Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Former Apple Engineer Unveils Jobs' Creative Process
Transcript
- 0:05Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg P and L Podcast. I'm Pim Fox.
- 0:08Speaker 1: Along with my co host Lisa Abramowitz. Each day we
- 0:11Speaker 1: bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for
- 0:15Speaker 1: you and your money, whether you're at the grocery store
- 0:17Speaker 1: or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg P and L
- 0:20Speaker 1: Podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, and Bloomberg dot com. Our
- 0:33Speaker 1: next guest is the author of a new book entitled
- 0:37Speaker 1: Creative Selection, inside Apple's design process during the golden age
- 0:42Speaker 1: of Steve Jobs ken CoA Cienda. He joins us now
- 0:47Speaker 1: in our eleven three oh studios, and he is also
- 0:49Speaker 1: the former principal engineer of iPhone software at Apple. So
- 0:54Speaker 1: if you have any problems with your iPhone, you know
- 0:57Speaker 1: who to ask. Great to have you with us hand.
- 1:00Speaker 1: Thanks for coming in. Thanks so much, it's great to
- 1:02Speaker 1: be here. Tell us why you decided to write this book, Well,
- 1:07Speaker 1: I thought, I think I worked at Apple during an
- 1:09Speaker 1: interesting time in its history. I got the opportunity to
- 1:13Speaker 1: work on some products like the iPhone, but I also
- 1:17Speaker 1: started at the company back in two thousand one one.
- 1:19Speaker 1: Apple was still an underdog and and the iPod hadn't
- 1:23Speaker 1: even been released. Yet and and the Mac was still
- 1:26Speaker 1: the company's main product, and and it was at a
- 1:29Speaker 1: five percent market share in a computer industry dominated by
- 1:32Speaker 1: Microsoft Windows. And so I was I was there. I
- 1:35Speaker 1: was a witness to this effort of Steve Jobs to
- 1:39Speaker 1: make the company relevant again, not only the market but
- 1:42Speaker 1: in people's minds. And and that's with products like the
- 1:45Speaker 1: iPhone and and and the iPod before it. Right, that
- 1:48Speaker 1: that worked out pretty well. So Ken, here we are.
- 1:51Speaker 1: Apple is now worth more than a trillion dollars in
- 1:54Speaker 1: market cap. What point in your tenure at Apple did
- 1:59Speaker 1: you realized, Huh, we're working on something that's really big. Well,
- 2:05Speaker 1: when the iPhone came out, of course, it built upon
- 2:09Speaker 1: the iPod before it, and so Apple had already re
- 2:13Speaker 1: established itself as as as a company worth watching. But
- 2:18Speaker 1: then with the iPhone, uh, and and and the release
- 2:22Speaker 1: of apps, and and the excitement that people had, uh
- 2:27Speaker 1: that they could carry around this computer in their pocket,
- 2:30Speaker 1: and that he could download all of this software that
- 2:33Speaker 1: that opened up all of these these these new software
- 2:36Speaker 1: and hardware networking capabilities to them. Uh, it became clear
- 2:40Speaker 1: to us that that this was something special. Just give
- 2:44Speaker 1: people a little flavor of how you ended up at
- 2:48Speaker 1: Apple because you did not well. You graduated with a
- 2:51Speaker 1: degree from in history, and I understand that you're also
- 2:55Speaker 1: at one point thinking of a career as a motorcycle repair.
- 2:59Speaker 1: So I graduated from college. I had a history degree,
- 3:03Speaker 1: uh and I wanted to do so. Yes, I I
- 3:07Speaker 1: went to Yale uh and and but I wanted to
- 3:10Speaker 1: do something different from from studying and so I I
- 3:15Speaker 1: went to motorcycle mechanics school. I have to say, Uh,
- 3:19Speaker 1: this wasn't the most popular decision with my father, but
- 3:24Speaker 1: my family got behind me and supported me. And so yeah,
- 3:26Speaker 1: I went out to to fix motorcycles. You know, throughout
- 3:29Speaker 1: my throughout my life, throughout my career, I've I've tried
- 3:33Speaker 1: to figure out ways that I could reinvent uh and
- 3:38Speaker 1: and and integrate new new new efforts, new new directions,
- 3:43Speaker 1: new ideas. So ken one thing that I'm struck by
- 3:47Speaker 1: as Apple sort of starts a path forward, how much
- 3:51Speaker 1: was Steve Jobs responsible for the dynamism of Apple? And
- 3:57Speaker 1: you know, does his his death and you know, kind
- 4:00Speaker 1: of the saturation of the Apple products at this point
- 4:03Speaker 1: create a cap and how much further it can go
- 4:05Speaker 1: and innovate? Well, you see Steve created the culture that
- 4:12Speaker 1: we used at Apple to build products. And and to
- 4:16Speaker 1: just talk a little bit about that a second, because
- 4:18Speaker 1: I think it does inform so much about what what
- 4:21Speaker 1: what Apple is and how it how it does its work.
