Latest / Yaron Brook Show / Assassination Attempt; Iran “humiliating” the USA; OPEC; Ukraine| Yaron Brook Show

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Assassination Attempt; Iran “humiliating” the USA; OPEC; Ukraine| Yaron Brook Show · Yaron Brook Show

0:05
Speaker 1: Fun princes, I'll out leave it a little self interests
0:10
Speaker 1: and individual wats This is the show. Oh right, everybody
0:22
Speaker 1: welcome to here on Brook Show on this Tuesday, April.
0:28
Speaker 1: What is it, April twenty eight, Yeah, April twenty eight.
0:32
Speaker 1: It's not working here we go alright. Uh, I hope
0:38
Speaker 1: everybody is having a great week. Let me know how
0:42
Speaker 1: this looks. If the sound is good, picture good? Uh,
0:48
Speaker 1: everything is uh, everything is working appropriately. Uh, let me
0:52
Speaker 1: know that because I am on the road. As you
0:57
Speaker 1: can tell I'm in uh, well, you can't tell this
1:00
Speaker 1: that I'm in Austin, Texas. I'm teaching a class at
1:04
Speaker 1: the University of Austin in Texas. University of Austin in Texas.
1:09
Speaker 1: I talked about this class yesterday and this afternoon I've
1:12
Speaker 1: got my second class. Today's show will be short. We'll
1:16
Speaker 1: try to cover as just as much as we can first,
1:23
Speaker 1: as much as you can quickly, just because I've got
1:27
Speaker 1: to go and teach a class and I have a
1:29
Speaker 1: little bit of prep to do so. But I wanted
1:32
Speaker 1: to get a show in because I've been getting messages
1:34
Speaker 1: from people saying, we're dying here, We're going through you know,
1:41
Speaker 1: ybs withdrawal, and you know, and I you know, I'm
1:44
Speaker 1: a sucker for solving withdrawal symptoms problems. So here I am.
1:50
Speaker 1: All right, those of you in the chat, just something,
1:55
Speaker 1: say something about about picture looks owns a bit tinny
2:02
Speaker 1: sound a little bitt tinny. Yeah, probably can't really control
2:07
Speaker 1: that right now. It might be the acoustics of the room.
2:11
Speaker 1: This is kind of the mic I use when I
2:14
Speaker 1: am on the road. It oops, right, it usually works. Well.
2:20
Speaker 1: Maybe maybe that when I took that away, maybe that'll
2:24
Speaker 1: make the something better because I think I think there
2:28
Speaker 1: was something going on there. All right, let me just
2:32
Speaker 1: fix this right? Why short, short, short, Sorry, but because
2:39
Speaker 1: I have to I have to go teach. I have
2:41
Speaker 1: to go teach. Sounds good here, Rich said, okay, so yes,
2:47
Speaker 1: let's jump in again. I'm in a hotel, so you know,
2:51
Speaker 1: the drill, pray, pray, pray to the gods of the
2:55
Speaker 1: Wi Fi that we that everything works. Hopefully it does, Okay.
2:59
Speaker 1: One of the consequences of it being short is if
3:03
Speaker 1: you've got a question for the super Chat, please ask
3:07
Speaker 1: it sooner rather than later. Don't wait to the end.
3:10
Speaker 1: Start asking questions now. That way I'll be able to
3:13
Speaker 1: deal with with them immediately once I'm done with my spiel. Yeah,
3:23
Speaker 1: it definitely is somebody, says. Harrison says, judging from the
3:27
Speaker 1: sounds and images, this is definitely your round book. It is.
3:30
Speaker 1: It's only been three days, guys. It's it's not like
3:32
Speaker 1: I'm missing an action or something and and disappeared and
3:36
Speaker 1: you don't know, you don't know, you've forgotten who I
3:38
Speaker 1: am anymore. So here I am. All right. Let's start
3:46
Speaker 1: with Yeah, let's just jump into the news and just
3:49
Speaker 1: remind you again, ask questions. Super chat is open. Just
3:53
Speaker 1: because short doesn't mean we don't have to. We don't
3:55
Speaker 1: have to, you know, do the sticker super chat question thing. Alright.
4:01
Speaker 1: Three days ago, UH, there was a you you probably
4:04
Speaker 1: heard about this. There was a shooting at the White
4:06
Speaker 1: House Correspondence Association dinner. UH. Another attempt, another attempt at
4:11
Speaker 1: the life of Donald Trump. UH. Federal prosecutors have charged
4:17
Speaker 1: Cole Thomas Allen U of Torrance, California, thirty one year
4:21
Speaker 1: old UH, with an attempting to assassinate President Trump UH
4:26
Speaker 1: and it it. It is alleged that he traveled from
4:29
Speaker 1: California to Washington, DC, checked into the Washington Hilton where
4:33
Speaker 1: the event was happening. UH the day before the dinner
4:37
Speaker 1: and at about eight forty pm, tried to rush through
4:40
Speaker 1: a security checkpoint near the ballroom with a long gun.
4:44
Speaker 1: It turns out to be a twelve gage pump action
4:47
Speaker 1: shotgun in a thirty eight caliber pistol. UH. A Secret
4:52
Speaker 1: Service officer in a ballistic vest was shot in the
4:56
Speaker 1: chest and survived. Yay for bulletproof vests, and Alan was arrested.
5:03
Speaker 1: He also brought Supposedly, according to Rouiters, he also bought knives.
5:09
Speaker 1: I don't sure what he was going to do with those.
5:11
Speaker 1: Trump and Millennia and everybody else were evacuated and were
5:15
Speaker 1: not injured. I don't think anybody anybody else at their
5:18
Speaker 1: dinner was injured. Many of them were hiding. There's some
5:21
Speaker 1: testimony from like the Free press about what it was
5:26
Speaker 1: like in the ballroom, and you know it was. It
5:27
Speaker 1: was intense. Obviously, Alan had been planning this for quite
5:35
Speaker 1: a while. He had made a hotel reservation on April
5:38
Speaker 1: sixth for the event for April twenty fourth to twenty
5:41
Speaker 1: six The event was in the twenty fifth. He traveled
5:44
Speaker 1: by train from Los Angeles to Chicago and then to Washington,
5:48
Speaker 1: checked into the Hilton, and then you know again tried
5:53
Speaker 1: this assassination attempt the Secret Service officer officer five multiple times.
6:02
Speaker 1: Alan fell, but he only suffered minor injuries. He was
6:06
Speaker 1: not shot. So I wonder, I kind of wonder how
6:10
Speaker 1: they didn't hit it. How is he still alive? It
6:13
Speaker 1: is a little surprising. Anyway, he has been arrested and
6:22
Speaker 1: is is going to face his time in court. You
6:27
Speaker 1: know the motive he doesn't you know, he's really pissed
6:30
Speaker 1: off at Trump, you know, Allan Allan suppose he sent
6:36
Speaker 1: an email shortly before the attackive family members in a
6:39
Speaker 1: former employer. He explained the actions he was about to take.
6:43
Speaker 1: He signed it with a phrase friendly federal assassin. You
6:47
Speaker 1: know he targeted Trump because the email referred to Trump
6:53
Speaker 1: as a trader, he's other epidaths and but at least
7:00
Speaker 1: people who've seen whatever he wrote, they describe as rambling,
7:04
Speaker 1: mixed grievance and mixed in with anger over the Trump administration.
7:12
Speaker 1: So this is a pistaf for Trump, and so you
7:16
Speaker 1: go and try to kill Trump, which is somehow mentally
7:19
Speaker 1: unstable in one way or the other. He's been arraigned, charged,
7:27
Speaker 1: with both attempting to assassinate the president, transportation of firearms
7:31
Speaker 1: and discharge of a firearm during a crime violence. So
7:36
Speaker 1: he'll spend the rest of his life or a big
7:38
Speaker 1: chunk of his life in jail. Let's say anything else. Yeah,
7:43
Speaker 1: I mean, I think the big story here is not
7:46
Speaker 1: that I mean assassination. Obviously, attempt is a big story,
7:49
Speaker 1: but it's just a rise in what we call political
7:53
Speaker 1: violence in the United States in twenty twenty five and
8:00
Speaker 1: twenty six has just begun between twenty five in particular,
8:03
Speaker 1: just the rise over the last few years, really since
8:06
Speaker 1: twenty nineteen, an increase, steady increase in political violence. Now, again,
8:13
Speaker 1: you could quibble about how different people define political violence,
8:18
Speaker 1: and I'm sure different measures out there and different things
8:23
Speaker 1: that count and don't count. And I'm going to use
8:27
Speaker 1: a Wall Seat Journal analysis because that's what I found.
8:31
Speaker 1: According to Wall Seat Journal, American anti government violence anti
8:36
Speaker 1: government violence has hit a thirty year high, So it's
8:40
Speaker 1: higher than it has been over the last thirty years.
8:44
Speaker 1: And they don't provide data from before, but I wonder
8:49
Speaker 1: by their measure, by the way they're measuring, how this
8:53
Speaker 1: compares to the nineteen sixties which were the era of FIS.
9:00
Speaker 1: I can tell the most political violence in the units,
9:04
Speaker 1: say maybe sixties and early seventies were eras of intense
9:08
Speaker 1: political violence. Think about significant assassinations the president JFK. Robert F.
9:15
Speaker 1: Kennedy running for president, Martin Luther King, but many other
9:20
Speaker 1: acts of acts of violence targeting at targeted at the government.
9:28
Speaker 1: They do an analysis of political orientation of the perpetrator
9:32
Speaker 1: in domestic attacks. And you know, for most of this period,
9:38
Speaker 1: almost all the period really until last year, until twenty
9:41
Speaker 1: twenty five, most of the attacks are being have been
9:45
Speaker 1: committed by the right. Again based on the way they
9:49
Speaker 1: categorize these things. And I'm not going to judge right
9:52
Speaker 1: now whether it's accurate or not, except maybe two thousand
9:56
Speaker 1: and five, where there were no attacks on the right
9:58
Speaker 1: and a few attacks on the life left. Last year
10:02
Speaker 1: twenty twenty five, it tilted significantly to significant attacks, significantly
10:08
Speaker 1: more attacks on the left, but lots of attacks on
10:11
Speaker 1: the right as well. So the right, number of attacks
10:13
Speaker 1: on the right hit a thirty year record, number of
10:16
Speaker 1: attacks on the left hit a thirty year record, and
10:19
Speaker 1: on the left it was far far exceeded anything that
10:22
Speaker 1: had come before. It so you know, and the use
10:28
Speaker 1: of use of firearms has also increased dramatically, hit the
10:33
Speaker 1: highest rate in the last thirty years. So political violence
10:38
Speaker 1: is clearly on the rise in the United States. And
10:45
Speaker 1: you know, the question is why. And I think it's
10:48
Speaker 1: not surprising that it's on the rise, for you know,
10:53
Speaker 1: a couple of reasons. One is, people have lost all
10:57
Speaker 1: trust in institutions. And when you lose trust in institutions
11:01
Speaker 1: in a free country, institutions that are supposed to arbitrary
11:05
Speaker 1: disputes and resolve issues. And you know, the voting mechanism
11:11
Speaker 1: is supposed to be the way in which you express
11:13
Speaker 1: your dislike for policies and for the direction of the country.
