Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 4209 Democrats Are Starting to PANIC… and Here’s WHY!!!

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Ep. 4209 Democrats Are Starting to PANIC… and Here’s WHY!!! · Turley Talks

• 0:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
• 0:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
• 0:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is Turley Talks.
• 0:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: something extraordinary is happening beneath the noise surrounding the 2026 midterms.
• 0:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: From months, Democrats in their media allies have been promoting poll after poll, suggesting that the election was just slipping away from the Republicans.
• 0:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: If voters are turning against Trump that a blue wave is building in that November will devastate the GOP.
• 0:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: But now CNN's own chief data analysts has uncovered a set of numbers that tells a radically different story.
• 0:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: And when you combine those numbers with what's actually happening in the early voting, you can understand exactly why more and more Democrats are starting to panic.
• 1:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: Stick them at the very end of this video because the polls are saying one thing, but actually
• 1:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: actual voter behavior is beginning to say something else entirely.
• 1:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: And if that behavior holds, November could deliver the shock of the political year.
• 1:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: Hey, gang, it's me, Dr. Steve, your Patre professor.
• 1:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: Here to keep you sane amidst all the insanity with breaking news and analysis.
• 1:27
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• 1:28
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• 1:29
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• 1:32
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• 1:36
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• 1:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: All right, let's dive right in here, gang.
• 1:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: In the midst of all of the pew pulling slop, the legacy media is desperately trying to sell their dwindling audiences, more and more outlets are beginning to hedge even CNN.
• 2:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: is starting to admit that something very different is happening beneath the surface.
• 2:13
  [SPEAKER_00]: Look at in presidential elections, that look, the Republicans are gaining versus where they were eight years ago during Trump's first midterm election.
• 2:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: Take a look here, GOP gains in party registration margin versus election day 2018.
• 2:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: In Arizona, the Republican margin versus a Democrat, Republicans are up four points, have out Nevada.
• 2:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: Republicans up five points.
• 2:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: How about North Carolina?
• 2:32
  [SPEAKER_00]: Republicans up eight points.
• 2:34
  [SPEAKER_00]: How about the Commonwealth, the Pennsylvania?
• 2:36
  [SPEAKER_00]: Republicans up seven points.
• 2:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: So when you take a look at how people are actually registering.
• 2:41
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is not pulling data compared to where we were eight years ago.
• 2:44
  [SPEAKER_00]: Republicans are doing considerably better in what are the swing states, at least normally in presidential elections.
• 2:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: Okay.
• 2:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: So if someone could look at this, we can underscore that.
• 2:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: The Republicans are in their best position on party registration,
• 2:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: In 20 plus years, now you've been with this channel for a while now, and if not, make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button, but if you've been with us, you'll know this is old news.
• 3:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: CNN is only now just catching up to this.
• 3:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: We've been reporting of what even the New York Times called several months back.
• 3:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: The Democrat voter registration crisis between 2020 and 2024, Democrats lost 2.1 million registered voters while Republicans gained 2.4 million.
• 3:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: A net swing of 4.5 million voters in four years.
• 3:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: And since then, things have only gotten worse.
• 3:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: in 28 key battleground house districts, Democrats lost over 275,000 registered voters between November 2024 and May of this year shrinking their 733,000 voter edge in those districts to now a Republican advantage of over 4,000 registrations.
• 4:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: Voters are fleeing the Democrats.
• 4:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: polling data.
• 4:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: So cold data.
• 4:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: These are real people making an actual decision about how they identify politically.
• 4:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: And in the very states where Democrats need to demonstrate that they're rebuilding their coalition, the registration data says
• 4:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: the opposite.
• 4:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: So the legacy media narrative, the fake news fabrication says the country's racing toward the Democrats, but the actual registration trends say the exact opposite.
• 4:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: The country is moving towards the Republicans.
• 4:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: And we're literally seeing the fruit to this in real time in all the early voting that's been going on particularly in the state of Ohio.
• 4:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now,
• 4:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: In our video yesterday, we analyzed the returns from the first day of in-person voting in Ohio.
• 5:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: Remember, we don't have to rely on polling for the midterms.
• 5:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: Voting has already start to forget the polls.
• 5:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: Voting has already started.
• 5:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: And Ohio is historically an important bell weather state.
• 5:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: What happens in Ohio tends to accurately foreshadow?
• 5:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: What happens in Iowa and Alaska and Texas and the like?
• 5:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: And so on Tuesday, we had our very first day of in-person early voting in Ohio.
• 5:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: And the importance of in-person early voting is that it offers an early snapshot of turnout.
• 5:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: enthusiasm and the electorates partisan and demographic composition, especially when compared with similar past elections say in 24 and 22.
• 5:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: And if you saw our video yesterday, you'll know that Democrat turnout has plummeted almost everywhere throughout the Buckeye State most particularly in their blue counties.
• 6:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: Okay.
• 6:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm analysts were pretty stunned, especially in line of all of these absurd polls.