- 4:24Speaker 1: You know, he was a great editor and and and
- 4:27Speaker 1: he set these assignments for people like me a programmer,
- 4:31Speaker 1: and he would evaluate the work that came back, you know,
- 4:33Speaker 1: always with a mind for how these products would fit
- 4:38Speaker 1: into people's lives so that it wouldn't wouldn't be just
- 4:42Speaker 1: a piece of technology, uh, that it would be something
- 4:45Speaker 1: that people would find meaningful and useful for them, you know.
- 4:48Speaker 1: And this this continues on his his his legacy is
- 4:54Speaker 1: still very very strong in the company. Well when you
- 4:56Speaker 1: say meaningful to them, I mean right now we're broadcasting
- 5:00Speaker 1: as these set it hearings go on with Facebook and Twitter,
- 5:04Speaker 1: and I just have to wonder, I mean, given the
- 5:06Speaker 1: fact that people are raising questions about iPhone or smartphone
- 5:10Speaker 1: addictions and that people are using social media that's being
- 5:14Speaker 1: corrupted according to some people buy foreign actors and bots
- 5:19Speaker 1: and the like. You know, does that does that vision
- 5:21Speaker 1: change or is there something about that that has to
- 5:23Speaker 1: change just by nature of where we are right now. Yeah,
- 5:27Speaker 1: I think as a society, as a culture, we are
- 5:31Speaker 1: learning what to do with these new devices and and
- 5:35Speaker 1: and the pervasive part that they play in our lives. Yeah,
- 5:39Speaker 1: where this is still new to us. This technology like
- 5:43Speaker 1: the iPhone didn't exist a dozen years ago, and Twitter
- 5:47Speaker 1: didn't either, and so we are still trying to figure
- 5:53Speaker 1: out how to incorporate these new ideas and these new
- 5:57Speaker 1: capabilities into our life. So it's you know, I'm an optimist.
- 6:00Speaker 1: I think we're going to figure it out. Well, your
- 6:03Speaker 1: book is very optimistic as well, and I gotta say
- 6:05Speaker 1: it is a great read. It's called creative Selection. And
- 6:08Speaker 1: I'm wondering if you could just quickly tell the story
- 6:10Speaker 1: about a demo that you'd made with a gentleman name
- 6:14Speaker 1: Phil Schiller, just had to do with the Corty keyboard
- 6:18Speaker 1: that we're If you've got large thumbs, it's your fault.
- 6:22Speaker 1: Using and creating the keyboard for the iPhone. Is a
- 6:27Speaker 1: fascinating story about collaboration at Apple. Right. Well, you see,
- 6:31Speaker 1: the way that we did work was always based on
- 6:35Speaker 1: demos and and and we used this creative selection process
- 6:40Speaker 1: to Starwinnian process of evolving the projects and and and
- 6:45Speaker 1: the products from these early stage stages where lots of
- 6:49Speaker 1: times the software wasn't very good. And so this this
- 6:53Speaker 1: demo that you're you're mentioning was was an instance where
- 6:56Speaker 1: this early prototype, well, it didn't really work very well
- 6:59Speaker 1: for Phil and like Apple, he said so. And so
- 7:05Speaker 1: you know, for me as a as a product developer
- 7:07Speaker 1: and designer, you had to have a pretty thick skin.