11:18
Speaker 1: As you lose trust in those institutions, as you lose
11:20
Speaker 1: trust in your ability to influence the direction of the
11:23
Speaker 1: country by peaceful means. Well, I think at the margin,
11:28
Speaker 1: certain people, particularly people who are mentally unstable, and I
11:32
Speaker 1: think all these people involved in these assassinations, this is
11:37
Speaker 1: these are not attempts at ac coup. These are not
11:39
Speaker 1: attempts at you know, organized conspiracies to replace the government
11:45
Speaker 1: of the United States. These are all crazy people taking
11:50
Speaker 1: action independently. And I think as people are frustrated by
11:54
Speaker 1: their inability to have a say and impact, the distrust
11:58
Speaker 1: of the institutions, they they resort to violence. Violence is
12:07
Speaker 1: what you get when you don't have when you can't
12:11
Speaker 1: trust reason anymore, you don't want to use reason, or
12:13
Speaker 1: when reason is disregarded in our society. Violence is what
12:17
Speaker 1: you get when the institutions that are supposed to arbitrate disputes,
12:21
Speaker 1: the institutions through which you're supposed to express your frustration
12:26
Speaker 1: with what is going on in the country with our
12:28
Speaker 1: political leaders, when there's no trust in them. So I
12:31
Speaker 1: can't express it peacefully. But I'm still frustrated. I still
12:35
Speaker 1: am full of hate. I still I still want to
12:38
Speaker 1: do something well that manifests itself in violence. Add to
12:43
Speaker 1: that the increased just disregard for any kind of respect
12:53
Speaker 1: for politicians, and then and then on top of that
12:58
Speaker 1: the kind of disregard for human life. I mean, you
13:02
Speaker 1: could you could talk about the fact that the left
13:05
Speaker 1: is called Trump hitler, which I don't think is justified.
13:08
Speaker 1: I don't think Trump is hitler. I think it's silly, actually,
13:11
Speaker 1: and it distracts from what is actually going on. Who
13:16
Speaker 1: doesn't want to hit kill hitler? Before he before he
13:18
Speaker 1: starts the the concentration camps. You want to get you
13:21
Speaker 1: want to kill Hitler as soon as you can, and
13:24
Speaker 1: you'll be a hero for killing Hitler. So the more
13:26
Speaker 1: we talk about Trump is Hitler, the more likely it
13:30
Speaker 1: is that some people and the fringes will try to
13:33
Speaker 1: take him out. And then, of course Trump himself has
13:40
Speaker 1: no respect for human life. Constantly, constantly you see tweets
13:47
Speaker 1: of his that make that make uh. You know, remember
13:53
Speaker 1: the one with Carl Viner when Carl Reiner was killed
13:55
Speaker 1: and kind of celebrating the death of people when Carl
13:59
Speaker 1: Reiner was modered, but salibating that they deserved it. You know, well,
14:03
Speaker 1: if they deserved it, why don't you deserve it, right,
14:06
Speaker 1: I mean, if they deserved it because you disagree with
14:08
Speaker 1: them politically, then you deserve it because we disagree with
14:10
Speaker 1: you politically. Trump is exacerbating or exacerbating the divide, the
14:18
Speaker 1: split is highlighting, significantly highlighting the disregard for human life
14:26
Speaker 1: when it comes to the other side of the political spectrum,
14:30
Speaker 1: and the consequence of that are more violence, more violence. Right, So,
14:43
Speaker 1: you know Trump's rhetoric, Trump's completely disregard for the life
14:50
Speaker 1: of people who disagree with him, fuels this kind of
14:56
Speaker 1: this kind of mentality. As I said, given you know,
15:00
Speaker 1: it's expected that, given that the government today is of
15:06
Speaker 1: the right, that if you have political violence against the government,
15:10
Speaker 1: it's going to be primarily from the left. The left
15:13
Speaker 1: is attacking the institution that they as well as most Americans,
15:20
Speaker 1: it seems, have completely lost trust in. They're committing violence
15:24
Speaker 1: against those who argue political views that they believe are poment.
15:28
Speaker 1: But this is what happens when you live in a
15:29
Speaker 1: culture where rational debate, reason debate, where disagreements are not acceptable.
15:38
Speaker 1: You know where Trump goes after the New York Times
15:43
Speaker 1: for having for disagreeing with him. We attack viciously, vicious
15:48
Speaker 1: to the attack people who don't agree with him, people
15:52
Speaker 1: on the other side of the political spectrum. Well, those
15:54
Speaker 1: people on the other side of the political streptum are
15:56
Speaker 1: going to lash back out, and since they are out
15:59
Speaker 1: of power, it's likely that the way they lash out
16:02
Speaker 1: is through violence. Again, this year is the first year
16:05
Speaker 1: or not. This year twenty twenty five was the first
16:07
Speaker 1: year in which, in a long long time in which
16:11
Speaker 1: the left had committed more acts of political violence than
16:15
Speaker 1: the right. But in the past, the right, it committed
16:19
Speaker 1: more political acts of political violence on the left. So
16:27
Speaker 1: it's a combination of the left demonizing the right as
16:32
Speaker 1: Nazis and going after Trump as a Nazi and again,
16:38
Speaker 1: who wouldn't take pride in killing Hitler and calling him Hitler,
16:43
Speaker 1: and you know, dismissing the lives of people on the right.
16:48
Speaker 1: Take for example, the glee with which many people celebrated
16:54
Speaker 1: the death of Charlie Cook on campuses and so on.
16:58
Speaker 1: But at the same time, Donald Trump exhibits exactly the
17:03
Speaker 1: same behavior. So while many people on the right were
17:06
Speaker 1: really upset when people on the left kind of celebrated
17:11
Speaker 1: the death of Charlie Cook, Donald Trump regularly celebrates the
17:16
Speaker 1: death of his opponents. What this does on both sides
17:22
Speaker 1: is it turns the ideological differences between them, the ideological
17:28
Speaker 1: disagreements between them. It elevates it into to violence. It
17:36
Speaker 1: elevates it into a disagreement that cannot be settled other
17:42
Speaker 1: than by violence. And you can call you can say TDS,
17:46
Speaker 1: But I've criticized the left and I criticized the right.
17:48
Speaker 1: I know that if you criticize Trump, you've automatically have TDS.
17:52
Speaker 1: God forbid you ever criticized Trump. But Trump is a
17:56
Speaker 1: disgusting human being, and what he wrote about the death
18:00
Speaker 1: of Calina and others. Calorina is just the example that
18:03
Speaker 1: comes to my mind is truly despicable and horrific. And
18:09
Speaker 1: to assume that there's no has no impact on the culture,
18:12
Speaker 1: and that does not have an impact to encourage violence,
18:17
Speaker 1: just like the horrible things that the left says and
18:19
Speaker 1: does is the opposite of TDS. It's uh, Trump's zombie syndrome.
18:27
Speaker 1: So so yes, you have you have today. We have
18:33
Speaker 1: to we live it today in a world in which
18:38
Speaker 1: debate is not good enough, in which more and more
18:42
Speaker 1: violence a means by which we express our disagreements. People
18:55
Speaker 1: are responsible for their own actions. But you don't believe
19:00
Speaker 1: the Woods effect, how people behave You don't believe the
19:04
Speaker 1: Woods effect, the kind of atmosphere and the cultural attitudes
19:12
Speaker 1: of people out there in the world that would suggest
19:15
Speaker 1: that ideas don't have any impact, because ideas are just words.
19:20
Speaker 1: Of course, at the end of the day, the person
19:22
Speaker 1: responsible for the assassination is the assassin. Nobody else, right,
19:26
Speaker 1: not the left, not the right. This guy Alan whatever
19:30
Speaker 1: is responsible for his attempted assassination. Nobody else should go
19:34
Speaker 1: to jail other than him. But there is a reason
19:38
Speaker 1: why there is an escalation in violence, and that has
19:41
Speaker 1: to do with the ideological cultural situation that we are in.
19:48
Speaker 1: And to pretend to delude yourself, to evade the fact
19:54
Speaker 1: that people like like Trump and people like those on
20:01
Speaker 1: the left that call him hitler, and people like uh,
20:06
Speaker 1: you know, the mega who celebrate the death of leftists,
20:10
Speaker 1: to pretend that their woods don't have an impact on
20:14
Speaker 1: the culture and aren't ultimately encouragement for these crazy nuts
20:20
Speaker 1: to go out and use violence is bizarre. It's it's
20:24
Speaker 1: just bizarre to me. It bizarre to me that you
20:31
Speaker 1: know that. Uh, it's just bizarreed me that you think
20:36
Speaker 1: that woods don't matter. And yeah, they matter on the
20:40
Speaker 1: right and they matter on the left. And there's no
20:43
Speaker 1: question that you create you create a culture in the
20:47
Speaker 1: country generally on right and left of this, and nobody
20:51
Speaker 1: stands a front of this. Now, let's say the left
20:54
Speaker 1: celebrated the death of Charlie Cooke, which they did. Some
20:57
Speaker 1: people in the left celebrated the death of Charlie Cooke. Yeah,
21:00
Speaker 1: that is horrific, and that's that's part of what's creating
21:03
Speaker 1: this culture atmosphere. But imagine the Trump was actually a
21:09
Speaker 1: human being, and when somebody on the left died, he said,
21:12
Speaker 1: you know, this is I didn't like this person, but
21:15
Speaker 1: it's tragic and it's sad that somebody's been murdered and
21:19
Speaker 1: this is bad, instead of celebrating their death because they
21:22
Speaker 1: suffered from TDS. Remember, Trump said he had TDS and
21:26
Speaker 1: that's what brought about his demids. And if you think
21:29
Speaker 1: that has no impact, that's bizarre. That's bizarre. It's not
21:35
Speaker 1: a matter of it being better. It's a matter of
21:38
Speaker 1: holding Trump accountable for the ugly, horrific language that he
21:42
Speaker 1: uses and his attitude and generally the mega attitude towards
21:47
Speaker 1: the left, which paints the left with one brush as traders,
21:52
Speaker 1: as in a sense, implicitly deserving of death. Now again,
21:56
Speaker 1: the left does the same thing the right. This is
21:57
Speaker 1: my point. My point is that we've lost allcity to debate,
22:02
Speaker 1: to disagree, to argue. Everything now is painted in terms
22:07
Speaker 1: of violence. And this is what you get from both sides,
22:14
Speaker 1: you know, And again to pretend that there's only one
22:16
Speaker 1: sided fault in these things is is ridiculous. Remember again
22:26
Speaker 1: that up until twenty twenty five. Again, according to the
22:28
Speaker 1: Wall see general measures, the right was more violent than
22:31
Speaker 1: the left. And you know in the examples are mini anyway,
22:48
Speaker 1: woods matter, discussions matter, and woods matter, discussion matters, attitude matters,
22:57
Speaker 1: and more than anybody attitude, and words of the President
23:01
Speaker 1: of the United States, madam, more than anybody else, cause
23:04
Speaker 1: those are the ones that everybody reads, everybody pays attention to,
23:07
Speaker 1: everybody's aware of. This is why it's important to care
23:11
Speaker 1: about the character of the President of the United States.
