to update this one. I'm actually
27:11
Speaker 2: very sad that I had the update. I at one
27:13
Speaker 2: point during all of momentum, I really based off where
27:15
Speaker 2: I thought market could get. I thought that AVAX would
27:18
Speaker 2: be like a safe two hundred dollars maybe potentially four
27:21
Speaker 2: hundred dollars play. I'm really now looking at this chart
27:25
Speaker 2: and saying I still believe in it for fundamental reasons,
27:27
Speaker 2: Like Avax is still very strong. Fundamentally, they still have partnerships,
27:31
Speaker 2: they still have relationships, but the momentum just is not there.
27:34
Speaker 2: You're not seeing the same thing. And I can't remember
27:37
Speaker 2: if I said this on the last time I was
27:38
Speaker 2: on your channel, but something really big for me the
27:41
Speaker 2: monitoring a lot of cryptos is I'm asking the question,
27:44
Speaker 2: did we set a new high or high in this
27:46
Speaker 2: cycle in December than March. Like we all know there
27:50
Speaker 2: was a big momentum that came in October twenty twenty
27:52
Speaker 2: three when the bitcoin ets started getting talked about. We
27:55
Speaker 2: all knew there was a big momentum for almost every
27:57
Speaker 2: single crypto out there. That was the That was the
28:00
Speaker 2: first big wave of the bull market. The second one
28:02
Speaker 2: was Donald Trump winning the presidency. But notice on Avax,
28:06
Speaker 2: it's so much smaller and set a lower high. You
28:10
Speaker 2: look at other projects in the real world, asset space,
28:14
Speaker 2: chain link, higher high car. I mean this isn't real
28:17
Speaker 2: ass but cardono higher high Ono higher high, Suye higher high. Right,
28:23
Speaker 2: Avax did not put in that higher high and put
28:25
Speaker 2: in a lower high. And then you take a look
28:27
Speaker 2: at that, and I'm not even gonna compair to the
28:28
Speaker 2: highs of the cycle. Just from the highs of December.
28:31
Speaker 2: It's down pretty dramatically, down fifty five percent. And there's
28:34
Speaker 2: two ways to look at this and say, hey, I'm
28:35
Speaker 2: gonna get AVAX on a deal right now, buying it
28:38
Speaker 2: twenty five dollars twenty four dollars, down fifty five percent.
28:41
Speaker 2: But I do think you have to start asking the
28:43
Speaker 2: question is the momentum of AVAX slowing down? Is it
28:47
Speaker 2: as good of a bide as maybe a chain link
28:49
Speaker 2: or a siuie or an on. Do I still think
28:52
Speaker 2: that one hundred dollars is doable? I still think this
28:54
Speaker 2: is a coin that can get up towards one hundred dollars.
28:57
Speaker 2: Obviously the token umers with different people. And to say, Tim,
28:59
Speaker 2: don't you think get to a new all time high
29:01
Speaker 2: it can, but remember the tokenomics have evolved. Supply was
29:05
Speaker 2: not the same back in December of twenty one. It
29:07
Speaker 2: day is now one hundred dollars to me is a
29:09
Speaker 2: realistic target. And I'm sitting here saying two hundred used
29:13
Speaker 2: to be my kind of low end realistic two one
29:16
Speaker 2: hundred to me would be in a fantastic bullmarket for
29:18
Speaker 2: abex here. And now that's still you know, over you know,
29:21
Speaker 2: a little bit less than a two x from year,
29:23
Speaker 2: a ten x from year, but still a good return
29:25
Speaker 2: for a coin that as you even said, it's it's
29:28
Speaker 2: been disappointing over the last couple of months.
29:31
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that this is the one factor we
29:33
Speaker 1: got to continue to watch on AVAX, because I do
29:35
Speaker 1: see a lot of investors now starting to try to
29:38
Speaker 1: mitigate and or maybe get into more of a portfolio
29:42
Speaker 1: balance because in many cases people have been you know,
29:45
Speaker 1: maybe over over indexing a little bit on Avalanche. Let's
29:50
Speaker 1: talk about Polygon, because you've got a lot of activity
29:52
Speaker 1: happening out here. You Bruno talking about this on Remark
29:55
Speaker 1: Remark of course over but one of the things he
29:57
Speaker 1: said was relaunching Remark on its products, products and games
30:01
Speaker 1: on base instead of Polygon was his absolute worst choice.
30:06
Speaker 1: When he made that, it was still you know remark.
30:08
Speaker 1: And then you have this one right here, and this
30:11
Speaker 1: is potentially wild card migrating over to eth again. So
30:17
Speaker 1: you're getting numbers and you know, thoughts of how and
30:20
Speaker 1: what to do on Polygon as a chain from a
30:23
Speaker 1: developer standpoint. When you look at the chart, do you
30:27
Speaker 1: like Polygon as an investment right now? When you look
30:30
Speaker 1: at the.
30:30
Speaker 2: Chart, Yeah, let's let's answer that in two different ways
30:34
Speaker 2: from the chart perspective. So I'm looking here, let me
30:39
Speaker 2: make sure this is good. Yeah, okay, this is good. Yeah,
30:42
Speaker 2: They've definitely messed with things a little bit. This is
30:45
Speaker 2: this is obviously I'm looking at Matik here. Stay with me, everybody.