- 7:10Speaker 1: But you had to react to what these people were
- 7:13Speaker 1: saying when they tried to software, because that's the experience
- 7:16Speaker 1: that people have. They walk into an Apple store and
- 7:18Speaker 1: they pick up a device, and they need to decide
- 7:20Speaker 1: if they want to buy it or not. And and
- 7:23Speaker 1: so it was job the job for someone like me
- 7:25Speaker 1: to make sure that the product worked, that that the
- 7:28Speaker 1: experience would be good when people tried the product. Yeah,
- 7:32Speaker 1: and not to get too offended when people say, uh,
- 7:34Speaker 1: it doesn't work for me. I'm sure it was. Yeah. Yeah.
- 7:38Speaker 1: It was then my my role to step in and
- 7:40Speaker 1: figure out what what's making people have that reaction and
- 7:43Speaker 1: to bridge that gap so that the experiences is a
- 7:45Speaker 1: good one rather than uh. Ken Cakscenda, thank you so
- 7:49Speaker 1: much for being with us. Ken Kshnda is author and
- 7:51Speaker 1: former principal engineer of iPhone software at Apple. His new
- 7:55Speaker 1: book is Creative Selection, Inside Apple's design process during the
- 7:59Speaker 1: Golden Age. Steve Jobs chairs of Twitter. They are lower
- 8:17Speaker 1: right now by four and a half percent. As comes
- 8:19Speaker 1: as the chief executive, Jack Dorsey testifies for the Senate
- 8:23Speaker 1: Intelligence Committee. Here to tell us more about these hearings
- 8:26Speaker 1: and the companies is Mark Douglas, the chief executive of Steelhouse.
- 8:31Speaker 1: All Right, Mark Douglass, what do you take away from
- 8:33Speaker 1: the hearings? Is this just a political theater or are
- 8:36Speaker 1: there going to be substantive changes at these social media companies? Um? Hi,
- 8:41Speaker 1: good morning, So Um, I would put a little bit
- 8:44Speaker 1: between those two. I mean, I don't think there's going
- 8:48Speaker 1: to be much that comes from these hearings from a
- 8:52Speaker 1: congressional Senate perspective in terms of legislation that's essentially not
- 8:57Speaker 1: already enacted by these companies. And there's the they already
- 9:00Speaker 1: have controls and plays, they have taken actions and things
- 9:03Speaker 1: like that. But I think the hearings are pretty informative.
- 9:06Speaker 1: I think for anyone that chooses to watch them, like
- 9:08Speaker 1: with the Zuckerberg testimony, you learn a lot. You learn
- 9:11Speaker 1: a lot about how these companies operate, Marco, Who do
- 9:13Speaker 1: you think has performed better today, Jack Dorsey or Cheryl Samberg? Um.
- 9:17Speaker 1: Cheryl Samberg. Jack sings to me personally, UM, fairly nervous.
- 9:22Speaker 1: I think he has never smiled. Demeanor UM, which is
- 9:26Speaker 1: kind of um personally to me doesn't read that well.
- 9:30Speaker 1: I think Cheryl, you know her, her experience as an
- 9:34Speaker 1: executive and kind of comfort just being in front of
- 9:38Speaker 1: a microphone and in a setting, UM seeing she just
- 9:41Speaker 1: kind of comes across much better. Marca, what if you
- 9:44Speaker 1: could comment on the world of advertising as it relates
- 9:47Speaker 1: to social media and whether publishers, those people who purchase
- 9:52Speaker 1: advertising online are they really getting what the social media
- 9:56Speaker 1: companies tell them they're getting or they getting many of
- 10:00Speaker 1: the fake and illegitimate accounts that have also been the
- 10:04Speaker 1: subject of political investigation. Yeah, I mean that's an interesting question.