23:14
Speaker 1: Character matters. It used to be that people in the right,
23:17
Speaker 1: the conservatives knew this, cared about character, but uh, they don't.
23:26
Speaker 1: They don't. Yeah, Uh, Black Lives Matter was horrific, was
23:32
Speaker 1: absolutely horrific. So it was January sixth. January sixth was
23:36
Speaker 1: in many ways because of what it what it meant
23:39
Speaker 1: was worse than Black Lives Matter. But yeah, the violence
23:43
Speaker 1: on the left, violence on the right, really really, really bad.
23:48
Speaker 1: But just to pretend that this is only one side
23:50
Speaker 1: is an issue is absurd and ridiculous. Anyway, all right,
24:02
Speaker 1: we'll talk more about kind of the political violence, I'm sure,
24:06
Speaker 1: because there's going to be more of it, sadly, and
24:09
Speaker 1: there's all more to say about it and how to
24:11
Speaker 1: eliminate it. But but here's the basic point. When you
24:14
Speaker 1: feel when people feel impotent to being about change through again, discussion, debate, reason, voting,
24:23
Speaker 1: our institutions, then they revert to violence instead. And that
24:30
Speaker 1: is what needs to be That what needs to change,
24:34
Speaker 1: that's what needs to change. All right, let's see, all right,
24:44
Speaker 1: there's a there's a quote today from a German chancellor,
24:49
Speaker 1: Frederick Mertz. This is him yesterday about Ewan's Iwan and
24:57
Speaker 1: in the United States, and he basically said, he said,
25:06
Speaker 1: Iran's leadership is in the process of humiliating the United
25:12
Speaker 1: States in the ongoing conflict. And this is to quote him,
25:17
Speaker 1: the Iranians are clearly stronger than expected, and the Americans
25:21
Speaker 1: clearly have no truly convincing strategy in negotiations either. He
25:28
Speaker 1: went on to say, the problem with conflicts like this
25:31
Speaker 1: is always you don't have you don't just have to
25:35
Speaker 1: get in, you have to get out again. We saw
25:39
Speaker 1: that very painfully in Afghanistan for twenty years. We saw
25:42
Speaker 1: it in Iraq. And he said, at the moment, I
25:48
Speaker 1: do not see what strategic exit the Americans will choose,
25:52
Speaker 1: especially since the Iranians are clearly negotiating, very skillfully, or
25:56
Speaker 1: very skillfully not negotiating. He says, an entire nation is
26:01
Speaker 1: being humiliated as America by Iranian leadership, particularly by the
26:06
Speaker 1: so called revolutionary God. And tragically Mutz is absolutely one
26:15
Speaker 1: hundred percent right. I mean, the Iranians are playing with Trump.
26:19
Speaker 1: They're completely humiliating. I have no idea where he got
26:23
Speaker 1: the reputation of being a good negotiator. He doesn't know
26:26
Speaker 1: what he's doing. He's played into every trap the Iranians
26:31
Speaker 1: have set for him. He has nowhere to go at
26:35
Speaker 1: this point other than to restart the war, which he
26:37
Speaker 1: seems very very very reluctant to do so far, has
26:41
Speaker 1: had zero plan to open the streets. The Iranians keep
26:45
Speaker 1: dragging him along by dangling promises of a deal just
26:49
Speaker 1: beyond just in a few days, we're sending somebody to
26:53
Speaker 1: Islam about, you know, wit Coffin Kushna was supposed to
26:57
Speaker 1: go to Islam about on the weekend, and they had
26:59
Speaker 1: to stay home because the Iranians didn't want to negotiate.
27:02
Speaker 1: But then today Ewon said a new plan. Oh, yesterday
27:05
Speaker 1: they sent a new plan to Washington, which the administration
27:09
Speaker 1: is rejected. Supposedly okay, but what now. Iwon can delay
27:16
Speaker 1: probably for another two to three weeks given the blockade.
27:20
Speaker 1: But the more they delay, the more difficult it's going
27:22
Speaker 1: to be for Trump to resume his attack on Iran.
27:26
Speaker 1: There was no reason to stop the attack in the
27:28
Speaker 1: first place. There was zero probability he was going to
27:32
Speaker 1: get from Yuan through negotiation what he wants. I mean.
27:38
Speaker 1: Trump has proved to be absolutely a loser, I mean
27:46
Speaker 1: a loser in negotiations. The reality has been and I've
27:51
Speaker 1: said this from day one, right, you can go back
27:55
Speaker 1: to my shows and check this. I said this on
27:57
Speaker 1: the before the world started. The fact that the United
28:01
Speaker 1: States did not invest heavily in the early days of
28:05
Speaker 1: the war in making sure the straits and foremost straight
28:08
Speaker 1: stayed open has given the Iranians a strategic card and
28:12
Speaker 1: a strategic advantage that Trump doesn't know how to manage.
28:20
Speaker 1: He is losing big time. And it wasn't necessary because
28:27
Speaker 1: at the first few weeks of the war, with exception
28:30
Speaker 1: of straights and foremws, the United States was crushing the Ranians,
28:34
Speaker 1: crushing them. It should have it could have continued instead
28:39
Speaker 1: of doing a cease fire. There was zero reason to do. So,
28:43
Speaker 1: there's zero reason to believe you can negotiate anything with
28:47
Speaker 1: the Uranians. That you should be believe anything the Ranians
28:50
Speaker 1: tell you. Isn't that part of the reason to go
28:53
Speaker 1: to war. I mean, the Iranians were willing to negotiate
28:55
Speaker 1: a deal before this war started with the Trump administration.
28:59
Speaker 1: But the whole point is they couldn't be trusted and
29:01
Speaker 1: their terms were not good enough. They're still not good enough.
29:05
Speaker 1: Uranians do not want to give up a nuclear program.
29:07
Speaker 1: They do not want to give up Uranian enrichment. They
29:10
Speaker 1: do not want to provide and open streets of homos.
29:13
Speaker 1: They want to sustain control. And Trump is just sitting
29:17
Speaker 1: on his hands and he doesn't know what to do.
29:20
Speaker 1: He's completely impotent. It's not that there is nothing to do,
29:25
Speaker 1: it's that he won't pull the trigger. He won't actually
29:28
Speaker 1: do it. The reality is that every day that passes
29:35
Speaker 1: that Trump does nothing, the Iranians get stronger because there's
29:38
Speaker 1: real disagreement among the Ranians. They're fighting, they hate each other.
29:42
Speaker 1: They're very, very weak, But if you don't take advantage
29:46
Speaker 1: of them when they're weak, they will strengthen. They'll solidify
29:50
Speaker 1: their support around one person solidify their support around one person,
29:58
Speaker 1: and they will gain more power than they had before
30:02
Speaker 1: this war. Everything they had, the ballistic missiles, the nuclear program,
30:07
Speaker 1: they can resurrect if they have enough money. And ultimately
30:12
Speaker 1: any kind of negotiated deal would give them a lot
30:14
Speaker 1: of money. So what's the point? Exactly? The only way
30:20
Speaker 1: to end this war properly, The only exit strategy in
30:23
Speaker 1: Mortist's term, to win this war, to provide for America
30:27
Speaker 1: is regime changing. You want is the destruction of the
30:30
Speaker 1: Ranian regime. That is not going to happen through negotiation.
30:34
Speaker 1: It's not gonna happen by providing them with billions and
30:37
Speaker 1: trillions of dollars. It's not gonna happen as long as
30:41
Speaker 1: the Homemo straits are closed. That requires a military campaign
30:46
Speaker 1: by the United States opened the straits of Home Wars
30:49
Speaker 1: and a sustained bombing campaign on Tehran, on the missile facilities,
30:55
Speaker 1: on the nuclear facilities, on industry, on power plants, to
31:04
Speaker 1: topple this regime, to destroy it from within. You know,
31:10
Speaker 1: Israel in the United States continue to kill ILGC leadership,
31:14
Speaker 1: they will topple. If Israel in the United States continue
31:19
Speaker 1: to kill the troops, the besiege and the ILGC, there
31:23
Speaker 1: will be nobody to stand up to the protesters when
31:27
Speaker 1: they go back out into the streets. If the United
31:32
Speaker 1: States make it really, really painful for this regime to
31:35
Speaker 1: stay in power by you know, putting Tehuan into darkness,
31:42
Speaker 1: destroying the capacity to generate any kind of income. Blockade
31:46
Speaker 1: is one way. Another way is just destroy their ports.
31:53
Speaker 1: That is the way to win a war. What Trump
31:57
Speaker 1: is doing is beyond pathetic. He had this. He has
32:01
Speaker 1: the mightiest military force in all of human history. He
32:04
Speaker 1: has the best military in the world at his disposal.
32:07
Speaker 1: We saw that in the first few weeks, and what
32:09
Speaker 1: they did amazing. We saw it. And then the rescue
32:13
Speaker 1: of those pilots amazing. And then you stop, and then
32:19
Speaker 1: you just stop. Finish the job, Finish the job, win
32:28
Speaker 1: the war. Victory is the only purpose of going to war,
32:34
Speaker 1: So victory should be the goal in this administration. I mean, look,
32:40
Speaker 1: the Navy has plans several to open the straits and
32:44
Speaker 1: foremost they know how to do it. It's dangerous, it's risky,
32:48
Speaker 1: they might take casualties, but they know how to do it.
32:51
Speaker 1: They had plans before the war started. Everybody knew, everybody
32:54
Speaker 1: was a half a brain, which Trump doesn't have anybody
32:57
Speaker 1: with half a brain. But if not that, the Iranians
33:01
Speaker 1: would close the straits of Homoes and the Navy had plans,
33:08
Speaker 1: why the implementing them because the commander in chief will
33:11
Speaker 1: not give the order to do it. That's on Trump
33:14
Speaker 1: one hundred percent. And it's super depressing. It's super depressing
33:23
Speaker 1: to see this because so close to again what I've
33:29
Speaker 1: called the most important, potentially the most important geopolitical event,
33:34
Speaker 1: maybe since World War II, certainly since the fall of
33:36
Speaker 1: the Berlin Wall, the fall of the Iranian regime, and
33:39
Speaker 1: Trump doesn't have what it takes to actually do it,
33:44
Speaker 1: to follow through, to see it to the end, to
33:47
Speaker 1: see it to victory. And it's tragic. It's tragic for
33:56
Speaker 1: the for American people, it's tragic for the Israeli who
34:01
Speaker 1: are now forced into a cease fire in Lebanon for
34:03
Speaker 1: no good reason. And it's tragic for the Iranian people
34:08
Speaker 1: who had an opportunity to feed themselves from this evil regime.