30:48
Speaker 2: I know they changed the Polygon, but this is how
30:50
Speaker 2: you see the majority of the previous price action. If
30:52
Speaker 2: you look at the Polygon chart or the polychart, you
30:55
Speaker 2: get not that much information. But even back here, we
30:58
Speaker 2: are just getting brutalized with these lower highs the entire time.
31:03
Speaker 2: It's almost like the Polygon or Matic bear market is
31:06
Speaker 2: not over yet. We just put in a new lower
31:09
Speaker 2: low the other day, right, Polygon went to the lowest
31:12
Speaker 2: price it has been at least since way back in
31:15
Speaker 2: twenty twenty one. It came all the way down here
31:17
Speaker 2: to twenty seven cents. So what this means is, if
31:20
Speaker 2: you're a risk taker, you're not gonna get a lot
31:23
Speaker 2: better of a price action to shoot to the upside.
31:25
Speaker 2: Even if we just come back up to this trend line,
31:27
Speaker 2: come back up towards sixty six cents, that's not a
31:29
Speaker 2: terrible return here at thirty cents. You know, you definitely
31:32
Speaker 2: can double your money on a trade there. But I'm
31:34
Speaker 2: not gonna necessarily put a whole lot of evidence in there.
31:38
Speaker 2: I gave up on Polygon, not definitely, not one of
31:42
Speaker 2: these peaks. Probably one of these valleys here, probably October
31:44
Speaker 2: twenty three. Base has been killing it. You look at
31:48
Speaker 2: other things though, Arbitrum and Optimism, two other layer twos
31:52
Speaker 2: on ethereum, they were outpacing Polygon and doing some things
31:56
Speaker 2: they're not doing well either. I'll tell you this, Paul,
31:58
Speaker 2: I've I've kind of a specially because of Base. And
32:01
Speaker 2: I know this tweet that you just read, the guy
32:02
Speaker 2: said he regrets it. But everything else that Base is
32:05
Speaker 2: doing making it easier to layer on ethereum, I think
32:08
Speaker 2: the Layer twos on Ethereum, the coins, I think they've
32:12
Speaker 2: lost their steam. I think they've lost their purpose. I'm
32:14
Speaker 2: not saying they'll go away, but but if you're gonna,
32:16
Speaker 2: if you think you're gonna make a lot of money
32:17
Speaker 2: on them, I don't think so. I gave up on
32:19
Speaker 2: e Player twos a year and some change ago, and
32:22
Speaker 2: the charts again. An aggressive person's gonna say, man, I
32:25
Speaker 2: can buy this and get a quick, easy pump. I'm
32:27
Speaker 2: looking at it and saying no. The fact that we're
32:29
Speaker 2: just now hitting our all time lows is a sign
32:33
Speaker 2: of a coin that's on its way out, not on
32:35
Speaker 2: the way back.
32:36
Speaker 1: All right, Tim, this is good. I think as we
32:39
Speaker 1: get more into the market, would you put yourself right
32:41
Speaker 1: now fully bullish? Are you still investing in Is it
32:44
Speaker 1: any tokens that we didn't talk about today that you're
32:46
Speaker 1: saying I might go make a trade on something because
32:50
Speaker 1: I am bullish on where this this project is going.
32:54
Speaker 2: Okay, got yeah, So I'm very bullish. I'm very bullish
32:57
Speaker 2: right now based off how the sentiment of the space
32:59
Speaker 2: is the way things are moving. So what I'm doing
33:03
Speaker 2: now as a trader, I am trading bitcoin. I love
33:05
Speaker 2: the bitcoin chart. It's as much as people are frustrated
33:08
Speaker 2: with it. The bitcoin chart has been very easy to
33:11
Speaker 2: read for longs and shorts. So right now is a
33:13
Speaker 2: trader's dream. But I've decided, because all coins are kind
33:16
Speaker 2: of being chaotic, I'm not trading all coins. I'm buying
33:19
Speaker 2: all coin dips and I'm trading bitcoin right now.
33:22
Speaker 1: All right, Tim, it's good seeing you. Thanks again for
33:24
Speaker 1: stopping in today. We'll definitely get you back on soon.
33:26
Speaker 1: And the market looks like it's going to start heating
33:28
Speaker 1: up hopefully soon and we'll start to see some movements.
33:31
Speaker 1: So good luck to you out there. And again, everybody
33:34
Speaker 1: check out Investing Bros over on YouTube and Tim Show.
33:37
Speaker 1: We appreciate it.
33:39
Speaker 2: Awesome. Thanks for having me again.
33:40
Speaker 1: You bet all right. If you guys are not in
33:43
Speaker 1: the Diamond circle, get in right now. It's a great
33:44
Speaker 1: place to get aditional content from us. And we also
33:46
Speaker 1: have our Telegram group down there which continues to grow,
33:50
Speaker 1: so you guys are definitely jumping in. You can join.
33:53
Speaker 1: I'm in there all the time chatting with you. Had
33:55
Speaker 1: a lot of good questions. Yesterday I was going through
33:57
Speaker 1: some of the comments, so I'm very active in there.
34:00
Speaker 1: Check it out below. Of course, you can follow me
34:02
Speaker 1: on x just at Paul Baron. We'll catch you next
34:04
Speaker 1: time right here on Techpath