- 10:10Speaker 1: So the Facebook in particular is widely considered the best
- 10:15Speaker 1: performing advertising platform period um and so, and the way
- 10:20Speaker 1: that measured is two ways, um. Two people click on
- 10:24Speaker 1: the ads and respond to them, and do they purchase
- 10:27Speaker 1: goods and services after they see the ads and the
- 10:30Speaker 1: goods and services You can't the clicks potentially, UM can
- 10:36Speaker 1: be a little you know, maybe a fake box or
- 10:40Speaker 1: something like that can do that. There's not really an
- 10:42Speaker 1: incentive to do it, but people um companies run these
- 10:46Speaker 1: ads and they get the purchases that they're looking for,
- 10:48Speaker 1: they get the consumer response that they're looking for. So
- 10:51Speaker 1: I think, in particular on the social media companies, that's
- 10:54Speaker 1: considered really safe place to advertise and very very high
- 10:57Speaker 1: performing place for advertising the place of money. So, given
- 11:01Speaker 1: your background and your intimate knowledge of how the advertising
- 11:04Speaker 1: works and data collection UH plays out, what is the
- 11:08Speaker 1: question that you would ask both Cheryl Sandberg and Jack
- 11:12Speaker 1: Dorsey and what would you be hoping to hear? Well,
- 11:17Speaker 1: I think what most consumers want to hear. So in
- 11:19Speaker 1: terms of the question, let's say that question was coming
- 11:21Speaker 1: from a consumer perspective, is my data being solved? I
- 11:26Speaker 1: think when I talk to people, they generally understand these
- 11:29Speaker 1: platforms are free and in return for them being free,
- 11:34Speaker 1: that they're going to receive ads, and those ads are
- 11:37Speaker 1: going to be targeted at their interests, words they use
- 11:40Speaker 1: in their profiles, things like that, what they you know,
- 11:43Speaker 1: where I think most people draw the line is are
- 11:45Speaker 1: you selling that data in any way? Are you giving
- 11:48Speaker 1: it away? Are you trading it in any way? And
- 11:50Speaker 1: I think that's um ultimately the real question here. UM.
- 11:54Speaker 1: I know a lot of centers want to talk about
- 11:56Speaker 1: political ads. I think that's another not consumed a question,
- 12:00Speaker 1: but a question that Americans have is is you know
- 12:03Speaker 1: when when their political ad placed, are they legitimate? Are
- 12:07Speaker 1: they real? Um? Those are the two key things. I think,
- 12:10Speaker 1: the consumer data, what's happening with my data? And and
- 12:13Speaker 1: can I trust that the ads I see, particularly in
- 12:16Speaker 1: a political arena, are are legitimate? Thank you so much
- 12:20Speaker 1: for being with us. Mark Douglas, chief executive Officer of
- 12:22Speaker 1: Steelhouse talking about what we've been hearing among the Senate
- 12:27Speaker 1: Intelligence Committee, where we have both Cheryl Sandberg as well
- 12:31Speaker 1: as Jack Dorsey of Facebook and Twitter respectively, testifying in
- 12:35Speaker 1: front of Congress. Really interesting that this hearing was supposed
- 12:38Speaker 1: to be about interference with US elections. We've heard very good.
- 12:44Speaker 1: In fact, I haven't heard anything specifically about the presidential
- 12:50Speaker 1: election or any specifics regarding what the companies have done
- 12:54Speaker 1: to ensure that that doesn't happen with the upcoming the
- 12:57Speaker 1: term elections. Indeed, and there does seem to be a
- 12:59Speaker 1: lot of focus. Potential regulations are oversight of these companies,
- 13:02Speaker 1: and perhaps that's what's leading the tech shares to decline
- 13:05Speaker 1: more than other arrival industries. The market for initial public
- 13:25Speaker 1: offerings in the United States that have been announced more
- 13:28Speaker 1: than twenty seven billion dollars worth of initial public offerings
- 13:32Speaker 1: so far this year a hundred companies. Here to help
- 13:35Speaker 1: us understand the market is Manuel Enrique's founder and chief
- 13:39Speaker 1: executive officer of Hercules Capital. They are based in Palo
- 13:43Speaker 1: Alto and Manuel joins us now and well, thank you
- 13:46Speaker 1: very much for being with us. Tell people a little
- 13:48Speaker 1: bit about Hercules Capital and the kind of money that
- 13:51Speaker 1: you invest and at what stage because you're kind of
- 13:54Speaker 1: at the very beginning for a lot of companies, maybe
- 13:57Speaker 1: between one and forty million dollars of investment capital. Correct. Well,
- 14:02Speaker 1: we kind of helped bridge the gap for companies looking
- 14:05Speaker 1: to expand and grow without having UH to ENCURRG greater
- 14:08Speaker 1: solution and you get either grow by using venture capital
- 14:12Speaker 1: equity dollars or you can grow by having more conservative
- 14:15Speaker 1: bank capital. We fit in that middle void where we
- 14:18Speaker 1: actually help these companies continue to advance or innovations and
- 14:22Speaker 1: their disruptive technologies by preserving more capital ownership to the
- 14:25Speaker 1: original investors, original seat investors, and the founders by using
- 14:30Speaker 1: a vehicle call venture debt, which is what we do. MM. Interesting.