34:13
Speaker 1: And it might not happen. It might still happen, but
34:17
Speaker 1: it might not happen. Might not happen because of ow
34:27
Speaker 1: failed and weak, indecisive leadership that always looks for deals
34:34
Speaker 1: rather than looks for victory. And look. Bush was the
34:37
Speaker 1: same way, not so much looking for deals but not
34:40
Speaker 1: looking for victory. Bush, Obama, they've all been the same.
34:44
Speaker 1: Trump is ultimately no different. He just doesn't makes a
34:49
Speaker 1: big deal out of deals. Remember Obama had a deal
34:51
Speaker 1: with the Ranian It's unlikely Trump gets a better deal
34:54
Speaker 1: than Obama. All right. Major news coming out of the
35:09
Speaker 1: Middle East today, and that is that the UAE, the
35:13
Speaker 1: United Emirates, one of the largest producers of oil in
35:17
Speaker 1: the world, had decided to leave OPEK. It's been a
35:23
Speaker 1: member of OPEK. I think from the beginning this is
35:26
Speaker 1: a major blow to OPEC. Opique is led by the Saudis,
35:30
Speaker 1: and leave OPIQ plus as well. OPIQ plus A is
35:33
Speaker 1: OPEK the old OPEQ plus Russia, which means the UAE
35:39
Speaker 1: is now going to set their own output, the quantity
35:44
Speaker 1: in which they export oil. They will not be restrained
35:49
Speaker 1: by this cartel in determining how much oil they can produce.
35:57
Speaker 1: It's interesting. It's interesting politically and economically why they're doing this.
36:05
Speaker 1: I think politically this is a way for them to
36:08
Speaker 1: separate from Saudi Arabia, to establish their independence of Saudi
36:13
Speaker 1: Arabia UH and to UH and and basically tell the
36:17
Speaker 1: Saudis we are going to be determining all own fate now.
36:21
Speaker 1: UH they Ue is meaning conflict with Saudi Arabia in
36:24
Speaker 1: a number of different fronts. In in Yemen, Yue of
36:27
Speaker 1: course has a peace deal with Israel. The the the
36:32
Speaker 1: Saudis do not. Yu Ai has conflict with the with
36:36
Speaker 1: the Saudis, I think in in Sudan. So there are
36:39
Speaker 1: a number of of in the world, a number of
36:43
Speaker 1: UH places in which the UI and the Saudis abutting
36:49
Speaker 1: heads and UH. In this case, UH they are basically
36:57
Speaker 1: separating themselves and becoming more independent. This will allow them
37:03
Speaker 1: to produce more oil and to export more oil. Now.
37:06
Speaker 1: Right now the straits of Homos is closed, so most
37:09
Speaker 1: of their oil export capacity is not being utilized. Now
37:13
Speaker 1: they do have a pipeline that goes that bypasses the
37:17
Speaker 1: Homos Straits and can allow them to export oil without
37:23
Speaker 1: by circumventing the siege. They they are going to increase
37:32
Speaker 1: the capacity of that pipeline. They plan on building a
37:36
Speaker 1: second pipeline that also circumvents the Homo Straits. So I
37:44
Speaker 1: think they're trying to lay an independent path. I mean,
37:49
Speaker 1: I think long term the UEE would like to be
37:52
Speaker 1: able to also export oil, maybe through Israel by laying
37:56
Speaker 1: a pipeline from the ue or by rail from the
37:59
Speaker 1: UEE through Saudi Arabia and Jordan into Israel. We'll see
38:04
Speaker 1: if that ever happens, but that is part of kind
38:08
Speaker 1: of the long term plan of getting around the Home
38:10
Speaker 1: Moot Straits and getting around the SEUs Canals. There's plans
38:16
Speaker 1: for a railroad that goes from the Yui I think,
38:19
Speaker 1: to Jordan to Akaba and then from there up into
38:23
Speaker 1: Israel for ant Israeli ports for export. That would be
38:30
Speaker 1: that would be huge if it happens. It would also
38:31
Speaker 1: integrate Israel into the regional economy. That requires Saudi Arabia
38:35
Speaker 1: to sign up for that. That also probably require Saudi
38:38
Speaker 1: Arabia to sign a piece deal with Israel. We'll see
38:40
Speaker 1: if that ever happens. NATO, you might know, is a
38:46
Speaker 1: cartel that basically determines the quantity of the oil that
38:52
Speaker 1: it will pump out or based in, thus basically setting
38:57
Speaker 1: a price on oil. In the nineteen seventies, OPEK stopped
39:01
Speaker 1: exporting oil to places like the United States and created
39:04
Speaker 1: an ANGI crisis in the world. In those days, the
39:07
Speaker 1: US was very dependent on the Middle East for its
39:09
Speaker 1: all supplies. Today, of course it's in the United States
39:13
Speaker 1: is a net oil exporter, but in those days it
39:16
Speaker 1: was dependent and there was a massive there was a
39:21
Speaker 1: massive spike in O prices and the shortages of oil
39:26
Speaker 1: in the United States. OPEK, because it's a big cattel,
39:31
Speaker 1: got to dictate prices in a sense by changing the supply.
39:37
Speaker 1: So as long as UE was part of OPEC, they
39:41
Speaker 1: were part of the decision making process of establishing how
39:44
Speaker 1: much output the cotel as a whole will generate. Now
39:49
Speaker 1: the saudis the largest producers of oil with a dominant
39:52
Speaker 1: player there, but the UA at least had a say.
39:55
Speaker 1: By leaving OPEK, they know Vegas no longer have a say,
39:58
Speaker 1: but they also now have the flexibility of adjusting how
40:01
Speaker 1: much output they want to produce depending on price, depending
40:04
Speaker 1: on the price in the global markets. Basically it doesn't
40:07
Speaker 1: move for independence. And you know, the bakeup of cartels,
40:12
Speaker 1: the bakeup catels is really, really, really a positive thing.
40:17
Speaker 1: So you know, open cartel or any other cartel, they
40:22
Speaker 1: ultimately break up, and they ultimately break up because they're
40:28
Speaker 1: not sustainable. There's a huge incentive to cheat and there's
40:31
Speaker 1: a huge incentive to leave the cartel, and that's exactly
40:34
Speaker 1: what the UI is doing. So this will have I think,
40:38
Speaker 1: real dentifications down the road. Not so much right now
40:41
Speaker 1: because right now the OUI cannot increase the capacity dramatically
40:46
Speaker 1: to take advantage of the higher old prices because of
40:49
Speaker 1: the blockage of the Homo straits. They can only pump
40:53
Speaker 1: so much through the pipeline. But in the future this
40:56
Speaker 1: will have significant impact, and they will have even more
40:58
Speaker 1: impact if other country start leaving OPIK and OPIK plus.
41:04
Speaker 1: So we will see, you know, how this all plays out.
41:08
Speaker 1: But it is kind of interesting, interesting to watch, all right. Finally,
41:15
Speaker 1: I want to say a few words about Ukraine. The
41:17
Speaker 1: situation in Ukraine is actually quite interesting right now. Ukraine
41:22
Speaker 1: has it's doing way better than anybody expected them to
41:28
Speaker 1: do on the front. Ukraine has really changed the way
41:35
Speaker 1: was at least Land War was a fought. At least
41:40
Speaker 1: wars in which neither side have air dominance, like anyone
41:45
Speaker 1: in the United States and Israel have air dominance, the
41:48
Speaker 1: supremacy they can do whatever they want in the air
41:51
Speaker 1: in Ukraine and Russia that doesn't exist. Neither side has
41:55
Speaker 1: the ability to function in the other's airspace with taking
42:00
Speaker 1: on immense risks, partially because neither side has sophisticated air
42:06
Speaker 1: air assets. They don't have thirty fives and they don't
42:10
Speaker 1: even have really the most sophisticated f sixteens. The Russian
42:13
Speaker 1: aircraft the shit. So there's no air dominance. So this
42:18
Speaker 1: is a ground war, a drone war, and a missile war.
42:23
Speaker 1: And it turns out shockingly that free people Ukrainians, who
42:30
Speaker 1: are defending themselves and fighting for their own defense a
42:34
Speaker 1: far more innovative than oppressed people, that is the Russians.
42:41
Speaker 1: What Ukraine has done in terms of drone manufacturing and
42:44
Speaker 1: drone technology is astounding. They are now the world leaders
42:48
Speaker 1: in drone technology, drone technology that actually works on the battlefield.
42:52
Speaker 1: They're the world leaders in drone defense. The United States
42:56
Speaker 1: is now buying drone defense toology from the Iranians to
43:02
Speaker 1: use in the Middle East. The Gulf States have all
43:06
Speaker 1: bought the drone defense systems. You know, maybe Israel is
43:12
Speaker 1: the only one that can match up a little bit
43:14
Speaker 1: to the Uranians, to the Ukrainians. The Ukrainians have stunning
43:21
Speaker 1: what do you call it? Stunning drone technology. Indeed, most
43:26
Speaker 1: of the Russian casualties, I think something like eighty percent
43:28
Speaker 1: of all the Russian casualties right now in the battlefield
43:31
Speaker 1: are casualties whips. That's not good. Sorry, the pictures gone.
43:43
Speaker 1: It'll come back in a minute. Casualties from drone attacks.
43:51
Speaker 1: So most of the casualties on the front are from
43:54
Speaker 1: drone attacks. Many of the other casualties are a result
43:59
Speaker 1: of now robots, automatic robots. Why is this doing this?
44:07
Speaker 1: One second, I should come back there, you'll go back.