• 6:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: And also pretty stunned to find a drop of about 30% turnout for Democrats from 2024 for their in-person early voting.
• 6:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, particularly in Democrat counties.
• 6:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: Whereas in Republican counties, it's slow, but study.
• 6:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're voting upwards about 90% turnout from 2024.
• 6:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: So you can see that video for a full analysis of day one.
• 6:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: Well, yesterday was day two of early voting.
• 6:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: And gang, if you thought things couldn't get worse for the Democrats, uh, think again.
• 6:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: Take a look at Shelby County.
• 6:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now in fairness, Shelby is deep red.
• 6:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: Very Republican.
• 6:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'll show you some blue counties in a moment.
• 6:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: But this will give you a real sense of what's actually going on right now is the voting has started.
• 6:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: Like yesterday, this chart is courtesy of Tonerus Hughes on X.
• 7:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: He's giving the single best Ohio election analysis out there.
• 7:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: Very good stuff.
• 7:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: On day one, Democrats made up 29% of the end person early vote while Republicans made up 45% again.
• 7:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is a red county.
• 7:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: But look at
• 7:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrats fell six points to just 23% of the end person early vote, where's Republicans gained by nearly 10 points to 54%.
• 7:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: So that's a 16 point Republican advantage on day one, which then doubled into a 31% Republican advantage on day two.
• 7:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now,
• 7:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: If we go over to Miami County, Miami County, Ohio, again, another hardcore Republican stronghold to Trump plus 40 territory, but again, you'll know this is the same pattern.
• 7:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: On the first day of this in person early voting, it was 34% Democrat 40% Republican.
• 8:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: On the second day, Democrats fell the 30% where his Republicans rose to 43%, it was
• 8:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: to a 13-point Republican Advantage on Day 2.
• 8:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: Here's a blue county.
• 8:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is Athens County.
• 8:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: They voted for Kamala by upwards of 25 points.
• 8:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: Their first day of in-personally voting was 68% Democrat 5% Republican.
• 8:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: But look at Day 2.
• 8:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrats dropped to 63% and Republicans jump to 13.
• 8:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: Same with Kayahoga, another deep blue county where Cleveland is.
• 8:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: Their in-person early vote on day one was down 37% from day one of 2024.
• 8:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: And then, as of yesterday, it dropped another 25% on day two.
• 8:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, all of this courtesy of the wonderful work of Tonerus Hughes on X.
• 9:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: So whether we're looking at red counties or blue counties, we're seeing the same thing.
• 9:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, we could keep going on and on here.
• 9:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: The voter registration advantage that the GOP has been racking up across the nation over these last several years is yielding its fruits here.
• 9:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: The Democrat turnout has plummeted, here's the key.
• 9:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: It is plummeted proportionate to the Democrat voter registration plummets.
• 9:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is what we might call the inevitability of voter registration.
• 9:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: We all learned this the hard way last year in the elections of Virginia and New Jersey.
• 9:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: When all was said and done, maybe we can do it, maybe we can pull it off.
• 9:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: When all said and done, there was simply not enough registered Republicans in those two states to win the day.
• 9:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: Bottom line, voter registration is a bitch, as it's been said.
• 10:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: At the end of the day, it all comes down to which party has the most voters.
• 10:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: and as long as they come out there's nothing the minority party can do about as long as the majority party comes out there's nothing the minority party can do about it and that's appears to be exactly what we're seeing here in Ohio and if you can believe it it gets worse
• 10:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: The early vote indicates something even more dire from the Democrats, and that is exactly what we're about to find out.
• 10:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: As you know, I make predictions for living.
• 10:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: Elections, markets, where this whole country, the world is headed, and I'll be the first to tell you, a prediction is still a prediction, right?
• 10:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: Turn on the TV and everybody's going to tell you exactly what the market does next quarter, and sometimes they get it right, but mostly,
• 10:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now let me tell you what I'm seeing.
• 10:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: There is one corner of the American economy where I don't have to predict a thing, because the outcome is already written down.
• 11:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's actually baked into the cake.
• 11:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's called a tax lien.
• 11:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: And here's how it works.
• 11:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: When people fall behind on their property taxes, the county still needs that money for the schools, the roads, the sheriff.
• 11:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: So the county sells that unpaid tax bill to an investor.
• 11:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: And from that moment on, the debt is now owed to the investor with interest.
• 11:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that interest rates not set by your bank.
• 11:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's not set by Wall Street, certainly not set by the Fed.
• 11:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's set by state law.
• 11:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: In some states, 12 to 24% written right into statute and secured by real American property.
• 11:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, here's the part almost nobody talks about.
• 11:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: The owner gets a deadline and that deadline is written into law as well.
• 11:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: The laws there to have your back.
• 11:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: If they pay, you get your money back plus the interest.
• 11:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: If they never pay, the law gives you a path to the property itself.
• 12:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now think about that.
• 12:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: Two outcomes and both of them are spelled out before you put in a single dollar.
• 12:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's not prediction, that's a position.