- 14:34Speaker 1: This is especially interesting to me because it comes at
- 14:36Speaker 1: a time where there's increasing focus on how the number
- 14:40Speaker 1: of I p O s has declined significantly in the
- 14:43Speaker 1: United States. SEC Chair Jay Clayton has me that's one
- 14:46Speaker 1: of his priorities to basically prompt more companies to go
- 14:50Speaker 1: public in the US. What's your take on the I
- 14:53Speaker 1: p O market? And you know, do you sort of
- 14:55Speaker 1: agree with people who say that people like you who
- 14:58Speaker 1: offer this bridge finance saying reduced the need to go public. Well,
- 15:03Speaker 1: there's certainly there's there's a lot of factors that question.
- 15:06Speaker 1: I mean, number one, you can go back as far
- 15:08Speaker 1: as decimalization, uh causing an impact on that, Sarbans Oxley
- 15:12Speaker 1: another issue causing that, and then the public shareholders demanding
- 15:17Speaker 1: that business models be more developed and start showing less
- 15:21Speaker 1: of a cash burned before they go public, and all
- 15:24Speaker 1: of that has actually changed, and in fact, fiscal two
- 15:27Speaker 1: thousand and eighteen we're probably seeing one of the most
- 15:29Speaker 1: robust IBO market activities we haven't seen in probably over
- 15:33Speaker 1: a decade and UH So far the first two quarters
- 15:37Speaker 1: of the year have been very very strong, with very
- 15:39Speaker 1: strong performance for companies like for example, to start with,
- 15:42Speaker 1: like Roku alone, UH is up since its i p
- 15:45Speaker 1: almost almost three and a half times and its valuation.
- 15:48Speaker 1: Docu Signed, one of our own portfolio companies, has been
- 15:51Speaker 1: a blockbuster, doing phenomenally well, probably a hundred hundred plus
- 15:55Speaker 1: percent since going public, and there's multiple examples of that
- 15:59Speaker 1: throughout those recent i p o s. But what makes
- 16:01Speaker 1: this I p O market very interesting and very unique.
- 16:04Speaker 1: It is not just subject to the technology tape performing well.
- 16:08Speaker 1: It's also seeing very good strong performance on biotech. So
- 16:11Speaker 1: it's a wide industry uplift that's going on. As investors
- 16:15Speaker 1: continue to clamor for growth, they're seeing that growth coming
- 16:18Speaker 1: from biotech and technology companies. Just to give the detail
- 16:21Speaker 1: about docu Sign, that company went public in March of
- 16:24Speaker 1: the year, a seven hundred and twenty three million dollar
- 16:28Speaker 1: i p O. That share is so far performing a
- 16:31Speaker 1: hundred and twenty three What can you tell us about
- 16:35Speaker 1: investing in the biotechnology industry or medical device business because
- 16:40Speaker 1: those are both areas that you're interested in. Yes, we
- 16:44Speaker 1: have um about the one point five billion of assets
- 16:47Speaker 1: we have invested, literally half of it is invested in
- 16:50Speaker 1: about technology companies from wide array of companies from anywhere
- 16:53Speaker 1: from biotech to medical devices to therapeutic diagnostics UM and
- 16:58Speaker 1: we're seeing a very great strong performance in that area
- 17:01Speaker 1: as well. And we're very happy with what we're seeing
- 17:04Speaker 1: with the results in the biotech companies, despite the fact
- 17:07Speaker 1: that you've been seen this kind of storm cloud forming
- 17:10Speaker 1: on drug prices that has been looming either from the
- 17:13Speaker 1: Clinton administration or sorry when Hillary Clinton was looking at
- 17:16Speaker 1: drug price regulation and now the Trump administration is looking
- 17:19Speaker 1: at drug price regulations. Although we've seen a lot of
- 17:22Speaker 1: that headwind causing some impact in biotechs, we're seeing so
- 17:26Speaker 1: far the industry seems to be brushing that off rightfully,
- 17:29Speaker 1: so because they're making such a great medical advancement that's
- 17:33Speaker 1: going on there. So I'm just wondering, from your perspective,
- 17:36Speaker 1: one's the best time to invest in a company before
- 17:39Speaker 1: they go public at this point or after they go public. Well,
- 17:42Speaker 1: that's a great question, because what Hercules offers to the
- 17:45Speaker 1: shareholders who in our stock is the ability to actually
- 17:48Speaker 1: own some of these high promising pre I p O
- 17:52Speaker 1: PREEM and a companies that are now beyond just a concept.