44:13
Speaker 1: Automatic robots. That for the first time in military history,
44:20
Speaker 1: I think, for the first time in any battlefield, the
44:23
Speaker 1: Ukrainians are deploying these robots on the battlefield. Indeed, there
44:30
Speaker 1: are very few Ukrainian troops that actually im harms. Way,
44:37
Speaker 1: for every one of these robots, it's a robot with
44:39
Speaker 1: a machine gun that are unmanned, that are in the
44:42
Speaker 1: what's called the kill zone on the front line, there
44:46
Speaker 1: are five Ukrainian engineers who are running it in the background. Indeed,
44:50
Speaker 1: the Ukrainian army right now is almost all but way
44:56
Speaker 1: behind the front lines, where the front lines themselves basically
45:00
Speaker 1: occupied by various types of automated weapons, drones, and you
45:06
Speaker 1: know these these machine guns that are that are that
45:09
Speaker 1: are on on wheels and driven by a eye and
45:16
Speaker 1: I guess remote control. It's truly stunning to see the
45:20
Speaker 1: kill zone, that area where if a Russian enters in
45:24
Speaker 1: it is likely to be killed, is now incredibly wide
45:30
Speaker 1: and growing. That is the Ukrainians of dominating the front line. Now,
45:35
Speaker 1: It's true that none of this technology is going to
45:39
Speaker 1: allow them much advance, much ability to move forward, to
45:44
Speaker 1: take land back from the Russians. That requires boots in
45:49
Speaker 1: the ground, It requires troops, It requires michonized vehicles which
45:53
Speaker 1: would make them susceptible to Russian drones. But basically it
45:56
Speaker 1: means that the Russians cannot advance, the Russians can't do anything,
46:00
Speaker 1: and the Russians are stuck. It means that the number
46:04
Speaker 1: of casualties the Russians are taking are dramatically higher than
46:08
Speaker 1: even a few months ago, and that Ukraine can bleed
46:13
Speaker 1: them out, can bleed them out. The Ukrainians have the
46:22
Speaker 1: clear advantage on the battlefield in terms of casualties. The
46:27
Speaker 1: Russians are taking significantly more casualties than the Ukrainians are,
46:31
Speaker 1: because the Ukrainians just not putting anybody in a sense
46:34
Speaker 1: in harm's way. They're all in the back, you know,
46:41
Speaker 1: running the various types of unmanned weapons systems that they're
46:50
Speaker 1: putting into play. Putin is quiet, you know, in terms
46:56
Speaker 1: of bombing deep inside each other's territories, that continues, but
47:02
Speaker 1: even there the strategic calculation is shifted. Whereas every night
47:06
Speaker 1: it used to be that the Russians would bomb regularly
47:08
Speaker 1: Kiev and other cities in Ukraine on a kind of
47:11
Speaker 1: a regular stity basis, these days it's just as likely
47:15
Speaker 1: that the Ukrainians are bombing deep inside Russia, deep inside Crimea,
47:20
Speaker 1: deep inside, deep up in the ports and their Baltic
47:23
Speaker 1: which a thousand miles away from Ukraine. Even Moscow has
47:27
Speaker 1: been hit by attacks from Ukrainian a Kruismo cells and
47:34
Speaker 1: Ukrainian drones, and the Kusma cells were developed by Ukraine
47:38
Speaker 1: during the war. Again, this is a mind that is free,
47:43
Speaker 1: and a focus on self defense generates weapons that are
47:48
Speaker 1: so much more sophisticated and provides the ability to create
47:53
Speaker 1: and to build and to make stuff that is so
47:56
Speaker 1: much better than anything the Russians can do because the
48:01
Speaker 1: Russians are There's no entrepreneurial elements within Russian defense industry.
48:06
Speaker 1: It's all top down, whereas in Ukraine the entire defense
48:10
Speaker 1: industry is entrepreneur Now, it's still true that many of
48:14
Speaker 1: the generals in the Ukrainian army are top down Phenomine
48:21
Speaker 1: called them Soviet style, But so much of what is
48:27
Speaker 1: going on, so much is what is happening. So much
48:30
Speaker 1: of the actual activity of the Ukrainians, the commanders in
48:37
Speaker 1: the field, and the engineers and the entrepreneurs that are
48:40
Speaker 1: creating the weapons systems, that's all bottom up. That's all
48:44
Speaker 1: entrepreneurial spirit, that's all the mind, a free mind, creating, building,
48:49
Speaker 1: making stuff. So Ukraine is beating the Russians because Ukrainians
48:54
Speaker 1: are freer than the Russians. Ukrainians are beating the Russians
48:58
Speaker 1: because Ukraine are fighting for their self defense. Russians are
49:01
Speaker 1: fighting for what greater Russia. They're fighting for what exactly
49:07
Speaker 1: Putin's Putin's dream of Russian dominance over Europe, Dugan's dream
49:15
Speaker 1: of Russia being a powerful a powerful offset to the
49:22
Speaker 1: United States. These are all fantasies that nobody in the
49:25
Speaker 1: battlefield is actually willing to die forle So what you
49:39
Speaker 1: get is a Russia that is bleeding, a Russia that
49:44
Speaker 1: is losing. A Ukraine is winning, but it can't really
49:49
Speaker 1: at this stage at least take back territory. Just bleed
49:53
Speaker 1: the Russians and hope that ultimately they retreat because they
49:56
Speaker 1: can't tolerate the casualties. We will see, all right. That
50:07
Speaker 1: is the news for this Tuesday, April twenty eighth. Thank
50:10
Speaker 1: you for being here. I appreciate it. Thanks to all
50:13
Speaker 1: the super chats. We've done really well with the super chat.
50:15
Speaker 1: We're still one hundred and twenty seven dollars short of
50:17
Speaker 1: our two hour goal, so I encourage you to step
50:21
Speaker 1: in if you follow the chat. We have a very
50:25
Speaker 1: very unhappy listener who you know. If I was an
50:29
Speaker 1: unhappy listener, it would be very simple, I'd click leave.
50:34
Speaker 1: But unhappy listeners to you on book show stick around
50:37
Speaker 1: because I think that they have a masochistic element to them.
50:40
Speaker 1: But they stick around and bitch and complain in the
50:43
Speaker 1: chat about why anybody else is listening. I don't know.
50:48
Speaker 1: You know, this guy really cares about the fact that you,
50:51
Speaker 1: according to him, are wasting your time. Very very very
50:56
Speaker 1: altruistic behavior. He's staying here sacrifice his own time, wasting
51:01
Speaker 1: his own time in an attempt to try to convince
51:04
Speaker 1: you that you should stop listening to your on bookshow.
51:07
Speaker 1: It's it's pretty amazing what altruism will get people to
51:10
Speaker 1: actually do in life. Powerful stuff. All right, let's see
51:21
Speaker 1: remind you that, yes, that the Amran Institute is a
51:29
Speaker 1: sponsor of the show, and they have an essay contest now,
51:31
Speaker 1: Atlas Shrugged Essay contest with the top prize of one
51:34
Speaker 1: hundred thousand dollars, other prizes twenty five, ten, five, one thousand,
51:38
Speaker 1: a bunch of one thousand dollars. And this should be
51:41
Speaker 1: a massive incentive for you to write essays on Atlas Shrug.
51:44
Speaker 1: Most of you who read Atlas Shrug already. If you haven't,
51:47
Speaker 1: this should be a great incentive to do so. Check
51:50
Speaker 1: out Iinran dot org slash thought here for information about
51:54
Speaker 1: this essay contest, how to apply, what the deadline is.
51:57
Speaker 1: It's coming up, I mean coming up later this. Yeah, so,
52:00
Speaker 1: but you should start reading the book. It's a thick book.
52:03
Speaker 1: It also has the questions that you need to answer
52:06
Speaker 1: in your essay and the process by which the winner
52:10
Speaker 1: is determined, so check it out, and I hope, I
52:12
Speaker 1: hope to see a lot of people from the Iran
52:15
Speaker 1: book show apply for the Ethelosh Essay contest. You have
52:18
Speaker 1: to be young young, meaning sixteen to twenty two, so
52:22
Speaker 1: you have to be very young, very very young. But
52:26
Speaker 1: I know I have listeners in the sixteen to twenty
52:28
Speaker 1: two age range, and I hope that everybody who is
52:33
Speaker 1: in that age group submits an essay. What have you
52:36
Speaker 1: got to lose? All right? Alex Epstein is of course
52:42
Speaker 1: response to the show, and you should check out Alex
52:45
Speaker 1: Epstein substock dot com. Alex Epstein the world authority on
52:49
Speaker 1: all things energy. He is now becoming an authority on
52:53
Speaker 1: at least the freedom issues relating to AI. He's a
52:58
Speaker 1: huge defender of AI, and I think that you know
53:01
Speaker 1: says first vertical is energy, the next vertical is AI.
53:05
Speaker 1: He's writing a lot in AI. And if you sign
53:07
Speaker 1: up for his for his newsletter for your substack basically
53:11
Speaker 1: Alex EPs nine to substick dot com, you will also
53:14
Speaker 1: get you will also get a an update on everything
53:27
Speaker 1: relating to a EE these days, particularly as it applies
53:31
Speaker 1: to regulations in Washington and what is going on. All right, God,
53:43
Speaker 1: that's so stupid. All right, sorry, I'm looking at the
53:46
Speaker 1: chat and complaining. All right, Reminder, you can support the show.
53:50
Speaker 1: This show is list the supported Patreon is a great
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Speaker 1: put in your on book Show on neither one of
54:15
Speaker 1: those platforms and become a monthly supporter of the show.
54:20
Speaker 1: And yeah, it's what else did I want to say? Yes,
54:26
Speaker 1: we still have now one hundred and seventeen dollars to
54:29
Speaker 1: go to make out five hundred dollars second hour goal,
54:33
Speaker 1: and you know, try to make at least We're not
54:37
Speaker 1: going to make the monthly goal because I've been traveling
54:40
Speaker 1: so much this month. We just haven't done enough shows
54:42
Speaker 1: to get there. But the closer we get, the better,
54:45
Speaker 1: the more motivated I am, and the more likely it
54:50
Speaker 1: is to do more shows. So please help you get
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Speaker 1: there by getting us to the five hundred dollars goal today. Stickers,
54:58
Speaker 1: particularly right now because I am stick to it on time.
55:01
Speaker 1: Stickers are particularly appreciated, so consider doing a sticker. Thank
55:05
Speaker 1: you John for the sticker. Really appreciate that. I think
55:09
Speaker 1: we had a fifty dollars sticker here somewhere. I saw that.
55:14
Speaker 1: Thank you guys jumps around on me, but let's see. Yeah,
55:24
Speaker 1: selfie subscriber, fifty dollars, thank you for the sticker. Really
55:27
Speaker 1: appreciate that. And another self selfish subcriber I assume the
55:31
Speaker 1: same one. Another fifty dollars, one hundred dollars from selfie subscriber,
55:35
Speaker 1: Thank you, thank you, thank you, Really appreciate that. Brian
55:38
Speaker 1: must be really twisting his mind into pretzels. Not only
55:42
Speaker 1: of these people listening to the show when Brian sees
55:46
Speaker 1: no value in it and thinks they're all wasting their time,
55:49
Speaker 1: they're actually supporting it financially, which must be really bewildering
55:53
Speaker 1: to Brian how anybody could actually do this. This is
55:55
Speaker 1: Brian on the chat who is bitterly complaining about getting
55:59
Speaker 1: no value from the show, but yet listening to it
56:01
Speaker 1: in spite of that. All right, let's jump into the
56:04
Speaker 1: Q and to your super chat questions. Michael asks a
56:08
Speaker 1: fifty dollars question. Thank you, Michael, I really appreciate your support,
56:13
Speaker 1: steady support. You know, almost every show is being good
56:18
Speaker 1: at integration, different than rle intelligence. I know very high
56:22
Speaker 1: IQ people who can't register objectives to arguments because they
56:25
Speaker 1: can't identify commonalities and put them together, but they're great
56:29
Speaker 1: at high level mathematics and engineering. Yeah. No, absolutely, you're
56:33
Speaker 1: absolutely right. IQ is not related to your ability to integrate.