• 12:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, if you've been with me this year, you know my friend, J.
• 12:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: He's been doing this for years now and teaching regular hardworking folks how to do it too.
• 12:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: And you've watched him buy a tax lien live right in front of you.
• 12:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: But every time you only saw half the story, the buy.
• 12:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: So this time, I asked Jay for the other half.
• 12:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: The part nobody ever shows you, what actually happens when the owner does not pay.
• 12:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: So next Tuesday, October 13th at the APM Eastern 5 PM Pacific Jay is hosting a free live masterclass who's gonna buy a real tax lien live on the call and then walk you step by step through how that deadline gets enforced
• 12:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now here's the catch that lie purchase happens only once in real time.
• 12:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's no replay that when it's done it's done.
• 13:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, this Tuesday, October 13th, 8 p.m. Eastern, 5 p.m. Pacific, register now at turletclass.com, texturly to 72,000 that's 72,00 or scan the QR code to save your spot.
• 13:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: The reason why we're seeing the Democrat share the vote go down and the Republican share go up is because of the exact pattern we saw in 2024 with Kamala.
• 13:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: The Democrats are actually in the process of cannibalizing their vote.
• 13:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: In other words, because they're most hardcore voters, what might call superdems,
• 13:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: because they're all coming out and voting up front.
• 13:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're voting early in mass, mainly on the first day.
• 13:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: The Democrat vote then begins to noticeably dissipate and erode as their super Democrat vote gets exhausted.
• 13:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: Whereas by contrast, super Republicans come out and vote when, predominantly when on election day, where Republicans have always dominated.
• 14:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: which is preceded by slow and steady early vote leading up to the election day.
• 14:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is why Democrats historically try to rack up these huge margins through early voting, both in-person and through mail because their voting demographics can't compete with the Republicans on election day.
• 14:29
  [SPEAKER_01]: But in doing that, they only end up cannibalizing their vote in having their highest propensity voters vote early.
• 14:36
  [SPEAKER_01]: They risk giving everything they got at the very beginning of the election cycle with no more votes to draw from.
• 14:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: Whereas Republicans front-load their votes, their early votes, with their low to no prop voters, voters who've only voted once or not at all
• 14:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: Republicans run a get out the vote campaign like Cliff Bologna of Doris wins wars in the Pennsylvania chase who used supported by the way with record breaking support over the weekend.
• 15:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: God bless you guys.
• 15:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: So Cliff organizes the get out the vote where they knock on the doors of low prop to no prop Republican voters.
• 15:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: then they make sure they send their votes in bank their votes early and then we just sit back and watch our high propensity voters voters that come out in every election come out and mass and vote on election day.
• 15:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: So that's the pattern we're seeing playing out here again in these midterms we saw it in 2024 we're seeing it again appears to be at least as far as Ohio's concern we're seeing it in
• 15:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: As we just saw, even their superdems aren't coming out, like they need to, right?
• 15:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: Again, go back to Kaya Hoga, county one of the blues counties in a while.
• 16:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: Their first day of in person voting was down nearly 40% from 2024.
• 16:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, this is an object disaster for the Democrats.
• 16:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's a train wreck.
• 16:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: And so the most immediate explanation for what's happening there is looping right back to the voter registration crisis that we've been following on this channel for a year and a half.
• 16:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: If Democrats have truly lost so many voters, I mean, we're talking millions nationally, gang.
• 16:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: then we shouldn't be surprised if they're simply not showing up to vote.
• 16:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: Since they're not there in the first place, and I'm not even going to mention the millions of deportations that have been happening.
• 16:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: You know what I'm saying?
• 16:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: So, you know, this has, it's happened to Republicans, by the way, in the past.
• 16:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: We used to dominate the six states in New England, where I'm from, originally.
• 16:54
  [SPEAKER_01]: George W. Bush, one, George Herbert Walker Bush, won the majority of those electoral votes of New England back 40 years ago in the 88.
• 17:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're gone now.
• 17:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: Those voters are gone.
• 17:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: Democrats have blown past Republicans in voter registration in five of six New England states just New Hampshire where Republicans still outnumber Democrats barely.
• 17:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: But that's why we don't win New England anymore because there's simply aren't enough Republicans to come out and vote.
• 17:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's exactly what we're seeing here in Ohio and then by implication Iowa and Alaska.
• 17:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, we're seeing it, we're seeing it in Florida right now.
• 17:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: I mean, there's just no Democrats anymore left in Florida and we're most certainly going to be seeing it in Texas when early voting starts in a couple of weeks and these ridiculous polls.
• 17:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: would tell a freak out will finally be flushed down the toilet.
• 17:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: So make sure to check back regularly with this channel because we're gonna be keeping our eyes locked in on Ohio and then several other states as the early voting returns start coming in.
• 18:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: So what do you guys think?
• 18:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: Are you ready to do this?
• 18:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let me know in the comment section below and as always make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button for breaking news and analysis.
• 18:18
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• 18:23
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