- 17:56Speaker 1: So we definitely we generally don't invest in a Series
- 17:58Speaker 1: A or Series B we search of development company. We
- 18:01Speaker 1: tend to invest after the company has shown demonstrative progress
- 18:04Speaker 1: in its development. So we try to take as much
- 18:06Speaker 1: risk out of the investment as we possibly can and
- 18:09Speaker 1: therefore allow our shareholders to participate an additional upside. So
- 18:13Speaker 1: an interesting way of looking at Hercules is and Hercules
- 18:16Speaker 1: almost be seen as kind of et F of the
- 18:20Speaker 1: venture capital industry. We have a wide distribution of different
- 18:23Speaker 1: venture capital firms, different uh technology and life sciences companies
- 18:28Speaker 1: that we invest in, the different geographies of the United States,
- 18:30Speaker 1: and different stages of developments, all aggregated in this one
- 18:33Speaker 1: portfolio called Hercules. So you can participate in that by
- 18:37Speaker 1: getting a nice dividend yield generally about nine nine percent
- 18:40Speaker 1: dividend yield, while also seeing capital appreciation when these companies
- 18:43Speaker 1: go public any evidence of docuside. For example, Manuel Henriquez,
- 18:47Speaker 1: thank you so much for being with us. Manuel Henriquez,
- 18:49Speaker 1: as founder and chief executive officer of Hercules at Capital
- 18:52Speaker 1: in Palo Alto, California. I want to shift our attention
- 19:10Speaker 1: though now to retail to shopping and the places where
- 19:14Speaker 1: you do that shopping. And joining us now is Tom McGee, President,
- 19:17Speaker 1: Chief executive Officer of the International Council of Shopping Centers.
- 19:20Speaker 1: He joins us here in our eleven three oh studios
- 19:22Speaker 1: in New York. Tom, thank you so much for being
- 19:25Speaker 1: back with us. Really good to have you, especially in
- 19:27Speaker 1: light of the retail earnings that we've gotten, which were inconsistent,
- 19:32Speaker 1: I should say, where you have some of the longtime laggards,
- 19:35Speaker 1: with J C. Penny, Sears, uh L brands really suffering
- 19:39Speaker 1: as a result of weaker earnings, while the Amazons of
- 19:42Speaker 1: the world and the Walmart and other big box stores too. Well,
- 19:46Speaker 1: I'm just wondering, from your perspective, would it be better
- 19:49Speaker 1: for j C. Penny and Sears to go out of
- 19:51Speaker 1: business and to let other healthier retailers go in those
- 19:55Speaker 1: key spots in some of the malls in order to
- 19:57Speaker 1: generate more traffic, or do you think they should hang
- 20:00Speaker 1: and for longer. Well, I think that First of all,
- 20:02Speaker 1: I think it's a fiercely competitive industry and it always
- 20:05Speaker 1: has been. Uh And if you look at uh the
- 20:08Speaker 1: retail names today and compared to twenty years ago, and
- 20:10Speaker 1: thirty years ago, you see a lot of change and
- 20:13Speaker 1: fluctuation that happens. I think consumers should make that, you know, decision,
- 20:17Speaker 1: not me, and I understand that, but I'm just wondering
- 20:20Speaker 1: from a health perspective, do you think it's it's better
- 20:22Speaker 1: for stores to sort of live their life and then
- 20:24Speaker 1: be turned over if they're not being super successful, or
- 20:27Speaker 1: is it better for familiar names to kind of hang
- 20:29Speaker 1: on again. I think I think the consumers should decide that.