56:37
Speaker 1: IQ is you know, I'm not sure exactly what it's
56:40
Speaker 1: related to. It's a good question, but suddenly you can
56:43
Speaker 1: find people who are super smart at abstract math, who
56:47
Speaker 1: can do an incredible calculations in abstract math, maybe even
56:53
Speaker 1: do you know what is pie to the I don't know,
56:57
Speaker 1: twentieth decimal point or whatever, one hundred decimal point out,
57:01
Speaker 1: or have extraordinary memories, or just have the ability abstractly
57:05
Speaker 1: to manipulate manipulate mathematical equations and do or do physics
57:11
Speaker 1: or do engineering and do amazing things. But then in
57:14
Speaker 1: the rest of their lives do nothing, don't connect the dots,
57:18
Speaker 1: don't really integrate, don't think I mean, now your man
57:20
Speaker 1: talks about this in the Missing Link, the ability to
57:25
Speaker 1: do abstract thinking in a particular field and have that
57:29
Speaker 1: field completely compartmentalized, and then not do any real abstract thinking,
57:33
Speaker 1: not go anywhere beyond basic abstractions in the rest of
57:39
Speaker 1: your life. Integration is a is a skill, and a
57:47
Speaker 1: lot of people don't have it right. They don't have
57:50
Speaker 1: the capacity to see commonalities, to integrate information, to generate
57:58
Speaker 1: new abstract knowledge or new abstract conclusions from the evidence
58:01
Speaker 1: that they have. Indeed, very few people that I know
58:07
Speaker 1: are good integrators. I mean the best integrated, the best
58:09
Speaker 1: integrated that I was influenced by it was Lend Peakoff.
58:14
Speaker 1: I mean len Peacoff was an amazing ability to integrate information.
58:17
Speaker 1: Of course the real master. It was imanned, but Ian
58:21
Speaker 1: I never saw her in action, other in the essays
58:24
Speaker 1: you see that integrating mind. It's unbelievable the connection she
58:29
Speaker 1: sees between things. But Leonard was right, you know, in
58:33
Speaker 1: terms of somebody I actually knew. Lender was a master,
58:36
Speaker 1: and a real master, really really amazing. Again, the connections
58:40
Speaker 1: that he saw between different events and the principle that
58:45
Speaker 1: was behind it. He has a real had had a
58:48
Speaker 1: real skill has a real skill doing that, which is
58:51
Speaker 1: quite extraordinary. So yes, you know, I don't know. I
58:57
Speaker 1: don't know what people say i Q is. I you know,
59:02
Speaker 1: I I know people who are really, really good and
59:07
Speaker 1: I don't know what their IQ is. I have no idea.
59:11
Speaker 1: And I know people who are really act really stupidly
59:14
Speaker 1: and probably have really high IQ. So IQ is not
59:18
Speaker 1: a good estimate of people's ability to integrate and and
59:29
Speaker 1: you know, to integrate knowledge, it's not Yeah, that requires
59:44
Speaker 1: a kind of focus of the mind that it goes
59:49
Speaker 1: beyond just the raw intelligence that you have. All right, author,
1:00:06
Speaker 1: Where is all this hatred coming from in the comments section?
1:00:09
Speaker 1: It's quite shocking in a lot to process. I mean
1:00:13
Speaker 1: I always get it. I've always gotten it. You know it.
1:00:16
Speaker 1: It it from the from the first day that I
1:00:19
Speaker 1: started commenting on the news in two thousand and two,
1:00:23
Speaker 1: uh two thousand and one, really right after nine eleven.
1:00:26
Speaker 1: You know, from the first day I've been public, there've
1:00:29
Speaker 1: been people who've hated me. And and why because I
1:00:35
Speaker 1: don't know. They disagree because they feel threatened by somebody
1:00:41
Speaker 1: who has an absolutist view like I do, who has
1:00:45
Speaker 1: a kind of a confidence in what he says that
1:00:49
Speaker 1: has immense knowledge behind it all. And when what I
1:00:53
Speaker 1: say conflicts with their understanding or their emotions or their
1:00:59
Speaker 1: beliefs system they lash out. So hatred has been a
1:01:04
Speaker 1: feature of my public commentary for the last twenty twenty
1:01:11
Speaker 1: five years. Right, twenty five years. It's me since I
1:01:14
Speaker 1: became a commentator. So yeah, I mean on everything. And
1:01:19
Speaker 1: you know, if I give investment advice, people get really
1:01:21
Speaker 1: upset about the kind of investment advice I get, which
1:01:25
Speaker 1: expresses itself in kind of hatred. Talk about them at least,
1:01:27
Speaker 1: they get upset. They talk about Trump, they get upset
1:01:30
Speaker 1: I talk about the let you know, whatever I talk about.
1:01:32
Speaker 1: You know, they find reason to get upset, and I don't.
1:01:37
Speaker 1: The other thing is I don't fit into any box meekly,
1:01:40
Speaker 1: I don't fit into any of the tribes. So they
1:01:43
Speaker 1: don't know what to do. I'm not I'm you know,
1:01:47
Speaker 1: so much of the thinking in the world right now
1:01:50
Speaker 1: is tribal that when they see somebody who's not quite
1:01:54
Speaker 1: belongs to any tribe, they don't know what to do
1:01:56
Speaker 1: with that, and they lash out with anger. Again, this
1:01:59
Speaker 1: is kind kind of the reason why we have a
1:02:02
Speaker 1: culture of violence now, much more violence than we have
1:02:05
Speaker 1: in the past because people don't know how to handle
1:02:09
Speaker 1: people who disagree with him. Everybody is the equivalent of
1:02:14
Speaker 1: a Nazi, and therefore Nazi generate anger. So yeah, by
1:02:28
Speaker 1: the way, if you want to ask questions, super chat
1:02:30
Speaker 1: is a way to go. You can ask a question
1:02:32
Speaker 1: for two bucks five bucks. You know, don't have to
1:02:34
Speaker 1: spend a lot of money on it. But that's if
1:02:36
Speaker 1: you want to ask me to add answer the question.
1:02:38
Speaker 1: That's how it's going to be. All right, I'm gonna
1:02:40
Speaker 1: thank John, I'm going to thank another John to John's,
1:02:45
Speaker 1: and I'm going to thank Thought Criminal for their stickers.
1:02:49
Speaker 1: Thank you guys really appreciated. Well, only seventy six dollars
1:02:52
Speaker 1: away from our target. Okay, Liam, is not making sense
1:02:56
Speaker 1: a feature, not a bug of subjectivism and leftist social
1:03:01
Speaker 1: agenda in general. Well, what do you mean by not
1:03:04
Speaker 1: making sense? I mean making sense means what I mean clearly,
1:03:10
Speaker 1: subjectivism means that it's whatever they feel like, it's whatever
1:03:13
Speaker 1: they whatever they think. But thinking as a not as
1:03:18
Speaker 1: a specific action. Right, So it's can be very emotional.
1:03:23
Speaker 1: It doesn't have to be based on clear facts and
1:03:26
Speaker 1: evidence and so on. Facts and evidence indeed a non
1:03:29
Speaker 1: subjective they kind of suggest that there's an objective reality
1:03:33
Speaker 1: out there which they resent. So yes, much of subjectivism
1:03:36
Speaker 1: or relativism is ghibligu. It doesn't make any sense because
1:03:42
Speaker 1: it's not connected to reality. It's connected to the emotion
1:03:44
Speaker 1: of that expressing it. The same thing with religion, right,
1:03:47
Speaker 1: Religion sounds the same way. It's not connected to reality,
1:03:52
Speaker 1: and therefore it doesn't make any sense. It's connected to revelation,
1:03:56
Speaker 1: which really is connected to is just emotion. So when
1:04:01
Speaker 1: arguments come from emotion, they make no sense. Michael, is
1:04:07
Speaker 1: it easy to miss interpret human beings as being stupid
1:04:10
Speaker 1: and irrational? That's why intellectuals are more drawn towards Plato
1:04:14
Speaker 1: and nanny state than Aristotle and individual flourishing. I mean, yes,
1:04:18
Speaker 1: I mean partially because but look, it's hard to understand
1:04:23
Speaker 1: this in the context of ancient Greece, where at the
1:04:25
Speaker 1: end of the day, Plato is much more influential than Aristotle.
1:04:28
Speaker 1: But the reality is that, yeah, I think the elites
1:04:32
Speaker 1: view the common folk as ignorant and incompetent and able
1:04:38
Speaker 1: in themselves. As I mean, intellectuals like to think of
1:04:41
Speaker 1: themselves as kind of Plato's philosopher kings. They know they
1:04:45
Speaker 1: know the truth, they can access the truth most people can,
1:04:49
Speaker 1: and therefore most people are dependent on them, and they
1:04:51
Speaker 1: like that. They like that sense of other people depend
1:04:54
Speaker 1: on them, and they're the smart ones in the room,
1:04:58
Speaker 1: James extent, is it a model for adult intellectuals not
1:05:02
Speaker 1: to be objectives? Given how really available Rand's works are,
1:05:06
Speaker 1: is your audience significantly small, smarter, and more honest than
1:05:09
Speaker 1: ninety nine point nine percent of intellectuals out there? Well, no,
1:05:14
Speaker 1: I mean there's a lot of dishonesty among intellectuals. I mean,
1:05:17
Speaker 1: how dishonest is it for intellectuals to be anti capitalist?
1:05:20
Speaker 1: Very And you know, anti Rand is different because many
1:05:24
Speaker 1: of them have now read Rand or been exposed to Rand.
1:05:27
Speaker 1: So you can't say that the emoel. But if they
1:05:29
Speaker 1: hold communist views, the socialist views, the clearly IMMO because
1:05:35
Speaker 1: they have to evade a huge amount of knowledge in
1:05:38
Speaker 1: order to hold those ideas, the knowledge involved in the
1:05:41
Speaker 1: disastrous consequences of socialism and communism. So intellectuals that are fascist,
1:05:51
Speaker 1: national conservative national you know, Christian nationalists, socialist communists clearly
1:05:59
Speaker 1: are irrational. Their ideas clinic contradict reality, but not being
1:06:04
Speaker 1: an objectivist. No, because they're not exposed objectives. And if
1:06:07
Speaker 1: they've read a lot of the objectives' literature, then the
1:06:10
Speaker 1: question is what have they evaded? But it's likely they've
1:06:12
Speaker 1: evaded some of it. Yes, Ivy any thoughts on the
1:06:16
Speaker 1: Ben SaaS sixty minute interview if you've watched it, Yeah,
1:06:20
Speaker 1: I watched it. I mean, I mean it's a mixture
1:06:22
Speaker 1: of good stuff and conventional why can't we all get along?