- 20:33Speaker 1: I think from a from a shopping center developers perspective
- 20:36Speaker 1: and an owner and manager, they're always looking for the
- 20:38Speaker 1: mix and curation of folks that are going to drive
- 20:40Speaker 1: foot traffic. And generally what drives foot traffic is those
- 20:44Speaker 1: brands that are doing well in the marketplace, that are
- 20:46Speaker 1: offering products or services. And I think that's an important
- 20:49Speaker 1: element in you know, retail real estate today, really consumer
- 20:53Speaker 1: real estate is that you're moving from really a product
- 20:56Speaker 1: centric city and almost an apparel centricity that may have
- 20:59Speaker 1: defined retail over the course of the last twenty five
- 21:02Speaker 1: years or so, to one that does include that, but
- 21:05Speaker 1: it's a composition of a lot more, a lot more services, hospitality.
- 21:09Speaker 1: You see quite frankly, when you see what's really happening
- 21:13Speaker 1: in in retail in general is and I've always believed,
- 21:17Speaker 1: and I've said this on this show, this whole retail
- 21:19Speaker 1: apocalypse is just you know, kind of overblown what really
- 21:23Speaker 1: is happening as a retail renaissance, and that there is
- 21:25Speaker 1: a lot of redevelopment happening where you're mixing, um relative
- 21:30Speaker 1: to what consumer demand is, mixing hospitality and living and
- 21:34Speaker 1: retail all in one environment because people like to live, work,
- 21:37Speaker 1: and play in one place, and I think you're seeing
- 21:39Speaker 1: those things happen in retail generally here in the United States.
- 21:41Speaker 1: And you know, we just recently issued kind of a
- 21:44Speaker 1: global perspectives report because we are an international organization, and
- 21:47Speaker 1: I think you see those same trends at different stages
- 21:51Speaker 1: taking place across the world as well. All Right, I'm
- 21:54Speaker 1: gonna give you a list of brands, and you can
- 21:57Speaker 1: raise your hand if you've heard of them, because I
- 21:59Speaker 1: confess that I've only recently, you know, tried to keep
- 22:02Speaker 1: up to date. Thread Up, ever Lane, All Birds Away,
- 22:07Speaker 1: Koto Packs, the Ministry of Supply, Indocino and m jem
- 22:12Speaker 1: I Yes, and Casper Sleep. What do they all have
- 22:15Speaker 1: in common. These are digitally native brands that have all
- 22:20Speaker 1: opened actual physical stores. From the perspective of the International
- 22:26Speaker 1: Council of Shopping Centers, to those kinds of brands demand
- 22:32Speaker 1: something different than what a traditional store based operation wants.
- 22:41Speaker 1: Are they savvy er in some ways? Do they want
- 22:43Speaker 1: something different? What do they what do they want? First
- 22:46Speaker 1: of all, I think it's the I think it's the
- 22:48Speaker 1: natural evolution that we should expect that to be a
- 22:51Speaker 1: continuing trend. I think the last ten years of really
- 22:54Speaker 1: retailers are really invested in their online channel, and you know,
- 22:58Speaker 1: not surprisingly so because that was new and emerging. I
- 23:01Speaker 1: think what retailers Bobos is one example, right because Walmart
- 23:04Speaker 1: bought them, Sure and now and now what you're seeing
- 23:07Speaker 1: though is retailers and I really do believe this is
- 23:09Speaker 1: the trend of the next ten years. Retailers are going
- 23:11Speaker 1: to invest in their physical channel and that synergy that's
- 23:14Speaker 1: going to take place because consumers really don't care. They
- 23:17Speaker 1: just want, you know, best price, best service, regardless they're
- 23:19Speaker 1: somewhat channel agnostic. I do think what you'll see though,
- 23:23Speaker 1: is the stores of the future will increasingly focus upon experience.
- 23:27Speaker 1: I think some of the brands that you're talking about,
- 23:29Speaker 1: you know, Casper, the Sleep you know, it's a sleep center,
- 23:32Speaker 1: and you know they're gonna focus upon experience as opposed
- 23:35Speaker 1: to just a collection of products, and so infer inferred
- 23:39Speaker 1: in that is, yes, the experiential aspect of seeing merchandise
- 23:43Speaker 1: in a different way, but also just a greater level
- 23:46Speaker 1: of customer service than you've had in the past. You know,
- 23:48Speaker 1: the FAO Schwartz is opening up, you know, a new
- 23:52Speaker 1: store here in Rocks Center, and all of us that
- 23:54Speaker 1: are you know, grew up in the same age group,
- 23:56Speaker 1: were excited about that. But you know, when they talked about,
- 23:59Speaker 1: you know, the store, they talked a lot about experiential.
- 24:02Speaker 1: They're taking a lot of space, but experiential and that
- 24:05Speaker 1: the folks that are going to work there are really
- 24:06Speaker 1: going to be in some in some ways in character,
- 24:09Speaker 1: and you know you're going to have almost a theatrical
- 24:12Speaker 1: experience when you go there. And that's on one end
- 24:14Speaker 1: of the extreme. On the other end of extreme, you
- 24:16Speaker 1: have something like a t J Max quite frankly, which
- 24:19Speaker 1: is you know, which doesn't really doesn't have much of
- 24:22Speaker 1: an online presence, but it isn't experience because it's like
- 24:24Speaker 1: a treasure hunt right to go there, And I think
- 24:27Speaker 1: retailers are going to focus more upon what's my experiential
- 24:31Speaker 1: offering within my store that's going to differentiate me to
- 24:35Speaker 1: our competitors. Since you did just issue a global report,
- 24:38Speaker 1: where in the world are you seeing, uh, commercial retail
- 24:41Speaker 1: space gain value at the fastest pace right now? Well,
- 24:45Speaker 1: obviously the emerging markets, um, you know Asia is is
- 24:50Speaker 1: with a growing middle class. Um, you certainly see a
- 24:52Speaker 1: lot of investment in retail real estate. I think the
- 24:55Speaker 1: Middle East is doing some things that are quite innovative
- 24:59Speaker 1: and really I think set an example for some of
- 25:02Speaker 1: the things that we are looking to do here in
- 25:04Speaker 1: the United States. Um, if you go to a mall
- 25:06Speaker 1: and Dubai for example, I mean we all have heard
- 25:09Speaker 1: about the ski and shopping exactly, and they've been doing that.
- 25:15Speaker 1: That's a decade ago, and you're you're going to see
- 25:18Speaker 1: those types of things. You're already starting to see those
- 25:20Speaker 1: types of things within malls and shopping centers here in
- 25:23Speaker 1: the United States, and so I think you're I think
- 25:26Speaker 1: what you're finding in North America is in some cases
- 25:29Speaker 1: learning from the rest of the world. We have historically
- 25:32Speaker 1: been more much more department store centric here than the
- 25:36Speaker 1: rest of the world. I think we're evolving to become
- 25:39Speaker 1: much more hospitality and service oriented, which I do think
- 25:43Speaker 1: and I don't think it can be overseeing the importance
- 25:45Speaker 1: of demographics. You have a you know, a baby boomer
- 25:49Speaker 1: generation that's generally empty nesters. Now you have a millennial
- 25:52Speaker 1: generation that is not yet in kind of there, you know,
- 25:56Speaker 1: having kids, having a home type of a period of
- 25:59Speaker 1: their life, and both of those, the largest demographic groups
- 26:03Speaker 1: in our country and really in the world, are very
- 26:05Speaker 1: much focused upon consuming experiences and services now. Now, maybe
- 26:09Speaker 1: the millennials ten years from now will be in a
- 26:11Speaker 1: different stage of life. But when you look at what
- 26:12Speaker 1: they want right now and what the baby boomers want,
- 26:15Speaker 1: which is the hugest percentage of our population, that's what's
- 26:18Speaker 1: driving a lot of the changes in retail. Thanks very
- 26:20Speaker 1: much for being with us. Tom McGee is the president
- 26:22Speaker 1: and the chief executive of the International Council of Shopping
- 26:27Speaker 1: Centers and they are out with their Global Perspectives Report.
- 26:35Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg P and L podcast.
- 26:38Speaker 1: You can subscribe and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud,
- 26:42Speaker 1: or whatever podcast platform you prefer I'm pim Fox. I'm
- 26:45Speaker 1: on Twitter at pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at Lisa
- 26:49Speaker 1: Abramowits one before the podcast. You can always catch us
- 26:52Speaker 1: worldwide on Bloomberg Radio