1:06:27
Speaker 1: And very very dedicated to altruism and family and families
1:06:34
Speaker 1: everything and altruism. I mean, I like Ben SaaS partially
1:06:38
Speaker 1: because he's one of the few was one of the
1:06:40
Speaker 1: few politicians who had any sense of individual rights and
1:06:44
Speaker 1: the Founding Fathers and Declaration of Independence and so on.
1:06:47
Speaker 1: But his attitude is so religious that I didn't like.
1:06:53
Speaker 1: I know, a lot of people really were thrilled by
1:06:55
Speaker 1: the interview. I didn't particularly like it. I thought a
1:06:57
Speaker 1: lot of it was emotional drivel, and it really did
1:07:02
Speaker 1: depend on having a collectivistic and altruistic common common context.
1:07:11
Speaker 1: And his proposals politically, you know, some of them were good,
1:07:16
Speaker 1: but he didn't talk about the entitlements, He didn't talk
1:07:19
Speaker 1: about the need for entitled Dramatic Entitlement Reform. He talked
1:07:23
Speaker 1: about AI and the dangers coming down the pipe from AI.
1:07:27
Speaker 1: If Gubin is not doesn't do anything economically, it's not
1:07:33
Speaker 1: anti AI, but he recognizes the economic disruptions here be
1:07:37
Speaker 1: caused by AI. But what about just the government spending
1:07:41
Speaker 1: and the massive government spending. I mean, he was good
1:07:43
Speaker 1: on He's not a fan of Trump's I give him
1:07:46
Speaker 1: credit for that. He's one of those Republicans who are
1:07:49
Speaker 1: not fans of Trump and indeed left. I give him
1:07:52
Speaker 1: a huge amount of credit for voting to impeach Trump
1:07:56
Speaker 1: after January sixth, one of seven Republicans who did that.
1:07:59
Speaker 1: And then he left the Senate because he couldn't get
1:08:02
Speaker 1: anything done because because of the state of the Republican Party,
1:08:06
Speaker 1: and he was he was being lamb blasted and not
1:08:09
Speaker 1: taking seriously because he'd voted to impeach Trump. So I
1:08:13
Speaker 1: have a lot of respect for Ben Saz. I think
1:08:16
Speaker 1: he is facing his death with a lot of dignity.
1:08:20
Speaker 1: I just find that ultimately his perspective is conventional Christian,
1:08:26
Speaker 1: conventional altruist, conventional collectivist, and his politics are not radical enough.
1:08:35
Speaker 1: Michael does Trump like Israel because BB sucks up to
1:08:38
Speaker 1: him more than any other world leader. Jd Vance hostile
1:08:42
Speaker 1: to Israel because he's an anti semi no. No. I
1:08:46
Speaker 1: think Trump likes Israel because, you know, a lot of
1:08:49
Speaker 1: his a lot of his supporters like Israel. Jared Kushna
1:08:52
Speaker 1: is a big fan of Israel. You know, Mike Kakabie.
1:08:58
Speaker 1: A lot of the evangelical base that Trump relies on
1:09:02
Speaker 1: for his support is pro Israel. I think he liked that.
1:09:06
Speaker 1: BB's kind of tough, a tough guy. I do think
1:09:09
Speaker 1: BB has always known how to suck up to Trump.
1:09:14
Speaker 1: He nominated him for nob Peace Prize. He did a
1:09:16
Speaker 1: bunch of stuff to suck up to Trump. So there's
1:09:18
Speaker 1: an element of that, But I don't think it's exclusively that.
1:09:20
Speaker 1: I think it has to do with debait with the
1:09:23
Speaker 1: people who support Trump also supporters of Israel, and as
1:09:28
Speaker 1: in respect, Trump has for some reason for Israel's these toughness,
1:09:32
Speaker 1: manliness if you will, that he gets from bib So
1:09:38
Speaker 1: but he's also quite willing to portray Israel, like he
1:09:42
Speaker 1: did with the ceasefire in Gaza, the ceasefire now with
1:09:45
Speaker 1: his Bellah and stopping them in June last year from
1:09:49
Speaker 1: continuing to devastate the Iranians. I mean, he's acted in
1:09:53
Speaker 1: anti Israeli ways over and over and over again, in
1:09:57
Speaker 1: spite of he generally likes Israel, Mary Eleen, the FCC
1:10:03
Speaker 1: just ordered an early review of ABC's license. We desperately
1:10:07
Speaker 1: need to get rid of the FCC. Yes, absolutely, it
1:10:10
Speaker 1: is a blatant violation of the First Amendment and part
1:10:13
Speaker 1: of the reason the mainstream media uses so crappy tragic
1:10:18
Speaker 1: scoop public interest. Yeah, I mean nine Ran talked about
1:10:21
Speaker 1: this on privatizing the airwaves in Capitalism Not Known Idea,
1:10:25
Speaker 1: which I sugg recommend you all read. By the way,
1:10:27
Speaker 1: the class I'm teaching on capitalism there required reading is
1:10:30
Speaker 1: Capitalism not Known Ideal. So they all have bought a copy,
1:10:33
Speaker 1: they all have it on their desk. They all are
1:10:35
Speaker 1: referencing the article. They're all reading iron Rand. So part
1:10:38
Speaker 1: of the fun of teaching this class is to see
1:10:40
Speaker 1: them and get them to read Ironran. Uh. Okay, ll
1:10:45
Speaker 1: keep on going. Michael uh thoughts on the New York
1:10:50
Speaker 1: Stock Exchange moving to Dallas. I don't think that's true.
1:10:54
Speaker 1: I don't think the New Yorktock Exchange is moving to Dallas.
1:10:57
Speaker 1: Dallas has opened up its own stock exchange to compete
1:11:01
Speaker 1: with the New York Stock Exchange. But I have not
1:11:03
Speaker 1: read anything about the New York Stock Exchange. Movie to Dallas.
1:11:06
Speaker 1: I'll check it out and see. Maybe I'm wrong, but
1:11:15
Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't think that that is happening.
1:11:19
Speaker 1: There is competition in Dallas, Mary, Eline. Assassination solves no problems.
1:11:25
Speaker 1: That's right, you get JD events if Trump is assassinated
1:11:28
Speaker 1: and look violence. The initiation of force never solves any problems.
1:11:34
Speaker 1: Force is not a solution. Gail. How serious is the
1:11:38
Speaker 1: Trump administration about arresting Obama for treason? Oh god, I
1:11:43
Speaker 1: don't know. I don't think they will do it. But
1:11:46
Speaker 1: on the other hand, you know who knows they Yeah,
1:11:52
Speaker 1: it's Trump. He could do anything, So I doubt that
1:11:55
Speaker 1: they would do it. But again, it's not it's not
1:11:59
Speaker 1: obvious were Trump, So I doubt they're serious. Mostly just
1:12:06
Speaker 1: a threat and to appease their base by threatening, But
1:12:09
Speaker 1: they might because they were irrational enough Republicans. I think
1:12:13
Speaker 1: congressional Republicans were not like that. Senators in particular, Roman,
1:12:19
Speaker 1: what do you think of putting candidate names in random
1:12:22
Speaker 1: order on ballots for each ballot. What do you think
1:12:26
Speaker 1: of puttingidate candidate names and random order and ballots for
1:12:30
Speaker 1: each ballot. Should the party's party affiliation be shown in
1:12:34
Speaker 1: the ballot? Yeah, it should definitely be shown. More information
1:12:36
Speaker 1: the better, and people want to know. If it's a
1:12:38
Speaker 1: democratic Republican it says something about which tribe they belong to,
1:12:42
Speaker 1: what ideas they hold er u or or what ideas
1:12:45
Speaker 1: they will support, and and people should vote to large
1:12:48
Speaker 1: extent based on that. So I don't see why it
1:12:51
Speaker 1: should be random. I don't see any of that. None
1:12:55
Speaker 1: of that really matters. Roman. What are your thoughts on
1:13:00
Speaker 1: Athenian Florentine lottery system of representative government? Should Scotis check
1:13:05
Speaker 1: every law for constitutionality? I don't believe in lottery systems
1:13:10
Speaker 1: or representative government. I'm not for that. Voting is not
1:13:15
Speaker 1: a bad idea at all. And should Scotis check every
1:13:19
Speaker 1: law for its content? No, I mean there's a system,
1:13:22
Speaker 1: there's a process. People can sue around the constitutionality and
1:13:25
Speaker 1: then Scotis will review it. But if nobody sues, it's
1:13:28
Speaker 1: not reviewed. So I think our system works. The challenge
1:13:34
Speaker 1: is COOTIS is understanding of the Constitution. But I don't
1:13:37
Speaker 1: think I don't think that. It's not that they don't
1:13:40
Speaker 1: review enough laws, it's do they make the right decisions
1:13:43
Speaker 1: when they do review the laws. James, the most intellectual
1:13:46
Speaker 1: is not look at reality. They look at woods, which
1:13:49
Speaker 1: makes most of them useless to listen to. Yeah. Oh,
1:13:53
Speaker 1: they look selectively at reality. They look at the parts
1:13:56
Speaker 1: that they think confirm, they believe, and they're not interested
1:14:01
Speaker 1: in being in scanning all of reality or big chunks
1:14:05
Speaker 1: of reality to try to be objective because they're more
1:14:09
Speaker 1: motivated by subjective desire to just prove themselves right. So
1:14:15
Speaker 1: they narrow their scope. They narrow their focus, like the
1:14:21
Speaker 1: progressive movement took over Wisconsin. With the objectives movement take
1:14:26
Speaker 1: over Austin, Texas. When will airise new headquarters be open there?
1:14:30
Speaker 1: I mean the target date is September two, twenty twenty
1:14:35
Speaker 1: eight to be open, so two and a half years.
1:14:38
Speaker 1: We will break ground on construction in July of this year.
1:14:42
Speaker 1: But construction is complicated. It's a difficult building to build
1:14:46
Speaker 1: and it will take a couple of years to build it.
1:14:49
Speaker 1: It's going to be quite a statement in Austin. It's
1:14:52
Speaker 1: not a building that can be ignored and yeah, we'll
1:14:56
Speaker 1: see we'll be able to take over Austin. Not in
1:14:59
Speaker 1: the short run. Maybe one day, maybe one day. Jacob says,
1:15:06
Speaker 1: great show, Friday, defensive businessman. I paused your show, watched
1:15:10
Speaker 1: din RAN's speech, came back and finished your show. Great show.
1:15:13
Speaker 1: Thank you. I can't even remember doing that, but I'm
1:15:16
Speaker 1: glad you enjoyed it. I can't remember what I said there,
1:15:19
Speaker 1: but I'm good. Friday seems like a very long time ago,
1:15:22
Speaker 1: but that is fine. Thank you, thank you, thank you,
1:15:25
Speaker 1: thank you. I really appreciate that. Roman. How have the
1:15:29
Speaker 1: UAE benefit from OPEC membership. I mean the benefit is
1:15:33
Speaker 1: that they got a say in output decisions which controlled
1:15:38
Speaker 1: ultimately control prices. That was the benefit they got, and
1:15:40
Speaker 1: now they will not have any say in that. Ellis
1:15:46
Speaker 1: what happened to the story about Anthropic Opening Eye and
1:15:49
Speaker 1: the Pentagon that made you say you were going to
1:15:53
Speaker 1: stop using chat GPT. Well, basically, Anthropic stood up to
1:15:57
Speaker 1: the Pentagon and basically said, you either use the software.
1:16:03
Speaker 1: You know, we demand certain terms, and I think there
1:16:06
Speaker 1: were very rational and reasonable terms. And the Pentagon said
1:16:09
Speaker 1: no and kick them out. And then Chatipah jumped in
1:16:12
Speaker 1: and said we'll do it on your terms, Pentagon, We'll
1:16:14
Speaker 1: do whatever you want. And I thought that was that
1:16:20
Speaker 1: was sucking up and it was bad because it basically
1:16:23
Speaker 1: gives the Pentagon the ability to use AI without any constraints.
1:16:27
Speaker 1: And I thought the anthropy constraints were quite rational and reasonable. Stephen.
1:16:33
Speaker 1: I mean, there's a limit to how much science scientists
1:16:36
Speaker 1: should allow their inventions to be used by government. If
1:16:39
Speaker 1: you're not sure about that, check out Project X in
1:16:42
Speaker 1: Ethlas Shrugged. Stephen, thank you for the show. Thank you, Steven,
1:16:46
Speaker 1: appreciate that, Jacob. Why has Israel not replaced the IDF
1:16:50
Speaker 1: with Ukraine drones to do the clearing in Lebanon with
1:16:54
Speaker 1: drones alone up up to Litany would be up to
1:16:59
Speaker 1: little Tiny will be clearing weeks. Ukraine drones clear thirty
1:17:03
Speaker 1: kates Russians a month. Well, I don't think that's quite accurate.
1:17:08
Speaker 1: See in Ukraine, the Ukrainian drones are primarily playing defense,
1:17:17
Speaker 1: so they can be there and as Russians try to
1:17:20
Speaker 1: move forward, they can mow them down and they can
1:17:24
Speaker 1: track them and so on. Israel is playing offense. It's
1:17:29
Speaker 1: very difficult to play offense with drones. Drones once they
1:17:33
Speaker 1: enter into enemy territory can be easily ambushed and destroyed.
1:17:43
Speaker 1: Israel also has to deal a lot with buildings and streets,
1:17:48
Speaker 1: with towns, with go to door fighting, with clearing out
1:17:53
Speaker 1: whole towns and villages, which is very difficult. The terrain
1:17:58
Speaker 1: in southern Lebanon is not flat where it is in Ukraine.
1:18:01
Speaker 1: It's relatively flat. It's very it's it's mountainous and parts
1:18:05
Speaker 1: of it it's it's deep ravines, valleys. Uh, it's much
1:18:09
Speaker 1: more complicated. No. I mean, drones are great and uh
1:18:14
Speaker 1: and uh for certain functions, but for the kind of
1:18:19
Speaker 1: warfare Israel has to engage offensive warfare that Israel has
1:18:23
Speaker 1: to engage in Southern Lebanon, there's still not where they
1:18:26
Speaker 1: need to be. They're still far from being where they
1:18:28
Speaker 1: need to be. You need, you need numbers, you need mobility, uh,
1:18:34
Speaker 1: you know uh, and you need to be able to
1:18:40
Speaker 1: clear ground, you know, clear ground moving forward and uh. Again,
1:18:47
Speaker 1: the drones in Ukraine are basically relatively static mowing down
1:18:54
Speaker 1: advancing Russians. They're not static completely, but they're relatively static,
1:18:58
Speaker 1: whereas in South leban And they would have to be
1:19:01
Speaker 1: super dynamic, super mobile and be able to be able
1:19:06
Speaker 1: to cover up vast a vast region, A lot of
1:19:11
Speaker 1: ground tanks perfect for that, and drones cannot clear houses.
1:19:17
Speaker 1: I mean, most of the casualties ISO's taking is ambushers
1:19:22
Speaker 1: and just the kind of city city warfare which is very,
1:19:26
Speaker 1: very difficult door to door, wolfare you can't replace soldiers
1:19:30
Speaker 1: yet one day but not yet. Did ro commit assault
1:19:35
Speaker 1: against Dominique? No, I don't think so. I mean she
1:19:38
Speaker 1: would have come after him if he did he slapped her.
1:19:42
Speaker 1: Oh you mean in the rape scene, in the so
1:19:45
Speaker 1: called rape scene. No, because I think that she was
1:19:47
Speaker 1: asking for it. Now again, I wouldn't recommend doing that
1:19:51
Speaker 1: in real life because it could easily be assault. In
1:19:56
Speaker 1: a novel, you can structure it and present it in
1:20:00
Speaker 1: a way that is not it's somebody said, if that
1:20:04
Speaker 1: was rape, it was raped by engraved invitation. So Dominique
1:20:09
Speaker 1: wanted him to have sex with her, and she sent
1:20:12
Speaker 1: him all the signals that he did, and in a
1:20:16
Speaker 1: novel you dramatize that, and the so called the sault
1:20:21
Speaker 1: is a form of dramatizing the sexual tension and its release.
1:20:25
Speaker 1: But I wouldn't recommend it in real life, and I
1:20:27
Speaker 1: don't think I rand would recommend it in real life.
1:20:30
Speaker 1: Nature Observer. Thank you for the sticker. I think there
1:20:33
Speaker 1: was another sticker, yeah, Jeremy, thank you for the sticker. Well,
1:20:37
Speaker 1: only thirty three dollars away from the end, So a
1:20:40
Speaker 1: thirty three dollars sticker would be great right now, because
1:20:42
Speaker 1: this is the last question Hevison says, what really pissed
1:20:45
Speaker 1: Brian off was the comment on January sixth. But he
1:20:48
Speaker 1: didn't want to talk about why it upset him. He
1:20:51
Speaker 1: just wanted to be upset. Well, I mean he's he's tribal, right,
1:20:56
Speaker 1: January sixth. January six is now religious is a religious issue.
1:21:02
Speaker 1: It's an issue of which tribe are you on and
1:21:05
Speaker 1: you're supposed to protect defended January sixth. I considered January
1:21:09
Speaker 1: sixth one of the most horrific events in American history.
1:21:12
Speaker 1: It is it is one of the few times where
1:21:16
Speaker 1: people try to overthrow the government. They tried to stop
1:21:21
Speaker 1: Congress from from you know, electing an elect from approving
1:21:26
Speaker 1: an elected president. It was clearly an attempt to subvert
1:21:30
Speaker 1: the law. If you you know, you combine it with
1:21:33
Speaker 1: Trump's request of Pence and the violence that they inflicted.
1:21:39
Speaker 1: But now, thanks to Tucker Causon, and thanks to Trump
1:21:42
Speaker 1: and thanks to a lot of people, January six has
1:21:45
Speaker 1: not become a This is how you show that you
1:21:49
Speaker 1: are part of the tribe, is you defend the January sixth.
1:21:53
Speaker 1: Note that sass in the interview was on a you know,
1:21:58
Speaker 1: no holds ball could of what happened on January sixth,
1:22:02
Speaker 1: and very good on that issue. And again he voted
1:22:04
Speaker 1: to impeach Trump because of January sixth. So Sas gets it.
1:22:10
Speaker 1: Many people on the right today, Brian included, don't get it.
1:22:14
Speaker 1: And that's fine. They're still they bought into the conspiracy
1:22:18
Speaker 1: theories not you have a Jago. Then a quick question,
1:22:21
Speaker 1: do these people really think Trump is Hitler? Will the
1:22:24
Speaker 1: future assassination attempt eventually succeed? Will this cause a civil war?
1:22:29
Speaker 1: Do people really think trumpet Hicitlar? They don't know what
1:22:32
Speaker 1: that means? I mean, what does it mean to say
1:22:35
Speaker 1: they really think? That requires them to think a lot
1:22:38
Speaker 1: of these are kooks, and I don't think there's a
1:22:40
Speaker 1: lot of thinking going on. They certainly think he's a
1:22:43
Speaker 1: precursor to Hitler. Will the future assassination attempt to eventually succeed?
1:22:49
Speaker 1: It's unlikely security is pretty tight, so it's unlikely to succeed.
1:22:54
Speaker 1: It could, but it's unlikely. Will it cause the civil war? Again,
1:22:57
Speaker 1: I think it's very unlikely we have a civil war.
1:23:01
Speaker 1: It will cause an increase in violence, but I don't
1:23:03
Speaker 1: think it'll bring a civil war. Civil war is not
1:23:06
Speaker 1: yet in the cause. Maybe one day, but not yet.
1:23:09
Speaker 1: All right, guys, thank you really appreciate the support. Thanks
1:23:12
Speaker 1: for listening, Thanks all the super chatters. I'm gonna try
1:23:16
Speaker 1: to do a show every day this week. We will see,
1:23:19
Speaker 1: but it will depend on kind of my schedule of
1:23:22
Speaker 1: teaching and everything else, right, not Yavi Jago. Then one
1:23:25
Speaker 1: more question. We talk about MAGA being more violent than
1:23:27
Speaker 1: the left, but leftist tried to assassinate the president three
1:23:30
Speaker 1: times now and murder Charlie Cook. That's right, that's right,
1:23:33
Speaker 1: And this as I said twenty twenty five, the left
1:23:37
Speaker 1: was more violent than the right. But you know, again,
1:23:41
Speaker 1: according to the metrics of the Wall Street Journal twenty
1:23:43
Speaker 1: twenty four and before, the right was more violent than
1:23:46
Speaker 1: the left, and the right has caused mass casualty events
1:23:53
Speaker 1: on a scale that the left doesn't do. The guy
1:23:56
Speaker 1: who went into the synagogue in was at Philadelpe, Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh.
1:24:01
Speaker 1: I thinking killed a bunch of views, and you know,
1:24:04
Speaker 1: you go on and on on, but the reality is
1:24:06
Speaker 1: that again, according to the Wall Street Journal's measures, I'm
1:24:12
Speaker 1: just reporting with the Wall Street Journal's reporting, So I
1:24:14
Speaker 1: don't have a view. A police of violence is bad,
1:24:17
Speaker 1: and both sides, from my perspective, are really really bad.
1:24:19
Speaker 1: And it doesn't surprise me that they've reverted to violence,
1:24:25
Speaker 1: you know, and don't forget what I did, which I
1:24:29
Speaker 1: don't know how you want to account it. But that's
1:24:30
Speaker 1: the government inflicting violence on all of us, which might
1:24:34
Speaker 1: be the most dangerous thing possible. See, guys, I'll see tomorrow.
1:24:39
Speaker 1: Buy everybody,